Interim Results - Part 3 (MCE

RNS Number : 8877W
Old Mutual PLC
05 August 2009
 



Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the six months ended 30 June 2009






£m

Statement of earnings on a Group Market Consistent Embedded Value basis

Notes

6 months ended 30 June 2009

6 months
ended 30 June
2008

Year ended

31 December
2008

Long Term Savings

Covered business


488

612

578

Asset management


(7)

37

42

Banking


8

14

23



489

663

643

Nedbank

Banking


211

337

575

Mutual and Federal

General insurance


20

28

76

US Asset Management

Asset management


30

70

97

Bermuda

Covered business


85

(113)

(254)

Other operating segments

Finance costs


(47)

(71)

(140)

Other shareholders' expenses


(33)

(12)

(19)

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax*


755

902

978

Adjusting items

5 

530

(343)

(2,037)

Total Group MCEV earnings for the financial period before tax


1,285

559

(1,059)

Income tax attributable to shareholders


(143)

(109)

13

Total Group MCEV earnings after tax for the financial period


1,142

450

(1,046)

Total Group MCEV earnings for the financial period attributable to:





Equity holders of the parent


1,047

316

(1,284)

Non-controlling interests

Ordinary shares


61

108

184

Preferred securities


34

26

54

Total Group MCEV earnings after tax for the financial period 


1,142

450

(1,046)

Basic total Group MCEV earnings per ordinary share (pence)


21.0

6.3

(25.7)

Weighted average number of shares - millions 


4,996

5,010

4,995


*    For long-term business and general insurance businesses, adjusted operating MCEV earnings is based on short-term and long-term investment returns respectively, includes investment returns on life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments, and is stated net of income tax attributable to policyholder returns. For the US Asset Management business it includes compensation costs in respect of certain long-term incentive schemes defined as non-controlling interests in accordance with IFRS. For all businesses, adjusted operating MCEV earnings excludes goodwill impairment, the impact of acquisition accounting, put revaluations related to long-term incentive schemes, the impact of closure of unclaimed shares trusts, profit/(loss) on disposal of subsidiaries, associated undertakings and strategic investments, dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities, and fair value (profits)/losses on certain Group debt movements. 

  

Total Group MCEV earnings per share 




£m

Notes

6 months
ended 30 June 2009

6 months
ended 30 June 2008

Year ended 

31 December
2008

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax attributable to ordinary equity holders





Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings before tax


755

902

978

Tax on adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings

4(ii)

(183)

(227)

 (135)

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax


572

675

843

Non-controlling interests





Ordinary shares


(70)

(120)

(214)

Preferred securities


(34)

(26)

(54)

Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax attributable to ordinary equity holders


468

529

575






Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share* (pence)


8.9

10.1

11.0

Adjusted weighted average number of shares - millions


5,232

5,245

5,230

*    Adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings per share is calculated on the same basis as adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings, but is stated after tax and non-controlling interests. It excludes income attributable to Black Economic Empowerment trusts of listed subsidiaries. The calculation of the adjusted weighted average number of shares includes own shares held in policyholders' funds and Black Economic Empowerment trusts.


£m

Reconciliation of movements in Group Market Consistent Embedded Value (Group MCEV) (after tax)

6 months ended 30 June 2009

6 months ended 30 June 2008


Notes

Covered business MCEV

Non-covered business IFRS

Total Group MCEV

Covered business MCEV 

Non-covered business IFRS

Total Group MCEV

Opening Group MCEV


4,183

1,079

5,262

6,349

1,010

7,359

Adjusted operating MCEV earnings


466

2

468

357

172

529

Non-operating MCEV earnings


590

(11)

579

(327)

114

(213)

Total Group MCEV earnings


1,056

(9)

1,047

30

286

316

Other movements in net equity

6

117

175

292

(641)

(226)

(867)

Closing Group MCEV


5,356

1,245

6,601

5,738

1,070

6,808


£m


Year ended 31 December 2008


Notes

Covered business MCEV

Non-covered business IFRS

Total Group MCEV

Opening Group MCEV


6,349

1,010

7,359

Adjusted operating MCEV earnings


133

442

575

Non-operating MCEV earnings


(2,270)

411

(1,859)

Total Group MCEV earnings


(2,137)

853

(1,284)

Other movements in net equity

6

(29)

(784)

(813)

Closing Group MCEV


4,183

1,079

5,262



  Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009







£m

Components of Group Market Consistent Embedded Value (Group MCEV)

Notes

At
30 June
2009


At
30 June

2008


At 
31 
December

2008

Adjusted net worth attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent


3,860


3,100


3,462

Equity


7,731


7,802


7,737

Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis:







Long Term Savings

7

(2,167)


(2,987)


(2,244)

Bermuda

7

(27)


11


(217)

Adjustment for market value of life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments held in life funds


235


230


173

Adjustment to remove perpetual preferred callable securities and accrued dividends


(688)


(688)


(688)

Adjustment to exclude acquisition goodwill from the covered business:







Long Term Savings

7

(1,224)


(1,268)


(1,299)

Value of in-force business


2,741


3,708


1,800

Present value of future profits


3,481


4,449


2,580

Additional time value of financial options and guarantees


(127)


(215)


(261)

Frictional costs


(199)


(190)


(148)

Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks


(414)


(336)


(371)








Group MCEV


6,601


6,808


5,262

Group MCEV value per share (pence)


125.1


129.1


99.7

Return on Group MCEV (RoEV) per annum


14.8%


14.6%


7.8%

Number of shares in issue at the end of the period less treasury shares - millions


5,277


5,275


5,277

The adjustments to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis reflect the difference between the net worth of each business on the statutory basis (as required by the local regulator) and their portion of the Group's consolidated equity shareholders' funds. In South Africa, these values exclude items that are eliminated or shown separately on consolidation (such as Nedbank, Mutual & Federal and intercompany loans). For some European territories the value excludes the write-off of deferred acquisition costs which remain part of adjusted net worth for MCEV purposes.

The RoEV is calculated as the adjusted operating Group MCEV earnings after tax and non-controlling interests of £468 million (year ended 31 December 2008: £575 million; six months ended 30 June 2008: £533 million) divided by the opening Group MCEV. The operating assumption changes of £26 million (year ended 31 December 2008: £(430) million; six months ended 30 June 2008: £20 million) and other operating variances of £128 million (year ended 31 December 2008: £55 million; six months ended 30 June 2008: £(38) million) are not annualised.







£m

Components of Adjusted Group Market Consistent Embedded Value (Group MCEV)

Notes

At
30 June

2009


At
30 June

2008


At
31 December

2008

Group MCEV


6,601


6,808


5,262

Pro forma adjustments to bring Group investments to market value







Adjustment to bring listed subsidiaries to market value


133


111


68

Nedbank


78


25


41

Mutual and Federal


55


86


27

Adjustment for value of own shares in ESOP schemes*


57


83


63

Adjustment for present value of Black Economic Empowerment scheme deferred consideration


194


158


169

Adjustment to bring external debt to market value


604


241


645

Adjusted Group MCEV

4(i)

7,589


7,401


6,207

Adjusted Group MCEV per share (pence)


143.8


140.3


117.6

Number of shares in issue at the end of the period less treasury shares - millions


5,277


5,275


5,277

*    Includes adjustment for value of excess own shares in employee share scheme trusts. The movement in value between 31 December 2008 and 30 June 2009 is due to a reduction in excess own shares following employee share grants in March 2009.



Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

1 Basis of preparation

The Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value methodology (referred to herein and in the supplementary statements on pages 83 to 120 as 'MCEV') adopts Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles (Copyright © Stichting CFO Forum Foundation 2008) issued in June 2008 by the CFO Forum ('the Principles') as the basis for the methodology used in preparing the supplementary information. The directors acknowledge their responsibility for the preparation of this supplementary information. The Principles have been fully complied with for all businesses for the six months ended 30 June 2009 and the position at that date, with the exception of the use of adjusted risk free reference rates due to current market conditions for US Life Onshore business ('US Life') and Old Mutual South Africa's (OMSA) Retail Affluent Immediate annuity business. From 31 December 2008 the Group has replaced the European Embedded Value ('EEV') basis with the MCEV basis for the covered business, with figures for the 6 months ended 30 June 2008 having been restated accordingly. 

The Principles were designed during a period of relatively stable market conditions and in turbulent markets their application could lead to misleading results. In December 2008 the CFO Forum announced that they are reviewing the Principles and guidance of the application of these Principles to address the notion of market consistency in the current dislocated market conditions. The particular areas under review include implied volatilities, the cost of residual non-hedgeable risks, the use of swap rates as a proxy for risk free reference rates and the effect of liquidity premiums. In respect of the 30 June 2009 disclosure, Old Mutual has made an adjustment to the risk free reference rates used in determining the value of the US Life business and OMSA's Retail Affluent Immediate annuity business, to take account of the liquidity component of corporate bond spreads that is evident in the market as at that date. The Directors consider this adjustment to be necessary so as to maintain consistency with current market prices and therefore to ensure a meaningful basis of reporting the value of the Group's life and related businesses. Hence, Old Mutual plc does not comply with Principle 14 and Guideline 14.4, in respect of the 30 June 2009 disclosure for the US Life business and OMSA's Retail Affluent Immediate annuity business, which does not allow any adjustments to be made to the swap yield curve to allow for liquidity premiums. This approach will be reviewed for use in future reporting periods once the CFO Forum has completed its own review on the application of Principle 14. The 30 June 2009 MCEV disclosure in respect of all other business complies fully with the Principles. 

