Final Results

Ruffer Investment Company Limited 27 September 2007 RUFFER INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED Chairman's Review For the year ended 30 June 2007 Performance The Company's investment portfolio earned a negative total return of 0.6% in the year to 30 June 2007. This is calculated after all expenses of management and allowing for the payment of dividends totalling 1.75p per share. The objective rate of return - twice the time weighted Bank of England base rate - for the year was 9.7%. Further details are given on page 9 of the Annual Report. Earnings and Dividend Earnings for the year were 2.54p per share on revenue account partially offsetting a loss, including unrealized losses, of 3.32p per share on capital account. In the course of the year dividends totalling 1.75p per share were paid (of which 0.5p was in respect of the year to 30 June 2006). A final dividend of 1.25p per share in respect of the year to 30 June 2007 was approved on September 18th and will be paid on October 12th 2007. Share Price In the first seven months of the year to 30 June 2007 the shares moved from a premium of over 6% above Net Asset Value (NAV) at the beginning of the period to a discount of 4% towards the end. In the last five months of the year the discount on NAV remained at around 4%. Annual General Meeting The AGM of the Company will be held at 10.30 a.m. on Thursday November 8th at the Company's registered office at Trafalgar Court, Les Banques, St Peter Port, Guernsey Share Buyback Authority With the shares trading at a discount of around 3% on NAV at September 18th, the Board has resolved to seek, at the AGM on November 8th, renewal of its authority to buy back shares in the terms stated in Special Resolution No. 2. No shares have been bought back under the existing authorisation granted at the previous AGM on October 30th 2006. Share Redemption Facility The Company has a Redemption Facility operable in November of each year. This is described on page 22 of the Report and Accounts. The directors will advise shareholders by separate letter if, and on what scale, they intend to make it available in November 2007. Continuation Vote on Company Under the Company's Articles there is the requirement that shareholders vote on the future of the Company after its operation for 3 years. This is therefore the subject of Special Resolution No. 3 at the forthcoming AGM. The directors recommend shareholders vote in favour of the Company continuing as an investment company because the investment managers' ability to earn a positive return in turbulent economic times is proven. John de Havilland Chairman September 26th 2007. Investment Manager's Report For the year ended 30 June 2007 Investment Objective The principal objective of the Company is to achieve a positive total annual return, after all expenses, of at least twice the Bank of England base rate (5.50 per cent as at 30 June 2007) by investing in internationally listed or quoted equities or equity related securities (including convertibles) and/or bonds which are issued by corporate issuers, supra-nationals or government organisations. Investment Review In the twelve month period from 1 July 2006 to 30 June 2007 the Total Return fell 0.6% (net of fees and expenses and inclusive of a 1.75p dividend), compared to the objective return of 9.7%, being twice the time weighted Bank of England base rate over the period. This is a wretched outcome. Since launch on July 8 2004 the Total Return, including dividends, has risen by 22%. A manager's review of such performance is normally backward looking, covering mainly the events which have happened over the relevant period, with an explanation and clarification in the light of these developments. However, this report, written in the first days of September, is forward looking, since this is the key to understanding recent performance, the dispositions within the investment trust, and the thinking behind them. The events which unfolded from the end of July have given investors a real fright. The unfolding dislocation centred around the shortfalls in the structured product market has played out almost exactly as we feared. Only the mono line insurers, which looked to us like an accident waiting to happen, have not yet been identified as a major health hazard in the financial markets. Nevertheless, we feel that we have not been vindicated. We might add sotto voce, not yet - but the important part of the observation is that, at the time of writing, the real trouble still lies ahead. Central banks have been commendably alert, pumping in over $100 billion and facilitating bail outs where necessary. The early dislocations have been dealt with, and