Prudential plc - FY13 Results - EEV

RNS Number : 0712C
Prudential PLC
12 March 2014
 



European Embedded Value (EEV) basis results

 

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 

Results analysis by business area



Note

2013 £m

2012 £m



 

 

note (ii)

Asia operations

 

 

 

New business

2

 1,460

1,266

Business in force*

3

927

692

Long-term business*

 

2,387

1,958

Eastspring investments*

 

74

69

Development expenses

 

(2)

(7)

Total*

 

2,459

2,020

US operations

 

 

 

New business

2

 1,086

873

Business in force

3

 1,135

737

Long-term business

 

2,221

1,610

Broker-dealer and asset management

 

59

39

Total

 

2,280

1,649

UK operations

 

 

 

New business

2

297

313

Business in force

3

736

553

Long-term business

 

1,033

866

General insurance commission

 

29

33

Total UK insurance operations

 

1,062

899

M&G (including Prudential Capital)

 

441

371

Total

 

1,503

1,270

Other income and expenditure

 

 

 

Investment return and other income

 

10

13

Interest payable on core structural borrowings

 

(305)

(280)

Corporate expenditure

 

(263)

(231)

Unwind of expected asset management marginnote (i)

 

(61)

(56)

Total

 

(619)

(554)

Solvency II implementation costs

 

(31)

(50)

Restructuring costs

 

(12)

(22)

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns*

 

5,580

4,313

Analysed as profits (losses) from:

 

 

 

New business

2

 2,843

2,452

Business in force*

3

 2,798

1,982

Long-term business*

 

5,641

4,434

Asset management*

 

574

479

Other results

 

(635)

(600)

Total*

 

5,580

4,313

 

* The Group has adopted the new accounting standard on 'Joint arrangements'(IFRS 11) from 1 January 2013. This has resulted in a reallocation of £(8) million in 2013 (2012: £(6) million) from the tax charge on operating profit based on longer-term investment returns to the pre-tax result for Eastspring investments, with no effect on the net of tax EEV basis results. In addition, the Group agreed in July 2013 to sell, dependent on regulatory approval, its closed book life insurance business in Japan. Accordingly, the presentation of the 2012 comparative EEV basis results and related notes have been adjusted from those previously published for the retrospective application of this standard and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business, as described in note 18. This approach has been adopted consistently throughout this supplementary information.

 

Notes

(i)    The value of profits or losses from asset management and service companies that support the Group's covered insurance businesses (as defined in note 15(a)) are included in the profits for new business and the in-force value of the Group's long-term business. The results of the Group's asset management operations include the profits from the management of internal and external funds. For EEV basis reporting, Group shareholders' other income is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected profit margin for the year arising from the management of the assets of the covered business by the Group's asset management businesses. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Group operating profit accordingly includes the variance between actual and expected profit in respect of management of the covered business assets.

(ii)   The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the year.

 



 

 

 

 

Summarised consolidated income statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note


2013 £m

2012 £m

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 

 

 

 

Asia operations*

 


2,459

2,020

US operations

 


2,280

1,649

UK operations:

 

 

 

 

 

UK insurance operations

 


1,062

899


M&G (including Prudential Capital)

 


441

371



 


1,503

1,270

Other income and expenditure

 


(619)

(554)

Solvency II implementation costs

 


(31)

(50)

Restructuring costs

 


(12)

(22)

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns*

 


5,580

4,313

(Loss) profit attaching to held for sale Japan Life business*

4


(35)

21

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns*

5


(819)

510

Effect of changes in economic assumptions*

6


821

(2)

Mark to market value movements on core borrowings

 


152

(380)

Costs of domestication of Hong Kong branch

12


(35)

Gain on acquisition of REALIC**

4


453

Gain on dilution of Group's holdings**

 


42

Total non-operating profit*

9


84

644

Profit before tax attributable to shareholders (including actual

 

 

 

 

 

investment returns)*

 


5,664

4,957

Tax attributable to shareholders' profit*

10


(1,306)

(1,188)

Profit for the year attributable to equity holders of the Company*

 


4,358

3,769

*   The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised 'Employee benefits' (IAS 19) and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

**  During 2012, the Group completed the acquisition of REALIC generating a gain of £453 million and M&G reduced its holding in PPM South Africa resulting in a reclassification from a subsidiary to an associate and a gain on dilution of £42 million.

 

Earnings per share (in pence)

 

 

 

 

Note

2013

2012*

Based on post-tax operating profit including longer-term investment returns

 

 

 

 

of £4,204 million (2012*: £3,174 million)

11

165.0p

124.9p

Based on post-tax profit of £4,358 million (2012*: £3,769 million)

11

171.0p

148.3p

* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised IAS 19 - see note 18.

 

Dividends per share (in pence)





2013

2012

Dividends relating to reporting year:




Interim dividend

 9.73 p 

 8.40 p 


Final dividend

23.84 p 

 20.79 p 

Total

33.57 p 

 29.19 p 

Dividends declared and paid in reporting year:




Current year interim dividend

 9.73 p 

 8.40 p 


Final dividend for prior year

 20.79 p 

 17.24 p 

Total

 30.52 p 

 25.64 p 

 

Movement in shareholders' equity















Note

2013 £m

2012 £m

Profit for the year attributable to equity shareholders*


4,358

3,769

Items taken directly to equity:





Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges:






Exchange movements arising during the year


(1,077)

(467)



Related tax


(2)


Dividends


(781)

(655)


New share capital subscribed


6

17


Post-tax shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined






benefit pension schemes*


(53)

44


Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments


98

42


Treasury shares:






Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans


(10)

(13)



Movement in Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts







consolidated under IFRS


(31)

36


Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and






required capital:






Mark to market value movements arising during the year


(149)

53



Related tax


52

(18)

Net increase in shareholders' equity

9

2,413

2,806

Shareholders' equity at beginning of year

9

22,443

19,637

Shareholders' equity at end of year

9

24,856

22,443

* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of revised IAS 19 - see note 18.

 





 

31 Dec 2013 £m


31 Dec 2012 £m

Comprising: 

 

Long-

term business operations 

Asset

management

and other operations  

Total   


Long-

term business operations 

Asset

management

and other operations  

Total   

Asia operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net assets of operations

 

10,305

194

10,499


9,462

207

9,669


Acquired goodwill

 

231

61

292


239

61

300





 

10,536

255

10,791


9,701

268

9,969

US operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net assets of operations

 

6,966

118

7,084


6,032

108

6,140


Acquired goodwill

 

16

16


16

16





 

6,966

134

7,100


6,032

124

6,156

UK insurance operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net assets of operations

 

7,342

22

7,364


6,772

25

6,797

M&G:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net assets of operations

 

449

449


392

392


Acquired goodwill

 

1,153

1,153


1,153

1,153





 

1,602

1,602


1,545

1,545





 

7,342

1,624

8,966


6,772

1,570

8,342

Other operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Holding company net










borrowings at market valuenote 7

 

(2,373)

(2,373)


(2,282)

(2,282)


Other net assets

 

372

372


258

258





 

(2,001)

(2,001)


(2,024)

(2,024)

Shareholders' equity at

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

end of year

24,844

12

24,856


22,505

(62)

22,443

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net assets (liabilities)

 

24,613

(1,218)

23,395


22,266

(1,292)

20,974


Acquired goodwill

 

231

1,230

1,461


239

1,230

1,469





 

24,844

12

24,856


22,505

(62)

22,443

 




31 Dec 2013

31 Dec 2012

Net asset value per share



Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £24,856 million

       (2012: £22,443 million) (in pence)

971p

878p

Number of issued shares at year end (millions)

2,560

2,557






Return on embedded value**

19%

16%

**  Return on embedded value is based on EEV post-tax operating profit, as shown in note 11, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity.

 

Summary statement of financial position




 

 

 

 

 

 

Note

31 Dec 2013 £m

31 Dec 2012 £m

Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds*

 

288,826

271,768

Less insurance funds**

 

 

 

 

Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated

 

 

 

 

 

surplus of with-profits funds*

 

(279,176)

(261,409)


Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business

 

15,206

12,084




 

(263,970)

(249,325)

 Total net assets

 9

 24,856

 22,443




 

 

 

Share capital

 

128

128

Share premium

 

1,895

1,889

IFRS basis shareholders' reserves

 

7,627

8,342

Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity

 9

9,650

10,359

Additional EEV basis retained profit

 9

15,206

12,084

Total EEV basis shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)

 9

24,856

22,443

*    The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11   - see note 18.

**  Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4. For 2013 the policyholder liabilities of the held for sale Japan Life business are included in total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds.

 

Notes on the EEV basis results

 

1Basis of preparation

 

The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in May 2004 and expanded by the Additional Guidance on EEV Disclosures published in October 2005. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

 

The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. Except for the presentational change for the results of the held for sale Japan Life business and the consequential effects of the changes in accounting policies for IFRS reporting in respect of employee benefits (IAS 19) and joint venture operations (IFRS 11), as described in note 18, the 2012 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2012. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.

 

A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 15.

 

2 Analysis of pre-tax new business contribution

 



 

 

 

 

 



2013



Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)

Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)

Pre-tax new business contribution

Pre-tax



New business margin



APE

PVNBP



note 17

note 17






£m

£m

£m

%

%

Asia operations

 2,125

 11,375

 1,460

 69

 12.8

US operations

 1,573

 15,723

 1,086

 69

 6.9

UK insurance operations

 725

 5,978

 297

 41

 5.0

Total

 4,423

 33,076

 2,843

 64

 8.6



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012



Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)

Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)

Pre-tax new business contribution

Pre-tax



New business margin



APE

PVNBP



note 17

note 17






£m

£m

£m

%

%

Asia operations

 1,897

 10,544

 1,266

 67

 12.0

US operations

 1,462

 14,600

 873

 60

 6.0

UK insurance operations

 836

 7,311

 313

 37

 4.3

Total

 4,195

 32,455

 2,452

 58

 7.6



 

 

 

 

 

 



Pre-tax new business contributions


  

2013 £m

2012 £m

Asia operations:




China

 37

26


Hong Kong

 354

210


India

 18

19


Indonesia

 480

476


Korea

 33

26


Taiwan

 37

48


Other

 501

461

Total Asia operations

 1,460

1,266

 

3 Pre-tax operating profit from business in force

 

(i)  Group Summary

 


2013 £m


2012 £m


Asia operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total 


Asia

operations*

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total*


note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)



note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)


Unwind of discount and other expected returns

846

608

547

2,001


595

412

482

1,489

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

17

116

122

255


22

35

87

144

Experience variances and other items

64

411

67

542


75

290

(16)

349

Total

927

1,135

736

2,798


692

737

553

1,982

* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

 

(ii)  Asia operations





2013 £m

2012* £m


Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)


846

595


Effect of changes in operating assumptions:

 

 

 

 

 

Mortality and morbiditynote (b)


35

79



Persistency and withdrawalsnote (c)


(30)

(24)



Expensenote (d)


(7)

(45)



Other


19

12





17

22


Experience variance and other items:

 

 

 

 

 

Mortality and morbiditynote (e)


42

57



Persistency and withdrawalsnote (f) 


44

52



Expensenote (g) 


(26)

(30)



Other


4

(4)





64

75


Total Asia operations


927

692

* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

 

Notes

(a)    The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £251 million from £595 million in 2012 to £846 million in 2013 reflects a £140 million effect of higher risk discount rates, driven by the increase in long-term interest rates, together with an effect of £111 million arising from the growth in the opening in-force value (adjusted for assumption changes) on which the discount rates are applied, partially offset by a £(21) million reduction due to unfavourable exchange rate movements, particularly in Indonesia, and a £21 million increase in the return on net worth.

(b)   In 2013 the credit of £35 million for mortality and morbidity assumption changes mainly reflects a beneficial effect arising from the renegotiation of a reinsurance agreement in Indonesia. The 2012 credit of £79 million primarily reflected mortality improvements in Hong Kong and Singapore and revised assumptions for critical illness business in Singapore.

(c)    The charge for persistency and withdrawals assumption changes reflects a number of offsetting items including for 2013, the effect of strengthening lapse and premium holiday assumptions in Korea.

(d)   In 2012 the charge of £(45) million for expense assumption changes principally arose in Malaysia and reflected changes to the pension entitlements of agents.

(e)    The favourable effect of mortality and morbidity experience in 2013 of £42 million (2012: £57 million) reflects continued better than expected experience, principally arising in Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore.

(f)    The persistency and withdrawals experience variance in 2013 of £44 million (2012: £52 million) principally reflects favourable experience in Hong Kong and Indonesia.

(g)    The negative expense experience variance of £(26) million in 2013 (2012: £(30) million) principally reflects expense overruns for operations which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan) and in India where the business model is being adapted in response to the regulatory changes introduced in recent years.

 

(iii)  US operations  





2013 £m

2012 £m


Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)


608

412


Effect of changes in operating assumptions:

 

 

 

 

 

Persistencynote (b)


72

45



Variable annuity feesnote (c)


50

(19)



Other


(6)

9





116

35


Experience variances and other items:

 

 

 

 

 

Spread experience variancenote (d)


274

205



Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and lossesnote (e)


89

91



Othernote (f)


48

(6)





411

290


Total US operationsnote (g)


1,135

737

 

Notes

(a) The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £196 million from £412 million for 2012 to £608 million in 2013 includes a £125 million effect of the increase in opening value of in-force business (after assumption changes), together with the positive effect of higher risk discount rates of £65 million and a £6 million increase in the return on net worth.

(b) The effect of changes in persistency assumptions of £72 million in 2013 (2012: £45 million) primarily relates to a reduction in lapse rates following the end of the surrender charge period, principally for variable annuity business.

(c) The effect of the change of assumption for variable annuity fees represents the capitalised value of the change in the projected policyholder advisory fees, which vary according to the size and the mix of variable annuity funds.

(d)     The spread assumption for Jackson is determined on a longer-term basis, net of provision for defaults (see note 16(ii)(b)). The spread experience variance in 2013 of £274 million (2012: £205 million) includes the positive effect of transactions undertaken to more closely match the overall asset and liability duration.

(e) The amortisation of interest-related gains and losses reflects the fact that when bonds that are neither impaired nor deteriorating are sold and reinvested there will be a consequent change in the investment yield. The realised gain or loss is amortised into the result over the period when the bonds would have otherwise matured to better reflect the long-term returns included in operating profits.      

(f)   The credit of £48 million for other changes in experience variances and other items mainly reflects the positive persistency experience variance of £62 million (2012: £21 million) across all products.

(g) The result includes a full year contribution from the REALIC book of business of £61 million (2012: four months of £19 million).

 

(iv)  UK insurance operations 





2013 £m


2012 £m


Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)

547


482


Effect of change in UK corporate tax ratenote (b)

122


87


Other itemsnote (c)

67


(16)


Total UK insurance operations

736


553

 

     Notes

(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £65 million from £482 million in 2012 to £547 million for 2013 reflects a £34 million effect of higher discount rates, driven by the increase in gilt yields, a £24 million increase in the return on net worth and an effect of £7 million arising from the growth in the opening value of in-force.

(b)   For 2013, the beneficial effect of the change in UK corporate tax rates of £122 million (2012: £87 million) reflects the combined effect of the reductions in corporate rates from 23 per cent to 21 per cent from April 2014 and 21 per cent to 20 per cent from April 2015 (2012: from 25 per cent to 23 per cent) which were both enacted in July 2013. Consistent with the Group's approach of grossing up the movement in the post-tax value of in-force business for shareholder tax, the £122 million (2012: £87 million) benefit is presented gross.

(c)  Other items of £67 million for 2013 includes the positive effects of rebalancing the investment portfolio backing annuity business. In 2012 the negative effect of £(16) million included a charge of £(52) million for the strengthening of mortality assumptions, net of reserve releases and the effects of portfolio rebalancing for annuity business.

 

4  Business acquisitions and disposals

 

(a)   Acquisition of Thanachart Life Assurance Company Limited and bancassurance partnership agreement with Thanachart bank

 

On 3 May 2013, the agreement Prudential plc,  through its subsidiary Prudential Life Assurance (Thailand) Public Company Limited (Prudential Thailand), entered into in November 2012 to establish an exclusive 15-year partnership with Thanachart Bank Public Company limited (Thanachart Bank)to develop jointly their bancassurance business in Thailand was launched. At the same time Prudential Thailand completed the acquisition of 100 per cent of the voting interest in Thanachart Life Assurance Company Limited (Thanachart Life), a wholly-owned life insurance subsidiary of Thanachart Bank.

