Final Results

F&C Latin American Inv Trust PLC 2 March 2001 Date: 5 March 2001 Contact: Emily McLaughlin Foreign & Colonial Emerging Markets 020 7628 8000 Louise Dolan Financial Dynamics 020 7831 3113 F&C LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC Unaudited Preliminary Statement of Results for the year ended 31 December 2000 HIGHLIGHTS * The Company's undiluted net assets amounted to US$183.0 million. * The net asset value (NAV) per share was 245.55 cents, a fall of 21% over the year. This compares with the IFCG Latin American US$ Total Return Index which fell 13%. * Performance during 2000 was affected by rising US rates and slumping US stock markets causing volatility in the Latin American markets, and compares with a 79% increase in NAV per share and a 17% index outperformance during 1999. * Since the year-end, the NAV per share has risen 6% against a benchmark rise of 5% and the share price has risen 21% (20 February 2001). * Shares in the Company traded on a discount of 26% at the year-end. This has since narrowed to 13% (20 February 2001). * The Latin American markets are, by any historic measure, offering good value at 8 times projected 2001 earnings. * Launched in May 1990, the Company passed its tenth anniversary in 2000. The success of the Brazilian and Mexican economies are the best examples of the region's promise envisaged at the time of the Company's launch. SUMMARY OF RESULTS 31 December 31 December % 2000 1999 Change Net assets attributable to equity US$ 183.0 m US$ 224.7m -18.58% shareholders Net assets per share 245.55 cents 309.37 cents -20.63% Net assets per share (diluted) 227.73 cents 276.17 cents -17.54% Share price 169.00 cents 217.50 cents -22.30% Warrant price 95.50 cents 136.00 cents -29.78% Extracts from the Chairman's Statement Dear Shareholder, The year 2000 was volatile for Latin American stock markets. The crosscurrents of rising US rates and slumping US stock markets undermined the strong regional economic trends, and the Latin American markets generally retreated. The region's markets rose until the end of March when the US NASDAQ market's plunge undermined global confidence and the appetite for risk. The Latin American markets then followed the NASDAQ's directional lead but with more volatility. At year-end your Company's undiluted net assets amounted to US$183.0 million and the net asset value (NAV) per share was 245.55 cents, which represented a fall of 21% over the year. This compares with the IFCG Latin American US$ Total Return Index which fell 13%. The NAV performance compares with a share price fall of 22% over the year. Shares in the Company traded on a discount of 26% at year-end. The past year's performance was disappointing after the excellent 79% increase in NAV per share and 17 percentage point index outperformance in 1999. However, since the year-end, the NAV performance of the Company has risen 6% against a benchmark rise of 5% (20 February 2001). The share price has risen from $1.69 to $2.05 or 21%. (20 February 2001), and the warrants have risen from $0.955 to $1.12, a rise of 17% (20 February 2001). The discount has narrowed to 13% (20 February 2001). In the second half of the year, the Company drew down a further US$6 million under its committed loan facility, which was drip-fed into the markets, predominantly Brazil, leaving the Company with gearing of 15% on a fully invested basis at the year-end. The gearing which caused some underperformance last year is helping the Company to outperform the index so far this year. Previous periods of falling US interest rates have produced strong Latin American market performance. The economic linkages Latin America has developed with the global economy may outweigh the financial impact of lower US rates, at least in the near term. The Latin American markets have received a boost from the US rate cuts, signalling a turn in the global interest rate cycle. The catalyst for sustained Latin American markets performance may come when growth expectations are revised upwards, as the current undemanding valuations can support higher market levels. The Latin American markets are, by any historic measure, offering good value at 8 times projected 2001 earnings, although improvements in performance are likely in the near term to hinge on the outlook for a recovery in corporate profits and a rebound in the US economy. Ten Year Latin American Perspective The F&C Latin American Investment Trust was the first specialist regional investment trust to be launched for Latin America and has remained the largest and most liquid amongst its peer group. Launched in May 1990, it passed its tenth anniversary in 2000. The success of the Brazilian and Mexican economies are the best examples of the region's promise envisaged at the time of