Monthly Briefing Feb 2003

Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC 17 March 2003 The Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC As at 28th February 2003 Fund Objective To maximise long-term total returns subject to the avoidance of loss of absolute value and with a minimum objective to maintain the real purchasing power of Sterling capital, as measured by the annual average yield on the 2.5% Consolidated Loan Stock. Net Asset Value GBP 91.43 Share Price GBP 95.50 Discount (Premium) 4.5% Market Capitalisation GBP 19.1mn Source: Bloomberg; NAV - LTL Performance (based in GBP) Feb Jan Dec YTD Since Launch NAV +1.9% -3.8% -1.2% -2.0% -8.6% Share Price +0.0% +0.5% +0.6% +0.5% -4.5% Source: Bloomberg. Based in GBP. Top 10 Holdings % NAV Industry Breakdown % NAV US Gov Treasury 6.25% 16.6 Bonds 38.3 Lindsell Train Japan (Dist) 13.3 Preference Shares 12.8 Lindsell Train Global Media (Dist) 11.6 Media 7.4 US Gov Treasury IL 3.875% 7.7 Banks & Investment Co. 7.0 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock 7.6 Leisure & Entertainment 7.1 HBOS 6.125% Non Cum 7.4 Food & Beverage 17.1 UK Treasury 2.5% 6.0 Investment Fund 24.9 Barr AG 5.8 Cash & Equivalent (14.6) Glenmorangie plc A&B 5.4 Total 100.0 HBOS 9.25% Non Cum 5.4 Geographical Breakdown % NAV Currency Exposure % NAV Bonds 38.3 USD 53.9 UK 13.7 JPY (0.9) US 24.3 EUR 2.3 Preference 12.8 GBP 44.8 Shares 38.6 Total 100.0 Equities UK 29.1 US 4.2 Japan 3.0 Europe 2.3 24.9 Funds LT Japan 13.3 LT Global Media 11.6 (14.6) Cash & Equivalent Total 100.0 Fund Manager's Comments The net asset value rose 1.9% driven by a rise in the US dollar versus Sterling (over 50% of the net assets are exposed to US dollars) and continued advances in the prices of the long-term fixed interest holdings. For the first time we sold a small part of our fixed interest positions. Specifically we reduced by 25% our holding in the US inflation-linked long-term bond. It has proved to be our best performing bond rising in price by 11% since purchase and falling in yield (real yield - i.e. the yield over and above the current rate of US inflation) from 3.5% to 2.5% when we sold. We think the yield may eventually fall to approximately 2.0%, but recognize that we are unlikely to catch the top so propose, if prices give us the opportunity, to sell in stages. This year the price of the bond has performed particularly well even versus conventional bonds. This is a reflection of investors' general concern about inflation. If inflation rises the inflation-linked bonds provide some protection against that eventuality unlike conventional bonds whose income would fall in real terms. We have outlined in previous monthly reviews our views on inflation and reiterate today that we do not believe that there is likely to be any sustainable inflation (in the developed world) that will impinge on the real returns from bonds. That is not to say that consumer price inflation in the US and the UK will never be positive, it will. But the influences causing that will be temporary and not structural as they proved to be from the mid 1960's to the mid 1990's, when semi-permanent levels of future inflation deflated the real value of bond income. Given this view you might well wonder why we own an inflation protected security in the first place. This was all to do with our view on the likely demand for these instruments should long term institutions revise their view on their weighting in equities. Clearly with equity markets having fallen this has occurred. Securities guaranteeing real and fixed returns have been in greater demand as institutions recognize these securities better match their liabilities with far less risk. If we are correct in our assessment of the lack of inflation, the securities that should rise most are conventional bonds. Over 30% of the portfolio is invested in these. We have made money but not as much as we hope to. We still expect long-term government yields to fall to 3-4%. Yields on our government bonds are between 4-5% having fallen from 5-6%. We judge that investors are still reluctant to embrace the idea of no inflation. The implied inflation rate (the difference between inflation protected bond yield and conventional ones) is 2.3% today. We think that in due course conventional bonds will perform better than inflation linked ones as the market adjusts its current expectation of long-term inflationary pressures further downwards. The sale of part of the inflation-linked bond was also influenced by the price of the assets we were able to buy. We added to existing equity holdings in the portfolio accessing average dividend yields approximately 70% higher than the yield on the bond and in each case higher than the cost of our borrowings. At the same time we enhanced the tax efficiency of the trust. As we described in January's note it is important that our bond income does not exceed our expenses and our debt financing costs, otherwise we are subject to corporate tax on the difference. Now that short-term rates are on the way down our borrowing costs are falling, which risks this occurring. Selling the holding in the bond helps to mitigate this problem. Unfortunately the trade has lost us value thus far. The bond price continues to rise and the stocks to fall. Nevertheless we plan to repeat this trade again, hopefully a number of times, at more fortuitous prices. In this way we should continue the process of raising the income generated by the net assets of the Company and in doing so increase the Company's ability to compound that income over time for the benefit of all shareholders. Fund Manager Launch Date Denominated Currency Nick Train 22 January 2001 GBP Year End Dividend Benchmark 31st March Ex-date: June The annual average yield on Payment: August the 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. The Board Management Fees Registered Address Rhoddy Swire Standard Fee: 0.65% p.a. Lindsell Train Investment Michael Mackenzie Performance Fee: 10% of annual Trust Donald Adamson increase in the share price, plus 77A High Street Michael Lindsell dividend, Brentwood above the gross annual yield of ESSEX DM14 4RR the 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. Sedol No Bloomberg 3197794 LTI LN Disclaimer The contents in this document is solely for information purposes only. The information contained herein does not constitute an offer or invitation to buy or subscribe any securities or funds in any jurisdiction in which such distribution is not authorised. Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice and cannot be relied upon in making any investment decision. Applications to invest in some of the funds must only be made on the basis of offer documents which may only be available for private circulation. The information contained in this document is published in good faith and neither Lindsell Train Limited nor any other person so connected assumes any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information as provided. No representation is made or assurance given that any statements made, views, projections or forecasts are correct or that objectives will be achieved. Lindsell Train and/or persons connected with it may have an interest in the Fund. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. You may not get back the amount you invested. Foreign exchange rates may cause the value of investments to go up or down. Investments may be subject to higher volatility in certain funds and the investment value may fall suddenly and substantially. Lindsell Train Limited 35 Thurloe Street, London SW7 2LQ Tel. +44 20 7225 6400 Fax. +44 20 7225 6499 info@lindselltrain.com www.lindselltrain.com Lindsell Train Limited is regulated by the FSA. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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