Final Results

TEMPLETON EMERGING MARKETS INVESTMENT TRUST PLC 16 July 1999 TEMPLETON EMERGING MARKETS INVESTMENT TRUST PLC ('TEMIT' or 'the Company') Year to 30 April 1999 The Company today announced its annual results for the year to 30 April 1999: CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT AT 30 April 1999 TEMIT's net assets stood at £721.6m compared with £686.6m a year ago. The diluted net asset value per share was 149.95 pence a rise of 4.3% on the year. This compares with a fall of 4.8% in the IFCI Composite Index. The discount to diluted net asset value at 30 April 1999 was 14.3%, compared to a discount of 16.3% as at 30 April 1998. Although the primary objective of the fund is long-term capital appreciation, U.K. tax regulations require that earnings should be distributed. Accordingly, the Board of Directors has proposed a cash dividend of 1.10 pence per Ordinary Share. If approved, this dividend will be paid on 21 September 1999, to Ordinary Shareholders on the register at close of business on 20 August 1999. The table below shows the disposition of assets, with 97.6% being invested in equities and the remaining 2.4% held in fixed income securities and liquid assets. The regional weightings were Asia/Far East 41.8%, Latin America 35.2%, Africa 11.1% , Europe 9.1% and the Middle East 0.4%. At 30 April 1999, the largest individual company holding was in Telefonos de Mexico (Telmex), Mexico's national telephone operator. This holding represented about 5.3% of TEMIT's portfolio. The second largest holding was in Telecomunicacoes Brasileiras (Telebras), the main Brazilian telecommunications company (3.5%). The third largest holding was in Thai Farmers Bank Public Co. (3.3%). The largest sector in which TEMIT invested was the telecommunications sector which accounted for 18.7% of the portfolio. Banking was the second largest sector, representing 17.7%. A high degree of volatility has been a feature of emerging markets investing in the year under review. These are the conditions when an active approach to fund management can add value for shareholders with the Manager taking advantage of extreme market conditions to buy or sell at favourable prices. However the Manager will only invest in countries where the custodial arrangements are satisfactory and other arrangements are in place to safeguard TEMIT's investment. TEMIT was established in 1989 and the first net asset value per share was published in July of that year. The average annual growth in net asset value per share from that date until 30 April 1999 has been 14.8%. The Manager's approach of in-depth research into stocks which it believes to be under- valued and taking a long-term approach has been a successful one. Since inception TEMIT's net asset value has risen by 283.2% in sterling terms compared with a rise of 151.0% in the IFCI Composite Index and 180.0% in the MSCI Emerging Markets Free Index. The Manager believes that emerging markets will continue to provide good opportunities for long-term capital growth. Many of the world's developing economies have shown the capacity to provide strong growth in GDP and have proved able to adapt to changing economic circumstances and withstand volatile market conditions. It is a requirement of the Company's constitution that a vote should be taken every five years to decide on its continuation. Your Board believes that it is in the best interests of the Shareholders and Warrantholders for the Company to continue as an investment trust. A resolution proposing the continuation of the Company will be put to the Annual General Meeting in September. The Honourable Nicholas F Brady 16 July 1999 Indices above are shown on a total return basis. Source: Templeton and Standard & Poor's Micropal DISTRIBUTION OF PORTFOLIO GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS (by country of incorporation) As at 30 April 1999 Country Cost Market Value (of incorporation) £'000 £'000 Mexico* 64,784 90,795 South Africa 74,852 79,113 Brazil* 48,530 70,322 Singapore 45,804 69,173 Thailand$ 50,236 58,918 Hong Kong$ 34,776 48,259 Korea (South)+ 36,126 44,413 Turkey+ 22,281 35,956 Argentina* 32,055 34,032 Indonesia* 25,458 28,032 Chile*+ 21,274 26,127 