This supplementary information provides details on the methodology, assumptions and results of the MCEV for the Old Mutual Group and includes conversion of comparative supplementary information for the 6 months ended 30 June 2008, previously prepared on the EEV basis, to an MCEV basis. Any changes in the methodology and assumptions made in presenting this supplementary information compared to those disclosed in the annual report and accounts 2008 are set out in notes 2 and 3. Further detailed commentary of the key changes from an EEV to MCEV methodology and the impact of the transition from EEV to MCEV reporting on results for the 6 months ended 30 June 2008 are provided in notes 12 to 18.

The segmental results for Europe include the Skandia Life companies in the United Kingdom, Nordic region, Europe and Latin America. The segmental results for OMSA include Namibia.

Throughout the supplementary information the following terminology is used to distinguish between the terms 'MCEV', 'Group MCEV' and 'adjusted Group MCEV':

     MCEV is a measure of the consolidated value of shareholders' interests in the covered business and consists of the sum of the shareholders' adjusted net worth in respect of the covered business and the value of the in-force covered business

     Group MCEV is a measure of the consolidated value of shareholders' interests in covered and non-covered business and therefore includes the value of all non-covered business at the unadjusted IFRS net asset value detailed in the primary financial statements

     The Adjusted Group MCEV, a measure used by the directors to assess the shareholders' interest in the value of the Group, includes the impact of marking all debt to market value, the market value of the Group's listed banking and general insurance subsidiaries as well as marking the value of deferred consideration due in respect of Black Economic Empowerment arrangements in South Africa ('the BEE schemes') to market.

  2 Methodology

Coverage

Following the sale by OMSA of the remaining stake in Nedlife to Nedbank, Nedlife is excluded from covered business from 2009 onwards although it is still included in comparative results for prior periods.

Required capital

The table below shows the level of required capital expressed as a percentage of the minimum local regulatory capital requirements.

£m


Total

OMSA

Europe 

US Life*

Bermuda*

30 June 2009






Required capital (a)

2,302

1,105

395

523

279

Regulatory capital (b)

1,293

850

233

210

-

Ratio (a/b)

1.8

1.3

1.7

2.5

n/a

30 June 2008






Required capital (a)

1,815

1,040

342

390

43

Regulatory capital (b)

1,139

765

215

159

-

Ratio (a/b)

1.6

1.4

1.6

2.5

n/a

31 December 2008






Required capital (a)

2,025

1,070

371

550

34

Regulatory capital (b)

1,259

819

229

211

-

Ratio (a/b)

1.6

1.3

1.6

2.6

n/a

*    The regulatory capital for US Life and Bermuda at 31 December 2008 has been restated from £245 million to £211 million.


Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

The cost of residual non-hedgeable risks ('CNHR') is derived by projecting the economic capital held in respect of these non-hedgeable risks into the future and calculating the present value after applying a cost of 2% to this capital, at a business unit level, without allowing for group diversification benefits. The economic capital projected is based on the figure determined for the prior 6 month period; thus the December 2008 CNHR is based on the June 2008 economic capital, which was calculated with reference to EEV. The June 2009 CNHR is based on the December 2008 economic capital, which was based on MCEV for the first time. This has led to a step change in the calculation for all business units. The impact of this step change varies across business units, being smallest in OMSA, and largest in the Skandia business units. To the extent that this change affected operating earnings, the impact is shown under 'other operating variance'.

The table below shows the amounts of diversified economic capital held in respect of residual non-hedgeable risks.

£m


Total

OMSA

Europe 

US Life*

Bermuda*

30 June 2009

2,569

503

1,007

549

510

30 June 2008

1,938

403

756

434

345

31 December 2008

2,207

457

720

513

517

*    The total capital held in respect of non-hedgeable risks for US Life and Bermuda at 31 December 2008 has been restated from £826 million to £1,030 million

In addition to the change in the underlying basis used for assessing Economic Capital from an EEV to MCEV basis, the increase in capital held in respect of residual non-hedgeable risks for Europe from £720 million at 31 December 2008 to £1,007 million at 30 June 2009 is largely caused by an increase in the economic capital held for persistency risk in light of the turbulent economic market conditions.

Taxation

The value of in-force business (VIF) in respect of Royal Skandia at 30 June 2009 assumes that all future profits will be taxed in the UK, currently at 28%, on payment of dividends to Skandia UK. The UK Finance Act 2009, which introduces an exemption from tax on qualifying dividends, was substantively enacted on the 8th July 2009. This will permit removal of the allowance for tax on dividends which is expected to increase the VIF by approximately £166m, in the second half of 2009.

New business and renewals

The market consistent value of new business (VNB) is calculated using economic assumptions at the start of the reporting period, except for OMSA's Non-Profit Annuities and Fixed Bond products where point of sale assumptions are used.

  3 Assumptions

Non-economic assumptions

The management expenses attributable to life assurance business have been analysed between expenses relating to the acquisition of new business, maintenance of in-force business (including investment management expenses) and development projects.

Unallocated Group holding company expenses have been included to the extent that they relate to the covered business. The future expenses attributable to life assurance business include 33 per cent of the Group holding company expenses, with 15 per cent allocated to Europe, 14 per cent allocated to OMSA, 4 per cent allocated to US Life and Bermuda (31 December 2008: 35 per cent of the Group holding company expenses, with 17 per cent allocated to Europe, 14 per cent allocated to OMSA, 4 per cent allocated to US Life and Bermuda; 30 June 2008: 36 per cent of the Group holding Company expenses, with 18 per cent allocated to Europe, 14 per cent allocated to OMSA, 4 per cent allocated to US Life and Bermuda ). The allocation of these expenses aligns to the proportion that the management expenses incurred by the business bears to the total management expenses incurred in the Group.

Legislative changes were introduced in Germany in 2008 specifying the proportion of miscellaneous profits to be shared with policyholders. According to the regulations, the revenue on in-force business can be reduced by various expense items, including those costs arising in respect of new business acquisition expenses in any year. From 31 December 2008 Skandia Leben in Germany performs modelling by setting best estimate assumptions for the amount to be shared with policyholders in future years after allowing for the acquisition expenses in relation to the new business expected to be written over the next three years

Economic assumptions

Risk free reference rates and inflation

Following a review of a wide range of market data and literature, such as the Barrie & Hibbert calibration of US corporate bond spreads at 30 June 2009, it is the directors' view that a significant proportion of corporate bond spreads is attributable to a liquidity premium rather than credit and default risk and that returns in excess of swap rates can be achieved, rather than entire corporate bond spreads being lost to worsening default experience. For the US Life business and OMSA's Retail Affluent Immediate annuity business we considered the currency, credit quality and duration of our actual corporate bond portfolio and derived adjusted risk free reference rates at 30 June 2009 by adding 175bps of liquidity premium to swap rates used for setting investment return and discounting assumptions for the US LIfe business (31 December 2008: 300bps; 30 June 2008: 125bps) and adding 50bps of liquidity premium to swap rates used for setting investment return and discounting assumptions for OMSA's Retail Affluent Immediate annuity business (31 December 2008 and 30 June 2008: zero allowance). These adjustments reflect the liquidity premium component in corporate bond spreads over swap rates that we expect to earn on our portfolio. We believe that the differences between market yields on our US Life and OMSA's Retail Affluent bond portfolios and the adjusted risk free reference rates still provide adequate implied margins for defaults. No liquidity adjustment is applied for other geographies.

When the liquidity premium adjustment was calibrated and introduced for US Life business at 31 December 2008, similar research was not yet concluded for South Africa to estimate the quantum of the liquidity premiums inherent in South African corporate bond spreads. In addition, the impact of a liquidity premium adjustment on US Life business was far more material than for OMSA's Retail Affluent Immediate annuity business as the concentration of investments in the corporate bond market is far greater and the widening of corporate bond spreads has been more pronounced in the US compared to other geographies. Hence the application of any liquidity premium adjustment was initially focussed on the US and such an adjustment is introduced for OMSA at 30 June 2009 to have consistency of methodology.


  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

The risk free reference spot yields (excluding any applicable liquidity adjustments) and expense inflation rates at various terms for each of the significant geographies are provided in the table below. The risk free reference spot yield curve has been derived from mid swap rates at the reporting date.


