Monthly Briefing August 2003

Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC 12 September 2003 The Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC As at 28th August 2003 Fund Objective To maximise long-term total returns subject to the avoidance of loss of absolute value and with a minimum objective to maintain the real purchasing power of Sterling capital, as measured by the annual average yield on the 2.5% Consolidated Loan Stock. Share Price GBP 92.50 Net Asset Value GBP 97.76 Premium (Discount) (5.4%) Market Capitalisation GBP 18.5mn Source: Bloomberg; NAV - LTL Performance (based in GBP) Aug Jul Jun YTD Since Launch NAV +1.7% +2.0% -0.9% +4.7% -2.2% Share Price +2.2% -1.1% -4.2% -2.6% -7.5% Source: Bloomberg. Based in GBP. Top 10 Holdings % NAV Industry Breakdown % NAV US Gov Treasury 6.25% 21.0 Bonds 36.2 Lindsell Train Japan (Dist) 12.3 Preference Shares 12.9 Lindsell Train Global Media (Dist) 10.9 Equity - Media 9.4 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock 8.6 Equity - Banks & Investment Co. 4.0 HBOS 9.25% Non Cum 8.0 Equity - Leisure & Entertainment 8.9 Barr AG 8.0 Equity - Food & Beverage 22.3 Glenmorangie plc A&B 6.6 Investment Fund 23.2 UK Treasury 2.5% 6.6 Cash & Equivalent (16.9) Cadbury Schweppes 5.7 Total 100.0 HBOS 6.125% Non Cum 4.9 Geographical Breakdown % NAV Currency Exposure % NAV Bonds 36.2 USD 51.0 UK 15.2 JPY 0.6 US 21.0 EUR 0.5 Preference 12.9 GBP 47.9 Shares 44.6 Total 100.0 Equities UK 33.5 US 4.6 Japan 4.2 Europe 2.4 23.2 Funds LT Japan 12.3 LT Global Media 10.9 (16.9) Cash & Equivalent Total 100.0 Fund Manager's Comments We have taken a number of measures recently to boost the income generated by the trust. We sold the US index linked long bond and invested the proceeds into the US conventional long bond, which expires in 2030. In doing so we raised the yield on this 5% of the portfolio by approximately 2.5%. At the same time we realised the profit from the out-performance of the inflation linked over the conventional that had occurred over the last two and a half years since we bought both. We put this out-performance down to the lingering fear of inflation on the part of the majority of investors. When switching money out of equities into bonds over the last two years investors did so cautiously. They bought short dated issues and hedged their bets by buying inflation linked bonds, as they suspected that the extent of monetary ease by Central Banks might ultimately rekindle inflation. Now that Central banks, notably the US Federal Reserve, have reduced rates so far, this fear is now well priced into markets, with inflation linked yields having fallen more than conventional ones. Our belief is that even with the unprecedented low levels of short term interest rates no increase in inflation will result from the Federal Reserve's or any other Central Bank's action and indeed the trend towards, or fear of, mild deflation will continue. When investors recognise this conventional bonds that now yield 5.5% nominal and 4.6% real (if deflated by the US GDP deflator) should vastly out-perform the lower yielding inflation linked bonds. The recent rise in long-term interest rates has encouraged us to add to our holdings of the UK irredeemable bonds and the HBOS preference shares, both of which we were able to buy at what we regard as highly attractive yields, 4.9% and 6.5% net. Our ability to buy more of the preference shares has been made possible by selling our complete position in HBOS ordinary, where we were bothered by the risk of a decline in banking credit quality should UK house prices decline materially particularly given the scale of our exposure to the group. Nonetheless, despite tempting fate, we will be staggered if HBOS fails to pay its preference dividends even if the ordinary is cut. We used the HBOS proceeds to add to our holding in Diageo, which not only yielded more than HBOS ordinary, but also has recently reported satisfactory results increasing its dividend by 7.5%. The purchases of fixed interest help to maintain the Company's percentage exposure to it at a time when prices are weak and when our equities are doing better, but, as we have mentioned before we need to be vigilant not to generate too much unfranked income (income from fixed interest, but not from preference shares) lest we pay tax on the excess of it above our expenses. One significant expense for the company is the cost of our £3.4m of short-term borrowing currently costing approximately 4.25% per annum. Recently we have increased the gearing from 10% (at the end of March) to 17%. For every £5 we invest in unfranked income we strive to invest £1 in franked income, which should keep our unfranked income in line with our expenses whilst at the same time boosting materially the income of the Company. The only asset that we have bought since the end of March that patently does not satisfy our high income aspiration is Nintendo. Nintendo's yield is 1.4%, not so bad in Japan where bond yields are the same, but wholly lacking compared to the yield on most other assets we own. We are tolerant of this largely because the Company, more than any other we own, generates prodigious free cash flow. At today's price the free cash flow yield on enterprise value is currently almost 15%. This is mainly because Nintendo has such large cash reserves. Last year the company used 10% of these reserves to buy back shares at price within 10% of todays, an action that we judge to be highly accretive for existing shareholders. It is probably not realistic to assume that all the Company's cash will distributed to shareholders in this way or indeed through higher dividend payments because it is prudent for the company to retain some cash capital, given the fast changing nature of technology and the balance sheet strength of some of its competitors, e.g. Microsoft. However even if we assume that 50% of Nintendo's cash does not 'really' belong to us (i.e. it must be held in reserve for unforeseen business threats), still the free cash flow yield is just under 10%, which remains very competitive against almost any company we might invest in, anywhere in the world. We don't know when but retain the belief that Nintendo will provide greater ongoing tangible returns to investors probably, at the same time as its cross shareholders liquidate their holdings. So far this year, the investing activity described above, together with the ongoing dividend increases from the companies we own, has helped increase our gross income forecasts for the first half of our fiscal year by 5% from £372,000 to £389,000. Fund Manager Launch Date Denominated Currency Nick Train 22 January 2001 GBP Year End Dividend Benchmark 31st March Ex-date: June The annual average yield Payment: August on the 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. The Board Management Fees Registered Address Rhoddy Swire Standard Fee: 0.65% p.a. Lindsell Train Investment Michael Mackenzie Performance Fee: 10% of annual Trust Donald Adamson increase in the share price, plus 77A High Street Michael Lindsell dividend, Brentwood above the gross annual yield of ESSEX DM14 4RR the 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. Sedol No Bloomberg 3197794 LTI LN Disclaimer The contents in this document is solely for information purposes only. The information contained herein does not constitute an offer or invitation to buy or subscribe any securities or funds in any jurisdiction in which such distribution is not authorised. Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice and cannot be relied upon in making any investment decision. Applications to invest in some of the funds must only be made on the basis of offer documents which may only be available for private circulation. The information contained in this document is published in good faith and neither Lindsell Train Limited nor any other person so connected assumes any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information as provided. No representation is made or assurance given that any statements made, views, projections or forecasts are correct or that objectives will be achieved. Lindsell Train and/or persons connected with it may have an interest in the Fund. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. You may not get back the amount you invested. Foreign exchange rates may cause the value of investments to go up or down. Investments may be subject to higher volatility in certain funds and the investment value may fall suddenly and substantially. Lindsell Train Limited 35 Thurloe Street, London SW7 2LQ Tel. +44 20 7225 6400 Fax. +44 20 7225 6499 info@lindselltrain.com www.lindselltrain.com Lindsell Train Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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