HY13 Part 5 of 5

RNS Number : 2199L
Aviva PLC
08 August 2013
 



 

Start of Part 5 of 5

 

 

Page 109

 

 

 

MCEV financial statements

 

 

In this section

Page

Consolidated financial statements


Consolidated income statement - MCEV basis

110

Earnings per share - MCEV basis

111

Consolidated statement of comprehensive income - MCEV basis

111

Consolidated statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis

112

Consolidated statement financial position - MCEV basis

113

Reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases

114

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to MCEV
net worth

115

Group MCEV analysis of earnings

116



Notes to the condensed consolidated financial statements


F1    Basis of preparation

117

F2    Development of MCEV

122

F3    Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings

123

F4    Geographical analysis of fund management operating earnings

126

F5    Other operations

126

F6    Exceptional items and integration and restructuring costs

126

F7    Segmentation of consolidated statement
of financial position

127

F8    Analysis of life and pension earnings

128

F9    Life MCEV operating earnings

130

F10  Present value of life new business premiums

131

F11  Geographical analysis of value of
new business

132

F12  Operating capital generation

133

F13  Maturity profile of business

134

F14  Segmental analysis of life and related business embedded value

135

F15  Risk allowance within present value of in-force (VIF)

136

F16  Implied discount rates (IDR)

137

F17  Summary of non-controlling interest in life and related businesses' MCEV results

137

F18  Principal assumptions

138

F19  Sensitivity analysis

144



Directors' responsibility statement

147

Independent review report to the directors of Aviva plc

148

 

 


 

Page 110

 

MCEV financial statements

 

 

 

 

Consolidated income statement - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2013

 


Reviewed
6 months 2013

£m

Restated1 Reviewed

6 months 2012

£m

Restated1 Audited

Full Year 2012

£m


Continuing Operations

Discontinued

Operations

Total

Continuing Operations

Discontinued

 Operations

Total

Continuing Operations

Discontinued

 Operations

Total

Operating profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits










United Kingdom & Ireland

443

-

443

471

-

471

923

-

923

Europe

689

-

689

613

-

613

1,171

-

1,171

Asia

69

-

69

56

-

56

107

-

107

Other

-

-

-

7

-

7

5

-

5

United States2

-

-

-

-

81

81

-

(378)

(378)

Long-term business for continuing operations

1,201

-

1,201

1,147

81

1,228

2,206

(378)

1,828

United States2

-

111

111

-

-

-

-

-

-

General insurance and health

428

-

428

462

-

462

894

-

894

Fund management3

25

22

47

6

1

7

24

4

28

Other operations4

(44)

(2)

(46)

(81)

(2)

(83)

(170)

(4)

(174)

Market operating profit/(loss)

1,610

131

1,741

1,534

80

1,614

2,954

(378)

2,576

Corporate centre

(72)

-

(72)

(64)

-

(64)

(136)

-

(136)

Group debt costs and other interest

(251)

(6)

(257)

(267)

(7)

(274)

(537)

(12)

(549)

Operating profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

1,287

125

1,412

1,203

73

1,276

2,281

(390)

1,891

Share of operating profit (before tax) of Delta Lloyd as an associate

-

-

-

112

-

112

112

-

112

Operating profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits

1,287

125

1,412

1,315

73

1,388

2,393

(390)

2,003

Integration and restructuring costs

(163)

(2)

(165)

(185)

(3)

(188)

(464)

(3)

(467)

Operating profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits after integration and restructuring costs

1,124

123

1,247

1,130

70

1,200

1,929

(393)

1,536

Adjusted for the following:










Economic variances on long-term business

555

279

834

1,022

151

1,173

1,901

(6)

1,895

Short-term fluctuation in return on investments on non-long-term business

(306)

-

(306)

31

-

31

7

-

7

Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business

27

-

27

(18)

-

(18)

(21)

-

(21)

Impairment of goodwill

(86)

-

(86)

184

(787)

(603)

(154)

(782)

(936)

Amortisation and impairment of intangibles

(46)

(6)

(52)

(36)

(98)

(134)

(110)

(97)

(207)

Profit on the disposal and remeasurement of subsidiaries and associates5

187

91

278

(30)

-

(30)

(1)

1,095

1,094

Exceptional items

-

-

-

-

-

-

51

-

51

Non-operating items before tax (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

331

364

695

1,153

(734)

419

1,673

210

1,883

Share of Delta Lloyd's non-operating items
(before tax) as an associate

-

-

-

(523)

-

(523)

(523)

-

(523)

Non-operating items before tax

331

364

695

630

(734)

(104)

1,150

210

1,360

Share of Delta Lloyd's tax expense, as an associate

-

-

-

107

-

107

107

-

107

Profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits

1,455

487

1,942

1,867

(664)

1,203

3,186

(183)

3,003

Tax on operating profit

(412)

(23)

(435)

(406)

(25)

(431)

(780)

134

(646)

Tax on other activities

(53)

(94)

(147)

(314)

(21)

(335)

(516)

34

(482)


(465)

(117)

(582)

(720)

(46)

(766)

(1,296)

168

(1,128)

Profit/(loss) for the period

990

370

1,360

1,147

(710)

437

1,890

(15)

1,875











Attributable to:










Equity shareholders' of Aviva plc

708

370

1,078

725

(710)

15

1,035

(15)

1,020

Non-controlling Interest

282

-

282

422

-

422

855

-

855


990

370

1,360

1,147

(710)

437

1,890

(15)

1,875

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation. 

2    From 1 January 2013 the held for sale US life operations are reported within non-covered business on an IFRS basis as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation. In the half year 2012 and full year 2012 comparatives the US life operations are within covered business on an MCEV basis and then remeasured at FY12 to fair value less cost to sell.

3    Excludes the proportion of the results of Aviva Investors fund management businesses and other fund management operations within the Group that arises from the provision of fund management services to our life businesses. In the comparatives US operations exclude results for fund management services related to life business. These results, for continuing operations, are included within the life MCEV operating earnings consistent with the MCEV methodology.

4    Excludes the proportion of the results of subsidiaries providing services to the Life business. These results are included within the life MCEV operating earnings consistent with the MCEV methodology.

5    Includes profit in respect of remeasurement of held for sale operations to expected fair value less cost to sell, in particular for the US business. In addition this includes profit or loss on completion of the sales of Aseval, Ark Life, Russia, Romania pensions and Malaysia.

 

 

 

 

Page 111

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings per share - MCEV basis

 


Reviewed
6 months 2013

Restated1 Reviewed

6 months 2012

Restated2 Audited

Full Year 2012


Continuing

Operations

Discontinued1

Operations

Total

Continuing Operations

Discontinued Operations

Total

Continuing Operations

Discontinued Operations

Total

Operating earnings/(losses) per share on an MCEV basis after tax, attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc










Basic (pence per share)

24.2p

3.5p

27.7p

25.0p

1.6p

26.6p

40.4p

(8.8)p

31.6p

Diluted3 (pence per share)

23.9p

3.4p

27.3p

24.7p

1.6p

26.3p

39.8p

(8.8)p

31.2p

Earnings/(losses) after tax on an MCEV basis, attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc










Basic (pence per share)

23.3p

12.6p

35.9p

24.7p

(24.5)p

0.2p

33.1p

(0.5)p

32.6p

Diluted3 (pence per share)

23.0p

12.4p

35.4p

24.3p

(24.5)p

0.2p

32.6p

(0.5)p

32.1p

1    Discontinued operations represents the results of the US life and related internal asset management business (US Life).
2    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation.
3    Losses have an anti-dilutive effect. Therefore the basic and diluted earnings for discontinued operations in 2012 have remained the same.

Consolidated statement of comprehensive income - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2013

 


Reviewed
6 months 2013

£m

Restated1

 Reviewed

6 months 2012

£m

Restated1

 Audited

Full Year 2012

£m

Profit for the period from continuing operations

990

1,147

1,890

Profit/(loss) for the period from discontinued operations

370

(710)

(15)

Total profit for the period

1,360

437

1,875





Other comprehensive income from continuing operations:




Items that may be reclassified subsequently to income statement




Share of other comprehensive income of joint ventures and associates

-

(7)

(7)

Foreign exchange rate movements

469

(194)

(145)

Aggregate tax effect - shareholder tax on items that may be reclassified

(20)

10

17





Items that will not be reclassified to income statement




Remeasurement of pension schemes

(294)

49

(980)

Aggregate tax effect - shareholders tax on items that will not be reclassified

65

(34)

189

Other comprehensive income, net of tax from continuing operations

220

(176)

(926)

Other comprehensive income, net of tax from discontinued operations

(206)

(8)

(14)

Total other comprehensive income net of tax

14

(184)

(940)

Total comprehensive income for the period from continuing operations

1,210

971

964

Total comprehensive income for the period from discontinued operations

164

(718)

(29)

Total comprehensive income for the period

1,374

253

935





Attributable to:




Equity shareholders of Aviva plc

1,000

(134)

102

Non-controlling Interests

374

387

833


1,374

253

935

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation.

 

 

 

Page 112

 

 

 

 

Consolidated statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2013

 


Reviewed
6 months 2013

£m

Reviewed

6 months 2012

£m

Audited

Full Year 2012

£m

Balance at 1 January

16,230

15,495

15,495

Total comprehensive income for the period

1,374

253

935

Dividends and appropriations

(290)

(474)

(847)

Shares issued in lieu of dividends

-

38

127

Capital contributions from non-controlling interests

-

6

20

Share of dividends declared in the period applicable to non-controlling interests

(75)

(66)

(102)

Issue of fixed rate tier 1 notes

-

392

392

Transfer to (loss)/profit on disposal of subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates

(175)

-

187

Non-controlling interest in (disposed)/acquired subsidiaries

(491)

5

(13)

Shares acquired by employee trusts

-

(3)

(33)

Shares distributed by employee trusts

3

-

8

Reserves credit for equity compensation plans

23

23

42

Shares issued under equity compensation plans

-

-

1

Aggregate tax effect - shareholder tax

4

-

18

Total equity

16,603

15,669

16,230

Non-controlling interests

(2,022)

(1,808)

(2,214)

Balance at 30 June/31 December

14,581

13,861

14,016

 

 

 

Page 113

 

 

 

 

Consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis

As at 30 June 2013

 


Reviewed
30 June 2013

£m

Restated1

 Reviewed

30 June
 2012

£m

Restated1

 Audited

31 December 2012

£m

Assets




Goodwill

1,504

1,794

1,520

Acquired value of in-force business and other intangibles

1,095

1,649

1,084

Additional value of in-force long-term business2

5,239

1,064

4,870

Interest in, and loans to, joint ventures

1,237

1,602

1,390

Interest in, and loans to, associates

265

1,005

265

Property and equipment

395

445

391

Investment property

9,832

10,301

9,939

Loans

24,225

26,918

24,537

Financial investments

192,670

213,547

189,019

Reinsurance assets

6,907

7,239

6,684

Deferred tax assets

234

262

188

Current tax assets

89

74

67

Receivables

7,981

8,342

7,476

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

3,417

6,431

3,778

Prepayments and accrued income

2,704

3,175

2,700

Cash and cash equivalents

25,075

24,024

23,102

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

41,712

3,962

42,603

Total assets

324,581

311,834

319,613

Equity




Ordinary share capital

736

729

736

Capital reserves

4,436

4,441

4,436

Other reserves2

1,437

1,066

1,171

Shares held by employee trusts

(9)

(14)

(32)

Retained earnings

1,581

4,854

1,389

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis2

4,818

1,203

4,734

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

12,999

12,279

12,434

Preference share capital, direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,582

1,582

1,582

Non-controlling interests2

2,022

1,808

2,214

Total equity

16,603

15,669

16,230

Liabilities




Gross insurance liabilities

113,060

145,488

113,091

Gross liabilities for investment contracts

113,285

109,901

110,494

Unallocated divisible surplus

6,569

3,162

6,931

Net asset value attributable to unitholders

12,340

9,274

10,259

Provisions

1,079

1,097

1,119

Deferred tax liabilities

551

1,324

547

Current tax liabilities

130

200

112

External borrowings

8,254

8,112

8,179

Payables and other financial liabilities

9,764

11,045

9,398

Other liabilities

1,826

2,927

1,842

Liabilities of operations classified as held for sale

41,120

3,635

41,411

Total liabilities

307,978

296,165

303,383

Total equity and liabilities

324,581

311,834

319,613

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation.

2    The summarised consolidated statement of financial position presented above is unaltered from the corresponding IFRS summarised consolidated statement of financial position with the exception of the following:

      Adding the excess of the Life MCEV, including non-controlling interests, over the corresponding Life IFRS net assets is represented as the additional value of in-force long-term business; the corresponding items within equity are represented by the additional retained profit on an MCEV basis; other reserves and corresponding adjustments to non-controlling interests. Note that the presentation of equity in the 'Consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis' is in a different format to the 'Consolidated statement of financial position - IFRS basis'.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 114

 

 

 

 

Reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases

As at 30 June 2013

 

Reviewed
30 June 2013

IFRS

£m

Adjustment

£m

MCEV

£m

Ordinary share capital

736

-

736

Capital reserves

4,436

-

4,436

Other reserves

1,532

(95)

1,437

Shares held by employee trusts

(9)

-

(9)

Retained earnings

1,581

-

1,581

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis

-

4,818

4,818

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

8,276

4,723

12,999

Preference share capital

200

-

200

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

-

1,382

Non-controlling Interests

1,506

516

2,022

Total equity

11,364

5,239

16,603

 

Reviewed
30 June 2012

IFRS

£m

Adjustment

£m

MCEV

£m

Ordinary share capital

729

-

729

Capital reserves

4,441

-

4,441

Other reserves

1,514

(448)

1,066

Shares held by employee trusts

(14)

-

(14)

Retained earnings

4,854

-

4,854

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis

-

1,203

1,203

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

11,524

755

12,279

Preference share capital

200

-

200

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

-

1,382

Non-controlling Interests

1,499

309

1,808

Total equity

14,605

1,064

15,669

 

Audited
31 December 2012

IFRS

£m

Adjustment

£m

MCEV

£m

Ordinary share capital

736

-

736

Capital reserves

4,436

-

4,436

Other reserves

1,675

(504)

1,171

Shares held by employee trusts

(32)

-

(32)

Retained earnings

1,389

-

1,389

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis

-

4,734

4,734

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

8,204

4,230

12,434

Preference share capital

200

-

200

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

-

1,382

Non-controlling Interests

1,574

640

2,214

Total equity

11,360

4,870

16,230

 

 

 

 

Page 115

 

 

 

 

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to MCEV net worth

As at 30 June 2013

 


Reviewed
30 June

2013

£m

Reviewed
30 June
2012
£m

Audited

31 December

2012

£m

Net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

11,364

14,605

11,360

Adjusting for general business and other net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

789

291

1,602

Life and related businesses net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

12,153

14,896

12,962

Adjustment for Life net assets on an IFRS basis1

(1,288)

-

-

Goodwill and other intangibles

(744)

(1,234)

(989)

Acquired value of in-force business

(155)

(830)

(245)

Adjustment for share of joint ventures and associates

(7)

(11)

(9)

Adjustment for assets to regulatory value net of tax

125

(2,238)

94

Adjustment for DAC and DIR net of tax

(1,048)

(2,499)

(1,134)

Adjustment for differences in technical provisions

(694)

3,065

(488)

Other accounting and tax differences

439

(827)

940

MCEV net worth

8,781

10,322

11,131

MCEV value of in-force2

6,434

3,732

5,366

MCEV3

15,215

14,054

16,497

1    Represents held for sale US life operations which from 1 January 2013 are not included in MCEV covered business as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation.

2    Comprises PVFP of £9,030 million (30 June 2012: £6,721 million; 31 December 2012: £8,616 million), FC of £(471) million (30 June 2012: £(579) million; 31 December 2012: £(569) million), CNHR of £(1,162) million (30 June 2012: £(1,063) million; 31 December 2012: £(1,381) million), and TVOG of £(963) million (30 June 2012: £(1,347) million; 31 December 2012: £(1,300) million).

3    Comprises embedded value of £13,869 million (30 June 2012: 12,902 million; 31 December 2012: £14,941 million) and non-controlling interest in long-term business assets of £1,346 million (30 June 2012: £1,152 million; 31 December 2012: £1,556 million).

 

Differences between the reconciling items for 30 June 2013, 31 December 2012 and 30 June 2012 arise mainly from different treatment of the United States business.  For 30 June 2013, the Adjustment for Life net assets on an IFRS basis relates to US operations, which are included on an IFRS basis within non-covered but related to life business.  The IFRS net assets are included at the expected fair value less costs to sell, including the effect of re-measurement at 30 June 2013 and the impact of foreign exchange movement during the period.  For 31 December 2012, IFRS net assets included the expected fair value less costs to sell for the US and the total difference from the amount included for the US in the MCEV net worth was included in Other accounting and tax differences.  For 30 June 2012, each reconciling item included the appropriate contribution from the US business.

      For 30 June 2013 and 31 December 2012, the adjustments for DAC and DIR and differences in technical provisions mainly relate to the UK & Ireland.

 

 

 

 

Page 116

 

 

 

 

Group MCEV analysis of earnings

For the six month period ending 30 June 2013

 

Reviewed
6 months 2013

Covered

business1,4

£m

A

Non-

covered

but related

to life

business2

£m

B

Total life

business3

£m

A+B

Non-

covered

relating to

non-life

£m

C

Total non-

covered

business4

£m

B+C

Total

£m

A+B+C

Opening Group MCEV

14,941

1,175

16,116

(2,100)

(925)

14,016

Opening Adjustments5

(1,058)

1,058

-

-

1,058

-

Adjusted opening Group MCEV

13,883

2,233

16,116

(2,100)

133

14,016

Operating MCEV earnings

741

94

835

3

97

838

Non-operating MCEV earnings

222

186

408

(168)

18

240

Total MCEV earnings

963

280

1,243

(165)

115

1,078

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

(417)

(417)

(67)

(484)

(484)

Capital and dividend flows

(762)

23

(739)

304

327

(435)

Foreign exchange variances

325

108

433

(27)

81

406

Acquired/divested business

(540)

(217)

(757)

757

540

-

Closing Group MCEV

13,869

2,010

15,879

(1,298)

712

14,581

Preference share capital, direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes






(1,582)

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders

of Aviva plc on an MCEV basis






12,999

1    Covered business represents the business that the MCEV calculations cover, as detailed in F1 Basis of Preparation. The embedded value is presented net of non-controlling interests and tax.

