Admiral Group plc Results for the Year Ended 31...

Admiral Group plc Results for the Year Ended 31 December 2012 6 March 2013

iral Group plc announces a strong annual result with profit before tax of £345 million for the year to December 2012, an increase of 15% over the previous year. The Board is proposing a final dividend for 2012 of 45.5 pence per share, to be paid on 24 May 2013.

2012 Preliminary Results Highlights

  • Group profit before tax up 15% at £345 million (2011: £299 million)
  • Earnings per share up 16% at 95.1 pence (2011: 81.9 pence)
  • Final dividend of 45.5 pence per share bringing the 2012 total dividend to 90.6 pence per share up 20% (2011: 75.6 pence per share)
  • Return on capital of 60% (2011: 59%)
  • Group turnover* up 1% at £2.22 billion (2011: £2.19 billion)
  • Group vehicle count up 6% to 3.55 million (2011: 3.36 million)
  • International car insurance turnover* up 33% to £163 million with customers up 42% to 436,000 (2011: £122 million and 306,000 customers)
  • 6,500 staff will receive Free Shares worth £3,000 in the Employee Share Scheme; £1,500 worth of shares based on the H1 2012 result, in addition to a further £1,500 worth of shares awarded in accordance with the full-year result.

 * Turnover is defined as total premiums written (including co-insurers' share) and other revenue

Comment from Alastair Lyons, Group Chairman
"We are pleased to report profit before tax up 15% at £345 million, and to propose an increase in total dividends for the year of 20% to 90.6 pence per share.  This represents 95% of after-tax earnings, testament to the strength of Admiral's capital-efficient and cash generative business model."

Comment from Henry Engelhardt, Group Chief Executive Officer
"2012 was Admiral's 20th and most successful year to date.  Looking back over the last 20 years, I want to thank everyone who has helped us to create such a robust business.  Alongside our financial achievements we were proud to be named the best large UK workplace by the Great Place to Work Institute and also recently named the UK's 11th Best Company to Work For by the Sunday Times."

Dividend
The Directors have proposed a final dividend of 45.5 pence (21.4 pence normal and 24.1 pence special) per share, to be paid on 24 May 2013.  The ex-dividend date is 1 May 2013 and the record date 3 May 2013.

Management presentation
Analysts and investors will be able to access the Admiral Group management presentation which commences at 08:30 GMT on Wednesday 6 March 2013 by dialling + 44 (0)20 3059 8125.  A copy of the presentation slides will be available at www.admiralgroup.co.uk

For more information, please contact:

Admiral

Louise O'Shea - Investors & Analysts +44 (0)7791 443 732

Louisa Scadden - Media +44 (0)2920 434 394

Chairman's statement
In my statement last year I commented that I was very confident, given the quality of our management and our staff, that 2012 would demonstrate their capability and commitment to put the 2011 issue of higher than expected claims behind us and restore lost shareholder value. This confidence has, I believe, been fully justified with pre-tax profits 15% higher at £345m; reserve releases from the 2010 and 2011 years; and a share price that was 36% higher at the end of the year than the start.  

This level of profitability delivered a 60% return on capital employed and supported total dividends of 90.6 pence per share, which represents a distribution of 95% of our earnings. Our normal dividend, growing in line with our growth in profits based on a 45% pay-out ratio, amounted to 42.7 pence per share, whilst our available surplus, after taking into account our required solvency, provision for our overseas expansion plans, and a margin for contingencies, made possible a further special dividend of 47.9 pence per share.

Our UK Business
UK motor insurance is cyclical. As rates harden and profitability improves so too interest in growth increases amongst insurers, raising marketing spend; developing new offerings; and, in turn, leading to lower prices to grow share.  This phase continues until the market recognises that the new business it is attracting is unprofitable for most, leading to a further turn. It makes good economic sense to grow in the up-cycle and refrain from chasing the market down in the down-cycle. This is even more the case for a player such as Admiral that has a significant combined ratio advantage over the market as a whole and can, therefore, afford to raise rates less quickly than the market as a whole when the cycle turns up. The UK market reached its low point in 2009, a year that saw a totally unsustainable overall market combined ratio of 127%, and then raised rates significantly over the subsequent two years to reflect the increasing cost of claims, in particular those relating to bodily injury. By contrast, in 2009 Admiral had achieved a combined ratio of 94% and was, therefore, able to take advantage of these market conditions to add material growth to its UK motor book, finishing 2011 almost 60% larger than two years previously. Similarly in 2012, as the second largest UK private motor insurer, we have not sought to add to the downward pressure on prices but have been content to hold our share broadly steady.

Admiral has always had a low appetite for risk. This is demonstrated by the fact that we reinsure 75% of our book either through co-insurance or quota share; we only invest in the highest quality assets with no equity exposure; and when we enter new markets we do so slowly through organic growth, adopting a test and learn approach. Nowhere is this low risk appetite more evident than our approach to reserving against motor claims. We establish initial reserves at the prudent end of potential outcomes, reviewing how claims develop in subsequent years and releasing parts of the reserve to profit as and when justified. In our reserving we seek to reflect not only what we know but what may happen, such as potential changes to discount rates and increasing numbers of periodic payment orders. Our approach to reserving is conservative; how conservative will vary with our assessment of the level of uncertainty and volatility to which our business is exposed.

Currently the UK motor market is undergoing significant change - the implementation of the EU gender directive; the OFT referral to the Competition Commission; the banning of referral fees; and the emergence of telematics offerings are all potentially disruptive events. Admiral has, however, built its business to embrace and profit from change, rather than fear it and we have been as transparent as we can as to the likely effects of these changes on our business.  The management team has developed a flexible, responsive, low-cost, data-rich business model that allows the effect of change to be identified quickly, measured accurately, and responded to effectively. By seeking to minimise bureaucracy, encourage individual managers to use their initiative, and avoid management by committee which leads to an absence of decision-taking and the abrogation of responsibility, we aim to react more quickly than our competitors to changes in our environment. Through our all-employee Free Share scheme we seek to motivate all of our people to work together to achieve the best outcome for what is their business, creating a total alignment between their interests and those of our shareholders. We were, therefore, delighted to be named best large UK workplace by the Great Places to Work Institute in 2012.

The customer is at the centre of everything we do. We design our products and processes in order to meet their needs better than our competitors, and we are now pleased to be able to offer our UK customers household insurance alongside motor insurance. We seek feedback after every interaction in order to learn how we can improve our service. Last year we received over 140,000 individual items of feedback - in the critical area of claims processing over 90% of those claiming under their policy said that they would take motor insurance from us again. All departments have quality scores against their relevant key performance indicators, and compete to win Quality Awards. For customer-facing departments these quality measures underpin the regulatory assessment of our compliance with the principles of Treating Customers Fairly. We fully support initiatives that can reduce the overall cost of providing motor insurance, in turn making possible a reduction in the premiums insurers have to charge their customers. Minimising the potential for fraudulent claims and reducing incidental claims costs both have their part to play.

Admiral Overseas
We have continued to grow our overseas businesses at the measured pace dictated by a strategy of organic growth and within the constraints of the challenging economic environment, particularly as affects southern Europe. We are still very much at the stage of learning how best to compete in each of these markets and shall focus in the near term on building the businesses that we have established over the past six years. When each year I visit our international operations I always know that I am in Admiral, testament to the effectiveness with which our can-do culture, management ethos, and approach to our customers and employees have been exported.

We are already seeing the results of investing in price comparison in new markets in order to kick start the process of change to more active switching of car insurance provider by consumers. Market data shows price comparison growth in Italy, Spain and France and we are delighted to see others being attracted by our initiative to establish their own price comparison sites in markets where we provide motor insurance - the launch of Les Furets in France is a case in point. The more impact price comparison can have, the stronger the potential for direct insurance in these markets.

Our Board
Over the past couple of years we have added to our Board beyond its normal size in anticipation of three of our Non-Executive Directors reaching the end of the nine years following which they are no longer regarded as independent under the UK Corporate Governance Code. By structuring this overlap we aim to maintain the continuity of Board process and the strength of personal interaction which underlies the effectiveness of the Board as a team. The first of these, Keith James, stood down at our 2012 AGM although he continues to bring his knowledge of our business and his wise counsel to bear through his chairmanship of our principal UK-regulated operating subsidiaries. May I take this opportunity to thank Keith for everything that he added to our debate during his time on the Board.

