Operations Update and Mid-Year Reserves Results
NOT FOR RELEASE, DISTRIBUTION, PUBLICATION, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN OR INTO OR FROM THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, JAPAN, THE REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA OR ANY OTHER JURISDICTION WHERE TO DO SO MIGHT CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF THE RELEVANT LAWS OR REGULATIONS OF SUCH JURISDICTION.
ARROW ANNOUNCES OPERATIONS UPDATE, UPCOMING PROJECTS AND
MID-YEAR RESERVES RESULTS
Drilling success and Colombian oil prices resulted in a 164% increase in 1P NPV, 79% increase in 2P NPV and 3P NPV increased by 67%, 2P reserve replacement ratio was 219%
CALGARY, August 24, 2022 - Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL; TSXV: AXL) ("Arrow" or the "Company"), is pleased to provide an operations update and announce the results of the 2022 mid-year reserve evaluation by Boury Energy Consultants Ltd. ("BouryGEC") as at 30 June 2022.
Highlights
· Proved (1P) Reserves:
o PDP reserves increased 25% to 1.292 MMBls mainly from the Tapir Block.
o 1P reserves also increased by 17% to 3.567 MMBls reflecting the positive results from the recent drilling campaign.
o 1P Net Present Value, before tax, discounted at 10% ("NPV-10"), is significantly higher with an increase of 164% to US$ 77.7 million.
· Proved plus Probable (2P reserves)
o 2P reserves increase to 7.864 MMBls of oil.
o NPV-10 increased to US$ 150.4 million from US$ 84.1 million as at December 31, 2021, a 79% increase.
· Proved plus Probable plus Possible (3P reserves):
o 3P reserves volume increase to 11.759 MMBls.
o NPV-10 grew 67% to US$ 223.6 million from US$ 133.9 million as at 31 December 2021.
· Oil price and new hydrocarbon accumulations resulted in positive additions in reserves in all categories.
· Additional drilling targets have been identified as a result of the H1 2022 drilling campaign. A five well program will initiate in Q4 2022 with two wells in pursuit of further low risk exploitation on the RCE structure. As well, two wells are planned to develop the Carizales Norte structure A downdip well will also be drilled at RCE to test the stratigraphic nature of the oil accumulation. This well will also serve as a water disposal well.
Operational Update
Corporate production as of August 15, 2022, is approximately 1,450 boe/d. Production from the RCE-2 well is approximately 540 bbls/d net (1,080 bbls/d gross) producing from the C7A and C7 stringer zones. Production from the RCS-1 well is approximately 190 bbls/d net (380 bbls/d gross) producing only from the new C7B zone at this time. In addition, organic growth opportunities for Arrow are advancing, with the RCE-3 and RCE-4 wells on the Tapir Block in Colombia expected to commence drilling in Q4 2022. Additional completions will be performed in Q4 on the RCE-1 and RCS-1 wells to further exploit known hydrocarbon accumulations. Current production from the RCE 1 and RCS 1 wells is ahead of forecast in aggregate.
Arrow expects to re-complete the RCE-1 well, in the C7 stringer zone. Arrow is currently just producing from the C7B zone at RCS-1 and plans to re-complete this well, expecting to open the C7A and C7 stringer zones in Q4 2022. This will have a material impact on overall RCE production.
The West Pepper well, owned 100% by Arrow and located in Canada, is producing at 240 boe/d currently, with production curtailed due to third party facility constraints. Expectations are that production will return to approximately 450 boe/d in September 2022. In Q3 2022, Arrow expects to tie-in the East Pepper gas well in Canada (100% owned by Arrow). This second well, along with continuing and expected robust natural gas prices in North America, is expected to further enhance the value of the Pepper field.
In addition to the 3D seismic survey Arrow purchased earlier this year, the Company intends to execute on a 130 square kilometer 3D seismic survey on the northwest section of the Tapir block in Colombia. This will further delineate low risk exploration fault structures that have been identified on 2-D seismic data. The shooting of this seismic survey is expected to begin in Q1 2023.
