HY14 part 4 of 5

RNS Number : 4780O
Aviva PLC
07 August 2014
 



 

Part 4 of 5

 

 Page 81

 

Capital & assets

 

 

In this section

Page    

Capital and liquidity


C1  Capital performance

82

C2  Regulatory capital

86

C3  IFRS sensitivity analysis

88



Analysis of assets


D1 Total assets

91

D2 Total assets -Valuation bases/fair
      value hierarchy

92

D3 Analysis of asset quality

95

D4 Pension fund assets

105

D5 Available funds

106

D6 Guarantees

106
















































 

Page 82

 

Capital and liquidity

 

 

C1 - Capital performance

(a) Capital generation and utilisation

 


 

6 months
2014
£m

Restated1

6 months
2013
£m

Restated1

Full year
2013
£m

Group operating capital generated after investment in new business

910

1,016

1,953

Interest, corporate and other costs

(235)

(271)

(621)

External dividends and appropriations

(309)

(297)

(537)

Net operating capital generation after financing

366

448

795

1    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

(b) Capital required to write new business, internal rate of return and payback period

The Group generates a significant amount of capital each year. This capital generation supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to set-up costs and capital requirements.

      The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.

      The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.

      The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.

      The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below.

 




6 months 2014



Restated1

 6 months 2013



Restated1  

Full year 2013


Internal

rate of

return2  

%

New business impact on

free surplus3

 £m

Payback

period

years2

Internal

rate of

return2  

%

New
 business impact on

free surplus3

 £m

Payback

period

years2

Internal

rate of

return2  

%

New
 business impact on

free surplus3

 £m

Payback

period

years2

United Kingdom4

13%

35

7

23%

(17)

5

19%

(17)

6

Ireland

5%

17

11

4%

16

19

5%

30

13

United Kingdom & Ireland

12%

52

8

20%

(1)

7

17%

13

7

France

12%

77

8

12%

73

8

11%

148

9

Poland

23%

15

4

19%

14

5

22%

25

4

Italy

13%

34

6

12%

27

6

14%

46

6

Spain

13%

17

5

18%

19

4

17%

33

4

Other Europe

45%

10

2

32%

13

3

32%

20

3

Europe

15%

153

6

15%

146

6

15%

272

7

Asia

20%

32

8

14%

35

11

16%

68

10

Total

14.6%

237

7

16.2%

180

7

15.6%

353

7

1    The comparative periods have been restated. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

2    Gross of non-controlling interests.

3    Net of non-controlling interests.

4    IRR has fallen since HY13 reflecting a shift in business mix due to reduced volumes of individual annuities and a higher IRR in the prior period due to stronger annuity margins in the UK.

 

 

 

Page  83

 

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(c) Analysis of return on equity- IFRS basis

 


 

Operating

return1



6 months 2014

Before tax £m

After tax  £m

Opening

Shareholders'

funds including non-controlling interests

£m

Return on equity

%

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

478

392

5,832

13.4%

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health2

244

193

4,146

9.3%

Europe

498

344

5,598

12.3%

Canada

83

61

925

13.2%

Asia

35

30

709

8.4%

Fund management

48

40

237

33.8%

Corporate and Other Business3

(182)

(141)

(1,305)

n/a

Return on total capital employed

1,204

919

16,142

11.4%

Subordinated debt

(142)

(111)

(4,370)

5.1%

External debt

(10)

(9)

(755)

2.3%

Return on total equity

1,052

799

11,017

14.5%

Less: Non-controlling interests


(84)

(1,471)

11.4%

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes


(12)

(1,382)

1.7%

Preference capital


(9)

(200)

9.0%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


694

7,964

17.4%

1    The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variances.

2    The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £19 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £19 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation. 

3    The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £182 million comprises corporate costs of £64 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £99 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £35 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £16 million. 

 


 

Operating

return1



Full Year 2013

Before tax

 £m

After tax

£m

Opening shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests

 £m

Return on equity

%

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

952

904

5,646

16.0%

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health2

410

319

4,008

8.0%

Europe

963

636

5,860

10.9%

Canada

246

180

1,039

17.4%

Asia

97

84

825

10.1%

Fund management

93

72

225

32.1%

Corporate and Other Business3

(384)

(428)

(1,471)

n/a

Return on total capital employed (excluding United States)

2,377

1,767

16,132

11.0%

United States

290

207

367

56.5%

Return on total capital employed (including United States)

2,667

1,974

16,499

12.0%

Subordinated debt

(305)

(234)

(4,337)

5.4%

External debt

(23)

(18)

(802)

2.2%

Return on total equity

2,339

1,722

11,360

15.2%

Less: Non-controlling interests


(174)

(1,574)

11.1%

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes


(70)

(1,382)

5.1%

Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


1,461

8,204

17.8%

Return on equity shareholders' funds (excluding United States operating return)


1,254

8,204

15.3%

1    The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variances.

2    The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £79 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £79 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation. 

3    The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £384 million comprises corporate costs of £150 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £231 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £60 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £57 million. 

 

 

 

Page 84

 

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(d) Group capital structure 

The table below shows how our capital, on both an IFRS and MCEV basis, is deployed by products and services segments and how that capital is funded.

 




30 June

2014

Capital employed



31 December 2013

Capital employed


IFRS basis

£m

Internally

generated

AVIF

£m

MCEV5

basis

£m

IFRS basis

£m

Restated Internally

generated

AVIF4

£m

MCEV4,5

basis

£m

Life business







United Kingdom

5,197

2,552

7,749

5,237

2,742

7,979

Ireland

579

93

672

595

81

676

United Kingdom & Ireland

5,776

2,645

8,421

5,832

2,823

8,655

France

2,176

1,698

3,874

2,366

1,677

4,043

Poland

347

989

1,336

380

1,075

1,455

Italy

1,024

430

1,454

1,108

471

1,579

Spain

725

266

991

769

232

1,001

Other Europe

96

85

181

93

84

177

Europe

4,368

3,468

7,836

4,716

3,539

8,255

Asia

710

276

986

676

270

946


10,854

6,389

17,243

11,224

6,632

17,856

General insurance & health







United Kingdom

3,645

(182)

3,463

3,725

(184)

3,541

Ireland

458

-

458

421

-

421

United Kingdom & Ireland

4,103

(182)

3,921

4,146

(184)

3,962

France

553

-

553

570

-

570

Italy

275

-

275

269

-

269

Other Europe

38

-

38

43

-

43

Europe

866

-

866

882

-

882

Canada

1,005

-

1,005

925

-

925

Asia

30

-

30

33

(2)

31


6,004

(182)

5,822

5,986

(186)

5,800

Fund Management

232

(24)

208

237

(37)

200

Corporate & Other Business1

(704)

61

(643)

(1,305)

2

(1,303)

Total capital employed

16,386

6,244

22,630

16,142

6,411

22,553

Financed by







Equity shareholders' funds

8,557

5,534

14,091

7,964

5,679

13,643

Non-controlling interests

1,414

710

2,124

1,471

732

2,203

Direct capital instruments & fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

-

1,382

1,382

-

1,382

Preference shares

200

-

200

200

-

200

Subordinated debt

4,072

-

4,072

4,370

-

4,370

External debt

761

-

761

755

-

755

Total capital employed

16,386

6,244

22,630

16,142

6,411

22,553

Less: Goodwill & other intangibles (net of tax & non-controlling interests)2

(2,036)


(1,925)

(2,204)


(2,088)

Total tangible capital employed

14,350


20,705

13,938


20,465

Total debt3

6,665


6,665

6,957


6,957

Tangible debt leverage

46%


32%

50%


34%

1    'Corporate' and 'other Business' includes centrally held tangible net assets, the main UK staff pension scheme surplus and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation, include the formal loan arrangement between Aviva Group Holdings Limited and Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). Internal capital management in place allocated a majority of the total capital of AIL to the UK general insurance operations with the remaining capital deemed to be supporting residual (non-operational) Pillar II ICA risks.  

2    Goodwill and intangibles comprise £1,364 million (FY13: £1,480 million) of goodwill in subsidiaries, £964 million (FY13: £1,068 million) of intangibles in subsidiaries and £99 million (FY13: £60 million) of goodwill and intangibles in joint ventures, net of deferred tax liabilities of £184 million (FY13: £189 million) and the non-controlling interest share of intangibles of £207 million (FY13: £215 million). Under MCEV the goodwill has been further impaired by £111 million (FY13: £116 million) which has been reflected in the additional value of in-force long-term business in the MCEV balance sheet.   

