Earnings Statement KBC Group, 3Q 2009

Regulated information* - 13 November 2009 (07.00 a.m. CET) Summary KBC ended the three months to September 2009 with a net profit of 528 million euros. Excluding exceptional items, an underlying net profit of 631 million euros was achieved, 54% higher than the previous quarter and up 15% compared to the third quarter of 2008. Jan Vanhevel, Group CEO: 'Although volume trends remain sluggish for the time being, business margins continue to be resilient and charges for problem loans are lower. The figures presented in this earnings statement provide evidence of the underlying earnings power of the group. The operating environment further gradually improved during the third quarter and leading indicators are signalling that we are past the bottom of the economic cycle.' . Financial highlights - 3Q 2009 Jan Vanhevel, Group CEO summarises the underlying business performance for 3Q 2009 as follows: * 'On an underlying basis, interest income grew by 3% quarter-on-quarter and 17% year-on-year. While volume growth slowed in core markets and international loan exposure has been reduced, the net interest margin remained healthy. The average net interest margin for the banking operations stood at 1.86%, compared to 1.78% for the previous quarter.' * 'Still a mixed picture for non-interest income. Trading results were solid, even some 5% above the strong level of the previous quarter. Fee and commission income was up 2% on the previous quarter, benefiting further from the improved investment climate, though it is still, as yet, too early for a further marked rebound of asset-management-driven fee and commission income. Insurance premiums increased compared to the year-earlier quarter, but total insurance revenue suffered from lower investment yields.' * 'Since late 2008, major efforts have been made to reduce costs. Following a marked consecutive decrease in previous quarters, the cost trend is bottoming out. Operating costs ended 4% lower year-on-year.' * 'Compared to the previous quarter, loan losses were lower by 210 million euros or -37%. Loan losses were considerably lower for the international loan book in the merchant banking unit, and also in Belgium. In Central & Eastern Europe, additional loan provisions were set aside for corporate Russia and the unsecured consumer finance business in Poland, two particular areas of higher risk. In other parts of the CEE region, loan losses were roughly stable. In Ireland, they were down somewhat to 40 million euros, bringing the year-to-date loan loss ratio to 0.74%.' Headlines of underlying performance per business unit: * With total income slightly up and costs and impairment charges slightly down compared to the previous quarter, a good pre-tax performance was posted again in the Belgium Business Unit. After tax, net profit remained stable at a fairly high level, bringing the year-to-date return on allocated equity to 32%. * Compared to the preceding quarter, the net result for Central and Eastern Europe was impacted by additional loan impairment for Russia (15 million euros higher, mainly related to corporate credit) and Poland (13 million euros higher, mainly related to consumer finance). The year-to-date credit cost ratio for the entire region edged up to 1.83%. In the fourth quarter, additional loan loss provisions for Polish consumer finance are anticipated; however, total credit costs in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia for the full year are expected to remain within the 2.00%-2.30% range (cf. earlier guidance). KBC is now planning to refocus its consumer finance activities in Poland, moving away from the stand-alone specialist model and towards an integrated bancassurance distribution model. * In merchant banking, there was a major recovery of net profit on the back of falling corporate loan provision charges (even when excluding the non-recurrence of general provisions set aside in 2Q 2009 for the US mortgage-backed securities portfolio). Results for capital market activities also remained solid. * Results for the European Private Banking Business Unit were down slightly on the previous quarter, because some restructuring charges were posted. On the revenue side, increased securities-related income was offset by lower interbank income earned on available excess liquidity. The quarter was also characterised by a number of one-off items that were not part of the normal course of business and were excluded from the presented underlying results. The main items were: * A value mark-up of KBC's CDO exposure was generated in the amount of +0.2 billion euros, net, primarily resulting from the further easing of market prices for corporate credit risk; * A positive impact of +0.1 billion, after tax, was realised when perpetual subordinated hybrid Tier-1 securities were repurchased following a public tender offering; this repurchase also had a positive effect (+0.19%) on the core Tier-1 ratio of the group; * A fair value change of KBC's own debt issued of -0.2 billion euros, net, was recognised due to the improvement of KBC's own credit default swap spread; * A net present value change of the CDO guarantee fee of -0.1 billion euros, net, was posted, since the downwards shift of the interest yield curve resulted in lower discount rates used for the net present value calculation; * A trading loss of -0.1 billion euros, net, was posted related to 'legacy' structured derivatives positions within KBC Financial Products (Merchant Banking). Financial highlights - 9M 2009 Explanations per heading of the income statement for 9M 2009 (see summary table on page 5): * The net result for the first nine months of 2009 amounted to -2.8 billion euros. This figure includes exceptional items (totalling -4.3 billion euros, net), such as value losses on CDO investments, the fee paid for the guarantee bought to cover the remaining CDO-linked exposure and position losses of discontinued trading activities. Adjusted for those items, (underlying) profit came to a positive 1.5 billion euros. * Net interest income came to 4.5 billion euros, up 21% year-on-year (+12% on an underlying basis). While volume growth slowed down, margins recovered significantly at the start of 2009. As at 30 September 2009, the customer loan book (excluding reverse repos) stood, on an organic basis, 4% below the year-earlier level (up 2% in Belgium, but down 1% in Central & Eastern Europe and 8% in Merchant Banking). The net interest margin for banking came to 1.81%, up from 1.68% for the first