2022 Mid-year Reserves Exercise
NPV-10 values increased 164% for 1P and 79% for 2P reserves.
The recent drilling campaign in Rio Cravo (Tapir Block, Colombia) was very successful, resulting in the Company finding four more hydrocarbon accumulations and increasing its 1P oil reserves from 236 MBbls to 853 MBbls of oil. These results allow Arrow to better understand the continuity of the reservoirs in RCE and provide a foundation for the next phase of exploitation and material reserve additions at RCE.
Total Arrow reserves increased from 3.04 MMBOE to 3.56 MMBOE for 1P, and from 7.42 MMBOE to 7.86 MMBOE for 2P.
2022 Mid-Year Reserves Summary
The summary below summarizes Arrow's reserves as of June 30, 2022, as presented in the reserves report prepared by BouryGEC, an independent qualified reserves evaluator. The figures in the following tables have been prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the most recent publication of the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the "COGEH") and the reserve definitions contained in National Instrument 51-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). In addition to the summary information disclosed in this announcement, more detailed information will be included in Arrow's reserves evaluation report on certain properties as at 30 June 2022 to be filed on SEDAR ( www.sedar.com ) and posted on Arrow's website ( www.arrowexploration.ca ).
Marshall Abbott, CEO of Arrow Exploration Corp., commented: "Arrow delivered an increase in volumes and values in all reserve categories. We are pleased with the results of the BouryGEC independent reserves evaluation, which reinforces the significant value of our Colombian and Canadian assets."
Brent Crude Oil Price and AECO Gas Price Forecasts in BouryGEC Reserves Evaluation
|
Year-End Forecast:
|
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
|
Brent (US$/bbl)
|
$74.50 |
$72.00 |
$69.50 |
$71.00 |
$72.00 |
$74.00 |
$76.00 |
|
Brent (US$/bbl)
|
$110.00 |
$94.00 |
$85.00 |
$81.00 |
$82.62 |
$84.27 |
$85.96 |
|
AECO-C Spot (C$/MMbtu)
|
C$6.58 |
C$4.68 |
C$4.26 |
C$4.01 |
C$4.09 |
C$4.17 |
C$4.25 |
MID-YEAR RESERVES
Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
(1) "Core" assets include Arrow's share of reserves in the Tapir Block, the Santa Isabel Block (Oso Pardo), and Mateguafa. Arrow's 50% interest in the Tapir Block is contingent on the assignment by Ecopetrol SA of such interest to Arrow.
(2) "Non-core" assets include the Ombu Block (which includes the Capella Field)
(3) "Canada" assets include Fir and Pepper
Mid-Year Working Interest Gross Reserves - Breakdown by Category and Country (Mboe)
|
|
2022 Mid |
2021 |
Change |
% Change |
|
Proved developed producing
|
1,292 |
1,037 |
255 |
25% |
|
Colombia assets (core)
|
654 |
287 |
|
|
|
Colombia assets (non-core)
|
110 |
117 |
|
|
|
Canada assets
|
528 |
633 |
|
|
|
Proved developed non-producing |
382 |
363 |
19 |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Colombia assets (core)
|
63 |
63 |
|
|
|
Colombia assets (non-core)
|
58 |
42 |
|
|
|
Canada assets
|
261 |
258 |
|
|
|
Proved undeveloped
|
1,893 |
1,649 |
244 |
15% |
|
Colombia assets (core)
|
337 |
88 |
|
|
|
Colombia assets (non-core)
|
1,556 |
1,561 |
|
|
|
Canada assets
|
- |
- |
|
|
|
Total Proved
|
3,567 |
3,049 |
518 |
17% |
|
Probable
|
