Interim Results - Part 1

British Land Co PLC 27 November 2002 27 November 2002 PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT BY THE BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS TO 30 SEPTEMBER 2002 HIGHLIGHTS • Net Rents up 7.9% to £249.2 million, including share of joint ventures (2001: £230.9 million). • Net Asset Value per share adjusted and fully diluted increased 2.4% to 822 pence* (March 2002: 803 pence). • Portfolio Valuation up 0.15% (on a like for like basis) to £9.376 billion. • Profits before tax of £65.3 million (2001: £80 million). There were no property trading profits in the half-year. Underlying profits are up 7.4% to £62.2 million. • Earnings per share adjusted and fully diluted are 10.5 pence (2001: 12.6 pence). • Interim Dividend up 7.9% to 4.1 pence (2001: 3.8 pence) per share. • Continued Portfolio Management with profitable sales of £350 million, purchases of £74 million and development and other capital expenditure of £146 million, including the joint ventures. * NAV adjusted to exclude the capital allowance effects of FRS 19. New Non-Executive Directors The Board is very pleased to welcome two new non-executive directors, who have accepted invitations to join us with effect from 1 January 2003. Christopher Gibson-Smith, aged 57, is Chairman of National Air Traffic Services and a non-executive director of Lloyds TSB Bank plc. Formerly he was Group Managing Director of BP plc. David Michels, aged 55, is Chief Executive of Hilton Group plc. He is a non-executive director of Hilton Hotels Corporation and, until recently, was a non-executive director of Arcadia Group plc. CONTACTS The British Land Company PLC John Ritblat, Chairman ) 020 7467 2831/2829 Graham Roberts, Finance Director ) 020 7467 2948 Finsbury Limited Edward Orlebar ) 020 7251 3801 Faeth Birch ) EXTRACTS FROM THE STATEMENT BY THE CHAIRMAN, JOHN RITBLAT "This is a time for especially intensive management and since 31 March, as part of our continual review and selection processes, we have sold (including joint ventures) 69 properties, realising £350 million. It is an encouraging reflection of the portfolio's strength that these sales comfortably exceeded the 31 March valuation of these properties, and that a good few of these sales were recent. The valuation process, carried out by external professional valuers, is cross-checked by the result of these sales." "As our sales figures show, we have been able to make plenty of profitable disposals and we have also continued to attract tenants, particularly in retail. The rent review process at Meadowhall has now increased the rent roll to £65.3 million per annum with further reviews to come in the near term and is predicted to lift rents to £68 million." "In uncertain times, well-selected property as an asset class continues to offer a relative haven, combined with an attractive income, when compared with other types of investment. Good locations do not change rapidly: strong tenants pay their rents: long lease terms ride the business cycle. British Land offers also diversity, which more than offsets the decline in some sectors of the market with rises elsewhere. As a large company, we can carry incipient developments until prospects for them improve. Meanwhile there are always opportunities for management initiatives in squeezing the best from our buildings and from hunting out new transactions." British Land's Corporate Strategy British Land's opportunistic but risk-averse strategy seeks to achieve long-term growth in shareholder value by: • focusing on prime assets in the office and retail sectors; • creating exceptional long-term investments with strong covenants, long lease profiles and growth potential; • enhancing property returns through active management and development; and • maximising equity returns through optimal financing and joint ventures. The key to high returns is flexibility, both in terms of business organisation and financing to take advantage of shifts in the property market. PORTFOLIO HIGHLIGHTS Portfolio Valuation by Use Group JVs+ Total Portfolio Change* £m £m £m % % Offices City 2,950.1 249.1 3,199.2 34.1 -3.6 West End 617.8 39.7 657.5 7.0 1.4 Business parks & Provincial 116.8 74.0 190.8 2.1 -0.8 All offices 3,684.7 362.8 4,047.5 43.2 -2.7 Retail Shopping centres 1,637.7 108.1 1,745.8 18.6 0.9 Supermarkets 953.3 191.3 1,144.6 12.2 4.6 Retail warehouses 688.0 310.2 998.2 10.7 4.8 Shops 88.2 289.1 377.3 4.0 4.7 All retail 3,367.2 898.7 4,265.9 45.5 3.1 Industrial and distribution 133.5 46.0 179.5 1.9 4.3 Residential 34.9 83.5 118.4 1.3 7.6 Leisure 74.7 87.2 161.9 1.7 3.6 Development 516.0 86.4 602.4 6.4 -4.1 Total 7,811.0 1,564.6 9,375.6 100.0 0.15 + British Land's share * after adjustment for purchases, properties awaiting development, sales and other expenditure. Total funds under British Land property management, including partners' shares of joint ventures, now £11 billion. Portfolio Valuation by Location Portfolio £m % London: City 3,644.0 38.9 West End 713.1 7.6 Greater London 471.3 5.0 Total London 4,828.4 51.5 South East England 859.8 9.2 Wales & South West England 479.6 5.1 Midlands & East Anglia 741.2 7.9 North of England 2,028.9 21.6 Scotland & Northern Ireland 328.2 3.5 Republic of Ireland 109.5 1.2 Total 9,375.6 100.0 Location: 