Interim Results

Caledonian Trust PLC 19 March 2003 CALEDONIAN TRUST PLC INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS TO 31 DECEMBER 2002 CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT The Group made a pre-tax profit of £400,000 in the 6 months to 31 December 2002. In the comparable period last year profits were £2,607,000 of which £2,052,000 arose from the sale of Stoneywood Business Centre. Earnings per share were 3.09p and NAV per share is 165.5p compared to 27.56p and 163.5p respectively at 30 June 2002 and 17.40p and 148.4p at 31 December 2001. In the period to 31 December 2002 rental income fell by £848,000, due primarily to the sale of our Aberdeen properties but net interest costs fell by about £500,000 and administrative expenses by £145,000. An interim dividend of 1.0p will be paid. We have completed an elegant development of five four bedroom houses at Eskbank near the Edinburgh City Bypass and are now conducting a spring marketing campaign. Recent interest has been high and the two largest houses sold. At 61 North Castle Street we expect to start work shortly on the conversion of the second, third and attic floors to two residential flats. We have assessed many opportunities and in central north Edinburgh we are the preferred offeror for a development of over 20 flats. At our site near Dunbar we have just completed the conditional acquisition of an additional 2.5 acres of building land and have a further larger area under negotiation. Our commercial property portfolio has been increased by an investment in south central Glasgow in a rapidly improving area where there are reversionary and development prospects. Commercial refurbishment proposals are being considered for St Margaret's House, Edinburgh, a 92,845ft2 open plan office, near to the Scottish Parliament and to the rapidly improving east centre of the city. We expect the necessary work to be undertaken largely from funds from the dilapidations claim for over £4m, this to be determined during 2003. In 2002 the UK economy grew by 1.6% the lowest growth since 1992. Forecasts for 2003 have been progressively downgraded from the 2.7% reported in the Economist in November 2002. The current forecast is 2.2%, but the Economist Intelligence Unit ('EIU') predicts 1.9% and there are many forecasts for around 1.5%. There are three major risks to the UK economy. In the UK gross fixed investment fell by 5.2% in 2002 including a fall of 15% in manufacturing investment, the largest recorded. Private consumption has increased rapidly each year since 1996 supported by rising levels of debt and the EIU forecast for 2003 is predicated on consumption rising a further 1.8% in real terms. The ratio of debt to income is now at the level prior to the recession of the late 1980s and a rise in interest rates or unemployment, or a collapse in house prices could trigger a sharp reduction in consumption which the Bank of England estimates to be 7% of the fall in housing wealth within two years. The second and third risks are external. In Iraq the most likely outcome appears to be a brief successful war the economic effects of which would be neutral or even positive, but a long war, a 'Vietnam' or an Israeli involvement would be damaging. The US economy has two major imbalances: a high level of private sector debt and a large current account deficit. If the dollar or equity markets weaken further, confidence could collapse increasing saving and reducing consumption. Lower US growth would damage all exporters and a lower dollar would increase imports delaying the expected UK business recovery. Modest UK economic growth is the most likely outcome but the probability of a significantly worse outcome is very much higher than the probability of a significantly better outcome. The December 2002 CB Hillier Parker rent index fell 0.3% in the quarter and 0.5% in the year as steep falls in office rental values, particularly in the City, 15.8%, outweighed small gains in all other sectors. The All Property yield was unchanged at 7.2% as rising office yields were offset by falls in retail warehouses and stands at a record 2.5% points higher than Gilts. Growth of consumer spending is predicted to slow, or possibly fall if trends in house prices are reversed, so affecting retail rents and falls in business investment and current spare capacity, especially for offices, will adversely affect other