Q3 2010 IMS

RNS Number : 4211V
Aviva PLC
02 November 2010
 



 

News Release
Aviva plc interim management statement for the nine months to 30 September 2010

  2 November 2010                                                                                                           

Strong performance

Increased value

Positive outlook

Nine months 2010

Good sales growth


-    Worldwide sales of £35.9 billion - up 5%

-    Long-term savings sales of £28.6 billion - up 6%

-    General insurance and health net written premiums of £7.3 billion - up 4%

Strong profitability and capital generation


-    Group IRR stable at 12% 

-    General insurance COR of 97%

-    On track to generate £1.5 billion operational capital in 2010

-     IFRS net asset value up at 414p (30 June 2010:  394p); 424p on a pro forma basis including £275 million benefit from closure of UK final salary pension scheme

Strategy update:  clear way forward to deliver shareholder value

Sharper focus, greater depth and clear financial deliverables


-    Focus on markets where we have strength and scale

-    Deepen positions in chosen markets

-    Deliver at least £1.5 billion of operational capital in 2011

-    Life IRR of at least 12% with payback of 10 years or less

-    General insurance COR of 97% or better in 2011

-    £200 million of cost savings and £200 million of efficiency gains by end 2012

 

     

 

Andrew Moss, group chief executive, commented:

 

"The third quarter of 2010 saw continued strong profitability and good sales growth from both our life and general insurance businesses.  New business profitability has improved and we're on track to generate a very significant £1.5 billion of capital in 2010.

"As we look to the next phase of our growth, Aviva will sharpen its geographic focus and deepen its position in its key markets through its strengths in both life and general insurance.  Our UK business is an excellent example of how this strategy is delivering value for our shareholders and customers.

"Aviva is well-placed to become a leading insurer in our chosen markets."

 

 

 

Key financial highlights 


YTD 3Q10
£m

YTD 3Q09
 £m

Sterling %
change

Total life and pensions sales (PVNBP)1

25,554

24,060

6 %

Total investment sales2

3,039

3,042

- %

Total long-term savings sales

28,593

27,102

6 %

General insurance and health net written premiums

7,336

7,067

4 %

World-wide total sales

35,929

34,169

5 %






30 September
2010

30 June 
2010

Sterling %
change

IFRS net asset value per share

414p

394p

5%

IFRS net asset value per share including benefit from closure of final salary scheme on a pro forma basis

424p

394p

8%

MCEV net asset value per share

487p

461p

6%

MCEV net asset value per share including benefit from closure of final salary scheme on a pro forma basis

497p

461p

8%

IGD solvency surplus

£3.6bn

£3.8bn


 

 

 

Contacts

Investor contacts

Media contacts

Timings

Contents

 

Andrew Moss

+44 (0)20 7662 2286

 

Pat Regan

+44 (0)20 7662 2228

 

Charles Barrows

+44 (0)20 7662 8115

 

Jonathan Price
+44 (0)20 7662 2111

Jane Gillis
+44 (0)20 7662 8048

 

Nigel Prideaux

+44 (0)20 7662 7654

 

Sue Winston

+44 (0)20 7662 8221

 

Andrew Reid

+44 (0)20 7662 3131

 

James Murgatroyd/

Conor McClafferty
+44 (0)20 7251 3801

 

Real-time media

conference call

0745 hrs GMT

 

Analyst presentation

0930 hrs GMT

 

Presentation slides available

at www.aviva.com from

0930 hrs GMT

 

Live webcast

www.aviva.com

 

 

Chief executive's review            1

 

Regional performance               5

 

Capital management               12

 

Statistical supplement             14

 

 

 

       

 

1 All references to life and pensions sales in this announcement refer to the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) unless otherwise stated. PVNBP is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums.

2. Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

 


 

Page 1

 

Chief executive's review

 

Continued momentum delivering profitable growth

 

Good sales growth - momentum continues

I am pleased to report that Aviva has maintained the momentum created in the first half of the year, with a strong third quarter performance. 

We delivered good sales growth in the first nine months of 2010, with total world-wide sales of £35.9 billion, an increase of 5% on the same period last year.  Within this, long-term savings sales rose 6% to £28.6 billion and our general insurance business also performed strongly, with net written premiums increasing by 4% to £7.3 billion.

Writing profitable business remains a priority

We have continued to focus on writing profitable new business.  The group's internal rate of return (IRR) for the nine month period remained steady at 12%, in line with our benchmark and payback periods were maintained, although the group MCEV margin reduced to 2.1%, as a result of lower risk-free rates in the US. The group's general insurance combined operating ratio (COR) improved to 97%, ahead of our 'meet or beat' target of 98%. 

Continuing to reduce costs - more to come

Aviva has continued to grow profitable sales at the same time as maintaining strict cost disciplines

Today we have confirmed that, as our transformation programme continues to deliver benefits, the group will deliver £200 million of cost savings and a further £200 million of efficiency savings by the end of 2012.  We will continue to focus on both cost and capital efficiency, balanced with increasing the volume of profitable sales.

Consultation on the planned closure of Aviva's final salary staff pension scheme completed at the end of September.  Moving staff to a defined contribution scheme from 1 April 2011 will reduce the pension scheme deficit, benefitting Aviva's net asset value by around £275 million, and will reduce future funding costs by £50 million a year.

Operational capital generation is a clear differentiator

Aviva is on target to generate £1.5 billion of operational capital by the end of the year.  Looking ahead to 2011, we expect to deliver at least as much again, as we continue to benefit from our combination of life and general insurance.  We will generate capital through a combination of attracting more customers and ensuring that they want to stay with us, continuing to manage expenses and as a consequence of improved general insurance profitability.

Benefiting from strength in bancassurance

These results show that Aviva is continuing to create value for shareholders by capitalising on its strengths.  For example, sales through banks in Aviva Europe - where we have more than 50 bank relationships - increased by 20% against the same period last year. 

Strong balance sheet

Aviva's balance sheet remains strong, with an Insurance Groups' Directive (IGD) surplus of £3.6 billion at 30 September 2010 (HY10:  £3.8 billion), after allowing for the payment of the interim dividend, totalling £0.2 billion (net of scrip). 

We continue to have hedges in place to provide protection against adverse movements in equities and the Euro, and the £1.1 billion of default provisions in our UK annuity book remain untouched.

Aviva's net asset value on an IFRS basis increased to 424p (HY10:  394p), on a pro forma basis.  This includes a 10 pence benefit for the closure of the final salary pension scheme, but does not include the impact of the interim dividend.

First ever international brand campaign

In October, we launched the group's first ever international brand campaign, called 'You are the Big Picture', which features Aviva's most important people - our customers and our employees.  The new campaign reflects the changes we are making to transform our business for the benefit of our customers. 

Positive outlook

We are on track to deliver strong profitable growth and outstanding capital generation for the full year 2010. 

Looking further ahead, today we are setting out how we will sharpen our focus on our key markets and capitalise on the benefits of running life insurance, general insurance and asset management under one strong global brand.

 

Page 2

Strategy update:

Delivering value in the new business environment

Significant transformation since 2007

Since 2007, we have fundamentally transformed Aviva through decisive management actions, despite the financial crisis. 

Through our 'One Aviva, twice the value' strategy, we have simplified and streamlined the group, moving from a federation of independent businesses trading in 28 different countries and across 40 different brands to a successful global business operating under a single, strong global brand. 

The transformation of our UK businesses and our Quantum Leap programme in Europe are good examples of how we are bringing our businesses closer together to serve customers better, and improve productivity and efficiency.

