Prudential plc HY14 - EEV

RNS Number : 8440O
Prudential PLC
12 August 2014
 



European Embedded Value (EEV) basis results

 

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

Results analysis by business area

 

 

 

2014 £m


2013* £m

 

 

Note

Half year


Half year

Full year

 

 

 

 

 

note (ii)


Asia operations

 

 

 

 

 

New business

3

494


502

1,139

Business in force

4

339


327

753

Long-term business

 

833


829

1,892

Eastspring Investments

 

36


32

64

Development expenses

 

(1)


(2)

(1)

Total

 

868


859

1,955

US operations

 

 

 

 

 

New business

3

376


311

706

Business in force

4

401


396

820

Long-term business

 

777


707

1,526

Broker-dealer and asset management

 

(5)


21

39

Total

 

772


728

1,565

UK operations

 

 

 

 

 

New business

3

145


100

237

Business in force

4

243


204

595

Long-term business

 

388


304

832

General insurance commission

 

9


11

22

Total UK insurance operations

 

397


315

854

M&G (including Prudential Capital)

 

200


175

346

Total

 

597


490

1,200

Other income and expenditurenote (i)

 

(280)


(235)

(482)

Solvency II and restructuring costs

 

(14)


(21)

(34)

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 

1,943


1,821

4,204

Analysed as profits (losses) from:

 

 

 

 

 

New business

3

1,015


913

2,082

Business in force

4

983


927

2,168

Long-term business

 

1,998


1,840

4,250

Asset management

 

231


228

449

Other results

 

(286)


(247)

(495)

Total

 

1,943


1,821

4,204

*The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis. This approach has been adopted throughout this supplementary information.

 

Notes

(i)   EEV basis other income and expenditure represents the IFRS basis post-tax result, less the unwind of expected margins on the

internal management of the assets of the covered business (as explained in note 14(c)(vi)).

(ii)  The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the period. For memorandum disclosure purposes note 2 presents the half year 2013 results on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases.



 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax summarised consolidated income statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 £m


2013* £m



Note

Half year


Half year

Full year



 

 

 

note


Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

 

868


859

1,955

US operations

 

772


728

1,565

UK operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK insurance operations

 

397


315

854


M&G (including Prudential Capital)

 

200


175

346



 

597


490

1,200

Other income and expenditure

 

(280)


(235)

(482)

Solvency II and restructuring costs

 

(14)


(21)

(34)

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

 

1,943


1,821

4,204

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

7

432


(587)

(564)

Effect of changes in economic assumptions

8

(368)


534

629

Mark to market value movements on core borrowings

 

(66)


203

152

Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life business

5

-


(47)

(35)

Costs of domestication of Hong Kong branch

6

(7)


-

(28)

Total post-tax non-operating profit

 

(9)


103

154

Profit for the period attributable to equity holders of the Company

 

1,934


1,924

4,358

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

Note

The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the period. For memorandum disclosure purposes note 2 presents the half year 2013 results on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases.

 

Earnings per share

 

2014


2013


 

Half year


Half year

Full year



 

 

 

note


Based on post-tax operating profit including longer-term investment returns

 

 

 

 

 

 

of £1,943 million (half year 2013: £1,821 million;

full year 2013: £4,204 million) (in pence)

 

76.3p


71.5p

165.0p

Based on post-tax profit of £1,934 million (half year 2013: £1,924 million;

 

 

 

 

 

 

full year 2013: £4,358 million) (in pence)

 

75.9p


75.5p

171.0p

Average number of shares (millions)

 

 2,547


 2,548

2,548

 

Note

The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the period. For memorandum disclosure purposes note 2 presents the half year 2013 results on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases.

 

Dividends per share (in pence)

2014


2013



Half year


Half year

Full year

Dividends relating to reporting period:






Interim dividend (2014 and 2013)

11.19 p 


 9.73 p 

9.73 p 


Final dividend (2013)

 -  


 -  

23.84 p 

Total

11.19 p 


 9.73 p 

33.57 p 

Dividends declared and paid in reporting period:






Current year interim dividend

 -  


 -

9.73 p 


Final dividend for prior year

 23.84 p 


 20.79 p 

20.79 p 

Total

 23.84 p 


 20.79 p 

30.52 p 

 

Movement in shareholders' equity





 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 £m


2013* £m





Note

Half year


Half year

Full year

Profit for the period attributable to equity shareholders


1,934


1,924

4,358

Items taken directly to equity:





 

 

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges


(377)


693

(1,077)

 

Dividends


(610)


(532)

(781)

 

New share capital subscribed


8


1

6

 

Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined





 

 

 

benefit pension schemes


10


(26)

(53)

 

Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments


52


31

98

 

Treasury shares:





 

 

 

Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans


(34)


25

(10)

 

 

Movement in own shares purchased by unit trusts





 

 

 

 

consolidated under IFRS


(6)


2

(31)

 

Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and





 

 

 

required capital


71


(39)

(97)

Net increase in shareholders' equity

11

1,048


2,079

2,413

Shareholders' equity at beginning of period:





 

 

As previously reported

11

24,856


22,443

22,443

 

Effect of the domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014

6

(11)


-

-

 

 

 

 

 

24,845


22,443

22,443

Shareholders' equity at end of period

11

25,893


24,522

24,856

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 





 

 

2014 £m


2013 £m





 

 

30 Jun


30 Jun


31 Dec

Comprising: 

 

 

Long-

term

business operations 


Asset

management

and other operations  

Total      


Long-

term

business operations 

Asset

management

and other operations  

Total


Long-

term

business

operations 

Asset

management

and other operations  

Total     

Asia operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net assets of operations

 

 

10,769


192

10,961


10,921

217

11,138


10,305

194

10,499


Acquired goodwill

 

 

228


61

289


244

61

305


231

61

292





 

 

10,997


253

11,250


11,165

278

11,443


10,536

255

10,791

US operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 





Net assets of operations

 

 

7,155


125

7,280


6,638

127

6,765


6,966

118

7,084


Acquired goodwill

 

 


16

16


16

16


16

16





 

 

7,155


141

7,296


6,638

143

6,781


6,966

134

7,100

UK insurance operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net assets of operations

 

 

7,654


9

7,663


7,096

11

7,107


7,342

22

7,364

M&G:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 





Net assets of operations

 

 


506

506


511

511


449

449


Acquired goodwill

 

 


1,153

1,153


1,153

1,153


1,153

1,153





 

 


1,659

1,659


1,664

1,664


1,602

1,602





 

 

7,654


1,668

9,322


7,096

1,675

8,771


7,342

1,624

8,966

Other operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Holding company net
















borrowings at market valuenote 9

 

 


(2,696)

(2,696)


(2,580)

(2,580)


(2,373)

(2,373)


Other net assets

 

 


721

721


107

107


372

372





 

 


(1,975)

(1,975)


(2,473)

(2,473)


(2,001)

(2,001)

Shareholders' equity at

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

end of period


25,806


87

25,893


24,899

(377)

24,522


24,844

12

24,856

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 





Net assets (liabilities)

 

 

25,578


(1,143)

24,435


24,655

(1,607)

23,048


24,613

(1,218)

23,395


Acquired goodwill

 

 

228


1,230

1,458


244

1,230

1,474


231

1,230

1,461





 

 

25,806


87

25,893


24,899

(377)

24,522


24,844

12

24,856

 

Net asset value per share








2014


2013




30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £25,893 million

       (half year 2013: £24,522 million; full year 2013: £24,856 million) (in pence)

1,009p


958p

971p

Number of issued shares at period end (millions)

2,566


2,559

2,560








Annualised return on embedded value*

16%


16%

19%

* Annualised return on embedded value is based on EEV post-tax operating profit, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity. Half year profits are annualised by multiplying by two.

 

Summary statement of financial position





 

 

 

 

2014 £m


2013 £m

 

 

 

Note

30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds

 

300,630


286,583

288,826

Less insurance funds:*

 

 

 

 

 

 

Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

surplus of with-profits funds

 

(290,005)


(276,958)

(279,176)

 

Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business

 

15,268


14,897

15,206

 

 

 

 

(274,737)


(262,061)

(263,970)

 Total net assets

 11

 25,893


24,522

 24,856

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Share capital

 

128


128

128

Share premium

 

1,903


1,890

1,895

IFRS basis shareholders' reserves

 

8,594


7,607

7,627

Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity

 11

10,625


9,625

9,650

Additional EEV basis retained profit

 11

15,268


14,897

15,206

Total EEV basis shareholders' equity (excluding non-controlling interests)

 11

25,893


 24,522

24,856

*    Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.

 

 

Notes on the EEV basis results

 

1Basis of preparation

 

The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in May 2004. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The EEV results are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis.

 

The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. The EEV basis results of 2014 and 2013 half years are unaudited. Except for the change in presentation of EEV results from pre-tax to post-tax, as described in the additional unaudited financial information for the full year 2013 announcement, the 2013 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2013. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.

 

A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 14.

 

2 Results analysis by business area

 

The half year 2013 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2013 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2014 average exchange rates.

 

Annual premium and contribution equivalents








2014 £m


2013 £m


%




AER

CER


AER

CER


Half year


Half year

Half year


 vs Half year

 vs Half year


(note 3)


(note 3)





Asia operations

 996


 1,010

 882


(1)%

13%

US operations

 871


 797

 737


9%

18%

UK operations

 433


 355

 355


22%

22%

Total

 2,300


 2,162

 1,974


6%

17%

 

Post-tax operating profit









2014 £m


2013 £m


%




AER

CER


AER

CER


Half year


Half year

Half year


vs Half year

vs Half year

Asia operations








New business

494


502

429


(2)%

15%

Business in force

339


327

288


4%

18%

Long-term business

833


 829

 717


 -  

16%

Eastspring Investments

36


 32

 29


13%

24%

Development costs

(1)


(2)

(2)


50%

50%

Total

868


 859

 744


1%

17%









US operations








New business

376


311

288


21%

31%

Business in force

401


396

366


1%

10%

Long-term business

777


 707

 654


10%

19%

Broker-dealer and asset management

(5)


 21

 19


(124)%

(126)%

Total

772


 728

 673


6%

15%









UK operations








New business

145


100

100


45%

45%

Business in force

243


204

204


19%

19%

Long-term business

388


 304

 304


28%

28%

General insurance commission

9


 11

 11


(18)%

(18)%

Total UK insurance operations

397


 315

 315


26%

26%

M&G (including Prudential Capital)

200


 175

 175


14%

14%

Total

597


490

490


22%

22%









Other income and expenditure

(280)


(235)

(235)


(19)%

(19)%

Solvency II and restructuring costs

(14)


(21)

(21)


33%

33%

Post-tax operating profit based on

    longer-term investment returns

 1,943


 1,821

 1,651


7%

18%









Analysed as profits (losses) from:








New business

 1,015


913

817


11%

24%

Business in force

 983


 927

 858


6%

15%

Total long-term business

1,998


 1,840

 1,675


9%

19%

Asset management

231


228

223


1%

4%

Other results

(286)


(247)

(247)


(16)%

(16)%

Post-tax operating profit based on

    longer-term investment returns

1,943


 1,821

 1,651


7%

18%









 

 

Post-tax profit









2014 £m


2013 £m


%




AER

CER


AER

CER


Half year


Half year

Half year


vs Half year

vs Half year

Post-tax operating profit based on

    longer-term investment returns

 1,943


 1,821

 1,651


7%

18%

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

 432


(587)

(551)


174%

178%

Effect of changes in economic assumptions

(368)


 534

 527


(169)%

(170)%

Other non-operating profit

(73)


 156

 161


(147)%

(145)%

Total post-tax non-operating profit

(9)


103

137


(109)%

(107)%

Profit for the period attributable to

   shareholders

 1,934


 1,924

 1,788


1%

8%









Basic earnings per share (in pence)









2014


2013


%




AER

CER


AER

CER


Half year


Half year

Half year


vs Half year

vs Half year

Based on post-tax operating profit

    including longer-term investment returns

 76.3p


 71.5p

 64.8p


7%

18%

Based on post-tax profit

 75.9p


 75.5p

 70.2p


1%

8%

 

3 Analysis of new business contribution

 

(i)      Group Summary



2014



Half year



Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)

Present

value of new business premiums (PVNBP)

New business contribution


New business

 margin



 

APE

PVNBP



note 16

note 16







£m

£m

£m


%

%

Asia operations

 996

 5,378

 494


 50

 9.2

US operations

 871

 8,703

 376


 43

 4.3

UK insurance operations

 433

 3,741

 145


 33

 3.9

Total

 2,300

 17,822

 1,015


 44

 5.7



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013



AER Half year



Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)

Present

value of new business premiums (PVNBP)

New business contribution*


New business

 margin*



 

APE

PVNBP



note 16

note 16







£m

£m

£m


%

%

Asia operations

 1,010

 5,524

 502


 50

 9.1

US operations

 797

 7,957

 311


 39

 3.9

UK insurance operations

 355

 2,943

 100


 28

 3.4

Total

 2,162

 16,424

 913


 42

 5.6



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013



Full year



Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)

Present

value of new business premiums (PVNBP)

New business contribution*


New business

 margin*



 

APE

PVNBP



note 16

note 16







£m

£m

£m


%

%

Asia operations

 2,125

 11,375

 1,139


 54

 10.0

US operations

 1,573

 15,723

 706


 45

 4.5

UK insurance operations

 725

 5,978

 237


 33

 4.0

Total

 4,423

 33,076

 2,082


 47

 6.3



 

 

 

 

 

 

(ii)     Asia operations:



