Interim Results - Part 6 of 13

RNS Number : 8177L
Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC
05 August 2011
 



Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk

Credit risk is the risk of financial loss due to the failure of customers or counterparties to meet payment obligations. The quantum and nature of credit risk assumed across the Group's different businesses varies considerably, while the overall credit risk outcome usually exhibits a high degree of correlation with the macroeconomic environment.

 

Loans and advances to customers by industry and geography

The table below shows loans and advances to customers excluding reverse repos and assets of disposal groups.

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













Central and local government

6,574 

1,507 

8,081 


5,650 

1,514 

7,164 


6,781 

1,671 

8,452 

Finance

47,545 

5,038 

52,583 


47,797 

7,559 

55,356 


46,910 

7,651 

54,561 

Residential mortgages

144,400 

5,509 

149,909 


142,920 

5,678 

148,598 


140,359 

6,142 

146,501 

Personal lending

32,224 

3,229 

35,453 


32,362 

3,482 

35,844 


33,581 

3,891 

37,472 

Property

44,539 

42,862 

87,401 


45,038 

43,866 

88,904 


42,455 

47,651 

90,106 

Construction

8,525 

3,070 

11,595 


9,011 

3,231 

12,242 


8,680 

3,352 

12,032 

Manufacturing

24,068 

6,293 

30,361 


24,621 

6,295 

30,916 


25,797 

6,520 

32,317 

Service industries and

  business activities












  - retail, wholesale and repairs

22,123 

2,598 

24,721 


22,185 

2,802 

24,987 


21,974 

3,191 

25,165 

  - transport and storage

15,243 

6,449 

21,692 


15,402 

7,090 

22,492 


15,946 

8,195 

24,141 

  - health, education and

    recreation

16,707 

1,547 

18,254 


16,391 

1,460 

17,851 


17,456 

1,865 

19,321 

  - hotels and restaurants

8,028 

1,452 

9,480 


8,090 

1,452 

9,542 


8,189 

1,492 

9,681 

  - utilities

7,487 

2,010 

9,497 


7,679 

2,016 

9,695 


7,098 

2,110 

9,208 

  - other

25,128 

4,966 

30,094 


22,876 

5,892 

28,768 


24,464 

5,530 

29,994 

Agriculture, forestry and

  fishing

3,791 

123 

3,914 


3,741 

130 

3,871 


3,758 

135 

3,893 

Finance leases and

  instalment credit

8,353 

7,920 

16,273 


8,061 

8,119 

16,180 


8,321 

8,529 

16,850 

Interest accruals

715 

176 

891 


673 

193 

866 


831 

278 

1,109 













Gross loans

415,450 

94,749 

510,199 


412,497 

100,779 

513,276 


412,600 

108,203 

520,803 

Loan impairment provisions

(8,621)

(12,006)

(20,627)


(8,287)

(10,841)

(19,128)


(7,740)

(10,315)

(18,055)













Net loans

406,829 

82,743 

489,572 


404,210 

89,938 

494,148 


404,860 

97,888 

502,748 

 

 

Key points

·

Gross loans reduced by £10.6 billion in the first half of the year, of which £3.1 billion was in the second quarter, principally due to disposals and restructuring and run-offs in Non-Core, partially offset by increased mortgage lending in UK Retail.



·

Unsecured lending decreased in the first half of the year, predominantly in UK Retail.



·

Property lending decreased during the first half of the year in line with the continued focus on lower risk secured lending.



·

The decrease in transport and storage primarily reflects decreases in shipping and aviation.

 

 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk (continued)

 

Loans and advances to customers by industry and geography (continued)

The table below analyses loans and advances to customers excluding reverse repos and assets of disposal groups by geography (by location of office).

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













UK












Central and local government

5,945 

91 

6,036 


5,144 

104 

5,248 


5,728 

173 

5,901 

Finance

28,657 

3,734 

32,391 


27,510 

5,910 

33,420 


27,995 

6,023 

34,018 

Residential mortgages

103,689 

1,570 

105,259 


102,462 

1,632 

104,094 


99,928 

1,665 

101,593 

Personal lending

22,205 

358 

22,563 


22,278 

451 

22,729 


23,035 

585 

23,620 

Property

36,584 

27,182 

63,766 


36,419 

28,322 

64,741 


34,970 

30,492 

65,462 

Construction

6,839 

2,104 

8,943 


7,271 

2,282 

9,553 


7,041 

2,310 

9,351 

Manufacturing

10,155 

1,447 

11,602 


10,810 

1,498 

12,308 


12,300 

1,510 

13,810 

Service industries and

  business activities












  - retail, wholesale and repairs

12,255 

1,615 

13,870 


12,762 

1,676 

14,438 


12,554 

1,853 

14,407 

  - transport and storage

7,905 

3,844 

11,749 


8,354 

4,390 

12,744 


8,105 

5,015 

13,120 

  - health, education and

    recreation

12,678 

835 

13,513 


12,572 

951 

13,523 


13,502 

1,039 

14,541 

  - hotels and restaurants

6,399 

775 

7,174 


6,500 

792 

7,292 


6,558 

808 

7,366 

  - utilities

3,418 

908 

4,326 


3,705 

1,088 

4,793 


3,101 

1,035 

4,136 

  - other

13,555 

2,199 

15,754 


13,406 

2,603 

16,009 


14,445 

1,991 

16,436 

Agriculture, forestry and

  fishing

2,955 

55 

3,010 


2,935 

61 

2,996 


2,872 

67 

2,939 

Finance leases and

  instalment credit

5,578 

7,161 

12,739 


5,565 

7,431 

12,996 


5,589 

7,785 

13,374 

Interest accruals

365 

21 

386 


371 

48 

419 


415 

98 

513 














279,182 

53,899 

333,081 


278,064 

59,239 

337,303 


278,138 

62,449 

340,587 













Europe












Central and local government

397 

862 

1,259 


220 

899 

1,119 


365 

1,017 

1,382 

Finance

2,642 

719 

3,361 


3,768 

821 

4,589 


2,642 

1,019 

3,661 

Residential mortgages

20,224 

640 

20,864 


19,892 

684 

20,576 


19,473 

621 

20,094 

Personal lending

2,234 

572 

2,806 


2,276 

587 

2,863 


2,270 

600 

2,870 

Property

5,483 

12,790 

18,273 


5,304 

12,711 

18,015 


5,139 

12,636 

17,775 

Construction

1,163 

864 

2,027 


1,246 

851 

2,097 


1,014 

873 

1,887 

Manufacturing

5,669 

4,253 

9,922 


6,167 

4,139 

10,306 


5,853 

4,181 

10,034 

Service industries and

  business activities












  - retail, wholesale and repairs

4,058 

767 

4,825 


4,074 

847 

4,921 


4,126 

999 

5,125 

  - transport and storage

5,330 

970 

6,300 


4,932 

1,013 

5,945 


5,625 

1,369 

6,994 

  - health, education and

    recreation

1,373 

445 

1,818 


1,383 

355 

1,738 


1,442 

496 

1,938 

  - hotels and restaurants

1,065 

597 

1,662 


1,051 

556 

1,607 


1,055 

535 

1,590 

  - utilities

1,536 

654 

2,190 


1,425 

591 

2,016 


1,412 

623 

2,035 

  - other

4,807 

1,850 

6,657 


3,246 

2,286 

5,532 


3,877 

2,050 

5,927 

Agriculture, forestry and

  fishing

789 

68 

857 


774 

69 

843 


849 

68 

917 

Finance leases and

  instalment credit

264 

620 

884 


265 

688 

953 


370 

744 

1,114 

Interest accruals

135 

98 

233 


76 

85 

161 


143 

101 

244 














57,169 

26,769 

83,938 


56,099 

27,182 

83,281 


55,655 

27,932 

83,587 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk (continued)

 

Loans and advances to customers by industry and geography (continued)

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













US












Central and local government

164 

15 

179 


169 

38 

207 


263 

53 

316 

Finance

9,820 

444 

10,264 


9,635 

495 

10,130 


9,522 

587 

10,109 

Residential mortgages

20,020 

3,093 

23,113 


20,084 

3,243 

23,327 


20,548 

3,653 

24,201 

Personal lending

6,315 

2,299 

8,614 


6,327 

2,444 

8,771 


6,816 

2,704 

9,520 

Property

2,228 

1,626 

3,854 


2,574 

1,768 

4,342 


1,611 

3,318 

4,929 

Construction

445 

68 

513 


420 

63 

483 


442 

78 

520 

Manufacturing

6,113 

64 

6,177 


5,614 

80 

5,694 


5,459 

143 

5,602 

Service industries and

  business activities












  - retail, wholesale and repairs

4,644 

144 

4,788 


4,366 

199 

4,565 


4,264 

237 

4,501 

  - transport and storage

1,725 

1,297 

3,022 


1,723 

1,337 

3,060 


1,786 

1,408 

3,194 

  - health, education and

    recreation

2,396 

107 

2,503 


2,319 

138 

2,457 


2,380 

313 

2,693 

  - hotels and restaurants

455 

71 

526 


487 

90 

577 


486 

136 

622 

  - utilities

960 

27 

987 


1,001 

32 

1,033 


1,117 

53 

1,170 

  - other

4,195 

425 

4,620 


3,809 

465 

4,274 


4,042 

577 

4,619 

Agriculture, forestry and

  fishing

25 

25 


26 

26 


31 

31 

Finance leases and

  instalment credit

2,456 

2,456 


2,188 

2,188 


2,315 

2,315 

Interest accruals

179 

57 

236 


179 

59 

238 


183 

73 

256 














62,140 

9,737 

71,877 


60,921 

10,451 

71,372 


61,265 

13,333 

74,598 













RoW












Central and local government

68 

539 

607 


117 

473 

590 


425 

428 

853 

Finance

6,426 

141 

6,567 


6,884 

333 

7,217 


6,751 

22 

6,773 

Residential mortgages

467 

206 

673 


482 

119 

601 


410 

203 

613 

Personal lending

1,470 

1,470 


1,481 

1,481 


1,460 

1,462 

Property

244 

1,264 

1,508 


741 

1,065 

1,806 


735 

1,205 

1,940 

Construction

78 

34 

112 


74 

35 

109 


183 

91 

274 

Manufacturing

2,131 

529 

2,660 


2,030 

578 

2,608 


2,185 

686 

2,871 

Service industries and

  business activities












  - retail, wholesale and repairs

1,166 

72 

1,238 


983 

80 

1,063 


1,030 

102 

1,132 

  - transport and storage

283 

338 

621 


393 

350 

743 


430 

403 

833 

  - health, education and

    recreation

260 

160 

420 


117 

16 

133 


132 

17 

149 

  - hotels and restaurants

109 

118 


52 

14 

66 


90 

13 

103 

  - utilities

1,573 

421 

1,994 


1,548 

305 

1,853 


1,468 

399 

1,867 

  - other

2,571 

492 

3,063 


2,415 

538 

2,953 


2,100 

912 

3,012 

Agriculture, forestry and

  fishing

22 

22 



Finance leases and

  instalment credit

55 

139 

194 


43 

43 


47 

47 

Interest accruals

36 

36 


47 

48 


90 

96 














16,959 

4,344 

21,303 


17,413 

3,907 

21,320 


17,542 

4,489 

22,031 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: REIL and PPL

 

The table below analyses the Group's risk elements in lending (REIL) and potential problem loans (PPL) and takes no account of the value of any security held which could reduce the eventual loss should it occur, nor of any provisions.

