HY 10 Part 5 of 5

RNS Number : 5663Q
Aviva PLC
05 August 2010
 



Part 5 of 5

Page 1

MCEV supplement

 


Condensed consolidated income statement - MCEV basis

2


Condensed statement of comprehensive income - MCEV basis

3


Condensed statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis

3


Condensed consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis

4


Reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases

5


Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to MCEV net worth

5


Group MCEV analysis of earnings

6


Notes


E1

Basis of preparation

7

E2

Geographical analysis of long-term MCEV operating earnings

11

E3

Geographical analysis of fund management operating earnings

19

E4

Analysis of other operations and regional costs

19

E5

Exceptional items

19

E6

Segmentation of condensed consolidated statement of financial position

20

E7

Analysis of life and pensions earnings

21

E8

Free surplus emergence

22

E9

Maturity profile of business

23

E10

Segmental analysis of life and related business embedded value

24

E11

Risk allowance within present value of in-force (VIF)

25

E12

Implied discount rate (IDR)

26

E13

Analysis of fund management and service company business within embedded value

26

E14

Summary of non-controlling interest in life and related businesses' MCEV results

27

E15

Principal economic assumptions

28

E16

Sensitivity analysis

33





Statement of directors' responsibilities in respect of the Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis

37


Independent review report for the six months to 30 June 2010

38


_____________

Page 2

MCEV condensed financial statements

                                       

Condensed consolidated income statement - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2010

6 months 2010
€m



6 months 2010
£m

Restated
6 months
 2009
£m

Full year
 2009
 £m



Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders' profits




643


   United Kingdom

559

345

787

1,207


   Europe

1,050

1,105

2,235

311


   North America

271

120

266

44


   Asia Pacific

38

37

101

2,205


Long-term business

1,918

1,607

3,389

603


General insurance and health

525

545

960

15


Fund management1

13

(4)

51

(38)


Other operations and regional costs2

(33)

(99)

(173)

2,785


Regional operating profit

2,423

2,049

4,227

(62)


Corporate centre

(54)

(46)

(108)

(389)


Group debt costs and other interest

(338)

(318)

(636)

2,334


Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders' profits

2,031

1,685

3,483



Adjusted for the following:




(551)


Economic variances on long-term business

(480)

(194)

759

7


Short-term fluctuation in return on investments on non-long-term business

6

(125)

95

(74)


Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business

(64)

52

57

(2)


Impairment of goodwill

(2)

(5)

(62)

(59)


Amortisation and impairment of intangibles

(51)

(52)

(135)

32


Profit on the disposal of subsidiaries and associates

28

20

72

(83)


Integration and restructuring costs

(72)

(148)

(286)

(69)


Exceptional items

(60)

(218)

(248)

1,536


Profit before tax

1,336

1,015

3,735

(708)


Tax on operating profit

(616)

(416)

(924)

202


Tax on other activities

176

320

124

(506)



(440)

(96)

(800)

1,030


Profit for the period

896

919

2,935

All profit is from continuing operations.

1. Excludes the proportion of the results of Aviva Investors fund management businesses and other fund management operations within the group that arises from the provision of fund management services to our life businesses. These results are included within the life MCEV operating earnings consistent with Aviva's MCEV methodology.

2. Excludes the proportion of the results of subsidiaries providing services to the Life business. These results are included within the life MCEV operating earnings consistent with Aviva's MCEV methodology.

 

Earnings per share - MCEV basis

6 months 2010



6 months 2010

6 months
 2009

Full year
 2009



Operating earnings per share on an MCEV basis after tax, attributable to
   ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc




47.4c


Basic (pence per share)

41.2p

41.4p

78.8p

46.7c


Diluted (pence per share)

40.6p

41.2p

78.1p



Earnings after tax on an MCEV basis, attributable to ordinary
   shareholders of Aviva plc




32.8c


Basic (pence per share)

28.5p

32.9p

101.7p

32.3c


Diluted (pence per share)

28.1p

32.7p

100.8p

Total MCEV operating profit before shareholder tax was £2,031 million (2009: £1,685 million), an increase of 21%. Within this total the long term business operating profit before shareholder tax was £1,918 million (2009: £1,607 million), an increase of 19%. This increase reflects the improved new business profitability, largely arising in the UK and an increase in expected returns.  The expected return benefits from the impacts of the reattribution of the inherited estate in the UK and the change in the tax gross up rate for the US, partly offset by the impact of the adoption of implied discount rates as the basis for determining the expected return.

For 2010, the expected profit has been adjusted to reflect an even emergence of risk, calculated by using the Implied Discount Rates to "unwind" the opening balances. The basis for setting the underlying normalised investment returns has not been changed. This change has no impact on total profit.

Experience variances and operating assumption changes are broadly neutral and together total £12 million, which is significantly lower than compared to the prior period, particularly in Europe, Delta Lloyd and the US. The results also benefit from £258 million of other operating variance primarily relating to modelling refinements in France and Delta Lloyd.

Economic variances in 2010 of £(480) million reflect the adverse equity performance and the widening of credit spreads, partly offset by the changes to reference rates. In 2009, the benefit from the reduction in credit spreads was partly offset by the reduction in the adjustment to risk free rates.

____________

Page 3

Condensed statement of comprehensive income - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2010

6 months
 2010
€m



6 months 2010
£m

Restated

6 months
 2009
£m

Full year
 2009
 £m

1,030


Profit for the period

896

919

2,935



Other comprehensive income




21


Fair value losses on AFS securities, owner-occupied properties and hedging instruments

18

(121)

(86)

(11)


Fair value gains transferred to profit

(10)

(5)

(30)

(423)


Actuarial losses on pension schemes

(368)

(1,380)

(1,140)

-


Actuarial gains on pension schemes transferred to unallocated divisible surplus and
   other movements

-

148

24

8


Impairment losses

7

15

89

(810)


Foreign exchange rate movements

(705)

(1,706)

(991)

64


Aggregate tax effect - shareholder tax

56

27

48

(1,151)


Other comprehensive income for the period, net tax

(1,002)

(3,022)

(2,086)

(121)


Total comprehensive (expense)/income for the period

(106)

(2,103)

849



Attributable to:




153


   Equity shareholders of Aviva plc

133

(1,773)

971

(274)


   Non-controlling interests

(239)

(330)

(122)

(121)



(106)

(2,103)

849

Condensed statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2010

6 months 2010
€m



6 months 2010
£m

Restated
6 months
 2009
£m

Full year
2009
 £m

22,514


Balance at 1 January

18,462

17,432

17,432

(129)


Total comprehensive (expense)/income for the period

(106)

(2,103)

849

(517)


Dividends and appropriations

(424)

(536)

(853)

-


Issues of share capital

-

-

1

184


Shares issued in lieu of dividends

151

184

299

1


Capital contributions from minority shareholders

1

6

6

-


Net increase to total equity following Delta Lloyd IPO

-

-

930

(99)


Minority share of dividends declared in the year

(81)

(36)

(109)

-


Non-controlling interest in (disposed)/acquired subsidiaries

-

(2)

(2)

(52)


Changes in non-controlling interest in existing subsidiaries

(43)

-

(111)

-


Shares acquired by employee trusts

-

-

(53)

44


Reserves credit for equity compensation plans

36

20

56

-


Aggregate tax effect - shareholder tax

-

1

17

21,946


Total equity

17,996

14,966

18,462

(4,738)


Non-controlling interests

(3,885)

(2,719)

(4,237)

17,208


Balance at 30 June/31 December

14,111

12,247

14,225

_________________________

Page 4

 

Condensed consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis

As at 30 June 2010

30 June
 2010
€m



30 June
 2010
£m

Restated
30 June
 2009
£m

31 December
 2009
 £m



Assets




4,118


Goodwill

3,377

3,361

3,381

3,222


Acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

2,642

3,269

2,860

2,706


Additional value of in-force long-term business1

2,218

2,047

3,376

2,282


Interests in, and loans to, joint ventures

1,871

1,370

1,701

1,546


Interests in, and loans to, associates

1,268

1,090

1,281

837


Property and equipment

686

805

753

15,288


Investment property

12,536

12,218

12,422

50,480


Loans

41,394

39,718

41,079



Financial investments




195,874


   Debt securities

160,617

146,116

160,510

49,685


   Equity securities

40,742

36,125

43,343

42,955


   Other investments

35,223

29,305

34,826

8,867


Reinsurance assets

7,271

7,005

7,572

351


Deferred tax assets

288

2,502

218

328


Current tax assets

269

444

359

11,026


Receivables and other financial assets

9,041

10,765

9,632

6,543


Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

5,365

6,244

5,621

4,361


Prepayments and accrued income

3,576

3,674

3,604

34,690


Cash and cash equivalents

28,446

25,030

25,176

7


Assets of operations classified as held for sale

6

2,520

53

435,166


Total assets

356,836

333,608

357,767



Equity




855


Ordinary share capital

701

685

692

5,450


Capital reserves

4,469

4,484

4,478

2,379


Other reserves

1,951

2,016

2,042

(83)


Shares held by employee trusts

(68)

(33)

(68)

4,843


Retained earnings

3,971

3,053

3,425

2,313


Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis1

1,897

852

2,466

15,757


Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

12,921

11,057

13,035

1,451


Preference share capital and direct capital instruments

1,190

1,190

1,190

4,738


Non-controlling interests1

3,885

2,719

4,237

21,946


Total equity

17,996

14,966

18,462



Liabilities




208,759


Gross insurance liabilities

171,182

161,775

171,092

130,735


Gross liabilities for investment contracts

107,203

97,541

110,015

5,152


Unallocated divisible surplus

4,225

2,283

3,866

12,002


Net asset value attributable to unitholders

9,842

7,973

9,894

4,882


Provisions

4,003

3,955

3,980

1,520


Deferred tax liabilities

1,246

2,789

1,038

555


Current tax liabilities

455

378

192

17,228


Borrowings

14,127

14,325

15,000

27,805


Payables and other financial liabilities

22,800

21,109

20,542

4,582


Other liabilities

3,757

4,529

3,653

-


Liabilities of operations classified as held for sale

-

1,985

33

413,220


Total liabilities

338,840

318,642

339,305

435,166


Total equity and liabilities

356,836

333,608

357,767

The summarised consolidated statement of financial position presented above is unaltered from the corresponding IFRS summarised consolidated statement of financial position with the exception of the following:

1. Adding the excess of the Life MCEV, including non-controlling interests, over the corresponding Life IFRS net assets represented as the additional value of in-force long-term business; corresponding item within equity represented by the additional retained profit on an MCEV basis; and, corresponding adjustments to non-controlling interests.

 

 

_____________

Page 5

Reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases

For the six month period to 30 June 2010

30 June 2010

IFRS
£m

Adjustment
£m

MCEV
£m

Ordinary share capital

701

-

701

Capital reserves

4,469

-

4,469

Other reserves

1,978

(27)

1,951

Shares held by employee trusts

(68)

-

(68)

Retained earnings

3,971

-

3,971

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis

-

1,897

1,897

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

11,051

1,870

12,921

Preference share capital

200

-

200

Direct capital instruments

990

-

990

Non-controlling interests

3,537

348

3,885

Total equity

15,778

2,218

17,996

 

Restated
30 June 2009

IFRS
£m

Adjustment
£m

MCEV
£m

Ordinary share capital

685

-

685

Capital reserves

4,484

-

4,484

Other reserves

1,471

545

2,016

Shares held by employee trusts

(33)

-

(33)

Retained earnings

3,053

-

3,053

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis

-

852

852

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

9,660

1,397

11,057

Preference share capital

200

-

200

Direct capital instruments

990

-

990

Non-controlling interests

2,000

719

2,719

Total equity

12,850

2,116

14,966

 


31 December 2009

IFRS
£m

Adjustment
£m

MCEV
£m

Ordinary share capital

692

-

692

Capital reserves

4,478

-

4,478

Other reserves

1,829

213

2,042

Shares held by employee trusts

(68)

-

(68)

Retained earnings

3,425

-

3,425

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis

-

2,466

2,466

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc

10,356

2,679

13,035

Preference share capital

200

-

200

Direct capital instruments

990

-

990

Non-controlling interests

3,540

697

4,237

Total equity

15,086

3,376

18,462

 

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to MCEV net worth

For the six month period to 30 June 2010


30 June
 2010
£m

Restated
30 June
 2009
£m

31 December
 2009
 £m

Net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

15,741

12,850

15,086

Adjusting for general business and other net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

1,989

3,054

2,231

Life and related businesses net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

17,730

15,904

17,317

Goodwill and other intangibles

(2,593)

(2,579)

(2,606)

Acquired value of in-force business

(1,298)

(1,913)

(1,493)

Adjustment for share of joint ventures and associates

(370)

(389)

(377)

Adjustment for assets to regulatory value net of tax

(730)

740

(19)

Adjustment for DAC and DIR net of tax

(2,531)

(2,918)

(2,653)

Adjustment for differences in technical provisions

1,049

1,275

1,414

Other accounting and tax differences

316

474

630

MCEV net worth

11,573

10,594

12,213

MCEV value of in-force

6,089

5,306

6,226

MCEV1

17,662

15,900

18,439

1. Comprises embedded value of £14,510 million (30 June 2009: £13,810 million; 31 December 2009: £15,001 million) and non-controlling interest in long-term business assets of £3,152 million (30 June 2009: £2,090 million;
31 December 2008: £3,438 million).

 

________________

Page 6

Group MCEV analysis of earnings

30 June 2010
(net of tax and non-controlling interests)

Covered
business1
£m
A

Non- covered
 but related to life
business2
£m
B

Total life
business3
£m
A+B

Non-covered relating to non-life
£m
C

Total non- covered
business
£m
B+C

Total
£m
A+B+C

Opening group MCEV

15,001

2,055

17,056

(2,831)

(776)

14,225

Opening adjustments

-

-

-

-

-

-

Adjusted opening group MCEV

15,001

2,055

17,056

(2,831)

(776)

14,225

Operating MCEV earnings

1,132

-

1,132

15

15

1,147

Non-operating MCEV earnings

(208)

(25)

(233)

(117)

(142)

(350)

Total MCEV earnings

924

(25)

899

(102)

(127)

797

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

45

45

(316)

(271)

(271)

Capital and dividend flows

(892)

-

(892)

646

646

(246)

Foreign exchange variances

(509)

(1)

(510)

116

115

(394)

Acquired/divested businesses

(14)

31

17

(17)

14

-

Closing group MCEV

14,510

2,105

16,615

(2,504)

(399)

14,111

Preference share capital and direct capital instruments






(1,190)

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc
   on an MCEV basis






12,921

1. Covered business represents the business that the MCEV calculations cover, as detailed in the Basis of preparation note. The embedded value is presented net of non-controlling interests and tax.

2. Non-covered but related to life business represents the adjustments to the MCEV, including goodwill, to calculate the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. An analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis gross of non-controlling interests is provided on E6.

3. Net assets for the total life businesses on an MCEV basis presented net of non-controlling interests.

 

Restated
30 June 2009
(net of tax and non-controlling interests)

Covered 
business1
£m 
A

Non-covered 
 but related
to life 
business2
£m 
B 

Total life 
business3
£m 
A+B 

Non-covered relating to non-life
£m
C

Total non- covered
business
£m
B+C

Total
£m
A+B+C

Opening group MCEV

14,212

2,639

16,851

(2,499)

140

14,352

Opening adjustments

-

-

-

-

-

-

Adjusted opening group MCEV

14,212

2,639

16,851

(2,499)

140

14,352

Operating MCEV earnings

1,030

-

1,030

86

86

1,116

Non-operating MCEV earnings

(148)

(29)

(177)

(51)

(80)

(228)

Total MCEV earnings

882

(29)

853

35

6

888

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

(373)

(373)

(943)

(1,316)

(1,316)

Capital and dividend flows

(48)

-

(48)

(284)

(284)

(332)

Foreign exchange variances

(1,238)

(281)

(1,519)

174

(107)

(1,345)

Acquired/divested businesses

2

(29)

(27)

27

(2)

-

Closing group MCEV

13,810

1,927

15,737

(3,490)

(1,563)

12,247

Preference share capital and direct capital instruments






(1,190)

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc on an    MCEV basis






11,057

 


31 December 2009
(net of tax and non-controlling interests)

Covered 
business1
£m 
A 

Non-covered 
 but related
to life 
business2
£m 
B 

Total life 
business3
£m 
A+B 

Non-covered relating to non-life
£m
C

Total
non-covered
business
£m
B+C

Total
£m
A+B+C

Opening group MCEV

14,212

2,639

16,851

(2,499)

140

14,352

Opening adjustments

-

-

-

-

-

-

Adjusted opening group MCEV

14,212

2,639

16,851

(2,499)

140

14,352

Operating MCEV earnings

2,178

-

2,178

15

15

2,193

Non-operating MCEV earnings

1,215

(99)

1,116

(496)

(595)

620

Total MCEV earnings

3,393

(99)

3,294

(481)

(580)

2,813

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

(266)

(266)

(839)

(1,105)

(1,105)

Capital and dividend flows

(250)

-

(250)

(283)

(283)

(533)

Foreign exchange variances

(743)

(218)

(961)

224

6

(737)

Acquired/divested businesses

(1,611)

(1)

(1,612)

1,047

1,046

(565)

Closing group MCEV

15,001

2,055

17,056

(2,831)

(776)

14,225

Preference share capital and direct capital instruments






(1,190)

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc on an    MCEV basis






13,035


___________________

Page 7

 

Notes to the MCEV condensed  financial statements

 

E1 - Basis of preparation

The condensed consolidated income statement and condensed consolidated statement of financial position on pages 2 to 4 present the group's results and financial position for the life and related businesses on the Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis and for its non-life businesses on the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) basis. The MCEV methodology adopted is in accordance with the MCEV Principles published by the CFO Forum in October 2009.

