FY13 Part 4 of 5

RNS Number : 6413B
Aviva PLC
06 March 2014
 



Part 4 of 5

 

 

 

 

Page 93

 

 

Capital & assets

 

 

In this section

Page

Capital and liquidity


C1  Capital performance

94

C2  Regulatory capital

97

C3  IFRS sensitivity analysis

99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 94

 

 

 

C1 - Capital performance

(a)  Capital generation and utilisation

 

 


2013
£m

Restated
2012
£m

Group operating capital generated after investment in new business

1,967

1,982

Interest, corporate and other costs

(621)

(677)

External dividends and appropriations, net of shares issued in lieu of dividends

(537)

(723)

Net operating capital generation after financing

809

582

(b)  Capital required to write life new business, internal rate of return and payback period

The Group generates a significant amount of capital each year which supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to set-up costs and capital requirements.

      The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.

      The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.

      The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free, consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.

      The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below:

 




2013



2012


Internal

rate of

return1

%

New business impact on

free surplus2

 £m

Payback

period

years3

Internal

rate of

return

%

New business impact on free surplus £m

Payback

period

years

United Kingdom

21%

(47)

6

18%

6

6

Ireland

5%

30

13

2%

31

25

United Kingdom & Ireland

18%

(17)

7

16%

37

8

France

11%

148

9

11%

125

8

Poland

22%

25

4

20%

25

4

Italy

14%

46

6

12%

41

6

Spain

17%

33

4

21%

35

4

Other Europe

32%

20

3

22%

42

3

Europe

15%

272

7

15%

268

6

Asia

16%

66

10

11%

84

11

Total - excluding United States

15.9%

321

7

14.9%

389

8

Total - United States

-

-

-

17%

319

4

Total

15.9%

321

7

15.5%

708

7

1    Gross of non-controlling interests

2    Net of non-controlling interests

3    Gross of non-controlling interests

 

 

 

 

 

Page 96



C1 - Capital performance continued

(c)  Analysis of return of equity - IFRS basis

 


Operating return1



2013

Before tax £m

After tax £m

Opening shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests
£m

Return on equity
%

United Kingdom & Ireland life

952

904

5,646

16.0%

United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health2

410

319

4,008

8.0%

Europe

963

636

5,860

10.9%

Canada

246

180

1,039

17.4%

Asia

97

84

825

10.1%

Fund management

93

72

225

32.1%

Corporate and Other Business3

(384)

(428)

(1,471)

n/a

Return on total capital employed (excluding United States)

2,377

1,767

16,132

11.0%

United States

290

207

367

56.5%

Return on total capital employed (including United States)

2,667

1,974

16,499

12.0%

Subordinated debt

(305)

(234)

(4,337)

5.4%

External debt

(23)

(18)

(802)

2.2%

Return on total equity

2,339

1,722

11,360

15.2%

Less: Non-controlling interests


(174)

(1,574)

11.1%

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes


(70)

(1,382)

5.1%

Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


1,461

8,204

17.8%

1    The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variances.

2    The operating return  for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £79 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £79 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation.

3    The 'Corporate and Other Business' loss before tax of £384 million comprises corporate costs of £150 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £231 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £60 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £57 million.

 


Operating return1



2012

Restated before tax £m

Restated after tax
£m

Opening shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests
£m

Restated return on equity
%

United Kingdom & Ireland life

892

869

5,478

15.9%

United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health

490

370

3,903

9.5%

Europe

967

671

5,420

12.4%

Canada

277

205

1,034

19.8%

Asia

64

56

916

6.1%

Fund management

51

36

185

19.5%

Corporate and Other Business2

(498)

(541)

(234)

n/a

Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd and United States)

2,243

1,666

16,702

10.0%

Delta Lloyd

112

84

776

10.8%

United States

239

161

3,140

5.1%

Return on total capital employed (including Delta Lloyd and United States)

2,594

1,911

20,618

9.3%

Subordinated debt

(294)

(222)

(4,550)

4.9%

External debt

(23)

(17)

(705)

2.4%

Return on total equity

2,277

1,672

15,363

10.9%

Less: Non-controlling interest


(184)

(1,530)

12.0%

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes


(55)

(990)

5.6%

Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


1,416

12,643

11.2%

1    The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variances.

2    The 'Corporate and Other Business' loss before tax of £498 million comprises corporate costs of £136 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £307 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £142 million offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £87 million.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 96

 

 

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(d)  Group capital structure

The table below shows how our capital, on both an IFRS and MCEV basis, is deployed by market and how that capital is funded.