2    Non-covered but related to life business represents the adjustments to the MCEV, including goodwill, to calculate the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. An analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis gross of non-controlling interests is provided in F7. Note that US Life is part of non-covered but related to life business with effect from 1 January 2013.

3    Net assets for the total life businesses on an MCEV basis presented net of non-controlling interests.

4    Covered business includes an adjustment for held for sale operations through the acquired/divested business line which is reflected as non-operating earnings for non-covered business, consistent with where the profit would arise on completion of the sale.

5    Represents the transfer of the held for sale US life operations from covered business to non-covered but related to life business as explained in F1 Basis of Preparation.

 

Restated4 Reviewed

6 months 2012

Covered

business1

£m

A

Non-

covered

but related

to life

business2

£m

B

Total life

business3

£m

A+B

Non-

covered

relating to

non-life

£m

C

Total non-

covered

business

£m

B+C

Total

£m

A+B+C

Opening Group MCEV

12,274

2,533

14,807

(788)

1,745

14,019

Operating MCEV earnings

744

-

744

38

38

782

Non-operating MCEV earnings

483

(873)

(390)

(377)

(1,250)

(767)

Total MCEV earnings

1,227

(873)

354

(339)

(1,212)

15

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

87

87

(69)

18

18

Capital and dividend flows

(508)

-

(508)

484

484

(24)

Foreign exchange variances

(108)

(34)

(142)

(25)

(59)

(167)

Acquired/divested business

17

31

48

(48)

(17)

-

Closing Group MCEV

12,902

1,744

14,646

(785)

959

13,861

Preference share capital, direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes






(1,582)

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders

of Aviva plc on an MCEV basis






12,279

1    Covered business represents the business that the MCEV calculations cover, as detailed in F1 Basis of preparation. The embedded value is presented net of non-controlling interests and tax.

2    Non-covered but related to life business represents the adjustments to the MCEV, including goodwill, to calculate the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. An analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis gross of non-controlling interests is provided in F7.

3    Net assets for the total life businesses on an MCEV basis presented net of non-controlling interests.

4    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation.

 

Restated5 Audited

Full year 2012

Covered

business1, 4

£m

A

Non-

covered

but related

to life

business2

£m

B

Total life

business3

£m

A+B

Non-

covered

relating to

non-life

£m

C

Total non-

covered

business

£m

B+C

Total

£m

A+B+C

Opening Group MCEV

12,274

2,533

14,807

(788)

1,745

14,019

Operating MCEV earnings

1,070

-

1,070

(77)

(77)

993

Non-operating MCEV earnings

713

(1,203)

(490)

517

(686)

27

Total MCEV earnings

1,783

(1,203)

580

440

(763)

1,020

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

(145)

(145)

(637)

(782)

(782)

Capital and dividend flows

(283)

-

(283)

178

178

(105)

Foreign exchange variances

(60)

(41)

(101)

(35)

(76)

(136)

Acquired/divested business

1,227

31

1,258

(1,258)

(1,227)

-

Closing Group MCEV

14,941

1,175

16,116

(2,100)

(925)

14,016

Preference share capital, direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes






(1,582)

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders

of Aviva plc on an MCEV basis






12,434

1    Covered business represents the business that the MCEV calculations cover, as detailed in F1 Basis of Preparation. The embedded value is presented net of non-controlling interests and tax.

2    Non-covered but related to life business represents the adjustments to the MCEV, including goodwill, to calculate the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. An analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis gross of non-controlling interests is provided in F7.

3    Net assets for the total life businesses on an MCEV basis presented net of non-controlling interests.

4    Covered business includes an adjustment for held for sale operations through the acquired/divested business line which is reflected as non-operating earnings for non-covered business, consistent with where the profit would arise on completion of the sale.

5    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation.

 

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation

The consolidated income statement and consolidated statement of financial position on pages 110 to 113 present the Group's results and financial position for the covered life and related businesses on the Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis and for its non-covered businesses and non-covered but related to life businesses on the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) basis.

      The MCEV methodology adopted is in accordance with the MCEV Principles© published by the CFO Forum in October 2009 with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell.

      The CFO Forum Guidance is not adopted in a number of respects:

n Guidance 2.1 requires that covered business includes contracts regarded as long-term life insurance business. However the US operations are not included in the covered business from 1 January 2013 as MCEV is not used to manage the business due to the pending sale of the operation.

n Guidance 17.4 requires that sensitivities are provided for the total MCEV results. However, the sensitivity analysis in note F19 excludes held for sale operations, reflecting that these operations are stated at expected fair value less cost to sell.

n Guidance 17.3.29 indicates that changes to models to reflect improvements or rectify errors should be included in the 'other operating variances' line in the analysis of earnings. Where possible, such model refinements have been reported in the analysis of earnings on the line where the impact would have occurred in order to provide better information when considering assumption changes/experience variances over multiple reporting periods.

n Guidance 17.3.32 and 17.3.47 indicates that, when a company has more than one geographical area of operation, the business classifications disclosed should be consistent with those used for the IFRS financial statements. While MCEV results have been aligned with Aviva's management structure following the changes announced in the first quarter of 2013 the classifications have been presented at a more aggregated level than those segments presented in B5 which are in line
with IFRS 8.

 

The directors consider that the MCEV methodology gives useful insight into the drivers of financial performance of the Group's life and related businesses. This basis values future cash flows from assets consistently with market prices, including explicit allowance for the impact of uncertainty in future investment returns and other risks. Embedded value is also consistent with the way pricing is assessed and the business is managed.

      The results for our half year report have been reviewed by our auditors, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. The PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP report in respect of the half-year can be found on page 148.

 

Copyright © Stichting CFO Forum Foundation 2008

Covered business

The MCEV calculations cover the following lines of business unless specifically noted below: life insurance, long-term health and accident insurance, savings, pensions and annuity business written by our life insurance subsidiaries, including managed pension fund business and our share of certain life and related business written in our associated undertakings and joint ventures, as well as the equity release business written in the UK.

      Covered business includes the Group's share of our joint ventures including our associated undertakings in India, China, Turkey, Malaysia (until disposal in April 2013), Taiwan and South Korea. In addition, the results of Group companies providing significant administration, fund management and other services and of Group holding companies have been included to the extent that they relate to covered business. Together these businesses are referred to as "Life and related businesses".

      The following are not included within covered business:

n US operations from 1 January 2013 as described under Treatment of US operations below.

n Delta Lloyd in the current and all comparative periods. From 6 May 2011 to 5 July 2012, Delta Lloyd was an associate and was removed from the covered business as MCEV was not used to manage the operation. From 5 July 2012 up to when Delta Lloyd was sold on 8 January 2013, Aviva's remaining investment holding is not included within covered business. For 'Group' MCEV reporting, which includes general insurance and other non-covered business, Delta Lloyd is included on an IFRS basis.

Held for Sale operations (excluding US)

Aviva's methodology adopts the MCEV Principles published by the CFO Forum in October 2009 with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value less cost to sell in the consolidated statement of financial position.

      It is considered that the CFO Forum MCEV Principles were designed to define the approach to valuing covered business on an ongoing basis and do not explicitly define the appropriate treatment of covered business operations that are held for sale. For these operations, where there is an expected sale price, the directors believe it is reasonable to value the shareholders' interest as the expected fair value less cost to sell thus reflecting the expected value upon completion of the transaction.

      Certain life covered operations are classified as held for sale, consistent with the IFRS classification as detailed in note F18. The life covered MCEV for the held for sale operations has been adjusted within the value of in force business and this adjustment has been reported in the analysis of earnings through the acquired/divested business line, resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 30 June 2013 of £48 million (31 December 2012: £175 million, 30 June 2012: nil). The adjustment reflects the amount needed to align the contribution to shareholder equity with the expected fair value less cost to sell. There is no impact to the life and related business MCEV operating profits and total earnings. The consolidated income statement includes a profit on disposal and remeasurement of subsidiaries and associates, based on the expected fair value less cost to sell, of £48 million (31 December 2012: £175 million, 30 June 2012: nil) in relation to the life covered held for sale operations.

      In line with the preparation of the consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis, the assets and liabilities of held for sale operations are stated at the IFRS values with any differences in measurement on an MCEV basis reflected in the additional value of in-force long term business.

      Within the sensitivity analysis F19, and other disclosures where applicable, held for sale operations are excluded, reflecting that these operations are stated at expected fair value less cost to sell. Further details are provided against each applicable disclosure.

 

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation continued

Treatment of US Operations

For 2012, the US was included in covered business. Following the classification of the United States business as Held for Sale on 21 December 2012, the US was re-measured to expected fair value less cost to sell, in line with treatment of other Held for Sale operations, as described above. This resulted in an increase to the closing life MCEV at 31 December 2012 of £1,095 million to £1,058 million. This adjustment was reported in the analysis of earnings through the acquired/divested line, and hence there was no impact to the life and related business MCEV operating profits and total earnings.

      From 1 January 2013 the results for the held for sale operations in the US are not included within the covered business as MCEV is not used to manage this business due to the pending sale of the operations. For Group MCEV reporting, which includes general insurance and other non-covered business, the US operations are included on an IFRS basis within non-covered but related to life business. The transfer to non-covered but related to life business is reported as an 'opening adjustment' in both the Group MCEV and covered business analysis of earnings. There is no impact to the total earnings from the transfer as the US operations are reported on both an IFRS and MCEV basis at the expected fair value less cost to sell. During the period the fair value less costs to sell of US Life included in the consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis has increased to £523 million (31 December 2012: £367 million). Please refer to note B4 for details on how this remeasurement is recognised in the income statement and in other comprehensive income.
      In line with IFRS, the results for the held for sale operations in the United States are presented as discontinued operations.

New business premiums

New business premiums include:

n premiums arising from the sale of new contracts during the period;

n non-contractual additional premiums; and

n expected renewals on new contracts and expected future contractual alterations to new contracts.

 

The Group's definition of new business under MCEV includes contracts that meet the definition of "non-participating investment" contracts under IFRS.

      For products sold to individuals, premiums are considered to represent new business where a new contract has been signed,

or where underwriting has been performed. Renewal premiums include contractual renewals, non-contractual variations that are reasonably predictable and recurrent single premiums that are pre-defined and reasonably predictable.

      For group products, new business includes new contracts and increases to aggregate premiums under existing contracts. Renewal premiums are based on the level of premium received during the reporting period and allow for premiums expected to be received beyond the expiry of any guaranteed premium rates.

Life and pensions operating earnings

For life and pensions operating earnings, Aviva uses normalised investment returns. The use of asset risk premia reflects management's long-term expectations of asset returns in excess of the swap yield from investing in different asset classes.

      The normalised investment return on equities and property has been calculated by reference to the ten-year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk premium. The expected return on bonds has been calculated by reference to the swap rate consistent with the duration of the backing assets in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk margin (expected return is equivalent to the gross redemption yield less an allowance for defaults).

      The expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) is calculated using the implied discount rate (IDR), which itself is based on the normalised investment returns. The methodology applies the IDR to the Value of In Force (VIF) and Required Capital (RC) components of the MCEV and adds to this the total expected return for Free Surplus (FS) to derive the total expected return, in a manner consistent with that previously used under European Embedded Value reporting. This total is presented as the expected existing business contribution (reference rate), expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) and expected return on shareholders' net worth (grossed up for tax for pre-tax presentation), with only the excess contribution being impacted by the approach. For businesses where the IDR is unpublished, the expected return in excess of the reference rate is calculated as the excess of the real world equivalent embedded value (EqEV) over the MCEV amortised over the average duration of the portfolio. The approach to expected return has no impact on total return or on the closing balance sheet.

MCEV methodology

Overview

Under the MCEV methodology, profit is recognised as it is earned over the life of products defined within covered business. The total profit recognised over the lifetime of a policy is the same as under the IFRS basis of reporting, but the timing of recognition is different.

Calculation of the embedded value

The shareholders' interest in the life and related businesses is represented by the embedded value. The embedded value is the total of the net worth of the life and related businesses and the value of in-force covered business. Calculations are performed separately for each business and are based on the cash flows of that business, after allowing for both external and intra-Group reinsurance. Where one life business has an interest in another, the net worth of that business excludes the interest in the dependent company.

      The embedded value is calculated on an after-tax basis applying current legislation and practice together with future known changes. Consistent with CFO Forum guidance issued in 2012, no explicit allowance has been made for the developing European regulation regime (Solvency II) and associated consequences. No allowance has been made for potential legislation change relating to Pillar II pensions in Poland, as outlined in section F18. Where gross results are presented, these have been calculated by grossing up post-tax results at the full rate of corporation tax for each country based on opening period tax rates, apart from the UK, where a 23% tax rate was used for 2013 for grossing up (2012: 24%).

 

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation continued

Net worth

The net worth is the market value of the shareholders' funds and the shareholders' interest in the surplus held in the non-profit component of the long-term business funds, determined on a statutory solvency basis and adjusted to add back any non-admissible assets, and consists of the required capital and free surplus.

      Required capital is the market value of assets attributed to the covered business over and above that required to back liabilities for covered business, for which distribution to shareholders is restricted. Required capital is reported net of implicit items permitted on a local regulatory basis to cover minimum solvency margins which are assessed at a local entity level. The level of required capital for each business unit is generally set equal to the highest of:

n The level of capital at which the local regulator is empowered to take action;

n The capital requirement of the business unit under the Group's economic capital requirements; and

n The target capital level of the business unit;

where "highest of" is assessed as the basis yielding the lowest level of free assets.

 

For Aviva US, the required capital is set at 325% of the NAIC Company Action Level, in line with management targets and target credit ratings, for comparative periods.

      This methodology reflects the level of capital considered by the directors to be appropriate to manage the business, and includes any additional shareholder funds not available for distribution, such as the reattributed inherited estate in the UK. The same definition of required capital is used for both existing and new business except in certain entities in Italy and Spain where new business reflects the targeted capital level which better reflects the capital requirements of the new business. The total required capital for the entities in question is based on the overall biting constraint. There is a true-up within economic variances for the difference between calculating the new business required capital on a target rather than economic capital basis.

      The level of required capital across the business units expressed as a percentage of the EU minimum solvency margin (or equivalent) can be found in F18.

      The free surplus is the market value of any assets allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business at the valuation date.

Value of in-force covered business (VIF)

The value of in-force covered business consists of the following components:

n present value of future profits;

n time value of financial options and guarantees;

n frictional costs of required capital; and

n cost of residual non-hedgeable risks.

Present value of future profits (PVFP)

This is the present value of the distributable profits to shareholders arising from the in-force covered business projected on a best estimate basis.

      Distributable profits generally arise when they are released following actuarial valuations. These valuations are carried out in accordance with any local statutory requirements designed to ensure and demonstrate solvency in long-term business funds. Future distributable profits will depend on experience in a number of areas such as investment return, discontinuance rates, mortality, administration costs, as well as management and policyholder actions. Releases to shareholders arising in future years from the in-force covered business and associated required capital can be projected using assumptions of future experience.

      Future profits are projected using best estimate non-economic assumptions and market consistent economic assumptions. In principle, each cash flow is discounted at a rate that appropriately reflects the riskiness of that cash flow, so higher risk cash flows are discounted at higher rates. In practice, the PVFP is calculated using the "certainty equivalent" approach, under which the reference rate is used for both the investment return and the discount rate. This approach ensures that asset cash flows are valued consistently with the market prices of assets without options and guarantees. Further information on the risk-free rates is given in note F18.

      The PVFP includes the capitalised value of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the extent that they relate to covered business. This is referred to as the "look through" into service company expenses. In addition, expenses arising in holding companies that relate directly to acquiring or maintaining covered business have been allowed for. Where external companies provide services to the life and related businesses, their charges have been allowed for in the underlying projected cost base.

Time value of financial options and guarantees (TVOG)

The PVFP calculation is based on a single (base) economic scenario; however, a single scenario cannot appropriately allow for the effect of certain product features. If an option or guarantee affects shareholder cash flows in the base scenario, the impact is included in the PVFP and is referred to as the intrinsic value of the option or guarantee; however, future investment returns are uncertain and the actual impact on shareholder profits may be higher or lower. The value of in-force business needs to be adjusted for the impact of the range of potential future outcomes. Stochastic modelling techniques can be used to assess the impact of potential future outcomes, and the difference between the intrinsic value and the total stochastic value is referred to as the time value of the option or guarantee.

      Stochastic modelling typically involves projecting the future cash flows of the business under thousands of economic scenarios that are representative of the possible future outcomes for market variables such as interest rates and equity returns. Under a market consistent approach, the economic scenarios generated reflect the market's tendency towards risk aversion. Allowance is made, where appropriate, for the effect of management and/or policyholder actions in different economic conditions on future assumptions such as asset mix, bonus rates and surrender rates.

      Stochastic models are calibrated to market yield curves and volatility levels at the valuation date. Tests are performed to confirm that the scenarios used produce results that replicate the market price of traded instruments.

 

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation continued

Where evidence exists that persistency rates are linked to economic scenarios, dynamic lapse assumptions are set that vary depending on the individual scenarios. This cost is included in the TVOG. Dynamic lapses are modelled for parts of the UK, US (for comparative periods), French and Spanish businesses. Asymmetries in non-economic assumptions that are linked to economic scenarios, but that have insufficient evidence for credible dynamic assumptions, are allowed for within mean best estimate assumptions.

Frictional costs of required capital

The additional costs to a shareholder of holding the assets backing required capital within an insurance company rather than directly in the market are called frictional costs. They are explicitly deducted from the PVFP. The additional costs allowed for are the taxation costs and any additional investment expenses on the assets backing the required capital. The level of required capital has been set out above in the net worth section.

      Frictional costs are calculated by projecting forwards the future levels of required capital in line with drivers of the capital requirement. Tax on investment return and investment expenses are payable on the assets backing required capital, up until the point that they are released to shareholders.

Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks (CNHR)

The cost of residual non-hedgeable risks (CNHR) covers risks not already allowed for in the time value of options and guarantees or the PVFP. The allowance includes the impact of both non-hedgeable financial and non-financial risks. The most significant risk not included in the PVFP or TVOG is operational risk.

      Asymmetric risks allowed for in the TVOG or PVFP are described earlier in the basis of preparation. No allowance has been made within the cost of non-hedgeable risk for symmetrical risks as these are diversifiable by investors.

