Final Results

Polar Capital Technology Trust PLC 14 June 2005 POLAR CAPITAL TECHNOLOGY TRUST PLC Unaudited Preliminary Results for the year ended 30 April 2005 14 JUNE 2005 HIGHLIGHTS • NAV per share fall of 1.2% contrasts favourably with a 9.9% drop in the Dow Jones World Technology Index • Heavy redemptions of specialist technology funds suggest a technology bear market that is close to a bottom • Share buy-backs materially enhance NAV by more than 10p per share • Continuing consolidation in the sector, corporate management and the emergence of strong growth areas (such as LCDs and broadband applications) represent very encouraging developments • Evidence from past cycles suggest the approach of a longer term positive turning point for the sector Financial Highlights 30 April 2005 30 April 2004 Change % ---------------------- ---------------- ------------ ------------ Net assets per share Undiluted 205.72p 208.13p (1.2) Diluted 190.36p 193.71p (1.7) Price per ordinary share 165.50p 164.75p 0.5 per warrant 65.00p 64.75p 0.4 Total net assets £237,237,000 £306,636,000 (22.6) Shares in issue at year end 115,320,162 147,328,288 For further information please contact: Brian Ashford-Russell Jacqui Graves / Peter Binns Polar Capital Technology Trust PLC Binns & Co. PR Ltd. Director and fund manager Tel: 020 7786 9600 Tel: 020 7227 2700 E.mail: Jacqui@binnspr.co.uk www.polarcapitaltechnologytrust.co.uk Peter.Binns@binnspr.co.uk Chairman's Statement: Good returns proved elusive for most investors over the past year with most of the rich pickings to be found in Asia and the natural resource markets, both of which benefited from China's growth. In contrast, the technology sector failed to generate any really positive momentum and gave up about half of the relative outperformance enjoyed the previous year. Your Company's net assets per share fell by 1.2% over the twelve months to 30 April 2005. While this figure contrasts favourably with a fall in the Dow Jones World Technology Index of 9.9% (in sterling terms) over the same period, the absolute result was disappointing. For most of the year, the bulls and bears struggled to gain the upper hand with the US economy alternating between periods of robust growth and patches of softness. Both interest rates and oil prices acted as dampeners on domestic demand while the same factors operating in reverse helped to prevent downside economic momentum becoming too established. Asian growth and the robust performance of real estate markets have been two of the major props to the global economy supported by the continuation - until recently - of very accommodative monetary policies. Growth in the USA has defied but not necessarily converted the sceptics while there have been grounds for greater optimism in Japan if not in much of Europe. While the macroeconomic picture has been mixed, the microeconomic environment has been very supportive for equity markets. Corporate earnings growth has been strongly positive, cash flows outstanding and balance sheets a picture of health. Even in those countries where macroeconomic change has been most hesitant, developments at a corporate level have suggested the possibility of positive change being driven from below. Japan is an obvious case in point but there have also been encouraging signs in both Germany and France. On balance, developments in the technology industry have also been favourable. Companies continue to trim their costs and improve their capital efficiency while most have been restrained in adding capacity. Earnings growth for the industry has been good but it has been insufficient to attract the attention of generalist investors. Consequently, the relative valuations of technology shares have shrunk. European and Asian technology shares were particularly poor relative performers while, in the USA, smaller technology companies and semiconductor shares were hardest hit. Your Company's relative outperformance was generated by a number of factors. The positive impact of share buy backs accounted for half the outperformance. We also benefited from adopting a relatively cautious stance ahead of the sharp sell-off in technology shares last summer and from our partial hedging of both the dollar and the yen. Finally, we materially outperformed our benchmark in Europe. To date, our share and warrant buy backs have resulted in the repurchase and cancellation of 33,730,000 shares and 1,345,000 warrants over the financial year, equivalent to 22.9% of our shares and 5.9% of our