New business contribution



2014 £m


2013* £m


  

Half year


AER

Half year

CER

Half year

Full year


China

 13


13

12

28


Hong Kong

 152


125

115

283


India

 5


8

7

15


Indonesia

 136


174

134

359


Korea

 8


14

14

25


Taiwan

 13


13

12

31


Other

 167


155

135

398

Total Asia operations

 494


502

429

1,139

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

4 Operating profit from business in force

 

(i)  Group Summary


2014 £m


Half year


Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total 


note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)


Unwind of discount and other expected returns

328

192

229

749

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

9

9

Experience variances and other items

2

209

14

225

Total

339

401

243

983


 

 

 

 

 

2013* £m

 

Half year

 

Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total 

 

note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)


Unwind of discount and other expected returns

315

187

204

706

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

(6)

45

-

39

Experience variances and other items

18

164

-

182

Total

327

396

204

927

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013* £m

 

Full year

 

Asia

operations

US

operations

UK

insurance

operations

Total 

 

note (ii)

note (iii)

note (iv)


Unwind of discount and other expected returns

668

395

437

1,500

Effect of changes in operating assumptions

5

76

98

179

Experience variances and other items

80

349

60

489

Total

753

820

595

2,168

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

(ii)  Asia operations





2014 £m


2013* £m





Half year


Half year

Full year


Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)


328


315

668


Effect of changes in operating assumptions:

 

 

 





Mortality and morbiditynote (b)


1


3

19



Persistency and withdrawalsnote (c)



(5)

(23)



Expense


1


1

(6)



Other


7


(5)

15





9


(6)

5


Experience variances and other items:

 

 

 





Mortality and morbiditynote (d)


18


22

33



Persistency and withdrawalsnote (e) 


(3)


(2)

36



Expensenote (f) 


(19)


(9)

(17)



Other


6


7

28





2


18

80


Total Asia operations


339


327

753

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

Notes

(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £13 million from £315 million for half year 2013 to £328 million for half year 2014 is impacted by a £(44) million adverse foreign currency translation effect. The underlying £57 million growth arises from the increase in the opening in-force value of £41 million, the effect of higher risk discount rates of £12 million and an increase in the return on net worth of £4 million.

(b)   In full year 2013 the credit of £19 million for mortality and morbidity assumption changes mainly reflected the beneficial effect arising from the renegotiation of a reinsurance agreement in Indonesia.

(c)    For full year 2013 the charge of £(23) million for persistency and withdrawals assumption changes reflected a number of offsetting items including the effect of strengthening lapse and premium holiday assumptions in Korea.

(d)    The favourable effect of mortality and morbidity experience in half year 2014 of £18 million (half year 2013: £22 million; full year 2013: £33 million) reflects better than expected experience, principally arising in Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore.

(e)   The negative persistency and withdrawals experience variance in half year 2014 of £(3) million (half year 2013: £(2) million) reflects the net effect of small variances across the territories. For full year 2013 the persistency and withdrawals experience variance of £36 million principally reflected favourable experience in Hong Kong and Indonesia.

(f)    The expense experience variance at half year 2014 was negative £(19) million (half year 2013: £(9) million; full year 2013: £(17) million). The variance arose in operations which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan), in India where the business model continues to be adapted following the regulatory changes introduced in recent years, and from other temporary overruns.

 

(iii)  US operations  





2014 £m


2013* £m





Half year


Half year

Full year


Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)


192


187

395


Effect of changes in operating assumptions:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Persistencynote (b)



47

47



Othernote (c)



(2)

29






45

76


Experience variances and other items:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Spread experience variancenote (d)


108


96

217



Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and lossesnote (e)


28


30

58



Othernote (f)


73


38

74





209


164

349


Total US operations


401


396

820

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

Notes

(a)  The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £5 million from £187 million for half year 2013 to £192 million for half year 2014 is impacted by a £(15) million adverse foreign currency translation effect.  The underlying growth of £20 million arises from the increase in the opening in-force value £33 million offset by the effect of lower risk discount rates £(9) million and a decrease in the return on net worth £(4) million.

(b)  For half year and full year 2013, the effect of changes in persistency assumptions of £47 million primarily related to a reduction in lapse rates following the end of the surrender charge period, for variable annuity business.

(c) Other changes in operating assumptions in 2013 include the effect of changes in mortality assumptions, the capitalised effect of changes in projected policyholder variable annuity fees and the effect of other regular updates to reflect experience.

(d) The spread assumption for Jackson is determined on a longer-term basis, net of provision for defaults (see note 15(ii)(b)). The spread experience variance in half year 2014 of £108 million (half year 2013: £96 million; full year 2013: £217 million) includes the positive effect of transactions undertaken to more closely match the overall asset and liability duration.

(e)  The amortisation of interest-related gains and losses reflects the fact that when bonds that are neither impaired nor deteriorating are sold and reinvested there will be a consequent change in the investment yield. The realised gain or loss is amortised into the result over the period when the bonds would have otherwise matured to better reflect the long-term returns included in operating profits.          

(f)  The credit of £73 million in half year 2014 for other experience variances and other items includes positive impacts for persistency experience of £39 million (half year 2013: £15 million; full year 2013: £40 million) and mortality experience. For all periods, other items also includes the impact of tax experience variances.

 

(iv)          UK insurance operations





2014 £m


2013* £m





Half year


Half year

Full year


Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)

229


204

437


Effect of change in UK corporate tax ratenote (b)


-

98


Other itemsnote (c)

14


-

60


Total UK insurance operations

243


204

595

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

     Notes

(a)   The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £25 million from £204 million for half year 2013 to £229 million for half year 2014 reflects a £20 million increase in the return on net worth mainly arising from shareholder-backed annuity business, combined with the growth in the opening value of in-force of £7 million, partially offset by the negative effect of a lower risk discount rate of £(2) million.

(b)   For full year 2013, the effect of the change in UK corporate tax rates of £98 million reflected the combined effect of the reductions in corporate rates from 23 per cent to 21 per cent from April 2014 and 21 per cent to 20 per cent from April 2015 which were both enacted in July 2013. The beneficial effect arose from the increase in the present value of the post-tax projected cash flows of the in-force business at 1 January 2013.

(c)   Other items of £14 million for half year 2014 (full year 2013: £60 million) principally reflect the positive effects of rebalancing the investment portfolio backing annuity business (see note 14(c)(ii)).

 

5 Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life business

 

The losses reflected in the 2013 results reflect the reductions in EEV carrying value to equal the expected net proceeds from the sale of the Group's life insurance business in Japan, PCA Life Insurance Company Ltd. when completed.

 

Domestication of the Hong Kong branch business

 

On 1 January 2014, following consultation with policyholders of PAC and regulators and court approval, the Hong Kong branch of PAC was transferred to separate subsidiaries established in Hong Kong. As a consequence of this restructuring, adjustments in respect of required capital, and the cost of that capital have been recognised in the EEV basis of results. These adjustments arose from the transfer of capital that was previously held within the UK business in respect of the Hong Kong branch operations and additional capital requirements that arise from the newly established subsidiaries. These have been included as an adjustment to opening balances within the movement in net worth and value of in-force business (note 12) and in the statement of movement in shareholders' equity (note 11) in 2014 as follows:


£m

Adjustment to shareholders' equity at

1 January 2014

Free surplus

Required capital

Total

net worth

Value of

in-force business

Total

long-term

business

operations

Asia operations

(104)

104

-

(40)

(40)

UK insurance operations

69

(69)

-

29

29

Opening adjustment

(35)

35

(11)

(11)

 

The net EEV basis effect of £(11) million represents the cost of holding higher required capital levels in the stand-alone Hong Kong shareholder-backed long-term insurance business. 

 

The post-tax costs incurred enabling the domestication in the first half of 2014 were £7 million (full year 2013: £28 million).

 

7 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

 

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, arise as follows:

 

(i)  Group Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


2014 £m


2013* £m





Half year


Half year

Full year


Insurance operations:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asianote (ii)


245


(223)

(308)



USnote (iii)


95


(271)

(280)



UKnote (iv)


112


(70)

28





452


(564)

(560)


Other operations


(20)


(23)

(4)


Total


432


(587)

(564)

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 







(ii)  Asia operations






The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for Asia operations comprise amounts in respect of the following business operations:


 

 


2014 £m


2013* £m




Half year


Half year

Full year


Hong Kong

121


(122)

(178)


Singapore

46


(106)

(80)


Other

78


5

(50)


Total Asia operations

245


(223)

(308)

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

These fluctuations mainly arise from decreases (2014) and increases (2013) in long-term interest rates as they affect the value of bonds in the portfolios backing liabilities. The £78 million credit for other operations in half year 2014 principally arises in Taiwan of £21 million for unrealised gains on bonds, and in Indonesia of £21 million for an increase in future expected fee income for unit-linked business. For full year 2013 the £(50) million fluctuation included £(44) million arising in Indonesia for a decrease in future expected fee income, arising from falls in equity markets.

 

(iii) US operations

The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations comprise the following items:


 

 




2014 £m


2013* £m






Half year


Half year

Full year


Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (a)

(2)


8

13


Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force

 

 

 




variable annuity business in future periods based on current period separate account return, net of related hedging activity note (b)

75


(307)

(377)


Other items including actual less long-term return on equity based investmentsnote (c)

22


28

84


Total US operations

95


(271)

(280)

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

 

Notes

(a)   The (charge) credit relating to fixed income securities comprises the following elements:

-   the excess of actual realised gains (losses) over the amortisation of interest related realised gains and losses recorded in the profit and loss account;

-   credit loss experience (versus the longer-term assumption); and

-   the impact of changes in the asset portfolio.

(b)   This item reflects the net impact of:

-   variances in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the effect of market fluctuations on the growth in separate account asset values in the current reporting period; and

-   related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity related hedges and interest rate options.

(c)   For full year 2013, other items of £84 million primarily reflected a beneficial impact of the excess of actual over assumed return from investments in limited partnerships.

 

(iv) UK insurance operations

The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations arise from the following types of business:


 

 

2014 £m


2013* £m



Half year


Half year

Full year


Shareholder-backed annuitynote (a)

35


(48)

(58)


With-profits, Unit-linked and othernote (b)

77


(22)

86



112


(70)

28

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

Notes

(a)    Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for shareholder-backed annuity business comprise: (1) gains (losses) on surplus assets  compared to the expected long-term rate of return reflecting reductions/increases in corporate bond and gilt yields; (2) the difference between actual and expected default experience; and (3) the effect of mismatching for assets and liabilities of different durations and other short-term fluctuations in investment returns.

(b)   The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for with-profits, unit-linked and other business primarily arise from the excess of actual over expected returns for with-profits business. The total return on the fund (including unallocated surplus) in half year 2014 was 4.2 per cent compared to an assumed rate of return of 2.9 per cent (half year 2013: 2.7 per cent total return compared to assumed rate of 2.9 per cent; full year 2013: 8.0 per cent total return compared to assumed rate of 6.0 per cent). In addition, for full year 2013 the amount included the effect of a partial hedge of future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK's with-profits sub-fund taken out during 2013. This hedge reduces the risks arising from equity market declines.

 

8 Effect of changes in economic assumptions

 

The effects of changes in economic assumptions for in-force business, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, included within post-tax profit (including actual investment returns) arise as follows:

 

(i)   Group Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 £m


2013* £m




Half year


Half year

Full year


Asia operationsnote (ii)

(145)


272

255


US operationsnote (iii)

(158)


40

242


UK insurance operationsnote (iv)

(65)


222

132


Total

(368)


534

629

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

(ii)  Asia operations






The effect of changes in economic assumptions for Asia operations comprise amounts in respect of the following business operations:











2014 £m


2013* £m




Half year


Half year

Full year


Hong Kong

(73)


288

289


Malaysia

(31)


(27)

(62)


Indonesia

12


(101)

(176)


Singapore

(11)


62

90


Taiwan

(29)


52

92


Other

(13)


(2)

22


Total Asia operations

(145)


272

255

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

        The negative effect of £(145) million in half year 2014 principally arises in Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, mainly reflecting reductions in fund earned rates for participating business, driven by the decrease in long-term interest rates.

 

        The positive impacts in half year 2013 of £272 million and full year 2013 of £255 million reflected the overall impact of an increase in fund earned rates for participating business, principally arising in Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, mainly due to the increase in long-term interest rates. There were partial offsets arising in Indonesia and Malaysia, mainly reflecting the negative impact of calculating health and protection future profits at a higher discount rate.

 

(iii)  US operations

        The effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations reflects the following:




2014 £m


2013* £m




Half year


Half year

Full year


Effect of changes in 10-year treasury rates:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed annuity and other general account business note (a)

71


(147)

(244)



Variable annuity businessnote (b)

(229)


187

382


Decrease in additional allowance for credit risknote (c)


 -

104


Total note (d)

(158)


40

242

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

Notes

(a)   For fixed annuity and other general account business the credit of £71 million in half year 2014 principally arises from the effect of a lower discount rate, driven by the 50 basis points reduction in the risk-free rate. The projected cash flows for this business principally reflect projected spread, with secondary effects on the cash flows also resulting from changes to assumed future yields and resulting policyholder behaviour. The charge of £(147) million in half year 2013 (full year 2013: £(244) million) principally arose from the effect of a higher discount rate on the opening value of the in-force book, driven by the 70 basis points increase in the risk-free rate (full year 2013: 130 basis points).

