Final Results

ABERDEEN LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC 2 September 1999 ABERDEEN LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT OF UNAUDITED ANNUAL RESULTS for the year ended 30 June 1999 The Company's undiluted net asset value per Ordinary share at 30 June 1999 was 75.05p, which compares with a value of 76.95p at 30 June 1998. This represents a fall in the net asset value of 2.5%, which compares with an increase of 7.3% in the MSCI EMF Latin American index in sterling terms over the same period. Performance versus the benchmark has been disappointing, with the portfolio having been hard hit by the extreme volatility seen in Latin American markets in August and September 1998 when emerging markets hit all time lows. However, since the end of September 1998, the Trust has outperformed the benchmark over nine months, six months and three months to 30 June 1999. The mid-market prices of the Company's Ordinary shares and Warrants as at 30 June 1999 were 58.25p and 13.25p respectively. Latin America seems to be finally emerging from the difficulties that have weighed on the developing markets over the last two years. The region's markets have been buffeted by a series of setbacks beginning with the economic crisis in Southeast Asia, the devaluation of the Russian rouble last year, and culminating in the devaluation of the Brazilian real in January of this year. At the same time, persistent weakness in commodity prices for most of the period put additional pressure on the region's fiscal and external accounts. As investor worries mounted, interest rates rose to extremely high levels throughout the region, causing economic growth to slow dramatically over the last nine months. The economic situation began to improve soon after the Brazilian government decided to abandon its managed exchange rate regime in January. After a brief period of nervousness, the newly floating real stabilised and interest rates, which had been kept high in an effort to defend the currency, began a downward trend. This accelerated as evidence emerged that the Brazilian economy was recovering from the crisis faster than expected. Most importantly, consumer prices have remained under control and it now looks as though inflation will only be around 8% in 1999, despite the devaluation. The economy has also begun showing signs of growth sooner than expected, and now looks set for a sustained recovery. The region's other major economy, Mexico, has improved markedly during the first half of 1999. The country has benefited from the strength in the US economy, the sharp recovery in oil prices, and declining interest rates that have provided a boost to the domestic economy. Argentina and Chile have had a more difficult time this year. Argentina was perhaps the most affected by the economic slowdown and devaluation in neighbouring Brazil, its largest trading partner. Like the rest of the region, the Chilean economy was weighed down by high interest rates, but also suffered from a fall off in global demand for copper, its largest export. Recent statistics indicate that these economies have now bottomed, and they should soon join the recovery that is taking place in the rest of the region. The outlook for Latin American equities for the next year looks more favourable, although volatility is expected to continue. In the short term, the markets will be affected by concerns about US interest rates, and by worries surrounding the 'Y2K' issue. In addition, with presidential elections in Argentina and Mexico over the next year, the political backdrop will be less predictable than in the past few years. However, investors are aware of many of these concerns and, with equity valuations again at very low levels, much of this uncertainty has already been priced into the markets. Most importantly, the region's economies are now emerging from a deep recession, and this should underpin a sustained long-term recovery in the region's equity markets. Bryan N. Lenygon Chairman 2 September 1999 The unaudited results were: Statement of total return (incorporating the revenue account*) For the year ended 30 June 1999 Year ended 30 June 1999 (unaudited) Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 Loss on investments - (258) (258) Income 426 - 426 Investment management fee (37) (110) (147) Other expenses (265) - (265) Exchange losses (5) (84) (89) ---- ---- ---- Net return before finance costs and taxation 119 (452) (333) Interest payable and similar charges (13) (13) (26) ---- ---- ---- Return on ordinary activities before tax 106 (465) (359) Tax on ordinary activities (44) 24 (20) ---- ---- ---- Return attributable to equity shareholders 62 (441) (379) Dividends in respect of equity shares nil (1998: nil) - - - ---- ---- ---- Transfers to/(from) reserves 62 (441) (379) ==== ==== ==== Return per Ordinary share (pence): - Basic 0.31 (2.20) (1.89) ==== ==== ==== Year ended 30 June 1998 (audited) Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 Losses on investments - (6,744) (6,744) Income 561 - 561 Investment management fee (62) (185) (247) Other expenses (314) - (314) Exchange losses (2) (24) (26) ---- ----- ----- Net return before finance costs and taxation 183 (6,953) (6,770) Interest payable and similar charges (29) (40) (69) ---- ----- ----- Return on ordinary activities before tax 154 (6,993) (6,839) Tax on ordinary activities (72) 45 (27) ---- ----- ----- Return attributable to equity shareholders 82 (6,948) (6,866) Dividends in respect of equity shares nil (1997: nil) - - - ---- ----- ----- Transfers to/(from) reserves 82 (6,948) (6,866) ==== ===== ===== Return per Ordinary share (pence): - Basic 0.41 (34.74) (34.33) ==== ===== ===== * The Statements of total return presented above are in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice for Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies Balance Sheet of the Company as at 30 June 1999 30 June 30 June 1999 1998 (unaudited) (audited) £'000 £'000 Fixed assets Investments 14,716 16,006 Current assets Debtors 329 868 Cash 154 1,171 ------ ------ 483 2,039 Creditors: amounts falling due within one year (189) (1,445) ------ ------ Net current assets 294 594 ------ ------ Total assets less current liabilities 15,010 16,600 Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year - (1,199) Provisions for liabilities and charges - (12) ------ ------ Total net assets 15,010 15,389 ====== ====== Capital and reserves Called-up share capital 5,000 5,000 Share premium account 11,642 11,642 Warrant reserve 2,353 2,353 Other reserves Capital reserve - realised (4,893) (1,457) Capital reserve - unrealised 633 (2,362) Revenue reserve 275 213 ------ ------ Total equity shareholders' funds 15,010 15,389 ====== ====== Net asset value per Ordinary share (pence) Basic 75.05 76.95 ====== ====== Fully diluted n/a n/a ====== ====== Notes: 1 The basic revenue return per share is based on the earnings of £62,000 (1998: £82,000) and on 20,000,000 Ordinary shares of 25p each in issue for the period (1998: 20,000,000). 2 The basic capital return per share is based on capital losses of £441,000 (1998: capital losses of £6,948,000) and on 20,000,000 Ordinary shares of 25p each in issue for the period (1998: 20,000,000). 3 The financial information set out above does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years ended 30 June 1999 or 1998. The financial information for 1998 is derived from the statutory accounts for 1998 which have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The auditors have reported on the 1998 accounts; their report was unqualified and did not contain a statement under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The statutory accounts for 1999 will be finalised on the basis of the financial information presented by the Directors in this preliminary announcement and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the Company's Annual General Meeting. 4 Copies of the Annual Report will be posted to shareholders in late September and further copies may be obtained from the registered office, One Bow Churchyard, Cheapside, London EC4M 9HH. The Annual General Meeting will be held at the registered office of the Company on Thursday 21 October 1999 at 12.30 p.m. Aberdeen Asset Management PLC - Secretaries
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