We have taken some tough decisions to put the business on a firmer footing:

§ Reshaped the portfolio to reallocate capital to higher return markets - such as the IPO of Delta Lloyd and the sale of our sub-scale Australian life business

§ Delivered £500 million cost savings a year ahead of target

§ Reduced our headcount by 19% (including the impact of disposals and outsourcing)

§ Strengthened the balance sheet, selling £3.4 billion of equities in 2007 and improving the IGD surplus from £2 billion (at 31 December 2008) to £3.6 billion (at 30 September 2010)

§ Completed the reattribution of the inherited estate which delivered £471 million to policyholders, provided access to around £650 million of additional capital over five years and boosts earnings by at least £120 million a year for at least the same period

§ Closure of the final salary section of the UK staff pension scheme to future accruals, thereby reducing the pension scheme deficit, benefitting Aviva's net asset value by around £275 million, and reducing future funding costs by £50 million a year.

 

Looking ahead in the new environment

In the new economic environment, we are now looking ahead to the next phase of Aviva's growth - there are new challenges and exciting opportunities. 

There is no doubt that the world has changed significantly since 2007.  This is particularly true for Aviva's customers, who are responding to the uncertain economic climate and lower disposable incomes by paying down debt and investing in long-term savings, to ensure a more secure financial future for themselves and their families. 

For insurance companies, such as Aviva, the capital constraints of today demand investment discipline, greater strategic focus and strong balance sheets.  Instead of searching for high returns, equity investors are increasingly seeking to carefully manage risk and are favouring income. 

In addition, 'light touch' regulation has given way to greater regulatory scrutiny and the advent of Solvency II. 

We expect global economic recovery to be fragmented, with different economies recovering at different rates, and we therefore remain alert to the macro-economic environment.  However, we expect that Aviva will benefit from the strengthening of the general insurance market from the current low point in the cycle.

Against the backdrop of these changes to the economic, business and regulatory environments, we stepped back in the first half of 2010 and assessed our strategic direction with input from external advisers.

More focus and depth

The conclusions were clear.  We are in good shape and have a strong foundation on which to build, but there is more we can do to maximise value for shareholders.  There were three principal conclusions:

Increasing geographic focus:  We will focus on our key markets where we have strength and scale.  In determining our focus we will judge markets on their potential to generate both $100 million of IFRS operating profits and a 12% return on capital employed, or $1 billion of franchise value.

Benefitting from the combination of life and general insurance:  Our strengths in both life and general insurance will enable us to deepen our positions in the markets on which we choose to focus.  We will extend our general insurance capabilities in Europe and grow our market-leading positions in the UK, Canada and Ireland.

Page 3

Building on our core capabilities:  To be the best in both life and general insurance, we will focus on our four core capabilities of marketing and distribution, financial discipline, technical excellence and operational effectiveness. At the same time, we recognise how important it is for Aviva to explain how we will deliver value - we are confident that we have a clear way forward.

What will investors see from Aviva?

In summary, shareholders can expect the following:

§ Increasing geographic focus - capitalising on our leading market positions in the UK and Europe, the world's largest life and pensions market

§ Deepening our positions in our key European markets, to maximise the benefits of having life and general insurance under one roof

§ Focusing on marketing and distribution expertise, technical excellence, operational effectiveness and financial discipline

§ Benefitting from a powerful brand and growing customer franchise

§ Delivering strong cash and capital generation

§ Allocating capital rigorously, driving profitable growth and a strong dividend.

Specifically, Aviva expects to deliver:

§ At least £1.5 billion operational capital generation in 2011

§ Life IRR of at least 12% with payback of 10 years or less

§ 2011 general insurance COR of 97% or better

§ £200 million of cost savings and £200 million of efficiency gains by the end of 2012.

Increasing geographic focus

Build-on our scale positions; focusing on UK and Europe

The UK and Europe represents the largest life and pensions market in the world, offering the greatest absolute growth over the next five years. 

In September Aviva Europe published a detailed report analysing the extent of the pensions gap across Europe.  This confirmed that savers in the EU will have to find an additional €1.9 trillion in savings every year to close the pensions gap (including Turkey and Russia increases the gap to €2.4 trillion).  While closing this gap represents a significant challenge, it is clear that it also presents a significant opportunity for European insurance companies, such as Aviva.

We will focus on eight key markets in Europe, namely: UK, France, Spain, Italy, Poland, Turkey, Ireland, and Russia.  We intend to take full advantage of the demographic opportunity in these markets by leveraging our scale, market leading positions and local expertise. 

We are successfully improving the profitability of our North American region, which will be a net capital contributor to the group. In the US we will continue to focus on growing profits, build on our core annuity business and diversify the business mix by organically growing our life business to achieve a top 10 position. We will execute this strategy with no acquisitions.

In Asia Pacific, we will continue to pursue franchise growth through organic investment, focusing on our key markets, such as China and India, and exiting low return markets, such as Taiwan.  Over the next few years, we will consider how best to maximise the franchise value.

At Aviva Investors, we will continue to focus on growth in third party assets under management.

Benefitting from the combination of life and general insurance

Capitalise on the benefits of running life and general insurance together

Our life and general insurance businesses are excellent businesses in their own right, with strong market positions, good growth prospects, and attractive returns.  In addition to their inherent strengths, there are significant advantages of running both of these businesses under a global brand.

By virtue of the diversification of our risks across the group, under the current Individual Capital Assessment regime, we can hold 30-40% less capital to write new general insurance business than the life and general insurance businesses would be required to hold on a stand alone basis.  We anticipate that this benefit will be reinforced under Solvency II.  Equally, the diversity of our business drives more resilient cashflows and earnings than monoline insurers through the cycle.

There are clear synergies to having life and general insurance under one roof, including the operational benefits of shared back-office functions, IT and finance resource, and the opportunity to transfer skills and knowledge across the group.

 

Page 4

Our expertise in both general and life insurance not only provides cross-sell opportunities, with our single, trusted brand which is able to meet our customers' complete protection needs, but it also makes Aviva an attractive business partner.  For example, our general insurance partnership with Santander in the UK was renewed in September and has been extended to include life insurance protection products from 2011. 

Building on our core capabilities

Focus on what we do best

We will succeed by building on our core capabilities:  marketing and distribution expertise, technical excellence, operational effectiveness and financial discipline.

We already perform well in these areas, but by focusing our efforts and resources, we aim to excel at each of them.

Marketing and distribution expertise:  We will continue to focus on providing outstanding customer service and experience, to grow our customer base.  We will capitalise on our multi-channel and bancassurance distribution strengths, and build on our scale, brand and expertise to deliver a broad range of high quality customer propositions which build long term customer advocacy and trust, leading to superior customer retention and product holdings.

Technical excellence:  We have already taken significant steps to further enhance our product development, and our pricing and underwriting capabilities.  For example, in the UK we have used postcode information to price annuities and in our largest general insurance markets (i.e. UK and Canada) we have some of the most sophisticated general insurance pricing models.  We are also further improving our claims management expertise, for example in Ireland we have pilot schemes in place which have helped us to improve fraudulent-loss recovery by 7%.   

Operational effectiveness:  We will continue our drive to create a simplified, more modern way of doing business, which will both improve our efficiency and reflect customers' changing preferences.  We will continue to look for opportunities to eliminate legacy systems, streamline our processes and capitalise on opportunities to optimise our performance, as we have already done with an internet-based human resources database in Europe, our global intranet and the introduction of common IT platforms.  We will remain focused on costs, having achieved a strong track record in delivering significant cost savings to date.