warrants in issue at 30 April 2004. The board intends to continue with such purchases thus removing excess shares and unwanted warrants especially as there may be an over supply of shares when the warrants reach their final exercise date of 30 September 2005. Undoubtedly, our ability to buy back shares has been made easier by the understandable frustration and even disillusionment felt by many investors whose only experience of our investment specialisation has been during an exceptionally difficult bear market over the last five years. Such frustration is only too evident across the entire technology investment space and has been reflected in heavy redemptions of technology mutual funds in both Europe and in the USA. Selling of this magnitude is almost always the sign of a mature bear market and a lead indicator of an impending directional change in that market. To the extent that this is so, we are encouraged by this development and we will continue to be buyers of our stock. As we enter our new financial year, many of the issues confronting investors are the same as those encountered a year ago. The Federal Reserve continues its move towards a more neutral monetary policy, trying to balance the need for greater monetary discipline with the risks inherent in America's massive fiscal and trade deficits and the still ebullient US housing market. Consumer spending has thus far proved remarkably resilient but, with some evidence of greater inflationary pressure, together with the recessionary impact of oil prices, there is a risk that the Fed may fail to sustain its delicate balancing act. Recent signs of a slowdown in retail sales not just in the USA, but also in other countries such as the UK and Australia which were early to raise interest rates, suggest caution. Hopefully, the recent data simply reflects a soft patch which may give way to a reacceleration in the economy later this year. However, it seems important to reflect in our investment stance the possibility of a recession. Recession risks aside, the outlook for markets is for more of the same - modest returns from immodest effort. The health of the corporate sector is an encouragement but margins must be at or very close to a peak. Earnings growth is however still reasonable and, relative to bonds, equities look cheap and liquidity is still plentiful. Our secular preference remains for Asian markets although they are unlikely in the event of any economic weakness to decouple from the USA. In both Japan and in Europe there have been positive microeconomic developments which should ensure plenty of opportunities at a corporate level. In the technology industry, spending growth continues at a similar pace to last year which should allow solid rather than spectacular earnings growth. However, there have been a number of encouraging developments over the last year, in particular the continuing consolidation in the sector, the emergence of a number of strong growth areas, the accelerating roll out of new applications to take advantage of broadband communications and the general improvement in corporate management. These developments together with the level of investor disenchantment with the sector provide increasing support for our view that we are within 18 months of a turning point for the industry, one which we believe will see the technology bear market being replaced by an extended period of technology sector outperformance. Over the eight and a half years since your Company was launched as a successor to TR Technology, net assets per share have grown by 111%. This compares with the Company's original benchmark (the FTSE World Index) rising by 44.2%. In November 1998, the first of a number of global technology indices was launched and since then, our net assets have risen by 41% against a decline of 18% in the Dow Jones World Technology Index. Relative to the vast majority of our peer group, performance has been highly satisfactory and has fully vindicated the Board's decision to move the management contract to Polar in 2001. Over the last twenty years, Polar's technology management team have built an outstanding record first at TR, then at Henderson and more recently at Polar. Clearly the technology investing environment has been very difficult over the last five years and the inevitable result has been absolute losses despite sound relative performance. However, we believe that we are within sight of an important turning point for the sector and that our management team are well