Interim Results

Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC 4 December 2001 The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 ________________________________________________________________________________ STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (unaudited) Half-year to 31 October 2001 Revenue Capital Total $000 $000 $000 Gains/(losses) on investments -- (8,307) (8,307) Gains/(losses) on foreign exchange -- -- -- Income 2,949 -- 2,949 Investment management fee (2,617) -- (2,617) Other expenses (762) -- (762) Net return before interest payable and (430) (8,307) (8,737) taxation Interest payable (42) -- (42) Return on ordinary activities before (472) (8,307) (8,779) taxation Taxation (373) -- (373) Return attributable to ordinary shareholders (845) (8,307) (9,152) Transfers to reserves (845) (8,307) (9,152) Revenue Capital Total Return per ordinary share: basic (0.71)c (7.03)c (7.74)c The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (unaudited) Half-year to 31 October 2000 Revenue Capital Total $000 $000 $000 Gains/(losses) on investments -- (96,441) (96,441) Gains/(losses) on foreign exchange -- 795 795 Income 2,805 -- 2,805 Investment management fee (2,265) -- (2,265) Other expenses (996) -- (996) Net return before interest payable and (456) (95,646) (96,102) taxation Interest payable (65) -- (65) Return on ordinary activities before (521) (95,646) (96,167) taxation Taxation (394) -- (394) Return attributable to ordinary (915) (95,646) (96,561) shareholders Transfers to reserves (915) (95,646) (96,561) Revenue Capital Total Return per ordinary share: basic (0.75)c (78.31)c (79.06)c The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (unaudited) Full-year to 30 April 2001 Revenue Capital Total $000 $000 $000 Gains/(losses) on investments -- (100,345) (100,345) Gains/(losses) on foreign exchange -- 462 462 Income 3,812 -- 3,812 Investment management fee (4,458) -- (4,458) Other expenses (1,956) -- (1,956) Net return before interest payable and (2,602) (99,883) (102,485) taxation Interest payable (226) -- (226) Return on ordinary activities before (2,828) (99,883) (102,711) taxation Taxation (438) -- (438) Return attributable to ordinary shareholders (3,266) (99,883) (103,149) Transfers to reserves (3,266) (99,883) (103,149) Revenue Capital Total Return per ordinary share: basic (2.68)c (81.99)c (84.67)c The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ BALANCE SHEET At At At 31.10.2001 31.10.2000 30.4.2001 (unaudited) (unaudited) $000 $000 $000 Fixed assets Investments 275,874 303,796 296,037 Current assets Debtors 6,845 2,517 1,888 Cash at bank and in hand 5,236 17,243 1,121 12,081 19,760 3,009 Creditors: amounts falling due within one (2,021) (13,187) (3,661) year Net current assets/(current liabilities) 10,060 6,573 (652) Total assets less current liabilities 285,934 310,369 295,385 Capital and reserves Called-up share capital 11,841 12,233 11,840 Share premium account 94,371 94,358 94,357 Warrant premium account 12,669 13,239 12,835 Other reserves Redemption reserve 599 170 599 Capital reserve - realised 192,866 200,335 184,128 Capital reserve - unrealised (14,401) (1,150) 2,793 Revenue reserve (12,011) (8,816) (11,167) Total equity shareholders' funds 285,934 310,369 295,385 Net asset value per share: basic 241.87c 254.10c 249.88c fully diluted 218.30c 228.26c 224.71c The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ CASH FLOW STATEMENT Half year Half year ended Year ended ended 31.10.2000 30.4.2001 31.10.2001 (unaudited) (unaudited) $000 $000 $000 Operating activities Income received from investments, net of tax 2,269 2,028 2,915 Interest received 307 384 459 Investment management fees paid (2,295) (2,376) (3,590) Other cash payments (1,063) (1,145) (1,827) Net cash outflow from operating (782) (1,109) (2,043) activities Returns on investments and servicing of finance Interest paid (77) (65) (189) Financial investments Purchases of investments (113,810) (106,467) (203,000)) Sales of investments 119,085 147,594 237,789 Net cash inflow from financial 5,275 41,127 34,789 investments Financing Exercise of warrants 9 45 45 Buyback of ordinary shares -- (3,570) (11,361) Buyback of warrants (310) -- (601) Net cash outflow from financing (301) (3,525) (11,917) Increase in cash 4,115 36,428 20,640 The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ NOTES 1. The figures for the six months to 31 October 2001 and 31 October 2000 are unaudited and do not constitute statutory accounts. The figures for the year ended 30 April 2001 are an extract from the latest published accounts and do not constitute statutory accounts. Full accounts for that year have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and included the Report of the Auditors which was unqualified. 2. As at 31 October 2001 there were 118,219,983 Ordinary Shares of $US0.10 in issue (30 April 2001: 118,210,705). 3. As at 31 October 2001 there were 23,545,017 Warrants exercisable at $US1.00 each in issue (30 April 2001: 23,854,295). 