Financial discipline:  Rigorous capital allocation will remain the cornerstone of all our investment decisions, making the best use of our strong capital generation and ensuring we are reinvesting in markets offering the optimal potential return.  We will ensure that we balance sales growth with maintaining our profitability on new business.

Clear way forward to deliver value to shareholders

We have a clear way forward.  There is real momentum and energy across the group, and I am confident we are in a strong position to push forward in the next phase of our growth.  We are in good shape because of the actions we have taken in recent years and, with customers at the heart of our business, we have got an extremely powerful customer franchise and a strong position from which to grow.

 

Andrew Moss

Group chief executive

 

Page 5

Regional performance

United Kingdom

-      Total sales of £12,280 million - up 16% (3Q09:  £10,614 million)

-      Long-term savings sales of £8,868 million - up 22% (3Q09:  £7,295 million)

-      Life and pension sales of £7,631 million - up 15% (3Q09:  £6,664 million)

-      IRR 15% (HY10: 15%)

-      COR of 96% (HY10:  98%)

-      General and health insurance net written premium of £3,412 million - up 3% (3Q09:  £3,319 million)

 

 

Increased sales, profitability, efficiency and service

The UK business has delivered another strong performance in the third quarter. The action we have taken to reshape our business is delivering increased sales, profitability, efficiency and service across our UK operations. 

At a headline level long-term savings sales were up 22% to £8,868 million (3Q09: £7,295 million) over the same nine month period last year.  Life and pension sales increased by 15% to £7,631 million (3Q09: £6,664 million) with our IRR holding strong at 15%.  Investment sales almost doubled to £1,237 million (3Q09: £631 million).

In general insurance, sales were up for the third consecutive quarter and 12% above the 2009 third quarter level, with nine month UK general insurance net written premiums of £2,992 million.  The COR of 96% has improved from the half year level of 98%, reflecting the profitability of the business we are writing and some seasonality. We believe the outlook for both sales and profitability is positive. 

Growing our customer franchise

We continue to make excellent progress in growing our customer franchise as we deepen our distribution partnerships, and invest in our brand and customer service.  We also renewed our home insurance partnership with Santander and continue our planning for the launch of life protection products in 2011.

In the third quarter we saw the highest levels of brand awareness since the rebrand and ongoing high levels of consideration. We believe that the strength of our brand and focus on service to our 19 million customers is playing an important role in the growth of our life and general insurance businesses.

New pension arrangements will bring greater equality and reduce funding volatility

We have reached agreement with the pension scheme trustees to close the final salary sections of the Aviva and RAC pension schemes to future accrual with effect from 1 April 2011.  This will bring greater equality to our UK staff pension arrangements and reduce the funding volatility.   The closure of the scheme brings financial benefits to Aviva by reducing the pension fund deficit, benefitting Aviva's net asset value by around £275 million, and reducing future funding costs by £50 million a year.

A growing business with a unique opportunity

We will continue to extract value from the scale and breadth of our UK operations as we grow.  At an analyst presentation today we will be sharing further detail on the strength and significant potential of our UK franchise, which we believe will deliver sustained and profitable growth.  Specifically:

-       Driving value across our UK businesses:  Our unique position in the UK market brings us significant strategic advantage from capital diversification, distribution strength and the opportunity to benefit from our scale, shared customer base and brand. We expect to deepen existing distribution relationships and win new partners given the breadth of products we offer. With one in three UK households already owning an Aviva product, we also see potential to increase the number of policies each customer holds. We expect to deliver at least £800 million of operational capital a year and, through our continued focus on cost and efficiency, we expect a further £200 million of benefit to the profit and loss account by the end of 2012 as we grow our business.

-       UK Life: Strongly positioned to consolidate our leadership position and deliver growing earnings.  We will do this while maintaining tight capital discipline as we drive profit from our in-force book and value from new business.  We are well-positioned for success following implementation of the Retail Distribution Review in 2013, with a product and distribution breadth which brings us structural competitive advantage.

-     UK General InsuranceSignificant opportunity for future earnings growth in personal and commercial lines through improved pricing and retention and new marketing initiatives.  In the commercial market we will exploit our leadership position in insurance for SMEs and, reflecting the controlled expansion of our risk appetite, build capability in the corporate risks and specialty lines sector.

Outlook

Customers continue to turn to brands they can trust as the wider economic environment remains uncertain. We will retain our focus on maximising our profitability as we grow our life business in 2011.

We will also continue to grow general insurance sales profitably into 2011.  In line with the group COR commitment we expect to deliver a 2011 general insurance COR of 97% or better.

 

Page 6

UK Life:  strong and profitable sales

The UK Life business has continued to perform well with strong and profitable sales, reduced capital strain1 at 2.7% (3Q09: 3.2%) and a robust IRR, maintained at the half year level of 15% (FY09: 14%) with a payback of 7 years (FY09: 8 years). 

Annuity sales were 83% higher at £2,291 million (3Q09: £1,249 million).   We have written more individual annuity business, at £1,746 million (3Q09: £1,102 million), than in the whole of 2009 while improving customer service and holding servicing costs flat.  Bulk purchase annuity sales were significantly higher at £545 million (3Q09: £147 million) meeting our pricing disciplines while continuing to manage our capital carefully in this highly competitive market.  Equity release sales grew 40% to £298 million (3Q09: £213 million).

Protection sales were up 4% at £737 million (3Q09: £707 million).  Core protection2 sales increased by 20% to £509 million (3Q09: £425 million), reflecting the continued popularity of our Simplified Life product, for which weekly applications now exceed 3500, more than double 2009 levels.  With only 41%3 of the UK population having life insurance, Aviva is committed to educating people on the need for, and relatively low cost of, protecting themselves and their families.  The extension of our relationship with Santander will also accelerate our growth in this profitable market.

Pension sales were higher at £3,028 million (3Q09: £2,893 million).  As we seek to make pensions and retirement planning more accessible, we are launching a Worksite service for our group pension scheme customers to encourage new employees to join the scheme and demonstrate the benefits of increased contributions to existing scheme members.  Our current advertising campaign also highlights the need to start, or contribute more to, a pension, and we have launched our 'Time to Act' iPhone app to encourage customers to take greater control of planning for their retirement.

Bond sales were lower at £1,277 million (3Q09: £1,602 million).  We remain a leading player in this market with a strong proposition while maintaining a strict focus on maximising returns.  

UK General Insurance:  growth continues to accelerate with excellent retention levels

In UK General Insurance we are pleased that the growth reported at the half year has continued to accelerate.  For the discrete third quarter, general insurance net written premiums were up 12% at £1,050 million when compared to the same quarter last year (3Q09: £937 million), while year to date premiums were £2,992 million, slightly ahead of 2009 (3Q09: £2,986 million).  The COR was 96% for the nine month period.

The improving sales position reflects excellent retention levels across personal and commercial lines, effective marketing campaigns and the success of the RAC panel.  Our focus on personal motor has had a particularly good result with 160,000 more customers now holding direct motor insurance with Aviva than at the end of 2009 and record levels of customers renewing their policies direct with us in the third quarter.  We now have more than one million direct motor customers.  In addition, 246,000 customers bought motor insurance through the RAC panel in the first nine months of 2010, compared to 150,000 in the whole of 2009. 