60.7% of the portfolio is located in London and South East England. Long Lease Profile Weighted average Vacancy rate lease term, years % (excluding residential+ & developments) to expiry to first break Offices City 14.7 11.3 0.6 West End 12.4 10.3 9.7 Business parks & Provincial 13.1 8.8 0.3 All offices 14.3 11.0 2.0 Retail Shopping centres 17.3 17.1 3.8 Supermarkets 21.9 21.9 0.0 Retail warehouses 17.8 17.6 1.8 Shops 25.8 23.1 0.5 All retail 20.0 19.5 2.1 Industrial and distribution 16.8 15.9 1.8 Leisure 27.4 26.8 0.5 Total 17.5 15.7 2.0* + predominantly let on short leases *Effective vacancy rate: 1.3% where tenants are being sought (0.5% under offer and 0.2% taken back under asset management). For West End offices, 9.2% vacancy rate arises on practical completion of the development at 350 Euston Road, NW1. Security of Income % of income remaining at: (from 30 Sept 2002) expiry first break 1 year 98.6 97.2 2 years 97.7 95.0 3 years 96.2 92.8 4 years 95.3 91.6 5 years 94.5 87.3 10 years 82.3 69.6 15 years 62.2 54.6 20 years 33.0 29.8 includes joint ventures assumes no re-letting after first break or expiry Tenant Risk Profile: British Land TICCS Dun & Bradstreet Stress Score % Benchmark %* Rental income rated: Negligible, low and low / medium risk 84.5 76.2 Medium / high risk 10.2 16.0 High risk 2.3 4.1 Unmatched 3.0 3.7 Total 100.0 100.0 * Tenant Income Credit rating Covenant Strength (IPD) Annualised Net Reversionary Current Reversionary Current Reversions Rents £m income net yield net yield (5 years) £m % (5 years) % (excluding developments) Offices City 194.1 20.0 6.1 6.7 West End 30.6 17.1 4.7 7.3 Business parks & Provincial 17.2 0.4 9.0 9.2 All offices 241.9 37.5 6.0 6.9 Retail Shopping centres 97.3 15.5 5.6 6.5 Supermarkets 75.9 1.2 6.6 6.7 Retail warehouses 59.8 11.7 6.0 7.2 Shops 23.6 4.6 6.2 7.5 All retail 256.6 33.0 6.0 6.8 Industrial and distribution 8.9 4.3 5.0 7.4 Residential 7.2 0.2 6.1 6.2 Leisure 11.4 0.7 7.1 7.5 Total 526.0 75.7 6.0 6.9 Reversionary income: of the £75.7 million per annum expected to be realised within 5 years, £13.9 million per annum is already contracted. Further reversions at dates after 5 years account for an additional £5.5 million per annum. Development Programme Size Estimated Construction Cost to rental value cost (est.) complete sq m £m £m £m Committed projects 135,230 53.5 394.7 269.8 Development prospects 416,340 100.7 671.3 618.1 Total 551,570 154.2 1,066.0 887.9 Pre-let: 50% by area of committed projects is pre-let/sold at 30 September 2002, representing £21.2 million rent per annum. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Profit and Loss Account Six months to Six months to 30 September 2002 30 September 2001 Net rental income £249.2m £230.9m Net rental income - Group £200.1m £187.5m Net interest payable £164.8m £157.4m Profits on property trading and disposal of fixed assets £3.1m £17.3m Profit before taxation £65.3m £80.0m Tax charge £12.8m £16.7m Adjusted diluted earnings per share 10.5 pence 12.6 pence Dividend per share 4.1 pence 3.8 pence Balance Sheet 30 September 2002 31 March 2002 Total properties* £9,375.6m £9,300.3m Adjusted:+ Net assets £4,362.0m £4,320.8m Net asset value per share (fully diluted) 822p 803p Debt / equity ratio (Group) 91% 89% Mortgage ratio (debt / property & investments) 46% 46% * Pre adjustments for UITF 28 + Adjusted to include the external valuation surplus on development and trading properties and to exclude the capital allowance effects of FRS 19 Total Return (fully diluted adjusted net asset value per share growth and dividend) for the six months 2.9%. 30 September 2002 31 March 2002 Financing statistics (Group) Net debt £3,967m £3,840m - Weighted average debt maturity 19.9 years 19.8 years - Weighted average interest rate 6.50% 6.62% - % of net debt at fixed / capped interest rates 91% 95% - % of debt ringfenced with no recourse to other Group companies/assets 71% 69% Interest cover (net rents / net interest) 1.54x 1.53x Undrawn committed bank facilities, cash and deposits £1,482m £2,046m All figures include British Land's share of joint ventures unless stated as Group. STATEMENT BY THE CHAIRMAN, JOHN RITBLAT British Land's long-term business model proved its mettle in the six months ended 30 September 2002. High quality properties in a diversified portfolio, occupied by strong tenants on long leases, have safeguarded our committed cash flow. Gross rents, including our share of joint ventures, rose by £18.6 million to £266 million, up 7.5%. An efficient capital structure, coupled to a largely fixed interest rate debt book, also ensures that the Company prospers in these uncertain economic times. This resilience in our property portfolio, together with the buy-back of the £323 million 6.5% Convertible, have enabled fully diluted net assets per share to rise by 2.4% to 822p per share. Profits before tax for the half-year were £65 million. At the last year-end we stated that we expected to sustain a higher rate of growth of dividend, and at the interim stage we are lifting the payout by 7.9% to 4.1p per share (2001: 3.8p). This is a time for especially intensive management and since 31 March, as part of our continual review and selection processes, we have sold (including joint ventures) 69 properties, realising £350 million. It