 


2013

Capital employed

2012

Capital employed


IFRS basis

£m

Internally

generated

AVIF

£m

MCEV6  basis

£m

IFRS basis

£m

Internally

generated

AVIF

£m

MCEV4 basis

£m

Life business







United Kingdom

5,237

2,140

7,377

4,911

1,595

6,506

Ireland

595

71

666

735

361

1,096

United Kingdom & Ireland

5,832

2,211

8,043

5,646

1,956

7,602

France

2,366

1,587

3,953

2,119

1,329

3,448

Poland

380

1,075

1,455

336

1,442

1,778

Italy

1,108

428

1,536

1,276

(317)

959

Spain

769

218

987

1,113

340

1,453

Other Europe

93

84

177

155

79

234

Europe

4,716

3,392

8,108

4,999

2,873

7,872

Asia

676

226

902

784

28

812


11,224

5,829

17,053

11,429

4,857

16,286

General insurance & health







United Kingdom

3,725

-

3,725

3,653

-

3,653

Ireland

421

-

421

355

-

355

United Kingdom & Ireland

4,146

-

4,146

4,008

-

4,008

France

570

-

570

562

-

562

Italy

269

-

269

242

-

242

Other Europe

43

-

43

57

-

57

Europe

882

-

882

861

-

861

Canada

925

-

925

1,039

-

1,039

Asia

33

-

33

41

-

41


5,986

-

5,986

5,949

-

5,949

Fund Management

237

-

237

225

-

225

Corporate & Other Business1

(1,305)

11

(1,294)

(1,471)

13

(1,458)

Total capital employed (excluding United States)

16,142

5,840

21,982

16,132

4,870

21,002

United States

-

-

-

367

-

367

Total capital employed (including United States)

16,142

5,840

21,982

16,499

4,870

21,369

Financed by







Equity shareholders' funds

7,964

5,145

13,109

8,204

4,230

12,434

Non-controlling interests

1,471

695

2,166

1,574

640

2,214

Direct capital instruments & fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

-

1,382

1,382

-

1,382

Preference shares

200

-

200

200

-

200

Subordinated debt

4,370

-

4,370

4,337

-

4,337

External debt

755

-

755

802

-

802

Total capital employed

16,142

5,840

21,982

16,499

4,870

21,369

Less: Goodwill & other intangibles (net of tax & non-controlling interests)2

(2,204)


(2,088)

(2,523)


(2,429)

Total tangible capital employed

13,938


19,894

13,976


18,940

Total debt3

6,957


6,957

6,971


6,971

Tangible debt leverage

50%


35%

50%


37%

1.   Corporate and other business includes centrally held tangible net assets, the main UK staff pension scheme surplus and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation include the formal loan arrangement between Aviva Group Holdings Limited and Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). Internal capital management mechanisms in place allocated a majority of the total capital of AIL to the UK general insurance operations with the remaining capital deemed to be supporting residual (non-operational) Pillar II ICA risks.

      -.Certain subsidiaries, subject to satisfying standalone capital and liquidity requirements, loan funds to corporate and holding entities. These loans satisfy arm's-length criteria and all interest payments are made when due.

2.   Goodwill and intangibles comprise £1,480 million (FY12: £1,703 million) of goodwill in subsidiaries, £1,068 million (FY12: £1,090 million) of intangibles in subsidiaries and £60 million (FY12: £132 million) of goodwill and intangibles in joint ventures, net of deferred tax liabilities of £(189) million (FY12: £(188) million) and the non-controlling interest share of intangibles of £(215) million (FY12: £(214) million). Under MCEV goodwill and intangibles have been further impaired by £116 million (FY12: £94 million) which has been reflected in the additional value of in-force long-term business in the MCEV balance sheet.

3.   Total debt comprises direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes, Aviva Plc preference share capital and core structural borrowings.  In addition GA plc preference share capital £250 million within non-controlling interests has been included.

4.   In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operation at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell.