Malaysia 26,139 18,088 Venezuela* 11,907 17,474 Philippines* 15,278 15,065 India+ 21,738 11,456 Hungary+ 10,948 11,319 Czech Republic 16,652 9,174 Colombia* 13,929 8,336 Peru* 8,459 6,765 Poland+ 6,265 6,056 China*@ 6,992 4,158 Pakistan 9,006 3,846 Russia* 7,106 2,785 Israel 2,571 2,460 Egypt 687 612 Ghana* 385 428 Slovak Republic 1,015 327 Botswana 168 258 Zimbabwe+ 542 162 Estonia 82 113 Sri Lanka 83 61 ------- ------- TOTAL INVESTMENTS 616,128 704,083 OTHER NET ASSETS 17,488 ------- TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS 721,571 ------- *Includes U.S. listed stocks +Includes U.K. listed stocks @Includes Hong Kong listed stocks $Includes Singapore listed stocks GEOGRAPHIC ASSET DISTRIBUTION As at 30 April 1999 and 30 April 1998 1999 1998 % % Mexico 12.58 10.81 South Africa 10.96 3.45 Brazil 9.74 13.20 Singapore 9.58 2.39 Thailand 8.16 4.53 Hong Kong 6.69 8.79 Korea(South) 6.16 0.99 Turkey 4.98 7.50 Argentina 4.72 4.03 Indonesia 3.88 1.22 Chile 3.62 1.38 Malaysia 2.51 2.53 Venezuela 2.42 0.76 Philippines 2.09 1.41 India 1.59 2.93 Hungary 1.57 1.26 Czech Republic 1.27 1.58 Colombia 1.16 1.19 Peru 0.94 0.45 Poland 0.84 0.52 China 0.58 1.15 Pakistan 0.53 0.91 Russia 0.39 0.71 Israel 0.34 0.30 Egypt 0.08 0.00 Ghana 0.06 0.00 Slovak Republic 0.05 0.10 Botswana 0.04 0.11 Zimbabwe 0.02 0.05 Estonia 0.01 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.01 0.02 Greece 0.00 8.72 Portugal 0.00 7.33 Saudi Arabia 0.00 0.42 Namibia 0.00 0.13 Kenya 0.00 0.07 Jordan 0.00 0.02 Liquid Assets 2.43 9.04 ------ 100.00 DISTRIBUTION OF PORTFOLIO Industrial Analysis as at 30 April 1999 Industry Classification % of Total Net Assets 1999 1998 % % SERVICE Telecommunications 18.72 12.09 Transportation 2.15 1.57 Merchandising 1.65 1.68 Leisure & Tourism 1.26 0.63 Broadcasting & Publishing 0.17 0.03 Wholesale & International Trade 0.10 0.13 Data Processing & Reproduction 0.03 0.00 Technology Services 0.01 0.00 Business & Public Services 0.00 0.02 ----- ----- 24.09 16.15 ----- ----- FINANCE Banking 17.73 25.99 Real Estate 4.38 2.87 Insurance 0.71 0.53 Financial Services 0.41 1.88 ----- ----- 23.23 31.27 ----- ----- MATERIALS Metals & Mining 6.49 4.46 Building Materials & Components 4.13 5.69 Forest Products & Paper 2.63 1.44 Chemicals 1.86 2.81 Miscellaneous Materials & Commodities 1.06 0.28 ----- ----- 16.17 14.68 ----- ----- ENERGY Utilities - Electrical & Gas 7.20 5.19 Energy Sources 4.44 4.26 ----- ----- 11.64 9.45 ----- ----- MULTI-INDUSTRIES 9.72 10.19 ----- ----- CONSUMER GOODS Beverages & Tobacco 3.65 1.15 Food & Household Products 2.54 2.92 Automobiles 0.97 0.96 Appliances & Household Durables 0.74 1.66 Health & Personal Care 0.28 0.07 Recreation & Other Consumer Goods 0.19 0.08 Textiles & Apparel 0.07 0.19 ----- ----- 8.44 7.03 ----- ----- CAPITAL EQUIPMENT Electrical & Electronics 3.51 0.98 Machinery & Engineering 0.49 0.53 Industrial Components 0.15 0.35 Construction & Housing 0.13 0.24 Energy Equipment & Services 0.00 0.07 Electronic Components & Instruments 0.00 0.02 ----- ----- 4.28 2.19 ----- ----- OTHER NET ASSETS 2.43 9.04 ----- ----- 100.00 100.00 ------- ------ The above groupings are based on the Morgan Stanley Capital International Perspective Directory of Industry Classification. INVESTMENT REVIEW This is the investment review for Templeton Emerging Markets Investment Trust PLC covering the twelve-month period ending 30 April, 1999. During the past 12 months, emerging markets saw crises in Russia and Brazil in addition to the economic crisis in Asia. As a result, the benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets Free and IFCI Composite indices lost 6.7% and 4.8%, respectively, in Sterling terms. However, the Trust showed a positive return of 4.3% during the same period. During the renewed downtrend in emerging equity markets, the Trust held 8% of its portfolio in cash as of May 1998. However, restructuring of the Trust was initiated throughout the descent in preparation for the recovery to come. As a result, cash levels escalated, reaching 26% as of end-July 1998. The well-publicised recovery began in September 1998 in Asia and then spread throughout the emerging market universe as interest rates were reduced and