I would also like to extend this thanks more generally to all of our Non-Executives for the time they give and the commitment they make to our business.  As our business expands and broadens, and against the backdrop of challenging economics and a demanding regulatory environment, what is expected of Non-Executives, and in particular Committee Chairs, bears little relation to the position that existed when Admiral floated in 2004. During 2012 all Non-Executives visited at least one of our overseas businesses in addition to the normal Board process. It is only by such active engagement with the business and the opportunity to spend time with management across many levels that Non-Executives can gain a real understanding of its underlying health and potential. In a business that has sustained profitable growth as its objective the depth and breadth of management is both the key enabler and the potential greatest inhibitor. Our Board, therefore, aims to assess not only the plans for immediate succession but, at least as, if not more, importantly, the emerging bench strength for 5 to 10 years time. Throughout 2012 we have had three senior managers join the Board in each of its meetings in order to broaden their understanding of the Group's strategy and Board process and contribute actively to Board deliberations.

Thank You
A business is only as good as its people and every individual has their particular contribution to the success of the whole.  It is, therefore, everyone in Admiral across all the various markets and functions that now make up our Group that I must thank for what has been achieved in 2012. Whilst there are many elements to why Admiral is different, for me the most significant is that the management team has been successful in designing a business where the overwhelming majority of those I meet enjoy coming to work and through enjoying what they do, and the environment within which they work, are more successful in what they do. It is, therefore, no surprise that the average length of service of our 20 most senior UK managers is 13 years in a company that is itself just 20 years old. I am confident that this depth of focused knowledge and commitment within a supportive environment will lead to a continued strong performance within our markets.

Alastair Lyons, CBE
Chairman
5 March 2013


Chief Executive's statement

We've done the heavy lifting: the first 20 years. We've put the hole in the ground and we've got the cranes in place.  All that's left to do is to build the metaphorical skyscraper.  

We've had our ups and downs, good moments and, well, less good moments, over the first 7,304 days (we started on 2 January  1993 and there have been five leap years along the way, but who's counting?).  In 20 years, we've done a lot of car insurance (total turnover? £13 billion, our combined ratio over the first 20 years? 84%), we've had a lot of laughs, lost (quite) a few hairs and gained a few pounds. But the net result is my belief that the next 20 years will make the first 20 seem downright pedestrian for Admiral Group. And if I do my job well, then when the next wave of management takes over, it will inherit a very strong foundation upon which to construct their skyscraper.  

Before we attack the next 20 years, let's take a look at the 20th!        

In 2012 the return to form of the UK business was heart-warming to all of us.  We enjoyed substantial reductions in the actuarial view of best estimate for the back years, which has in turn allowed us to release some reserves and increase the reserve stock for the future.  The upshot of all this is a 15% increase in profits at Group level. Nice.

In addition, we did not chase growth. A common misconception seems to surround the question of policyholder growth and profit growth. If one tries to make a simple link between these two it would completely miss the third part of the triangle: margin. Prices in the market fell more than 10% in 2012. We chased it some of the way down but not all the way down.  As a result we kept some integrity with regard to margin. We believe that to have chased the market further, such that we could present greater year-end policyholder growth, would have meant sacrificing profit in both the short- and long-term.  

The UK car insurance market has, historically, been violently cyclical; some profitable years followed by big losses. There is no reason to believe that the market will stop being cyclical, although the extent of the future violence is as yet unknown. Therefore there will be far better opportunities to grow at the next turn in the cycle, when rates begin going up faster than claims inflation.  

Admiral is in the enviable position of being profitable throughout the cycle. This allows us to choose when we grow and how much we grow and what margins we maintain.  

It was also a good sign that Confused.com, for the first time in four years, made more profit than the year before. However, the trading environment for Confused will be even more challenging in 2013.  The rate of aggregator growth in the market is slowing. This isn't a surprise for two reasons: first, so many people are already using price comparison that there aren't that many new people left!  Secondly, as rates tumble in the market consumers get renewal notices with premiums lower than last year.  This only serves to dampen their enthusiasm for shopping. Confused is doing a lot of interesting things however to try and insulate itself from the vagaries of the car insurance market.  It has, for example, a very sophisticated offering of credit cards and it has developed a very nifty app to help drivers find parking wherever they're at in the UK.  

2012 saw Admiral take a big but small step.  After 19 years, 11 months and 16 days of having car insurance as the only stand-alone, underwritten product, we launched household insurance in the UK on 18 December, 2012. It's a big step because we have, for the first time, diversified the product range which we underwrite. It's a small step because the business is intended to be very small in the first year or two. Test and learn, test and learn...

The results outside the UK were mixed.

The insurance businesses made some strides towards their goal of being growing, profitable, sustainable businesses - however, these strides were not as long as anticipated. Overall the opportunities are well worth the investment but we do need to pick up our game and make more progress, more quickly.  

The non-UK price comparison businesses each had a good year. The results for Rastreator and LeLynx, in Spain and France respectively, were better than expected. These two businesses are poised for great things, but achieving greatness is never easy.

Following on from the success of Rastreator and LeLynx, just after the end of the year we launched the beta version of a price comparison site in the US, Comparenow.com. Until now no one has done European-style price comparison in the US, and so Comparenow will plough new ground.  Comparenow is attempting to change normal shopping patterns on a big scale and success is sure to be challenging and exciting in equal parts.  

Admiral Group's strategy is not complicated. Based on the premise that the internet is an irresistible force, our strategy is to continue to progress in the UK market while taking what we know and do well, which is internet and telephone delivery of car insurance, beyond the UK. Translation: keep doing what we're doing but do it better than we did it last year.  

And that in itself will be challenging because the bar was raised again in 2012 with a new record for profits (which we've done every year since we went public in 2004 and actually a few years before) and a return on capital of 60%.  

Financial milestones are great but one of the most rewarding moments of the first 20 years came in 2012 when we were named the best large company to work for in the UK and the 4th best multinational company to work for in Europe, by the Great Places to Work Institute. We have a simple philosophy at Admiral: if people like what they do, they'll do it better. So we go out of our way to make this a good place to work. The result: happier staff, record profits.  

Finally, it was a year marked by a long-overdue action. In the last half of December David Stevens, co-founder and COO, several other senior managers and I went through an entry-level sales training course and then got on the phones with customers.  So after 19 years and 50 weeks, I made my first sale!  

This experience was a real eye-opener. We all learned a great deal about our business doing this but the biggest learning point was first-hand knowledge of how great the people who work for us are.  It was a pleasure to be trained by them, helped by them, play games with them and learn from them.  We all came away with a huge respect for our staff's ability to tackle the challenges created by a complicated product, systems, regulation, etc. and still give great customer service every day. We also came away reinforced in our belief that if you treat customers well they appreciate it and will treat you well too.  

In sum, 2012 was the year of the kangaroo: it bounced around a little bit but it turns out to be pretty big, strong and energetic, with the babies protected in the mother's pouch.  

Great.  We're off to a good start. Let's get on with the next 20 years.  

Henry Engelhardt, CBE
Chief Executive Officer
5 March 2013

UK Car Insurance Review

Twenty years ago, Admiral launched on a grey Saturday in Wales - the seventh of what ultimately became a couple of dozen Direct Line "clones"; new players and subsidiaries of big, established insurers, copying the over-the-'phone "cut out the middle man" model.  For such a superficially dull industry, those twenty years have seen an astonishing pace of change.

For a start, of the top five private car insurers in 1993, only one made it into the top five in 2011 (Royal, Sun Alliance, AGF, Eagle Star, Direct Line in 1993..Direct Line, Admiral, Aviva , LV & Axa in 2011).

Back in 1993, one in five customers made a claim each year and almost all of those were for bent metal or car theft.  Twenty years on, it's heading towards one in ten making a claim, but most of the cost of those claims is now attributable to "bodily injury".  Of course, most strikingly, none of the business in 1993 came via the internet, and only a minority over the 'phone.  Now, almost three quarters of new customers start their journey on the internet.

But some things don't change.  The market average expense ratio in 1993 was 26%.  Last year, after two decades of industry consolidation, I.T. investment, adaption of direct distribution, exploitation of the internet, the industry average expense ratio was 26%.  Admiral's was 13%; delivering an eighteenth year of better-than-industry average expense ratio, and a tenth year of beating it by over ten percentage points.