The directors consider that the MCEV methodology gives useful insight into the drivers of financial performance of the group's life and related businesses. This basis values future cash flows from assets consistently with market prices, including more explicit allowance for the impact of uncertainty in future investment returns and other risks.

The results for our half year report have been reviewed by our auditors, Ernst & Young LLP. Their report in respect of the half year report can be found on page 38.

CFO Forum principles update

The CFO Forum issued updated MCEV Principles and Guidance in October 2009, replacing the guidance issued in June 2008. The main change was to permit the use of liquidity premium on contracts with predictable cashflows. Aviva's methodology of applying liquidity premium to contracts where backing assets can be held to maturity is unchanged. Aviva's methodology is compliant with the updated CFO Forum Principles

Covered business

The MCEV calculations cover the following lines of business: life insurance, long-term health and accident insurance, savings, pensions and annuity business written by our life insurance subsidiaries, including managed pension fund business and our share of the other life and related business written in our associated undertakings and joint ventures, as well as the equity release business written in the UK.

Covered business includes the group's share of our joint ventures including our arrangement with The Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBSG) and our associated undertakings in India, China, Turkey, Malaysia, Taiwan and South Korea. In addition, the results of group companies providing significant administration, fund management and other services and of group holding companies have been included to the extent that they relate to covered business. Together these businesses are referred to as "Life and related businesses".

New business premiums

New business premiums include:

- premiums arising from the sale of new contracts during the period;

- non-contractual additional premiums, including future Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) rebate premiums; and

- expected renewals on new contracts and expected future contractual alterations to new contracts.

The group's definition of new business under MCEV includes contracts that meet the definition of "non-participating investment" contracts under IFRS.

For products sold to individuals, premiums are considered to represent new business where a new contract has been signed, or where underwriting has been performed. Renewal premiums include contractual renewals, non-contractual variations that are reasonably predictable and recurrent single premiums that are pre-defined and reasonably predictable.

For group products, new business includes new contracts and increases to aggregate premiums under existing contracts. Renewal premiums are based on the level of premium received during the reporting period and allow for premiums expected to be received beyond the expiry of any guaranteed premium rates.

Life and pensions operating earnings

Expected Return Methodology for Basis of Preparation

For life and pensions operating earnings, Aviva uses normalised investment returns. The use of asset risk premia reflects management's long-term expectations of asset returns in excess of swap rates from investing in different asset classes.

The normalised investment return on equities and property has been calculated by reference to the 10 year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk premium. The expected return on bonds has been calculated by reference to the swap rate consistent with the duration of the backing assets in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk margin (equivalent to the gross redemption yield less an allowance for defaults).

From 2010, Aviva has changed the approach to calculating expected returns within operating profit. The expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) is now calculated using the implied discount rates (IDR), which itself is based on the normalised investment returns.

The revised methodology applies the IDR to the Value of In Force (VIF) and Required Capital (RC) components of the MCEV and adds to this the total expected return for Free Surplus (FS) to derive the total expected return, in a manner consistent with that previously used under European Embedded Value reporting. This total is presented as the expected existing business contribution (reference rate), expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) and expected return on shareholders' net worth (grossed up for tax for pre tax presentation), with only the excess contribution being impacted by the change.

The change to expected returns has no impact on total return or on the closing balance sheet.

____________________

Page 8

E1 - Basis of preparation continued

MCEV methodology

Overview

Under the MCEV methodology, profit is recognised as it is earned over the life of products defined within covered business. The total profit recognised over the lifetime of a policy is the same as under the IFRS basis of reporting, but the timing of recognition is different.

Calculation of the embedded value

The shareholders' interest in the life and related businesses is represented by the embedded value. The embedded value is the total of the net worth of the life and related businesses and the value of in-force covered business. Calculations are performed separately for each business and are based on the cash flows of that business, after allowing for both external and intra-group reinsurance. Where one life business has an interest in another, the net worth of that business excludes the interest in the dependent company.

The embedded value is calculated on an after-tax basis applying current legislation and practice together with future known changes. Where gross results are presented, these have been calculated by grossing up post-tax results at the full rate of corporation tax for each country based on opening period tax rates, apart from the US, where a nil tax rate was used for the 2009 post-tax results, and consequently for 'grossing up'.

Net worth

The net worth is the market value of the shareholders' funds and the shareholders' interest in the surplus held in the non-profit component of the long-term business funds, determined on a statutory solvency basis and adjusted to add back any non-admissible assets, and consists of the required capital and free surplus.

Required capital is the market value of assets attributed to the covered business over and above that required to back liabilities for covered business, for which distribution to shareholders is restricted. Required capital is reported net of implicit items permitted on a local regulatory basis to cover minimum solvency margins which are assessed at a local entity level. The level of required capital for each business unit is set equal to the higher of:

- The level of capital at which the local regulator is empowered to take action;

- The capital requirement of the business unit under the group's economic capital requirements; and

- The target capital level of the business unit.

This methodology reflects the level of capital considered by the directors to be appropriate to manage the business, and includes any additional shareholder funds not available for distribution, such as the reattributed inherited estate in the UK. The same definition of required capital is used for both existing and new business.

The free surplus is the market value of any assets allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business at the valuation date. The level of required capital across the business units expressed as a percentage of the EU minimum solvency margin (or equivalent) can be found in note E15.

Value of in-force covered business (VIF)

The value of in-force covered business consists of the following components:

- present value of future profits;

- time value of financial options and guarantees;

- frictional costs of required capital; and

- cost of residual non-hedgeable risks.

Present value of future profits (PVFP)

This is the present value of the distributable profits to shareholders arising from the in-force covered business projected on a best estimate basis.

Distributable profits generally arise when they are released following actuarial valuations. These valuations are carried out in accordance with any local statutory requirements designed to ensure and demonstrate solvency in long-term business funds. Future distributable profits will depend on experience in a number of areas such as investment return, discontinuance rates, mortality, administration costs, as well as management and policyholder actions. Releases to shareholders arising in future years from the in-force covered business and associated required capital can be projected using assumptions of future experience.

Future profits are projected using best estimate non-economic assumptions and market consistent economic assumptions. In principle, each cash flow is discounted at a rate that appropriately reflects the riskiness of that cash flow, so higher risk cash flows are discounted at higher rates. In practice, the PVFP is calculated using the "certainty equivalent" approach, under which the reference rate is used for both the investment return and the discount rate. This approach ensures that asset cash flows are valued consistently with the market prices of assets without options and guarantees. Further information on the risk-free rates is given in note E15.

The PVFP includes the capitalised value of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the extent that they relate to covered business. This is referred to as the "look through" into service company expenses. In addition, expenses arising in holding companies that relate directly to acquiring or maintaining covered business have been allowed for. Where external companies provide services to the life and related businesses, their charges have been allowed for in the underlying projected cost base.

______________________

Page 9

E1 - Basis of preparation continued

US capital solutions

Credit has been taken within the 2010 US embedded value, and value of new business, for the anticipated reduction in capital requirements based on management's intention to enact transactions which allow recognition of additional assets that can be held against certain reserves, reducing shareholder capital requirements. Similar transactions, which are effectively based upon a parental guarantee that sufficient capital resources would be available if required, have been enacted for business written between 2006 and 2009. Previously credit has been taken for equivalent capital solution transactions only after they have been formally enacted.

Time value of financial options and guarantees (TVOG)

The PVFP calculation is based on a single (base) economic scenario. However, a single scenario cannot appropriately allow for the effect of certain product features. If an option or guarantee affects shareholder cash flows in the base scenario, the impact is included in the PVFP and is referred to as the intrinsic value of the option guarantee.

However, future investment returns are uncertain and the actual impact on shareholder profits may be higher or lower. The value of in-force business needs to be adjusted for the impact of the range of potential future outcomes. Stochastic modelling techniques can be used to assess the impact of potential future outcomes, and the difference between the intrinsic value and the total stochastic value is referred to as the time value of the option or guarantee.

Stochastic modelling typically involves projecting the future cash flows of the business under thousands of economic scenarios that are representative of the possible future outcomes for market variables such as interest rates and equity returns. Under a market consistent approach, the economic scenarios generated reflect the market's tendency towards risk aversion. Allowance is made, where appropriate, for the effect of management and/or policyholder actions in different economic conditions on future assumptions such as asset mix, bonus rates and surrender rates.

Stochastic models are calibrated to market yield curves and volatility levels at the valuation date. Tests are performed to confirm that the scenarios used produce results that replicate the market price of traded instruments.

Where evidence exists that persistency rates are linked to economic scenarios, dynamic lapse assumptions are set that vary depending on the individual scenarios. This cost is included in the TVOG. Dynamic lapses are modelled for parts of the US and French businesses. Asymmetries in non-economic assumptions that are linked to economic scenarios, but that have insufficient evidence for credible dynamic assumptions, are allowed for within mean best estimate assumptions.

Frictional costs of required capital

The additional costs to a shareholder of holding the assets backing required capital within an insurance company rather than directly in the market are called frictional costs. They are explicitly deducted from the PVFP. The additional costs allowed for are the taxation costs and any additional investment expenses on the assets backing the required capital. The level of required capital has been set out above in the net worth section.

Frictional costs are calculated by projecting forwards the future levels of required capital. Tax on investment return and investment expenses are payable on the assets backing required capital, up until the point that they are released to shareholders.

Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks (CNHR)

The cost of residual non-hedgeable risks (CNHR) covers risks not already allowed for in the time value of options and guarantees or the PVFP. The allowance includes the impact of both non-hedgeable financial and non-financial risks. The most significant risk not included in the PVFP or TVOG is operational risk.

The methodology includes a cost of non-hedgeable risk equivalent to a charge of 2.5% applied to group-diversified capital. The cost has been calculated as a 1.5% charge applied to business unit-level capital, that is, allowing for diversification within a business unit, but not between business units. The charge was set so as to give an aggregate allowance that was in excess of the expected operational risk costs arising from the in-force covered business over its remaining lifetime.

The capital levels used are projected to be sufficient to cover non-hedgeable risks at the 99.5% confidence level one-year after the valuation date. The capital is equal to the capital from the ICA results for those risks considered. The capital has been projected as running off over the remaining life of the in-force portfolio in line with the drivers of the capital requirement.

In addition to the operational risk allowance, financial non-hedgeable risks and other product level asymmetries have been allowed for. These allowances are not material as significant financial non-hedgeable risks and product level asymmetries are either modelled explicitly and included in the TVOG or are included in the PVFP through the use of appropriate best estimate assumptions.

Asymmetric risks allowed for in the TVOG or PVFP are described earlier in the Basis of preparation. No allowance has been made within the cost of non-hedgeable risk for symmetrical risks as these are diversifiable by investors.

Participatingbusiness

Future regular bonuses on participating business are projected in a manner consistent with current bonus rates and expected future market-consistent returns on assets deemed to back the policies.

For with-profit funds in the UK and Ireland, for the purpose of recognising the value of the estate, it is assumed that terminal bonuses are increased to exhaust all of the assets in the fund over the future lifetime of the in-force with-profit policies. However, under stochastic modelling there may be some extreme economic scenarios when the total assets in the group's with-profit funds are not sufficient to pay all policyholder claims. The average additional shareholder cost arising from this shortfall has been included in the TVOG.

______________

Page 10

E1 - Basis of preparation continued

For profit sharing business in continental Europe, where policy benefits and shareholder value depend on the timing of realising gains, the apportionment of unrealised gains between policyholders and shareholders reflects contractual requirements as well as existing practice. Under certain economic scenarios where additional shareholder injections are required to meet policyholder payments, the average additional cost has been included in the TVOG.

The embedded value of the US spread-based products anticipates the application of management discretion allowed for contractually within the policies, subject to contractual guarantees. This includes the ability to change the crediting rates and indexed strategies available within the policy. Consideration is taken of the economic environment assumed in future projections and returns in excess of the reference rate are not assumed. Anticipated market and policyholder reaction to management action has been considered. The anticipated management action is consistent with current decision rules and has been approved and signed off by management and legal counsel.

Consolidation adjustments

The effect of transactions between group life companies such as loans and reinsurance arrangements have been included in the results split by territory in a consistent manner. No elimination is required on consolidation.

As the MCEV methodology incorporates the impact of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the group's life companies, the equivalent profits and losses have been removed from the relevant segment (non-insurance or fund management) and are instead included within the results of life and related businesses. In addition, the underlying basis of calculation for these profits has changed from the IFRS basis to the MCEV basis.

The capitalised value of the future profits and losses from such service companies is included in the embedded value and value of new business calculations for the relevant business, but the net assets (representing historical profits and other amounts) remain under non-insurance or fund management. In order to reconcile the profits arising in the financial period within each segment with the assets on the opening and closing statement of financial positions, a transfer of IFRS profits from life and related business to the appropriate segment is deemed to occur. An equivalent approach has been adopted for expenses within our holding companies. The assessments of goodwill, intangibles and pension schemes relating to life insurance business utilise the IFRS measurement basis.

Restatements

The following restatements were actioned in the group's 2009 financial statements. As these restatements took place in the second half of the year, the comparative figures for the six months to 30 June 2009 are now restated in this report.

(i) The 2008 and half year 2009 embedded values have been restated for the US, primarily reflecting modelling corrections in the valuation of assets on a market consistent basis identified in 2009.

(ii) During 2009, the Group undertook a review of its accounting policy for cash and cash equivalents. Previously, we defined these as normally having a maturity of three months or less from date of acquisition. To avoid ambiguity, our accounting policy has been refined to impose a cut-off date of exactly three months, allowing us to delete "normally" from the policy wording. This refinement of policy resulted in a reclassification of certain short-dated instruments between cash and cash equivalents and financial investments.

The impact of this refinement was to increase financial investments and reduce cash and cash equivalents at 1 January 2009 and 30 June 2009 by £518 million compared to the amounts previously stated. As a consequence of this, cash flows from operating activities for the six month period to 30 June 2009 have decreased by £51 million, with the effect of exchange rate movements accounting for the remaining £71 million.

(iii) During 2009, the Group's Dutch subsidiary, Delta Lloyd, carried out a review of the way it had been applying IAS 19, Employee Benefits, in its own financial statements where the corridor method of smoothing actuarial gains and losses in its pension schemes is followed; in accounting for its self-insured pension obligations and intercompany eliminations; and in its reporting to Group where the corridor accounting is reversed. The review concluded that errors had been made locally in applying IAS 19 on the transition to IFRS and in subsequent years, such that gains on certain assets had been reported in provisions, to be released over time, rather than through other comprehensive income. The impact of correcting these errors was to reduce other liabilities by £170 million as at 1 January 2009, increase deferred tax liabilities by £43 million and increase retained earnings at that date by £127 million.

The group's principal overseas operations during the period were located within the Eurozone and the United States. The results and cash flows of these operations have been translated at the average rates for that period and the assets and liabilities have been translated at the period end rates. Please refer to note A2 on page 35.

______________________

Page 11

E2 - Geographical analysis of long-term MCEV operating earnings








6 months 2010





Europe






United Kingdom
£m

Aviva
Europe
£m

Delta
 Lloyd
£m

North America
£m

Asia
Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business


176

285

(58)

4

18

425

Earnings from existing business:








- expected returns at the reference rate


78

129

26

34

6

273

- expected returns in excess of the reference rate


219

175

98

179

17

688

- expected returns


297

304

124

213

23

961

- experience variances


(8)

62

(25)

8

(12)

25

- operating assumption changes


2

(13)

-

-

(2)

(13)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth


87

79

50

40

6

262

Other operating variances


5

176

66

6

5

258

Operating earnings before tax


559

893

157

271

38

1,918

 








6 months 2009





Europe






United Kingdom
£m

Aviva
Europe
£m

Delta
 Lloyd
£m

North America
£m

Asia
Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business


101

268

(34)

16

16

367

Earnings from existing business:








- expected returns at the reference rate


41

164

43

36

16

300

          - expected returns in excess of the reference rate


153

219

116

111

2

601

- expected returns


194

383

159

147

18

901

- experience variances


(27)

(67)

23

(91)

(13)

(175)

- operating assumption changes


2

5

86

-

(7)

86

Expected return on shareholders' net worth


68

94

39

47

7

255

Other operating variances


7

93

56

1

16

173

Operating earnings before tax


345

776

329

120

37

1,607

 








Full year 2009





Europe






United Kingdom
£m

Aviva
 Europe
£m

Delta
Lloyd
£m

North America
£m

Asia
Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business


247

521

(103)

16

29

710

Earnings from existing business:








- expected returns at the reference rate


113

326

43

55

26

563

- expected returns in excess of the reference rate


402

428

270

249

16

1,365

- expected returns


515

754

313

304

42

1,928

- experience variances


(29)

43

(3)

(87)

(23)

(99)

- operating assumption changes


(67)

(8)

171

(38)

(14)

44

Expected return on shareholders' net worth


138

180

88

89

17

512

Other operating variances


(17)

214

65

(18)

50

294

Operating earnings before tax


787

1,704

531

266

101

3,389

 

United Kingdom

MCEV operating earningswere 62% higher at £559 million (HY09: £345 million).