3    Total debt comprises direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes, Aviva Plc preference share capital and core structural borrowings.  In addition preference share capital of GA plc of £250 million within non-controlling interests has been included.

4    Following a change in MCEV methodology highlighted in section F1, the UK Retail Fund Management business in Aviva Investors, the UK Health business and Singapore Guaranteed Renewable Health business are now treated as life covered business. Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology.

5    In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations as at 30 June 2013 and 31 December 2013 at the expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds less cost to sell at those dates.

 

Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt

and borrowings. At HY14 we had £16.4 billion (FY13: £16.1 billion) of total capital employed in our businesses measured on an IFRS basis and £22.6 billion (FY13: £22.6 billion) of total capital employed on an MCEV basis. Financial leverage, the ratio of external senior and subordinated debt to IFRS tangible capital employed, was 46% (FY13: 50%).

      At HY14 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interests, of £250 million), and direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes was £7,486 million (FY13: £7,573 million), with a weighted average cost, post tax, of 3.2% (FY13: 3.8%). The Group Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 6.1% (FY13: 6.6%) and has been calculated by reference to the cost of equity and the cost of debt at the relevant date. The cost of equity at HY14 was 7.6% (FY13: 8.3%) based on a risk free rate of 2.7% (FY13: 3.0%), an equity risk premium of 4.0% (FY13: 4.0%) and a market beta of 1.23 (FY13: 1.30).

 

 

 

Page 85

 

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(e) Equity sensitivity analysis

The sensitivity of the group's total equity on an IFRS basis and MCEV basis at 30 June 2014 to a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows: 

 

31 December 2013

£bn

IFRS basis

30 June

2014

£bn

Equities down 10% £bn

Interest rates up 1% £bn

0.5% increased credit spread

£bn

11.2

Long-term savings

10.9

-

(0.3)

(0.1)

4.9

General insurance and other

5.5

(0.1)

(0.5)

0.4

(5.1)

Borrowings

(4.8)

-

-

-

11.0

Total equity

11.6

(0.1)

(0.8)

0.3

 





Equities down 10%



Restated1

31 December 2013

£bn

MCEV basis

30 June

2014

£bn

Direct 

£bn

Indirect 

£bn

Interest rates up 1%

£bn

0.5% increased

credit

spread

£bn

17.9

Long-term savings

17.2

-

(0.4)

(0.3)

(0.9)

4.7

General insurance and other

5.4

(0.1)

-

(0.5)

0.4

(5.1)

Borrowings

(4.8)

-

-

-

-

17.5

Total equity

17.8

(0.1)

(0.4)

(0.8)

(0.5)

1    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the change in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV  Basis of preparation for further details.

 

These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability in the main UK pension scheme by £1.6 billion (before any associated tax impact).

      The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for IFRS and MCEV do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The IFRS and MCEV sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.

 

 

 

Page 86

 

 

C2 - Regulatory capital

Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate Group level, where Aviva has a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our businesses in Canada a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.

      Based on individual guidance from the PRA we recognise surpluses of the non-profit funds of our UK Life and pensions businesses which are available for transfer to shareholders. These have decreased to £nil as at 30 June 2014 (FY13: £0.1 billion).

(a) Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

 


UK Life funds £bn

Other business

£bn

 30 June

2014

£bn

31 December 2013

£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

5.3

8.3

13.6

14.4

Less: capital resources requirement

(5.3)

(5.0)

(10.3)

(10.8)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

3.3

3.3

3.6

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)



1.7 times

1.7 times

 

The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has decreased by £0.3 billion since FY13 to £3.3 billion. The key drivers of the reduction are the establishment of the group's internal reinsurance arrangement which has reduced IGD capital by £0.2 billion and the redemption of hybrid debt which has also reduced IGD capital by £0.2 billion.

      The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:

 


£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2013

3.6

Operating profits net of other income and expenses

0.6

Dividends and appropriations

(0.3)

Hybrid debt redemption

(0.2)

Internal reinsurance

(0.2)

Disposals

0.1

Increase in capital resources requirement

(0.2)

Other regulatory adjustments

(0.1)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2014

3.3

 

 

Page 87

 

 

C2 - Regulatory capital continued

(b) Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds

The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the three main UK with-profit funds: New With-Profit Sub Fund (NWPSF), Old With-Profit Sub Fund (OWPSF) and With-Profit Sub-Fund (WPSF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the Group's IFRS statement of financial position at 30 June 2014 and 31 December 2013.

 







30 June 2014

31 December 2013


Estimated realistic assets

£bn

Estimated realistic

liabilities1

 £bn

Estimated realistic inherited

estate2  

£bn

Capital support

arrangement3

  £bn

Estimated risk capital margin

£bn

Estimated excess available capital

£bn

Estimated excess available capital

£bn

NWPSF

14.8

(14.8)

-

2.2

(0.2)

2.0

0.9

OWPSF

2.8

(2.5)

0.3

-

-

0.3

0.3

WPSF4

16.6

(15.0)

1.6

-

(0.3)

1.3

1.2

Aggregate

34.2

(32.3)

1.9

2.2

(0.5)

3.6

2.4

1    These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses of £(0.1) billion (FY13: £0.1 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses are £32.4 billion (FY13: £33.4 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.3 billion, £0.2 billion and £2.6 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively (FY13: £1.4 billion, £0.2 billion and £2.5 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively).

2    Estimated realistic inherited estate at FY13 was £nil, £0.4 billion and £1.5billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.

3    The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate (RIEESA) of £2.2 billion at 30 June 2014 (FY13: £1.1 billion). The increase arises mainly from the transfer of non-profit business from RIEESA to NWPSF which enabled the economic value of this business to be recognised in the RIEESA.

4    The WPSF fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and realistic liabilities of £1.5 billion and therefore does not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.

(c) Investment mix

The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the three main with-profit funds was:

 


30 June 2014

%

31 December 2013

%

Equity

28%

29%

Property

12%

12%

Fixed interest

54%

49%

Other

6%

10%

 

The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 71% in NWPSF and OWPSF, and 74% in WPSF.

 

 

Page 88

 

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis

The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.

      For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators to changes in both economic and non-economic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in section F of this report.

(a) Life insurance and investment contracts

The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under the MCEV methodology.

(b) General insurance and health business

General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.

      These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years.

In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.

(c) Sensitivity test results

Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health and fund management business and other operations are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.

 

Sensitivity factor

Description of sensitivity factor applied

Interest rate and investment return

The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities.

Credit Spreads

The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations.

Equity/property market values

The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%.

Expenses

The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%.

Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%.

Annuitant mortality (life insurance only)

The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%.

Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%.

(d) Long-term businesses

 

30 June 2014

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Assurance mortality

+5%

Annuitant mortality

-5%

Insurance participating

(50)

20

(35)

(135)

100

(25)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(65)

20

(325)

20

(20)

(80)

(60)

(435)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

10

(10)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(35)

50

(25)

15

(15)

-

-

-

Total

(180)

115

(395)

(90)

55

(125)

(65)

(475)

 

30 June 2014

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Assurance mortality

+5%

Annuitant mortality

-5%

Insurance participating

(50)

20

(35)

(135)

100

(25)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(65)

20

(330)

20

(20)

(80)

(60)

(435)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

10

(10)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(75)

95

(35)

25

(25)

-

-

-

Total

(220)

160

(410)

(80)

45

(125)

(65)

(475)

 

 

Page 89

 

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(e) Long-term businesses continued

 

31 December 2013

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Assurance mortality

+5%

Annuitant mortality

-5%

Insurance participating

(45)

-

(60)

(10)

(20)

(30)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(145)

140

(415)

(5)

10

(80)

(60)

(450)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

5

(5)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

5

(5)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(35)

55

(25)

40

(45)

-

-

-

Total

(255)

220

(510)

35

(65)

(135)

(65)

(490)

 

31 December 2013

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Assurance mortality

+5%

Annuitant mortality

-5%

Insurance participating

(45)

-

(60)

(10)

(20)

(30)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(145)

140

(415)

(5)

10

(80)

(60)

(450)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

5

(5)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

5

(5)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(75)

100

(35)

45

(45)

-

-

-

Total

(295)

265

(520)

40

(65)

(135)

(65)

(490)

 

Changes in sensitivities between HY14 and FY13 reflect movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and the relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic movements relate mainly to business in the UK. In general, a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business, due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities and the relative durations of assets and liabilities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. Mortality and expense sensitivities also relate primarily to the UK.