resourced to exploit the opportunities ahead. Consequently, the Board strongly recommends to shareholders to vote in favour of resolution 7. This resolution, if passed, will remove the requirement for a winding-up resolution to be put at our annual general meeting in 2006, a point when we think investors ought to be overweight in an industry which should be due for an extended upturn in its cycle. The Directors intent to vote their shares in favour of the resolution and are encouraged by the indications of support from a significant number of our shareholders. Richard Wakeling 13 June 2005 Extracts from the Manager's Report: Technology Cycles and Performance The last five years have been a truly horrible experience for technology investors and particularly so for those who only first invested in the industry in the latter part of 1999 or in 2000. In absolute terms, the damage done to investors' portfolios by the bursting of the technology bubble in March 2000 and the subsequent collapse bears comparison with that which followed the technology boom in the late 1960s and greatly exceeds that experienced in the aftermath of the PC boom in the early 1980s. In relative terms, however, the pattern followed by the sector during this cycle has been very similar to that of previous 'booms and busts' both in the technology sector and other areas of the financial markets over the last forty years. Evidence suggests that sectors that experience a boom rarely provide a sustained period of outperformance for at least five years following the peak of that boom. The current cycle in technology fits the pattern remarkably neatly. Given that the NASDAQ market peaked on 10 March 2000, just over five years ago, it is appropriate to consider what previous cycles would suggest about the likely behavior of the technology sector over the next 5-10 years. There appears to be a pattern of technology cycles with peaks separated by periods of 12-15 years and normally associated with major product cycles such as reprographics (late 1960s), PCs (early 1980s) and the internet (late 1990s). Looking at the last two cycles and using an unweighted technology index from Piper Jaffray, a US securities firm, suggests that the sector's relative low normally occurs 6 - 6.5 years after the previous boom. This would point to a bottom on this cycle sometime in the second or third quarter of 2006. Further analysis of the PJ index suggested very strong relative performance over both three and five year periods following the fifth anniversary of the previous boom's peak. This implies that, even from the point that we have reached today, technology investors should now be able to look forward to a period of good medium term performance relative to the overall stock market. We have also noticed a pattern of four year cycles in technology shares, possibly the consequence of a broader capital spending cycle. This 'medium term' cycle shows a pattern of alternating 'larger' and 'smaller' cycles. If this four year pattern were to repeat itself going forward then this also would point to a turning point in the second half of 2006 and imply a strong period for technology shares in 2006-7. While one needs to be cautious about history repeating itself too exactly, we take some comfort from both the evidence of earlier cycles and also from the way in which the excesses of the late 1990s technology boom have been largely expunged over the last 5 years. These factors, together with a number of other normally late cycle developments such as heavy technology mutual fund redemptions, suggest the end of the downturn may not be too far away and a new upturn is likely to follow close behind. Against that backdrop, we will be looking at the best way in which to position the Company's portfolio for the better times that we think lie ahead. Notwithstanding the pain that we have all experienced over the period since March 2000, we believe that the technology industry's proven ability to grow considerably faster than global economic growth and to reinvent itself with each new cycle will continue to allow it to generate significant excess returns over the long term. Over the last 20 years, a period which encompasses 11 years of technology bear markets and 9 years of bull markets, the Polar Capital management team have delivered appreciation of 1,918%* which compares to an appreciation in the MSCI World Index of 451.9%. With what we believe is the greatest part of the current technology bear market now behind us, we