is an encouraging reflection of the portfolio's strength that these sales comfortably exceeded the 31 March valuation of these properties, and that a good few of these sales were recent. The valuation process, carried out by external professional valuers, is cross-checked by the result of these sales. A side benefit of our securitisations, and a further external validation of tenant quality, is that three separate independent rating agencies, having reviewed our tenancies at Broadgate, Meadowhall and the Sainsbury's superstores, have assigned "AAA" status to £1,372 million of this debt, "AA" status to a further £448 million and "A" status to another £842 million. The valuation is overall up 0.15%. Our retail holdings are up 3.1%, with our supermarkets (up 4.6%) and retail warehouses (up 4.8%) performing particularly well. There is encouraging news on a recent supermarket rent review - £23.15 per sq ft has been achieved at Chiswick. City offices are down 3.6%, but in the West End, where Abbey National is in occupation and 350 Euston Road is now part-let, our offices are up 1.4%. Leisure, now largely pubs, is up 3.6% and I must make special mention of our residential holdings which, with dedicated specialist management, are up 7.6%. It is still possible for a big property company to make money, economically, on small units, if the judgments are sound. Property purchases for British Land and the joint ventures involved three properties and amounted to £74 million, while development and other capital expenditures were £146 million. We have tailored our immediate development programme to the current letting climate. In the half-year British Land and its joint ventures completed just under half a million square feet of space at a cost of £29.5 million, already 95% let, yielding £5 million a year when fully let. Committed projects in course are primarily Plantation Place with a pre-let to Accenture, Centre West at East Kilbride which is largely let or under offer, and 10 Exchange Square at Broadgate, a 163,000 sq ft office building which has already attracted tenant interest. The current committed programme will provide 1,456,000 sq ft at a cost of £402 million, of which £125 million has already been expended, with an estimated rental value of £54.2 million. Next stage projects, where planning consent has been obtained in almost every case, can be activated as soon as we judge the moment right, and will provide 4.48 million sq ft and an estimated rent of £111 million. Sites currently non-earning make only a modest impact, with under £230 million of capital tied up. With a large diversified portfolio under management, we are able to take a broad view of the property market. As our sales figures show, we have been able to make plenty of profitable disposals and we have also continued to attract tenants, particularly in retail. The rent review process at Meadowhall has now increased the rent roll to £65.3 million per annum with further reviews to come in the near term and is predicted to lift rents to £68 million. Here I must point out a sea change in retail practice which is bringing us higher income but to some extent eroding the traditional basis of Zone A rents as the sole arbiter of performance. Major retailers in all our shopping centres now want much larger spaces than the traditional 20 ft frontage, 100 ft deep standard units, and they are prepared to pay higher rents per sq ft on these larger spaces. At Meadowhall, through mezzanines and extensions we have increased the Centre's size by 79,000 sq ft. We have also lifted the average rent from £40 when we bought the Centre to £51.70 per sq ft now. We are offering the new Lease Code to prospective tenants but are finding only subdued interest in the variants. As ever, free market forces prevail - a constant surprise to Government but not to those in the market. Financing The weighted average debt maturity has moved out to 20 years and the weighted average interest rate is down again, as forecast, to 6.5% as a result of our treasury initiatives. 91% of debt is fixed or capped as to interest rate. During the half-year we bought back £323 million 6.5% Convertible Bonds 2007 at par. This repurchase removed the dilutive potential of an issue of 48.1 million shares had conversion taken place, and lifted net assets fully diluted by 11p per share, and also reduced interest costs by £5 million per annum. We remain on the look-out for opportunities to buy back shares when it is advantageous and when the cash demands of the business, particularly on the development side, permit. So far this year we have bought back 600,000 shares at an average price of 430.5p per share. I have referred before to the impact on property companies from the progressive rises in Stamp Duty. Without Stamp Duty, currently at 4% on the vast majority of our portfolio, net assets would be £375 million higher, and net assets per share would be up 72p. Now there is a new "pincer movement" in prospect. Impending adoption of current international accounting standards would require movements in valuations to pass through the profit and loss account, even though the gains and losses are unrealised. How this will help investors to assess a company's operations has not been explained, as separate information on