(b)   For variable annuity business, the charge of £(229) million principally reflects the decrease in the projected fee income and an increase in projected benefit costs, arising from the decrease in the rate of the assumed future return on the underlying separate account return assets, driven by the 50 basis points decrease in the risk free rate. There is a partial offset arising from the decrease in the risk discount rate applied to those cash flows. The credit of £187 million in half year 2013 and £382 million in full year 2013 reflected an increase in the risk free rate of 70 basis points and 130 basis points respectively.

(c)   For full year 2013 the £104 million effect of the decrease in the additional allowance for credit risk within the risk discount rate reflected the reduction in credit spreads and represented a 50 basis points decrease for spread business and a 10 basis points decrease for variable annuity business, representing the proportion of business invested in the general account (as described in note 14(b)(iii)).

(d)   The overall credit in half year 2013 of £40 million and in full year 2013 of £242 million included a charge of £(13) million for the effect of the change in required capital from 235 per cent to 250 per cent of risk-based capital.

 

 (iv) UK insurance operations

        The effect of changes in economic assumptions of a charge of £(65) million for UK insurance operations for half year 2014 comprises the following:




2014 £m


2013* £m




Half year


Half year

Full year


Effect of changes in expected long-term rates of return, risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

discount rates and other changes:

 

 

 

 

 

 

      Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)

73


(106)

(56)



      With-profits and other businessnote (b)

(138)


328

188



(65)


222

132

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year and full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

Notes

(a)   For shareholder-backed annuity business the overall effect reflects changes in expected long-term rates of return and risk discount rates which incorporate a default allowance for both best estimate defaults and in respect of the additional credit risk provisions (as shown in note 15(iii)(b)).

(b)   For with-profits and other business the total charge in half year 2014 of £(138) million (half year 2013: credit of £328 million; full year 2013: credit of £188 million) includes the net effect of the changes in fund earned rates and risk discount rate (as shown in note 15(iii)), driven by the 30 basis points decrease (half year 2013: increase of 70 basis points; full year 2013: increase of 120 basis points) in the 15-year government bond rate.

 

9 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 £m




2013 £m





30 Jun




30 Jun




31 Dec




IFRS

basis

Mark to

market

value

adjustment

EEV

basis at

market

value


IFRS

basis

Mark to

market

value

adjustment

EEV

basis at

market

value


IFRS

basis

Mark to

market

value

adjustment

EEV

basis at

market

value

Holding company* cash and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

short-term investments

(1,902)

(1,902)


(1,490)

-

(1,490)


(2,230)

-

(2,230)

Core structural borrowings -

 

 

 

 









central funds

4,146

452

4,598


3,710

360

4,070


4,211

392

4,603

Holding company net borrowings

2,244

452

2,696


2,220

360

2,580


1,981

392

2,373

Core structural borrowings - Prudential

 

 

 

 









Capital

275

275


275

-

275


275

-

275

Core structural borrowings - Jackson

146

41

187


164

25

189


150

38

188

Net core structural borrowings of

 

 

 

 

 








shareholder-financed operations

2,665

493

3,158


2,659

385

3,044


2,406

430

2,836

* Including central finance subsidiaries.

 

10 Analysis of movement in free surplus

 

Free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV Principles.

 

(i) Underlying free surplus generated





 

The half year 2013 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The half year 2013 CER comparative results are translated at half year 2014 average exchange rates.

 

 

 

2014 £m


2013 £m


%




AER

CER


AER

CER


Half year


Half year

Half year


vs Half year

vs Half year

Asia operations








Underlying free surplus generated from in-force

    life business

433


425

371


2%

17%

Investment in new business

(167)


(165)

(147)


(1)%

(14)%

Long-term business

266


260

224


2%

19%

Eastspring Investments

36


32

29


13%

24%

Total

302


292

253


3%

19%









US operations








Underlying free surplus generated from in-force

    life business

634


591

547


7%

16%

Investment in new business

(173)


(211)

(195)


18%

11%

Long-term business

461


380

352


21%

31%

Broker-dealer and asset management

(5)


21

19


(124)%

(126)%

Total

456


401

371


14%

23%









UK insurance operations








Underlying free surplus generated from in-force

    life business

294


293

293


 -  

 -  

Investment in new business

(42)


(20)

(20)


(110)%

(110)%

Long-term business

252


273

273


(8)%

(8)%

General insurance commission

9


11

11


(18)%

(18)%

Total

261


284

284


(8)%

(8)%









M&G (including Prudential Capital)

200


175

175


14%

14%

Underlying free surplus generated

1,219


1,152

1,083


6%

13%









Representing:








Long-term business:








    Underlying free surplus generated from

        in-force life business

1,361


1,309

1,211


4%

12%

    Investment in new business

(382)


(396)

(362)


4%

(6)%

Total long-term business

979


913

849


7%

15%

Asset management

240


239

234


 -  

3%

Underlying free surplus generated

1,219


1,152

1,083


6%

13%









 

 

(ii) Movement in Free surplus

2014 £m


2013 £m




 

Half year


Half year





 Long-term business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Free surplus of long-term business, asset management and UK general insurance commission


Free surplus of

long-term

 business, asset management and UK general insurance commission

Long-term business and asset management operations

note 12

note (ii)




Underlying movement:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment in new businessnotes (i), (vii)

(382)

(382)


(396)


Business in force:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expected in-force cash flows (including expected return

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

on net assets)

1,174

240

1,414


1,345



Effects of changes in operating assumptions, operating

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

experience variances and other operating items

187

187


203





979

240

1,219


1,152

Increase in EEV assumed level of required capital


(59)

Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life businessnote 5


(56)

Other non-operating itemsnote (iii)

(26)

4

(22)


(294)





953

244

1,197


743

Net cash flows to parent companynote (iv)

(813)

(161)

(974)


(844)

Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Life


 365

Exchange movements, timing differences and other itemsnote (v)

29

(34)

(5)


191

Net movement in free surplus

169

49

218


455

Balance at beginning of period:

 

 

 

 

 

As previously reported

3,220

783

4,003


3,689

Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 6

(35)

(35)


-


3,185

783

3,968


3,689

Balance at 30 June 2014/ 30 June 2013note (vii)

3,354

832

4,186


4,144

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

1,195

192

1,387


1,576


US operations

1,038

125

1,163


1,018


UK operations

1,121

515

1,636


1,550





3,354

832

4,186


4,144

Balance at beginning of period:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

1,185

194

1,379


1,181


US operations

956

118

1,074


1,319


UK operations

1,079

471

1,550


1,189





3,220

783

4,003


3,689

 

Notes

(i)       Free surplus invested in new business represents amounts set aside for required capital and acquisition costs.

(ii)       For the purposes of this analysis, free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis shareholders' equity.

(iii)      Non-operating items are principally short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business operations.

(iv)     Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.

(v)      Exchange movements, timing differences and other items represent:

 

 

 

2014 £m




Half year




Long-term

business

Asset management and UK general insurance commission

Total


Exchange movementsnote 12

(53)

(9)

(62)


Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus

      and required capitalnote 11

71

71


Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined

      benefit pension schemes

2

6

8


Othernote (vi)

9

(31)

(22)



29

(34)

(5)

 

(vi)     Other primarily reflects the effect of timing differences, contingent loan funding, as shown in note 12(i), and other non-cash items.

(vii)     Investment in new business includes the annual amortisation charge for amounts incurred to secure exclusive distribution rights through our bancassurance partners at a rate that reflects the pattern in which the future economic benefits are expected to be consumed by reference to new business levels. Included within the overall free surplus balance of our Asian life entities is £293 million representing unamortised amounts incurred to secure exclusive distribution rights through our bancassurance partners. These amounts exclude £818 million of Asia distribution rights intangibles that are financed by loan arrangements from central companies, the costs of which are allocated to the Asia life segment as the amortisation cost is incurred.

 

11 Reconciliation of movement in shareholders' equity



2014 £m




Half year




Long-term business operations








Asia operations


US

operations


UK

insurance operations


Total

long-term business

operations


Other operations


Group

Total




 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

note (i)








note (i)




Post-tax operating profit (based on longer-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

term investment returns)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long-term business:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New businessnote 3

494


376


145


1,015



1,015



Business in forcenote 4

339


401


243


983



983




833


777


388


1,998



1,998


Asset management





231


231


Other results

(1)



(5)


(6)


(280)


(286)


Post-tax operating profit based on longer-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

term investment returns

832


777


383


1,992


(49)


1,943


Total post-tax non-operating profit

100


(68)


40


72


(81)


(9)


Profit for the period

932


709


423


2,064


(130)


1,934


Other movements (post-tax)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exchange movements on foreign operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and net investment hedges

(209)


(227)


 -  


(436)


59


(377)


Intra-group dividends (including statutory

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

transfers)note (ii)

(239)


(347)


(106)


(692)


692



Investment in operationsnote (iii)

 3


 -  


 -  


3


(3)


 -  


External dividends

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


(610)


(610)


Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and losses on defined benefit pension schemesnote (v)

 -  


 -  


 2


 2


8


10


Reserve movements in respect of share-based

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

payments

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


 52


 52


Other transfers

 17


(17)


(36)


(36)


36


 -  


Treasury shares movements

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


(40)


(40)


New share capital subscribed

 -  


 -  


 -  


 -  


 8


 8


Mark to market value movements on Jackson

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

assets backing surplus and required capital


71



71



71


Net increase in shareholders' equity

504


189


283


976


72


1,048


Shareholders' equity at beginning of period:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As previously reported

10,305


6,966


7,342


24,613


243


24,856


Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on

    1 January 2014note 6

(40)


 -  


29


(11)


 -  


(11)



10,265


6,966


7,371


24,602


243


24,845


Shareholders' equity at 30 June 2014note (i)

10,769


7,155


7,654


25,578


315


25,893


 

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity

   2,792


     3,801


      3,236


9,829


796


10,625



Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

basisnote (iv)

   7,977


     3,354


      4,418


15,749


(481)


15,268



 EEV basis shareholders' equity

  10,769


      7,155


      7,654


25,578


315


25,893


Balance at 31 December 2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statutory IFRS basis shareholders' equity

   2,564


      3,446


       2,976


8,986


664


9,650



Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

basisnote (iv)

    7,741


     3,520


       4,366


15,627


(421)


15,206



 EEV basis shareholders' equity

  10,305


     6,966


       7,342


24,613


243


24,856


 

 

 

Notes

(i)       For the purposes of the table above, goodwill related to Asia long-term operations is included in Other operations.

(ii)       Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) represent dividends that have been declared in the period and amounts accrued in respect of statutory transfers. The amounts included in note 10 for these items are as per the holding company cashflow at transaction rates. The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, timing differences arising on statutory transfers, and other non-cash items.

(iii)      Investment in operations reflects increases in share capital.

(iv)     The additional retained loss on an EEV basis for Other operations primarily represents the mark to market value adjustment for holding company net borrowings of a charge of £(452) million (half year 2013: £(360) million; full year 2013: £(392) million), as shown in note 9.

(v)      The post-tax charge for the shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit schemes comprises:




2014 £m


2013 £m




Half year


Half year

Full year


IFRS basis

10


(21)

(48)


Additional shareholders' interestnote 14(c)(vii)

-


(5)

(5)


EEV basis total

10


(26)

(53)

 

12 Reconciliation of movement in net worth and value of in-force for long-term business


 

 

Half year 2014 £m



 

 

 

 

 

 

Total



 

 

 

 

Value of


long-term



Free

Required

Total net


in-force


business



Surplus

capital

 worth


business


operations



note 10




note (iv)


note 11

Group

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at beginning of period:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As previously reported

3,220

3,954

7,174


17,439


24,613

Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 6

(35)

35


(11)


(11)



3,185

3,989

7,174


17,428


24,602

New business contributionnotes (ii), (iii) and 3

(382)

276

(106)


1,121


1,015

Existing business - transfer to net worth

1,116

(175)

941


(941)


Expected return on existing businessnote 4

58

44

102


647


749

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances note 4

193

(20)

173


61


234

Development expenses, solvency II and restructuring costs

(6)

(6)



(6)

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

979

125

1,104


888


1,992

Other non-operating items

(26)

59

33


39


72

Post-tax profit from long-term business

953

184

1,137


927


2,064

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges

(53)

(74)

(127)


(309)


(436)

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) and investment in

       operationsnote (i)

(768)

(768)


79


(689)

Other movements

37

37



37

Shareholders' equity at 30 June 2014

3,354

4,099

7,453


18,125


25,578

Representing:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at beginning of period:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As previously reported

1,185

977

2,162


8,143


10,305

Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 6

(104)

104

-


(40)


(40)



1,081

1,081

2,162


8,103


10,265

New business contributionnotes (iii) and 3

(167)

67

(100)


594


494

Existing business - transfer to net worth

395

(5)

390


(390)


Expected return on existing businessnote 4

34

34


294


328

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4

5

(14)

(9)


20


11

Development expenses, solvency II and restructuring costs

(1)

(1)



(1)

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

266

48

314


518


832

Other non-operating items

112

(9)

103


(3)


100

Post-tax profit from long-term business

378

39

417


515


932

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges

(21)

(22)

(43)


(166)


(209)

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) and investment in

       operations

(236)

(236)



(236)

Other movements

(7)

(7)


24


17

Shareholders' equity at 30 June 2014

1,195

1,098

2,293


8,476


10,769

US operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at 1 January 2014

956

1,607

2,563


4,403


6,966

New business contributionnotes (iii) and 3

(173)

146

(27)


403


376

Existing business - transfer to net worth

450

(124)

326


(326)


Expected return on existing businessnote 4

15

25

40


152


192

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4

169

(11)

158


51


209

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

461

36

497


280


777

Other non-operating items

(54)

36

(18)


(50)


(68)

Post-tax profit from long-term business

407

72

479


230


709

Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges

(32)

(52)

(84)


(143)


(227)

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)

(347)

(347)



(347)

Other movements

54

54



54

Shareholders' equity at 30 June 2014

1,038

1,627

2,665


4,490


7,155

UK insurance operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equity at beginning of period:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As previously reported

1,079

1,370

2,449


4,893


7,342

Effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014note 6

69

(69)


29


29



1,148

1,301

2,449


4,922


7,371

New business contributionnotes (iii) and 3

(42)

63

21


124


145

Existing business - transfer to net worth

271

(46)

225


(225)


Expected return on existing businessnote 4

9

19

28


201


229

Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4

19

5

24


(10)


14

Development expenses, solvency II and restructuring costs

(5)

(5)



(5)

Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

252

41

293


90


383

Other non-operating items

(84)

32

(52)


92


40

Post-tax profit from long-term business

168

73

241


182


423

Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)note (i)

(185)

(185)


79


(106)

Other movements

(10)

(10)


(24)


(34)

Shareholders' equity at 30 June 2014

1,121

1,374

2,495


5,159


7,654

 

Notes

 (i)     The amounts shown in respect of free surplus and the value of in-force business for UK insurance operations for intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) include the repayment of contingent loan funding. Contingent loan funding represents amounts whose repayment to the lender is contingent upon future surpluses emerging from certain contracts specified under the arrangement. If insufficient surplus emerges on those contracts, there is no recourse to other assets of the Group and the liability is not payable to the degree of shortfall.