US capital solutions

Credit has been taken within the US embedded value and value of new business, for comparative periods, for the anticipated reduction in capital requirements based on management's intention to enact transactions which allow recognition of additional assets that can be held against certain reserves, reducing shareholder capital requirements. These 'AXXX/XXX' transactions are fixed-term and are assumed to renew at current market rates. Enacting such transactions is common practice within the US market, and by the end of 2012, transactions have been enacted for all business written from 2006 to 2012.

New business tax

New business for US (comparative periods) and Italy has been valued on a basis with tax applied at the full corporation rate and consequential movements in the value of the Deferred Tax Asset included as a variance within existing business operating return.

Participating business

Future regular bonuses on participating business are projected in a manner consistent with current bonus rates and expected future market-consistent returns on assets deemed to back the policies.

      For with-profit funds in the UK and Ireland, for the purpose of recognising the value of the estate, it is assumed that terminal bonuses are increased to exhaust all of the assets in the fund over the future lifetime of the in-force with-profit policies. However, under stochastic modelling there may be some extreme economic scenarios when the total assets in the Group's with-profit funds are not sufficient to pay all policyholder claims. The average additional shareholder cost arising from this shortfall has been included in the TVOG.

      For profit-sharing business in continental Europe, where policy benefits and shareholder value depend on the timing of realising gains, the apportionment of unrealised gains between policyholders and shareholders reflect contractual requirements as well as existing practice. Under certain economic scenarios where additional shareholder injections are required to meet policyholder payments, the average additional cost has been included in the TVOG.

      For comparative periods the embedded value of the US spread-based products anticipates the application of management discretion allowed for contractually within the policies, subject to contractual guarantees. This includes the ability to change the crediting rates and indexed strategies available within the policy. Consideration is taken of the economic environment assumed in future projections and returns in excess of the reference rate are not assumed. Anticipated market and policyholder reaction to each management action has been considered.

Consolidation adjustments

The effect of transactions between the Group's life companies such as loans and reinsurance arrangements have been included in the results split by territory in a consistent manner. No elimination is required on consolidation.

      As the MCEV methodology incorporates the impact of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the Group's life companies, the equivalent profits and losses have been removed from the relevant segment (other operations or fund management) and are instead included within the results of life and related businesses. In addition, the underlying basis of calculation for these profits has changed from the IFRS basis to the MCEV basis.

      The capitalised value of the future profits and losses from such service companies are included in the embedded value and value of new business calculations for the relevant business, but the net assets (representing historical profits and other amounts) remain under other operations or fund management. In order to reconcile the profits arising in the financial period within each segment with the assets on the opening and closing statement of financial positions, a transfer of IFRS profits from life and related business to the appropriate segment is deemed to occur. An equivalent approach has been adopted for expenses within our holding companies.

      The assessments of goodwill, intangibles and pension schemes relating to life insurance business utilise the IFRS measurement basis with any required adjustment reflected in the additional value of the in force long-term business in the consolidated statement of financial position.

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation continued

Exchange rates

The Group's principal overseas operations during the period were located within the Eurozone, the US (for comparative periods) and Poland.

      The results and cash flows of these operations have been translated at the average rates for that period and the assets and liabilities have been translated at the period end rates. Please refer to note F18.

Restatement of prior period figures

Restatements of IFRS financial statements have been consistently reflected in the Group MCEV financial statements. These reflect:

n A change in accounting requirements for employee benefits (IAS 19) resulting in an increase to profit before tax for the 6 month period ending 30 June 2012 of £74 million and profit before tax for the full year 2012 of £150 million in the consolidated income statement, with a corresponding decrease in other comprehensive income. There is no change to total comprehensive income or equity reported in the consolidated statements for these periods.

n A change in accounting requirement for consolidated financial statements (IFRS 10) resulting in a net decrease in total assets and total liabilities on an IFRS basis of £1,839 million as at 30 June 2012 and £946 million as at 31 December 2012 in the consolidated statement of financial position. There is no impact on profit or equity reported for the periods ending 30 June 2012 and 31 December 2012.

n A reclassification of certain contracts issued by the Group's Italian long-term business from participating insurance contracts to participating investment contracts in the IFRS financial statements. As a result there has been a reallocation from gross insurance liabilities to gross liabilities for investment contracts of £2,515 million at 30 June 2012 in the consolidated statement of financial position; this reclassification had previously been applied in the 2012 Report and Accounts. There is no impact on profit for the period or equity reported for the period ending 30 June 2012.

n As described in note B4, the Group's US life and annuity business and associated investment management operations (together 'US Life') have been classified as held for sale. Consistent with the presentation in the Group's 2012 Report and Accounts, the results of US Life for the period, as well as those for preceding periods, have been classified as discontinued operations.

n In the first quarter of 2013, the Group announced modifications to its management structure. As a result, the Group's operating segments were reviewed to align them with the revised organisational reporting structure. This has resulted in changes to the reportable operating segments as described in note B5. The geographical analysis in MCEV is presented at a more aggregated level than the reportable operating segments set out in note B5.

n IAS1 Presentation of Financial Statements (amended) requires the grouping of items presented in other comprehensive income according to whether they will subsequently be reclassified to the income statement. The criteria when items are required to be reclassified from other comprehensive income to the income statement are set out in the "Accounting policies" section in the audited consolidated financial statements included in the Group's 2012 Report and Accounts. The adoption of the amendments to IAS 1 results in a revised presentation of the statement of comprehensive income in these interim financial statements.

         Further explanation of these changes is provided in notes B1 and B2.

 

 

 

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F2 - Development of MCEV

The life covered MCEV (net of tax and minority interest) is £13,869 million, a decrease of £14 million in the period from the adjusted opening MCEV of £13,883 million. This movement comprises earnings of £963 million in the six months, reduced by dividends and other capital flows from the covered business of £762 million and £540 million reduction reflecting the transfer of part of our Spanish business to Bankia and disposal of other smaller ventures. These items were partly offset by a positive movement in the exchange rates.

      The opening adjustment, which reduced the MCEV by £1,058 million, from £14,941 million to £13,883 million, is due to the re-classification of Aviva USA to non-covered business.

Profitability (pre tax and before minority interest, for continuing operations)

New Business

New business volumes reduced by 6% on a PVNBP basis, principally driven by lower sales in the UK. More than offsetting this, margins improved significantly to 3.9% (HY12: 3.1%). This improvement has been primarily driven by the UK, where the margin has improved to 4.8% (HY12: 3.4%) mainly as a result of pricing actions taken in the second half of 2012 in the annuity book. In addition there were strong performances in France, Turkey and Asia, reflecting higher volumes and improved margins, partly offset by reductions in Italy and Spain. As a result, the value of new business (VNB) has increased by 17% to £401 million (HY12: £343 million).

Expected Return

The total expected return was lower at £685 million before tax and minority interests (HY12: £949 million), consisting of £579 million (HY12: £799 million) expected return from existing business together with £106 million (HY12: £150 million) expected return on shareholder net worth. The reduction from the previous year is principally driven by changes in Italy and the UK. In Italy, expected return includes an anticipated release of allowances for guarantees in the opening MCEV. This allowance was significantly lower at the start of 2013, reflecting the recovery in economic conditions. In the UK the expected return reduced significantly reflecting a lower IDR at FY12 and a de-risking of shareholder funds.

Management actions and other variances

Experience variances and operating assumption changes total £(45) million (HY12: £(39) million), reflecting the strengthening of persistency assumptions in Spain following poor short-term experience in our joint ventures.

      Other operating variances of £160 million (HY12: £(106) million) primarily reflect the benefit from agreements made to reduce long-term guarantees as soon as contractually possible on with profit business in Italy. In addition, management actions in France have reduced the expected value of guaranteed minimum death benefits giving rise to an increase in operating profits.

Non-operating earnings

Non-operating earnings in the period were £534 million (HY12: £1,009 million), made up of economic variances of £555 million (HY12: £1,022 million) and other non-operating variances of £(21) million (HY12: £(13) million). This variance is driven by favourable economic variances, particularly in the UK, Spain and Italy. In the UK positive variances arising due to narrowing credit spreads, future tax rate reductions and asset out performance have been partially offset by adverse credit default experience on commercial mortgages and losses due to increases in the risk-free rate. In Spain and Italy economic variances have been driven by narrowing credit spreads.

Life Operating Capital Generation (OCG)

The profitability of the business can be analysed into impacts on free surplus, required capital and value of in force business (see note F8). This shows how investment in new business generates additional future profit, how expected profits and releases of capital emerge from existing business in the period, as well as how experience has changed from what was anticipated in the opening value.

      These movements are shown net of tax and minority interest, and the free surplus operating earnings form the basis of OCG for life and related business.

New Business Strain

Investment in writing new business was £164 million (HY12: £250 million), reflecting the benefit of re-pricing of individual annuity business in the UK, together with savings in acquisition costs and the impact of lower new business volumes. This investment included locking in £85 million (HY12: £91 million) of required capital, which will be released over time, and £79 million (HY12: £159 million) of net worth strain, and has resulted in an increased value of future profits of £364 million (HY12: £390 million).

Expected Transfer to Free Surplus

The expected emergence of profits and run-off of required capital associated with the in-force portfolio contributed £610 million to OCG (HY12: £620 million). In addition, OCG benefits from the transfer to free surplus from the expected return on shareholders' net worth of £10 million (HY12: £33 million) to give a total life expected free surplus generation of £620 million (HY12: £653 million).

Management actions and other variances

In aggregate, the impact of experience variances and operating assumption changes on free surplus is small at £(10) million (HY12: £55 million).

      Other operating variances have a positive impact of £188 million (HY12: £170 million). This includes the impact of actions to convert future value into free surplus, as is normal industry practice, and the reserving benefit arising from actions which improve expected profitability, including reducing guarantees.

      In aggregate, experience variances, assumption changes and other operating variances contribute £178 million to OCG (HY12: £225 million).

 

 

 

Page 123

 

 

 

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings

 

Gross of tax and

non-controlling interest

6 months 2013

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

212

147

42

-

401

Earnings from existing business






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

95

69

10

-

174

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)1

126

273

6

-

405


221

342

16

-

579

Experience variances






- maintenance expense

4

(8)

(2)

-

(6)

- project and other related expenses2

(24)

(2)

(7)

-

(33)

- mortality/morbidity

1

4

1

-

6

- lapses3

(16)

6

(1)

(1)

(12)

- other

(1)

7

2

-

8


(36)

7

(7)

(1)

(37)

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expense

(1)

-

-

-

(1)

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity4

(3)

1

12

-

10

- lapses5

-

(25)

1

-

(24)

- other

7

-

-

-

7


3

(24)

13

-

(8)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

36

62

7

1

106

Other operating variances6

7

155

(2)

-

160

Earnings before tax and non-controlling interests

443

689

69

-

1,201

1    The expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) for Europe is lower at HY13 than HY12 as the release of the allowance for guarantees in Italy is lower.

2    Within the UK project and other related expenses reflect higher than expected expenditure on development of systems and processes

3    Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our business, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. Positive lapse variance in Europe reflects increased lapses on business with guarantees in Italy.

4    Morbidity assumptions have been updated in Korea.

5    Persistency assumptions include additional provisions in Spain reflecting adverse experience in the joint ventures.

6    Other operating variances reflect management actions taken to reduce guarantees on existing business in Italy and France.

 

Gross of tax and

non-controlling interest

Restated 6 months 2012

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Continuing

operations

£m

Discontinued

operations

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

176

130

37

-

343

(138)

205

Earnings from existing business








- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

109

119

11

-

239

33

272

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

207

350

3

-

560

253

813


316

469

14

-

799

286

1,085

Experience variances








- maintenance expense

8

(6)

(1)

1

2

6

8

- project and other related expenses1

(34)

(4)

(4)

-

(42)

(10)

(52)

- mortality/morbidity

(9)

14

6

-

11

(9)

2

- lapses2

(14)

(4)

(8)

-

(26)

3

(23)

- other3

12

28

(3)

-

37

(86)

(49)


(37)

28

(10)

1

(18)

(96)

(114)

Operating assumption changes:








- maintenance expenses

4

-

1

-

5

-

5

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity

(4)

-

4

-

-

-

-

- lapses4

7

(15)

3

-

(5)

-

(5)

- other5

(27)

-

-

6

(21)

-

(21)


(20)

(15)

8

6

(21)

-

(21)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

63

78

9

-

150

31

181

Other operating variances6

(27)

(77)

(2)

-

(106)

(2)

(108)

Earnings before tax and non-controlling interests

471

613

56

7

1,147

81

1,228

1    Project and other related expenses include higher expenditures related to increased level of regulatory change in the UK.

2    Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our business, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances.

3    Other experience includes the marginal impact of new business on the value of deferred losses in the US and Italy as well as other tax variances in the US.

4    Persistency assumptions include an additional short term provision in Italy reflecting economic circumstances.

5    Other assumption changes include a revision to profit margins on asset management in the UK.

6    Other operating variances include the impact of modelling refinements in France and Italy and the cost of capital management initiatives in the UK.

 

 

 

 

Page 124

 

 

 

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings continued

 

Gross of tax and

non-controlling interest

Restated Full year 2012

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Continuing

operations

£m

Discontinued

operations

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

412

271

63

-

746

(280)

466

Earnings from existing business








- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

229

234

24

-

487

85

572

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

403

682

5

-

1,090

483

1,573


632

916

29

-

1,577

568

2,145

Experience variances








- maintenance expense1

(28)

(11)

-

1

(38)

(16)

(54)

- project and other related expenses1

(75)

(2)

(2)

-

(79)

(21)

(100)

- mortality/morbidity2

(2)

24

3

-

25

(24)

1

- lapses3

(8)

30

(12)

(1)

9

1

10

- other4

(7)

8

3

1

5

(110)

(105)


(120)

49

(8)

1

(78)

(170)

(248)

Operating assumption changes:








- maintenance expenses5

10

(32)

(3)

4

(21)

-

(21)

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity6

(34)

32

9

-

7

(220)

(213)

- lapses7

(7)

(244)

-

-

(251)

(72)

(323)

- other8

(24)

215

-

-

191

(94)

97


(55)

(29)

6

4

(74)

(386)

(460)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

112

155

16

1

284

63

347

Other operating variances9

(58)

(191)

1

(1)

(249)

(173)

(422)

Earnings before tax and non-controlling interests

923

1,171

107

5

2,206

(378)

1,828

1    Adverse expense experience occurred across a number of businesses. Within the UK the maintenance expense variance reflects a one-off realignment of investment expense allocation between With Profit and Non Profit business and project and other related expenses include higher expenditures related to increased level of regulatory change.

2    Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumption set across a number of our businesses.

3    Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our business, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. Positive lapse variance in Europe reflects increased lapses on business with guarantees in Italy.

4    Other experience includes the marginal impact of new business on the value of deferred losses in the US and Italy as well as other tax variances in the US and the impact of policyholders switching to with profit funds in France.

5    Maintenance expense assumptions have been revised based on recent analysis.

6    Mortality assumptions have been updated in the UK and US, primarily related to annuities.

7    Persistency assumptions have been updated in a number of businesses and include additional provisions in Europe reflecting economic circumstances.

8    Other operating assumption changes in Europe relate to a change to assumed management actions in relation to product charges in Poland.

9    Other operating variances relate to modelling refinements in the UK, France and Italy and the cost of capital transactions and model refinements in the US.

 

Net of tax and

non-controlling interest

6 months 2013

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

163

87

35

-

285

Earnings from existing business






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

74

44

8

-

126

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)1

97

134

5

-

236


171

178

13

-

362

Experience variances






- maintenance expense

3

(2)

(1)

-

-

- project and other related expenses2

(18)

(1)

(6)

-

(25)

- mortality/morbidity

1

2

1

-

4

- lapses3

(13)

2

(1)

-

(12)

- other

(1)

3

1

-

3


(28)

4

(6)

-

(30)

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expense

(1)

-

-

-

(1)

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity4

(2)

-

10

-

8

- lapses5

-

(9)

1

-

(8)

- other

6

-

-

-

6


3

(9)

11

-

5

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

28

30

6

-

64

Other operating variances6

6

51

(2)

-

55

Earnings after tax and non-controlling interests

343

341

57

-

741

1    The expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) for Europe is lower at HY13 than HY12 as the release of the allowance for guarantees in Italy is lower.

2    Within the UK project and other related expenses reflect higher than expected expenditure on development of systems and processes

3    Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our businesses, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. Positive lapse experience in Europe reflects increased lapses on business with guarantees in Italy.

4    Morbidity assumptions have been updated in Korea

5    Persistency assumptions include additional provisions in Spain reflecting adverse experience in the joint ventures.

6    Other operating variances reflect management actions taken to reduce guarantees on existing business in Italy and France.

 

 

 

 

Page 125

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings continued

 

Net of tax and

non-controlling interest

Restated 6 months 2012

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Continuing

operations

£m

Discontinued

operations

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

135

67

29

-

231

(90)

141

Earnings from existing business








- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

82

76

8

-

166

21

187

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

156

137

2

-

295

165

460


238

213

10

-

461

186

647

Experience variances


-






- maintenance expense

6

(4)

-

1

3

4

7

- project and other related expenses1

(25)

(3)

(3)

-

(31)

(7)

(38)

- mortality/morbidity

(6)

9

5

-

8

(6)

2

- lapses2

(10)

(7)

(5)

-

(22)

2

(20)

- other3

9

11

(2)

-

18

(55)

(37)


(26)

6

(5)

1

(24)

(62)

(86)

Operating assumption changes:








- maintenance expenses

3

-

-

-

3

-

3

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity

(3)

-

3

-

-

-

-

- lapses4

6

(5)

1

-

2

-

2

- other5

(19)

-

-

4

(15)

-

(15)


(13)

(5)

4

4

(10)

-

(10)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

47

37

7

-

91

20

111

Other operating variances6

(20)

(34)

(3)

(1)

(58)

(1)

(59)

Earnings after tax and non-controlling interests

361

284

42

4

691

53

744

1    Project and other related expenses include higher expenditures related to increased level of regulatory change in the UK.

2    Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our business, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances.

3    Other experience includes the marginal impact of new business on the value of deferred losses in the US and Italy as well as other tax variances in the US.

4    Persistency assumptions include an additional short term provision in Italy reflecting economic circumstances.

5    Other assumption changes include a revision to profit margins on asset management in the UK.

6    Other operating variances include the impact of modelling refinements in France and Italy and the cost of capital management initiatives in the UK.