 

1 Initial capital and associated required capital as a percentage of life and pension new business PVNBP

2 Core protection excludes creditor, group life and income protection sales.

3 Mintel.  Life, Insurance and Protection, November 2008.

 

Page 7

Europe

Aviva Europe

-      Total sales of £13,059 million - up 10% (3Q09:  £11,829 million)

-      Long-term savings sales of £11,591 million - up 12% (3Q09:  £10,394 million)

-      Life and pension sales of £10,640 million - up 9% (3Q09:  £9,770 million)

-      IRR maintained at 12% (HY10: 12%)

-      COR of 103% (HY10:  102%)

-      General insurance & health net written premiums increased by 2% to £1,468 million (3Q09: £1,435 million)

 

 

Consistent profitability in a challenging market

Economic conditions in some Western European markets continue to be difficult, but our performance has been robust.  Life and pensions sales have increased 9% to £10,640 million (3Q09: £9,770 million), a 12% increase on a local currency basis.  We have deliberately moderated the rate of sales growth by rebalancing the sales mix to drive more capital efficient, profitable growth. 

The IRR remained stable at 12% (HY10: 12%), with a payback period of 8 years (HY10:  8 years).  This reflects a combination of initiatives, including a reduction in the guaranteed interest rate in Italy and the redesign of unit-linked products in France, Ireland and Poland, which were offset by continued demand for lower-risk savings products and falling yield curves.

Bancassurance performs strongly

Our bancassurance franchise continued to perform strongly with sales increasing 20% to £6,434 million (3Q09: £5,384 million), a 24% increase on a local currency basis.  Approximately 90% of our bancassurance distribution is in Italy, Spain and France.

Sales in Italy have increased 38% to £3,671 million (3Q09: £2,667 million).  Following the actions that we have taken to rebalance the sales mix, including decreasing the guaranteed interest rates on our with-profit propositions, we have been successful in driving a higher overall margin.

In Spain sales have decreased 12% to £1,302 million (3Q09: £1,475 million).  We have enhanced our protection proposition, widening the range of conditions on which we are prepared to offer protection cover and have maintained our position as the second largest protection provider.

In France bancassurance sales have continued to perform strongly, increasing 11% to £986 million (3Q09: £886 million).  This reflects the continuing popularity of the 'Duo' savings product, distributed in conjunction with our partner Crédit du Nord.

 

Retail sales - action taken to adjust product mix

Retail sales have decreased 4% to £4,206 million (3Q09: £4,386 million), a 2% decrease on a local currency basis.  Approximately 90% of our retail sales take place in France, Poland and Ireland.

Sales in France increased 9% to £2,883 million (3Q09: £2,654 million) reflecting the continuing success of our relationship with AFER and the strength of the Aviva brand. 

In Poland sales decreased 40% to £437 million (3Q09: £727 million), as a result of the pension legislation changes announced in 2009.  We have continued to focus on driving sales of more profitable products and, following two tailored marketing campaigns, we have successfully driven product mix towards unit-linked products. 

In Ireland sales decreased 9% to £352 million (3Q09: £388 million). This reflects the current condition of the Irish economy, combined with aggressive competitor pricing actions on pensions products.  We are taking actions to rebalance our sales mix, including the launch of a new market-leading income protection product distributed through 600 broker partners, and improving several unit-linked products to make them more competitive and appealing to customers. 

General insurance and health

Net written premiums in Aviva Europe increased 2% to £1,468 million (3Q09: £1,435 million), a 6% increase on a local currency basis. 

General insurance sales in France decreased 3% to £570 million (3Q09: £585 million), in line with the market on a local currency basis.  The conditions in Ireland continue to be difficult, and focus remains on maintaining our competitiveness while delivering returns to shareholders. 

We continued to deliver growth in Italy, and across our developing general insurance markets in Poland and Turkey.

The one percentage point movement in the general insurance COR to 103% (HY10: 102%) reflects the impact of some large claims in Italy and Turkey.

Health sales increased 8% to £217 million (3Q09: £200 million), reflecting growing sales in both France and Ireland, an excellent performance given the competitiveness of the Irish market.

Transformation delivering pan-European solutions

The progress we've made on our transformation programme, 'Quantum Leap', is now enabling us to apply best practice in pricing and underwriting principles through our shared service centres of excellence. 

We are rolling out a single human resource management system, enabled by common technology, across the region, and our product, claims and retention centres of excellence are now beginning to deliver pan-European solutions. 

This quarter we have also launched our marketing campaign, "Faces", in France and Italy, with activity in other markets to follow in the coming months. 

We have now established our pan-European operating model in Ireland, including a holding company, reinsurance company, an asset and liability management company, and life and general insurance regulated entities. 

 

Page 8

This quarter we launched our 'Pensions Gap' campaign across the region.  This significant project involved collaboration across 27 EU member countries in order to define a pensions gap of €1.9 trillion annually, which demonstrates the size and potential of the European pensions market and the significant opportunity that exists for Aviva.  Using our expertise and experience in this field, we are working in close partnership with governments, local regulators and the European Commission to generate tangible solutions to increase pensions savings, such as our proposal for a European Quality Standard for pensions.

Outlook

We see real opportunity for our business, particularly given the increased need for savings, demand from our customers for greater security and our strong positions in key markets.  Although some Western European economies remain challenged, we will maintain our focus on profitability and efficient use of capital, while meeting consumer demands for lower risk savings and insurance products.

 

Delta Lloyd

-      Total sales of £3,871 million - down 13% (3Q09:  £4,445 million)

-      Long-term savings sales of £2,945 million - down 16% (3Q09:  £3,519 million)

-      Life and pension sales of £2,462 million - down 13% (3Q09:  £2,835 million)

-      IRR 6% (HY10: 5 %)

-      COR of 97% (HY10:  93%)

-      General and health insurance net written premiums of £926 million (3Q09: £926 million)

 

 

Life and pensions sales lower but underlying business continues to show growth

Life and pension sales decreased 13% to £2,462 million (3Q09: £2,835 million).  Excluding Germany*, life and pensions sales on a local currency basis were in line with the first three quarters of 2009.

In the Netherlands customers are increasingly buying bank savings products as an alternative to individual unit-linked insurance.  As a consequence, the balance of customers' savings in bank savings products has doubled to £528 million** (3Q09: £217 million). 


General insurance and health

Net written premiums at £926 million were in line with the prior year (3Q09: £926 million) and 3% higher on a local currency basis. This includes amounts from accelerating the reporting of brokered business onto an actual basis; excluding these amounts net written premiums were stable year on year.

 

The COR has moved to 97% (HY10:  93%), which is an improvement on the same period last year and the COR is on target to meet Delta Lloyd's business objective of 98%. 

 

Outlook

The Benelux market is challenging, and Delta Lloyd remains focused on growing its profitability and providing appropriate returns to shareholders.  Central to this are the recently announced efficiency plans, whereby Delta Lloyd will simplify its organisation and improve its products and processes, delivering significant structural cost savings.

 

* The loss making business in Germany has been closed to new business.

** These sales are not included in our long-term savings figures. 

Page 9

 

North America

-      Total sales of £5,148 million - up 1% (3Q09:  £5,093 million)

-      Life and pension sales of £3,668 million - down 2% (3Q09:  £3,742 million)

-      IRR 14% (HY10: 14%)

-      COR of 98% (HY10:  96%)

-      General insurance net written premiums of £1,480 million - up 10% (3Q09:  £1,351 million)

 

 

Aviva North America again reported strong profits and progress against strategic priorities across the region.

Life and annuity insurance:  solid organic growth in life insurance and moderation of annuity sales

We maintained the profitability of life and annuity new business with an IRR of 14% (HY10: 14%) and a payback period of 4 years (HY10: 4 years and FY09: 14 years), reflecting our focus on driving shareholder value.