(ii)      The movements arising from new business contribution are as follows:




2014 £m


2013 £m




Half year


Half year

Full year


Free surplus invested in new business

(382)


(396)

(637)


Increase in required capital

276


261

461


Reduction in total net worth

(106)


(135)

(176)


Increase in the value associated with new business

1,121


1,048

2,258


Total post-tax new business contributionnote 3

1,015


913

2,082

 

(iii)

New business contribution per £1 million of free surplus invested:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 £m




Half year




Asia operations

US operations

UK

insurance operations

Total

long-term

business operations


Post-tax new business contributionnote 3

494

376

145

1,015


Free surplus invested in new business

(167)

(173)

(42)

(382)


Post-tax new business contribution per £1 million of free surplus

 

 

 

 

 

 

invested

3.0

2.2

3.5

2.7




 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m




Half year




Asia operations

US operations

UK

insurance operations

Total

long-term

business operations


Post-tax new business contributionnote 3

502

311

100

913


Free surplus invested in new business

(165)

(211)

(20)

(396)


Post-tax new business contribution per £1 million of free surplus

 

 

 

 

 

 

invested

3.0

1.5

5.0

2.3




 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m




Full year




Asia operations

US operations

UK

insurance operations

Total

long-term

business operations


Post-tax new business contributionnote 3

1,139

706

237

2,082


Free surplus invested in new business

(310)

(298)

(29)

(637)


Post-tax new business contribution per £1 million of free surplus

 

 

 

 

 

 

invested

3.7

2.4

8.2

3.3

 

(iv)    The value of in-force business comprises the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital as shown below:

 

 

 

2014 £m





30 Jun





Asia

operations


US

operations


UK

insurance

operations


Total

long-term

business

operations



Value of in-force business before deduction of cost of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

capital and time value of guarantees

8,936


4,960


5,413


19,309



Cost of capital

(404)


(197)


(254)


(855)



Cost of time value of guaranteesnote (v)

(56)


(273)



(329)



Net value of in-force business

8,476


4,490


5,159


18,125





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m





30 Jun





Asia

operations


US

operations


UK

insurance

operations


Total

long-term

business

operations



Value of in-force business before deduction of cost of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

capital and time value of guarantees

8,921


4,632


4,932


18,485



Cost of capital

(384)


(223)


(259)


(866)



Cost of time value of guarantees

(24)


(481)



(505)



Net value of in-force business

8,513


3,928


4,673


17,114





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013 £m





31 Dec





Asia

operations


US

operations


UK

insurance

operations


Total

long-term

business

operations



Value of in-force business before deduction of cost of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

capital and time value of guarantees

8,540


4,769


5,135


18,444



Cost of capital

(347)


(220)


(242)


(809)



Cost of time value of guaranteesnote (v)

(50)


(146)


-


(196)



Net value of in-force business

8,143


4,403


4,893


17,439


 

(v)      The increase in the cost of time value of guarantees for US operations from £(146) million at full year 2013 to £(273) million at half year 2014 primarily relates to variable annuity business. It mainly arises from the decrease in the expected long-term separate account rate of return following the 50 basis points decline in the US 10-year treasury bond rate and the impact from new business written in the period, partly offset by the strong equity performance.

 

13 Sensitivity of results to alternative assumptions

 

(a) Sensitivity analysis - economic assumptions

The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 30 June 2014 (31 December 2013) and the new business contribution after the effect of required capital for half year 2014 and full year 2013 to:

 

•     1 per cent increase in the discount rates;

•     1 per cent increase and decrease in interest rates, including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

•     1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;

•     10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);

•     The statutory minimum capital level (by contrast to EEV basis required capital), (for embedded value only);

•     5 basis point increase in UK long-term expected defaults; and

•     10 basis point increase in the liquidity premium for UK annuities.

 

In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions.

 

New business contribution












2014 £m


2013* £m



Half year


Full year



Asia operations

US operations

UK insurance operations

Total

long-term

business

operations


Asia operations

US operations

UK insurance operations

Total

long-term

business

operations



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business contributionnote 3

494

376

145

1,015


1,139

706

237

2,082

Discount rates - 1% increase

(72)

(14)

(19)

(105)


(148)

(34)

(29)

(211)

Interest rates - 1% increase

5

35

(3)

37


23

47

(1)

69

Interest rates - 1% decrease

(25)

(52)

3

(74)


(55)

(69)

(124)

Equity/property yields - 1% rise

20

39

5

64


45

63

10

118

Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

increase

(6)

(6)


(6)

(6)

Liquidity premium - 10 bps increase

12

12


12

12

* The 2014 EEV results of the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the full year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis - see note 1.

 

Embedded value of long-term business operations










2014 £m


2013 £m



30 Jun


31 Dec



 

 

 

Total





Total



 

 

UK

long-term




UK

long-term



Asia

US

insurance

business


Asia

US

insurance

business



operations

operations

operations

 operations


operations

operations

operations

 operations



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders' equitynote 11

10,769

7,155

7,654

25,578


10,305

6,966

7,342

24,613

Discount rates - 1% increase

 (1,026)

 (243)

 (555)

 (1,824)


 (992)

 (266)

 (529)

 (1,787)

Interest rates - 1% increase

 (344)

38

 (328)

 (634)


 (297)

 (65)

 (380)

 (742)

Interest rates - 1% decrease

220

 (70)

418

568


200

 (12)

443

631

Equity/property yields - 1% rise

384

283

240

907


370

250

210

830

Equity/property market values - 10%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

fall

 (187)

 (157)

 (284)

 (628)


 (183)

 (90)

 (238)

 (511)

Statutory minimum capital

92

140

4

236


109

153

4

266

Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

increase

 (116)

 (116)


-

-

 (114)

 (114)

Liquidity premium - 10 bps increase

232

232


-

-

228

228

 

 

The sensitivities shown above are for the impact of instantaneous changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets at the balance sheet dates indicated. If the change in assumption shown in the sensitivities were to occur, then the effect shown above would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following year. These are for the effect of economic assumption changes and, to the extent that asset value changes are included in the sensitivities, within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown above, the other components of the profit for the following period would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition for Jackson, the fair value movements on assets backing surplus and required capital which are taken directly to shareholders' equity would also be affected by changes in interest rates.

 

14 Methodology and accounting presentation

 

(a)Covered business

The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The post-tax EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group's other operations. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management, as described in note 14(c)(vi).

 

The definition of long-term business operations is consistent with previous practice and comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition.

 

Covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations, with two exceptions:

 

·      the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) which is excluded from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.

·      the presentational treatment of the Group's principal defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The partial recognition of the surplus for PSPS is recognised in 'Other' operations, as described in note 14(c)(vii).

 

A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.

 

(b)Methodology

(i)Embedded value

Overview

The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:

 

•     the present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less deductions for:

         - the cost of locked-in required capital;

         - the time value of cost of options and guarantees;

•     locked-in required capital; and

•     the shareholders' net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).

 

The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value.

 

Notwithstanding the basis of presentation of results (as explained in note 14(c)(iv)) no smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items (as explained in note 14(c)(i)).

 

Valuation of in-force and new business

The embedded value results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, expenses, persistency and mortality. These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.

 

Best estimate assumptions

Best estimate assumptions are used for the cash flow projections, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.

 

Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.

 

Demographic assumptions

Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience but also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management's expectations.

 

Expense assumptions

Expense levels, including those of service companies that support the Group's long-term business operations, are based on internal expense analysis investigations and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. Exceptional expenses are identified and reported separately. For mature business, it is Prudential's policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the savings have been delivered. For businesses which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan) and India (where the business model is being adapted as the industry continues to adjust to regulatory changes), expense overruns are reported where these are expected to be short-lived.

 

For Asia operations, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and recharged costs from the Asia regional head office, that are attributable to covered business. The assumed future expenses for these operations also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.

 

Corporate expenditure which is included in other income and expenditure and comprises:

·      Expenditure for Group head office, to the extent not allocated to the PAC with-profits funds, together with Solvency II implementation and restructuring costs, which are charged to the EEV basis results as incurred; and

·      Expenditure of the Asia regional head office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management operations which is charged as incurred. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are included within corporate expenditure.

 

Principal economic assumptions

The EEV basis results for the Group's operations have been determined using economic assumptions where the pre-tax long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to period end rates of return on government bonds.

 

Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium, based on the Group's long-term view, to the risk-free rate.

     

The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated using the embedded value basis is the same as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the embedded value basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under this methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profits with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the period.

 

New business

In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of

distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

 

New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as

investment products for IFRS basis reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.

 

The post-tax contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying operating assumptions as at the end of the period.

 

For UK immediate annuity business and single premium Universal Life products in Asia, primarily in Singapore, the new business contribution is determined by applying economic assumptions reflecting point-of-sale market conditions. This is consistent with how the business is priced as crediting rates are linked to yields on specific assets and the yield is locked-in when the assets are purchased at the point-of-sale of the policy. For other business within the Group, end of period economic assumptions are used.

 

New business profitability is a key metric for the Group's management of the development of the business. In addition, post-tax new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular new business amounts and one-tenth of single new business amounts. PVNBP is calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.

 

Valuation movements on investments

With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the period (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the period and shareholders' equity as they arise.

 

The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on the IFRS basis.

 

However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest, the basis for calculating the Jackson EEV result acknowledges that, for debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that broadly speaking, are held for the longer-term.

 

Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for Jackson securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.

 

Cost of capital

A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of capital supporting the Group's long-term business. This capital is referred to as required capital. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital allowing for investment earnings (post-tax) on the capital.

 

The annual result is affected by the movement in this cost from year-to-year which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.

 

Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.

 

Financial options and guarantees

Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential's long-term business

Asia operations

Subject to local market circumstances and regulatory requirements, the guarantee features described below in respect of UK business broadly apply to similar types of participating contracts principally written in the Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Participating products have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements.

 

There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole of life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.

 

US operations (Jackson)

The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the fixed annuity and variable annuity (VA) lines of business.

 

Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson's discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders' accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum. The guaranteed minimum return varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for all periods throughout these results, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued, and date of issue. For half year 2014, 86 per cent (half year and full year 2013: 86 per cent) of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less. The average guarantee rate is 2.8 per cent for all periods throughout these results.

 

Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.

 

Jackson issues VA contracts where it contractually guarantees to the contract holder either: a) return of no less than total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable at specified dates during the accumulation period (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB)), as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)) or as income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholder's value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMDB and GMWB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, and fully reinsures the GMIB guarantees.

 

Jackson also issues fixed index annuities that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return. The guaranteed minimum returns would be of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.

 

UK insurance operations

For covered business the only significant financial options and guarantees in the UK insurance operations arise in the with-profits fund.

 

With-profits products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses - annual and final. Annual bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular product. Unlike annual bonuses, final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration. The with-profits fund also held a provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £36 million at 30 June 2014 (30 June 2013: £47 million; 31 December 2013: £36 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.

 

The only material guaranteed surrender values relate to investments in the PruFund range of with-profits funds. For these products the policyholder can choose to pay an additional management charge.  In return, at the selected guarantee date, the fund will be increased if necessary to a guaranteed minimum value (based on the initial investment adjusted for any prior withdrawals). The with-profits fund held a reserve of £30 million at 30 June 2014 (30 June 2013: £52 million; 31 December 2013: £36 million) in respect of this guarantee.

 

The Group's main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in the UK is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £421 million was held in SAIF at 30 June 2014 (30 June 2013: £325 million; 31 December 2013: £328 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note 14(a) above, the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders.

 

Time value

The value of financial options and guarantees comprises two parts. One is given by a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions (the intrinsic value). The other part arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future (the time value).

 

Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees.

 

The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with an allowance for correlation between the various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in notes 15(iv),(v) and (vi).

 

In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to investment allocation decisions, levels of reversionary and terminal bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.

 

In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the PAC with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management which explains how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.

 

(ii) Level of required capital

In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements. For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the required capital requirements. For shareholder-backed business the following capital requirements apply:

 

•     Asia operations: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to the higher of local statutory requirements and the internal target;

•     US operations: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and

•     UK insurance operations: the capital requirements are set to an amount at least equal to the higher of Pillar I and Pillar II requirements for shareholder-backed business of UK insurance operations as a whole.