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













Impaired loans (1)












  - UK

9,229 

7,812 

17,041 


9,175 

7,147 

16,322 


8,575 

7,835 

16,410 

  - Overseas

6,326 

16,268 

22,594 


5,932 

15,878 

21,810 


4,936 

14,355 

19,291 














15,555 

24,080 

39,635 


15,107 

23,025 

38,132 


13,511 

22,190 

35,701 













Accruing loans past due

  90 days or more (2)












  - UK

1,487 

583 

2,070 


1,545 

752 

2,297 


1,434 

939 

2,373 

  - Overseas

415 

230 

645 


366 

246 

612 


262 

262 

524 














1,902 

813 

2,715 


1,911 

998 

2,909 


1,696 

1,201 

2,897 













Total REIL

17,457 

24,893 

42,350 


17,018 

24,023 

41,041 


15,207 

23,391 

38,598 

PPL (3)

354 

127 

481 


324 

202 

526 


473 

160 

633 













Total REIL and PPL

17,811 

25,020 

42,831 


17,342 

24,225 

41,567 


15,680 

23,551 

39,231 













REIL as a % of gross

  loans and advances (4)

4.2% 

26.1% 

8.3% 


4.1% 

23.0% 

7.9% 


3.7% 

20.7% 

7.3% 

Provisions as a % of REIL

50% 

48% 

49% 


49% 

45% 

47% 


51% 

44% 

47% 

 

Notes:

(1)

Loans against which an impairment provision is held.

(2)

Loans where an impairment event has taken place but no impairment provision recognised. This category is used for fully collateralised non-revolving credit facilities.

(3)

Loans for which an impairment event has occurred but no impairment provision is necessary. This category is used for advances and revolving credit facilities where the past due concept is not applicable.

(4)

Gross loans and advances to customers including disposal groups and excluding reverse repurchase agreements.

 

Key points

·        

REIL increased by £3.8 billion in the first half of the year and by £1.3 billion in the second quarter, predominantly in Non-Core and Ulster Bank.



·

Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) was the predominant contributor to the increase in REIL with an increase of £3.2 billion, principally property lending (commercial real estate up £2.2 billion and mortgages up £0.4 billion).



·

Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) provision coverage ratio increased to 51% from 44% at 31 December 2010 reflecting provisions relating to development land in the second quarter following re-assessment of collateral values. This contributed to the higher Group provision coverage ratio at 30 June 2011, which now stands at 49% compared with 47% at the year end and at 31 March 2011.

 

For sector, geography and divisional analysis of loans, REIL and impairments, refer to Appendix 3.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions

 

Movement in REIL and PPL

The table below details the movement in REIL and PPL for the half year ended 30 June 2011.

 


REIL


PPL


Total


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













At 1 January 2011

15,207 

23,391 

38,598 


473 

160 

633 


15,680 

23,551 

39,231 

Intra-group transfers

369 

(369)



369 

(369)

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

68 

98 

166 



69 

102 

171 

Additions

3,119 

2,866 

5,985 


305 

152 

457 


3,424 

3,018 

6,442 

Transfers

137 

39 

176 


(137)

(39)

(176)


Disposals, restructurings

  and repayments

(1,342)

(1,426)

(2,768)


(318)

(75)

(393)


(1,660)

(1,501)

(3,161)

Amounts written-off

(540)

(576)

(1,116)



(540)

(576)

(1,116)













At 31 March 2011

17,018 

24,023 

41,041 


324 

202 

526 


17,342 

24,225 

41,567 

Intra-group transfers

12 

(12)



12 

(12)

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

111 

376 

487 


(5)

(1)

(6)


106 

375 

481 

Additions

2,492 

3,094 

5,586 


137 

22 

159 


2,629 

3,116 

5,745 

Transfers

21 

20 

41 


(21)

(20)

(41)


Disposals, restructurings

  and repayments

(1,719)

(2,272)

(3,991)


(81)

(76)

(157)


(1,800)

(2,348)

(4,148)

Amounts written-off

(478)

(336)

(814)



(478)

(336)

(814)













At 30 June 2011

17,457 

24,893 

42,350 


354 

127 

481 


17,811 

25,020 

42,831 

 


REIL


PPL


Total


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













At 1 January 2011

15,207 

23,391 

38,598 


473 

160 

633 


15,680 

23,551 

39,231 

Intra-group transfers

381 

(381)



381 

(381)

Currency translation and

  other adjustments

179 

474 

653 


(4)

(1)


175 

477 

652 

Additions

5,611 

5,960 

11,571 


442 

174 

616 


6,053 

6,134 

12,187 

Transfers

158 

59 

217 


(158)

(59)

(217)


Disposals, restructurings

  and repayments

(3,061)

(3,698)

(6,759)


(399)

(151)

(550)


(3,460)

(3,849)

(7,309)

Amounts written-off

(1,018)

(912)

(1,930)



(1,018)

(912)

(1,930)













At 30 June 2011

17,457 

24,893 

42,350 


354 

127 

481 


17,811 

25,020 

42,831 

 

Disposals, restructurings and repayments include £1,569 million of transfers to the performing book in H1 2011.

 

For sector, geography and divisional analysis of loans, REIL and impairments, refer to Appendix 3.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions (continued)

 

Restructuring and forbearance

Corporate loan restructuring completed during H1 2011 was £1.0 billion.

 

During H1 2011, the flow of mortgage loans subject to forbearance arrangements in UK Retail was £289 million representing 0.3% of the book. In Ulster Bank £1.8 billion (31 December 2010 - £1.2 billion) of mortgage loans were subject to forbearance arrangements at 30 June 2011, 78% of these arrangements are in the performing book.

 

Movement in loan impairment provisions

The following table shows the movement in impairment provisions for loans and advances to customers and banks.

 


Quarter ended


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


30 June 2010


Core 

Non-Core 

RFS MI 

Total 


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 














At beginning of period

8,416 

10,842 

19,258 


7,866 

10,316 

18,182 


7,397 

9,430 

16,827 

Transfers to disposal groups


(9)

(9)


(38)

(38)

Intra-group transfers


177 

(177)


Currency translation and other adjustments

33 

145 

178 


56 

95 

151 


(309)

(66)

(375)

Disposals

11 

11 



(17)

(17)

Amounts written-off

(504)

(474)

(978)


(514)

(438)

(952)


(562)

(2,122)

(2,684)

Recoveries of amounts

  previously written-off

41 

126 

167 


39 

80 

119 


59 

21 

80 

Charge to income statement













  - continued

810 

1,427 

2,237 


852 

1,046 

1,898 


1,096 

1,383 

2,479 

  - discontinued

(11)

(11)



Unwind of discount

(44)

(68)

(112)


(60)

(71)

(131)


(48)

(58)

(106)














At end of period

8,752 

12,007 

20,759 


8,416 

10,842 

19,258 


7,633 

8,533 

16,166 

 


Half year ended


30 June 2011


30 June 2010


Core 

Non-Core 

RFS MI 

Total 


Core 

Non-Core 

RFS MI 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 











At beginning of period

7,866 

10,316 

18,182 


6,921 

8,252 

2,110 

17,283 

Transfers to disposal groups


(67)

(67)

Intra-group transfers

177 

(177)


Currency translation and other  

  adjustments

89 

240 

329 


(279)

119 

(160)

Disposals

11 

11 


(17)

(2,152)

(2,169)

Amounts written-off

(1,018)

(912)

(1,930)


(1,063)

(2,718)

(3,781)

Recoveries of amounts previously

  written-off

80 

206 

286 


104 

46 

150 

Charge to income statement










  - continuing

1,662 

2,473 

4,135 


2,046 

3,035 

5,081 

  - discontinued

(11)

(11)


42 

42 

Unwind of discount

(104)

(139)

(243)


(96)

(117)

(213)











At end of period

8,752 

12,007 

20,759 


7,633 

8,533 

16,166 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions (continued)

 

Movement in loan impairment provisions (continued)

 

Key points

·

Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) was the main contributor to impairment losses with a total half year charge of £2.5 billion (Core - £0.7 billion; Non-Core - £1.8 billion), 61% of the total Group impairment charge of £4.1 billion. The Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) charge includes the impact of a re-assessment of collateral values relating to development land.



·

The other main contributor to the Q2 2011 Non-Core impairment charge was impairments in respect of a small number of large corporates.



·

Provision balance has increased by £2.6 billion in the first half of 2011 from £18.2 billion to £20.8 billion, as impairments are running twice the rate of write-offs.

