Trading Update

EcoSecurities Group plc 06 November 2007 EcoSecurities Group plc CDM process and Trading Update Dublin, Ireland - EcoSecurities Group plc ("EcoSecurities", or the "Company"), one of the world's leading companies in the business of originating, implementing and commercialising carbon credits from greenhouse gas emission reduction projects, today gives an update on the United Nation's Clean Development Mechanism ("CDM") project registration process and its impacts on current trading. In summary, the Company is reporting that, despite a background of continuing positive developments in the carbon markets and strong Certified Emission Reduction ("CER") prices, further delays in the CDM project cycle are limiting the registration of projects and the issuing of CERs with the result that revenues and earnings for the current financial year will be below the Board's expectations. CDM Registration and CER Issuance Process • While delays to the registration of CDM projects has been identified as a concern by EcoSecurities and many other carbon market participants for some time, it is now clear that the pace of progress of CDM project registration and CER issuance has slowed markedly over recent months. • Comparing the periods up to the three CDM Executive Board ("Executive Board" or "EB") Meetings held between February and May 2007 (EB29 to EB31) with those of the four subsequent meetings held between June to October 2007 (EB32 to EB35) shows a significant decline in the number of projects being registered without reviews. Each project review needs to be considered by the Executive Board which means that multiple reviews can cause severe delays to the generation of CERs. Of the projects considered for the first time in the periods leading up to the Executive Board meetings held between February and May 2007 (EB29 to EB31) 88% were registered and 12% were sent for review. This compares to only 48% registered and 51% sent for review in the periods to the four subsequent meetings (EB32 to EB35). Full details are set out in the Appendix. • The pace of CER issuance by the CDM EB is also slowing markedly. Of the requests for issuance considered for the first time in the periods up to the Executive Board meetings held between February and May 2007 (EB29 to EB31) 95% were issued without review compared to 64% issued in the periods to the four subsequent meetings (EB32 to EB35). This slowdown applies to most projects, sectors and market participants. Full details are set out in the Appendix. • The process of external validation and verification by Designated Operational Entities ("DOEs") has also slowed given the large volume of projects in the CDM pipeline and the increasing levels of CDM EB project reviews. • Since EB34, EcoSecurities has had 10 projects registered and a further 5 projects sent for review. Notwithstanding these delays, EcoSecurities continues to have the largest number of registered projects in the CDM and the largest portfolio of projects currently navigating the CDM process. Portfolio Adjustments & Update • In light of these circumstances, and in line with the Group's policy of continually assessing its CDM project portfolio taking into account the CDM process as well as the inherent difficulties of developing projects in emerging markets, the portfolio gross contract volume was adjusted to 142 million CERs at 31 October 2007 from 185 million CERs at 5 September 2007. • On a net entitlement basis, allowing for contract type, the CER portfolio to 2012 was adjusted to 130 million tonnes at 31 October 2007, from 163 million tonnes at 5 September 2007. The average cost of the CERs in the portfolio is currently Euro 6.49 compared to Euro 6.76 at 5 September 2007. • It is important to note that adjustments due to delays in CDM registration, in cases where the projects are already operating, can result in Verified Emission Reductions ("VERs") being produced and subsequently sold into the voluntary market. We have been both acquiring and selling VERs to corporate customers. Projects delayed or removed from the CDM portfolio may continue to be eligible for the voluntary market. They may also be used for future compliance driven emission reduction markets including the US and elsewhere. At present EcoSecurities has 158 operational projects generating emissions reductions. • The status of EcoSecurities projects in the CDM process is as follows; at 31 October 2007 of 402 contracted projects (5 September 2007: 456); 223 PDDs were completed (5 September 2007: 222); 220 projects had been submitted to validation (5 September 2007: 215); 104 had completed the validation process (5 September 2007: 102); 89 were registered with the CDM Executive Board (5 