 

The consideration for the transaction is THB 18.981 billion (£412 million), of which THB 17.500 billion (£380 million) was settled in cash on completion in May 2013 with a further payment of THB 0.946 billion (£20 million), for adjustments to reflect the net asset value as at completion date, paid in July 2013. In addition a deferred payment of THB 0.535 billion (£12 million) is payable 12 months after completion. The acquired assets are comprised of:


 

 

 

 

£m

Acquired assets:

 

 

 

 

 

Net worth (including acquisition of distribution rights)

 

 

 

 

386

Value of in force acquired

 

 

 

 

26

Transaction consideration

 

 

 

 

412

 

The purchase consideration paid was equivalent to the fair value of the acquired assets and liabilities assumed. No goodwill has been recognised.

 

(b)  Acquisition of Reassure America Life Insurance Company in 2012

 

On 4 September 2012, the Group through its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Jackson completed the acquisition of 100 per cent issued share capital of SRLC America Holding Corp. and its primary operating subsidiary, Reassure America Life Insurance Company (REALIC). REALIC is a US-based insurance company whose business model was to acquire, through purchase or reinsurance, closed blocks of insurance business, primarily life assurance risks. REALIC did not and does not write new business.

 

The gain of £453 million reflects the fair value of the acquired business as determined by applying the same methodology as applied for Jackson's non-variable annuity business. A risk discount rate of 4.3 per cent at the date of acquisition on 4 September 2012 was used.

 

(c) Agreement to sell Japan Life business

 

On 16 July 2013, the Group reached an agreement to sell, subject to regulatory approval,  the life insurance business in Japan, PCA Life Insurance Company Limited, which was closed to new business in 2010, to SBI Holdings Inc. for US$85 million (£51 million at 31 December 2013 closing exchange rate) with related expenses of £3 million.  Consistent with the 'held for sale' classification of the business for IFRS reporting, the EEV carrying value has been set to £48 million at 31 December 2013. For 2013 the result for the year, together with the adjustment to the carrying value have given rise to an aggregate loss of £(35) million which has been included in non-operating profit. Consistent with this treatment, the presentation of the comparative results has been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published.

 

5 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

 

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, arise as follows:

 




 

 

(i)  Group Summary

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m

2012 £m


Insurance operations:

 

 

 

 

Asia*, note (ii)

(405)

362



USnote (iii)

(422)

(254)



UKnote (iv)

35

315




(792)

423


Other operations:

 

 

 

 

Other*, note (v)

(27)

119



Economic hedge value movementnote (vi)

 -  

(32)


Total*

(819)

510


*The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

 

(ii)  Asia operations

For 2013, the negative short-term fluctuations in investment returns of £(405) million principally arise in Hong Kong of £(223) million and in Singapore of £(96) million, due to unrealised value reductions on bonds, arising from the increase in long-term interest rates, and in Indonesia of £(52) million for a decrease in future expected fee income for unit-linked business, driven by falls in equity markets.

 

For 2012, the positive short-term fluctuations in investment returns of £362 million in Asia operations were driven by unrealised gains on bonds and higher equity markets, principally arose in Hong Kong of £139 million mainly relating to positive returns on bonds backing participating business, Singapore of £114 million primarily relating to increasing future expected fee income for unit-linked business and unrealised gains on bonds, Taiwan of £56 million for unrealised gains on bonds and CDOs and India of £30 million.

 






 

 

 

(iii)

 US operations

 

 

 

 

 The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations comprise the following items:






2013 £m


2012 £m


Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (a)

21


(99)


Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force

 

 

 

 

 

variable annuity business in future periods based on current period separate account return, net of related hedging activity note (b)

(580)


(183)


Other items including actual less long-term return on equity based investmentsnote (c)

137


28


Total US operations

(422)


(254)

 

Notes

(a)  The credit (charge) relating to fixed income securities comprises the following elements: (1) the excess of actual realised gains (losses) over the amortisation of interest related realised gains and losses recorded in the profit and loss account; (2) credit loss experience (versus the longer-term assumption); and (3) the impact of de-risking activities within the portfolio.

(b)  This item reflects the net impact of variances in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the effect of market fluctuations on the growth in separate account asset values in the current reporting period and related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity related hedges and interest rate options.

(c)   Other items of £137 million in 2013 primarily reflects a beneficial impact of the excess of actual over assumed return from investments in limited partnerships.

 

(iv)

UK insurance operations

 

 

 

 

The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations arise from the following types of business:



 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m


2012 £m


Shareholder-backed annuitynote (a)

(72)


(3)


With-profits,unit-linked and othernote (b)

107


318


Total UK insurance operations

35


315

 

Notes

(a)   Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for shareholder-backed annuity business comprise: (1) gains/losses on surplus assets  compared to the expected long-term rate of return reflecting reductions/increases in corporate bond and gilt yields; (2) the difference between actual and expected default experience; and (3) the effect of mismatching for assets and liabilities of different durations and other short-term fluctuations in investment returns.

(b)   The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for with-profits, unit-linked and other business primarily arise from the excess of actual over expected returns for with-profits business. The total return on the fund (including unallocated surplus) in 2013 was 8 per cent compared to an assumed rate of return of 6 per cent (2012: 10 per cent total return compared to assumed rate of 5 per cent).In addition, the amount for 2013 includes the effect of a partial hedge of future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK's with-profits sub-fund taken out during the year. This hedge reduces the risks arising from equity market declines.

 

(v)  Other items

   Short-term fluctuations in investment returns of Other operations, were negative £(27) million (2012: positive £119 million) representing principally unrealised value movements on investments and foreign exchange items. 

 

(vi)       Economic hedge value movements

This item represents the cost of short-dated hedge contracts taken out in the first half of 2012 to provide downside protection against severe equity market falls through a period of particular uncertainty with respect to the Eurozone. The hedge contracts were terminated in the second half of 2012. 

 

6 Effect of changes in economic assumptions

 

The effects of changes in economic assumptions for in-force business, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, included within profit before tax (including actual investment returns) arise as follows:

 





 

 

(i)   Group Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m

2012 £m



Asia operations*, note (ii)

283

(135)



US operationsnote (iii)

372

85



UK insurance operationsnote (iv)

166

48



Total*

821

(2)

* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

 

(ii)      Asia operations

The effect of changes in economic assumptions for Asia operations in 2013 of £283 million primarily reflects the overall impact of the increase in long-term interest rates in the year, principally arising in Hong Kong of £361 million, Singapore of £107 million and Taiwan of £99 million mainly due to the increase in fund earned rates for participating business. There are partial offsets arising in Indonesia of £(237) million and in Malaysia of £(77) million, mainly reflecting the negative impact of calculating health and protection future profits at a higher discount rate.

 

The charge of £(135) million in 2012 for the effect of changes in economic assumptions principally arose in Hong Kong of £(320) million, primarily reflecting the effect on projected cash flows of de-risking the asset portfolio and the reduction in fund earned rates on participating business, driven by the very low interest rate environment, and in Vietnam of £(47) million, following the fall in bond yields. There were partial offsets totalling £232 million, principally arising in Malaysia and Indonesia, mainly reflecting the positive impact of calculating projected health and protection profits at a lower rate, driven by the decrease in risk discount rates.

 

(iii)     US operations

             The effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations reflects the following:





2013 £m

2012 £m



Effect of changes in 10-year treasury rates and beta:

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed annuity and other general account business note (a)

(375)

20




Variable annuity businessnote (b)

587

(83)



Decrease in additional allowance for credit risknote (c)

160

148



Total US operations note (d)

372

85

 

Notes

(a) For fixed annuity and other general account business the charge of £(375) million in 2013 principally arises from the effect of a higher discount rate on the opening value of the in-force book, driven by the 130 basis points increase in the risk-free rate. The projected cash flows for this business principally reflect projected spread, with secondary effects on the cash flows also resulting from changes to assumed future yields and resulting policyholder behaviour. The credit of £20 million in 2012 reflected a 10 basis point decrease in the risk free rate, partially offset by the effect for the acquired REALIC book (reflecting a 20 basis point increase in the risk-free rate from the 4 September acquisition date to 31 December 2012).

(b)              For variable annuity business, the credit of £587 million principally reflects an increase in projected fee income and a decrease in projected benefit costs, arising from the increase in the rate of assumed future return on the underlying separate account assets, driven by the 130 basis points increase in the risk-free rate. There is a partial offset arising from the increase in the discount rate applied to those cash flows. The charge of £(83) million in 2012 reflected a decrease in the risk free rate of 10 basis points.

(c)  For 2013 the £160 million (2012: £148 million) effect of the decrease in the additional allowance for credit risk within the risk discount rate reflected the reduction in credit spreads and represented a 50 basis points decrease for spread business and a 10 basis points decrease for variable annuity business, representing the proportion of business invested in the general account (as described in note 15(b)(iii)).

(d) The total effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations of a credit of £372 million for 2013 includes a pre-tax charge of £(20) million for the effect of the change in required capital from 235 per cent to 250 per cent of risk-based capital (see note 15(b)(ii)).

 

(iv)     UK insurance operations

             The effect of changes in economic assumptions of a credit of £166 million for UK insurance operations for 2013 comprises the following:

 





2013 £m

2012 £m



Effect of changes in expected long-term rates of return, risk

 

 

 

 

 

discount rates and other changes:

 

 

 

 

 

      Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)

(70)

140




      With-profits and other businessnote (b)

236

(46)



Tax regimenote (c)

 -  

(46)



Total UK insurance operations

166

48

 

Notes

(a) For shareholder-backed annuity business the overall effect of changes in expected long-term rates of return and risk discount rates reflect the combined effects of the changes in economic assumptions, which incorporate a default allowance for both best estimate defaults and in respect of the additional credit risk provisions (as shown in note 16(iii)).

(b) For with-profits and other business the total credit in 2013 of £236 million (2012: charge of £(46) million) includes the net effect of the changes in fund earned rates and risk discount rate (as shown in note 16(iii)), driven by the 120 basis points increase (2012: a reduction of 20 basis points) in the 15-year government bond rate.

(c)  In 2012, the effect of the change in tax regime of £(46) million reflected the change in pattern of taxable profits for shareholder-backed annuity business arising from the acceleration of tax payments due to the altered timing of relief on regulatory basis provisions.

 

7 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations

 




31 Dec 2013 £m




31 Dec 2012 £m




IFRS

basis

Mark to

market

value

adjustment

EEV

basis at

market

value


IFRS

basis

Mark to

market

value

adjustment

EEV

basis at

market

value

Holding company* cash and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

short-term investments

(2,230)

(2,230)


(1,380)

-

(1,380)

Core structural borrowings -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

central funds**

4,211

392

4,603


3,126

536

3,662

Holding company net borrowings

1,981

392

2,373


1,746

536

2,282

Core structural borrowings - Prudential

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital

275

275


275

-

275

Core structural borrowings - Jackson

150

38

188


153

43

196

Net core structural borrowings of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

shareholder-financed operations

2,406

430

2,836


2,174

579

2,753

*     Including central finance subsidiaries.

**  In January 2013, the Company issued US$700 million (£423 million at 31 December 2013 closing exchange rate) perpetual subordinated capital securities. In addition the Company issued £700 million subordinated notes in December 2013.

 

8 Analysis of movement in free surplus

 

Free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV Principles.





2013 £m


2012* £m





 Long-term business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Free surplus of long-term business, asset management and UK general insurance commission


Free surplus of long-term business, asset management and UK general insurance commission

Long-term business and asset management operationsnote (i)

note 12

note (iii)




Underlying movement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in new businessnotes (ii), (viii)

(637)

(637)


(618)


Business in force:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expected in-force cash flows (including expected return

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

on net assets)

2,150

471

2,621


2,405



Effects of changes in operating assumptions, operating

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

experience variances and other operating items

478

478


293





1,991

471

2,462


2,080

Effect of acquisition of REALIC


(169)

Increase in EEV assumed level of required capitalnote 12

(58)

(58)


 -  

(Loss) profit attaching to held for sale Japan Life business

(40)

(40)


31

Other non-operating itemsnote (iv)

(739)

17

(722)


(62)





1,154

488

1,642


1,880

Net cash flows to parent companynote (v)

(1,069)

(272)

(1,341)


(1,200)

Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Lifenotes 4 ,12

365

365


 -  

Exchange movements, timing differences and other itemsnote (vi)

(187)

(165)

(352)


(412)

Net movement in free surplus

263

51

314


268

Balance at 1 January 2013note (viii)

2,957

732

3,689


3,421

Balance at 31 December 2013note (viii)

3,220

783

4,003


3,689

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

1,185

194

1,379


1,181


US operations

956

118

1,074


1,319


UK operations

1,079

471

1,550


1,189





3,220

783

4,003


3,689

Balance at 1 January 2013/ 1 January 2012 representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

974

207

1,181


1,278


US operations

1,211

108

1,319


1,333


UK operations

772

417

1,189


810





2,957

732

3,689


3,421

*The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of the revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the Japan Life business - see note 18.

 

Notes

(i)       All figures are shown post-tax.

(ii)      Free surplus invested in new business represents amounts set aside for required capital and acquisition costs.

(iii)     For the purposes of this analysis, free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis shareholders' equity.

(iv)     Changes in non-operating items principally represent short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business operations.

(v)      Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.

(vi) 

   Exchange movements, timing differences and other items represent:

2013 £m




Long-term

business

Asset management

 and UK general

 insurance commission

Total


Exchange movementsnote 12

(164)

(28)

(192)


Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus

      and required capitalnote 9

(97)

(97)


Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined

      benefit pension schemesnote 9

(22)

(18)

(40)


Othernote (vii)

96

(119)

(23)



(187)

(165)

(352)

(vii)    Other primarily reflects the effect of intra-group loans, contingent loan funding, as shown in note 12(i),  timing differences and other non-cash items.

(viii)   The free surplus balance at 31 December 2013 includes £392 million (2012: £177 million) representing unamortised amounts advanced to bancassurance partners for securing exclusive distribution rights. The annual amortisation charge is recorded within 'investment in new business' each year at a rate that is determined by reference to the actual sales levels achieved.

 

9 Reconciliation of movement in shareholders' equity

 




2013 £m


2012* £m




Long-term business operations










Asia operations


US

operations


UK

insurance operations


Total

long-term business

operations


Other operations


Group

Total


Group

Total




 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

note (i)








note (i)





Pre-tax operating profit (based on longer-term

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

investment returns)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long-term business:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New businessnote 2

1,460


1,086


297


2,843



2,843


2,452


Business in forcenote 3

927


1,135


736


2,798



2,798


1,982




2,387


2,221


1,033


5,641



5,641


4,434

Asset management





574


574


479

Other results

(2)


(1)


(16)


(19)


(616)


(635)


(600)

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

investment returns

2,385


2,220


1,017


5,622


(42)


5,580


4,313

Total non-operating profit

(157)


(46)


166


(37)


121


84


644

Profit before tax (including actual investment

2,228


2,174


1,183


5,585


79


5,664


4,957


returns)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax (charge) credit attributable to shareholders'

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

profitnote 10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax on operating profit

(494)


(695)


(198)


(1,387)


11


(1,376)


(1,139)


Tax on non-operating profit

69


12


(34)


47


23


70


(49)

Profit for the year

1,803


1,491


951


4,245


113


4,358


3,769

Other movements (post-tax)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exchange movements on foreign operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and net investment hedges

(974)


(175)



(1,149)


72


(1,077)


(469)

Intra-group dividends (including statutory

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

transfers)note (ii)

(433)


(300)


(339)


(1,072)


1,072



-

Investment in operationsnote (iii)

40




40


(40)



-

External dividends

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


(781)


(781)


(655)

Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

losses on defined benefit pension schemesnote (v)

 -  


 -  


(22)


(22)


(31)


(53)


44

Reserve movements in respect of share-based

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

payments

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


98


98


42

Bancassurance agreement and purchase of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thanachart Lifenotes (vi) and 4

 412


 -  


 -  


 412


(412)



-

Other transfers

(5)


15


(20)


(10)


10



-

Treasury shares movements

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


(41)


(41)


23

New share capital subscribed

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


 6


 6


 17

Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

backing surplus and required capital


(97)



(97)



(97)


35

Net increase in shareholders' equity

843


934


570


2,347


66


2,413


2,806

Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2013note (i)

9,462


6,032


6,772


22,266


177


22,443


19,637

Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2013note (i)

10,305


6,966


7,342


24,613


243


24,856


22,443




 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity

2,564


3,446


2,976


8,986


664


9,650


10,359


Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

basisnote (iv)

7,741


3,520


4,366


15,627


(421)


15,206


12,084


 EEV basis shareholders' equity

10,305


6,966


7,342


24,613


243


24,856


22,443

Balance at 1 January 2013/1 January 2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity

2,290


4,343


3,008


9,641


718


10,359


8,564


Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

basisnote (iv)

7,172


1,689


3,764


12,625


(541)


12,084


11,073


 EEV basis shareholders' equity

9,462


6,032


6,772


22,266


177


22,443


19,637

*The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

 

Notes

(i)      For the purposes of the table above, goodwill related to Asia long-term operations is included in Other operations.