 

Impairment provisions on loans and advances

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


 

31 December 2010


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


Core 

Non- 

Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













Latent loss

1,568 

786 

2,354 


1,583 

963 

2,546 


1,653 

997 

2,650 

Collectively assessed

4,510 

1,100 

5,610 


4,375 

1,112 

5,487 


4,139 

1,157 

5,296 

Individually assessed

2,543 

10,120 

12,663 


2,329 

8,766 

11,095 


1,948 

8,161 

10,109 













Customer loans

8,621 

12,006 

20,627 


8,287 

10,841 

19,128 


7,740 

10,315 

18,055 

Bank loans

131 

132 


129 

130 


126 

127 













Total provisions

8,752 

12,007 

20,759 


8,416 

10,842 

19,258 


7,866 

10,316 

18,182 













% of loans (1)

2.1% 

12.6% 

4.0% 


2.0% 

10.4% 

3.7% 


1.9% 

9.1% 

3.4% 

 

Note:

(1)

Customer provisions as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including disposal groups and excluding reverse repurchase agreements.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions (continued)

 

Impairment charge


Quarter ended


30 June 2011


 

31 March 2011


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 









Latent loss

(16)

(172)

(188)


(116)

(107)

Collectively assessed

465 

126 

591 


584 

136 

720 

Individually assessed

361 

1,473 

1,834 


384 

901 

1,285 









Customer loans

810 

1,427 

2,237 


852 

1,046 

1,898 

Securities  - sovereign debt impairment and

   related interest rate hedge adjustments

842 

842 


Securities  - other

43 

(16)

27 


20 

29 

49 









Charge to income statement

1,695 

1,411 

3,106 


872 

1,075 

1,947 









Charge relating to customer loans as a %

  of gross customer loans (1)

0.8% 

6.0% 

1.8% 


0.8% 

4.0% 

1.5% 

 


Half year ended


30 June 2011


30 June 2010


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 









Latent loss

(132)

(163)

(295)


(69)

24 

(45)

Collectively assessed

1,049 

262 

1,311 


1,249 

344 

1,593 

Individually assessed

745 

2,374 

3,119 


866 

2,667 

3,533 









Customer loans

1,662 

2,473 

4,135 


2,046 

3,035 

5,081 

Securities  - sovereign debt impairment and

   related interest rate hedge adjustments

842 

842 


Securities  - other

63 

13 

76 


22 

59 

81 









Charge to income statement

2,567 

2,486 

5,053 


2,068 

3,094 

5,162 









Charge relating to customer loans as a %

  of gross customer loans (1)

0.8% 

5.2% 

1.6% 


1.0% 

4.8% 

1.8% 

 

Note:

(1)

Customer loan impairment charge as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including disposal groups and excluding reverse repurchase agreements.

 

Key points

·

Non-Core latent loss in Q2 2011 principally reflects the release of Ulster Bank's provision relating to development land booked in Q1 2011, substituted with individually assessed impairment charge in Q2 2011.



·

The H1 2011 impairment charge was marginally lower than for H1 2010. The decrease in loan impairments of £0.9 billion was substantially offset by impairments of AFS Greek sovereign bonds.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Debt securities

 

The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and measurement classification with short positions netted against debt securities. However such netting is not reflected in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS.

 


Central and local government

Financial 

institutions 

ABS 

Corporate 

Total 

UK 

US 

Other 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 









30 June 2011








Held-for-trading (HFT)

8,035 

14,608 

51,434 

12,099 

25,636 

6,357 

118,169 

DFV

192 

10 

213 

Available-for-sale

11,399 

16,600 

37,546 

7,951 

43,207 

1,965 

118,668 

Loans and receivables

11 

367 

5,813 

404 

6,595 










19,446 

31,208 

89,172 

20,427 

74,657 

8,735 

243,645 

Short positions (HFT)

(3,864)

(15,841)

(25,064)

(5,450)

(1,041)

(2,134)

(53,394)










15,582 

15,367 

64,108 

14,977 

73,616 

6,601 

190,251 









Available-for-sale








Gross unrealised gains

363 

474 

422 

71 

1,300 

62 

2,692 

Gross unrealised losses

(3)

(119)

(29)

(3,179)

(6)

(3,336)









31 March 2011








Held-for-trading

5,422 

19,079 

51,792 

7,461 

23,907 

5,478 

113,139 

DFV

199 

16 

114 

332 

Available-for-sale

8,474 

15,621 

34,325 

7,988 

42,884 

1,836 

111,128 

Loans and receivables

11 

391 

5,951 

432 

6,785 










13,908 

34,700 

86,316 

15,856 

72,856 

7,748 

231,384 

Short positions (HFT)

(4,852)

(12,715)

(22,463)

(3,421)

(1,014)

(2,684)

(47,149)










9,056 

21,985 

63,853 

12,435 

71,842 

5,064 

184,235 









Available-for-sale








Gross unrealised gains

207 

202 

346 

38 

1,102 

65 

1,960 

Gross unrealised losses

(24)

(44)

(820)

(31)

(3,201)

(33)

(4,153)









31 December 2010








Held-for-trading

5,097 

15,956 

43,224 

7,548 

21,988 

5,056 

98,869 

DFV

262 

16 

119 

402 

Available-for-sale

8,377 

17,890 

33,122 

7,849 

42,515 

1,377 

111,130 

Loans and receivables

11 

419 

6,203 

446 

7,079 










13,486 

33,846 

76,608 

15,832 

70,825 

6,883 

217,480 

Short positions (HFT)

(4,200)

(11,398)

(18,909)

(3,622)

(1,335)

(1,553)

(41,017)










9,286 

22,448 

57,699 

12,210 

69,490 

5,330 

176,463 









Available-for-sale








Gross unrealised gains

349 

341 

700 

60 

1,057 

88 

2,595 

Gross unrealised losses

(10)

(1)

(618)

(32)

(3,396)

(40)

(4,097)

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Debt securities (continued)

 

Key points

·

Held-for-trading bonds increased in H1 2011 by £19.3 billion, with increases in G10 and Australian government bonds. The increase in asset-backed securities (ABS) included £4.1 billion in GBM Mortgage trading primarily in US agency pass-through notes, reflecting strong investor appetite.



·

The Group has continued to add to its liquidity resources through the purchase of around £7.5 billion of top quality AFS government bonds during Q2 2011. These purchases for the Group's liquidity portfolio have been focussed in the highest quality securities and most liquid markets. The growth in these liquidity reserves provides the Group with an opportunity to manage market risk and improve returns.

 

The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and external ratings.


Central and local government

Financial 

institutions 

ABS 

Corporate 

Total 

% of 

 total 

 


UK 

US 

Other 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 










30 June 2011









 

AAA

19,446 

31,208 

55,063 

7,759 

55,669 

435 

169,580 

70 

 

AA to AA+

5,290 

3,300 

5,668 

678 

14,936 

 

A to AA-

23,843 

5,191 

3,991 

1,797 

34,822 

14 

 

BBB- to A-

3,229 

1,848 

3,501 

2,442 

11,020 

 

Non-investment grade

1,687 

931 

4,579 

2,340 

9,537 

 

Unrated

60 

1,398 

1,249 

1,043 

3,750 

 











19,446 

31,208 

89,172 

20,427 

74,657 

8,735 

243,645 

100 

 










 

31 March 2011









 

AAA

13,908 

34,700 

51,272 

2,701 

52,867 

171 

155,619 

67 

 

AA to AA+

6,428 

3,341 

7,031 

640 

17,440 

 

A to AA-

22,778 

4,832 

3,187 

1,366 

32,163 

14 

 

BBB- to A-

3,351 

1,897 

3,799 

1,883 

10,930 

 

Non-investment grade

1,946 

1,300 

4,805 

3,413 

11,464 

 

Unrated

541 

1,785 

1,167 

275 

3,768 

 











13,908 

34,700 

86,316 

15,856 

72,856 

7,748 

231,384 

100 

 










 

31 December 2010









 

AAA

13,486 

33,846 

44,784 

3,084 

51,235 

153 

146,588 

67 

 

AA to AA+

18,025 

3,261 

6,335 

554 

28,175 

13 

 

A to AA-

9,138 

4,352 

3,244 

1,141 

17,875 

 

BBB- to A-

2,843 

1,489 

3,385 

1,869 

9,586 

 

Non-investment grade

1,766 

2,245 

4,923 

2,311 

11,245 

 

Unrated

52 

1,401 

1,703 

855 

4,011 











13,486 

33,846 

76,608 

15,832 

70,825 

6,883 

217,480 

100 

 

 

Key points

·

The proportion of AAA rated debt securities increased to 70% primarily due to a move towards higher quality government bonds as well as demand for US agency pass-through notes.



·

Non-investment grade and unrated bonds were 5% of the portfolio compared with 7% at the end of Q1 2011 and 2010 year end.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk:  Asset-backed securities

 


RMBS (1)







G10 

 government 

Covered 

 bond 

Prime 

Non- 

conforming 

Sub-prime 

 

CMBS (2) 

CDOs (3)

CLOs (4)

Other 

ABS 

Total 

30 June 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 












AAA

34,399 

7,345 

4,835 

1,587 

295 

1,991 

389 

2,116 

2,712 

55,669 

AA to AA+

1,401 

381 

451 

96 

138 

435 

539 

1,356 

871 

5,668 

A to AA-

144 

385 

239 

76 

280 

1,238 

389 

448 

792 

3,991 

BBB- to A-

61 

138 

301 

86 

398 

171 

582 

1,764 

3,501 

Non-investment grade

758 

727 

308 

408 

1,900 

259 

219 

4,579 

Unrated

108 

23 

101 

14 

97 

484 

422 

1,249 













35,944 

8,172 

6,529 

2,810 

1,208 

4,484 

3,485 

5,245 

6,780 

74,657 












31 March 2011











AAA

32,067 

7,200 

4,140 

1,684 

273 

1,922 

424 

2,269 

2,888 

52,867 

AA to AA+

1,547 

475 

653 

96 

218 

744 

565 

1,617 

1,116 

7,031 

A to AA-

197 

118 

73 

246 

979 

358 

345 

871 

3,187 

BBB- to A-

157 

162 

299 

84 

390 

185 

578 

1,944 

3,799 

Non-investment grade

760 

917 

246 

439 

1,847 

344 

252 

4,805 

Unrated

25 

28 

143 

76 

673 

220 

1,167 













33,614 

8,029 

5,858 

3,097 

1,210 

4,476 

3,455 

5,826 

7,291 

72,856 












31 December 2010











AAA

28,835 

7,107 

4,355 

1,754 

317 

2,789 

444 

2,490 

3,144 

51,235 

AA to AA+

1,529 

357 

147 

144 

116 

392 

567 

1,786 

1,297 

6,335 

A to AA-

408 

67 

60 

212 

973 

296 

343 

885 

3,244 

BBB- to A-

82 

316 

39 

500 

203 

527 

1,718 

3,385 

Non-investment grade

900 

809 

458 

296 

1,863 

332 

265 

4,923 

Unrated

196 

52 

76 

85 

596 

698 

1,703 













30,364 

7,872 

5,747 

3,135 

1,218 

4,950 

3,458 

6,074 

8,007 

70,825 

 

Notes:

(1)

Residential mortgage-backed securities.