 

Net of tax and

non-controlling interest

Restated Full year 2012

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Continuing

operations

£m

Discontinued

operations

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

313

142

50

-

505

(182)

323

Earnings from existing business








- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

173

149

17

-

339

55

394

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

303

270

4

-

577

314

891


476

419

21

-

916

369

1,285

Experience variances


-






- maintenance expense1

(21)

(5)

-

1

(25)

(11)

(36)

- project and other related expenses1

(57)

(2)

(2)

-

(61)

(13)

(74)

- mortality/morbidity2

(1)

12

3

-

14

(16)

(2)

- lapses3

(7)

(8)

(7)

-

(22)

1

(21)

- other4

(4)

(12)

2

-

(14)

(72)

(86)


(90)

(15)

(4)

1

(108)

(111)

(219)

Operating assumption changes:








- maintenance expenses5

7

(34)

(2)

3

(26)

-

(26)

- project and other related expenses

(1)

-

-

-

(1)

-

(1)

- mortality/morbidity6

(26)

19

7

-

-

(143)

(143)

- lapses7

(6)

(124)

(1)

-

(131)

(47)

(178)

- other8

(17)

152

-

-

135

(61)

74


(43)

13

4

3

(23)

(251)

(274)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

85

72

12

-

169

41

210

Other operating variances9

(45)

(99)

1

-

(143)

(112)

(255)

Earnings after tax and non-controlling interests

696

532

84

4

1,316

(246)

1,070

1    Adverse expense experience occurred across a number of businesses. Within the UK the maintenance expense variance reflects a one-off realignment of investment expense allocation between With Profit and Non Profit business and project and other related expenses include higher expenditures related to increased level of regulatory change.

2    Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumption set across a number of our businesses.

3    Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our business, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. Positive lapse variance in Europe reflects increased lapses on business with guarantees in Italy.

4    Other experience includes the marginal impact of new business on the value of deferred losses in the US and Italy as well as other tax variances in the US and the impact of policyholders switching to with profit funds in France.

5    Maintenance expense assumptions have been revised based on recent analysis.

6    Mortality assumptions have been updated in the UK and US, primarily related to annuities.

7    Persistency assumptions have been updated in a number of businesses and include additional provisions in Europe reflecting economic circumstances.

8    Other operating assumption changes in Europe relate to a change to assumed management actions in relation to product charges in Poland.

9    Other operating variances relate to modelling refinements in the UK, France and Italy and the cost of capital transactions and model refinements in the US.

 

 

 

 

Page 126

 

 

 

 

 

F4 - Geographical analysis of fund management operating earnings

The summarised consolidated income statement on an MCEV basis includes earnings from the Group's fund management operations as analysed below. This excludes the proportion of the results of Aviva Investors fund management businesses and other fund management operations within the Group that arise from the provision of fund management services to our Life businesses.

      These results are included within the Life MCEV operating earnings.

 


6 months

 2013

£m

Restated

6 months

2012

£m

Full Year

 2012

£m

Aviva Investors

14

2

12

United Kingdom

10

4

11

Asia

1

-

1

Total - continuing operations

25

6

24

Total - discontinued operations1

22

1

4

Total

47

7

28

1    Discontinued operations in 2013 represent the result for US operations on an IFRS basis. In the comparatives US operations are on a MCEV basis and exclude results for fund management services related to life business.

F5 - Other operations

Where subsidiaries provide services to our life business, that proportion has been excluded. For MCEV reporting, these results are included within the Life MCEV operating return.

 


6 months

 2013

£m

Restated

6 months

2012

£m

Restated

Full Year

 2012

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

(20)

(12)

(20)

Europe

3

3

(6)

Asia

(6)

(9)

(12)

Other Group operations

(21)

(63)

(132)

Total - continuing operations

(44)

(81)

(170)

Total - discontinued operations1

(2)

(2)

(4)

Total

(46)

(83)

(174)

1    Discontinued operations in 2013 represent the result for US operations on an IFRS basis. In the comparatives US operations are on a MCEV basis and exclude results for other operations related to life business.

F6 - Exceptional items and integration and restructuring costs

Exceptional items are those items that, in the Directors' view, are required to be separately disclosed by virtue of their nature or incidence to enable a full understanding of the Group's financial performance. There were no exceptional items during the first half of 2013 (HY12: nil; FY12: £51 million). For FY12 this related to pension regulation changes in Turkey and Poland.

      Integration and restructuring costs for continuing business at HY13 were £163 million (HY12: £185 million; FY12: £464 million) and mainly include expenses associated with the Group's transformation programme. Compared with the prior period, integration and restructuring costs reduced by 10% mainly due to transformation activity in Ireland's general insurance business during the first half of 2012 which was not repeated in 2013 and a reduction in Solvency II implementation costs to £43 million (HY12: £71 million; FY12: £95 million), as the project moves towards completion. 

 

 

 

 

Page 127

 

 

 

 

F7 - Segmentation of consolidated statement of financial position

 


30 June 2013

Restated 30 June 2012

Restated 31 December 2012


Life and

related

businesses

£m

General

business and

other

£m

Group

£m

Life and

related

businesses

£m

General

business and

other

£m

Group

£m

Life and

related

businesses

£m

General

business and

other

£m

Group

£m

Total assets before acquired value of in-force long-term business

287,405

31,823

319,228

281,014

29,138

310,152

285,285

29,331

314,616

Acquired additional value of in-force long-term business

114

-

114

618

-

618

127

-

127

Total assets included in the IFRS statement of financial position

287,519

31,823

319,342

281,632

29,138

310,770

285,412

29,331

314,743

Liabilities of the long-term business

(275,366)

-

(275,366)

(266,736)

-

(266,736)

(272,450)

-

(272,450)

Liabilities of the general insurance and other businesses

-

(32,612)

(32,612)

-

(29,429)

(29,429)

-

(30,933)

(30,933)

Net assets on a statutory IFRS basis

12,153

(789)

11,364

14,896

(291)

14,605

12,962

(1,602)

11,360

Additional value of in-force long-term business1

5,239

-

5,239

1,064

-

1,064

4,870

-

4,870

Net assets on an MCEV basis2

17,392

(789)

16,603

15,960

(291)

15,669

17,832

(1,602)

16,230

Equity capital, capital reserves, shares held by employee trusts and other reserves



6,600



6,222



6,311

IFRS basis retained earnings



1,581



4,854



1,389

Additional MCEV basis retained earnings



4,818



1,203



4,734

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc on an MCEV basis



12,999



12,279



12,434

Preference share capital, direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes



1,582



1,582



1,582

Non-controlling interests



2,022



1,808



2,214

MCEV basis total equity



16,603



15,669



16,230

 

1    The analysis between the Group's and non-controlling interests' share of the additional value of in-force long-term business is as follows:


6 months 2013

£m

Full Year 2012

£m

Movement in

year

£m

Group's share included in shareholders' funds

4,818

4,734

84

Non-controlling interests' share

516

640

(124)

Movement in AFS securities

(95)

(504)

409

Additional value in-force long-term business

5,239

4,870

369

As at 6 months 2012, the additional value in force of long-term business was £1,064 million, comprising Group's share included in shareholder funds of £1,203 million, non-controlling interests' share of £309 million and movement in AFS securities of £(448) million.

 

2    Analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis is made up as follows:


6 months

 2013

£m

6 months 2012

£m

Full Year 2012

£m

Embedded Value

13,869

12,902

14,941

Non-controlling interests

1,346

1,152

1,556


15,215

14,054

16,497

Goodwill and intangible assets allocated to long-term business3

631

1,234

895

Notional allocation of IAS 19 pension fund surplus to long-term business4

258

672

440

Life Net Assets on IFRS Basis5

1,288

-

-

Long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis

17,392

15,960

17,832

3    Goodwill and intangible assets includes amounts related to associated undertakings and joint ventures and are after adjustments reflected in the additional value of in-force long-term business in the consolidated statement of financial position. In HY13 there is an adjustment to impair goodwill and intangibles by a further £13 million compared to IFRS (HY12: nil; FY12 £94 million). In aggregate, the goodwill and intangibles on an MCEV basis is £113 million (HY12: £nil; FY12: £94 million) lower than on an IFRS basis, allowing for exchange rate movements.

4    The value of the Aviva Staff Pension Scheme surplus has been notionally allocated between segments, based on current funding and, within the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis, the Life proportion has been included. The pension fund surplus notionally allocated to long-term business is net of the agreed funding borne by the UK with-profit funds.

5    Represents US life held for sale operations which from 1 January 2013 are not included in the MCEV covered business as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation

 

 

 

Page 128

 

 

 

 

F8 - Analysis of life and pension earnings

The following table provides an analysis of the movement in embedded value for covered business. The analysis is shown separately for free surplus, required capital and the value of in-force covered business, and includes amounts transferred between these categories. All figures are shown net of tax and non-controlling interests.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

30 June 2013

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Opening MCEV

2,078

7,789

5,074

14,941

Opening Adjustments2

(252)

(1,463)

657

(1,058)

Adjusted Opening MCEV

1,826

6,326

5,731

13,883

New business value

(164)

85

364

285

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

126

126

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

236

236

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

610

(155)

(455)

-

Experience variances

(15)

56

(71)

(30)

Assumption changes

5

6

(6)

5

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

10

54

-

64

Other operating variances

188

(14)

(119)

55

Operating MCEV earnings

634

32

75

741

Economic variances

(137)

(91)

466

238

Other non-operating variances3

(17)

-

1

(16)

Total MCEV earnings

480

(59)

542

963

Capital & dividend flows4

(762)

-

-

(762)

Foreign exchange variances

24

198

103

325

Acquired/divested business5

(159)

(165)

(216)

(540)

Closing MCEV

1,409

6,300

6,160

13,869

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    Represents the removal of the US life held for sale operations from covered business on 1 January 2013 as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation

3    Other non-operating variances relate to costs for Solvency II implementation and other restructuring exercises.

4    Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the 'look through' into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value.

5    Acquired/divested business includes the adjustment for held for sale operations and the disposal of Aseval, Ark Life, Malaysia, Russia and Romania pensions.

 


Continuing operations

Discontinued operations

Total

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated 30 June 2012

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Opening MCEV

1,355

6,390

4,327

12,072

(11)

1,575

(1,362)

202

12,274

New business value

(250)

91

390

231

(199)

158

(49)

(90)

141

Expected existing business contribution
(reference rate)

-

-

166

166

-

-

21

21

187

Expected existing business contribution
(in excess of reference rate)

-

-

295

295

-

-

165

165

460

Transfers from VIF and required capital to
the free surplus

620

(174)

(446)

-

302

(171)

(131)

-

-

Experience variances

83

(39)

(68)

(24)

(160)

47

51

(62)

(86)

Assumption changes

(28)

22

(4)

(10)

-

-

-

-

(10)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

33

58

-

91

(6)

26

-

20

111

Other operating variances

170

3

(231)

(58)

(35)

-

34

(1)

(59)

Operating MCEV earnings

628

(39)

102

691

(98)

60

91

53

744

Economic variances

(388)

183

601

396

140

13

(55)

98

494

Other non-operating variances2

(11)

-

1

(10)

(2)

-

1

(1)

(11)

Total MCEV earnings

229

144

704

1,077

40

73

37

150

1,227

Capital & dividend flows3

(482)

-

-

(482)

(26)

-

-

(26)

(508)

Foreign exchange variance

3

(102)

(9)

(108)

-

(14)

14

-

(108)

Acquired/divested business4

5

(4)

16

17

-

-

-

-

17

Closing MCEV

1,110

6,428

5,038

12,576

3

1,634

(1,311)

326

12,902

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    Other non-operating variances relate to costs for Solvency II implementation and other restructuring exercises.

3    Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the 'look through' into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value.

4    Acquired/divested business includes acquisition of Pelayo Vida on 17 January 2012.

 

 

 

 

Page 129

 

 

 

 

 

 

F8 - Analysis of life and pension earnings continued

 


Continuing operations

Discontinued operations

Total

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Full year 2012

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Opening MCEV

1,355

6,390

4,327

12,072

(11)

1,575

(1,362)

202

12,274

New business value

(389)

155

739

505

(319)

298

(161)

(182)

323

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

339

339

-

-

55

55

394

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

577

577

-

-

314

314

891

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

1,133

(246)

(887)

-

587

(375)

(212)

-

-

Experience variances

112

(162)

(58)

(108)

(212)

53

48

(111)

(219)

Assumption changes

-

30

(53)

(23)

-

-

(251)

(251)

(274)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

56

113

-

169

(7)

48

-

41

210

Other operating variances

314

30

(487)

(143)

(8)

-

(104)

(112)

(255)

Operating MCEV earnings

1,226

(80)

170

1,316

41

24

(311)

(246)

1,070

Economic variances

(390)

121

1,022

753

216

(67)

(153)

(4)

749

Other non-operating variances2

(71)

-

36

(35)

(4)

-

3

(1)

(36)

Total MCEV earnings

765

41

1,228

2,034

253

(43)

(461)

(251)

1,783

Capital & dividend flows3

(299)

-

-

(299)

16

-

-

16

(283)

Foreign exchange variance

5

(88)

27

(56)

(6)

(69)

71

(4)

(60)

Acquired/divested business4

-

(17)

149

132

-

-

1,095

1,095

1,227

Closing MCEV

1,826

6,326

5,731

13,883

252

1,463

(657)

1,058

14,941

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    Other non-operating variances relate to costs for Solvency II implementation and other restructuring exercises, as well as the impact of regulatory changes in Poland and Turkey.

3    Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the 'look through' into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value.

4    Acquired/divested business includes the adjustment for held for sale operations, the acquisition of Pelayo Vida on 17 January 2012, and the divesture of Czech, Hungarian, Romanian and Sri Lankan Life businesses.

 

 

 

 

Page 130

 

 

 

 

 

 

F9 - Life MCEV operating earnings

The table below presents the life and pensions MCEV earnings broken down into constituent parts. The life and pensions MCEV operating earnings comprise: the value of new business written during the year; the earnings from existing business including other operating variances; and the expected investment return on the shareholders' net worth.

      These components are calculated using economic assumptions as at the start of the year (in-force business) or start of the quarter or more frequently (new business) and operating (demographic and expenses) assumptions as at the end of the period.

 

Gross of tax and non-controlling interest

6 months

2013

£m

Restated
6 months

2012

£m

Full year

2012

£m

Value of new business

401

343

746

Earnings from existing business




- expected returns at the reference rate

174

239

487

- expected returns in excess of the reference rate

405

560

1,090

- expected returns

579

799

1,577

- experience variances

(37)

(18)

(78)

- operating assumption changes

(8)

(21)

(74)

Other operating variance

160

(106)

(249)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

106

150

284

Life and pensions operating earnings before tax

1,201

1,147

2,206

Economic variances

555

1,022

1,901

Other non-operating variances

(21)

(13)

(42)

Life and pensions earnings before tax

1,735

2,156

4,065

Tax on operating earnings

(333)

(320)

(576)

Tax on other activities

(166)

(345)

(619)

Life and pensions earnings after tax - continuing operations

1,236

1,491

2,870

Life and pensions earnings after tax - discontinued operations

-

150

(251)

Life and pensions earnings after tax

1,236

1,641

2,619

 

There were no separate development costs reported in these years.

      Other non-operating variances relate to costs for Solvency II implementation and other restructuring exercises.

      The table above presents a summarised breakdown of the life and pensions MCEV earnings on a gross of non-controlling interests basis and gross of tax with tax shown separately. The Group favours the gross presentation for consistency with the IFRS results. The table below compares the key items on the different bases as the subsequent analysis is provided predominantly on a net of tax and non-controlling interests basis as preferred by the CFO Forum Principles.

Key indicators

 


6 months 2013

Restated 6 months 2012

Full year 2012


Net

of non-

controlling

interests

and tax

£m

Gross

of non-

controlling

interests

and tax

£m

Net

of non-

controlling

interests

and tax

£m

Gross

of non-

controlling

interests

and tax

£m

Net

of non-

controlling

interests

and tax

£m

Gross

of non-

controlling

interests

and tax

£m

Value of new business - continuing operations

285

401

231

343

505

746

Value of new business - discontinued operations

-

-

(90)

(138)

(182)

(280)

Total value of new business

285

401

141

205

323

466

Life and pensions operating return - continuing operations

741

1,201

691

1,147

1,316

2,206

Life and pensions operating return - discontinued operations

-

-

53

81

(246)

(378)

Total life and pensions operating return

741

1,201

744

1,228

1,070

1,828

Life and pensions earnings - continuing operations

963

1,735

1,077

2,156

2,034

4,065

Life and pensions earnings - discontinued operations

-

-

150

231

(251)

(387)

Total life and pensions earnings

963

1,735

1,227

2,387

1,783

3,678

 

 

 

Page 131

 

 

 

 

 

F10 - Present value of life new business premiums

The tables below set out the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) written by the life and related businesses, gross of tax and non-controlling interests. The PVNBP calculation is equal to total single premium sales received in the period plus the discounted value of regular premiums expected to be received over the term of the new contracts, and is expressed at the point
of sale.

      The premium volumes and projection assumptions used to calculate the present value of regular premiums for each product

are the same as those used to calculate the value of new business, so the components of the new business margin are on a

consistent basis.

      The weighted average capitalisation factor (WACF) is the multiple of the annualised regular premium which gives the present value at point of sale of the regular premiums.