Risk free reference spot yields

1 year
%

5 years
%

10 years
%

20 years
%

30 June 2009





GBP

2.0

3.7

4.0

2.9

EUR

1.4

2.9

3.7

4.3

USD

0.9

2.9

3.7

4.1

ZAR

7.7

9.0

9.2

7.9

SEK

1.0

2.9

3.9

4.2

30 June 2008





GBP

6.3

6.1

5.7

5.2

EUR

5.3

5.1

5.0

5.1

USD

3.3

4.3

4.7

4.9

ZAR

13.4

12.5

11.6

10.4

SEK

5.5

5.5

5.3

5.1

31 December 2008





GBP

2.0

3.1

3.4

3.5

EUR

2.4

3.3

3.8

3.9

USD

1.3

2.1

2.6

2.8

ZAR

9.3

8.0

7.8

6.7

SEK

1.8

2.9

3.2

3.2



Expense inflation

1 year
%

5 years
%

10 years
%

20 years
%

30 June 2009





GBP

0.1

1.9

2.9

4.2

EUR

2.3-3.0

2.3-3.0

2.3-3.0

2.3-3.0

USD

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

ZAR

5.9

7.2

7.4

6.2

SEK

1.3

2.5

3.0

2.7

30 June 2008





GBP

4.9

4.7

4.7

5.1

EUR

2.5-3.5

2.5-3.5

2.5-3.5

2.5-3.5

USD

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

ZAR

9.3

10.0

9.5

8.6

SEK

3.7

3.5

3.5

3.5

31 December 2008





GBP

0.1

1.5

2.8

4.1

EUR

2.0-3.0

2.0-3.0

2.0-3.0

2.0-3.0

USD

3.0

3.0

3.0

3.0

ZAR

6.1

5.4

5.5

4.6

SEK

0.2

1.0

1.8

2.1






Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

3 Assumptions continued

Volatilities

The at-the-money annualised asset volatility assumptions of the asset classes incorporated in the stochastic models are detailed below. 


ZAR volatilities *

Option term

1 year
%

5 years
%

10 years
%

20 years
%

30 June 2009





1 year swap

18.6

18.5

18.0

16.4

5 year swap

17.3

17.6

17.3

15.7

10 year swap

16.6

17.3

16.7

15.1

20 year swap

16.8

17.3

16.1

14.0

Equity (total return index)

27.4

26.3

26.5

27.4

Property (total return index)

17.3

15.7

14.1

14.5

30 June 2008





1 year swap

15.1

14.2

13.8

13.5

5 year swap

15.1

14.1

13.7

13.3

10 year swap

15.2

14.1

13.5

13.1

20 year swap

15.5

14.1

13.3

12.6

Equity (total return index)

24.9

24.1

24.3

25.9

Property (total return index)

16.8

14.5

13.1

13.9

31 December 2008





1 year swap

30.8

35.1

32.9

25.4

5 year swap

32.9

33.6

30.2

22.5

10 year swap

30.8

30.3

25.9

18.7

20 year swap

26.9

25.1

19.8

13.9

Equity (total return index)

37.6

31.6

29.2

28.1

Property (total return index)

23.2

19.0

15.6

15.4

*    Due to limited liquidity in the ZAR swaption and equity option market, the market consistent asset model as at 31 December 2008 has been calibrated by extrapolating swaption and equity option implied volatility data beyond terms of 2 years and 3 years respectively.


  


USD volatilities

Option term

1 year
%

5 years
%

10 years
%

20 years
%

30 June 2009





1 year swap

61.3

27.8

20.8

16.1

5 year swap

41.9

26.5

19.6

15.6

10 year swap

37.8

25.0

19.3

15.0

20 year swap

33.0

22.4

16.9

13.7

30 June 2008





1 year swap

36.8

21.7

16.9

13.8

5 year swap

28.7

20.2

16.2

13.5

10 year swap

23.4

18.7

15.2

13.0

20 year swap

19.9

16.7

13.8

11.5

31 December 2008*





1 year swap

44.9

23.9

18.3

16.1

5 year swap

34.1

22.8

17.9

16.0

10 year swap

27.7

21.2

17.1

15.4

20 year swap

24.7

20.1

16.3

14.5

*    Due to limited liquidity in the USD swap market, the market consistent asset model as at 31 December 2008 has been calibrated by reference to volatility data as at 30 September 2008.

  



International equity volatilities 
(Old Mutual Bermuda)*

Option term

1 year
%

5 years
%

10 years
%

30 June 2009




SPX

26

27

22

RTY

33

39

29

TPX

29

27

29

HSCEI

39

34

38

TWY

31

30

29

KOSP12

27

27

28

NIFTY

32

27

30

SX5E

30

26

27

UKX

27

26

25

EEM

35

31

37

USAgg

5

5

5

EUAgg

12

12

12

APAgg

11

11

11

30 June 2008




SPX

26

27

22

RTY

33

39

29

TPX

29

27

29

HSCEI

39

34

38

TWSE

31

30

29

KOSP12

27

27

28

NIFTY

32

27

30

SX5E

30

26

27

UKX

27

26

25

31 December 2008




SPX

38

35

27

RTY

46

45

34

TPX

41

39

31

HSCEI

57

51

43

TWSE

36

34

30

KOSP12

42

43

36

NIFTY

39

33

31

SX5E

38

37

31

UKX

37

36

28

BCAI

4

4

4

    These volatilities refer to price indices. Due to ongoing enhancements in the fund mapping process, the indices referenced will vary from period to period.


  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

3 Assumptions continued

Tax

The effective tax rate for Europe was a range of 0 to 32 per cent (31 December 2008: 2 to 31 per cent; 30 June 2008: 3 to 30 per cent). 

The effective tax rate for OMSA (excluding Namibia) and Namibia were 31 and 0 per cent respectively (31 December 2008: 33 and 0 per cent respectively; 30 June 2008: 34 and 0 per cent respectively), except for the investment return on capital for which the attributed tax was derived from the primary accounts. 

For US Life the effective tax rate was 0 per cent (31 December 2008: 0 per cent; 30 June 2008: 0 per cent).

For Bermuda the effective tax rate was 0 per cent (31 December 2008: 1 per cent; 30 June 2008: 1 per cent).

4 (i) Adjusted Group Market Consistent Embedded Value presented per business line






£m


At

30 June
2009


At

30 June
2008


At 
31 December
2008

MCEV of the covered business

5,356


5,738


4,183

Adjusted net worth*

2,615


2,030


2,383

Value of in-force business**

2,741


3,708


1,800

Adjusted net worth of the asset management businesses

1,714


1,705


1,577

OMSA

199


233


292

Europe

200


175


98

US Asset Management

1,315


1,297


1,187

Value of the banking business

2,208


1,666


1,976

Europe (adjusted net worth)

259


231


285

Nedbank (market value)

1,949


1,435


1,691

Market value of the general insurance business

Mutual and Federal

272


268


219

Net other business (including Asia Pacific)

(237)


14


(161)

Adjustment for present value of Black Economic Empowerment scheme deferred consideration

194


158


169

Adjustment for value of own shares in ESOP schemes*** 

57


83


63

Perpetual preferred securities (US$ denominated)

(292)


(350)


(203)

Perpetual preferred callable securities

(273)


(585)


(304)

GBP denominated

(125)


(275)


(174)

Euro denominated

(148)


(310)


(130)

Debt

(1,410)


(1,296)


(1,312)

Rand denominated

(213)


(163)


(213)

USD denominated

(248)


(482)


(537)

GBP denominated

(653)


(323)


(191)

SEK denominated

(190)


(328)


(252)

Euro denominated

(106)


-


(119)

Adjusted Group MCEV

7,589


7,401


6,207

*    Adjusted net worth is after the elimination of inter-company loans.

**    Net of non-controlling interests.

***    Includes adjustment for value of excess own shares in employee share scheme trusts. The movement in value between 31 December 2008 and 30 June 2009 is due to a reduction in excess own shares following employee share grants in March 2009.


  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

4 (ii) Adjusted operating MCEV earnings for the covered business

£m


Six months
ended 30 June 2009


6 months
ended 30 June 2008


Year ended 
31 December
2008

Adjusted operating MCEV earnings before tax for the covered business*

573


499


324

OMSA

151


237


463

Europe 

40


381


505

US Life

297


(6)


(388)

Bermuda

85


(113)


(256)

Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings for the covered business

107


142


191

OMSA

41


61


116

Europe 

-


90


117

US Life

38


- 


(24)

Bermuda

28


(9)


(18)

Adjusted operating MCEV earnings after tax for the covered business

466


357


133

OMSA

110


176


347

Europe 

40


291


388

US Life

259


(6)


(364)

Bermuda

57


(104)


(238)

Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings comprises






Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings for the covered business

(107)


(142)


(191)

Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings for other business

(76)


(85)


56

Tax on adjusted operating MCEV earnings

(183)


(227)


(135)

*    Adjusted operating MCEV earnings before tax are derived by grossing up each of the components of the earnings after tax at the expected tax rates.