(2)

Commercial mortgage-backed securities.

(3)

Collateralised debt obligations.

(4)

Collateralised loan obligations.

 

For analyses of ABS by geography and measurement classification, refer to Appendix 3.

 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Available-for-sale debt securities and reserves

The table below analyses available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities by issuer and related AFS reserves, gross and net of tax, for countries exceeding £0.5 billion, together with the total of those individually less than £0.5 billion.

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


31  December 2010


Central 

and local 

government 

ABS 

Other (1)

Total 

AFS 

 reserves

(gross)

AFS 

 reserves 

(net)


Central 

and local 

government 

ABS 

Other (1)

Total 

AFS 

 reserves 

(net)


Central 

and local 

government 

ABS 

Other (1)

Total 

AFS 

 reserves 

(net)


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 




















US

16,600 

20,707 

521 

37,828 

131 

265 


15,670 

20,961 

731 

37,362 

(133)


17,890 

20,872 

763 

39,525 

(116)

UK

11,399 

4,286 

2,066 

17,751 

182 

(148)


8,500 

4,134 

2,052 

14,686 

(134)


8,377 

4,002 

2,284 

14,663 

(106)

Germany

14,218 

1,160 

477 

15,855 

(38)

(35)


12,584 

1,298 

500 

14,382 

(217)


10,649 

1,360 

535 

12,544 

(35)

Netherlands

5,323 

7,366 

782 

13,471 

(66)

40 


3,977 

7,096 

774 

11,847 

(8)


3,469 

6,773 

713 

10,955 

(59)

France

5,503 

628 

1,171 

7,302 

(36)

(22)


4,195 

579 

1,000 

5,774 

(42)


5,912 

575 

900 

7,387 

33 

Spain

91 

7,018 

51 

7,160 

(1,243)

(921)


91 

6,912 

78 

7,081 

(863)


88 

6,773 

157 

7,018 

(939)

Japan

4,240 

 - 

4,246 


4,204 

4,207 


4,354 

82 

4,436 

Australia

 - 

599 

2,141 

2,740 

(17)

(20)


467 

2,421 

2,888 

(27)


486 

1,586 

2,072 

(34)

Singapore

1,144 

 - 

213 

1,357 


798 

206 

1,004 


649 

209 

858 

Italy

955 

240 

16 

1,211 

(105)

(79)


928 

238 

24 

1,190 

(67)


906 

243 

24 

1,173 

(86)

Supranational

960 

960 

26 

25 


489 

489 


459 

459 

Denmark

694 

 - 

206 

900 

(3)

(3)


690 

251 

941 

(7)


629 

172 

801 

India

642 

 -  

175 

817 

(8)

(5)


657 

156 

813 

(3)


548 

139 

687 

Belgium

770 

36 

814 

(52)

(39)


742 

35 

785 

(32)


763 

34 

53 

850 

(34)

Greece

733 

 - 

733 


936 

936 

(476)


895 

895 

(517)

Switzerland

535 

 - 

173 

708 

12 

10 


749 

161 

910 


657 

156 

813 

11 

Austria

283 

162 

150 

595 

(34)

(27)


267 

50 

143 

460 

(19)


274 

51 

151 

476 

(20)

Sweden

79 

257 

253 

589 


77 

250 

219 

546 


30 

269 

165 

464 

Hong Kong

544 

 - 

545 


797 

12 

809 


905 

913 

South Korea

129 

271 

400 


229 

383 

612 


261 

429 

690 

(2)

Republic of

  Ireland

93 

160 

128 

381 

(100)

(75)


101 

161 

375 

637 

(67)


104 

177 

408 

689 

(74)

Other

1,570 

317 

418 

2,305 

(91)

(71)


2,228 

320 

221 

2,769 

(43)


2,029 

471 

262 

2,762 

(93)





















65,545 

43,207 

9,916 

118,668 

(1,440)

(1,103)


58,420 

42,884 

9,824 

111,128 

(2,125)


59,389 

42,515 

9,226 

111,130 

(2,061)

 

Note:

(1)

Relates to financial institutes and corporates.


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives

 

The Group's derivative assets by internal grading scale and residual maturity are set out below. Master netting arrangements in respect of mark-to-market (mtm) values and collateral do not result in a net presentation in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS.

 



30 June 2011

31 March 

2011 

Total 

31 December 

2010 

Total 

Asset

quality

Probability

of default range

0-3 

months 

3-6 

months 

6-12 

months 

1-5 

years 

Over 5 

years 

Total 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 











AQ1

0% - 0.034%

23,480 

10,823 

16,883 

114,941 

190,904 

357,031 

323,302 

408,489 

AQ2

0.034% - 0.048%

648 

154 

366 

1,666 

2,766 

5,600 

5,365 

2,659 

AQ3

0.048% - 0.095%

1,523 

461 

741 

3,293 

4,890 

10,908 

10,780 

3,317 

AQ4

0.095% - 0.381%

776 

138 

429 

2,434 

2,847 

6,624 

6,349 

3,391 

AQ5

0.381% - 1.076%

602 

164 

251 

2,290 

3,626 

6,933 

6,396 

4,860 

AQ6

1.076% - 2.153%

1,574 

57 

121 

963 

880 

3,595 

3,991 

1,070 

AQ7

2.153% - 6.089%

194 

25 

55 

511 

1,287 

2,072 

1,880 

857 

AQ8

6.089% - 17.222%

10 

108 

532 

654 

786 

403 

AQ9

17.222% - 100%

20 

10 

24 

192 

240 

486 

995 

450 

AQ10

100%

184 

36 

468 

274 

969 

1,204 

1,581 













29,004 

11,840 

18,916 

126,866 

208,246 

394,872 

361,048 

427,077 

Counterparty mtm netting






(323,455)

(290,462)

(330,397)

Cash collateral held against derivative exposures




(27,500)

(25,363)

(31,096)











Net exposure







43,917 

45,223 

65,584 

 

At 30 June 2011, the Group also held collateral in the form of securities of £4.2 billion (31 March 2011 - £3.3 billion; 31 December 2010 - £2.9 billion) against derivative positions.

 

The table below analyses the fair value of the Group's derivatives by type of contract.

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011


31 December 2010


Assets 

Liabilities 


Assets 

Liabilities 


Assets 

Liabilities 

Contract type

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 










Interest rate contracts

283,966 

269,638 


259,006 

250,515 


311,731 

299,209 

Exchange rate contracts

72,682 

78,095 


73,552 

79,045 


83,253 

89,375 

Credit derivatives

32,507 

30,877 


22,704 

21,689 


26,872 

25,344 

Equity and commodity contracts

5,717 

9,199 


5,786 

9,376 


5,221 

10,039 











394,872 

387,809 


361,048 

360,625 


427,077 

423,967 

 

Key points

 

30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011

·

Net exposure, after taking account of position and collateral netting arrangements reduced marginally in Q2 2011, despite an increase in derivative carrying values.



·

Interest rate contracts increased due to lower over-the-counter contract compression trades, reductions in interest rate yields and depreciation of sterling against the euro. This was partially offset by the effect of the appreciation of sterling against the US dollar. All major five year interest rate indices (sterling, euro, and US dollar), moved down, decreasing by approximately 45, 26, and 39 basis points respectively. 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)

 

Key points (continued)

 

30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011 (continued)

·

Exchange rate contracts decreased due to the trading fluctuations and movements in forward rates and volume.



·

Credit derivative fair values increased by £9.8 billion, primarily as a result of de-risking of Non-Core where hedging trades resulted in higher assets and liabilities. Widening credit spreads also contributed to the increase in Non-Core.

 

30 June 2011 compared with 31 December 2010

·

Net exposure, after taking account of position and collateral netting arrangements, reduced by 33%, primarily reflecting reductions in derivative carrying values.



·

The main driver of the £28 billion decrease in interest rate assets reflected greater use of over-the-counter contract compression trades during H1 2011 overall and appreciation of sterling against the US dollar, as the majority of interest rate contracts are US dollar denominated. This was partially offset by a reduction in clearing house netting, downward shifts in US interest rate yields and increased net new business.



·

Exchange rate contracts decreased due to trading fluctuations and movements in forward rates and volume.



·

Credit derivatives increased by £5.6 billion, primarily as a result of de-risking of Non-Core where hedging trades put in place in Q2 2011 resulted in higher assets and liabilities. Widening credit spreads also increased carrying values in Non-Core's Structured Credit Products.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)

 

The Group's exposures to monolines and CDPCs by credit rating are summarised below, ratings are based on the lower of S&P and Moody's. All of these exposures are in Non-Core.