(ii)     Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) represent dividends that have been declared in the year and amounts accrued in respect of statutory transfers.  The amounts included in note 8 for these items are as per the holding company cashflow at transaction rates.  The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, timing differences arising on statutory transfers, and other non-cash items.

(iii)    Investment in operations reflects increases in share capital.

(iv)    The additional retained loss on an EEV basis for Other operations primarily represents the mark to market value adjustment for holding company net borrowings of a charge of £(392) million (2012: charge of £(536) million), as shown in note 7.

(v)     The (charge) credit for the shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit schemes comprises:

 




2013 £m

2012* £m


IFRS basis

(48)

34


Additional shareholders' interestnote 15(c)(vi)

(5)

10


EEV basis total

(53)

44


* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of revised IAS 19 - see note 18.

(vi)    The £412 million transfer from Other operations to Asia operations represents the funding of Asia operations to purchase the bancassurance agreement and Thanachart Life (as shown in note 4).

 

10 Tax attributable to shareholders' profit

 

The tax charge comprises:

 

 

 

 

2013 £m

2012 £m

Tax charge on operating profit based on longer-term investment returns:

 

 

Long-term business:*

 

 

 

Asia operations

494

420


US operations

695

513


UK insurance operations

198

168



1,387

1,101

Other operations**

(11)

38

Total tax charge on operating profit based on longer-term investment returns**

1,376

1,139

Tax (credit) charge on non-operating profit**

(70)

49

Tax charge on profit attributable to shareholders (including

 

 

 

tax on actual investment returns)**

1,306

1,188

*The tax charge on operating profit for long-term business includes tax on Solvency II and restructuring costs.

** The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised IAS 19 - see note 18.

 

11 Earnings per share (EPS)



2013 £m


2012* £m



Operating

Total


Operating

Total

Pre-tax profit

5,580

5,664


4,313

4,957

Tax

(1,376)

(1,306)


(1,139)

(1,188)

Post-tax profit

 4,204

 4,358


3,174

3,769

EPS (pence)

165.0p

171.0p


124.9p

148.3p

Average number of shares (millions)

2,548

2,548


2,541

2,541

* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11, revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.


12 Reconciliation of post-tax movements in net worth and value of in-force for long-term business



2013 £m



 

 

 

 

 

 

Total



 

 

 

 

Value of


long-term



Free

Required

Total net


in-force


business



Surplus

capital

 worth


business


operations



note  8




note (iv)



Group

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2013

2,957

3,898

6,855


15,411


22,266

New business contributionnotes (ii), (iii)

(637)

461

(176)


2,258


2,082

Existing business - transfer to net worth

2,017

(347)

1,670


(1,670)


Expected return on existing business

133

90

223


1,277


1,500

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances *

478

(7)

471


182


653

Increase in EEV assumed level of required capitalnote (vi)

(58)

58


(13)


(13)

Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life business

(40)

(40)


5


(35)

Other non-operating items

(739)

(103)

(842)


900


58

Post-tax profit from long-term business

1,154

152

1,306


2,939


4,245

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges

(164)

(117)

(281)


(868)


(1,149)

Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Lifenotes 4 and (v)

365

21

386


26


412

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) and investment in

       operationsnote (i)

(963)

(963)


(69)


(1,032)

Other movements

(129)

(129)



(129)

Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2013note(viii)

3,220

3,954

7,174


17,439


24,613

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2013

974

970

1,944


7,518


9,462

New business contributionnote (iii)

(310)

107

(203)


1,342


1,139

Existing business - transfer to net worth

713

29

742


(742)


Expected return on existing business

74

(1)

73


595


668

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances*

32

(9)

23


61


84

Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life businessnote 4

(40)

(40)


5


(35)

Other non-operating items

(70)

(56)

(126)


73


(53)

Post-tax profit from long-term business

399

70

469


1,334


1,803

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges

(155)

(84)

(239)


(735)


(974)

Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Lifenotes 4 and (v)

365

21

386


26


412

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) and investment in

       operations

(393)

(393)



(393)

Other movements

(5)

(5)



(5)

Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2013note (viii)

1,185

977

2,162


8,143


10,305

US operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2013

1,211

1,600

2,811


3,221


6,032

New business contributionnote (iii)

(298)

288

(10)


716


706

Existing business - transfer to net worth

796

(296)

500


(500)


Expected return on existing business

41

53

94


301


395

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances*

292

21

313


111


424

Increase in EEV assumed level of required capitalnote (vi)

(58)

58


(13)


(13)

Other non-operating items

(637)

(84)

(721)


700


(21)

Post-tax profit from long-term business

136

40

176


1,315


1,491

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges

(9)

(33)

(42)


(133)


(175)

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)

(300)

(300)



(300)

Other movements

(82)

(82)



(82)

Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2013

956

1,607

2,563


4,403


6,966

UK insurance operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2013

772

1,328

2,100


4,672


6,772

New business contributionnote (iii)

(29)

66

37


200


237

Existing business - transfer to net worth

508

(80)

428


(428)


Expected return on existing business

18

38

56


381


437

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances*

154

(19)

135


10


145

Other non-operating items

(32)

37

5


127


132

Post-tax profit from long-term business

619

42

661


290


951

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)note (i)

(270)

(270)


(69)


(339)

Other movements

(42)

(42)



(42)

Shareholders' equity at 31 December 2013note (viii)

1,079

1,370

2,449


4,893


7,342

*

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances as reported above include development, Solvency II and restructuring costs.

 

Notes

 (i)     The amounts shown in respect of free surplus and the value of in-force business for UK insurance operations for intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) include contingent loan funding. Contingent loan funding represents amounts whose repayment to the lender is contingent upon future surpluses emerging from certain contracts specified under the arrangement. If insufficient surplus emerges on those contracts, there is no recourse to other assets of the Group and the liability is not payable to the degree of shortfall.

(ii)     The movements arising from new business contribution are as follows:




2013 £m

2012 £m


Free surplus invested in new business

(637)

(618)


Increase in required capital

461

454


Reduction in total net worth

(176)

(164)


Increase in the value associated with new business

2,258

1,955


Total post-tax new business contribution

2,082

1,791

 

    (iii)   Free surplus invested in new business is as follows:
















2013 £m


2012 £m




Asia operations


US operations


UK

insurance operations


Total

long-term

business operations


Asia operations


US operations


UK

insurance operations


Total

long-term

business operations


Pre-tax new business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

contributionnote 2

1,460


1,086


297


2,843


1,266


873


313


2,452


Tax

(321)


(380)


(60)


(761)


(284)


(305)


(72)


(661)


Post-tax new business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

contribution

1,139


706


237


2,082


982


568


241


1,791


Free surplus invested in new

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

business

(310)


(298)


(29)


(637)


(292)


(281)


(45)


(618)


Post-tax new business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

contribution per £1 million

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

free surplus invested

3.7


2.4


8.2


3.3


3.4


2.0


5.4


2.9

 

(iv)    The value of in-force business includes the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital and represents:

 




2013 £m


2012 £m




Asia

operations


US

operations


UK

insurance

operations


Total

long-term

business

operations


Asia

operations


US

operations    


UK

insurance

operations


Total

long-term

business

operations


Value of in-force business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

before deduction of cost of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

capital and time value of guarantees

8,540


4,769


5,135


18,444


7,903


3,992


4,916


16,811


Cost of capital

(347)


(220)


(242)


(809)


(352)


(121)


(244)


(717)


Cost of time value of

    guaranteesnote (vii)

(50)


(146)



(196)


(33)


(650)


-


(683)


Net value of in-force business

8,143


4,403


4,893


17,439


7,518


3,221


4,672


15,411

 

(v)        The free surplus increase of £365 million in respect of the transaction with Thanachart bank includes the purchase cost of the partnership agreement to enable future new sales through the bancasurrance channel. As new business is written, the carrying value of this purchase cost is amortised against the new business contribution line of this reconciliation.

(vi)       The increase in required capital in US operations of £58 million reflects the effect of the change from 235 per cent to 250 per cent of risk-based capital.

(vii)      The decrease in the cost of time value of guarantees for US operations from £(650) million at 2012 to £(146) million at 2013 primarily relates to variable annuity business, mainly arising from the increase in the expected long-term separate account rate of return of 1.3 per cent driven by the increase in the US 10-year treasury bond rate and strong equity performance, partly offset by the impact from new business written in the year.

(viii)     Effects of domestication of Hong Kong branch in 2014

The analysis of shareholders' equity at 31 December 2013 does not incorporate the impact of the domestication of the Hong Kong branch which took effect on 1 January 2014. In order to align the corporate structure of the branch business in Hong Kong more closely with Prudential's other Asia operations, the Board of PAC initiated a proposal to transfer the branch business to two Hong Kong-incorporated companies - Prudential Hong Kong Limited and Prudential General Insurance Hong Kong Limited - with one providing life insurance and the other providing general insurance.

 

Following consultation with policyholders of PAC and court approval, the assets and liabilities of the Hong Kong branch business of PAC transferred to separate subsidiaries on 1 January 2014.  As a consequence of this restructuring, adjustments in respect of required capital, and the cost of that capital, will be necessary. This arises from the transfer of capital that was previously held within the UK business in respect of the Hong Kong branch operations and additional capital requirements that arise from the newly established subsidiaries. These will be reflected in the movements in net worth and value of in force business reported in 2014 as adjustments to opening balances as follows:

 




£m


Adjustment to shareholders' equity at

1 January 2014

Free surplus

Required capital

Total net worth

Value of

in-force

business

Total long-term business operations










Asia operations

(104)

104

-

(40)

(40)


UK insurance operations

69

(69)

-

29

29


Net impact on Group total

(35)

35

-

(11)

(11)

 

The adjustments for UK insurance operations reflect the transfer of required capital, and attaching cost of capital, for amounts previously set aside whilst the Hong Kong business was a branch of Prudential Assurance Company, to the Asia operations segment. The adjustments for Asia operations reflect this transfer and the effects of additional capital requirements of the Hong Kong regulator under the arrangements for the newly domesticated business. The net effect reflects the higher required capital levels attributable to the stand-alone Hong Kong shareholder-backed long-term insurance business. 

 

13 Expected transfer of value of in-force business to free surplus

 

The discounted value of in-force business and required capital can be reconciled to the 2013 and 2012 totals in the tables below for the emergence of free surplus as follows:

 


2013 £m

2012 £m

Required capitalnote 12

3,954

3,898

Value of in-force (VIF)note 12

17,439

15,411

Add back: deduction for cost of time value of guaranteesnote 12

196

683

Expected cashflow from sale of Japan Life business

(25)

 -  

Other itemsnote

(1,157)

(1,401)

Total

20,407

18,591

 

Note

'Other items'  represent amounts incorporated into VIF where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular, other items includes the deduction of the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate, the value of which is derived by increasing final bonus rates so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. This is an assumption to give an appropriate valuation. To be conservative this item is excluded from the expected free surplus generation profile below.

 

Cash flows are projected on a deterministic basis and are discounted at the appropriate risk discount rate. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.

 

The table below shows how the VIF generated by the in-force business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over future years.

 



2013 £m



Expected period of conversion of future post tax distributable earnings and required capital flows to free surplus


2013 Total as shown above

1-5 years

6 -10 years

11-15 years

16 -20 years

21-40 years

40+ years

Asia operations*

9,021

3,168

1,883

1,275

855

1,465

375

US operations

6,234

3,326

1,845

653

271

139

 -  

UK insurance operations

5,152

1,915

1,326

870

536

487

18

Total

20,407

8,409

5,054

2,798

1,662

2,091

393


100%

41%

25%

14%

8%

10%

2%









*Following its reclassification as held for sale, the Asia cashflows exclude any cashflows in respect of Japan.











2012 £m



Expected period of conversion of future post tax distributable earnings and required capital flows to free surplus


2012 Total as shown above

1-5 years

6 -10 years

11-15 years

16 -20 years

21-40 years

40+ years

Asia operations

8,410

2,987

1,873

1,181

840

1,297

 232

US operations

5,439

2,723

1,607

698

301

110

 -  

UK insurance operations

4,742

1,890

1,185

756

456

445

 10

Total

18,591

7,600

4,665

2,635

1,597

1,852

242


100%

41%

25%

14%

9%

10%

1%

 

14 Sensitivity of results to alternative assumptions

 

(a) Sensitivity analysis - economic assumptions

The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012) and the pre-tax new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2013 and 2012 to:

 

•    1 per cent increase in the discount rates;

•    1 per cent increase and decrease in interest rates, including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

•    1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;

•    10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);

•    The statutory minimum capital level (by contrast to EEV basis required capital), (for embedded value only);

•    5 basis point increase in UK long-term expected defaults; and

•    10 basis point increase in the liquidity premium for UK annuities.

 

In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions.

 

New business contribution










 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m


2012 £m



Asia operations

US operations

UK insurance operations

Total

long-term

business

operations


Asia operations

US operations

UK insurance operations

Total

long-term

business

operations



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business contributionnote 2

1,460

1,086

297

2,843


1,266

873

313

2,452

Discount rates - 1% increase

(187)

(52)

(36)

(275)


(163)

(40)

(38)

(241)

Interest rates - 1% increase

23

72

(1)

94


33

104

6

143

Interest rates - 1% decrease

(61)

(107)

(168)


(106)

(161)

(11)

(278)

Equity/property yields - 1% rise

56

96

13

165


48

97

13

158

Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

increase

(8)

(8)


-

-

(10)

(10)

Liquidity premium - 10 bps increase

16

16


-

-

20

20

 

Embedded value of long-term business operations



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m


2012 £m



 

 

 

Total





Total



 

 

UK

long-term




UK

long-term



Asia

US

insurance

business


Asia

US

insurance

business



operations

operations

operations

 operations


operations

operations

operations

 operations



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equitynote 9

10,305

6,966

7,342

24,613


9,462

6,032

6,772

22,266

Discount rates - 1% increase

 (992)

 (266)

 (529)

 (1,787)


 (879)

 (209)

 (482)

 (1,570)

Interest rates - 1% increase

 (297)

 (65)

 (380)

 (742)


 (218)

 (124)

 (328)

 (670)

Interest rates - 1% decrease

200

 (12)

443

631


85

49

399

533

Equity/property yields - 1% rise

370

250

210

830


328

230

202

760

Equity/property market values - 10%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

fall

 (183)

 (90)

 (238)

 (511)


 (159)

 (69)

 (309)

 (537)

Statutory minimum capital

109

153

4

266


108

89

4

201

Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

increase

 (114)

 (114)


-

-

 (112)

 (112)

Liquidity premium - 10 bps increase

228

228


-

-

224

224

 

The sensitivities shown above are for the impact of instantaneous changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets at the balance sheet dates indicated. If the change in assumption shown in the sensitivities were to occur, then the effect shown above would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following year. These are for the effect of economic assumption changes and, to the extent that asset value changes are included in the sensitivities, within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown above, the other components of the profit for the following year would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition for Jackson, the fair value movements on assets backing surplus and required capital which are taken directly to shareholders' equity would also be affected by changes in interest rates.

 

(b) Sensitivity analysis - non-economic assumptions

The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012) and the pre-tax new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2013 and 2012 to:

 

·   10 per cent proportionate decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of £10 per annum would represent an expense assumption of £9 per annum);

·   10 per cent proportionate decrease in lapse rates (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of 5 per cent would represent a lapse rate of 4.5 per cent per annum); and

·   5 per cent proportionate decrease in base mortality and morbidity rates (ie increased longevity).

 

New business contribution










2013 £m


2012 £m



Asia operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

long-term

business

operations


Asia operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

long-term

business

operations



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business contributionnote 2

1,460

1,086

297

2,843


1,266

873

313

2,452

Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease

29

12

4

45


32

13

4

49

Lapse rates - 10% decrease

109

41

8

158


95

26

7

128

Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease

75

6

(8)

73


76

5

(11)

70

Change representing effect on:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life business

75

6

3

84


76

5

3

84


UK annuities

(11)

(11)


 -  

 -  

(14)

(14)

 

Embedded value of long-term business operations










2013 £m


2012 £m



Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

long-term

business

operations


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

long-term

business

operations


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equitynote 9

10,305

6,966

7,342

24,613


9,462

6,032

6,772

22,266

Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease

126

59

58

243


137

50

56

243

Lapse rates - 10% decrease

352

294

79

725


333

225

66

624

Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease

377

154

(254)

277


387

178

(273)

292

Change representing effect on:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life business

377

154

20

551


387

178

13

578


UK annuities

(274)

(274)


 -  

 -  

(286)

(286)

 

15 Methodology and accounting presentation

 

(a)Covered business

The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The results for covered business, including the Group's investments in joint venture insurance operations, are presented on a pre-tax basis, with tax reported separately. The EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the IFRS basis results of the Group's other operations. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management.