 

Gross of non-controlling interests

6 months 2013

Regular

premiums

£m

WACF

Present

value of

regular

premiums

£m

Single

premiums

£m

Present

value of

new

business

premiums

£m

344

4.9

1,681

2,760

4,441

Ireland

13

4.2

55

170

225

United Kingdom & Ireland

357

4.9

1,736

2,930

4,666

France

49

8.3

407

1,966

2,373

Poland

23

7.5

173

54

227

Italy

33

5.7

188

1,117

1,305

Spain

31

5.6

175

466

641

Other Europe

58

3.9

225

48

273

Europe

194

6.0

1,168

3,651

4,819

Asia

149

5.3

786

75

861

Other

-

-

-

7

7

Total life and pensions

700

5.3

3,690

6,663

10,353

 

Gross of non-controlling interests

Restated 6 months 2012

Regular

premiums

£m

WACF

Present

value of

regular

premiums

£m

Single

premiums

£m

Present

value of

new

business

premiums

£m

390

5.2

2,033

3,354

5,387

Ireland

20

4.0

80

262

342

United Kingdom & Ireland

410

5.2

2,113

3,616

5,729

France

40

7.0

280

1,664

1,944

Poland

18

7.6

137

64

201

Italy

39

5.4

210

1,049

1,259

Spain

36

5.5

199

506

705

Other Europe

41

4.9

200

49

249

Europe

174

5.9

1,026

3,332

4,358

Asia

155

5.0

780

133

913

Other

-

-

-

30

30

Total life and pensions - continuing operations

739

5.3

3,919

7,111

11,030

Total life and pensions - discontinued operations1

59

10.3

608

1,465

2,073

Total life and pensions

798

5.7

4,527

8,576

13,103

1    Represents the results of the United States.

 

Gross of non-controlling interests

Restated Full year 2012

Regular

premiums

£m

WACF

Present

value of

regular

premiums

£m

Single

premiums

£m

Present

value of

new

business

premiums

£m

771

4.9

3,793

6,617

10,410

Ireland

33

3.8

127

505

632

United Kingdom & Ireland

804

4.9

3,920

7,122

11,042

France

74

7.9

584

3,054

3,638

Poland

36

7.3

261

112

373

Italy

54

5.9

317

1,654

1,971

Spain

67

5.6

375

920

1,295

Other Europe

86

4.1

352

119

471

Europe

317

6.0

1,889

5,859

7,748

Asia

282

5.3

1,482

283

1,765

Other

-

-

-

91

91

Total life and pensions - continuing operations

1,403

5.2

7,291

13,355

20,646

Total life and pensions - discontinued operations1

130

11.1

1,440

2,599

4,039

Total life and pensions

1,533

5.7

8,731

15,954

24,685

1    Represents the results of the United States.

 

 

 

 

Page 132

 

 

 

 

 

F11 - Geographical analysis of value of new business

The tables below set out the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) written by the life and related businesses, the value of the new business and the resulting margin, firstly gross and then net of tax and non-controlling interests. The value generated by new business written during the period is the present value of the projected stream of after-tax distributable profit from that business, including expected profit between point of sale and the valuation date. It reflects the additional value to shareholders created through the activity of writing new business including the impacts of interactions between in force and new business with the exception of tax as noted in the basis of preparation. The value of new business has been calculated using economic assumption at the point of sale which has been implemented with the assumptions being taken as those appropriate to the start of each quarter. For contracts that are re-priced more frequently, weekly or monthly economic assumptions have been used. The operating assumptions are consistent with those used to determine the embedded value. The value of new business is shown after the effect of the frictional costs of holding required capital, and after the effect of the costs of residual non-hedgeable risks on the same basis as for the in-force covered business.

 


Present value of new

business premiums

Value of new business

New business margin

Gross of tax and non-controlling interest

6 months

2013

£m

Restated

6 months

2012

£m

Full year

2012

£m

6 months

2013

£m

Restated

6 months

2012

£m

Full year

2012

£m

6 months

2013

%

Restated

6 months

2012

%

Full year

2012

%

United Kingdom

4,441

5,387

10,410

211

182

420

4.8%

3.4%

4.0%

Ireland

225

342

632

1

(6)

(8)

0.4%

(1.8)%

(1.3)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

4,666

5,729

11,042

212

176

412

4.5%

3.1%

3.7%

France

2,373

1,944

3,638

86

62

119

3.6%

3.2%

3.3%

Poland

227

201

373

21

18

35

9.3%

9.0%

9.4%

Italy

1,305

1,259

1,971

6

14

29

0.5%

1.1%

1.5%

Spain

641

705

1,295

13

21

56

2.0%

3.0%

4.3%

Other Europe

273

249

471

21

15

32

7.7%

6.0%

6.8%

Europe

4,819

4,358

7,748

147

130

271

3.1%

3.0%

3.5%

Asia

861

913

1,765

42

37

63

4.9%

4.1%

3.6%

Other

7

30

91

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total life and pensions - continuing operations

10,353

11,030

20,646

401

343

746

3.9%

3.1%

3.6%

Total life and pensions - discontinued operations1


2,073

4,039


(138)

(280)


(6.7)%

(6.9)%

Total life and pensions

10,353

13,103

24,685

401

205

466

3.9%

1.6%

1.9%

1    Prior period represents the results of the United States.

 


Present value of new

business premiums

Value of new business

New business margin

Net of tax and non-controlling interest

6 months

2013

£m

Restated

6 months

2012

£m

Full year

2012

£m

6 months

2013

£m

Restated

6 months

2012

£m

Full year

2012

£m

6 months

2013

%

Restated

6 months

2012

%

Full year

2012

%

United Kingdom

4,441

5,387

10,410

162

138

319

3.6%

2.6%

3.1%

Ireland

205

256

474

1

(3)

(6)

0.5%

(1.2)%

(1.3)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

4,646

5,643

10,884

163

135

313

3.5%

2.4%

2.9%

France

1,981

1,588

2,996

50

35

67

2.5%

2.2%

2.2%

Poland

205

183

339

16

13

26

7.8%

7.1%

7.7%

Italy

546

549

841

1

4

8

0.2%

0.7%

1.0%

Spain

357

391

719

3

4

15

0.8%

1.0%

2.1%

Other Europe

273

249

470

17

11

26

6.2%

4.4%

5.5%

Europe

3,362

2,960

5,365

87

67

142

2.6%

2.3%

2.6%

Asia

860

903

1,748

35

29

50

4.1%

3.2%

2.9%

Other

7

30

91

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total life and pensions - continuing operations

8,875

9,536

18,088

285

231

505

3.2%

2.4%

2.8%

Total life and pensions - discontinued operations1


2,073

4,039


(90)

(182)


(4.3)%

(4.5)%

Total life and pensions

8,875

11,609

22,127

285

141

323

3.2%

1.2%

1.5%

1    Prior period represents the results of the United States.

 

 

 

Page 133

 

 

 

 

F12 - Operating Capital Generation

 


Existing business

New business

Total business

Net of tax and non-controlling interest

6 months 2013

Transfer

from VIF to

net worth

£m

Return on

net worth

£m

Impact of

experience

variances

and

assumption

changes

on net

worth

£m

Release of

required

capital to

free

surplus

£m

Total

existing

business

surplus

generation

£m

Impact on

net worth

£m

Reduction

in free

surplus

from

required

capital

£m

Total new

business

surplus

generation

£m

Total free

surplus

generation

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

177

28

119

(78)

246

(7)

24

17

263

Europe

241

30

52

120

443

(48)

(98)

(146)

297

Asia and Other

37

6

55

11

109

(24)

(11)

(35)

74

Total

455

64

226

53

798

(79)

(85)

(164)

634

 


Existing business

New business

Total business

Net of tax and non-controlling interest

Restated 6 months 2012

Transfer

from VIF to

net worth

£m

Return on

net worth

£m

Impact of

experience

variances

and

assumption

changes

on net

worth

£m

Release of

required

capital to

free

surplus

£m

Total

existing

business

surplus

generation

£m

Impact on

net worth

£m

Reduction

in free

surplus

from

required

capital

£m

Total new

business

surplus

generation

£m

Total free

surplus

generation

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

183

47

196

(13)

413

(70)

19

(51)

362

Europe

227

37

14

133

411

(64)

(95)

(159)

252

Asia and Other

36

7

1

10

54

(25)

(15)

(40)

14

Total - continuing operations

446

91

211

130

878

(159)

(91)

(250)

628

Total - discontinued operations1

131

20

(148)

98

101

(41)

(158)

(199)

(98)

Total

577

111

63

228

979

(200)

(249)

(449)

530

1    Represents the results of the United States.

 


Existing business




New business



Total business

Net of tax and non-controlling interest

Restated Full year 2012

Transfer

from VIF to

net worth

£m

Return on

net worth

£m

Impact of

experience

variances

and

assumption

changes

on net

worth

£m

Release of

required

capital to

free

surplus

£m

Total

existing

business

surplus

generation

£m

Impact on

net worth

£m

Reduction

in free

surplus

from

required

capital

£m

Total new

business

surplus

generation

£m

Total free

surplus

generation

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

364

85

194

67

710

(78)

41

(37)

673

Europe

451

72

72

126

721

(101)

(167)

(268)

453

Asia and Other

72

12

58

42

184

(55)

(29)

(84)

100

Total - continuing operations

887

169

324

235

1,615

(234)

(155)

(389)

1,226

Total - discontinued operations1

212

41

(167)

274

360

(21)

(298)

(319)

41

Total

1,099

210

157

509

1,975

(255)

(453)

(708)

1,267

1    Represents the results of the United States.

 

The above table includes the impact of a true-up of a prior estimate of required capital in Europe, negatively impacting Free Surplus Generation by £88 million. This is excluded from Life OCG in the "Cash" section of this report as it did not impact the actual capital generated in 2012.

 

 

 

Page 134

 

 

 

 

F13 - Maturity profile of business

(a) Total in-force business

To show the profile of the VIF emergence, the value of VIF in the statements of financial position has been split into five-year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

30 June 2013

£m

0-51

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

514

986

731

354

894

3,479

Europe

841

612

376

233

363

2,425

Asia and Other

160

143

38

5

(90)

256

Total

1,515

1,741

1,145

592

1,167

6,160

1    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

Restated 30 June 2012

£m

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

319

780

709

355

768

2,931

Europe

641

426

283

185

260

1,795

Asia and Other

202

131

44

14

(79)

312

Total - excluding United States

1,162

1,337

1,036

554

949

5,038

Total - United States

36

(525)

(361)

(154)

(307)

(1,311)

Total

1,198

812

675

400

642

3,727

 

Net of non-controlling interest

Restated 31 December 2012

£m

0-51

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

496

893

639

261

812

3,101

Europe

900

517

352

227

381

2,377

Asia and Other

208

137

32

11

(135)

253

Total - excluding United States

1,604

1,547

1,023

499

1,058

5,731

Total - United States

(657)

-

-

-

-

(657)

Total

947

1,547

1,023

499

1,058

5,074

1    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

(b) New business

To show the profile of the VIF emergence, the value of new business has been split into five-year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

30 June 2013

£m

0-51

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

63

30

15

8

54

170

Europe

57

31

20

13

14

135

Asia and Other

25

17

9

6

2

59

Total

145

78

44

27

70

364

1    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

Restated 30 June 2012

£m

0-51

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

50

45

31

22

57

205

Europe

63

30

17

10

11

131

Asia and Other

26

13

6

4

5

54

Total - continuing operations

139

88

54

36

73

390

Total - discontinued operations1

4

(19)

(3)

(6)

(25)

(49)

Total

143

69

51

30

48

341

1    Represents the results of the United States.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

Restated 31 December 2012

£m

0-51

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

85

73

50

35

148

391

Europe

112

55

35

19

21

242

Asia and Other

53

29

11

9

4

106

Total - continuing operations

250

157

96

63

173

739

Total - discontinued operations2

(161)

-

-

-

-

(161)

Total

89

157

96

63

173

578

1    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

2    Represents the results of the United States.

 

 

 

 

Page 135

 

 

 

 

F14 - Segmental analysis of life and related business embedded value

 

Net of non-controlling interest

30 June 2013

£m

Free

surplus

£m

Required

Capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

United Kingdom

907

2,674

3,005

6,586

Ireland

107

188

474

769

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,014

2,862

3,479

7,355

France2

(2)

2,235

1,052

3,285

Poland

137

110

1,208

1,455

Italy2,3

(27)

576

(25)

524

Spain2,3

-

244

76

320

Other Europe

8

19

114

141

Europe

116

3,184

2,425

5,725

Asia

239

244

244

727

Other

40

10

12

62

Total

1,409

6,300

6,160

13,869

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    France, Italy and Spain have a positive surplus on a statutory basis.

3    Required capital in Italy and Spain reflects the current economic environment and is in excess of regulatory requirements.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

Restated 30 June 2012

£m

Free

surplus

£m

Required

Capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

United Kingdom

1,093

2,797

2,496

6,386

Ireland

21

310

435

766

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,114

3,107

2,931

7,152

France2

(199)

1,971

992

2,764

Poland

91

104

951

1,146

Italy2 3

(216)

727

(314)

197

Spain

109

219

32

360

Other Europe

28

34

134

196

Europe

(187)

3,055

1,795

4,663

Asia

146

256

297

699

Other

37

10

15

62

Total - excluding United States

1,110

6,428

5,038

12,576

Total - United States4

3

1,634

(1,311)

326

Total

1,113

8,062

3,727

12,902

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    France and Italy have a positive surplus on a statutory basis

3    Required capital in Italy reflects the current economic environment and is in excess of regulatory requirements.

4    Aviva USA's holding company debt amounting to £738 million at 30 June 2012 has been included within non-covered business.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

Restated 31 December 2012

£m

Free

surplus

£m

Required

Capital1

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

United Kingdom

1,230

2,648

2,621

6,499

Ireland

96

246

480

822

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,326

2,894

3,101

7,321

France

80

2,106

984

3,170

Poland

161

113

1,282

1,556

Italy2 3

(42)

598

(172)

384

Spain2

58

294

178

530

Other Europe

25

29

105

159

Europe

282

3,140

2,377

5,799

Asia

180

282

240

702

Other

38

10

13

61

Total - excluding United States

1,826

6,326

5,731

13,883

Total - United States4

252

1,463

(657)

1,058

Total

2,078

7,789

5,074

14,941

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    Required capital in Italy and Spain reflects the current economic environment and is in excess of regulatory requirements.

3    Italy has a positive surplus on a statutory basis.

4    Aviva USA's holding company debt amounting to £708 million at 31 December 2012 has been included within non-covered business.

 

The required capital across our life businesses varies between 100% and 222% of EU minimum or equivalent (100% to 325% at HY12; 100% to 325% at FY12). The figures have changed since FY12 given that the US is no longer included in covered business. The weighted average level of required capital for our life business expressed as a percentage of the EU minimum (or equivalent) solvency margin has decreased to 117% (HY12: 138%; FY12: 134%). These levels of required capital are used in the calculation of the Group's embedded value to evaluate the cost of locked in capital. At 30 June 2013 the aggregate regulatory requirements based on the EU minimum test amounted to £5.4 billion (HY12: £5.8 billion; FY12: £5.8 billion). At this date, the actual net worth held in our long-term business, was £7.7 billion (HY12: £9.1 billion; FY12: £9.9 billion) which represents 143% (HY12: 157%; FY12: 170%) of these minimum requirements.

 

 

 

 

Page 136

 

 

 

 

 

F15 - Risk allowance within present value of in-force (VIF)

Within the VIF in the tables, there are additional allowances for risks not included within the basic present value of future

profits calculation.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

30 June 2013

£m

PVFP

£m

Frictional

costs

£m

Non-

hedgeable risks

£m

Time value of

financial

options and

guarantees

£m

VIF

£m

3,710

(240)

(432)

(33)

3,005

Ireland

503

(6)

(23)

-

474

United Kingdom & Ireland

4,213

(246)

(455)

(33)

3,479

France

2,181

(136)

(237)

(756)

1,052

Poland

1,454

(10)

(226)

(10)

1,208

Italy

38

(11)

(30)

(22)

(25)

Spain

129

(10)

(27)

(16)

76

Other Europe

117

(1)

(2)

-

114

Europe

3,919

(168)

(522)

(804)

2,425

Asia

406

(31)

(84)

(47)

244

Other

13

-

(1)

-

12

Total

8,551

(445)

(1,062)

(884)

6,160

 

The removal of the United States from covered business as set out in F1 Basis of Preparation has reduced the total risk allowances. Excluding the United States, relative to FY12:

n Frictional costs have become more negative by £39 million due to economic movements in France.

n The allowance for non-hedgeable risks has become less negative by £32 million, primarily in Poland, due to increases in risk-free rates, and Spain, due to the sale of Aseval, offset by results in France caused by exchange rate movements.

n The Time Value of Options and Guarantees has become less negative by £20 million primarily due to management actions in France and Italy and favourable economics, offset by exchange rate impacts.

 

Net of non-controlling interest

Restated 30 June 2012

£m

PVFP

£m

Frictional

costs

£m

Non-

hedgeable

risks

£m

Time value of

financial

options and

guarantees

£m

VIF

£m

3,176

(238)

(386)

(56)

2,496

Ireland

473

(10)

(27)

(1)

435

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,649

(248)

(413)

(57)

2,931

France

1,838

(115)

(190)

(541)

992

Poland

1,114

(11)

(149)

(3)

951

Italy

(246)

(1)

(17)

(50)

(314)

Spain

97

(9)

(43)

(13)

32

Other Europe

145

(2)

(7)

(2)

134

Europe

2,948

(138)

(406)

(609)

1,795

Asia

448

(27)

(72)

(52)

297

Other

16

-

(1)

-

15

Total - excluding United States

7,061

(413)

(892)

(718)

5,038

Total - United States

(567)

(145)

(70)

(529)

(1,311)

Total

6,494

(558)

(962)

(1,247)

3,727

 

Net of non-controlling interest

31 December 2012

£m

PVFP

£m

Frictional

costs

£m

Non-

hedgeable

risks

£m

Time value of

financial

options and

guarantees

£m

VIF

£m

3,334

(241)

(436)

(36)

2,621

Ireland

512

(8)

(24)

-

480

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,846

(249)

(460)

(36)

3,101

France

2,050

(105)

(225)

(736)

984

Poland

1,545

(8)

(244)

(11)

1,282

Italy

(96)

(7)

(34)

(35)

(172)

Spain

241

(5)

(39)

(19)

178

Other Europe

108

(1)

(2)

-

105

Europe

3,848

(126)

(544)

(801)

2,377

Asia

427

(31)

(89)

(67)

240

Other

14

-

(1)

-

13

Total - excluding United States

8,135

(406)

(1,094)

(904)

5,731

Total - United States

(50)

(141)

(158)

(308)

(657)

Total

8,085

(547)

(1,252)

(1,212)

5,074

 

 

 

 

Page 137

 

 

 

 

 

F16 - Implied discount rates (IDR)

In the valuation of a block of business, the IDR is the rate of discount such that a traditional embedded value calculation for the covered business equates to the MCEV.

      The cash flows projected are the expected future cash flows including expected investment cash flows from equities, bonds and properties earning a risk premium in excess of risk free, statutory reserves and required capital. The risk premiums used are consistent with those used in the expected existing business contribution within operating earnings. As the risk premiums are positive, a discount rate higher than risk-free is required to give a value equal to the market-consistent embedded value.

      Average derived risk discount rates are shown below for the embedded value.