September 2007: 74); and 158 were operational (5 September 2007: 145). • The gross volume contracted post-2012 was adjusted to 92 million CERs at 31 October 2007 from 110 million at 5 September 2007. The post-2012 CDM portfolio volume relates to potential production of CERs from the Group's projects after 2012 and is incremental to the pre 2012 CDM portfolio. • The Group has built its global VER portfolio to 5.2 million tonnes at 31 October 2007 from 4.3 million tonnes at 5 September 2007, further adding to its carbon credit volumes. (S) The Group's combined carbon credit portfolio now stands at 239 million tonnes gross. Commercialisation Update • 35.5 million CERs had been sold forward at 31 October 2007, representing expected total forward CER revenue of Euro 440 million and net trading margin of Euro 202 million through to 2013. • Under these forward sales agreements, EcoSecurities has contractual obligations to deliver 28.7 million CERs from 2008 to mid 2013 of which 3.3 million CERs must be delivered in 2008. The current CER inventory is 0.5 million CERs. • EcoSecurities' CDM project portfolio is expected to generate 142 million CERs, prior to risk adjustments, through to 2012 which will be used to meet forward sales obligations. Financial Update • Given the delays in the CDM EB process, we anticipate that a total volume of 1 million CERs initially expected to be verified and/or issued in the second half of 2007 are likely to be delayed to 2008 with a consequent effect on 2007 revenues and overall outturn. Group operating expenses are in line with expectations. • The Group's cash balance as of 31 October 2007 was approximately Euro 109 million and the Group had no debt. Outlook • As a counterbalance to the challenges in the CDM process, EcoSecurities is focusing on its core expertise of maximizing the carbon value of its portfolio through a number of means: • Maximizing the value of our emissions reductions project portfolio by exploring markets where offsets can be sold outside the CDM process, such as the USA. VER market demand this year has been robust and the conversion of pre-CDM registration projects to this market has been successful. The World Bank estimates VER market demand could grow to 250 million tonnes annually in 2011; • Prioritizing project submissions to focus on the most valuable projects; • Expressing our concerns via key national governments, industry forums and at the forthcoming COP/MOP in Bali, Indonesia. - Despite delays in the CDM process we continue to originate emission reduction projects. In addition we will continue our expansion in the US and other voluntary carbon markets and direct investment in clean energy projects. - We continue to have a strong pipeline of projects through our own international network and increasingly in conjunction with Credit Suisse. Currently the contracted projects undergoing internal due diligence, and therefore not included in the Group's CDM portfolio, amount to 10 million CERs through to 2012. - Efforts to extend and expand the geographical coverage and timeframe of emission trading regulations continue to accelerate. The Kyoto signatory countries are working towards an agenda to agree the parameters of a post 2012 regime by late 2009. The annual COP/MOP is taking place in Bali in early December and further clarity on future CDM targets and the role of forestry is expected from these meetings. In the US, the McCain-Lieberman Climate Stewardship Act and other climate change legislation gather momentum in Congress, while 2008 US Presidential candidates from both parties have emission reduction platforms. These initiatives should provide EcoSecurities with attractive, long term opportunities. Bruce Usher, CEO, said: "It is now clear from recent EB meeting data that the CDM registration and issuance process has slowed significantly. This trend is disappointing for the entire carbon market and is restricting CER issuance and our short term revenues. We are seeking to mitigate the impact of these delays wherever possible by, for example, selling pre-registration credits into the VER market." "While we are disappointed with the delays in the process of creating and delivering CERs, we remain fully confident in the emissions reductions market and that more efficient mechanisms will be established and grow beyond current constraints and transaction volumes." APPENDIX The period during which these projects had made requests for registration or issuance of CERs and were considered at the referenced EB Meetings is referred to as the catchment period. This period normally extends from two weeks before the previous EB meeting up until two weeks before the meeting at which the project is considered, but varies