 

(iii) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates

Overview

Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin. The risk margin should reflect any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. Prudential has selected a granular approach to better reflect differences in market risk inherent in each product group. The risk discount rate so derived does not reflect an overall Group market beta but instead reflects the expected volatility associated with the cash flows for each product category in the embedded value model.

 

Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, discount rates under EEV are set excluding the effect of these product features.

 

The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.

 

Market risk allowance

The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below) such an approach has been used for all of the Group's businesses.

 

The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profits from each product are affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return it is possible to derive a product specific beta.

 

Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product grouping.

 

Additional credit risk allowance

The Group's methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover:

 

•     expected long-term defaults;

•     credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels); and

•     short-term downgrades and defaults.

 

These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses which are largely backed by holdings of debt securities these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.

 

The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending upon the type of business as described below.

 

Asia operations

For Asia operations, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance are sufficient. Accordingly no additional allowance for credit risk is required.

 

The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.

 

US operations (Jackson)

For Jackson business, the allowance for long-term defaults is reflected in the risk margin reserve (RMR) charge which is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.

 

The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults as shown in note 15(ii). In determining this allowance a number of factors have been considered. These factors, in particular, include:

 

(a)   How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased credit risk not reflected in the RMR long-term default assumptions, and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments which cannot be easily converted into cash, and converted at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimating the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and

(b)   Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible in adverse economic scenarios to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features) through lower investment return rates credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.

 

The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.

 

The level of allowance differs from that for UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of the management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.

 

UK operations

(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business

For Prudential's UK shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows.

 

In the annuity MCEV calculations as the assets are generally held to maturity to match long duration liabilities, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on Prudential's assessment of the expected return on the assets backing the annuity liabilities after allowing for:

 

(a)   expected long-term defaults derived as a percentage of historical default experience based on Moody's data for the period 1970 to 2009 and the definition of the credit rating assigned to each asset held is the second highest credit rating published by Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch;

(b)   a credit risk premium, which is derived as the excess over the expected long-term defaults, of the 95th percentile of historical cumulative defaults based on Moody's data for the period 1970 to 2009, and subject to a minimum margin over expected long-term defaults of 50 per cent;

(c)   an allowance for a 1 notch downgrade of the asset portfolio subject to credit risk and;

(d)   an allowance for short-term downgrades and defaults.

 

For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for expected long-term defaults and, where necessary, an additional allowance for an element of short-term downgrades and defaults to bring the allowance in the earned rate up to best estimate levels. The allowances for credit risk premium, 1 notch downgrade and the remaining element of short-term downgrade and default allowances are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate, as shown in note 15(iii)(b).

 

(2) With-profits fund non-profit annuity business

For UK non-profit annuity business including that written by Prudential Annuities Limited (PAL) the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as described above). The allowance for credit risk in PAL is taken into account in determining the projected cash flows to the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows of the fund.

 

(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities

The UK with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rate for with-profit holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over gilts, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.

 

Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks

The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. Finance theory cannot be used to determine the appropriate component of beta for non-diversifiable non-market risks since there is no observable risk premium associated with it that is akin to the equity risk premium. Recognising this, a pragmatic approach has been applied.

 

A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group's businesses. For the Group's US business and UK business other than shareholder-backed annuity, no additional allowance is necessary. For UK shareholder-backed annuity business a further allowance of 50 basis points is used to reflect the longevity risk which is of particular relevance. For the Group's Asia operations in China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points.

 

(iv) With-profits business and the treatment of the estate

The proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the PAC with-profits fund has been based on the present level of 10 per cent. The value attributed to the shareholders' interest in the estate is derived by increasing final bonus rates (and related shareholder transfers) so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. Similar principles apply, where appropriate, for other with-profits funds of the Group's Asia operations.

 

(v) Debt capital

Core structural debt liabilities are carried at market value. As the liabilities are generally held to maturity or for the long-term, no deferred tax asset or liability has been established on the difference, compared to the IFRS carrying value. Accordingly, no deferred tax credit or charge is recorded in the results for the reporting period in respect of the mark to market value adjustment.

 

(vi) Foreign currency translation

Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the period. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at period end rates of exchange. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the IFRS statements.

 

(c) Accounting presentation

(i) Analysis of post-tax profit

To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV post-tax profit for the period is consistent in the classification between operating and non-operating results with the basis that the Group applies for the analysis of IFRS basis results. Operating results reflect underlying results including longer-term investment returns (which are determined as described in note 14(c)(ii) below) and incorporate the following:

 

·      new business contribution, as defined in note 14(b)(i);

·      unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note 14(c)(iv) below;

·      the impact of routine changes of estimates relating to non-economic assumptions, as described in note 14(c)(iii) below; and

·      non-economic experience variances, as described in note 14(c)(v) below.

 

Non-operating results comprise the recurrent items of short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the mark to market value movements on core borrowings and the effect of changes in economic assumptions.

 

In addition, operating profit for half year 2014 and full year 2013 excludes the costs associated with the domestication of the Hong Kong branch and also for 2013 the loss attaching to the held for sale Japan Life business. Total profit attributable to shareholders and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns. The Company believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance.

 

(ii) Post-tax operating profit

For the investment element of the assets covering the net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating result of the PAC with-profits fund of UK operations, where assets backing the liabilities and unallocated surplus are subject to market volatility, asset values at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market movements as explained in note 14(c)(iv) below.

 

For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of US operations for fixed annuity and other general account business, a risk margin charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of end of period risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force adjusted to reflect end of period projected rates of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with the related hedging activity.

     

For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may, from time to time, take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the projected yield on the asset portfolio and the allowance for default risk. The net effect of these changes is included in the result for the period.

 

(iii) Effect of changes in operating assumptions

Operating profit includes the effect of changes to operating assumptions on the value of in-force at the end of the period. For presentational purposes, the effect of change is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force with the experience variance being determined by reference to the end of period assumptions.

 

(iv) Unwind of discount and other expected returns

The unwind of discount and other expected returns is determined by reference to:

 

·       the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period (adjusted for the effect of current period economic and operating assumption changes); and

·       required capital and surplus assets.

 

In applying this general approach, the unwind of discount included in operating profit for the with-profits business of UK insurance operations is determined by reference to the opening value of in-force, as adjusted for the effects of short-term investment volatility due to market movements (ie smoothed). In the summary statement of financial position and for total profit reporting, asset values and investment returns are not smoothed. At 30 June 2014 the shareholders' interest in the smoothed surplus assets used for this purpose only, were £123 million lower (30 June 2013: £25 million lower; 31 December 2013: £136 million lower) than the surplus assets carried in the statement of financial position.

 

(v) Operating experience variances

Operating profits include the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, which are calculated with reference to the embedded value assumptions at the end of the reporting period, such as persistency, mortality and morbidity, expenses and other factors.

 

(vi) Internal asset management

The new business and in-force results from long-term business include the projected value of profits or losses from asset management and service companies that support the Group's covered insurance businesses. The results of the Group's asset management operations include the current period profits from the management of both internal and external funds. EEV basis shareholders' other income and expenditure is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected internal asset management profit margin for the period. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Group operating profit accordingly includes the variance between actual and expected profit in respect of management of the covered business assets.

 

(vii) Pension costs

Movements on the shareholders' share of surpluses (to the extent not restricted by IFRIC 14) and deficits of the Group's defined benefit pension schemes adjusted for contributions paid in the period are recorded within Other Comprehensive Income.

 

Consistent with the basis of distribution of bonuses and the treatment of the estate described in notes 14(b)(i) and (iv), the shareholders' share incorporates 10 per cent of the proportion of the financial position attributable to the PAC with-profits fund. The financial position is determined by applying the requirements of IAS 19 as booked for IFRS reporting.

 

(viii) Effect of changes in economic assumptions

Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related change in the time value of cost of option and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results.

 

(ix) Taxation

In determining the post-tax profit for the period for covered business, the overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been announced and substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.

 

(x) Inter-company arrangements

The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension polices in SAIF (which is not covered business). The EEV results also incorporate the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to PRIL. In addition, the free surplus and value of in-force business are calculated after taking account of the impact of contingent loan arrangements between Group companies (movements in the contingent loan liability are reflected via the projected cash flows in the value of in-force and the related funding is reflected in free surplus).

 

15 Assumptions

 

Deterministic assumptions

The tables below summarise the principal financial assumptions:

 

Assumed investment returns reflect the expected future returns on the assets held and allocated to the covered business at the valuation date.

 

(i) Asia operationsnotes (b), (d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate %


New business


In force


2014


2013


2014


2013

30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

China

10.6


10.1

11.2


10.6


10.1

11.2

Hong Kongnotes (b), (c)

4.3


4.3

4.9


4.2


4.2

4.8

India

13.9


13.0

14.0


13.9


13.0

14.0

Indonesia

12.2


11.1

12.5


12.2


11.1

12.5

Korea

6.8


7.3

7.4


7.1


7.4

7.6

Malaysianote (c)

6.6


6.0

6.5


6.6


6.0

6.5

Philippines

10.8


10.6

10.5


10.8


10.6

10.5

Singaporenote (c)

4.3


4.5

4.6


5.0


5.2

5.3

Taiwan

4.0


3.8

4.3


4.0


3.7

4.1

Thailand

10.6


10.5

10.7


10.6


10.5

10.7

Vietnam

15.4


16.1

15.7


15.4


16.1

15.7

Total weighted risk discount ratenote (a)

7.4


7.5

8.1


7.0


6.7

7.2


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10-year government

bond yield %


Expected

long-term Inflation %


 

 

2014


2013


2014


2013

30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec


30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

China

4.1


3.6

4.7


2.5


2.5

2.5

Hong Kongnotes (b), (c)

2.6


2.5

3.1


2.3


2.3

2.3

India

8.9


8.0

9.0


4.0


4.0

4.0

Indonesia

8.4


7.3

8.6


5.0


5.0

5.0

Korea

3.2


3.4

3.6


3.0


3.0

3.0

Malaysianote (c)

4.1


3.6

4.2


2.5


2.5

2.5

Philippines

4.1


3.9

3.8


4.0


4.0

4.0

Singaporenote (c)

2.3


2.4

2.6


2.0


2.0

2.0

Taiwan

1.6


1.4

1.7


1.0


1.0

1.0

Thailand

3.8


3.8

3.9


3.0


3.0

3.0

Vietnam

8.7


9.3

9.0


5.5


5.5

5.5

 

Equity risk premiums in Asia (excluding those for the held for sale Japan Life business) range from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent for all periods throughout these results. 

 

Notes

(a)     The weighted risk discount rates for Asia operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country's risk discount rates by reference to the post-tax EEV basis new business result and the closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia territories reflect the movements in government bond yields, together with the effects of movements in the allowance for market risk and changes in product mix.

(b)     For Hong Kong the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other territories, the assumptions are for local currency denominated business.

(c)     The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings in the Asia operations were:



2014 %


2013 %



30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec


Hong Kong

6.6


6.5

7.1


Malaysia

10.1


9.6

10.1


Singapore

8.4


8.4

8.6

 

(d)     The local tax rates applicable for the most significant operations for all periods shown, are as follows:

 


Assumed corporate tax rate %

Hong Kong

16.5 per cent on 5 per cent of premium income

Indonesia

25 per cent

Malaysia

2013 to 2015: 25 per cent; From 2016: 24 per cent

Singapore

17 per cent

 

 

(ii)  US operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 %

 

2013 %






30 Jun

 

30 Jun

31 Dec

 

Assumed new business spread margins:note (a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Annuity business:*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January to June issues 

1.5

 

1.2

1.2

 

 

 

July to December issues

n/a

 

n/a

1.75

 

 

Fixed Index Annuity business:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

January to June issues 

2.0

 

1.45

1.45

 

 

 

July to December issues

n/a

 

n/a

2.00

 

 

Institutional business

0.7

 

0.75

0.75

 

Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote (b)

0.26

 

0.27

0.25

 

Risk discount rate:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable annuity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate

7.1

 

7.3

7.6

 

 

 

Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote (b)

0.2

 

0.3

0.2

 

 

Non-variable annuity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate

4.3

 

4.8

4.8

 

 

 

Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote (b)

1.0

 

1.5

1.0

 

 

Weighted average total:note (c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business

6.9

 

7.2

7.4

 

 

 

In force

6.4

 

6.5

6.9

 

US 10-year treasury bond rate at end of period

2.6

 

2.5

3.1

 

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities

6.6

 

6.5

7.1

 

Expected long-term rate of inflation

2.6

 

2.5

2.6

 

Equity risk premium

4.0

 

4.0

4.0

 

Assumed corporate tax rate

35.0

 

35.0

35.0

*    including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account

 

Notes

(a)   The assumed new business spread margins represent the difference between the earned rate on investments, after allowance for long-term defaults, and the policy holder crediting rate. The spread margins shown above are the rates at inception. For fixed annuity business (including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account) and fixed index annuity business, the assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.

(b)   The allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spread is shown as at the valuation date applied in the cash flow projections of the value of the in-force business. The risk discount rates include an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults. See note 14(b)(iii) for further details.

(c)   The weighted average risk discount rates reflect the mix of business between variable annuity and non-variable annuity business. The decrease in the weighted average risk discount rates from half year 2013 to half year 2014 primarily reflects the effect of the decrease in additional allowance for credit risk and the effects of movement in the allowance for market risk, partly offset by the increase in the US 10-year Treasury bond rate of 10 basis points.