 


Notional: 

 protected 

 assets 

Fair value: 

reference 

 protected 

assets 

Gross 

 exposure 

Credit 

valuation 

adjustment

(CVA)

Hedges 

Net 

 exposure 

Monoline insurers

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 








30 June 2011







A to AA-

5,547 

4,936 

611 

166 

445 

Non-investment grade

7,079 

4,047 

3,032 

2,155 

68 

809 









12,626 

8,983 

3,643 

2,321 

68 

1,254 








Of which:







CMBS

3,853 

2,131 

1,722 

1,285 



CDOs

1,086 

230 

856 

596 



CLOs

4,946 

4,561 

385 

107 



Other ABS

2,241 

1,739 

502 

250 



Other

500 

322 

178 

83 











12,626 

8,983 

3,643 

2,321 










31 March 2011







A to AA-

5,759 

5,121 

638 

194 

444 

Non-investment grade

8,123 

5,246 

2,877 

1,984 

69 

824 









13,882 

10,367 

3,515 

2,178 

69 

1,268 








Of which:







CMBS

3,859 

2,316 

1,543 

1,132 



CDOs

1,092 

245 

847 

569 



CLOs

6,183 

5,747 

436 

139 



Other ABS

2,260 

1,734 

526 

260 



Other

488 

325 

163 

78 











13,882 

10,367 

3,515 

2,178 










31 December 2010







A to AA-

6,336 

5,503 

833 

272 

561 

Non-investment grade

8,555 

5,365 

3,190 

2,171 

71 

948 









14,891 

10,868 

4,023 

2,443 

71 

1,509 








Of which:







CMBS

4,149 

2,424 

1,725 

1,253 



CDOs

1,133 

256 

877 

593 



CLOs

6,724 

6,121 

603 

210 



Other ABS

2,393 

1,779 

614 

294 



Other

492 

288 

204 

93 











14,891 

10,868 

4,023 

2,443 



 

Key points

 

30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011

·

The gross exposure to monolines increased primarily due to lower prices of underlying reference instruments.

 


·

The CVA increased reflecting the increase in exposure and widened credit spreads.



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)

 

30 June 2011 compared with 31 December 2010

·

The exposure to monolines decreased primarily due to higher prices of underlying reference instruments.  The trades with monolines are predominantly US dollar denominated.  The strengthening of sterling against the US dollar further decreased the exposure.



·

The CVA decreased on a total basis, with a reduction in exposure but partially offset by the impact of wider credit spreads.

 


Notional: 

protected 

 assets 

Fair value: 

reference 

protected 

assets 

Gross 

exposure 

Credit 

valuation 

adjustment 

Net 

exposure 

CDPCs

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 







30 June 2011






AAA

205 

205 

A to AA-

622 

607 

15 

11 

Non-investment grade

19,724 

18,759 

965 

427 

538 

Unrated

3,927 

3,712 

215 

101 

114 








24,478 

23,283 

1,195 

532 

663 







31 March 2011






AAA

206 

206 

A to AA-

623 

607 

16 

11 

Non-investment grade

19,686 

18,793 

893 

362 

531 

Unrated

3,964 

3,772 

192 

78 

114 








24,479 

23,378 

1,101 

445 

656 







31 December 2010






AAA

213 

212 

A to AA-

644 

629 

15 

11 

Non-investment grade

20,066 

19,050 

1,016 

401 

615 

Unrated

4,165 

3,953 

212 

85 

127 








25,088 

23,844 

1,244 

490 

754 

 

Key points

 

30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011

·

Exposure to CDPCs increased primarily driven by wider credit spreads on the underlying reference loans and bonds, partially offset by a decrease in the relative value of senior tranches compared with that of underlying reference portfolios.

·

The CVA increased in line with the increased exposure.

 

30 June 2011 compared with 31 December 2010

·

Exposure to CDPCs reduced, primarily driven by a decrease in the relative value of senior tranches compared with that of the underlying reference portfolios. This was partially offset by wider credit spreads on the underlying reference instruments. The trades with CDPCs are predominantly US and Canadian dollar denominated. The strengthening of sterling against these currencies also contributed to the decrease in exposure.

·

The increase in CVA was primarily driven by an increase in the estimated cost of hedging expected underlying portfolio default losses in excess of the capital available in each vehicle. The level of CVA on CDPC exposures is estimated by reference to cost of hedging as above and recent market events affecting CDPCs, including commutation activity.

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Cross border exposures

 

Cross border exposures consist of loans and advances gross of provisions and other financial instruments, such as debt securities and derivatives, including non-local currency claims of overseas on local residents. The geographical analysis is based on the country of domicile of the borrower or guarantor of ultimate risk. Cross border exposures exclude exposure to local residents in local currency.

 

The table below sets out the Group's cross border exposures greater than 0.5% of the Group's total assets at 30 June 2011. Short positions have been netted against cross border exposures. However such netting is not reflected in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS. None of these countries have experienced repayment difficulties that have so far required restructuring of outstanding debt. On 21 July 2011 proposals to restructure Greek government debt were announced by the Heads of State or Government of the Euro area and EU institutions.  These proposals include a voluntary programme of debt exchange and a buyback plan developed by the Greek government.

 

 

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

 

Government 

Banks 

Other

Total 

Short 

positions 

Net of short 

positions 

 

Government 

Banks 

Other

Total 

Short 

positions 

Net of short 

positions 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US

22,912 

9,721 

39,259 

71,892 

19,484 

52,408 

 

21,201 

14,382 

36,813 

72,396 

14,240 

58,156 

France

18,905 

18,956 

6,635 

44,496 

6,069 

38,427 

 

17,293 

16,007 

6,756 

40,056 

4,285 

35,771 

Germany

21,741 

6,595 

8,320 

36,656 

5,391 

31,265 

 

22,962 

6,276 

10,467 

39,705 

4,685 

35,020 

Netherlands

4,303 

5,186 

11,778 

21,267 

1,287 

19,980 

 

2,900 

3,055 

10,824 

16,779 

951 

15,828 

Japan

5,421 

7,789 

5,777 

18,987 

3,336 

15,651 

 

7,983 

6,962 

7,542 

22,487 

409 

22,078 

Spain

1,247 

4,911 

11,242 

17,400 

2,402 

14,998 

 

1,401 

4,248 

11,589 

17,238 

1,357 

15,881 

Italy

8,501 

1,671 

1,846 

12,018 

5,337 

6,681 

 

6,409 

1,083 

2,188 

9,680 

3,183 

6,497 

Switzerland

4,313 

4,024 

3,309 

11,646 

18 

11,628 

 

1,714 

2,944 

4,662 

12 

4,650 

Republic of Ireland

186 

3,094 

2,376 

5,656 

82 

5,574 

 

199 

3,789 

3,101 

7,089 

131 

6,958 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Set out below are cross border exposures for selected other eurozone countries:

 







Portugal

189 

536 

957 

1,682 

113 

1,569 

 

197 

985 

472 

1,654 

121 

1,533 

Greece

1,032 

48 

840 

1,920 

29 

1,891 

 

1,015 

228 

1,175 

2,418 

37 

2,381 

 


 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Country risk*

 

Country exposures are managed under the Group's country risk framework. This includes active management of exposures that have either been identified as exhibiting signs of actual or potential stress using the Group's country watchlist process or where it is considered appropriate to actively control exposure levels.  Limit controls are applied on a risk-differentiated basis. Granular portfolio reviews are undertaken with a view to adjusting the risk profile and to align to the Group's country risk appetite in light of the evolving economic and political developments. 

 

A re-appraisal of sovereign default risk among the most vulnerable eurozone economies has resulted in intensified management responses. This included frequent, comprehensive and detailed reviews of exposures to each of these countries, including increased vigilance in counterparty monitoring, leading to several divestments and limit reductions to ensure the Group's exposure remains within defined risk appetite. Exposure to Irish banks for example is now less than half of the exposure in Q4 2008.

 

In addition to the macroeconomic and strategic analysis in the regular country risk control process, the Group has undertaken sovereign-related stress tests and a series of broad thematic reviews of possible high-impact scenarios related to the eurozone crisis, with potential impact and mitigating actions. Investigated themes include sovereign debt restructuring, various eurozone break-up scenarios and a re-examination of potential financial sector support given ongoing public finance and political pressures. These reviews combine operational analysis with strategic commentary to develop detailed contingency plans and identify potential business opportunities.

 

A dynamic limit setting methodology was introduced with an automatic reduction of trading limits upon evidence of reduced liquidity or increased CDS spreads. This approach has resulted in an effective reduction in sovereign issuer risk limits for the vulnerable eurozone countries.

 

The table below shows the Group's exposure in terms of credit risk assets, to countries where the exposure to counterparties domiciled in that country exceeded £1 billion and where the country had an external rating of A+ or below from Standard & Poor's, Moody's or Fitch at 30 June 2011, and selected other countries. The numbers are stated gross of mitigating action which may have been taken to reduce or eliminate exposure to country risk events. 

 

Further details for selected eurozone countries are provided in Appendix 3.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Country risk* (continued)

 


Lending


Derivatives and

contingent obligations

Central

and local

government

Central
 banks

Other

financial

institutions

Corporate

Personal

Total

Core

Non-

Core

30 June 2011

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m


£m












Republic of Ireland

53

1,557

459

20,669

20,773

43,511

32,364

11,147


2,448

India

192

260

1,170

2,625

16

4,263

3,975

288


1,448

Italy

7

81

1,121

2,317

26

3,552

1,891

1,661


2,323

China

14

223

1,431

647

34

2,349

2,177

172


1,697

South Korea

-

12

1,078

710

2

1,802

1,786

16


394

Turkey

207

36

312

1,216

13

1,784

1,221

563


556

Russia

-

49

815

808

65

1,737

1,610

127


248

Brazil

-

-

1,001

301

4

1,306

1,185

121


88

Mexico

-

8

249

1,036

1

1,294

872

422


198

Romania

34

183

48

477

401

1,143

17

1,126


125

Poland

41

5

52

723

5

826

744

82


372

Indonesia

83

57

233

264

133

770

632

138


321

Portugal

45

-

48

585

5

683

327

356


555












Additional selected countries




















Spain

20

13

1,197

6,842

405

8,477

4,022

4,455


2,372

Belgium

172

11

1,182

983

19

2,367

1,855

512


2,342

Japan

401

-

1,028

756

24

2,209

1,561

648


1,907

Greece

10

9

36

421

15

491

341

150


220

 

31 December 2010






















Republic of Ireland

61

2,119

900

19,881

20,228

43,189

32,431

10,758


3,496

India

262

-

1,614

2,590

273

4,739

4,085

654


1,249

Italy

45

78

1,086

2,483

27

3,719

1,817

1,902


2,312

China

17

298

1,240

753

64

2,372

2,136

236


1,572

South Korea

-

276

1,039

555

2

1,872

1,822

50


643

Turkey

282

68

485

1,365

12

2,212

1,520

692


547

Russia

-

110

251

1,181

58

1,600

1,475

125


216

Brazil

-

-

825

315

5

1,145

1,025

120


120

Mexico

-

8

149

999

1

1,157

854

303


148

Romania

36

178

42

426

446

1,128

7

1,121


142

Poland

-

168

13

655

6

842

736

106


381

Indonesia

84

42

262

293

131

812

657

155


273

Portugal

86

-

63

611

6

766

450

316


537












Additional selected countries




















Spain

19

5

258

6,962

407

7,651

3,130

4,521


2,447

Belgium

102

14

473

893

327

1,809

1,307

502


2,546

Japan

1,379

-

685

809

24

2,897

2,105

792


2,000

Greece

14

36

49

188

16

303

173

130


214

 

Note:

(1)

Credit risk assets consist of:


Lending: cash and balances at central banks, loans and advances to banks and customers (including overdraft        facilities, instalment credit and finance leases). Undrawn commitments are excluded;


Derivative exposures are measured at mark-to-market and net of liabilities where a master netting arrangement is enforceable;


Contingent obligations, primarily letters of credit and guarantees. Undrawn commitments are excluded.