Our claims ratio has also bettered industry averages, at least since the millennium.  Our rapid rise up the league tables to be the UK's second largest car insurer, by vehicles covered, is all down to this sustained superior underwriting performance over many years.

But that's history.  What does the future hold?  The headlines (unusually in the popular press, as well as the trade press) are dominated by the current slew of actual and potential legislative and regulatory change - the Competition Commission, hot on the heels of the OFT enquiry, the Jackson reforms, possible further changes to the administration of, and costs associated with bodily injury claims, the banning of gender-based rating, the newly-formed Financial Conduct Authority's focus on value for money add-ons.  But it's not the ultimate outcome of this frenetic activity that will determine the health of Admiral's core UK operation in twenty years' time.  Current and proposed changes, as long as they're implemented and enforced even-handedly and universally across the market, don't affect relative competitive strength, over anything but the very short-term.  Nor do they affect overall industry profitability.  It is, as it has always been, the ability to execute better than others in dozens of individually insignificant, but collectively important, ways, and to respond to fundamental underlying changes more quickly and more adeptly than competitors that will be the key to future success.

Late last year, we launched our first major product extension ever, with the launch of household insurance.  One question we will be able to answer in twenty years, or possibly sooner, is whether we've developed an industry-beating competence in a second £6 billion market without losing our edge in the ever more massive car insurance market.

In terms of concrete future guidance on household, all I can really say is "so far, so good".  Ten weeks in.  For what that's worth.

David Stevens, CBE
Chief Operating Officer

5 March 2013


Group financial highlights and key performance indicators

£m201020112012
Turnover* £1,584.8m £2,190.3m £2,215.1m
Net revenue £640.8m £870.3m £984.3m
Number of customers 2.75m 3.36m 3.55m
Loss ratio 69.4% 78.9% 78.9%
Expense ratio 19.9% 16.8% 17.7%
Combined ratio 89.3% 95.7% 96.6%
Profit before tax £265.5m £299.1m £344.6m
Earnings per share 72.3p 81.9p 95.1p
Dividends per share 68.1p 75.6p 90.6p
Return on capital 59% 59% 60%

*Turnover comprises total premiums written and other revenue

Admiral Group grew pre-tax profits in 2012 by 15% to £344.6 million (2011: £299.1 million) and earnings per share by 16% to 95.1 pence (2011: 81.9 pence).  

Turnover increased slightly to £2,215.1 million (2011: £2,190.3 million), whilst net revenue rose 13% to £984.3 million (2011: £870.3 million).  Customer numbers were 6% higher at the end of 2012 at 3.55 million (2011: 3.36 million).

UK Car Insurance delivered a profit of £372.8 million - up 19% on 2011's result of £313.6 million, primarily driven by higher net insurance premium revenue and an improved combined ratio (along with associated profit commission).  Turnover for this core business accounted for 87% of the Group total (2011: 90%) and 85% of customers (2011: 88%).  Growth in the UK was moderated in 2012 in response to conditions in the UK market.

Admiral's international car insurance businesses continue to develop, with turnover rising 33% to £162.9 million (2011: £122.1 million) and customer numbers reaching 435,900 - an increase of 42% on a year earlier.  The combined loss from the operations was, however, higher, at £24.5 million (2011: loss of £9.5 million).  This was predominantly a result of growth in the younger businesses and some strengthening of back year claims reserves in the more mature businesses.

The Group's UK price comparison business, Confused.com, delivered a pre-tax profit of £18.2 million - around £2 million higher than 2011's result, on 7% higher revenue.  Outside the UK, Admiral's international price comparison businesses (Rastreator.com in Spain and LeLynx.fr in France) made a combined loss of only £0.2 million (2011: loss of £5.6 million) whilst combined revenue increased by nearly 70%.  The Group sold its Italian price comparison business, Chiarezza.it, in April 2012.

Admiral's capital-efficient and highly profitable business model led to return on capital employed of 60% (2011: 59%).  A key feature of the business model is the extensive use of co- and reinsurance across the Group.  During the first half of 2012 Admiral announced extensions to its UK reinsurance arrangements until at least the end of 2014.  Admiral's long-term UK co-insurance agreement (covering 40% of the business) runs to at least the end of 2016.  

Other Group key performance indicators include:

  • Group loss ratio of 78.9% in line with 2011 (an improved UK loss ratio offsetting a higher international ratio)
  • Group expense ratio 17.7%, up from 16.8% in 2011 (an improved UK ratio offset by a higher international ratio)
  • Group combined ratio at 96.6% (2011: 95.7%)

Total dividends paid and proposed for the financial year amount to 90.6 pence per share (£245 million), an increase of 20% on the previous year (2011: 75.6 pence; £203 million).  The final dividend proposed is 45.5 pence per share (25% higher than the final 2011 dividend of 36.5 pence).


UK Car Insurance
Non-GAAP*1 format income statement

£m201020112012
Turnover*2 1,419.7 1,966.0 1,936.2
Total premiums written*3 1,237.6 1,728.8 1,748.7
Net insurance premium revenue 269.4 418.6 455.6
Investment income 8.3 10.6 13.9
Net insurance claims (192.6) (335.5) (355.1)
Net insurance expenses (32.4) (46.7) (50.0)
Underwriting profit52.747.064.4
Profit commission 67.0 61.8 108.4
Net ancillary income 142.4 181.5 170.9
Instalment income 13.7 23.3 29.1
UK Car Insurance profit before tax275.8313.6372.8

*1 GAAP = Generally Accepted Accounting Practice
*2 Turnover (a non-GAAP measure) comprises total premiums written and other revenue
*3 Total premiums written (non-GAAP) includes premium underwritten by co-insurers


Split of 2012 underwriting profit

£mMotorAncillaryTotal
Underwriting profit59.64.864.4

Key performance indicators

201020112012
Reported motor loss ratio 68.3% 77.3% 76.1%
Reported motor expense ratio 15.2% 14.0% 13.6%
Reported motor combined ratio 83.5% 91.3% 89.7%
        
Written basis motor expense ratio 14.4% 13.2% 13.0%
         
Claims reserve releases £23.5m £10.3m £17.6m
Vehicles insured at year-end 2.46m 2.97m 3.02m
Other revenue per vehicle £84 £84 £79

UK Car Insurance - Co-insurance and Reinsurance

Admiral (in the UK and internationally) makes significant use of proportional risk sharing agreements, where insurers outside the Group underwrite a majority of the risk generated, either though co-insurance or quota share reinsurance contracts.  These arrangements include profit commission terms which allow Admiral to retain a significant portion of the profit generated.

The two principal advantages of the arrangements are:

- Capital efficiency - The majority of the capital supporting the underwriting is held outside the Group.  As Admiral is typically able to retain much of the profit generated via profit commission, the return on Group capital is higher than in an insurance company with a standard business model.

- Risk mitigation - Co- and reinsurers bear their proportional shares of claims expenses and hence provide protection should results worsen substantially.

Arrangements for 2012 to 2014

In early 2012 the Group was pleased to announce extensions to its arrangements such that capacity is fully placed until the end of 2014.  The underwriting splits can be summarised as follows:

20122013 2014
Admiral   25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
Great Lakes (Munich Re) 40.00% 40.00% 40.00%
New Re 13.25% 13.25% 13.25%
Hannover Re 8.75% 8.75% 8.75%
Swiss Re 7.50% 7.50% 9.00%
Mapfre Re 3.00% 3.00% 4.00%
XL Re 2.50% 2.50%   -
Total 100.00%100.00% 100.00%

       

The proportion underwritten by Great Lakes (a UK subsidiary of Munich Re) is on a co-insurance basis, such that 40% of all motor premium and claims for the 2012 year accrues directly to Great Lakes and does not appear in the Group's income statement.  Similarly, Great Lakes reimburses the Group for its proportional share of expenses incurred in acquiring and administering the motor business.

That contract will run until at least the end of 2016, and will see Great Lakes co-insure 40% of the UK business for the remaining period.  Admiral has committed to retain at least 25% for the duration, whilst the allocation of the balance is at Admiral's discretion.

All other agreements are quota share reinsurance.

The European and US arrangements are explained below in the International Car Insurance section.