 

Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt and borrowings. At FY13 we had £16.1 billion (FY12: £16.5 billion) of total capital employed in our trading operations measured on an IFRS basis and £22 billion (FY12: £21.4 billion) of total capital employed on an MCEV basis.

      In July 2013 we issued €650 million of Lower Tier 2 subordinated debt callable in 2023. This was used to repay a €650 million Lower Tier 2 subordinated debt instrument at its first call date, in October 2013. On a net basis, these transactions did not impact on Group IGD solvency and Economic Capital measures. Financial leverage, the ratio of external senior and subordinated debt to tangible capital employed, is 50% (FY12: 50%), and financial leverage under MCEV is 35% (FY12: 37%).

      At FY13 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interest, of £250 million), and direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes was £7,573 million (FY12: £7,260 million), with a weighted average cost, post tax, of 3.8% (FY12: 4.4%). The Group Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 6.6% (FY12: 6.3%) and has been calculated by reference to the cost of equity and the cost of debt at the relevant date. The cost of equity at FY13 was 8.3% (FY12: 7.5%) based on a risk free rate of 3% (FY12: 1.9%), an equity risk premium of 4.0% (FY12: 4.0%) and a market beta of 1.3 (FY12: 1.4).

 

 

 

 

 

Page 97

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(e)  Equity sensitivity analysis

The sensitivity of the group's total equity, for continuing operations, on an IFRS basis and MCEV basis at 31 December 2013 to a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows:

 

31 December 2012

£bn


IFRS basis

31 December 2013
£bn

Equities down 10% £bn

Interest rates up 1% £bn

0.5% increased credit spread
£bn

11.5


Long-term savings

11.2

(0.1)

(0.4)

(0.2)

4.6


General insurance and other

4.9

(0.1)

(0.4)

0.5

(5.1)


Borrowings

(5.1)

-

-

-

11.0


Total equity

11.0

(0.2)

(0.8)

0.3

 





Equities down 10%



31 December 2012

£bn


MCEV basis

31 December 2013
£bn

Direct
£bn

Indirect
£bn

Interest rates up 1% £bn

0.5% increased credit spread
£bn

16.3


Long-term savings

17.1

(0.1)

(0.4)

(0.4)

(0.9)

4.6


General insurance and other

4.9

(0.1)

-

(0.4)

0.5

(5.1)


Borrowings

(5.1)

-

-

-

-

15.8


Total equity

16.9

(0.2)

(0.4)

(0.8)

(0.4)

 

These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability in the main UK pension scheme by £1.6 billion (before any associated tax impact).

      The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for IFRS and MCEV do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The IFRS and MCEV sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.

C2 - Regulatory capital

Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate Group level, where Aviva has a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our businesses in Canada a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.

      Based on individual guidance from the PRA we recognise surpluses of the non-profit funds of our UK Life and pensions businesses which are available for transfer to shareholders. These have decreased to £0.1 billion as at 31 December 2013 (FY12: £0.4 billion) due to the transfer of surpluses to the shareholder fund at the beginning of the year.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 98

 

 

C2 - Regulatory capital continued

(a)  Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

 


UK life funds
£bn

Other business £bn

 31 December 2013
£bn

31 December 2012
£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

5.8

8.6

14.4

14.4

Less: capital resources requirement

(5.8)

(5.0)

(10.8)

(10.6)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

3.6

3.6

3.8

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)



1.7 times

1.7 times

 

The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has decreased by £0.2 billion since FY12 to £3.6 billion.

      The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:

 


£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2012

3.8

Operating profits net of other income and expenses

1.2

Dividends and appropriations

(0.5)

Market movements including foreign exchange1

(0.4)

Pension scheme funding

(0.1)

Disposals

0.2

Poland pension legislative changes

(0.3)

Increase in capital resources requirement

(0.1)

Other regulatory adjustments

(0.2)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2013

3.6

1    Market movements include the impact of equity, credit spread, interest rate and foreign exchange movements net of the effect of hedging instruments.

(b)  Reconciliation of Group IGD capital resources to IFRS capital

The reconciliation below provides analysis of differences between our capital resources and the amounts included in the capital statement made in accordance with FRS 27 and disclosed within our consolidated accounts. The Group Capital Adequacy report is prepared in accordance with the PRA valuation rules and brings in capital in respect of the UK Life valued in accordance with PRA regulatory rules excluding surpluses in with-profit funds. The FRS 27 disclosure brings in the realistic value of UK Life capital resources. As the two bases differ greatly, the reconciliation below is presented by removing the restricted regulatory assets and then replacing them with the unrestricted realistic assets.

