Part 2 of 5 HY09 Report

RNS Number : 9698W
Aviva PLC
06 August 2009
 



Part 2 of 5

Page 1

Half Year Report 

_________________

Page 2

Results 

Contents

Group performance


3

Proforma reconciliation to group operating profit to profit after tax - IFRS basis

5


1

Geographical analysis of long-term business IFRS operating profit

6

2

Analysis of general insurance and health

7

3

Geographical analysis of fund management

9

4

Analysis of other operations and regional costs

10

5

Corporate centre

10

6

Group debt costs and other interest

11

7

Long-term business investment return variances and economic assumption changes

11

8

Non-long-term business economic volatility

12

9

Integration and restructuring costs

12

New business

13

Proforma reconciliation to group operating profit to profit after tax - MCEV basis

20


10

Life MCEV operating earnings

21

11

Analysis of life and pensions earnings

23


Capital management

25

Operational cost base

32

Analysis of assets

33

Financial Supplement

47


________________

Page 3 

Group Performance 


Half year 2009 key financial highlights


IFRS


MCEV


6 months 
2009
£m

 Restated  6 months
2008

£m

Growth
%


6 months 
2009
£m

 Restated  6 months
2008

£m

Growth
%

IFRS long-term business profit/ Life MCEV operating return

940

958

(2)%


1,607

1,280

26 %

General insurance and health

545

528

3 %


545

528

3 %

Fund management

35

75

(53)%


(4)

30

(113)%

Other:








    Other operations and regional costs

(107)

(66)

(62)%


(99)

(57)

(74)%

    Corporate centre

(46)

(71)

35 %


(46)

(71)

35 %

Group debt and other interest costs

(318)

(201)

(58)%


(318)

(201)

(58)%

Operating profit before tax

1,049

1,223

(14)%


1,685

1,509

12 %

Profit/(loss) after tax

747

(84)



1,084

(2,361)


Total dividend per share

9.0p

13.09p



n/a

n/a


Net asset value per share

349p

437p



416p

660p


Diluted earnings per share

24.8p

(4.0)p



38.9p

(91.6)p


Equity shareholders' funds

£9,549m

£11,625m



£11,399m

£17,541m


Return on equity shareholders' funds





16.5%

11.0%1


1.    As at 31 December 2008

IFRS profit after tax of £747 million

  • Strong improvement in profit after tax benefiting from resilient operating result and improved market conditions. 

  • Change in longer-term investment return (LTIR) rate basis contributed £129 million to operating profit.

  • Diluted earnings per share on an IFRS basis increased to 24.8 pence.

IFRS long-term business operating profit down 2% to £940 million

  • Result impacted by the prevailing economic climate with lower expected returns, resulting from decreased asset values following falls in financial markets and lower interest rates.

  • UK Life result includes impact of reduced with-profit special distribution bonus of £86 million (H1 2008: £124 million).

  • Asia Pacific benefited from a £58 million one-off release from reserves following an actuarial review of risk margins.

General insurance and health operating profit up 3% to £545 million

  • General insurance and health operating profit increased by 3% (H1 2008: £528 million).

  • Group underwriting result of £118 million, a strong increase on prior period (H1 2008: £52 million).

  • Reserve releases of £190 million (H1 2008: £230 million), net of reinsurance, from previous accident year and prior. 

  • Longer-term investment return down 9% to £436 million driven by lower asset values and lower interest rates when compared to the prior period.

  • Net written premiums down 15% to £4,947 million (down 4% adjusted for the sale of Delta Lloyd Healthcare), with reductions in the UK partially offset by increases in other regions.

  • COR of 97% in line with H1 2008 and consistent with overall 98% 'meet or beat' target, with improvements in expense and distribution ratios offset by increase in claims costs.

Fund management down to £35 million on an IFRS basis

  • Operating profit decrease to £35 million reflecting decline in management fee income.

  • Reduction due to significant falls across all major equity markets during the second half of 2008, together with the continued fall in real estate capital values, leading to a reduction in average funds under management for the period compared to the first half of 2008. 

  • Net new business flows of £3 billion, with £2 billion of this from third party clients. 

Underlying costs down by 9%

  • Underlying cost base, excluding foreign exchange and restructuring costs, reduced by 9% over the last 12 months and ahead of our plan to deliver £500 million of cost savings by 2010.  

Net asset value of   349 pence per share on an IFRS basis

  • Reduction in NAV to 349 pence for H1 2009 (FY 2008: 416 pence; H1 2008: 437 pence) impacted by exchange movements of £1,476 million and pension schemes deficit increase of £1,380 million, primarily driven by changes in discount rates and increases in long term inflation assumptions.


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Page 4 

Group performance continued 

New business sales

  • Worldwide long-term new business sales, including investment products of £19,421 million 6% down compared with H1 2008 (down 16% in local currency).

  • Life and pension sales down 4% to £17,473 million (down 15% in local currency) with higher sales in North America more than offset by reductions across all regions.

  • Bancassurance remains a significant contributor, accounting for almost a third of our global life and pensions sales. Sales through bancassurance channels were £5.4 billion for H1 2009.

  • Overall new business margin of 2.1%, in line with FY08 and a 0.2% increase on H1 2008.

  • IRR on life and pension new business for the group was 9.5% (H1 2008: 12.9%)

MCEV operating profit up 12% to £1,685 million

  • Life MCEV operating earnings up by 26% to £1,607 million. 

  • Unfavourable movement in experience variance is driven predominately by adverse persistency experience in a number of businesses

  • Change in LTIR rate basis contributed £350 million to operating profit.

Net asset value of 416 pence per share on an MCEV basis

  • Net asset value impacted by increase in pension schemes deficit of £1,380 million and unfavourable exchange movements of £1,746 million.

  • Impact of marking own debt to market would add 67p to MCEV net asset value.

Increase in IGD solvency to £3.2 billion 

  • Strong growth reflects a combination of operating and market performance as well as the benefit of capital management initiatives.  

  • Initiatives in the period include the issue of £0.2 billion of hybrid capital, issuance of hybrid debt in the Netherlands of £0.4 billion and a £0.1 billion benefit from the disposal of the Dutch healthcare business.

  • 40% fall in equities would reduce IGD surplus by £0.3 billion; 40% rise would improve IGD surplus by £0.7 billion.

Liquidity

  • Strong liquidity position with direct access to £1.1 billion of liquid assets.

  • £2.1 billion of undrawn committed credit facilities provided by a range of leading international banks.

Interim dividend of 9 pence

  • Interim dividend for 2009 of 9 pence, a reduction of 31% from 2008.

Group's rating from Standard and Poors is AA- ('very strong')

  • Group's rating from Standard and Poors is AA- ('very strong') with a Negative outlook, and A ('excellent') from A M Best with a Stable outlook.

  • Moody's group rating at Aa3 ('excellent') reaffirmed in May 2009, with a Negative outlook in line with the UK sector.

  • Ratings continue to reflect our strong competitive position, positive strategic management, strong and diversified underlying earnings profile, and robust liquidity.

Sale announced of Australian business for £452 million

  • Sale of Australian life business for £452 million expected in Q3 2009, a return of 16 times 2008 IFRS earnings. This transaction is expected to contribute around £0.4 billion to IGD surplus on completion.

US listing

  • Continued to make good progress on our global finance programme, which will bring with it Sarbanes-Oxley compliance. This would enable us to consider a listing of our shares in the US if we choose to do so. Over 20% of our shareholders are in the US.

Asset quality

  • Quality of Aviva's asset base continues to be strong

  • No material deterioration since end 2008 in either credit quality or the proportion of assets which are valued either based on quoted prices in an active market or using models with significant observable market parameters.

  • 94.8% of total debt securities are investment gradewith 1.6% below investment grade and 3.6% not rated.

  • Total corporate debt defaults in H1 2009 of only £15 million and impairments of approximately £50 million (FY 2008: £140 million and £260 million).

  • UK commercial mortgage interest cover constant at 1.3 times.

  • No defaults recorded on bonds and commercial mortgages backing the UK annuity book.

  • Very limited exposure to RMBS (Sub prime, Alt A), ABS, wrapped credit, CDOs and CLOs; these investments represent less than 1.0% of total balance sheet assets.



_______________

Page 5

Proforma reconciliation of group operating profit to profit after tax - IFRS 

For the six month period to 30 June 2009 



6 months
 2009
£m

Restated
 
6 months
 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m

Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders' profits




Long-term business




    United Kingdom

368

428

751

    Europe

478

486

881

    North America

24

30

16

    Asia Pacific

70

14

46

    Total long-term business (note 1)

940

958

1,694

General insurance and health




    United Kingdom

284

316

656

    Europe

167

137

397

    North America

87

76

145

    Asia Pacific

7

(1)

-

    Total general insurance and health (note 2)

545

528

1,198

Fund management




    United Kingdom

2

20

46

    Europe

25

33

49

    North America

8

13

14

    Asia Pacific

-

9

14

    Total fund management (note 3)

35

75

123

Other: 




    Other operations and regional costs (note 4)

(107)

(66)

(198)

    Corporate centre (note 5)

(46)

(71)

(141)

Group debt costs and other interest (note 6)

(318)

(201)

(379)

Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders'

1,049

1,223

2,297

Adjusted for the following:




Investment return variances and economic assumption changes on long-term business (note 7)

155

(636)

(1,631)

Short-term fluctuation in return on investments on non-long-term business (note 8)

(125)

(314)

(819)

Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business

52

6

(94)

Impairment of goodwill

(5)

(42)

(66)

Amortisation and impairment of intangibles 

(58)

(51)

(117)

Profit on the disposal of subsidiaries and associates

20

9

7

Integration and restructuring costs (note 9)

(148)

(132)

(326)

Exceptional items

-

(84)

(551)

Profit/(loss) before tax

940

(21)

(1,300)

Tax on operating profit 

(235)

(351)

(487)

Tax on other activities

42

288

902


(193)

(63)

415

Profit/(loss) for the period

747

(84)

(885)

The six months to 30 June 2008 have been restated to reflect the restatements for the consolidation of managed funds and to reflect the change in accounting policy for latent reserves. More detail is included in the Financial Supplement - A1 Basis of Preparation


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Page 6 

Group operating profit -IFRS continued 

1 - Geographical analysis of long-term business IFRS operating profit 


6 months 2009
£m

Restated
 
6 months
 2008
£m

Full year
 
2008
 £m

With-profit

137

202

289

Non-profit

231

226

462

United Kingdom

368

428

751

France

122

145

275

Ireland

29

28

61

Italy

37

37

48

Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany)

148

134

196

Poland 

72

76

162

Spain

71

74

155

Other Europe

(1)

(8)

(16)

Europe

478

486

881

North America1

24

30

16

Asia

48

(7)

2

Australia

22

21

44

Asia Pacific

70

14

46

Total

940

958

1,694

1.   Following the establishment of Aviva Investors, the fund management portion of the US business has been separately identified and transferred to fund management. This has reduced the half year 2008 life IFRS operating profit by £12 million.

IFRS long-term business operating profit before shareholder tax was £940 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £958 million), a decrease of 2% on the prior period.

United Kingdom

IFRS operating profit was 14% lower at £368 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £428 million) driven by the fall in asset market values which have resulted in a lower shareholders' share of the with-profit special distribution bonus at £86 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £124 million). This has been compounded by reduced regular and terminal bonus payments.

Despite reduced annual management income, the non-profit result increased by 2% to £231 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £226 million) as we start to see the benefits of our successful operational efficiency initiatives.

Europe

In Europe, operating profit was £478 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £486 million), a 2% decrease on the prior period reflecting reduced management fees earned on unit-linked business and lower expected returns on assets under management. Offsetting these factors we have benefited from foreign exchange strengthening, principally on the euro.

In Italy, an increase in profits from existing business offset the increase in new business strain arising from sales growth of 45% in constant currency. This performance reflects a £2 million contribution from Aviva Assicurazioni Vita (formally UBI Vita) which was acquired in June 2008.

The Netherlands result increased by 10% to £148 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £134 million) reflecting currency strengthening and lower new business strain driven by a decrease in corporate pension sales offset by lower return on opening assets values.

North America

Life operating profit decreased by 20% to £24 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £30 million). The favourable impact of new business and the actions management has taken to improve life and annuity profitability was offset by margin compression, including higher option costs, and the impact of higher lapse experience.

Asia Pacific

Life operating profit increased to £70 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £14 million). The result benefited from a one-off release of reserves in Singapore of £58 million following an actuarial review of risk margins.


  _______________

Page 7 


2 - Analysis of general insurance and health 


Underwriting result


Longer-term investment return


Operating profit2


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 
2008
 
£m


6 months 2009
£m

Restated  6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008

 
£m

General insurance












United Kingdom1,2

63

32

70


227

286

579


282

314

642

France

7

2

28


24

23

53


31

25

81

Ireland

15

8

(3)


33

33

67


47

41

63

Netherlands

6

18

54


53

39

92


59

56

146

Other

1

5

-


23

17

45


24

22

45

Europe

29

33

79


133

112

257


161

144

335

North America

21

15

21


66

61

124


87

76

145

Asia Pacific

-

(2)

(5)


1

-

1


1

(2)

(4)


113

78

165


427

459

961


531

532

1,118

Health insurance












United Kingdom

-

(1)

8


2

3

6


2

2

14

France

(2)

(1)

11


7

6

15


5

5

26

Ireland

1

-

4


-

-

1


1

-

5

Netherlands3

-

(25)

(11)


-

12

42


-

(12)

31

Europe

(1)

(26)

4


7

18

58


6

(7)

62

Asia Pacific

6

1

4


-

-

-


6

1

4


5

(26)

16


9

21

64


14

(4)

80

Total

118

52

181


436

480

1,025


545

528

1,198

1.    United Kingdom includes Aviva Re and agencies in run-off.

2.    Operating profit includes an unfavourable impact of £9 million resulting from unwind of discount (30 June 2008: £4 million; 31 December 2008: £8 million).

3.    Prior period results include Delta Lloyd health which was sold 1 January 2009.

Group operating profit from general insurance and health businesses increased by 3% to £545 million (six months to 30 June 2008 restated: £528 million). The general insurance and health underwriting result increased to £118 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £52 million).

We continue to apply our reserving policy consistently and the reserves in the group are set conservatively with the aim to protect against adverse future claims experience and development. Our business is predominantly short tail in nature and loss development experience is generally stable. As a result of the conservatism applied in setting the reserves, there are releases of £190 million, net of reinsurance, in 2009 which reflect releases from the 2008 accident year and prior (six months to 30 June 2008: £230 million).  

The worldwide general insurance combined operating ratio (COR) was 97(six months to 30 June 200897%) in line with the group's 'meet or beat' target. The worldwide GI expense ratio has decreased to 12.3(six months to 30 June 2008: 12.7%) reflecting cost savings from our efficiency programmes and actions taken across the group to manage the cost base.

The longer term investment return (LTIR) on general insurance and health business assets was lower at £436 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £480 million).

United Kingdom

The results for the United Kingdom include our general insurer Aviva General Insurance UK, our group captive reinsurer Aviva Re and agencies in run-off. Operating profit of £282 million (six months to 30 June 2008 restated: £314 million) includes a contribution of £35 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £19 million) from Aviva Re.