liquidity returned to emerging markets. By end-October the Trust's cash levels had fallen to around 18%, as investments were made. And by the end of 1998 the Trust was again fully invested, with cash levels at 2%, the same level as at the year end. In May 1998, the Trust's greatest exposure was to holdings in Latin America (32%), Asia (27%) and Emerging Europe (24%). However, as a part of the restructuring process, holdings in Greece and Portugal were sold in late 1998 as it was felt they had become fully valued and better opportunities existed elsewhere. Thus, holdings in Portugal's Banco Comercial Portugues (BCP) and Banco Portugues do Investmento (BPI), as well as Greece's Alpha Credit Bank, which combined accounted for 9% of the Trust as of May 1998, were realised fully. The restructuring heavily favoured companies in the Asian and Latin American regions as companies found in these regions were among the cheapest in the world and it was believed that they would be the first to show signs of a recovery. The Trust's exposure to South Africa was also increased in anticipation of an upswing in commodity prices. So far, both assumptions have been proven correct. The recovery for many Asian stocks began in September 1998, taking the Trust's exposure in the region to 42% by end-April 1999. Three new companies were added to the Trust's top 10 holdings, Thailand's Thai Farmers Bank, South Korea's Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) and Singapore's City Developments Limited. Within the region, the negative effects of currency controls imposed in Malaysia and political turmoil in India reduced the Trust's exposure to these two markets, while the positive effects of South Korea's restructuring effort greatly increased exposure to Korean companies. The delay of a recovery in Latin American stocks until the float of the Brazilian Real in mid-January 1999 meant that exposure to the region remained relatively constant at 35%, with the greatest exposure continuing to be to companies in Brazil and Mexico. The Trust's exposure to African companies was increased to 11% by end-April 1999, while the mentioned sell-off of Greek and Portuguese companies reduced exposure to Emerging Europe from 24% to 9%. Market strength in Latin America since the devaluation of the Brazilian Real in January 1999 shows little sign of weakening. Demand for Brazilian stocks should remain strong as long as the government keeps inflation under control and successfully lowers interest rates. Mexico should continue to benefit from the strength of the U.S. economy and its position as the U.S's second largest trading partner. Sentiment may weaken over the short term as political uncertainty increases prior to the 2000 presidential elections. Continued recovery in prices of key commodities such as oil, copper and agricultural products should contribute stability to the Latin American region as governments adjust to the increased income. The economies of Chile and Venezuela continue to suffer from strict government austerity and reduced export earnings, but in the case of Venezuela, this could change as newly elected President Chavez undertakes reforms. We believe the recovery in many Asian countries has reached a level of sustainability and growth should continue over the next three to four years. Over the short term, however, market tendencies to front-run actual economic improvement should result in some profit taking and a cooling of individual market advances. South Korea has been an early favourite as the government has actively pursued the opening of many industries and greater foreign investor involvement. However, President Kim's plans for a restructuring of the nation's conglomerates, or chaebol, has yet to be implemented and, while positive for the economy over the long run, hardship will be felt in the future, further adding to short-term volatility. Thailand appears to be another market with significant long- term potential. Thai stocks experienced phenomenal growth in April as investors became interested in the value offered by Thai companies. Dr Mark Mobius Director 16 July 1999 Letter from Turkey I write to you now from the edge of Europe - Istanbul, Turkey. The