Earnings Statement KBC Group, 1Q 2009

Regulated information* - 14 May 2009 (8.00 a.m. CEST) Encouraging underlying profit trends, measures to contain further structured credit exposure For the first quarter of 2009, KBC achieved an underlying net profit of 465 million euros. This is significantly better than the level of 176 million euros realised in the difficult previous quarter. Operating trends have turned positively across the business units. Business margins recovered significantly and the operating cost level was reduced, while loan impairment charges also remained well within expectations and even below the previous quarter level. When also taking asset value adjustments and other exceptional items into account, the reported net result came to -3.6 billion euros. It was decided to increase the provision coverage against MBIA, the US monoline credit insurer, whose creditworthiness deteriorated markedly. Moreover, worsening market conditions were discounted in the value of the remaining super senior CDO investments which brings further down their risk profile. All non super senior CDO investments had already been written down in 2008. KBC was also able to buy an insurance coverage that largely reduces future mark-to-market impacts on CDO exposure. Financial highlights - 1Q 2009 The financial highlights for 1Q 2009 can be summarised as follows: - On an underlying basis, interest income grew by 7% quarter-on quarter. While loan growth has slowed, a significant margin recovery was achieved. On a like-for-like basis, the loan book grew by 1% during the quarter. The net interest margin, banking came to 1.80%, up from 1.68% for the previous quarter, including a 0.35% margin increase in Belgium. - Excluding currency effects, the operating expense level remained stable compared to the year-earlier quarter since normal cost inflation was offset by the effect of the downsizing of merchant banking activities, the agreed staff remuneration reduction plan in Belgium and various cost containment measures elsewhere. On an underlying basis, the cost/income ratio, banking for the quarter was 58%, compared with 64% achieved for the year 2008. - Loan losses remained very moderate in Belgium, while, as anticipated, it increased in some Eastern European markets, especially in Hungary and Russia and also somewhat in Poland. For the non-domestic loan book outside Belgium and Eastern Europe, the loss fell compared to the previous quarter, including in Ireland. The loan loss ratio stood at 0.70%, annualised, which is the same level as that for the entire 2008 financial year. The non-performing loan ratio currently is 2.5%. Since the economic cycle has not bottomed out yet, the loan loss trend is expected to be upwards for the quarters to come. - Weak equity market performance during the first quarter continued to have an adverse impact on investment management fees and triggered, in line with stress tests results disclosed earlier, impairment of the equity portfolio of the insurance division to the tune of 0.3 billion euros. Given the earnings sensitivity, it was decided to further reduce the investment position in shares. During the first three months of the year, the value of the share portfolio was reduced by 0.6 billion to 2.1 billion euros. Another 0.5 billion euros worth of share holdings were sold in the course of April. - Although sales and trading activities on money and debt securities markets performed well, merchant banking income was adversely impacted by a value adjustment of -3.8 billion euros on CDO exposure. Deteriorating economic conditions were discounted for determining the book value of the remaining super senior CDO investments. Moreover, it included the increase of the provision amount to cover the increased counterparty risk against MBIA, the US monoline insurer providing CDO protection, after it announced its restructuring plans. KBC has also bought a financial guarantee from the State to largely mitigate further CDO losses. - Including all capital enhancement support received, the (pro forma) Tier-1 ratio for banking activities stands at 11.0% (8.3% core Tier-1). For the insurance division, the (pro forma) solvency margin stands at 158%. Structured credit relief measures KBC achieved an agreement with the Belgian Government about an asset relief solution. Luc Philips, recently appointed Chief Financial and Risk Officer: "Our structured credit portfolio is largely performing, but illiquid and therefore difficult-to-value. That is one of the reasons that create uncertainty and earnings volatility. Participation to a state-sponsored asset relief program, whereby exposure is guaranteed, is our best option to reduce uncertainty. Such scenario also preserves the solvency level for the future." With the promulgation of a law on 14 April, the Belgian Parliament had taken the initiative to create a legal framework to enable an asset relief program for systemic banks in Belgium. The announced arrangement for KBC relates to a notional amount of 20.0 billion euros (of which 5.3 billion euros was marked down against revenue), including:: * 5.5 billion notional value of super senior CDO investments; * 14.4 billion notional value of counterparty risk on MBIA, the US monoline insurer that had written credit protection to KBC. Against payment of a premium KBC buys a guarantee from the State covering 90% of the default risk beyond a set first loss. The transaction is structured as follows: * The first loss tranche is set at 3.2 billion euros, notional (all credit loss to be borne by KBC, however, without net profit impact since covered by markdowns made in the past) * Losses incurred in a second layer of 2.0 billion euros above the set first loss tranche, are compensated by the State at 90% (10% risk retained) via the subscription to new KBC shares at market value. KBC has, however, the option to opt out of the equity guarantee. * All further losses (up to 14.8 billion euros) are compensated by the State in cash to the level of 90% (10% risk retained by KBC). As a result, the potential negative impact on future earnings and solvency deriving from the exposure will be largely eliminated. The remaining downside impact relates to the marking-to-market of the retained 10% risk tranche. If market values were to rise substantially, reversals of earlier markdowns would be booked. The guarantee premium amounts to 1.2 billion euros, fully provided for up front, and an additional commitment fee of 30 million per quarter, pre tax, is payable. The premium combined with a positive value adjustment of 0.4 billion (best effort estimate), the upfront net profit impact of the transaction is estimated at a negative 0.8 billion euros. This will be booked in the second quarter. Risk-weighted assets that are freed up amount to 6.3 billion euros. Earlier in the first quarter, KBC secured a capital back-up facility of 1.5 billion from the Flemish Regional Government of Belgium. To complement the credit relief solution, KBC intends to draw upon the facility by issuing core capital securities to be subscribed by the Region. Including all capital enhancement support received, the (pro forma) Tier-1 ratio for banking activities stands at 11.0% (8.3% equity Tier-1). For the insurance division, the (pro forma) solvency margin has decreased to 158%. As a normal procedure, all measures need to be approved by the competent regulatory authorities. Strategy highlights and future developments While the environment in the second half of 2008 was very difficult, operating performance improved since the start of the year. A group-wide cost containment project is being implemented and underwriting criteria remain tight for lending in non-home markets and for such areas as, for example, unsecured consumer credit, unhedged foreign-currency lending, leasing and real estate financing. KBC is committed to maximally safeguard its lending capacity to core customers in home markets. As long as the economic cycle has not bottomed out, worldwide non-performing loan trends are expected to remain upwards. Developments in Central and Eastern Europe (including Russia) and also Ireland are particular areas of attention in this respect. Loan losses may also rise on the Asset-backed Securities portfolio that was reclassified to 'loans & receivables' at the end of 2008. KBC also announced earlier that it has put various derivatives-based activities within the KBC Financial Products entity on run-off status. In the past two quarters unwinding losses were recognised. KBC is a major player in offering investment solutions to its retail, corporate and private banking customers. It takes care that customers are adequately informed and that products are sold according to their risk profile. Moreover, capital protection is embedded in a significant part of investment products for retail customers. In the current environment, when asset values have fallen significantly, customer complaints throughout the sector have been increasing. KBC has not changed its policy stating that if in individual cases shortcomings on behalf of KBC have been established, it assumes its responsibility. * This news item contains information that is subject to the transparency regulations for listed companies. This announcement was originally distributed by Hugin. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
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