Final Results

F&C Latin American Inv Trust PLC 27 February 2003 EMBARGOED UNTIL 7.00AM ON 27 FEBRUARY 2003 Contact: Emily McLaughlin, F&C Emerging Markets, 020 7628 8000/Emma Chilvers, Lansons Communications, 020 7294 3606 F&C LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC Unaudited Preliminary Statement of Results for the year ended 31 December 2002 HIGHLIGHTS • Latin American markets fell over 20% during the year in tandem with global market performance. • The net asset value was 158.37 cents at year end, a fall of 31.8% over the year. The share price fell 25.5% over the period, trading at a discount to net asset value of 19.0% compared to 22.8% the previous year. • Looking to the current year, the immediate global outlook is uncertain and current market movements reflect this. Underlying global economic and corporate trends are inclined towards recovery in 2003, extending into 2004, but markets and economies naturally will be affected by the timing and outcome of any war with Iraq. The portfolio is currently positioned to balance between the expected improvement in the global economic environment and possible adverse consequences of the impending conflict in Iraq. • Since the year end the net asset value performance of the company has fallen 10.8% against the index fall of 6.6% (25 February 2003). The share price has fallen from 124 cents to 113 or 8.9% (25 February 2003). SUMMARY OF RESULTS 31 December 2002 31 December 2001 % Change Net assets attributable to equity shareholders US$116.8m US$173.0m -32.5 Net assets per share - basic 158.37 cents 232.18 cents -31.8 Net assets per share - diluted 153.16 cents 215.67 cents -29.0 Share price 124.00 cents 166.50 cents -25.5 Warrant price 40.50 cents 70.50 cents -42.6 Extracts from the Chairman's Statement Latin American stock markets started the past year with strong gains, largely ignoring the unfolding economic and social chaos in Argentina. Markets were buoyed by the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates and a host of economic indicators which suggested an imminent and powerful rebound in US economic activity which would ignite global growth. In April, the first of a wave of rumours and actual announcements of accounting irregularities began to emerge in the USA, the size and calibre of which shocked investors. Global stockmarkets plunged in what initially looked like profit-taking after the year's initial gains, but which eventually proved to be generated by concerns striking at the heart of American capitalism. It was during this period that the Federal authorities indicted Enron's accountants, adding to the growing sense of unease. The perceived high risk emerging markets were hard hit, particularly those positioned for an economic rebound. Global sentiment moved into risk aversion mode, while investors scrambled for defensive assets. Global markets fell further with Latin American markets dropping in tandem. Concurrent with this uncertain global background was the start of the Brazilian election cycle, which added further uncertainty and complexity to Latin American portfolio analysis. The level of extreme risk aversion, coupled with an unusually opaque forecasting environment during the campaign and the election outcome, conspired to drag the Brazilian market down at one point to over 65%. Latin American markets trended lower for most of the year, punctuated by a brief rally after the Brazilian election in October, but still ended the year materially below January's levels. The Company avoided the worst effects of the Argentine crisis, having sold all its Argentine investments in the second quarter of 2001, and thus had no exposure to the region's worst performing market. The large proportion of Mexican investments provided a welcome anchor in the portfolio to counterbalance the Brazilian holdings, but general gearing on the portfolio hurt overall performance despite the raising of cash to offset some of its effect. Nearly all the year's underperformance was the result of the gearing. The share price performance over the year was materially better than the net asset value performance, and the discount narrowed over the year. At year-end, your Company's undiluted net assets amounted to US$116.8 million and the net asset value (NAV) per share was 158.37 cents, which represented a fall of 31.8% over the year. This compares with the IFCG Latin American US$ Total Return Index which fell 20.2%. The NAV performance compares with a share price fall of 25.5% over the year. Shares in the Company traded on a discount of 19.0% at year-end, an improvement from 22.8% at the end of the previous year. Looking to the current year, the immediate global outlook is uncertain and current market movements reflect this. Underlying global economic and corporate trends are inclined towards recovery in 2003, extending into 2004, but markets and economies naturally will be affected by the timing and outcome of any war with Iraq. The portfolio is currently positioned to balance between the expected improvement in the global economic environment and possible adverse consequences of the impending conflict in Iraq. Since the year-end, the NAV of the Company has fallen by 10.8% against an index fall of 6.6% (25 February 2003). The share price has fallen from 124 cents to 113 cents or 8.9% (25 February 2003), and the warrants have fallen 19.8% from 40.5 cents to 32.5 cents (25 February 2003). The discount has fallen to 17.3% (25 February 2003). Outlook GDP growth for the region in aggregate will likely register only a moderate 2% increase from the recessionary levels achieved in 2002, while inflation for the region will trend higher into double digits. Looking into 2004, the economic rebound for the region should be more pronounced, and be in excess of 3%. Stronger global growth is a necessary precondition for all the region's economies, but in itself may not be sufficient to promote a strong, sustainable recovery in Argentina, Brazil or Venezuela. The extent to which populist policies are allowed to replace market-oriented policies in these countries will