day is quiet, and I have set time aside to write this letter and review the faxes and email which are my constant travelling companions. During my travels here I never cease to be amazed by the variations contained within this sprawling city. Istanbul's tumultuous past is reflected throughout the city, giving one a sense of being out of time, out of place. The 'foggy' winter air adds to the sense of otherworldliness, and as I look down now from my hotel window over the Dolmabahce Mosque and then the Bosphorus, I can easily imagine the sporadic crowd noises I hear come from races at the ancient Hippodrome rather than the modern-day soccer stadium down the road. Istanbul has been razed and reborn numerous times throughout its history, a pattern which appears to be repeated in the movements of its modern-day stock market. A glance at the Istanbul National-100 index in U.S.Dollar terms over the past three or so years shows no fewer than four significant ascents and two major crashes. Between those crashes, one in 1995 (- 79%) and one in 1998 (-58%), the market appreciated over 380%, showing the country's potential for growth when times are good. As I write this letter, however, things are not so good and the market is fluctuating near the bottom hit during the latest crash. I believe the long-term potential for growth remains despite present conditions, and the depressed state of the market offers a great opportunity to find the bargains I like, those which are cheap due to sentiment and overselling, not because of fundamentals. Why do I say this? Well, to get the full picture we need to step back and look at the environment in which Turkish stocks are being traded. At the widest view, we have the recent float of the Brazilian currency and questions about the effects that it will have on Latin America as a whole. Occurring just as international investors were recovering from the 1997/98 crisis in Asia, the Latin American situation has once again dampened sentiment towards emerging markets investing. Compounding this, and much closer to home, is uncertainty in Russia. The Russian president has been repeatedly hospitalised and terms of the controversial restructuring of the domestic debt market have yet to be agreed upon. These factors have sent the Russian market on a roller coaster ride for months, and with each reversal the future direction of the country becomes more cloudy. The current unpopularity of emerging markets has added to the risk premium being attributed to investments made here, making it more difficult to raise money for corporate growth. The Turkish government has recently rolled over its foreign and domestic debt obligations. However, the risk premium has made this refinancing costly, and servicing of government debt is now expected to total more than 11% of Turkey's gross national product (GNP). While this level is sustainable, it will not be for long if interest rates continue to climb. Within Turkey, the negative sentiment facing the market stems not only from high interest rates, but from a lack of a strong government. In 1998 the government of Mesut Yelmaz fell to allegations of corruption. Since then, formation of a government has been difficult. A government was eventually formed by the combined powers of Yelmaz's Motherland Party and the Democratic Left Party of Bulent Ecevit, the current prime minister. However, this government is only temporary, facing elections in April 1999, so little forward planning can be expected. Luckily, Turkish people are used to changes in government, as evidenced by the 56 governments formed over the 75-year life of the Turkish Republic. But to international players a lack of strong government means increased risk, and the appetite for risk is currently very low. With the political sentiment improving, support for the present government - which is luckily favoured by the stock market - should increase, further adding to national stability. Another boon is that Turkey's excessive military spending could be reduced, hinting at a possible reduction of the country's 7% budget deficit. Yes, this is good news, the kind that turns sentiment and starts a rally . . . I am glad I am here to witness its effects