nine months of 2008. * Gross earned premiums in insurance stood at 3.7 billion euros, up 16% on the year-earlier figure. Net of technical charges and the ceded reinsurance result, income came to 324 million euros. The combined ratio for the non-life insurance activities came to a favourable 94%. * Dividend income from equity investments amounted to 108 million euros, markedly lower than the 195 million euros reported for the first nine months of 2008. The equity investment portfolio shrank (to 1.9 billion euros, down from 2.7 billion euros at the start of the year) while corporate dividend payouts were also generally lower. * Net gains from financial instruments at fair value came to -3.8 billion euros. Although sales and trading activities on money and debt securities markets performed well, this income heading was strongly impacted by net negative value adjustments on structured credit exposure (including the cost of the acquired guarantee) and the marking down of discontinued derivative positions. On an underlying basis, this income heading came to +886 million euros. * Gains from available-for-sale assets (mostly on investments in shares) were 164 million euros. Due to the pursued policy of reducing the share investment portfolio and the past poor equity market performance, this was considerably below the year-earlier figure of 341 million euros. * Net fee and commission income amounted to 1.1 billion euros. This is 20% lower than the year-earlier level, largely due to the lower income from asset management activities consequent on the investment climate that prevailed until the first half of 2009. * Other net income ended at 384 million euros, down somewhat on the year-earlier figure of 435 million euros. * Excluding exceptional items, operating expenses were down 7% year-on-year. Cost containment measures were implemented across all business units. The underlying cost/income ratio for banking stood at 55%, compared to 64% for 2008. * Total impairment charges stood at 1.8 billion euros, 1.3 billion euros of which related to loans and receivables. This corresponds with a credit cost ratio of 0.96%. Excluding the charge for US mortgage-backed securities classified as loans, the credit cost ratio for the group came to 0.79% (0.12% for the Belgium Business Unit, 1.83% for the Central & Eastern Europe and Russia Business Unit and 0.76% for Merchant Banking Business Unit). Available-for-sale investment securities, mainly shares, were impaired to the tune of 335 million euros on the back of falling share prices throughout 2008 and up to the end of the first quarter of 2009. An impairment loss of 181 million euros was recognised on the value of goodwill outstanding, related to, among other things, acquisitions made in late 2007 and in early 2008 in Bulgaria and Slovakia. * As pre-tax results were negative, a deferred income tax credit of 266 million euros was recognised. * The result attributable to minority interests amounted to a negative 66 million euros (the negative amount has to do with the repurchase of a number of hybrid capital securities in the third quarter of 2009). * At the end of September 2009, total equity came to 16.9 billion euros, up 1.6 billion euros on the figure at the start of the year, due to the fact that the negative year-to-date result (-2.8 billion) and the effect of the buying back hybrid capital securities (-0.6 billion) was offset by the positive impact of the issue of non-voting core capital securities to the State (Flemish Region of Belgium, +3.5 billion euros) and the positive market value adjustments on assets (+1.6 billion euros). The tier-1 capital ratio for the group stood at 10.2 % (8.8%, when excluding non-state hybrid tier-1 instruments). Strategy highlights and future developments * Jan Vanhevel, Group CEO: 'The operating environment further gradually improved during the third quarter and leading indicators are signalling that we are past the bottom of the economic cycle." On the other hand, fears remain that the recent economic recovery may not gain momentum since it has been driven by rebuilding inventory levels and temporary fiscal boosts without there being a structural rise in demand, among other factors. Jan Vanhevel: 'Of course, we are happy with the recent optimism and are now preparing for a further recovery. However, we are not assuming that we are back to a normal situation just yet.' Underwriting criteria remain tight, especially in non-core markets and higher-risk areas. Although a late-cyclical rise in non-performing loan levels may appear, impairment charges are expected to remain manageable. * Jan Vanhevel: 'KBC has been rethinking its position and partly reshaping itself in the wake of the financial crisis, lowering its risk tolerance while maintaining core earnings power and organic growth potential.' The strategy review formed the basis of the restructuring plan that was submitted to the European Commission in relation to the capital support transactions with the State. Jan Vanhevel: 'We believe that we have entered a final stage of our discussions with the EU, and we remain confident about our business case. The highlights of the plan were made public at an earlier date. The business strategy will focus on organically growing bancassurance in Belgium and Central and Eastern Europe, while especially international corporate lending and capital market activities are planned to be reduced. The redemption of the capital securities issued to the State will be based largely on retained earnings and on the release of capital tied up in non-core assets. * The European Commission provisionally cleared KBC's restructuring plan in June 2009 and is now anticipated to give final approval by early December at the latest. As is usual for this type of communication, KBC may ask the market regulator to temporarily suspend trading in its securities on the day the plan is published in order for the market to take note of the details. An investor conference will also be scheduled shortly after publication and will be open to capital market participants that have registered in advance (details will be available on www.kbc.com). All PowerPoint presentations will be made available to the public on www.kbc.com at the start of the conference. * This news item contains information that is subject to the transparency regulations for listed companies. This announcement was originally distributed by Hugin. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
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