Interim Results
Baillie Gifford Japan Trust PLC
03 April 2003
THE BAILLIE GIFFORD JAPAN TRUST PLC
Results for the six months to 28 February 2003
Weakness in global stockmarkets has been reflected in the performance of The
Baillie Gifford Japan Trust PLC over the six months to 28 February 2003.
Despite global uncertainty and less than positive developments in Japanese
public policy, recent economic and corporate news has been encouraging and the
Managers believe that valuations on many companies are attractive.
• Performance. Over the six months to 28 February 2003, the Company's net asset value per share fell
15.6% in comparison to its benchmark index (75% TOPIX and 25% Tokyo Stock Exchange Second Section in
sterling terms) which fell 13.8%.
The main factors behind this underperformance were the actual gearing invested in the market, poor
stock selection among financials and machinery stocks and the strong relative performance of illiquid
value companies in the Second Section index.
• Japanese Economy. The Japanese economy has continued to recover, although the pace of recovery has
begun to slow. Growth for the fiscal year to March 2003 is expected to be around 1.5%, however growth
in 2003 is likely to be slower unless global conditions improve.
• Corporate Activity. There has been an encouraging increase in corporate activity during the period,
with many companies examining and rationalizing group structures. Two of our holdings, Konica and
Minolta, announced a merger which should accelerate cost cutting.
• Public policy. Banks have begun to restructure more aggressively following the appointment of Mr
Takenaka as head of Japan's Financial Services Agency, however major changes to regulation seem
unlikely at the moment. More cooperation between the Bank of Japan and the government is likely after
the appointment of Mr Fukui as the new governor, although radical shifts in monetary policy are not
expected.
• Outlook. The Japanese stockmarket has been affected both by global economic uncertainty and by
significant short term selling by Japanese pension funds. Corporate developments, however, have been
encouraging and the taxes on dividend income reduced. Valuations on many companies are attractive.
Whilst a more positive policy stance by the government is hoped for it is not anticipated, although
there is further gearing to invest in the market if appropriate.
The Baillie Gifford Japan Trust PLC aims to pursue long-term capital growth
principally through investment in medium to smaller sized Japanese companies.
The Company is managed by Baillie Gifford & Co., the leading independent
Edinburgh based fund management group with around £20 billion under management
and advice.
3 April 2003
For further information please contact:
Sarah Whitley, Manager,
The Baillie Gifford Japan Trust PLC 0131 222 4000
Mike Lord, Director,
Broadgate Marketing 020 7726 6111
Baillie Gifford & Co. is regulated by the FSA.
THE BAILLIE GIFFORD JAPAN TRUST PLC
Interim Report
The weakness in global stockmarkets has continued since the Company's year end
and as a result the net asset value per share has fallen by 15.6% in the six
months to 28 February 2003. The Company's benchmark index declined by 13.8% in
sterling terms, with the very small illiquid companies that make up a
significant proportion of the Tokyo Stock Exchange Second Section, and therefore
the benchmark, performing much better than larger companies. The
underperformance of the Company relative to the benchmark was also impacted by
the gearing invested in the market and poor stock selection in financials and
machinery stocks. Actual gearing was reduced through the period, but was still
around 4.2% at the end of February.
Surprisingly the recent economic news in Japan has been encouraging, with the
recovery that started at the beginning of last year continuing in the past few
months. Recent monthly data on production, consumption and capital spending has
also been improving, although the pace of recovery has been slowing. Consumer
prices continue to fall, but at a slower pace than before. As a result we now
expect that growth for the fiscal year ending March 2003 will be around 1.5%.
Growth in 2003 is likely to be slower, unless global conditions improve or
government policy becomes more pro-active.
In general the news from the corporate sector has also been encouraging.
Profits are expected to grow strongly in the current year as companies exit
unprofitable businesses and cut costs. Industrial capacity is being reduced in
Japan and this coupled with a recovery in production means that capacity
utilisation has risen sharply. Exports have been growing, particularly those to
China, and demand in Japan has been stable. However, falling share prices have
resulted in significant write-downs as most companies still hold equities on
their balance sheets. Both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors are
generating significant amounts of cash flow to either invest or reduce debt.
There has also been a noticeable increase in the amount of corporate activity
during the period. Two of our holdings, Konica and Minolta, announced they were
merging in January and would further accelerate their cost cutting programmes
and focus resources on the most competitive areas of the joint entity.
Companies with many subsidiaries continue to examine their holding structures
and there are many mergers between subsidiaries and their ultimate controllers.