 


2013
 £bn

Total capital and reserves (IFRS basis)

11.0

Plus: Other qualifying capital

4.4

Plus: UK unallocated divisible surplus

1.7

Less: Goodwill, acquired AVIF and intangible assets1

(2.6)

Less: Adjustments onto a regulatory basis

(0.1)

Group Capital Resources on regulatory basis

14.4

The Group Capital Resources can be analysed as follows:


Core Tier 1 Capital

9.9

Innovative Tier 1 Capital

1.4

Total Tier 1 Capital

11.3

Upper Tier 2 Capital

1.7

Lower Tier 2 Capital

3.2

Group Capital Resources Deductions

(1.8)

Group Capital Resources on regulatory basis (Tier 1 & Tier 2 Capital)

14.4

Less: UK life restricted regulatory assets

(6.8)

Add: UK life unrestricted realistic assets

6.0

Add: Overseas UDS2  and Shareholders' share of accrued bonus

5.0

Total FRS 27 capital

18.6

1    Goodwill and other intangibles includes goodwill of £60million in joint ventures and associates and amounts classified as held for sale.

2    Unallocated divisible surplus for overseas life operations is included gross of minority interest and amounts disclosed include balances classified as held for sale.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 99

 

 

C2 - Regulatory capital continued

(c)  Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds

The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the three main UK with-profit funds: New With-Profit Sub Fund (NWPSF), Old With-Profit Sub Fund (OWPSF) and With-Profit Sub-Fund (WPSF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the Group's IFRS balance sheet at 31 December 2013 and 31 December 2012.

 





31 December
2013

31 December 2012


Estimated realistic assets
£bn

Estimated realistic

liabilities1

 £bn

Estimated realistic inherited

estate2

 £bn

Capital support

arrangement3

 £bn

Estimated risk capital margin
£bn

Estimated excess available capital
£bn

Estimated excess available capital
£bn

NWPSF

15.6

(15.6)

-

1.1

(0.2)

0.9

0.3

OWPSF

2.8

(2.4)

0.4

-

(0.1)

0.3

0.2

WPSF4

16.9

(15.4)

1.5

-

(0.3)

1.2

1.3

Aggregate

35.3

(33.4)

1.9

1.1

(0.6)

2.4

1.8

1    These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses of £0.1 billion (FY12: £0.3 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses are £33.4 billion (FY12: £36.0 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.4 billion, £0.2 billion and £2.5 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively (FY12: £1.8 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.5 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively).

2    Estimated realistic inherited estate at FY12 was £nil, £0.3 billion and £1.8 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.

3    The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate (RIEESA) of £1.1 billion at 31 December 2013 (FY12: £0.7 billion).

4    The WPSF fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and realistic liabilities of £1.5 billion and therefore does not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.

(d)  Investment mix

The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the three main with-profit funds was:

 


31 December 2013
 %

31 December 2012
 %

Equity

29%

23%

Property

12%

16%

Fixed interest

49%

51%

Other

10%

10%

 

The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 70% in NWPSF and OWPSF, and 73%
in WPSF.

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis

The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.

      For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators to changes in both economic and non-economic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in section F (note F18) of this report.

(a)  Life insurance and investment contracts

The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under the MCEV methodology.

(b)  General insurance and health business

General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.

      These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years.

In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 100

 

 

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(c)  Sensitivity test results

Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health and fund management business and other operations are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.

 

Sensitivity factor

Description of sensitivity factor applied

Interest rate and investment return

The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities.

Credit Spreads

The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations.

Equity/property market values

The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%.

Expenses

The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%.

Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%.

Annuitant mortality (life insurance only)

The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%.

Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%.

