Latest Red Flag Alert Report for Q3 15

RNS Number : 6048C

Begbies Traynor Group PLC

19 October 2015

 



UK GROCERY INDUSTRY FIGHTS BACK, WITH FIRST SIGNS OF SECTOR RECOVERY

 'Significant' financial distress within UK food supply chain falls for first time in 27 months

As the UK's supermarket price war rages on, with Tesco and Sainsbury's recently reporting further price cuts to stem the flow of falling sales, new research from business recovery specialists Begbies Traynor indicates that stability may finally be returning to the struggling UK grocery sector, as the industry shows the first tentative signs that it has adjusted to today's new low margin environment.

According to Begbies Traynor's Red Flag Alert research for Q3 2015, which monitors the financial health of UK companies, UK food retailers experienced their first quarterly decline in 'Significant' financial distress in over two years, decreasing 5% to 5,002 struggling businesses over the past three months (Q2 2015: 5,258). The last time that UK food retailers saw any improvement in financial distress was during Q2 2013 when there were 2,428 failing businesses in the sector; 51% fewer than the number struggling to make ends meet today.

During Q3 2015, the UK Food and Beverage Manufacturers, which include many of the food suppliers and farmers that supply the major UK headquartered supermarkets, also witnessed their first decline in 'Significant' financial distress in over two years, falling 4% to 1,553 companies during the past quarter (Q2 2015: 1,622). Since Q2 2013, the number of grocery suppliers that are suffering 'Significant' financial distress has increased 147% from 628 businesses.

Julie Palmer, Partner and retail expert at Begbies Traynor, said:

"The declining fortunes of the UK food retail industry and its supply chain over the past nine quarters directly mirror the meteoric rise in popularity of the German discounters Aldi and Lidl, whose no frills, low price offering has captured the imagination of British consumers, changing the face of the UK grocery sector for good."

"While the major supermarkets have taken drastic action to readjust their ailing business models by slashing prices in a bid to compete, the UK's damaged food supply chain remains the biggest loser from the changing food retail environment, with levels of financial distress in this sector nearly tripling in just over two years as a result of intense margin pressure.

"Whilst the UK grocery sector is not out of the woods yet, our latest quarterly findings indicate that it is seeing the first green shoots of recovery. After a protracted period of job cuts, price readjustments and forced efficiency improvements, businesses across the sector now appear to be better equipped for the new normal of a low margin landscape."

"The big test over the coming months will be the extent to which retailers are able to pass higher wage costs on to consumers, as opposed to squeezing their still under pressure suppliers, especially in an environment where household budgets won't see a repeat of the recent benefit of much reduced petrol prices."

- Ends -

For further information, please contact:

MHP Communications

Katie Hunt / Giles Robinson / Jade Neal / Jennifer Iveson / Charlie Bristow

Tel:        [phone]

Email:   [e-mail]

Notes to editors:

Levels of 'Significant' financial distress (Q2 2013 / Q2 2015 / Q3 2015)

Sector	Total Q2 2013	Total Q3 2015	% Change	Total Q2 2015	Total Q3 2015	% Change
Food & Beverage Manufacturing	628	1,553	147%	1,622	1,553	- 4%
Food & Drug Retailers	2,428	5,002	106%	5,258	5,002	- 5%

About Begbies Traynor Group

Begbies Traynor Group plc operates from 43 UK locations through two operating divisions. 

Begbies Traynor is the UK's leading independent business recovery practice handling the largest number of corporate appointments, principally serving the mid-market and smaller companies. We provide a range of specialist professional services primarily to businesses, their professional advisors and the major banks covering insolvency, restructuring and risk management activities.

Eddisons is a leading UK firm of chartered surveyors, offering a wide range of specialist services to banks, insolvency practitioners, and owners and occupiers of commercial property. The core services offered are valuation and disposal of property including fixed charge property receiverships; valuation and disposal of machinery and business assets; auctions; insolvency insurance brokerage; property and facilities management; and building consultancy and ratings valuations.

Begbies Traynor Group is listed on AIM (Ticker: BEG).  Further information on Begbies Traynor Group can be accessed via the Group's website at www.begbies-traynorgroup.com.

About Red Flag Alert

Red Flag Alert measures corporate distress signals through a comprehensive and complex methodology, drawing on factual legal and financial data from a wide range of relevant sources for companies that have been trading for over a year.

The release refers to the numbers of companies experiencing 'Critical' problems which are those with CCJs totalling over £5,000 within a three month period or winding-up petitions against them or which have entered Corporate Voluntary Arrangements.

The release also refers to the numbers of companies experiencing 'Significant' problems, which are those with minor CCJs (of less than £5k) filed against them or which have been identified by Red Flag's proprietary credit risk scoring system which screens companies for a sustained or marked deterioration in key financial ratios and indicators including those measuring working capital, contingent liabilities, retained profits and net worth. 

Red Flag Alert is commercially available to all businesses, on an annual subscription basis, to help them better understand risk and exposure and help prepare them for the future.  Further information about Red Flag Alert can be found at: www.redflagalert.com

 

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