Aviva General Insurance UK operating profit for the first half of 2009 has reduced by 16% to £247 million (six months to 30 June 2008 restated: £295 million). The result includes savings on prior year claims development of £88 million (six months to 30 June 2008 restated: £153 million) and a reduction in investment returns to £217 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £273 million) due to a combination of lower interest rates, investment mix and lower asset value at the beginning of the year. The combined operating ratio is 99% (six months to 30 June 2008: 98%).

Within the combined operating ratio, the focus we have placed on controlling distribution costs has resulted in a reduction in commission and expense ratios when compared with the first half of 2008. The commission ratio has improved to 22% (six months to 30 June 2008: 25%), reflecting our work to reshape the book so that the business we write through brokers and partners is on more acceptable terms, as well as a reduction in creditor business. The expense ratio has fallen to 11.7% (six months to 30 June 2008: 12.8%) as we continue to realise the benefits from our transformation programmes in Operations and IT, together with actions undertaken to manage the cost base to an appropriate level in the light of lower net written premiums. This means that our distribution ratio (commissions and expenses) has improved from 40% in 2007 and 37% in 2008 to 34% for the half year 2009.

_______________

Page 8

Group operating profit - IFRS continued 

2 - Analysis of general insurance and health continued

We are making excellent progress on the second phase of our transformation programme announced in June 2008. The current phase includes the consolidation of the business into nine modern insurance 'centres of excellence', an exercise that is running ahead of plan and we are already undertaking over 60% of our business within these centres. In addition, we anticipate that re-engineering will reduce the number of processes by half across all locations and products. The overall programme remains on track to deliver annualised savings of £150 million by 2010, with further savings of £30 million realised in the first half of 2009 in addition to the £27 million already recognised in 2008.

The improvement in the commission and expense ratios has been offset by deterioration in the claims ratio in the first half of 2009, reflecting the lower levels of prior year savings and increased creditor claims. The actions we have initiated on delivering insurance excellence by reshaping the book, introducing sophisticated pricing techniques and enhanced risk selection are already benefiting underlying performance and we are confident this will translate into a lower claims ratio in the near future.

The first half of 2009 saw rate increases above the level of claims inflation in all major classes for the first time in around five years. Our rating action within personal lines in the first half of the year has been broadly consistent with that of the market as a whole. As a result we are achieving an average premium increase of 6% in personal motor and 5% in homeowner. The commercial lines market appears to be hardening slowly and remains price competitive. We are maintaining our pricing discipline across new business and renewals and we continue to carry positive rate increases across the whole of our commercial portfolio, achieving an overall average increase of 5% in the first half of the year. This increase together with indexation mean that for the first time in five years premium adequacy levels are improving and are growing above claims inflation. 

Europe

Aviva Europe's general insurance and health business continues to perform well against a backdrop of increasing price competition across a number of countries. Net written premiums for the region were £1,738 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £2,183 million). Adjusting for the sale of Delta Lloyd health (six months to 30 June 2008: £671 million), net written premiums, on an underlying basis, are flat with the exception of Ireland, as a result of the continuation of aggressive competition and difficult trading conditions dominating the Irish general insurance market.

General insurance and health operating profit was £167 million, up 22% (six months to 30 June 2008 restated: £137 million) with the result including the beneficial impact of the euro strengthening. Underwriting result for the region was up against the prior period to £28 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £7 million) with the impact of bad weather in France offset by reserve margin releases. In addition we have seen lower large claims experience which has been offset partly by volume impacts. Longer-term investment return was up 8% to £140 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £130 million) reflecting currency strengthening. On an underlying basis, return was down due to a reduced asset base and lower interest rates.

Our combined operating ratio of 96% is within the group's 'meet or beat' target (six months to 30 June 2008: 95%).  

In the Netherlands, net written premiums reduced to £677 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,231 million) following the sale of the health business to OWM CZ Groep Zorgverkeraar on 1 January 2009. Operating profit increased to £59 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £44 million) reflecting the £12 million loss incurred by the health business in the prior period. The general insurance COR worsened to 97% (six months to 30 June 2008: 92%) due to pressure on motor premium rates and a deterioration in claims experience.

North America

Net written premiums of our Canadian business increased by 15% to £889 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £771 million), underlying increase of 4%. Commercial lines premiums continue to show growth in a competitive market with limited opportunities for rate increases. Personal line premiums grew 2% in local currency, primarily on better homeowner retention. Personal auto premiums were flat as we maintained our focus on profit over volume.

The underwriting result was higher at £21 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £15 million) with a combined operating ratio of 97% (six months to 30 June 2008: 98%). Our claims ratio increased slightly, driven by higher loss severity and reduced favourable prior year development but this was more than offset by actions to reduce commissions and expense levels.

Operating profit increased to £87 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £76 million) reflecting increased sales volumes, the improvement in our underwriting result and foreign exchange movements.

Asia Pacific

Net written premiums in the general insurance and health businesses increased to £22 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £14 million), primarily due to new business initiatives in Singapore.  

Total operating profit improved to £7 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1 million loss). This result mainly reflected a £5 million benefit from a one-off release of reserves following a review of risk margins in the health business in Singapore and better claims performance in Malaysia following the exit from unprofitable business lines.


______________

Page 9

Group operating profit - IFRS continued 


2 - Analysis of general insurance and health continued

Combined operating ratios - general insurance business only


Claims ratio


Expense ratio


Combined operating ratio


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008

 
£m

United Kingdom1

65.8%

60.2%

62.0%


11.7%

12.8%

12.1%


99%

98%

99%

France

68.4%

70.0%

68.2%


9.5%

8.7%

9.7%


96%

96%

96%

Ireland

65.1%

71.2%

74.3%


18.2%

15.2%

16.9%


94%

98%

103%

Netherlands

66.2%

60.3%

57.2%


12.5%

14.7%

18.2%


97%

92%

94%

Europe

65.8%

66.3%

64.0%


12.6%

12.3%

15.1%


96%

95%

97%

North America

65.2%

64.7%

64.4%


13.7%

14.2%

15.0%


97%

98%

99%

Total

65.3%

62.5%

62.6%


12.3%

12.7%

13.4%


97%

97%

98%

United Kingdom excluding Aviva Re and agencies in run-off.

Ratios are measured in local currency. The total group ratios are based on average exchange rates applying to the respective periods.

Definitions:


Claims ratio

Incurred claims expressed as a percentage of net earned premiums.

Expense ratio

Written expenses excluding commissions expressed as a percentage of net written premiums.

Commission ratio

Written commissions expressed as a percentage of net written premiums.

Combined operating ratio

Aggregate of claims ratio, expense ratio and commission ratio.

3 - Geographical analysis of fund management operating profit


6 months 2009
£m

Restated
 
6 months
 20082
£m

Full year
 
2008
 £m

United Kingdom

14

28

64

Europe

15

20

35

North America

8

13

14

Asia Pacific

(1)

-

1

Aviva Investors1

36

61

114

United Kingdom

(12)

(8)

(18)

Netherlands

9

10

10

Other Europe

1

3

4

Europe

10

13

14

Asia Pacific

1

9

13

Total

35

75

123

1.    Half year 2008 has been restated to reflect the new management structure of Aviva Investors to include FranceUSA and CanadaAviva's retail investment business and the collective investment business with RBSG do not form part of Aviva Investors UK operations.

2.   Following the establishment of Aviva Investors, the fund management portion of the US business, previously recognised in long-term business, has been separately identified and transferred to fund management. This has increased the half year 2008 life IFRS operating profit by £12 million.

Our worldwide fund management operating profit decreased to £35 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £75 million) on an IFRS basis.

Aviva Investors

Operating profit reduced to £36 million (six months to 30 June 2008 restated: £61 million) reflecting the significant decline in management fees seen in the period. The decline in fees can be attributed to the decrease across all major equity markets during the second half of 2008 and the continued fall in real estate capital values, resulting in a reduction in average funds under management when compared to the prior period.

Other fund management businesses

United Kingdom operating loss of £12 million comprises £1 million loss (six months to 30 June 2008: £2 million loss) from our Aviva UK retail investment business and £11 million loss (six months to 30 June 2008: £6 million loss) from our collective investment business with Royal Bank of Scotland Group due to a decline in sales.

Europe operating profit of £10 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £13 million) reflected lower investment management fees from funds under management due to volatile stock markets.

Asia Pacific, comprising our Navigator business in Australia and Singapore, contributed £1 million (six months to 30 June 2008:    £9 million).

______________

Page 10

Group operating profit - IFRS continued 


3 - Geographical analysis of fund management continued

Total funds under management at 30 June 2009 decreased by 7% to £352 billion (31 December 2008: £379 billion).


30 June 2009


Restated  31 December 2008


Life and related businesses
£m

General business and other
£m

Total
£m


Total
£m

Total IFRS assets included in the balance sheet

288,657

42,835

331,492


354,562

Third party funds under management:






    Unit trusts, OEICs, PEPs and ISAs



19,250


20,876

    Segregated funds



42,878


48,104




393,620


423,542

Non-managed assets



(41,720)


(44,176)

Funds under management



351,900


379,366

Managed by:






Aviva Investors



222,120


236,178

Other Aviva managers



106,580


118,314

Total funds managed by Aviva



328,700


354,492

External fund managers



23,200


24,874

Funds under management



351,900


379,366

Funds managed by Aviva Investors were £222 billion (31 December 2008 £236 billion). The decrease reflects the decline across all major equity markets during the second half of 2008 and in property capital values.  

4 - Analysis of other operations and regional costs


6 months 2009


6 months 2008


Full year 2008


Regional Costs
£m

Other Operat-ions
£m

Total
£m


Regional Costs
£m

Other Operat-ions
£m

Total
£m


Regional Costs
£m

Other Operat-ions
£m

Total
£m

United Kingdom

-

(36)

(36)


    -

(33)

(33)


-

(12)

(12)

Europe

(11)

(37)

(48)


(12)

(10)

(22)


(28)

(123)

(151)

North America

(9)

1

(8)


(5)

1

(4)


(14)

2

(12)

Asia Pacific

(15)

-

(15)


(7)

    -

(7)


(23)

-

(23)

Total

(35)

(72)

(107)


(24)

(42)

(66)


(65)

(133)

(198)

Other operations and regional costs increased to £107 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £66 million) driven by the loss in the Netherlands of £23 million relating to the banking and retail mortgage operations, in line with the second half of 2008.  The increases in regional costs for North America and Asia Pacific are driven by foreign exchange movements and increases in headcount and property expenses.

5 - Corporate centre


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 £m

Project spend

(2)

(20)

(34)

Share awards and other incentive schemes

(6)

(8)

(10)

Central spend

(38)

(43)

(97)

Total

(46)

(71)

(141)

The corporate centre costs for the period reduced to £46 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £71 million) due to lower central spend resulting from the implementation of costs saving initiatives and reduced project spend

______________

Page 11


6 - Group debt costs and other interest


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m

External




    Subordinated debt

(139)

(94)

(229)

    Other

(26)

(34)

(57)

Internal

(121)

(95)

(197)

Net finance (charge)/income on UK pension schemes

(32)

22

104

Total

(318)

(201)

(379)

Group debt costs and other interest of £318 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £201 million) comprise internal and external interest on borrowings, subordinated debt and intra-group loans not allocated to local business operations. External interest costs increased to £165 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £128 million) reflecting higher interest on subordinated debt, due to the hybrid debt issued in 2008 and 2009, offset by lower commercial paper interest as proceeds from the issue were used to repay some commercial paper. Internal interest costs increased to £121 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £95 million) driven by changes to our internal loan balances. 

The UK pension scheme net charge which represents the difference between the expected return on pension scheme assets and the interest charged on pension scheme liabilities. The net pension charge increased to £32 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £22 million income) reflecting lower rates of return on asset values offset by higher discount rates on liabilities.

7 - Long-term business investment return variances and economic assumption changes

(a)    Definitions 

Operating profit for long-term business is based on expected investment returns on financial investments backing shareholder and policyholder funds over the period, with consistent allowance for the corresponding expected movements in liabilities. Operating profit includes the effect of variance in experience for non-economic items, such as mortality, persistency and expenses, and the effect of changes in non-economic assumptions. Changes due to economic items, such as market value movement and interest rate changes, which give rise to variances between actual and expected investment returns, and the impact of changes in economic assumptions on liabilities, are disclosed separately outside operating profit.

(b)    Economic volatility 

The investment variances and economic assumption changes excluded from the long-term business operating profit were as follows:


Long-term business


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m

Investment variances and economic assumptions

155

(636)

(1,631)


(c)    Assumptions 

The expected rate of investment return is determined using consistent assumptions between operations, having regard to local economic and market forecasts of investment return and asset classification under IFRS.

Within the 2008 results, the expected rate of investment return was calculated by reference to the one year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk premium for equities and properties. For 2009, the group considers that the return over the typical duration of the assets held is more appropriate and is more consistent with the group's expectation of long term rates of return. Therefore, the expected return on equities and properties has been calculated by reference to the 10 year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk premium. 

If the IFRS operating profit had been calculated by reference to the one year swap rate, IFRS operating profit would have been    £120 million lower. There is no impact on IFRS profit before tax.

The principal assumptions underlying the calculation of the expected investment return for equities and property are:


Equities


Properties


6 months 2009
%

6 months 2008
%

Full year
 2008
 %


6 months 2009
%

6 months 2008
%

Full year
 2008
 %

United Kingdom

7.0%

7.6%

9.2%


5.5%

6.6%

7.7%

Eurozone

7.3%

7.4%

8.3%


5.8%

6.4%

6.8%

For fixed interest securities classified as fair value through profit and loss, the expected investment returns are based on average prospective yields for the actual assets held. Where fixed interest securities are classified as available for sale, such as in the United States, the expected investment return comprises the expected interest or dividend payments and amortisation of the premium or discount at purchase.

______________

Page 12

Group operating profit - IFRS continued 

8 - Non-long-term business economic volatility


Non-long-term business


6 months 2009
£m

6 months 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m

Net investment income

497

239

522

Internal charges included under other headings

(116)

31

(73)


381

270

449

Analysed between:




Longer term investment return, reported within operating profit

506

584

1,268

Short-term fluctuations in investment return, reported outside operating profit

(125)

(314)

(819)


381

270

449

The longer-term investment return is calculated separately for each principal non long-term business unit. In respect of equities and properties, the return is calculated by multiplying the opening market value of the investments, adjusted for sales and purchases during the year, by the longer-term rate of investment return. The longer-term rate of investment return is determined using consistent assumptions between operations, having regard to local economic and market forecasts of investment return. The allocated longer-term return for other investments is the actual income receivable for the period. Actual income and longer-term investment return both contain the amortisation of the discount/premium arising on the acquisition of fixed income securities.

For the general insurance, health and other businesses, we have calculated the longer-term investment return using the revised economic assumptions for equities and properties as noted above. The change in the underlying reference rate results in a £9 million increase to operating profit. There is no impact on IFRS profit before tax.

For other operations, the longer-term investment return mainly reflects net interest income earned in the Netherlands bank and retail mortgage divisions.

The total assets supporting the general insurance and health business, which contribute towards the longer-term return are:


30 June 
2009

30 June 
2008

31 December 2008

Debt securities

9,975

10,578

11,275

Equity securities

1,104

1,130

993

Properties

234

294

278

Cash and cash equivalents

2,393

3,354

3,407

Other

3,864

3,023

3,623

Total

17,570

18,379

19,576

The principal assumptions underlying the calculation of the longer term investment return are:


Longer term rates of return equities


Longer term rates of return property


6 months 2009
%

6 months 2008
%

Full year
 2008
 %


6 months 2009
%

6 months 2008
%

Full year
 2008
 %

United Kingdom

7.0%

7.6%

9.2%


5.5%

6.6%

7.7%

France

7.3%

7.4%

8.3%


5.8%

6.4%

6.8%

Ireland

7.3%

7.4%

8.3%


5.8%

6.4%

6.8%

Netherlands

7.3%

7.4%

8.3%


5.8%

6.4%

6.8%

Canada

6.1%

7.6%

7.7%


4.6%

6.6%

6.2%

The underlying reference rates are at B12 within the MCEV financial supplement.