(f) General insurance and health businesses

 

30 June 2014

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(275)

265

(135)

45

(45)

(65)

(145)









Net of reinsurance

(325)

325

(135)

45

(45)

(65)

(135)

 

30 June 2014

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(275)

265

(135)

45

(45)

(20)

(145)









Net of reinsurance

(325)

325

(135)

45

(45)

(20)

(135)

 

31 December 2013

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest
 rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(245)

235

(125)

50

(50)

(110)

(300)









Net of reinsurance

(295)

295

(125)

50

(50)

(110)

(285)

 

31 December 2013

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest
 rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(245)

235

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(300)









Net of reinsurance

(295)

295

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(285)

 

For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses,

in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.

 

 

Page 90

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(g) Fund management and other operations businesses

 

30 June 2014

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Total

-

-

-

5

5

 

30 June 2014

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Total

-

-

-

5

5

 

31 December 2013

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest
 rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Total

-

-

20

(5)

15

 

31 December 2013

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest rates

+1%

Interest
 rates

-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%

Equity/ property

+10%

Equity/ property

-10%

Total

-

-

20

(5)

15

(h) Limitations of sensitivity analysis

The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

      The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally,

the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.

      As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.

      A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change

in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholders' equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.

      Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.

 

 

 

 

Page 91

 

 

Analysis of assets

 

 

D1 - Total assets

As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which Aviva manages its investments. In addition, to support this, Aviva also uses a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away any residual mis-match risk that is outside of Group's risk appetite.

 

30 June 2014

Policyholder assets

£m

Participating fund assets

£m

Shareholder assets

 £m

Total assets analysed

£m

Less

assets of operations classified as held for sale

£m

Balance sheet total

 £m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

2,329

2,329

-

2,329

Interests in joint ventures and associates

142

1,033

413

1,588

-

1,588

Property and equipment

-

129

158

287

(1)

286

Investment property

3,755

4,685

207

8,647

-

8,647

Loans

465

4,381

18,121

22,967

-

22,967

Financial investments







Debt securities

12,861

81,609

34,018

128,488

-

128,488

Equity securities

25,992

9,522

964

36,478

-

36,478

Other investments

26,957

4,359

1,348

32,664

(23)

32,641

Reinsurance assets

2,273

1,359

3,945

7,577

(26)

7,551

Deferred tax assets

-

-

119

119

(7)

112

Current tax assets

-

-

117

117

-

117

Receivables and other financial assets

784

2,320

4,442

7,546

(20)

7,526

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

21

391

3,271

3,683

(6)

3,677

Prepayments and accrued income

143

1,222

1,358

2,723

(2)

2,721

Cash and cash equivalents

3,823

12,178

7,647

23,648

(64)

23,584

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

149

149

Total

77,216

123,188

78,457

278,861

-

278,861

Total %

27.7%

44.2%

28.1%

100.0%

-

100.0%

FY13 Restated

76,639

125,990

78,998

281,627

-

281,627

FY13 Total % Restated

27.2%

44.7%

28.1%

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

As at 30 June 2014, 28.1% of Aviva's total asset base was shareholder assets, 44.2% participating assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 27.7% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets (excluding assets held for sale), investment property, loans and financial investments comprise £229.2 billion (FY13: £227.4 billion restated).

 

 

Page 92

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy

 

Total assets - 30 June 2014

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

2,329

-

2,329

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

1,588

1,588

Property and equipment

246

41

-

287

Investment property

8,647

-

-

8,647

Loans

18,598

4,369

-

22,967

Financial investments





Debt securities

128,488

-

-

128,488

Equity securities

36,478

-

-

36,478

Other investments

32,664

-

-

32,664

Reinsurance assets

2,279

5,298

-

7,577

Deferred tax assets

-

-

119

119

Current tax assets

-

-

117

117

Receivables and other financial assets

-

7,546

-

7,546

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

3,683

-

3,683

Prepayments and accrued income

-

2,723

-

2,723

Cash and cash equivalents

23,648

-

-

23,648

Total

251,048

25,989

1,824

278,861

Total %

90.0%

9.3%

0.7%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

87

55

7

149

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

250,961

25,934

1,817

278,712

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

90.0%

9.3%

0.7%

100.0%

FY13 Total Restated

253,970

25,823

1,834

281,627

FY13 Total % Restated

90.2%

9.2%

0.6%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

Total assets - Policyholder assets 30 June 2014

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

142

142

Property and equipment

-

-

-

-

Investment property

3,755

-

-

3,755

Loans

-

465

-

465

Financial investments





Debt securities

12,861

-

-

12,861

Equity securities

25,992

-

-

25,992

Other investments

26,957

-

-

26,957

Reinsurance assets

2,267

6

-

2,273

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

784

-

784

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

21

-

21

Prepayments and accrued income

-

143

-

143

Cash and cash equivalents

3,823

-

-

3,823

Total

75,655

1,419

142

77,216

Total %

98.0%

1.8%

0.2%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

75,655

1,419

142

77,216

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

98.0%

1.8%

0.2%

100.0%

FY13 Total Restated

75,588

832

219

76,639

FY13 Total % Restated

98.6%

1.1%

0.3%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

 

Page 93

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

 

Total assets - Participating fund assets 30 June 2014

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

1,033

1,033

Property and equipment

127

2

-

129

Investment property

4,685

-

-

4,685

Loans

723

3,658

-

4,381

Financial investments





Debt securities

81,609

-

-

81,609

Equity securities

9,522

-

-

9,522

Other investments

4,359

-

-

4,359

Reinsurance assets

3

1,356

-

1,359

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

2,320

-

2,320

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

391

-

391

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,222

-

1,222

12,178

-

-

12,178

Total

113,206

8,949

1,033

123,188

Total %

91.9%

7.3%

0.8%

100.0%

-

-

-

-

113,206

8,949

1,033

123,188

91.9%

7.3%

0.8%

100.0%

116,176

8,914

900

125,990

92.2%

7.1%

0.7%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

Total assets - Shareholders assets 30 June 2014

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

2,329

-

2,329

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

413

413

Property and equipment

119

39

-

158

Investment property

207

-

-

207

Loans

17,875

246

-

18,121

Financial investments





Debt securities

34,018

-

-

34,018

Equity securities

964

-

-

964

Other investments

1,348

-

-

1,348

Reinsurance assets

9

3,936

-

3,945

Deferred tax assets

-

-

119

119

Current tax assets

-

-

117

117

Receivables and other financial assets

-

4,442

-

4,442

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

3,271

-

3,271

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,358

-

1,358

Cash and cash equivalents

7,647

-

-

7,647

Total

62,187

15,621

649

78,457

Total %

79.3%

19.9%

0.8%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

87

55

7

149

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

62,100

15,566

642

78,308

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

79.3%

19.9%

0.8%

100.0%

FY13 Total Restated

62,206

16,077

715

78,998

FY13 Total % Restated

78.7%

20.4%

0.9%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

Page 94

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Financial instruments (including derivatives and loans) - fair value hierarchy

The table below categorises the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' in accordance with fair value methodology disclosed in Note B17 in the condensed consolidated financial statements (IFRS section).

      The amounts in individual line items may differ from those in the IFRS section as financial assets of operations classified as held for sale have been analysed by underlying assets in the following table.

 

Investment property and financial assets - Total 30 June 2014

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Sub-total

fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Less:

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

£m

Balance sheet

total

£m

Investment property

-

-

8,647

8,647

-

-

8,647

Loans

-

3,258

15,340

18,598

4,369

-

22,967

Debt securities

75,121

45,078

8,289

128,488

-

-

128,488

Equity securities

35,919

110

449

36,478

-

-

36,478

Other investments (including derivatives)

24,390

5,243

3,031

32,664

-

(23)

32,641

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

23

23

Total

135,430

53,689

35,756

224,875

4,369

-

229,244

Total %

59.1%

23.4%

15.6%

98.1%

1.9%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

23

-

-

23

-

-

23

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

135,407

53,689

35,756

224,852

4,369

-

229,221

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

59.1%

23.4%

15.6%

98.1%

1.9%

-

100.0%

FY13 Total Restated

138,061

49,271

37,298

224,630

5,402

-

230,032

FY13 Total % Restated

60.1%

21.4%

16.2%

97.7%

2.3%

-

100.0%

 

At 30 June 2014, the proportion of total financial investments and loans classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy was 59.1% (FY13: 60.1%). The proportion of Level 2 financial investments has increased to 23.4% (FY13: 21.4%), while those classified as Level 3 were 15.6% (FY13: 16.2%). These movements reflect an increase in debt securities held within Level 2, including the reclassification of certain debt securities from Level 1 to Level 2.