 


30 June 2013

%

Restated

30 June 2012

%

31 December 2012

%

United Kingdom

6.9%

8.5%

7.2%

Ireland1

1.6%

2.6%

1.9%

United Kingdom & Ireland

6.3%

7.6%

6.4%

France

7.0%

6.8%

6.7%

Poland

5.7%

6.4%

5.2%

Italy1

8.9%

32.0%

13.4%

Spain1

11.3%

16.5%

12.9%

Other Europe1

6.3%

6.4%

6.5%

Europe

7.4%

11.5%

8.0%

Asia1

5.4%

4.5%

5.6%

Other

-

-

-

Total - excluding United States1

6.8%

9.3%

7.2%

Total - United States1,2


n/a

n/a

Total

6.8%

n/a

n/a

1    IDRs have been calculated excluding held for sale operations, reflecting that they are stated at expected fair value less cost to sell.

2    Where there is significant difference in projected real world and risk neutral profits and the value of the in force business plus required capital is negative or close to zero, the IDR is not well defined and consequently IDR is not meaningful.

F17 - Summary of non-controlling interest in life and related businesses' MCEV results

 

30 June 2013

Ireland

£m

France

£m

Spain

£m

Italy

£m

Poland

£m

Asia

£m

 

 

Total

£m

Share-
holders'

Interest

£m

Group

£m

Value of new business after tax

-

6

7

3

1

-

17

285

302

Life MCEV operating earnings after tax

-

14

11

95

7

-

127

741

868

Life MCEV earnings/(loss) after tax

-

6

93

177

(3)

-

273

963

1,236

Closing covered businesses' embedded value

-

302

295

547

199

3

1,346

13,869

15,215

 

Restated 30 June 2012

Ireland

£m

France

£m

Spain

£m

Italy

£m

Poland

£m

Asia

£m

 

 

Total

£m

Share-holders'

Interest

£m

Group

£m

Value of new business after tax

(1)

6

10

6

1

1

23

141

164

Life MCEV operating (loss)/earnings after tax

(1)

7

34

88

7

2

137

744

881

Life MCEV earnings/(loss) after tax

1

18

(20)

405

8

2

414

1,227

1,641

Closing covered businesses' embedded value

256

209

346

165

156

20

1,152

12,902

14,054

 

Full year 2012

Ireland

£m

France

£m

Spain

£m

Italy

£m

Poland

£m

Asia

£m

 

 

Total

£m

Share-holders'

Interest

£m

Group

£m

Value of new business after tax

(2)

12

24

10

3

1

48

323

371

Life MCEV operating earnings after tax

13

36

79

154

30

2

314

1,070

1,384

Life MCEV earnings after tax

15

75

60

626

59

1

836

1,783

2,619

Closing covered businesses' embedded value

272

280

406

381

214

3

1,556

14,941

16,497

 

Non-controlling interest in life and related businesses is not impacted by the treatment of held for sale operations. There are no non-controlling interests in the United Kingdom or United States.

 

 

 

 

Page 138

 

 

 

 

 

F18 - Principal assumptions

(a) Economic assumptions - Deterministic calculations

Economic assumptions are derived actively, based on market yields on risk-free fixed interest assets at the end of each
reporting period.

      In setting the risk-free rate we have, wherever possible, used the mid-price swap yield curve for an AA-rated bank. The curve is extrapolated beyond the last available market data point to an ultimate forward rate using the Nelson-Siegel functional form if necessary. For markets in which there is no reliable swap yield curve, the relevant government bond yields are used. For certain business, swap rates are adjusted for a 'liquidity premium' in deriving the risk free rates, and these adjustments are shown below the reference rate table.

      Required capital is shown as a multiple of the EU statutory minimum solvency margin or equivalent.

      The principal economic assumptions used are as follows:

Reference rate (spot, swap rates) and expense inflation

 

United Kingdom

30 June

2013

30 June

2012

Full Year

2012

Full Year
2011

Reference rate





   1 year

0.6%

0.9%

0.6%

1.2%

   5 years

1.6%

1.3%

1.0%

1.6%

   10 years

2.7%

2.2%

1.9%

2.3%

   15 years

3.2%

2.7%

2.6%

2.8%

   20 years

3.4%

3.0%

2.9%

3.0%

Expense inflation

3.1%

2.6%

2.8%

2.8%

 

Eurozone

30 June

2013

Restated1

30 June

2012

Full Year

2012

Full year
2011

Reference rate





   1 year

0.4%

0.8%

0.3%

1.4%

   5 years

1.2%

1.3%

0.8%

1.7%

   10 years

2.1%

2.0%

1.6%

2.4%

   15 years

2.5%

2.3%

2.1%

2.8%

   20 years

2.6%

2.4%

2.3%

2.8%

Expense inflation1

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

1    Based on France, the largest Eurozone business. 30 June 2012 expense inflation restated from overall Eurozone rate.

 

Poland

30 June

2013

30 June

2012

Full Year

2012

Full year
2011

Reference rate





   1 year

2.8%

5.0%

3.4%

4.9%

   5 years

3.8%

4.6%

3.4%

4.8%

   10 years

4.2%

4.7%

3.5%

5.0%

   15 years

4.2%

4.4%

3.4%

4.7%

   20 years

4.1%

4.1%

3.2%

4.3%

Expense inflation

2.6%

3.3%

2.1%

2.9%

 

United States

30 June

2013

30 June

2012

Full Year

2012

Full year
2011

Reference rate





   1 year

n/a

0.5%

0.3%

0.7%

   5 years

n/a

1.0%

0.9%

1.2%

   10 years

n/a

1.8%

1.9%

2.1%

   15 years

n/a

2.3%

2.4%

2.5%

   20 years

n/a

2.5%

2.7%

2.6%

Expense inflation

n/a

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

 

For service companies, expense inflation relates to the underlying expenses rather than the fees charged to the life company.

      The following adjustments are made to the swap rate for immediate annuity type contracts and for all contracts for Aviva USA.

      The risk-free rate is taken as the swap yield curve for the currency of the liability, adjusted by adding the following to each swap rate:

 



New business






Embedded value




2Q 2013

1Q 2013

4Q 2012

3Q 2012

2Q 2012

1Q 2012

30 June

2013

30 June

2012

Full Year

2012

UK immediate annuities


1.21%

1.24%

1.19%

1.49%

1.46%

1.34%

1.22%

1.43%

1.30%

UK bulk purchase annuities


1.21%

1.24%

1.19%

1.49%

1.46%

1.34%

1.22%

1.43%

1.30%

France


n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.38%

0.87%

0.44%

Spain


0.23%

0.17%

0.13%

0.09%

0.28%

0.35%

0.25%

0.64%

0.30%

US immediate annuities


n/a

n/a

0.83%

0.95%

1.00%

1.26%

n/a

1.17%

0.91%

US deferred annuities and all other contracts


n/a

n/a

0.70%

0.81%

0.84%

1.07%

n/a

0.99%

0.77%

 

The approach to estimating the market level of liquidity premium in corporate bond assets is consistent with the formula structure proposed by CFO/CRO Forum and adopted in the Solvency II Fifth Quantitative Impact Study (QIS5).

 

 

 

Page 139

 

 

 

 

F18 - Principal assumptions continued

(a) Economic assumptions - Deterministic calculations continued

 

The formula is:

      United Kingdom/Europe:                 50% of (iBoxx Corporate bond spread - 40bp)

      USA:                                                 60% of (iBoxx Corporate bond spread - 40bp)

 

For assets valued on a marked to model basis (e.g., commercial mortgages), the liquidity premium is consistent with the underlying model valuation.

      Adjustments are made where liabilities are not fully backed by assets earning a liquidity premium and for contracts that are exposed to some lapse risk (15% reduction to the market level liquidity premium). There has been no change to the types of contracts to which a liquidity premium is applied, and it is applied to all components of the MCEV with the exception of the adjustment for the "look-through" into service company expenses.

Risk premium - used for operating profit, Implied Discount Rates (IDR), Internal Rates of Return (IRR) and payback period

For life and pensions operating earnings, Aviva uses normalised investment returns. The normalised investment returns are

expressed as a swap rate based on the typical duration of the assets held plus an asset risk premium. More detail is given in note

F1 - Basis of preparation.

      The use of asset risk premia only impacts operating earnings as expected returns reflect management's long-term expectations of asset returns in excess of the reference rate from investing in different asset classes. This assumption does not impact the embedded value or value of new business as asset risk premia are not recognised until earned. The asset risk premia set out in the table below are added to the ten year swap rate to calculate expected returns.

 

All territories

30 June

2013

30 June
2012

Full Year
2012

Full Year
2011

Equity risk premium

3.5%

3.5%

3.5%

3.5%

Property risk premium

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

 

Future returns on fixed interest investments are calculated from prospective yields less an adjustment for credit risk.

Required capital and tax

 


Tax rates1


Required capital

(% EU minimum or equivalent)


30 June

2013

30 June
2012

FullYear
2012

Full Year
2011


30 June

2013

30 June
2012

Full Year
2012

United Kingdom2

20.0%

23.0%

23.0%

25.0%


100%/200%

100%/200%

100%/200%

Ireland3

12.5%

12.5%

12.5%

12.5%


180%

174%/180%

174%/180%

France

34.4%

34.4%

34.4%

34.4%


107.5%

107.5%

107.5%

United States

n/a

35.0%

35.0%

35.0%


n/a

325%

325%

Spain4

30.0%

30.0%

30.0%

30.0%


197%

134%

177%

Italy5

34.3%

34.3%

34.3%

34.3%


222%

305%

243%

Poland

19.0%

19.0%

19.0%

19.0%


125.5%

125.5%

125.5%

1    Current tax legislation and rates have been assumed to continue unaltered except where changes in future tax rates have been substantively enacted with the exception of the United Kingdom as set out below.

2    The required capital in the United Kingdom under MCEV is 100% for unit-linked and other non-participating business and annuity business with 200% for BPA business. In addition, the reattribution of the inherited estate has led to additional capital being locked in to support the with-profit business, and this has been included within required capital.

3    Required capital in Ireland for comparative periods under MCEV is 174% for bancassurance and 180% for retail business.

4    This is the aggregate required capital for in force business in Spain. The increase in 2012 and 2013 reflects the current economic environment. New business metrics continue to use management target levels of required capital (119%-138% of EU minimum), which better reflects the capital requirements of the new business.

5    This is the aggregate required capital level for in force business in Italy and reflects the current economic environment. New business metrics continue to use management target levels of required capital (115%-120% of EU minimum), which better reflects the capital requirements of the new business

 

Legislation has been substantively enacted in July 2013 to reduce the main rate of UK Corporation tax to 21% from 1 April 2014, with a further reduction to 20% from 1 April 2015. This reduction to 20% is considered a known future change for MCEV purposes and has been reflected in the Group's MCEV net assets as at 30 June 2013.

Other economic assumptions

Required capital relating to with-profit business is generally assumed to be covered by the surplus within the with-profit funds and no effect has been attributed to shareholders. Where the fund is insufficient and additional shareholder support is required, this is included within required capital, including the RIEESA in the UK. Bonus rates on participating business have been set at levels consistent with the economic assumptions. The distribution of profit between policyholders and shareholders within the with-profit funds assumes that the shareholder interest in conventional with-profit business in the UK and Ireland continues at the current rate of one-ninth of the cost of bonus.

 

 

 

 

Page 140

 

 

 

 

F18 - Principal assumptions continued

(b) Economic assumptions - Stochastic calculations

The calculation of time value of options and guarantees allows for expected management and policyholder actions in response to varying future investment conditions. The management actions modelled include changes to asset mix, bonus rates and rates of interest and other guarantees granted to policyholders. Modelled policyholder actions are described under 'Non-economic assumptions'.

Model - United Kingdom and United States

Swap rates are generated by a model, the LIBOR Market Model Plus (LMM+), which projects a full swap curve at monthly intervals.

      Forward rates are assumed to have a distribution that lies between the log-normal and normal distributions. Although this no longer guarantees non-negative interest rates, it maintains interest rates within a more plausible range than the standard Libor Market Model, and gives a better fit to certain swaption volatility surfaces. The model is calibrated to volatilities for swaptions for ten year swaps for a range of option terms and strike rates. Swaption volatilities are taken from SuperDerivatives. In the case of the United States, an adjustment is made to the starting reference rate as described above. After making this adjustment the interest rate model is calibrated to the swaption implied volatilities supplied by SuperDerivatives. Tests have been performed to ensure that sufficient scenarios have been used that the result converges to the stochastic value of the business being valued.

      The total annual return on equities is calculated as the return on one-year swaps plus an excess return. For the UK, a stochastic volatility jump defusion model is used, which allows for varying levels of volatility over time and across strike prices. Option volatilities are taken from Markit. For the US, this excess return is modelled using a log-normal model where volatility varies by time horizon. This allows the model to capture the term structure of implied volatilities. The model is calibrated to at-the-money options of a variety of terms.

      The model also generates property total returns and real yield curves, which are significant asset classes for the UK only. In the absence of liquid market data, the property volatilities are based on historic data.

      Assumptions for correlations between asset classes have been set based on historic data.

Model - Europe and Asia

Swap rates are generated by a model, the LIBOR Market Model (LMM) that projects a full swap curve at monthly intervals. Forward rates are assumed to have a log-normal distribution which guarantees non-negative interest rates. The model is calibrated to at-the-money swaptions of a variety of terms and tenors. Swaption volatilities are taken from SuperDerivatives. Tests have been performed to ensure that sufficient scenarios have been used that the result converges to the stochastic value of the business being valued.

      The total annual return on equities is calculated as the return on one-year swaps plus an excess return. This excess return is generally modelled using a log-normal model where volatility varies by time horizon. This allows the model to capture the term structure of implied volatilities. The model is calibrated to at-the-money options of a variety of terms. Option volatilities are taken

from Markit.

      Assumptions for correlations between asset classes have been set based on historic data.

Asset classes

The significant asset classes for UK participating business are equities, property and long-term fixed rate bonds. The most significant assumptions are the distribution of future long-term interest rates (nominal and real) and swaption implied volatilities.

      For many businesses, including France and the US, the most important assets are fixed rate bonds of various durations.

Summary statistics

Swaption implied volatilities

The implied volatility is that determined by Black-Scholes' formula to reproduce the market price of the option. The following table

sets out the swaption implied volatilities.

 


30 June 2013 Swap length

30 June 2012 Swap length

31 December 2012 Swap length

Option length

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

UK sterling













10 years

17.8%

17.4%

17.0%

16.7%

17.7%

16.9%

16.2%

15.7%

17.1%

16.4%

16.0%

15.7%

15 years

16.3%

15.9%

15.4%

15.1%

16.0%

15.4%

14.5%

14.0%

15.2%

14.8%

14.2%

13.9%

20 years

15.9%

15.3%

14.6%

14.2%

15.5%

14.5%

13.6%

13.2%

14.8%

14.1%

13.4%

13.1%

25 years

15.8%

15.1%

14.5%

14.0%

15.2%

14.3%

13.5%

13.1%

14.9%

14.1%

13.5%

13.1%

Euro













10 years

23.8%

23.1%

22.4%

21.9%

29.7%

28.8%

28.4%

27.9%

24.6%

24.0%

23.5%

23.1%

15 years

24.8%

23.4%

21.7%

20.9%

32.7%

30.0%

28.0%

26.8%

25.5%

24.2%

22.7%

21.8%

20 years

24.7%

22.0%

19.6%

18.6%

31.7%

27.9%

25.4%

24.3%

25.7%

23.0%

20.9%

20.1%

25 years

23.0%

19.8%

18.2%

17.1%

29.2%

24.9%

22.9%

21.8%

23.6%

20.5%

18.8%

18.2%

US dollar













10 years

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

27.2%

25.9%

25.4%

25.6%

23.0%

21.6%

21.2%

21.5%

15 years

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

26.1%

24.4%

24.0%

24.3%

21.9%

20.1%

20.1%

20.8%

20 years

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

24.0%

22.5%

22.0%

22.3%

20.4%

19.0%

18.8%

19.4%

25 years

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

24.0%

23.1%

23.9%

24.1%

20.4%

20.0%

20.4%

20.9%

 

 

 

 

Page 141

 

 

 

 

 

F18 - Principal assumptions continued

Equity implied volatilities

The implied volatility is that determined by the Black-Scholes formula to reproduce the market price of the option. The following table sets out the equity implied volatilities.

 





30 June 2013

Option length

UK

Ireland

France

US

Spain

Italy

5 years

21.7%

22.5%

22.5%

n/a

26.3%

22.5%

10 years

25.0%

23.1%

23.1%

n/a

27.0%

23.1%

15 years

26.9%

23.4%

23.4%

n/a

27.2%

23.4%

 





30 June 2012

Option length

UK

Ireland

France

US

Spain

Italy

5 years

25.8%

25.7%

25.7%

26.6%

32.8%

25.7%

10 years

27.2%

25.8%

25.8%

29.5%

32.6%

25.8%

15 years

27.6%

27.1%

27.1%

30.5%

33.7%

27.1%

 





31 December 2012

Option length

UK

Ireland

France

US

Spain

Italy

5 years

23.4%

24.6%

24.6%

23.9%

27.4%

24.6%

10 years

26.3%

24.7%

24.7%

26.6%

28.0%

24.7%

15 years

26.8%

25.0%

25.0%

27.7%

28.2%

25.0%

Property implied volatilities

Best estimate levels of volatility have been used in the absence of meaningful option prices from which implied levels of volatility can be derived.

      For the UK, model property implied volatility is 15% for 30 June 2013 (30 June 2012: 15%; 31 December 2012: 15%).

(c) Non-economic assumptions

Demographic assumptions

Assumed future mortality, morbidity and lapse rates have been derived from an analysis of Aviva's recent operating experience with

a view to giving a best estimate of future experience. We have anticipated future changes in experience where that is appropriate,

for example we have allowed for improvements in future policyholder longevity.

      We have set the assumptions based on a best estimate of shareholder outcomes. In particular, where the policyholder behaviour varies with economic experience, we have set assumptions which are dynamic, that is, vary depending on the economic assumptions.

      For example, surrender and option take up rate assumptions that vary according to the investment scenario under consideration have been used in the calculation of the time value of options and guarantees, based on our assessment of likely policyholder behaviour in different investment scenarios.

      Additionally, where demographic experience is not driven by economic scenarios but is asymmetric on a stand-alone basis, the best estimate assumption considers the weighted-average expected experience, not simply the median or most likely outcome.