are hopeful that returns over the next 5-7 years can return to the levels delivered historically and that your Company can resume its historic position in the upper reaches of the investment performance tables. Brian Ashford-Russell *Source Polar Capital Partners based on figures from 30 April 1985 to 30 April 2005 and using Henderson Global Technology Unit Trust for the period prior to the Company's launch on 16 December 1996 and based on the undiluted NAV for the Company. GROUP STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN for the year ended 30 April 2005 (INCORPORATING THE REVENUE ACCOUNT) Unaudited Audited Year ended 30 April 2005 Year ended 30 April 2004 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital* Total* £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Total capital (losses)/ gains from investments - (13,778) (13,778) - 90,434 90,434 Income from fixed asset investments 2,501 - 2,501 1,828 - 1,828 Other interest receivable and similar income 793 - 793 888 - 888 Gross revenue and gains/(losses) on investments 3,294 (13,778) (10,484) 2,716 90,434 93,150 Investment management fee (3,224) - (3,224) (2,098) - (2,098) Other administrative expenses (609) - (609) (586) - (586) Net (loss)/return on ordinary activities before interest payable, cost of warrant repurchases and taxation (539) (13,778) (14,317) 32 90,434 90,466 Repurchase of warrants - (438) (438) - (8) (8) Interest payable and similar charges (501) - (501) (569) - (569) Net (loss)/return on ordinary activities before taxation (1,040) (14,216) (15,256) (537) 90,426 89,889 Taxation on ordinary activities (154) - (154) (143) - (143) Net (loss)/return on ordinary activities after taxation (1,194) (14,216) (15,410) (680) 90,426 89,746 (Loss)/return per ordinary share (p) Basic (0.91p) (10.84p) (11.75p) (0.45)p 60.44p 59.99p Diluted (0.85p) (10.13p) (10.98p) (0.43)p 57.14p 56.71p The revenue columns of this statement represent the Profit and Loss account of the Group. * Restated - see note 1 GROUP BALANCE SHEET at 30 April 2005 Unaudited Audited 30 April 2005 30 April 2004 £'000 £'000 Fixed asset investments Listed at market value: United Kingdom 27,248 36,280 Overseas 190,560 235,562 217,808 271,842 Unlisted at Directors' valuation: United Kingdom 930 842 218,738 272,684 Current assets Investments 1,603 1,563 Debtors 29,408 34,569 Cash 58,222 74,254 89,233 110,386 Creditors: amounts falling due within one year (40,242) (41,840) Net current assets 48,991 68,546 Total assets less current liabilities 267,729 341,230 Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year (30,492) (34,594) Total net assets 237,237 306,636 Capital and reserves Called up share capital 28,830 36,832 Capital redemption reserve 9,145 713 Share premium 90,134 88,842 Warrant reserve 6,179 7,147 Warrant exercise reserve 1,483 940 Other capital reserves 157,002 226,504 Revenue reserve (55,536) (54,342) Equity shareholders' funds 237,237 306,636 Net asset value per ordinary share Undiluted 205.72p 208.13p Diluted 190.36p 193.71p GROUP CASH FLOW STATEMENT for the year ended 30 April 2005 Unaudited Unaudited Audited Audited 2005 2005 2004 2004 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Net cash outflow from operating activities (1,507) (2,521) Servicing of finance Bank and loan interest paid (506) (634) Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (506) (634) Taxation Overseas withholding tax recovered 42 - Net tax recovered 42 - Financial investment Purchase of investments (271,719) (306,715) Sale of investments 308,327 332,899 Settlement of forward foreign currency contracts 4,555 6,879 Settlement of spot FX contracts 3 - Settlement of derivative contracts 420 - Liquidation proceeds 66 - Net cash inflow from financial investment 41,652 33,063 Net cash inflow before financing 39,681 29,908 Financing Proceeds from exercise of warrants 1,722 1,178 Repurchase of warrants (734) (559) Repurchase of shares (55,269) (4,759) Loans taken out 10,396 45,410 Loans matured (10,396) (31,196) Net cash (outflow)/inflow from financing (54,281) 10,074 (Decrease)/increase in cash (14,600) 39,982 Reconciliation of net cash flow to movement in net funds (Decrease)/increase in cash as above (14,600) 39,982 Movement in long term loans - (14,214) Change in net funds resulting from cash flows (14,600) 25,768 Exchange movements (373) (1,544) Net movement in the year (14,973) 24,224 Net funds at 1 May 28,929 4,705 Net funds at 30 April 13,956 28,929 Notes: 1. (Loss)/return per ordinary share Basic