  4 (iii) Components of Market Consistent Embedded Value of the covered business






£m


At
30 June
2009


At

30 June
2008


At

31 December
2008

MCEV of the covered business

5,356


5,738


4,183

Adjusted net worth

2,615


2,030


2,383

Value of in-force business

2,741


3,708


1,800

OMSA

Adjusted net worth*

1,160


1,201


975

Free surplus

55


161


(95)

Required capital

1,105


1,040


1,070

Value of in-force business

1,050


967


1,088

Present value of future profits

1,298


1,156


1,285

Additional time value of financial options and guarantees

-


-


-

Frictional costs** 

(156)


(125)


(117)

Cost of non-hedgeable risks

(92)


(64)


(80)

Europe 

Adjusted net worth

626


492


567

Free surplus

231


150


196

Required capital

395


342


371

Value of in-force business

2,720


2,778


2,862

Present value of future profits

2,939


2,951


3,041

Additional time value of financial options and guarantees

(6)


(2)


(13)

Frictional costs 

(35)


(31)


(28)

Cost of non-hedgeable risks

(178)


(140)


(138)

US Life

Adjusted net worth

550


397 


465

Free surplus

27



(85)

Required capital

523


390 


550

Value of in-force business

(846)


(41)


(1,725)

Present value of future profits

(664)


261


(1,448)

Additional time value of financial options and guarantees

(106)


(204)


(192)

Frictional costs*** 

(3)


(31)


(2)

Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(73)


(67)


(83)

Bermuda

Adjusted net worth

279


(60)


376

Free surplus

-


(103)


342

Required capital

279


43


34

Value of in-force business

(183)


4


(425)

Present value of future profits

(92)


81


(298)

Additional time value of financial options and guarantees

(15)


(9)


(57)

Frictional costs*** 

(5)


(3)


(1) 

Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(71)


(65)


(69)

*    The required capital in respect of OMSA is partially covered by the market value of the Group's investments in banking and general insurance in South Africa. On consolidation these investments are shown separately.

**    For the OMSA business there has been a material change in the asset allocation of assets backing required capital from 31 December 2008 to 30 June 2009. As at 30 June 2009 the asset allocation is 75% cash/25% equity compared to 60% cash/40% equity at 31 December 2008. This resulted in an increase in frictional tax costs as interest bearing assets are subjected to higher tax rates than equities.

***    For US Life and Bermuda, the decrease in frictional costs from 30 June 2008 to 31 December 2008 reflects the changed tax position of the business between these two reporting dates on a market consistent basis. The fact that there are greater losses projected on an MCEV basis at 31 December 2008 compared to 30 June 2008 (mainly due to lower risk free reference rates) means that future income on the capital required to back the business is to a large extent not subject to tax as such future income can be offset against current projected losses.


  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

4 (iv) Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax)

£m

Total covered business

6 months ended 30 June 2009 

Free surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Opening MCEV 

358

2,025

2,383

1,800

4,183

New business value

(254)

80

(174)

244

70

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

6

55

61

58

119

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

4

2

6

199

205

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

379

(90)

289

(289)

-

Experience variances

(11)

5

(6)

(76)

(82)

Assumption changes 

2

-

2

24

26

Other operating variance

(217)

240

23

105

128

Operating MCEV earnings

(91)

292

201

265

466

Economic variances

(91)

32

(59)

632

573

Other non-operating variance

24

(6)

18

(1)

17

Total MCEV earnings

(158)

318

160

896

1,056

Closing adjustments

113

(41)

72

45

117

Capital and dividend flows

110

-

110

-

110

Foreign exchange variance

(21)

(36)

(57)

70

13

MCEV of acquired/sold business

24

(5)

19

(25)

(6)

Closing MCEV

313

2,302

2,615

2,741

5,356

Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum





18.6%


Return on MCEV for total covered business is calculated as the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in Sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.

  



£m

6 months ended 30 June 2008

Year ended 31 December 2008

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force

MCEV

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

515

1,906

2,421

3,928

6,349

515

1,906

2,421

3,928

6,349

(290)

92

(198)

282

84

(608)

172

(436)

540

104

33

54

87

155

242

63

117

180

289

469

2

7

9

44

53

4

15

19

81

100

475

(92)

383

(383)

-

939

(189)

750

(750)

-

(56)

(8)

(64)

60

(4)

160

(75)

85

(250)

(165)

(52)

-

(52)

72

20

(55)

-

(55)

(375)

(430)

(5)

7

2

(40)

(38)

172

(156)

16

39

55

107

60

167

190

357

675

(116)

559

(426)

133

49

(16)

33

(383)

(350)

(722)

5

(717)

(1,485)

(2,202)

1

3

4

19

23

(111)

43

(68)

-

(68)

157

47

204

(174)

30

(158)

(68)

(226)

(1,911)

(2,137)

(457)

(138)

(595)

(46)

(641)

1

187

188

(217)

(29)

(428)

-

(428)

(2)

(430)

(22)

-

(22)

-

(22)

(29)

(138)

(167)

(44)

(211)

23

187

210

(217)

(7)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

215

1,815

2,030

3,708

5,738

358

2,025

2,383

1,800

4,183





11.5%





2.1%


  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

4 (iv) Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

£m

OMSA covered business

6 months ended 30 June 2009

Free surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Opening MCEV

(95)

1,070

975

1,088

2,063

New business value

(50)

40

(10)

34

24

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

(3)

39

36

61

97

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) 

-

2

2

7

9

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

151

(70)

81

(81)

-

Experience variances

(1)

(15)

(16)

(23)

(39)

Assumption changes 

2

-

2

(1)

1

Other operating variance

57

(35)

22

(4)

18

Operating MCEV earnings

156

(39)

117

(7)

110

Economic variances

14

1

15

(81)

(66)

Other non-operating variance

-

-

-

-

-

Total MCEV earnings

170

(38)

132

(88)

44

Closing adjustments

(20)

73

53

50

103

Capital and dividend flows

(50)

-

(50)

-

(50)

Foreign exchange variance

6

78

84

75

159

MCEV of acquired/sold business

24

(5)

19

(25)

(6)

Closing MCEV

55

1,105

1,160

1,050

2,210

Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum





9.8%

*    The MCEV for OMSA is presented after the adjustment for market value of life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments


The segment results of OMSA include both the life companies in South Africa and Namibia.

The negative experience variances were caused mainly by adverse persistency experience, adverse Group assurance claims experience and development project costs, which were partially offset by favourable Retail mortality and longevity experience.

There were no material operating assumption changes.

The other operating variances mainly relate to management actions (including a reduction of future cover increase on certain risk products in the Retail Mass segment to achieve better alignment between the cost of providing benefits and the value of the corresponding premium increase, offset by changing the shareholder asset allocation from 60% cash/40% equity to 75% cash/25% equity which resulted in an increase in frictional tax costs as interest bearing assets are subjected to higher tax rates than equities) and various methodology changes and error corrections.

The negative economic variances were caused mainly by economic assumption changes (mainly an increase in medium to long term swap yields and a decrease in volatilities) and the investment return on policyholder funds being less than assumed, partially offset by the investment return earned on shareholder funds being greater than assumed and the introduction of a liquidity premium for Retail Affluent annuity business.

The capital and dividend flows mainly consist of dividends paid offset by inter-company dividends received and the disposal of Nedlife. 

Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in Rand. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.


  


4 (iv) Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

£m

6 months ended 30 June 2008

Year ended 31 December 2008

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

309

1,159

1,468

1,202

2,670

309

1,159

1,468

1,202

2,670

(44)

32

(12)

34

22

(84)

72

(12)

73

61

15

50

65

74

139

27

101

128

148

276

2

7

9

5

14

4

14

18

13

31

147

(66)

81

(81)

-

296

(134)

162

(162)

-

10

-

10

(10)

-

16

(19)

(3)

(18)

(21)

3

-

3

-

3

22

-

22

(19)

3

2

-

2

(4)

(2)

160

(156)

4

(7)

(3)

135

23

158

18

176

441

(122)

319

28

347

103

1

104

(121)

(17)

(154)

51

(103)

(139)

(242)

(3)

3

-

19

19

-

-

-

18

18

235

27

262

(84)

178

287

(71)

216

(93)

123

(383)

(146)

(529)

(151)

(680)

(691)

(18)

(709)

(21)

(730)

(348)

-

(348)

-

(348)

(647)

-

(647)

-

(647)

(35)

(146)

(181)

(151)

(332)

(44)

(18)

(62)

(21)

(83)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

161

1,040

1,201

967

2,168

(95)

1,070

975

1,088

2,063





14.6%





14.6%



  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

4 (iv) Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

£m

Europe covered business

6 months ended 30 June 2009

Free surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Opening MCEV

196

371

567

2,862

3,429

New business value

(170)

7

(163)

202

39

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

7

5

12

31

43

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) 

-

-

-

21

21

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

209

11

220

(220)

-

Experience variances

7

(5)

2

(42)

(40)

Assumption changes 

-

-

-

12

12

Other operating variance

1

-

1

(36)

(35)

Operating MCEV earnings

54

18

72

(32)

40

Economic variances

(34)

31

(3)

52

49

Other non-operating variance

24

(6)

18

(1)

17

Total MCEV earnings

44

43

87

19

106

Closing adjustments

(9)

(19)

(28)

(161)

(189)

Capital and dividend flows

8

-

8

-

8

Foreign exchange variance

(17)

(19)

(36)

(161)

(197)

Closing MCEV

231

395

626

2,720

3,346

Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum





3.0%


The segmental results of Europe include Skandia Life companies in the United Kingdom, Nordic region, Europe and Latin America.

The 'expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)' is not significant. This is reasonable for business comprised mostly of unit-linked products where most of the profits emanate from premium charges, acquisition charges and fund based fees. Such fees and charges are largely captured in the 'expected existing business contribution (reference rate)'.

The experience variances were largely caused by adverse persistency experience. 