 

 

Page 95

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality

The analysis of assets that follows provides information about the assets held by the Group. The amounts in individual line items below may differ from those presented in the IFRS section of this document, as they include assets which are held for sale.

D3.1 - Investment property

 


30 June 2014

31 December 2013


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

207

207

-

-

239

239

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

-

-

207

207

-

-

239

239

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

207

207

-

-

239

239

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

 

97.6% (FY13: 97.5%) of total investment properties by value are held in unit-linked or participating funds. Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in French commercial property.

      Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external independent valuers or by local qualified staff of the Group, all with recent relevant experience. Values are calculated using a discounted cash flow approach and are based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, lease expiry or break option taking into consideration lease incentives, assuming no further growth in the estimated rental value of the property. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar properties where available.

      100% (FY13: 100%) of shareholder exposure to investment properties are leased to third parties under operating leases.

 

 

 

Page 96

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans

The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:

n Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;

n Loans and advances to banks, which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;

n Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets; and

n Other loans, which include loans to brokers and intermediaries.

 

Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.

      For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. The mortgage loans are not traded in active markets. These investments are classified as level 3 as the assumptions used to derive the credit risk, liquidity premium and property risk are not deemed to be market observable.

 

Loans - Total

30 June 2014

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

21

791

-

28

840

Loans and advances to banks

3,793

-

-

-

3,793

Mortgage loans

18,127

1

-

-

18,128

Other loans

62

10

134

-

206

Total

22,003

802

134

28

22,967

Total %

95.8%

3.5%

0.6%

0.1%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

22,003

802

134

28

22,967

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

95.8%

3.5%

0.6%

0.1%

100.0%

FY13 Total

22,899

875

76

29

23,879

FY13 Total %

95.9%

3.7%

0.3%

0.1%

100.0%

 

Loans - Shareholder assets

30 June 2014

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

5

9

-

2

16

Loans and advances to banks

549

-

-

-

549

Mortgage loans

17,405

-

-

-

17,405

Other loans

8

9

134

-

151

Total

17,967

18

134

2

18,121

Total %

99.2%

0.1%

0.7%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

17,967

18

134

2

18,121

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

99.2%

0.1%

0.7%

-

100.0%

FY13 Total

17,763

31

76

3

17,873

FY13 Total %

99.4%

0.2%

0.4%

-

100.0%

 

The value of the Group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 30 June 2014 stood at £23.0 billion (FY13: £23.9 billion), a decrease of £0.9 billion.

      The total shareholder exposure to loans increased to £18.1 billion (FY13: £17.9 billion), and represented 79% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 21% split between participating funds £4.4 billion (FY13: £5.5 billion) and policyholder assets £0.5 billion (FY13: £0.5 billion).

      Of the Group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 79% (FY13: 75%) is invested in mortgage loans.

 

Page 97

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets

 

30 June 2014

Total

£m

Non-securitised mortgage loans


- Residential (Equity release)

3,423

- Commercial

7,594

- Healthcare

4,185


15,202

Securitised mortgage loans

2,203

Total

17,405

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

17,405

FY13 Total

17,125

 

The Group's mortgage loan portfolio is mainly focused in the UK, across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva's shareholder exposure to mortgage loans accounts for 96% of total shareholder asset loans. This section focuses on explaining the shareholder risk within these exposures.

United Kingdom & Ireland

(Non-securitised mortgage loans)

Residential

The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £3.4 billion (FY13: £3.1 billion). The movement from the prior year is due to £0.2 billion of new loans and accrued interest, £0.2 billion of fair value gains and £0.1 billion of redemptions. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners mortgage their property to release cash equity. Due to the structure of equity release mortgages, whereby interest amounts due are not paid in cash but instead rolled into the amount outstanding, they predominantly have a current Loan to Value ("LTV") of below 70%. The average LTV across the portfolio is 28.9% (FY13: 29.3%).

Healthcare

Primary Healthcare & PFI businesses loans included within shareholder assets are £4.2 billion (FY13: £4.1 billion) and are secured against primary health care (including General Practitioner surgeries), education and emergency services related premises. For all such loans, government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.

      On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 88% (FY13: 89%), although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk indicator. Income support from the Government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be lower risk.

Commercial

Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.

 

Shareholder assets

 

30 June 2014

>120%

£m

115-120%

£m

110-115%

£m

105-110%

£m

100-105%

£m

95-100%

£m

90-95%

£m

80-90%

£m

70-80%

£m

<70%

£m

Total

£m

Not in arrears

74

9

52

70

455

642

593

844

1,423

1,924

6,086

0 - 3 months

-

-

-

-

49

36

-

-

30

1

116

3 - 6 months

-

-

-

-

-

670

-

-

-

-

670

6 - 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

11

-

-

-

-

11

> 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

711

-

-

-

-

711

Total

74

9

52

70

504

2,070

593

844

1,453

1,925

7,594

 

Of the total £7.6 billion of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loans in the shareholder fund, £7.5 billion are held by our UK Life business, of which £7.1 billion back annuity liabilities, and are stated on a fair value basis. Aviva UK General Insurance hold the remaining £0.1 billion of loans which are stated on an amortised cost basis and are subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ("CRAV") methods.

 

 

 

Page 98

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

For the commercial mortgages held by the UK Life and UK General Insurance businesses, loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, remained at 1.20x (FY13: 1.20x). Loan Interest Cover ("LIC"), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, was broadly flat at 1.39x (FY13: 1.40x). Mortgage LTVs decreased by 2% during the period to 81% (CRAV basis) largely due to property values increasing c0.8% in the period together with new business (£330 million with an average LTV of c58%), being offset by the decrease in swap spot rates (on average 17 bps).

      All loans in arrears have been assessed for impairment. Of the £1,508 million (FY13: £1,583 million) value of loans in arrears included within our shareholder assets, the interest and capital amount in arrears is £78 million.

      While these commercial mortgages are held at fair value on the asset side of the statement of financial position, we also carry an allowance within liabilities against the risk of default on our riskier mortgages of £1.2 billion (FY13: £1.3 billion). Since FY13, £0.2 billion of the allowance within liabilities has been utilised to take action on certain riskier mortgages, offset by a £0.1 billion increase in the cost of replacing lost cash flows on any future defaults, caused by lower interest rates and lower spreads on new commercial mortgages.

      Of the £7.1 billion mortgages backing annuity liabilities, £0.6 billion have been treated as property on a look-though basis in arriving at an appropriate valuation discount rate. For the remaining commercial mortgages, and the £4.2 billion of Healthcare and PFI mortgages, held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited, the valuation allowance (including supplementary allowances) of £1.2 billion equates to 109 bps at 30 June 2014 (FY13: 124 bps). The total valuation allowance held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited in respect of corporate bonds and mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages is £1.9 billion (FY13: £2.0 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and mortgage portfolio. In addition, we hold £70 million (FY13: £148 million) of impairment provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, which is carried at amortised cost.     

      The UK portfolio remains well diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over assets within the borrower companies.

      If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefitting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the high recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) results in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above.

Securitised mortgage loans

Funding for the securitised residential mortgage assets of £2.2 billion (FY13: £2.2 billion) was obtained by issuing loan note securities. Of these loan notes approximately £213 million (FY13: £180 million) are held by group companies. The remainder is held by third parties external to Aviva. As any cash shortfall arising once all mortgages have redeemed is borne by the loan note holders, the majority of the credit risk of these mortgages is borne by third parties. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.

 

 

 

Page 99

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments

 


30 June 2014

Restated1

31 December 2013

Financial Investments - Total

Cost/ amortised

cost

£m

Unrealised

gains

£m

Impairment

and

unrealised

losses

£m

Fair value

£m

Cost/ amortised

cost

£m

Unrealised

gains

£m

Impairment

and

unrealised

losses

£m

Fair value

£m

Debt securities

118,696

10,613

(821)

128,488

120,316

8,164

(1,675)

126,805

Equity securities

30,945

6,864

(1,331)

36,478

31,164

7,775

(1,559)

37,380

Other investments

29,841

3,342

(519)

32,664

29,573

3,653

(709)

32,517

Total

179,482

20,819

(2,671)

197,630

181,053

19,592

(3,943)

196,702

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

23

-

-

23

2,705

92

(122)

2,675

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

179,459

20,819

(2,671)

197,607

178,348

19,500

(3,821)

194,027

1    The statement of financial position has been restated following the adoption of amendments to 'IAS 32: Financial Instruments: Presentation'. Refer to note B2 for further information.

 

Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders.

The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.

      The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds and policyholder funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices.

