Interim Results

Murray International Trust PLC 26 July 2001 MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2001 The Directors of Murray International Trust PLC report the unaudited results of the company for the six months ended 30 June 2001. KEY POINTS * Net Asset Value Total Return of -7.4% compared with a total return of -5.6% from the benchmark index. * Share Price Total Return of -7.1%. * Total forecast dividend for the year of 16.3p per share. * Share buybacks enhanced Net Asset Value by 1.59%. BACKGROUND After an initial rise in January, global markets suffered a severe setback thereafter, particularly in the first quarter of the year when the S&P500 had its worst quarter for nearly thirty years and the technology heavy NASDAQ declined over 25%, its worst ever quarterly fall apart from the 1987 crash. This was due to a spate of profits warnings from the technology sectors experiencing an unexpected collapse in demand and also to a growing realisation that expectations of a 'V' shaped recovery in the US and global economy were at best premature and more probably unduly optimistic. Market returns for the half year were negative, despite an aggressive programme of monetary easing by the US Federal Reserve, and had rather a familiar look with the US relatively strong and Europe and the UK relatively weak but this outcome was much affected by movements in currencies with the dollar strong against both the yen and the Euro in particular so that in sterling terms North American markets returned -2.0%, Japan -2.3%, Europe -13.6% and the UK -7.7%. Yields on government bond markets rose slightly over the period as markets feared inflationary consequences from the Fed's aggressive monetary easing but total returns stayed in positive territory. Non-investment grade bonds suffered from global economy worries, telecom sector concerns and rising spreads in some emerging market debt. Murray International's bond portfolio is almost wholly concentrated in investment grade names. PERFORMANCE The net asset value total return, with net income re-invested for the six months to 30 June 2001, was -7.4% and the share price total return with net dividends re-invested was -7.1% compared with a return of -5.6% on the composite benchmark (40% of the FTSE World-UK and 60% of the FTSE World ex-UK indices). Despite being substantially underweight in the US stock market, where a strong dollar helped to limit the index loss to -1.6%, asset allocation was slightly positive overall as this was more than offset by overweight positions in Japan, Asia/Pacific and particularly Latin America where returns were substantially above the composite benchmark. Stock selection was therefore negative in both the USA and, to a lesser extent, in Japan. In particular the US portfolio suffered from a higher than index exposure to technology sectors until it was rebalanced in late March. SHARE BUYBACKS During the half year the company bought back 13,915,000 of its shares at an average price of 509.47p (an aggregate of £70.9m) and this contributed 1.59% per share to net asset value as at 30 June 2001. ACTIVITY There were two main influences on portfolio activity during the period. The first derived from the scale of the share buy back referred to above, which necessitated disinvestment from all the main geographic regions. The second influence was the sudden downturn in leading indicators for the European economy, which prompted the decision to eliminate exposure to the emerging European market area for the time being. In the current environment the general thrust of the portfolio is towards relative security of earnings and to avoid undue exposure to technology stocks given the lessons of history in this regard. DIVIDENDS For the current year the board has already declared that three interim dividends of 3.45p per share be paid on 17 August and 16 November 2001 and 18 February 2002. The Board intends to recommend a final dividend in respect of the year ended 31 December 2001, payable in May 2002, of 5.95p per share, making a total distribution for the year of 16.3p (2000 - 15.9p), an increase of 2.5% on the previous year. Shareholders will have noted the increasing tendency of UK companies to engage in share buy-backs rather than to increase dividends. For an income orientated investment trust, with a substantial UK weighting, this is a concern, and the Board is monitoring this development closely. OUTLOOK Prospects for growth in the global economy have deteriorated sharply over the last six months. In large measure the sudden slowdown in the US economy is due to structural overcapacity arising from eighteen months of a capital spending frenzy. This has caused retrenchment and consequent inventory adjustments, which have had repercussions on both Asia (including Japan) and Europe. So far, whilst survey expectations of consumer confidence in the US have fallen, actual