3 Month Review

Premier Utilities Trust PLC 08 December 2004 Premier Utilities Trust 3 month review (unaudited) to end November 2004 30.11.04 1 month 3 months 6 months 12 months Since launch* PUT Total Assets (£m) 44.85 1.4% 8.9% 12.7% 19.8% 21.2% PUT Ords Price 103.00 5.1% 24.9% 24.1% 23.0% 3.0% PUT Ords NAV 132.18 2.1% 15.9% 22.0% 33.4% 35.8% PUT ZDP Price 115.50 6.2% 11.3% 10.3% 13.0% 15.5% PUT ZDP NAV 107.61 0.6% 1.7% 3.5% 7.0% 7.6% FTSE 100 Index 4703.20 1.7% 5.5% 6.2% 8.3% 9.7% FTSE World Index GBP 283.15 1.8% 5.6% 6.3% 8.6% 9.8% FTSE Utilities Index 4012.74 -1.8% 3.5% 11.2% 23.3% 27.1% FTSE Global Utilities GBP 2316.12 -0.4% 5.0% 11.8% 16.9% 18.3% PUT Unit** Price 109.42 5.7% 17.9% 17.0% 17.8% 9.4% PUT Unit** NAV 119.57 PUT Ords Shares -22.1% discount PUT ZDP Shares 7.3% premium PUT Units** -8.5% discount Hurdle Rate*** Terminal Cover PUT Ords 1.8% - PUT ZDP -5.8% 1.44x PUT Ords 6.6% yield *launch: 03.11.03 **Unit calculated as weighted average of Ords + ZDP shares in issue ***Rate at which company's gross assets must rise to repay stated mid-market share price on wind-up UK water and electricity regulation has been a prominent feature of the period as continued disclosure for the 2005-2010 reviews affected investor sentiment. OFGEM announced their final distribution price controls for the electricity sector on the 29th November. The outcome provides for a 1% price increase next year and the rate of inflation thereafter, together with an allowed return of 4.8% (post tax) on investment expenditure. This was toward the top end of expectations. These provisions are to help fund the £5.7bn cost of modernizing the UK's ageing electricity network. For domestic customers, distribution charges account for around 25% of their electricity bill. Whilst the review overall was deemed fair, the impact on valuations is much less than the concurrent water review being conducted by OFWAT. This is due to a higher proportion of water sector group values being affected by their determination due on December 2nd. During October a private equity bid for South Staffordshire Water at a 30% premium to its regulated asset base caused a further speculation within the sector. However, as valuations began to look stretched, they suffered profit taking throughout November with only AWG held by the Trust, improving further to finish up 18.6% since the end of August. In Europe the Italian electricity monopoly Enel undertook a EUR 840m bid to acquire Slovakian utility Slovenske Elektrarne, together with a special cash distribution resulting from the 50% divestment of network operator Terna, and the undertaking of an international equity offering. The share offering on October 25th proved the largest global issue year-to-date and reduced the Italian governments' stake from over 50% to 34%. On the expectation that this would remove an overhang of Enel's shares, we increased our holding whilst also subscribing to the issue itself. The share issue was 3x over subscribed and pursuant to the issue the shares rose. Macquarie Airport shares have performed well showing a local currency gain of over 73.5% since the start of the year. The shares were further boosted by a successful bid in early November for Brussels International Airport which will see Macquarie acquire a 52% stake. It is widely assumed their model of extracting capital efficiencies from assets together with airport management experience will prove significantly value accretive. It has however surprised us that purchase multiples of 12.5x EV/EBITDA paid for this purchase, (or the higher multiple offered by Abertis for UK airport operator TBI) are being applied to a sector that typically trades at below 10x this value. This perhaps highlights the attraction of similar infrastructure stocks such as BAA (UK) and Fraport (Frankfurt Airport) held within the portfolio. We continued to be wary of US utilities and sold our holdings here during September. The Presidential victory for Bush and Congressional gains for the Republicans proved a short lived boost to the sector as a result of a more relaxed environmental stance and favourable tax treatment to dividends. However, with limited improvement in generation margins, low yield spreads and P/E multiples that are at or above historical averages, the sector appears to offer little value especially when coupled to a weakening dollar. As the year draws to a close, we are mindful that the Dow Jones Euro-Stoxx Utility Index has enjoyed a tremendous re-rating as a result of an improvement in energy prices and greater concessions to shareholder value. European utility valuations now showing signs of generally reaching fair value. In this context, we believe European telecoms look increasingly attractive. This is evidenced from P/E ratios relative to utilities that are at all time lows. With possibilities for increased dividend payments and greater shareholder returns resulting from improvements in free cash-flow generation, there appears some value in the sector. To this end we continued to increase exposure to the sector with additional purchases of France Telecom and a new holding in Danish operator TDC. 8th December 2004 Premier Fund Managers source: Premier Fund Managers Ltd as at 30/11/04. MAF3385 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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