D3.3.1 - Debt securities

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Shareholder assets

30 June 2014

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

UK Government

4,469

626

44

5,139

Non-UK Government

3,324

6,657

200

10,181

Europe

3,294

3,794

200

7,288

North America

24

2,519

-

2,543

Asia Pacific & Other

6

344

-

350

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

201

3,459

54

3,714

Corporate convertible bonds

-

-

53

53

Other corporate bonds

1,432

11,286

258

12,976

Other

585

1,231

139

1,955

Total

10,011

23,259

748

34,018

Total %

29.4%

68.4%

2.2%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

10,011

23,259

748

34,018

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

29.4%

68.4%

2.2%

100.0%

FY13

12,753

19,996

611

33,360

FY13 %

38.2%

59.9%

1.9%

100.0%

 

2.2% (FY13: 1.9%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as Fair Value Level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.

      29.4% (FY13: 38.2%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as Fair Value Level 1. This has decreased due to the reclassification of certain debt securities to Level 2 as a result of the enhanced understanding of pricing vendor methodologies for the fair value classification.

 

 

 

 

Page 100

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued

 


External ratings



Debt securities - Shareholder assets

30 June 2014

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Government








UK Government

-

5,006

47

-

-

69

5,122

UK local authorities

-

-

-

-

-

17

17

Non-UK Government

4,377

3,488

684

1,627

3

2

10,181


4,377

8,494

731

1,627

3

88

15,320

Corporate








Public utilities

2

33

2,360

1,063

-

256

3,714

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

-

-

53

53

Other corporate bonds

1,056

1,417

5,047

3,156

74

2,226

12,976


1,058

1,450

7,407

4,219

74

2,535

16,743

Certificates of deposits

-

15

3

6

215

-

239

Structured








RMBS1  non-agency ALT A

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS1  non-agency prime

67

23

5

-

-

-

95

RMBS1  agency

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


67

23

5

-

-

-

95

CMBS2

110

53

21

-

-

1

185

ABS3

21

300

107

8

68

10

514

CDO (including CLO)4

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

ABCP5

10

-

-

-

-

4

14


141

353

128

8

68

15

713

Wrapped credit

-

5

253

63

36

46

403

Other

30

21

140

217

62

35

505

Total

5,673

10,361

8,667

6,140

458

2,719

34,018

Total %

16.7%

30.5%

25.5%

18.0%

1.3%

8.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

5,673

10,361

8,667

6,140

458

2,719

34,018

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

16.7%

30.5%

25.5%

18.0%

1.3%

8.0%

100.0%

FY13

5,551

9,633

8,842

6,074

472

2,788

33,360

FY13 %

16.6%

28.9%

26.5%

18.2%

1.4%

8.4%

100.0%

1    RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security.

2    CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security.

3    ABS - Asset Backed Security.

4    CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation.

5    ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper.

 

The overall quality of the book remains strong. 45% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (FY13: 44%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 49% (FY13: 51%) of total shareholder debt securities.

      The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the UK.

      At 30 June 2014, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade remained stable at 90.7%

(FY13: 90.2%). The remaining 9.3% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:

n 1.3% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade;

n 8.0% are not rated by the major rating agencies.

 

Of the securities not rated by an external agency most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.5 billion of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.

      The Group has extremely limited exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.

      Asset backed securities (ABS) are held primarily by our UK Life business (£501 million). 84.8% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade. ABS that either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represent approximately 0.2% of shareholder exposure to debt securities.

 

 

 

 

Page 101

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3.2 - Equity securities

 


30 June 2014

31 December 2013


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Public utilities

4

-

-

4

4

-

-

4

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

183

1

299

483

162

1

294

457

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

235

-

10

245

242

-

14

256

Non-redeemable preferred shares

232

-

-

232

283

-

-

283

Total

654

1

309

964

691

1

308

1,000

Total %

67.8%

0.1%

32.1%

100.0%

69.1%

0.1%

30.8%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

1

-

2

3

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

654

1

309

964

690

1

306

997

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

67.8%

0.1%

32.1%

100.0%

69.2%

0.1%

30.7%

100.0%

 

67.8% of our shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as Level 1 (FY13: 69.1%).

      Shareholder investments include a strategic holding in Italian banks of £262 million (£134 million, net of non-controlling interest share in the Group companies that own the investments).

D3.3.3 - Other investments

 


30 June 2014

 Restated 31 December 2013


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Shareholders assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

234

23

128

385

225

13

133

371

Derivative financial instruments

5

618

51

674

22

762

23

807

Deposits with credit institutions

128

11

-

139

149

11

-

160

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

1

29

112

142

-

14

103

117

Other

6

-

2

8

10

-

3

13

Total

374

681

293

1,348

406

800

262

1,468

Total %

27.8%

50.5%

21.7%

100.0%

27.7%

54.5%

17.8%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

23

-

-

23

37

-

22

59

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

351

681

293

1,325

369

800

240

1,409

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

26.5%

51.4%

22.1%

100.0%

26.2%

56.8%

17.0%

100.0%

 

In total 78.3% (FY13: 82.2%) of shareholder other investments, are classified as Level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy.

The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets, which can include cash equivalents, debt, equity

and property securities.

D3.3.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses

There was no impairment expense for the six months to 30 June 2014 for AFS debt securities (HY13: £7 million).

      Total unrealised losses on AFS debt securities, equity securities and other investments at 30 June 2014 were £2 million (HY13: £1,175 million), £nil (HY13: £3 million) and £nil (HY13: £12 million) respectively. The decrease in unrealised losses on debt securities follows the disposal of the Group's US operations which included an unrealised loss on debt securities of £1,169 million at 30 June 2013.

 

 

 

 

Page 102

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries

Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are valued on a mark to market basis under IAS 39, and therefore our statement of financial position and income statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

      Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder and participating fund asset exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £4.1 billion (FY13: £4.9 billion). Gross of non-controlling interests, 95% of our shareholder asset exposure to Italy arises from the investment exposure of our Italian business.

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Participating

Shareholder

Total


30 June 2014

£bn

31 December 2013

£bn

30 June 2014

£bn

31 December 2013

£bn

30 June 2014

£bn

31 December 2013

£bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.6

0.4

0.1

-

0.7

0.4

Portugal

0.2

0.2

-

-

0.2

0.2

Italy

3.8

4.5

0.3

0.4

4.1

4.9

Spain

0.9

0.9

0.6

0.5

1.5

1.4

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

5.5

6.0

1.0

0.9

6.5

6.9

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Participating

Shareholder

Total


30 June 2014

£bn

31 December 2013

£bn

30 June 2014

£bn

31 December 2013

£bn

30 June 2014

£bn

31 December 2013

£bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.6

0.4

0.1

-

0.7

0.4

Portugal

0.2

0.2

-

-

0.2

0.2

Italy

6.9

8.5

0.4

0.6

7.3

9.1

Spain

1.3

1.4

1.0

0.9

2.3

2.3

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

9.0

10.5

1.5

1.5

10.5

12.0

 

 

 

Page 103

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.6 - Non UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests)

 


Policyholder

Participating

Shareholder

Total

Non UK Government Debt Securities

30 June 2014

£m

31 December 2013

£m

30 June 2014

£m

31 December 2013

£m

30 June 2014

£m

31 December 2013

£m

30 June 2014

£m

31 December 2013

£m

Austria

19

9

665

636

132

133

816

778

Belgium

24

29

1,407

1,475

156

154

1,587

1,658

France

106

108

11,094

9,714

1,969

1,909

13,169

11,731

Germany

145

146

1,827

1,922

685

763

2,657

2,831

Greece

-

-

14

1

-

-

14

1

Ireland

20

21

588

364

138

28

746

413

Italy

250

255

6,884

8,458

425

628

7,559

9,341

Netherlands

44

43

1,255

1,222

388

399

1,687

1,664

Poland

615

649

799

885

398

490

1,812

2,024

Portugal

-

-

194

187

-

-

194

187

Spain

110

101

1,304

1,355

978

930

2,392

2,386

European Supranational debt

73

89

2,673

2,612

1,615

1,583

4,361

4,284

Other European countries

104

91

708

587

404

359

1,216

1,037

Europe

1,510

1,541

29,412

29,418

7,288

7,376

38,210

38,335

Canada

17

7

168

171

2,232

2,198

2,417

2,376

United States

96

112

128

32

311

280

535

424

North America

113

119

296

203

2,543

2,478

2,952

2,800

Singapore

9

8

527

450

298

288

834

746

Sri Lanka

2

1

19

7

-

-

21

8

Other

417

329

1,626

1,616

52

60

2,095

2,005

Asia Pacific and other

428

338

2,172

2,073

350

348

2,950

2,759

Total

2,051

1,998

31,880

31,694

10,181

10,202

44,112

43,894

Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

13

-

1,649

-

201

-

1,863

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

2,051

1,985

31,880

30,045

10,181

10,001

44,112

42,031

 

At 30 June 2014, the Group's total non-UK government debt securities stood at £44.1 billion (FY13: £43.9 billion). The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

      Our direct shareholder asset exposure to non-UK government debt securities amounts to £10.2 billion (FY13: £10.2 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total shareholder non-UK government debt exposure, are to Canadian (22%), French (19%), Spanish (10%), German (7%), and Italian (4%) government debt securities.