 

 

* not reviewed

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Country risk* (continued)

 

Key points

·

Exposure shows a mixed picture for the selected countries during the first half of 2011. Currency movements increased euro denominated lending by 4.6% and reduced US dollar denominated exposures by 3.5%. There were reductions in lending to governments, central banks and corporate clients whereas exposure to banks increased. Non-Core exposures fell, except in a few countries where drawings took place under committed facilities. Appendix 3 provides further commentary and details on selected eurozone countries, including held-for-trading and available-for-sale holdings.



·

Japan - lending exposure at £2.2 billion reduced by £0.7 billion since 31 December 2010 driven by a reduction in government lending.



·

North Africa and the Middle East - exposure reduced during the first half of 2011. Of the countries experiencing varying degrees of social and political unrest. Lending exposure to Bahrain and Egypt was £197 million and £77 million respectively. Exposure to Libya and Syria is negligible.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate*

 

The commercial real estate lending portfolio totalled £84.6 billion at 30 June 2011, a 5.9% decrease since 31 December 2010 (£89.9 billion). The Non-Core portion of the portfolio totalled £42.7 billion (50.5% of the portfolio) at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - £47.7 billion, or 53.0% of the portfolio) and includes exposures in Ulster Bank Group as discussed on page 159. The analysis below excludes RRM and contingent obligations.

 


30 June 2011


31 March 2011



Investment 

Development 

Total 


Investment 

Development 

Total 


Investment 

Development 

Total 

By division

£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 













Core












UK Corporate(1)

25,472 

5,839 

31,311 


26,514 

6,124 

32,638 


24,879 

5,819 

30,698 

Ulster Bank

4,338 

955 

5,293 


4,272 

1,015 

5,287 


4,284 

1,090 

5,374 

US Retail &

  Commercial

4,009 

98 

4,107 


4,083 

87 

4,170 


4,322 

93 

4,415 

GBM

775 

402 

1,177 


1,030 

417 

1,447 


1,131 

644 

1,775 














34,594 

7,294 

41,888 


35,899 

7,643 

43,542 


34,616 

7,646 

42,262 













Non-Core












UK Corporate

4,765 

2,504 

7,269 


5,372 

2,701 

8,073 


7,591 

3,263 

10,854 

Ulster Bank

4,076 

9,002 

13,078 


3,947 

8,881 

12,828 


3,854 

8,760 

12,614 

US Retail &

  Commercial

1,101 

49 

1,150 


1,234 

55 

1,289 


1,325 

70 

1,395 

GBM

20,823 

399 

21,222 


21,707 

523 

20,230 


22,405 

417 

22,822 














30,765 

11,954 

42,719 


32,260 

12,160 

44,420 


35,175 

12,510 

47,685 














65,359 

19,248 

84,607 


68,159 

19,803 

87,962 


69,791 

20,156 

89,947 

 

Note:

(1)

The increase in Core UK Corporate exposures in Q1 2011 reflected Non-Core returning commercial real estate assets, in preparation for the sale of the RBS England and Wales branch-based business to Santander.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate* (continued)

 


Investment


Development



Commercial 

Residential 


Commercial 

Residential 

Total 

By geography

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 








30 June 2011







UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

31,116 

6,696 


1,356 

7,763 

46,931 

Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)

5,424 

1,210 


2,762 

6,701 

16,097 

Western Europe

10,887 

1,565 


13 

87 

12,552 

US

5,880 

1,196 


79 

108 

7,263 

RoW

1,361 

24 


149 

230 

1,764 









54,668 

10,691 


4,359 

14,889 

84,607 








31 March 2011







UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

32,221 

7,195 


1,405 

8,184 

49,005 

Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)

5,153 

1,143 


2,848 

6,556 

15,700 

Western Europe

12,273 

712 


70 

13,063 

US

6,696 

1,252 


234 

97 

8,279 

RoW

1,490 

24 


141 

260 

1,915 









57,833 

10,326 


4,636 

15,167 

87,962 








31 December 2010







UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

32,979 

7,255 


1,520 

8,296 

50,050 

Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)

5,056 

1,148 


2,785 

6,578 

15,567 

Western Europe

12,262 

707 


25 

46 

13,040 

US

7,405 

1,332 


69 

175 

8,981 

RoW

1,622 

25 


138 

524 

2,309 









59,324 

10,467 


4,537 

15,619 

89,947 

 

Note:

(1)

ROI: Republic of Ireland; NI: Northern Ireland.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate* (continued)

 


Investment


Development



Core 

Non-Core 


Core 

Non-Core 

Total 

By geography

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 

£m 








30 June 2011







UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

26,564 

11,248 


6,023 

3,096 

46,931 

Ireland (ROI & NI)

3,364 

3,270 


858 

8,605 

16,097 

Western Europe

431 

12,021 


55 

45 

12,552 

US

4,059 

3,017 


131 

56 

7,263 

RoW

176 

1,209 


227 

152 

1,764 









34,594 

30,765 


7,294 

11,954 

84,607 








31 March 2011







UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

27,658 

11,758 


6,320 

3,269 

49,005 

Ireland (ROI & NI)

3,189 

3,107 


899 

8,505 

15,700 

Western Europe

378 

12,607 


50 

28 

13,063 

US

4,396 

3,552 


121 

210 

8,279 

RoW

278 

1,236 


253 

148 

1,915 









35,899 

32,261 


7,643 

12,159 

87,962 








31 December 2010







UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

26,168 

14,066 


5,997 

3,819 

50,050 

Ireland (ROI & NI)

3,159 

3,044 


963 

8,401 

15,567 

Western Europe

409 

12,560 


25 

46 

13,040 

US

4,636 

4,101 


173 

71 

8,981 

RoW

244 

1,404 


488 

173 

2,309 









34,616 

35,175 


7,646 

12,510 

89,947 

 

By sub-sector (1)

UK 

(excl NI) 

£m 

Ireland 

(ROI & NI) 

£m 

Western 

Europe 

£m 

US 

£m 

RoW 

£m 

Total 

£m 








30 June 2011







Residential

14,449 

9,046 

1,650 

1,304 

254 

26,703 

Office

7,766 

462 

4,446 

552 

806 

14,032 

Retail

9,671 

956 

2,618 

268 

296 

13,809 

Industrial

4,589 

183 

675 

53 

51 

5,551 

Mixed/other

10,456 

5,450 

3,163 

5,086 

357 

24,512 









46,931 

16,097 

12,552 

7,263 

1,764 

84,607 








31 December 2010


Residential

15,551 

7,726 

753 

1,507 

549 

26,086 

Office

8,551 

1,402 

4,431 

675 

891 

15,950 

Retail

10,607 

3,985 

1,933 

1,029 

479 

18,033 

Industrial

4,928 

674 

711 

80 

106 

6,499 

Mixed/other

10,413 

1,780 

5,212 

5,690 

284 

23,379 









50,050 

15,567 

13,040 

8,981 

2,309 

89,947 

 

Note:

(1)

Excludes RRM and contingent obligations.

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate* (continued)

 

Key points

·

The decrease in the commercial real estate portfolio over the last six months has occurred primarily in the UK. The growth shown in Ireland is due to foreign exchange rate movements. The asset mix has remained broadly unchanged since the end of 2010.



·

Of the total portfolio at 30 June 2011, £39.0 billion (31 December 2010 - £46.3 billion) is managed within the Group's standard credit risk processes, £6.2 billion (31 December 2010 - £9.2 billion) is receiving heightened credit oversight under the Group watchlist process ("watch") and £39.5 billion (31 December 2010 - £34.4 billion) is managed within Global Restructuring Group (GRG). The increase in the portfolio managed by GRG is primarily driven by Ulster Bank Group.



·

Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) commercial real estate lending of £18.4 billion had a provision of £6.0 billion at 30 June 2011.



·

Short-term lending to property developers without firm long-term financing in place is characterised as speculative. Speculative lending at origination continues to represent less than 1% of the portfolio.



·

Tighter risk appetite criteria for new business origination were implemented during 2010. Whilst there has been some recovery in the value of prime properties in the UK, the Group observes that it has been inconsistent. To date this recovery has not fed through into lower quality properties in the UK and has not been evident in other regions, notably the eurozone and Republic of Ireland.



·

The commercial real estate market will remain challenging in key markets and new business will be accommodated by running-off existing exposure. Liquidity in the market remains tight and so the Group's focus remains on re-financing and supporting the existing client base.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets*

 

The Group's retail lending portfolio includes mortgages, credit cards, unsecured loans, auto finance and overdrafts. The majority of personal lending exposures are in the UK, Ireland and the US. The table below includes both Core and Non-Core balances.

 


30 June 

2011 

31 December 

2010 

Personal credit risk assets

£m 

£m 




UK Retail



  - mortgages

95,955 

92,592 

  - cards, loans and overdrafts

16,941 

18,072 

Ulster Bank



  - mortgages

21,778 

21,162 

  - other personal

1,605 

1,017 

Citizens



  - mortgages

23,513 

24,575 

  - auto and cards

5,575 

6,062 

  - other (1)

3,070 

3,455 

Other (2)

16,409 

18,123 





184,846 

185,058 

 

Notes:

(1)

Mainly student loans and recreational vehicles/marine.