Value of new business is £176 million (HY09: £101 million), reflecting the trading actions we have taken to increase profitability, together with strong returns on new annuity business and a beneficial product mix.

Total expected return is £384 million (HY09: £262 million), is significantly higher reflecting the additional expected return following the reattribution of the inherited estate partly offset by the adoption of implied discount rates as the basis for determining the expected return.

Variances and assumption changeson existing business were £1 million unfavourable (HY09: £18 million unfavourable) including offsetting impacts from reducing maintenance expense assumptions and increasing project allowances. Short-term persistency experience has continued to be adverse as a result of the economic conditions; however, this has been offset by favourable mortality experience.

______________________

Page  12

E2 - Geographical analysis of long-term MCEV operating earnings continued

Europe

In Europe, operating profit decreased to £1,050million (HY09: £1,105 million). Growth in Aviva Europe operating return is driven by more favourable operating experience partly offset by lower expected returns. The reduction in Delta Lloyd operating profit reflects the adverse experience and lower expected returns. 2009 benefited from favourable assumption changes.

Aviva Europe

MCEV operating earnings increased by £117 million, a 15% rise to £893 million (HY09: £776 million), driven by the increased value generated from new business, favourable experience variances and modelling changes.

Value of new businessis £285 million (HY09: £268 million), an increase of 6%, reflecting higher new business volumes partly dampened by a movement in mix towards lower margin savings products. The contribution from each of our major distribution channels, bancassurance and retail, rose as we remain focused on developing both channels.

Total expected returnis down 20% to £383 million (HY09: £477 million), reflecting the adoption of implied discount rates as the basis for determining the expected return.

Experience variances on existing business of £62 million favourable (HY09: £67 million adverse) reflect continued positive mortality experience and other variances in France and Poland. Overall persistency experience is broadly neutral, with the partial release of the short term provision in France being partly offset by adverse lapse experience in Spain, where we have established a provision of £18 million in excess of in-year experience.

Other operating variancesare positive at £176 million (HY09: £93 million). This includes £188 million in respect of modelling refinements in France.

Delta Lloyd

Operating earnings reduced to £157 million (HY09: £329 million) mainly reflecting the contribution of positive operating assumption changes in the prior period and negative experience variances.

Value of new businesswas negative at £(58) million (HY09: £(34) million) reflecting the lower margins in Germany and the impact of less favourable economic assumptions.

Total expected return reduced to £174 million (HY09: £198 million) reflecting the adoption of implied discount rates as the basis for determining the expected return.

Operating experience and assumption changeswere £(25) million (HY09: £109 million). In 2010, the adverse experience mainly arose in our Belgian operations.

Other operating variancesof £66 million (HY09: £56 million) reflect modelling refinements.

North America

MCEV operating earningsare 126% higher at £271 million (HY09: £120 million), reflecting a strong improvement in performance primarily as the impact of actions taken to improve life and annuity profitability led to the elimination of adverse operating experience variances compared to the prior year.

Value of new businesswas lower at £4 million (HY09: £16 million) primarily reflecting the impact of lower risk free rates which masked the underlying improvement in profitability. The internal rate of return on new business moved ahead strongly at 14% (HY09: 7%), mainly reflecting the anticipated management actions to reduce capital consumption.

Total expected returnincreased to £253 million (HY09: £194 million), as a result of grossing up for tax in 2010, following a reassessment of the tax paying position, partly offset by the adoption of implied discount rates as the basis for determining the expected return.

Variances and assumption changeson existing business were £14 million favourable (HY09: £90 million unfavourable). The prior year contained large variances due to spread compression, whereas the current year reflects favourable mortality and morbidity experience partly offset by project costs.

Asia Pacific

MCEV operating earningswere 3% higher at £38 million (HY09: £37 million, £10 million excluding the contribution from Australia).

Value of New Businesswas 13% higher at £18 million (HY09: £16 million, £6 million excluding the contribution from Australia), reflecting higher sales volume also resulting in improved scale efficiencies.

Total expected returnwas £29 million (HY09: £25 million, £14 million excluding the contribution from Australia), benefiting from the adoption of implied discount rates as the basis for determining the expected return.

Variances and assumption changeson existing business were £9 million unfavourable (HY09: £4 million unfavourable). The prior year contained positive modelling changes, whereas the current year sees a continuation of adverse persistency in the region.

__________________

Page 13

E2 - Geographical analysis of MCEV operating earnings continued

Gross of tax and
non-controlling interests
30 June 2010

UK
£m

France
£m

Ireland
£m

Italy
£m

Poland
£m

Spain
£m

Other Europe
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business

176

102

1

84

20

66

12

285

(58)

227

4

18

425

Earnings from existing
business














- expected existing
business contribution (reference rate)

78

53

6

8

37

16

9

129

26

155

34

6

273

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

219

90

16

18

14

36

1

175

98

273

179

17

688

Experience variances














- maintenance expense1

(2)

(12)

-

1

5

4

2

-

(15)

(15)

-

-

(17)

- project and other related expenses

(6)

-

-

-

-

-

(2)

(2)

(1)

(3)

(8)

-

(17)

- mortality/morbidity2

12

22

5

1

5

(5)

2

30

3

33

9

3

57

- lapses3

(10)

18

(6)

1

-

(13)

(1)

(1)

4

3

(1)

(14)

(22)

- other4

(2)

6

10

6

14

-

(1)

35

(16)

19

8

(1)

24


(8)

34

9

9

24

(14)

-

62

(25)

37

8

(12)

25

Operating assumption changes:














- maintenance expense5

95

-

4

-

-

-

-

4

-

4

-

3

102

- project and other related expenses5

(89)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(89)

- mortality/morbidity

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- lapses6

-

-

-

-

-

(17)

-

(17)

-

(17)

-

(3)

(20)

- other

(4)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(2)

(6)


2

-

4

-

-

(17)

-

(13)

-

(13)

-

(2)

(13)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

87

27

8

27

5

9

3

79

50

129

40

6

262

Other operating variances7

5

188

(3)

-

(1)

(1)

(7)

176

66

242

6

5

258

Earnings before tax
and non-controlling interests

559

494

41

146

99

95

18

893

157

1,050

271

38

1,918

1. Adverse expense experience occurs across several countries, partly offset by favourable experience in Poland.

2. Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumptions set across a number of our businesses, most notably in France and the UK annuity business.

3. Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our businesses, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. In France, persistency experience reflects a release of the short term provision.

4. Other experience relates to a number of smaller items within various business including a reduction in the allowance for non hedgeable risk in Poland. In the USA, there were positive impacts from spread variances.

5. For UK, the expense assumptions include a reallocation of provisions in the service company, better reflecting the expected future allocation of expenses. The impact in Ireland reflected the benefit of a release of prudent regulatory reserves.

6. Persistency assumptions have been strengthened in Spain.

7. Other operating variances for France relate to modelling changes, particularly relating to the time value of options and guarantees. In Delta Lloyd, modelling changes include impacts related to commercial mortgages partly offset by changes to group pension business.

 

 

_____________________

Page 14

 

E2 - Geographical analysis of MCEV operating earnings continued

Gross of tax and
non-controlling interests
30 June 2009

UK
£m

France
£m

Ireland
£m

Italy
£m

Poland
£m

Spain
£m

Other Europe
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
£m

Australia
£m

Asia Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business

101

72

4

81

27

78

6

268

(34)

234

16

6

10

16

367

Earnings from existing
business
















- expected existing
business contribution (reference rate)

41

81

12

6

33

22

10

164

43

207

36

8

8

16

300

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

153

153

5

4

3

55

(1)

219

116

335

111

2

-

2

601

Experience variances
















- maintenance expense1

25

1

2

(3)

3

(1)

3

5

16

21

-

2

1

3

49

- project and other related expenses

(36)

(3)

(4)

(2)

(1)

(3)

(2)

(15)

(2)

(17)

(5)

1

-

1

(57)

- mortality/morbidity2

6

10

8

-

9

(4)

1

24

(6)

18

(4)

4

4

8

28

- lapses3

(17)

(18)

(22)

(3)

8

(35)

(10)

(80)

(6)

(86)

(8)

(24)

-

(24)

(135)

- other4

(5)

(13)

(5)

11

5

1

-

(1)

21

20

(74)

1

(2)

(1)

(60)


(27)

(23)

(21)

3

24

(42)

(8)

(67)

23

(44)

(91)

(16)

3

(13)

(175)

Operating assumption changes:
















- maintenance expense

2

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

4

4

6

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity

(1)

-

6

-

-

-

-

6

1

7

-

(2)

-

(2)

4

- lapses5

1

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(31)

(31)

-

(11)

-

(11)

(41)

- other6

-

-

(2)

-

-

-

1

(1)

116

115

-

2

-

2

117


2

-

4

-

-

-

1

5

86

91

-

(11)

4

(7)

86

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

68

34

9

29

5

13

4

94

39

133

47

4

3

7

255

Other operating variances7

7

60

5

(3)

-

28

3

93

56

149

1

17

(1)

16

173

Earnings before tax
and non-controlling interests

345

377

18

120

92

154

15

776

329

1,105

120

10

27

37

1,607

1. Maintenance expense experience in the UK and Netherlands relates to profits from existing business administration and cost savings, respectively. Project and other related expenses in the UK reflect project costs associated with strategic initiatives, including developments designed to offer a wider range of products to customers, and the simplification of systems and processes.

2. Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumptions set across a number of our businesses.

3. Lapse experience has been volatile, in part reflecting wider economic volatility. In Poland, lapse experience continued to be better than the long-term assumptions for both Life and Pension products.

4. In the Netherlands, favourable other experience variances arise from policy alterations on group business. In the USA, other experience reflects the cost of enhancing policyholder crediting rates.

5. In the Netherlands, adverse lapse assumption changes have been made in the German business.

6. Favourable other assumption changes in the Netherlands are in respect of revisions to investment and bonus strategies in Germany as this business is repositioned.

7. Other operating variances in France and the Netherlands relate to modelling refinements. In Spain, these reflect the impact of re-pricing actions on risk products.

 

 

 

_____________________

Page 15

 

E2 - Geographical analysis of MCEV operating earnings continued

Gross of tax and
non-controlling interests
31 December 2009

UK
£m

France
£m

Ireland
£m

Italy
£m

Poland
£m

Spain
£m

Other Europe
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
£m

Australia
£m

Asia Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business

247

169

12

124

55

151

10

521

(103)

418

16

11

18

29

710

Earnings from existing
business
















- expected existing
business contribution (reference rate)

113

161

22

15

67

39

22

326

43

369

55

11

15

26

563

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

402

282

18

5

4

119

-

428

270

698

249

15

1

16

1,365

Experience variances
















- maintenance expense1

37

-

6

(2)

14

(10)

5

13

(3)

10

-

6

(1)

5

52

- project and other related expenses


(34)

 

(1)


(7)

-

-

(7)

(7)

(22)

(42)

(64)

(35)

-

-

-

(133)

- mortality/morbidity2

6

50

8

2

12

(6)

8

74

(22)

52

5

5

8

13

76

- lapses3

(30)

53

(23)

(46)

17

(52)

(17)

(68)

13

(55)

(17)

(38)

-

(38)

(140)

- other4

(8)

(80)

1

116

7

1

1

46

51

97

(40)

-

(3)

(3)

46


(29)

22

(15)

70

50

(74)

(10)

43

(3)

40

(87)

(27)

4

(23)

(99)

Operating assumption changes:
















- maintenance expense5

1

(22)

5

(31)

54

(94)

10

(78)

275

197

(9)

(10)

8

(2)

187

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

(13)

-

(13)

-

(13)

-

-

-

-

(13)

- mortality/morbidity6

5

64

7

12

58

(9)

(1)

131

(4)

127

(20)

(1)

5

4

116

- lapses7

(51)

(22)

(9)

(37)

83

(69)

(7)

(61)

(40)

(101)

(105)

(9)

4

(5)

(262)

- other8

(22)

3

12

1

(1)

-

(2)

13

(60)

(47)

96

(6)

(5)

(11)

16


(67)

23

15

(55)

194

(185)

-

(8)

171

163

(38)

(26)

12

(14)

44

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

138

66

16

57

8

26

7

180

88

268

89

11

6

17

512

Other operating variances9

(17)

62

(4)

-

121

37

(2)

214

65

279

(18)

50

-

50

294

Earnings before tax
and non-controlling interests

787

785

64

216

499

113

27

1,704

531

2,235

266

45

56

101

3,389

1  Maintenance expense experience in the UK relates to profits from existing business administration. Project and other related expenses in the UK reflect project costs associated with strategic initiatives, including developments designed to offer a wider range of products to customers, and the simplification of systems and processes. Project and other related expenses in Delta Lloyd relate to integration costs in Belgium.

2. Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumptions set across a number of our businesses.

3. Persistency experience has been volatile across most of our businesses, in part reflecting wider economic volatility. In France, positive persistency experience including the release of a short term provision, in line with positive underlying experience. In Poland, lapse experience continued to be better than the long-term assumptions for both Life and Pension products.

4. Other experience is favourable overall. Both France and Italy include one off adjustments reflecting final commission payments from prior years. The favourable impact in Italy reflects to one-off profit sharing on a reinsurance treaty. The favourable impact in Delta Lloyd relates to the revised investment and bonus strategy in Germany following the decision to close this operation to new business. The adverse impact in the USA relates to the cost of enhancing policyholder crediting rates.

5. Favourable expense assumption changes reflect the impact of cost reductions in the Delta Lloyd and Poland, together with the impact of revisions to expense allocations in Delta Lloyd. The adverse impact in Spain relates to the capitalisation of certain governance costs in respect of bancassurance joint ventures.

6. Favourable mortality assumption changes in France and Poland reflecting recent experience. The adverse impact in Delta Lloyd reflects the net impact of using updated mortality tables in the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium, following
the issuance of revised advice from the respective actuarial associations.

7. Persistency assumptions have been strengthened across most of our businesses, in light of experience. In Poland, persistency assumptions have been weakened following sustained favourable experience.

8. Other assumption changes in the US primarily relate to the timing of management action in setting policyholder credited rates. In Delta Lloyd, the change represents tax effects resulting from a reallocation of assets

9. Other operating variances in France, Poland and Asia relate to have arisen as a result of more accurate modelling. In Delta Lloyd, these relate to revisions to investment and bonus strategies and expenses in Delta Lloyd Germany following
the decision to close this operation to new business. In Spain, these reflect the impact of re-pricing actions on risk products.

 

____________________

Page 16

 

E2 - Geographical analysis of MCEV operating earnings continued

Net of tax and
non-controlling interests
30 June 2010

UK
£m

France
£m

Ireland
£m

Italy
£m

Poland
£m

Spain
£m

Other Europe
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business

126

58

1

24

15

22

9

129

(25)

104

2

14

246

Earnings from existing
business














- expected existing
business contribution (reference rate)

56

32

4

3

26

6

8

79

11

90

22

3

171

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

158

53

11

5

10

11

1

91

38

129

116

14

417

Experience variances














- maintenance expense1

(2)

(7)

-

-

4

1

1

(1)

(5)

(6)

-

1

(7)

- project and other related expenses

(5)

1

-

-

-

-

(2)

(1)

(1)

(2)

(5)

-

(12)

- mortality/morbidity2

9

12

4

-

4

(2)

1

19

(1)

18

6

3

36

- lapses3

(7)

12

(5)

1

(1)

(5)

-

2

-

2

-

(11)

(16)

- other4

(2)

4

6

2

10

1

-

23

(5)

18

5

(1)

20


(7)

22

5

3

17

(5)

-

42

(12)

30

6

(8)

21

Operating assumption changes:














- maintenance expense5

68

-

3

-

-

-

-

3

-

3

-

2

73

- project and other related expenses5

(64)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(64)

- mortality/morbidity

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- lapses6

-

-

-

-

-

(6)

-

(6)

-

(6)

-

(1)

(7)

- other

(2)

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(2)

(4)


2

-

3

-

-

(6)

-

(3)

-

(3)

-

(1)

(2)

Expected return on shareholders' net
worth

63

16

5

9

3

4

2

39

21

60

26

4

153

Other operating variances7

4

101

(2)

-

(1)

(1)

(6)

91

25

116

4

2

126

Earnings after tax
and non-controlling interests

402

282

27

44

70

31

14

468

58

526

176

28

1,132

1. Adverse expense experience occurs across several countries, partly offset by favourable experience in Poland.

2. Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumptions set across a number of our businesses, most notably in France and the UK annuity business.