 

The definition of long-term business operations is consistent with previous practice and comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition.

 

Covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations, with two exceptions:

 

·      the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) which is excluded from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.

·      the presentational treatment of the Group's principal defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The partial recognition of the surplus for PSPS is recognised in 'Other' operations, as described in note 15(c)(vi).

 

A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.

 

(b)Methodology

(i)Embedded value

Overview

The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:

 

•    present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less deductions for:

        - the cost of locked-in required capital;

        - the time value of cost of options and guarantees;

•    locked-in required capital; and

•    shareholders' net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).

 

The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value.

 

Notwithstanding the basis of presentation of results (as explained in note 15(c)(iv)) no smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit before tax. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items (as explained in note 15(c)(i)).

 

Valuation of in-force and new business

The embedded value results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, expenses, persistency and mortality. These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.

 

Best estimate assumptions

Best estimate assumptions are used for the cash flow projections, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.

 

Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.

 

Demographic assumptions

Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience but also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management's expectations.

 

Expense assumptions

Expense levels, including those of service companies that support the Group's long-term business operations, are based on internal expense analysis investigations and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. Exceptional expenses are identified and reported separately. For mature business, it is Prudential's policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the savings have been delivered. For businesses which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan) and India (where the business model is being adapted in response to the regulatory changes introduced in recent years), expense overruns are permitted where these are expected to be short-lived.

 

For Asia operations, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and recharged costs from the Asia regional head office, that are attributable to covered business. The assumed future expenses for these operations also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.

 

Corporate expenditure comprises:

·      Expenditure for Group head office, to the extent not allocated to the PAC with-profits funds, together with Solvency II implementation and restructuring costs, which are charged to the EEV basis results as incurred; and

·      Expenditure of the Asia regional head office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management operations which is charged as incurred. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are included within corporate expenditure.

 

Principal economic assumptions

The EEV basis results for the Group's operations have been determined using economic assumptions where the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to year end rates of return on government bonds.

 

Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium, based on the Group's long-term view, to the risk-free rate.

    

The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated using the embedded value basis is the same as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the embedded value basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under this methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profits with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the year.

 

New business

In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of

distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

 

New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as

investment products for IFRS basis reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.

 

The contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying operating assumptions as at the end of the year.

 

For UK immediate annuity business and single premium Universal Life products in Asia, primarily Singapore, the new business contribution is determined by applying economic assumptions reflecting point of sale market conditions. This is consistent with how the business is priced as crediting rates are linked to yields on specific assets and the yield is locked-in when the assets are purchased at the point-of-sale of the policy. For other business within the Group, end of period economic assumptions are used.

 

New business profitability is a key metric for the Group's management of the development of the business. In addition, new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular new business amounts and one-tenth of single new business amounts. PVNBP is calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.

 

Valuation movements on investments

With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the year (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the year and shareholders' equity as they arise.

 

The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on the IFRS basis.

 

However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest, the basis for calculating the Jackson EEV result acknowledges that, for debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that broadly speaking, are held for the longer-term.

 

Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for Jackson securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.

 

Cost of capital

A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of capital supporting the Group's long-term business. This capital is referred to as required capital. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital allowing for investment earnings (post- tax) on the capital.

 

The annual result is affected by the movement in this cost from year-to-year which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.

Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.

 

Financial options and guarantees

Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential's long-term business

Asia operations

Subject to local market circumstances and regulatory requirements, the guarantee features described below in respect of UK business broadly apply to similar types of participating contracts principally written in the PAC Hong Kong branch, Singapore and Malaysia. Participating products have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements.

 

There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole of life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.

 

US operations (Jackson)

The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the fixed annuity and variable annuity (VA) lines of business.

 

Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson's discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders' accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum. The guaranteed minimum return varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for 2013 and 2012, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued, and date of issue. For 2013 and 2012, 86 per cent of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less. The average guarantee rate is 2.8 per cent for 2013 and 2012.

 

Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.

 

Jackson issues VA contracts where it contractually guarantees to the contract holder either: a) return of no less than total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable at specified dates during the accumulation period (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB)), as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)) or as income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholder's value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMDB and GMWB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, and fully reinsures the GMIB guarantees.

 

Jackson also issues fixed index annuities that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return. The guaranteed minimum returns would be of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.

 

UK insurance operations

For covered business the only significant financial options and guarantees in the UK insurance operations arise in the with-profits fund.

 

With-profits products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses - annual and final. Annual bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular product. Unlike annual bonuses, final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration. The with-profits fund also held a provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £36 million at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £47 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.

 

The only material guaranteed surrender values relate to investments in the PruFund range of with-profits funds. For these products the policyholder can choose to pay an additional management charge.  In return, at the selected guarantee date, the fund will be increased if necessary to a guaranteed minimum value (based on the initial investment adjusted for any prior withdrawals). The with-profits fund held a reserve of £36 million at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £52 million) in respect of this guarantee.

 

The Group's main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in the UK is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £328 million was held in SAIF at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £371 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note 15(a) above, the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders.

 

Time value

The value of financial options and guarantees comprises two parts. One is given by a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions (the intrinsic value). The other part arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future (the time value).

 

Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees.

 

The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with an allowance for correlation between the various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in

notes 16(iv),(v) and (vi).

 

In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to investment allocation decisions, levels of reversionary and terminal bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.

 

In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the PAC with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management which explains how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.

 

(ii) Level of required capital

In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements. For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the required capital requirements. For shareholder-backed business the following capital requirements apply:

 

•    Asia operations: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to the higher of local statutory requirements and the internal target;

•    US operations: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent (2012: 235 per cent) of the risk-based capital required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and

•    UK insurance operations: the capital requirements are set to an amount at least equal to the higher of Pillar I and Pillar II requirements for shareholder-backed business of UK insurance operations as a whole.

 

(iii) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates

Overview

Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin. The risk margin should reflect any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. Prudential has selected a granular approach to better reflect differences in market risk inherent in each product group. The risk discount rate so derived does not reflect an overall Group market beta but instead reflects the expected volatility associated with the cash flows for each product category in the embedded value model.

 

Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, discount rates under EEV are set excluding the effect of these product features.

 

The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.

 

Market risk allowance

The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below) such an approach has been used for all of the Group's businesses.

 

The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profits from each product are affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return it is possible to derive a product specific beta.

 

Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product grouping.

 

Additional credit risk allowance

The Group's methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover:

 

•    expected long-term defaults;

•    credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels); and

•    short-term downgrades and defaults.

 

These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses which are largely backed by holdings of debt securities these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.

 

The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending upon the type of business as described below.

 

Asia operations

For Asia operations, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance are sufficient. Accordingly no additional allowance for credit risk is required.

 

The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.

 

US operations (Jackson)

For Jackson business, the allowance for long-term defaults is reflected in the risk margin reserve (RMR) charge which is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.

 

The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults as shown in note 16(ii). In determining this allowance a number of factors have been considered. These factors, in particular, include:

 

·    How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased credit risk not reflected in the RMR long-term default assumptions, and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments which cannot be easily converted into cash, and converted at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimating the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and

·    Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible in adverse economic scenarios to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features) through lower investment return rates credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.

 

The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.

 

The level of allowance differs from that for UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of the management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.

 

UK operations

(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business

For Prudential's UK shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows.

 

In the annuity MCEV calculations as the assets are generally held to maturity to match long duration liabilities, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on Prudential's assessment of the expected return on the assets backing the annuity liabilities after allowing for:

 

·      expected long-term defaults derived as a percentage of historical default experience based on Moody's data for the period 1970 to 2009 and the definition of the credit rating assigned to each asset held is the second highest credit rating published by Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch;

·      a credit risk premium, which is derived as the excess over the expected long-term defaults, of the 95th percentile of historical cumulative defaults based on Moody's data for the period 1970 to 2009, and subject to a minimum margin over expected long-term defaults of 50 per cent;

·      an allowance for a 1 notch downgrade of the asset portfolio subject to credit risk and;

·      an allowance for short-term downgrades and defaults.

 

For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for expected long-term defaults and, where necessary, an additional allowance for an element of short-term downgrades and defaults to bring the allowance in the earned rate up to best estimate levels. The allowances for credit risk premium, 1 notch downgrade and the remaining element of short-term downgrade and default allowances are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate, as shown in note 16(iii)(b).

 

(2) With-profits fund non-profit annuity business

For UK non-profit annuity business including that written by Prudential Annuities Limited (PAL) the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as described above). The allowance for credit risk in PAL is taken into account in determining the projected cash flows to the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows of the fund.

 

(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities

The UK with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rate for with-profit holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over gilts, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.

    

Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks

The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. Finance theory cannot be used to determine the appropriate component of beta for non-diversifiable non-market risks since there is no observable risk premium associated with it that is akin to the equity risk premium. Recognising this, a pragmatic approach has been applied.

 

A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group's businesses. For the Group's US business and UK business other than shareholder-backed annuity, no additional allowance is necessary. For UK shareholder-backed annuity business a further allowance of 50 basis points is used to reflect the longevity risk which is of particular relevance. For the Group's Asia operations in China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points.

 

(iv) With-profits business and the treatment of the estate

The proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the PAC with-profits fund has been based on the present level of 10 per cent. The value attributed to the shareholders' interest in the estate is derived by increasing final bonus rates (and related shareholder transfers) so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. Similar principles apply, where appropriate, for other with-profits funds of the Group's Asia operations.

 

(v) Debt capital

Core structural debt liabilities are carried at market value. As the liabilities are generally held to maturity or for the long-term, no deferred tax asset or liability has been established on the difference, compared to the IFRS carrying value. Accordingly, no deferred tax credit or charge is recorded in the results for the reporting period in respect of the mark to market value adjustment.

 

(vi) Foreign currency translation

Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the year. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at year end rates of exchange. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the IFRS statements.

 

(c) Accounting presentation

(i) Analysis of profit before tax

To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV profit for the year is consistent with the basis that the Group applies for analysis of IFRS basis profits before shareholder taxes between operating and non-operating results. Operating results reflect the underlying results including longer-term investment returns (which are determined as described in note 15(c)(ii) below) and incorporate the following:

 

·      new business contribution, as defined in note 15(b)(i);

·      unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note 15(c)(iv) below;

·      the impact of routine changes of estimates relating to non-economic assumptions, as described in note 15(c)(iii) below; and

·      non-economic experience variances, as described in note 15(c)(v) below.

 

Non-operating results comprise the recurrent items of short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the mark to market value movements on core borrowings and the effect of changes in economic assumptions.

 

In addition, the 2013 operating profit excludes the loss attaching to the held for sale Japan Life business and the costs associated with the domestication of the Hong Kong branch. The 2012 operating profit excluded the gain arising on the acquisition of REALIC, the profit attaching to the Japan Life business and the dilution of the Group's holding in PPM South Africa. The amounts for these items are included in total EEV profit attributable to shareholders. The Company believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance. Profit before tax and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns.

 

Post-tax results

The Group intends to alter its basis of presentation of EEV results for 2014 and subsequent reporting periods to a post-tax basis, in line with the approach adopted by a number of international insurance groups. An analysis of the Group's profit and loss account and key accompanying notes on a pre-tax and post-tax basis for the most recent reporting periods are shown in the additional unaudited financial information section C.

 

(ii) Operating profit

For the investment element of the assets covering the net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating result of the PAC with-profits fund of UK operations, where assets backing the liabilities and unallocated surplus are subject to market volatility, asset values at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market movements as explained in note 15(c)(iv) below.

 

For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of US operations for fixed annuity and other general account business, a risk margin charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of end of year risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force adjusted to reflect end of year projected rates of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with the related hedging activity.

     

For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may, from time to time, take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the projected yield on the asset portfolio and the allowance for default risk. The net effect of these changes is included in the result for the year.

 

(iii) Effect of changes in operating assumptions

Operating profit includes the effect of changes to operating assumptions on the value of in-force at the end of the period. For presentational purposes, the effect of change is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force with the experience variance being determined by reference to the end of period assumptions.

 

(iv) Unwind of discount and other expected returns

The unwind of discount and other expected returns is determined by reference to:

 

·       the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period (adjusted for the effect of current period economic and operating assumption changes); and

·       required capital and surplus assets.

 

In applying this general approach, the unwind of discount included in operating profit for the with-profits business of UK insurance operations is determined by reference to the opening value of in-force, as adjusted for the effects of short-term investment volatility due to market movements (ie smoothed). In the summary statement of financial position and for total profit reporting, asset values and investment returns are not smoothed. At 31 December 2013 the shareholders' interest in the smoothed surplus assets used for this purpose only, were £136 million lower (31 December 2012: £121 million lower) than the surplus assets carried in the statement of financial position.

 

(v) Operating experience variances

Operating profits include the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, which are calculated with reference to the embedded value assumptions at the end of the reporting year, such as persistency, mortality and morbidity, expenses and other factors.

 

(vi) Pension costs

Profit before tax

Movements on the shareholders' share of surpluses (to the extent not restricted by IFRIC 14) and deficits of the Group's defined benefit pension schemes adjusted for contributions paid in the year are recorded within Other Comprehensive Income. Consistent with the basis of distribution of bonuses and the treatment of the estate described in notes 15(b)(i) and (iv), the shareholders' share incorporates 10 per cent of the proportion of the financial position attributable to the PAC with-profits fund. The financial position is determined by applying the requirements of IAS 19 as booked for IFRS reporting.

 

(vii) Effect of changes in economic assumptions

Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related change in the time value of cost of option and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results.

 

(viii) Taxation

The profit for the year for covered business is in most cases calculated initially at the post-tax level. For 2013 and 2012 the post-tax profit for covered business is then grossed up for presentation purposes at the rates of tax applicable to the countries and periods concerned. The overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period. Current taxation and other legislation have been assumed to continue unaltered except where changes have been announced and substantively enacted in the year. Additional detail of pre and post-tax EEV basis results are shown in the additional financial information.

 

(ix) Inter-company arrangements

The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension polices in SAIF (which is not covered business). The EEV results also incorporate the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to PRIL. In addition, the free surplus and value of in-force business are calculated after taking account of the impact of contingent loan arrangements between Group companies (movements in the contingent loan liability are reflected via the projected cash flows in the value of in-force and the related funding is reflected in free surplus).

 

16 Assumptions

 

Deterministic assumptions

The tables below summarise the principal financial assumptions:

 

Assumed investment returns reflect the expected future returns on the assets held and allocated to the covered business at the valuation date.

 

(i) Asia operationsnotes (b), (d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate %

 

Expected

long-term Inflation %


10-year government

bond yield %


New business


 

 

 

31 Dec


31 Dec

 

31 Dec


31 Dec

2013

2012


2013

2012

 

2013

2012


2013

2012

China

11.2

10.1


11.2

10.1

 

2.5

2.5


4.7

3.6

Hong Kongnotes (b), (c)

4.9

3.8


4.8

3.5

 

2.3

2.3


3.1

1.8

India

14.0

13.2


14.0

13.2

 

4.0

4.0


9.0

8.2

Indonesia

12.5

9.4


12.5

9.4

 

5.0

5.0


8.6

5.3

Korea

7.4

7.4


7.6

7.2

 

3.0

3.0


3.6

3.2

Malaysianote (c)

6.5

5.8


6.5

5.8

 

2.5

2.5


4.2

3.5

Philippines

10.5

11.1


10.5

11.1

 

4.0

4.0


3.8

4.4

Singaporenote (c)

4.6

3.6


5.3

4.3

 

2.0

2.0


2.6

1.3

Taiwan

4.3

3.3


4.1

3.4

 

1.0

1.0


1.7

1.2

Thailand

10.7

10.3


10.7

10.3

 

3.0

3.0


3.9

3.5

Vietnam

15.7

17.2


15.7

17.2

 

5.5

5.5


9.0

10.5

Total weighted risk discount ratenote (a)

8.1

6.8


7.2

6.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notes

(a)    The weighted risk discount rates for Asia operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country's risk discount rates by reference to the pre-tax EEV basis new business result and the closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia territories reflect the movements in government bond yields, together with the effects of movements in the allowance for market risk and changes in product mix.

(b)    For Hong Kong the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other territories, the assumptions are for local currency denominated business.

