Preliminary Annual Results

Aberdeen Latin American Inv Tst PLC 28 August 2001 ABERDEEN LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT OF UNAUDITED ANNUAL RESULTS for the year ended 30 June 2001 The Company's undiluted net asset value per Ordinary share fell 15.1% in the year to 77p as at 30 June 2001. This compares with a fall of 4.4% in the MSCI EMF Latin American index in sterling terms over the same period. The mid-market prices of the Company's Ordinary shares and Warrants as at 30 June 2001 were, respectively, 62p and 11.25p. The Company received exceptional distributions from its investment in Companhia Siderurgica Nacional, a Brazilian steel company. As a result, for the year ended 30 June 2001, and subject to the approval of shareholders at the Annual General Meeting, the Company has proposed a special dividend of 0.5p per Ordinary share to be payable on 18 October 2001 to shareholders on the register on 7 September 2001 (2000 - nil). Contrary to what I anticipated in my last report, the year under review has been disappointing as a whole for Latin American equity markets. The poor performance relative to the benchmark is explained in detail in the Manager's review, extracts of which accompany this preliminary announcement. Latin American equity markets were negatively affected by a number of internal and external developments. It would have been difficult, if not impossible, for the markets to make any gains over the last year given the strong headwind emanating from the United States. The restrictive monetary policy stance by the US Federal Reserve, concerns about excessive valuations in technology stocks, political uncertainty in the US, and the sudden and dramatic slowdown in the US economy caused extreme volatility in the markets. Other global concerns also weighed on Latin America. The Turkish devaluation, instability in Israel, and weakness in the Asian technology sector pulled down valuations in all emerging markets. The strength of the US dollar for much of the year hurt the competitiveness of Latin America. Finally, oil prices have generally declined over the last year, affecting the region's major oil producers. Within the region, concerns about a default or a devaluation in Argentina dominated the headlines and weighed heavily on the markets in the southern cone region, particularly Brazil. In an effort to stem the deterioration of the economic situation, the government called on former Economy Minister Domingo Cavallo, architect of the convertibility plan that cured Argentina of hyperinflation a decade ago. However, Cavallo's initial plans to rejuvenate the country's anaemic economy proved no panacea as persistent budget deficits eroded the confidence of international creditors and caused interest rates to soar. Cavallo's subsequent attempts to eliminate the fiscal deficit by cutting social expenditures were met with harsh resistance in Congress, but a compromise was eventually hammered out. The situation remains perilous, as ultimately the country needs to demonstrate that it can achieve sustainable growth. Until then, Argentina will be prone to bouts of nervousness and recurrent speculation about its solvency. Without a doubt the region's success story this year was Mexico, as the country advanced to a new stage in its economic and political development following the inauguration of President Vincente Fox. The change in the government ended the 70-year reign of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI). Mexicans, who have long endured the legacy of corruption and bureaucracy established by one-party rule, exhibited a palpable sense of optimism regarding the future. Most importantly, this was the first time in recent memory that a change in administration was not accompanied by an economic crisis, and much of the credit is due to former president Ernesto Zedillo for managing the transition. In contrast to the flagging investor sentiment in Argentina and Brazil, Mexico has been a beacon for the region and was rewarded with historically low interest rate spreads as investors became more optimistic about the country's economic future and its convergence with the United States. The last year has been a difficult one for Latin American equities but they should benefit from the more benign monetary policy stance in the US. Furthermore, with very wide interest rate spreads and inflation rapidly falling to first-world levels, the long-term declining trend in interest rates should continue. Also, many of the external factors that weighed heavily on Latin American equities over the last year - the sell-off in the US equity markets, the strong US dollar, and weakness in global telecoms - seem to be mostly behind us. Bryan N Lenygon 28 August 2001 Chairman Portfolio Review The performance of the portfolio has been affected by weakness in global and emerging markets. Within Latin America, our asset allocation has suffered due to an overweight position in Brazil. Although we had minimised our exposure to the turmoil in Argentina, we underestimated the negative effect this would have on Brazil. The portfolio was also hurt by our conservative stock selection in Mexico, where we had cut our exposure to stocks that were vulnerable to the US slowdown. The recent optimism concerning convergence with the US, which we feel is now overdone, carried stock prices much higher than we expected. Aberdeen Fund Managers, Inc, Manager Dividend The Company has today declared a special dividend on 0.5p per Ordinary share payable on 18 October 2001 to shareholders on the register on 7 September 2001 (2000 - nil). Aberdeen Asset Management PLC, Secretaries The unaudited results were: Statement of Total Return (incorporating the revenue account*) Year ended 30 June 2001 (unaudited) Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 Losses on investments - (2,646) (2,646) Income 518 - 518 Investment management fee (50) (149) (199) Other expenses (216) - (216) Exchange gains/(losses) 6 (33) (27) ________ ________ ________ Net return/(loss) before finance costs and taxation 258 (2,828) (2,570) Interest payable and similar charges (34) - (34) ________ ________ ________ Return/(loss) on ordinary activities before taxation 224 (2,828) (2,604) Taxation on ordinary activities (72) 39 (33) ________ ________ ________ Return/(loss) attributable to equity shareholders 152 (2,789) (2,637) Dividend in respect of equity shares (100) - (100) ________ ________ ________ Transfer to/(from) reserves 52 (2,789) (2,737) ======== ======== ======== Return/(loss) per share (pence): 0.76 (13.95) (13.19) ======== ======== ======== The audited results were: Year ended 30 June 2000 (audited) Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 Gains on investments - 3,276 3,276 Income 324 - 324 Investment management fee (47) (142) (189) Other expenses (252) - (252) Exchange gains/(losses) 4 (16) (12) ________ ________ ________ Net return before finance costs and taxation 29 3,118 3,147 Interest payable and similar charges (4) - (4) ________ ________ ________ Return on ordinary activities before taxation 25 3,118 3,143 Taxation on ordinary activities (48) 27 (21) ________ ________ ________ (Loss)/return attributable to equity shareholders (23) 3,145 3,122 Dividend in respect of equity shares - - - ________ ________ ________ Transfer (from)/to reserves (23) 3,145 3,122 ======== ======== ======== (Loss)/return per share (pence): (0.12) 15.73 15.61 ======== ======== ======== * The revenue column of this statement is the revenue account of the Company. The Statements of Total Return presented above are in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice for Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies. Balance Sheet As at As at 30 June 30 June 2001 2000 (unaudited) (audited) £'000 £'000 Fixed assets Investments 15,502 17,419 ________ ________ Current assets Debtors 158 211 Cash at bank and in hand - 971 ________ ________ 158 1,182 Creditors: amounts falling due within one year (265) (469) ________ ________ Net current (liabilities)/assets (107) 713 ________ ________ Net assets 15,395 18,132 ======== ======== Capital and reserves Called-up share capital 5,000 5,000 Share premium account 11,642 11,642 Warrant reserve 2,353 2,353 Other reserves: Capital reserve - realised (1,402) (3,177) Capital reserve - unrealised (2,502) 2,062 Revenue reserve 304 252 ________ ________ Total equity shareholders' funds 15,395 18,132 ======== ======== Net asset value per share (pence): 76.97 90.66 ======== ======== Cash Flow Statement Year ended Year ended 30 June 2001 30 June 2000 (unaudited) (audited) £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Net cash inflow/(outflow) from operating activities 70 (60) Servicing of finance Bank interest paid (34) (4) ________ ________ Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (34) (4) Taxation Net tax recovered/(paid) 50 (29) Financial investment Purchase of investments (16,037) (14,644) Sale of investments 14,928 15,570 ________ ________ Net cash (outflow)/inflow from financial investment (1,109) 926 ________ ________ (Decrease)/increase in cash (1,023) 833 ======== ======== Reconciliation of net cash flow to movements in net (debt)/funds (Decrease)/increase in cash as above (1,023) 833 Exchange movements (33) (16) ________ ________ Movement in net (debt)/funds in the year (1,056) 817 Opening net funds 971 154 ________ ________ Closing net (debt)/funds (85) 971 ======== ======== Notes:- 1 The breakdown of income for the year to 30 June 2001 and 30 June 2000 was as follows: 2001 2000 £'000 £'000 Income from investments Overseas dividends 480 286 Other income Deposit interest 38 38 ______ ______ Total income 518 324 ====== ====== 2 The basic revenue return per Ordinary share is based on the net return on ordinary activities after taxation of £152,000 (2000 - net loss of £23,000), and on 20,000,000 (2000 - 20,000,000) Ordinary shares, being the number of Ordinary shares in issue throughout the year. 3 The basic capital return per Ordinary share is based on net capital losses for the year of £2,789,000 (2000 - gains of £3,145,000), and on 20,000,000 (2000 - 20,000,000) Ordinary shares, being the number of Ordinary shares in issue throughout the year. 4 The basic net asset value per Ordinary share is based on net assets and on 20,000,000 (2000 - 20,000,000) Ordinary shares, being the number of Ordinary shares in issue at the year end. 5 The Company has proposed a special dividend of 0.5p per Ordinary share which subject to the approval of shareholders at the Annual General Meeting will be payable on 18 October 2001 to Ordinary shareholders on the register on 7 September 2001 (2000 - nil). 6 The financial information set out above does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years ended 30 June 2001 or 30 June 2000. The financial information for 2000 is derived from the statutory accounts for 2000 which have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The auditors have reported on the 2000 accounts; their report was unqualified and did not contain a statement under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The statutory accounts for 2001 will be finalised on the basis of the financial information presented by the Directors in this preliminary announcement and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the Company's Annual General Meeting which will be held on Wednesday 17 October 2001 at One Bow Churchyard, Cheapside, London EC4M 9HH. 7 Copies of the Annual Report will be posted to shareholders in late September and further copies may be obtained from the registered office, One Bow Churchyard, Cheapside, London EC4M 9HH. Aberdeen Asset Management PLC, Secretaries
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