Publication of Reserve Report
Cardinal Resources plc
15 May 2006
CARDINAL RESOURCES PLC ANNOUNCES PUBLICATION OF RESERVE REPORT
RESERVES INCREASE 75% SINCE IPO TO 32.5 MMBOE
PV 12 UP 162% TO $105.6 MILLION
LONDON - Monday, 15th May 2006
Cardinal Resources plc (AIM:CDL) ('Cardinal' or 'The Company'), an independent
oil and gas production and exploration company operating in Ukraine, announces
that the Company's independent competent person, Scott Pickford Ltd., has today
supplied its reserve report for Cardinal, as of 31st December 2005.
Total proved (P1) and probable (P2) reserves for the Company are estimated to be
32.5 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBOE), of which 85% is natural gas and
62% P1. The year end estimate represents a 75% increase over the reserves stated
in the 31st March 2005 Scott Pickford report published at Cardinal's admission
on AIM in April 2005. The increase is due to the acquisition of Rudis Drilling
Company that Cardinal made in October 2005. The pre-tax present value of the
Company's reserves, discounted at 12%, has increased 162% to $105.6 million over
the same period due to the inclusion of the Rudis reserves and upward revisions
to expected future gas and oil prices in Ukraine. The pre-tax present value
discounted at 10% is $124.7 million.
Reserve Data
------------
Detailed tables can be found in the Appendix on page 5
P1 P2 P1 + P2
Property Total MBOE
Rudis 50,818 2,021 10,491 34,118 1,392 7,078 17,569
RC 50,714 754 9,206 29,183 421 5,285 14,491
Bytkiv 530 295 383 44 26 33 416
TOTAL 102,062 3,070 20,080 63,344 1,839 12,396 32,477
Rudis Assets
------------
Reserves for the Rudis properties have been upgraded to 17.6 MMBOE from the 9.1
MMBOE stated at the time of the Rudis Drilling acquisition in October 2005. This
is due to Cardinal's initiation of an aggressive work programme to complete
seven workovers and initiate drilling operations on seven of eleven identified
development locations by year-end 2007 as a result of the well swap with
Ukrgazvydobuvannya (Ukrgaz) conducted in January of 2006. Cardinal is in
negotiations to hire three locally-sourced Uralmash drilling rigs which it will
upgrade using certain modern equipment and supplies. Negotiations are also
underway to lease a further Uralmash workover rig. Production at the Rudis
properties is anticipated to increase by 2,500 to 3,000 barrels of oil
equivalent per day (boepd) by the end of 2007 from 597 boepd at 31st March 2006.
The capital investment to develop these locations is forecast to be in the range
of $25 to $42 million, dependant upon the number of wells drilled, the extent of
modern equipment utilised and the availability of finance.
Rudivsko-Chernovozavodske (RC) Field
------------------------------------
Reserves for the RC Field have been reduced slightly from 16.2 MMBOE to 14.5
MMBOE due to poorer than expected production at Well #117. The delay Cardinal is
experiencing in reinstating its net profit interest in the field back up to 45%
has also resulted in setbacks in executing the work programme set out at the
time of the IPO. The workover on Well #102 has been temporarily suspended and it
is expected that, apart from the four wells Ukrnafta is currently drilling
outside of the JAA, no further wells will be drilled in the field in 2006.
RC Field Reinstatement
----------------------
Cardinal expects discussions with Ukrnafta and its primary shareholders
regarding the reinstatement of its net profit interest in the RC Field back up
to 45% and the purchase of shares in four wells currently drilling on the field,
will resume after a Parliamentary coalition has been formed in Ukraine. In the
meantime, the active work programme on the Rudis assets is expected to produce
positive results for the Company and more than compensate for the setbacks at
the RC Field.
Bytkiv-Babchenske (Bytkiv) Field
--------------------------------
Effective 1st January 2006 the Ukrainian Government imposed a 59% increase in
taxes on oil produced in Ukraine. This coincided with the expiration of Bytkiv's
royalty-free status which had previously been granted due to the technical
challenges of operating the field. Consequently, the economics for drilling new
wells in the Bytkiv Field have diminished significantly. UkrCarpatOil - the
Joint Venture (owned 50% by Cardinal) that owns and operates the Bytkiv licence
- will therefore focus primarily on low cost, high return workovers, and Scott
Pickford has reduced the P1 and P2 reserves in the field. However, Cardinal is
currently in discussions with Ukrnafta to decide whether the drilling of well #
1007 will proceed as planned.