At £3,668 million for the first nine months of 2010, total life and annuity sales were broadly in line with the same period last year (3Q09:  £3,742 million). 

We continued our organic, self-funded strategic diversification and our life sales grew strongly, up 36% to £782 million (3Q09: £575 million), accounting for 21% of total new business sales (3Q09: 15%). 

Annuity sales were 9% lower at £2,886 million compared to the same period last year (3Q09: £3,167 million), as we continue to balance productivity and capital efficiency.

General insurance:  focus on risk selection, profitability and capital management

In the third quarter, the Canadian general insurance industry recorded several significant catastrophe losses.  In July, a hailstorm in Alberta resulted in what is believed to be the largest single storm loss on record, with industry-wide claims expected to exceed £250 million.  Then in September, Hurricane Igor hit the Canadian Atlantic coast, with major impact in Newfoundland.

Despite significant, seasonal weather related losses for the industry, our Canada general insurance business reported solid profitability, as result of our actions to improve operating efficiency, risk selection and underwriting effectiveness, reporting a COR for the nine month period of 98% (HY10:  96%). 

While net written premiums were £1,480 million, 10% higher than the same period a year ago (3Q09: £1,351 million), they were 3% lower on a local currency basis, the result of our strong rating actions in a competitive market and the planned loss of poorly- performing business, underscoring our strong commitment to driving shareholder value.

Outlook

While the performance and outlook for the region remain positive, strong cost management is fundamental to achieving our goals. 

We are therefore announcing an ambitious cost savings and efficiencies objective of over £60 million for the region, which will form part of the group's targets for cost savings and efficiency gains by the end of 2012.  These will be realised from the benefits of a regional cost sharing model in North America and targeted cost reductions and efficiencies in non-customer facing areas. 

While ambitious, with the plans we have in place and our strong management team, we have full confidence in our ability to deliver on our strategic commitment to grow organically the profitability of our North American business.

 

Page 10

Asia Pacific

-      Total sales of £1,571 million - up 24% (3Q09:  £1,268 million)

-      Long-term savings sales of £1,521 million - up 23% (3Q09:  £1,232 million *)

-      Life and pension sales of £1,153 million - up 46%  (3Q09:  £788 million*)

-      IRR 10% (HY10: 10%)

        *Excluding Australia

 

Sales increase significantly as Asian franchise grows 

Life and pensions sales increased by 46% to £1,153 million (3Q09: £788 million, not including the Australian life business sold on 1 October 2009).  On a local currency basis, life and pension sales were 39% higher, reflecting the growth and development of Aviva's franchise in Asia, supported by an improving economic environment and recovering investor confidence.

Profitability continues to improve

The benefits of our increasing scale and the actions we took to withdraw or reprice low margin products, coupled with careful portfolio management and capital discipline, have enabled us to increase our new business IRR to 10% (FY09: 6%) and significantly reduce the average payback period to 12 years (FY09: 25 years).

Major markets delivering growth

In China, our joint venture continues to perform strongly, with sales increasing by 28% to £321 million (3Q09: £251 million) benefitting from our effective multi-channel distribution network.

Our joint venture in South Korea recorded sales of £270 million, an increase of 29% compared to the same period last year (3Q09: £209 million).  This performance was driven by robust bancassurance sales through our partner Woori Bank and the successful expansion of our agency force.

In India, our joint venture recorded a 33% increase in sales to £81 million (3Q09: £61 million), largely as a result of improved investor sentiment.  However, we anticipate that recent regulatory changes may well dampen sales of investment linked products sold by life companies in the local market.

Sales in our other South East Asian markets, led by Singapore, were all higher than the prior year producing a total increase of 80% to £481 million (3Q09: £267 million), reflecting the strong economic recovery in the region.

Distribution changes take effect

Navigator sales were £161 million lower (3Q09: £322 million) following a rationalisation of our distribution partnerships in Singapore.  However, funds under administration increased by 20% to £956 million (3Q09: £794 million).

General insurance: attracting online customers

Our online general insurance business in Singapore continues to offer an attractive proposition for customers there and has recorded sales of over £4 million since its launch on 9 April.

Strong growth in health business

Health business increased 39% to £50 million (3Q09:  £36 million), mainly due to a successful marketing campaign in Singapore.

Outlook

 

We are well-positioned to continue strong growth in both volumes and margins in our Asia Pacific business.  We are exiting Taiwan as we do not believe we can meet our target financial returns in this market.

 

 

Page 11

 

Aviva Investors

-      Net funded external sales of £1.8 billion  (3Q09: £2.4 billion)

-      Further £1.6 billion of unfunded sales

-      Fee rates on gross external sales up 55% at end 3Q10 versus FY09

-      Improvements in client service rankings

-      Investment performance ahead of target

 

 

Fee income up 8%

Over the last year we have re-oriented our business, moving away from low margin liquidity funds towards more durable, higher margin funds and, as a result, the average fee rate has risen steadily each quarter.  At the end of the third quarter fee rates (including performance fees) on gross external sales were up 55% compared to the full year 2009.  

Total fee income for the period (excluding River Road acquisition and Poland*) rose 8% against the same period last year, with revenues also benefiting from growth in key equity, real estate and bond markets.  

Momentum continues in external sales

We have seen encouraging growth in momentum in net funded external sales (excluding liquidity funds) which totalled £836 million in the third quarter against £793 million for the six months to the end of June.  

Total net funded external sales for the period were £1.8 billion (3Q09: £2.4 billion), of which £0.2 billion (3Q09: £2.8 billion) were into our liquidity fund range.

In addition we secured a further £1.6 billion of unfunded net external sales.  Substantial wins in our Guaranteed Managed Solutions (GMS) product in the US - with mandates totalling over £370 million in September alone - helped toincrease assets under management in GMS to £500 million, with a strong pipeline of further opportunities developing.  GMS was developed in partnership with Aviva USA and is an important product for both companies.

Overall client service rankings improved

We saw further improvements in client service rankings for Aviva UK and for UK/European Financial Institutions in 2010, although rankings in UK Pensions slipped slightly in comparison with 2009.

Investment performance ahead of target

Investment performance was slightly ahead of target with 68% of funds beating their benchmark (where these are specified) against a target of 67%.  

While investment performance remains positive generally, we have seen a decline in performance in some strategies in recent months which may dampen performance fee income at the full year.

 

Outlook

We have made strong progress in the development of our global infrastructure and are seeing encouraging signs of traction in our business model, which is focused on delivering strong growth in third party business.  

We will continue to pursue this strategy aggressively over the remainder of 2010 and into 2011.

* 2009 comparators do not include income and revenue relating to the acquisition of River Road Asset Management in February 2010 and the inclusion in 2010, for the first time, of our Polish Mutual Fund business. 

 

 Page 12

Capital Management

Aviva's capital management centres on capital efficiency and effective risk management.  In managing capital we seek to allocate capital rigorously across the group, to drive profitable growth and shareholder distributions.

Capital generation

The group continues to focus on the active management of the generation and utilisation of capital. We remain on track to generate £1.5 billion of operational capital by the end of the year, a 50% increase compared with 2009. 

IGD solvency

Our capital position remains strong. The estimated group regulatory capital surplus position based on the EU Insurance Groups Directive was £3.6 billion as at 30 September 2010 (30 June 2010: £3.8 billion), after accounting for the 2010 interim dividend of £0.2 billion (net of scrip).