revaluations is already provided in our Accounts. Hot on the heels of this unhappy proposal, H.M. Treasury is proposing significant corporation tax reforms which will adversely affect property companies. What a depressing pair of twins! The Outlook In uncertain times, well-selected property as an asset class continues to offer a relative haven, combined with an attractive income, when compared with other types of investment. Good locations do not change rapidly: strong tenants pay their rents: long lease terms ride the business cycle. British Land offers also diversity, which more than offsets the decline in some sectors of the market with rises elsewhere. As a large company, we can carry incipient developments until prospects for them improve. Meanwhile there are always opportunities for management initiatives in squeezing the best from our buildings and from hunting out new transactions. The Board The Board is very pleased to welcome two new non-executive directors, who have accepted invitations to join us with effect from 1 January 2003. Christopher Gibson-Smith is Chairman of National Air Traffic Services and a non-executive director of Lloyds TSB Bank plc. Formerly he was Group Managing Director of BP plc. David Michels is Chief Executive of Hilton Group plc. He is a non-executive director of Hilton Hotels Corporation and, until recently, was a non-executive director of Arcadia Group plc. BUSINESS REVIEW FINANCIAL REVIEW Gross rental income for the six months to 30 September 2002, including our share of joint ventures, rose by 7.5% (£18.6 million) to £266.2 million (2001: £247.6 million). The joint ventures contributed £6.4 million of the increase, where our share of gross rents grew to £53.3 million (2001: £46.9 million). Group net rental income for the six months rose 6.7% to £200.1 million (2001: £187.5 million), mainly as a result of £18.3 million of increased rents, achieved from rent reviews and new lettings, including additional income from Broadgate of £8.9 million, less reductions in rental income due mainly to disposals. British Land's share of joint venture operating profits rose 6.3% to £45.5 million (2001: £42.8 million) including a £7.0 million contribution from the BL Davidson joint venture, which was acquired in September 2001. Profit before tax is £65.3 million compared to £80.0 million. Profits for the 6 months to September 2001 included property trading profits of £6.3 million and a dividend from our investment at that time in Haslemere N.V., of £4.8 million. In addition, disposals above valuation in the current period were £3.1 million compared to £11 million in 2001. Before the Haslemere dividend and profits on disposals, underlying profits increased by £4.3 million (7.4%). The tax charge for the six months is £12.8 million, an effective rate of 19.6% (2001: £16.7 million, 20.9%). Adjusted diluted earnings per share were 10.5 pence (2001: 12.6 pence). Adjusted diluted net assets per share rose since 31 March 2002 by 2.4% from 803 pence to 822 pence. Of this increase, the revaluation surplus contributed 1.8 pence, retained profits 5.7 pence, and share repurchases and the redemption of the convertible bonds 11.9 pence. Income and Finance British Land is structured to provide shareholders with a low risk profile on the two key elements of operating cash flow: net rental income and interest payable. In a cyclical property market with high transaction costs and low liquidity, this structure delivers to shareholders a steady cash flow, to fund the business through the peaks and troughs in the market, to provide a strong balance sheet for investing and to fund dividends on a progressive basis. Income Current annualised net rents, including our share of joint ventures, amount to £526 million. This rental income is supported by long leases to good covenants with regular upward only rent reviews. • The average unexpired lease term within the portfolio is 17.5 years with 82% of the current rent roll remaining in place at 30 September 2012 (10 years). Assuming break clauses are exercised at the earliest date this average is still 15.7 years with 70% of the current rent roll remaining in place in 10 years time. • At 30 September 2002, income quality has been measured using a Dun & Bradstreet credit rating, showing 84.5% of our rent roll is derived from negligible, low and low/medium risk covenants with only 2.3% from high risk covenants. • Reversionary income from investment properties and rental income from committed developments are currently estimated at a further £129.2 million within 5 years, of which £35.1 million is contracted through pre-lets or the expiry of rent-free periods and minimum rental uplifts. Finance Approximately 50% of the investment property value is financed by debt. The structure of our debt has varied over time to reflect opportunities to refinance more cheaply and effectively in the debt markets. We currently have 71% of our debt in securitisations, which are non-recourse to the rest of the Group. The financial risk management policy is to maintain approximately 85% of debt at fixed rates. In addition debt is taken out for the long term rather than the short term, matching the underlying lease lengths. As a result of these policies, we concentrate shareholders' economic exposure to