The operating assumption changes reflect increased recognition of fee income in the United Kingdom and in the Nordic region. 

The other operating variances mainly reflect the impact of modelling and methodology changes which have increased the amount of capital allocated to non-hedgeable risks.

The economic variances are mainly due to the positive effect of market movements on funds under management in the Nordic region and continental Europe. This has been partially offset by the adverse exchange rate movements resulting in poor fund returns for UK business sold internationally.

The other non-operating variance mainly results from a release of reserves following the legal resolution of various legacy issues in the Nordic region.

The capital and dividend flows mainly represent dividends, repayment of loans and capital injections.

Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in Sterling. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.




  


4 (iv) Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

£m

6 months ended 30 June 2008

Year ended 31 December 2008

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

125

323

448

2,769

3,217

125

323

448

2,769

3,217

(189)

9

(180)

250

70

(347)

7

(340)

449

109

17

(2)

15

76

91

34

4

38

131

169

-

-

-

29

29

-

-

-

48

48

254

(2)

252

(252)

-

515

(14)

501

(501)

-

7

15

22

3

25

31

2

33

(26)

7

-

-

-

77

77

(3)

-

(3)

69

66

(7)

7

-

(1)

(1)

12

-

12

(23)

(11)

82

27

109

182

291

242

(1)

241

147

388

14

(17)

(3)

(278)

(281)

(39)

(46)

(85)

(299)

(384)

4

-

4

-

4

(111)

43

(68)

(18)

(86)

100

10

110

(96)

14

92

(4)

88

(170)

(82)

(75)

9

(66)

105

39

(21)

52

31

263

294

(80)

-

(80)

(2)

(82)

(26)

-

(26)

-

(26)

5

9

14

107

121

5

52

57

263

320

150

342

492

2,778

3,270

196

371

567

2,862

3,429





15.7%





12.1%





  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

4 (iv) Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

£m

US Life covered business

6 months ended 30 June 2009

Free surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Opening MCEV

(85)

550

465

(1,725)

(1,260)

New business value

(34)

33

(1)

8

7

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

(1)

11

10

(31)

(21)

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) 

4

-

4

150

154

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

25

(29)

(4)

4

-

Experience variances

8

25

33

(3)

30

Assumption changes 

-

-

-

13

13

Other operating variance

-

-

-

76

76

Operating MCEV earnings

2

40

42

217

259

Economic variances

(41)

-

(41)

534

493

Other non-operating variance

-

-

-

-

-

Total MCEV earnings

(39)

40

1

751

752

Closing adjustments

151

(67)

84

128

212

Capital and dividend flows

152

-

152

-

152

Foreign exchange variance

(1)

(67)

(68)

128

60

Closing MCEV

27

523

550

(846)

(296)

Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum





34.9%


The segment results of US Life include allowance for Old Mutual Reassurance (Ireland) Limited (OMRe), which provides reinsurance to the United States Life Companies.

The operating MCEV earnings were largely as a result of the expected existing business contribution (in excess reference rate). i.e. by the corporate bond spread that we expected to earn over and above the adjusted risk-free reference rate (inclusive of the liquidity premium adjustment).

The experience variances were largely caused by positive mortality variance and expense variance, partially offset by negative persistency experience.

The only operating assumption change was in respect of mortality assumptions on the Single Premium Immediate Annuity (SPIA) business, which were lightened slightly to align with IFRS assumptions.

The other operating variances include an amendment in the calculation of the time value of financial options and guarantees and changes to the methodology for calculating the non-hedgeable risk capital.

The economic variances were largely driven by the recovery in equity markets during the period and the increase in the US swap yield curve.

There were no other non-operating variances. 

The capital and dividend flows were due to a capital injection made in February of this year.

Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in US Dollar. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.


  



£m

6 months ended 30 June 2008

Year ended 31 December 2008

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

60

391

451

(102)

349

60

391

451

(102)

349

(32)

17

(15)

10

(5)

(136)

83

(53)

41

(12)

1

6

7

2

9

1

11

12

2

14

-

-

-

4

4

-

1

1

9

10

64

(23)

41

(41)

-

106

(39)

67

(67)

-

(57)

1

(56)

42

(14)

115

(41)

74

(233)

(159)

-

-

-

-

-

(6)

-

(6)

(328)

(334)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

117

117

(24)

1

(23)

17

(6)

80

15

95

(459)

(364)

(29)


(29)

44

15

(267)

-

(267)

(789)

(1,056)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(53)

1

(52)

61

9

(187)

15

(172)

(1,248)

(1,420)

-

(2)

(2)


(2)

42

144

186

(375)

(189)

-

-

-

-

-

55

-

55

-

55

-

(2)

(2)

-

(2)

(13)

144

131

(375)

(244)

7

390

397

(41)

356

(85)

550

465

(1,725)

(1,260)





(2.9)%





(97.6)%


  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

4 (iv) Analysis of covered business MCEV earnings (after tax) continued

£m

Bermuda covered business 

6 months ended 30 June 2009


Free surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Opening MCEV

342

34

376

(425)

(49)

New business value

-

-

-

-

-

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

3

-

3

(3)

-

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) 

-

-

-

21

21

Transfers from VIF and required capital to free surplus

(6)

(2)

(8)

8

-

Experience variances

(25)

-

(25)

(8)

(33)

Assumption changes 

-

-

-

-

-

Other operating variance

(275)

275

-

69

69

Operating MCEV earnings

(303)

273

(30)

87

57

Economic variances

(30)

-

(30)

127

97

Other non-operating variance

-

-

-

-

-

Total MCEV earnings

(333)

273

(60)

214

154

Closing adjustments

(9)

(28)

(37)

28

(9)

Capital and dividend flows

-

-

-

-

-

Foreign exchange variance

(9)

(28)

(37)

28

(9)

Closing MCEV

-

279

279

(183)

96

Return on MCEV (RoEV) % per annum





92.8%


The segment results of Bermuda include allowance for Old Mutual Reassurance (Ireland) Limited (OMRe), which provides reinsurance to Old Mutual (Bermuda) Limited.

The experience variances were largely caused by adverse persistency experience, and increase in the cost of non-hedgeable risks and a negative expense variance, partially offset by a reduction in the time value of financial options and guarantees.

There were no operating assumption changes.

The other operating variance includes a positive variance due to an amendment of a DAC write-down made in the previous reporting period, an amendment in the calculation of the time value of financial options and guarantees and changes to the methodology for calculation the non-hedgeable risk capital. 

The economic variances were largely driven by the recovery in equity markets during the period and the increase in the US swap yield curve.

There were no other non-operating variances.

There were no capital and dividend flows.

Return on MCEV is the operating MCEV earnings after tax divided by opening MCEV in US Dollar. The operating assumption changes and other operating variances are not annualised.


  



£m

6 months ended 30 June 2008

Year ended 31 December 2008

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

Free
surplus

Required

capital

Adjusted

net worth

Value of

in-force 

MCEV

21

33

54

59

113

21

33

54

59

113

(25)

34

9

(12)

(3)

(41)

10

(31)

(23)

(54)

-

-

-

3

3

1

1

2

8

10

-

-

-

6

6

-

-

-

11

11

10

(1)

9

(9)

-

22

(2)

20

(20)

-

(16)

(24)

(40)

25

(15)

(2)

(17)

(19)

27

8

(55)

-

(55)

(5)

(60)

(68)

-

(68)

(97)

(165)

-

-

-

(35)

(35)

-

-

-

(48)

(48)

(86)

9

(77)

(27)

(104)

(88)

(8)

(96)

(142)

(238)

(39)

-

(39)

(28)

(67)

(262)

-

(262)

(258)

(520)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(125)

9

(116)

(55)

(171)

(350)

(8)

(358)

(400)

(758)

1

1

2

-

2

671

9

680

(84)

596

-

-

-

-

-

596

-

596

-

596

1

1

2

-

2

75

9

84

(84)

-

(103)

43

(60)

4

(56)

342

34

376

(425)

(49)





(97.5)%





(195.3)%





  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

5 Adjustments applied in determining total Group MCEV earnings before tax 

£m


6 months ended 30 June 2009

6 months ended 30 June 2008

Analysis of adjusting items

Covered business 

MCEV

Non-covered business IFRS

Total
Group MCEV

Covered business MCEV

Non-covered business IFRS

Total
Group

MCEV

Income/(expense)







Goodwill impairment and amortisation of non-covered business acquired intangible assets and impact of acquisition accounting

-

(6)

(6)

-

(5)

(5)

Economic variances

538

(12)

526

(492)

(6)

(498)

Other non-operating variances

16

-

16

31

-

31

Acquired/divested business

-

(41)

(41)


62

62

Closure of unclaimed share trust

-

-

-

-

-

-

Dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities

-

22

22

-

22

22

Adjusting items relating to US Asset Management equity plans and non controlling holders

-

1

1

-

5

5

Fair value gains on Group debt instruments

-

12

12

-

40

40

Adjusting items

554

(24)

530

(461)

118

(343)



Year ended 31 December 2008

Analysis of adjusting items

Covered business 

MCEV

Non-covered business
IFRS

Total Group
MCEV

Income/(expense)