 

 

 

 

(iii)  UK insurance operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 %


2013 %




30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec

Shareholder-backed annuity business:note (b)

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate:

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business

6.9


7.2

6.8



In forcenote (a)

7.8


8.5

8.3

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for shareholder-backed annuity business:

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business

4.5


3.9

4.2



In forcenote (a)

4.1


4.4

4.3

Other business:

 

 

 

 

Risk discount rate:

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business

5.9


5.8

6.1



In force

6.5


6.2

6.8

Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return:

 

 





UK equities

7.2


7.0

7.5



Overseas equities

6.6 to 9.1


6.5 to 9.8

7.1 to 9.2



Property

5.9


5.8

6.2



15-year gilt rate

3.2


3.0

3.5



Corporate bonds

4.8


4.6

5.1

Expected long-term rate of inflation

3.3


3.3

 3.4

Equity risk premium

4.0


4.0

4.0

Assumed corporate tax rate

20.0


23.0

20.0

 

Notes

(a)      For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and the risk discount rates for in-force business mainly reflect the effect of changes in asset yields.

(b)      Credit spread treatment

For Prudential Retirement Income Limited, which has approximately 90 per cent of UK shareholder-backed annuity business, the credit assumptions used in the underlying MCEV calculation (see note 14(b)(iii)) and the residual liquidity premium element of the bond spread over swap rates are as follows:

 



In-force business

2014 (bps)


2013 (bps)




30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec



Bond spread over swap rates

119


157

 133



Total credit risk allowance

61


64

 62



Liquidity premium

58


 93

 71



Individual annuity new business

2014 (bps)


2013 (bps)




30 Jun


30 Jun

31 Dec



Bond spread over swap rates

121


116

 117



Total credit risk allowance

34


38

 37



Liquidity premium*

87


 78

 80

 

*    The new business liquidity premium is based on the weighted average of the point of sale liquidity premia.

 

The overall allowance for credit risk is prudent by comparison with historic rates of default and would be sufficient to withstand a wide range of extreme credit events over the expected lifetime of the annuity business.

 

Stochastic assumptions

The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations described above. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations, such as the volatilities of asset returns, reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of longer-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with allowance for correlation between the various asset classes.

 

Details are given below of the key characteristics and calibrations of each model.

 

(iv)    Asia operations

•     The same asset return models as described for UK insurance operations below, appropriately calibrated, have been used for Asia operations. The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds. Equity holdings are much lower than in the UK whilst property holdings do not represent a significant investment asset;

•     the stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily only of significance for the Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia and Singapore operations; and

•     the mean stochastic returns are consistent with the mean deterministic returns for each country. The expected volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent for all periods throughout these results, and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 0.9 per cent to 2.3 per cent for all periods throughout these results.

 

(v)     US operations (Jackson)

•     Interest rates are projected using a log-normal generator calibrated to historical US Treasury yield curves;

•     corporate bond returns are based on Treasury securities plus a spread that has been calibrated to current market conditions and varies by credit quality; and

•     variable annuity equity returns and bond interest rates have been stochastically generated using a log-normal model with parameters determined by reference to historical data. The volatility of equity fund returns ranges from 19 per cent to 32 per cent for all periods throughout these results, depending on the risk class and the class of equity, and the standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.2 per cent to 2.5 per cent for all periods throughout these results.

 

(vi)    UK insurance operations

•     Interest rates are projected using a two-factor model calibrated to the initial market yield curve;

•     the risk premium on equity assets is assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;

•     the corporate bond return is calculated as the return on a zero-coupon bond plus a spread. The spread process is a mean reverting stochastic process; and

•     property returns are modelled in a similar fashion to corporate bonds, namely as the return on a risk-free bond, plus a risk premium, plus a process representative of the change in residual values and the change in value of the call option on rents.

 

Mean returns have been derived as the annualised arithmetic average return across all simulations and durations.

     

For each projection period, standard deviations have been calculated by taking the square root of the annualised variance of the returns over all the simulations. These have been averaged over all durations in the projection. For equity and property, the standard deviations relate to the total return on these assets. The standard deviations applied for all periods are as follows:

 




%

Equities:




UK


20


Overseas


18

Property


15

 

16 Total insurance and investment products new businessnote (i)

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual premium and contribution equivalents

 

 Present value of new business premiums

 

 

     Single


     Regular


(APE)note 14(b)(i)

 

(PVNBP)note 14(b)(i)

 

 

2014 £m


2013 £m


2014 £m


2013 £m


2014 £m


2013 £m

 

2014 £m


2013 £m

 

 

Half year


Half

year

Full

year


Half year


Half

year

Full

year


Half year


Half

year

Full

year

 

Half year


Half

year

Full

year

Group insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia

 955


 1,097

 2,136


 900


 899

 1,911


 996


 1,010

 2,125

 

 5,378


 5,524

 11,375

US

 8,703


 7,957

 15,712


 -  


 1

 2


 871


 797

 1,573

 

 8,703


 7,957

 15,723

UK

 3,329


 2,435

 5,128


 100


 112

 212


 433


 355

 725

 

 3,741


 2,943

 5,978

Group Total

 12,987


 11,489

 22,976


 1,000


 1,012

 2,125


 2,300


 2,162

 4,423

 

 17,822


 16,424

 33,076

Asia insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

  

 

operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  


 -  

 -  


 1


 -  

 1


 1


 -  

 1

 

 4


 -  

 3

Hong Kong

 175


 85

 326


 240


 205

 455


 258


 214

 487

 

 1,530


 1,204

 2,795

Indonesia

 101


 212

 303


 174


 219

 445


 184


 240

 477

 

 748


 1,069

 1,943

Malaysia

 42


 53

 114


 87


 93

 197


 91


 99

 208

 

 583


 661

 1,352

Philippines

 53


 129

 193


 17


 16

 34


 22


 29

 53

 

 106


 177

 299

Singapore

 264


 251

 571


 146


 145

 304


 172


 170

 361

 

 1,217


 1,209

 2,588

Thailand

 50


 20

 66


 37


 23

 61


 42


 25

 68

 

 196


 106

 289

Vietnam

 1


 1

 2


 23


 23

 54


 23


 23

 54

 

 91


 84

 204

SE Asia operations inc.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hong Kong

 686


 751

 1,575


 725


 724

 1,551


 793


 800

 1,709

 

 4,475


 4,510

 9,473

Chinanote (ii)

 117


 76

 114


 45


 39

 71


 57


 47

 83

 

 280


 243

 409

Korea

 97


 200

 311


 38


 42

 82


 48


 62

 113

 

 260


 359

 641

Taiwan

 45


 48

 102


 49


 40

 107


 54


 45

 117

 

 214


 206

 491

Indianote (iii)

 10


 22

 34


 43


 54

 100


 44


 56

 103

 

 149


 206

 361

Total Asia operations

 955


 1,097

 2,136


 900


 899

 1,911


 996


 1,010

 2,125

 

 5,378


 5,524

 11,375

US insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

Variable annuities

 6,136


 5,384

 10,795


 -  


 -  

 -  


 614


 538

 1,079

 

 6,136


 5,384

 10,795

Elite Access (variable

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

annuity)

 1,493


 1,270

 2,585


 -  


 -  

 -  


 149


 127

 259

 

 1,493


 1,270

 2,585

Fixed annuities

 265


 296

 555


 -  


 -  

 -  


 27


 30

 55

 

 265


 296

 555

Fixed index annuities

 182


 620

 907


 -  


 -  

 -  


 18


 62

 91

 

 182


 620

 907

Life

 -  


 -  

 1


 -  


 1

 2


 -  


 1

 2

 

 -  


 -  

 12

Wholesale

 627


 387

 869


 -  


 -  

 -  


 63


 39

 87

 

 627


 387

 869

Total US insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

operations

 8,703


 7,957

 15,712


 -  


 1

 2


 871


 797

 1,573

 

 8,703


 7,957

 15,723

UK and Europe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  





  

 

 

 

 

  

 

insurance operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and partnership

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

annuities

 100


 153

 284


 -  


 -  

 -  


 10


 15

 28

 

 99


 153

 284

Intermediated annuities

 100


 293

 488


 -  


 -  

 -  


 10


 29

 49

 

 100


 293

 488

Internal vesting annuities

 434


 669

 1,305


 -  


 -  

 -  


 43


 67

 131

 

 434


 669

 1,305

Total individual annuities

 634


 1,115

 2,077


 -  


 -  

 -  


 63


 111

 208

 

 633


 1,115

 2,077

Corporate pensions

 58


 73

 120


 73


 86

 161


 79


 93

 173

 

 314


 454

 686

Onshore bonds

 1,019


 825

 1,754


 -  


 -  

 -  


 102


 83

 176

 

 1,019


 826

 1,756

Other products

 582


 422

 901


 27


 26

 51


 85


 68

 140

 

 739


 548

 1,183

Wholesale

 1,036


 -  

 276


 -  


 -  

 -  


 104


 -  

 28

 

 1,036


 -  

 276

Total UK and Europe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


insurance operations

 3,329


 2,435

 5,128


 100


 112

 212


 433


 355

 725

 

 3,741


 2,943

 5,978

Group Total

 12,987


 11,489

 22,976


 1,000


 1,012

 2,125


 2,300


 2,162

 4,423

 

 17,822


 16,424

 33,076

 

 

Investment products - funds under management notes (iv), (v), (vi)

 

 

2014 £m

 

 

Half year

 

 

1 Jan 2014

Market

gross

inflows

Redemptions

Market exchange translation and other movements

30 Jun 2014

Eastspring Investments

17,927

6,869

(4,386)

668

21,078

M&G

125,989

19,322

(15,111)

2,571

132,771

Group total

143,916

26,191

(19,497)

3,239

153,849

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 2013 £m

 

 

Half year

 

 

1 Jan 2013

Market

gross

inflows

Redemptions

Market

exchange translation and other

movements

30 Jun 2013

Eastspring Investments

17,630

7,372

(5,366)

(368)

19,268

M&G

111,868

20,598

(16,758)

2,431

118,139

Group total

129,498

27,970

(22,124)

2,063

137,407

 

Notes

(i)    The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement.

 

The format of the tables shown above is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in Part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under PRA regulations.

 

The details shown above for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK insurance operations and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US operations.

(ii)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.

(iii)   New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.

(iv)   Investment products referred to in the tables for fund under management above are unit trust, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as 'investment contracts' under IFRS 4, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

(v)    Investment flows for the half year exclude Eastspring Money Market Funds gross inflows of £32,065 million (half year 2013: £30,774 million) and net outflows of £52 million (half year 2013: net inflows of £107 million).

(vi)   New business and market gross inflows and redemptions have been translated at an average exchange rate for the period applicable. Funds under management at points in time are translated at the exchange rate applicable to those dates.

 

Additional Unaudited Financial Information

 

A New Business

 

BASIS OF PREPARATION

 

The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under PRA regulations.

 

The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Operations.

 

New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting.

 

Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

 

New Business Profit (post-tax) has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology and assumptions set out in our 2014 Interim Report.

 

In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

 

Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.

 

Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(ix)

 

(1)      Prudential plc reports its results at both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant year-to-date average exchange rates (CER) so as to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

 


 Local currency: £


Half year 2014*

Half year 2013*

Half year 2014 vs Half year 2013 (depreciation) of local currency against GBP




 Hong Kong

 

 Average Rate

 12.95

 11.98

 (7)%




 Closing Rate

 13.25

 11.76

 (11)%




 Indonesia

 

 Average Rate

 19,573.46

 15,024.12

 (23)%




 Closing Rate

 20,270.27

 15,053.25

 (26)%




 Malaysia

 

 Average Rate

 5.45

 4.75

 (13)%




 Closing Rate

 5.49

 4.79

 (13)%




 Singapore

 

 Average Rate

 2.10

 1.92

 (9)%




 Closing Rate

 2.13

 1.92

 (10)%




 India

 

 Average Rate

 101.45

 84.94

 (16)%




 Closing Rate

 102.84

 90.13

 (12)%




 Vietnam

 

 Average Rate

 35,266.15

 32,305.17

 (8)%




 Closing Rate

 36,471.11

 32,161.63

 (12)%




 Thailand

 

 Average Rate

 54.34

 46.07

 (15)%




 Closing Rate

 55.49

 47.04

 (15)%




 US

 

 Average Rate

 1.67

 1.54

 (8)%




 Closing Rate

 1.71

 1.52

 (11)%




* Average rate is for the 6 months to 30 June




 










 Local currency: £


Half year 2014*

Full year 2013

Half year 2014 vs Full year 2013 (depreciation) of local currency against GBP




 Hong Kong

 

 Average Rate

 12.95

 12.14

 (6)%




 Closing Rate

 13.25

 12.84

 (3)%




 Indonesia

 

 Average Rate

 19,573.46

 16,376.89

 (16)%




 Closing Rate

 20,270.27

 20,156.57

 (1)%




 Malaysia

 

 Average Rate

 5.45

 4.93

 (10)%




 Closing Rate

 5.49

 5.43

 (1)%




 Singapore

 

 Average Rate

 2.10

 1.96

 (7)%




 Closing Rate

 2.13

 2.09

 (2)%




 India

 

 Average Rate

 101.45

 91.75

 (10)%




 Closing Rate

 102.84

 102.45

 -  




 Vietnam

 

 Average Rate

 35,266.15

 32,904.71

 (7)%




 Closing Rate

 36,471.11

 34,938.60

 (4)%




 Thailand

 

 Average Rate

 54.34

 48.11

 (11)%




 Closing Rate

 55.49

 54.42

 (2)%




 US

 

 Average Rate

 1.67

 1.56

 (7)%




 Closing Rate

 1.71

 1.66

 (3)%



          *Average rate is for the 6 months to 30 June

 

 

 

(1a)  Insurance and investment new business for overseas operations are converted using the year-to-date average exchange rate applicable at the time (AER). The sterling results for individual quarters represent the difference between the year-to-date reported sterling results at successive quarters and will include foreign exchange movements from earlier periods.