(c)     The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings in the Asia operations were:

 



31 Dec 2013 %

31 Dec 2012 %


Hong Kong

7.1

5.8


Malaysia

10.1

9.5


Singapore

8.6

7.4

 

(d)    Equity risk premiums in Asia (excluding those for the held for sale Japan Life business) range from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent for 2013 (2012: 3.5 per cent to 8.8 per cent). 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(ii)  US operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 Dec 2013 %


31 Dec 2012 %


 

Assumed new business spread margins:note (a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Annuity business:*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January to June issues 

1.2


1.4


 

 

 

July to December issues

1.75


1.1


 

 

Fixed Index Annuity business:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January to June issues 

1.45


1.75


 

 

 

July to December issues

2.00


1.35


 

 

Institutional business

0.75


1.25


 

Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote (b)

0.25


0.28


 

Risk discount rate:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable annuity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate

7.6


6.5


 

 

 

Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote (b)

0.2


0.3


 

 

Non-variable annuity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate

4.8


4.0


 

 

 

Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote (b)

1.0


1.5


 

 

Weighted average total:note (c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business

7.4


6.3


 

 

 

In force

6.9


5.6


 

US 10-year treasury bond rate at end of year

3.1


1.8


 

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities

7.1


5.8


 

Expected long-term rate of inflation

2.6


2.5


 

Equity risk premium

4.0


4.0


 

Assumed tax rate for value of in-force business

35.0


35.0


*      including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account

 

Notes

(a)   The assumed new business spread margins represent the difference between the earned rate on investments, after allowance for long-term defaults, and the policy holder crediting rate. The spread margins shown above are the rates at inception.  For fixed annuity business (including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account) and fixed index annuity business, the assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.

(b)   The allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spread is shown as at the valuation date applied in the cash flow projections of the value of the in-force business. The risk discount rates include an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults. See note 15(b)(iii) for further details.

 (c) The weighted average risk discount rates reflect the mix of business between variable annuity and non-variable annuity business. The increase in the weighted average risk discount rates from 2012 to 2013 primarily reflects the increase in the US 10-year Treasury bond rate of 130 basis points,  partly offset by the effect of the decrease in additional allowance for credit risk.

 




 

 

(iii)  UK insurance operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 Dec 2013 %

31 Dec 2012 %

Shareholder-backed annuity business:note (b)

 

 

Risk discount rate:

 

 

 

 

New business

6.8

6.9



In forcenote (a)

8.3

8.0

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for shareholder-backed annuity business:

 

 

 

 

New business

4.2

4.2



In forcenote (a)

4.3

3.9

Other business:

 

 

Risk discount rate:

 

 

 

 

New business

6.1

5.2



In force

6.8

5.6

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return:

 

 

 

 

UK equities

7.5

6.3



Overseas equities

7.1 to 9.2

5.8 to 9.6



Property

6.2

5.1



15-year gilt rate

3.5

2.3



Corporate bonds

5.1

3.9

Post-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for the PAC with-profits fund:

 

 

 

 

Pension business (where no tax applies)

6.2

5.0



Life business

5.4

4.4

Expected long-term rate of inflation

3.4

 2.9

Equity risk premium

4.0

4.0

Assumed tax rate for value of in-force businessnote 3(iv)(b)

20.0

23.0

 

Notes

(a)      For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and the risk discount rates for in-force business mainly reflect the effect of changes in asset yields.

(b)      Credit spread treatment

For Prudential Retirement Income Limited, which has approximately 90 per cent of UK shareholder-backed annuity business the credit assumptions used in the underlying MCEV calculation (see note 15(b)(iii)) and the residual liquidity premium element of the bond spread over swap rates is as follows:

 




New business* (bps)


In-force business (bps)




31 Dec 2013

31 Dec 2012

 

31 Dec 2013

31 Dec 2012

 

 

Bond spread over swap rates

127

 150

 

133

 161

 

 

Total credit risk allowance

36

 35

 

62

 65

 

 

Liquidity premium

91

 115

 

71

 96

*    The new business liquidity premium is based on the weighted average of the point of sale liquidity premia.

 

The overall allowance for credit risk is prudent by comparison with historic rates of default and would be sufficient to withstand a wide range of extreme credit events over the expected lifetime of the annuity business.

 

Stochastic assumptions

The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations described above. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations, such as the volatilities of asset returns, reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of longer-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with allowance for correlation between the various asset classes.

 

Details are given below of the key characteristics and calibrations of each model.

 

(iv) Asia operations

•    The same asset return models as described for UK insurance operations below, appropriately calibrated, have been used for Asia operations. The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds. Equity holdings are much lower than in the UK whilst property holdings do not represent a significant investment asset;

•    the stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily only of significance for the Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations; and

•    the mean stochastic returns are consistent with the mean deterministic returns for each country. The expected volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent in both years, and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 0.9 per cent to 2.3 per cent in both years.

 

(v)   US operations (Jackson)

•    Interest rates are projected using a log-normal generator calibrated to historical US Treasury yield curves;

•    corporate bond returns are based on Treasury securities plus a spread that has been calibrated to current market conditions and varies by credit quality; and

•    variable annuity equity returns and bond interest rates have been stochastically generated using a log-normal model with parameters determined by reference to historical data. The volatility of equity fund returns ranges from 19 per cent to 32 per cent for both 2013 and 2012, depending on the risk class and the class of equity, and the standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.2 per cent to 2.5 per cent for both years.

 

(vi)       UK insurance operations

•    Interest rates are projected using a two-factor model calibrated to the initial market yield curve;

•    the risk premium on equity assets is assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;

•    the corporate bond return is calculated as the return on a zero-coupon bond plus a spread. The spread process is a mean reverting stochastic process; and

•    property returns are modelled in a similar fashion to corporate bonds, namely as the return on a risk-free bond, plus a risk premium, plus a process representative of the change in residual values and the change in value of the call option on rents.

 

Mean returns have been derived as the annualised arithmetic average return across all simulations and durations.

    

For each projection year, standard deviations have been calculated by taking the square root of the annualised variance of the returns over all the simulations. These have been averaged over all durations in the projection. For equity and property, the standard deviations relate to the total return on these assets. The standard deviations applied for both years are as follows:

 




%

Equities:




UK


20


Overseas


18

Property


15

 

17 New business premiums and contributions note (i)

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual premium and contribution equivalents

 

 Present value of new business premiums

 

 

     Single


     Regular


(APE)note 15(b)(i)

 

(PVNBP)note 15(b)(i)

 

 

2013 £m


2012 £m


2013 £m


2012 £m


2013 £m


2012 £m

 

2013 £m


2012 £m

Group insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia

 2,136


 1,568


 1,911


 1,740


 2,125


 1,897

 

 11,375


 10,544

US

 15,712


 14,504


 2


 12


 1,573


 1,462

 

 15,723


 14,600

UK

 5,128


 6,286


 212


 207


 725


 836

 

 5,978


 7,311

Group Total

 22,976


 22,358


 2,125


 1,959


 4,423


 4,195

 

 33,076


 32,455

Asia insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

  

operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  


 -  


 1


 -  


 1


 -  

 

 3


 -  

Hong Kong

 326


 157


 455


 380


 487


 396

 

 2,795


 2,316

Indonesia

 303


 359


 445


 410


 477


 446

 

 1,943


 2,097

Malaysia

 114


 98


 197


 208


 208


 218

 

 1,352


 1,388

Philippines

 193


 172


 34


 28


 53


 45

 

 299


 254

Singapore

 571


 399


 304


 261


 361


 301

 

 2,588


 2,314

Thailand

 66


 12


 61


 36


 68


 37

 

 289


 140

Vietnam

 2


 1


 54


 44


 54


 45

 

 204


 159

SE Asia operations inc. Hong Kong

 1,575


 1,198


 1,551


 1,367


 1,709


 1,488

 

 9,473


 8,668

Chinanote (ii)

 114


 37


 71


 53


 83


 56

 

 409


 277

Korea

 311


 94


 82


 86


 113


 95

 

 641


 438

Taiwan

 102


 172


 107


 138


 117


 156

 

 491


 723

Indianote (iii)

 34


 67


 100


 96


 103


 102

 

 361


 438

Total Asia operations

 2,136


 1,568


 1,911


 1,740


 2,125


 1,897

 

 11,375


 10,544

US insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

Variable annuities

 10,795


 11,596


 -  


 -  


 1,079


 1,160

 

 10,795


 11,596

Elite Access (variable annuity)

 2,585


 849


 -  


 -  


 259


 85

 

 2,585


 849

Fixed annuities

 555


 581


 -  


 -  


 55


 58

 

 555


 581

Fixed index annuities

 907


 1,094


 -  


 -  


 91


 109

 

 907


 1,094

Life

 1


 6


 2


 12


 2


 12

 

 12


 102

Wholesale

 869


 378


 -  


 -  


 87


 38

 

 869


 378

Total US insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

operations

 15,712


 14,504


 2


 12


 1,573


 1,462

 

 15,723


 14,600

UK and Europe

 

 

 

 

 

 

  




  

 

 

 

  

insurance operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and partnership

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

annuities

 284


 297


 -  


 -  


 28


 30

 

 284


 297

Intermediated annuities

 488


 653


 -  


 -  


 49


 65

 

 488


 653

Internal vesting annuities

 1,305


 1,456


 -  


 -  


 131


 146

 

 1,305


 1,456

Total individual annuities

 2,077


 2,406


 -  


 -  


 208


 241

 

 2,077


 2,406

Corporate pensions

 120


 303


 161


 159


 173


 189

 

 686


 1,045

Onshore bonds

 1,754


 2,275


 -  


 -  


 176


 228

 

 1,756


 2,277

Other products

 901


 894


 51


 48


 140


 137

 

 1,183


 1,175

Wholesale

 276


 408


 -  


 -  


 28


 41

 

 276


 408

Total UK and Europe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

insurance operations

 5,128


 6,286


 212


 207


 725


 836

 

 5,978


 7,311

Group Total

 22,976


 22,358


 2,125


 1,959


 4,423


 4,195

 

 33,076


 32,455

 

Notes

(i)    The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement.

(ii)   New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China Life operation.

(iii)  New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India Life operation.

 

18 Additional information on the effect of the agreement to sell Japan Life business and adoption of new and amended IFRS accounting standards

 

In July 2013 the Group agreed to sell, dependent on regulatory approval, its life insurance business in Japan which we closed to new business in 2010. Also, in 2013 the Group has adopted new accounting standards on 'Joint arrangements' (IFRS 11) and amendments to 'Employee benefits' (IAS 19), from 1 January 2013. Accordingly, the 2012 comparative EEV basis results have been retrospectively adjusted from those previously published for the application of the IFRS standards and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business. The tables below show the results on the previous and revised basis of reporting.

 




2013 £m




Under previous basis

Effect of change

Under new policies




IFRS 11

IAS 19




note (i)

note (ii)

note (iii)


Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment

   returns

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

 

 

 

 

 

Long-term business:

 

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

 2,394

 -  

 -  

 2,394


Reclassification of Japan Life business

(7)

 -  

 -  

(7)




 2,387

 -  

 -  

 2,387


Eastspring investments

 82

(8)

 -  

74

Other results

3,119

 -  

 -  

3,119

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment

   returns

 5,588

(8)

 -  

 5,580

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns:

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

(790)

 -  

(1)

(791)

Reclassification of Japan Life business

(28)

 -  

 -  

(28)




(818)

 -  

(1)

(819)

Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and

 

 

 

 

 

losses on defined benefit pension schemes

(69)

 -  

 69

 -  

Effect of changes in economic assumptions:

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

818

 -  

 -  

 818

Reclassification of Japan Life business

3

 -  

 -  

3




821

 -  

 -  

821

Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life business:

 

 

 

 

Reclassification from pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term

 

 

 

 

 

investment returns

7

 -  

 -  

7

Reclassification from short-term fluctuations in investment returns

28

 -  

 -  

28

Reclassification from effect of changes in economic assumptions

(3)

 -  

 -  

(3)

Remeasurement of carrying value of Japan Life business classified as

    held for sale

(67)

 -  

 -  

(67)




(35)

 -  

 -  

(35)

Mark to market value movements on core borrowings

152

 -  

 -  

152

Costs of domestication of Hong Kong branch

(35)

 -  

 -  

(35)

Profit before tax

 5,604

(8)

68

 5,664

Tax attributable to shareholders' profit

(1,299)

8

(15)

(1,306)

Profit for the year attributable to shareholders

 4,305

 -  

 53

 4,358

Items taken directly to shareholders' equity

(1,892)

 -  

(53)

(1,945)

Net increase in shareholders' equity

 2,413

 -  

 -  

 2,413




 

 

 

 

Total EPS based on post-tax profit (in pence)

169.0p

 -  

2.0p

171.0p

 

Summary statement of financial position

31 Dec 2013 £m





Under previous basis

Effect of change

Under new policies





IFRS 11

IAS 19





note (i)

note (ii)



Total net assets

 

 

 

 

Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds:

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

 292,791

(3,151)

 -  

 289,640

Reclassification of Japan Life business

(814)

 -  

 -  

(814)





 291,977

(3,151)

 -  

 288,826


Less insurance funds:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

(283,141)

3,151

 -  

(279,990)



Reclassification of Japan Life business

814

 -  

 -  

814





(282,327)

3,151

 -  

(279,176)



Less shareholders' accrued interest in the

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

long-term business

15,206

 -  


 15,206

Total net assets

 24,856

 -  

 -  

 24,856

 




2012 £m




As reported under previous basis

Effect of change

Under

 new

 policies




IFRS 11

IAS 19




note (i)

note (ii)

note (iii)


Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment

    returns

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

 

 

 

 

 

Long-term business:

 

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

 1,960

 -  

 -  

 1,960


Reclassification of Japan Life business

(2)

 -  

 -  

(2)




 1,958

 -  

 -  

 1,958


Eastspring investments

 75

(6)

 -  

69

Other results

2,286

 -  

 -

2,286

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment

    returns

 4,319

(6)

 -  

 4,313

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns:

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

538

 -  

5

543

Reclassification of Japan Life business

(33)

 -  

 -  

(33)




505

 -  

5

510

Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and

 

 

 

 

 

losses on defined benefit pension schemes

62

 -  

(62)

 -  

Effect of changes in economic assumptions:

 

 

 

 

Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business

(16)

 -  

 -  

(16)

Reclassification of Japan Life business

14

 -  

 -  

14




(2)

 -  

 -  

(2)

Profit attaching to held for sale Japan Life business:

 

 

 

 

Reclassification from pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term

 

 

 

 

 

 investment returns

2

 -  

 -  

2

Reclassification from short-term fluctuations in investment returns

33

 -  

 -  

33

Reclassification from effect of changes in economic assumptions

(14)

 -  

 -  

(14)




21

 -  

 -  

21

Other items

115

 -  

 -  

115

Profit before tax

 5,020

(6)

(57)

 4,957

Tax attributable to shareholders' profit

(1,207)

6

13

(1,188)

Profit for the year attributable to shareholders

 3,813

 -  

(44)

 3,769

Items taken directly to shareholders' equity

(1,007)

 -  

44

(963)

Net increase in shareholders' equity

 2,806

 -  

 -  

 2,806




 

 

 

 

Total EPS based on post-tax profit (in pence)

150.1p

 -  

(1.8)p

148.3p

 

Summary statement of financial position

31 Dec 2012 £m




As reported under previous basis

Effect of change

Under

 new

 policies




IFRS 11

IAS 19




 

note (ii)



Total net assets

 

 

 

 

Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds

 274,863

(3,095)

 -  

 271,768


Less insurance funds:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share)

 

 

 

 

 

 

   and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds

(264,504)

3,095

 -  

(261,409)



Less shareholders' accrued interest in the

 

 

 

 

 

 

   long-term business

12,084

 -  

 -  

 12,084

Total net assets

 22,443

 -  

 -  

 22,443

 

Notes

(i)   Following the agreement in July 2013 to sell the Group's life insurance business in Japan, the results for the Japan Life business have been shown separately in the Group's analysis of profit - see note 4.

(ii)   Consistent with the requirements of IFRS 11, the Group's EEV pre-tax results now incorporate the post-tax results for asset management joint venture operations. For life insurance joint venture operations, the EEV results continue to be presented on a pre-tax basis, ie as for the Group's other insurance businesses.

(iii)  Under the amended IAS 19 all actuarial gains and losses and related tax are recognised in the movement in shareholders' equity rather than in the summarised consolidated income statement.

 

Additional Unaudited Financial Information

 

A New Business

 

BASIS OF PREPARATION

 

The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under PRA regulations.

 

The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Operations.

 

New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting.

 

Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

 

New Business Profit has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology and assumptions set out in our 2013 Annual Report.

 

In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

 

Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.