spending patterns have held up well and this will be key to growth prospects going forward. Given that capital spending cycles are by their nature fairly lengthy affairs (historically three to six years) the response to interest rate changes is unusually reliant on the consumer and may thus be rather more muted than the general expectation. On most historic relationships global markets in aggregate are around fair value but we have returned to a position where the US is somewhat overvalued, with Europe and the UK some 10% undervalued whilst Japan is priced for deflation. Against this there is the clear risk that corporate profits forecasts for 2002 will be too high, as they were this year, and portfolio emphasis will continue to seek relative security of earnings. By order of the Board Murray Johnstone Limited, Secretary 26 July 2001 MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (INCORPORATING THE REVENUE ACCOUNT) for the six months ended 30 June 2001 (unaudited) Six months to 30 June Six months to 30 June 2000 2001 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 (Losses) gains on sales - (40,173) (40,173) - 34,702 34,702 Unrealised (losses) gains - (16,227) (16,227) - 9,084 9,084 Losses on investments - (56,400) (56,400) - 43,786 43,786 Income Income from investments 10,520 - 10,520 11,642 - 11,642 Other income 154 - 154 339 - 339 Management fees (696) (1,623) (2,319) (714) (1,665) (2,379) Currency gains (losses) - 6,245 6,245 - (2,226) (2,226) Other expenses (722) - (722) (717) (8) (725) Net return before finance 9,256 (51,778)(42,522) 10,550 39,887 50,437 costs and taxation Finance costs of borrowing (747) (1,742) (2,489) (1,238) (2,890) (4,128) Return on ordinary 8,509 (53,520)(45,011) 9,312 36,997 46,309 activities before tax Tax on ordinary activities (1,125) 746 (379) (995) 596 (399) Return attributable to 7,384 (52,774)(45,390) 8,317 37,593 45,910 equity shareholders Ordinary dividends on (9,666) - (9,666) (10,724) - (10,724) equity shares Transfer to (from) (2,282) (52,774)(55,056) (2,407) 37,593 35,186 reserves Return per ordinary share 8.1p (58.1p) (50.0p) 7.8p 35.1p 42.9p Return per ordinary share 8.0p (57.3p) (49.3p) 7.7p 34.7p 42.4p assuming full conversion of the B ordinary shares MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (INCORPORATING THE REVENUE ACCOUNT) for the six months ended 30 June 2001 (unaudited) Year ended 31 December 2000 Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 (Losses) gains on sales - (128,806) (128,806) Unrealised (losses) gains - (132,544) (132,544) Losses on investments - (3,738) (3,738) Income Income from investments 20,357 - 20,357 Other income 818 - 818 Management fees (1,455) (3,397) (4,852) Currency gains (losses) - (3,582) (3,582) Other expenses (1,587) (9) (1,596) Net return before finance costs and 18,133 (10,726) 7,407 taxation Finance costs of borrowing (2,118) (4,941) (7,059) Return on ordinary activities before 16,015 (15,667) 348 tax Tax on ordinary activities (1,710) 1,157 (553) Return attributable to equity 14,305 (14,510) (205) shareholders Ordinary dividends on equity shares (15,228) - (15,228) Transfer to (from) reserves (923) (14,510) (15,433) Return per ordinary share 13.5p (13.7p) (0.2p) Return per ordinary share 13.3p (13.5p) (0.2p) assuming full conversion of the B ordinary shares Notes 1. The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the company. 2. The results for the year to 31 December 2000 are abridged from the full accounts for that year, which received an unqualified report from the auditors and have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC BALANCE SHEET as at 30 June 2001 (unaudited) 30 June 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Fixed assets Investments 597,055 821,109 720,777 Current assets Debtors 5,919 10,791 8,343 Cash and short term deposits 10,590 17,376 10,075 16,509 28,167 18,418 Creditors Amounts falling due within one year 11,273 30,678 29,983 Net current assets (liabilities) 5,236 (2,511) (11,565) Total assets less current liabilities 602,291 818,598 709,212 Creditors Amounts falling due after more than one year 127,406 154,322 108,049 474,885 664,276 601,163 Capital and reserves Equity shareholders interest: Ordinary called up share capital 22,760 26,734 26,225 Share premium account 23 23 23 Capital redemption reserve 7,335 4,823 3,863 Capital reserve - realised 404,868 413,186 499,555 Capital reserve - unrealised 8,507 187,321 37,824 Revenue reserve 31,392 32,189 33,673 474,885 664,276 601,163 474,885 664,276 601,163 Net asset value per ordinary and 'B' ordinary share 521.6p 621.2p 573.1p MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC CASH FLOW STATEMENT for the six months ended 30 June 2001 Six months Six months Year ended to to 30 June 2001 30 June 2000 31 December 2000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Operating activities Investment income received 10,219 