Sovereign debt

Our shareholder asset exposure (net of minorities) to debt securities of the governments of Greece, Spain and Portugal (including local authorities and agencies) at 30 September 2010 was £0.4 billion. 

Net asset value

The Group's estimated net asset value per share on an IFRS basis increased to 414 pence at 30 September 2010 (30 June 2010: 394 pence), primarily driven by profits in the quarter.  This would increase to 424 pence on a pro forma basis with the inclusion of a one-off benefit of around £275 million as a result of the closure of the UK final salary pension scheme.  The estimated net asset value per share on an MCEV basis has also increased to 487 pence (30 June 2010: 461 pence) which would be 497 pence on a pro forma basis with the inclusion of the benefit from the pension scheme closure. These figures do not include the impact of the interim dividend declared in August 2010.

 

 


Page 13

 

Notes to editors

Aviva is a leading provider of life and pension products in Europe (including the UK) with substantial positions in other markets around the world, making it the world's sixth largest insurance group based on gross worldwide premiums at 31 December 2009.

Aviva's principal business activities are long-term savings, fund management and general insurance, with worldwide total sales* of £45.1 billion and funds under management of £379 billion at 31 December 2009.

* Based on 2009 published life and pensions PVNBP on an MCEV basis, total investment sales and general insurance and health net written premiums, including share of associates' premiums.

The Aviva media centre at www.aviva.com/media includes images, company and product information and a news release archive.

All figures have been translated at average exchange rates applying for the period. The average rates employed in this announcement are 1 euro = £0.86 (9 months to 30 September 2009: 1 euro = £0.88) and £1 = US$1.54 (9 months to 30 September 2009: £1 = US$1.54).

Growth rates in the press release have been provided in sterling terms unless stated otherwise. The supplements following present this information on both a sterling and local currency basis.

Definition: Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)

PVNBP is derived from the single and regular premiums of the products sold during the financial period and are expressed at the point of sale. The PVNBP calculation is equal to total single premium sales received in the period plus the discounted value of regular premiums expected to be received over the term of the new contracts. The discount rate used reflects the appropriate risk-free rate for the country and duration of business. The projection assumptions used to calculate PVNBP for each product are the same as those used to calculate new business contribution. The discounted value of regular premiums is also expressed as annualised regular premiums multiplied by a Weighted Average Capitalisation Factor (WACF). The WACF will vary over time depending on the mix of new products sold, the average outstanding term of the new contracts and the projection assumptions.

Cautionary statements:

This should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by Aviva plc (the "Company" or "Aviva") with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC").

This announcement contains, and we may make verbal statements containing, "forward-looking statements" with respect to certain of Aviva's plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words "believes", "intends", "expects", "plans", "seeks", "aims", "may", "could", "outlook", "estimates" and "anticipates", and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes these factors include, but are not limited to: the impact of difficult conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally; the impact of new government initiatives related to the financial crisis; defaults in our bond, mortgage and structured credit portfolios; the impact of volatility in the equity, capital and credit markets on our profitability and ability to access capital and credit; changes in general economic conditions, including foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and other factors that could affect our profitability; risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; a decline in our ratings with Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fitch and A.M. Best; increased competition in the U.K. and in other countries where we have significant operations; changes in assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; changes in local political, regulatory and economic conditions, business risks and challenges which may impact demand for our products, our investment portfolio and credit quality of counterparties; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates on amortisation of deferred acquisition costs and acquired value of in-force business; the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of various legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks; the loss of key personnel; the impact of catastrophic events on our results; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business; funding risks associated with our pension schemes; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing impact and other uncertainties relating to acquisitions and disposals and relating to other future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries.

For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see Item 3, "Risk Factors", and Item 5, "Operating and Financial Review and Prospects" in Aviva's Annual Report on Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 30 March 2010. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements in this announcement or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this announcement are current only as of the date on which such statements are made.

 

Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686.
Registered office
St Helen's
1 Undershaft
London
EC3P 3DQ

 

Page 14

 

Statistical supplement

 

Contents

Analyses

 

1.    Geographical analysis of life, pension and investment sales

 

2.    Product analysis of life, pension and investment sales

 

3.    Internal rate of return and payback period

 

4.    Analysis of sales via bancassurance channels

 

5.    Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative

 

6.    Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete

 

7.    Trend analysis of general insurance net written premiums - cumulative and discrete

 

8.    Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - life and pensions sales

 

9.    Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 

10.  Europe analysis of bancassurance and retail sales

 

 

 

Page 15

 

1 - Geographical analysis of life, pension and investment sales

 


Present value of new business premiums1

9 months

2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

% Growth

Sterling

Local2 currency

Life and pensions business










United Kingdom

7,631

6,664

15 %

15%






France

3,869

3,540

9 %

 13 %

Ireland

680

690

(1) %

2 %

Italy

3,793

2,849

33 %

38 %

Poland

469

743

(37) %

(40) %

Spain

1,447

1,642

(12) %

(9) %

Other Europe

382

306

25 %

22 %

Aviva Europe

10,640

9,770

9 %

12 %

Delta Lloyd3

2,462

2,835

(13) %

(10) %

Europe

13,102

12,605

4 %

7 %






North America

3,668

3,742

(2) %

(2) %






China

321

251

28 %

27 %

Hong Kong

117

74

58 %

58 %

India

81

61

33 %

25 %

Singapore

250

123

103 % 

91 %

South Korea

270

209

29 %

15 %

Other Asia

114

70

63 %

52 %

Asia Pacific

1,153

788

46 %

39 %

Australia

-

261

(100) %

(100) %






TOTAL LIFE AND PENSIONS

25,554

24,060

6 %

7 %

Investment sales4





 






 

United Kingdom

1,237

631

96 %

96 %

 






 

Aviva Europe

951

624

52 %

57 %

 

Delta Lloyd3

483

684

(29) %

(27) %

 

Europe

1,434

1,308

10 %

13 %

 






 

Australia (Aviva Investors)

207

122

70 %

41 %

 

Singapore

161

322

(50) %

(53) %

 

Asia Pacific

368

444

(17) %

(25) %

 

Australia

-

659

(100) %

(100) %

 






 

Total investment sales

3,039

3,042

-

(5) %

 






 

TOTAL LONG-TERM SAVINGS SALES

28,593

27,102

6%

6 %

 

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions

      consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.

3. Delta Lloyd, which operates in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, is managed independently from our other European businesses

4. Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums

 

Page 16

 

2 - Product analysis of life, pension and investment sales

 


Present value of new business premiums1

9 months

2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

% Growth

Sterling

Local2 currency

Life and pensions business










Pensions

3,028

2,893

5 %

5 %

Annuities

2,291

1,249

83 %

83 %

Bonds

1,277

1,602

(20)%

(20)%

Protection

737

707

4 %

4 %

Equity release

298

213

40 %

40 %

United Kingdom

7,631

6,664

15 %

15 %






Pensions

1,063

1,573

(32)%

(31)%

Savings

8,782

7,386

19 %

23 %

Annuities

56

54

4 %

8 %

Protection

739

757

(2)%

1 %

Aviva Europe

10,640

9,770

9 %

12 %

Delta Lloyd3

2,462

2,835

(13)%

(10)%

Europe

13,102

12,605

4 %

8 %






Life

782

575

36 %

36 %

Annuities

2,886

3,167

(9)%

(9)%

Funding agreements

  -

  -

North America

3,668

3,742

(2)%

(2)%






Asia Pacific4

1,153

788

46 %

39 %

Australia

  -

261

(100)%

(100)%






TOTAL LIFE AND PENSIONS

25,554

24,060

6 %

7 %

 

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions

      consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.