 

Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(ix)

 

(1)   Prudential plc reports its results at both actual exchange rates (AER) to reflect actual rates and also constant year-to-date average exchange rates (CER) so as to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

 


Local currency: £


FY 2013*

FY 2012*

2013 vs

2012 appreciation / (depreciation) of local currency




Hong Kong

 

 Average Rate

 12.14

 12.29

1%




 Closing Rate

 12.84

 12.60

 (2)%




Indonesia

 

 Average Rate

 16,376.89

 14,842.01

 (10)%




 Closing Rate

 20,156.57

 15,665.76

 (29)%




Malaysia

 

 Average Rate

 4.93

 4.89

 (1)%




 Closing Rate

 5.43

 4.97

 (9)%




Singapore

 

 Average Rate

 1.96

 1.98

1%




 Closing Rate

 2.09

 1.99

 (5)%




India

 

 Average Rate

 91.75

 84.70

 (8)%




 Closing Rate

 102.45

 89.06

 (15)%




Vietnam

 

 Average Rate

 32,904.71

 33,083.59

1%




 Closing Rate

 34,938.60

 33,875.42

 (3)%




Thailand

 

 Average Rate

 48.11

 49.26

2%




 Closing Rate

 54.42

 49.72

 (9)%




US

 

 Average Rate

 1.56

 1.58

1%




 Closing Rate

 1.66

 1.63

 (2)%



 

*Average rate is for the 12 months to 31 December

 

(1a)  Insurance and investment new business for overseas operations are converted using the year-to-date average exchange rate applicable at the time (AER). The sterling results for individual quarters represent the difference between the year-to-date reported sterling results at successive quarters and will include foreign exchange movements from earlier periods.

(1b)  Insurance new business for overseas operations for 2012 has been calculated using constant exchange rates (CER).

(1c)  Constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012 and 2013.

 (2)  Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to roundings. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.

(3)   Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients. Other movements reflect the net flows arising from the cash component of a tactical asset allocation fund managed by PPM South Africa.

(4)   New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation. 

(5)   Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.

(6)   New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation. 

(7)   Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.

(8)   Investment flows for the period exclude Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflows of £62,536 million (2012: £51,462 million) and net inflows of £522 million (2012 net outflows: £226 million).

(9)   Excludes Curian Variable Series Trust funds (internal funds under management).

(10)  Total M&G and Eastspring excluding MMF. Funds under management for MMF amounted to £4,297 million at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £4,003 million).

 

Schedule A(i) - New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)

 

 

 

Single


Regular


Annual Equivalents(2)

 

PVNBP



 

2013

2012



2013

2012



2013

2012


 

2013

2012




 

YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)

 

YTD

YTD

+/- (%)



 

£m

£m



£m

£m



£m

£m


 

£m

£m



Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia (1a)

 

 2,136

 1,568

36%


 1,911

 1,740

10%


 2,125

 1,897

12%

 

 11,375

 10,544

8%


US(1a)

 

 15,712

 14,504

8%


 2

 12

(83)%


 1,573

 1,462

8%

 

 15,723

 14,600

8%


UK

 

 5,128

 6,286

(18)%


 212

 207

2%


 725

 836

(13)%

 

 5,978

 7,311

(18)%


Group Total

 

 22,976

 22,358

3%


 2,125

 1,959

8%


 4,423

 4,195

5%

 

 33,076

 32,455

2%



 

 

  










 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 

 -  

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A

 

 3

 -  

N/A


Hong Kong

 

 326

157

108%


 455

380

20%


 487

 396

23%

 

 2,795

 2,316

21%


Indonesia

 

 303

 359

(16)%


 445

 410

9%


 477

 446

7%

 

 1,943

 2,097

(7)%


Malaysia

 

 114

 98

16%


 197

 208

(5)%


 208

 218

(5)%

 

 1,352

 1,388

(3)%


Philippines

 

 193

 172

12%


 34

 28

21%


 53

 45

18%

 

 299

 254

18%


Singapore

 

 571

 399

43%


 304

 261

16%


 361

 301

20%

 

 2,588

 2,314

12%


Thailand

 

 66

 12

450%


 61

 36

69%


 68

 37

84%

 

 289

 140

106%


Vietnam

 

 2

 1

100%


 54

 44

23%


 54

 45

20%

 

 204

 159

28%


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 

 1,575

 1,198

31%


 1,551

 1,367

13%


 1,709

 1,488

15%

 

 9,473

 8,668

9%


China(6)

 

 114

 37

208%


 71

 53

34%


 83

 56

48%

 

 409

 277

48%


Korea

 

 311

 94

231%


 82

 86

(5)%


 113

 95

19%

 

 641

 438

46%


Taiwan

 

 102

 172

(41)%


 107

 138

(22)%


 117

 156

(25)%

 

 491

 723

(32)%


India(4)

 

 34

 67

(49)%


 100

 96

4%


 103

 102

1%

 

 361

 438

(18)%


Total Asia Operations

 

 2,136

 1,568

36%


 1,911

 1,740

10%


 2,125

 1,897

12%

 

 11,375

 10,544

8%



 

 

  










 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

  










 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 

 10,795

 11,596

(7)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 1,079

 1,160

(7)%

 

 10,795

 11,596

(7)%


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 

 2,585

849

204%


 -  

N/A


 259

 85

205%

 

 2,585

 849

204%


Fixed Annuities

 

 555

 581

(4)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 55

 58

(5)%

 

 555

 581

(4)%


Fixed Index Annuities

 

 907

 1,094

(17)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 91

 109

(17)%

 

 907

 1,094

(17)%


Life

 

 1

 6

(83)%


 2

 12

(83%)


 2

 12

(83)%

 

 12

 102

(88)%


Wholesale

 

 869

 378

130%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 87

 38

129%

 

 869

 378

130%


Total US Insurance Operations

 

 15,712

 14,504

8%


 2

 12

(83)%


 1,573

 1,462

8%

 

 15,723

 14,600

8%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 

 284

 297

(4)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 28

 30

(7)%

 

 284

 297

(4)%


Intermediated Annuities

 

 488

 653

(25)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 49

 65

(25)%

 

 488

 653

(25)%


Internal Vesting Annuities

 

 1,305

 1,456

(10)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 131

 146

(10)%

 

 1,305

 1,456

(10)%


Total Individual Annuities

 

 2,077

 2,406

(14)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 208

 241

(14)%

 

 2,077

 2,406

(14)%


Corporate Pensions

 

 120

 303

(60)%


 161

 159

1%


 173

 189

(8)%

 

 686

 1,045

(34)%


On-shore Bonds

 

 1,754

 2,275

(23)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 176

 228

(23)%

 

 1,756

 2,277

(23)%


Other Products

 

 901

 894

1%


 51

 48

6%


 140

 137

2%

 

 1,183

 1,175

1%


Wholesale

 

 276

 408

(32)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 28

 41

(32)%

 

 276

 408

(32)%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 5,128

 6,286

(18)%


 212

 207

2%


 725

 836

(13)%

 

 5,978

 7,311

(18)%


Group Total

 

 22,976

 22,358

3%


 2,125

 1,959

8%


 4,423

 4,195

5%

 

 33,076

 32,455

2%


 

Schedule A(ii) - New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:  In schedule A(ii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012.

 

 

Single


Regular


Annual Equivalents(2)

 

PVNBP



2013

2012



2013

2012



2013

2012


 

2013

2012




YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)

 

YTD

YTD

+/- (%)



£m

£m



£m

£m



£m

£m


 

£m

£m



Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia  (1a) (1b)

 2,136

 1,545

38%


 1,911

 1,709

12%


 2,125

 1,864

14%

 

 11,375

 10,405

9%


US(1a) (1b)

 15,712

 14,692

7%


 2

 12

(83)%


 1,573

 1,481

6%

 

 15,723

 14,789

6%


UK

 5,128

 6,286

(18)%


 212

 207

2%


 725

 836

(13)%

 

 5,978

 7,311

(18)%


Group Total

 22,976

 22,523

2%


 2,125

 1,928

10%


 4,423

 4,181

6%

 

 33,076

 32,505

2%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A

 

 3

 -  

N/A


Hong Kong

 326

 159

105%


 455

 385

18%


 487

 402

21%

 

 2,795

 2,346

19%


Indonesia

 303

 325

(7)%


 445

 372

20%


 477

 404

18%

 

 1,943

 1,900

2%


Malaysia

 114

 98

16%


 197

 206

(4)%


 208

 216

(4)%

 

 1,352

 1,378

(2)%


Philippines

 193

 173

12%


 34

 28

21%


 53

 45

18%

 

 299

 256

17%


Singapore

 571

 403

42%


 304

 264

15%


 361

 305

18%

 

 2,588

 2,341

11%


Thailand

 66

 13

408%


 61

 37

65%


 68

 38

79%

 

 289

 144

101%


Vietnam

 2

 1

100%


 54

 45

20%


 54

 45

20%

 

 204

 160

28%


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 1,575

 1,172

34%


 1,551

 1,337

16%


 1,709

 1,455

17%

 

 9,473

 8,525

11%


China(6)

 114

 39

192%


 71

 55

29%


 83

 59

41%

 

 409

 288

42%


Korea

 311

 98

217%


 82

 89

(8)%


 113

 99

14%

 

 641

 457

40%


Taiwan

 102

 174

(41)%


 107

 140

(24)%


 117

 157

(25)%

 

 491

 730

(33)%


India(4)

 34

 62

(45)%


 100

 88

14%


 103

 94

10%

 

 361

 405

(11)%


Total Asia Operations

 2,136

 1,545

38%


 1,911

 1,709

12%


 2,125

 1,864

14%

 

 11,375

 10,405

9%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 10,795

 11,746

(8)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 1,079

 1,175

(8)%

 

 10,795

 11,746

(8)%


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 2,585

 860

201%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 259

 86

201%

 

 2,585

 860

201%


Fixed Annuities

 555

 589

(6)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 55

 59

(7)%

 

 555

 589

(6)%


Fixed Index Annuities

 907

 1,108

(18)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 91

 111

(18)%

 

 907

 1,108

(18)%


Life

 1

 6

(83)%


 2

 12

(83)%


 2

 12

(83)%

 

 12

 103

(88)%


Wholesale

 869

 383

127%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 87

 38

129%

 

 869

 383

127%


Total US Insurance Operations

 15,712

 14,692

7%


 2

 12

(83)%


 1,573

 1,481

6%

 

 15,723

 14,789

6%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 284

 297

(4)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 28

 30

(7)%

 

 284

 297

(4)%


Intermediated Annuities

 488

 653

(25)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 49

 65

(25)%

 

 488

 653

(25)%


Internal Vesting Annuities

 1,305

 1,456

(10)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 131

 146

(10)%

 

 1,305

 1,456

(10)%


Total Individual Annuities

 2,077

 2,406

(14)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 208

 241

(14)%

 

 2,077

 2,406

(14)%


Corporate Pensions

 120

 300

(60)%


 161

 159

1%


 173

 189

(8)%

 

 686

 1,042

(34)%


On-shore Bonds

 1,754

 2,275

(23)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 176

 228

(23)%

 

 1,756

 2,277

(23)%


Other Products

 901

 897

0%


 51

 48

6%


 140

 137

2%

 

 1,183

 1,178

0%


Wholesale

 276

 408

(32)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 28

 41

(32)%

 

 276

 408

(32)%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 5,128

 6,286

(18)%


 212

 207

2%


 725

 836

(13)%

 

 5,978

 7,311

(18)%


Group Total

 22,976

 22,523

2%


 2,125

 1,928

10%


 4,423

 4,181

6%

 

 33,076

 32,505

2%


 

Schedule A(iii) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)

 

 

2012


2013



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia (1a)

 443

 456

 429

 569


 495

 515

 513

602


US(1a)

 332

 387

 414

 329


 358

 439

 405

371


UK

 189

 223

 205

 219


 185

 170

 185

185


Group Total

 964

 1,066

 1,048

 1,117


 1,038

 1,124

 1,103

1,158



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  


 -  

 -  

 -  

 1


Hong Kong

 85

 92

 96

 123


 107

107

121

152


Indonesia

 97

 109

 97

 143


 112

128

108

129


Malaysia

 45

 53

 47

 73


 46

53

52

57


Philippines

 10

 11

 12

 12


 14

15

12

12


Singapore

 72

 69

 76

 84


 80

90

87

104


Thailand

 11

 8

 9

 9


 11

14

22

21


Vietnam

 7

 11

 11

 16


 10

13

14

17


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 327

 353

 348

 460


 380

 420

 416

493


China(6)

 17

 16

 13

 10


 27

20

21

15


Korea

 21

 24

 22

 28


 30

32

23

28


Taiwan

 43

 45

 24

 44


 19

26

28

44


India(4)

 35

 18

 22

 27


 39

 17

 25

22


Total Asia Insurance Operations

 443

 456

 429

 569


 495

 515

 513

602



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 279

 318

 333

 230


 240

298

271

270


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 -  

 14

 26

 45


 54

73

64

68


Fixed Annuities

 16

 15

 14

 13


 14

16

14

11


Fixed Index Annuities

 25

 25

 29

 30


 34

28

22

7


Life

 4

 4

 3

 1


 1

 -  

 -  

1


Wholesale

 8

 11

 9

 10


 15

24

34

14


Total US Insurance Operations

 332

 387

 414

 329


 358

 439

 405

371



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 7

 7

 7

 9


 8

7

7

6


Intermediated Annuities

 10

 15

 16

 24


 15

14

12

8


Internal Vesting annuities

 31

 35

 38

 42


 32

35

31

33


Total Individual Annuities

 48

 57

 61

 75


 55

 56

 50

47


Corporate Pensions

 49

 55

 44

 41


 53

40

45

35


On-shore Bonds

 55

 51

 55

 67


 45

38

43

50


Other Products

 37

 33

 31

 36


 32

36

32

40


Wholesale

 -  

 27

 14

 -  


 -  

 -  

 15

13


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 189

 223

 205

 219


 185

 170

 185

185


Group Total

 964

 1,066

 1,048

 1,117


 1,038

 1,124

 1,103

1,158


 

Schedule A(iv) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note: In schedule A(iv) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012. Discrete quarters in 2013 are presented on actual exchange rates.

 

 

2012


2013



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia(1b)

 428

 450

 423

 563


 495

 515

 513

 602


US(1b)

 334

 392

 417

 338


 358

 439

 405

 371


UK

 189

 223

 205

 219


 185

 170

 185

 185


Group Total

 951

 1,065

 1,045

 1,120


 1,038

 1,124

 1,103

 1,158



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  


 -  

 -  

 -  

 1


Hong Kong

 85

 93

 97

 127


 107

 107

 121

 152


Indonesia

 84

 98

 89

 133


 112

 128

 108

 129


Malaysia

 44

 53

 47

 72


 46

 53

 52

 57


Philippines

 10

 11

 12

 12


 14

 15

 12

 12


Singapore

 73

 71

 76

 85


 80

 90

 87

 104


Thailand

 11

 8

 10

 9


 11

 14

 22

 21


Vietnam

 7

 10

 11

 17


 10

 13

 14

 17


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 314

 344

 342

 455


 380

 420

 416

 493


China(6)

 18

 17

 13

 11


 27

 20

 21

 15


Korea

 22

 26

 22

 29


 30

 32

 23

 28


Taiwan

 43

 46

 24

 44


 19

 26

 28

 44


India(4)

 31

 17

 22

 24


 39

 17

 25

 22


Total Asia Insurance Operations

 428

 450

 423

 563


 495

 515

 513

 602



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 280

 322

 336

 237


 240

 298

 271

 270


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 -  

 14

 26

 46


 54

 73

 64

 68


Fixed Annuities

 17

 15

 14

 13


 14

 16

 14

 11


Fixed Index Annuities

 25

 26

 29

 31


 34

 28

 22

 7


Life

 4

 4

 3

 1


 1

 -  

 -  

 1


Wholesale

 8

 11

 9

 10


 15

 24

 34

 14


Total US Insurance Operations

 334

 392

 417

 338


 358

 439

 405

 371



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 7

 7

 7

 9


 8

 7

 7

 6


Intermediated Annuities

 10

 15

 16

 24


 15

 14

 12

 8


Internal Vesting annuities

 31

 35

 38

 42


 32

 35

 31

 33


Total Individual Annuities

 48

 57

 61

 75


 55

 56

 50

 47


Corporate Pensions

 49

 55

 44

 41


 53

 40

 45

 35


On-shore Bonds

 55

 51

 55

 67


 45

 38

 43

 50


Other Products

 37

 33

 31

 36


 32

 36

 32

 40


Wholesale

 -  

 27

 14

 -  


 -  

 -  

 15

 13


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

189

223

205

219


185

170

185

185


Group Total

951

1,065

1,045

1,120


1,038

1,124

1,103

1,158


 

Schedule A(v) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (2013 and 2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:    In schedule A(v) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012 and 2013 i.e the average exchange rate for the year ended 31 December 2013 is applied to each discrete quarter for 2012 and 2013.