the Company's launch. Perhaps the single most notable achievement over the decade has been the move from high inflation to lower inflation levels. Without this starting point, the platform of economic development would have been impossible. The election in the late 1980s of Carlos Menem in Argentina, Fernando Collor de Mello in Brazil and Carlos Salinas de Gortari in Mexico showed the desire for change which swept through the region. Leaders were elected on free market platforms, promising to cut bloated public sector spending and curtail inflation which had reached hyperinflationary levels in Brazil and Argentina at its peak. Over the course of several economic cycles, rampant inflation in most countries has been tamed, reflecting a vast improvement in fiscal and monetary policy. The opening of the region to global trade and capital flows and a greater alignment with the world's economies has allowed Latin America to benefit from its competitive labour rates and vast natural resources. The region's move to a more democratic political model has not been without its setbacks and still is not firmly entrenched in all countries. Democracy has taken root in Latin America, although no one would argue that it is universal or perfectly executed, but participation has generally broadened in most countries, especially the larger ones. The possibility for military coups in the region now seems remote. The biggest success stories to emerge from the decade following the example and leadership of Chile in the 1980s have been Mexico and Brazil, the region's largest economies and most populated countries. The scale of achievements in these countries is impressive, and their success overrides to a large extent the back-sliding in some of the region's other economies. Mexico has broken free of the embrace of the PRI party who had been in power for over 70 years, and its 100 million citizens are now enjoying a democracy of which they are rightly proud. Sound macroeconomic policies have been demonstrated, replacing the cycle of devaluations and capital flight which previously accompanied every six year presidential transition. The proof of the success of this economic transformation is the rating upgrade to investment grade by Moody's, the US rating agency. Fiscal reform remains to be done, and is the cornerstone of President Fox's policy initiative which should accompany large scale privatisations in the power sector and possibly even the oil sector. Perhaps the most eloquent expression of approval in Mexico's economic management and stability, is the secular wave of US corporations shifting their manufacturing bases to Mexico as part of their globalisation strategy. This trend drives not only investment, but the collateral benefits of technology transfer and best business practices as well. A powerful supporter of Mexico's future was General Electric corporation's Chief Executive, Jack Welch, who remarked in 1995 that 'The future of GE lies in Mexico' 1. It seems the future has arrived. Brazil is the region's second success story. Brazil has overcome the inflation which was spiralling out of control in the early 1990s. Before the plano Real, financial assets were favoured over productive assets, and inflation perpetuated itself, producing paralysis and confusion in an economy where no one knew the true cost of anything. Brazil's expected inflation rate of 4% for this year compares to the inflation of 2% a day witnessed in 1994. Brazil's misguided 1988 constitution, the root cause of the fiscal problems, has been substantially and painstakingly overhauled, curbing the most egregious clauses and enshrining fiscal responsibility in law. Brazil's 19 political parties have coalesced into five, and centre politics is the main plank of President Cardoso's successful coalition government. Like Mexico, proof of Brazil's successful economic transformation can be seen in the foreign direct investment it attracts. Over the last eight years, Brazil, after China and Mexico, is the third most favoured destination for investment in the developing world. Despite these obvious successes, there remains much to be done in the region. Some countries have not firmly embraced economic reforms, such as Venezuela. Others such as Argentina and Peru have made headway but found difficulties preserving the reformist zeal after an ambitious start. Colombia remains mired in the endless guerrilla conflict. Latin America is still a net importer of capital and the region's business cycle fluctuations can largely be told in terms of the ebb and flow of capital. In addition, past excesses have left the region with too much debt which requires faster GDP growth to grow out of. The region still suffers generally from a low savings rate, but this has improved from earlier