Syndicate Results

Amlin PLC 21 February 2003 PRESS RELEASE DATE 21 February 2003 Amlin plc: Syndicate Results and Forecasts Amlin Underwriting Limited, the leading managing agency owned by Amlin plc ('Amlin'), has released its managed syndicates' final results for the 2000 year of account, an updated forecast for the 2001 year of account and a preliminary forecast for the 2002 year of account. Trading conditions Amlin is continuing to experience strong trading conditions in all of its principal lines of business. The 2003 renewal season witnessed rate increases in most classes albeit at a slower rate than in 2002. Syndicate 2001 is experiencing strong income flow with gross premiums (net of brokerage) to the end of January 2003 up 45% at £275.6 million, compared to £190.0 million in the same period in 2002. Syndicate 2001 The result for the 2000 year of account and forecasts for the 2001 and 2002 years of account are as follows: Amlin Result/ Current Previous Year of Capacity Share forecasts forecasts account £m % % to % % to % 2000 423.4 55.8 (2.6) (4.0) to 1.0 2001 574.5 69.6 (1.5) to 3.5 (4.0) to 1.0 2002 800.0 72.3 11.0 to 16.0 - 2000 year of account The result for the 2000 year of account was a loss of 2.6% of capacity. Underwriting conditions in most areas remained poor in 2000 and the year was affected by the losses arising from the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks. Excluding the impact of these attacks the syndicate made a profit of 1.3% of capacity. The syndicate wrote £398.4 million of premium income in the 2000 year of account. Good positive results were achieved in the property reinsurance and UK commercial motor accounts, while the large direct property insurance, US casualty and the aviation accounts suffered losses. The remaining accounts operated at around break-even. The direct property insurance and US casualty insurance accounts have been repositioned and US casualty reserves for the 2000 and prior years have been strengthened in the light of development over the course of 2002. The aviation account losses arose mainly from the 11 September terrorist attacks. 2001 year of account forecast £581.4 million of gross premium income (net of brokerage) is currently forecast for this year of account. Improved trading conditions were experienced throughout the year with material changes to pricing and terms after 11 September. Approximately £140 million of gross premium income (net of brokerage) is estimated to have been written after 11 September, including a large proportion of the Syndicate's aviation account. The year also benefited from actions taken in 1999 and 2000 to address under-performing businesses and to improve the organisational structure and operating efficiency of the syndicate. As previously reported, the 11 September 2001 losses fall mainly on this year of account. The forecast of 2001 year of account losses arising from this event has improved marginally during the quarter with encouraging indications that some major losses will settle below reserved figures. The assumption continues to be made that the destruction of the World Trade Centre itself was one occurrence. Excluding the effect of the 11 September losses, Syndicate 2001 is forecast to make a profit of 14.6% of capacity in the 2001 year of account. Preliminary 2002 year of account forecast Syndicate 2001 continued to experience strong rating improvements during 2002 and is currently forecasting gross premium income for the 2002 year of account (net of brokerage) of £836.7 million, up 44% on 2001 year of account income. Loss experience to date has been low, with a gross incurred loss ratio at 31 December 2002 of 19.3%, compared to 46.4% for the 2001 year of account at the same stage. This is the lowest fourth quarter ratio for the last nine years. The forecast has been made at an earlier stage than in prior years and a considerable amount of business remains on risk. However, if a 'normal' level of loss development is experienced between now and the closure of the year of account, Amlin would expect the result to be better than the mid-point of the forecast range. Discontinued syndicates Syndicates 902 and 1141 ceased to trade in 2000. The final result of Syndicate 902 for the 2000 year of account was a loss of 28.8%. Syndicate 1141 made a final loss of 46.8% reflecting its exposure to US casualty business where development during 2002 has required a strengthening of reserves for business written from 1998 through 2000. Charles Philipps, Chief Executive of Amlin, commented: 'Amlin is making solid progress. The improving syndicate results reflect the quality and hard work of our team, the better trading environment and the benefit of positive changes made to improve performance. We remain confident about the outlook for our business'. Enquiries: Charles Philipps, Amlin plc 0207 746 1050 Richard Hextall, Amlin plc 0207 746 1054 David Haggie, Haggie Financial Limited 0207 417 8989 07768 332486 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
UK 100

Latest directors dealings