9 - Integration and restructuring costs

Integration and restructuring costs were £148 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £132 million) and represents expenditure related to cost saving programmes announced in prior years and further integration and restructuring projects across the Group.

______________

Page 13


New business 


Present value of new 
business premiums


Value of new business


New business margin

Life and pensions 
(gross of tax and minority interest)

6 months 2009

£m

Restated

 6 months 2008

£m

Restated  Full year 2008

 £m


6 months 2009

£m

Restated

 6 months 2008

£m

Restated  Full year 2008

 £m


6 months 2009

%

Restated

 6 months 2008

%

Restated  Full year 2008

 %

United Kingdom

4,735

6,010

11,858


101

73

204


2.1%

1.2%

1.7%

France

2,440

2,062

3,880


72

69

135


3.0%

3.3%

3.5%

Ireland

426

699

1,299


4

8

15


0.9%

1.1%

1.2%

Italy

2,198

1,305

2,331


81

35

71


3.7%

2.7%

3.0%

Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany)

1,780

2,085

4,097


(34)

(29)

(47)


(1.9)%

(1.4)%

(1.1)%

Poland

554

951

1,842


27

31

65


4.9%

3.3%

3.5%

Spain

1,245

1,295

2,489


78

116

202


6.3%

9.0%

8.1%

Other Europe

208

667

1,014


6

19

29


2.9%

2.8%

2.9%

Europe

8,851

9,064

16,952


234

249

470


2.6%

2.7%

2.8%

North America

3,189

2,227

5,715


16

(8)

55


0.5%

(0.4)%

1.0%

Asia

532

684

1,351


6

26

30


1.1%

3.8%

2.2%

Australia

166

212

369


10

6

13


6.0%

2.8%

3.5%

Asia Pacific

698

896

1,720


16

32

43


2.3%

3.6%

2.5%

Total life and pensions

17,473

18,197

36,245


367

346

772


2.1%

1.9%

2.1%



Present value of new 
business premiums


Value of new business


New business margin

Life and pensions 
(
net of tax and minority interest)

6 months 2009
£m

Restated
 
6 months
 2008
£m

Restated  Full year
 2008
 
£m


6 months 2009
£m

Restated
 6 months

 
2008
£m

Restated  Full year
 2008
 
£m


6 months 2009
%

Restated
 
6 months
 2008

%

Restated  Full year
 2008
 %

United Kingdom

4,735

6,010

11,858


72

53

147


1.5%

0.9%

1.2%

France

2,019

1,692

3,281


40

38

79


2.0%

2.2%

2.4%

Ireland

320

524

974


3

6

10


0.9%

1.1%

1.0%

Italy

994

649

980


25

12

21


2.5%

1.8%

2.1%

Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany)

1,661

1,965

3,868


(28)

(25)

(48)


(1.7)%

(1.3)%

(1.2)%

Poland

480

827

1,604


19

22

46


4.0%

2.7%

2.9%

Spain

676

705

1,357


26

38

68


3.8%

5.4%

5.0%

Other Europe

208

667

1,014


5

16

24


2.4%

2.4%

2.4%

Europe

6,358

7,029

13,078


90

107

200


1.4%

1.5%

1.5%

North America

3,189

2,227

5,715


16

(5)

36


0.5%

(0.2)%

0.6%

Asia

528

680

1,344


5

21

24


0.9%

3.1%

1.8%

Australia

166

212

369


7

4

9


4.2%

1.9%

2.4%

Asia Pacific

694

892

1,713


12

25

33


1.7%

2.8%

1.9%

Total life and pensions

14,976

16,158

32,364


190

180

416


1.3%

1.1%

1.3%

United Kingdom

Against the backdrop of sustained challenging market conditions, the UK life business has continued to manage for value with a focus on capital discipline and reducing the operating cost base.

The successful rebrand of Norwich Union to Aviva took place on 1 June 2009. Alongside this, and as part of our simplification agenda and commitment to deliver service excellence, we launched two new online services, Aviva for Advisers and the Customer Portal. Both portals make it easier to interact with us, giving customers and advisers more information and control over their products.

Life and pension sales were 21% lower at £4,735 million compared to the first half of 2008 (six months to 30 June 2008: £6,010 million), with collective investments sales of £418 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £840 million). Despite lower sales our first quarter life and pension market share increased to 11.9%1 (Q12008: 11.0%) demonstrating that in a market that has contracted by 32%1 since the second quarter of 2008, a flight to quality is taking place reflecting our customer focus and understanding, financial strength, diversified product offering and wide distribution reach.  

1. Source: Quarter 2009 ABI data 

___________________

Page 14 

New business continued 

Our joint venture with the Royal Bank of Scotland continued to deliver a strong performance, with life and pension sales increasing by 9% to £692 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £635 million) driven by an almost 50% growth in pension sales

Commission reductions across individual pensions, group pensions and bonds, and a change in business mix have all contributed to a strengthening of margin over the 2008 year-end position by 0.4% to 2.1%. Following the trend seen in the first quarter, the amount of capital2 we consumed during the first half of the year was £136 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £210 million) equating to 2.9% of PVNBP (six months to 30 June 2008: 3.5%). Through our business simplification initiatives we remain on track to eliminate the expense overrun by the end of 2009 despite the reduction in volumes

Total pension sales were £2,089 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £2,410 million), with the slowdown in salary increases as a result of the recession having a particular impact on incremental business. However, we are seeing real momentum following the launch of our market-leading Pension Tracker. We have increased the number of Employee Benefit Consultantsfrom 17 to 22, who have included us on their panel of providers with whom they will place new business and we have secured 170 new group pension plan schemes during the first half of 2009 including the largest scheme yet written at £90 million PVNBP.

Overall protection sales were £461 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £606 million), down 24% mainly due to regulatory changes significantly impacting creditor sales. Protection sales excluding creditor were £441 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £467 million). Our on-line Simplified Life proposition continues to differentiate us in this market, generating on average over 1,600 applications per week, an increase of 80% over 2008. The recently launched free life cover for new parents, raising awareness of the need to plan financial protection, clearly demonstrates how our new brand is delivering on its promise of building financial services around the needs of our customers.

Total annuity sales were £833 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,286 million). Our focus on driving greater value led to a reduction in individual annuity sales to £750 million, 14% lower than the equivalent period in 2008.  In addition, our continued discipline of not pursuing business falling below our minimum level of return has resulted in reduced bulk purchase annuities sales of £83 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £418 million).  

In line with our stance on profitability, bond sales reduced to £1,219 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,628 million). We remain committed to writing business at acceptable levels of return in this market which has experienced a contraction of 55%1 since the second quarter of 2008.

Sales of equity release have grown to £133 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £80 million) as a result of  higher sales through penetration of the IFA market and proposition enhancements.

The economic environment has remained volatile in the first half of 2009 and we expect this to persist throughout the remainder of the year. We will continue to build on the momentum established through our well-defined strategy, and focus further on generating greater value through enhanced interactions with our existing customers, reshaping our distribution relationships, and driving significant profitable growth in the corporate sector and our risk business.

Europe

In Europe, life and pensions sales were £8,851 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £9,064 million) across our broad geographical portfolio. Excluding the one-off sales in the prior year, this is a strong performance set against the continuing economic uncertainty. The result has been achieved through the strength and diversity of our businesses, with the bancassurance channel selling particularly well in Italy and France. Margin decreased to 2.6% (six months to 30 June 2008: 2.7%) principally reflecting the impact of a one-off portfolio transfer in the prior period. Excluding Delta Lloyd, the margin was 3.8% (six months to 30 June 2008: 4.0%).

In France sales were up 18% as a result of the strengthened euro. On a local currency basis, sales increased by 2% despite lower unit-linked sales which continue to be affected by uncertainties in the financial markets. We have seen higher sales of guaranteed products with many of our customers selecting these products as an attractive and safe investment. The value of new business rose to £72 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £69 million) with a margin of 3.0% (six months to 30 June 2008: 3.3%) driven by the current change in the market away from unit-linked volumes.

In Ireland, sales were down 47% on a local currency basis reflecting the sharp decline in the life and pensions market attributable to the current recession. There is lower demand across both retail and bancassurance channels with consumers being influenced by volatile equity markets, the slowdown in economic growth and property market uncertainty. Value of new business was £4 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £8 million) and margin was reduced to 0.9% (six months to 30 June 2008: 1.1%).

In Italy, sales increased by 68% to £2,198 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,305 million). This was a 48% increase on a local currency basis. This significant increase reflects strong sales of protection products and also the high demand for our profit sharing products offering attractive guarantees sold through UniCredit. Aviva Assicurazioni Vita (formally UBI Vita), acquired in June 2008, contributed sales of £359 million. The increase in protection sales and overall increase in volumes led to an improved value of new business of £81 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £35 million) with the margin rising to 3.7% (six months to 30 June 2008: 2.7%).

1. Source: Quarter 1 2009 ABI data

2. Initial capital and associated required capital 

___________________

Page 15 

New business 


In Spain, sales decreased by 4%, down 17% on a local currency basis, to £1,245 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,295 million) reflecting lower protection and pension sales and the inclusion in the prior period of a one-off transfer of £151 million as a result of the distribution agreement entered into with Caja Murcia. Adjusting for this, savings sales were slightly ahead of the prior year reflecting the attractive returns on offer, which offset lower pension and protection sales driven by adverse economic conditions. Value of new business was down to £78 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £116 million) with a reduction in margin to 6.3% (six months to 30 June 2008: 8.8%) as 2008 included the one-off transfers from Caja Murcia.

In Poland, life and pension sales were 42% lower than half year 2008, down 37% on a local currency basis. The prior year included a special promotion through Deutsche Bank for short-term endowment policies which attracted significant volumes but on a comparatively lower margin. This change in business mix, coupled with the move towards regular premiums resulted in an improvement in the margin to 4.9% (six months to 30 June 2008: 3.3%) despite the value of new business falling slightly to £27 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £31 million).

Other Europe includes a number of markets which, although currently experiencing challenging conditions, have high potential for future growth. Sales in these markets were down 69% on a local currency basis with the largest reduction in Romania, where the prior period included £410 million of initial contributions from the launch of compulsory pensions. Sales in Turkey were slightly higher reflecting both an increase in policies sold and a focus on higher premium business. Across the rest of the markets volumes declined reflecting difficult market conditions. The value of new business was £6 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £18 million), however, the margin increased slightly to 2.9% (six months to 30 June 2008: 2.8%).

Sales through Delta Lloyd were 15% down on the prior year reflecting the challenging market conditions whilst the prior period included £758 million of corporate pension scheme sales. In addition, there has been continued strong competition from the banking sector particularly on annuity products. Swiss Life Belgium, acquired in June 2008, contributed sales of £241 million, whilst the prior period included £758 million of one-off corporate pension scheme sales. The value of new business was a loss of £34 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £29 million loss) resulting in a margin of (1.9)% (six months to 30 June 2008: (1.3%)). 

North America

Aviva USA reported an increase of 43% in new business sales to £3,189 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £2,227 million) on a sterling basis and on a local currency basis growth was 8%. While sales for the first half of the year remained strong, as customers seek products with guarantees during the current economic turbulence and recognise Aviva as one of the stronger market participants, compared to the second half of 2008 sales were down 8% on a sterling basis. We expect this trend to continue in the second half of the year consistent with our strategic goals to manage our production levels by changing our overall business mix to moderate annuity sales and grow our life insurance business.

Sales of annuities increased by 78% to £2,815 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,579 million). Demand has exceeded our desired production and, as a result, we have taken a number of actions to ensure we manage the business mix for the year. Re-pricing, commission reductions and production limits, as well as the elimination of non-core distribution relationships should have a positive effect on our new business margins for the full year 2009. 

Life product sales, which mainly include indexed universal life and term assurance products, were £374 million for the first half of 2009 (six months to 30 June 2008: £273 million). Life product sales were up 3% on a local currency basis compared to the second half of 2008, although there is a trend of reduced life sales in the overall market due to the economic decline. Despite the current trends, we are optimistic that the steps we are taking now will position us for future growth. These steps include expanding into the brokerage general agency market and our CPA Wealthstar Initiative. We continue to evaluate funding agreement sale opportunities against our overall strategy on a case-by-case basis, and as a result there were no funding agreement sales in the first half of 2009 (six months to 30 June 2008: £375 million).  

New business contribution has improved to £16 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £8 million loss) and overall margin was 0.5% (six months to 30 June 2008: (0.4)%) in part driven by the annuity actions taken by management set out above.

Asia Pacific

Life and pension sales across the Asia Pacific region were 22% below the prior year at £698 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £896 million). This mainly reflects the uncertainty associated with the current economic conditions across the region. Customers remain cautious about investing in unit-linked savings products and in the low interest rate environment bank deposits are comparatively more attractive, especially where guaranteed by governments, than insurance savings products. The reduction has been offset by sales from the South Korea joint venture which first reported in the second half of 2008 and now represents 18% of life and pension sales in the region. The value of new business fell 50% to £16 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £32 million), resulting in a new business margin of 2.3% (six months to 30 June 2008: 3.6%).

Within the overall regional total, sales of life and pension products in Asia fell by 22% to £532 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £684 million) with new business margin down to 1.1% (six months to 30 June 2008: 3.8%). This has mainly been driven by change in the projection term assumptions for Hong KongChinaIndia and Singapore. Reduced sales volumes also reflect the scaling back of capital intensive products in Hong KongTaiwan and Malaysia, offset by new sales from the South Korea joint venture. 

In Australia, life and pension sales in the first six months of the year were down by 22% to £166 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £212 million) due to the closure of a capital protection product at the end of 2008 and lower superannuation and group risk sales resulting from less fluidity in the employment market. This was partly offset by an increase in higher margin protection sales which improved the overall margin to 6.0% (six months to 30 June 2008: 2.8%).