levels. Governments will have to address the income inequality issues still rife in most countries, and the attendant social strains this produces. Given the major achievements, albeit often more slowly than hoped for, in the principal countries of the region and the determination of their leaders and electorate to extend and complete the processes of fundamental reform, we believe that prospects for the decade are excellent. Low stock market valuations, major companies which are increasingly well run by international standards and the potential for economic growth rates well in excess of the developed countries provides the prospect of relative outperformance of the stockmarkets, particularly Mexico and Brazil. Future of your Company The phenomenal changes witnessed in the region in the latter part of the 1980s created a rush to launch similar investment trusts, and this is generally regarded as having led to overcapacity in the sector. At the AGM last May, shareholders overwhelmingly endorsed continuation in its present form for a further two years, which was most gratifying to the Board and the Manager. However, during the past six months shareholders in two of the six trusts constituting our peer group, and representing about 25% of its market capitalisation, have voted for liquidation. As the largest and most liquid amongst this group, which has made more aggressive use of gearing than the others and performed well in relative terms, it is hoped that your Company may benefit from some reinvestment by former holders of the Scudder and Edinburgh funds who wish to maintain a closed ended investment vehicle for the sector. Your Board is very much aware of the continuing problem of the discount and regularly review possible means of addressing this issue in relation to which the reduced capacity amongst our peer group should be beneficial. While we have not judged it advantageous to make use of the buy back facility over the past year, we shall be asking shareholders to renew the relevant authority at the year-end. Restrictions on direct investment in Latin America have eased in recent years and many of the large companies now also have ADR issues, but regular communications with our major shareholders continue to lead us to believe there is a significant ongoing demand for the diversified, closed ended structure given the nature of volatility of the region's markets. The current total expense ratio (TER) of 1.9% is competitive with the other emerging market regional trusts. Since the Board wishes to ensure that this remains so and to take full advantage of any growth in assets, the Board and Manager have agreed to a tiered management fee on the following basis: 1.5% on gross assets under management up to US$216 million and 1.0% thereafter. These changes will take effect retrospectively from 1 January 2001. The breakpoint of US$216 million was chosen as it represents the average value of the gross assets of the Company over the last four years, a period that has included major crises in emerging markets. The gross assets as at 20 February 2001 were US$222 million. The Board and Manager agree that this management fee change should ensure that the fee structure of the Company remains competitive, with shareholders sharing the benefits in the growth of the Company's size. Emily McLaughlin and her team have, in the Board's opinion, continued to perform well in difficult circumstances over the past year. Nevertheless, in line with previous practice, and to protect shareholder interests, we will again issue 12 months' protective notice of termination of the management contract one year ahead of the 2002 continuation vote. Marketing initiatives The Board have approved and supported the second year of the AITC 'its' marketing campaign for the Company. The Company is also undertaking an active campaign to broaden the shareholder base by focused marketing and presentations to a wide range of retail intermediaries and IFAs. Annual General Meeting The AGM will be held on 2 May 2001 at the offices of Foreign & Colonial Emerging Markets Limited. We hope that as many shareholders as possible will attend. Following the AGM, Emily McLaughlin will again give a brief presentation following which shareholders are invited to join the Board and Managers at a buffet lunch. P C D Burnell March 2001 1 Business Week, 1995 Statement of Total Return (incorporating the Revenue Account) for the year ended 31 December 2000 1999 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s ________________________________________________________________________________ (Losses)/gains on investments - (41,550) (41,550) - 101,183 101,183 Exchange losses (38) (28) (66) (2) (1,269) (1,271) Income 4,227 - 4,227 4,302 - 4,302 Management fee (3,512) - (3,512)(2,647) - (2,647) Other