10,816 20,099 Deposit interest received 138 341 824 Placing commission - 5 - Underwriting commission received - 4 8 Investment management fees paid (1,584) (2,356) (4,403) Secretarial fees paid (33) (50) (100) Cash paid to and on behalf of (33) (28) (54) directors Other cash payments (332) (707) (1,961) Net cash inflow from operating 8,375 8,025 14,413 activities Returns on investment and servicing of finance Interest paid (2,608) (3,461) (7,138) Net cash outflow from returns on (2,608) (3,461) (7,138) investment and servicing of finance Financial investment Purchase of investments (229,221) (269,809) (450,464) Sale of investments 297,048 281,761 507,624 Purchase of currency option (6,398) - 4,374 Net cash inflow from financial 61,429 11,952 61,534 investment Equity dividends paid (8,593) (9,305) (16,506) Net cash inflow before use of liquid resources and financing 58,603 7,211 52,303 Financing Issue of shares - (23,735) - Loans received 22,000 59,380 (126,026) Loans repaid (10,000) (55,149) 89,157 Repurchase of ordinary shares (71,221) - (35,806) Net cash outflow from financing (59,221) (19,504) (72,675) Decrease in cash (618) (12,293) (20,372) MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC 6 months to Year to 30/6/01 30/6/00 31/12/00 Equity shareholders' interest* £474,885,000 £664,276,000 £601,163,000 Net asset value per ordinary share and 'B' ordinary share 521.6p 621.2p 573.1p * The reduction in Equity Shareholders interests includes the effect of the share buybacks undertaken during the relevant periods. Note 1 The number of 'B' ordinary shares converted into ordinary shares on 30 June 2001 was 66,036. The allotted ordinary share capital as of 30 June 2001 was: £000 89,807,877 Ordinary shares of 25p 22,452 1,235,051 'B' Ordinary shares of 25p 309 Note 2 6 months to Year to Dividends on ordinary shares 30/6/01 30/6/00 31/12/00 £000 £000 £000 Interims of 3,098 3,640 3,623 - 3.45p payable 17.8.01 (2000 - 3.45p) - 3.45p payable 16.11.01 (2000 - 3.45p) 3,098 3,640 3,578 - 3.45p payable 18.2.02 (2000 - 3.45p) 3,098 3,640 3,152 Final dividend (2000 - 5.15p) - - 5,070 Under (over) accrual of previous year's dividends due to share buybacks 372 (196) (195) 9,666 10,724 15,228 Note 3 A summary of investment changes during the period and twenty largest equity investments at 30 June 2001 are attached. Note 4 The revenue column of the statement of total return is the profit and loss account of the company. Note 5 The results for the year ended 31 December 2000 are abridged from the full accounts for that year, which received an unqualified report from the auditors and have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. By order of the Board MURRAY JOHNSTONE LIMITED, SECRETARY 26 July 2001 Copies of this announcement will be printed and issued to shareholders and will be available to the public at the registered office of the Company, 123 St Vincent Street, Glasgow. MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC SUMMARY OF INVESTMENT CHANGES DURING THE PERIOD Valuation Appreciation Valuation 31 December 2000 Transactions (depreciation) 30 June 2001 £'000 % £'000 £'000 £'000 % Equities United Kingdom 254,091 35.4 (23,851) (27,070) 203,170 33.6 Americas 132,226 18.4 (11,744) (8,139) 112,343 18.7 Europe & Africa 111,692 15.5 (18,566) (14,051) 79,075 13.1 Japan 71,256 9.9 (4,397) (3,505) 63,354 10.5 Middle East, Far East 28,777 4.0 (442) (1,477) 26,858 4.5 & Australasia 598,042 83.2 (59,000) (54,242) 484,800 80.4 Fixed income United Kingdom 82,951 11.5 (9,979) (3,808) 69,164 11.5 Europe & Africa 39,085 5.4 1,669 2,337 43,091 7.2 Americas 699 0.1 (669) (30) - - 122,735 17.0 (8,979) (1,501) 112,255 18.7 Other net (1,565) (0.2) 5,669 1,132 5,336 0.9 (liabilities) assets Total Assets 719,212 100.0 (62,310) (54,612) 602,291 100.0 Valuation Summary of Net Assets 30 June 2001 £'000 % Equities 484,800 102.1 Fixed Income 112,255 23.6 Other Net Assets 5,236 1.1 Borrowings and prior capital (127,406) (26.8) Equity shareholders' interest 474,885 100.0 MURRAY INTERNATIONAL TRUST PLC TWENTY LARGEST INVESTMENTS as at 30 June 2001 Investment Valuation % of Investment Area £'000 Total Assets * BP Amoco UK 22,919 3.8 John Menzies UK 20,970 3.5 GlaxoSmithKline UK 19,406 3.2 * Vodafone Group UK 17,582 2.9 HSBC Holdings UK 10,953 1.8 Shell Transport & Trading UK 9,497 1.6 * Lloyds TSB UK 8,580 1.4 Atrium Underwriting UK 7,909 1.3 * Royal Bank of Scotland Group UK 6,787 1.1 Petrobras ADR Brazil 6,641 1.1 AstraZeneca UK 6,626 1.1 * British Telecom UK 6,624 1.1 * Barclays UK 6,428 1.1 Microsoft USA 4,743 0.8 Germany 6% 4/7/2007 Germany 4,362 0.7 Aberdeen Japan Growth Japan 3,989 0.7 Philip Morris USA 3,988 0.7 Diageo UK 3,516 0.6 AOL Time Warner USA 3,365 0.6 Sunamerica Institutional Funding 5.375% 07/ UK 3,313 0.6 12/2009 178,198 29.7 * Holding comprises equity and fixed income securities.
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