the property market and to our portfolio's performance and minimise exposure to short to medium term interest rate movements. At 30 September 2002, net debt is £3,967.1 million (March 2002: £3,840.4 million), of which securitised debt of £2,901.8 million is ringfenced with no recourse to other Group companies or assets. The mortgage ratio remains unchanged at 46%. The Group's weighted average interest cost is 6.5%, of which 91% is at fixed or capped rates of interest, with a weighted average debt maturity of 19.9 years (March 2002: 19.8 years). At 30 September 2002 the market values of net debt and interest rate derivatives were £511.6 million more than their book values. The increase from March 2002 of £207.7 million reflects the significant downward shift in the Sterling yield curve. Cash and available committed bank facilities were £1.5 billion (March 2002: £2.0 billion). Dividend The Directors declare an interim dividend of 4.1 pence per share payable on 21 February 2003. This represents an increase of 7.9% over the 2001 interim dividend of 3.8 pence per share and is in line with our policy of progressive dividend growth. Cash flow Profits after interest, tax and working capital movements, generated a positive operating net cash flow for the six months ended 30 September 2002 of £20.3 million, compared to £31.0 million in 2001. Property disposals by the Group and joint ventures realised cash of £73.1 million. Advances to joint ventures, property acquisitions and development expenditure absorbed £138.7 million. Cash and existing bank facilities were used to fund the £323 million redemption of the 6.5% Convertible Bond 2007. Accounting Policies There have been no Accounting Standard changes affecting the Group in this period. There are proposed changes to Accounting Standards in respect of employee costs arising from recent external events: the fall in equity markets affecting pension schemes and the controversy over accounting for share schemes. In respect to our pension scheme, which was fully funded at 31 March 2002, the pension liabilities at that time were 0.6% of adjusted net assets as our employee numbers and payroll are small. In addition, share awards under the current long-term incentive plan are already expensed through the profit and loss account. Conclusion Our business has recurring long-term income committed from a blended portfolio of low risk tenants in high quality properties, primarily in the office and retail sectors. The business is well financed for the long-term at 6.5% with debt maturity on average at 19.9 years and with a high percentage (currently 91%) at fixed/capped rates. PROPERTY REVIEW Sales As a result of our continuing portfolio management, since 31 March 2002 we have been net disinvestors, taking the opportunity of a buoyant investment market. During the six months, while we acquired properties for £74 million, we have completed sales of £300 million and exchanged contracts for the sale of a further £50 million, including joint ventures and involving 69 properties (excluding residential units). Total sales prices of £350 million exceeded the relevant March 2002 Valuations. Included among the disposals were: • the BL Rank portfolio, comprising six bingo clubs, three leisure parks, one cinema and three multi leisure centres at £109 million, which concludes our sale programme from this joint venture and significantly reduces our exposure to the leisure sector, • residential property totalling some £36 million, mainly from the London & Henley joint venture and our own portfolio, taking advantage of the exceptional prices in Central London's residential market, • 26 retail units with total sales prices of £53 million, predominantly in high street locations from both our own portfolio and that of the BLU joint venture, to capitalise on a buoyant market for these investments, • sales by BL Davidson of 3 retail parks totalling £43 million. We have also completed the sale of 2 distribution units at Nursling, Southampton of 29,730 sq m (320,000 sq ft) for £36.7 million, let to Tesco and Christian Salvesen. The price reflected a yield shift in favour of this sector, which occurred despite the fact that rental growth forecasts are limited. Since the half-year end, further sales completed included the 33,060 sq m (356,000 sq ft) distribution unit at Thatcham for £38.5 million, where construction has completed and the property pre-let to Scottish & Newcastle Plc. This sale created significant development surplus over cost. Purchases We continue to invest in the retail sector, in particular out of town retail parks. The Meadowbank Retail Park, Edinburgh, which totals 13,950 sq m (150,000 sq ft) and is anchored by a Sainsbury's Superstore of 4,050 sq m (43,800 sq ft) was purchased in July 2002 for £31 million. The average rent for the park is £12.54 per sq ft, which is reversionary. During the restructuring of Railtrack to form Network Rail, we took the opportunity of buying out Railtrack Development Limited's 50% interest in the joint venture that we had with them in respect of the 68,470 sq m (737,000 sq ft) proposed development at 201 Bishopsgate, London EC2. The raft over the railway line had already been completed by the joint venture company, thus eventual construction costs are limited to