      The participating funds exposure to non-UK government debt amounts to £31.9 billion (FY13: £31.7 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total non-UK government debt exposures included within our participating funds, are to the government debt securities of France (35%), Italy (22%), Germany (6%), Belgium (4%), Spain (4%) and Netherlands (4%).

 

 

 

 

Page 104

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.7 - Exposure to worldwide bank debt securities

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

30 June 2014

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Austria

-

-

-

0.1

-

0.1

France

0.2

-

0.2

3.2

0.8

4.0

Germany

-

-

-

0.6

0.4

1.0

Ireland

-

-

-

-

-

-

Italy

-

0.1

0.1

0.3

-

0.3

Netherlands

0.2

0.2

0.4

1.5

0.2

1.7

Spain

0.5

-

0.5

0.8

0.1

0.9

United Kingdom

0.8

0.3

1.1

0.8

0.8

1.6

United States

0.5

0.1

0.6

0.9

0.1

1.0

Other

0.4

0.2

0.6

1.8

0.5

2.3

Total

2.6

0.9

3.5

10.0

2.9

12.9

Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

2.6

0.9

3.5

10.0

2.9

12.9

FY13 Total

2.8

1.1

3.9

10.5

3.2

13.7

 

Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £3.5 billion. The majority of our holding (74%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (31%), US (17%) and Spanish (14%) banks.

      Net of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £12.9 billion. The majority of the exposure (78%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (31%), Dutch (13%) and UK (12%) banks.

 

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

30 June 2014

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Austria

-

-

-

0.1

-

0.1

France

0.2

-

0.2

3.5

0.9

4.4

Germany

-

-

-

0.6

0.4

1.0

Ireland

-

-

-

-

-

-

Italy

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.5

-

0.5

Netherlands

0.2

0.2

0.4

1.6

0.2

1.8

Spain

0.8

-

0.8

1.0

0.1

1.1

United Kingdom

0.8

0.3

1.1

0.9

0.8

1.7

United States

0.5

0.2

0.7

0.9

0.1

1.0

Other

0.4

0.2

0.6

2.0

0.6

2.6

Total

3.0

1.0

4.0

11.1

3.1

14.2

Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

3.0

1.0

4.0

11.1

3.1

14.2

FY13 Total

3.3

1.2

4.5

12.1

3.5

15.6

 

Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £4.0 billion. The majority of our holding (75%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (28%), Spanish (20%) and US (18%) banks.

      Gross of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £14.2 billion. The majority of the exposure (78%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (31%), Dutch (13%) and UK (12%) banks.

 

 

 

 

Page 105

 

 

D4 - Pension fund assets

In addition to the assets recognised directly on the Group's statement of financial position outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the ''Scheme assets'' that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension surplus. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the Group's consolidated statement of financial position. Refer to Note B15 for details on the schemes' surpluses and deficits.

      Scheme assets are stated at their fair values. Total scheme assets are comprised in the UK, Ireland and Canada as follows:

 


30 June 2014

31 December 2013


UK
£m

Ireland
£m

Canada
£m

Total
£m

UK
£m

Ireland
£m

Canada
£m

Total
£m

Bonds









   Fixed interest1

5,066

158

116

5,340

4,022

149

106

4,277

   Index-linked

4,103

115

-

4,218

4,502

112

-

4,614

Equities1

282

95

-

377

291

63

81

435

Property1

312

7

-

319

305

7

-

312

Pooled investment vehicles1

1,567

17

105

1,689

1,632

42

23

1,697

Derivatives

529

59

-

588

225

55

-

280

Cash and other2

624

(1)

22

645

757

3

23

783

Total fair value of assets

12,483

450

243

13,176

11,734

431

233

12,398

 

Total scheme assets are analysed by those that have a quoted market price in an active market and those that do not as follows:

 


30 June 2014

31 December 2013


Total
Quoted
£m

Total
Unquoted
£m

Total
£m

Total
Quoted
£m

Total
Unquoted
£m

Total
£m

Bonds







   Fixed interest1

2,499

2,841

5,340

818

3,459

4,277

   Index-linked

3,799

419

4,218

3,864

750

4,614

Equities1

344

33

377

378

57

435

Property1

-

319

319

-

312

312

Pooled investment vehicles1

3

1,686

1,689

31

1,666

1,697

Derivatives

57

531

588

88

192

280

Cash and other2

406

239

645

540

243

783

Total fair value of assets

7,108

6,068

13,176

5,719

6,679

12,398

1    For 2013, a total of £1,697 million, which was previously disclosed as £277 million of fixed interest bonds, £645 million of equities, and £775 million of property has been reclassified to pooled investment vehicles.

2    Cash and other assets comprise cash at bank, insurance policies, receivables and payables.

Risk management and asset allocation strategy

The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a portfolio, consisting in the UK primarily (approximately 73%) of debt securities. The investment strategy will continue to evolve over time and is expected to match to the liability profile increasingly closely.

Main UK Scheme

The Company works closely with the trustee, who is required to consult it on the investment strategy.

      Interest rate and inflation risks are managed using a combination of liability-matching assets and swaps. Exposure to equity risk has been reducing over time and credit risk is managed within risk appetite. Currency risk is relatively small and is largely hedged. The other principal risk is longevity risk. On 5 March 2014, the Aviva Staff Pension Scheme entered into a longevity swap covering approximately £5 billion of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities transferring longevity risk to three external reinsurers. 

Other schemes

The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.

 

 

 

 

Page 106

 

 

D5 - Available funds

To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks, £0.75 billion of which is allocated to support the credit ratings of Aviva plc's commercial paper programmes. As at 30 June 2014 £1.4 billion of committed facilities were in place with an additional £100 million signed on 16 July 2014. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:

 

30 June 2014


£m

Expiring within one year


275

Expiring beyond one year


1,125

Total


1,400

D6 - Guarantees

As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.

      For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.

      In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).

 

 

 

 

Page 107

 

 

VNB & sales analysis

 

 

In this section

Page

E1   Trend analysis of VNB (continuing
        operations) - cumulative

108

E2   Trend analysis of VNB (continuing
        operations) - discrete

108

E3   Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing
        operations) - cumulative

109

E4   Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing
        operations) - discrete

109

E5   Trend analysis of PVNBP by product
        (continuing operations) - cumulative

110

E6   Trend analysis of PVNBP by product
        (continuing operations) - discrete

E7   Geographical analysis of regular and single
        premiums (continuing operations)

110

111

E8   Trend analysis of investment sales
        (continuing operations) - cumulative

111

E9   Trend analysis of investment sales
        (continuing operations) - discrete

E10 Geographical analysis of regular and single
         premiums - investment sales

111

 

111

E11 Trend analysis of general insurance & health
        net written premiums - cumulative

112

E12 Trend analysis of general insurance & health
        net written premiums - discrete

112

 

 

 

 

Page 108

 

 

E1 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 









Growth3  on 2Q13

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated2  

1Q13

YTD

£m

Restated2

 2Q13

YTD

£m

Restated2

 3Q13

YTD

£m

Restated2

 4Q13

YTD

£m

1Q14

YTD

£m

2Q14

YTD

 £m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

United Kingdom

114

224

326

469

89

177

(21)%

(21)%

Ireland

-

2

4

8

3

6

211%

222%

United Kingdom & Ireland

114

226

330

477

92

183

(19)%

(19)%

France

41

90

118

172

54

110

23%

27%

Poland4

10

21

34

51

21

34

58%

64%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

10

18

25

43

15

26

44%

49%

Spain - excluding Aseval

3

11

17

31

8

18

61%

67%

Turkey

10

20

28

37

6

14

(30)%

(10)%

Other Europe

1

1

1

1

-

-

(100)%

(100)%

Europe

75

161

223

335

104

202

25%

33%

Asia - excluding Malaysia

19

41

71

103

32

66

62%

76%

Aviva Investors5

-

-

-

-

-

2

-

-

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita,
Aseval & Malaysia

208

428

624

915

228

453

6%

9%

Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

1

(2)