UK Car Insurance Financial Performance

Commentary on Admiral's UK Car Insurance business result and its market is contained in Chief Operating Officer David Stevens' review above.

As noted in the Group's interim 2012 results, the UK Car Insurance market became substantially more price competitive in 2012 than it had been during 2010 and 2011, over which period Admiral grew its business significantly.  Whilst the number of customers continued to grow, the rate of growth was slowed significantly as Admiral opted to preserve margin rather than chase growth.

Total premium written in 2012 was broadly flat compared to 2011 at just over £1.7 billion, whilst the number of customers rose 2% year-on-year to 3.02 million at 31 December 2012.  Vehicle count in the second half of the year was flat.  Across new business and renewals, Admiral cut its rates by around 6% in 2012.  Average written premium for the year was around £580, down 9% on 2011, due in part to the rate cuts and in part to portfolio changes (notably a shift in favour of renewal business).

Profit from UK Car Insurance increased by 19% to £372.8 million (2011: £313.6 million).

UK Car Insurance Underwriting Result and Profit Commission

The UK combined ratio improved by around two percentage points in 2012 as follows:

UK Car Insurance Combined Ratio20112012
Loss Ratio excluding reserve releases 79.8% 80.0%
Reserve releases 2.5% 3.9%
Loss Ratio net of releases77.3%76.1%
Expense Ratio 14.0% 13.6%
Combined Ratio91.3%89.7%

The loss ratio before releases was broadly flat in the year, though larger reserve releases (3.9% of net earned premium compared to 2.5%) led to an improved net loss ratio of 76.1%.

The higher level of releases compared to 2011 reflected the more positive development during the year in projected ultimate outcomes on prior underwriting years (notably 2011 and 2010).  Claims development in general during 2012 was encouraging; with no repeat of the spike in large bodily injury claims that occurred during H2 2011.  

The projected ultimate combined ratio for Admiral for the 2012 accident year is 83%, compared to 82% for the 2011 year.  The reported combined ratio for the UK market for 2011 was 105%.

Claims Reserving

Admiral's reserving policy (both within the claims function and in the financial accounts) is initially to reserve conservatively, above internal and independent projections of ultimate loss ratios.  This is designed to create a margin held in reserves to allow for unforeseen adverse development in open claims and typically results in Admiral making above industry average reserve releases.

As profit commission income is recognised in the income statement in line with loss ratios accounted for on Admiral's own claims reserves, the reserving policy also results in profit commission income being deferred and released over time.

The improved combined ratio, along with the significant growth in the size of the business since 2009, has led to a material increase in profit commission income recognised in 2012 - at £108.4 million compared to £61.8 million (though the comparative figure was subdued by the disappointing claims experience in 2011).  Note 4c) to the financial statements analyses profit commission income by underwriting year.

Total profit from car insurance underwriting and profit commission increased significantly, by 54% to £168.0 million from £108.8 million.


UK Car Insurance Other Revenue - Analysis of Contribution:

£m201020112012
Ancillary contribution 168.3 213.9 205.2
Underwritten ancillary profit - - 4.8
Instalment income 13.7 23.3 29.1
Other revenue182.0237.2239.1
Internal costs (25.9) (32.4) (34.3)
Net other revenue156.1204.8204.8
Other revenue per vehicle £84£84£79

Admiral generates other revenue from a portfolio of insurance products that complement the core car insurance product, and also fees generated over the life of the policy.  There is also some (less significant) income from other products unconnected to car insurance.

The most material contributors to net other revenue are:

  • Profit earned from motor policy upgrade products underwritten by Admiral, including breakdown, car hire and personal injury covers
  • Profit from other insurance products, not underwritten by Admiral
  • Vehicle Commission (refer below)
  • Fees - administration fees, wasted leads and referral income (refer below)
  • Instalment income - interest charged to customers paying for cover in instalments

Vehicle Commission

With effect from 1 April 2012, Admiral no longer earns Other Revenue from the sale of legal protection policies.  In addition, the Group began charging its panel of co- and reinsurers a vehicle commission.  Admiral's car insurance policies will continue to include legal protection as an integral feature and there has been no impact on customers in the level of cover or cost of policies as a result of this change.  The planned overall economic impact of these two changes is not significant.

However, the accounting recognition and treatment of vehicle commission results in Other Revenue per vehicle in 2012 being reduced by approximately £6 (£16 million in total).  Further detail on the intra-group element of vehicle commission is set out in note 3.  

Referral Fees

As previously noted, personal injury referral fees will be banned with effect from 1 April 2013.  In 2012 Admiral earned approximately £6 per vehicle insured (£18.6 million) from personal injury referral fees.  

In additional, in 2012 Admiral earned around £5 per vehicle in credit hire referral fees (£13.6 million).  Admiral notes that the UK Competition Commission has recently embarked upon a review of the car insurance market and a potential outcome of the review is a further ban on credit hire referral fees.  

International Car Insurance Financial Performance
Non-GAAP format income statement*1

£m201020112012
Turnover 77.6 122.1 162.9
Total premiums written 71.0 112.5 148.5
       
Net insurance premium revenue 18.7 27.2 43.3
Investment income 0.1 0.2 0.1
Net insurance claims (15.9) (28.3) (49.4)
Net insurance expenses (16.5) (16.2) (27.4)
          
Underwriting result(13.6)(17.1)(33.4)
Net ancillary income 5.3 8.0 8.9
Other revenue and charges 0.3 (0.4) -
Non-UK Car Insurance result (8.0)(9.5)(24.5)

Note - Pre-launch costs excluded

Key Performance Indicators*1

£m201020112012
       
Reported loss ratio 85% 104% 114%
Reported expense ratio 88% 60% 63%
Reported combined ratio173%164%177%
           
Vehicles insured 195,000 306,000 436,000
Other revenue per vehicle £34 £32 £25

*1 Figures include AdmiralDirekt (sold in January 2011)

International Car Insurance Co-insurance and Reinsurance

Reinsurance arrangements for the 2012 year remained the same as 2011 in all countries, with Admiral retaining 35% (Spain and Italy), 30% (France) and one third (USA) of the underwriting risk respectively.

The arrangements for 2013 will remain the same, other than in Spain, where Admiral will retain 30% of the risk, down from 35% in 2012.  The balance of 70% will be shared equally between Munich Re and Swiss Re.

All contracts are subject to certain caps on the reinsurers' exposures and all contracts have profit commission terms that allow Admiral to receive a proportion of the profit earned on the underwriting once the business reaches cumulative profitability.  The contracts include proportional sharing of ancillary profits.

International Car Insurance Financial Performance

Admiral's international insurance businesses (in aggregate and individually) continued to grow, adding 130,000 customers and ending 2012 42% larger than a year earlier.  Turnover grew 33% to £162.9 million (2011: £122.1 million).  

Growth in the younger businesses, along with some adverse prior year claims development in the more mature operations, led to a higher combined ratio however, which increased to 177% from 164%.  The higher combined ratio, in conjunction with higher net insurance premium revenue led to a higher loss, of £24.5 million in 2012, up from £9.5 million in 2011.

As the Group's new insurance operations grow, it is expected that they will make losses until appropriate scale has been achieved.  Although the 2012 loss was higher than anticipated, the Group is satisfied with the progress each business continues to make towards the goal of becoming a sustainable, growing, profitable operation.

Price Comparison Financial Performance
Non-GAAP format income statement

£m201020112012
      
Revenue:
Car insurance price comparison 59.6 72.2 82.5
Other 16.1 18.2 21.0
Total 75.7 90.4 103.5
       
Operating expenses (63.6) (79.9) (85.5)
Operating profit12.110.518.0
   
Confused.com profit 16.9 16.1 18.2
International Price Comparison result* (4.8) (5.6) (0.2)
   
12.110.518.0

* excludes pre-launch costs.  Figures include results of Chiarezza.it, which was sold in April 2012. The disposal did not have material impact on the income statement.

UK Price Comparison - Confused.com

Confused.com continues to operate in the very competitive UK price comparison market, which has been dominated by four businesses for a number of years.  Media spend remained high, though growth in the number of car insurance policies distributed via the channel in 2012 was lower than in prior years.

Against this backdrop, Confused.com delivered an improved result, with revenue 7% higher at £82.7 million (2011: £77.6 million) and profit up £2.1 million to £18.2 million (2011: £16.1 million).  Market share in car insurance price comparison was stable.