(d)  Long-term businesses

 

31 December 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates
 +1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

 

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(45)

-

(60)

(10)

(20)

(30)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(145)

140

(415)

(5)

10

(80)

(60)

(450)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

5

(5)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

5

(5)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(35)

55

(25)

40

(45)

-

-

-

Total

(255)

220

(510)

35

(65)

(135)

(65)

(490)

 

31 December 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates
 +1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

 

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(45)

-

(60)

(10)

(20)

(30)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(145)

140

(415)

(5)

10

(80)

(60)

(450)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

5

(5)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

5

(5)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(75)

100

(35)

45

(45)

-

-

-

Total

(295)

265

(520)

40

(65)

(135)

(65)

(490)

 

31 December 2012 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

 

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(45)

(15)

(110)

60

(95)

(25)

(5)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(160)

130

(430)

-

-

(75)

(45)

(470)

Investment participating

(55)

45

-

5

(10)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(40)

35

(5)

10

(15)

(20)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

10

(15)

(40)

45

(45)

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd and United States

(290)

180

(585)

120

(165)

(130)

(50)

(520)

United States

880

(640)

495

-

-

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

590

(460)

(90)

120

(165)

(130)

(50)

(520)

 

31 December 2012 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

 

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(45)

(15)

(110)

60

(95)

(25)

(5)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(165)

125

(430)

-

-

(75)

(45)

(470)

Investment participating

(55)

45

-

5

(10)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(45)

40

-

10

(15)

(20)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(5)

-

(45)

50

(50)

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd and United States

(315)

195

(585)

125

(170)

(130)

(50)

(520)

United States

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(315)

195

(585)

125

(170)

(130)

(50)

(520)

 

Changes in sensitivities between 2013 and 2012 reflect movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and the relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic movements relate mainly to business in the UK. In general, a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business, due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities and the relative durations of assets and liabilities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. The mortality sensitivities also relate primarily to the UK.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 101

 

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(e)  General insurance and health businesses

 

31 December 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates
+1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

 

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(245)

235

(125)

50

(50)

(110)

(300)









Net of reinsurance

(295)

295

(125)

50

(50)

(110)

(285)

 

31 December 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates
+1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

 

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(245)

235

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(300)









Net of reinsurance

(295)

295

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(285)

 

31 December 2012 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

 

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
 +5%

Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(260)

235

(125)

45

(50)

(120)

(300)









Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(300)

285

(125)

45

(50)

(120)

(285)

 

31 December 2012 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(260)

235

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(300)









Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(300)

285

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(285)

 

For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses,

in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.

(f)  Fund management and other operations businesses1

 

31 December 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates
+1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total

-

-

20

(5)

15

 

31 December 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates
 +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total

-

-

20

(5)

15

 

31 December 2012 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest
 rates
+1%

Interest
 rates
 --1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(5)

-

30

(90)

10

 

31 December 2012 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest
 rates
 +1%

Interest
 rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(5)

-

30

(90)

10

1    For 2012, the fund management and other operations are not shown excluding the United States as their sensitivities are immaterial to the group.

(g)  Delta Lloyd

The 2012 sensitivities contained in the above tables exclude any contribution from Delta Lloyd following deconsolidation
of this business.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 102

 

 

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(h) Limitations of sensitivity analysis

The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

      The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally,

the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.

      As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.

      A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholders' equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.

      Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 103

 

Analysis of assets

 

 


Page

Analysis of assets


D1 Total assets

104

D2 Total assets - Valuation bases/fair
value hierarchy

104

D3 Analysis of asset quality

107

D4 Pension fund assets

125

D5 Available funds

126

D6 Guarantees

126

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 104

 

 

D1 - Total assets

As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which Aviva manages its investments. In addition, to support this, Aviva also uses a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away any residual mis-match risk that is outside of the Group's risk appetite.

 

2013

Policyholder assets

£m

Participating fund assets

£m

Shareholder assets

 £m

Total assets analysed

£m

Less

assets of operations classified as held for sale

£m

Balance sheet total

 £m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

2,548

2,548

(4)

2,544

Interests in joint ventures and associates

219

900

377

1,496

(29)

1,467

Property and equipment

-

143

170

313

-

313

Investment property

3,564

5,648

239

9,451

-

9,451

Loans

471

5,535

17,873

23,879

-

23,879

Financial investments







Debt securities

12,835

80,610

33,360

126,805

(2,420)

124,385

Equity securities

25,836

10,544

1,000

37,380

(54)

37,326

Other investments

26,563

3,880

1,008

31,451

(201)

31,250

Reinsurance assets

2,043

628

4,586

7,257

(37)

7,220

Deferred tax assets

-

-

252

252

(8)

244

Current tax assets

-

-

86

86

(10)