      Notwithstanding that certain operations have been sold, the Aviva Ireland and Aviva Spain demographic and expense assumptions have continued to be set assuming the businesses do not incur loss of economies of scale, in advance of the
annual review.

      In 2010, a test case was taken to the European Court of Justice to rule on the current law and practice whereby insurers may take into account a person's gender in the assessment of risk and consequently the pricing of insurance products. The ruling was issued on 1 March 2011 and required gender equality for pricing from 21 December 2012. The impact of the ruling on the Group's MCEV net assets in our UK and European businesses is not considered to be material.

Expense assumptions

Management expenses and operating expenses of holding companies attributed to life and related businesses have been included in the MCEV calculations and split between expenses relating to the acquisition of new business, the maintenance of business in-force and project expenses. Future expense assumptions include an allowance for maintenance expenses and a proportion of recurring project expenses. Certain expenses of an exceptional nature, when they occur, are identified separately and are generally charged as incurred. No future productivity gains have been anticipated.

      Where subsidiary companies provide administration, investment management or other services to our life businesses, the value

of profits or losses arising from these services have been included in the embedded value and value of new business.

Poland Pensions potential legislation change

On 26 June 2013, the Polish ministers of Finance and Labour announced the outcome of the review of the Pillar II Pensions system (OFE), presenting three preferred options. An initial consultation period of 30 days has been announced, following which proposed legislation would be presented to Parliament. Finally, Presidential approval is required. It is expected that this process will complete in the second half of 2013 but the eventual outcome is uncertain. The expected outcome of each of the options announced is to substantially reduce the value in force of the Poland Pensions business, which is currently around £500 million. However the range of potential outcomes and the related level of uncertainty means that it is currently not possible to produce a reliable estimate of the impact.

 

 

 

 

Page 142

 

 

 

 

 

F18 - Principal assumptions continued

Non-hedgeable risk

For the balance sheet and operating profit, a charge of 3.6% (HY 2012: 3.3%; FY 2012: 3.6%) has been applied to the group-diversified capital required on a 1-in-200 one-year basis over the remaining lifetime of in-force business. The charge is set so as to give an aggregate allowance that is in excess of the expected operational risk costs arising from the in-force covered business over its remaining lifetime. The increase in the charge since HY 2012 results from a reassessment of the group diversification benefit.

      The capital levels used are projected to be sufficient to cover non-hedgeable risks at the 99.5% confidence level one-year after the valuation date. The capital is equal to the capital from the ICA results for those risks considered including allowance for management actions consistent with the base MCEV. Diversification benefits are included between non-hedgeable risks of the covered business. No diversification benefit is assumed with hedgeable risks of the covered business or with non-covered business in general. The capital has been projected as running off over the remaining life of the in-force portfolio in line with the drivers of the capital requirement.

      In addition to the operational risk allowance, financial non-hedgeable risks and other product level asymmetries have been allowed for. These allowances are not material as significant financial non-hedgeable risks and product level asymmetries are either modelled explicitly and included in the TVOG or are included in the PVFP through the use of appropriate best estimate assumptions.

Other

It has been assumed that there will be no changes to the methods and bases used to calculate the statutory technical provisions and current surrender values, except where driven by varying future investment conditions under stochastic economic scenarios.

(d) Held for sale operations

Certain life covered operations are classified as held for sale, consistent with the IFRS classification.

US long term business

On 21 December 2012 the Group announced that it had agreed to sell the US life operations, consisting of Aviva Life and Annuity Company and the associated internal asset management operations of Aviva Investors North America, Inc, to Athene Holding Ltd for consideration of £1.0 billion including the shareholder loan (£1.1 billion including repayment of external loan) and these operations have been classified as held for sale. There is uncertainty in the ultimate consideration which depends on the development of statutory surplus between the announcement of sale and ultimate completion date. The transaction is expected to complete in 2013. Following classification as held for sale, US Life segment was remeasured to fair value less costs to sell resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 31 December 2012 of £1,095 million, and from 1 January 2013 is no longer included within the covered business. Subsequent remeasurement has changed the company value on the Group MCEV balance sheet from £367 million to £523 million. Please refer to note B4 for details of how this remeasurement is recognised in the income statement and in other comprehensive income.

Spanish long-term business - Aseval

On 18 December 2012 Aviva reached a settlement with Bankia S.A. ("Bankia") to transfer the Group's entire holding in Aseval Aseguradora Valenciana, Sociedad Anónima de Seguros y Reaseguros ("Aseval"), a Spanish life assurance company, to Bankia and Aseval was classified as held for sale. Following classification as held for sale, Aseval, included within the 'Europe' operating segment, was remeasured to fair value less costs to sell resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 31 December 2012 of £127 million. The transfer completed on 24 April 2013 with cash consideration of £502 million and profit on disposal of £39 million.

Irish long-term business - Ark Life

Our Irish long-term business is carried out through a subsidiary, Aviva Life Holdings Ireland Limited ("ALHI"), which is 75% owned by Aviva and 25% owned by Allied Irish Bank ("AIB"). ALHI holds four subsidiaries, one of which is Ark Life Assurance Company Limited ("Ark Life") which carries out bancassurance business via a distribution agreement with AIB. The original distribution agreement was renewable in 2011 but, on 15 December 2011, AIB notified the Group that they did not wish to renew it and the existing shareholders' agreement governing ALHI was terminated.

      The termination of this agreement triggered the ability for both parties to exercise put and call options that will result in the unwind of the original structure such that the Ark Life business returns 100% to AIB and the Group will purchase the 25% minority stake in ALHI. The formal exercise of these options was approved on 17 January 2012 and, as a result, the Ark Life business became held for sale on that date. Following classification as held for sale, Ireland, included within the 'United Kingdom & Ireland' operating segment, was remeasured to fair value less costs to sell resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 31 December 2012 of £20 million. The transaction completed on 8 March 2013 with cash consideration of £117 million and profit on disposal of £90 million.

Malaysian long-term business

During 2012, the Group's Malaysian joint ventures, CIMB Aviva Assurance Berhad and CIMB Aviva Takaful Berhad, were classified as held for sale following the decision of management to seek to dispose of the business. On 17 January 2013 agreement was reached to sell Aviva's interests in these businesses to Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada. Following classification as held for sale, these businesses, included within the 'Asia' operating segment, were remeasured to fair value less costs to sell resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 31 December 2012 of £28 million. The transaction completed on 12 April 2013 with cash consideration of £153 million and profit on disposal of £6 million.

Italian long - term business - Eurovita

During the period the Italian long-term business Eurovita Assicurazioni S.p.A ("Eurovita") was classified as held for sale, as a result of management determining that the value of this business will principally be recovered through sale. Following classification as held for sale, Eurovita, included within the "Europe" operating segment, was remeasured to fair value less cost to sell resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 30 June 2013 of £48 million.

 

 

 

 

Page 143

 

 

 

 

 

F18 - Principal assumptions continued

Other held for sale operations

During the year the Group entered into negotiations to dispose of Aviva Russia. On 27 February 2013 the Group announced the sale of the business to Blagosostoyanie. This business is included in the consolidated statement of financial position at 31 December 2012 at its closing MCEV. The transaction completed on 8 April 2013 for a net consideration of £30 million and a loss on disposal of £2 million.

      The sale of our Romania pensions business, which was classified as held for sale in 2012, completed on 7 May 2013, with a profit on disposal of £1 million. This business is included in the consolidated statement of financial position at 31 December 2012 at its closing MCEV.

      During 2010, the Group's Taiwan joint venture, First-Aviva Life Insurance Co., Ltd., was classified as held for sale following the decision of management to seek to dispose of the business. A sale of this business was not completed in 2012 and management have reviewed its classification as held for sale and determined that the classification remains appropriate. The disposal is expected to be completed within 12 months of the balance sheet date. As the expected sale proceeds are not known, this business is included in the consolidated statement of financial position at its closing MCEV.

(e) Other assumptions

Valuation of debt

Borrowings in the MCEV consolidated statement of financial position are valued on an IFRS basis, consistent with the primary financial statements. At 30 June 2013 the market value of the Group's external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares including General Accident plc preference shares of £250 million (classified as non-controlling interests) and direct capital instrument was £7,499 million (30 June 2012: £5,901 million; 31 December 2012: £7,260 million).

 


30 June 2013

£m

30 June

2012

£m

31 December 2012

£m

Borrowings per summarised consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis

8,254

8,112

8,179

Add: Amount included in held for sale

212

-

145

Less: Securitised mortgage funding

(1,284)

(1,209)

(1,332)

Borrowings excluding non-recourse funding - MCEV basis

7,182

6,903

6,992

Less: Operational financing by businesses

(1,721)

(1,861)

(1,853)

External debt and subordinated debt - MCEV basis

5,461

5,042

5,139

Add: Preference shares (including General Accident plc), direct capital instrument and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,832

1,832

1,832

External debt, subordinated debt, preference shares, direct capital instrument and fixed tier 1 notes - MCEV basis

7,293

6,874

6,971

Effect of marking these instruments to market

206

(973)

289

Market value of external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares, direct capital instrument
and fixed rate tier 1 notes

7,499

5,901

7,260

Exchange rates

The Group's principal overseas operations during the period were located within the Eurozone, US (for comparative periods) and Poland. The results and cash flows of these operations have been translated into sterling at the average rates for the period and the assets and liabilities have been translated at the period end rates as follows:

 


30 June

2013

30 June
2012

31 December
2012

Eurozone




- Average rate (€1 equals)

£0.85

£0.82

£0.81

- Period end rate (€1 equals)

£0.86

£0.81

£0.81

United States




- Average rate ($US1 equals)

£0.65

£0.63

£0.63

- Period end rate ($US1 equals)

£0.66

£0.64

£0.62

Poland




- Average rate (zł1 equals)

£0.20

£0.19

£0.19

- Period end rate (zł1 equals)

£0.20

£0.19

£0.20

 

 

 

 

Page 144

 

 

 

 

 

F19 - Sensitivity analysis

(a) Economic assumptions

The following tables show the sensitivity of the embedded value and the value of new business to:

n 10 basis point increase in the liquidity premium adjustment, where applicable;

n one percentage point increase and decrease in the risk-free rate with a floor of 0%, including all consequential changes (including assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

n 10% increase and decrease in market values of equity and property assets;

n 25% multiplicative increase in equity, property and swaption volatilities;

n 50 basis point increase and decrease in credit spreads with no change to liquidity premium; and

n decrease in the level of required capital to 100% EU minimum (or equivalent).

 

In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions. For example, future bonus rates are automatically adjusted to reflect sensitivity changes to future investment returns. Some of the sensitivity scenarios may have consequential effects on valuation bases, where the basis for certain blocks of business is actively updated to reflect current economic circumstances. Consequential valuation impacts on the sensitivities are allowed for where an active valuation basis is used. Where businesses have a target asset mix, the portfolio is re-balanced after a significant market movement otherwise no re-balancing is assumed.

      For new business, the sensitivities reflect the impact of a change immediately after inception of the policy.

      In general, the magnitude of the sensitivities will reflect the size of the embedded values, though this will vary as the sensitivities have different impacts on the different components of the embedded value. In addition, other factors can have a material impact, such as the nature of the options and guarantees, as well as the types of investments held.

      The credit spread sensitivities assume that the change relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Own sovereign debt is excluded from credit spread sensitivities.

      Sensitivities will also vary according to the current economic assumptions, mainly due to the impact of changes to both the intrinsic cost and time value of options and guarantees. Options and guarantees are the main reason for the asymmetry of the sensitivities where the guarantee impacts to different extents under the different scenarios.

      No sensitivities have been included for held for sale operations, reflecting that these operations are stated at expected fair value less cost to sell.

Life and related business embedded value

 




Interest rates


30 June 2013

Embedded value

(net of non-controlling interest)

As reported

in F14

£m

10bp

increase in

adjustment

to risk-free

rates

£m

1%

increase

£m

1%

decrease

£m

Swaption

implied

volatilities

25%

increase

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

7,355

250

(385)

410

-

France

3,285

5

95

(175)

(135)

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

2,440

5

(100)

105

-

Asia and Other

789

-

115

(235)

(5)

Total

13,869

260

(275)

105

(140)

 



Equity/Property






Market Values


Credit Spread


30 June 2013

Embedded value

(net of non-controlling interest)

As reported

in F14

£m

10%

increase

£m

10%

decrease

£m

Volatility

25%

increase

£m

50bps

increase

£m

50bps

decrease

£m

EU

minimum

capital or

equivalent

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

7,355

225

(250)

(175)

(1,090)

1,190

-

France

3,285

205

(215)

(145)

(80)

80

15

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

2,440

20

(20)

(5)

(25)

25

5

Asia and Other

789

10

(10)

-

(20)

20

10

Total

13,869

460

(495)

(325)

(1,215)

1,315

30

 

 

 

Page 145

 

 

 

 

F19 - Sensitivity analysis continued

New business

 



Interest rates


30 June 2013

Value of new business

(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

As reported

in F11

£m

10bp

increase in

adjustment

to risk-free

rates

£m

1%

increase

£m

1%

decrease

£m

Swaption

implied

volatilities

25%

increase

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

163

7

(3)

5

-

France

50

-

4

(9)

(3)

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

37

-

(2)

2

-

Asia and Other

35

-

7

(10)

-

Total

285

7

6

(12)

(3)

 



Equity/Property






Market Values



Credit Spread



30 June 2013

Value of new business

(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

As reported

in F11

£m

10%

increase

£m

10%

decrease

£m

Volatility

25%

increase

£m

50bps

increase

£m

50bps

decrease

£m

EU

minimum

capital or

equivalent

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

163

-

-

-

(40)

45

-

France

50

11

(11)

(2)

(1)

1

1

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

37

-

-

-

-

-

-

Asia and Other

35

-

-

-

-

-

1

Total

285

11

(11)

(2)

(41)

46

2

 

 

 

 

Page 146

 

 

 

 

F19 - Sensitivity analysis continued

(b) Non-economic assumptions

The following tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value and the value of new business to the following changes in non-economic assumptions:

n 10% decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10% sensitivity on a base expense assumption of £10 pa would represent an expense assumption of £9 pa). Where there is a "look through" into service company expenses the fee charged by the service company is unchanged while the underlying expense decreases;

n 10% decrease in lapse rates (a 10% sensitivity on a base assumption of 5% pa would represent a lapse rate of 4.5% pa); and

n 5% decrease in both mortality and morbidity rates disclosed separately for life assurance and annuity business.

 

No future management actions are modelled in reaction to the changing non-economic assumptions. In each sensitivity calculation all other assumptions remain unchanged. No changes to valuation bases have been included.

      No sensitivities have been included for held for sale operations, reflecting that these operations are stated at expected fair value less cost to sell.

Life and related business embedded value

 

30 June 2013

Embedded value

(net of non-controlling interest)

As reported

in F14

£m

10%

decrease in

maintenance

expenses

£m

10%

decrease in

lapse rates

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - life

assurance

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - annuity

business

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

7,355

230

65

75

(410)

France

3,285

60

25

25

(20)

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

2,440

35

95

30

(5)

Asia and Other

789

35

5

20

-

Total

13,869

360

190

150

(435)

 

30 June 2013

Value of new business

(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

As reported

in F11

£m

10%

decrease in

maintenance

expenses

£m

10%

decrease in

lapse rates

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - life

assurance

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - annuity

business

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

163

9

5

6

(5)

France

50

4

1

2

-

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

37

3

9

1

-

Asia and Other

35

3

2

-

-

Total

285

19

17

9

(5)

 

 

 

Page 147

 

 

 

 

Statement of directors' responsibilities in respect of the Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis

When compliance with the European Insurance CFO Forum Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles (MCEV Principles), published in October 2009, is stated, those principles require the directors to prepare supplementary information in accordance with the methodology contained in the MCEV Principles and to disclose and explain any non-compliance with the guidance included in the MCEV Principles.

      In preparing this supplementary information, the directors have done so in accordance with these MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sales proceeds, less cost to sell and have also complied with the guidance as set out in the basis of preparation. Specifically the directors have:

n determined assumptions on a realistic basis, having regard to past, current and expected future experience and to relevant external data, and then applied them consistently;

n made estimates that are reasonable and consistent; and,

n provided additional disclosures when compliance with the specific requirements of the MCEV Principles is insufficient to enable users to understand the impact of particular transactions, other events and conditions and the Group's financial position and financial performance.

 

Information on the current directors responsible for providing this statement can be found on pages 80 to 82 of Aviva plc's 2012 Annual Report and Accounts and on the company's website http://www.aviva.com/investor-relations/corporate-governance/board-of-directors/

 

 

By order of the Board

 

 

 

Patrick Regan

Chief financial officer

7 August 2013

 

 

 

 

Page 148

 

 

 

 

 

INDEPENDENT REVIEW REPORT TO THE DIRECTORS OF AVIVA plc - MCEV

Introduction

We have been engaged by the company to review the Consolidated MCEV financial statements in the half year report for the six months ended 30 June 2013, which comprises the Consolidated income statement - MCEV basis, Earnings per share - MCEV basis, the Consolidated statement of comprehensive income - MCEV basis, the Consolidated statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis, the Consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis, the Reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases, the Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to MCEV net worth, the Group MCEV analysis of earnings and the related notes. We have read the other information contained in the half year report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the Consolidated MCEV financial statements.

Directors' responsibilities

The Consolidated MCEV financial statements in the half year report is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the directors. The directors are responsible for preparing the Consolidated MCEV financial statements in the half year report in accordance with the CFO Forum Principles and the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 117 to 121.

Our responsibility

Our responsibility is to express to the company a conclusion on the Consolidated MCEV financial statements in the half year report based on our review. This report, including the conclusion, has been prepared for and only for the company in accordance with our engagement letter dated 7 May 2013 and for no other purpose. We do not, in producing this report, accept or assume responsibility for any other purpose or to any other person to whom this report is shown or into whose hands it may come save where expressly agreed by our prior consent in writing.

Scope of review

We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410, 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the United Kingdom. A review of interim financial information consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.

Basis for Qualified Conclusion on the Consolidated MCEV financial statements

As explained in the Basis of Preparation to the Consolidated MCEV financial statements, the net assets of the held for sale operations have been stated at their expected fair value less costs to sell because the directors believe this to be a better assessment of the value to shareholders' from these operations. By stating the held for sale operations at a value in excess of their MCEV the Consolidated MCEV financial statements do not comply with the CFO Forum Principles. It is not practicable for us to quantify the effect of the non-compliance.