___________________

Page 16 

New business continued 


Geographical analysis of life, pension and investment sales


Present value of new business premiums


6 months 
2009

£m

Restated
6 months 

2008

£m

Sterling 
growth 

%

Local 
currency 

growth 

%

Life and pensions





Individual pensions

1,918

2,038

(6)%

(6)%

Group pensions

171

372

(54)%

(54)%

Annuities

833

1,286

(35)%

(35)%

Bonds

1,219

1,628

(27)%

(27)%

Protection

461

606

(24)%

(24)%

Equity release

133

80

66%

66%

United Kingdom 

4,735

6,010

(21)%

(21)%

Euro funds

1,986

1,374

45%

25%

Unit-linked funds

338

587

(42)%

(50)%

Protection business

116

101

15%

(1)%

France 

2,440

2,062

18%

2%

Life and savings

160

306

(48)%

(55)%

Pensions

266

393

(32)%

(42)%

Ireland 

426

699

(39)%

(48)%

Italy 

2,198

1,305

68%

45%

Life

369

530

(30)%

(40)%

Pensions

1,411

1,555

(9)%

(22)%

Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany)

1,780

2,085

(15)%

(26)%

Life and savings

168

472

(64)%

(63)%

Pensions

386

479

(19)%

(12)%

Poland 

554

951

(42)%

(37)%

Life and savings

997

874

14%

(2)%

Pensions

248

421

(41)%

(49)%

Spain 

1,245

1,295

(4)%

(17)%

Other Europe

208

667

(69)%

(69)%

Europe 

8,851

9,064

(2)%

(13)%

Life

374

273

37%

3%

Annuities

2,815

1,579

78%

34%

Funding agreements

-

375

(100)%

(100)%

North America 

3,189

2,227

43%

8%

Australia

166

212

(22)%

(23)%

Singapore

90

168

(46)%

(57)%

Hong Kong

52

164

(68)%

(76)%

India

43

119

(64)%

(67)%

China

167

162

3%

(25)%

South Korea

127

-

100%

100%

Other Asia

53

71

(25)%

(39)%

Asia Pacific

698

896

(22)%

(32)%

Total life and pensions

17,473

18,197

(4)%

(15)%


___________________

Page 17 


Geographical analysis of life, pension and investment sales continued


6 months 
2009

£m

Restated
6 months 

2008

£m

Sterling 
growth 

%

Local 
currency 

growth 

%

Investment sales





United Kingdom1

418

840

(50)%

(50)%

Netherlands

357

221

62%

39%

Poland

23

46

(50)%

(46)%

Other business

400

259

54%

33%

Europe

780

526

48%

29%

Australia

518

840

(38)%

(39)%

Singapore

232

211

10%

(12)%

Asia Pacific

750

1,051

(29)%

(34)%

Total investment sales

1,948

2,417

(19)%

(26)%

Total long-term savings sales

19,421

20,614

(6)%

(16)%

1.    UK regular premium investment sales include SIPP products. These are similar in nature to pension products and their payment pattern is stable and predictable and accordingly they have been capitalised. Regular premium SIPP sales for the 6 months to 30 June 2009 totalled £2.3 million (2008: £15.7 million) and have been capitalised using a weighted average capitalisation factor of 5.0 (2008: 5.0). As such, regular premium SIPP sales have produced an overall contribution to investment sales of £11.5 million (2008: £78 million) out of the UK investment sales of £418 million (2008: £840 million).

Analysis of sales via bancassurance channels


Present value of new business premiums


6 months 
2009
£m

Restated
6 months 
2008
£m

Sterling 
growth 
%

Local 
currency 
growth 
%

Life and pensions





United Kingdom

692

635

9%

9%

France

647

495

31%

13%

Ireland

195

365

(47)%

(54)%

UniCredit Group

1,094

589

86%

60%

Banca Popolare

51

128

(60)%

(66)%

Banca delle Marche

4

14

(71)%

(79)%

Eurovita

695

540

29%

11%

Unione di Banche

261

-

100%

100%

Italy

2,105

1,271

66%

43%

Netherlands

243

244

0%

(14)%

Poland

15

292

(95)%

(95)%

Bancaja

264

309

(16)%

(26)%

Caixa Galicia

105

140

(26)%

(35)%

Unicaja

486

330

45%

27%

Caja España

152

119

27%

10%

Caja de Granada

47

56

(18)%

(28)%

Cajamurcia

59

200

(71)%

(75)%

Spain

1,113

1,154

(4)%

(17)%

Other Europe

18

28

(36)%

(36)%

Europe

4,336

3,849

13%

(3)%

North America

-

6

(100)%

(100)%

Asia Pacific

253

357

(29)%

(40)%

Total life and pensions

5,281

4,847

9%

(4)%

Investment sales





United Kingdom

88

242

(64)%

(64)%

Total bancassurance sales

5,369

5,089

5%

(7)%


___________________

Page 18

New business continued 


Post-tax internal rate of return on life and pensions new business 

The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to high set-up costs and capital requirements. The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business. 

The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.

The IRR on life and pensions new business for the group was 9.5(30 June 2008: 12.9%; 31 December 2008: 11.4%)

30 June 2009

Internal rate 
of return 

%

Initial 
capital 

£m 

Required
 capital

£m

Total 

invested 

capital 
£m 

United Kingdom

13%

77

59

136

France

10%

17

84

101

Ireland 

5%

26

12

38

Italy 

10%

14

93

107

Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany)

5%

59

51

110

Poland 

23%

10

4

14

Spain 

27%

13

41

54

Other Europe

14%

19

3

22

Europe

11%

158

288

446

North America

7%

139

285

424

Asia

5%

31

12

43

Australia

11%

1

18

19

Asia Pacific

7%

32

30

62

Total

9.5%

406

662

1,068


Restated 
30 June 
2008

Internal rate 
of return 

%

Initial 
capital 

£m 

Required capital 
£m

Total
invested capital 
£m 

United Kingdom

13%

130

80

210

France

11%

21

60

81

Ireland 

9%

35

12

47

Italy 

17%

6

23

29

Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany) 

6%

73

138

211

Poland 

20%

15

7

22

Spain 

39%

13

39

52

Other Europe

18%

38

7

45

Europe

13%

201

286

487

North America

11%

61

174

235

Asia

18%

30

12

42

Australia

13%

2

14

16

Asia Pacific

17%

32

26

58

Total

12.9%

424

566

990


___________________

Page 19 


Post-tax internal rate of return on life and pensions new business continued

31 December 2008

Internal rate 
of return 

%

Initial 
capital 

£m 

Required capital 
£m

Total 
invested
capital 
£m 

United Kingdom

14%

157

136

293

France

9%

35

118

153

Ireland 

8%

53

24

77

Italy 

14%

9

48

57

Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany)

5%

277

244

521

Poland 

21%

31

12

43

Spain 

37%

28

75

103

Other Europe

13%

57

9

66

Europe

11%

490

530

1,020

North America

11%

124

489

613

Asia

13%

64

23

87

Australia

12%

3

30

33

Asia Pacific

12%

67

53

120

Total

11.4%

838

1,208

2,046


___________________

Page 20 

Proforma reconciliation of group operating profit to profit after tax - MCEV basis 

For the six month period to 30 June 2009 


6 months 2009
£m

Restated
 
6 months
 2008
£m

Restated  Full year
 2008
 
£m

Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders' profits




Long-term business




    United Kingdom

345

417

883

    Europe

1,105

729

1,647

    North America

120

73

201

    Asia Pacific

37

61

79


1,607

1,280

2,810

General insurance and health

545

528

1,198

Fund management1

(4)

30

42

Other: 




    Other operations and regional costs2

(99)

(57)

(163)

    Corporate centre

(46)

(71)

(141)

Group debt costs and other interest

(318)

(201)

(379)

Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders' profits

1,685

1,509

3,367

Adjusted for the following:




Economic variances on long-term business

(29)

(4,086)

(12,059)

Short-term fluctuation in return on investments on non-long-term business 

(125)

(314)

(819)

Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business 

52

6

(94)

Impairment of goodwill

(5)

(42)

(66)

Amortisation and impairment of intangibles 

(52)

(44)

(108)

Profit on the disposal of subsidiaries and associates

20

9

7

Integration and restructuring costs

(148)

(132)

(326)

Exceptional items3

(218)

(155)

(754)

Profit/(loss) before tax

1,180

(3,249)

(10,852)

Tax on operating profit 

(416)

(453)

(841)

Tax on other activities

320

1,341

4,253


(96)

888

3,412

Profit/(loss) for the period

1,084

(2,361)

(7,440)

The six months to 30 June 2008 and full year 2008 results have been restated for the adjustment to reflect the reclassification of premium increases on Spanish Annual Renewable Term (ART) business and for the extension of the liquidity premium to additional businesses. More detail is included in the Financial Supplement - B1 Basis of Preparation

1.    Excludes the proportion of the results of Aviva Investors fund management businesses and other fund management operations within the group that arise from the provision of fund management services to our life businesses. These results are included within the life MCEV operating earnings consistent with Aviva's MCEV methodology.

2.    Excludes the proportion of the results of subsidiaries providing services to the Life business. These results are included within the life MCEV operating earnings.

3.    Exceptional item of £218 million for the six month period to 30 June 2009 is in relation to legislation changes on pensions in Poland.

Total MCEV operating profit before shareholder tax was £1,685 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,509 million), an increase of 12%. Within this total the long-term business operating profit before shareholder tax was £1,607 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £1,280 million), an increase of 26%. This includes the impact, reported through expected returns, of a change in the basis of setting normalised investment returns consistently with IFRS. If the previous basis, which referenced the one year swap rate, had been used the total expected return would have been around £350 million lower. There is no impact on MCEV profit before tax.

Within the 2008 results, the expected rate of investment return was calculated by reference to the one year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk premium for equities and properties. For 2009, the group considers that the return over the typical duration of the assets held is more appropriate and is more consistent with the group's expectation of long term rates of return. Therefore, the expected return on equities and properties has been calculated by reference to the ten year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk premium. For fixed interest investments a similar change has been made to reflect the actual duration of the assets held. 

This mainly impacts Aviva UK and the Netherlands, where the additional investment earnings on assets backing the policyholder liabilities flow straight to shareholders. In the US, the assumed return on bonds net of defaults, includes a partial recovery of the unrealised losses reported in previous periods through expected returns on existing business and on shareholders' net worth of £134 million. 

___________________

Page 21 


Proforma reconciliation of group operating profit to profit after tax - MCEV basis continued  

Economic variances in 2009 of £29 million reflect the large benefit from the reduction in credit spreads on corporate bonds, offset by the reduction in the adjustment to risk free rates and adverse experience on equities and property of approximately £4 billion, £3 billion adverse and £1 billion adverse respectively. In 2008, the loss of £12,058 million was driven by bond yields falling in the United Kingdom and Eurozone, significant falls in equity markets down between 30% and 50% and credit spreads widening significantly in the final quarter of 2008.


10 - Life MCEV operating earnings

In this table the life and pensions MCEV earnings have been broken down into constituent parts. The life and pensions MCEV operating earnings comprise: 

  • the value of new business written during the period;

  • the earnings from existing business; and,

  • the expected investment return on the shareholders' net worth.

These components are calculated using economic assumptions as at the start of the year (in-force business) or start of the quarter (new business) and operating (demographic and expenses) assumptions as at the end of the period.

Life and pensions MCEV earnings 

6 months 2009
£m

Restated
 
6 months
 2008
£m

Full year
 2008
 
£m

Value of new business

367

346

772

Earnings from existing business




    - expected returns at the reference rate

300

464

992

    - expected returns in excess of the reference rate

601

219

429

- expected returns

901

683

1,421

- experience variances

(175)

44

(224)

- operating assumption changes

86

(97)

(165)

- other operating variances

173

(5)

305

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

255

309

701

Life and pensions operating earnings before tax

1,607

1,280

2,810

Economic variances

(29)

(4,086)

(12,058)

Other non-operating variances1

(218)

(71)

(329)

Life and pensions earnings/(loss) before tax

1,360

(2,877)

(9,577)

Tax on operating earnings

(435)

(365)

(823)

Tax on other activities

145

1,206

3,678

Life and pensions earnings/(loss) after tax

1,070

(2,036)

(6,722)

1.    Exceptional item of £218 million for the six month period to 30 June 2009 is in relation to legislation changes on pensions in Poland

United Kingdom

MCEV operating earnings are 17% lower at £345 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £417 million).  

Value of New Business is £101 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £73 million), an increase of 38%, driven by a number of factors including reduced commission and sales expenses and a change in business mix to higher margin annuity business.

Expected return is £194 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £240 million), with the reduction driven by lower real world returns and lower opening assets compared to 2008.

Variances and assumption changes on existing business were £18 million unfavourable (six months to 30 June 2008: £26 million favourable). The 2009 negative result is primarily driven by an adverse persistency variance of £17 million in respect of the loss of a single corporate contract. The positive variance in 2008 includes the benefit of the special distribution to with-profit policyholders of  £22 million. 

Expected returns on shareholders' net worth were £68 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £78 million), a reduction of 13% as a result of lower real world returns.

Europe

Total regional operating return has increased to £1,105 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £729 million), an increase of 52% with the strengthening of the euro contributing around one third of the improvement. 

Value of New Business was £234 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £249 million), a reduction of 6%, with the decrease largely driven by a reduction in sales volumes. Increased contributions from Italian protection and profit sharing products has been more than offset by decreases in Spain and Other Europe where, in 2008, there were one off positive contributions from Caja Murcia and Romanian pensions business respectively.

___________________

Page 22


10 - Life MCEV operating earnings continued

Expected returns were £542 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £353 million). After allowing for movements in currency this increase is largely explained by the expected reduction in the allowance for short term investment guarantees that is included in the MCEV balance sheet in France of £130 million. This allowance is expected to be released evenly through 2009.

Variances and assumption changes on existing business were £196 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £65 million adverse). In 2009 positive variances from modelling refinements in France and the Netherlands (£120 million), assumption changes in the Netherlands to reflect revisions to investment and bonus strategies in Germany as this business is repositioned (£116 million) and continued positive mortality experience across the region (£18 million) have been partially offset by negative lapse experience, mainly in Spain, Ireland and France (£86 million in total) driven by the general economic downturn. A number of customer retention initiatives are being put in place to address this issue.

Expected returns on shareholders net worth were £133 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £192 million), a reduction of 31%. This a result of lower real world returns and lower opening shareholder assets compared to 2008.

North America

Operating earnings have increased to £120 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £73 million), a growth of 64%, with the strengthening of the US dollar contributing around half of this improvement. 

Value of new business was £16 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £8 million loss), with the improvement driven by management action on pricing and commission during the period.

Expected return was £147 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £67 million). Within this total, default assumptions have been strengthened, reducing expected return by approximately £60 million but this has been more than offset by the recognition of    £134 million of expected reduction, in line with the assumed investment return, of unrealised losses on corporate bonds backing policyholder liabilities which are being held to maturity.

Variances and assumption changes on existing business were £90 million unfavourable (six months to 30 June 2008: £14 million unfavourable), with the deterioration principally driven by spread compression in the current economic environment (£74 million unfavourable) and negative lapse experience (£8 million unfavourable).

Expected returns on shareholders net worth were £47 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £28 million) being impacted in the same way as expected returns.

Asia Pacific

Operating earnings have decreased to £37 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £61 million), a reduction of 39%.  

Value of new business was £16 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £32 million), a reduction of 50%, driven by lower sales volumes and changed policy duration assumptions in Hong Kong, China, India and Singapore. 

Expected returns were £18 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £23 million), a reduction of 22% on lower opening assets.

Variances and assumption changes on existing business were £4 million adverse (six months to 30 June 2008: £5 million adverse), largely reflecting the negative lapse variances across the region of £24 million which were partially offset by positive modelling variances of £17 million.

Expected returns on shareholders net worth was £7 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £11 million) with the change the result of lower real world returns.

___________________

Page 23 


11 - Analysis of life and pensions earnings

The following table provides an analysis of the movement in embedded value for covered business. The analysis is shown separately for free surplus, required capital and the value of in-force covered business, and includes amounts transferred between these categories. Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the 'look through' into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value. All figures are shown net of tax and minority interests.