firsthand. Dr Mark Mobius Director Istanbul, Turkey April 1999 INVESTMENT REVIEW TWENTY LARGEST EQUITY HOLDINGS as at 30 April 1999 Principal % of Country Issued % of of Share Total Market Number Issue/ Capital Net Cost Value of Shares Issuer Listing Held Assets £'000 £'000 811,100 Telefonos de Mexico* Mexico 0.21 5.29 21,337 38,161 (Telmex). A major telephone company servicing allof Mexico with domestic and international telephone services 1,016,681,836 Telecomunicacoes Brazil 0.32 3.53 9,903 25,469 Brasileiras (Telebras). A supplier of telecommunications services in Brazil providing inter-state, international and intra-state services. 14,970,300 Thai Farmers Bank Thailand 1.27 3.25 10,929 23,468 Public Co. One of Thailand's largest commercial banks 581,603 Anglo-American Corp South 0.25 2.57 13,494 18,522 of South Africa. Africa Involved in the financial industry, precious metals mining, base metals mining, other mining and industrial interests. 936,100 Korea Electric Power Korea 0.15 2.32 9,270 16,731 Corp. (South) Largest integrated electricity company in Korea 2,658,000 Cheung Kong Holdings. Hong 0.12 2.08 6,579 15,017 A Hong Kong based Kong property development company with holdings in wholesale, import & export, shipping terminal operations, electricity generation, hotels and manufacturing. 752,500,042 Akbank. Turkey 0.30 2.07 6,303 14,920 One of the largest banks in Turkey. 4,803,638 Cemex. Mexico 0.38 1.92 9,553 13,860 A Mexican company which is the world's fourth largest cement producer and the most important producer on the American Continent. 9,050,078 Grupo Financiero Mexico 0.55 1.91 9,147 13,780 Banamex Accival. One of the largest financial services companies in Mexico. 3,298,500 City Developments. Singapore 0.41 1.90 6,022 13,670 Singapore's, and one of the region's, leading property and hotel conglomerates with operations in 14 countries. ------- ------ Top 10 Holdings - 26.8% of Total Assets 102,537 193,598 ------- ------- 952,687,850 Centrais Eletricas Brazil 0.18 1.73 10,033 12,448 Brasileiras (Eletrobras). An electricity utility which has a majority of its capital owned by the Brazilian Government. 2,315,000 United Overseas Bank. Singapore 0.33 1.54 4,873 11,122 One of Singapore's largest banks. 2,569,052 Sasol. South 0.39 1.52 9,554 10,952 Conversion of coal Africa into oil and chemicals, and oil refining. 38,429,000 PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia 0.41 1.47 6,514 10,628 Indonesia (Persero). Principal provider of telecommunications services in Indonesia for both local services, and domestic long-distance services. 585,850 Compania De Telecom- Chile 0.25 1.33 7,920 9,620 unicaciones De Chile*. Chile's largest telecommunications company. It provides local, long-distance and cellular services. It has 92% of Chile's network. 295,603 Samsung Display Devices.Korea 0.71 1.31 5,638 9,423 An affiliate of the (South) Samsung group, one of Korea's largest business conglomerates, which is involved in the manufacture of colour picture tubes, colour display tubes and monitors. 1,563,000 Overseas Chinese Singapore 0.13 1.26 3,428 9,114 Banking Corp. One of Singapore's largest commercial banks. 439,258 Philippine Long Philippines 0.36 1.22 5,239 8,799 Distance Telephone Co*. The principal supplier of domestic and international telecommunications services in the Philippines. 369,678 HSBC Holdings. Hong Kong 0.01 1.18 2,854 8,532 An international banking and financial services organisation headquartered in London. 638,011 Electricidad De Venezuela 0.88 1.14 5,863 8,238 Caracas Saica Saca. Integrated electricity company in Venezuela. ------- ------ Top 20 Holdins - 40.5% of Total Assets 164,453 292,474 ------- ------- * U.S. Listed ANALYSIS OF PORTFOLIO TOTAL VALUE OF EQUITY PORTFOLIO (97.6%) 704,083 TOTAL VALUE OF FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO (1.0%) 6,938 OTHER NET ASSETS (1.4%) 10,550 ------- 721,571 ======= STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN OF THE COMPANY (incorporating the revenue account) For the year ended 30 April 1999 1999 1998 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Gains/(losses)on - 32,257 32,257 - (43,415) (43,415) investments Income 19,774 - 19,774 20,259 - 20,259 Investment management (5,469) - (5,469) (7,100) - (7,100) fee Other expenses (3,048) - (3,048) (3,746) - (3,746) ------- ------ ------- ------- -------- ------- Net Return on ordinary activities before taxation 11,257 32,257 43,514 9,413 (43,415) (34,002) Tax on ordinary (3,348) - (3,348) (2,681) - (2,681) activities ------- ------ ------- ------- -------- ------- Return on ordinary activities after taxation for the financial year 7,909 32,257 40,166 6,732 (43,415) (36,683) Dividend in respect of equity shares (5,178) - (5,178) (5,178) - (5,178) ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- Transfer to reserves (after aggregate dividends paid and proposed) 2,731 32,257 34,988 1,554 (43,415) (41,861) ======= ======= ====== ===== ======= ======== Return per ordinary share (before Dividend) Basic 1.68p 6.85p 8.53p 1.43p (9.23p) (7.80p) Diluted 1.68p 6.85p 8.53p 1.43p (9.23p) (7.80p) Return per ordinary share (after Dividend) Basic 0.58p 6.85p 7.43p 0.33p (9.23p) (8.90p) Diluted 0.58p 6.85p 7.43p 0.33p (9.23p) (8.90p) Notes: The capital element is not distributable. The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the company. The accompanying notes are an integral part of this statement. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. BALANCE SHEET As at 30 April 1999 1999 1998 £'000 £'000 FIXED ASSETS Investments 704,083 624,497 ------- ------- CURRENT ASSETS Debtors 13,571 11,889 Current Asset Investments 6,937 49,394 Cash 15,395 13,120 ------ ------ 35,903 74,403 CREDITORS: amounts falling due within one year11 (17,816) (11,429) -------- -------- NET CURRENT ASSETS 18,087 62,974 ------- -------- TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT LIABILITIES 722,170 687,471 PROVISION FOR LIABILITIES AND CHARGES (599) (888) -------- -------- 721,571 686,583 -------- -------- CAPITAL AND RESERVES Called-up Share Capital 117,681 117,681 Share Premium Account 275,071 275,071 Capital Reserves 317,275 285,018 Revenue Reserves 11,544 8,813 ------- -------- SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS (all equity) 721,571 686,583 ------- -------- Net asset Value Per Ordinary Share (in pence) - Basic 153.29 145.86 - Diluted 149.95 143.74 These Financial Statements were approved by the Board on 16 July 1999. The Honourable Nicholas F Brady Sir John Shaw Chairman Director CASH FLOW STATEMENT 1999 1998 £'000 £'000 Reconciliation of operating profit to net cash inflow from operating activities Operating profit 11,257 9,413 Decrease/(increase) in debtors 520 (481) Decrease/(increase) in accrued income 936 (197) Decrease in creditors (228) (235) ------- ------ Net cash inflow from operating activities 12,485 8,500 ======= ====== Cash Flow Statement Net cash inflow from operating activities 12,485 8,500 Taxation (4,382) (3,420) Financial investments (43,180) 26,547 -------- ------- (35,077) 31,627 Equity dividends paid (5,178) (5,172) -------- ------- (40,255) 26,455 Management of liquid resources 42,456 (25,693) Financing - 710 -------- ------- Increase in cash 2,201 1,472 ======== ======== Reconciliation of net cash flow to movement in net funds Increase in cash in the year 2,201 1,472 Cash (outflow)/inflow from increase in liquid resources (42,456) 25,693 -------- ------ Movement in net funds (40,255) 27,165 Foreign exchange translation differences 74 - Opening net funds 62,514 35,349 -------- ------ Closing net funds 22,333 62,514 ======= ======= This Preliminary Announcement is not the Company's statutory accounts. The statutory accounts for the two years ended 30 April 1998 and 30 April 1999 have been approved and have received audit reports which were unqualified and did not contain statements under s237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The statutory accounts for the year ended 30 April 1998 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies but the accounts to 30 April 1999 have not yet been filed. Copies of the Annual Report and Accounts to 30 April 1999 will shortly be sent to the shareholders. For further information, please contact: Jim Sharp Arthur Copple Templeton Merrill Lynch Tel: 0131 469 4000 Tel: 0171 772 1000
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