3. Persistency experience remains volatile across most of our businesses, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. In France, persistency experience reflects a release of the short term provision.

4. Other experience relates to a number of smaller items within various business including a reduction in the allowance for non hedgeable risk in Poland. In the USA, there were positive impacts from spread variances.

5. For UK, the expense assumptions include a reallocation of provisions in the service company, better reflecting the expected future allocation of expenses. The impact in Ireland reflected the benefit of a release of prudent regulatory reserves.

6. Persistency assumptions have been strengthened in Spain.

7. Other operating variances for France relate to modelling changes, particularly relating to the time value of options and guarantees. In Delta Lloyd, modelling changes include impacts related to commercial mortgages partly offset by changes to group pension business.

 

 

 

 

___________________________

Page 17

 

E2 - Geographical analysis of MCEV operating earnings continued

Net of tax and
non-controlling interests
30 June 2009

UK
£m

France
£m

Ireland
£m

Italy
£m

Poland
£m

Spain
£m

Other Europe
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
£m

Australia
£m

Asia Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business

72

40

3

25

19

26

5

118

(28)

90

16

5

7

12

190

Earnings from existing
business
















- expected existing
business contribution (reference rate)

30

50

8

2

23

9

8

100

31

131

36

5

5

10

207

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

110

93

3

1

2

21

-

120

85

205

111

1

-

1

427

Experience variances
















- maintenance expense1

18

1

1

(1)

2

(1)

3

5

14

19

-

2

-

2

39

- project and other related expenses

(26)

(2)

(3)

(1)

-

(2)

(2)

(10)

(2)

(12)

(5)

1

-

1

(42)

- mortality/morbidity2

4

6

5

-

6

(1)

2

18

(7)

11

(4)

3

3

6

17

- lapses3

(13)

(11)

(16)

(1)

6

(12)

(8)

(42)

(4)

(46)

(8)

(19)

-

(19)

(86)

- other4

(3)

(8)

(3)

6

4

1

(1)

(1)

18

17

(74)

-

(1)

(1)

(61)


(20)

(14)

(16)

3

18

(15)

(6)

(30)

19

(11)

(91)

(13)

2

(11)

(133)

Operating assumption changes:
















- maintenance expense

2

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(1)

3

2

4

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity

(1)

-

4

-

-

-

-

4

-

4

-

-

-

-

3

- lapses5

1

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

(22)

(22)

-

(10)

-

(10)

(31)

- other6

-

-

(1)

-

-

-

-

(1)

82

81

-

2

-

2

83


2

-

3

-

-

-

-

3

60

63

-

(9)

3

(6)

59

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

49

19

6

10

4

5

2

46

27

73

47

2

2

4

173

Other operating variances7

6

36

4

(1)

(1)

8

4

50

40

90

1

9

1

10

107

Earnings after tax
and non-controlling interests

249

224

11

40

65

54

13

407

234

641

120

-

20

20

1,030

1. Maintenance expense experience in the UK and Netherlands relates to profits from existing business administration and cost savings, respectively. Project and other related expenses in the UK reflect project costs associated with strategic initiatives, including developments designed to offer a wider range of products to customers, and the simplification of systems and processes.

2. Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumptions set across a number of our businesses.

3. Lapse experience has been volatile, in part reflecting wider economic volatility. In Poland lapse experience continued to be better than the long-term assumptions for both Life and Pension products.

4. In the Netherlands, favourable other experience variances arise from policy alterations on group business. In the USA, other experience reflects the cost of enhancing policyholder crediting rates.

5. In the Netherlands, adverse lapse assumption changes have been made in the German business.

6. Favourable other assumption changes in the Netherlands are in respect of revisions to investment and bonus strategies in Germany as this business is repositioned.

7. Other operating variances in France and the Netherlands relate to modelling refinements. In Spain, these reflect the impact of re-pricing actions on risk products.

 

_________________________

Page 18

 

E2 - Geographical analysis of MCEV operating earnings continued

Net of tax and
non-controlling interests
31 December 2009

UK
£m

France
£m

Ireland
£m

Italy
£m

Poland
£m

Spain
£m

Other Europe
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
£m

Australia
£m

Asia Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Value of new business

177

94

8

38

39

51

8

238

(78)

160

16

9

13

22

375

Earnings from existing
business


 

 

 

 


 

 




 

 







- expected existing
business contribution (reference rate)


81


100


15


5


47


15

 

17


199


29


228


55


6


11


17


381

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)



289



170



12



2



3



44

 

 

-



231



171



402



249



12



-



12



952

Experience variances
















- maintenance expense1

27

-

4

(1)

10

(8)

4

9

4

13

-

5

-

5

45

- project and other related expenses


(26)

 

-


(5)


-


-


(3)

 

(6)

 

(14)


(21)


(35)


(35)

 

-

 

-

 

-


(96)

- mortality/morbidity2

4

30

5

1

9

(3)

6

48

(17)

31

5

3

5

8

48

- lapses3

(22)

36

(16)

(15)

12

(20)

(14)

(17)

5

(12)

(17)

(31)

-

(31)

(82)

- other4

(4)

(49)

1

37

5

1

1

(4)

35

31

(40)

(1)

(2)

(3)

(16)


(21)

17

(11)

22

36

(33)

(9)

22

6

28

(87)

(24)

3

(21)

(101)

Operating assumption changes:






























- maintenance expense5

-

(14)

3

(10)

38

(69)

7

(45)

197

152

(9)

(9)

6

(3)

140

- project and other related expenses

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-

 

-


(5)

 

-


(5)


-


(5)


-


-


-


-


(5)

- mortality/morbidity6

4

42

4

4

42

(3)

1

90

1

91

(20)

-

3

3

78

- lapses7

(36)

(13)

(6)

(12)

58

(24)

(5)

(2)

(25)

(27)

(105)

(6)

3

(3)

(171)

- other8

(16)

2

8

1

(1)

-

(3)

7

(48)

(41)

96

(5)

(3)

(8)

31


(48)

17

9

(17)

137

(101)

-

45

125

170

(38)

(20)

9

(11)

73

Expected return on shareholders' net worth


100


38


11

 

18


6


10

 

6


89


57


146


89


7


4


11


346

Other operating variances9

(11)

34

(3)

-

83

12

1

127

14

141

(18)

40

-

40

152

Earnings after tax
   and minority    interests


567


470


41


68


351


(2)

 

23


951


324


1,275


266


30


40


70


2,178

1  Maintenance expense experience in the UK relates to profits from existing business administration. Project and other related expenses in the UK reflect project costs associated with strategic initiatives, including developments designed to offer a wider range of products to customers, and the simplification of systems and processes. Project and other related expenses in Delta Lloyd relate to integration costs in Belgium.

2. Mortality experience continues to be better than the assumptions set across a number of our businesses.

3. Persistency experience has been volatile across most of our businesses, in part reflecting wider economic volatility. In France, positive persistency experience including the release of a short term provision, in line with positive underlying experience. In Poland, lapse experience continued to be better than the long-term assumptions for both Life and Pension products.

4. Other experience is favourable overall. The Both France and Italy include one off adjustments reflecting final commission payments from prior years. The favourable impact in Italy reflects to one-off profit sharing on a reinsurance treaty. The favourable impact in Delta Lloyd relates to the revised investment and bonus strategy in Germany following the decision to close this operation to new business. The adverse impact in the USA relates to the cost of enhancing policyholder crediting rates.

5. Favourable expense assumption changes reflect the impact of cost reductions in the Delta Lloyd and Poland, together with the impact of revisions to expense allocations in Delta Lloyd. The adverse impact in Spain relates the capitalisation of certain governance costs in respect of bancassurance joint ventures

6. Favourable mortality assumption changes in France and Poland reflecting recent experience. The adverse impact in Delta Lloyd reflects the net impact of using updated mortality tables in the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium, following the issuance of revised advice from the respective actuarial associations.

7. Persistency assumptions have been strengthened across most of our businesses, in light of experience. In Poland, persistency assumptions have been weakened following sustained favourable experience.

8. Other assumption changes in the US primarily relate to the timing of management action in setting policyholder credited rates. In Delta Lloyd, the change represents tax effects resulting from a reallocation of assets

9. Other operating variances in France, Poland and Asia have arisen as a result of more accurate modelling. In Delta Lloyd, these relate to revisions to investment and bonus strategies and expenses in Delta Lloyd Germany following the decision to close this operation to new business. In Spain, these reflect the impact of re-pricing actions on risk products.

 

_________________________

Page 19

E3 - Geographical analysis of fund management operating earnings

The condensed consolidated income statement - MCEV basis, includes earnings from the group's fund management operations as analysed below. As explained in note E13, this excludes the proportion of the results of Aviva Investors fund management businesses and other fund management operations within the group that arise from the provision of fund management services to our Life businesses. These results are included within the Life MCEV operating earnings.


6 months
 2010
£m

6 months
 2009
£m

Full year
 2009
 £m

United Kingdom

2

1

42

Europe

6

5

6

North America

(3)

(5)

(7)

Asia Pacific

(2)

(1)

(1)

Aviva Investors

3

-

40

United Kingdom

(2)

(12)

(14)

Aviva Europe1

-

1

3

Delta Lloyd

13

6

21

Europe

13

7

24

Asia Pacific2

(1)

1

1

Total

13

(4)

51

1. Aviva Europe included the result from the fund management in Poland in 2009. This business was transferred across to Aviva Investors from 1 January 2010.

2. The Australian Life business was sold on 1 October 2009, included within the 6 months 2009 and full year 2009 operating earnings is £4 million and £7 million respectively.

E4 - Analysis of other operations and regional costs

Where subsidiaries provide services to our life business, that portion of earnings has been excluded from the result for other operations and regional costs in their condensed consolidated income statement - MCEV basis. These results are included within the Life MCEV operating earnings.



6 months 2009


Full year 2009


Regional costs
£m

Other operations
£m

Total
£m


Regional
costs
£m

Other
operations
£m

Total
£m


Regional
costs
£m

Other
operations
£m

Total
£m

United Kingdom

-

(1)

(1)


-

(36)

(36)


-

(28)

(28)

Aviva Europe

(18)

(15)

(33)


(11)

(9)

(20)


(36)

(41)

(77)

Delta Lloyd

-

28

28


-

(20)

(20)


-

(30)

(30)

Europe

(18)

13

(5)


(11)

(29)

(40)


(36)

(71)

(107)

North America

(12)

3

(9)


(9)

1

(8)


(19)

3

(16)

Asia Pacific

(19)

1

(18)


(15)

-

(15)


(20)

(2)

(22)

Total

(49)

16

(33)


(35)

(64)

(99)


(75)

(98)

(173)

E5 - Exceptional items

Exceptional items of £(60) million (HY09: £(218) million) were mainly due to Delta Lloyd which has recognised a total of £(50) million costs in relation to unit-linked insurance compensation scheme and compensation costs in defined contribution pension schemes.

Exceptional item for the half year 2009 of £(218) million was in respect of the change in legislation in Poland restricting charges against pension funds.

Exceptional items for full year 2009 totalled £(248) million. This included £175 million in respect of the reattribution of the inherited estate in the UK, £(261) million in respect of the change in legislation in Poland restricting charges against pension funds, £(102) million brand migration costs and £(60) million in respect of latent claims reserves in Canada.

 

__________________

Page 20

E6 - Segmentation of condensed consolidated statement of financial position


30 June 2010


Restated
30 June 2009


31 December 2009


Life and related businesses
£m

General business and other
£m

Group
£m


Life and
related businesses
£m

General business and other
£m

Group
£m


Life and
related businesses
£m

General business and other
£m

Group
£m

Total assets before acquired value of in-force long-term business

308,194

45,211

353,405


286,846

42,835

329,681


307,117

45,880

352,997

Acquired additional value of
in-force long-term business

1,213

-

1,213


1,811

-

1,811


1,394

-

1,394

Total assets included in the IFRS statement of financial position

309,407

45,211

354,618


288,657

42,835

331,492


308,511

45,880

354,391

Liabilities of the long-term business

(291,677)

-

(291,677)


(272,753)

-

(272,753)


(291,194)

-

(291,194)

Liabilities of the general insurance and other businesses

-

(47,163)

(47,163)


-

(45,889)

(45,889)


-

(48,111)

(48,111)

Net assets on a statutory IFRS basis

17,730

(1,952)

15,778


15,904

(3,054)

12,850


17,317

(2,231)

15,086

Additional value of in-force
long-term business1

2,218

-

2,218


2,116

-

2,116


3,376

-

3,376

Net assets on an MCEV basis2

19,948

(1,952)

17,996


18,020

(3,054)

14,966


20,693

(2,231)

18,462

Equity capital, capital reserves, shares held by employee trusts and other reserves



7,053




7,183




7,144

IFRS basis retained earnings



3,971




3,022




3,425

Additional MCEV basis retained earnings



1,897




852




2,466

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc
on an MCEV basis



12,921




11,057




13,035

Preference share capital and direct capital instruments



1,190




1,190




1,190

Non-controlling interests



3,885




2,719




4,237

MCEV basis total equity



17,996




14,966




18,462

 

1. The analysis between the group's and non-controlling interests' share of the additional value of in-force long-term business is as follows:


30 June
 2010

31 December 2009

Movement in period

Group's share included in shareholders' funds

1,897

2,466

(569)

Non-controlling interests' share

348

697

(349)

Movements in AFS securities

(27)

213

(240)

Additional value of in-force long-term business

2,218

3,376

(1,158)

Additional value of in-force long-term business includes £nil (30 June 2009: £69 million; 31 December 2009: £nil) of assets classified as held for sale in the condensed consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis.

 

2. Analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis is made up as follows:


30 June
 2010

Restated
30 June
 2009

31 December
 2009

Embedded value

14,510

13,810

15,001

Non-controlling interests

3,152

2,090

3,438


17,662

15,900

18,439

Goodwill and intangible assets allocated to long-term business3

2,593

2,579

2,606

Notional allocation of IAS19 pension fund deficit to long-term business4

(307)

(459)

(352)

Long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis

19,948

18,020

20,693

 

3. Goodwill and intangible assets includes amounts related to associated undertakings and joint ventures.

4. The value of the Aviva Staff Pension Schemes deficit has been notionally allocated between segments, based on current funding commitments and the Life proportion has been included within the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. The pension fund deficit notionally allocated to long-term business is net of the agreed funding borne by the UK with-profit funds.

 

_________________

Page 21

 

E7 - Analysis of life and pensions earnings

The following table provides an analysis of the movement in embedded value for covered business. The analysis is shown separately for free surplus, required capital and the value of in-force covered business, and includes amounts transferred between these categories.

30 June 2010

Free surplus
£m

Required 
capital1
£m 

VIF
 £m

Total
 MCEV
 £m

Opening MCEV

2,204

7,546

5,251

15,001

New business value

(668)

406

508

246

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

171

171

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

417

417

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

915

(199)

(716)

-

Experience variances

30

1

(10)

21

Assumption changes

50

(3)

(49)

(2)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

58

95

-

153

Other operating variance

58

(27)

95

126

Operating MCEV earnings

443

273

416

1,132

Economic variances

(39)

109

(256)

(186)

Other non-operating variances

(41)

(1)

20

(22)

Total MCEV earnings/(loss)

363

381

180

924

Capital and dividend flows2

(892)

-

-

(892)

Foreign exchange variance

(67)

(161)

(281)

(509)

Acquired/divested business

(2)

(7)

(5)

(14)

Closing MCEV

1,606

7,759

5,145

14,510

1. Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2. Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the "look through" into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value. All figures are shown net of tax and non-controlling interests.