4. As described in the Chairman's Statement, a new arrangement for the Investment Manager's fee came into effect on 1 May 2001. This fee includes a performance bonus which is determined on 30 April 2002 and annually thereafter. If this bonus had been payable at 31 October 2001 it would have amounted to approximately $1,480,000. The investment management fee for the half year ended 31 October 2001 which has been charged to revenue in the Statement of Total Return comprises: $000 Basic fee 1,137 Provision for performance bonus 1,480 _____ 2,617 _____ 5. The interim report will be sent to shareholders on 20 December 2001. It will not be advertised in newspapers, but copies will be available from that date at the Company's Registered office at 155 Bishopsgate, London, EC2M 3XY. The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT The Company's net asset value declined by 3.2% during the half year compared to a fall of 7.7% in the Company's benchmark. The half year under review was dominated by the reduction in global growth and the Company's markets were adversely impacted by reduced trade with Western Europe. The re-rating of Russia and the economic crisis in Turkey were the significant themes in the region, both of which were reflected in the asset allocation. Full details of the investment performance are contained in the Report of the Investment Manager. I reported in my statement in the 2001 annual report that an amended management contract was being concluded with Baring Asset Management Limited ('BAM') which inter alia would result in the creation of a performance element in the Investment Managers' fee. The new fee arrangement, which was implemented with effect from 1 May 2001, comprises a basic fee at the rate of 0.8% per annum on the value of net assets payable on a monthly basis and an annual performance bonus which is capped at 0.6% of opening net asset value in each period. This compares to the previous management fee of 1.25% per annum on the value of the net assets of the Company at each quarter-end. In addition, the administration fee, which is paid to Baring Investment Services Limited, was reduced from 0.25% to 0.125% per annum on the net asset value of the Company at each quarter end with effect from 1 May 2001. The performance fee is payable at the rate of 10% of the amount by which the change in the Company's net asset value exceeds the benchmark. The first such bonus will be determined on 30 April 2002 and annually thereafter. The Board is satisfied that the above represents a more satisfactory method for determining the remuneration of the Investment Manager. I am pleased to report that Charles Harman has today been appointed as a director. He joined Cazenove & Co Ltd as a Managing Director in its corporate finance team in May of this year having previously been a Managing Director of Credit Suisse First Boston's European investment banking group. Prior to that his career had been in investment banking focusing on central and Eastern Europe. Markets recently have been driven more by events and global liquidity and less and less by economic considerations. Low company valuations in the Company's region, a beneficial liquidity environment and the expectation of a US led economic recovery in 2002 should provide good prospects for your Company. Sir William Ryrie Chairman 3 December 2001 The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ REPORT OF THE INVESTMENT MANAGER During the period under review the undiluted net asset value per share ('NAV') of the Company declined by 3.2% from US$2.50 to US$2.42. This compares with an average decline of 5.9% by a peer group of comparable Eastern European regional funds (source: S&P) and a fall of 7.7% in the benchmark. Once again, the performance of the markets in the region has to a large extent been determined by the global environment, which has provided mixed signals. Positive news has stemmed from continuing interest rate cuts in the US and elsewhere while negative news has been the absence of any tangible signs of an economic recovery. Despite the deteriorating economic environment the decisive reaction of the Central Banks to the terrorist attacks in the US on 11th September combined with highly liquid positions held by many investment funds triggered a rally not only in developed markets but in our region as well. Central Europe Given the current outlook for global and Western European growth in particular it was difficult for Central European countries to maintain the levels of growth seen last year. Due to the high level of trade links with Western Europe the main source of 'growth contagion' in Central Europe is obviously through demand for their exports. The main sources of possible growth ' compensation or substitution' would come from domestic consumption and investment. Meanwhile, Government expenditure is unlikely to provide much of a positive boost given that most countries in the region are generally under pressure to tighten fiscal policy rather than loosen it. The Czech economy is the most exposed economy to regional growth contagion given its exports are close to 50% of GDP. Both investment and consumption are fairly resilient but are probably not sufficient enough to compensate for the expected decline in exports. Neither of these two areas will receive a boost from domestic liquidity as real interest rates are already very low and the economy is already highly leveraged. The Hungarian economy is also highly exposed to slower Western demand with exports above 40% of GDP. Exports initially held up well but have started to decline and will not remain immune to contagion effects. However, we feel it is possible that both consumption and investment might compensate for these declines. Unlike in the Czech Republic, the economy is relatively under