Goodwill impairment and amortisation of non-covered business acquired intangible assets and impact of acquisition accounting

-

(12)

(12)

Economic variances

(2,480)

(72)

(2,552)

Other non-operating variances

(79)

-

(79)

Acquired/divested business

-

53

53

Closure of unclaimed share trust

-

-

-

Dividends declared to holders of perpetual preferred callable securities

-

43

43

Adjusting items relating to US Asset Management equity plans and non controlling holders

-

7

7

Fair value gains on Group debt instruments

-

503

503

Adjusting items

(2,559)

522

(2,037)




  6 Other movements in net equity impacting Group MCEV

£m


6 months ended 30 June 2009

6 months ended 30 June 2008


Covered business MCEV

Non-covered business IFRS

Total
Group

MCEV

Covered business MCEV

Non-covered business IFRS

Total
Group

MCEV

Fair value gains/(losses)

-

(2)

(2)

-

(2)

(2)

Net investment hedge

-

2

2

-

(5)

(5)

Currency translation differences/exchange differences on translating foreign operations

13

22

35

(211)

(207)

(418)

Aggregate tax effects of items taken directly to or transferred from equity

-

1

1

-

6

6

Correction in transfers to the covered business* 

-

316

316

-

-

-

Other movements

-

(47)

(47)

-

(49)

(49)

Net income recognised directly into equity

13

292

305

(211)

(257)

(468)

Dividend for the year

104

(126)

(22)

(430)

181

(249)

Share buy back

-

-

-

-

(174)

(174)

Net issues of ordinary share capital by the Company

-

-

-

-

4

4

Exercise of share options

-

-

-

-

3

3

Fair value of equity settled share options

-

9

9

-

17

17

Other movements in net equity

117

175

292

(641)

(226)

(867)

*    Amendment arising from allocation of assets between covered and non-covered business at December 2008.



Year ended 31 December 2008


Covered business MCEV

Non-covered business IFRS

Total
Group

MCEV

Fair value gains/(losses)

-

-

-

Net investment hedge

-

(281)

(281)

Currency translation differences/exchange differences on translating foreign operations

(7)

59

52

Aggregate tax effects of items taken directly to or transferred from equity

-

(1)

(1)

Other movements

-

(49)

(49)

Net income recognised directly into equity

(7)

(272)

(279)

Dividend for the year

(22)

(373)

(395)

Share buy back

-

(175)

(175)

Net issues of ordinary share capital by the Company

-

5

5

Exercise of share options

-

5

5

Fair value of equity settled share options

-

26

26

Other movements in net equity

(29)

(784)

(813)




  7 Reconciliation of MCEV adjusted net worth to IFRS net asset value for the covered business

The table below provides a reconciliation of the MCEV adjusted net worth (ANW) to the IFRS net asset value (NAV) for the covered business. 

£m


At 30 June 2009

Total

OMSA

Europe

US Life

Bermuda

IFRS net asset value*

5,728

707

4,293

422

306

Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis

(2,194)

148

(2,443)

128

(27)

Adjustment for market value of life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments

305

305

-

-

-

Adjustments to exclude acquisition of goodwill from the covered business

(1,224)

-

(1,224)

-

-

MCEV adjusted net worth

2,615

1,160

626

550

279


£m


At 30 June 2008

Total

OMSA

Europe

US Life

Bermuda

IFRS net asset value*

5,995

785

4,287

994

(71)

Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis

(2,976)

137

(2,584)

(540)

11

Adjustment for market value of life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments

279

279

-

-

-

Adjustments to exclude acquisition of goodwill from the covered business

(1,268)

-

(1,211)

(57)

-

MCEV adjusted net worth

2,030

1,201

492

397

(60)


£m


At 31 December 2008

Total

OMSA

Europe

US Life

Bermuda

IFRS net asset value*

5,907

602

4,615

97

593

Adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis

(2,461)

137

(2,749)

368

(217)

Adjustment for market value of life funds' investments in Group equity and debt instruments

236 

236 

­-

- 

-

Adjustments to exclude acquisition of goodwill from the covered business

(1,299)

-

(1,299)

-

-

MCEV adjusted net worth

2,383

975

567

465

376

*    IFRS net asset value is after elimination of inter-company loans.


The adjustment to include long-term business on a statutory solvency basis includes the following:

     The excess of the IFRS amount of the deferred acquisition cost (DAC) and value of business acquired (VOBA) assets over the statutory levels included in the VIF

     When projecting future profits on a statutory basis, the VIF includes the shareholders' value of unrealised capital gains. To the extent that assets in IFRS are valued at market and the market value is higher than the statutory book value, these profits have already been taken into account in the IFRS equity.


  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

8 Value of new business (after tax)

The tables below set out the geographic analysis of the value of new business (VNB) after tax. New business profitability is measured by both the ratio of the VNB to the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) as well as to the annual premium equivalent (APE), and shown under PVNBP margin and APE margin below. APE is calculated as recurring premiums plus 10 per cent of single premiums.

As mentioned earlier for the OMSA business, Nedlife is now excluded from covered business. A similar consideration applies to VNB and other new business measures such as PVNBP and APE in order to provide a better indication of future expected 'normalised' earnings. However note that in the tables below Nedlife is still incorporated in the comparative results for the 6 months ended 2008 and the year ended 31 December 2008.




£m


6 months
ended 30 June 2009

6 months
ended 30 June 2008

Year ended

31 December
2008

Annualised recurring premiums




OMSA

104

104

223

Europe

233

248

476

US Life

9

18

33

Bermuda

-

-

-


346

370

732

Single premiums




OMSA 

558

592

1,299

Europe

2,030

2,808

5,001

US Life

287

449

1,027

Bermuda

15

1,127

1,448


2,890

4,976

8,775

PVNBP




OMSA 

1,213

1,185

2,437

Europe

3,111

3,962

7,131

US Life

348

545

1,246

Bermuda

15

1,126

1,448


4,687

6,818

12,262

PVNBP capitalisation factors*




OMSA 

6.3

5.7

5.1

Europe

4.6

4.7

4.5

US Life

6.5

5.4

6.7

Bermuda

-

n/a

n/a





APE 




OMSA 

160

163

353

Europe

436

529

977

US Life

38

63

136

Bermuda

2

113

145


636

868

1,611

VNB 




OMSA**

24

22

61

Europe

39

70

109

US Life

7

(5)

(12)

Bermuda

-

(3)

(54)


70

84

104

  8 Value of new business (after tax) continued



months
ended 30 June 2009

6 months
ended 30 June 2008

Year ended

31 December
2008

PVNBP margin*** 




OMSA 

2.0%

1.9%

2.5%

Europe

1.3%

1.8%

1.5%

US Life

2.1%

(0.9)%

(0.9)%


1.5%

1.2%

0.8%

APE margin****




OMSA 

15%

14%

17%

Europe

9%

13%

11%

US Life

19%

(8)%

(8)%


11%

10%

6%

*    The PVNBP capitalisation factors are calculated as follows: (PVNBP - single premiums)/annualised recurring premiums.

**    The comparative results excluding Nedlife are £17m for the 6 months ended 2008 and £52m the year ended 31 December 2008.

***    The comparative results excluding Nedlife are 1.6% for the 6 months ended 2008 and 2.3% the year ended 31 December 2008.

****    The comparative results excluding Nedlife are 13% for the 6 months ended 2008 and 16% the year ended 31 December 2008.


The value of new individual unit trust linked retirement annuities and pension fund asset management business written by the OMSA long-term business, which amounted to £172 million in the 6 months ended 30 June 2009 (year ended 31 December 2008: £458 million; 6 months ended 30 June 2008: £145 million), is excluded as the profits on this business arise in the asset management business. The value of new business also excludes premium increases arising from indexation arrangements in respect of existing business, as these are already included in the value of in-force business.

The value of new institutional investment platform pensions business written in the United Kingdom, the gross premium of which amounted to £83 million for the 6 months ended 30 June 2009 (year ended 31 December 2008: £239 million; 6 months ended 30 June 2008: £155 million), is excluded as this is more appropriately classified as mutual fund business.



Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

9 Product analysis of new covered business premiums










£m

OMSA

6 months ended 30 June 2009


6 months ended 30 June 2008


Year ended 31 December 2008

Recurring

Single


Recurring

Single


Recurring

Single

Total business

104

558


104

592


223

1,299

Individual business

92

278


96

333


209

622

Savings

22

204


24

254


51

477

Protection

23

-


33

2


68

-

Annuity

-

73


-

76


-

144

Retail mass market

47

1


39

1


90

1

Group business

12

280


8

259


14

677

Savings

5

236


3

205


6

444

Protection

7

-


5

1


8

1

Annuity

-

44


-

53


-

232


Europe








£m

6 months ended 30 June 2009


6 months ended 30 June 2008


Year ended31 December 2008

Recurring

Single


Recurring

Single


Recurring

Single

Total business

233

2,030


248

2,808


476

5,001

Unit-linked assurance

231

1,927


246

2,807


470

4,723

Life

2

103


2

1


6

278










£m

US Life

6 months ended 30 June 2009


6 months ended 30 June 2008


Year ended31 December 2008

Recurring

Single


Recurring

Single


Recurring

Single

Total business

9

287


18

449


33

1,027

Fixed deferred annuity

-

27


-

38


-

228

Fixed indexed annuity

-

184


-

336


-

611

Variable annuity

-

1


-

2


-

6

Life

9

16


18

8


33

43

Immediate annuity

-

59


-

65


-

139



  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

10 Drivers of new business value*


Total covered business**

Year ended 30 June 2009

Year ended 31 December 2008

PVNBP

Margin 
%


APE Margin 
%

PVNBP

Margin 
%


APE Margin 
%

Margin at the end of comparative period

1.2

9.9

1.7

13.5

Change in volume

0.2

(1.0)

0.1

0.2

Change in product mix

-

(0.8)

(0.2)

(1.8)

Change in country mix

-

-

-

-

Change in operating assumptions

0.2

1.3

(0.3)

(2.7)

Change in economic assumptions

0.1

1.8

(0.3)

(2.6)

Exchange rate movements

(0.2)

(0.1)

(0.2)

(0.5)

Margin at the end of the period

1.5

11.1

0.8

6.1

OMSA***





Margin at the end of comparative period 

1.6

13.5

2.4

16.8

Change in volume

0.2

(0.4)

0.2

1.7

Change in product mix

(0.3)

(1.3)

(0.1)

(0.6)

Change in country mix

-

-

-

-

Change in operating assumptions

0.5

3.3

0.1

0.4

Change in economic assumptions

-

(0.2)

(0.1)

(1.0)

Margin at the end of the period

2.0

14.9

2.5

17.3

Europe***





Margin at the end of comparative period 

1.8

13.3

1.7

13.7

Change in volume

(0.5)

(5.0)

-

(1.0)

Change in product mix

(0.1)

(0.7)

-

(0.2)

Change in country mix

-

-

-

-

Change in operating assumptions

0.1

0.7

(0.1)

(1.0)

Change in economic assumptions

-

0.8

(0.1)

(0.3)

Margin at the end of the period

1.3

9.1

1.5

11.2

US Life***





Margin at the end of comparative period 

(0.9)

(7.9)

(0.5)

(4.2)

Change in volume

-

-

-

-

Change in product mix

2.0

17.7

(0.4)

(3.8)

Change in country mix

-

-

-

-

Change in operating assumptions

-

-

1.9

17.4

Change in economic assumptions

1.0

9.3

(1.9)

(17.8)

Margin at the end of the period

2.1

19.1

(0.9)

(8.4)

*    Prior year MCEV comparatives of drivers of new business value for 30 June 2008 are not available.

**    The PVNBP and APE per cent margin changes are calculated in Sterling.

***    The PVNBP and APE per cent margin changes are calculated in local currency, and exclude Nedlife for the comparative six months ending 30 June 2008.

11 Sensitivity tests

The tables below show the sensitivity of the MCEV, value of in-force business at 30 June 2009 and the value of new business for the 6 months ended 30 June 2009 to changes in key assumptions. 

For each sensitivity illustrated all other assumptions have been left unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised conditions. Sensitivity scenarios therefore include consistent changes in cash flows directly affected by the changed assumption(s), for example future bonus participation in changed economic scenarios.


£m


30 June 2009

Total covered business

MCEV 

Value of in-force business

Value of new business

Central assumptions

5,356

2,741

70

Effect of:




Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

5,116

2,511

73

Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

5,553

2,928

66



£m


30 June 2009

OMSA

MCEV

Value of in-force business

Value of new business

Central assumptions

2,210

1,050

24

Effect of:




Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

2,173

1,012

23

Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

2,241

1,083

23

Recognising the present value of an additional 50 per cent of liquidity spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the liabilities with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

2,227

1,067

25



£m


30 June 2009

Europe

MCEV 

Value of in-force business

Value of new business

Central assumptions

3,346

2,720

39

Effect of:




Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

3,255

2,641

38

Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

3,434

2,797

42



£m


30 June 2009

US Life

MCEV

Value of in-force business

Value of new business

Central assumptions

(296)

(846)

7

Effect of:




Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

(419)

(970)

12

Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

(208)

(759)

1

Recognising the present value of an additional 50 per cent of liquidity spreads assumed on corporate bonds over the lifetime of the liabilities with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

71

(479)

17




£m


30 June 2009

Bermuda

MCEV

Value of in-force business

Value of new business

Central assumptions

96

(183)

-

Effect of:




Increasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

107

(172)

-

Decreasing all pre-tax investment and economic assumptions by 1 per cent, with credited rates and discount rates changing commensurately

86

(193)

-





Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

12 Key changes in MCEV methodology and assumptions

A summary of the key changes arising in the move from the EEV to MCEV reporting framework was set out in the annual report and accounts 2008.

13 Restatement of adjusted Group Embedded Value per share 

The table below provides a restatement of the adjusted Group Embedded Value per share as at 30 June 2008 from an EEV to MCEV basis.


At 30 June 2008

Previously published adjusted Group EEV per share

143.2p

Change in Embedded Value of covered business as a consequence of the move to MCEV

(7.8)p

Adjustment to bring long-term business on a statutory solvency basis

(0.1)p

Marking the present value of future BEE scheme deferred consideration to market

0.4p

Adjustment to bring external debt to market value

4.6p

Total impact

(2.9)p

Adjusted Group MCEV per share

140.3p

Percentage impact

(2.0)%

The change in the adjusted Group Embedded Value per share from 143.2p on an EEV basis to 140.3p on an MCEV basis is caused mainly by the change in the Embedded Value of the covered business which is analysed in detail in note 15.

14 Restatement of adjusted Group MCEV operating earnings per share 

The table below provides a restatement of the adjusted Group operating earnings per share for the 6 months ended 30 June 2008 from an EEV to MCEV basis.


6 months
ended 
30 June
2008

Previously published adjusted Group EEV operating earnings per share 

10.8p

Change in operating earnings of covered business as a consequence of the move to MCEV

(0.7)p

Adjusted Group MCEV operating earnings per share

10.1p

Percentage impact

(5.9)%


The conversion from EEV to MCEV reporting has no impact on the operating earnings of our non-life business and hence the small change in the adjusted Group operating earnings per share from 10.8p on an EEV basis to 10.2p on an MCEV basis is caused entirely by the change in the operating earnings of the covered business which is analysed in more detail in note 18.

  Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

15 Restatement of Embedded Value of covered business

The tables below reconcile the Embedded Value of the covered business as at 30 June 2008 from the previously published EEV basis to the MCEV basis. The transition from the top-down real-world EEV approach to the bottom-up MCEV approach can be broken down into the following key steps:

a)    Release of cost of required capital in published EEV - The cost of required capital under the previous EEV approach is released and this component of EEV is replaced by frictional costs (see step c) under the MCEV approach. This step increases the Embedded Value.

b)    Economic assumption changes incorporate a combination of the following:

     Any risk margins in the single weighted average EEV discount rate for each of the geographies are removed and the EEV discount rates are replaced by term dependent risk free reference rates. This step increases the Embedded Value for profitable business as expected future profits are discounted at lower rates, and gives rise to a greater Embedded Value loss for loss making business, as a result of discounting losses at lower rates.

     Any risk margins in real-world EEV investment return assumptions are removed and the real-world EEV investment return assumptions are replaced by term dependent risk free reference rates and thereby removing any capitalisation of investment risk margins. This step decreases the Embedded Value as expected future investment returns are projected at lower rates

     Other related model refinements including updating all stochastic models to be market consistent. For the United States business such model refinements also include a revision of assumptions for dynamic policyholder behaviour within the stochastic models to allow for lower average returns from risk-neutral market consistent scenarios compared to the scenarios in the real-world stochastic model that was used under EEV.

c)    Allowance for frictional costs - As mentioned in step (a) above, the cost of required capital under the previous EEV approach is released and replaced by an allowance for frictional costs under the MCEV approach. This step decreases the Embedded Value.

d)    Explicit allowance for cost of residual non-hedgeable risks - Previously under the EEV approach an implicit allowance was permitted for such risks in the determination of the risk discount rate for each geography. This step decreases the Embedded Value.


In-force covered business

£m

At 30 June 2008

Total

OMSA 

Europe

United
States*

Previously published EEV

6,153

2,191

3,171

791

Release of cost of required capital in published EEV

391

174

103

114

Economic assumption changes 

(279)

(8)

168

(439)

Allowance for frictional costs

(190)

(125)

(31)

(34)

Allowance for cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(337)

(64)

(141)

(132)

Total impact

(415)

(23)

99

(491)

MCEV

5,738

2,168

3,270

300

Percentage impact

(6.7)%

(1.0)%

3.2%

(62.1)%

*    The results for United States include Bermuda.


  15 Restatement of Embedded Value of covered business continued

The impact as at 30 June 2008 of moving from an EEV to an MCEV methodology is a reduction in Embedded Value of the covered business of 6.7 per cent from £6,153 million to £5,738 million. Most of the reduction in Embedded Value is attributable to the United States business which decreased by 62.1 per cent from £791 million to £300 million.

The frictional costs calculated under MCEV are significantly less than the cost of required capital under EEV which reflects the difference between the risk discount rate in each geography, inclusive of an explicit risk margin, and the expected post-tax investment return on the assets backing the required capital. Under MCEV risks are modelled explicitly and the risk margin in each geography is not required.