76

Receivables & other financial assets

258

2,033

4,846

7,137

(77)

7,060

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

500

2,558

3,058

(7)

3,051

Prepayments and accrued income

99

1,197

1,302

2,598

(100)

2,498

Cash and cash equivalents

4,725

12,321

8,304

25,350

(351)

24,999

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less
costs to sell

-

-

(185)

(185)

185

-

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

3,113

3,113

Total

76,613

123,939

78,324

278,876

-

278,876

Total %

27.5%

44.4%

28.1%

100.0%

-

100.0%

FY12 Restated

73,730

125,328

115,409

314,467

-

314,467

FY12 Total % Restated

23.4%

39.9%

36.7%

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

As at 31 December 2013, 28.1% of Aviva's total asset base was shareholder assets, 44.4% participating assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 27.5% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets (excluding assets held for sale), investment property, loans and financial investments comprise £226.3 billion, compared to £223.2 billion at 31 December 2012.

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy

 

Total assets - 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

2,548

-

2,548

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

1,496

1,496

Property and equipment

257

56

-

313

Investment property

9,451

-

-

9,451

Loans

18,477

5,402

-

23,879

Financial investments





Debt securities

126,805

-

-

126,805

Equity securities

37,380

-

-

37,380

Other investments

31,451

-

-

31,451

Reinsurance assets

-

7,257

-

7,257

Deferred tax assets

-

-

252

252

Current tax assets

-

-

86

86

Receivables and other financial assets

-

7,137

-

7,137

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

3,058

-

3,058

Prepayments and accrued income

-

2,598

-

2,598

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell

-

(185)

-

(185)

Cash and cash equivalents

25,350

-

-

25,350

Total

249,171

27,871

1,834

278,876

Total %

89.3%

10.0%

0.7%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

3,026

40

47

3,113

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

246,145

27,831

1,787

275,763

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

89.3%

10.1%

0.6%

100.0%

FY12 Total Restated

278,188

34,210

2,069

314,467

FY12 Total % Restated

88.4%

10.9%

0.7%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

 

 

 

Page 105

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

 

Total assets - Policyholder assets 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

219

219

Property and equipment

-

-

-

-

Investment property

3,564

-

-

3,564

Loans

-

471

-

471

Financial investments





Debt securities

12,835

-

-

12,835

Equity securities

25,836

-

-

25,836

Other investments

26,563

-

-

26,563

Reinsurance assets

-

2,043

-

2,043

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

258

-

258

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

-

-

-

Prepayments and accrued income

-

99

-

99

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell

-

-

-

-

Cash and cash equivalents

4,725

-

-

4,725

Total

73,523

2,871

219

76,613

Total %

96.0%

3.7%

0.3%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

44

-

-

44

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

73,479

2,871

219

76,569

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

96.0%

3.7%

0.3%

100.0%

FY12 Total Restated

70,958

2,701

71

73,730

FY12 Total % Restated

96.2%

3.7%

0.1%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

Total assets - Participating fund assets 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

900

900

Property and equipment

133

10

-

143

Investment property

5,648

-

-

5,648

Loans

989

4,546

-

5,535

Financial investments





Debt securities

80,610

-

-

80,610

Equity securities

10,544

-

-

10,544

Other investments

3,880

-

-

3,880

Reinsurance assets

-

628

-

628

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

2,033

-

2,033

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

500

-

500

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,197

-

1,197

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell

-

-

-

-

Cash and cash equivalents

12,321

-

-

12,321

Total

114,125

8,914

900

123,939

Total %

92.1%

7.2%

0.7%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

2,585

134

-

2,719

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

111,540

8,780

900

121,220

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

92.0%

7.3%

0.7%

100.0%

FY12 Total Restated

114,494

9,603

1,231

125,328

FY12 Total % Restated

91.3%

7.7%

1.0%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 106

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

 

Total assets - Shareholders assets 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

2,548

-

2,548

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

377

377

Property and equipment

124

46

-

170

Investment property

239

-

-

239

Loans

17,488

385

-

17,873

Financial investments





Debt securities

33,360

-

-

33,360

Equity securities

1,000

-

-

1,000

Other investments

1,008

-

-

1,008

Reinsurance assets

-

4,586

-

4,586

Deferred tax assets

-

-

252

252

Current tax assets

-

-

86

86

Receivables and other financial assets

-

4,846

-

4,846

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

2,558

-

2,558

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,302

-

1,302

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell

-

(185)