 

 

2012


2013



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m

£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia(1c)

 428

 450

 423

 563


 476

 496

 517

 636


US(1c)

 334

 392

 417

 338


 356

 430

 401

 386


UK

 189

 223

 205

 219


 185

 170

 185

 185


Group Total

 951

 1,065

 1,045

 1,120


 1,017

 1,096

 1,103

 1,207



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  


 -  

 -  

 -  

 1


Hong Kong

 85

 93

 97

 127


 106

 106

 121

 154


Indonesia

 84

 98

 89

 133


 104

 118

 109

 146


Malaysia

 44

 53

 47

 72


 44

 51

 53

 60


Philippines

 10

 11

 12

 12


 13

 14

 12

 14


Singapore

 73

 71

 76

 85


 78

 88

 88

 107


Thailand

 11

 8

 10

 9


 11

 14

 21

 22


Vietnam

 7

 10

 11

 17


 9

 13

 14

 18


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 314

 344

 342

 455


 365

 404

 418

 522


China(6)

 18

 17

 13

 11


 27

 19

 21

 16


Korea

 22

 26

 22

 29


 29

 32

 23

 29


Taiwan

 43

 46

 24

 44


 19

 26

 28

 44


India(4)

 31

 17

 22

 24


 36

 15

 27

 25


Total Asia Insurance Operations

 428

 450

 423

 563


 476

 496

 517

 636



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 280

 322

 336

 237


 238

 293

 268

 280


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 -  

 14

 26

 46


 54

 72

 63

 70


Fixed Annuities

 17

 15

 14

 13


 14

 15

 14

 12


Fixed Index Annuities

 25

 26

 29

 31


 34

 27

 22

 8


Life

 4

 4

 3

 1


 1

 -  

 -  

 1


Wholesale

 8

 11

 9

 10


 15

 23

 34

 15


Total US Insurance Operations

 334

 392

 417

 338


 356

 430

 401

 386



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 7

 7

 7

 9


 8

 7

 7

 6


Intermediated Annuities

 10

 15

 16

 24


 15

 14

 12

 8


Internal Vesting annuities

 31

 35

 38

 42


 32

 35

 31

 33


Total Individual Annuities

 48

 57

 61

 75


 55

 56

 50

 47


Corporate Pensions

 49

 55

 44

 41


 53

 40

 45

 35


On-shore Bonds

 55

 51

 55

 67


 45

 38

 43

 50


Other Products

 37

 33

 31

 36


 32

 36

 32

 40


Wholesale

 -  

 27

 14

 -  


 -  

 -  

 15

 13


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

189

223

205

219


185

170

185

185


Group Total

951

1,065

1,045

1,120


1,017

1,096

1,103

1,207


 

Schedule A(vi) - Investment Operations - By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)

 

 

 

2012


2013



 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 


Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4



 

£m

£m

£m

£m 


£m

£m

£m

£m


Group Investment Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

106,984

109,507

110,204

120,709


129,498

138,926

137,407

142,820


Net Flows:(8)

 

2,116

3,251

6,975

6,165


3,502

2,344

5,093

126


 - Gross Inflows

 

9,183

9,305

13,228

13,783


13,409

14,561

13,528

11,006


 - Redemptions

 

(7,067)

(6,054)

(6,253)

(7,618)


(9,907)

(12,217)

(8,435)

(10,880)


Other Movements

 

407

(2,554)

3,530

2,624


5,926

(3,863)

320

970


Total Group Investment Operations(10)

 

109,507

110,204

120,709

129,498


138,926

137,407

142,820

143,916



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

M&G

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

44,228

47,972

48,352

51,951


54,879

61,427

62,655

64,504


Net Flows:

 

2,398

1,876

1,863

1,705


2,446

2,308

1,132

1,456


 - Gross Inflows

 

6,055

4,995

4,903

5,528


7,213

8,138

5,919

6,789


 - Redemptions

 

(3,657)

(3,119)

(3,040)

(3,823)


(4,767)

(5,830)

(4,787)

(5,333)


Other Movements

 

1,346

(1,496)

1,736

1,223


4,102

(1,080)

717

1,242


Closing FUM

 

47,972

48,352

51,951

54,879


61,427

62,655

64,504

67,202



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Comprising amounts for:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   UK

 

36,411

36,801

38,667

39,142


41,194

39,953

40,955

42,016


   Europe (excluding UK)

 

10,434

10,547

12,254

14,446


18,696

21,198

22,064

23,699


   South Africa

 

1,127

1,004

1,030

1,291


1,537

1,504

1,485

1,487



 

47,972

48,352

51,951

54,879


61,427

62,655

64,504

67,202



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Institutional(3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

47,720

45,371

46,291

52,215


56,989

57,745

55,484

59,810


Net Flows:

 

(631)

1,298

4,505

3,867


(15)

(899)

3,928

(866)


 - Gross Inflows

 

954

2,697

5,643

5,688


2,656

2,591

5,364

2,163


 - Redemptions

 

(1,585)

(1,399)

(1,138)

(1,821)


(2,671)

(3,490)

(1,436)

(3,029)


Other Movements

 

(1,718)

(378)

1,419

907


771

(1,362)

398

(157)


Closing FUM

 

45,371

46,291

52,215

56,989


57,745

55,484

59,810

58,787


Total M&G Investment Operations

 

93,343

94,643

104,166

111,868


119,172

118,139

124,314

125,989



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PPM South Africa FUM included in Total M&G

 

3,757

3,584

3,848

4,391


4,701

4,509

4,633

4,513



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eastspring - excluding MMF(8)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity/Bond/Other(7)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

13,007

13,970

13,423

14,508


15,457

17,206

16,756

16,133


Net Flows:

 

333

50

838

521


795

838

65

118


 - Gross Inflows

 

2,120

1,552

2,407

2,446


3,122

3,596

2,214

1,982


 - Redemptions

 

(1,787)

(1,502)

(1,569)

(1,925)


(2,327)

(2,758)

(2,149)

(1,864)


Other Movements

 

630

(597)

247

428


954

(1,288)

(688)

(142)


Closing FUM(5)

 

13,970

13,423

14,508

15,457


17,206

16,756

16,133

16,109



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Third Party Institutional Mandates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

2,029

2,194

2,138

2,035


2,173

2,548

2,512

2,373


Net Flows:

 

16

27

(231)

72


276

97

(32)

(582)


 - Gross Inflows

 

54

61

275

121


418

236

31

72


 - Redemptions

 

(38)

(34)

(506)

(49)


(142)

(139)

(63)

(654)


Other Movements

 

149

(83)

128

66


99

(133)

(107)

27


Closing FUM(5)

 

2,194

2,138

2,035

2,173


2,548

2,512

2,373

1,818



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Eastspring Investment Operations

 

16,164

15,561

16,543

17,630


19,754

19,268

18,506

17,927



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Curian - FUM(5) (9)

 

5,064

5,193

5,332

5,473


6,315

6,466

6,371

6,601


 

Schedule A(vii) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual Exchange Rates)

 

 

2012


2013



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2 

Q3

Q4



YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD


YTD

YTD 

YTD

YTD



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m 

£m

£m


Pre-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business profit(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

260

547

828

 1,266


308

659

990

 1,460


Total US Insurance Operations

214

442

683

873


192

479

756

 1,086


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

62

152

227

313


63

130

204

 297


Group Total

536

1,141

1,738

2,452


563

1,268

1,950

2,843



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual Equivalent(1a) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

443

899

1,328

1,897


495

1,010

1,523

2,125


Total US Insurance Operations

332

719

1,133

1,462


358

797

1,202

1,573


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

189

412

617

836


185

355

540

725


Group Total

964

2,030

3,078

4,195


1,038

2,162

3,265

4,423



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

59%

61%

62%

67%


62%

65%

65%

69%


Total US Insurance Operations

64%

61%

60%

60%


54%

60%

63%

69%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

33%

37%

37%

37%


34%

37%

38%

41%


Group Total

56%

56%

56%

58%


54%

59%

60%

64%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PVNBP(1a) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

2,303

4,725

7,074

10,544


2,734

5,524

8,206

11,375


Total US Insurance Operations

3,307

7,180

11,308

14,600


3,581

7,957

12,006

15,723


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

1,580

3,495

5,264

7,311


1,540

2,943

4,398

5,978


Group Total

7,190

15,400

23,646

32,455


7,855

16,424

24,610

33,076



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

11.3%

11.6%

11.7%

12.0%


11.3%

11.9%

12.1%

12.8%


Total US Insurance Operations

6.5%

6.2%

6.0%

6.0%


5.4%

6.0%

6.3%

6.9%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.9%

4.3%

4.3%

4.3%


4.1%

4.4%

4.6%

5.0%


Group Total

7.5%

7.4%

7.4%

7.6%


7.2%

7.7%

7.9%

8.6%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business profit(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

197

414

627

982


237

502

767

1,139


Total US Insurance Operations

139

288

444

568


125

311

492

706


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

47

116

173

241


48

100

163

237


Group Total

383

818

1,244

1,791


410

913

1,422

2,082



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

44%

46%

47%

52%


48%

50%

50%

54%


Total US Insurance Operations

42%

40%

39%

39%


35%

39%

41%

45%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

25%

28%

28%

29%


26%

28%

30%

33%


Group Total

40%

40%

40%

43%


39%

42%

44%

47%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

8.6%

8.8%

8.9%

9.3%


8.7%

9.1%

9.3%

10.0%


Total US Insurance Operations

4.2%

4.0%

3.9%

3.9%


3.5%

3.9%

4.1%

4.5%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.0%

3.3%

3.3%

3.3%


3.1%

3.4%

3.7%

4.0%


Group Total

5.3%

5.3%

5.3%

5.5%


5.2%

5.6%

5.8%

6.3%


 

Schedule A(viii) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note: In schedule A(viii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012.  The year-to-date amounts for 2013 are presented on actual exchange rates.

 

 

2012


2013



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2 

Q3

Q4



YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD


YTD

YTD 

YTD

YTD



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m 

£m

£m


Pre-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business profit(1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

 249

 528

 803

 1,227


308

659

 990

 1,460


Total US Insurance Operations

 215

 445

 689

 884


192

479

756

 1,086


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 62

 152

 227

 313


63

130

204

 297


Group Total

526

1,125

1,719

2,424


563

1,268

1,950

 2,843



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual Equivalent(1b) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

428

878

1,301

1,864


495

1,010

1,523

2,125


Total US Insurance Operations

334

726

1,143

1,481


358

797

1,202

1,573


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

189

412

617

836


185

355

540

725


Group Total

951

2,016

3,061

4,181


1,038

2,162

3,265

4,423



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

58%

60%

62%

66%


62%

65%

65%

69%


Total US Insurance Operations

64%

61%

60%

60%


54%

60%

63%

69%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

33%

37%

37%

37%


34%

37%

38%

41%


Group Total

55%

56%

56%

58%


54%

59%

60%

64%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PVNBP(1b) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

2,242

4,648

6,979

10,405


2,734

5,524

8,206

11,375


Total US Insurance Operations

3,321

7,236

11,403

14,789


3,581

7,957

12,006

15,723


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

1,580

3,495

5,264

7,311


1,540

2,943

4,398

5,978


Group Total

7,143

15,379

23,646

32,505


7,855

16,424

24,610

33,076



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax New business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

11.1%

11.4%

11.5%

11.8%


11.3%

11.9%

12.1%

12.8%


Total US Insurance Operations

6.5%

6.2%

6.0%

6.0%


5.4%

6.0%

6.3%

6.9%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.9%

4.3%

4.3%

4.3%


4.1%

4.4%

4.6%

5.0%


Group Total

7.4%

7.3%

7.3%

7.5%


7.2%

7.7%

7.9%

8.6%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business profit(1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

189

400

609

953


237

502

767

1,139


Total US Insurance Operations

140

290

448

575


125

311

492

706


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

47

116

173

241


48

100

163

237


Group Total

376

806

1,230

1,769


410

913

1,422

2,082



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

44%

46%

47%

51%


48%

50%

50%

54%


Total US Insurance Operations

42%

40%

39%

39%


35%

39%

41%

45%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

25%

28%

28%

29%


26%

28%

30%

33%


Group Total

40%

40%

40%

42%


39%

42%

44%

47%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

8.4%

8.6%

8.7%

9.2%


8.7%

9.1%

9.3%

10.0%


Total US Insurance Operations

4.2%

4.0%

3.9%

3.9%


3.5%

3.9%

4.1%

4.5%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.0%

3.3%

3.3%

3.3%


3.1%

3.4%

3.7%

4.0%


Group Total

5.3%

5.2%

5.2%

5.4%


5.2%

5.6%

5.8%

6.3%


 

Schedule A(ix) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (2013 and 2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note: In schedule A(ix) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012 and 2013, i.e the average exchange rate for the year ended 31 December 2013 is applied to each period for 2012 and 2013.

 

 

2012


2013



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2 

Q3

Q4



YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD


YTD

YTD 

YTD

YTD



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m 

£m

£m


Pre-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business profit(1c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

 249

 528

 803

 1,227


 295

 631

 964

 1,460


Total US Insurance Operations

 215

 445

 689

 884


 191

 472

 747

 1,086


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 62

 152

 227

 313


 63

 130

 204

 297


Group Total

526

1,125

1,719

2,424


549

1,233

1,915

2,843



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual Equivalent(1c) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

428

878

1,301

1,864


476

972

1,489

2,125


Total US Insurance Operations

334

726

1,143

1,481


356

786

1,187

1,573


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

189

412

617

836


185

355

540

725


Group Total

951

2,016

3,061

4,181


1,017

2,113

3,216

4,423



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

58%

60%

62%

66%


62%

65%

65%

69%


Total US Insurance Operations

64%

61%

60%

60%


54%

60%

63%

69%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

33%

37%

37%

37%


34%

37%

38%

41%


Group Total

55%

56%

56%

58%


54%

58%

60%

64%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PVNBP(1c) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

2,242

4,648

6,979

10,405


2,643

5,336

8,042

11,375


Total US Insurance Operations

3,321

7,236

11,403

14,789


3,553

7,852

11,865

15,723


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

1,580

3,495

5,264

7,311


1,540

2,943

4,398

5,978


Group Total

7,143

15,379

23,646

32,505


7,736

16,131

24,305

33,076



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

11.1%

11.4%

11.5%

11.8%


11.2%

11.8%

12.0%

12.8%


Total US Insurance Operations

6.5%

6.2%

6.0%

6.0%


5.4%

6.0%

6.3%

6.9%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.9%

4.3%

4.3%

4.3%


4.1%

4.4%

4.6%

5.0%


Group Total

7.4%

7.3%

7.3%

7.5%


7.1%

7.6%

7.9%

8.6%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business profit(1c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

 189

 400

 609

 953


 226

 480

 748

 1,139


Total US Insurance Operations

 140

 290

 448

 575


 124

 307

 486

 706


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 47

 116

 173

 241


 48

 100

 163

 237


Group Total

376

806

1,230

1,769


398

887

1,397

2,082



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

44%

46%

47%

51%


47%

49%

50%

54%


Total US Insurance Operations

42%

40%

39%

39%


35%

39%

41%

45%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

25%

28%

28%

29%


26%

28%

30%

33%


Group Total

40%

40%

40%

42%


39%

42%

43%

47%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

8.4%

8.6%

8.7%

9.2%


8.6%

9.0%

9.3%

10.0%


Total US Insurance Operations

4.2%

4.0%

3.9%

3.9%


3.5%

3.9%

4.1%

4.5%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.0%

3.3%

3.3%

3.3%


3.1%

3.4%

3.7%

4.0%


Group Total

5.3%

5.2%

5.2%

5.4%


5.1%

5.5%

5.7%

6.3%


 

B. Reconciliation of expected transfer of value of in-force (VIF) and required capital business to free surplus

The tables below show how the VIF generated by the in-force long-term business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over the next 40 years. Although a small amount (less than 2 per cent) of the Group's embedded value emerges after this date analysis of cash flows emerging in the years shown in the tables is considered most meaningful. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.

 

In addition to showing the amounts, both discounted and undiscounted, expected to be generated from all in-force business at 31 December 2013, the tables also present the expected future free surplus to be generated from the investment made in new business during 2013 over the same 40 year period.