 

Restated
30 June 2009

Free surplus £m

Required 
capital1
£m 

VIF
 £m

Total
 MCEV
 £m

Opening MCEV

1,348

8,148

4,716

14,212

New business value

(990)

562

618

190

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

207

207

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

427

427

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

884

(344)

(540)

-

Experience variances

110

(5)

(238)

(133)

Assumption changes

16

(17)

60

59

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

110

63

-

173

Other operating variance

(26)

(31)

164

107

Operating MCEV earnings

104

228

698

1,030

Economic variances

863

(438)

(423)

2

Other non-operating variances

(1)

-

(149)

(150)

Total MCEV (loss)/earnings

966

(210)

126

882

Capital and dividend flows2

(48)

-

-

(48)

Foreign exchange variance

(51)

(788)

(399)

(1,238)

Acquired/divested business

2

-

-

2

Closing MCEV

2,217

7,150

4,443

13,810

 

31 December 2009

Free surplus £m

Required capital1
 £m 

VIF
 £m

Total
 MCEV
 £m

Opening MCEV

1,348

8,148

4,716

14,212

New business value

(1,571)

983

963

375

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

381

381

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

952

952

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

1,869

(738)

(1,131)

-

Experience variances

(198)

135

(38)

(101)

Assumption changes

48

6

19

73

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

164

182

-

346

Other operating variance

10

(141)

283

152

Operating MCEV earnings

322

427

1,429

2,178

Economic variances

1,317

(324)

(42)

951

Other non-operating variances

(238)

909

(407)

364

Total MCEV (loss)/earnings

1,401

1,012

980

3,393

Capital and dividend flows2

(250)

-

-

(250)

Foreign exchange variance

6

(556)

(193)

(743)

Acquired/divested business

(301)

(1,058)

(252)

(1,611)

Closing MCEV

2,204

7,546

5,251

15,001

 

 

_____________________

Page 22

 

E8 - Free surplus emergence


Existing business


New business


Total business

30 June 2010

Transfer
 from
VIF to net
worth
£m

Return on net worth
£m

Impact of experience variances and assumption changes on net worth
£m

Release of required capital to free surplus
£m

Total existing business surplus generation
£m


Impact on
net worth
£m

Reduction in free surplus from required capital
£m

Total new business surplus generation
£m


Total free surplus generation
£m

United Kingdom

232

62

96

(96)

294


(56)

(2)

(58)


236

Aviva Europe

210

40

70

71

391


(96)

(171)

(267)


124

Delta Lloyd

62

21

(18)

20

85


(31)

(32)

(63)


22

Europe

272

61

52

91

476


(127)

(203)

(330)


146

North America

185

26

(36)

144

319


(50)

(177)

(227)


92

Asia Pacific

27

4

(3)

(6)

22


(29)

(24)

(53)


(31)

Total

716

153

109

133

1,111


(262)

(406)

(668)


443

 


Existing business


New business


Total business


30 June 2009

Transfer
 from
VIF to net
worth
£m

Return on net worth
£m

Impact of experience variances and assumption changes on net worth
£m

Release of required capital to
free surplus
£m

Total
existing business surplus generation
£m


Impact on
net worth
£m

Reduction
in free surplus
from required capital
£m

Total new business surplus generation
£m


Total free surplus generation
£m

United Kingdom

76

49

180

3

308


(77)

(62)

(139)


169

Aviva Europe

230

46

(1)

100

375


(77)

(149)

(226)


149

Delta Lloyd

89

27

(75)

43

84


(53)

(44)

(97)


(13)

Europe

319

73

(76)

143

459


(130)

(193)

(323)


136

North America

99

47

(75)

170

241


(191)

(277)

(468)


(227)

Asia Pacific

46

4

18

18

86


(30)

(30)

(60)


26

Total

540

173

47

334

1,094


(428)

(562)

(990)


104

 


Existing business


New business


Total business

31 December 2009

Transfer
 from
VIF to net
worth
£m

Return on net worth
£m

Impact of experience variances and assumption changes on net worth
£m

Release of required capital to free surplus
£m

Total
existing business surplus generation
£m


Impact on
net worth
£m

Reduction
in free surplus
from required capital
£m

Total new business surplus generation
£m


Total free surplus generation
£m

United Kingdom

220

99

62

(70)

311


(53)

(130)

(183)


128

Aviva Europe

495

89

27

112

723


(177)

(281)

(458)


265

Delta Lloyd

175

57

(124)

55

163


(111)

(124)

(235)


(72)

Europe

670

146

(97)

167

886


(288)

(405)

(693)


193

North America

159

90

(100)

457

606


(192)

(390)

(582)


24

Asia Pacific

82

11

(5)

2

90


(55)

(58)

(113)


(23)

Total

1,131

346

(140)

556

1,893


(588)

(983)

(1,571)


322

 

 

_________________

Page 23

E9 - Maturity profile of business

(a) Total in-force business

To show the profile of the VIF emergence, the value of VIF in the statements on financial position has been split into five year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge.

30 June 2010
£m

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total gross of non-controlling interest

Total net of non-controlling interest

United Kingdom

102

640

499

275

482

1,998

1,998

Aviva Europe

1,606

987

584

357

462

3,996

3,173

Delta Lloyd

78

79

53

27

(85)

152

39

Europe

1,684

1,066

637

384

377

4,148

3,212

North America

(145)

(169)

(14)

(11)

30

(309)

(309)

Asia Pacific

104

79

35

20

12

250

244

Total

1,745

1,616

1,157

668

901

6,087

5,145

 

31 December 2009
£m

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total gross of
non- controlling
 interest

Total net of
non- controlling
 interest

United Kingdom

289

629

490

288

369

2,065

 2,065

Aviva Europe

1,613

1,149

656

350

342

4,110

3,271

Delta Lloyd

36

99

118

101

(156)

198

68

Europe

1,649

1,248

774

451

186

4,308

3,339

North America

(238)

(251)

28

13

54

(394)

(394)

Asia Pacific

102

72

29

18

26

247

241

Total

1,802

1,698

1,321

770

635

6,226

5,251

 

(b) New business

To show the profile of the VIF emergence, the value of new business has been split into five year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge.

30 June 2010
£m

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total gross of
non-controlling interest

Total net of
non-controlling interest

United Kingdom

55

36

26

22

45

184

184

Aviva Europe

159

70

39

23

25

316

224

Delta Lloyd

(32)

20

19

12

(5)

14

6

Europe

127

90

58

35

20

330

230

North America

47

15

-

(2)

(9)

51

51

Asia Pacific

29

8

4

2

1

44

43

Total

258

149

88

57

57

609

508

 

31 December 2009
£m

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total gross of non-controlling
 interest

Total net of
non-controlling
 interest

United Kingdom

107

30

34

19

40

230

230

Aviva Europe

286

126

80

37

43

572

414

Delta Lloyd

(20)

45

49

38

(70)

42

35

Europe

266

171

129

75

(27)

614

449

North America

20

6

64

52

66

208

208

Asia Pacific

46

14

8

4

5

77

76

Total

439

221

235

150

84

1,129

963

 

_____________________

Page 24

 

E10 - Segmental analysis of life and related business embedded value


Net worth



30 June 2010

Free
surplus
£m

Required 
capital1
£m 

VIF
£m

Total Embedded value
£m

United Kingdom

909

2,859

1,998

5,766

France2

(186)

1,527

1,267

2,608

Ireland

226

206

429

861

Italy

146

308

139

593

Poland

64

103

896

1,063

Spain

139

200

228

567

Other Europe

32

37

214

283

Aviva Europe

421

2,381

3,173

5,975

Delta Lloyd

318

893

39

1,250

Europe

739

3,274

3,212

7,225

North America2,3

(164)

1,415

(309)

942

Asia Pacific

122

211

244

577

Total

1,606

7,759

5,145

14,510

1. Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2. France and USA have a positive surplus on a statutory basis.

3. Aviva USA's holding company debt amounting to £824 million at 30 June 2010 has been included within non-covered business.

 


Net worth



Restated
30 June 2009

Free surplus
£m

Required 
capital1
£m 

VIF
£m

Total Embedded value
£m

United Kingdom

1,401

1,546

2,090

5,037

France2

(195)

1,449

1,106

2,360

Ireland

125

218

486

829

Italy

231

230

148

609

Poland

138

109

617

864

Spain

120

203

305

628

Other Europe

42

25

151

218

Aviva Europe

461

2,234

2,813

5,508

Delta Lloyd

679

1,580

66

2,325

Europe

1,140

3,814

2,879

7,833

North America2,3

(455)

1,376

(811)

110

Asia

105

156

216

477

Australia

26

258

69

353

Asia Pacific

131

414

285

830

Total

2,217

7,150

4,443

13,810

1. Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2. France and USA have a positive surplus on a statutory basis.

3. Aviva USA's holding company debt amounting to £819 million at 30 June 2009 has been included within non-covered business.

 


Net Worth



31 December 2009

Free surplus
£m

Required 
capital1
£m 

VIF
£m

Total Embedded value
£m

United Kingdom2

1,270

2,568

2,065

5,903

France3

(71)

1,592

1,252

2,773

Ireland

175

226

487

888

Italy

263

268

129

660

Poland

60

131

950

1,141

Spain

135

212

265

612

Other Europe

38

33

188

259

Aviva Europe

600

2,462

3,271

6,333

Delta Lloyd

368

1,095

68

1,531

Europe

968

3,557

3,339

7,864

North America3,4

(152)

1,240

(394)

694

Asia

118

181

241

540

Australia

-

-

-

-

Asia Pacific

118

181

241

540

Total

2,204

7,546

5,251

15,001

1. Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2. The large increase in required capital in the UK reflects the additional capital locked in following the reatrribution of the inherited estate..

3. France and Aviva USA have a positive surplus on a statutory basis.

4. Aviva USA's holding company debt amounting to £810 million at 31 December 2009 has been included within non-covered business.

_____________________

Page 25

 

E11 - Risk allowance within present value of in-force (VIF)

Within the VIF in the tables on page 24, there are additional allowances for risks not included within the basic present value of future profits calculation.

30 June 2010

PVFP
£m

Frictional costs
£m

Non-hedgeable risks
£m

Time value of financial options and guarantees
£m

VIF
£m

United Kingdom

2,529

(295)

(211)

(25)

1,998

France

2,023

(124)

(149)

(483)

1,267

Ireland

453

(7)

(17)

-

429

Italy

202

(24)

(12)

(27)

139

Poland

980

(14)

(62)

(8)

896

Spain

283

(12)

(28)

(15)

228

Other Europe

226

(4)

(6)

(2)

214

Aviva Europe

4,167

(185)

(274)

(535)

3,173

Delta Lloyd

407

(78)

(65)

(225)

39

Europe

4,574

(263)

(339)

(760)

3,212

North America

96

(157)

(51)

(197)

(309)

Asia Pacific1

348

(24)

(42)

(38)

244

Total

7,547

(739)

(643)

(1,020)

5,145

 

Restated
30 June 2009

PVFP
£m

Frictional
costs
£m

Non-hedgeable
risks
£m

Time value of financial options and guarantees
£m

VIF
£m

United Kingdom

2,518

(197)

(157)

(74)

2,090

France

1,775

(170)

(124)

(375)

1,106

Ireland

516

(11)

(19)

-

486

Italy

195

(22)

(10)

(15)

148

Poland

689

(17)

(46)

(9)

617

Spain

368

(16)

(30)

(17)

305

Other Europe

159

(3)

(3)

(2)

151

Aviva Europe

3,702

(239)

(232)

(418)

2,813

Delta Lloyd

710

(175)

(167)

(302)

66

Europe

4,412

(414)

(399)

(720)

2,879

North America

(369)

(27)

(34)

(381)

(811)

Asia

289

(17)

(27)

(29)

216

Australia

135

(31)

(24)

(11)

69

Asia Pacific

424

(48)

(51)

(40)

285

Total

6,985

(686)

(641)

(1,215)

4,443

 

31 December 2009

PVFP
£m

Frictional
costs
£m

Non-hedgeable
risks
£m

Time value of financial options and guarantees
£m

VIF
£m

United Kingdom

2,572

(285)

(197)

(25)

2,065

France

2,048

(144)

(155)

(497)

1,252

Ireland

517

(9)

(21)

-

487

Italy

189

(22)

(11)

(27)

129

Poland

1,050

(17)

(74)

(9)

950

Spain

326

(16)

(28)

(17)

265

Other Europe

198

(3)

(5)

(2)

188

Aviva Europe

4,328

(211)

(294)

(552)

3,271

Delta Lloyd

487

(129)

(80)

(210)

68

Europe

4,815

(340)

(374)

(762)

3,339

North America

80

(9)

(45)

(420)

(394)

Asia Pacific1

324

(19)

(30)

(34)

241

Total

7,791

(653)

(646)

(1,241)

5,251

1. Australia business sold during 2009.

 

 

___________________

Page 26

 

E12 - Implied discount rates (IDR)

In the valuation of a block of business, the implied discount rate is the rate of discount such that a traditional embedded value for the business equates to the MCEV.

The cash flows projected are the expected future cash flows including expected investment cash flows from equities, bonds and properties earning a risk premium in excess of risk free, statutory reserves and required capital. The risk premiums used are consistent with those used in the expected existing business contribution within operating earnings. As the risk premiums are positive, a discount rate higher than risk-free is required to give a value equal to the market-consistent embedded value.

Average derived risk discount rates are shown below for the embedded value.


 

30 June
2010
%

Restated
31 December 2009
%

United Kingdom

8.0%

10.4%

France1

6.4%

7.2%

Ireland1

4.1%

5.1%

Italy1

4.6%

5.3%

Poland

6.2%

7.1%

Spain

7.8%

8.4%

Other Europe

7.0%

8.9%

Aviva Europe

6.1%

6.9%

Delta Lloyd1

13.8%

10.5%

Europe

7.6%

8.1%

North America3

24.9%

35.6%

Asia Pacific1,2

7.4%

7.2%

Total

8.9%

10.1%

1. The IDRs have been restated following more detailed review resulting from the change in expected return methodology, which reflected a more appropriate allowance for the impact of the release of required capital and other refinements

2. Asia Pacific excludes Australian life and pensions business sold in October 2009.

3. The US full year 2009 IDR has been revised to reflect the expected future tax paying position of the business. This reduces the IDR from 41.2% to 35.6%. The revised IDR gives the correct expected return allowing for the impact on future cashflows within the IDR calculation and the impact of the tax assumption change on the closing full-year 2009 balance sheet.


E13 - Analysis of fund management and service company business within embedded value

Aviva's MCEV methodology incorporates the impact of earnings arising from subsidiary undertakings providing administration, fund management and other services where these arise in relation to covered business. The principal subsidiaries of the Aviva group providing such services include Aviva Life Services Limited (UK) and Aviva Investors. The following table provides an analysis of the elements within the life and other related business embedded value:


6 months
 2010


 6 months
 2009


Full year
 2009


Fund management £m

Other operations
£m

Total
£m


Total
£m


Total
£m

United Kingdom

143

(113)

30


(3)


35

France

172

60

232


214


237

Delta Lloyd

118

(107)

11


(21)


9

United States

162

91

253


195


228

Other

25

(67)

(42)


53


(13)

Total

620

(136)

484


438


496

The "look-through" value attributable to fund management is based on the level of after-tax profits expected to be earned in the future over the outstanding term of the covered business in respect of services provided to the group's life operations. The MCEV basis income statement excludes the actual statutory basis profits arising from the provision of fund management services to the group's life businesses. The MCEV income statement records the experience profit or loss compared to the assumed profitability, the expected return on the in-force value and the effect on the in-force value of changes to economic assumptions.

In the United Kingdom, Aviva Life Services Limited (UK) (ALS) is the main provider of administration services to the UK Life business. ALS incurs substantially all of the UK businesses' operating expenditure, comprising acquisition, maintenance and project costs. Costs are recharged to the UK Life companies (the product companies) on the basis of predetermined Management Services Agreements (MSAs).

________________________

Page 27

 

E14 - Summary of non-controlling interest in life and related businesses' MCEV results

30 June 2010

France
£m

Ireland
 £m

Italy
£m

Poland
 £m

Spain
 £m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd*
£m

Europe
 £m

Asia Pacific
 £m

Total
 £m

Share-holders' interest
 £m

Group
£m

Value of new business, net of tax

8

-

34

2

25

69

(17)

52

-

52

246

298

Life MCEV operating earnings after tax

43

9

55

10

35

152

58

210

2

212

1,132

1,344

Life MCEV (loss)/earnings after tax

55

16

44

13

23

151

(97)

54

1

55

924

979

Closing covered businesses'
embedded value

334

281

694

150

559

2,018

1,118

3,136

16

3,152

14,510

17,662

 

Restated
30 June 2009

France
£m

Ireland
 £m

Italy
£m

Poland
 £m

Spain
 £m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd
£m

Europe
 £m

Asia Pacific
 £m

Total
 £m

Share-holders' interest
 £m

Group
£m

Value of new business, net of tax

7

1

29

3

28

68

6

74

-

74

190

264

Life MCEV operating earnings after tax

22

5

41

9

54

131

10

141

1

142

1,030

1,172

Life MCEV (loss)/earnings after tax

14

(11)

40

(24)

1

20

(1)

19

4

23

882

905

Closing covered businesses'
   embedded value

270

271

697

119

539

1,896

178

2,074

16

2,090

13,810

15,900

 

31 December 2009

France
£m

Ireland
 £m

Italy
£m

Poland
 £m

Spain
 £m

Aviva Europe
£m

Delta Lloyd*
£m

Europe
 £m

Asia Pacific
 £m

Total
 £m

Share-holders' interest
 £m

Group
£m

Value of new business, net of tax

16

2

47

5

56

126

3

129

-

129

375

504

Life MCEV operating earnings after tax

45

14

79

53

81

272

64

336

1

337

2,178

2,515

Life MCEV (loss)/earnings after tax

51

1

64

17

57

190

(90)

100

-

100

3,393

3,493

Closing covered businesses'
   embedded value

320

290

762

162

586

2,120

1,304

3,424

14

3,438

15,001

18,439

*  the non-controlling interest for Delta Lloyd increased due to the IPO in 2009.

There are no non-controlling interests in the United Kingdom or North America.

 

_____________________

Page 28

E15 - Principal economic assumptions

(a) Economic assumptions - Deterministic calculations

Economic assumptions are derived actively, based on market yields on risk-free fixed interest assets at the end of each reporting period.

In setting the risk-free rate we have, wherever possible used the mid-price swap yield curve for an AA-rated bank.

The curve is extrapolated if necessary to get rates suitable to the liabilities. For markets in which there is no reliable swap yield curve the relevant government bond yields are used.