the full weight of the Federal Reserve stands ready to put order back into markets made disorderly in the case of future shocks. One must not underestimate this good work; the possibility of a vicious circle arising from that initial shock was a real one. The central banks will not do so well in the next phase of the dislocation, not from a lack of care or skill, but because the next phase will show that we are dealing with a credit crisis, not a liquidity crisis. In the early stages the two are hard to tell apart. Banks are carnivorous - they make their living by putting their money at risk. They have every incentive to put aside their fears and re-engage. But depositors are not carnivorous - they are the herbivores of the financial food chain. They seek, above all, safety and take whatever returns the market place offers. They never seek risk; indeed, try to shun it but every so often they are seduced into taking a risk which they did not fully understand, or appreciate. Who are today's depositors? No longer is it only the classical banks who make the loans - the banking industry has mutated into investment banking and learned to thrive by acting as investment principal and by fees, much more than by lending. And the role of lender has passed to the originators' securitised debt - the loans are now owned by investors, not bankers. Who are those investors? Conservative, yield hungry investors - pension funds, insurance companies, government agencies for 'senior' securitised paper, and risk-averse investors in fund of hedge funds for the 'junior' stuff. The events of mid-August have shattered the illusions; the early indicator was the Bear Stearns fund ($3.2 billion), which after 41 unbroken 'up' months, promptly announced it was worth only a few cents on the dollar. Two terrible days in the market - 10 August and 16 August have been enough to persuade these 'new' depositors that it's a mug's game to chase a small extra income at the hazard of the capital value. And, as herbivores do, they have stampeded in the opposite direction - with the inevitable consequences that vast swathes of perfectly safe commercial paper find no buyers today. This is the battleground. The optimists see dislocation increasingly contained, and against a backcloth of a sound economy, bargain hunters are returning to the fray. 12 August was, by coincidence, the 25th anniversary of the start of Wall Street's run (the Dow Jones was 776 then!). Buying the dips has been right every single time for the last quarter century, so one doesn't need to be especially brave to do it again. But they forget the nature of the herbivore. Why should he return to securitised debt? He has now discovered that the AAA he owned wasn't the 'Simon says' variety, and is risky. He doesn't want risk. The optimists are looking at the wrong thing in the strength of the economy, which is an essentially backward looking exercise: admiring the firm physique of the followers of the Mahdi as they mass to greet the clickety clack of the Maxim gun. The photographs of queues of depositors at Northern Rock clamouring for their money back is a part of the pattern: a widespread loss of confidence which may or may not have been justified. Who cares? Why take the risk? It is what happens from now on which will determine whether our analysis is sound. Ruffer LLP 5th September 2007 Company Performance Price Change in at 30.06.07 Buying Price Buying Selling From From Price Price Launch 30.06.06 £ £ % % Shares 1.128 1.115 + 12.80 -11.18 Prices are published in the Financial Times in the 'Investment Companies' section, and in the Daily Telegraph's 'Share Prices & Market Capitalisations' section under 'Investment Trusts'. Fund Size Net Asset Net Asset Number of Shares Value Value per In Issue Share £ £ 30.06.07 123,690,774 1.166* 106,117,074 30.06.06 126,375,613 1.191 106,117,074 30.06.05 55,935,077 1.119 50,000,000 * Value reported to the London Stock Exchange was 1.167 using mid market values. Bid prices are presented as fair value in the Financial Statements. Share Price Range Highest Shares Lowest Accounting Buying Price Selling Price Period to: £ £ 30.06.07 1.260 1.110 30.06.06 1.300 1.120 30.06.05 1.140 1.000 Net Asset Value Range Highest Shares Lowest Accounting NAV NAV Period to: £ £ 30.06.07 1.211 1.166 30.06.06 1.234 1.122 30.06.05 1.122 0.976 Past performance is not a guide to the future. The value of the shares and the income from them can go down as well as go up and you may not get back the amount originally invested. Because of this, you are not certain to make a profit on your investment and you may lose money. Top Ten Holdings Market % of Holding at Value Total Net Stock name Currency 30.06.07 £ Assets