the structure above ground. Property Asset Management During the half-year we have negotiated 168 rent reviews and lease renewals, resulting in an increase in rental income of £15.8 million per annum. In particular, 2 rent reviews involving a total of 46,000 sq m (490,000 sq ft) office and ancillary space at Broadgate have been settled, resulting in increases in rent of £6.7 million. In the supermarket portfolio we have continued to progress with rent reviews; all those due prior to March 2002 have been settled, resulting in significant increases in passing rents. Since September, we have agreed a rent review at a record level of £23.15 per sq ft at Chiswick. We have continued to meet the supermarket operators' desire for increased trading floor areas by carrying out four extensions, amounting to a total of 6,600 sq m (71,000 sq ft) and generating additional rents of over £1 million per annum. Voids in the portfolio represent a very low total of 2.0% by rental value; 0.5% is under offer and 0.2% is the subject of asset management initiatives, so just 1.3% is vacant where tenants are being sought. Reversionary income from the current investment portfolio is anticipated to increase rents by £81.2 million per annum; of this £75.7 million is expected to be achieved in the next 5 years, including £13.9 million already committed upon the expiry of rent free periods and minimum rental uplifts. Further income will be generated from the development programme (commented on below) of which £21.2 million (British Land's share) is committed under pre-lets. Further income Contracted Not Contracted Total £m £m £m Next 5 years: Annualised net rents, 30 September 2002 526.0 526.0 Reversions 13.9 61.8 75.7 Committed developments 21.2 32.3 53.5 Total, within 5 years 561.1 94.1 655.2 Reversions, after 5 years 5.5 5.5 Development prospects 100.7 Total 761.4 Offices Offices represent 43% of the total portfolio and of this, 95% is in Central London. Whereas it is clear that there is a fall off in demand for Central London offices, in the current market this is not coupled with an excessive over supply. Vacancy overall is currently approaching 10% of City office space; Grade A vacancies are approximately 4%. While vacancy levels are expected to be higher over the next 2 years as a result of new supply and release by tenants of existing space, the new supply to the market is expected to reduce to minimal levels by 2005. Given average take-up continuing at existing (albeit low) levels, by late 2005 the market should return to equilibrium and we can expect rental growth. Rental values have softened in the last six months. However, our Central London portfolio income has the benefit of long leases with committed income streams from good covenants; the weighted average lease length of the office portfolio is 14.3 years (11 years on the assumption that break options are exercised). Retail Retail represents 46% of the portfolio, 80% of this is out of town and 20% is in town centres and shopping schemes. Total UK retail sales continue to increase, currently at the rate of 5.1% per annum in the year to October 2002. This has shown through to an improvement in rents, particularly out of town with its continued strong consumer preference and limited supply, and where our investment is primarily focused. Our department store portfolio is also performing well. We have recently completed a transaction with House of Fraser, whereby we paid some £8 million for internal structural alteration and major fixtures and fittings as part of their refurbishment programme of the Rackhams store in Birmingham, in return for an increase in rental payment. We have had considerable success in the Meadowhall Shopping Centre, where we have enhanced the tenant mix with significant lettings of 930 sq m (10,000 sq ft) to the Spanish fashion retailer, Zara and 3,160 sq m (34,000 sq ft) to Sports Soccer, with fashion retailer USC moving into the vacated 810 sq m (8,700 sq ft) Sports Soccer unit. Rents achieved on reviews and lettings have been in line with our expectations and total income has increased by over £3 million per annum. Development During the six months we have completed developments totalling 45,410 sq m (488,800 sq ft), 95% being pre-let. Significant completions were at Thatcham, 33,060 sq m (356,000 sq ft) pre-let to Scottish & Newcastle, and subsequently sold, and 5,110 sq m (55,000 sq ft) at Enfield pre-let to MacFarlane Packaging. Committed developments total 135,230 sq m (1,456,000 sq ft) of which 50% by area is pre-let/sold. Two projects in the City are under construction: 1 and 2 Plantation Place, 65,000 sq m (700,000 sq ft) and 10 Exchange Square (Broadgate), 15,100 sq m (163,400 sq ft). The new building of 18,600 sq m (200,000 sq ft) at Regent's Place, 2/3 Triton Square pre-let to Abbey National, was handed over in April 2002, let on a lease for 20 years. At 350 Euston Road, where 12,000 sq m (130,000 sq ft) offices has been recently completed, we have let or put under offer 4,370 sq m (47,000 sq ft) and are in discussions with further tenants. Concerning development prospects, we have notification of resolutions to grant planning consents for 11,730 sq m (126,000 sq ft) at Ludgate West and 49,630 sq m (534,000 sq ft) at Lime Street, both in the City, and