30 June 2009

Free surplus
£m

Required 
capital
1
£m 

VIF
 £m

Total
 
MCEV
 
£m

Opening MCEV

1,348

8,148

5,060

14,556

New business value

(990)

562

618

190

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

207

207

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

427

427

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

884

(344)

(540)

-

Experience variances

110

(5)

(238)

(133)

Assumption changes

16

(17)

60

59

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

110

63

-

173

Other operating variance

(26)

(31)

164

107

Operating MCEV earnings

104

228

698

1,030

Economic variances

863

(438)

(258)

167

Other non-operating variances

(1)

-

(149)

(150)

Total MCEV earnings/(loss)

966

(210)

291

1,047

Capital and dividend flows

(48)

-

-

(48)

Foreign exchange variance

(51)

(788)

(455)

(1,294)

Acquired/divested business

2

-

-

2

Closing MCEV

2,217

7,150

4,896

14,263

1.    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

Restated
30 June 2008

Free surplus £m

Required 
capital1
£m 

VIF
 
£m

Total
 
MCEV
 
£m

Opening MCEV

3,204

6,240 

8,945

18,389

New business value

(905)

511 

574

180

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

- 

306

306

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

- 

149

149

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

949

(308) 

(641)

-

Experience variances

65

17 

(58)

24

Assumption changes

182

(109) 

(150)

(77)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

111

88 

-

199

Other operating variance

9

(27) 

11

(7)

Operating MCEV earnings

411

172 

191

774

Economic variances

(1,450)

(97) 

(1,243)

(2,790)

Other non-operating variances

3

(4) 

(45)

(46)

Total MCEV (loss)/ earnings

(1,036)

71 

(1,097)

(2,062)

Capital and dividend flows

(599)

- 

-

(599)

Foreign exchange variance

123

325 

363

811

Acquired/divested business

79

58 

53

190

Closing MCEV

1,771

6,694 

8,264

16,729

1.    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

___________________

Page 24 


11 - Analysis of life and pensions earnings continued

31 December 2008

Free surplus £m

Required  capital1
 £m 

VIF
 
£m

Total
 
MCEV
 
£m

Opening MCEV

3,204

6,240 

8,945

18,389

New business value

(1,867)

1,109 

1,174

416

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

- 

654

654

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

- 

291

291

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

1,926

(637) 

(1,289)

-

Experience variances

154

3 

(284)

(127)

Assumption changes

563

(114) 

(584)

(135)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

270

182 

-

452

Other operating variance

44

(29) 

194

209

Operating MCEV earnings

1,090

514 

156

1,760

Economic variances

(3,140)

(433) 

(4,606)

(8,179)

Other non-operating variances

(104)

19 

(147)

(232)

Total MCEV (loss)/earnings

(2,154)

100 

(4,597)

(6,651)

Capital and dividend flows

(63)

- 

-

(63)

Foreign exchange variance

459

1,597 

738

2,794

Acquired/divested business

(98)

211 

(26)

87

Closing MCEV

1,348

8,148 

5,060

14,556

1.    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.


___________________

Page 25  

Capital Management 


Capital management objectives

Aviva's capital management philosophy is focused on capital efficiency and effective risk management to support the dividend policy and earnings per share growth. Overall capital risk appetite is set and managed with reference to the requirements of a range of different stakeholders including shareholders, policyholders, regulators and rating agencies. In managing capital we seek to:

  • maintain sufficient, but not excessive, financial strength to support new business growth and satisfy the requirements of our regulators and other stakeholders and thus give both our customers and shareholders assurance of our financial strength;

  • optimise our overall debt to equity structure to enhance our returns to shareholders, subject to our capital risk appetite and balancing the requirements of the range of stakeholders;

  • retain financial flexibility by maintaining strong liquidity, including significant unutilised committed credit facilities and access to a range of capital markets;

  • allocate capital rigorously across the group, to drive value adding growth in accordance with risk appetite; and

  • declare dividends on a basis judged prudent, while retaining capital to support future business growth, using dividend cover on an IFRS operating earnings after tax basis in the 1.5 to 2.0 times range as a guide.

Targets are established in relation to regulatory solvency, ratings, liquidity and dividend capacity and are a key tool in managing capital in accordance with our risk appetite and the requirements of our various stakeholders.

Capital employed by segment

The table below shows how our capital, on an MCEV basis, is deployed by segment and how that capital is funded.


30 June 
2009
£m

Restated  31 December 2008
£m

Long-term savings

18,812

19,784

General insurance and health

4,404

5,516

Fund management

261

340

Other business 

5

(326)

Corporate1

(33)

(30)

Total capital employed

23,449

25,284

Financed by



Equity shareholders' funds

11,399

13,379

Minority interests

2,719

3,080

Direct capital instrument

990

990

Preference shares

200

200

Subordinated debt

4,541

4,606

External debt

1,283

919

Net internal debt2

2,317

2,110

Total capital employed

23,449

25,284

1.    The 'corporate' net liabilities represent the element of the pension scheme deficit held centrally. 

2.    In addition to our external funding sources, we have certain internal borrowing arrangements in place which allow some of the assets that support technical liabilities to be invested in a pool of central assets for use across the group. These internal debt balances allow for the capital allocated to business operations to exceed the externally sourced capital resources of the group. Net internal debt represents the balance of the amounts due from corporate and holding entities, less the tangible net assets held by these entities. Although intra-group in nature, they are included as part of the capital base for the purpose of capital management. These arrangements arise in relation to the following:

  • Certain subsidiaries, subject to continuing to satisfy stand alone capital and liquidity requirements, loan funds to corporate and holding entities, these loans satisfy arms length criteria and all interest payments are made when due. 

  • Aviva International Insurance (AII) Ltd acts as both a UK general insurer and as the primary holding company for our foreign subsidiaries. Internal capital management mechanisms in place allocate a portion of the total capital of the company to the UK general insurance operations. These mechanisms also allow for some of the assets backing technical liabilities to be made available for use across the group. Balances in respect of these arrangements are also treated as internal debt for capital management purposes.

Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt and borrowings (including internal borrowings as described in footnote 2 above). 

___________________

Page 26 

Capital Management continued 


Capital employed by segment continued

At 30 June 2009 we had £23.4 billion (31 December 2008: £25.3 billion) of total capital employed in our trading operations, measured on an MCEV basis. The decrease over the period is driven by the impact of foreign exchange rate losses and actuarial losses on the staff pension schemes, which have more than offset the benefit of operating earnings and market gains. 

In April 2009 we issued a private placement of £245 million equivalent of Lower Tier 2 hybrid in a dual tranche transaction (£200 million on 1 April 2009 and a further €50 million on 30 April 2009). These transactions had a positive impact on group IGD solvency and economic capital measures.

Financial leverage, the ratio of external senior and subordinated debt to MCEV capital and reserves, was 41.3% (31 December 2008: 33.6%). Fixed charge cover, which measures the extent to which external interest costs, including subordinated debt interest and preference dividends, are covered by MCEV operating profit was 9.6 times (31 December 2008: 9.2 times).

At 30 June 2009 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares and General Accident plc preference shares of £250 million, within minority interest), and direct capital instrument was £5,422 million (31 December 2008: £4,911 million), with a weighted average cost of 8.2% (31 December 2008: 8.8%). The group Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 8.9% (31 December 2008: 8.3%) and has been calculated by reference to the cost of equity and the cost of debt at the relevant date. The cost of equity at 30 June 2009 was 9.3% based on a risk free rate of 3.7%, an equity risk premium of 4.0% and a market beta of 1.4.

Regulatory capital

Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Financial Services Authority (FSA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate group level, where we have a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our major non-European businesses (the USAustralia and Canada) a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.

Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

 

UK life
 funds

£bn

Other
business

£bn

30 June
 2009

£bn

31 December
 2008

£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

3.6

10.2

13.8

15.5

Less: capital resource requirement

(3.6)

(7.0)

(10.6)

(13.5)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

3.2

3.2

2.0

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)



1.5 times

1.3 times

The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £1.2 billion since 31 December 2008 to £3.2 billion. This increase reflects a combination of operating and market performance as well as the benefit of a number of capital management initiatives, which demonstrate the considerable levers available to the group to manage the IGD position. Following individual guidance from the FSA we now recognise surpluses in the non-profit funds of our UK life and pensions business which is available for transfer to shareholders of £0.4 billion (31 December 2008 £0.4 billion). The IGD is a pure aggregation test with no credit given for the considerable diversification benefits of Aviva. 

The key movements over the period are set out in the following table: 


£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2008

2.0

Operating profit and other income

0.5

Market movements

0.2

2008 final dividend net of scrip

(0.3)

Hybrid debt

0.2

Issuance of hybrid debt in the Netherlands

0.4

Sale of Dutch healthcare business

0.1

Recognition of non-regulated entities

0.5

Loss of implicit items

(0.1)

Increase in CRR

(0.1)

Other

(0.2)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2009

3.2


___________________

Page 27


Regulatory capital continued

Initiatives in the period include the issue of £0.2 billion of hybrid capital, issuance of hybrid debt in the Netherlands of £0.4 billion and a £0.1 billion benefit from the disposal of the Dutch healthcare business. The change in the value of non-regulated entities includes the recognition of intellectual property rights and movements in the value of distribution companies. The introduction of the scrip scheme with the 2008 full year dividend, allowing investors the option of receiving dividends in the form of new Aviva shares, also provided a capital benefit of nearly £0.2 billion with a take up rate of 35%. While not reflected in the half year numbers, the recently announced sale of the Australian Life business will deliver a £0.4 billion IGD contribution on completion.

IGD Levers

As outlined in March this year, and as demonstrated above, the group has a number of ongoing options available to increase the IGD surplus. These include underlying operational levers and various innovative capital raising options. Driving increased capital generation from underlying earnings improvements through, for example, productivity and cost saving initiatives is a primary focus. We also manage growth driven capital consumption through absolute volume levels and product mix decisions, where we are able to direct growth to the most capital efficient products. Asset liability management and hedging strategies are used to manage volatility, and there is scope to further increase protection through additional hedging activity should this be required. Reinsurance is another mechanism available through which risk exposures and capital requirements can be managed. The value represented by the life in-force book continues to represent a significant source of value against which further securitisation transactions could be undertaken.

Regulatory capital - Long-term businesses

For our non-participating worldwide life assurance businesses, our capital requirements, expressed as a percentage of the EU minimum, are set for each business unit as the higher of:

  • The level of capital at which the local regulator is empowered to take action;

  • The capital requirement of the business unit under the group's economic capital requirements; and,

  • The target capital level of the business unit.

The required capital across our life businesses varies between 100% and 325% of EU minimum or equivalent. The weighted average level of required capital for our non-participating life business, expressed as a percentage of the EU minimum (or equivalent) solvency margin has decreased to 133% (31 December 2008: 142%).

These levels of required capital are used in the calculation of the group's embedded value to evaluate the cost of locked in capital. At 30 June 2009 the aggregate regulatory requirements based on the EU minimum test amounted to £5.7 billion (31 December 2008: £6.0 billion). At this date, the actual net worth held in our long-term business was £9.4 billion (31 December 2008: £9.5 billion) which represents 165% (31 December 2008: 157%) of these minimum requirements.

Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds

The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the three main UK with-profit funds: CGNU Life, Commercial Union Life Assurance Company (CULAC) and Aviva Life & Pensions (UKL&P) (formerly known as (Norwich Union Life & Pensions (NUL&P)). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the consolidated IFRS balance sheet at 30 June 2009 and 31 December 2008.


30 June 2009


31 December 2008


Estimated realistic assets
£bn

Realistic liabilities1
£bn 

Estimated realistic inherited

estate2
£bn 

Estimated risk capital

margin3
£bn 

Estimated
excess
£bn


Estimated excess
£bn

CGNU Life

11.9

(11.4)

0.5

(0.3)

0.2


0.3

CULAC

11.8

(11.1)

0.7

(0.3)

0.4


0.3

UKL&P4

19.4

(18.0)

1.4

(0.4)

1.0


0.5

Aggregate

43.1

(40.5)

2.6

(1.0)

1.6


1.1

1.    These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of future bonuses of £0.5 billion (31 December 2008: £0.8 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of future bonuses are £40.0 billion (31 December 2008: £43.2 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.4 billion, £1.5 billion and £3.5 billion for CGNU Life, CULAC and UKL&P respectively (31 December 2008: £1.4 billion, £1.5 billion and £4.1 billion).

2.    Estimated realistic inherited estate at 31 December 2008 was £0.7 billion, £0.7 billion and £1.2 billion for CGNU Life, CULAC and UKL&P respectively.

3.    The risk capital margin (RCM) is 2.6 times covered by the inherited estate (31 December 2008: 1.8 times). 

4.    The UKL&P fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and liabilities of £1.6 billion, and therefore does not impact the realistic inherited estate.


___________________

Page 28 

Capital Management continued 


Regulatory capital continued

Investment mix

The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the three main with-profit funds was:


30 June
 2009

 %

31 December 2008
 %

Equity

14%

24%

Property

10%

12%

Fixed interest

66%

56%

Other

10%

8%

The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 50% in CGNU Life, CULAC and 43% in UKL&P. With-profit new business is mainly written through CGNU Life.

UK Life reattribution 

In May 2009, following discussions with the Policyholder Advocate, we announced a new offer to almost one million eligible policyholders. The new offer is more flexible, with future changes in the value of the estate being reflected in the payouts customers elect to receive. Final payments will be based on the average valuation of the estate from June to August, and we expect to start making payments in November, following High Court approval. The estimated estate value at the end of June was £1.2 billion. If policyholders choose not to accept the payment, they will continue to receive normal bonuses and it will have no impact on the security or performance of their investments.

To date approximately 70 percent of policyholders have responded to the offer with 96 percent accepting. Based on this response we are confident that in the remaining 6-8 weeks before the court process begins we will achieve our targeted 80 percent acceptance.

Rating agency capital

Agency ratings are an important indicator of financial strength and support access to debt markets as well as providing assurance to business partners and policyholders over our ability to service contractual obligations. In recognition of this we have solicited relationships with a number of rating agencies. Rating agencies generally assign ratings based on an assessment of a range of financial (e.g. capital strength, gearing, liquidity and fixed charge cover ratios) and non financial (e.g. competitive position and quality of management) factors. 

As a part of this, certain rating agencies have proprietary capital models which they use to assess available capital resources against capital requirements as a component of their overall criteria for assigning ratings. Managing our capital and liquidity position in accordance with our target rating levels is a core consideration in all material capital management and capital allocation decisions.

The group's overall financial strength is reflected in our ratings. In May 2009 Moody's reaffirmed the group's rating at Aa3 ('excellent') with a Negative outlook, in line with the UK sector. The group's rating from Standard and Poors is AA- ('very strong') with a Negative outlook, and A ('excellent') from A M Best with a Stable outlook. These ratings continue to reflect our strong competitive position, positive strategic management, strong and diversified underlying earnings profile and robust liquidity position.

Economic capital

We use a risk-based capital model to assess economic capital requirements and to aid in risk and capital management across the group. The model is based on a framework for identifying the risks to which business units, and the group as a whole, are exposed. A mixture of scenario based approaches and stochastic models are used to capture market risk, credit risk, insurance risk and operational risk. Scenarios are specified centrally to provide consistency across businesses and to achieve a minimum standard. Where appropriate, businesses also supplement these with additional risk models specific to their own risk profile. When aggregating capital requirements at business unit and group level, we allow for diversification benefits between risks and between businesses, with restrictions to allow for non-fungibility of capital when appropriate. This means that the aggregate capital requirement is less than the sum of capital required to cover all of the individual risks.