leveraged. Banks indicate that they are continuing to see increasing demand for loans both from the retail and corporate sectors. Inflation is slowing and monetary policy is likely to maintain a loosening bias especially given the support of a solid fiscal environment. Hence, we are confident Hungarian growth will remain relatively robust. The situation in Poland is noticeably different as their exports are equivalent to a much lower proportion of GDP (less than 20%) and have been subdued for some time due to the strength of the Polish Zloty. The domestic economy has also been stifled by restrictively high real interest rates. As a result growth has been declining for quite some time. The Central Bank has been very reluctant to reduce rates, despite falling inflation, due to the Government's inability to either control fiscal policy or to cope efficiently with structural reforms. These conditions have meant domestic consumption and investment have already contracted sharply. Going forward, however, we expect the new Social Democrat led government, elected in September, to be much stronger and should be able to successfully address the fiscal problems. This should allow the Central Bank to reduce interest rates further. If the Government and Central Bank can work together more efficiently there is potential, finally, for a positive boost to the The Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC Interim Unaudited Report Announcement in respect of the Six months ended 31 October 2001 (cont'd) ________________________________________________________________________________ economy. Towards the end of the reporting period the market was well supported by demand from local pension funds, which had been significantly underweight Polish equities. At the end of the reporting period the Company maintained weights in each of these countries which were close to neutral versus the benchmark. Despite the continued uncertainty regarding a delayed recovery in Western Europe valuations remain supportive to this strategy. Russia Forecast growth in the region remains strongest in Russia despite the recent weakening in the oil price. Instead growth is being driven by a recovery in domestic demand and spending as wages rise and consumption increases from depressed levels. At the same time Russian companies across all sectors have strong cash flows that are being used for domestic investment. Oil and gas companies also continue to invest and have indicated they would maintain this policy unless the oil price fell below US$16 per barrel. These strong impulses should ensure robust growth going forward. President Putin continues to be the force behind a number of important structural reforms. The land code, which enables the sale and purchase of land, was passed in the Duma, while progress has also been made on the initial stages of judicial reform and a further simplification of the tax code. Russia now has one of the lowest tax rates in the world. Putin has also intervened to replace the management at Gazprom, the major gas company. The President has demonstrated his pragmatic approach to politics in the aftermath of the 11th September when he showed his willingness for co-operation with the West in the fight against terrorism. This has already improved the external image of the country and not surprisingly the marginal buyer of the Russian market during the recent rally came from the US. Despite the concerns regarding a weaker oil price and the lack of banking reform the Company remains overweight in Russia due to low valuations and the progress on other reforms. The Eastern Mediterranean During the reporting period Turkey could not regain the confidence of the markets. The economy is likely to contract by around 8% this year and there is little indication that either consumption or investment will pick-up while interest rates remain high and investor confidence low. Only towards the end of the reporting period did hope of another IMF package trigger a slight decline in interest rates and a rally in the equity market. This hope was supported by the geo-strategic importance of Turkey in particular in the light of the 11th September events. The Company built up a small position in Turkey following the sharp market declines. However, it remains to be seen whether the size of a possible IMF package will be sufficient to regain the longer term confidence of investors. On 1st May 2001 Greece was removed from the index following its transition to developed market status. The country remains within the investment mandate of the Company but due to the lack of value in the market a zero position was maintained. Conclusion We believe that central banks and governments globally will continue to undertake decisive action to support a turnaround of global economies. As long as concerns over a global economic recovery remain high, expectations for improved performance in our region are limited. However, due to the low valuations we believe that Emerging Europe should continue to outperform developed markets. We still see most potential in Russia where valuations also remain low while risks have declined substantially. Baring Asset Management Limited 3rd December 2001 For the Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC M J Nokes, Secretary 155 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3XY Tel: 020 7628 6000
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