ultimately determine the pace of growth and hence the sustainability of their debt dynamics. The open and well-managed economies of Mexico and Chile stand out in a regional context for their higher growth targets this year of over 3%. The smaller Andean countries of Peru and Colombia appear to be on a firmer growth path than in previous years. The outlook for improving global growth and the strong demand seen in China are providing a strong catalyst for demand in a number of commodity segments which benefit the Latin American region. A weaker dollar is a mixed blessing for Latin America, aiding commodity exports and hence trade accounts, however the capital accounts are negatively affected by higher payments of dollar-linked debt. As noted in last year's annual report, there is a strong historical correlation between Latin American market performance and global growth. The catalyst for sustained Latin American market performance may come when the rebound in global growth is confirmed, although the full economic rebound in the region is not likely until 2004. Latin American markets trade at a discount to the overall emerging markets valuations at a multiple of just 9.5x 2003 earnings, an undemanding valuation which can support higher market levels as the rebound unfolds. Therefore, with global liquidity plentiful and emerging markets assets cheap, the principal indicators for better emerging market performance remain a more positive assessment of the outlook for global growth and a greater appetite for risk amongst international investors. Marketing initiatives The Board continues to support the AITC's promotional activities for investment trusts. The Company is also undertaking an active campaign to broaden its shareholder base by focused marketing and presentations to a wide range of retail intermediaries and IFAs. Annual General Meeting The AGM will be held on 8 May 2003 at the offices of F&C Emerging Markets Limited. We hope that as many shareholders as possible will attend. Following the AGM, the Manager will again give a brief presentation following which shareholders are invited to join the Board and Managers at a buffet lunch. Peter Burnell, Chairman February 2003 Balance Sheet at 31 December 2002 2001 US$'000s US$'000s Fixed assets Investments 130,370 195,735 Current assets Debtors 841 975 Taxation recoverable 109 109 Short-term deposits 13,011 6,500 Cash at bank 3,474 614 17,435 8,198 Current liabilities Creditors: amounts falling due within one year US dollar bank loans (29,500) (29,500) Other (1,462) (952) (30,962) (30,452) Net current liabilities (13,527) (22,254) Total assets less current liabilities 116,843 173,481 Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year Provision for liabilities and charges - (448) Net assets 116,843 173,033 Capital and Reserves Called up share capital: Including non-equity share capital 7,400 7,475 Share premium 61,544 61,544 Capital redemption reserve 313 238 Warrant reserve 4,356 4,797 Capital reserves 44,943 101,207 Revenue reserve (1,713) (2,228) Total shareholders' funds 116,843 173,033 Equity interests 116,819 173,009 Non-equity interests 24 24 Total shareholders' funds 116,843 173,033 Net asset value per ordinary share Basic - cents 158.37 232.18 Diluted - cents 153.16 215.67 Geographical distribution of total assets less current liabilities (excluding loans) at 31 December 2002 was: Mexico 47.2%; Brazil 34.9%; Chile 8.7%; Other 9.2%. Statement of Total Return (incorporating the Revenue Account*) for the year ended 31 December 2002 2001 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s Losses on investments - (55,257) (55,257) - (11,871) (11,871) Exchange gains/(losses) 33 312 345 (3) (592) (595) Income 5,067 - 5,067 7,582 - 7,582 Management fee (2,587) - (2,587) (2,973) - (2,973) Loss on warrants purchased for cancellation - (236) (236) - - - Other expenses (680) (53) (733) (650) (62) (712) Net return before finance costs and taxation 1,833 (55,234) (53,401) 3,956 (12,525) (8,569) Interest payable and similar charges (863) - (863) (1,551) - (1,551) Return on ordinary activities before taxation 970 (55,234) (54,264) 2,405 (12,525) (10,120) Taxation on ordinary activities (455) 5 (450) (495) 512 17 Return on ordinary activities after taxation 515 (55,229) (54,714) 1,910 (12,013) (10,103) Dividend on ordinary shares - - - - - - Amount transferred to/(from) reserves 515 (55,229) (54,714) 1,910 (12,013) (10,103) Return per ordinary share (basic) - cents 0.69 (74.47) (73.78) 2.56 (16.12) (13.56) Return per ordinary share (diluted) - cents 0.66 + + 2.37 + + * The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company. + There is no dilution. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. Cash Flow Statement for the year ended 31 December 2002 2001 US$'000s US$'000s Net cash inflow from operating activities 1,958 4,106 Interest paid (830) (1,528) Taxation paid (390) (545) Net cash inflow from financial investment 10,033 2,949 Net cash inflow before use of liquid resources and financing 10,771 4,982 Increase in short-term deposits (6,511) (6,500) Net cash (outflow)/inflow from financing (1,712) 1,500 Increase/(decrease) in cash 2,548 (18) Notes No dividend will be paid on the ordinary shares. The above financial information comprises non-statutory accounts within the meaning of section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended 31 December 2001 has been extracted from published accounts for the year ended 31 December 2001 that have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and on which the report of the auditors was unqualified. The Annual General Meeting will be held at the Company's Registered Office, Exchange House, Primrose Street, London EC2A 2NY, on Thursday 8 May 2003, at 12.15 p.m. The report and accounts will be posted to shareholders at the end of March 2003 and copies will be available from the Registered Office of the Company. By order of the Board F&C Emerging Markets Limited, Secretary 26 February 2003 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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