Qualified Conclusion on the Consolidated MCEV financial statements

Based on our review, except for the effects of the matter described in the Basis for Qualified Conclusion paragraph, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the Consolidated MCEV financial statements in the half year report for the six months ended 30 June 2013 is not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the CFO Forum Principles and the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 117 to 121. 

 

 

 

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

Chartered Accountants

London

7 August 2013

 

 

 

1)   The maintenance and integrity of the Aviva plc website is the responsibility of the directors; the work carried out by the auditors does not involve consideration of these matters and, accordingly, the auditors accept no responsibility for any changes that may have occurred to the Consolidated MCEV financial statements since they were initially presented on the website.

2)   Legislation in the United Kingdom governing the preparation and dissemination of financial statements may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions.

 

 


 

 

Page 149

 

 

Other information

 

 

 

 

In this section

Page

Glossary

150

Shareholder services

154

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 150

 

 

 

Glossary

 

 

 

Product definitions

Annuities

A type of policy that pays out regular amounts of benefit, either immediately and for the remainder of a person's lifetime, or deferred to commence from a future date. Immediate annuities may be purchased for an individual and his or her dependants or on a bulk purchase basis for groups of people. Deferred annuities are accumulation contracts, which may be used to provide benefits in retirement. Annuities may be guaranteed, unit-linked or index-linked.

Bonds and savings

These are accumulation products with single or regular premiums and unit-linked or guaranteed investment returns.

Critical Illness cover

Pays out a lump sum if the insured person is diagnosed with a serious illness that meets the plan definition.

Deferred annuities

An annuity (or pension) due to be paid from a future date or when the policyholder reaches a specified age. A deferred annuity may be funded by a policyholder by payment of a series of regular contributions or by a capital sum.

Group pensions

A pension plan that covers a group of people, which is typically purchased by a company and offered to their employees.

Income drawdown

The policyholder can transfer money from any pension fund to an income drawdown plan from which they receive an income. The remainder of the pension fund continues to be invested, giving it the potential for growth.

Investment sales

Comprise retail sales of mutual fund-type products such as unit trusts, individual savings accounts (ISAs) and open ended investment companies (OEICs).

ISAs

Individual savings accounts - Tax-efficient plans for investing in stocks and shares, cash deposits or life insurance investment funds, subject to certain limits.

Mortgage endowment

An insurance contract combining savings and protection elements which is designed to repay the principal of a loan or mortgage.

Mortgage life insurance

A protection contract designed to pay off the outstanding amount of a mortgage or loan in the event of death of the insured.

 

Open ended investment company (OEIC)

An collective investment fund structured as a limited company in which investors can buy and sell shares.

Pension

A means of providing income in retirement for an individual and possibly his/her dependants.

Personal pension

A pension plan tailored to the individual policyholder, which includes the options to stop, start or change their payments.

Protection

An insurance contract that protects the policyholder or his/her dependants against financial loss on death or ill-health.

Regular premium

A series of payments are made by the policyholder, typically monthly or annually, for part of or all of the duration of the contract.

SICAVs

This is an open-ended investment fund, structured as a legally independent joint stock company, whose units are issued in the form of shares.

Single premium

A single lump sum is paid by the policyholder at commencement of the contract.

Stakeholder pensions

Low cost and flexible pension plans available in the UK, governed by specific regulations.

Term assurance

A simple form of life insurance, offering cover over a fixed number of years, during which a lump sum will be paid out if the life insured dies.

Unit trusts

A form of open ended collective investment constituted under a trust deed, in which investors can buy and sell units.

Whole life

A protection policy that remains in force for the insured's whole life; a lump sum will be paid out on death. Traditional whole life contracts have fixed premium payments that typically cannot be missed without lapsing the policy. Flexible whole life contracts allow the policyholder to vary the premium and/or amount of life cover, within certain limits.

 

 

 

 

Page 151

 

 

 

 

 

General terms

Available for sale (AFS)

Securities that have been acquired neither for short-term sale nor to be held to maturity. These are shown at fair value on the statement of financial position and changes in value are taken straight to equity instead of the income statement.

Association of British Insurers (ABI)

A major trade association for UK insurance companies, established in July 1985.

Acquired value of in force (AVIF)

The present value of future profits on a portfolio of long-term insurance and investment contracts, acquired either directly or through the purchase of a subsidiary.

Bancassurance

An arrangement whereby banks and building societies sell insurance and investment products to their customers on behalf of other financial providers.

UK Corporate Governance Code

The code sets out guidance in the form of principles and provisions on how companies should be directed and controlled to follow good governance practice.

Deferred acquisition costs (DAC)

The costs directly attributable to the acquisition of new business for insurance and investment contracts may be deferred to the extent that they are expected to be recoverable out of future margins in revenue on these contracts.

Fair value

The amount for which an asset can be exchanged, or a liability settled, between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm's length transaction.

FCA

The Financial Conduct Authority ("FCA") is one of the two bodies (along with the PRA) which replaced the Financial Services Authority from the 1 April 2013.  The FCA is a company limited by guarantee and is independent of the Bank of England.  It is responsible for the conduct business regulation of all firms (including those firms subject to prudential regulation by the PRA) and the prudential regulation of firms not regulated by the PRA.  The FCA has three statutory objectives: securing an appropriate degree of protection for consumers, protecting and enhancing the integrity of the UK financial system and promoting effective competition in the interests of consumers.

Funds under management

Represents all assets actively managed or administered by or on behalf of the Group including those funds managed by third parties.

Funds under management by Aviva

Represents all assets actively managed or administered by the fund management operations of the Group.

General insurance

Also known as non-life or property and casualty insurance. Property insurance covers loss or damage through fire, theft,

flood, storms and other specified risks. Casualty insurance primarily covers losses arising from accidents that cause injury to other people or damage the property of others.

 

Gross written premiums

The total earnings or revenue generated by sales of insurance products, before any reinsurance is taken into account. Not all premiums written will necessarily be treated as income in the current financial year, because some of them could relate to insurance cover for a subsequent period.

Independent Financial Advisers (IFAs)

A person or organisation authorised to give advice on financial matters and to sell the products of all financial service providers.

IFRS

International Financial Reporting Standards. These are accounting regulations designed to ensure comparable statement of financial position preparation and disclosure, and are the standards that all publicly listed companies in the European Union are required to use.

Operating profit

From continuing operations based on expected investment returns, stated before tax attributable to shareholders' profits and before non-operating items including, impairment of goodwill, exceptional and other items. This is also referred to as adjusted operating profit or operating profit (IFRS basis).

Inherited estate

In the UK, the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic reserves for non-profit policies written within the with-profit funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs and guarantees.

Long-term and savings business

Collective term for life insurance, pensions, savings, investments and related business.

Net written premiums

Total gross written premiums for the given period, minus premiums paid over or 'ceded' to reinsurers.

Net asset value per ordinary share

Net asset value divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue. Net asset value is based on equity shareholders' funds.

Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)

Present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business under Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) principles published by the CFO Forum.

PRA

The Prudential Regulatory Authority ("PRA") is one of the two bodies (along with the FCA) which replaced the Financial Services Authority from the 1 April 2013.  The PRA is a part of the Bank of England and is responsible for the prudential regulation of deposit taking institutions, insurers and major investment firms.  The PRA has two statutory objectives: to promote the safety and soundness of these firms and, specifically for insurers, to contribute to the securing of an appropriate degree of protection for policyholders

Turnbull Guidance on Internal Control

The Turnbull Guidance sets out best practice on internal controls for UK listed companies, and provides additional guidance in applying certain sections of the UK Corporate Governance Code.

 

 

 

 

Page 152

 

 

 

 

 

Market Consistent Embedded Value
(MCEV) terms

Asymmetric risk

Risks that will cause shareholder profits to vary where the variation above and below the average are not equal in distribution.

CFO Forum

The CFO Forum (www.cfoforum.nl) is a high-level group formed by the chief financial officers of major European listed and non-listed insurance companies. Its aim is to discuss issues relating to proposed new accounting regulations for their businesses and how they can create greater transparency for investors.

      The forum was created in 2002, the Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles were launched in June 2008. The principles are a further development of the European Embedded Value Principles first launched in May 2004.

Cost of non-hedgeable risks

This is the cost of undertaking those risks for which a deep and liquid market in which to hedge that risk does not exist. This can include both financial risks and non-financial risks such as mortality, persistency and expense.

Covered business

The contracts to which the MCEV methodology has been applied.

Solvency margin

The excess of assets over liabilities and the worldwide minimum solvency margins, excluding goodwill and the additional value of in-force long-term business, and excluding the surplus held in the Group's life funds. The Group solvency calculation is determined according to the Prudential Regulation Authority application of EU Insurance Groups Directive rules.

Financial options and guarantees

Features of the covered business conferring potentially valuable guarantees underlying, or options to change, the level or nature of policyholder benefits and exercisable at the discretion of the policyholder, whose potential value is impacted by the behaviour of financial variables.

Free surplus

The amount of any capital and surplus allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business.

Frictional costs

The additional taxation and investment costs incurred by shareholders through investing the Required Capital in the Company rather than directly.

Group MCEV

A measure of the total consolidated value of the Group with covered life business included on an MCEV basis and non-covered business (including pension schemes and goodwill) included on an IFRS basis.

Gross risk-free yields

Gross of tax yields on risk-free fixed interest investments, generally swap rates under MCEV.

 

Implicit items

Amounts allowed by local regulators to be deducted from capital amounts when determining the EU required minimum margin.

Life business

Subsidiaries selling life and pensions contracts that are classified as covered business under MCEV.

Life MCEV

The MCEV balance sheet value of covered business as at the reporting date. Excludes non-covered business including pension schemes and goodwill.

Life MCEV operating earnings

Operating earnings on the MCEV basis relating to the lines of business included in the embedded value calculations.

Life MCEV earnings

Total earnings on the MCEV basis relating to the lines of business included in the embedded value calculations. In addition to life operating earnings this includes actual investment experience and other non-operating items.

Look-through basis

Inclusion of the capitalised value of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the extent that they relate to covered business.

Long-term savings

Includes life and pension sales calculated under MCEV and retail investment sales.

Market consistent

A measurement approach where economic assumptions are such that projected asset cash flows are valued consistently with current market prices for traded assets.

Net worth

The market value of the shareholders' funds and the shareholders' interest in the surplus held in the non-profit component of the long-term business funds, determined on

a statutory solvency basis and adjusted to add back any non-admissible assets, and consists of the required capital and

free surplus.

 

New business margin

New business margins are calculated as the value of new business divided by the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP), and expressed as a percentage.

Required capital

The amount of assets, over and above the value placed on liabilities in respect of covered business, whose distribution to shareholders is restricted.

Risk-free rate (reference rate in CFO Forum terminology)

The risk-free rate is taken as swaps except for all contracts that contain features similar to immediate annuities and are backed by appropriate assets, including paid up group deferred annuities and deferred annuities and all other contracts in the US. The adjusted risk-free rate is taken as swaps plus the additional return available for products where backing asset portfolios can be held to maturity.

 

 

 

 

Page 153

 

 

Service companies

Companies providing administration or fund management services to the covered business.

Solvency cover

The excess of the regulatory value of total assets over total liabilities, divided by the regulatory value of the required minimum solvency margin.

Spread business

Contracts where a significant source of shareholder profits is the taking of credit spread risk that is not passed on to policyholders. The most significant spread business in Aviva are immediate annuities and US deferred annuities and life business.

Statutory basis

The valuation basis and approach used for reporting financial statements to local regulators.

Stochastic techniques

Techniques that allow for the potential future variability in assumptions.

 

Symmetric risks

Risks that will cause shareholder profits to vary where the variation above and below the average are equal and opposite. Financial theory says that investors do not require compensation for non-market risks that are symmetrical as the risks can be diversified away by investors.

Time value and intrinsic value

A financial option or guarantee has two elements of value, the time value and intrinsic value. The intrinsic value is the discounted value of the option or guarantee at expiry, assuming that future economic conditions follow best estimate assumptions. The time value is the additional value arising from uncertainty about future economic conditions.

Value of new business

Is calculated using economic assumptions set at the start of each quarter and the same operating assumptions as those used to determine the embedded values at the end of the reporting period and is stated after the effect of any frictional costs. Unless otherwise stated, it is also quoted net of tax and minority interests.

 

 

 

 

 


 

Page 154

 

 

Shareholder services

 

 

 

 

2013 financial calendar

Announcement of third quarter

Interim Management Statement

7 November 2013

 

Annual General Meeting (AGM)

n The voting results for the 2013 AGM, including proxy votes and votes withheld, can be viewed on our website at www.aviva.com/agm.  There you will also find a webcast of the formal business of the meeting and information relating to Aviva's annual general meetings since 2002.

 

Dividends

2013 interim dividend dates - ordinary shares

Ex-dividend date

9 October 2013

Record date

11 October 2013

Dividend payment date *

15 November 2013

* Please note that the ADR local payment date will be approximately five business days after the proposed dividend date for ordinary shares.

 

n Dividends on ordinary shares are normally paid in May and November - please see the table above for the key dates in respect of the 2013 interim dividend.

n Dividends on preference shares are normally paid in March, June, September and December - please visit www.aviva.com/preferenceshares for the latest dividend payment dates.

n Holders of ordinary and preference shares will receive any dividends payable in sterling and holders of ADRs will receive any dividends payable in US dollars.

Direct credit of dividend payments

n If you would like to have your cash dividends paid directly into your bank or building society account, please visit www.aviva.com/dividendmandate for more information or contact the Company's Registrar, Computershare Investor Services PLC (Computershare), using the contact details overleaf.

Overseas global dividend service

n The Global Payments Service provided by Computershare enables shareholders living overseas to elect to receive their dividends in a choice of over 65 international currencies.  For further details and fees for this service please visit www.investorcentre.co.uk/faq and select the Dividends and Payments tab, followed by Global Payment Service.

 

Online Shareholder Services Centre -

www.aviva.com/shareholderservices

The online shareholder services centre has been designed to provide useful information for holders of Aviva ordinary shares, preference shares and ADRs, and includes features to allow shareholders to manage their Aviva shareholdings easily and efficiently.

Within the online centre you will be able to find a shareholders' guide which includes a wide range of frequently asked questions, information about the Aviva Share Account, current and historic ordinary share and ADR prices, old and recent dividend dates and rates, share dealing information and, when available, presentations from Aviva's senior management.  You will also be able to download an electronic copy of recent Company reports.

 

Manage your holdings online

You can view and manage your shareholding online by visiting www.aviva.com/ecomms.  To register you will require your Shareholder Reference Number (11 digit number beginning with a C, I, or G) which you will find on your latest dividend stationery or any share certificate issued since 4 July 2011.

On the site, you can:

n View your shareholding;

n Change your personal details;

n Switch to electronic communications;

n View your transaction and payment history;

n View your dividend election; and

n Arrange direct credit of dividend payments.

 

ShareGift

If you have a small number of shares which you consider uneconomical to sell, you may wish to consider donating them to ShareGift (Registered Charity: 1052686), a charity that specialises in accepting such unwanted small shareholdings.  Donated shares are aggregated and sold, with the proceeds being used to support a wide range of UK registered charities.

You can find out more about ShareGift by visiting www.sharegift.org or by calling them on +44 (0)20 7930 3737.  If you would like to donate your shares to ShareGift, please contact Computershare.

 

Be on your guard - beware of fraudsters!

Shareholders are advised to be very wary of any unsolicited telephone calls or correspondence offering to buy shares at a discount or offering free financial advice or company reports.  Boiler rooms use increasingly sophisticated means to approach investors and often leave their victims out of pocket.   Aviva would like to remind its shareholders to remain vigilant at all times.

 

The FCA have provided tips on how you can avoid being a victim of share fraud, which can be found on the FCA website at www.fca.org.uk/consumers/scams/investment-scams/share-fraud-and-boiler-room-scams/protect-yourself

 

·      Remember: if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is!

·      Remain vigilant - be very wary of any unsolicited advice, or offers to buy shares at a discount.

·      If calls persist, hang up.

 

 To find out more information on how you can protect yourself, please visit www.aviva.com/shareholderservices.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 155

 

 

 

 

 

Contact details

Ordinary and preference shares - Computershare

For any queries regarding your shareholding, or to advise of changes to your personal details, please contact our Registrar, Computershare:

 

By telephone: 0871 495 0105

Lines are open from 8.30am to 5pm (UK time), Monday to Friday (excluding public holidays).

Please call +44 117 378 8361 if calling from outside of the UK.

 

By email:avivaSHARES@computershare.co.uk

 

In writing:Computershare Investor Services PLC,

The Pavilions, Bridgwater Road, Bristol BS99 6ZZ

American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) - Citibank

For any queries regarding Aviva ADRs, please contact Citibank Shareholder Services (Citibank):

 

By telephone: 1 877 248 4237(1 877-CITI-ADR), or +1 781 575 4555 if you are calling from outside of the US. (Lines are open from 8.30am to 6.00pm, Monday to Friday US Eastern Standard Time).

By email:citibank@shareholders-online.com

 

In writing:Citibank Shareholder Services,

PO Box 43077, Providence, Rhode Island 02940-3077 USA

 

Please visit www.citi.com/dr for further information about Aviva's ADR programme.

Group Company Secretary

Shareholders may contact the group company secretary as follows:

 

By email:aviva.shareholders@aviva.com

 

In writing:Kirstine Cooper, Group Company Secretary, St Helen's, 1 Undershaft, London EC3P 3DQ

 

By telephone: +44 (0)20 7283 2000

 

Form 20-F

Aviva is a foreign private issuer in the United States of America and is subject to certain reporting requirements of the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC).  Aviva files its Form 20-F with the SEC, copies of which can be found at www.aviva.com/reports.

Useful links for shareholders

 

Online Shareholder Services Centre www.aviva.com/shareholderservices

 

Dividend information for ordinary shares

www.aviva.com/dividends

 

 

Annual General Meeting information

www.aviva.com/agm

 

Aviva share price

www.aviva.com/shareprice

 

ADR holders

www.aviva.com/adr

 

Aviva preference shareholders

www.aviva.com/preferenceshares

 

Aviva preference share price

www.londonstockexchange.com

 

 

Do you receive duplicate documents?

A number of shareholders still receive duplicate documentation and split dividend payments as a result of having more than one account on the Aviva Register of Members.  If you think you fall into this group and would like to combine your accounts, please contact Computershare.

 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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