Treasury 4% 07/03/2009 GBP 11,300,000 10,984,617 8.88 Austria 3% 21/08/2009 CHF 24,750,000 10,039,975 8.12 Switzerland 3 1/2% 08/04/2033 CHF 16,800,000 6,849,174 5.54 Treasury 4 3/4% 07/06/2010 GBP 7,000,000 6,802,530 5.50 Norway 5 1/2% 15/05/2009 NOK 80,000,000 6,767,140 5.47 Norway 6% 16/05/2011 NOK 70,000,000 6,054,747 4.90 Switzerland 4% 08/04/2028 CHF 12,240,000 5,424,523 4.39 Switzerland 1 3/4% 05/11/2009 CHF 13,100,000 5,192,623 4.20 Treasury 5 3/4% 07/12/2009 GBP 4,250,000 4,245,283 3.43 Unilever GBP 200,000 3,226,000 2.61 Balance Sheet 30.06.07 30.06.06 £ £ ASSETS Cash and cash equivalents 346,711 6,190,457 Receivables 824,796 1,483,682 Financial assets at fair value through profit 123,074,306 119,449,349 or loss Total Assets 124,245,813 127,123,488 EQUITY Capital and reserves attributable to the Company's shareholders Management share capital 2 2 Net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference shares 123,690,774 126,375,613 Total Equity 123,690,776 126,375,615 LIABILITIES Payables 555,037 747,873 Total Liabilities 555,037 747,873 Total Equity and Liabilities 124,245,813 127,123,488 Net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference shares 1.166 1.191 (per share) Statement of Operations 01.07.06 to 01.07.05 to 30.06.07 30.06.06 Revenue Capital Total Total £ £ £ £ Bank interest income 41,146 - 41,146 381,418 Fixed interest income 2,936,037 - 2,936,037 2,054,836 Dividend income 667,676 - 667,676 631,541 Net (losses)/gains on financial assets at fair value through profit or loss - (2,293,821) (2,293,821) 3,479,996 Other (losses)/gains - (118,526) (118,526) 263,577 Total investment income/ 3,644,859 (2,412,347) 1,232,512 6,811,368 (loss) Management fees (315,551) (946,650) (1,262,201) (1,096,691) Expenses (392,903) (161,039) (553,942) (901,905) Total operating expenses (708,454) (1,107,689) (1,816,143) (1,998,596) Operating profit/(loss) before 2,936,405 (3,520,036) (583,631) 4,812,772 taxation Withholding tax (244,159) - (244,159) (28,113) Operating profit/(loss) after taxation and increase/(decrease) in net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference shares 2,692,246 (3,520,036) (827,790) 4,784,659 Basic and diluted earnings per 2.54p -3.32p -0.78p 5.18p share * * Basic and diluted earnings per share are calculated by dividing the operating profit/ (loss) after taxation and increase/(decrease) in net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference shares by the weighted average number of redeemable participating preference shares. The weighted average number of shares for the period is 106,117,074. Statement of Changes in Equity 01.07.06 to 01.07.05 to 30.06.07 30.06.06 £ £ Net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference shares at the start of the year 126,375,613 55,935,077 Movement due to issues and redemptions of shares: Proceeds from redeemable participating preference shares issued - 66,436,462 Net increase from share transactions - 66,436,462 (Decrease)/increase in net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference (827,790) 4,784,659 shares from operations Distributions to holders of redeemable participating preference shares (1,857,049) (780,585) (Decrease)/increase in net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference shares from operations (after distributions) (2,684,839) 4,004,074 Net assets attributable to holders of redeemable participating preference shares at the 123,690,774 126,375,613 end of the year Cash Flow Statement 01.07.06 to 01.07.05 to 30.06.07 30.06.06 £ £ Cash flows from operating activities Purchase of financial assets and settlement of (37,198,127) (104,059,163) financial liabilities Proceeds from sale of investments (including 31,853,203 43,077,487 realised gains) Transaction costs (161,039) (180,098) Bank interest received 62,092 355,866 Fixed interest income received 3,016,663 1,633,111 Dividends received 652,367 612,075 Withholding tax (244,159) (28,113) Operating expenses paid (1,849,171) (1,388,886) Foreign exchange loss (118,526) - Net cash utilised in operating activities (3,986,697) (59,977,721) Cash flows from financing activities Dividends paid (1,857,049) (780,585) Proceeds from issue of 'C' shares - 67,500,000 Issue expenses relating to issue of 'C' - (1,044,548) shares Net cash flow from financing activities (1,857,049) 65,674,867 Net (decrease)/increase in cash and cash (5,843,746) 5,697,146 equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of 6,190,457 138,396 the year Exchange gains on cash and cash equivalents - 354,915 Cash and cash equivalents at end of the year 346,711 6,190,457 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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