Revenue from non-car insurance comparison sources increased in actual terms and continued to represent around one fifth of total revenue.  Confused.com's operating margin improved slightly to 22% (2011: 21%).

International Price Comparison

Following the sale of the Italian price comparison operation (Chiarezza) during H1 2012 and the launch in Q1 2013 of a new operation in the USA, Admiral now operates three price comparison businesses outside the UK; in Spain (Rastreator), France (LeLynx) and the USA (comparenow.com).

The combined revenue from the operations in 2012 (on a like-for-like basis) increased by 67% to £21 million, with 29% more quotes delivered.  Both Rastreator and LeLynx both have strong positions and brands in their respective markets.

The combined result for International Price Comparison was a loss of £0.2 million - notably improved from a £5.7 million loss in 2011.  

The disposal of Chiarezza had an insignificant impact on the income statement.

In March 2013, Admiral launched a new price comparison operation in the USA (based in Virginia), trading as comparenow.com.  The initial investment in the new business is not expected to be material in the context of the Group.  Pre-launch costs are included in Other Group Items, below.

Other Group Items

£m201020112012
           
Gladiator operating profit 2.7 2.8 2.5
Group net interest income 1.1 2.9 1.9
Share scheme charges (15.0) (18.6) (20.6)
Expansion costs (1.1) (0.8) (2.1)
Other central overhead (2.1) (1.8) (3.4)

Gladiator

Gladiator is a commercial vehicle insurance broker offering van insurance and associated products, typically to small businesses.  Distribution is via telephone and internet (including price comparison websites).

Non-GAAP income statement and key performance indicators

£m201020112012
   
Revenue 11.8 11.7 12.5
Expenses (9.1) (8.9) (10.0)
   
Operating profit2.72.82.5
   
Operating margin 23% 24% 20%
Customer numbers 94,500 87,900 94,800

The van insurance broking market remained competitive during 2012, and although Gladiator increased revenue to £12.5 million (2011: £11.7 million), operating margin was lower at 20% and resulting operating profit fell to £2.5 million from £2.8 million.

Gladiator increased its customer base by around 8% to 94,800.

Share Scheme Charges

These costs relate to the Group's two share schemes, further detail on which is set out in the notes to the financial statements. The increase in the charge relates to a higher number of shares awarded in 2012 compared to 2011 (resulting from increased headcount across the Group).  

UK Household Insurance

In December 2012, the Group launched a UK household insurance product, underwritten within the Group and based in the Group's Cardiff offices.  Common with other launches, initial plans are modest, and the business is supported by proportional reinsurance covering 70% of the underwriting risk (shared between Munich Re, 40% and Swiss Re, 30%).

Investments and Cash
Investment Strategy

Admiral maintained a low-risk investment strategy throughout the year, with a broadly consistent allocation of funds to the three main asset categories (cash at bank, cash deposits and money market funds) as in recent years.  

The key focus of the Group's investment strategy is capital preservation, with additional priorities including low volatility of returns and high levels of liquidity.  

The Group's Investment Committee continues to perform regular reviews of the strategy to ensure it remains appropriate.

Cash and Investments Analysis

31 December 2012

UK Car
Insurance
International
Car
Insurance

Price
Comparison


Other


Total
£m £m £m £m £m
            
Money market funds and
short-dated debt securities
1,074.5 76.7 - 74.6 1,225.8
Cash deposits 370.5 5.3 - - 375.8
Cash 125.0 50.2 25.4 16.0 216.6
Total1,570.0132.225.490.61,818.2
    
31 December 2011

UK Car
Insurance
International
Car
Insurance

Price
Comparison


Other

Total
£m £m £m £m £m
           
Money market funds 761.1 66.0 - 35.0 862.1
Cash deposits 290.7 6.3 - - 297.0
Cash 117.8 38.9 8.8 59.1 224.6
Total1,169.6111.28.894.11,383.7

The only notable change in asset allocation during 2012 was a higher proportion invested in money market funds and short-dated debt securities and a move away from cash compared to 2011.  All investment objectives continue to be met.

Investment and interest income in 2012 was £15.9 million, up 16% on 2011 (£13.7 million).  The rate of return was similar to 2011, at slightly less than 1%.

The Group continues to generate substantial amounts of cash, and its capital efficient business model enables the distribution of the majority of post-tax profits as dividends.

£m201020112012
      
Operating cash flow, before transfers to investments 522.0 779.1 742.0
Transfers to financial investments (240.8) (493.9) (441.9)
   
Operating cash flow 281.2 285.2 300.1
Tax and interest payments (69.5) (95.3) (79.7)
Investing cash flows (capital expenditure) (11.1) (13.2) (10.9)
Financing cash flows (largely dividends) (164.9) (197.8) (214.8)
Foreign currency translation impact (0.8) (1.0) (2.7)
   
Net cash movement34.9(22.1)(8.0)
   
Net increase in cash and financial investments 276.9473.8434.5

The main items contributing to the significant operating cash inflow are as follows:

£m201020112012
   
Profit after tax193.6221.3258.4
   
Change in net insurance liabilities 129.7 244.3 200.0
Net change in trade receivables and liabilities 101.4 203.7 163.0
Non-cash income statement items 25.4 32.0 34.4
Tax and net interest expense 71.9 77.8 86.2
    
Operating cash flow, before transfers to
investments
522.0779.1742.0

The key features to note are:

  • Total cash plus investments increased by £435 million or 31% (2011: £474 million, 52%), the lower rate of growth resulted from lower growth in the UK business; somewhat offset by higher growth internationally 

  • The net change in actual cash balances was small, as funds were transferred into investments  


Other Financial Items
Taxation

The taxation charge in the income statement is £86.2 million (2011: £77.8 million), which equates to 25.0% (2011: 26.0%) of profit before tax.  The average rate of UK Corporation Tax in 2012 was 24.5%.

Earnings Per Share

Basic earnings per share rose by 16% to 95.1 pence from 81.9 pence.  The change is in line with profit growth.

Dividends

The Directors have proposed a final dividend for the financial year of 45.5 pence per share.  Total dividends for the year amount to 90.6 pence per share, 20% higher than the 75.6 pence per share distributed in respect of 2011.

The final dividend is made up of a 21.4 pence normal element based on the stated dividend policy of distributing 45% of post-tax profits, and a further special element of 24.1 pence.  The special dividend is calculated with reference to distributable reserves after considering capital that is required to be held a) for regulatory purposes; b) to fund expansion activities; and c) as a further prudent buffer against unforeseen events.

The payment date is 24 May 2013, ex-dividend date 1 May and record date 3 May.

Capital Structure, Financial Position

The Group continues to manage its capital to ensure that all entities within the Group are able to continue as going concerns and also to ensure that regulated entities comfortably meet regulatory capital requirements   Excess capital above these levels within subsidiaries is paid up to the Group holding company in the form of dividends on a regular basis.

Capital continues to be held in equity form, with no debt.

The majority of the Group's capital requirement is derived from its European insurance operations, Admiral Insurance (Gibraltar) Limited (AIGL) and Admiral Insurance Company Limited (AICL).  The minimum capital requirements and surplus position at the end of the 2012 for those companies, along with the overall Group position was as follows:

£mAIGLAICLGroup
Net assets less goodwill £170m £85m £395m
Minimum capital requirement £78m £25m £122m
Surplus over minimum requirement£92m£60m£273m
Total regulatory capital requirement £240m
Surplus over regulatory capital requirement£155m

The Directors note the delay in the progress towards implementing the Solvency II regulatory regime in the EU.  As previously noted, the Directors do not believe, based on current guidance, that there will be a material change in the level of the Group's capital surplus under the new regime.