expenses (789) (86) (875) (743) (46) (789) ________________________________________________________________________________ Net return before finance (112) (41,664) (41,776) 910 99,868 100,778 costs and taxation Interest payable and similar charges (1,794) - (1,794)(1,123) - (1,123) ________________________________________________________________________________ Return on ordinary activities (1,906) (41,664) (43,570) (213) 99,868 99,655 before taxation Taxation on ordinary activities (361) 307 (54) (155) (535) (690) ________________________________________________________________________________ Return on ordinary activities (2,267) (41,357) (43,624) (368) 99,333 98,965 after taxation Dividend on ordinary shares - - - - - - ________________________________________________________________________________ Amount transferred (from)/to (2,267) (41,357) (43,624) (368) 99,333 98,965 reserves ________________________________________________________________________________ Return per ordinary share (3.10) (56.47) (59.57) (0.49) 133.51 133.02 (basic) - cents ________________________________________________________________________________ Return per ordinary share + + + + 124.16 123.70 (diluted) - cents ________________________________________________________________________________ * The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company. * + There is no dilution. * All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. Balance Sheet 31 December 31 December 2000 1999 US$'000s US$'000s Fixed assets Investments 210,250 242,402 ______________ _____________ Current assets Debtors 1,340 848 Taxation recoverable 182 559 Short-term deposits - 3,054 Cash at bank 1,227 2,079 ______________ ______________ 2,749 6,540 ______________ ______________ Current liabilities Creditors: amounts falling due within one year Bank loans (28,000) (7,500) Other (780) (653) ______________ ______________ (28,780) (8,153) ______________ ______________ ______________ ______________ Net current liabilities (26,031) (1,613) ______________ ______________ Total assets less current liabilities 184,219 240,789 Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year Bank loans - (14,500) Provision for liabilities and charges (1,225) (1,546) ______________ ______________ (1,225) (16,046) ______________ ______________ ______________ ______________ Net assets 182,994 224,743 ______________ ______________ Capital and Reserves Called up share capital: including non-equity share capital 7,475 7,288 Share premium 61,544 59,856 Capital redemption reserve 238 238 Warrant reserve 4,797 4,797 Capital reserves 113,078 154,435 Revenue reserve (4,138) (1,871) ______________ ______________ Total shareholders' funds 182,994 224,743 ______________ ______________ Equity interests 182,970 224,719 Non-equity interests 24 24 ______________ ______________ Total shareholders' funds 182,994 224,743 ______________ ______________ Net asset value per ordinary share Basic - cents 245.55 309.37 Diluted - cents 227.73 276.17 _________________ ____________ The geographical distribution of total assets less current liabilities (excluding loans) at 31 December 2000 was: Brazil - 47.1%; Mexico - 41.4%; Chile - 6.5%; Argentina - 2.5%; Peru - 0.8%; Colombia - 0.7%; Other - 1.0%. Cash Flow Statement for the year ended 31 December 2000 1999 US$'000s US$'000s Net cash (outflow)/inflow from operating (599) 1,917 activities Servicing of finance (1,710) (1,097) Taxation recovered/(paid) 68 (224) Net cash outflow from financial investment (9,512) (2,788) ______________________ ______________ Net cash outflow before financing (11,753) (2,192) Management of liquid resources 3,054 (2,283) Net cash inflow from financing 7,875 3,674 ______________________ ______________ Decrease in cash (824) (801) _______________________ _____________ Notes No dividend will be paid on the ordinary shares. The above financial information comprises non-statutory accounts within the meaning of Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended 31 December 1999 has been extracted from published accounts for the year ended 31 December 1999 that have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and on which the report of the auditors was unqualified. The Audited Report and Accounts will be posted to shareholders on or around Wednesday 28 March 2001. Copies may be obtained during normal business hours from the Company's Registered Office, Exchange House, Primrose Street, London EC2A 2NY. The Annual General Meeting will be held at the Company's Registered Office, Exchange House, Primrose Street, London EC2A 2NY, on Wednesday 2 May 2001, at 12:15 p.m. By order of the Board Foreign & Colonial Emerging Markets Limited, Secretary 2 March 2001
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