depending on the caseload for the upcoming EB meeting. Note that for the catchment periods for both EB29 and EB30 a proxy had to be used as information about requests for review for this period is not available on the UNFCCC website. The start of the catchment period for EB29 is assumed to be the earliest date that a project reviewed at EB29 could have been registered. This date is estimated from the registration request form for the projects. The same rationale is applied to EB30. The catchment period for EB30 finishes the day before the first request for review is sent to EB31 for consideration. The periods used are detailed below: For requests for reviews considered at EB 29 24 September 06 - 19 November 06 For requests for reviews considered at EB30 20 November 06 - 12 February 07 For requests for reviews considered at EB31 13 February 07 - 16 April 07 For requests for reviews considered at EB32 17 April 07- 21 May 07 For requests for reviews considered at EB33 22 May 07 - 26 June 07 For requests for reviews considered at EB34 27 June 07- 16 August 07 For requests for reviews considered at EB35 17 August 07 - 17 September 07 CDM Project First Time EB29 EB30 EB31 EB32 EB33 EB34 EB35 Registration EB Meeting Dates 15-16 21-23 2-4 20-22 25-27 12-14 15-19 Feb-07 Mar-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Projects Registered during 92 75 117 33 33 31 16 catchment period (considers first-time projects only and excludes those registered after a review) Project registration requests 15 7 16 25 25 46 22 with reviews requested during catchment period % Registered 86% 92% 88% 57% 57% 40% 42% % Request for Review 14% 8% 12% 43% 43% 60% 58% CDM CER Issuance EB29 EB30 EB31 EB32 EB33 EB34 EB35 EB Meeting Dates 15-16 21-23 2-4 20-22 25-27 12-14 15-19 Feb-07 Mar-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Project issued with CERs 19 63 63 13 32 37 14 during catchment period (considers first-time projects only and excludes those issued after a review) Projects issuance requests 3 3 1 9 12 19 16 with a review requested during catchment period % Issued 86% 95% 98% 59% 73% 66% 47% % Request for Review 14% 5% 2% 41% 27% 34% 53% For further information please contact: EcoSecurities Group plc Bruce Usher, CEO +1 212 356 0160 Pedro Moura Costa, President +353 1613 9814 Citigate Dewe Rogerson +44 (0) 20 7638 9571 Kevin Smith / Ged Brumby Notes to Editors CDM = Clean Development Mechanism, the provision of the Kyoto Protocol that governs project level carbon credit transactions between developed and developing countries CER = Certified Emission Reduction, carbon credits created by Clean Development Mechanism projects. One CER corresponds to 1 tonne of CO2e emission reductions EcoSecurities is one of the world's leading companies in the business of originating, developing and trading carbon credits. EcoSecurities structures and guides greenhouse gas emission reduction projects through the Kyoto Protocol, working with both project developers and buyers of carbon credits. EcoSecurities works with companies in developing and industrialising countries to create carbon credits from projects that reduce emissions of greenhouse gases. EcoSecurities has experience with projects in the areas of renewable energy, agriculture and urban waste management, industrial efficiency, and forestry. With a network of offices and representatives in 36 countries on five continents, EcoSecurities has amassed one of the industry's largest and most diversified portfolios of carbon projects. EcoSecurities also works with companies in the developed world to assist them in meeting their greenhouse gas emission compliance targets. Utilising its highly diversified carbon credit portfolio, EcoSecurities is able to structure carbon credit transactions to fit compliance buyers' needs, and has executed transactions with both private and public sector buyers in Europe, North America and Japan. Working at the forefront of carbon market development, EcoSecurities has been involved in the development of many of the global carbon market's most important milestones, including developing the world's first CDM project to be registered under the Kyoto Protocol. EcoSecurities' consultancy division has been at the forefront of significant policy and scientific developments in this field. EcoSecurities has been recognised as the world's leading greenhouse gas advisory firm over the last five years by reader surveys conducted by Environmental Finance Magazine. EcoSecurities Group plc is listed on the London Stock Exchange AIM (ticker ECO). Additional information is available at www.EcoSecurities.com. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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