Consolidated income statement

Year ended:
31 December
2012
31 December
2011
Note: £m £m
          
Insurance premium revenue 1,156.5 959.7
Insurance premium ceded to reinsurers (657.6) (513.9)
Net insurance premium revenue 4 498.9445.8
      
Other revenue 6 361.1 349.0
Profit commission 4 108.4 61.8
Investment and interest income 5 15.9 13.7
       
Net revenue984.3870.3
       
Insurance claims and claims handling expenses (929.1) (785.9)
Insurance claims and claims handling expenses recoverable from reinsurers 524.6 422.1
Net insurance claims(404.5)(363.8)
       
Operating expenses 7 (214.6) (188.8)
Share scheme charges 7 (20.6) (18.6)
Total expenses(639.7)(571.2)
   
Profit before tax344.6299.1
   
Taxation expense 8 (86.2) (77.8)
   
Profit after tax258.4221.3
   
Profit after tax attributable to:
   
Equity holders of the parent 258.4 221.2
Non-controlling interests - 0.1
   
258.4221.3
   
Earnings per share:
Basic 10 95.1p 81.9p
   
Diluted 10 94.9p 81.7p
   
Dividends declared and paid (total) 10 219.3 198.8
Dividends declared and paid (per share) 10 81.6p 74.6p


Consolidated statement of comprehensive income

Year ended:
31 December
2012
31 December
2011
£m £m
Profit for the period258.4221.3
Other comprehensive income
Exchange differences on translation of foreign operations   (2.7) (1.0)
Other comprehensive income for the period, net of income tax (2.7)(1.0)
Total comprehensive income for the period255.7220.3
Total comprehensive income for the period attributable to:
Equity holders of the parent 255.9 220.2
Non-controlling interests (0.2) 0.1
255.7220.3


Consolidated statement of financial position

As at:
31 December
2012
31 December
2011
Note: £m £m
ASSETS
   
Property and equipment 9 16.5 17.6
Intangible assets 9 92.5 87.5
Deferred income tax 8 15.2 10.3
Reinsurance assets 4 803.0 639.8
Trade and other receivables 5, 9 55.3 52.1
Financial assets 5 2,005.1 1,583.0
Cash and cash equivalents 5 216.6 224.6
  
Total assets3,204.22,614.9
  
EQUITY
  
Share capital 10 0.3 0.3
Share premium account 13.1 13.1
Other reserves 0.7 3.2
Retained earnings 443.0 377.3
  
Total equity attributable to equity holders of the parent457.1393.9
  
Non-controlling interests 3.6 0.5
  
Total equity460.7394.4
   
LIABILITIES
   
Insurance contracts 4 1,696.9 1,333.7
Trade and other payables 5, 9 1,006.5 856.6
Current tax liabilities 40.1 30.2
   
Total liabilities2,743.52,220.5
   
Total equity and total liabilities 3,204.22,614.9

These financial statements were approved by the Board of Directors on 5 March 2013 and were signed on its behalf by:

Kevin Chidwick
Director
Admiral Group plc
Company Number: 03849958


Consolidated cash flow statement



Note
31
December
2012
31
December
2011
£m £m
  
Profit after tax258.4221.3
Adjustments for non-cash items:
- Depreciation 6.6 6.1
- Amortisation of software 4.1 3.3
- Change in unrealised gains on investments (0.6) (1.9)
- Other gains and losses 0.6 0.9
- Share scheme charges 7 23.7 23.6
Change in gross insurance contract liabilities 363.2 527.1
Change in reinsurance assets (163.2) (282.8)
Change in trade and other receivables, including from policyholders 13.1 (88.4)
Change in trade and other payables, including tax and social security 149.9 292.1
Taxation expense 86.2 77.8
  
Cash flows from operating activities, before movements in investments742.0779.1
   
Net cash flow into investments (441.9) (493.9)
Cash flows from operating activities, net of movements in investments 300.1 285.2
Taxation payments (79.7) (95.3)
   
Net cash flow from operating activities220.4189.9
   
Cash flows from investing activities:
   
Proceeds from investing activities - 3.9
Purchases of property, equipment and software (10.9) (16.8)
   
Net cash used in investing activities(10.9)(12.9)
   
Cash flows from financing activities:
   
Non-controlling interest capital contribution 4.6 -
Capital element of new finance leases - 1.0
Repayment of finance lease liabilities (0.1) (0.3)
Equity dividends paid 10 (219.3) (198.8)
   
Net cash used in financing activities(214.8)(198.1)
   
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents (5.3)(21.1)
   
Cash and cash equivalents at 1 January 224.6 246.7
Effects of changes in foreign exchange rates (2.7) (1.0)
   
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 5 216.6224.6


Consolidated statement of changes in equity

Share
capital
Share
premium
account
Foreign
exchange
eserve
Retained
profit and
loss
Non-
ontrolling
interests

Tota
equity
£m £m £m £m £m £m
   
At 1 January 2011 0.3 13.1 4.2 332.7 0.4 350.7
   
Profit for the period - - - 221.2 0.1 221.3
   
Other comprehensive income
Currency translation differences - - (1.0) - - (1.0)
   
Total comprehensive income for the period--(1.0)221.20.1220.3
   
Transactions with equity-holders
Dividends - - - (198.8) - (198.8)
Share scheme credit - - - 23.6 - 23.6
Deferred tax charge on share scheme credit - - - (1.4) - (1.4)
   
Total transactions with equity-holders---(176.6)-(176.6)
   
As at 31 December 2011 0.3 13.1 3.2 377.3 0.5 394.4
   
   
At 1 January 2012 0.3 13.1 3.2 377.3 0.5 394.4
   
Profit for the period - - - 258.4 - 258.4
   
Other comprehensive income
Currency translation differences - - (2.5) - (0.2) (2.7)
   
Total comprehensive income for       the period--(2.5)258.4(0.2)255.7
    
Transactions with equity-holders
Dividends - - - (219.3) - (219.3)
Share scheme credit - - - 23.7 - 23.7
Deferred tax credit on share scheme credit - - - 1.5 - 1.5
Transactions with non-controlling interests - - - 1.4 3.3 4.7
    
Total transactions with equity-holders---(192.7)3.3(189.4)
    
As at 31 December 2012 0.3 13.1 0.7 443.0 3.6 460.7



Notes to the financial statements

1.   General information and basis of preparation

General information

Admiral Group plc is a Company incorporated in England and Wales.  Its registered office is at Capital Tower, Greyfriars Road, Cardiff CF10 3AZ and its shares are listed on the London Stock Exchange.

The consolidated financial statements have been prepared and approved by the Directors in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as adopted by the European Union (EU).  The Company has elected to prepare its Parent Company financial statements in accordance with UK Generally Accepted Accounting Practice (GAAP).

Adoption of new and revised standards

The Group has applied all adopted IFRS and interpretations endorsed by the EU at 31 December 2012, including all amendments to extant standards that are not effective until later accounting periods.

There are a number of standards, amendments to standards and interpretations that were issued by 31 December 2012 but have either yet to be endorsed by the EU, or were endorsed shortly after the year end. These are as follows:

  • IFRS 9 Financial Instruments
  • Government Loans (Amendments to IFRS 1)
  • Improvements to IFRSs 2009-2011
  • Transition guidance (Amendments to IFRS 10, IFRS 11 and IFRS 12)
  • Investment entities (Amendments to IFRS 10, IFRS 12 and IAS 27)


None of these standards, amendments to standards or interpretations of current standards above will have a material impact on the Group's financial statements in future periods.

In addition, none of the standards or interpretations adopted for the first time in the year have had a material impact on the consolidated financial results or position of the Group for the year ended 31 December 2012.

Basis of preparation

The accounts have been prepared on a going concern basis.  In considering the appropriateness of this assumption, the Board have reviewed the Group's projections for the next twelve months and beyond, including cash flow forecasts and regulatory capital surpluses.  The Group has no debt.  

The directors have a reasonable expectation that the company has adequate resources to continue in operational existence for the foreseeable future. Thus they continue to adopt the going concern basis in preparing the annual financial statements.

Further information regarding the company's business activities, together with the factors likely to affect its future development, performance and position, is set out in the business review above.  Further information regarding the financial position of the company, its cash flows, liquidity position and borrowing facilities are described in the Business Review above.  In addition notes 5 and 10 to the financial statements include the company's objectives, policies and processes for managing its capital; its financial risk management objectives; details of its financial instruments; and its exposures to credit risk and liquidity risk.

The accounting policies set out in the notes to the financial statements have, unless otherwise stated, been applied consistently to all periods presented in these Group financial statements.

The financial statements are prepared on the historical cost basis, except for the revaluation of financial assets classified as at fair value through profit or loss.