(1b)  Insurance new business for overseas operations for 2013 has been calculated using constant exchange rates (CER).

(1c)  Constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013 and 2014.

(2)    Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to roundings. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBPs) are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.

(3)    Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients. Other movements reflect the net flows arising from the cash component of a tactical asset allocation fund managed by PPM South Africa.

(4)    New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation. 

(5)    Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.

(6)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation. 

(7)    Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.

(8)    Investment flows for the period exclude Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflows of £32,065 million (Half year 2013: £30,774 million) and net outflows of £52 million (Half year 2013 net inflows: £107 million).

(9)    Excludes Curian Variable Series Trust funds (internal funds under management).

(10)  Total M&G and Eastspring excluding MMF. Funds under management for MMF amounted to £4,300 million at 30 June 2014 (30 June 2013: £4,267 million).

 

 

Schedule A(i) - New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Single


Regular


Annual Equivalents(2)

 

PVNBP



 

2014

2013



2014

2013



2014

2013


 

2014

2013




 

YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)

 

YTD

YTD

+/- (%)



 

£m

£m



£m

£m



£m

£m


 

£m

£m



Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia (1a)

 

 955

 1,097

(13)%


 900

 899

0%


 996

 1,010

(1)%

 

 5,378

 5,524

(3)%


US(1a)

 

 8,703

 7,957

9%


 -  

 1

(100)%


 871

 797

9%

 

 8,703

 7,957

9%


UK

 

 3,329

 2,435

37%


 100

 112

(11)%


 433

 355

22%

 

 3,741

 2,943

27%


Group Total

 

 12,987

 11,489

13%


 1,000

 1,012

(1)%


 2,300

 2,162

6%

 

 17,822

 16,424

9%



 

 

  










 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 

 -  

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A

 

 4

 -  

N/A


Hong Kong

 

 175

85

106%


 240

205

17%


 258

 214

21%

 

 1,530

 1,204

27%


Indonesia

 

 101

 212

(52)%


 174

 219

(21)%


 184

 240

(23)%

 

 748

 1,069

(30)%


Malaysia

 

 42

 53

(21)%


 87

 93

(6)%


 91

 99

(8)%

 

 583

 661

(12)%


Philippines

 

 53

 129

(59)%


 17

 16

6%


 22

 29

(24)%

 

 106

 177

(40)%


Singapore

 

 264

 251

5%


 146

 145

1%


 172

 170

1%

 

 1,217

 1,209

1%


Thailand

 

 50

 20

150%


 37

 23

61%


 42

 25

68%

 

 196

 106

85%


Vietnam

 

 1

 1

-


 23

 23

-


 23

 23

-

 

 91

 84

8%


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 

 686

 751

(9)%


 725

 724

0%


 793

 800

(1)%

 

 4,475

 4,510

(1)%


China(6)

 

 117

 76

54%


 45

 39

15%


 57

 47

21%

 

 280

 243

15%


Korea

 

 97

 200

(52)%


 38

 42

(10)%


 48

 62

(23)%

 

 260

 359

(28)%


Taiwan

 

 45

 48

(6)%


 49

 40

23%


 54

 45

20%

 

 214

 206

4%


India(4)

 

 10

 22

(55)%


 43

 54

(20)%


 44

 56

(21)%

 

 149

 206

(28)%


Total Asia Operations

 

 955

 1,097

(13)%


 900

 899

0%


 996

 1,010

(1)%

 

 5,378

 5,524

(3)%



 

 

  










 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

  










 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 

 6,136

 5,384

14%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 614

 538

14%

 

 6,136

 5,384

14%


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 

 1,493

 1,270

18%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 149

 127

17%

 

 1,493

 1,270

18%


Fixed Annuities

 

 265

 296

(10)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 27

 30

(10)%

 

 265

 296

(10)%


Fixed Index Annuities

 

 182

 620

(71)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 18

 62

(71)%

 

 182

 620

(71)%


Life

 

 -  

 -  

N/A


 -  

 1

(100)%


 -  

 1

(100)%

 

 -  

 -  

N/A


Wholesale

 

 627

 387

62%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 63

 39

62%

 

 627

 387

62%


Total US Insurance Operations

 

 8,703

 7,957

9%


 -  

 1

(100)%


 871

 797

9%

 

 8,703

 7,957

9%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 

 100

 153

(35)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 10

 15

(33)%

 

 99

 153

(35)%


Intermediated Annuities

 

 100

 293

(66)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 10

 29

(66)%

 

 100

 293

(66)%


Internal Vesting Annuities

 

 434

 669

(35)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 43

 67

(36)%

 

 434

 669

(35)%


Total Individual Annuities

 

 634

 1,115

(43)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 63

 111

(43)%

 

 633

 1,115

(43)%


Corporate Pensions

 

 58

 73

(21)%


 73

 86

(15)%


 79

 93

(15)%

 

 314

 454

(31)%


On-shore Bonds

 

 1,019

 825

24%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 102

 83

23%

 

 1,019

 826

23%


Other Products

 

 582

 422

38%


 27

 26

4%


 85

 68

25%

 

 739

 548

35%


Wholesale

 

 1,036

 -  

N/A


 -  

 -  

N/A


 104

 -  

N/A

 

 1,036

 -  

N/A


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 3,329

 2,435

37%


 100

 112

(11)%


 433

 355

22%

 

 3,741

 2,943

27%


Group Total

 

 12,987

 11,489

13%


 1,000

 1,012

(1)%


 2,300

 2,162

6%

 

 17,822

 16,424

9%


 

 

Schedule A(ii) - New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:    In schedule A(ii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for 2013.

 

 

Single


Regular


Annual Equivalents(2)

 

PVNBP



2014

2013



2014

2013



2014

2013


 

2014

2013




YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)


YTD

YTD

+/- (%)

 

YTD

YTD

+/- (%)



£m

£m



£m

£m



£m

£m


 

£m

£m



Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia (1a) (1b)

 955

 971

(2)%


 900

 785

15%


 996

 882

13%

 

 5,378

 4,866

11%


US(1a) (1b)

 8,703

 7,364

18%


 -  

 1

(100)%


 871

 737

18%

 

 8,703

 7,364

18%


UK

 3,329

 2,435

37%


 100

 112

(11)%


 433

 355

22%

 

 3,741

 2,943

27%


Group Total

 12,987

 10,770

21%


 1,000

 898

11%


 2,300

 1,974

17%

 

 17,822

 15,173

17%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A


 1

 -  

N/A

 

 4

 1

N/A


Hong Kong

 175

 79

122%


 240

 190

26%


 258

 198

30%

 

 1,530

 1,115

37%


Indonesia

 101

 162

(38)%


 174

 168

4%


 184

 184

0%

 

 748

 821

(9)%


Malaysia

 42

 46

(9)%


 87

 81

7%


 91

 86

6%

 

 583

 575

1%


Philippines

 53

 110

(52)%


 17

 14

21%


 22

 25

(12)%

 

 106

 151

(30)%


Singapore

 264

 229

15%


 146

 132

11%


 172

 155

11%

 

 1,217

 1,103

10%


Thailand

 50

 17

194%


 37

 19

95%


 42

 21

100%

 

 196

 90

118%


Vietnam

 1

 1

N/A


 23

 21

10%


 23

 21

10%

 

 91

 77

18%


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 686

 644

7%


 725

 625

16%


 793

 690

15%

 

 4,475

 3,933

14%


China(6)

 117

 71

65%


 45

 36

25%


 57

 43

33%

 

 280

 225

24%


Korea

 97

 194

(50)%


 38

 41

(7)%


 48

 60

(20)%

 

 260

 349

(26)%


Taiwan

 45

 44

2%


 49

 38

29%


 54

 42

29%

 

 214

 187

14%


India(4)

 10

 18

(44)%


 43

 45

(4)%


 44

 47

(6)%

 

 149

 172

(13)%


Total Asia Operations

 955

 971

(2)%


 900

 785

15%


 996

 882

13%

 

 5,378

 4,866

11%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 6,136

 4,985

23%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 614

 499

23%

 

 6,136

 4,985

23%


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 1,493

 1,174

27%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 149

 117

27%

 

 1,493

 1,174

27%


Fixed Annuities

 265

 274

(3)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 27

 27

0%

 

 265

 274

(3)%


Fixed Index Annuities

 182

 573

(68)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 18

 57

(68)%

 

 182

 573

(68)%


Life

 -  

 -  

N/A


 -  

 1

(100)%


 -  

 1

(100)%

 

 -  

 -  

N/A


Wholesale

 627

 358

75%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 63

 36

75%

 

 627

 358

75%


Total US Insurance Operations

 8,703

 7,364

18%


 -  

 1

(100)%


 871

 737

18%

 

 8,703

 7,364

18%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 100

 153

(35)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 10

 15

(33)%

 

 99

 153

(35)%


Intermediated Annuities

 100

 293

(66)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 10

 29

(66)%

 

 100

 293

(66)%


Internal Vesting Annuities

 434

 669

(35)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 43

 67

(36)%

 

 434

 669

(35)%


Total Individual Annuities

 634

 1,115

(43)%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 63

 111

(43)%

 

 633

 1,115

(43)%


Corporate Pensions

 58

 73

(21)%


 73

 86

(15)%


 79

 93

(15)%

 

 314

 454

(31)%


On-shore Bonds

 1,019

 825

24%


 -  

 -  

N/A


 102

 83

23%

 

 1,019

 826

23%


Other Products

 582

 422

38%


 27

 26

4%


 85

 68

25%

 

 739

 548

35%


Wholesale

 1,036

 -  

N/A


 -  

 -  

N/A


 104

 -  

N/A

 

 1,036

 -  

N/A


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 3,329

 2,435

37%


 100

 112

(11)%


 433

 355

22%

 

 3,741

 2,943

27%


Group Total

 12,987

 10,770

21%


 1,000

 898

11%


 2,300

 1,974

17%

 

 17,822

 15,173

17%


 

 

Schedule A(iii) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013


2014



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia (1a)

 495

 515

 513

 602


 507

 489


US(1a)

 358

 439

 405

 371


 432

 439


UK

 185

 170

 185

 185


 237

 196


Group Total

 1,038

 1,124

 1,103

 1,158


 1,176

 1,124



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

 -  

 1


 -  

 1


Hong Kong

 107

 107

 121

 152


 128

130


Indonesia

 112

 128

 108

 129


 86

98


Malaysia

 46

 53

 52

 57


 43

48


Philippines

 14

 15

 12

 12


 11

11


Singapore

 80

 90

 87

 104


 87

85


Thailand

 11

 14

 22

 21


 25

17


Vietnam

 10

 13

 14

 17


 11

12


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 380

 420

 416

 493


 391

 402


China(6)

 27

 20

 21

 15


 38

19


Korea

 30

 32

 23

 28


 26

22


Taiwan

 19

 26

 28

 44


 24

30


India(4)

 39

 17

 25

 22


 28

 16


Total Asia Insurance Operations

 495

 515

 513

 602


 507

 489



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 240

 298

 271

 270


 317

297


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 54

 73

 64

 68


 69

80


Fixed Annuities

 14

 16

 14

 11


 12

15


Fixed Index Annuities

 34

 28

 22

 7


 8

10


Life

 1

 -  

 -  

 1


 -  

 -  


Wholesale

 15

 24

 34

 14


 26

37


Total US Insurance Operations

 358

 439

 405

 371


 432

 439



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 8

 7

 7

 6


 5

5


Intermediated Annuities

 15

 14

 12

 8


 7

3


Internal Vesting annuities

 32

 35

 31

 33


 24

19


Total Individual Annuities

 55

 56

 50

 47


 36

 27


Corporate Pensions

 53

 40

 45

 35


 40

39


On-shore Bonds

 45

 38

 43

 50


 49

53


Other Products

 32

 36

 32

 40


 39

46


Wholesale

 -  

 -  

 15

 13


 73

 31


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 185

 170

 185

 185


 237

 196


Group Total

 1,038

 1,124

 1,103

 1,158


 1,176

 1,124


 

 

Schedule A(iv) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:   In schedule A(iv) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013. Discrete quarters in 2014 are presented on actual exchange rates.