This model is used to support our Individual Capital Assessments (ICA) which are reported to the FSA for all our UK regulated insurance businesses. The FSA uses the results of our ICA process when setting target levels of capital for our UK regulated insurance businesses. In line with FSA requirements, the ICA estimates the capital required to mitigate the risk of insolvency to a 99.5% confidence level over a one year time horizon (equivalent to events occurring in 1 out of 200 years) against financial and non-financial tests.

The financial modelling techniques employed in economic capital enhance our practice of risk and capital management. They enable understanding of the impact of the interaction of different risks allowing us to direct risk management activities appropriately. These same techniques are employed to enhance product pricing and capital allocation processes. Unlike more traditional regulatory capital measures, economic capital also recognises the value of longer term profits emerging from in-force and new business, allowing for consideration of longer term value emergence as well as shorter term net worth volatility in our risk and capital management processes. We continue to develop our economic capital modelling capability for all our businesses as part of our development programme to increase the focus on economic capital management. Further developments are planned to meet the emerging requirements of the Solvency II framework and external agencies.

______________

Page 29 


Solvency II

Solvency II represents new EU legislation which totally redefines prudential supervision of EU insurers. It aims to establish a new economic risk sensitive approach to capital and solvency calculation and a new harmonised EU supervisory regime which places importance on effective internal governance and risk management practices, which Aviva supports as offering a blueprint for industry best practice. To that end, we continue to be an active participant in the key European industry working groups who provide the voice of industry in ongoing negotiations in Brussels. The first stage of the Solvency II project reached a conclusion in May 2009, with the 'Level 1 Framework Directive' formally adopted by the European Parliament. Full implementation of Solvency II will be required in October 2012.

Financial flexibility

The group's borrowings are comprised primarily of long dated hybrid instruments with maturities spread over many years, minimising refinancing risk. In addition to central liquid asset holdings of £1.1 billion, the group also has access to unutilised committed credit facilities of £2.1 billion provided by a range of leading international banks. Many of the IGD levers discussed above also support broader financial flexibility where, for example, securitisation transactions can be structured to provide liquidity as well as solvency capital benefits.

Capital generation and utilisation

As part of our capital management processes, we regularly review the generation and deployment of capital. The table below demonstrates the net capital generation of the group based on MCEV net worth before and after investment variances.


30 June
 2009  £bn

Restated  30 June
 2008
1  £bn

Restated 31 December
 2008
1  £bn

Operational capital generation:




Life in-force profits

0.8

1.0

2.4

New business strain

(0.4)

(0.4)

(0.8)

Non-life profits

0.3

0.3

0.8

Operational capital generated

0.7

0.9

2.4

Increase in capital requirements

(0.2)

(0.4)

(0.8)

Free operational capital generated

0.5

0.5

1.6

Interest cost

(0.2)

(0.1)

(0.3)

External dividend

(0.5)

(0.6)

(1.0)

Scrip dividend

0.2

0.2

0.2

Capital generation after financing 

-

-

0.5

Capital released from disposals

0.1

-

-

Capital raising

0.2

0.8

1.0

Issuance of hybrid debt in the Netherlands

0.4

-

-

Cost of acquisitions

-

(0.3)

(0.3)

Qualifying assets acquired net of capital requirements

-

0.1

0.1

Pension funding, restructuring costs and exceptional items 

(0.1)

(0.4)

(0.9)

Foreign exchange impact on surplus capital

(0.2)

0.1

0.2

Other

-

(0.1)

0.1

Net capital generated before investment return and economic variances

0.4

0.2

0.7

Investment return variances and economic variances

0.8

(1.7)

(3.9)

Net capital generated/(consumed) after investment return and economic variances

1.2

(1.5)

(3.2)

1.    In prior periods the effect of economic variances on life required capital has been included within the 'increase in capital requirements' line in determining 'free operational capital generated'. We have revised this approach, and have restated prior periods accordingly, to transfer the effect of economic variances on required capital to the 'investment return variances and economic variances' line. This has the effect of decreasing 'free operational capital generated' by £0.1 billion and £0.4 billion in the period to 30 June 2008 and    31 December 2008 respectively. The 30 June 2008 comparatives have been restated to reflect the move to MCEV from EEV, including presentation of numbers on a net of minorities' basis. 

Free operational capital generated represents the net of the following:

  • Operating profits emerging in net worth for the life in-force business, net of new business strain, and IFRS operating profits earned by non-life businesses. 

  • The increase in capital requirements of ongoing businesses. Capital requirements represent target operating capital levels rather than regulatory minimum levels as this is considered a better reflection of capital utilised in the business. For the life businesses this is the capital used in the calculation of embedded value to evaluate the cost of locked in capital. For general insurance businesses we have calculated target capital based on two times the regulatory minimum. Where appropriate, the increase in capital requirements shown has been adjusted for the impact of foreign exchange movements, economic variances and other one off changes to required capital.

_________________

Page 30 

Capital Management continued 


Sensitivity analysis

The sensitivity of the group's total equity on an MCEV basis and IFRS basis at 30 June 2009 to a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows:

MCEV basis



30 June
 2009

£bn

Equities down 10%

Interest rates up 1%
£bn

0.5% increased credit spread
£bn

Restated  31 December 2008
£bn



Direct
£bn

Indirect
£bn

19.8


Long-term savings1

18.8

(0.3)

(0.4)

(0.3)

(1.4)

5.5


General insurance and other

4.6

(0.3)

-

(0.5)

0.4

(7.6)


Borrowings2

(8.1)

-

-

-

-

17.7


Total equity

15.3

(0.6)

(0.4)

(0.8)

(1.0)


IFRS basis





Interest rates up 1%
£bn

0.5% increased credit spread
£bn

31 December 2008
£bn



30 June
 2009

£bn

Equities 
down 10%

16.6


Long-term savings


16.2

(0.3)

(0.8)

(0.4)

5.5


General insurance and other


4.6

(0.3)

(0.5)

0.4

(7.6)


Borrowings2


(8.1)

-

-

-

14.5


Total equity


12.7

(0.6)

(1.3)

-

1.    Assumes MCEV assumptions adjusted to reflect revised bond yields.

2.    Comprising internal, external and subordinated debt, net of corporate tangible net assets.

These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions.

The tables above incorporates the effect on the value of the pension scheme assets and liabilities of a 10% decrease in equity markets, a 1% increase in fixed income bond yields and a 0.5% increase in credit spreads. 

The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability by £1.6 billion.

The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for MCEV and IFRS do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The MCEV and IFRS sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.

Group IGD

The sensitivity of the group's IGD surplus reflects the impact of the hedges we have put in place as part of our long-term strategy to protect the group from extreme market movements. At 30 June 2009 the sensitivity to a 10% fall in global equity markets or a rise of 1% in global interest rates is as follows:


30 June 2009
£bn

Equities down 10%
£bn

Interest 
rates up 1%

£bn

IGD Group surplus

3.2

(0.1)

(0.5)

We continue to actively manage our exposure to further market volatility, with ongoing hedging strategies in place. Protection against equity market falls has been increased further from year end levels, and a 40% fall in equity markets at 30 June 2009 would reduce IGD by only £0.3 billion. By contrast, we have retained upside exposure and a 40% rise in equity markets would improve IGD by £0.7 billion.


£bn

Equities down 10%

(0.1)

Equities down 20%

(0.2)

Equities down 30%

(0.3)

Equities down 40%

(0.3)



Equities up 40%

0.7


_________________

Page 31 


Risk management

Equity hedging

Our risk management processes ensure close and ongoing monitoring of all our capital measures. The following table shows the material equity derivatives within the group's shareholder funds at 30 June 2009 that are used as part of a long-term strategy to manage equity risk. It excludes derivatives used for portfolio management purposes:

Derivative

Notional 
£bn1

Market fall below    protection level   
%
2,4

Market fall required    before protection starts   
%
3,4

Outstanding
duration

(a)

2.5

-

19%

< 6 months

(b)

6.1

-

27%

 6-11 months

(c)

0.5

-

12%

12 months

1.    The notional represents the notional amount of hedging as at 30 June 2009. 

2.    The 'Market fall below protection level' shows the percentage the market has fallen below the protection level as at 30 June 2009.

3.    The 'Market fall required before protection starts' shows the percentage the market would have to fall from the 30 June 2009 position before the derivative moves into the money.

4.    Derivatives (a), (b) and (c) each represent a collection of derivatives with different strike prices. The strike prices used in the above calculations are the weighted average strikes of the derivatives in each bucket.

Interest rate hedging

Interest rate hedges are used widely to manage asymmetric interest rate exposures across our life insurance businesses as well as an efficient way to manage cash flow and duration matching. The most material examples of uses to hedge guarantees relate to minimum interest rate guarantees in the Netherlands, and also guaranteed annuity exposures in both the UK and Ireland. These hedges are used to protect against interest rate falls and are sufficient in scale to materially reduce the Group's interest rate exposure

_________________

Page 32

Operational cost base 


The Aviva operating cost base is calculated from reported IFRS expenses as set out in the table below:


6 months 
2009
£m

Restated 6 months  2008
£m

Other expenses (as reported)

2,245

2,234

Less:



Non operating items included above (amortisation and impairments)

(730)

(596)

Add:



Claims handling costs1

340

370

Non commission acquisition costs2

638

614

Operating cost base

2,493

2,622

1.    As reported within Claims and benefits paid of £14,142 million (2008: £14,136 million)

2.    As reported within Fee and commissions expense of £1,909 million (2008: £ 2,276 million)

During H1 2009, the operating cost base decreased 5% to £2,493 million (six months to 30 June 2008: £2,622 million). The table and notes below set out and explain the methodology and inherent assumptions used for the calculation of the like-for-like adjustments and different components which have driven the decrease in the operating cost base. These adjustments account for the impact of foreign exchange, impact of businesses acquired/disposed of during the year and adjustments to eliminate the impact of one-off restructuring and integration spend from the cost base in both years. After adjustments, the operating cost base decreased by 9% to £2,345 million compared with a 30 June 2008 like-for-like cost base of £2,584 million.

Movement in operating costs base


£m

Total operating cost base 30 June 2008

2,622

Less: restructuring and integration spend for the six months to 30 June 2008

(132)

Impact of acquisitions and disposals1

(92)

Foreign exchange

186

30 June 2008 like-for-like operating cost base

2,584

Inflation2

72

UK Life3

(80)

UK General Insurance3

(118)

Europe3

(75)

Other businesses (including group)3

(38)

30 June 2009 like-for-like operating cost base

2,345

Restructuring and integration spend 30 June 2009

148

Total operating cost base 30 June 2009

2,493

    Impact of acquisitions & disposals - Represents the disposal of Autowindscreens, BSM and HPI in the UK and healthcare business in the Netherlands.

    Inflation - Notional level of Inflation that would have impacted the operating cost base during the period. This is calculated using the Consumer Price Index for individual countries, applied to operating expenditure i.e. excluding restructuring & integration costs (but including adjustments for acquisitions & disposals). The overall weighted average is calculated at 2.8%.

    Regional operating costs reduction - Includes realised savings from cost initiatives (cost savings achieved during H1 2009 as well as cost savings achieved during the second half of 2008 which represent a decrease on the H1 2009 versus H1 2008 position) and productivity and other savings (decrease in the cost base driven by the revenue fall in the business as well as by saving initiatives not attributable to the specific initiatives linked to the cost savings committed externally).


__________________

Page 33 

Analysis of assets 


Total assets - Shareholder/policyholder exposure to risk



Policyholder assets 
£m

Participating fund assets
£m

Shareholder assets
£m

Total assets analysed
£m

Less assets of operations classified as held for sale
£m

Balance 
sheet 

total
£m

Assets








Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets


-

-

6,631

6,631

(1)

6,630

Interests in joint ventures and associates 


8

569

1,916

2,493

(33)

2,460

Property and equipment


-

74

841

915

(110)

805

Investment property


3,413

6,517

2,288

12,218

-

12,218

Loans


1,621

8,760

29,353

39,734

(16)

39,718

Financial investments








    Debt securities


18,533

79,802

48,511

146,846

(878)

145,968

    Equity securities


23,481

7,701

5,322

36,504

(379)

36,125

    Other investments


20,843

6,661

2,179

29,683

(748)

28,935

Reinsurance assets


1,524

1,046

4,446

7,016

(11)

7,005

Deferred tax assets


-

-

2,533

2,533

(31)

2,502

Current tax assets


-

-

444

444

-

444

Receivables and other financial assets


660

2,471

7,658

10,789

(24)

10,765

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets


198

781

5,283

6,262

(18)

6,244

Prepayments and accrued income


130

1,371

2,183

3,684

(10)

3,674

Cash and cash equivalents


4,076

11,927

9,737

25,740

(192)

25,548

Assets of operations classified as held for sale


-

-

-

-

2,451

2,451

Total


74,487

127,680

129,325

331,492

-

331,492

Total %


22.5%

38.5%

39.0%




FY 2008


79,893

134,665

140,004

354,562

-

354,562

FY 2008 %


22.5%

38.0%

39.5%




The quality of our asset base continues to be strong and shows no material deterioration since the end of 2008 in either its credit quality or the proportion of assets which are valued based on either quoted prices in an active market or using models with significant observable market parameters.

82% of assets (including 100% of financial investments) are measured at fair value of which the principle asset classes are loans, debt securities, equity securities and other financial investments. Of total debt securities, 94.8% are investment grade with 1.6% below investment grade and 3.6% not rated.

The group has very limited exposure to RMBS (Sub prime, Alt A), ABS, Wrapped Credit, CDOs and CLOs; these investments represent less than 1.0% of total balance sheet assets.

As at 30 June 2009, shareholder exposure to total loans and financial investments represented £85,365 million. The fall when compared to 31 December 2008 is predominantly driven by the movement in the Euro and the US dollar.

We report all of our financial investments, including our £147 billion debt securities portfolio, at market value. The unrealised losses of the debt securities portfolio on our balance sheet equate to 6% as at 30 June 2009, a significant reduction over the period (31 December 2008: 8%). Actual defaults in the period were minimal at £15 million (31 December 2008: £140 million). The total loss over the last 18 months represents just 0.2% of our total corporate debt portfolio. In addition, we have made impairment charges of £50 million (31 December 2008: £260 million).

Our UK Life commercial mortgage portfolio remains strong with no defaults recorded in the period. The portfolio is well diversified by sector and location with over 20% of the portfolio related to healthcare businesses which are effectively government backed. Interest service cover remains strong and unchanged at 1.3 times and over 96% of mortgages are neither past due nor impaired.

The provision we made of £550 million for short term default provisions in the UK for corporate bonds and commercial mortgages remain unutilised. Together with our long-term default assumptions, this equates to a provision of £1.1 billion for the life of the corporate bond and commercial mortgage portfolio and creates a strong buffer against potential future losses.

We have made further provisions of £42 million (31 December 2008: £26 million) on the UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, bringing the total to £68m, of which £16m (31 December 2008: £nil) is against specific mortgage loans.

__________________

Page 34 

Analysis of assets  continued 

Total assets - Shareholder/policyholder exposure to risk continued

Within the disclosure, the group's total assets have been segmented based on where the market and credit risks are held, according to the following guidelines.

Policyholder assets

We write unit-linked business in a number of long-term business operations. In unit-linked business, the policyholder bears the investment risk on the assets in the unit-linked funds, as the policy benefits are directly linked to the value of the assets in the funds. These assets are managed according to the investment mandates of the funds which are consistent with the expectations of the policyholders. By definition, there is a precise match between the investment assets and the policyholder liabilities, and so the market risk and credit risk lie with policyholders. The shareholders' exposure on this business is limited to the extent that income arising from asset management charges is based on the value of assets in the funds.