for 12,860 sq m (138,400 sq ft) at York House in the West End. These projects, when committed, will continue our development strategy of adding high quality assets and income to the investment portfolio. However, we will continue to review and undertake the development programme in controlled stages, with construction commitments made either on pre-lets or on the basis of anticipated market demand. Controlled Development Programme Net Area ERV Construction Cost to As at 30 September 2002 sq m pa cost Complete Completed Total 45,410 £5.0m £29.5m - British Land Share £3.2m £19.9m - Committed Total 135,230 £54.2m £401.6m £276.3m British Land Share £53.5m £394.7m £269.8m Development prospects Total 416,340 £110.5m £750.6m £693.7m British Land Share £100.7m £671.3m £618.1m Total 551,570 £164.7m £1,152.2m £970.0m British Land Share £154.2m £1,066.0m £887.9m Committed Projects, as at 30 September 2002 Project Prime Use Size ERV Cost * PC + Pre-lettings sq m (est.) (sq m if part) 1 Plantation Office 50,520 £27.9m £205.3m Q2 2004 Accenture Place (34,840) 2 Plantation Office 14,930 £8.6m £56.4m Q2 2004 Place Centre West, Retail 26,760 £6.4m £67.8m Q1 2003 Tenants incl: East Debenhams, Next, Kilbride River Island (14,520) 10 Exchange Office 15,180 £8.8m £53.2m Q2 2004 Square Enfield Distribution (BL Gazeley) Warburtons Unit 7 10,500 £0.7m £7.7m Q2 2003 (Forward sale) Unit 6 6,780 £0.6m £4.1m Q2 2003 Southern Syringe Unit 8 1,530 £0.1m £0.9m Q2 2003 Feltham Distrib- Phase 3 ution 8,460 £1.0m £5.1m Q3 2003 Cambridge (BL Universal) Retail 570 £0.1m £1.1m Q4 2002 MultiYork Total 135,230 £54.2m £401.6m 67,210 * Construction cost + Practical completion Valuation Valuation of all property in the British Land Portfolio and situated in the United Kingdom (excluding Tesco British Land Property Partnership, Tesco BL Holdings, London & Henley Holdings Limited and BL Davidson Limited which were separately externally valued) was undertaken by Chartered Surveyors, ATIS REAL Weatheralls, as at 30 September 2002. Their commentary on the market at the valuation date appears later in this report. The Portfolio, including British Land's share of joint ventures was valued at £9.376 billion. On a like-for-like basis (after adjustment for purchases, properties awaiting development, sales and other expenditure), the Portfolio showed a small increase in value of 0.15% for the first six months. While the office investments decreased in value by 2.7%, this is counter-balanced by our retail portfolio which was up by 3.1%. Retail warehouse investments increased by 4.8%, shopping centres increased by 0.9%, supermarkets and shops rose by 4.6% and 4.7% respectively. Our interests in leisure and industrial/distribution also increased in value, by 3.6% and 4.3% respectively. The residential investments, including our 50% in the London & Henley joint venture, now total £118 million, showing a 7.6% increase in value for the six months. Strategy The investment market for UK property continues overall to be strong, with investment from UK corporates and institutions coupled with substantial investment from overseas. This has caused yields to harden, particularly for long lease income flows. The main drivers for this increased investment is the weakness of the equities market coupled with low interest rates and low inflation prospects. We will continue to invest in quality properties, let to strong covenants on good length leases, with the concentration being on the out of town retail sector and Central London offices. It is pleasing to be able to report that this strategy has held up well; the improvement in the valuation of our retail portfolio has more than outweighed the small decline in the Central London office portfolio value, resulting in a modest overall portfolio uplift. We will take advantage of market conditions within this overall strategy and seek out opportunities where our asset management or development expertise can achieve advances in capital value. ATIS REAL WEATHERALLS - COMMERCIAL PROPERTY MARKET SUMMARY The comments below reflect our views as at 30 September 2002 and underlie our approach to the valuation of the portfolio. General With stockmarket uncertainty and further interest rate reductions being factored into many investors' considerations, commercial property has continued to attract considerable funds. Would-be investors range from institutional funds to individuals, both cash and debt financed. Consequently yields have hardened across virtually the entire spectrum, particularly for properties offering long term income streams from good covenants, as typically found in the British Land portfolio. Although some rental values are under pressure, the low returns elsewhere mean that property yields are unlikely to rise whilst current conditions prevail. Moreover, the impact of falling rental values on the capital value of British Land's substantial holdings at Broadgate has been largely mitigated by the generally long leases to strong covenants with upward only reviews. Likewise the Company's other significant Central London scheme at Regent's Place. Across the Group, any adverse movements that have occurred in respect of offices have been offset by retail increases. Investor sentiment there is as keen as ever and values are forecast to rise