(5)

(11)

(4)

(9)

-

-

Total value of new business

209

426

619

904

224

444

4%

7%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

3    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

4    Poland includes Lithuania.

5    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

E2 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - discrete

 









Growth3  on 2Q13

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated2

 1Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated2

 2Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated2

  3Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated2

 4Q13 Discrete

£m

1Q14 Discrete

£m

2Q14 Discrete

£m

Sterling

%

Constant
currency

%

United Kingdom

114

110

102

143

89

88

(20)%

(20)%

Ireland

-

2

2

4

3

3

95%

102%

United Kingdom & Ireland

114

112

104

147

92

91

(18)%

(18)%

France

41

49

28

54

54

56

16%

20%

Poland4

10

11

13

17

21

13

17%

21%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

10

8

7

18

15

11

33%

37%

Spain - excluding Aseval

3

8

6

14

8

10

33%

38%

Turkey

10

10

8

9

6

8

(21)%

1%

Other Europe

1

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Europe

75

86

62

112

104

98

15%

21%

Asia - excluding Malaysia

19

22

30

32

32

34

48%

60%

Aviva Investors5

-

-

-

-

-

2

-

-

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita,
Aseval & Malaysia

208

220

196

291

228

225

2%

5%

Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

1

(3)

(3)

(6)

(4)

(5)

-

-

Total value of new business

209

217

193

285

224

220

1%

4%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

3    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

4    Poland includes Lithuania.

5    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

 

 

 

Page 109

 

 

E3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 









Growth4  on 2Q13

Present value of new business premiums2

Restated3

 1Q13

YTD

£m

Restated3

 2Q13

YTD

£m

Restated3

 3Q13

YTD

 £m

Restated3

 4Q13

YTD

£m

1Q14

YTD

£m

2Q14

YTD

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

United Kingdom

2,779

5,560

8,556

11,924

2,931

6,052

9%

9%

Ireland

117

225

338

469

105

196

(13)%

(10)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,896

5,785

8,894

12,393

3,036

6,248

8%

8%

France

1,243

2,363

3,367

4,498

1,310

2,427

3%

6%

Poland5

123

227

358

486

234

332

46%

51%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

563

1,198

1,591

1,975

698

1,440

20%

24%

Spain - excluding Aseval

301

547

719

1,130

283

562

3%

6%

Turkey

135

253

341

524

110

231

(9)%

17%

Other Europe

20

20

20

20

-

-

(100)%

(100)%

Europe

2,385

4,608

6,396

8,633

2,635

4,992

8%

13%

Asia - excluding Malaysia

472

845

1,290

1,724

471

964

14%

23%

Aviva Investors6

4

7

28

58

5

257

-

-

Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

5,757

11,245

16,608

22,808

6,147

12,461

11%

14%

Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

141

217

269

369

73

169

(22)%

(19)%

Total

5,898

11,462

16,877

23,177

6,220

12,630

10%

13%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

4    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

5    Poland includes Lithuania.

6    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

E4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - discrete

 









Growth4  on 2Q13

Present value of new business premiums2

Restated3

 1Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated3

 2Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated3

 3Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated3

 4Q13 Discrete

£m

1Q14 Discrete

£m

2Q14 Discrete

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

United Kingdom

2,779

2,781

2,996

3,368

2,931

3,121

12%

12%

Ireland

117

108

113

131

105

91

(17)%

(14)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,896

2,889

3,109

3,499

3,036

3,212

11%

11%

France

1,243

1,120

1,004

1,131

1,310

1,117

-

3%

Poland5

123

104

131

128

234

98

(6)%

(3)%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

563

635

393

384

698

742

17%

21%

Spain - excluding Aseval

301

246

172

411

283

279

13%

17%

Turkey

135

118

88

183

110

121

2%

30%

Other Europe

20

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Europe

2,385

2,223

1,788

2,237

2,635

2,357

6%

11%

Asia - excluding Malaysia

472

373

445

434

471

493

32%

43%

Aviva Investors6

4

3

21

30

5

252

-

-

Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

5,757

5,488

5,363

6,200

6,147

6,314

15%

18%

Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

141

76

52

100

73

96

26%

31%

Total

5,898

5,564

5,415

6,300

6,220

6,410

15%

18%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

4    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

5    Poland includes Lithuania.

6    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

 

 

Page 110

 

E5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - cumulative









Growth4  on 2Q13

Present value of new business premiums2

Restated3

 1Q13

YTD

 £m

Restated3

 2Q13

YTD

£m

Restated3

  3Q13

YTD

£m

Restated3

 4Q13

YTD

£m

1Q14

YTD

£m

2Q14

YTD

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

Pensions

1,322

2,479

3,818

5,476

1,328

2,794

13%

13%

Annuities

630

1,217

1,664

2,327

500

935

(23)%

(23)%

Bonds

33

59

97

183

45

87

47%

47%

Protection

253

504

781

992

297

568

13%

13%

Equity release

98

182

297

401

117

257

41%

41%

Other5

443

1,119

1,899

2,545

644

1,411

26%

26%

United Kingdom

2,779

5,560

8,556

11,924

2,931

6,052

9%

9%

Ireland

117

225

338

469

105

196

(13)%

(10)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,896

5,785

8,894

12,393

3,036

6,248

8%

8%

Savings

1,173

2,229

3,197

4,278

1,232

2,278

2%

6%

Protection

70

134

170

220

78

149

11%

15%

France

1,243

2,363

3,367

4,498

1,310

2,427

3%

6%

Pensions

224

385

549

881

308

476

24%

45%

Savings

769

1,560

2,069

2,702

893

1,826

17%

21%

Annuities

6

11

14

23

2

2

(78)%

(77)%

Protection6

143

289

397

529

122

261

(10)%

(4)%

Poland7 , Italy7 , Spain7  and Other

1,142

2,245

3,029

4,135

1,325

2,565

14%

21%

Europe

2,385

4,608

6,396

8,633

2,635

4,992

8%

13%

Asia - excluding Malaysia

472

845

1,290

1,724

471

964

14%

23%

Aviva Investors8

4

7

28

58

5

257

-

-

Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

5,757

11,245

16,608

22,808

6,147

12,461

11%

14%

Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

141

217

269

369

73

169

(22)%

(19)%

Total

5,898

11,462

16,877

23,177

6,220

12,630

10%

13%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

4    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

5    Other business includes UK Health business and UK Retail Fund Management business.  UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

6    Subsequent to FY13 a whole of life unit-linked protection product in Poland was reclassified from savings to protection business. As a result, protection PVNBP has increased £25 million in 1Q13, £52 million in 2Q13, £77 million in 3Q13 and £114 million in 4Q13. There is no change in total PVNBP.

7    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes Aseval.

8    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

E6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - discrete









Growth4  on 2Q13

Present value of new business premiums2

Restated3

 1Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated3

 2Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated3

 3Q13 Discrete

£m

Restated3

 4Q13 Discrete

£m

1Q14 Discrete

£m

2Q14 Discrete

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

Pensions

1,322

1,157

1,339

1,658

1,328

1,466

27%

27%

Annuities

630

587

447

663

500

435

(26)%

(26)%

Bonds

33

26

38

86

45

42

65%

65%

Protection

253

251

277

211

297

271

8%

8%

Equity release

98

84

115

104

117

140

66%

66%

Other5

443

676

780

646

644

767

13%

13%

United Kingdom

2,779

2,781

2,996

3,368

2,931

3,121

12%

12%

Ireland

117

108

113

131

105

91

(17)%

(14)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,896

2,889

3,109

3,499

3,036

3,212

11%

11%

Savings

1,173

1,056

968

1,081

1,232

1,046

(1)%

2%

Protection

70

64

36

50

78

71

12%

15%

France

1,243

1,120

1,004

1,131

1,310

1,117

-

3%

Pensions

224

161

164

332

308

168

5%

23%

Savings

769

791

509

633

893

933

18%

22%

Annuities

6

5

3

9

2

-

(80)%

(79)%

Protection6

143

146

108

132

122

139

(5)%

-

Poland7 , Italy7 , Spain7  and Other

1,142

1,103

784

1,106

1,325

1,240

13%

19%

Europe

2,385

2,223

1,788

2,237

2,635

2,357

6%

11%

Asia - excluding Malaysia

472

373

445

434

471

493

32%

43%

Aviva Investors8

4

3

21

30

5

252

-

-

Total - excluding Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

5,757

5,488

5,363

6,200

6,147

6,314

15%

18%

Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

141

76

52

100

73

96

26%

31%

Total

5,898

5,564

5,415

6,300

6,220

6,410

15%

18%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

4    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

5    Other business includes UK Health business and UK Retail Fund Management business.  UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

6    Subsequent to FY13 a whole of life unit-linked protection product in Poland was reclassified from savings to protection business. As a result, protection PVNBP has increased £25 million in 1Q13, £27 million in 2Q13, £25 million in 3Q13 and £37 million in 4Q13. There is no change in total PVNBP.