 

Expected transfer of value of in-force (VIF) and required capital business to free surplus






2013 £m



Undiscounted expected generation from

all in-force business at 31 December*

 

Undiscounted expected generation from

2013 long-term new business written*

Expected period of emergence

Asia

US

UK

Total


Asia

US

UK

Total

2014

801

902

462

2,165


116

260

24

400

2015

821

817

471

2,109


140

113

21

274

2016

798

760

467

2,025


142

114

21

277

2017

735

709

467

1,911


111

40

19

170

2018

705

700

479

1,884


107

108

21

236

2019

682

666

466

1,814


93

92

20

205

2020

672

670

462

1,804


96

85

20

201

2021

665

623

455

1,743


99

127

20

246

2022

654

540

451

1,645


93

105

20

218

2023

650

469

461

1,580


105

88

21

214

2024

635

386

449

1,470


89

70

19

178

2025

633

313

440

1,386


93

58

18

169

2026

637

265

429

1,331


88

50

18

156

2027

637

228

423

1,288


89

43

18

150

2028

624

206

408

1,238


109

38

18

165

2029

596

174

401

1,171


84

29

18

131

2030

590

162

389

1,141


85

24

18

127

2031

570

146

377

1,093


84

20

18

122

2032

561

158

368

1,087


82

17

18

117

2033

544

85

363

992


90

15

19

124

2034-2038

2,586

305

1,400

4,291


399

32

82

513

2039-2043

2,334

104

1,152

3,590


357

(13)

96

440

2044-2048

2,075

569

2,644


313

54

367

2049-2053

1,808

336

2,144


276

37

313

Total free surplus expected to emerge in











the next 40 years

22,013

9,388

12,145

43,546


3,340

1,515

658

5,513

 

* The analysis excludes amounts incorporated into VIF at 31 December 2013 where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular it excludes the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate. It also excludes any free surplus emerging after 2053.Following its classification as held for sale, the Asia cashflows exclude any cashflows in respect of Japan.

 

The above amounts can be reconciled to the new business amounts as follows:

                                                                                               

New business

2013 £m



Asia

US

UK

Total

Undiscounted expected free surplus generation for years 2014-2053

3,340

1,515

658

5,513

Less: discount effect

(2,098)

(516)

(397)

(3,011)

Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2014-2053

1,242

999

261

2,502

Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2053+

52

 -  

2

54

Less: Free surplus investment in new business

(310)

(298)

(29)

(637)

Other items**

155

5

3

163

Post-tax EEV new business profit

1,139

706

237

2,082

Tax

321

380

60

761

Pre-tax EEV new business profit

1,460

1,086

297

2,843

 

**     Other items represent the impact of the time value of options and guarantees on new business, foreign exchange effects and other non-modelled items. Foreign exchange effects arise as EEV new business profit amounts are translated at average exchange rates and the expected free surplus generation uses year end closing rates.

 

The undiscounted expected free surplus generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2013 shown below can be reconciled to the amount that was expected to be generated as at 31 December 2012 as follows: 

 



2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Other



Total


Group

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m



£m


2012 expected free surplus generation for













years 2013-2052

1,950

1,816

1,788

1,687

1,671

1,594

24,646



35,152


Less: Amounts expected to be realised in













the current year

(1,950)

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  



(1,950)


Add: Expected free surplus to be generated













in year 2053 *

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 179



179


Foreign exchange differences

 -  

(90)

(84)

(75)

(72)

(68)

(1,204)



(1,593)


New business

 -  

400

274

277

170

236

4,156



5,513


Acquisition of Thanachart Life

 -  

17

13

11

8

5

20



74


Operating movements

 -  

(45)

1

1

16

26

5,655



6,171


Non-operating and other movements **

 -  

67

117

124

118

91




2013 expected free surplus generation for













years 2014-2053

 -  

2,165

2,109

2,025

1,911

1,884

33,452



43,546


 



2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Other



Total


Asia

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m



£m


2012 expected free surplus generation for













years 2013-2052

719

761

724

686

654

628

 13,069



 17,241


Less: Amounts expected to be realised













in the current year

(719)

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  



(719)


Add: Expected free surplus to be generated













 in year 2053 *

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 135



 135


Foreign exchange differences

 -  

(79)

(73)

(65)

(61)

(58)

(1,132)



(1,468)


New business

 -  

 116

 140

 142

 111

 107

 2,724



 3,340


Acquisition of Thanachart Life

 -  

 17

 13

 11

 8

 5

 20



 74


Operating movements

 -  

(21)

(5)

 3

 6

 3,337



 3,410


Non-operating and other movements**

 -  

 7

 22

 24

 20

 17




2013 expected free surplus generation for













years 2014-2053

 -  

 801

 821

 798

 735

 705

 18,153



 22,013


 



2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Other



Total


US

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m



£m


2012 expected free surplus generation for













years 2013-2052

785

572

600

557

587

551

3,897



 7,549


Less: Amounts expected













the current year

(785)

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  



(785)


Add: Expected free surplus  to be generated













in year 2053 *

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  



 -  


Foreign exchange differences

 -  

(11)

(11)

(10)

(11)

(10)

(72)



(125)


New business

 -  

 260

 113

 114

 40

 108

 880



 1,515


Operating movements

 -  

(6)

 3

 6

 18

 21

795



 1,234


Non-operating and other movements

 -  

 87

 112

 93

 75

 30




2013 expected free surplus generation for













years 2014-2053

 -  

902

817

760

709

700

5,500



 9,388


 



2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Other



Total


UK

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m



£m


2012 expected free surplus generation for













 years 2013-2052

446

483

464

444

430

415

7,680



 10,362


Less: Amounts expected to be realised in













the current year

(446)



(446)


Add: Expected free surplus to be generated













in year 2053*

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 -  

 44



 44


New business

 -  

 24

 21

 21

 19

 21

 552



 658


Operating movements

 -  

(18)

3

(5)

(5)

(1)

1,523



 1,527


Non-operating and other movements***

 -  

(27)

(17)

7

23

44




2013 expected free surplus generation for













years 2014-2053

 -  

462

471

467

467

479

9,799



 12,145


 

*      Excluding 2013 new business.

**    Includes the removal of Japan Life business following its reclassification as held for sale.

*** The amounts shown above for non-operating and other movements include the effects of a partial hedge of the future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK's with-profits sub-fund that was transacted in 2013. This hedge reduces the risk arising from equity market declines for the years 2014-2018. However, in rising equity markets as assumed in preparing the EEV results, the hedge reduces the projected free surplus benefit of those higher returns. Consistent with this feature, for 2014 the expected free surplus generation compared to that expected at 31 December 2012 is reduced by £(58) million as a result of this hedge. 

 

At 31 December 2013 the total free surplus expected to be generated over the next five years (years 2014-2018 inclusive), using the same assumptions and methodology as underpin our embedded value reporting was £10.1 billion, an increase of £1.5 billion from the £8.6 billion expected over the same period at the end of 2012.

 

This increase primarily reflects the new business written in 2013, which is expected to generate £1,357 million of free surplus over the next five years. Operating, non-operating and other items are expected to increase free surplus generation by £570 million over the next five years, but this has been offset by adverse foreign exchange movements of £389 million.

 

At 31 December 2013 the total free surplus expected to be generated on an undiscounted basis in the next forty years is £43.5 billion, up from the £35 billion expected at end of 2012 reflecting the effect of new business written and the positive market movements in Asia, following increases in bond yields principally in Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore, together with higher projected separate account fees following increase in US equities values. The foreign exchange translation effect arising across US and Asia operations is a reduction of £1.6 billion. The overall growth in the undiscounted value of free surplus, reflects both our ability to write new business on attractive economics and to manage the in-force book for value, as well as the positive gearing of our cash flows to rising long-term yields and equity markets.

 

Actual underlying free surplus generated in 2013 from life business in-force at the end of 2012 was £2.6 billion inclusive of £0.5 billion of changes in operating assumptions and experience variances. This compares with the expected 2013 realisation at the end of 2012 of £2.0 billion. This can be analysed further as follows:

 


Asia

US

UK

Total


£m

£m

£m

£m

Transfer to free surplus in 2013

713

796

508

 2,017

Expected return on free assets

74

41

 18

 133

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances

32

292

154

 478

Underlying free surplus generated from in-force life business in 2013

819

 1,129

680

 2,628






2013 free surplus expected to be generated at 31/12/2012

719

785

446

 1,950






 

The equivalent discounted amounts of the undiscounted totals shown previously are outlined below:






2013 £m



Discounted expected generation from all

in-force business at 31 December


Discounted expected generation from

long-term 2013 new business written

Expected period of emergence

Asia

US

UK

Total


Asia

US

UK

Total

2014

759

866

431

 2,056


110

250

22

382

2015

717

737

410

 1,864


119

101

18

238

2016

646

642

381

 1,669


111

95

17

223

2017

553

562

354

 1,469


80

32

15

127

2018

493

519

339

 1,351


71

79

15

165

2019

443

463

308

 1,214


57

63

14

134

2020

406

436

285

 1,127


54

54

13

121

2021

375

380

261

 1,016


52

76

12

140

2022

343

311

242

 896


44

58

11

113

2023

316

255

230

 801


47

45

11

103

2024

291

197

208

 696


37

33

10

80

2025

271

150

190

 611


36

25

8

69

2026

254

121

172

 547


31

20

8

59

2027

238

99

158

 495


30

16

8

54

2028

221

86

142

 449


35

13

7

55

2029

199

69

130

 398


25

10

6

41

2030

185

63

117

 365


24

8

6

38

2031

170

55

105

 330


22

6

6

34

2032

157

57

96

 310


21

5

5

31

2033

144

27

88

 259


22

4

5

31

2034-2038

587

98

269

 954


85

7

19

111

2039-2043

405

41

151

 597


59

(1)

15

73

2044-2048

281

47

 328


41

6

47

2049-2053

192

20

 212


29

4

33

Total discounted free surplus











expected to emerge in the next 40 years

 8,646

 6,234

 5,134

 20,014


 1,242

 999

 261

 2,502

 

The above amounts can be reconciled to the Group's financial statements as follows:

 

 

Total


£m

Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years 2014-2053

20,014

Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years after 2053

393

Discounted expected generation from all in-force business (excluding Japan) at 31 December 2013 note 13

20,407

Add: Free surplus of life operations held at 31 December 2013 note 12

3,220

Less: Time value of guarantees note 13

(196)

Expected cashflow from the sale of Japan Life business**

25

Other non-modelled items* note 13

1,157

Total EEV for life operations

24,613

 

* These relate to items where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received and are, consequently, excluded from the amounts incorporated into the tables above showing the expected generation of free surplus from in-force business at 31 December 2013. In particular it excludes the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate.

** Upon completion of the sale of the Japan Life business  £25 million of free surplus will be released. See note 4 of the EEV basis results section for further details.

 

C Additional information on pre and post-tax EEV basis results

 

The Group intends to alter its basis of presentation of EEV results for 2014 and subsequent reporting periods to a post-tax basis, in line with the approach adopted by a number of international insurance groups. The following tables provide an analysis of the Group's profit and loss account and key accompanying notes on a pre-tax and post-tax basis for the most recent reporting periods.

 

Pre and post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns              

 



Pre-tax


Post-taxnote (i)

 

 

Full year 2013

£m

Full year 2012

£m

Half year 2013

£m


Full year 2013

£m

Full year 2012

£m

Half year 2013

£m

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,460

 1,266

 659


 1,139

 982

 502








 

Unwind of discount and other expected returns

 846

 595

 400


 668

 465

 315

 

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

 17

 22

(13)


 5

 13

(6)

 

Experience variances and other items

 64

 75

 33


 80

 76

 18

 

 927

 692

 420


 753

 554

 327

 2,387

 1,958

 1,079


 1,892

 1,536

 829

 74

 69

 38


 64

 58

 32

(2)

(7)

(2)


(1)

(5)

(2)

Total*

 2,459

 2,020

 1,115


 1,955

 1,589

 859

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 1,086

 873

 479


 706

 568

 311

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unwind of discount and other expected returns

608

 412

 287


395

 268

 187

 

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

116

 35

70


76

 23

45

 

Experience variances and other items

411

 290

 180


349

 238

 164

 

 1,135

 737

 537


 820

 529

 396

 2,221

 1,610

 1,016


 1,526

 1,097

 707

 59

 39

 34


 39

 18

 21

Total

 2,280

 1,649

 1,050


 1,565

 1,115

 728

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

297

 313

 130


237

 241

 100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unwind of discount and other expected returns

547

 482

 267


437

 373

 204

 

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

122

 87

-


98

 67

-

 

Experience variances and other items

67

(16)

7


60

10

-

 

 736

 553

 274


 595

 450

 204

 1,033

 866

 404


 832

 691

 304

29

 33

 15


 22

 25

 11

Total UK insurance operations

 1,062

 899

 419


 854

 716

 315

M&G (including Prudential Capital)

 441

 371

 225


 346

 285

 175

Total

 1,503

 1,270

 644


 1,200

 1,001

 490

(619)

(554)

(304)


(482)

(476)

(235)

Solvency II and restructuring costs

(43)

(72)

(26)


(34)

(55)

(21)

Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 5,580

 4,313

 2,479


 4,204

 3,174

 1,821

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 2,843

 2,452

 1,268


 2,082

 1,791

 913

Business in force*:

 2,798

 1,982

 1,231


 2,168

 1,533

 927

 5,641

 4,434

 2,499


 4,250

 3,324

 1,840

 574

 479

 297


 449

 361

 228

(635)

(600)

(317)


(495)

(511)

(247)

Total*

 5,580

 4,313

 2,479


 4,204

 3,174

 1,821

*  The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18 of the EEV basis results section.

 

Summary of consolidated income statement








 

 

Pre-tax


Post-taxnote (i)

 

 

Full year 2013 £m

Full year 2012 £m

Half year 2013 £m


Full year 2013 £m

Full year 2012 £m

Half year 2013 £m

Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns*

5,580

4,313

2,479


 4,204

3,174

1,821

Non-operating profit:








Short-term fluctuations in investment returns:








 

Asia operations*

(405)

362

(282)


(308)

302

(223)

 

US operations

(422)

(254)

(404)


(280)

(163)

(271)

 

UK insurance operations

35

315

(92)


28

243

(70)

 

Other operations*

(27)

87

(30)


(4)

83

(23)

 

 

(819)

510

(808)


(564)

465

(587)

Effect of changes in economic assumptions:








 

Asia operations

283

(135)

333


255

(99)

272

 

US operations

372

85

62


242

56

40

 

UK insurance operations

166

48

289


132

37

222

 

 

 821

(2)

 684


629

(6)

534

Other non-operating profit

 82

136

156


89

136

156

Total non-operating profit*

 84

 644

 32


 154

 595

 103

Profit attributable to Shareholders*

 5,664

 4,957

 2,511


 4,358

 3,769

 1,924

*  The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18 of the EEV basis results section.

 

Notes

 

(i)     The tax rates include the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.

 

(ii)    New business contribution

 



Pre-tax

new business contribution £m


Post-tax

new business contribution £m



Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total

Full year 2013

1,460

1,086

297

2,843


1,139

706

237

2,082

Q3 2013

990

756

204

1,950


767

492

163

1,422

Half year 2013

659

479

130

1,268


502

311

100

913

Q1 2013

308

192

63

563


237

125

48

410

Full year 2012

1,266

873

313

2,452


982

568

241

1,791

Q3 2012

828

683

227

1,738


627

444

173

1,244

Half year 2012

547

442

152

1,141


414

288

116

818

Q1 2012

260

214

62

536


197

139

47

383

Full year 2011

1,076

815

260

2,151


811

530

195

1,536

 

(iii)   New business contribution by Asia territory

 



Pre-tax


Post-tax



Full year 2013 £m

Full year 2012 £m

Half year 2013 £m


Full year 2013 £m

Full year 2012 £m

Half year 2013 £m

Asia operations:









China

 37

26

 17


28

20

13


Hong Kong

 354

210

 162


283

162

125


India

 18

19

 10


15

15

8


Indonesia

 480

476

 228


359

365

174


Korea

 33

26

 19


25

20

14


Taiwan

 37

48

 16


31

40

13


Other

 501

461

 207


398

360

155

Total Asia operations

 1,460

 1,266

 659


 1,139

982

 502

 

Foreign currency source of key metrics

 

The tables below show the Group's key free surplus, IFRS and EEV metrics analysis by contribution by currency group:

 

Free surplus and IFRS full year 2013 results

 

 

Underlying free surplus generated2

Pre-tax

Operating profit2,3,4

Shareholders' funds2,3,4

 

%

%

%

US$ linked1

14

19

14

Other Asia currencies

9

17

18

Total Asia

23

36

32

UK sterling3,4

42

20

53

US$4

35

44

15

Total

100

100

100

 

EEV full year 2013 results

 

 

 

 

 

 Pre-tax New

Business profits

Pre-tax

Operating Profit2,3,4

Shareholders'

Funds2,3,4

 

 

%

%

%

US$ linked1

 29

 26

 28

Other Asia currencies

 22

 18

 15

Total Asia

 51

 44

 43

UK sterling3,4

11

15

37

US$4

38

41

20

Total

100

100

100

 

1US$ linked - comprising the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.

2Includes long-term, asset management business and other businesses.

3For operating profit and shareholders' funds UK sterling includes amounts in respect of central operations as well as UK insurance operations and M&G.

4 For shareholders' funds, the US$ grouping includes US$ denominated core structural borrowings. Sterling operating profits include all interest payable as sterling denominated, reflecting interest rate currency swaps in place.


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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