4,297 |
4,372 |
-75 |
-2% |
|
Colombia assets (core)
|
859 |
1,232 |
|
|
|
Colombia assets (non-core)
|
2,744 |
2,446 |
|
|
|
Canada assets
|
694 |
694 |
|
|
|
Total Proved plus Probable
|
7,864 |
7,421 |
443 |
6% |
|
Possible
|
3,895 |
4,120 |
-225 |
-5% |
|
Colombia assets (core)
|
1,960 |
1,933 |
|
|
|
Colombia assets (non-core)
|
1,574 |
1,828 |
|
|
|
Canada assets
|
361 |
359 |
|
|
|
Total Proved plus Probable & Possible |
11,759 |
11,541 |
218 |
2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-Year Net Present Value at 10% - Before Tax (US$ Thousands)
|
Category
|
2022 Mid |
2021 |
% Change |
|
Proved
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing
|
40,054 |
11,406 |
251% |
|
Non-Producing
|
4,628 |
2,113 |
119% |
|
Undeveloped
|
33,024 |
15,889 |
108% |
|
Total Proved
|
77,706 |
29,408 |
164% |
|
Probable
|
72,721 |
54,738 |
33% |
|
Total Proved plus Probable
|
150,427 |
84,146 |
79% |
|
Possible
|
73,198 |
49,842 |
47% |
|
Total Proved plus Probable & Possible |
223,626 |
133,988 |
67% |
Mid-Year Net Present Value at 10% - After Tax (US$ Thousands)
|
Category
|
2022 Mid |
2021 |
% Change |
|
Proved
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing
|
32,833 |
11,170 |
194% |
|
Non-Producing
|
4,072 |
2,112 |
93% |
|
Undeveloped
|
19,899 |
11,705 |
70% |
|
Total Proved
|
56,804 |
24,987 |
127% |
|
Probable
|
45,169 |
33,886 |
33% |
|
Total Proved plus Probable
|
101,973 |
58,873 |
73% |
|
Possible
|
45,923 |
29,959 |
53% |
|
Total Proved plus Probable & Possible
|
147,895 |
88,832 |
66% |
Forecast Revenues and Costs - Undiscounted (US$ millions)
(1) BT = Before Taxes and AT = After Taxes
(2) Operating Cost less processing and other income
(3) DC = Development Cost
|
Category |
Revenue (3) |
Royalties |
Operating Cost (2) |
DC |
Abandonment & Reclamation |
BT Future Net Revenue (1) |
Income Taxes |
AT Future Net Revenue (1) |
|
Total Proved
|
192.6 |
19.0 |
42.0 |
27.9 |
4.1 |
99.5 |
25.8 |
73.7 |
|
Total Proved plus Probable
|
413.3 |
38.8 |
81.0 |
63.9 |
6.6 |
222.9 |
67.6 |
155.3 |
|
Total Proved plus Probable & Possible
|
660.0 |
68.6 |
134.0 |
79.1 |
7.9 |
370.4 |
117.2 |
253.1 |
2022 Mid-Year Gross Reserves Reconciliation (Mboe)
|
|
Total Proved |
Total Proved plus Probable |
Total Proved plus Probable & Possible |
|
31-Dec-21
|
3,049 |
7,421 |
11,540 |
|
Technical Revisions
|
651.2 |
298.3 |
295.9 |
|
Economic Factors
|
75.2 |
351.2 |
130.9 |
|
Production
|
-207.6 |
-207.6 |
-207.6 |
|
30-Jun-22
|
3,568 |
7,863 |
11,759 |
Exercise of Warrants and Total Voting Rights
The Company also announces that pursuant to the receipt of notices for the exercise of warrants issued in October 2021, it has issued 208,598 new common shares of no par value ("Common Shares").
The application is being made for 208,598 new Common Shares to be admitted to trading on AIM ("Admission"). It is expected that Admission will occur on August 26, 2022. Following Admission, the Company will have 216,175,741 Common Shares in issue with voting rights and admitted to trading on AIM. This figure may be used as the denominator for the calculations by which they will determine if they are required to notify their interest in, or a change to, their interest in the share capital of the Company under the Financial Conduct Authority's Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.