Subsidiaries are entities controlled by the Group.  Control exists when the Group has the power, directly or indirectly, to govern the financial and operating policies of an entity so as to obtain benefits from its activities.  In assessing control, potential voting rights that are currently exercisable or convertible are taken into account.  The financial statements of subsidiaries are included in the consolidated financial statements from the date that control commences until the date that control ceases.

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with adopted IFRS requires management to make judgements, estimates and assumptions that affect the application of policies and reported amounts of assets and liabilities, income and expenses.  The estimates and associated assumptions are based on historical experience and various other factors that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis of making the judgements about carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. The estimates and underlying assumptions are reviewed on an ongoing basis.  Revisions to accounting estimates are recognised in the year in which the estimate is reviewed if this revision affects only that year, or in the year of the revision and future years if the revision affects both current and future years.  To the extent that a change in an accounting estimate gives rise to changes in assets and liabilities, it is recognised by adjusting the carrying amount of the related asset or liability in the period of the change.

2.   Critical accounting judgements and estimates

Judgements:

In applying the Group's accounting policies as described in the notes to the financial statements, management has primarily applied judgement in the classification of the Group's contracts with reinsurers as reinsurance contracts. A contract is required to transfer significant insurance risk in order to be classified as such. Management reviews all terms and conditions of each such contract, and if necessary obtains the opinion of an independent expert at the negotiation stage in order to be able to make this judgement.

Estimation techniques used in calculation of claims provisions:

Estimation techniques are used in the calculation of the provisions for claims outstanding, which represent a projection of the ultimate cost of settling claims that have occurred prior to the balance sheet date and remain unsettled at the balance sheet date.

The key area where these techniques are used relates to the ultimate cost of reported claims.  A secondary area relates to the emergence of claims that occurred prior to the balance sheet date, but had not been reported at that date.

The estimates of the ultimate cost of reported claims are based on the setting of claim provisions on a case-by-case basis, for all but the simplest of claims.

The sum of these provisions are compared with projected ultimate costs using a variety of different projection techniques (including incurred and paid chain ladder and an average cost of claim approach) to allow an actuarial assessment of their likely accuracy. They include allowance for unreported claims.

The most significant sensitivity in the use of the projection techniques arises from any future step change in claims costs, which would cause future claim cost inflation to deviate from historic trends.  This is most likely to arise from a change in the regulatory or judicial regime that leads to an increase in awards or legal costs for bodily injury claims that is significantly above or below the historical trend.

The claims reserves are subject to independent review by the Group's actuarial advisors. Management's reserving policy is to reserve at a level above best estimate assumptions to allow for unforeseen adverse claims development. For further detail on objectives, policies and procedures for managing insurance risk, refer to note 4 of the financial statements.

Future changes in claims reserves also impact profit commission income, as the recognition of this income is dependent on the loss ratio booked in the financial statements, and cash receivable is dependent on actuarial projections of ultimate loss ratios.

3.   Group consolidation and operating segments

3a)   Accounting policies

(i)        Group consolidation

The consolidated financial statements comprise the results and balances of the Company and its subsidiaries (together referred to as the Group) for the year ended 31 December 2012 and comparative figures for the year ended 31 December 2011.  The financial statements of the Company's subsidiaries are consolidated in the Group financial statements.  The Company controls 100% of the voting share capital of all its principal subsidiaries, except Rastreator.com Limited and Inspop USA LLC.  The Parent Company financial statements present information about the Company as a separate entity and not about its Group.  In accordance with International Accounting Standard (IAS) 24, transactions or balances between Group companies that have been eliminated on consolidation are not reported as related party transactions in the consolidated financial statements.

(ii)        Foreign currency translation

Items included in the financial statements of each of the Group's entities are measured using the currency of the primary economic environment in which the entity operates ('the functional currency').  The consolidated financial statements are presented in millions of pounds sterling, which is the Group's presentation currency.

Foreign currency transactions are translated into the functional currency using the exchange rates prevailing at the dates of the transactions.  Foreign exchange gains and losses resulting from the settlement of such transactions, and from the translation at year end exchange rates of monetary assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies are recognised in the income statement.

Translation differences on non-monetary items, such as equities held at fair value through profit or loss, are reported as part of the fair value gain or loss.  

The financial statements of foreign operations whose functional currency is not pounds sterling are translated into the Group presentation currency (sterling) as follows:

  • Assets and liabilities for each balance sheet presented are translated at the closing rate at the date of that balance sheet; 

  • Income and expenses for each income statement are translated at average exchange rates (unless this average is not a reasonable approximation of the cumulative effect of the rates prevailing on the transaction dates, in which case income and expenses are translated at the date of the transaction); and 

  • All resulting exchange differences are recognised in other comprehensive income and in a separate component of equity.  

On disposal of a foreign operation, the cumulative amount recognised in equity relating to that particular operation is recognised in the income statement.

3b)   Segment reporting

The Group has four reportable segments, as described below. These segments represent the principal split of business that is regularly reported to the Group's Board of Directors, which is considered to be the Group's chief operating decision maker in line with IFRS 8, Operating Segments.

UK Car Insurance:

The segment consists of the underwriting of car insurance and other products that supplement the car insurance policy. It also includes the generation of ancillary income from underwriting car insurance in the UK. The Directors consider the results of these activities to be reportable as one segment as the activities carried out in generating the income are not independent of each other and are performed as one business. This mirrors the approach taken in management reporting.

International Car Insurance:

The segment consists of the underwriting of car insurance and the generation of ancillary income from underwriting car insurance outside of the UK. It specifically covers the Group operations Admiral Seguros in Spain, ConTe in Italy, L'olivier Assurances in France and Elephant Auto in the USA.  None of these operations are reportable on an individual basis, based on the threshold requirements in IFRS 8.

Price Comparison:

The segment relates to the Group's price comparison websites Confused in the UK, Rastreator in Spain and LeLynx in France.  The Group's price comparison operation in Italy, Chiarezza was sold in 2012. Each of the Price Comparison businesses are operating in individual geographical segments but are grouped into one reporting segment as LeLynx and Rastreator do not individually meet the threshold requirements in IFRS 8.

Other:

The 'other' segment is designed to be comprised of all other operating segments that do not meet the threshold requirements for individual reporting. Currently there is only one such segment, the Gladiator commercial van insurance broking operation, and so it is the results and balances of this operation comprises the 'other' segment.

The Group launched a UK Household insurance product at the end of 2012.  There are no transactions relating to household insurance within any of the segments reported below.

Taxes are not allocated across the segments and, as with the corporate activities, are included in the reconciliation to the Consolidated Income Statement and Consolidated Statement of Financial Position.

An analysis of the Group's revenue and results for the year ended 31 December 2012, by reportable segment are shown below.  The accounting policies of the reportable segments are consistent with those presented in the notes to the financial statements for the Group.

31 December 2012
UK Car Insurance International Car Insurance Price Comparison Other Eliminations Segment total
£m £m £m £m £m £m
   
Turnover* 1,936.2 162.9 103.5 12.5 - 2,215.1
Net insurance premium revenue 455.6 43.3 - - - 498.9
   
Other revenue and profit commission 342.7 10.8 103.5 12.5 - 469.5
   
Investment and interest income 13.9 0.1 - - - 14.0
   
Net revenue 812.2 54.2 103.5 12.5 - 982.4
Net insurance claims (355.1) (49.4) - - - (404.5)
   
Expenses (84.3) (29.3) (85.5) (10.0) - (209.1)
   
Segment profit / (loss) before tax372.8(24.5)18.02.5-368.8
   
Other central revenue and expenses, including share scheme charges (26.1)
Interest income 1.9
   
Consolidated profit before tax344.6
       
Taxation expense (86.2)
Consolidated profit after tax258.4
   
Other segment items:
Capital expenditure 6.1 3.1 0.9 0.1 - 10.2
Depreciation and Amortisation 28.8 26.2 1.0 0.3 - 56.3

*Turnover is a non-GAAP measure and consists of total premiums written (including co-insurers share) and other revenue.

Revenue and results for the corresponding reportable segments for the year ended 31 December 2011 are shown below.

