Trading Statement

Rolls-Royce PLC 19 October 2001 19 October 2001 ROLLS-ROYCE plc Rolls-Royce plc today, 19 October 2001, confirmed guidance for 2001 and issued revised guidance for 2002, in the light of the events of 11 September. * 2001 underlying earnings guidance unchanged * Revised 2002 planning assumptions * Civil engine unit deliveries down 30 per cent against 2001 * Civil aftermarket revenues unchanged against 2001 * Civil aerospace underlying profit before interest: * expected to halve in 2002 * expected to grow in 2003 * Jobs reduction of 5,000 (3,800 in the UK; 1,200 overseas) * Additional rationalisation provisions of £200 million in 2001 * Average net debt in 2002 expected to be at the same level as in 2000 John Rose, Chief Executive, said: 'Following the tragic events of 11 September, we have undertaken an assessment of their likely impact on our business. 'We expect difficult market conditions for civil aerospace in 2002 and 2003 and we are taking the necessary actions required to resize overheads and to align cost and capacity with demand. Regrettably this will have an impact on employment in the company and its supply base. 'We will benefit from our broad business base, strong market positions and the steps already taken through the rationalisation programme announced in August 2000. Our longer term view is underpinned by our success in the market.' Enquiries Peter Barnes-Wallis Tim Blythe Director of Financial Communications Director of Corporate Communications Tel: 0207 222 9020 www.rolls-royce.com Rolls-Royce plc Rolls-Royce plc announced today, 19 October 2001, that having reviewed market conditions in the light of the events of 11 September, its 2001 underlying trading performance is expected to be in line with earlier guidance. The company also issued revised guidance for 2002. Against uncertain market conditions the company has completed an assessment of the short-term impact on its business, based upon a review of the emerging priorities of its customers. The company will continue to review developing market trends. Based on this assessment, the company's planning assumptions for its civil aerospace business in 2002 are that overall engine unit deliveries will be 30 per cent lower than in 2001. The percentage decline in regional jet engine deliveries is expected to be higher than in other sectors After analysing expected fleet utilisation and retirements, the company expects aftermarket services revenue in 2002 to be at a similar level to that recorded in 2001, rather than growing as previously expected. Rolls-Royce has delivered more than 5,500 new civil engines in the last six years and has an installed base of 9,000 civil engines. This young fleet will make an increasing contribution to aftermarket services revenue. The company currently believes the events of 11 September will not have a material impact on the overall performance of the defence, marine and energy businesses, which together account for about half the company's business. 2001 update While there has been an immediate impact on deliveries, prompt management action to control discretionary expenditure is enabling the company to mitigate the effects of the changing market environment on its financial performance in 2001. The company currently expects trading results for 2001 to be consistent with its earlier guidance of unchanged underlying earnings per share, compared with the previous year. Ongoing restructuring, included within underlying earnings, will amount to approximately £30 million in 2001. Average net debt for 2001 will be lower than in 2000. As a result of the lower than expected demand for civil aerospace products and services, the company is taking immediate steps to balance capacity with demand. It is planned that the workforce will be reduced from its current level of 43,500 by 5,000 employees; 3,800 in the UK, across its sites and 1,200 overseas. It is expected that the reduction will be largely achieved by the end of the first quarter of 2002 and mainly impacts employment in the aerospace businesses, which currently totals 28,000. Rationalisation costs and provisions in 2001, excluded from underlying earnings, are expected to comprise: * Charge of £90 million in respect of the previously announced, three-year, £150 million rationalisation programme. (£10 million was incurred in 2000) * Provisions of: * £50 million representing the balance of the existing rationalisation programme; and * £150 million in respect of additional rationalisation costs arising from the change in trading outlook following the events of 11 September. The full impact of all rationalisation programmes will be to reduce the company's cost base by approximately £250 million per annum, underpinning future financial performance and placing the company in a strong position to benefit from recovery in the civil aerospace market. 2002 outlook Civil aerospace sales in 2002 are expected to be approximately one billion pounds lower than previously anticipated and about 25 per cent lower than in 2001. Underlying profit before interest in civil aerospace is expected to be approximately one half of the equivalent figure expected for 2001. This reduction arises largely from the margin impact of lower volumes, partly mitigated by lower research and development expenditure and the benefits from cost reduction programmes. There will be a reduction of 1,000 contract jobs, which are not included in the permanent headcount. The combination of lower operating profit and rationalisation expenditure will have an adverse impact on cashflow. For 2002, average net debt for the company is now expected to be similar to the level reported in 2000. The guidance, above, includes anticipated charges in respect of the impact of civil aerospace market conditions on sales financing exposures. Longer term outlook Rolls-Royce operates in long-term growth markets, in which it has already established strong positions. The company believes that the current adverse market conditions, while impacting short-term profitability and cashflow, do not materially affect the long-term value of the business and the consistent strategy which has been pursued. The company will maintain total programme capability and will continue to invest in all current engine development programmes. * In civil aerospace, the company expects engine sales to remain depressed in 2003. However, the company has a young and growing installed base of engines which addresses all of the major civil aerospace sectors and will generate increasing levels of aftermarket revenue. This is expected to result in underlying profit growth in the sector in 2003. * The company's defence business will continue to benefit from its large installed base and its broad portfolio of current and new programmes. * The marine business has been strengthened by the acquisition of Vickers and is expected to benefit from re-equipment in the naval market and a strong flow of orders in the commercial offshore market. * The performance of the energy business will improve as new products are introduced into service. In particular, orders for the industrial Trent are expected before the end of the year. * The financial services businesses are expected to make a growing contribution, reflecting their underlying growth and increasing maturity. The company will continue to provide information regarding the impact of further developments in the market environment. Conference call details 19 October 2001 A conference call will be held for analysts and investors at 09.45 hrs UK time. Call in numbers: +44 (0)20 8781 0576 and +44 (0)20 8240 8243 Conference title: Rolls-Royce analyst call Instant replay will be available for a week after the call Ends
UK 100

Latest directors dealings