4 September 2014
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the "Company" or "ICGF")
Net Asset Value statement at 31 August 2014
Net Asset Value
The Company announces its Net Asset Value per share as at 31 August 2014 was 64.09 pence.
In August the Net Asset Value (NAV) was up 5.5% in Sterling terms, whilst the BSE Mid Cap Index was up 2.8%, delivering an out performance against the notional benchmark of 2.7%. Against Ocean Dial's Composite Index, ICGF out performed by 2.1%. In local currency terms, the NAV increased 3.8% for the month.
Portfolio update
Positive attribution to the portfolio's performance came from Jyothy Labs (up 22.9%), Voltas (up 27.3%), Emami (up 20.5%) and Eicher Motors (up 14.8%). Negative attribution came from Jain Irrigation (down 13.0%), Aban Offshore (down 8.0%), Dish TV (down 8.4%) and Jammu & Kashmir Bank (down 6.9%).
Market and economic update
Indian equity markets continued to rise in August; the BSE Sensex rose 2.9% whilst the BSE Mid Cap Index rose 1.2%. Foreign Institutional Inflows remained strong (US$1.1bn for the month), reinforced by further positive flows from domestic institutions.
In its recent monetary policy statement, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept interest rates on hold but cut the statutory liquidity reserve (SLR) to 22.0% from 22.5% in an on-going attempt to improve the effectiveness of monetary transmission. The RBI continues to monitor inflation closely; it has a January 2016 consumer price inflation (CPI) target of 6.0% compared to the current level of 8.0%, suggesting that interest rates may have to stay higher for longer, compounded perhaps by a poor monsoon negatively impacting food prices. However, the recent fall in international crude prices and the benign outlook on global non-oil commodity prices should help to offset this
India's GDP growth for the quarter April to June rose 5.7% versus 4.7% in the year ago quarter. This is the strongest quarterly GDP report of the last eight, and was driven by industrial output which grew by 4.2% (after contracting for the last two quarters), agriculture which grew by 3.8%, and services which were 6.8% stronger. Gross fixed capital formation growth was recorded at 7% year on year (as compared to a contraction of 0.9% in the previous quarter). The data clearly indicates the economy is through the worst and investment is recovering. We believe that this positive momentum is set to continue. Corporate results for first quarter FY15, ending in June were mixed. The consumer, IT Services (Large Cap) and Telecom sectors fared better than expectations, whilst there was disappointment in Industrials, Utilities and Materials sectors. This would suggest that whilst the policy environment has improved, and industrial activity is recovering, this has yet to flow through to corporate earnings.
Portfolio analysis by sector as at 31 August 2014 |
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Sector |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Industrials |
10 |
24.3% |
Financials |
8 |
22.6% |
Consumer Staples |
4 |
10.3% |
Healthcare |
4 |
9.9% |
IT |
4 |
9.5% |
Materials |
3 |
8.7% |
Consumer Discretionary |
2 |
6.8% |
Energy |
1 |
2.6% |
Total Equity Investment |
36 |
94.7% |
Net Cash |
|
5.3% |
Total Portfolio |
36 |
100.0% |
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Top 20 holdings as at 31 August 2014 |
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Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Federal Bank |
Financials |
4.7% |
Motherson Sumi Systems |
Consumer Discretionary |
4.3% |
Jyothy Laboratories |
Consumer Staples |
4.3% |
Kajaria Ceramics |
Industrials |
3.9% |
Dewan Housing |
Financials |
3.9% |
Tech Mahindra |
IT |
3.6% |
PI Industries |
Materials |
3.6% |
Emami |
Consumer Staples |
3.5% |
Yes Bank |
Financials |
3.2% |
Divi's Laboratories |
Healthcare |
3.1% |
Max India |
Industrials |
3.0% |
KPIT Cummins Infosystems |
IT |
3.0% |
Lupin |
Healthcare |
2.8% |
Berger Paints India |
Materials |
2.8% |
Eicher Motors |
Industrials |
2.8% |
Jammu & Kashmir Bank |
Financials |
2.8% |
Indusind Bank |
Financials |
2.8% |
Aban Offshore |
Energy |
2.8% |
Sobha Developers |
Financials |
2.7% |
Gujarat Pipavav |
Industrials |
2.6% |
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Portfolio analysis by market capitalisation size as 31 August 2014 |
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Market capitalisation size |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap (M/Cap <INR60bn) |
13 |
34.1% |
Mid Cap (INR60bn <M/Cap<INR250bn) |
16 |
42.3% |
Large Cap (M/Cap > INR250bn) |
6 |
18.3% |
Unlisted |
1 |
0.0% |
Total Equity Investment |
36 |
94.7% |
Net Cash |
|
5.3% |
Total Portfolio |
36 |
100.0% |