(2)

Personal exposures in other divisions.

 

 

Residential mortgages*

The table below details the distribution of residential mortgages by indexed LTV. Ulster Bank Group is discussed on page 159.

 


UK Retail


Citizens


30 June 

2011 

31 December 

2010 


30 June 

2011 

31 December 

2010 

Distribution by average LTV (1)








<= 50%

37.9 

38.5 


26.9 

25.8 

> 50% and <= 70%

22.4 

23.2 


18.1 

17.3 

> 70% and <= 90%

26.4 

26.2 


26.6 

27.4 

> 90%

13.3 

12.1 


28.4 

29.5 







Total portfolio average LTV

59.0 

58.2 


75.3 

75.3 







Average LTV on new originations

54.9 

64.2 


65.0 

64.8 

 

Note:

(1)

LTV averages are calculated by transaction volume.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * not reviewed

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets - Residential mortgages* (continued)

 

The table below details the residential mortgages which are three months or more in arrears (by volume).


30 June 

2011 

31 December 

2010 





UK Retail (1)

1.7 

1.7 

Citizens

1.2 

1.4 

 

Note:

(1)

UK Retail arrears analysis covers all mortgage brands except the One Account Current Account Mortgage and some small legacy portfolios and so represents 92% of the total UK Retail mortgage portfolio. The One Account accounts for the vast majority of the remainder (c.£8 billion of assets, c.8% of the total) and had 1.0% of accounts 90 days continually in excess of limit as at 30 June 2011 (31 March 2011 - 0.9%).

 

UK Retail residential mortgages

 

Key points

·

The UK Retail mortgage portfolio totalled £96.0 billion at 30 June 2011, an increase of 3.6% from 31 December 2010, due to continued strong sales growth and lower redemption rates relative to before the financial crisis. Of the total portfolio, 98.4% is designated as Core business with the primary brands being the Royal Bank of Scotland, NatWest, the One Account and First Active. Non-Core comprises Direct Line Mortgages. The assets are prime mortgage lending and include 6.8% (£6.5 billion) of exposure to residential buy-to-let. There is a small legacy self certification book (0.3% of total assets), which was withdrawn from sale in 2004.

·

Gross new mortgage lending in H1 2011 remained strong at £7.8 billion. The average LTV for new business during H1 2011 was 54.9% compared with 64.2% in FY 2010. The maximum LTV available to new customers remains at 90%. Based on the Halifax House Price index at March 2011, the book average indexed LTV has increased marginally to 59.0% from 58.2% at 31 December 2010, influenced by the fall in house prices with the proportion of balances with an LTV over 100% at 30 June 2011 at 7.8%, up from 6.9% at 31 December 2010.

·

The arrears rate (more than 3 payments in arrears, excluding repossessions and shortfalls post property sale) has remained broadly stable since late 2009 at 1.7%.

·

The mortgage impairment charge was £116 million for the half year ended 30 June 2011 (Q1 2011 - £61 million; Q2 2011 - £55 million) an increase of 36.7% from H2 2010.  A significant part of this relates to adjustments reflecting reduced expectations of recovery on prior period defaulted debt and provisions relating to mortgages in forbearance.  Default and arrears rates remain sensitive to economic developments and are currently supported by the low interest rate environment and strong book growth with recent business yet to mature.

·

A number of initiatives aimed at supporting customers experiencing temporary financial difficulties remain in place. Forbearance/re-negotiation activities include offering reduced or deferred payment terms on a temporary basis for a period of up to twelve months, during which arrears continue to accrue on the account, as well as term extensions beyond the originally planned repayment date, and also re-capitalisations from the non-performing book back to performing. It is Group policy not to initiate repossession proceedings for at least six months after arrears are evident. The number of properties repossessed in H1 2011 was 715 which is broadly in line with the 2010 average.

 

* not reviewed

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets - Residential mortgages* (continued)

 

Citizens residential real estate

 

Key points

·

Citizens total residential real estate portfolio totalled $37.8 billion at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - $38.2 billion).  The residential real estate portfolio comprises $10.1 billion (Core - $9.0 billion; Non-Core - $1.1 billion) of first lien residential mortgages and $27.7 billion (Core - $23.4 billion; Non-Core - $4.3 billion) of home equity loans and lines (first and second lien). Home equity Core consists of 46% first lien position while Non-Core consists of 98% second lien position. The Core business comprises 86% of the portfolio and Non-Core comprising 14%, with the serviced by others (SBO) portfolio being the largest component (74%) of the Non-Core portfolio.



·

Citizens continues to focus on the 'footprint states' in New England, Mid Atlantic and Mid West targeting low risk products and maintaining conservative risk policies.  At 30 June 2011, the portfolio consisted of $31.8 billion (84% of the total portfolio) in these footprint states.



·

The current weighted average LTV of the residential real estate portfolio remained flat at 75.3% at 31 December 2010 and 30 June 2011.  The current weighted average LTV of the residential real estate portfolio excluding SBO is 70.0%.



·

The arrears rate decreased from 1.4% at 31 December 2010 to 1.2% at 30 June 2011. Delinquency rates have stabilised in recent months for both residential mortgages and home equity loans and lines.  Citizens participate in the US Government Home Modification Program alongside other bank-sponsored initiatives, which has helped customers.



·

The SBO portfolio consists of purchased pools of home equity loans and lines (96% second lien) with current LTV (108% at 30 June 2011) and geographic profiles (73% outside of Citizens footprint) resulting in an annualised charge-off rate of 9.7% in H1 2011.  The SBO book has been closed to new purchases since the third quarter of 2007 and is in run-off, with exposure down from $4.5 billion at 31 December 2010 to $4.0 billion at 30 June 2011. The arrears rate of the SBO portfolio has decreased from 2.7% at 31 December 2010 to 2.2% at 30 June 2011 due to more effective account servicing and collections.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets - Personal lending*

 

The Group's personal lending portfolio includes credit cards, unsecured loans, auto finance and overdrafts. The majority of personal lending exposures are in the UK and the US. New defaults as a proportion of average loans and advances are shown in the following table.

 


30 June 2011


31 December 2010


Average 

 loans and 

 receivables 

£m 

Impairment 

 charge 

 as a % of 

 loans and 

 receivables 

%


Average 

 loans and 

 receivables 

£m 

Impairment 

 charge 

as a % of 

loans and 

 receivables 

%

Personal lending








UK Retail cards (1)

5,719 

3.0 


6,025 

5.0 

UK Retail loans (1)

8,400 

2.4 


9,863 

4.8 








$m 


$m 







Citizens cards (2)

1,461 

5.8 


1,555 

9.9 

Citizens auto loans (2)

7,589 

0.1 


8,133 

0.6 

 

Notes:

(1)

The ratios for UK Retail assets refers to the impairment charges for the full year 2010 and annualised for June 2011.

(2)

The ratios for Citizens refers to charge-offs, net of recoveries realised in the period.

 

Key points

·

The UK personal lending portfolio, of which 98.1% is in Core businesses, comprises credit cards, unsecured loans and overdrafts and totalled £16.9 billion at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - £18.1 billion), a decrease of 6.6% due to continued subdued loan recruitment activity and a continuing general market trend of customers repaying unsecured loan balances, and with cards and current account balances remaining stable. The Non-Core portfolio consists of the direct finance loan portfolios (Direct Line, Lombard, Mint and Churchill), and totalled £0.3 billion at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - £0.4 billion).



·

Risk appetite continues to be actively managed across all products. Support continues for customers experiencing financial difficulties through "breathing space initiatives" on all unsecured products, whereby a thirty day period is given to allow customers to establish a debt repayment plan. During this time the Group suspends collection activity. A further extension of thirty days can be granted if progress is made and discussions are continuing. Investment in collection and recovery processes continues, addressing both continued support for the Group's customers and the management of impairments.



·

UK Retail benefited from a combination of risk appetite tightening and a more favourable economic environment, impairment losses on unsecured lending have reduced from £395 million in H2 2010 to £287 million in H1 2011 with underlying default trends having now broadly stabilised. Impairments will remain sensitive to the external environment.



·

Industry benchmarks for cards arrears remain stable, with the Group continuing to perform favourably.



·

Outstanding balances for the Citizens credit card portfolio totalled US$1.43 billion at 30 June 2011.  Core assets comprised 88% of the portfolio.

 

* not reviewed

 

 

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core)

 

Overview

Ulster Bank Group accounts for 10.2% of the Group's total gross customer loans (31 March 2011 - 10.1%; 31 December 2010 - 9.9%) and 8.8% of the Group's Core gross customer loans (31 March 2011 - 9.0%; 31 December 2010 - 8.9%). The H1 2011 impairment charge was £2,540 million (H1 2010 - £1,722 million) with commercial real estate and mortgage sectors accounting for £1,860 million (73%) and £311 million (12%) of the total H1 2011 impairment charge respectively. The remainder of the impairment charge is attributable to the other corporate and personal unsecured portfolios. Provision coverage of REIL increased from 43.8% at 31 December 2010 to 51.4% at H1 2011.

 

The impairment charge of £1,246 million for Q2 2011 was £48 million lower than Q1 2011. There was a decrease in the value of loans defaulting and a moderation of mortgage credit loss metrics in the quarter, however, these were offset by deteriorating collateral values in our commercial real estate portfolios. Overall high unemployment coupled with higher taxation and less liquidity in the economy, continues to depress housing market confidence and consumer spending, which resulted in the elevated impairment charge in the portfolios during the quarter.

 

Core

The H1 2011 impairment charge was £730 million (H1 2010 - £499 million) with the mortgage sector accounting for £311 million (43%) of the total. Impairment losses for Q2 2011 were £269 million (Q1 2011 - £461 million) reflecting the difficult economic environment in Ireland with elevated default levels across both mortgage and other corporate non-property portfolios. High unemployment, lower incomes and increased taxation together with pressure on borrowers with a dependence on consumer spending have resulted in higher corporate and mortgage loan losses.

 

Ulster Bank Group is assisting customers in this difficult environment. Forbearance policies which are deployed through the 'Flex' initiative are aimed at assisting customers in financial difficulty.