revenue loss per ordinary share is based on the net loss after taxation attributable to the ordinary shares of £1,194,000 (2004:£680,000) and on 131,110,198 (2004:149,607,557) ordinary shares, being the weighted average number of shares in issue during the year. Basic capital (loss)/return per ordinary share is based on net capital losses of £14,216,000 (2004:gains of:£90,426,000) and the weighted average number of shares in issue during the year as shown above. The calculations of the diluted revenue and capital returns per ordinary share are carried out in accordance with Financial Reporting Standard No.14 Earnings per Share (FRS 14). For the purposes of calculating diluted revenue and capital returns per share, the number of shares is the weighted average used in the basic calculation plus a number of shares deemed to be issued for no consideration on exercise of all warrants, by reference to the average price of the ordinary shares during the year. The calculations indicate that the exercise of warrants would result in an additional weighted average number of shares of 9,208,806 (2004:8,636,006) resulting in a total weighted average number of shares of 140,319,004 (2004:158,243,563). The total capital gains/(losses) from investments figure for the year ended 30 April 2004 has been restated from £85,675,000 to £90,434,000. This restatement was necessary as the cost of the company purchasing its own shares had been included in the Statement of Total Return for the year ended 30 April 2004. These costs are now shown in the Group reconciliation of movements in equity shareholders funds. This restatement has no impact on the net asset value of the company. 2. 2004 Accounts Other than the restatement referred to above, the figures and financial information for the period ended 30 April 2004 are an extract of the latest published accounts of the Group and do not constitute the statutory accounts for that year. Those accounts have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and included the report of the auditors which was unqualified and did not contain a statement under either section 237(2) or section 237(3) of the Companies Act 1985. 3. 2005 Accounts The preliminary figures for the year ended 30 April 2005 are an extract from the Group's accounts for that period and do not constitute the statutory accounts for that year. These accounts have not yet been delivered to the Registrar of Companies, nor have the Auditors yet reported on them. 4. Reconciliation of operating revenue to net cash outflow from operating activities Unaudited Audited 30 April 2005 30 April 2004 £'000 £'000 Net (loss)/gain before interest payable and taxation (539) 32 Increase in current asset investments (40) (1,563) Decrease/(increase) in accrued income 75 (90) Decrease/(increase) in other debtors 43 (33) Decrease in other creditors (123) (335) Capital dividends - 19 Overseas withholding tax suffered (187) (145) Script dividends included in investment income (71) (133) Interest accumulations included in investment income (665) (273) Net cash outflow from operating activities (1,507) (2,521) 5. Basis of consolidation The Group accounts consolidate the accounts of the Company and its wholly owned subsidiary undertaking, PCT Finance Limited. 6. Copies of Report and Accounts The full annual report and accounts will be posted to shareholders in late June 2005 and copies will be available thereafter from the Company Secretary at the Company's Registered Office, 4 Matthew Parker Street, London SW1H 9NP (020 7227 2700) 7. Annual General Meeting The Annual General Meeting will be held at 12.30 pm on Friday 22 July 2005 at the offices of UBS Investment Bank, Finsbury Avenue, London EC2M 2PP. Portfolio Review Equity Investments over 0.75% of net assets at 30 April 2005 North America _________________________ £'000 Stock Activity % of net assets _______________________________________________________________________ 3,250 Genentech Biotechnology 1.4% 3,096 Medtronic Medical technology 1.3% 2,804 Amgen Biotechnology 1.2% 2,797 Dell Computer Computing 1.2% 2,650 Yahoo Internet advertising 1.1% 2,484 Analog Devices Analog IC's 1.0% 2,476 Linear Technologies Analog IC's 1.0% 2,437 KLA Tencor Semiconductor capital 1.0% equipment 2,432 Lockheed Martin Aerospace/Defence 1.0% 2,403 International Business IT services 1.0% Machines 2,172 Electronic Arts Gaming software 0.9% 2,077 Juniper Networks Telecom equipment 0.9% 2,044 DST Systems IT services 0.9% 2,004 Genzyme Transgenics Biotechnology 