Developments on the policy front have been less clear and less positive. Bank
share prices fell sharply after the appointment of Mr Takenaka as the head of
Japan's Financial Services Agency, when tougher policies towards the banks were
indicated. In reaction to this there have been more aggressive restructuring,
increased efforts to sell both equity holding and non-performing loans from the
banks along with significant amounts of capital raising funded by the private
sector and foreigners. Subsequent announcements show that the regulatory regime
is not changing radically and although the actions by the banks are welcome they
do not solve the sector's long term problems and further action will be needed
to restore health. Mr Fukui has been appointed as the new governor of the Bank
of Japan, a move which disappointed those hoping for radical monetary policy
changes. There is likely to be more cooperation between various government
agencies and policy may well be implemented more effectively under the new head.
Positive effects from the implementation of previously announced plans, such
as the Industrial Revitalisation Corporation, may be seen over the next few
months as these new bodies start work in the new fiscal year.
The Japanese stockmarket has been affected both by the global uncertainty of the
last few months and by significant short term selling by Japanese pension funds,
who are passing back some of their liabilities to the government. Corporate
developments have been encouraging and tax changes since the period end will
result in dividends being taxed less than before, which may mean that companies
may increase dividends from their current low levels. Valuations on many
companies are attractive and the gearing that we have invested in the market
reflects this. Whilst we hope for a more positive policy stance by the
government we are not anticipating it, but have further gearing to invest in the
market if appropriate.
By order of the Board
Baillie Gifford & Co
2 April 2003
The following is the interim statement for the six months ended 28 February 2003
which has been neither reviewed nor audited by the auditors. This statement is
being printed and will be sent to all shareholders on 15 April 2003. Copies
will be available for inspection at the Registered Office of the Company or may
be obtained on request from the Managers and Secretaries after that date.
THE BAILLIE GIFFORD JAPAN TRUST PLC
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
(unaudited and incorporating the revenue account*)
for the six months ended for the six months ended for the year ended
28 February 2003 28 February 2002 31 August 2002
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Realised losses on - (9,070) (9,070) - (5,502) (5,502) - (11,001) (11,001)
investments
Unrealised losses on - (3,381) (3,381) - (13,065) (13,065) - (5,284) (5,284)
investments
Currency gains (note 1) - 465 465 - 320 320 - 162 162
Income 302 - 302 314 - 314 808 - 808
Investment management (333) - (333) (417) - (417) (847) - (847)
fee
Other administrative (92) - (92) (109) - (109) (202) - (202)
expenses
Net return before (123) (11,986) (12,109) (212) (18,247) (18,459) (241) (16,123) (16,364)
finance costs and
taxation
Finance costs of (78) - (78) (55) - (55) (116) - (116)
borrowings
Return on ordinary
activities before (201) (11,986) (12,187) (267) (18,247) (18,514) (357) (16,123) (16,480)
taxation
Tax on ordinary (45) - (45) (46) - (46) (120) - (120)
activities
Return on ordinary
activities after (246) (11,986) (12,232) (313) (18,247) (18,560) (477) (16,123) (16,600)
taxation
Transfer from reserves (246) (11,986) (12,232) (313) (18,247) (18,560) (477) (16,123) (16,600)
Return per
ordinary (0.39p) (19.04p) (19.43p) (0.49p) (28.68p) (29.17p) (0.75p) (25.40p) (26.15p)
share (note 3)
* The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company.
All revenue and capital items in this statement derive from continuing operations.