Valuation
---------
The Scott Pickford report also provides updated present values for the Company's
reserves based on the new reserve data inclusive of the Rudis assets and a more
positive outlook for gas and oil prices in Ukraine. The pre-tax net present
value of Cardinal's reserves discounted at 12% (PV12) has increased 162% to
$105.6 million from $40.3 million at the time of Cardinal's listing on AIM in
April 2005. The pre-tax PV10 value is set at $124.7 million and will be the
figure Cardinal uses going forward to bring the Company in line with valuations
attributed to its peers.
Property PV @ 10% ($ ,000) PV @ 12% ($ ,000)
Rudis 71,983 61,107
RC 50,420 42,336
Bytkiv 2,316 2,173
Total 124,720 105,616
The following price assumptions were made by Scott Pickford in establishing the
present values:
Time Period Forecast Average Forecast Average Forecast Average
Gas Price/Mcf Oil Price/Bbl Cond Price/Bbl
2006 $2.60 $53.36 $59.67
2007 $2.67 $54.20 $60.70
2008 to 2020 $3.40 $54.45 $60.98
2021 to 2030 $4.52 $70.19 $78.61
Commenting on the new reserve report, Robert J. Bensh, Chairman and CEO of
Cardinal Resources said, 'The Scott Pickford report shows what a long way
Cardinal has come since the AIM listing in April 2005. The acquisition of Rudis
Drilling Company has more than compensated for the setbacks we have experienced
in the work programmes on our original assets.
'The new reserve figures show that the Rudis acquisition was made at the price
of just $0.85/BOE and we will be conducting a significant amount of development
activity on these properties over the next few years to fully exploit their
potential. Gas prices have also increased more than our expectations, resulting
in the sharp increase in the net present value of our reserves. We plan to
continue to create value for our shareholders by executing similar acquisitions
at attractive prices that boost both reserves and increase production.'
Glossary of Terms
Bbl Barrel of oil
Bcf Billion cubic feet of gas
Boepd Barrels of oil equivalent per day
Mbbls Thousand barrels of oil
Mcf Thousand cubic feet of gas
MMcf Million cubic feet of gas
MBOE Thousand barrels of oil equivalent
MMBOE Million barrels of oil equivalent
P1 (Proved) Those oil or gas reserves considered to have at least a 90%
chance of being recovered (using the Society of Petroleum
Engineers definitions)
P2 (Probable) Those oil or gas reserves considered to have at least a 50%
chance of being recovered (using the Society of Petroleum
Engineers definitions)PV Present value
The classification Standard used for the Scott Pickford report is the Canadian
National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities
('NI 51-101') and specifically the definitions and interpretations detailed in
the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGEH), Volumes 1 & 2, as endorsed
by the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (CIM).
Scott Pickford confirms that it has reviewed this press release and finds that
the information presented herein has been extracted from its Report in a manner
which is not misleading and provides a balanced view of the Report.
###
For further information please contact:
Cardinal Resources Parkgreen Communications
Kate Spiro Justine Howarth / Victoria Thomas
+44 (0) 20 7936 5258 +44 (0) 20 7493 3713
kspiro@cardinal-uk.com victoria.thomas@parkgreenmedia.com
Notes to Editor
Cardinal Resources plc
Cardinal Resources plc is an independent oil and gas production and exploration
company with assets in Ukraine. Cardinal is an experienced operator in the
country focused on expanding its existing operations through the farm-in or
acquisition of additional upstream oil and gas assets that can be further
developed through the application of modern technology and expertise.
Cardinal's assets are:
Rudivsko-Chernovozavodske (RC) Field
Rudivsko-Chernovozavodske is a large under-developed gas field (1.54 TCF
original gas in place), located in the Dnieper-Donets basin, 200km east of Kiev
in the Poltava Oblast. Cardinal has a Joint Activity Agreement (JAA) with a
subsidiary of Ukrnafta for production and further development.
Bytkiv-Babchenske (Bytkiv) Field
Bytkiv-Babchenske is an oil field, located in the Carpathian fold belt, 45km
south-west of Ivano-Frankivsk in the Nadvirna Oblast. Cardinal has a 45%
interest through UkrCarpatOil, a Joint Venture (JV) with Ukrnafta, to operate
and develop the field.
The following assets were acquired as part of the Rudis Drilling Company
transaction in 2005:
Bilousivsko-Chornukhinska (BC) Licence
Bilousivsko-Chornukhinska is a producing gas-condensate licence in the
Dnieper-Donets basin, owned and operated by Cardinal.
North Yablunivska (NY) Licence
North Yablunivska is a producing gas-condensate licence in the Dnieper-Donets
basin, owned by Cardinal and operated under the JAA #429 with Ukrgazvydobuvannya
(Ukrgaz).
Dubrivska (DB) Licence
Cardinal is currently drilling an exploration well as part of the JAA with
Ukrgaz.