For further Information, contact:
|
Arrow Exploration |
|
|
Marshall Abbott, CEO |
+1 403 651 5995 |
|
Joe McFarlane, CFO |
+1 403 818 1033 |
|
|
|
|
Brookline Public Relations, Inc. Shauna MacDonald |
+1 403 538 5645 |
|
|
|
|
Canaccord Genuity (Nominated Advisor and Joint Broker) |
|
|
Henry Fitzgerald-O'Connor James Asensio Gordon Hamilton |
+44 (0)20 7523 8000 |
|
Auctus Advisors (Joint Broker) |
|
|
Jonathan Wright (Corporate) |
+ 44 (0)7711 627449 |
|
Rupert Holdsworth Hunt (Broking) |
|
|
Camarco (Financial PR) |
|
|
James Crothers |
+44 (0)20 3781 8331 |
|
Rebecca Waterworth |
|
|
Billy Clegg |
|
About Arrow Exploration Corp.
Arrow Exploration Corp. (operating in Colombia via a branch of its 100% owned subsidiary Carrao Energy S.A.) is a publicly traded company with a portfolio of premier Colombian oil assets that are underexploited, under-explored and offer high potential growth. The Company's business plan is to expand oil production from some of Colombia's most active basins, including the Llanos, Middle Magdalena Valley (MMV) and Putumayo Basin. The asset base is predominantly operated with high working interests, and the Brent-linked light oil pricing exposure combines with low royalties to yield attractive potential operating margins. Arrow's 50% interest in the Tapir Block is contingent on the assignment by Ecopetrol SA of such interest to Arrow. Arrow's seasoned team is led by a hands-on executive team supported by an experienced board. Arrow is listed on the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange and on TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol "AXL".
Cautionary Statement
This press release contains various references to the abbreviation "BOE" which means barrels of oil equivalent. Where amounts are expressed on a BOE basis, natural gas volumes have been converted to oil equivalence at six thousand cubic feet (Mcf) per barrel (bbl). The term BOE may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Forward-looking Statements
This news release contains certain statements or disclosures relating to Arrow that are based on the expectations of its management as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to Arrow which may constitute forward-looking statements or information ("forward-looking statements") under applicable securities laws. All such statements and disclosures, other than those of historical fact, which address activities, events, outcomes, results or developments that Arrow anticipates or expects may, could or will occur in the future (in whole or in part) should be considered forward-looking statements. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of the words "continue", "expect", "opportunity", "plan", "potential" and "will" and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this news release reflect several material factors and expectations and assumptions of Arrow, including without limitation, Arrow's evaluation of the impacts of COVID-19, the potential of Arrow's Colombian and/or Canadian assets (or any of them individually), the prices of oil and/or natural gas, and Arrow's business plan to expand oil and gas production and achieve attractive potential operating margins. Arrow believes the expectations and assumptions reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable at this time, but no assurance can be given that these factors, expectations, and assumptions will prove to be correct.
The forward-looking statements included in this news release are not guarantees of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this news release are made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Glossary
Bbl/d: Barrels per day
$/Bbl: Dollars per barrel
Mcf/d: Thousand cubic feet of gas per day
$/Mcf: Dollars per thousand cubic feet of gas
Boe/d: Barrels of oil equivalent per day
$/Boe: Dollars per barrel of oil equivalent
PDP: Proved Developed Producing
1P: Proved Reserves
2P: Proved plus Probable Reserves
3P: Proved plus Probable plus Possible Reserves
MMbtu: Millions btu
MMboe: Millions of barrels of oil equivalent
Working Interest Gross Reserves: The reserves attributable to the Company's license working interest pre-taxes and royalties
Qualified Person's Statement
The technical information contained in this announcement has been reviewed and approved by Grant Carnie, senior non-executive director of Arrow Exploration Corp. Mr. Carnie is a member of the Canadian Society of Petroleum Engineers, holds a B.Sc. in Geology from the University of Alberta and has over 35 years' experience in the oil and gas industry. The recovery and reserve estimates provided in this news release are estimates only, and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may eventually prove to be greater than, or less than, the estimates provided herein. In certain of the tables set forth above, the columns may not add due to rounding.
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