3. Delta Lloyd, which operates in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, is managed independently from our other European businesses

4. Asia Pacific excludes the Australian life business that was sold on 1 October 2009

 

 

 

3 - Internal rate of return and payback period

 



9 Months

2010
IRR
%

6 months

2010
 IRR
%

12 Months

2009
IRR
%

9 Months

2010
Payback period
years

6 Months

2010
Payback period
years

12 Months

2009
Payback period
years

United Kingdom

15 %

15 %

14 %

7

7

8

Aviva Europe

12 %

12 %

13 %

8

8

7

Delta Lloyd

6 %

5 %

6 %

18

19

33

North America

14 %

14 %

7 %

4

4

14

Asia Pacific1

10 %

10 %

6 %

12

12

25

Australia

-

-

11 %

-

-

8

Total

12.2 %

12.0 %

10.0 %

8

8

14

 

 

1.  Asia Pacific excludes the Australian life business that was sold on 1 October 2009

 

Page 17

 

4 - Analysis of sales via bancassurance channels

 

 


Present value of new business premiums1

9 months 2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

Sterling  growth

Local currency growth2

Bancassurance










United Kingdom - RBS

756

972

(22)%

(22)%






France - Credit du Nord

986

886

11 %

15 %






Ireland - Allied Irish Bank

328

302

9 %

12 %






    UniCredit Group

1,961

1,283

53 %

58 %

    Eurovita

601

412

46 %

51 %

    Unione di Banche

934

886

5 %

9 %

    Other

175

86

103 %

113 %

Italy

3,671

2,667

38 %

43 %






Poland

32

16

100 %

88 %






    Bancaja

363

354

3 %

6 %

    Caixa Galicia

151

146

3 %

7 %

    Unicaja

370

617

(40)%

(38)%

    Caja España

249

213

17 %

21 %

    Other

169

145

17 %

21 %

Spain

1,302

1,475

(12)%

(9)%






Other Europe

115

38

203 %

195 %






Aviva Europe

6,434

5,384

20 %

24 %






Delta Lloyd 3- ABN Amro

  315

330

(5)%

(1)%






Europe

6,749

5,714

18 %

22%






North America

  -

  -






Asia Pacific

607

357

70 %

62 %






Total life and pensions

8,112

7,043

15 %

18%






Investment sales4










United Kingdom - RBS5

292

128

128 %

128 %






TOTAL BANCASSURANCE SALES

8,404

7,171

17 %

20 %

 

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions

      consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.

3. Delta Lloyd, which operates in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, is managed independently from our other European businesses

4. Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus annualised value of new regular premiums.

5. Regular premium sales for the 9 months to 30 September 2010 have been capitalised using a weighted average capitalisation factor of 3.2. As such, regular premium sales have produced an overall contribution to investment sales of £174 million.

 

 

Page 18

 

5  - Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative

 


Present value of new business premiums1





1Q09 YTD
£m


2Q09 YTD
£m


3Q09 YTD
£m

 

4Q09 YTD
£m

 

1Q10 YTD
£m

 

2Q10 YTD
£m

 

3Q10 YTD
£m

 

% Growth on 3Q09 sterling

Life and pensions business


















Pensions

989

2,089

2,893

3,752

941

2,061

3,028

5 %

Annuities

475

833

1,249

1,897

877

1,603

2,291

83 %

Bonds

713

1,219

1,602

2,024

412

828

1,277

(20)%

Protection

245

461

707

965

231

507

737

4 %

Equity release

83

133

213

276

96

195

298

40 %

United Kingdom

2,505

4,735

6,664

8,914

2,557

5,194

7,631

15 %










France

1,270

2,440

3,540

4,891

1,550

2,827

3,869

9 %

Ireland

187

426

690

1,072

247

476

680

(1)%

Italy

1,136

2,198

2,849

3,607

1,567

3,052

3,793

33 %

Poland

351

554

743

1,079

206

319

469

(37)%

Spain

737

1,245

1,642

2,454

590

1,060

1,447

(12)%

Other Europe

112

208

306

420

125

258

382

25 %

Aviva Europe

3,793

7,071

9,770

13,523

4,285

7,992

10,640

9 %

 

Of which:

Bancassurance

2,243

4,093

5,384

7,146

2,611

4,916

6,434

20 %

Retail

1,550

2,978

4,386

6,377

1,674

3,076

4,206

(4)%

Aviva Europe

3,793

7,071

9,770

13,523

4,285

7,992

10,640

9 %










Delta Lloyd 2

942

1,780

2,835

3,665

883

1,732

2,462

(13)%

Europe

4,735

8,851

12,605

17,188

5,168

9,724

13,102

4 %










North America

1,929

3,189

3,742

4,545

997

2,334

3,668

(2)%










Asia Pacific3

325

532

788

1,095

409

794

1,153

46 %

Australia4

75

166

261

261

  -

  -

-

(100)%










Total life and pensions

9,569

17,473

24,060

32,003

9,131 

18,406

25,554

6 %










Investment sales5

744

1,948

3,042

3,872

1,043

2,192

3,039

(0)%










Total long term saving sales

10,313

19,421

27,102

35,875

10,174

20,238

28,593

6 %

 

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions

      consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Delta Lloyd, which operates in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, is managed independently from our other European businesses

3. Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums

4.  Australian life business sold on 1 October 2009

5  Asia Pacific excludes the Australian life business that was sold on 1 October 2009

 

Page 19

 

6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete

 


Present value of new business premiums1






1Q09
£m


2Q09
£m


3Q09
£m

 

4Q09
£m

 

1Q10
£m

 

2Q10
£m

 

3Q10
£m


Life and pensions business









Pensions

989

1,100

804

859

941

1,120

967


Annuities

475

358

416

648

877

726

688


Bonds

713

506

383

422

412

416

449


Protection

245

216

246

258

231

276

230


Equity release

83

50

80

63

96

99

103


United Kingdom

2,505

2,230

1,929

2,250

2,557

2,637

2,437











France

1,270

1,170

1,100

1,351

1,550

1,277

1,042


Ireland

187

239

264

382

247

229

204


Italy

1,136

1,062

651

758

1,567

1,485

741


Poland

351

203

189

336

206

113

150


Spain

737

508

397

812

590

470

387


Other Europe

112

96

98

114

125

133

124


Aviva Europe

3,793

3,278

2,699

3,753

4,285

3,707

2,648


Of which:
Bancassurance

2,243

1,850

1,291

1,762

2,611

2,305

1,518


Retail

1,550

1,428

1,408

1,991

1,674

1,402

1,130


Aviva Europe

3,793

3,278

2,699

3,753

4,285

3,707

2,648











Delta Lloyd 2

942

838

1,055

830

883

849

730


Europe

4,735

4,116

3,754

4,583

5,168

4,556

3,378











North America

1,929

1,260

553

803

997

1,337

1,334







Asia Pacific3

325

207

256

307

409

385

359


Australia

75

91

95

-

  -

  -

-











Total life and pensions

9,569

7,904

6,587

7,943

9,131 

8,915

7,508











Investment sales4

744

1,204

1,094

830

1,043

1,149

847











Total long term saving sales

10,313

9,108

7,681

8,773

10,174

10,064

8,355


 

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions

      consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Delta Lloyd, which operates in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, is managed independently from our other European businesses

3  Asia Pacific excludes the Australian life business that was sold on 1 October 2009

4. Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums

 

Page 20

 

