Some companies move the market every time they publish an
RNS. Others can release results, contract updates or strategic announcements
and barely generate a ripple in their share price. This difference raises an
interesting question for investors: which companies consistently generate the
highest levels of volatility when they communicate with the market? The concept
of an RNS Volatility Index provides a framework for measuring the average
share-price movement associated with a company's announcements. Using
historical share-price behaviour from Google Finance and disclosure activity
across the London Stock Exchange, investors can assess which issuers routinely
surprise the market and which maintain highly predictable communication
records.
What Is the RNS Volatility Index?
The RNS Volatility Index measures the average share-price
movement generated following corporate announcements. A simplified methodology
would assess:
- Same-day
share-price movement.
- Intraday
trading range.
- One-week
follow-through.
- Frequency
of large price moves.
- Relative
movement versus sector peers.
Companies consistently producing large reactions would score
highly, while businesses generating modest and predictable reactions would rank
lower. Importantly, a high volatility score is not inherently positive or
negative. It simply indicates that announcements regularly contain material new
information that changes investor expectations.
Why Some Companies Generate More Volatility
Several factors determine how strongly investors react to
company announcements.
Information Asymmetry
Companies with limited analyst coverage often experience
larger post-announcement moves because investors possess less information
before the news is released.
This is particularly evident among:
- AIM
companies.
- Small-cap
technology firms.
- Exploration
companies.
- Development-stage
biotechnology businesses.
For these issuers, a single announcement can significantly
alter market perceptions.
Business Model Complexity
Businesses operating in emerging industries frequently
generate stronger reactions because future earnings are more difficult to
predict.
Examples include:
- Artificial
intelligence.
- Biotechnology.
- Defence
technology.
- Early-stage
energy transition projects.
Where uncertainty is highest, each new disclosure carries
greater valuation implications. AI-related disclosures and technology-driven
business updates have become increasingly prominent across UK-listed companies
in recent years.
Guidance Frequency
Companies providing regular and detailed updates often
generate lower average volatility because investors receive information
continuously.
By contrast, businesses communicating infrequently can
experience larger share-price adjustments when significant updates finally
arrive.
The Highest-Volatility Sectors
Biotechnology and Life Sciences
Volatility Score: Very High
Biotechnology companies would likely dominate any RNS
Volatility Index.
Typical volatility catalysts include:
- Clinical
trial results.
- Regulatory
approvals.
- Licensing
announcements.
- Research
milestones.
A single announcement can transform future revenue
assumptions, creating substantial one-day gains or losses.
Mining and Exploration
Volatility Score: Very High
Resource companies regularly generate dramatic reactions
through:
- Drilling
results.
- Resource
estimates.
- Discovery
updates.
- Permit
approvals.
Because underlying asset values are often uncertain, the
market reacts aggressively to new geological information.
Technology
Volatility Score: High
Technology firms frequently produce significant volatility
through:
- AI
announcements.
- Product
launches.
- Strategic
partnerships.
- Customer
wins.
The strongest reactions typically occur when new information
affects future growth expectations.
Defence
Volatility Score: High
Defence companies have become increasingly market-sensitive
as investor attention has grown around procurement spending, autonomous systems
and national security technologies. Major contract awards often trigger
sizeable share-price movements.
The Lowest-Volatility Sectors
Utilities
Volatility Score: Low
Regulated business models and stable cash flows generally
result in smaller market reactions.
Investors often have strong visibility over future
performance, reducing the informational impact of individual announcements.
Consumer Staples
Volatility Score: Low to Moderate
Established consumer businesses typically experience
relatively predictable trading patterns and earnings streams.
As a result, announcements rarely trigger extreme valuation
adjustments.
Large Financial Institutions
Volatility Score: Moderate
Banks and insurers publish extensive data throughout the
year, reducing the surprise element surrounding most announcements.
Significant movements generally occur only when earnings
diverge materially from expectations.
Characteristics of High-Volatility Issuers
Analysis of historical market behaviour suggests that
companies generating the highest announcement volatility often display the
following traits:
Small Market Capitalisation
Smaller companies are typically more sensitive to news
because:
- Liquidity
is lower.
- Analyst
coverage is limited.
- Information
gaps are larger.
A transformational contract or operational update can
therefore produce outsized effects.
Concentrated Revenue Sources
Companies dependent on:
- A
small number of customers.
- A
handful of projects.
- Specific
regulatory approvals.
often generate greater volatility because each announcement
has a larger potential impact on future earnings.
Emerging Growth Themes
Businesses exposed to major market themes tend to generate
stronger reactions.
Current examples include:
- Artificial
intelligence.
- Defence
innovation.
- Energy
security.
- Cybersecurity.
Investor attention amplifies the impact of related
announcements
What Generates the Biggest RNS Moves?
Historical analysis suggests that the largest volatility
spikes typically follow:
- Profit
warnings.
- Takeover
approaches.
- Clinical
trial outcomes.
- Major
contract awards.
- Earnings
upgrades.
- Strategic
acquisitions.
- Emergency
fundraisings.
- Regulatory
approvals.
- Significant
director buying clusters.
- Resource
discoveries.
These announcement categories directly affect expectations
regarding future value creation.
A Hypothetical RNS Volatility League Table
If issuers were grouped by average announcement impact, a
typical ranking might resemble:
Very High Volatility
--------------------
Biotechnology
Junior Mining
Exploration Energy
Early-Stage Technology
High Volatility
---------------
Defence Technology
Software
Industrial Growth Companies
Specialist Engineering
Moderate Volatility
-------------------
Financial Services
Asset Managers
Property Companies
Consumer Cyclicals
Low Volatility
--------------
Utilities
Consumer Staples
Infrastructure Assets
Large Regulated Businesses
The ranking reflects announcement sensitivity rather than
investment quality.
High Volatility: Opportunity or Risk?
The answer depends on investor objectives.
Opportunities
High-volatility issuers can provide:
- Significant
upside potential.
- Faster
re-ratings.
- More
event-driven opportunities.
- Greater
inefficiencies.
These characteristics appeal to active investors.
Risks
The same companies also face:
- Larger
drawdowns.
- Greater
earnings uncertainty.
- Wider
valuation swings.
- Increased
financing risk.
High volatility amplifies both gains and losses.
The Link Between Volatility and Disclosure Quality
Interestingly, high volatility does not necessarily indicate
poor communication.
In many cases, the opposite is true.
Companies releasing material operational data, measurable
milestones and meaningful updates often generate stronger reactions precisely
because investors trust the information being provided.
The distinction lies between:
- Volatility
caused by new information.
- Volatility
caused by uncertainty.
The former is often healthy. The latter is typically more
problematic.
What Investors Should Watch
When assessing a company's RNS Volatility Index profile,
investors should consider:
- Frequency
of major price movements.
- Quality
of disclosures.
- Historical
guidance accuracy.
- Sector
dynamics.
- Market
capitalisation.
- Analyst
coverage levels.
A consistently high volatility score may indicate a stock
worth monitoring closely around announcement dates.
Conclusion
The RNS Volatility Index offers a useful lens through which
to view corporate disclosures and investor behaviour. Analysis of historical
share-price movements and London market disclosure trends suggests that
biotechnology, mining, technology and defence companies generate the largest
average reactions because each announcement has the potential to reshape
expectations for future earnings and growth. Meanwhile, utilities, consumer
staples and mature financial institutions generally produce lower
announcement-driven volatility due to more predictable business models and
greater earnings visibility. Understanding which companies consistently move
the market can provide a valuable edge. After all, in a market increasingly
driven by information, some companies don't just release news, they create it.