0.8% 1,985 Applied Materials Semiconductor capital 0.8% equipment 1,911 Corning Telecom equipment 0.8% 1,862 Apple Computers Computing 0.8% 1,837 CMP Sciences Services 0.8% 1,825 Microsoft Software 0.8% 1,802 Network Appliance Storage hardware 0.8% 1,781 Maxim Integrated Products Analog IC's 0.8% _______________________________________________________________________ 48,129 Total investments over 20.3% 0.75% 57,917 Other investments 24.4% _________ _________ _________ 106,046 Total North American investments 44.7% _________________________________________ _________ Europe _________________________________________ £'000 Stock Activity % of net assets _______________________________________________________________________________ 3,054 Wincor Nixdorf ATM/Pos hardware 1.3% 2,687 Atos Origin IT services 1.1% 2,498 Synthes Medical technology 1.1% 2,364 SES Global Satellite 1.0% communications 2,269 Aveva Group Software 1.0% 2,221 SAP Enterprise software 0.9% 2,092 Sage Payroll software 0.9% 2,050 Austriamicrosystems Semiconductors 0.8% _______________________________________________________________________________ 19,235 Total investments over 0.75% 8.1% 32,445 Other investments 13.7% _______ __________ 51,680 Total European investments 21.8% _______________________________________________________________________________ Asia _________________________________ £'000 Stock Activity % of net assets _______________________________________________________________________________ 4,304 Motech Solar cells 1.8% 3,711 Kumho Electric LCD components 1.6% 3,477 Aplix Mobile phone 1.5% software 3,460 Nitto Denko Polarisers 1.5% 3,401 CKD Factory automation 1.4% 3,174 JSR LCD materials 1.3% 2,907 Zeon LCD materials 1.2% 2,635 Kiryung Electronics Satellite radio 1.1% 2,527 Kuroda Components 1.1% 2,219 Aruze Gaming equipment 0.9% 2,109 LG Philips LCD panels 0.9% 2,079 Connect Technologies Software/services 0.9% _______________________________________________________________________________ 36,003 Total investments over 0.75% 15.2% 4,695 Other investments 2.0% _______ ________ 40,698 Total Asian investments 17.2% ________________________________________________________________________________ Portfolio Review Classification of Investments - at 30 April 2005 TOTAL TOTAL North America Europe Asia 30 April 2005 30 April 2004 % % % % % ______________________________________________________________________ Computing 9.5 1.3 - 10.8 8.4 Components 10.5 2.9 8.9 22.3 27.8 Software 7.7 8.5 2.3 18.5 19.0 Services 1.2 1.3 - 2.5 5.5 Communications 1.9 1.0 1.1 4.0 5.5 Life 9.5 3.1 - 12.6 13.2 Sciences Consumer, Media and Internet 2.0 2.8 1.8 6.6 4.2 Other Technology 2.4 0.5 3.1 6.0 5.2 Unquoted Investments - 0.4 - 0.4 0.3 _______________________________________________________________________ EQUITY INVESTMENTS 44.7 21.8 17.2 83.7 89.1 _______________________________________________________________________ Money Market Funds - 7.9 - 7.9 - Corporate Bonds - - 0.6 0.6 - Forward Currency Contracts (8.3) 8.3 - - 0.4 Net Current Assets 5.4 6.5 14.6 26.5 25.3 Loans - - (18.7) (18.7) (14.8) _______________________________________________________________________ OTHER NET ASSETS (2.9) 22.7 (3.5) 16.3 10.9 _______________________________________________________________________ GRAND TOTAL 41.8 44.5 13.7 100.0 - (net assets of £237,237,000) _______________________________________________________________________ At 30 April 2004 34.3 58.0 7.7 - 100.0 (net assets of £ 306,636,000) _______________________________________________________________________ INDEX CHANGES (total return) over the year to 30 April 2005 Local Currency Sterling Adjusted % % Benchmark - (7.8) Technology Indices: Dow Jones World (3.0) (9.9) Technology Pacific SE (USA) 2.2 (5.1) Technology MS Eurotec (based in US (4.7) (11.5) dollars) FTSE Techmark 100 - (6.2) Tecdax (14.5) (14.5) Tokyo SE Electronics (13.5) (15.5) DS Asia ex Japan 9.7 1.8 Electronics Market Indices: FTSE World - 3.6 S&P 500 Composite 6.3 (1.3) FTSE All-Share - 10.7 FTSE World Europe (ex - 10.4 UK) Tokyo SE (Topix) (3.6) (5.9) FTSE World Pacific Basin - 13.6 (ex Japan) EXCHANGE RATES 30 April 2005 30 April 2004 US$ to £ 1.9099 1.7733 Japanese Yen to £ 200.38 195.70 Euro to £ 1.4794 1.4792 Fund Distribution by Market Capitalisation as at 30 April 2005 Market Capitalisation % of invested assets < $2bn 38.3% $2bn-$10bn 25.4% > $10bn 36.3% This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange R
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