7 - Trend analysis of general insurance net written premiums - cumulative and discrete

 

 

Net written premiums













                   Growth on  3Q09


1Q09
YTD
£m

2Q09
 YTD
£m

3Q09
YTD
£m

4Q09
YTD
£m

1Q10
YTD
£m

2Q10
YTD
£m

3Q10
YTD
£m


Sterling
%

Local
currency
%

UK*

1,131

2,298

3,319

4,298

1,090

2,241

3,412

3 %

3 %

Aviva Europe

610

1,061

1,435

1,883

597

1,068

1,468

2 %

6 %

Delta Lloyd

353

677

926

1,163

367

707

926

-

3 %

North America

360

889

1,351

1,800

397

996

1,480

10 %

(3)%

Asia Pacific

13

22

36

49

14

32

50

39 %

35 %

Total net written premiums

2,467

4,947

7,067

9,193

2,465

5,044

7,336

4 % 

2 %





















*UK analysed as:

 

UK GI

996

2,049

2,986

3,866

913

1,942

2,992

-

-

Health

98

207

291

387

107

223

335

15 %

15 %

Aviva Re

37

42

42

45

70

76

85

102 %

102 %

UK

1,131

2,298

3,319

4,298

1,090

2,241

3,412

3 %

3 %

 

 

 

Net written premiums













Growth on

2Q10



1Q09
Discrete
£m

2Q09
 Discrete
£m

3Q09
Discrete
£m

4Q09
Discrete
£m

1Q10
Discrete
£m

2Q10
Discrete
£m

3Q10
Discrete
£m


Sterling
%

UK*

1,131

1,167

1,021

979

1,090

1,151

1,171

2 %

Aviva Europe

610

451

374

448

597

471

400

(15)%

Delta Lloyd

353

324

249

237

367

340

219

(36)%

North America

360

529

462

449

397

599

484

(19)%

Asia Pacific

13

9

14

13

14

18

18

-

Total net written premiums

2,467

2,480

2,120

2,126

2,465

2,579

2,292

(11)%

 

*UK analysed as:

 

UK GI

996

1,053

937

880

913

1,029

1,050

2 %

Health

98

109

84

96

107

116

112

(3)%

Aviva Re

37

5

-

3

70

6

9

50 %

UK

1,131

1,167

1,021

979

1,090

1,151

1,171

2 %










 

Page 21

 

8 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - life and pensions sales

 


Regular premiums


Single premiums


9 months 2010
£m

Local currency growth

WACF

Present value
£m

9 months 2009
£m

WACF

Present value
£m


9 months 2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

Local currency growth













Pensions

315

3 %

4.7

1,488

305

    4.9

1,481


1,540

1,412

9 %

Annuities

-  

  -

-  

  -

       - 

  -


2,291

1,249

83 %

Bonds

-  

  -

-  

  -

       - 

  -


1,277

1,602

(20)%

Protection

112

(2)%

6.6

737

114

    6.1

698


  -

9

(100)%

Equity release

-  

  -

-  

  -

       - 

  -


298

213

40 %

United Kingdom

427

2 %

5.2

2,225

419

    5.2

2,179


5,406

4,485

21 %













France

68

13 %

7.4

500

63

    6.8

428


3,369

3,112

12 %

Ireland

46

(8)%

4.4

204

52

    4.5

232


476

458

8 %

Italy

44

(51)%

5.2

228

92

    6.6

610


3,565

2,239

65 %

Poland

39

(34)%

9.8

384

56

 11.1

622


85

121

(34)%

Spain

80

(2)%

5.6

450

85

    6.0

512


997

1,130

(9)%

Other Europe

60

(5)%

5.1

307

61

    4.5

273


75

33

127 %

Aviva Europe

337

(16)%

6.2

2,073

409

    6.5

2,677


8,567

7093

25 %

Delta Lloyd 1

135

(9)%

8.9

1,206

153

    9.7

1,481


1,256

1,354

(4)%

Europe

472

(14)%

6.9

3,279

562

    7.4

4,158


9,823

8,447

20 %













North America

75

17 %

10.4

778

64

    8.9

568


2,890

3,174

(9)%













Asia Pacific2

178

29 %

4.4

788

130

    4.6

601


365

187

89 %

Australia

-  

(100)%

  -

-  

48

    4.1

198


  -

63

(100)%













TOTAL LIFE AND PENSIONS

1,152

(6)%

6.1

7,070

1,223

    6.3

7,704


18,484

16,356

15 %

 

 

1. Delta Lloyd, which operates in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, is managed independently from our other European businesses

2  Asia Pacific excludes the Australian life business that was sold on 1 October 2009

 

Page 22

 

9 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 


Regular2


Single


   PVNBP

9 months
2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

Local
currency
growth


9 months
2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

Local
currency
growth


Local
currency
growth

Investment sales




















United Kingdom

59

49

20 %


1,058

568

86 %


96 %











Aviva Europe

4

4


947

620

57 %


57 %

Delta Lloyd1

  -

  -


483

684

(27)%


(27)%

Europe

4

4


1,430

1,304

13 %


13 %











Australia (Aviva Investors)

  -

  -


207

122

41 %


41 %

Singapore

  -

  -


161

322

(53)%


(53)%

Asia Pacific

  -

  -


368

444

(25)%


(25)%

Australia3

  -

  -


  -

659

(100)%


(100)%











TOTAL INVESTMENT SALES

63

53

19 %


2,856

2,975

(8)%


(5)%

 

1. Delta Lloyd, which operates in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany, is managed independently from our other European businesses.

 

2.   UK regular premium sales include ISAs and Unit Trusts which are sold through our JV arrangement with RBS which are capitalised. Regular premium sales for the 9 months to 30 September 2010 totalled £54.4m and have been capitalised using a weighted average capitalisation factor of 3.2 . As such, regular premium sales have produced an overall contribution to investment sales of £174 million out of the UK investment sales of £1,237 million.

3.  Australian life business sold on 1 October 2009

 

 

 

 

Page 23

 

10 - Europe analysis of bancassurance and retail sales

 

Cumulative

Bancassurance


 

Retail

 

 



 

Total


9 months
2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

Local currency growth

9 months 2009
£m

Local currency growth

9 months 2010
£m

9 months 2009
£m

Local currency growth

Life and pensions










France

986

886

15 %

2,883

2,654

12 %

3,869

3,540

13 %

Ireland

328

302

12 %

352

388

(6)%

680

690

2 %

Italy

3,671

2,667

43 %

122

182

(31)%

3,793

2,849

38 %

Poland

32

16

88 %

437

727

(43)%

469

743

(40)%

Spain

1,302

1,475

(9)%

145

167

(10)%

1,447

1,642

(9)%

Other Europe

115

38

195 %

267

268

(3)%

382

306

22 %

Aviva Europe

6,434

5,384

24 %

4,206

4,386

(2) %

10,640

9,770

12 %











 

 

 

Discrete quarter

 

Bancassurance

 

Retail

 

Total


3Q
2010
£m

2Q

 2010
£m

3Q
2010
£m

2Q

 2010
£m

3Q
2010
£m

2Q

 2010
£m

Life and pensions







France

274

319

768

958

1,042

1,277

Ireland

96

115

108

114

204

229

Italy

710

1,419

31

66

741

1,485

Poland

26

3

124

110

150

113

Spain

365

407

22

63

387

470

Other Europe

47

42

77

91

124

133

Aviva Europe

1,518

2,305

1,130

1,402

2,648

3,707

 

End

 

 

 



 

 


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The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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