 

Non-Core

The H1 2011 impairment charge was £1,810 million (H1 2010 - £1,223 million) with the commercial real estate sector accounting for £1,697 million (94%) of the total. The impairment charge increased from £833 million for Q1 2011 to £977 million for Q2 2011, primarily reflecting the deterioration in security values in the development property portfolio, particularly those projects which have very low expectation of being completed in the medium-term.

 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Loans, REIL and impairments by sector

 


Gross 

 loans (1) 

REIL 

Provisions 

REIL 

as a % of 

gross 

 loans 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 REIL 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 gross loans 

 

H1 

Impairment 

charge 

H1 

Amounts 

 written-off 

30 June 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 










Core









Mortgages

21,778 

2,014 

769 

9.2 

38.2 

3.5 

311 

Personal unsecured

1,605 

201 

181 

12.5 

90.0 

11.3 

33 

15 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

4,338 

838 

331 

19.3 

39.5 

7.6 

115 

  - development

955 

241 

120 

25.2 

49.8 

12.6 

48 

Other corporate

8,699 

1,822 

1,000 

20.9 

54.9 

11.5 

223 











37,375 

5,116 

2,401 

13.7 

46.9 

6.4 

730 

21 










Non-Core









Commercial real estate









  - investment

4,076 

2,662 

1,231 

65.3 

46.2 

30.2 

384 

  - development

9,002 

7,847 

4,367 

87.2 

55.7 

48.5 

1,313 

Other corporate

1,811 

1,226 

661 

67.7 

53.9 

36.5 

113 











14,889 

11,735 

6,259 

78.8 

53.3 

42.0 

1,810 










Ulster Bank Group









Mortgages

21,778 

2,014 

769 

9.2 

38.2 

3.5 

311 

Personal unsecured

1,605 

201 

181 

12.5 

90.0 

11.3 

33 

15 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

8,414 

3,500 

1,562 

41.6 

44.6 

18.6 

499 

  - development

9,957 

8,088 

4,487 

81.2 

55.5 

45.1 

1,361 

Other corporate

10,510 

3,048 

1,661 

29.0 

54.5 

15.8 

336 











52,264 

16,851 

8,660 

32.2 

51.4 

16.6 

2,540 

23 

 

Note:

(1)

Funded loans.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Loans, REIL and impairments by sector (continued)

 


Gross 

 loans 

REIL 

Provisions 

REIL 

as a % of 

gross 

 loans 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 REIL 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 gross loans 

 

Q1 

Impairment 

charge 

Q1 

Amounts 

 written-off 

31 March 2011

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 










Core









Mortgages

21,495 

1,780 

676 

8.3 

38.0 

3.1 

233 

Personal unsecured

1,499 

193 

164 

12.9 

85.0 

10.9 

11 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

4,272 

773 

282 

18.1 

36.5 

6.6 

73 

  - development

1,015 

210 

99 

20.7 

47.1 

9.8 

24 

Other corporate

8,886 

1,682 

890 

18.9 

52.9 

10.0 

120 










37,167 

4,638 

2,111 

12.5 

45.5 

5.7 

461 

11 










Non-Core









Commercial real estate









  - investment

3,947 

2,449 

1,060 

62.0 

43.3 

26.9 

223 

  - development

8,881 

7,588 

3,524 

85.4 

46.4 

39.7 

503 

Other corporate

1,995 

1,186 

658 

59.4 

55.5 

33.0 

107 











14,823 

11,223 

5,242 

75.7 

46.7 

35.4 

833 










Ulster Bank Group









Mortgages

21,495 

1,780 

676 

8.3 

38.0 

3.1 

233 

Personal unsecured

1,499 

193 

164 

12.9 

85.0 

10.9 

11 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

8,219 

3,222 

1,342 

39.2 

41.7 

16.3 

296 

  - development

9,896 

7,798 

3,623 

78.8 

46.5 

36.6 

527 

Other corporate

10,881 

2,868 

1,548 

26.4 

54.0 

14.2 

227 











51,990 

15,861 

7,353 

30.5 

46.4 

14.1 

1,294 

11 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Loans, REIL and impairments by sector (continued)

 


Gross 

 loans 

REIL 

Provisions 

REIL 

as a % of 

gross 

 loans 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 REIL 

Provisions 

 as a % of 

 gross loans 

Q4 

Impairment 

charge 

Q4 

Amounts 

 written-off 

31 December 2010

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 

£m 










Core









Mortgages

21,162 

1,566 

439 

7.4 

28.0 

2.1 

159 

Personal unsecured

1,282 

185 

158 

14.4 

85.4 

12.3 

13 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

4,284 

598 

332 

14.0 

55.5 

7.7 

79 

  - development

1,090 

65 

37 

6.0 

56.9 

3.4 

(10)

Other corporate

9,039 

1,205 

667 

13.3 

55.4 

7.4 

135 











36,857 

3,619 

 1,633 

9.8 

45.1 

4.4 

376 

10 










Non-Core









Commercial real estate









  - investment

3,854 

2,391 

1,000 

62.0 

41.8 

25.9 

206 

  - development

8,760 

6,341 

2,783 

72.4 

43.9 

31.8 

596 

Other corporate

1,970 

 1,310 

561 

66.5 

42.8 

28.5 

(19)











14,584 

 10,042 

 4,344 

68.9 

43.3 

29.8 

783 










Ulster Bank Group









Mortgages

21,162 

1,566 

439 

7.4 

28.0 

2.1 

159 

Personal unsecured

1,282 

185 

158 

14.4 

85.4 

12.3 

13 

Commercial real estate









  - investment

8,138 

2,989 

1,332 

36.7 

44.6 

16.4 

285 

  - development

9,850 

6,406 

2,820 

65.0 

44.0 

28.6 

586 

Other corporate

11,009 

2,515 

1,228 

22.8 

48.8 

11.2 

116 











51,441 

13,661 

5,977 

26.6 

43.8 

11.6 

1,159 

10 

 

Key points

·

The increase in REIL in H1 2011 reflects continuing difficult conditions in both the commercial and residential sectors in the Republic of Ireland. Of the REIL at 30 June 2011, 70% was in Non-Core (31 December 2010 - 74%).



·

Sequential quarter comparison shows Core impairment of £269 million down from £461 million in Q1 2011, reflecting a lower impairment charge on the mortgage portfolio in Q2 2011. Non-Core impairments in Q2 2011 were £977 million compared with £833 million in Q1 2011 as collateral values in the development property portfolio deteriorated.



·

The majority of the Non-Core development lending book (87%) is REIL with a 56% provision coverage.



·

Mortgages show REIL as a % of gross lending of 9.2% at 30 June 2011 compared with 8.3% at 31 March 2011 and 7.4% at 31 December 2010.

 



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Residential mortgages*

The table below shows how the continued decrease in property values has affected the distribution of residential mortgages by loan-to-value (LTV) (indexed). LTV is based upon gross loan amounts and, whilst including defaulted loans, does not take account of provisions made.

 

 


30 June 

2011 

31 March 

 2011 

31 December 

2010 

By average LTV (1)





<= 50%

35.1 

34.7 

35.9 

> 50% and <= 70%

13.0 

13.0 

13.5 

> 70% and <= 90%

13.0 

13.0 

13.5 

> 90%

38.9 

39.3 

37.1 





Total portfolio average LTV

74.5 

73.7 

71.2 





Average LTV on new originations during the period

65.0 

69.0 

75.9 

 

Note:

(1)

LTV averages calculated by transaction volume.

 

Key points*

·

The residential mortgage portfolio across Ulster Bank Group totalled £21.8 billion at 30 June 2011 - with 90% in the Republic of Ireland and 10% in Northern Ireland. At constant exchange rates, the portfolio remained at similar levels to 31 December 2010 (£22.0 billion) with little growth due to very low new business volumes.



·

The 90 days arrears rate (by volume) increased due to the continued challenging economic environment. At 30 June 2011, the arrears rate was 7.4% (by volume) compared with 6.0% at 31 December 2010 and 6.6% at 31 March 2011. The impairment charge for Q2 2011 was £78 million compared with £233 million for Q1 2011. Repossession levels are higher than 2010 but remain modest with a total of 98 properties in H1 2011 repossessed (76 for full year 2010). 78% of repossessions during H1 2011 were through voluntary surrender or abandonment of the property.



·

Ulster Bank Group has a number of initiatives in place aimed at increasing the level of support to customers experiencing temporary financial difficulties.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed



 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 

Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

 

Commercial real estate*

The commercial real estate lending portfolio in Ulster Bank Group increased marginally during the quarter to £18.4 billion at 30 June 2011, primarily due to exchange rate movements. The Non-Core portion of the portfolio totalled £13.1 billion (71% of the portfolio). Of the total Ulster Bank Group commercial real estate portfolio 25% relates to Northern Ireland, 63% to the Republic of Ireland and 12% to the rest of the UK.

 


Development


Investment




Commercial  

Residential 


Commercial 

Residential 


Total 

Exposure by geography

£m 

£m 


£m 

£m 


£m 









30 June 2011








Ireland (ROI & NI)

2,762 

6,701 


5,378 

1,210 


16,051 

UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

104 

358 


1,702 

112 


2,276 

RoW

28 



44 










2,870 

7,087 


7,088 

1,326 


18,371 









31 March 2011








Ireland (ROI & NI)

2,848 

6,556 


5,090 

1,143 


15,637 

UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

112 

362 


1,835 

129 


2,438 

RoW

18 


22 


40 










2,960 

6,936 


6,947 

1,272 


18,115 









31 December 2010








Ireland (ROI & NI)

2,785 

6,578 


5,072 

1,098 


15,533 

UK (excluding Northern Ireland)

110 

359 


1,831 

115 


2,415 

RoW

18 


22 


40 










2,895 

6,955 


6,925 

1,213 


17,988 

 

Note:

(1)

The above table does not include rate risk management or contingent obligations.

 

Key point*

·

Commercial real estate remains the primary driver of the increase in the defaulted loan book for Ulster Bank. The outlook remains challenging with limited liquidity in the marketplace to support re-financing. Ongoing reviews of the portfolio have led to a greater portion of the portfolio moving to specialised management in the Global Restructuring Group.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* not reviewed

 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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