Ukrgazvydobuvannya JAA #429
Cardinal has a 50% percent interest in three wells in two other fields
(Kulickykhin and Bilskie) in the Dnieper-Donets Basin under this JAA with
Ukrgaz.
This release may contain certain forward-looking statements. These statements
relate to future events or future performance and reflect management's
expectations regarding Cardinal's growth, results of operations, performance and
business prospects and opportunities. Such forward-looking statements reflect
management's current beliefs, are based on information currently available to
management and are based on reasonable assumptions as of this date. No
assurance, however, can be given that the expectations will be achieved. A
number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the
projections, anticipated results or other expectations expressed in this
release. While Cardinal makes these forward-looking statements in good faith,
neither Cardinal, nor its directors and management, can guarantee that the
anticipated future results will be achieved.
APPENDIX
The following Reserves and Resources tables are formatted to match the guidance
note for mining, oil and gas companies as issued by the London Stock Exchange in
March 2006.
Summary Table of Assets
Asset Operator Company Status Licence Licence Comments
Net Expiry Area
Interest Date
(%)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RC PNG 14.91% Production 20/7/2024 192km2 Negotiations to restore current 14.91%
net interest to 45% continue
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bytkiv UkrCarpatOil 45% Production 28/7/2015 176km2 Well #1007 scheduled to start Drilling
(JV) in August 2006
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rudis Licences and JAA #429
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Kulickykhin Rudis 50% Production N/A N/A Ukrgaz has the
#18 & 26 PDP (JAA # Production Licence
Wells 429)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bilskie Rudis 50% Production N/A N/A Ukrgaz has the
#161 PDP Well (JAA # Production Licence
429)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
North (JAA # 50% in Pilot Exploration 29/11/06 52km2 Licence extension will be applied for*
Yablunivska 429) the PDNP and Production
#201 PDNP Rudis Wells Licence
#203 PDP & &
#300 PDNP Licence 100% in
#4 new well (New New Drill
location Wells) Wells
construction
is underway &
expect to
start in
August 2006
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dubrivska Rudis 50% Pilot Exploration 29/11/06 40km2 Licence extension will be applied for*
One (JAA # and Production
exploration 429) Licence
well is
currently
being drilled
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bilousivsko-
Chornukhinska Rudis 100% Pilot Exploration 23/11/06 45km2 Licence extension will be applied for*
#13 PDP & #110 (Licence) and Production
PDP Licence
Chornukhinska
#3 new drill
well is rigged
up and
scheduled to
start in June
2006
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: Scott Pickford Ltd.
* The licences are in good standing, their work programmes are ongoing and
Cardinal has no reason to believe the licence extensions will not be granted as
per Ukraine's existing Petroleum Law.
Summary of Reserves and Resources by Status
Oil and Liquids Reserves
Gross (Mbbls) Net Attributable (Mbbls) Operator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Proved Proved & Proved, Proved Proved & Proved,
Probable Probable & Probable Probable &
Possible Possible
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RC 5,057 7,881 Not Calculated 754 1,175 Not Calculated PNG
(Condensate)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bytkiv (Oil) 656 711 Not Calculated 295 320 Not Calculated UkrCarpatOil
(JV)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rudis
(Condensate
and Oil) 2,403 3,911 Not Calculated 2,021 3,413 Not Calculated Rudis
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Oil
and 8,116 12,503 3,070 4,908
Liquids
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gas Reserves
Gross (Bcf) Net Attributable (Bcf) Operator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Proved Proved & Proved, Proved Proved & Proved,
Probable Probable & Probable Probable &
Possible Possible
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RC 340 536 Not 50.714 79.897 Not PNG
Calculated Calculated
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bytkiv 1.178 1.276 Not 0.530 0.574 Not UkrCarpatOil
Calculated Calculated (JV)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rudis 59.670 104.032 Not 50.818 84.936 Not Rudis
Calculated Calculated
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total 400.85 641.31 102.06 165.41
Gas
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Oil & Gas - Contingent Resources
Gross Recoverable Net Attributable Risk Operator
Factor*
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Best High Low Best High
Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bytkiv 2,476 2,647 Not 1,114 1,191 Not 50% UkrCarpatOil
(Oil) Mbbls Mbbls Calculated Mbbls Mbbls Calculated (JV)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bytkiv 4.258 4.744 Not 1.916 2.135 Not 50% UkrCarpatOil
(Gas) Bcf Bcf Calculated Bcf Bcf Calculated (JV)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: Scott Pickford Ltd.
* Risk Factor - This is Scott Pickford's opinion of the probability that these
technically recoverable reserves will become economic and be converted from
Contingent Resource to Reserves.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange