Interim Results

Scottish American Investment Co PLC 18 July 2001 THE SCOTTISH AMERICAN INVESTMENT COMPANY PLC Preliminary Results (Unaudited) for the six months to 30th June 2001 The Scottish American Investment Company PLC (SAINTS) is an international general investment trust. The Trust's investment objective is to offer private investors a balance between growth of capital and a reasonable level of income by investing in successful companies in the UK and internationally. SAINTS, which has total assets of £480 million, is managed by Stewart Ivory & Company Limited, part of Colonial First State Investments, an active investment management company that manages over £25 billion for retail, institutional and private client investors worldwide. Summary * Second quarter dividend of 1.39p payable on 1st October 2001. * Net asset value total return was minus 13.1% in the first half of the year. This compares with a total return for SAINTS' benchmark (65% FTSE All-Share Index:35% FTSE WI World ex UK Index) of minus 6.3% and for the FTSE All-Share Index of minus 7.3%. * In January 2001 a third tranche of the 2022 Debenture Stock was issued. The bulk of the £35m raised has not yet been invested in equities, but is held temporarily in a short term UK gilt. * Since 1997, SAINTS has been buying in the Equities Index Unsecured Loan Stock 2004. The remaining Loan Stock was redeemed in June. Results Attached is a copy of the preliminary results. These are presented in a format which summarises the information which will be given in the forthcoming Interim Report. For further information, please contact: Christine Wood Consolidated Communications 0207 208 2382 Preliminary Results (Unaudited) for the six months to 30th June 2001 MANAGER'S REPORT SUMMARY 30th June 2001 31st December 2000 % change Asset Value per Share 255.2p 296.8p -14.0 Dividend per Share 2.78p* 5.53p +0.7+ Share Price 218.75p 254.5p -14.0 * For half year + Change from same period last year INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE Global equity markets have been weak in 2001 with most of the major indices showing negative returns in sterling terms. For the half year the total return on net assets per share was minus 13.1%. The total return for our benchmark (65% FTSE All Share Index:35% FTSE WI World ex UK Index) was minus 6.3%, while the comparable figure for the FTSE All-Share Index was minus 7.3%. The poor returns from equity markets this year have been caused primarily by the sharp slowdown in the US economy. This led to a deteriorating outlook for corporate profits as companies struggled to adjust stock and capacity levels to cope with the less buoyant economic environment. The problem has been most acute in the information technology industry where rapid technological change and the necessity for corporations to invest to cope with growth in use of the Internet and possible problems over the millennium in 1999 and 2000 led to buoyant conditions in technology markets. Many technology companies erroneously believed such investment levels were sustainable and were unprepared as budgets were cut when economic growth slowed. In telecommunications significant investment in capacity has also led to falling margins and decreases in profits. However, the difficulties problemshave not been confined to these areas alone and the slowdown in growth has affected companies across many sectors. Changing economic conditions in the US have also begun to impact other Western economies and, with many quoted companies outside the US having at least some exposure to the US economy, corporate results and outlook statements have tended to be gloomy. Negative corporate news was exacerbated, at least in the early part of the year, by the continued economic and financial problems in Japan. The Japanese economy has slipped back into recession and it will take time for the new Prime Minister to implement the necessary radical reforms of the financial system and the economy. By far the most significant reason for the negative total return was the failure of Independent Insurance, which has cost the portfolio £9.5m over the last six months. However, to put this in context, since Independent Insurance floated in 1993, SAINTS has realised over £25m from the sale of shares in the company compared to a purchase cost of under £2m. Over the long term the investment has been very profitable for SAINTS. Apart from Independent Insurance the SAINTS portfolio has been adversely affected by its relatively high level of exposure to the telecommunications and technology sectors, notably in the UK and Europe. A number of our companies in various sectors have underperformed even when forecasts for profits and earnings growth have remained unchanged. However Wwe believe, however, that sustainable profits and earnings growth will continue to drive share prices over the long term and we are confident that these companies we are invested in will start to outperform again. EQUITY INVESTMENTS AS % OF SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS 30th June 2001 31st December 2000 % % United Kingdom 67 66* North America 21 18 Continental Europe 9 10 Japan 4 4 Pacific Asia/Emerging Markets 6 4 Unquoted 2 2 109+ 104+ * Net of Equities Index Unsecured Loan Stock + The amount by which equity investments exceed 100 per cent of shareholders' funds is the level by which the Trust is geared to equity markets. The gearing is financed by long term borrowing. DIVIDEND SAINTS will pay a second interim of 1.39p per share on 1st October 2001 making a total for the year to date of 2.78p compared with 2.76p last year. GEARING SAINTS has been buying in the Equities Index Unsecured Loan Stock since 1997 and replacing it with conventional fixed rate borrowings which have become more attractive as a result in the decline of interest rates. This process was completed in June with the redemption of the remaining Loan Stock. An equivalent value of UK shares were sold, so as to leave unchanged the effective level of investment in UK shares. A third tranche of the 2022 Debenture Stock had been issued in January as was reported in the annual report. The bulk of the £35m raised has not yet been invested in equities but is held temporarily in a short term gilt. OUTLOOK After a weak 2000 and further falls during the first quarter we became more positive on equity markets and started to gear the portfolio to reflect this. Equities were weak in 2000 and have fallen again in 2001. However, we are positive on the outlook and have started