The impact of the transition from EEV to MCEV also varies by product type. Under EEV a weighted average risk discount rate was applied to all products within a specific geography whereas under MCEV separate explicit allowances are made for financial and non-financial risks for each product.

    Risk products, for example term assurance, generally increase in value under MCEV compared to EEV. Product profitability is mainly driven by non-financial pricing margins which are discounted at lower risk free reference rates under MCEV.

    The impact on savings products, for example unit-linked policies, is broadly neutral as the reduced assumed future investment returns which are set in relation to risk free reference rates are largely offset by the increase in value due to the lower discount rates (which are also set in relation to risk free reference rates) that are applied to future cash flows.

    Products with a high proportion of financial risk, for example spread-based contracts such as immediate annuities where profitability relies on achieving a return in excess of the risk free reference rates to support the pricing bases, tend to reduce in value under MCEV. No risk premiums in excess of the risk free reference rates are recognised under MCEV until realised in a particular year, when it emerges as a combination of expected existing business contribution and economic variance in that year. In contrast EEV recognises the capitalised expected profits from taking on financial risk, i.e. capitalises returns on more risky assets, without necessarily making appropriate adjustments at a per product level for the fact that the returns under these assets have a greater degree of inherent risk.

The underlying drivers of the impact of moving from an EEV to an MCEV methodology for each geography are consistent with those disclosed as part of the restatement of the Embedded Value of covered business as at 31 December 2006 and 31 December 2007 as set out in note 15 of the annual report and accounts 2008.






Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

16 Comparison of components of Embedded Value on EEV and MCEV bases 

The tables below provide a comparison of the components of Embedded Value of the covered business as at 30 June 2008 between the previously published EEV basis and the MCEV basis. The change in MCEV to a bottom-up evaluation of the risks inherent in the business requires a change in the presentation of the components underlying the MCEV.

£m

In-force covered business

At 30 June 2008

Total


OMSA


Europe


United States**

Previously published EEV

6,153


2,191


3,171


791

Adjusted net worth

2,036


1,203


493


340

Free surplus

220


163


151


(94)

Required capital

1,816


1,040


342


434

Value of in-force business

4,117


988


2,678


451

Present value of future profits

4,559


1,162


2,784


613

Additional time value of financial options and guarantees

(50)


-


(2)


(48)

Cost of required capital

(392)


(174)


(104)


(114)









MCEV

5,738


2,168


3,270


300

Adjusted net worth

2,030


1,201


492


337

Free surplus*

215


161


150


(96)

Required capital 

1,815


1,040


342


433

Value of in-force business

3,708


967


2,778


(37)

Present value of future profits

4,449


1,156


2,951


342

Additional time value of financial options and guarantees

(215)


-


(2)


(213)

Frictional costs

(190)


(125)


(31)


(34)

Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(336)


(64)


(140)


(132)

*    For the OMSA business, the value of the asset related to the deferred CGT liability recognised in the adjusted net worth was recalculated on a market consistent basis.

**    The results for United States include Bermuda.

  17 Restatement of value of new business (after tax) of covered business

The table below reconciles the value of new business and new business margins for the 6 months ended 30 June 2008 from the previously published EEV basis to the MCEV basis. The same steps have been applied in the reconciliations as for the total in-force covered business as set out in note 15.

£m


6 months ended 30 June 2008

Value of new business

Total

OMSA*


Europe

United States**

Previously published VNB under EEV basis

112

25

61

26

Release of cost of required capital in published EEV basis

17

6

4

8

Economic assumption changes

(16)

(2)

14

(28)

Allowance for frictional costs

(10)

(4)

(1)

(5)

Allowance for cost of residual non-hedgeable risks

(19)

(3)

(8)

(8)

Total impact

(28)

(3)

9

(33)

VNB on MCEV basis

84

22

70

(8)

Percentage impact %

(25.1)%

(12.5)%

14.8%

(130.8)%






EEV PVNBP

6,668

1,150

3,857

1,661

EEV APE

872

168

529

175

EEV PVNBP margin %

1.7%

2.2%

1.6%

1.6%

EEV APE margin %

13%

15%

12%

15%






MCEV PVNBP

6,818

1,185

3,962

1,671

MCEV APE

868

163

529

176

MCEV PVNBP margin %

1.2%

1.9%

1.8%

(0.5)%

MCEV APE margin %

10%

14%

13%

(5)%

*    Note that OMSA healthcare administration business was included in the EEV basis, but is excluded on an MCEV basis. 

**    The results for United States include Bermuda.


The impact on VNB of the covered business written in the 6 months ended 30 June 2008 due to moving from an EEV to MCEV basis is a decrease of 25.1 per cent from £112 million to £84 million. Most of the reduction is attributable to the United States business where VNB decreased by 130.8 per cent from £26 million to (£8 million).

The EEV risk discount rate for each geography was calibrated for total in-force business and hence the EEV methodology did not make allowance for different levels of risk for different portfolios of asset and liability risks. The MCEV methodology makes a more granular allowance for the differences in the risk profile of different product lines and different generations of policies. The relative impacts on VNB of each of the steps outlined above therefore differ from the impacts on VIF as outlined in note 15 because the risk profiles of new business are different to the risk profiles of in-force business.

Also note that in calculating PVNBP, the projected premiums are discounted with risk free reference rates under MCEV rather the higher risk discount rate which is applicable in each geography under the previous EEV methodology. PVNBP under MCEV reporting is therefore greater than under EEV reporting with a corresponding decrease in PVNBP margins (assuming all other things including VNB being equal).



Notes to the Old Mutual Market Consistent Embedded Value basis supplementary information

For the 6 months ended 30 June 2009

18 Restatement of Return on Embedded Value of covered business

Return on Embedded Value (RoEV) for covered business is calculated as the operating earnings after tax divided by opening Embedded Value in local currency, with the operating assumption changes and other operating variances not being annualised for interim reporting. The table below provides summaries of the drivers in the change of RoEV for the 6 months ended 30 June 2008 from the previously published EEV basis to the MCEV basis.

In-force covered business

6 months ended 30 June 2008

OMSA


Europe
%


United States**

%

Previously published RoEV% on an EEV basis

13.5


14.5


1.3

MCEV RoEV%

14.6


15.7


(25.2)

Difference

1.1


1.2


(23.9)

Drivers of change for the covered business:






New business value

(0.2)


0.4


(9.6)

Expected existing business contribution

2.4


0.4


5.0

Experience variances

(0.5)


0.6


(4.4)

Assumption changes

(0.5)


(0.1)


(7.4)

Other operating variances*

(0.1)


(0.1)


(7.5)

*    Changes and improvement to models and methodology are reflected as other operating variances under MCEV rather than being included as part of assumption changes as treated under EEV.

**    The results for United States include Bermuda.


The impact on VNB as a result of moving from an EEV to MCEV basis has been outlined in note 17. Other key drivers of the change in RoEV for each geography are discussed below.

OMSA

The major reasons for the change in RoEV from an EEV to MCEV basis is the significantly higher expected existing business contribution. The expected existing business contribution under MCEV is now derived with reference to the one-year forward risk free reference rate at the start of the reporting period as opposed to the 10-year government bond yield curve. The downwards sloping swap yield curve in South Africa at 31 December 2007 therefore leads to a higher expected existing business contribution under MCEV in 2008

Contrary to previous EEV treatment, the impact of changes in taxation under MCEV is excluded from operating earnings. Such reallocation of tax changes to non-operating variances is the major reason for the reduced contribution of assumption changes.

Europe

As mentioned above, the expected existing business contribution under MCEV is now derived with reference to the one-year forward risk free reference rate at the start of the reporting period as opposed to the 10-year government bond yield curve. Differences in these yields at the end of 2007 therefore lead to differences in the expected existing business contribution under MCEV.

United States

Projected cash flows are significantly different under EEV and MCEV and such differences are the major contributor to the change in RoEV. 

The negative impact of model improvements and changes in methodology on an MCEV basis has been re-classified from assumption changes to other operating variances.

Going forward, rates of return on Embedded Value for the US should be higher than under EEV as the opening MCEV is starting from a much lower base value compared to EEV and, other things being equal, higher actual operating earnings will emerge than projected under MCEV at the valuation date as corporate bond credit spreads are expected to be realised and margins (such as the cost of residual non-hedgeable risks) are released.

  Shareholder information

Listings and shares in issue

The Company's shares are listed on the LondonMalawi, Namibian and Zimbabwe Stock Exchanges and on the JSE Limited (JSE). The primary listing is on the London Stock Exchange and the other listings are all secondary listings. The Company's shares may also be traded on the Xternal list of the Nordic Exchange in Stockholm. The ISIN number of the Company's shares is GB0007389926.

At 30 June 2009, the Company had 5,516,141,360 ordinary shares of 10p each in issue (30 June 2008: 5,514,580,342). 239,434,888 shares were held by the Company in treasury, at 30 June 2009 (30 June 2008239,434,888)

Websites

Further information on the Company can be found on the following websites:

www.oldmutual.com

www.oldmutual.co.za


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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