Monthly Briefing 31-3-02

Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC 18 April 2002 The Lindsell Train Investment Trust PLC As at 31st March 2002 Fund Objective To maximise long-term total returns subject to the avoidance of loss of absolute value and with a minimum objective to maintain the real purchasing power of Sterling capital, as measured by the annual average yield on the 2.5% Consolidated Loan Stock. Share Price GBP 121.50 Net Asset Value GBP 104.74 Discount (Premium) (16.6%) Market Capitalisation GBP 24.3mn Source: Bloomberg Performance (based in GBP) Mar Feb Jan 1 Year Since Launch NAV -0.3 -0.2 +1.5 +4.2 +4.2 Share Price +1.7 +1.7 -0.8 +6.6 +21.5 2.5% Consol Loan Stock Annual Average Yield +5.1 Source: Bloomberg. Based in GBP. Top 10 Holdings % NAV Lindsell Train Japan (Dist) 13.1 US Gov Treasury 6.25% 12.9 Lindsell Train Global Media (Dist) 12.1 US Gov Treasury IL 3.875% 7.3 Halifax Group plc Pref 6.7 Dow Jones & Co 5.6 Cadbury Schweppes 5.5 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock 5.1 Barr (AG) 4.9 UK Treasury 2.5% 4.4 Industry Breakdown % NAV Bonds 32.0 Preference Shares 10.8 Media 11.8 Banks & Investment Co. 6.5 Leisure & Tourism 8.5 Food & Beverage 15.4 Investment Fund 25.2 Cash & Equivalent (10.3) Total 100.0 Geographical Breakdown % NAV Bonds 32.0 UK 11.9 US 20.1 Preference Shares 10.8 Equities 42.3 UK 29.2 US 6.1 Japan 4.4 Europe 2.6 Funds 25.2 LT Japan 13.1 LT Global Media 12.1 Cash & Equivalent (10.3) Total 100.0 Currency Exposure % NAV USD 52.1 JPY 0.3 EUR 2.6 GBP 45.0 Total 100.0 Fund Manager's Comments We are somewhat disappointed with the performance of the Company's NAV through March. It fell very slightly, while equity markets around the world appreciated, the UK, for instance, gaining over 3.0% for the month. For the year to date the NAV is up around 1.5%, against flat equity markets. The annualised return for the quarter is 6.0%, which would likely marginally beat our benchmark, the average yield on the Consolidated Loan Stock, which is running at 5.1% per annum currently. A dull month does not matter so much, particularly if we remain on track to meet our objectives. But it is a reminder to us and our investors that our low correlation to popular benchmarks can cut both ways. We benefited through the testing times of 2001, we may have to apologise for pedestrian returns in 2002 if equities continue to perform. The 'problem' in March was the performance of our fixed interest investments, which fell markedly. Our US treasury bond, for instance, started the month at $109, yielding 5.5% and ended at $104, yielding 5.95%. There was similar weakness in the gilt market, although the US TIP and the preference stocks, which tend to behave as bond proxies, were simply unmoved. Bonds were weak because evidence for economic recovery mounted over the period and the oil price spiked. We do not dispute the recovery and have nothing to add about the geopolitics of the oil price. We do believe, however, that the sell-off in long bonds is overdone. At a fraction under 6.0%, long US yields are within sight of the previous cyclical peak, of 6.7%, registered in January 2000. Not only are today's conditions very different from those in the immediate aftermath of the Millennium Boom, it seems incredible to us that they could be repeated any time soon. The evidence from the new capital-intensive industries, telecommunications and semiconductors, suggests that a capex boom is neither current nor likely, while it seems implausible that US consumers can become any more ebullient. We bought some more bonds on the strength of this analysis. To reiterate, though, we are not, nor are attempting to be, macro-economists making short-term calls about interest rates or yield curves. Rather, we are interested in accessing assets that we believe will help us achieve our investment objective with acceptably low risk. To us a yield of 6.0% in US Dollars is a good starting point. We maintain the fixed exposure at 30% in governments, of which 7.0% is in inflation protected TIPS. Our stocks had a better month and offset the falls on the bonds. Gains were achieved in Wolverhampton & Dudley, Cadbury and Dow Jones. We see no reason to sell or reduce any of these positions, indeed would love to buy more on any setback. AG Barr reported results that hit the share price by 3.0%, after good recent gains. The figures were dull and perhaps disappointing after the company's positive trading statement at the start of its financial year. However, what was encouraging and has supported the share price was the sales data for the key property, IRN-BRU, whose litreage was up 9% in 2001, including a 22% gain in England and Wales, where a concerted effort to grow share is being made and, of course, being expensed through the P&L. We continue to believe that the company is an attractive investment even as a low growth utility on its Scottish business, but could be exceptionally undervalued if the growth of its new markets accelerates. Fund Manager Launch Date Denominated Currency Nick Train 22 January 2001 GBP Year End Dividend Benchmark 31st March Ex-date: June The annual average yield on Payment: August the 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. Sedol No Bloomberg 3001710 LTI LN The Board Management Fees Registered Address Rhoddy Swire Standard Fee: 0.65% p.a. Lindsell Train Investment Trust Michael Mackenzie Performance Fee: 77A High Street Donald Adamson 10% of annual increase in Brentwood Michael Lindsell the share price, plus ESSEX DM14 4RR dividend, above the gross annual yield of the 21/2% Consolidated Loan Stock. Disclaimer The contents in this document is solely for information purposes only. The information contained herein does not constitute an offer or invitation to buy or subscribe any securities or funds in any jurisdiction in which such distribution is not authorised. Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice and cannot be relied upon in making any investment decision. Applications to invest in some of the funds must only be made on the basis of offer documents which may only be available for private circulation. The information contained in this document is published in good faith and neither Lindsell Train Limited nor any other person so connected assumes any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information as provided. No representation is made or assurance given that any statements made, views, projections or forecasts are correct or that objectives will be achieved. Lindsell Train and/or persons connected with it may have an interest in the Fund. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. You may not get back the amount you invested. Foreign exchange rates may cause the value of investments to go up or down. Investments may be subject to higher volatility in certain funds and the investment value may fall suddenly and substantially. Lindsell Train Limited 35 Thurloe Street, London SW7 2LQ Tel. +44 20 7225 6400 Fax. +44 20 7225 6499 info@lindselltrain.com www.lindselltrain.com Lindsell Train Limited is regulated by the FSA. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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