Required capital is shown as a multiple of the EU statutory minimum solvency margin or equivalent.

The adjustments made to swap rates to derive a risk-free rate for immediate annuity type contracts and all US contracts are shown below the reference rate table.

The principal economic assumptions used are as follows:

Reference rate (spot, swap rates) and expense inflation


United Kingdom


30 June
2010

30 June
2009

31 December
2009

31 December
2008

Reference rate





   1 year

1.3%

1.6%

1.2%

2.8%

   5 years

2.5%

3.8%

3.5%

3.2%

   10 years

3.6%

4.3%

4.3%

3.5%

   15 years

4.0%

4.6%

4.6%

3.8%

   20 years

4.1%

4.6%

4.6%

3.8%

Expense inflation

3.0%

3.4%

3.3%

2.4%

 


Delta Lloyd1


30 June
2010

30 June
2009

31 December
2009

31 December
2008

Reference rate





   1 year

1.2%

1.4%

1.3%

2.5%

   5 years

2.1%

2.9%

2.9%

3.3%

   10 years

3.0%

3.7%

3.7%

3.8%

   15 years

3.4%

4.1%

4.1%

4.0%

   20 years

3.5%

4.3%

4.2%

3.9%

Expense inflation

2.5%

2.5%

2.4%

2.5%

1. The economic assumptions used in Delta Lloyd differ from those in the Eurozone as the Dutch bank swap rate is used by Delta Lloyd.

 


Eurozone
(excluding Delta Lloyd)


30 June
2010

30 June
2009

31 December
2009

31 December
2008

Reference rate





   1 year

1.2%

1.4%

1.3%

2.5%

   5 years

2.1%

2.9%

2.8%

3.3%

   10 years

3.0%

3.7%

3.7%

3.8%

   15 years

3.4%

4.2%

4.1%

3.9%

   20 years

3.5%

4.2%

4.2%

3.9%

Expense inflation

2.7%

2.1%

2.5%

2.1%

 


Poland


30 June
2010

30 June
2009

31 December
2009

31 December
2008

Reference rate





   1 year

4.1%

4.5%

4.5%

4.4%

   5 years

5.2%

5.5%

5.8%

4.3%

   10 years

5.4%

5.6%

5.8%

4.2%

   15 years

5.3%

5.5%

5.7%

4.1%

   20 years

5.0%

5.4%

5.5%

4.0%

Expense inflation

2.7%

3.2%

3.0%

2.9%

 

____________________

Page 29

 

E15 - Principal economic assumptions continued


United States


30 June
2010

30 June
2009

31 December
2009

31 December
2008

Reference rate





   1 year

0.7%

1.6%

0.7%

1.3%

   5 years

2.1%

3.0%

3.1%

2.2%

   10 years

3.2%

3.8%

4.2%

2.6%

   15 years

3.6%

4.1%

4.6%

2.9%

   20 years

3.8%

4.1%

4.8%

2.9%

Expense inflation

3.0%

3.0%

3.0%

3.0%

For service companies, expense inflation relates to the underlying expenses rather than the fees charged to the life company.

In current markets, the following adjustments are made to the swap rate for immediate annuity type contracts and all US contracts. The risk-free rate is taken as the swap yield curve for the currency of the liability, adjusted by:






New business



Embedded value


First
quarter
2010

Second
quarter
2010

First half
 2009

Third
quarter
2009

Fourth
quarter
2009

30 June
2010

30 June
 2009

31 December 2009

0.80%/0.75%

0.75%/0.70%

1.50%

1.10%/0.95%

0.90%/0.45%

1.15%

1.25%

1.00%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

0.35%

0.50%

0.30%

0.15%

0.20%

1.00%

0.75%

0.30%

0.25%

0.40%

0.30%

0.15%

0.35%

1.50%

0.40%

0.20%

0.35%

0.50%

0.15%

0.65%

0.65%

3.00%

1.50%

1.05%

0.85%

1.50%

0.65%

US deferred annuities and all other contracts

0.55%

 0.55%

2.50%

1.25%

0.90%

0.70%

1.25%

0.55%

1. The rate provided is for immediate annuities/bulk purchase annuities

For 2010, the approach to estimating the market level of liquidity premium in corporate bond assets has been simplified to use the formula structure proposed by CFO/CRO Forum working party.

The formula is:

        UK / Europe:   50% of (iBoxx Corporate bond spread - 40bp)

        USA:                               60% of (iBoxx Corporate bond spread - 40bp)

Adjustments are made where liabilities are not fully backed by assets earning a liquidity premium and for contracts that are exposed to some lapse risk.

The revised approach increases the EV by £0.4 billion due to the release of prudent margins in the previous direct Credit Default Swap-based approach. There has been no change to the types of contracts to which a liquidity premium is applied.

Risk premium - used for operating profit, Implied Discount Rates (IDR), Internal Rates of Return (IRR) and payback period

For life and pensions operating earnings, Aviva uses normalised investment returns. The normalised investment returns are expressed as a swap rate based on the typical duration of the assets held plus an asset risk premium. More detail is given in Note E1 - Basis of Preparation.

The use of asset risk premia only impacts operating earnings as expected returns reflect management's long-term expectations of asset returns in excess of the reference rate from investing in different asset classes. This assumption does not impact the embedded value or value of new business as asset risk premia are not recognised until earned. The asset risk premia set out in the table below are added to the ten year swap rate to calculate expected returns.


All territories


30 June
 2010

30 June
 2009

31 December 2009

31 December 2008

Equity risk premium

3.5%

3.5%

3.5%

3.5%

Property risk premium

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

Future returns on corporate fixed interest investments are calculated from prospective yields less an adjustment for credit risk.

____________________

Page 30

 

E15 - Principal economic assumptions continued

Required capital and tax


Tax rates6


Required capital
(% EU minimum or equivalent)


30 June
2010

30 June
2009

31 December 
2009 

31 December 
2008 


30 June
 2010

30 June
 2009

31 December
 2009

United Kingdom1

28.0%

28.0%

28.0%

28.0% 


100%/110%

100%/110%

100%/110%

France

34.4%

34.4%

34.4%

34.4% 


110%

110%

110%

Ireland

12.5%

12.5%

12.5%

12.5% 


150%

150%

150%

Italy2

32.4%

32.4%

32.4%

32.4% 


115%/222%

115%/184%

115%/184%

Poland

19.0%

19.0%

19.0%

19.0% 


130%

150%

150%

Spain3

30.0%

30.0%

30.0%

30.0% 


110%/125%

110%/125%

110%/125%

Delta Lloyd4

25.5%

25.5%

25.5%

25.5% 


116  %

132%

139%

United States5

35.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0% 


325%

325%

325%

1. The required capital in the United Kingdom under MCEV is 100% for unit-linked and other non-participating business and 110% for annuity business. With 200% for an immaterial amount of BPA business. In addition, the reattribution of the inherited Estate has led to additional capital being locked in to support the with profit business, and this has been included within required capital.

2. Required capital in Italy under MCEV is 222% of the EU minimum for Eurovita and 115% for other companies.

3. Required capital in Spain is 125% of the EU minimum for Aviva Vida y Pensiones and 110% for bancassurance companies.

4. This capital level is the aggregate capital required for Delta Lloyd.

5. Following a more detailed review of the implied tax position of Aviva US, 2010 results have been calculated including the impact of full corporate tax applying to the cash flows, and consequentially 2010 results are "grossed up" at the corporation tax rate in line with other businesses

6. Current tax legislation and rates have been assumed to continue unaltered except where changes in future tax rates have been announced.

The Finance Bill published on 1 July 2010 includes a proposed 1% reduction in the UK corporation tax rate from 28% to 27% with effect from April 2011. This rate reduction is expected to increase the embedded value of our UK segment by £60 million.  The UK corporation tax rate has not been revised for half year 2010.

Other economic assumptions

Required capital relating to with-profit business is assumed to be covered by the surplus within the with-profit funds and no effect has been attributed to shareholders. Bonus rates on participating business have been set at levels consistent with the economic assumptions. The distribution of profit between policyholders and shareholders within the with-profit funds assumes that the shareholder interest in conventional with-profit business in the United Kingdom and Ireland continues at the current rate of one-ninth of the cost of bonus.

(b) Economic Assumptions - Stochastic calculations

The calculation of time value of options and guarantees allows for expected management and policyholder actions in response to varying future investment conditions. The management actions modelled include changes to asset mix, bonus rates and rates of interest and other guarantees granted to policyholders. Modelled policyholder actions are described under "Other assumptions".

The embedded value of the US spread based products anticipates the application of management discretion allowed for contractually within the policies, subject to contractual guarantees. This includes the ability to change the crediting rates and indexed strategies available within the policy. Consideration is taken of the economic environment assumed in future projections and returns in excess of the reference rate are not assumed. Anticipated market and policyholder reaction to management action has been considered. The anticipated management action is consistent with current decision rules and has been approved and signed off by management and legal counsel.

Model - United Kingdom, Europe (excluding Delta Lloyd) and North America

Swap rates are generated by a model, the LIBOR Market Model (LMM), that projects a full swap curve at monthly intervals. Forward rates are assumed to have a log-normal distribution which guarantees non-negative interest rates. The model is calibrated to at-the-money swaptions of a variety of terms and tenors. Swaption volatilities are taken from Bloomberg. Tests have been performed to ensure that sufficient scenarios have been used that the result converges to the stochastic value of the business being valued.

The total annual return on equities is calculated as the return on one-year swaps plus an excess return. This excess return is modelled using a log-normal model where volatility varies by time horizon. This allows the model to capture the term structure of implied volatilities. The model is calibrated to at-the-money options of a variety of terms. Option volatilities are taken from a survey of investment banks.

The model also generates property total returns and real yield curves, although these are not significant asset classes for Aviva outside the UK. In the absence of liquid market data, the volatilities of these asset classes are based on historic data.

Assumptions for correlations between asset classes have been set based on historic data.

Model - Netherlands

In the Netherlands, yield curves are based on De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) yield curve data.

The interest rate model used is a short rate G2++ model. The model is calibrated to the DNB yield curve and the swaption implied volatilities. Swaption implied volatilities are taken from Bloomberg. The equity model is a Heston model.

____________________

Page 31

E15 - Principal economic assumptions continued

Asset classes

The significant asset classes for UK participating business are equities, property and long-term fixed rate bonds. The most significant assumption is the distribution of future long-term interest rates, since this is the most important factor in the cost of guaranteed annuity options.

For many businesses, including US, France and Netherlands, the most important assets are fixed rate bonds of various durations.

Summary statistics

Swaption implied volatilities

The implied volatility is that determined by Black-Scholes' formula to reproduce the market price of the option. The following table sets out the model swaption implied volatilities.


30 June 2010
Swap length


30 June 20091
Swap length


31 December 2009
Swap length

Option length

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years


10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years


10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

UK sterling















10 years

n/a

n/a

12.5%

n/a


n/a

n/a

11.8%

n/a


n/a

n/a

14.1%

n/a

15 years

n/a

n/a

12.3%

n/a


n/a

n/a

11.9%

n/a


n/a

n/a

14.6%

n/a

20 years

n/a

n/a

11.9%

n/a


n/a

n/a

12.1%

n/a


n/a

n/a

14.4%

n/a

25 years

n/a

n/a

11.5%

n/a


n/a

n/a

12.4%

n/a


n/a

n/a

14.0%

n/a

Euro















10 years

18.6%

18.4%

18.1%

17.8%


11.7%

11.7%

11.7%

11.8%


17.9%

17.8%

17.7%

17.6%

15 years

18.3%

17.8%

17.3%

16.6%


10.9%

10.9%

10.4%

10.9%


18.0%

17.6%

17.3%

16.9%

20 years

17.1%

16.5%

15.9%

15.2%


10.5%

10.4%

10.4%

10.3%


17.1%

16.7%

16.3%

15.7%

25 years

16.0%

15.2%

14.5%

13.8%


10.0%

10.0%

9.9%

9.5%


16.2%

15.6%

15.0%

14.4%

Delta Lloyd















10 years

16.4% 

17.0% 

17.9% 

19.2% 


11.6%

11.6%

11.7%

11.7%


14.5%

15.3%

17.3%

18.6%

15 years

18.2% 

19.0% 

19.5% 

20.4% 


10.8%

10.7%

10.6%

10.8%


15.2%

15.8%

17.8%

18.9%

20 years

22.1% 

22.4% 

22.0% 

21.6% 


10.5%

10.3%

10.2%

10.3%


15.8%

16.7%

18.1%

18.5%

25 years

23.7% 

23.1% 

21.9% 

21.4% 


10.0%

9.8%

9.8%

9.7%


16.8%

17.5%

18.2%

18.3%

US dollar















10 years

20.4%

19.5%

18.6%

18.0%


15.2%

14.4%

14.0%

14.0%


20.0%

18.9%

18.0%

17.3%

15 years

18.5%

17.5%

16.7%

16.0%


13.9%

13.0%

12.8%

12.7%


17.5%

16.4%

15.6%

15.0%

20 years

16.7%

15.8%

15.1%

14.4%


13.3%

12.4%

12.1%

12.1%


15.5%

14.5%

13.8%

13.2%

25 years

15.0%

14.2%

13.5%

12.8%


12.9%

11.9%

11.6%

11.7%


13.7%

12.9%

12.2%

11.6%

1. HY09 volatilities were calibrated to end August 2008.

Equity implied volatilities

The implied volatility is that determined by the Black-Scholes' formula to reproduce the market price of the option. The following tables set out the model equity implied volatilities.

30 June 2010
Option length

Country

UK

France

Italy

Ireland

Delta Lloyd

Spain

US

5 years

27.8%

31.1%

30.1%

29.5%

27.6%

34.1%

31.0%

10 years

28.5%

29.4%

29.6%

28.7%

30.1%

31.9%

31.2%

15 years

29.1%

29.7%

28.2%

29.1%

31.7%

30.5%

31.1%

 

30 June 20091
Option length

Country

UK

France

Italy

Ireland

Delta Lloyd

Spain

US

5 years

25.8%

24.9%

24.4%

24.5%

26.1%

26.3%

24.6%

10 years

27.2%

26.3%

n/a

26.2%

26.8%

28.8%

27.3%

15 years

27.7%

n/a

n/a

27.0%

27.1%

n/a

28.9%

1. HY09 volatilities were calibrated to end August 2008.

 

31 December 2009
Option length

Country

UK

France

Italy

Ireland

Delta Lloyd

Spain

US

5 years

25.3%

29.2%

26.9%

27.7%

27.5%

27.0%

26.9%

10 years

26.6%

29.0%

26.5%

27.3%

29.1%

25.7%

27.8%

15 years

 

27.3%

30.0%

26.4%

28.1%

30.5%

26.5%

29.1%

 

________________

Page 32

 

E15 - Principal economic assumptions continued

Property implied volatilities

Best estimate levels of volatility have been used, in the absence of meaningful option prices from which implied levels of volatility can be derived.

For the UK and the Netherlands, model property implied volatility is 15% for 30 June 2010 (30 June 2009: 15%).

Demographic assumptions

Assumed future mortality, morbidity and lapse rates have been derived from an analysis of Aviva's recent operating experience with a view to giving a best estimate of future experience. We have anticipated future changes in experience where that is appropriate, eg we have allowed for improvements in future policyholder longevity.

We have set the assumptions based on a best estimate of shareholder outcomes. In particular, where the policyholder behaviour varies with economic experience, we have set assumptions which are dynamic, ie vary depending on the economic assumptions. For example, surrender and option take up rate assumptions that vary according to the investment scenario under consideration have been used in the calculation of the time value of options and guarantees, based on our assessment of likely policyholder behaviour in different investment scenarios.

Additionally, where demographic experience is not driven by economic scenarios but is asymmetric on a stand-alone basis, the best estimate assumption considers the weighted-average expected experience, not simply the median or most likely outcome.

Expense assumptions

Management expenses and operating expenses of holding companies attributed to life and related businesses have been included in the MCEV calculations and split between expenses relating to the acquisition of new business, the maintenance of business in-force and project expenses. Future expense assumptions include an allowance for maintenance expenses and a proportion of recurring project expenses. Certain expenses of an exceptional nature, when they occur, are identified separately and are generally charged as incurred. No future productivity gains have been anticipated.

Where subsidiary companies provide administration, investment management or other services to our life businesses, the value of profits or losses arising from these services have been included in the embedded value and value of new business.

Non-hedgeable risk

A charge of 2.5% has been applied to the group-diversified capital required on a 1-in-200 one-year basis over the remaining lifetime of in-force business.

(c) Other assumptions

Valuation of debt

Borrowings in the MCEV consolidated statement of financial position are valued on an IFRS basis, consistent with the primary financial statements. At 30 June 2010 the market value of the group's external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares including General Accident plc preference shares of £250 million (classified as non-controlling interests) and direct capital instrument was £6,399 million (30 June 2009: £5,422 million; 31 December 2009: £6,634 million).