Participating fund assets

Some insurance and investment contracts in our long-term businesses contain a discretionary participating feature, which is a contractual right to receive additional benefits as a supplement to guaranteed benefits. These are referred to as participating contracts. The market risk and credit risk in relation to assets held within Participating Funds (including ''with-profit'' funds) are shared between policyholders and shareholders in differing proportions. In general, the risks and rewards of participating funds rest primarily with the policyholders.

The assets within participating funds cover liabilities for participating insurance contracts and participating investment contracts in addition to other liabilities within the participating funds.

Shareholder assets

Assets held within long-term businesses that are not backing unit-linked liabilities or participating funds, directly expose the shareholders to market and credit risks. Likewise, assets held within general insurance and health, fund management and non-insurance businesses also expose our shareholders to market and credit risks. We have established comprehensive risk management policies to monitor and mitigate these risks.

Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy

Valuation bases

The valuation of the group's assets can be categorised into the following major categories:

(i)    Fair value - Fair value is the amount for which an asset can be exchanged between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm's length transaction;

(ii)    Cost/Amortised cost - The amortised cost of a financial asset is the amount at which the financial asset is measured at initial recognition less principal repayments, plus or minus the cumulative amortisation (using the effective interest method) of any difference between the initial amount and the maturity amount, and less any reduction for impairment or uncollectibility. The cost/amortised cost of a non-financial asset is the amount at which the asset is initially recognised less any cumulative amortisation/depreciation (if applicable), and less any reduction for impairment;

(iii)    Equity accounted and tax assets - Investments in associates and joint ventures are accounted for using the equity method of accounting. Under this method, the cost of the investment in a given associate or joint venture, together with the group's share of that entity's post-acquisition changes to shareholders' funds, is included as an asset in the consolidated statement of financial position. The group's share of their post-acquisition profits or losses is recognised in the income statement and its share of post-acquisition movements in reserves is recognised in reserves. Distributions received from the investee reduce the group's carrying amount of the investment; and 

(iv)    Within the group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with Equity accounted within the analysis of the group's assets in the table below.

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Page 35 

Analysis of assets  continued 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued



Fair value 
£m

Amortised 
cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets
£m

Total
£m

Assets






Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets


-

6,631

-

6,631

Interests in joint ventures and associates 


-

-

2,493

2,493

Property and equipment


446

469

-

915

Investment property


12,218

-

-

12,218

Loans


19,556

20,178

-

39,734

Financial investments






    Debt securities


146,846

-

-

146,846

    Equity securities


36,504

-

-

36,504

    Other investments


29,683

-

-

29,683

Reinsurance assets


-

7,016

-

7,016

Deferred tax assets


-

-

2,533

2,533

Current tax assets


-

-

444

444

Receivables and other financial assets


-

10,789

-

10,789

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets


-

6,262

-

6,262

Prepayments and accrued income


-

3,684

-

3,684

Cash and cash equivalents


25,740

-

-

25,740

Total


270,993

55,029

5,470

331,492

Total %


81.7%

16.6%

1.7%


FY 2008 


291,252

57,063

6,247

354,562

FY 2008 %


82.1%

16.1%

1.8%


Assets have been valued with 82% of assets (including 100% of financial investments) measured at fair value.

With such a significant portion of the group's total assets carried at fair value, the impact of market risks and credit risks of these assets has been fully reflected within the group's reported 30 June 2009 financial position. Furthermore, all other assets have been tested for impairment and, in the case of financial assets (which includes loans, receivables and cash) carried at amortised cost, this has included a specific analysis of the recoverability of the assets by reference to the credit risk of the counterparty. The carrying values of assets on the different valuation bases are analysed in the tables below between Policyholder, Participating fund and Shareholder assets respectively.

__________________

Page 36 

Analysis of assets  continued 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued


Fair value 
£m

Amortised 
cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets
£m

Total
£m

Assets - Policyholder assets





Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates 

-

-

8

8

Property and equipment

-

-

-

-

Investment property

3,413

-

-

3,413

Loans

150

1,471

-

1,621

Financial investments





    Debt securities

18,533

-

-

18,533

    Equity securities

23,481

-

-

23,481

    Other investments

20,843

-

-

20,843

Reinsurance assets

-

1,524

-

1,524

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

660

-

660

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

198

-

198

Prepayments and accrued income

-

130

-

130

Cash and cash equivalents

4,076

-

-

4,076

Total

70,496

3,983

8

74,487

Total %

94.6%

5.4%

0.0%


FY 2008

75,391

4,308

194

79,893

FY 2008 %

94.4%

5.4%

0.2%




Fair value
£m 

Amortised cost
£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets
£m

Total
£m

Assets - Participating fund assets





Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates 

-

-

569

569

Property and equipment

52

22

-

74

Investment property

6,517

-

-

6,517

Loans

1,073

7,687

-

8,760

Financial investments





    Debt securities

79,802

-

-

79,802

    Equity securities

7,701

-

-

7,701

    Other investments

6,661

-

-

6,661

Reinsurance assets

-

1,046

-

1,046

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

2,471

-

2,471

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

781

-

781

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,371

-

1,371

Cash and cash equivalents

11,927

-

-

11,927

Total

113,733

13,378

569

127,680

Total %

89.1%

10.5%

0.4%


FY 2008

120,945

12,770

950

134,665

FY 2008 %

89.8%

9.5%

0.7%



__________________

Page 37

Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued


Fair value
£m 

Amortised cost
£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets
£m

Total
£m

Assets - Shareholder assets





Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

6,631

-

6,631

Interests in joint ventures and associates 

-

-

1,916

1,916

Property and equipment

394

447

-

841

Investment property

2,288

-

-

2,288

Loans

18,333

11,020

-

29,353

Financial investments





    Debt securities

48,511

-

-

48,511

    Equity securities

5,322

-

-

5,322

    Other investments

2,179

-

-

2,179

Reinsurance assets

-

4,446

-

4,446

Deferred tax assets

-

-

2,533

2,533

Current tax assets

-

-

444

444

Receivables and other financial assets

-

7,658

-

7,658

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

5,283

-

5,283

Prepayments and accrued income

-

2,183

-

2,183

Cash and cash equivalents

9,737

-

-

9,737

Total

86,764

37,668

4,893

129,325

Total %

67.1%

29.1%

3.8%


FY 2008

94,916

39,985

5,103

140,004

FY 2008 % 

67.8%

28.6%

3.6%


Fair value hierarchy

To provide further information on the valuation techniques used to measure assets carried at fair value, this disclosure categorises the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a ''fair value hierarchy'' as follows:

Quoted market prices in active markets - (''Level 1'')

Inputs to Level 1 fair values are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets. An active market is a market in which transactions for the asset occur with sufficient frequency and volume to provide pricing information on an ongoing basis. 

Examples are listed equities in active markets, listed debt securities in active markets and quoted unit trusts in active markets. 

Valued using models with significant observable market parameters - (''Level 2'')

Inputs to Level 2 fair values are inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for the asset, either directly or indirectly. If the asset has a specified (contractual) term, a Level 2 input must be observable for substantially the full term of the asset. Level 2 inputs include the following:

  • Quoted prices for similar (i.e. not identical) assets in active markets;

  • Quoted prices for identical or similar assets in markets that are not active, the prices are not current, or price quotations vary substantially either over time or among market makers, or in which little information is released publicly;

  • Inputs other than quoted prices that are observable for the asset (for example, interest rates and yield curves observable at commonly quoted intervals, volatilities, prepayment speeds, loss severities, credit risks, and default rates); and

  • Inputs that are derived principally from, or corroborated by, observable market data by correlation or other means (market-corroborated inputs).

Examples are securities measured using discounted cash flow models based on market observable swap yields, investment property measured using market observable information and listed debt or equity securities in a market that is inactive. 

__________________

Page 38

Analysis of assets  continued 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters - (''Level 3'')

Inputs to Level 3 fair values are unobservable inputs for the asset. Unobservable inputs may have been used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available, thereby allowing for situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for the asset at the measurement date (or market information for the inputs to any valuation models). As such, unobservable inputs reflect the business unit's own assumptions about the inputs that market participants would use in pricing the asset. 

Examples are certain private equity investments and private placements. 

1.1. Loans

The value of the group's loan portfolio at 30 June 2009 stood at £39,734 million compared to £42,237 million at year end 2008, representing a total decrease of £2,503 million. Policyholder and participating fund assets experienced only slight movements, and the primary source of this decline was from shareholder assets, due to the dominance of mortgage loans in the portfolio, which decreased by £2,383 million to £29,353 million. Within shareholder assets, the mortgage loan portfolio decreased from a year end 2008 position of £27,046 million to a half year 2009 position of £25,147 million.

The key drivers for these reductions were a combination of increased risks due to falling property values, increasing gilt yields and exchange rate movements for the USD and EUR currencies. However, most of these reductions are offset through corresponding reductions in the liability valuations, thereby resulting in minimal impact on the net balance sheet or income.

The group loan portfolio is principally made up of:

  • Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy

  • Loans and advances to banks which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities; 

  • Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets; and

  • Other loans which include loans and advances to customers of our banking business and brokers and intermediaries

Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method. 

For certain mortgage loans, the group has taken advantage of the revised fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. Due to the illiquid nature of these assets, where fair value accounting is applied, it is done so on a Level 2 basis. 

Shareholder assets


UK
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

North 
America

£m

Europe
(e
xcl. DL)
£m

Asia
£m

Total
£m

Policy loans

-

270

209

12

12

503

Loans and advances to banks

846

275

-

-

-

1,121

Mortgages

14,059

9,675

1,399

1

13

25,147

Other loans

33

2,460

82

3

4

2,582

Total

14,938

12,680

1,690

16

29

29,353


Mortgage loans

Of the group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 71% is invested in mortgage loans. Market developments over the past 2 years have led to an increased focus on this asset class. The group's mortgage loan portfolio spans several business units, primarily UK, Delta Lloyd and USA, and across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans.

Aviva shareholders are exposed predominantly to mortgage loans. These exposures are complex with several levels of protection for the shareholder. This section focuses on explaining the residual shareholder risk within these exposures.

__________________

Page 39 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets


UK
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

North 
America

£m

Europe
(e
xcl. DL)
£m

Asia
£m

Total
£m

Total securitised mortgage loans

1,756

5,381

-

-

-

7,137

Non-securitised mortgage loans - residential

-

4,274

-

1

-

4,275

Non-securitised mortgage loans - equity release

1,243

-

-

-

-

1,243

Non-securitised mortgage loans - commercial

8,445

20

1,399

-

13

9,877

Non-securitised mortgage loans - healthcare

2,615

-

-

-

-

2,615

Total non-securitised mortgage loans

12,303

4,294

1,399

1

13

18,010

Total mortgage loans

14,059

9,675

1,399

1

13

25,147

Securitised mortgage loans comprise 28% of total Shareholder mortgage loan assets. They are secured through non-recourse borrowings in our UK Life and Dutch businesses, and comprise primarily of residential assets, including equity release in the UK.

Shareholder exposure to non-securitised mortgage loans is predominantly to commercial, rather than residential mortgages. These are typically held to back annuity liabilities. Historical data has shown the portfolio to be of very high quality, with minimal realised losses incurred on the large UK portfolio in the last 15 years. With the economic climate deteriorating significantly over the last year, the level of specific bad debt provision has risen modestly and is expected to continue to rise, although general provisions have already been established to cover these. 

In addition to commercial mortgages of £9,877 million (predominantly held in the UK and US), Aviva also holds £2,615 million of mortgage loans made to UK healthcare related businesses, which receive significant support from the National Health Service ('NHS').

Of a total of £25,147 million of shareholder asset gross mortgage loan exposure (including securitised), a combined 99.9% is based within the UK, Delta Lloyd and USA business units. The analysis following therefore focuses on these three business units only.

Securitised mortgage loans (UK, Delta Lloyd, Shareholder assets only)

Of a total of £7,137 million of securitised residential mortgages, approximately £1 billion of securities are still held by Aviva. The remaining securities have been sold to third parties, and therefore present no credit risk to Aviva. 

Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the Delta Lloyd and in the UK. 

Non-securitised mortgage loans (Shareholder assets only)

UK commercial

Gross Exposures by Loan to Value and Arrears (£m)


Loan to value


>120%

115%-120%

110%-115%

105%-110%

100%-105%

95%-
100%

90%-
95%

80%-
90%

70%-
80%

<70%

Total

Neither past due nor impaired

1,138

507

699

1,607

743

946

1,049

599

492

333

8,113

0-3 months

291

-

-

-

-

13

-

-

-

-

304

3-6 months

-

3

-

-

-

20

-

-

-

-

23

6-12 months

-

-

-

-

-

5

-

-

-

-

5

12 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total 

1,429

510

699

1,607

743

984

1,049

599

492

333

8,445



__________________

Page 40 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Of the £8,445 million of UK Commercial loans, £7,845 million are held by Aviva UK Life to back annuity liabilities, and stated above on a fair value basis. The remaining £600 million of loans are held by Aviva UK General Insurance and stated on an amortised cost basis. The loan exposures for the UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ('CRAV') methods. For the UK General Insurance business, mortgages are held at amortised cost, and subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics.

The UK portfolio is well diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The UK portfolio has had an excellent track record with minimal defaults in the last 15 years, although the recent economic climate is expected to result in some losses. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection. The mortgages risk profile is primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation (where applicable). Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Loan interest cover ('LIC') is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service. The average LIC is 1.3x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging and loans to a single borrower may be pooled so that any single loan is also supported by payments on the other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from the general floating charges held over other assets within the borrower companies.

If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefiting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the high recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) results in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above.

All loans in arrears have been assessed for impairment and specific provisions. Of the £332 million exposure in arrears, the interest amount in arrears is only £5.8 million. In addition to £29 million of specific provisions relating to defaults made in 2008, Aviva UK Life have provisioned for a further £3 million and Aviva UK General Insurance have made specific provisions of £16 million for defaults for the six month period to 30 June 2009. These are in addition to the general provisions made for longer term expectations of losses.

Of the £4,988 million of loans with LTV above 100%, the amount of exposure uncovered by the underlying security is £805 million. The combined impact of increasing risk, as property values continue to fall, and rising long-term gilt yields have led to a reduction in risk adjusted loan values since year end 2008. This has resulted in LTVs increasing only modestly as the effect of falling property values has been offset by falling loan values. However, loan interest cover has remained stable due to low levels of material tenant defaults.

UK Healthcare

Of the total non-securitised mortgage loans of £12,303 million, £2,615 million relate to healthcare businesses and are secured against General Practitioner premises or other health related premises leased to NHS trusts or Primary Care Trusts. For all such loans, Government support is provided through reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.

On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 111%, although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk driver. Income support from the National Health Service and stability of the sector provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be low risk and uncorrelated with the strength of the UK or global economy.

UK Residential

The UK Non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £1,243 million. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners that usually own a fully paid up property will mortgage it to release cash equity. Due to the low relative levels of equity released in each property, they all currently have LTV of below 80%, and the average LTV across the portfolio is approximately 30-35%. We therefore consider these mortgages to be low risk.