7    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes Aseval.

8    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

 

 

 

Page 111

 

 

E7 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums (continuing operations1)

 








Regular premiums



Single premiums


6 months 2014

£m

Constant currency

growth2

WACF

Present value £m

Restated3  

6 months 2013

£m

WACF

Present value

£m

6 months 2014

£m

Restated3  

6 months 2013

£m

Constant currency

growth2

United Kingdom

499

27%

5.0

2,513

395

5.0

1,969

3,539

3,591

(1)%

Ireland

13

4%

5.2

67

13

4.2

55

129

170

(22)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

512

26%

5.0

2,580

408

5.0

2,024

3,668

3,761

(2)%

France

47

-

8.1

383

49

8.1

397

2,044

1,966

8%

Poland4

29

33%

9.5

275

23

7.5

173

57

54

10%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

27

(10)%

5.3

143

31

5.7

176

1,297

1,022

31%

Spain - excluding Aseval

22

(4)%

5.6

123

24

6.0

144

439

403

13%

Turkey

54

30%

3.7

201

53

4.2

220

30

33

14%

Other Europe

-

(100)%

-

-

5

1.0

5

-

15

(100)%

Europe

179

7%

6.3

1,125

185

6.0

1,115

3,867

3,493

15%

Asia - excluding Malaysia

133

(2)%

6.0

796

147

5.3

778

168

67

175%

Aviva Investors5

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

257

7

-

Total - excluding Eurovita,
Aseval & Malaysia

824

16%

5.5

4,501

740

5.3

3,917

7,960

7,328

11%

Eurovita, Aseval & Malaysia

3

(74)%

5.7

17

11

4.6

51

152

166

(5)%

Total

827

15%

5.5

4,518

751

5.3

3,968

8,112

7,494

10%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Comparatives have been restated to reflect the changes in MCEV methodology. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

4    Poland includes Lithuania.

5    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

E8 - Trend analysis of investment sales - cumulative

 









Growth3  on 2Q13

Investment sales1

1Q13

YTD

£m

2Q13

 YTD

£m

3Q13

YTD

£m

4Q13

YTD

£m

1Q14

YTD

£m

2Q14

YTD

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

United Kingdom & Ireland2

305

841

1,494

2,040

486

1,043

24%

24%

Aviva Investors4

787

1,563

2,100

2,683

730

1,616

3%

8%

Asia

42

94

124

152

36

75

(21)%

(13)%

Total investment sales

1,134

2,498

3,718

4,875

1,252

2,734

9%

13%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2    UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

3    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

4    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. £250 million of Aviva Investors 2Q14 investment sales are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

E9 - Trend analysis of investment sales - discrete

 









Growth3  on 2Q13

Investment sales1

1Q13 Discrete

£m

2Q13 Discrete

 £m

3Q13 Discrete

£m

4Q13 Discrete

£m

1Q14 Discrete

£m

2Q14 Discrete

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

United Kingdom & Ireland2

305

536

653

546

486

557

4%

4%

Aviva Investors4

787

776

537

583

730

886

14%

19%

Asia

42

52

30

28

36

39

(25)%

(18)%

Total investment sales

1,134

1,364

1,220

1,157

1,252

1,482

9%

12%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2.   UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

3    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

4   The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. £250 million of Aviva Investors 2Q14 investment sales are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for futher details.

E10 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 




Regular



Single

PVNBP

Investment sales1

6 months 2014

£m

6 months 2013

£m

Constant

currency

growth3

6 months 2014

£m

6 months 2013

£m

Constant

currency

growth3

Constant

currency

growth3

United Kingdom & Ireland2

12

10

28%

1,031

831

24%

24%

Aviva Investors4

3

2

22%

1,613

1,561

8%

8%

Asia

-

-

-

75

94

(13)%

(13)%

Total investment sales

15

12

27%

2,719

2,486

13%

13%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2    UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

3    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

4   The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. £250 million of Aviva Investors 2Q14 investment sales are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP follwing the extension of MCEV covered business. See note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 112

E11 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

 









Growth3  

on 2Q13


1Q13 

YTD

£m

2Q13

 YTD

 £m

3Q13

YTD

 £m

4Q13

YTD

£m

1Q14

 YTD

 £m

2Q14

 YTD

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

General insurance









United Kingdom

923

1,963

2,904

3,823

845

1,836

(6)%

(6)%

Ireland

71

146

215

278

65

136

(7)%

(4)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

994

2,109

3,119

4,101

910

1,972

(7)%

(6)%

Europe

435

764

1,033

1,360

440

747

(2)%

2%

Canada

470

1,126

1,718

2,250

426

1,026

(9)%

6%

Asia

3

7

11

14

3

7

(9)%

-

Other

20

20

21

33

4

5

(77)%

(77)%


1,922

4,026

5,902

7,758

1,783

3,757

(7)%

(2)%

Health insurance









United Kingdom1

138

289

383

536

144

302

5%

5%

Ireland

36

52

71

99

33

47

(10)%

(7)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

174

341

454

635

177

349

2%

3%

Europe

89

135

179

241

94

138

2%

6%

Asia2

35

47

69

86

29

45

(3)%

11%


298

523

702

962

300

532

2%

4%

Total

2,220

4,549

6,604

8,720

2,083

4,289

(6)%

(1)%

1    These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). 1Q13 NWP of £138 million, 2Q13 YTD NWP of £289 million, 3Q13 YTD NWP of £383 million, 4Q13 YTD NWP of £536 million, 1Q14 NWP of £144 million and 2Q14 YTD NWP of £302 million are respectively equivalent to £138 million, £278 million, £405 million, £505 million, £158 million and £368 million on a PVNBP basis.

2    Singapore long - term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). For Singapore long - term health business, 3Q13 YTD NWP of £5 million, 4Q13 YTD NWP of £11 million, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million and 2Q14 YTD NWP of £9 million are respectively equivalent to £47 million, £97 million, £37 million and £87 million on a PVNBP basis.

3    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

E12 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

 









Growth3  

on 2Q13


1Q13  Discrete

£m

2Q13 Discrete

£m

3Q13 Discrete

£m

4Q13 Discrete

£m

1Q14  Discrete

£m

2Q14 Discrete

£m

Sterling

%

Constant currency

%

General insurance









United Kingdom

923

1,040

941

919

845

991

(5)%

(5)%

Ireland

71

75

69

63

65

71

(5)%

(1)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

994

1,115

1,010

982

910

1,062

(5)%

(5)%

Europe

435

329

269

327

440

307

(7)%

(3)%

Canada

470

656

592

532

426

600

(9)%

7%

Asia

3

4

4

3

3

4

(13)%

(5)%

Other

20

-

1

12

4

1

-

-


1,922

2,104

1,876

1,856

1,783

1,974

(6)%

(1)%

Health insurance









United Kingdom1

138

151

94

153

144

158

5%

5%

Ireland

36

16

19

28

33

14

(19)%

(16)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

174

167

113

181

177

172

3%

3%

Europe

89

46

44

62

94

44

(5)%

(2)%

Asia2

35

12

22

17

29

16

41%

61%


298

225

179

260

300

232

3%

5%

Total

2,220

2,329

2,055

2,116

2,083

2,206

(5)%

-

1    These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). 1Q13 NWP of £138 million, 2Q13 NWP of £151 million, 3Q13 NWP of £94 million, 4Q13 NWP of £153 million, 1Q14 NWP of £144 million and 2Q14 NWP of £158 million are respectively equivalent to £138 million, £140 million, £127 million, £100 million, £158 million and £210 million on a PVNBP basis.

2    Singapore long - term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business (see note F1 - MCEV Basis of preparation for further details). For Singapore long - term health business, 3Q13 NWP of £5 million, 4Q13 NWP of £6 million, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million and 2Q14 NWP of £4 million are respectively equivalent to £47 million, £50 million, £37 million and £50 million on a PVNBP basis.

3    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

 

 

 

 

 

End of part 4 of 5

 


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