31 December 2011
UK Car Insurance International Car Insurance Price Comparison Other Eliminations Segment total
£m £m £m £m £m £m
   
Turnover* 1,966.0 122.2 90.4 11.7 - 2,190.3
   
Net insurance premium revenue 418.6 27.2 - - - 445.8
  
Other revenue and profit commission 299.0 9.7 90.4 11.7 - 410.8
  
Investment and interest income 10.6 0.2 - - - 10.8
   
Net revenue 728.2 37.1 90.4 11.7 - 867.4
   
Net insurance claims (335.5) (28.3) - - - (363.8)
   
Expenses (79.1) (18.3) (79.9) (8.9) - (186.2)
   
Segment profit / (loss) before tax313.6(9.5)10.52.8-317.4
   
Other central revenue and expenses, including share scheme charges (21.2)
Interest income 2.9
   
Consolidated profit before tax299.1
   
Taxation expense (77.8)
   
Consolidated profit after tax221.3
   
Other segment items:
Capital expenditure 12.4 2.9 1.1 0.4 - 16.8
Depreciation and Amortisation 37.8 11.8 1.2 0.3 - 51.1

*Turnover is a non-GAAP measure and consists of total premiums written (including co-insurers share) and other revenue.


Segment revenues

The UK and International Car Insurance reportable segments derive all insurance premium income from external policyholders. Revenue within these segments is not derived from an individual policyholder that represents 10% or more of the Group's total revenue.

The total of Price Comparison revenues from transactions with other reportable segments is £13.0m (2011: £14.9m). These amounts have not been eliminated on consolidation as the Directors consider that not doing so results in a better overall presentation of the financial statements. The impact on the financial statements in the current and prior period is not material. There are no other transactions between reportable segments.

Within the UK Car Insurance segment, transactions between the Group's intermediary and the Group's insurance companies relating to vehicle commission totalling £7.0m have not been eliminated (from the insurance expenses and other revenue lines in the income statement) in order to ensure consistency between the financial statements and key performance indicators quoted in the business review.  There is no profit impact of the non-elimination.

Revenues from external customers for products and services is consistent with the split of reportable segment revenues as shown above.

Information about geographical locations

All material revenues from external customers, and net assets attributed to a foreign country are shown within the International Car Insurance reportable segment shown above. The revenue and results of the two International Price Comparison businesses, Rastreator and LeLynx are not yet material enough to be presented as a separate segment.


Segment assets and liabilities

The identifiable segment assets and liabilities at 31 December 2012 are as follows.  

31 December 2012
UK Car Insurance International car insurance Price Comparison Other Eliminations Segment total
£m £m £m £m £m £m
       
Property and equipment 11.6 2.8 1.7 0.4 - 16.5
   
Intangible assets 77.6 13.8 1.0 0.1 - 92.5
   
Reinsurance assets 717.1 85.9 - - - 803.0
   
Trade and other receivables 98.7 (20.6) 9.1 9.5 (41.4) 55.3
   
Financial assets 1,833.2 97.3 - - - 1,930.5
   
Cash and cash equivalents 125.0 50.2 25.4 5.6 - 206.2
   
Reportable segment assets 2,863.2 229.4 37.2 15.6 (41.4) 3,104.0
   
Insurance contract liabilities 1,543.0 153.9 - - - 1,696.9
   
Trade  and other payables 961.8 31.9 6.5 6.3 - 1,006.5
   
Reportable segment liabilities 2,504.8 185.8 6.5 6.3 - 2,703.4
   
    
Reportable segment net assets 358.4 43.6 30.7 9.3 (41.4) 400.6
   
Unallocated assets and liabilities 60.1
    
Consolidated net assets 460.7


Unallocated assets and liabilities consist of other central assets and liabilities, plus deferred and current corporation tax balances.  These assets and liabilities are not regularly reviewed by the Board of Directors in the reportable segment format.

There is an asymmetrical allocation of assets and income to the reportable segments, in that the interest earned on cash and cash equivalent assets deployed in the UK Car Insurance, Price Comparison and International Car Insurance segments is not allocated in arriving at segment profits. This is consistent with regular management reporting.  

Eliminations represent inter-segment funding and balances included in trade and other receivables.

The segment assets and liabilities at 31 December 2011 are as follows.

31 December 2011
UK Car Insurance International car insurance Price Comparison Other Eliminations Segment total
£m £m £m £m £m £m
   
Property and equipment 12.1 3.1 1.8 0.6 - 17.6
   
Intangible assets 78.4 8.5 0.5 0.1 - 87.5
   
Reinsurance assets 570.3 69.5 - - - 639.8
   
Trade and other receivables 118.7 (5.5) (0.2) 9.0 (69.9) 52.1
   
Financial assets 1,464.8 83.2 - - - 1,548.0
   
Cash and cash equivalents 117.8 38.9 8.8 4.4 - 169.9
   
Reportable segment assets 2,362.1 197.7 10.8 14.1 (69.9) 2,514.8
   
Insurance contract liabilities 1,215.4 118.3 - - - 1,333.7
   
Trade  and other payables 816.1 28.3 6.6 5.6 - 856.6
   
Reportable segment liabilities 2,031.5 146.5 6.6 5.6 - 2,190.2
   
   
Reportable segment net assets 330.6 51.2 4.2 8.5 (69.9) 324.6
   
Unallocated assets and liabilities 69.8
   
Consolidated net assets 394.4


4        Premium, Claims and Profit Commissions

4a)   Accounting policies

(i)        Revenue recognition - premiums:

Premiums relating to insurance contracts are recognised as revenue proportionally over the period of cover. Premiums with an inception date after the end of the period are held in the statement of financial position as deferred revenue. Outstanding collections from policyholders are recognised within policyholder receivables.

(ii)        Revenue recognition - profit commission:

Under some of the co-insurance and reinsurance contracts under which motor premiums are shared or ceded, profit commission may be earned on a particular year of account, which is usually subject to performance criteria such as loss ratios and expense ratios.  The commission is dependent on the ultimate outcome of any year, with revenue being recognised when loss and expense ratios used in the preparation of the financial statements, move below an agreed threshold.

(iii)        Insurance contracts and reinsurance assets:

  • Premiums 

The proportion of premium receivable on in-force policies relating to unexpired risks is reported in insurance contract liabilities and reinsurance assets as the unearned premium provision - gross and reinsurers' share respectively.  

  • Claims 

Claims and claims handling expenses are charged as incurred, based on the estimated direct and indirect costs of settling all liabilities arising on events occurring up to the balance sheet date.  

The provision for claims outstanding comprises provisions for the estimated cost of settling all claims incurred but unpaid at the balance sheet date, whether reported or not.  Anticipated reinsurance recoveries are disclosed separately as assets.

Whilst the Directors consider that the gross provisions for claims and the related reinsurance recoveries are fairly stated on the basis of the information currently available to them, the ultimate liability will vary as a result of subsequent information and events and may result in significant adjustments to the amounts provided.

Adjustments to the amounts of claims provisions established in prior years are reflected in the income statement for the period in which the adjustments are made and disclosed separately if material.  The methods used, and the estimates made, are reviewed regularly.

Provision for unexpired risks is made where necessary for the estimated amount required over and above unearned premiums (net of deferred acquisition costs) to meet future claims and related expenses.  

  • Co-insurance 

The Group has entered into certain co-insurance contracts under which insurance risks are shared on a proportional basis, with the co-insurer taking a specific percentage of premium written and being responsible for the same proportion of each claim.  As the contractual liability is several and not joint, neither the premiums nor claims relating to the co-insurance are included in the income statement.  Under the terms of these agreements the co-insurers reimburse the Group for the same proportionate share of the costs of acquiring and administering the business.

  • Reinsurance assets 

Contracts entered into by the Group with reinsurers under which the Group is compensated for losses on the insurance contracts issued by the Group are classified as reinsurance contracts.  A contract is only accounted for as a reinsurance contract where there is significant insurance risk transfer between the insured and the insurer.  

The benefits to which the Group is entitled under these contracts are held as reinsurance assets.  

The Group assesses its reinsurance assets for impairment on a regular basis, and in detail every six months.  If there is objective evidence that the asset is impaired, then the carrying value will be written down to its recoverable amount.

4b)   Net insurance premium revenue

31
December
2012
31
December
2011
£m £m
   
Total motor insurance premiums written before co-insurance 1,897.2 1,841.3
   
Group gross premiums written after co-insurance 1,167.2 1,128.4
Outwards reinsurance premiums (679.1) (622.0)
UK 100

Latest directors dealings