-

(185)

Cash and cash equivalents

8,304

-

-

8,304

Total

61,523

16,086

715

78,324

Total %

78.6%

20.5%

0.9%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale2

397

(94)

47

350

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

61,126

16,180

668

77,974

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

78.4%

20.7%

0.9%

100.0%

FY12 Total Restated

92,736

21,906

767

115,409

FY12 Total % Restated

80.4%

19.0%

0.6%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

2    The remeasurement loss upon the classification of assets as held for sale included an additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell. IFRS does not allow this to be taken against assets at fair value, therefore for the purpose of this disclosure the impairment has been allocated to the amortised cost assets, resulting in a negative asset value.

Fair value hierarchy

To provide further information on the valuation techniques we use to measure assets carried at fair value, we have categorised the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' described as follows, based on the lowest level input that is significant to the valuation as a whole:

n Inputs to Level 1 fair values are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets.

n Inputs to Level 2 fair values are inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for the asset, either directly or indirectly. If the asset has a specified (contractual) term, a Level 2 input must be observable for substantially the full term of the asset.

n Inputs to level 3 values are unobservable inputs for the asset. Unobservable inputs may have been used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available, thereby allowing for situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for the asset at the measurement date (or market information for the inputs to any valuation models). As such unobservable inputs reflect the assumptions the business unit considers that market participants would use in pricing the asset. Examples are certain private equity investments and private placements.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 107

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Financial assets of operations classified as held for sale have been analysed by underlying financial assets in the following tables.

 


Fair value hierarchy




Investment property and financial assets - total 2013

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Sub-total

fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Less:

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

£m

Balance sheet

total

£m

Investment property

-

-

9,451

9,451

-

-

9,451

Loans

-

3,115

15,362

18,477

5,402

-

23,879

Debt securities

77,042

40,884

8,879

126,805

-

(2,420)

124,385

Equity securities

36,835

102

443

37,380

-

(54)

37,326

Other investments (including derivatives)

24,132

4,283

3,036

31,451

-

(201)

31,250

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

2,675

2,675

Total

138,009

48,384

37,171

223,564

5,402

-

228,966

Total %

60.3%

21.1%

16.2%

97.6%

2.4%


100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

2,245

282

148

2,675

-

-

2,675

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

135,764

48,102

37,023

220,889

5,402

-

226,291

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

60.0%

21.2%

16.4%

97.6%

2.4%


100.0%

FY12 Total Restated

162,250

78,396

13,439

254,085

8,961

-

263,046

FY12 Total % Restated

61.7%

29.8%

5.1%

96.6%

3.4%


100.0%

 

At 31 December 2013, the proportion of total financial assets and investment property classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy was 60.3% (FY12: 61.7%). The proportion of Level 2 financial investments, loans and investment properties reduced to 21.1% (FY12: 29.8%) while those classified as Level 3 increased to 16.2% (FY12: 5.1%). Movements in the proportion of assets held in each fair value hierarchy level have been driven by the following factors:

n The sale of the Group's US business in October 2013 where the majority of our Level 2 financial investments were previously held.

n The reclassification of £29.4 billion of mainly debt securities from Level 1 to Level 2, as a result of the enhanced understanding of pricing vendor methodologies for the fair value classification of certain debt securities.

n The reclassification of £14.6 billion of mortgage assets in the UK business held within Level 2 loans to Level 3 as a result of the reassessment of significant inputs used in the valuation, together with revisions to some of the models used.

n Investment property of £9.5 billion has been reclassified from Level 2 to Level 3, reflecting a reassessment of observable inputs and related market activity.

 

Excluding assets classified as held for sale, the proportion of Level 1 assets at 31 December 2013 is 60.0% with Level 2 assets at 21.2%.

D3 - Analysis of asset quality

The analysis of assets that follows provides information about the assets held by the Group. The amounts in individual line items below may differ from those presented in the IFRS section of this document, as the numbers below includes assets which are held for sale.