Delta Lloyd Commercial

Delta Lloyd currently holds a total of £430 million of commercial mortgages. However, of these, shareholders are exposed to only £19 million. The remaining assets are held in the Policyholder and Participating Funds of Delta Lloyd's German subsidiaries.

__________________

Page 41 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Delta Lloyd residential


Loan to value


>120%
£m

115%-120%
£m

110%-115%
£m

105%-110%
£m

100%-105%
£m

95%-100%
£m

90%-
95%
£m

80%-
90%
£m

70%-
80%
£m

<70%
£m

Total
£m

Exposures by mortgage type












Government guaranteed residential

370

63

48

33

28

93

23

34

31

68

791

Non-Government guaranteed residential

560

148

135

121

404

370

372

374

407

592

3,483

Total

930

211

183

154

432

463

395

408

438

660

4,274

Exposures by interest payment arrears












0-3 months

30

5

10

10

1

10

22

1

2

4

95

3-6 months

2

-

1

2

4

4

1

2

6

-

22

6-12 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

12 months

-

-

-

-

2

2

2

1

2

2

11

Total 

32

5

11

12

7

16

25

4

10

6

128

The total exposure to non-securitised residential loans in the Netherlands is £4,274 million. However, of these, £791 million are Government guaranteed, and so present minimal risk to Aviva shareholders. Of the £4,274 million of residential loans, £3,645 million are measured on a fair value basis, and the remaining on amortised cost basis. 

The Government guarantees were introduced in the Netherlands to encourage homeownership, and apply to home mortgages of up to €350,000 (this threshold was raised, from €265,000 at 31 December 2008, due to the impact of the financial crisis). The guarantees are implemented through the National Mortgage Guarantee Scheme, and ensure that, should the homeowner be forced to sell, and cannot make the repayment on the mortgage, then the residual will be provided for by the Homeownership Guarantee Fund, which in turn is funded by the Government and municipalities through agreements for interest free loans.

In addition to government guarantees, the Dutch residential mortgage market also benefits from the ability for borrowers to deduct mortgage interest payments for tax purpose, thereby helping to reduce arrears or default. 

The total amount of loans for which interest payments are past due is £128 million (down from £282 at 31 December 2008). However, the actual amount of missed payments is £6.8 million. Delta Lloyd has currently not made any additional provisions for these loans as it does not consider the amount of potential loss to be significant.

U.S. commercial

Gross exposures by loan to value and arrears


Loan to value


>120%
£m

115%-120%
£m

110%-115%
£m

105%-110%
£m

100%-105%
£m

95%-100%
£m

90%-
95%
£m

80%-
90%
£m

70%-
80%
£m

<70%
£m

Total
£m

30 June 2009 

9

2

2

6

8

38

46

243

304

741

1,399

Aviva USA currently holds £1,399 million of commercial mortgages under Shareholder Assets. Of these, 53% (31 December 2008: 55%) still have LTV of below 70%, and 92% (31 December 2008: 94%) have LTVs of below 90%. However, the mortgage portfolio does currently have a total of £27 million (2% of portfolio) in principal balances where the LTV exceeds 100%. Although declining property prices have had a negative impact, the mortgages continue to perform well, reflective of:

  • low underwriting LTVs (shall not exceed 80% at the time of issuance), and consequently a portfolio with an average LTV of 61% at 31 December 2008, and 65% at 30 June 2009;

  • A highly diversified portfolio across USA, with strong volumes in many states with more stable economies and related real estate values, such as Washington, Texas and Minnesota; and

  • Strong LIC ratios, with 96% of the loans having and LIC above 1.4x, and less than 1% with LIC below 1.0x

As at 30 June 2009, only £1 million of loans was in arrears. Aviva USA holds mortgage loans at an amortised cost value, and conducts a regular impairment review process. As at 30 June 2009, there were no provisions applied to the Aviva USA's commercial mortgage portfolio.

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Page 42 

Analysis of assets  continued 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

1.2. Financial investments

Financial investments are an integral element of an insurance business. 

Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to boost returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders. The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.

The group also holds significant quantities of equities. Many of these are held in participating funds or unit linked funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds and the staff pension schemes, where the holdings are designed to maximise long-term returns with an acceptable level of risk. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices. 

The group's credit risk policy restricts the exposure to individual counterparties across all types of risk. 

The fair values of investments are based on quoted bid prices or amounts derived from cash flow models. Fair values for unlisted equity securities are estimated using applicable price/earnings or price/cash flow ratios refined to reflect the specific circumstances of the issuer. Securities, for which fair values cannot be measured reliably, are recognised at cost less impairment. 

Where it is determined that the market in which a price is quoted has become inactive, the quoted price is assessed against either independent valuations or internally modelled valuations which take into account other market observable information. Where the quoted price differs sufficiently from these reassessed prices, the fair value recognised on the balance sheet is based on this adjusted valuation. However, if these reassessed prices confirm that the quoted price remains appropriate, then the fair value recognised on the balance sheet continues to be the quoted price.

The group classifies its investments as either financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FV) or financial assets available for sale (AFS). The classification depends on the purpose for which the investments were acquired, and is determined by local management at initial recognition. In general, the FV category is used as, in most cases, the group's investment or risk management strategy is to manage its financial investments on a fair value basis. The AFS category is used where the relevant long-term business liability (including shareholders funds) is passively managed. 

Investments classified as FV and AFS are subsequently carried at fair value. Changes in the fair value of FV investments are included in the income statement in the period in which they arise. Changes in the fair value of securities classified as AFS, except for impairment losses, are recorded in a separate investment valuation reserve in equity. Where investments classified as AFS are sold or impaired, the accumulated fair value adjustments are transferred out of the investment valuation reserve and into the income statement. 

To test for impairment, the group reviews the carrying value of its investments on a regular basis. If the carrying value of an investment is greater than the recoverable amount, the carrying value is reduced through a charge to the income statement in the period of impairment. 

For listed investments classified as AFS, the group performs an objective review of the current financial position and prospects of the issuer on a regular basis, to identify whether any impairment provision is required. For unlisted investments classified as AFS, the group considers the current financial position of the issuer and the future prospects in identifying the requirement for an impairment provision. For both listed and unlisted AFS securities identified as being impaired, the cumulative unrealised net loss previously recognised within the AFS reserve is transferred to realised losses for the year. 

Cost, unrealised gains and fair value

The following is a summary of the cost/amortised cost, gross unrealised gains and losses and fair value of financial investments:    





30 June 2009


Cost/ 
amortised 

cost

£m

Unrealised
 gains

£m

Impairment
and unrealised 

losses 

£m

Fair 
value 

£m

Debt securities 

151,528

4,051

(8,733)

146,846

Equity securities 

44,092

2,319

(9,907)

36,504

Other investments 

29,274

2,092

(1,683)

29,683


224,894

8,462

(20,323)

213,033


  __________________

Page 43


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued




31 December 2008


Cost/
 amortised 

cost

£m

Unrealised gains
£m

Impairment and
Unrealised
losses 
£m

Fair value
Restated 

£m

Debt securities

156,097

7,634

(13,140)

150,591

Equity securities

54,518

2,685

(13,792)

43,411

Other investments

34,692

4,243

(2,819)

36,116


245,307

14,562

(29,751)

230,118

1.2.1. Debt instruments


Fair value hierarchy



Level 1 
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Debt securities - Shareholder assets





UK Government

1,224

-

-

1,224

Non-UK Government

10,391

2,312

121

824

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

1,204

1,144

50

2,398

Corporate convertible bonds

10

273

-

283

Other corporate bonds

7,841

15,667

372

23,880

Other

2,470

5,044

388

7,902

Total

23,140

24,440

931

48,511

Total %

47.7%

50.4%

1.9%


FY 2008

26,134

24,469

834

51,437

FY 2008 %

50.8%

47.6%

1.6%


Only 3.3% of shareholder exposure to financial investments (2.1% of shareholder assets recorded at fair value) is fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters. Where estimates are used these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible. Whilst such valuations are sensitive to estimates it is believed that changing one or more of the assumptions for reasonably possible alternative assumptions would not change the fair value significantly.

The majority of the debt instruments held by our North American businesses are valued by independent pricing firms in accordance with usual market practice in that region. 

48% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market. The continuing trend of reduced liquidity due to the ongoing uncertainty in the international financial markets contributes to the relatively high proportion of debt securities that is based on quoted prices in markets that are not active or where the prices are less current.

__________________

Page 44

Analysis of assets  continued 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued






Ratings




AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

Less than BBB
£m

Non-rated
£m

Total
£m

Debt securities - Shareholder assets








Government








UK Government 

1,212

-

-

-

-

-

1,212

UK local authorities 

3

9

-

-

-

-

12

Non-UK Government 

7,399

2,409

2,310

47

58

601

12,824


8,614

2,418

2,310

47

58

601

14,048

Corporate








Public utilities 

105

132

1,308

755

59

39

2,398

Convertibles and bonds with warrants 

-

21

110

124

27

1

283

Other corporate bonds 

1,938

3,200

9,603

6,265

1,091

1,783

23,880


2,043

3,353

11,021

7,144

1,177

1,823

26,561

Certificates of deposits

191

4

-

1

-

11

207

Structured








RMBS non-agency sub-prime

2

-

1

2

1

-

6

RMBS non-agency ALT A 

129

4

-

-

12

-

145

RMBS non-agency prime

279

12

24

28

1

277

621

RMBS agency

2,458

-

-

-

-

-

2,458


2,868

16

25

30

14

277

3,230

CMBS

1,368

59

30

36

14

-

1,507

ABS

856

121

164

86

5

271

1,503

CDO (including CLO)

77

10

68

8

18

50

231

ABCP

175

-

-

-

-

-

175

ABFRN

1

-

-

1

-

-

2


2,477

190

262

131

37

321

3,418

Wrapped credit

141

51

95

79

-

6

372

Other

75

7

305

42

5

241

675

Total

16,409

6,039

14,018

7,474

1,291

3,280

48,511

Total %

33.8%

12.4%

28.9%

15.4%

2.7%

6.8%


FY 2008

19,021

7,414

13,608

6,536

1,185

3,673

51,437

FY 2008 %

37.0%

14.4%

26.5%

12.7%

2.3%

7.1%


The overall quality of the book is strong and has been maintained, despite the continuing downgrade activity by the major rating agencies during the first half of 2009, by taking opportunities to move into higher quality assets. Nearly 30% of shareholder exposure to debt security holdings is in government bonds. A further 55% of holdings are in corporate bonds with an average rating of A. 

The majority of the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are US investments and over 75% of the shareholder exposure is backed by one of the US Government Sponsored Entities (GSEs) including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which, under the conservatorship arrangements implemented in September 2008, are now backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government. The majority of the remaining US RMBS is backed by fixed rate loans originated in 2005 or before. 

The Group has extremely limited exposure to 'Sub-prime' debt securities and also limited exposure to CDOs and CLOs. Investments in structured assets, excluding agency RMBS which is backed by GSEs, represent less than 10% of debt securities to which the shareholder has exposure. 

The vast majority of the corporate bonds that are not rated represent private placements. The private placements are US investments which are not rated by the major rating agencies but which are rated an average equivalent of between A and BBB by the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), a US national regulatory agency. 

Excluding the private placements that are rated by the NAIC, the exposure that is not rated by a major rating agency reduces to less than 4% of debt securities to which the shareholder has exposure.

__________________

Page 45


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

1.2.2 Equity securities

Fair value measurement


Fair value hierarchy



Level 1 
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Equity securities - Shareholder assets





Public utilities

86

-

-

86

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

405

135

637

1,177

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

2,022

1,621

223

3,866

Non-redeemable preferred shares

103

86

4

193

Total

2,616

1,842

864

5,322

Total %

49.2%

34.6%

16.2%


FY 2008 

2,700

2,131

923

5,754

FY 2008 %

46.9%

37.1%

16.0%


Almost 50% of shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market. Similar to the fixed income markets, continuing reduced liquidity in equity markets during the first half of 2009 means that there continues to be a proportion of equities that is based on quoted prices in markets that are not active or where the prices are less current, although this position is improving slightly. Also subject to Level 2 valuation are unlisted securities. 

Shareholder investments include a strategic holding in Unicredito and other Italian banks of £979 million (£791 million net of minority interest share).

1.2.3. Other investments

Fair value measurement


Fair value hierarchy



Level 1 
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Other investments - Shareholder assets





Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

500

56

4

560

Derivative financial instruments

41

999

25

1,065

Deposits and credit institutions

29

395

-

424

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

51

-

51

Other

12

63

4

79

Total

582

1,564

33

2,179

Total %

26.7%

71.8%

1.5%


FY 2008 

626

2,491

29

3,146

FY 2008 %

19.9%

79.2%

0.9%


The majority of other investments is fair valued with reference to quoted prices in an active market or using market observable information. The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets with the majority of the value being invested in Property and Equity securities with a smaller portion being invested in Debt Securities.

Pension fund assets

In addition to the assets recognised directly on the group's balance sheet outlined in the disclosures above, the group is also exposed to the ''Plan assets'' that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension deficit. The net pension deficit is recognised within provisions on the group's statement of financial position

Plan assets include investments in group-managed funds of £139 million in the UK scheme, and insurance policies of £157 million and £1,217 million in the UK and Dutch schemes respectively. Where the investment and insurance policies are in segregated funds with specific asset allocations, they are included in the appropriate lines in the table below, otherwise they appear in 'Other'. The Dutch insurance policies are considered non-transferable under the terms of IAS 19 and so have been excluded as assets of the relevant scheme in this table.

__________________

Page 46 

Analysis of assets  continued 


Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

The total IAS 19 assets (i.e. excluding the non-transferable insurance policies) of the schemes are analysed as follows:


United Kingdom
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Canada
£m

Ireland
£m

Total
£m

Equities

2,288

-

70

47

2,405

Bonds

3,948

-

96

149

4,193

Property

346

-

-

20

366

Other

415

6

10

166

597

Total fair value of assets

6,997

6

176

382

7,561

Risk management and asset allocation strategy

The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a diversified portfolio, consisting primarily of equity and debt securities. These reflect the current long-term asset allocation ranges chosen, having regard to the structure of liabilities within the schemes.

Main UK scheme

Both the group and the trustees regularly review the asset/liability management of the main UK scheme. It is fully understood that, whilst the current asset mix is designed to produce appropriate long-term returns, this introduces a material risk of volatility in the scheme's surplus or deficit of assets compared with its liabilities. The principal asset risks to which the scheme is exposed are:

  • Equity market risk - the effect of equity market falls on the value of plan assets;

  • Inflation risk - the effect of inflation rising faster than expected on the value of the plan liabilities; and

  • Interest rate risk - falling interest rates leading to an increase in liabilities significantly exceeding the increase in the value of assets.

The trustees have taken measures to partially mitigate inflation and interest rate risks, including entering into inflation and interest rate  swaps.

There is also an exposure to currency risk where assets are not denominated in the same currency as the liabilities. The majority of this exposure has been removed by the use of hedging instruments. 

During 2008, there was a reduction in the proportion of assets invested in equities, thereby mitigating the equity risk

Other schemes

The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.

Available funds

To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the group maintains over £2 billion of undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks. £1 billion of this is allocated to support the credit rating of Aviva plc's £2 billion commercial paper programme. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows: 


£m

Expiring in one year

815

Expiring beyond one year

1,285


2,100

Guarantees

As a normal part of their operating activities, various group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.

For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.

In all other Businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% increase in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).

End of part 2 of 5

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