30 June
 2010

 30 June
 2009

31 December 2009

Borrowings per summarised consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis

14,127

14,325

15,000

Add: amount included within held for sale

-

-

-

Less: Securitised mortgage funding

(6,574)

(6,807)

(7,329)

Borrowings excluding non-recourse funding - MCEV basis

7,553

7,518

7,671

Less: Operational financing by businesses

(2,195)

(1,694)

(2,182)

External debt and subordinated debt - MCEV basis

5,358

5,824

5,489

Add: Preference shares (including General Accident plc) and direct capital instrument

1,440

1,440

1,440

External debt, subordinated debt, preference shares and direct capital instrument - MCEV basis

6,798

7,264

6,929

Effect of marking these instruments to market

(399)

(1,842)

(295)

Market value of external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares and direct capital instrument

6,399

5,422

6,634

Other

It has been assumed that there will be no changes to the methods and bases used to calculate the statutory technical provisions and current surrender values, except where driven by varying future investment conditions under stochastic economic scenarios.

________________________

Page 33

 

E16 - Sensitivity analysis

(a) Economic assumptions

The following tables show the sensitivity of the embedded value and the value of new business to:

- 10 basis point increase in the adjustment to risk free rates for contracts where a liquidity premium adjustment is made.

- one and two percentage point increase and decrease in the risk-free rate, including all consequential changes (including assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

- 10% increase and decrease in market values of equity and property assets;

- 25% increase in equity and swaption volatilities;

- 50 basis point increase and decrease in credit spreads; and

- decrease in the level of required capital to 100% EU minimum (or equivalent).

In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions. For example, future bonus rates are automatically adjusted to reflect sensitivity changes to future investment returns. Some of the sensitivity scenarios may have consequential effects on valuation bases, where the basis for certain blocks of business is actively updated to reflect current economic circumstances. Consequential valuation impacts on the sensitivities are allowed for where an active valuation basis is used. Where businesses have a target asset mix, the portfolio is re-balanced after a significant market movement otherwise no re-balancing is assumed.

For new business, the sensitivities reflect the impact of a change immediately after inception of the policy.

In general, the magnitude of the sensitivities will reflect the size of the embedded values, though this will vary as the sensitivities have different impacts on the different components of the embedded value. In addition, other factors can have a material impact, such as the nature of the options and guarantees, as well as the types of investments held.

The credit spread sensitivities assume that the change relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk.

Sensitivities will also vary according to the current economic assumptions, mainly due to the impact of changes to both the intrinsic cost and time value of options and guarantees. Options and guarantees are the main reason for the asymmetry of the sensitivities where the guarantee impacts to different extents under the different scenarios. This can be seen in the sensitivity of a 1%-2% movement in the interest rate for the Netherlands and US, where there is a significant amount of business with investment return guarantees.

Embedded value




Interest Rates

30 June 2010
Embedded value
(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

As reported on page 24
£m

10bp
increase in
adjustment to risk-free rates
£m

1% increase
£m

1% decrease
£m

2% increase
£m

2% decrease
£m

United Kingdom

5,766

130

(110)

65

(280)

185

France

2,608

5

(115)

50

(250)

(45)

Ireland

861

-

(30)

35

(60)

55

Italy

593

-

10

(30)

10

(100)

Poland

1,063

-

(50)

55

(95)

125

Spain

567

10

(10)

10

(25)

15

Other Europe

283

-

(10)

10

(20)

25

Aviva Europe

5,975

15

(205)

130

(440)

75

Delta Lloyd

1,250

50

270

(525)

425

(1,290)

Europe

7,225

65

65

(395)

(15)

(1,215)

North America

942

85

210

(5)

(125)

(365)

Asia Pacific

577

-

25

(125)

35

(360)

Total

14,510

280

190

(460)

(385)

(1,755)

The sensitivity to adjusting risk-free rates by 10bp only reflects a reduction in future investment returns and discount rates. The interest rate sensitivities include consequential impacts such as the change in market values of fixed assets as well as the change in future investment returns and discount rates.

____________________

Page 34

 

E16 - Sensitivity analysis continued


Equity/property


As reported on page 24
£m

Market values

Volatility
25%
increase
£m

30 June 2010
Embedded value
(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

10%
increase
£m

10% decrease
£m

United Kingdom

5,766

215

(230)

(250)

France

2,608

95

(105)

(150)

Ireland

861

20

(20)

-

Italy

593

5

(5)

-

Poland

1,063

5

(5)

-

Spain

567

10

(10)

(5)

Other Europe

283

-

-

-

Aviva Europe

5,975

135

(145)

(155)

Delta Lloyd

1,250

240

(245)

(20)

Europe

7,225

375

(390)

(175)

North America

942

-

-

-

Asia Pacific

577

20

(20)

(5)

Total

14,510

610

(640)

(430)

 


As reported on page 24
£m

Swaption implied volatilities
25% increase
£m

Corporate bond
credit spreads1

EU minimum
capital (or equivalent)
£m

30 June 2010
Embedded value
(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

50bps
increase
£m

50bps
decrease
£m

United Kingdom

5,766

(15)

(645)

695

15

France

2,608

(80)

(105)

80

15

Ireland

861

-

-

-

5

Italy

593

-

-

-

5

Poland

1,063

-

-

-

5

Spain

567

-

(40)

35

-

Other Europe

283

-

-

-

5

Aviva Europe

5,975

(80)

(145)

115

35

Delta Lloyd

1,250

60

(75)

65

5

Europe

7,225

(20)

(220)

180

40

North America

942

(75)

(510)

380

110

Asia Pacific

577

-

(15)

15

25

Total

14,510

(110)

(1,390)

1,270

190

1. Corporate bond credit spreads sensitivities include no allowance for any changes to liquidity premium adjustments

Value of new business

30 June 2010
Value of new business
(net of tax and non-controlling interest)



Risk free rates

As reported on page 16
£m

10bp
increase in
adjustment to risk-free rates
£m

1% increase
£m

1% decrease
£m

2% increase
£m

2% decrease
£m

United Kingdom

127

9

(12)

16

(21)

36

France

58

-

(3)

(5)

(6)

2

Ireland

1

-

1

(1)

1

(1)

Italy

24

-

(1)

-

(3)

(3)

Poland

14

-

(1)

1

(2)

2

Spain

22

-

(1)

1

(1)

1

Other Europe

9

-

(1)

1

(1)

2

Aviva Europe

128

-

(6)

(3)

(12)

3

Delta Lloyd

(25)

1

11

(12)

19

(30)

Europe

103

1

5

(15)

7

(27)

North America

2

7

(17)

4

(37)

2

Asia Pacific

14

-

10

(12)

18

(31)

Total

246

17

(14)

(7)

(33)

(20)

 

_______________

Page 35

 

E16 - Sensitivity analysis continued

30 June 2010
Value of new business
(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

Equity/property

As reported on page 16
£m

Market values

Volatility
25% increase
£m

10%
 increase
£m

10% decrease
£m

United Kingdom

127

4

(4)

-

France

58

4

(4)

(3)

Ireland

1

-

-

-

Italy

24

1

(1)

-

Poland

14

-

-

-

Spain

22

-

-

-

Other Europe

9

-

-

-

Aviva Europe

128

5

(5)

(3)

Delta Lloyd

(25)

3

(3)

(1)

Europe

103

8

(8)

(4)

North America

2

-

-

-

Asia Pacific

14

-

-

-

Total

246

12

(12)

(4)

 


As reported on page 16
£m

Swaption implied volatilities
25% increase
£m

Corporate bond
credit spreads1

EU minimum
capital (or equivalent)
£m

30 June 2010
Value of new business
(net of tax and non-controlling interest)

50bps
increase
£m

50bps
decrease
£m

United Kingdom

127

-

(38)

43

1

France

58

(2)

-

3

1

Ireland

1

-

-

-

-

Italy

24

-

-

-

1

Poland

14

-

-

-

-

Spain

22

-

(2)

3

-

Other Europe

9

-

-

-

-

Aviva Europe

128

(2)

(2)

6

2

Delta Lloyd

(25)

1

(3)

3

1

Europe

103

(1)

(5)

9

3

North America

2

(12)

(29)

15

9

Asia Pacific

14

-

-

-

4

Total

246

(13)

(72)

67

17

1. Corporate bond credit spreads sensitivities include no allowance for any changes to liquidity premium adjustments

(b) Non-economic assumptions

The following tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value and the value of new business to the following changes in non-economic assumptions:

- 10% decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10% sensitivity on a base expense assumption of £10 pa would represent an expense assumption of £9 pa). Where there is a "look through" into service company expenses the fee charged by the service company is unchanged while the underlying expense decreases;

- 10% decrease in lapse rates (a 10% sensitivity on a base assumption of 5% pa would represent a lapse rate of 4.5% pa); and

- 5% decrease in both mortality and morbidity rates disclosed separately for life assurance and annuity business.

No future management actions are modelled in reaction to the changing non-economic assumptions. In each sensitivity calculation all other assumptions remain unchanged. No changes to valuation bases have been included.

_________________

Page 36

 

E16 - Sensitivity analysis continued

Embedded value

30 June 2010
Embedded value
(net of tax)

As reported
on page 24
£m

10% decrease in maintenance expenses
£m

10% decrease in lapse rates
£m

5% decrease in mortality/
morbidity rates - life assurance
£m

5% decrease in mortality/
morbidity rates -annuity business
£m

United Kingdom

5,766

205

50

40

(255)

France

2,608

45

50

35

(25)

Ireland

861

20

20

5

(5)

Italy

593

10

-

-

-

Poland

1,063

35

45

10

-

Spain

567

5

40

10

(5)

Other Europe

283

10

20

5

-

Aviva Europe

5,975

125

175

65

(35)

Delta Lloyd

1,250

245

-

10

(75)

Europe

7,225

370

175

75

(110)

North America

942

50

(15)

45

(15)

Asia Pacific

577

25

10

5

-

Total

14,510

650

220

165

(380)

Value of new business

30 June 2010
Value of new business
(net of tax)

As reported
on page 18
£m

10% decrease in maintenance expenses
£m

10% decrease in lapse rates
£m

5% decrease in mortality/
morbidity rates - life assurance
£m

5% decrease in mortality/
morbidity rates -annuity business
£m

United Kingdom

127

10

9

5

(7)

France

58

2

2

1

-

Ireland

1

-

1

-

-

Italy

24

1

1

1

-

Poland

14

1

2

1

-

Spain

22

1

4

1

-

Other Europe

9

1

2

1

-

Aviva Europe

128

6

12

5

-

Delta Lloyd

(25)

5

-

-

(1)

Europe

103

11

12

5

(1)

North America

2

3

(4)

5

-

Asia Pacific

14

3

1

-

-

Total

246

27

18

15

(8)

 

________________________

Page .37

 

Statement of directors' responsibilities in respect of the Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis

 

When compliance with the European Insurance CFO Forum Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles (MCEV Principles), published in October 2009, is stated, those principles require the directors to prepare supplementary information in accordance with the methodology contained in the MCEV Principles and to disclose and explain any non-compliance with the guidance included in the MCEV Principles.

In preparing this supplementary information, the directors have done so in accordance with these MCEV Principles and have also fully complied with all the guidance included therein. Specifically, the directors have:

- determined assumptions on a realistic basis, having regard to past, current and expected future experience and to relevant external data, and then applied them consistently;

- made estimates that are reasonable and consistent; and,

- provided additional disclosures when compliance with the specific requirements of the MCEV Principles is insufficient to enable users to understand the impact of particular transactions, other events and conditions and the group's financial position and financial performance.

Information on the directors can be found on page 80 of Aviva plc's 2009 Annual Report and Accounts.

By order of the Board

 

 

 

 

Patrick Regan
Chief Financial Officer
4 August 2010

_______________

Page 38

 

Independent review report to Aviva plc

 

Introduction

We have been engaged by the Company to review the condensed set of MCEV financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2010 which comprises the Condensed Consolidated Income Statement - MCEV Basis, the Condensed Statement of Comprehensive Income - MCEV Basis, the Condensed Statement of Changes in Equity - MCEV Basis, the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial Position - MCEV Basis, the Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity on IFRS and MCEV bases, the Reconciliation of IFRS Total Equity to MCEV Net Worth, the Group MCEV Analysis of Earnings and the related notes E1 to E16 on pages 2 to 36; We have read the other information contained in the half-yearly financial report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the condensed set of MCEV financial statements.

We have reported separately on the condensed financial statements of Aviva plc prepared on an IFRS basis for the six months ended 30 June 2010. The information contained in the condensed set of MCEV financial statements should be read in conjunction with the condensed set of financial statements prepared on an IFRS basis. This information is described within the condensed set of MCEV financial statements in the half-yearly financial report as having being reviewed.

This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with guidance contained in International Standards on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410, "Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity" issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the United Kingdom (ISRE 2410). To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company, for our work, for this report, or for the conclusions we have formed.

Directors' Responsibilities

The condensed set of MCEV financial statements in the half-yearly financial report is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the directors. The directors are responsible for preparing the condensed set of MCEV financial statements in the half-yearly financial report in accordance with the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 7 to 10.

Our Responsibility

Our responsibilities, as independent auditors, in relation to the condensed set of MCEV financial statements in the half-yearly financial report are set out in our engagement letter with you dated 4 August 2010. We report to you our opinion as to whether the condensed set of MCEV financial statements in the half-yearly financial report have been properly prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 7 to 10.

Scope of Review

We conducted our review in accordance with ISRE 2410. A review of interim financial information consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and consequently does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.

Conclusion

Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the condensed set of MCEV financial statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2010 is not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 7 to 10.

 

 

 

Ernst & Young LLP
London
4 August 2010

 

______________

Glossary

 

Definitions of group key performance indicators and other terms

 

 

Product Definitions:



Annuities


A type of policy that pays out regular amounts of benefit, either immediately and for the remainder of a person's lifetime, or deferred to commence from a future date. Immediate annuities may be purchased for an individual and his or/her dependents or on a bulk purchase basis for groups of people. Deferred annuities are accumulation contracts, which may be used to provide benefits in retirement, and may be guaranteed, unit-linked or index-linked.

Bonds and savings


These are accumulation products with single or regular premiums and unit-linked or guaranteed investment returns. Our product ranges include single premium investment bonds, regular premium savings plans and mortgage endowment products.

Critical illness cover


Critical illness cover pays out a lump sum if the insured person is diagnosed with a serious illness that meets the plan definition. The cover is often provided in conjunction with other benefits under a protection contract.

Deferred annuities


An annuity (or pension) due to be paid from a future date or when the policyholder reaches a specified age. A deferred annuity may be funded by a policyholder by payment of a series of regular contributions or by a capital sum (the latter often provided from a pension fund).

Group pensions


A pension plan that covers a group of people, which is typically purchased by a company and offered to their employees

Guaranteed annuities


A policy that pays out a fixed regular amount of benefit for a defined period.

Income drawdown


The policyholder can transfer money from any pension fund to an income drawdown plan from which they receive an income. The remainder of the pension fund continues to be invested, giving it the potential for growth.

Index linked annuities


An index linked annuity is a type of deferred annuity whose credited interest is linked to an equity index. It guarantees a minimum interest rate and protects against a loss of principal.

Investment sales


Comprise retail sales of mutual fund type products such as unit trusts, individual savings accounts ("ISAs") and Open Ended Investment Companies ("OEICs").

ISAs


Individual savings accounts - Tax efficient plans for investing in stocks and shares, cash deposits or life insurance investment funds, subject to certain limits. Introduced in the UK in 1999.

Monolines


Financial companies specialising in a single line of products such as credit cards, mortgages or home equity loans).

Mortgage endowment


An insurance contract combining savings and protection elements which is designed to repay the principal of a loan or mortgage.

Mortgage life insurance


A protection contract designed to pay off the outstanding amount of a mortgage or loan in the event of death of the insured.

Non profits


Long term savings and insurance products sold in the UK other than "With profits" (see definition below) products.

OEIC


Open ended investment company is a collective investment fund structured as a limited company in which investors can buy and sell shares.

Pensions


A means of providing income in retirement for an individual and possibly his/her dependants. Our pensions products include personal and group pensions, stakeholder pensions and income drawdown.

Personal pensions


A pension plan tailored to the individual policyholder, which includes the options to stop, start or change their payments.

Protection


An insurance contract that protects the policyholder or his/her dependants against financial loss on death or ill-health. Our product ranges include term assurance, mortgage life insurance, flexible whole life and critical illness cover.

Regular premium


A series of payments are made by the policyholder, typically monthly or annually, for part of or all of the duration of the contract.

SICAVs


Société d'investissement à capital variable (variable capital investment company). This is an open-ended investment fund, structured as a legally independent joint stock company, whose units are issued in the form of shares.

Single premium


A single lump sum is paid by the policyholder at commencement of the contract,

Stakeholder pensions


Low cost and flexible pension plans available in the UK, governed by specific regulations.

Superannuation


Superannuation is a pension product sold in Australia where employers pay a proportion of an employee's salaries and wages into a fund, which can be accessed when the employee retires.

Takaful


Insurance products that observe the rules and regulations of Islamic law.

Term assurance


A simple form of life insurance, offering cover over a fixed number of years during which a lump sum will be paid out if the life insured dies.

Unit trusts


A form of open ended collective investment constituted under a trust deed, in which investors can buy and sell units.