sectors. Low rental growth is likely to maintain the historically large margin over gilts. House prices appear to be rising less rapidly. Nationwide report that in February 2003 prices rose only 0.4% and Rightmove, who monitor asking prices in England and Wales, report an overall rise of 2% over the last four months but widespread falls in central London boroughs. ESPC show Edinburgh area prices rose 1% in the last quarter of 2002. Due to development profits, trading until June 2003 should continue to be satisfactory although, because of our current small investment portfolio, reductions in net rental income will not be wholly offset by interest on cash deposits. Investment policy will continue to be very selective and future trading results will depend on the timing of the realization of the very significant development opportunities in the whole portfolio. I D Lowe Chairman 19 March 2003 Unaudited Consolidated Profit & Loss Account for the six months to 31 December 2002 6 Months to 31 6 Months to 31 Year to Dec 2002 Dec 2001 30 June 2002 (unaudited) (unaudited) (audited) £'000 £'000 £'000 INCOME-continuing operations Rental Income 698 1,546 2,731 Other trading sales 176 163 340 874 1,709 3,071 Property rental outgoings (2) (23) (100) Cost of other sales (178) (197) (396) Administrative Expenses (292) (437) (816) (472) (657) (1,312) OPERATING PROFIT 402 1,052 1,759 Profit on disposal of investment property - 2,052 2,589 Interest receivable 185 33 159 Interest payable (187) (530) (885) PROFIT/(LOSS) ON ORDINARY ACTIVITIES BEFORE TAXATION 400 2,607 3,622 Taxation (44) (516) (384) PROFIT/(LOSS) ON ORDINARY ACTIVITIES AFTER TAXATION 356 2,091 3,238 DIVIDENDS (115) (60) (173) PROFIT/(LOSS) RETAINED 241 2,031 3,065 Earnings per ordinary share 3.09p 17.40p 27.56p Diluted earnings per ordinary share 3.14p 14.47p 24.96p Unaudited Consolidated Balance Sheet As at 31 December 2002 As at 31 Dec 2002 As at 31 Dec 2001 As at 30 June 2002 (unaudited) (unaudited) (audited) £'000 £'000 £'000 Fixed assets Investment Properties 17,459 26,188 14,405 Equipment & vehicles 8 6 10 17,467 26,194 14,415 Current assets Debtors 532 9,803 2,532 Cash at bank and in hand 8,019 934 8,762 8,551 10,737 11,294 Creditors: Amounts falling due within one year (3,936) (7,626) (3,830) Net current assets/ 4,615 3,111 7,464 Total assets less current liabilities 22,082 29,305 21,879 Creditors: Amounts falling due after more than one year (3,027) (11,477) (3,064) Net assets 19,055 17,828 18,815 Capital and reserves Called up share capital 2,302 2,404 2,302 Share premium account 2,531 2,531 2,531 Capital redemption reserve 155 54 155 Revaluation reserve 7 3,809 7 Profit and loss account 14,060 9,030 13,820 Shareholders' funds equity 19,055 17,828 16,659 Notes 1 The figures for the six months to 31 December 2002 and 31 December 2001 do not constitute the company's statutory accounts within the meaning of Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985 (as amended) and are unaudited. The figures for the year to 30 June 2002 do not constitute full accounts. The audited accounts for that year were unqualified and have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. 2 The interim statement has been prepared in accordance with the accounting policies set out in the group's statutory accounts for the year ended 30 June 2002. 3 The calculation of earnings per ordinary share is based on the reported profit for the six months to 31 December 2002 and on the weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue in the period being 11,510,270. The calculation of diluted earnings per ordinary share is calculated adjusting the profit for the six months to 31 December 2002 in respect of interest on loan stock deemed to have been converted. The weighted average number of shares has been adjusted for deemed conversion of loan stock and deemed exercise of share options outstanding. 4 An interim dividend of 1.0p per share will be paid on 8 April 2003 to shareholders on the register on 28 March 2003. 5 Copies of the Interim Results for the six months to 31 December 2002 will be posted to shareholders as soon as practicable; and will be available, free of charge, for a period of one month from the company's Nominated Adviser, Noble & Company Limited, 1 Frederick's Place, London EC2R 8AB. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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