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013


2014



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2


£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia(1b)

 433

 449

 469

 577


 507

 489


US(1b)

 333

 404

 376

 361


 432

 439


UK

 185

 170

 185

 185


 237

 196


 951

 1,023

 1,030

 1,123


 1,176

 1,124



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

 -  

 1


 -  

 1


Hong Kong

 99

 99

 113

 146


 128

 130


Indonesia

 87

 97

 91

 123


 86

 98


Malaysia

 40

 46

 48

 54


 43

 48


Philippines

 12

 13

 11

 12


 11

 11


Singapore

 73

 82

 81

 99


 87

 85


Thailand

 9

 12

 19

 20


 25

 17


Vietnam

 9

 12

 13

 17


 11

 12


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 329

 361

 376

 472


 391

 402


China(6)

 25

 18

 20

 14


 38

 19


Korea

 29

 31

 23

 28


 26

 22


Taiwan

 17

 25

 26

 41


 24

 30


India(4)

 33

 14

 24

 22


 28

 16


Total Asia Insurance Operations

 433

 449

 469

 577


 507

 489



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 223

 276

 251

 262


 317

 297


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 50

 67

 60

 65


 69

 80


Fixed Annuities

 13

 14

 13

 11


 12

 15


Fixed Index Annuities

 32

 25

 20

 8


 8

 10


Life

 1

 -  

 -  

 1


 -  

 -  


Wholesale

 14

 22

 32

 14


 26

 37


Total US Insurance Operations

 333

 404

 376

 361


 432

 439



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 8

 7

 7

 6


 5

 5


Intermediated Annuities

 15

 14

 12

 8


 7

 3


Internal Vesting annuities

 32

 35

 31

 33


 24

 19


Total Individual Annuities

 55

 56

 50

 47


 36

 27


Corporate Pensions

 53

 40

 45

 35


 40

 39


On-shore Bonds

 45

 38

 43

 50


 49

 53


Other Products

 32

 36

 32

 40


 39

 46


Wholesale

 -  

 -  

 15

 13


 73

 31


185

170

185

185


237

196


951

1,023

1,030

1,123


1,176

1,124


 

 

Schedule A(v) - Total Insurance New Business APE - By Quarter (2014 and 2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:   In schedule A(v) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013 and 2014 i.e the average exchange rate for the period ended 30 June 2014 is applied to each discrete quarter for 2013 and 2014.

 

 

2013


2014



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m


Group Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia(1c)

 433

 449

 469

 577


 505

 491


US(1c)

 333

 404

 376

 361


 428

 443


UK

 185

 170

 185

 185


 237

 196


Group Total

 951

 1,023

 1,030

 1,123


 1,170

 1,130



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asia Insurance Operations(1c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cambodia

 -  

 -  

 -  

 1


 -  

 1


Hong Kong

 99

 99

 113

 146


 128

 130


Indonesia

 87

 97

 91

 123


 86

 98


Malaysia

 40

 46

 48

 54


 43

 48


Philippines

 12

 13

 11

 12


 11

 11


Singapore

 73

 82

 81

 99


 86

 86


Thailand

 9

 12

 19

 20


 25

 17


Vietnam

 9

 12

 13

 17


 11

 12


SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong

 329

 361

 376

 472


 390

 403


China(6)

 25

 18

 20

 14


 37

 20


Korea

 29

 31

 23

 28


 26

 22


Taiwan

 17

 25

 26

 41


 24

 30


India(4)

 33

 14

 24

 22


 28

 16


Total Asia Insurance Operations

 433

 449

 469

 577


 505

 491



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Insurance Operations(1c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variable Annuities

 223

 276

 251

 262


 314

 300


Elite Access (Variable Annuity)

 50

 67

 60

 65


 68

 81


Fixed Annuities

 13

 14

 13

 11


 12

 15


Fixed Index Annuities

 32

 25

 20

 8


 8

 10


Life

 1

 -  

 -  

 1


 -  

 -  


Wholesale

 14

 22

 32

 14


 26

 37


Total US Insurance Operations

 333

 404

 376

 361


 428

 443



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Direct and Partnership Annuities

 8

 7

 7

 6


 5

 5


Intermediated Annuities

 15

 14

 12

 8


 7

 3


Internal Vesting annuities

 32

 35

 31

 33


 24

 19


Total Individual Annuities

 55

 56

 50

 47


 36

 27


Corporate Pensions

 53

 40

 45

 35


 40

 39


On-shore Bonds

 45

 38

 43

 50


 49

 53


Other Products

 32

 36

 32

 40


 39

 46


Wholesale

 -  

 -  

 15

 13


 73

 31


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

185

170

185

185


237

196


Group Total

951

1,023

1,030

1,123


1,170

1,130


 

 

Schedule A(vi) - Investment Operations - By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)

 

 

 

2013


2014



 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4 


Q1

Q2



 

£m

£m

£m

£m 


£m

£m


Group Investment Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

129,498

138,926

137,407

142,820


143,916

147,914


Net Flows:(8)

 

3,502

2,344

5,093

126


2,571

4,123


 - Gross Inflows

 

13,409

14,561

13,528

11,006


12,146

14,045


 - Redemptions

 

(9,907)

(12,217)

(8,435)

(10,880)


(9,575)

(9,922)


Other Movements

 

5,926

(3,863)

320

970


1,427

1,812


Total Group Investment Operations(10)

 

138,926

137,407

142,820

143,916


147,914

153,849



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

M&G

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retail

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

54,879

61,427

62,655

64,504


67,202

68,981


Net Flows:

 

2,446

2,308

1,132

1,456


1,291

2,493


 - Gross Inflows

 

7,213

8,138

5,919

6,789


7,305

7,468


 - Redemptions

 

(4,767)

(5,830)

(4,787)

(5,333)


(6,014)

(4,975)


Other Movements

 

4,102

(1,080)

717

1,242


488

467


Closing FUM

 

61,427

62,655

64,504

67,202


68,981

71,941



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Comprising amounts for:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   UK

 

41,194

39,953

40,955

42,016


42,199

42,392


   Europe (excluding UK)

 

18,696

21,198

22,064

23,699


25,244

27,927


   South Africa

 

1,537

1,504

1,485

1,487


1,538

1,622



 

61,427

62,655

64,504

67,202


68,981

71,941



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Institutional(3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

56,989

57,745

55,484

59,810


58,787

59,736


Net Flows:

 

(15)

(899)

3,928

(866)


152

275


 - Gross Inflows

 

2,656

2,591

5,364

2,163


1,655

2,894


 - Redemptions

 

(2,671)

(3,490)

(1,436)

(3,029)


(1,503)

(2,619)


Other Movements

 

771

(1,362)

398

(157)


797

819


Closing FUM

 

57,745

55,484

59,810

58,787


59,736

60,830


Total M&G Investment Operations

 

119,172

118,139

124,314

125,989


128,717

132,771



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PPM South Africa FUM included in Total M&G

 

4,701

4,509

4,633

4,513


4,720

4,815



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eastspring - excluding MMF(8)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity/Bond/Other(7)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

15,457

17,206

16,756

16,133


16,109

16,753


Net Flows:

 

795

838

65

118


540

1,063


 - Gross Inflows

 

3,122

3,596

2,214

1,982


2,546

3,285


 - Redemptions

 

(2,327)

(2,758)

(2,149)

(1,864)


(2,006)

(2,222)


Other Movements

 

954

(1,288)

(688)

(142)


104

443


Closing FUM(5)

 

17,206

16,756

16,133

16,109


16,753

18,259



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Third Party Institutional Mandates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Opening FUM

 

2,173

2,548

2,512

2,373


1,818

2,444


Net Flows:

 

276

97

(32)

(582)


588

292


 - Gross Inflows

 

418

236

31

72


640

398


 - Redemptions

 

(142)

(139)

(63)

(654)


(52)

(106)


Other Movements

 

99

(133)

(107)

27


38

83


Closing FUM(5)

 

2,548

2,512

2,373

1,818


2,444

2,819



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Eastspring Investment Operations

 

19,754

19,268

18,506

17,927


19,197

21,078



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Curian - FUM(5) (9)

 

6,315

6,466

6,371

6,601


6,781

6,948


 

 

Schedule A(vii) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual Exchange Rates)

 

 

2013


2014



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2 



YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD


YTD

YTD 



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m 


Post-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business profit(1a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

237

502

767

1,139


243

494


Total US Insurance Operations

125

311

492

706


195

376


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

48

100

163

237


91

145


Group Total

410

913

1,422

2,082


529

1,015



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual Equivalent(1a) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

495

1,010

1,523

2,125


507

996


Total US Insurance Operations

358

797

1,202

1,573


432

871


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

185

355

540

725


237

433


Group Total

1,038

2,162

3,265

4,423


1,176

2,300



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

48%

50%

50%

54%


48%

50%


Total US Insurance Operations

35%

39%

41%

45%


45%

43%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

26%

28%

30%

33%


38%

33%


Group Total

39%

42%

44%

47%


45%

44%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PVNBP(1a) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

2,734

5,524

8,206

11,375


2,690

5,378


Total US Insurance Operations

3,581

7,957

12,006

15,723


4,323

8,703


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

1,540

2,943

4,398

5,978


2,072

3,741


Group Total

7,855

16,424

24,610

33,076


9,085

17,822



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

8.7%

9.1%

9.3%

10.0%


9.0%

9.2%


Total US Insurance Operations

3.5%

3.9%

4.1%

4.5%


4.5%

4.3%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.1%

3.4%

3.7%

4.0%


4.4%

3.9%


Group Total

5.2%

5.6%

5.8%

6.3%


5.8%

5.7%


 

 

Schedule A(viii) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note:   In schedule A(viii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013.  The year-to-date amounts for 2014 are presented on actual exchange rates.

 

 

2013


2014



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2 



YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD


YTD

YTD 



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m 


Post-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business profit(1b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

 203

 429

 672

 1,023


243

494


Total US Insurance Operations

 116

 288

 455

 661


195

376


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 48

 100

 163

 237


91

145


Group Total

367

817

1,290

1,921


529

1,015



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual Equivalent(1b) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

433

882

1,351

1,928


507

996


Total US Insurance Operations

333

737

1,113

1,474


432

871


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

185

355

540

725


237

433


Group Total

951

1,974

3,004

4,127


1,176

2,300



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

47%

49%

50%

53%


48%

50%


Total US Insurance Operations

35%

39%

41%

45%


45%

43%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

26%

28%

30%

33%


38%

33%


Group Total

39%

41%

43%

47%


45%

44%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PVNBP(1b) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

2,410

4,866

7,337

10,381


2,690

5,378


Total US Insurance Operations

3,330

7,363

11,121

14,741


4,323

8,703


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

1,540

2,943

4,398

5,978


2,072

3,741


Group Total

7,280

15,172

22,856

31,100


9,085

17,822



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

8.4%

8.8%

9.2%

9.9%


9.0%

9.2%


Total US Insurance Operations

3.5%

3.9%

4.1%

4.5%


4.5%

4.3%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.1%

3.4%

3.7%

4.0%


4.4%

3.9%


Group Total

5.0%

5.4%

5.6%

6.2%


5.8%

5.7%


 

 

Schedule A(ix) - Total Insurance New Business Profit (2014 and 2013 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 

Note: In schedule A(ix) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2013 and 2014, i.e the average exchange rate for the period ended 30 June 2014 is applied to each period for 2013 and 2014.

 

 

2013


2014



Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4


Q1

Q2 



YTD

YTD

YTD

YTD


YTD

YTD 



£m

£m

£m

£m


£m

£m 


Post-tax analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business profit(1c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

 203

 429

 672

 1,023


 242

 494


Total US Insurance Operations

 116

 288

 455

 661


 193

 376


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

 48

 100

 163

 237


 91

 145


Group Total

367

817

1,290

1,921


526

1,015



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annual Equivalent(1c) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

433

882

1,351

1,928


505

996


Total US Insurance Operations

333

737

1,113

1,474


428

871


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

185

355

540

725


237

433


Group Total

951

1,974

3,004

4,127


1,170

2,300



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business margin (NBP as % of APE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

47%

49%

50%

53%


48%

50%


Total US Insurance Operations

35%

39%

41%

45%


45%

43%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

26%

28%

30%

33%


38%

33%


Group Total

39%

41%

43%

47%


45%

44%



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PVNBP(1c) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

2,410

4,866

7,337

10,381


2,680

5,378


Total US Insurance Operations

3,330

7,363

11,121

14,741


4,287

8,703


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

1,540

2,943

4,398

5,978


2,072

3,741


Group Total

7,280

15,172

22,856

31,100


9,039

17,822



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Asia Insurance Operations

8.4%

8.8%

9.2%

9.9%


9.0%

9.2%


Total US Insurance Operations

3.5%

3.9%

4.1%

4.5%


4.5%

4.3%


Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations

3.1%

3.4%

3.7%

4.0%


4.4%

3.9%


Group Total

5.0%

5.4%

5.6%

6.2%


5.8%

5.7%


 

B Foreign currency source of key metrics

 

The tables below show the Group's key free surplus, IFRS and EEV metrics analysis by contribution by currency group:

 

Free surplus and IFRS half year 2014 results

 

 

Underlying free surplus generated2

Pre-tax

Operating profit3,4,5

Shareholders'

funds3,4,5

,

%

%

%

US$ linked1

11

17

13

Other Asia currencies

14

17

18

Total Asia

25

34

31

UK sterling3,4

38

21

50

US$ 4

37

45

19

Total

100

100

100

 

EEV half year 2014 results

 

 

 

 

 

 Post-tax New

Business profits

Post-tax

Operating Profit3,4,5

Shareholders'

funds3,4,5

 

 

%

%

%

US$ linked1

 30

 27

 28

Other Asia currencies

 19

 18

 15

Total Asia

 49

 45

 43

UK sterling3,4

14

15

37

US$4

37

40

20

Total

100

100

100

 

 

 

 

 

1US$ linked - comprising the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.

2Underlying free surplus generated comprises long-term business (net of investment in new business), asset management and other businesses.

3Includes long-term, asset management business and other businesses.

4For operating profit and shareholders' funds UK sterling includes amounts in respect of central operations as well as UK insurance operations and M&G.

5For shareholders' funds, the US$ grouping includes US$ denominated core structural borrowings. Sterling operating profits include all interest payable as sterling denominated, reflecting interest rate currency swaps in place.

 


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