Unit-linked annuities


A unit-linked annuity is a type of deferred annuity which is invested in units of investment funds, whose value depends directly on the market value of assets in those funds.

Whole life


Whole life insurance is a protection policy that remains in force for the insured's whole life. Traditional whole life contracts have fixed premium payments that typically cannot be missed without lapsing the policy. Flexible whole life contracts allow the policyholder to vary the premium and/or amount of life cover, within certain limits.

With profits


A type of long term savings and insurance product sold in the UK Under with profits policies premiums are paid into a separate fund. Policyholders receive a return on their policies through bonuses, which "smooth" the investment return from the assets which premiums are invested in. Bonuses are declared on an annual and terminal basis. Shareholders have a participating interest in the with-profit funds and any declared bonuses. Generally, policyholder and shareholder participation in with-profit funds in the UK is split 90:10.

Wrap investments


An account in which a broker or fund manager executes investment decisions on behalf of a client in exchange for a single quarterly or annual fee, usually based on the total assets in the account rather than the number of transactions.

 

General terms:



Available for Sale ("AFS")


Securities that have been acquired neither for short-term sale nor to be held to maturity. These are shown at fair value on the statement of financial position and changes in value are taken straight to equity instead of the income statement.

Association of British Insurers ("ABI")


Association of British Insurers - A major trade association for UK insurance companies, established in July 1985.

Acquired value of in force ("AVIF")


An estimate of future profits that will emerge over the remaining term of all existing life and pensions policies for which premiums are being paid or have been paid at the statement of financial position date.

Bancassurance


An arrangement whereby banks and building societies sell insurance and investment products to their customers on behalf of other financial providers.

Combined Code on Corporate Governance


The Combined Code on Corporate Governance sets out guidance in the form of principles and provisions on how companies should be directed and controlled to follow good governance practice. The Financial Services Authority requires companies listed in the UK to disclose, in relation to the Combined Code, how they have applied its principles and whether they have complied with its provisions throughout the accounting year. Where the provisions have not been complied with, companies must provide an explanation for this.

Deferred acquisition costs ("DAC")


The cost directly attributable to the acquisition of new business for insurance and participating investment contracts (excluding those written in the UK) are deferred to the extent that they are expected to be recoverable out of future margins in revenue on these contracts.

Fair value


The price that a reasonable buyer would be willing to pay and a reasonable seller would be willing to accept for a product on the open market.

FSA


The UK's Financial Services Authority - Main regulatory body appointed by the government to oversee the financial services industry in the UK. Since December 2001 it has been the single statutory regulator responsible for the savings, insurance and investment business.

Funds under management


Represents all assets actively managed or administered by or on behalf of the Group including those funds managed by third parties.

Funds under management by Aviva


Represents all assets actively managed or administered by the fund management operations of the Group.

General insurance


Also known as non-life or property and casualty insurance. Casualty insurance primarily covers losses arising from accidents that cause injury to other people or damage property of others. Property insurance covers loss or damage through fire, theft, flood, storms and other specified risks.

Gross written premiums


The total earnings or revenue generated by sales of insurance products, before any reinsurance is taken into account. Not all premiums written will necessarily be treated as income in the current financial year, because some of them could relate to insurance cover for a subsequent period.

"Hard" insurance market


A term used to describe the state of the general insurance market. A "hard" insurance market is characterised by high levels of underwriting profits and the ability of insurers to charge high premium rates. Hard insurance markets generally occur when capital is scarce and are the opposite of "soft" insurance markets.

Independent Financial Advisers ("IFAs")


A person or organisation authorised to give advice on financial matters and to sell the products of all financial service providers. In the UK they are legally obliged to offer the product that best suits their clients' needs. Outside the UK IFAs may be referred to by other names.

IFRS


International Financial Reporting Standards. These are accounting regulations designed to ensure comparable statement of financial position preparation and disclosure, and are the standards that all publicly listed companies in the European Union are required to use.

Inherited estate


In the UK, the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic reserves for non-profit policies, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs and guarantees.

Long term and savings business


Collective term for life insurance, pensions, savings, investments and related business.

Market Consistent Embedded Value


Aviva's Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) methodology which is in accordance with the MCEV Principles published by the CFO Forum in October 2009.

Net written premiums


Total gross written premiums for the given period, minus premiums paid over or "ceded" to reinsurers.

Net Operational Capital generation


Net operational capital generation represents the operating returns, net of tax and minorities, generated from our in-force life business and the IFRS profits earned by our general insurance, fund management and non-insurance businesses, net of capital invested in new business. Life in-force returns are defined as the free surplus emergence, including release of required capital, from in-force business. Capital invested in life new business represents the impact of initial and required capital on free surplus. For general insurance businesses this reflects the movement in required capital, which we have assumed to equal two times the regulatory minimum. Where appropriate, the movement in capital requirements excludes the impact of foreign exchange movements.

Present value of new business ("PVNBP")


Present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business under Market Consistent Embedded Value ("MCEV") principles published by the CFO Forum of major European listed and non-listed insurance companies.

"Soft" insurance market


A term used to describe the state of the general insurance market. A "soft" insurance market is characterised by low levels of profitability and market competition driving premium rates lower. Soft insurance markets generally occur when there is excess capital and are the opposite of "hard" insurance markets.

Turnbull Guidance on Internal Control


The Turnbull guidance sets out best practice on internal controls for UK listed companies, and provides additional guidance in applying certain sections of the Combined Code.

 

IFRS profit drivers - Definitions

Income: 


New business margin

New business cash flows (excluding acquisition expenses) based on actual volumes

Premiums less initial reserves. Includes expected investment p return to end of year

Excludes variances in operating experience or assumptions

Underwriting margin:


Expenses

Protection Allowance in valuation basis for expenses

Mortality

Protection Allowance in valuation basis for mortality less actual claims & benefits

UL Charges made to policyholders less actual claims & benefits

Expected change in liability for any guarantees or options subject to mortality risk

Persistency

All Actual reserves released less surrender benefits paid

AMC

Annual management charges on unit linked business (based on expected investment returns)

Excludes risk charges and costs

Expected change in liability for any guarantees or options that depend on investment return

Participating business

UK/Ireland shareholders' share of actual bonus declared

Continental participating shareholders' share

US closed block profits

Spread margin

Spread Expected investment return less unwind of liability/amounts credited to policyholders

Excludes risk charges and costs

Protection Expected investment return less valuation discount rate applied to opening liability

Expected change in liability for any guarantees or option that depend on investment return

Expected return

Return on assets covering solvency margin and additional surplus

Based on longer term rates of return applied to expected average funds under management

updated for fund flows and out flows

Expenses:


Acquisition expenses

New business acquisition commission and expenses less deferred costs

Admin expenses

Maintenance expenses and renewal commission on existing business

DAC/AVIF amortisation

and other

Amortisation of DAC, AVIF and impact of regulatory changes, reserving methodology changes or other oneoff

items

IFRS life operating profit


Investment variances and economic assumption changes

AMCs based on actual investment return less AMCs based on expected returns

Spread based on actual investment return less spread based on expected returns

Variance in current actual and assumed future investment return less expected investment return

 

 

Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) terms:

Asymmetric risk


Risks that will cause shareholder profits to vary where the variation above and below the average are not equal in distribution.

Cost of non-hedgeable risks


This is the cost of undertaking those risks for which a deep and liquid market in which to hedge that risk does not exist. This can include both financial risks and non-financial risks such as mortality, persistency and expense.

Covered business


The contracts to which the MCEV methodology has been applied.

EU solvency


The excess of assets over liabilities and the worldwide minimum solvency margins, excluding goodwill and the additional value of in-force long-term business, and excluding the surplus held in the group's life funds. The group solvency calculation is determined according to the UK Financial Services Authority application of EU Insurance Group's Directive rules.

Financial options and guarantees


Features of the covered business conferring potentially valuable guarantees underlying, or options to change, the level or nature of policyholder benefits and exercisable at the discretion of the policyholder, whose potential value is impacted by the behaviour of financial variables.

Free surplus


The amount of any capital and surplus allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business.

Frictional costs


The additional taxation and investment costs incurred by shareholders through investing the Required Capital in the Company rather than directly.

Funds under management


Represents all assets actively managed or administered by or on behalf of the group including those funds managed by third parties.

Group MCEV


A measure of the total consolidated value of the group with covered life business included on an MCEV basis and non-covered business (including pension schemes and goodwill) included on an IFRS basis.

Gross risk-free yields


Gross of tax yields on risk-free fixed interest investments, generally swap rates under MCEV.

IFRS operating profit


From continuing operations on an IFRS basis, stated before tax attributable to shareholders' profits, impairment of goodwill and exceptional items.

Implicit items


Amounts allowed by local regulators to be deducted from capital amounts when determining the EU required minimum margin.

Life business


Subsidiaries selling life and pensions contracts that are classified as covered business under MCEV.

Life MCEV


The MCEV balance sheet value of covered business as at the reporting date. Excludes non-covered business including pension schemes and goodwill.

Life MCEV operating earnings


Operating earnings on the MCEV basis relating to the lines of business included in the embedded value calculations. From continuing operations and is stated before tax, impairment of goodwill and exceptional items.

Life MCEV earnings


Total earnings on the MCEV basis relating to the lines of business included in the embedded value calculations. From continuing operations.

Look-through basis


Inclusion of the capitalised value of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the extent that they relate to covered business.

Long-term savings


Includes life and pension sales calculated under MCEV and retail investment sales.

Market consistent


A measurement approach where economic assumptions are such that projected asset cash flows are valued consistently with current market prices for traded assets.

Net asset value per
ordinary share


Net asset value divided by the number of ordinary shares in issue. Net asset value is based on equity shareholders' funds.

Net worth


The market value of the shareholders' funds and the shareholders' interest in the surplus held in the non-profit component of the long-term business funds, determined on a statutory solvency basis and adjusted to add back any non-admissible assets, and consists of the required capital and free surplus.

New business margin


New business margins are calculated as the value of new business divided by the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP), and expressed as a percentage.

Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)


Present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

Required capital


The amount of assets, over and above the value placed on liabilities in respect of covered business, whose distribution to shareholders is restricted.

Risk-free rate (reference rate in CFO Forum terminology)


The risk-free rate is taken as the swap curve yield. In current markets, including the period from 1 July 2007, the risk-free rate is taken as swaps except for all contracts that contain features similar to immediate annuities and are backed by appropriate assets, including paid up group deferred annuities in the Netherlands, and deferred annuities and all other contracts in the US. The adjusted risk-free rate is taken as swaps plus the additional return available for products and where backing asset portfolios can be held to maturity.

Service companies


Companies providing administration or fund management services to the covered business.

Solvency cover


The excess of the regulatory value of total assets over total liabilities, divided by the regulatory value of the required minimum solvency margin.

Spread business


Contracts where a significant source of shareholder profits is the taking of credit spread risk that is not passed on to policyholders. The most significant spread business in Aviva are immediate annuities and US deferred annuities and life business.

Statutory basis


The valuation basis and approach used for reporting financial statements to local regulators.

Stochastic techniques


Techniques that incorporate the potential future variability in assumptions.

Symmetric risks


Risks that will cause shareholder profits to vary where the variation above and below the average are equal and opposite. Financial theory says that investors do not require compensation for non-market risks that are symmetrical as the risks can be diversified away by investors.

Time value and intrinsic value


A financial option or guarantee has two elements of value, the time value and intrinsic value. The intrinsic value is the discounted value of the option or guarantee at expiry, assuming that future economic conditions follow best estimate assumptions. The time value is the additional value arising from uncertainty about future economic conditions.

Value of new business


Is calculated using economic assumptions set at the start of each quarter and the same operating assumptions as those used to determine the embedded values at the end of the reporting period and is stated after the effect of any frictional costs. Unless otherwise stated, it is also quoted net of tax and minority interests.

 

____________________________

Shareholder services

 

Group financial calendar for 2010



Announcement of third quarter Interim Management Statement

04 November 2010



 

Annual General Meeting

The voting results for the 2010 AGM, including proxy votes and votes withheld, can be viewed on our website at www.aviva.com/agm. In addition, you will also find the Group Chief Executive's 2010 presentation and a webcast of the formal business of the meeting. Information relating to previous Annual General Meetings since 2002 is also available to view.

Dividends

Dividends on our ordinary shares are normally paid in May and November; please see the following table for the 2010 interim dividend dates. Dividends paid on our preference shares are normally paid in March, June, September and December; please visit www.aviva.com/preferenceshares for the latest dividend payment dates.

 

Holders of ordinary and preference shares receive their dividends in sterling and holders of ADRs will receive any dividends paid by the Company in US dollars.

Ordinary shares - 2010 interim dividend



Ex-dividend date

22 September 2010

Record date

24 September 2010

Last date for scrip forms to be received in order to be effective for 2010 interim dividend

20 October 2010

Dividend payment date*

17 November 2010



*  Please note that the ADR local payment date will be approximately five business days after the proposed dividend date for ordinary shareholders.

 

Online Shareholder Services Centre -
www.aviva.com/shareholderservices

The online shareholder services centre has been designed

to meet the specific needs of our shareholders, preference shareholders and our American Depositary Receipt (ADR) holders and includes features to allow you to manage your holding in Aviva easily and efficiently.

 

Within the online centre you will be able to find our current and historic ordinary and ADR share prices, sharedealing information, news, updates, and when available, presentations from the Group Chief Executive. You will also be able to download an electronic copy of any current and past reports. There is also a range of frequently asked questions on holding ordinary shares, preference shares and ADRs in Aviva, which include practical help on transferring shares, dealing facilities and updating personal details.

 

Share price

You can access the current share price of Aviva plc ordinary shares and ADRs at www.aviva.com/shareprice

 

If you would like to find out the price of Aviva preference shares, please visit the London Stock Exchange website via www.aviva.com/preferenceshares for a direct link.

Managing your shareholding

If you have any queries regarding your shareholding in Aviva please contact our Registrar, Equiniti. Please quote Aviva plc, as well as the name and address in which the shares are held, and your Shareholder Reference Number, which you will find on your latest dividend stationery.

 

Equiniti
Aspect House
Spencer Road
Lancing
West Sussex
BN99 6DA

Telephone:

0871 384 2953*

+44 (0)121 415 7046 (for callers outside of the UK)

Email: aviva@equiniti.com

American Depositary Receipts (ADRs)

Aviva's ADRs are listed on the New York Stock Exchange and our stock is traded as American Depositary Shares (ADS). Aviva maintains a Level II ADR facility in the US, with each ADS representing two (2) Aviva plc ordinary shares. Aviva has a sponsored ADR facility administered by Citibank, NA. Any queries regarding Aviva ADRs can be directed to Citibank by post, telephone or email.

 

Citibank Shareholder Services

PO Box 43077

Providence, Rhode Island

USA 02940-5000

 

Email:
Citibank@shareholders-online.com

Telephone:
+ (1) 877 248 4237 (toll free for callers within the US)

+ (1) 781 575 4555 (for callers outside of the US)

Fax inquiries:
+ (1) 201 324 3284

 

For information about Aviva's ADR program, please go to www.citi.com/dr for additional reference.

Be on your guard - beware of fraudsters

In recent years, many companies have become aware that
their shareholders have received unsolicited phone calls or correspondence concerning investment matters. These are typically from overseas based 'brokers' who target UK shareholders, offering to sell them what often turn out to be worthless or high risk shares in US or UK investments. These operations are commonly known as 'boiler rooms'.

 

Shareholders are advised to be very wary of any unsolicited advice, offers to buy shares at a discount or offers of free company reports. If you receive any unsolicited advice:

- Make sure you get the correct name of the person and organisation

- Check that they are properly authorised by the FSA before getting involved by visiting www.fsa.gov.uk/register/

- Report the matter to the FSA by calling
0845 606 1234

- If the calls persist, hang up.

 

More detailed information on this can be found at www.moneymadeclear.fsa.gov.uk/news/scams/share_scams.html

Alternative format

If you would like to request a copy of our reports in an alternative format please contact our Registrar, Equiniti, by calling 0871 384 2953*.

Form 20-F

Aviva is a foreign private issuer in the US and as such is subject to the reporting requirements of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Aviva files its Form 20-F with the SEC, copies of which can be found at www.aviva.com/reports

Internet sites

Aviva owns various internet sites, most of which interlink with each other:

 

Aviva Group

www.aviva.com

UK Long term savings and general insurance

www.aviva.co.uk

Asset management

www.avivainvestors.com

Aviva worldwide internet sites

www.aviva.com/websites

 

Other useful links for shareholders:

Aviva Shareholder Services Centre

www.aviva.com/shareholderservices

American Depositary Receipt holders

www.aviva.com/adr

Aviva preference shareholders

www.aviva.com/preferenceshares

Dividend information

www.aviva.com/dividends

Annual General Meeting information

www.aviva.com/agm

Aviva Share Price

www.aviva.com/shareprice

 

*Calls to 0871 numbers are charged at 8p per minute from a BT landline. Charges from other telephone providers may vary. Lines are open from 8.30am to 5.30pm, Monday to Friday.

 

End of part 5 of 5

 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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