to gear the portfolio to equity markets to reflect this. Equities have recovered to a small degree over the last few months and we remain optimistic that they will make up further ground over the course of the rest of the year. Central banks have been cutting interest rates around the world and this should continue, although US and UK interest rates may now be close to the low point in the current interest rate cycle. Monetary easing has helped to stabilise equity markets and should give them upward momentum once it becomes clear that economic slowdown is levelling off. Having made little progress over the last two years, a period in which profits in general have moved upwards, equities also look reasonable value relative to bonds. In the short termnegative corporate surprises poor corporate results may continue to affect sentiment but as the year progresses attention will focus increasingly on 2002 when lower interest rates should lead to an acceleration in economic growth rates and a much brighter outlook for corporate profits. Markets we prefer include the UK, where consumer sentiment has remained resilient and inflation is under control. We have also been increasing the weighting in US equities because the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates aggressively in the face of sharply slowing economic growth and the economy should benefit from personal tax rebates in the second half of the year. At the same time we have been reducing exposure to Europe as the European Central Bank has been slow to cut interest rates and may continuee to desist from doing so this stance while inflation remains above target, despite evidence that the main European economies are now slowing down. Within the portfolio as a whole wWe continue to favour companies which offer above average profits and earnings growth prospects over the long term. We have maintained exposure to stocks in the pharmaceuticals and oil sectors, which display these characteristics, and have increased exposure to consumer orientated companies over the last six months as consumer spending has held up in the US and UK. We believe their qualities will become more highly valued in what will remain a testing economic environment. SUMMARISED STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (UNAUDITED) for the six months to 30th June 2001 6 months 6 months Year to to 30th June to 30th June 31st December 2001 2000 2000(1) £'000 £'000 £'000 Dividends and interest 6,264 6,256 10,839 receivable Other income 1,128 1,225 2,507 7,392 7,481 13,346 Expenses (686) (1,119) (1,910) Interest payable (1,053) (1,682) (2,855) Income before tax 5,653 4,680 8,581 Tax (689) (338) (787) Income attributable to 4,964 4,342 7,794 shareholders Dividends* (4,272) (4,319) (8,662) Surplus / (deficit) for 692 23 (868) the period Return attributable to shareholders: Income 4,964 4,342 7,794 Capital (66,588) (22,376) (42,654) Total (61,624) (18,034) (34,860) Total return per share (39.61p) (11.11p) (21.79p) * Total dividend per share of 2.78p for the period (2.76p for the first half of 2000 and 5.53p for the year 2000) SUMMARISED BALANCE SHEET (UNAUDITED) As at 30th June 2001 30th June 30th June 31st December 2001 2000 2000(1) £'000 £'000 £'000 Total Investments 483,363 630,467 526,238 Net Current Assets (2,145) 19,973 17,013 Total Assets less 481,218 650,440 543,251 Current Liabilities Creditors due after one (91,018) (159,272) (78,471) year Equity Shareholders' 390,200 491,168 464,780 Funds Net asset value per share 255.2p 309.7p 296.8p Share price 218.75p 256.0p 254.5p CASH FLOW STATEMENT (UNAUDITED) AS AT 30TH JUNE 2001 Six months Six months to 30th Year to 31st to 30th June June 2000 December 2000(1) 2001 £'000 £'000 £'000 Cash and deposits at the 20,654 66,005 66,005 start of the year Income Dividends received 4,323 4,900 8,851 Interest received 1,659 1,050 1,845 Underwriting commission and 1,222 1,210 2,778 other income Investment management fee 29 (168) (294) Other administrative (633) (988) (1,783) expenses paid Income less administrative 6,600 6,004 11,397 expenses Interest paid on borrowings (1,874) (1,653) (3,423) Dividends paid to (4,341) (4,602) (8,994) shareholders Cash paid in respect of (6,215) (6,255) (12,417) interest and dividends Tax (paid) / received (654) 267 712 Cash (paid) / received in (269) 16 (308) respect of income transactions Capital Purchases of investments (211,525) (151,052) (271,369) Sales of investments 188,866 147,544 352,004 (22,659) (3,508) 80,635 Repurchase of Ordinary share (6,199) (26,623) (31,586) capital Issue of 8% Debenture Stock 36,085 (160) (31) 2022 Repayment of Equities Index (20,802) (9,036) (90,203) Unsecured Loan Stock 2004 Performance fee 322 - - Investment management fee 249 (505) (658) Interest paid on borrowings (1,717) (1,331) (2,826) Currency gains/(losses) 90 90 (374) Cash paid in respect of (14,631) (41,073) (45,043) capital transactions Total cash paid (14,900) (41,057) (45,351) Cash and deposits at end of 5,754 24,948 20,654 the period Notes a) Reconciliation of total income as shown in the Statement of Total Return to income less administrative expenses in the Cash Flow Statement Total income per the Statement of Total 7,392 7481 13,346 Return Total expenses per the Statement of Total Return (686) (1,119) (1,910) 6,706 6,362 11,436 (Increase)/Decrease in dividends accounted for but for which cash had (267) (274) 138 not been received at the year end Decrease/(Increase) in other debtors 169 (55) (407) (Decrease)/Increase in creditors (8) (29) 230 Income less administrative expenses per 6,600 6,004 11,397 Cash Flow Statement b) Analysis of changes in net debt. At the Cash Flows Other Changes At the start of end of the period the period £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Cash 20,654 (14,900) - 5,754 Equities Index Unsecured Loan Stock 2004 (22,650) 20,802 1,848 - 8% Debenture (55,345) (35,465) 268 (90,542) Stock 2022 4% Irredeemable (476) - - (476) Debenture Stock (57,817) (29,563) 2,116 (85,264) Notes: (1) The results for the year to 31st December 2000 and the position as at that date are an abridged version of the full accounts for that year, (2) which received an unqualified audit report and which have been filed (3) with the Registrar of Companies. The accounting policies applied in preparing these accounts are consistent with those applied in the latest published annual accounts. The terms of the Interim Report were approved by the Board on 18th July 2001.
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