THE BAILLIE GIFFORD JAPAN TRUST PLC
SUMMARISED BALANCE SHEET
at 28 February 2003
(unaudited)
28 February 28 February 31 August
2003 2002 2002
£'000 £'000 £'000
NET ASSETS
Listed overseas equities 60,468 74,705 79,180
Unlisted equities - traded on the OTC/Hercules Japan markets 7,755 4,754 6,957
- other unlisted 1,258 1,335 1,317
Total fixed asset investments 69,481 80,794 87,454
Net liquid assets 10,353 5,411 5,223
Total assets (before deduction of bank loans) 79,834 86,205 92,677
Bank loans (note 4) (13,962) (9,509) (14,176)
65,872 76,696 78,501
CAPITAL AND RESERVES
Called-up share capital 3,147 3,174 3,167
Capital reserves 69,479 79,866 81,842
Revenue reserve (6,754) (6,344) (6,508)
EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS 65,872 76,696 78,501
NET ASSET VALUE PER ORDINARY SHARE 104.7p 120.8p 124.0p
Ordinary shares in issue (note 5) 62,935,000 63,475,000 63,335,000
THE BAILLIE GIFFORD JAPAN TRUST PLC
SUMMARISED CASH FLOW STATEMENT
(unaudited)
Six months to Six months to Year to
28 February 28 February 2002 31 August 2002
2003
£'000 £'000 £'000
NET CASH OUTFLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES (132) (262) (284)
NET CASH OUTFLOW FROM SERVICING OF FINANCE (79) (20) (119)
TOTAL TAX PAID (47) (47) (119)
FINANCIAL INVESTMENT
Acquisitions of investments (18,502) (22,395) (50,387)
Disposals of investments 26,701 20,766 43,198
Realised currency profit/(loss) 251 (610) (433)
NET CASH INFLOW/(OUTFLOW) FROM FINANCIAL INVESTMENT 8,450 (2,239) (7,622)
NET CASH INFLOW/(OUTFLOW) BEFORE FINANCING 8,192 (2,568) (8,144)
FINANCING
Net (outflow)/inflow from bank loans - (568) 3,764
Shares purchased for cancellation (397) (291) (446)
NET CASH (OUTFLOW)/INFLOW FROM FINANCING (397) (859) 3,318
INCREASE /(DECREASE) IN CASH 7,795 (3,427) (4,826)
RECONCILIATION OF NET CASH FLOW TO MOVEMENT IN NET DEBT
Increase/(decrease) in cash in the period 7,795 (3,427) (4,826)
Net outflow/(inflow) from bank loans - 568 (3,764)
Exchange movement on bank loans 214 930 595
MOVEMENT IN NET DEBT IN THE PERIOD 8,009 (1,929) (7,995)
NET DEBT AT START OF PERIOD (10,767) (2,772) (2,772)
NET DEBT AT END OF PERIOD (2,758) (4,701) (10,767)
THE BAILLIE GIFFORD JAPAN TRUST PLC
TWENTY LARGEST EQUITY HOLDINGS
at 28 February 2003
Market
value
% of total
£'000 assets
Name Business
Konica Office equipment and imaging 2,905 3.7
USS Company Second-hand car auctioneer 2,351 2.9
Bandai Maker of toys, cartoons and character goods 2,284 2.9
Seino Transportation Trucking 2,217 2.8
JFE Holdings Major steel company 2,158 2.7
Yamada Denki Consumer electronics retailer 2,079 2.6
Okumura Construction and civil engineering 2,018 2.5
Tostem Inax Holdings Building materials 2,014 2.5
LeoPalace21 Condominium developer and lessor 1,979 2.5
Goodwill Group Part-time labour and nursing care 1,972 2.5
NTT Telecommunications 1,965 2.4
Fuji Heavy Industries Maker of Subaru brand automobiles 1,939 2.4
Kyocera Electronic components 1,911 2.4
NTT DoCoMo Mobile telecommunications 1,904 2.4
Itochu Trading company 1,817 2.3
Diamond Lease Leasing 1,757 2.2
Takeda Chemical Industries Pharmaceuticals 1,686 2.1
Ushio Specialist lighting products 1,604 2.0
Aiful Consumer finance 1,577 2.0
Toyo Suisan Noodle maker 1,555 1.9
39,692 49.7
THE BAILLIE GIFFORD JAPAN TRUST PLC
NOTES
28 February 2003 28 February 31 August
£'000 2002 2002
£'000 £'000
1. Currency gains
Realised exchange differences 251 (906) (729)
Movement in unrealised exchange differences 214 1,226 891
465 320 162
2. No interim dividend will be declared.
3. Return per ordinary share
Revenue return (246) (313) (477)
Capital return (11,986) (18,247) (16,123)
Return per ordinary share is based on the above totals of revenue and capital and on 62,959,310 (28
February 2002 - 63,622,376; 31 August 2002 - 63,485,946) ordinary shares, being the weighted average
number of ordinary shares in issue during the period.
4. Bank loans of £13.9 million (Y2.6 billion) have been drawn down under yen loan facilities which are
repayable between 28 August 2006 and 9 August 2007 (28 February 2002 - £9.5 million (Y1.8 billion); 31
August 2002 - £14.2 million (Y2.6 billion)).
5. During the period the Company bought back 400,000 ordinary shares with a total nominal value of
£20,000 for a consideration of £397,000 in accordance with the authority granted at the AGM in
November 2001. The Company's authority to buy back its own ordinary shares was last renewed at the AGM
in November 2002 in respect of 9,433,956 ordinary shares (equivalent to 14.99% of its share capital at
that date). At 28 February 2003 the Company's authority to buy back its own shares remained
unchanged at 9,433,956 shares.
6. The financial information for the year ended 31 August 2002 has been extracted from the full accounts,
which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies and which contain an unqualified Auditor's
Report.
7. The accounting policies applied in calculating the interim figures are consistent with those used in
the Annual Financial Statements. The Interim Report was approved by the Board on 2 April 2003.
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