Syndicate 33 Forecasts

Hiscox PLC 21 August 2003 OPEN YEAR FORECASTS FOR SYNDICATE 33 MANAGED BY HISCOX SYNDICATES LTD The board of Hiscox plc announces the updated forecasts for Syndicate 33 results, as reported to Lloyd's. The Syndicate forecasts below are after standard personal expenses but before Members Agents charges. Standard personal expenses comprise managing agent fees and profit commission and all charges levied directly on members by Lloyd's. Syndicate forecasts as % of capacity. Year Current estimate Previous Capacity Hiscox plc estimate share 2001 (17.5%) to (22.5%) (5%) to (10%) £360m 53% 2002 22.5% to 27.5% 17.5% to 22.5% £504m 55% 2003 no estimate given £842m 65% yet The increased forecast loss for 2001 follows our decision to increase the reserves for the World Trade Centre (WTC) loss to the current level of notifications, $588 million, from the previous reserves of $475 million. This increases Hiscox plc's reserves for WTC to £80 million. Claims continue to settle lower than the notifications level, however they are taking longer to settle than we anticipated and we wish to rid ourselves of any perceived uncertainty as to the level of WTC reserves. We continue to take no account of subrogation though we believe that this will produce a significant pay-back in the future. The 2002 account forecast profit has increased to a mid-point of 25%. The gross incurred loss ratio at the end of June was 19.5%. This is the best the Syndicate has had since 1946, the earliest year for which we have records. In 2003 trading conditions for the whole group remain strong. Market expectations for the half-year results for Hiscox plc will still be achieved despite the strengthening of WTC reserves. Robert Hiscox said 'The Syndicate has some exceptional figures in the pipeline, both the UK Retail and International businesses are making great strides in profitability and we now have stronger reserves. The future looks good.' For further information: Hiscox plc Bronek Masojada Chief Executive 020 7448 6012 Stuart Bridges Finance Director 020 7448 6013 The Maitland Consultancy Suzanne Bartch 020 7379 5151 Notes to editors 1. •Hiscox plc is a specialist insurance group listed on the London Stock Exchange where it has a market capitalisation of circa £450 million. There are three main underwriting parts of the Group - Syndicate 33 at Lloyd's, UK Retail and International Retail business. Syndicate 33 had a premium income of £726 million in 2002. It underwrites mainly internationally traded business in the London Market - generally large or complex business which needs to be shared with other insurers or needs the international licences of Lloyd's. The UK Retail business had a premium income of £148 million in 2002. It offers a wide range of specialist insurance for professionals and business customers, as well as high net worth individuals. It has regional offices in Birmingham, Glasgow, Leeds and Maidenhead. The International Retail business had a premium income of £67 million in 2002. It has offices in Paris, Amsterdam, Munich and Guernsey. The European offices write mainly high value household business and some specialist professional indemnity business. The Guernsey office underwrites kidnap and ransom business and fine art. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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