still further as anticipated rental growth manifests itself. Offices In the City, reflecting more uncertain reversionary prospects, we have revised the emphasis of our approach to the valuation of the Broadgate Estate from an equivalent yield to a more initial yield led basis. We factored in more conservative reversions reflecting market sentiment, although firm evidence of a rental decline was not widely available. However, in terms of initial yields, sales within the City and the West End suggest the investment market for well-let Central London offices is strong. Recent transactions include 50 Stratton Street, sold at an initial yield of 5.65% and 111 Old Broad Street in the City at 6.03%. City developments have typically been marked down in value. This is as a consequence of our assuming that development activity will be phased to coincide with rental recovery. Our demand and supply forecasts lead us to anticipate that this will be in 2005. Meanwhile our view is that the next couple of years will be volatile in terms of rental movements. History suggests that City occupiers tend to revise their attitude very rapidly, with consequent increases in rental values, as soon as optimism returns. Equally strong investor sentiment in the West End was amply demonstrated prior to our valuation by the sale of both phases of the Mayfair Place/Stratton Street scheme. Moreover, supply is constrained by the physical boundaries of the traditional West End and more restrictive planning policies. Again, although rental values have fallen, capital values have been maintained due to the quality and length of the main leases at the Company's substantial West End holding - Regent's Place. Letting levels at 350 Euston Road have held up well and, medium term, we consider state of the art accommodation, such as at Regent's Place, will continue to appeal to a wider tenant base. Whilst the Company's holdings in Provincial offices are not currently significant, centres such as Birmingham have shown renewed confidence as evidenced by the sale of 55 Colmore Row at 6.5%. Retail Retail Warehousing has outperformed virtually all other investment classes. Nearly all locations still offer considerable scope for rental growth. The logistical benefits to retailers will continue to support this and restrictive planning has served to enhance values. A number of investment deals, including Hendersons' purchase of Kew Retail Park, indicate that low initial yields do not deter investors. The expectation is that reversions, when they arrive, will often be in excess of current provable levels. The weight of money and covenant strength factors have also improved values for supermarkets. Funds have demonstrated their appetite for such investments which also provide strong underlying residual values and profitable alternative retail uses. More recently demand from private investors has been even keener. We are aware of several transactions including the sale of a Waitrose store in Surrey at just over 5.25% initial yield with many years before the next rent review. Department stores have also benefited from covenant led yield improvements and offer relatively cheap capital values per square foot. Funds have returned in force to High Street shops but there are few investments available. In some towns investors are now factoring rental growth into their calculations where previously initial or very near reversionary yield was key. Small lot sizes continue to attract aggressive bids from a range of private investors. Prime yields have moved in by around 25 basis points. Retailers themselves still face mixed fortunes so underlying strength of location and rent affordability remain key considerations. Shopping Centre values have generally improved, in line with the High Street. At the Company's Peacocks Centre, Woking, provable rentals have increased by around 20%. Progress continues at Centre West (adjoining the Plaza Centre at East Kilbride) where 13 tenants have been secured so far including Next and Debenhams, with a further 9 units already under offer. At Meadowhall active management intitiatives have continued, incorporating a number of strategic tenant relocations within the centre. Reversions and income have remained broadly in line with expectations. Other Sectors Aside from the substantial Clifton Moor Estate in York, the Company's industrial holdings are predominantly found within the BL Gazeley joint venture, where activity has focused largely on distribution buildings in Greater London. Here significant profits have been generated from development activity. Yields and rents are both ahead of original expectations. The Public Houses have also benefited from the yield covenant shift, especially in the case of smaller lot sizes in the active private buyer auction market. Where there are alternative uses that can be exploited, purchasers can easily justify bids down to a 6% initial yield level, an adequate holding yield with the initial cost amortising over the lease term, effectively providing a "free option" in respect of any added value at the lease expiration. ATIS REAL Weatheralls Norfolk House 31 St James's Square London SW1Y 4JR This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange SESEIF
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