D3.1 - Investment property

 





2013




Restated 1 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Total

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

-

-

9,447

9,447

-

9,946

-

9,946

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

4

4

-

11

-

11

Total

-

-

9,451

9,451

-

9,957

-

9,957

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

18

-

18

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

9,451

9,451

-

9,939

-

9,939

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 





2013




Restated1

 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Policyholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

3,562

3,562

-

4,173

-

4,173

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

2

2

-

-

-

-

Total

-

-

3,564

3,564

-

4,173

-

4,173

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

12

-

12

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

3,564

3,564

-

4,161

-

4,161

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

 1  The statement of financial position hs been restated following the adoption of IFRS 10 'Consolidated Financials Statements' - see note B2 for details. There is no impact on the result for any year presented as a result of this restatement.

 

 

Page 108

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Participating fund assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

5,646

5,646

-

5,530

-

5,530

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

2

2

-

1

-

1

Total

-

-

5,648

5,648

-

5,531

-

5,531

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

5,648

5,648

-

5,531

-

5,531

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

239

239

-

243

-

243

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

-

-

-

10

-

10

Total

-

-

239

239

-

253

-

253

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

6

-

6

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

239

239

-

247

-

247

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

97.5% (FY12: 97.5%) of total investment properties by value are held in unit-linked or participating funds. Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in French commercial property.

      Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external independent valuers or by local qualified staff of the Group, all with recent relevant experience. Values are calculated using a discounted cash flow approach and are based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, lease expiry or break option taking into consideration lease incentives, assuming no further growth in the estimated rental value of the property. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar properties where available. Upon reassessment of these inputs and related market activity, it was concluded that the significant inputs are non-market observable and these assets have been reclassified from Level 2 to Level 3 in 2013.

      99.9% (FY12: 99.9%) of total investment properties by value are leased to third parties under operating leases, with the remainder either being vacant or held for capital appreciation.

 

 

 

Page 109

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans

The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:

n Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;

n Loans and advances to banks, which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;

n Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets; and

n Other loans, which include loans to brokers and intermediaries.

 

Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.

      For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. The mortgage loans are not traded in active markets. These investments are valued using internal models with inputs such as current property values and credit assumptions. Upon reassessment of these inputs and related market activity these assets have been reclassified from Level 2 to Level 3.

 

Loans - Total

2013

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

24

836

-

29

-

889

Loans and advances to banks

4,844

-

-

-

-

4,844

Mortgage loans

17,910

1

-

-

-

17,911

Other loans

121

38

76

-

-

235

Total

22,899

875

76

29

-

23,879

Total %

95.9%

3.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

22,899

875

76

29

-

23,879

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

95.9%

3.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

100.0%

FY12 Total

23,562

862

83

30

3,397

27,934

FY12 Total %

84.3%

3.1%

0.3%

0.1%

12.2%

100.0%

 

Loans - Policyholders assets

2013

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

-

-

-

7

-

7

Loans and advances to banks

464

-

-

-

-

464

Mortgage loans

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other loans

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

464

-

-

7

-

471

Total %

98.5%

0.0%

0.0%

1.5%

0.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

464

-

-

7

-

471

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

98.5%

0.0%

0.0%

1.5%

0.0%

100.0%

FY12 Total

604

-

-

1

-

605

FY12 Total %

99.8%

0.0%

0.0%

0.2%

0.0%

100.0%

 

Loans - Participating fund assets

2013

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

18

825

-

19

-

862

Loans and advances to banks

3,827

-

-

-

-

3,827

Mortgage loans

785

1

-

-

-

786

Other loans

42

18

-

-

-

60

Total

4,672

844

-

19

-

5,535

Total %

84.5%

15.2%

0.0%

0.3%

0.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

4,672

844

-

19

-

5,535

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

84.5%

15.2%

0.0%

0.3%

0.0%

100.0%

FY12 Total

4,398

848

-

-

316

5,562

FY12 Total %

79.1%

15.2%

0.0%

0.0%

5.7%

100.0%

 

 

 

 

Page 110

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

 

Loans - Shareholder assets

2013

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

6

11

-

3

-

20

Loans and advances to banks

553

-

-

-

-

553

Mortgage loans

17,125

-

-

-

-

17,125

Other loans

79

20

76

-

-

175

Total

17,763

31

76

3

-

17,873

Total %

99.4%

0.2%

0.4%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

17,763

31

76

3

-

17,873

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

99.4%

0.2%

0.4%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

FY12 Total

18,558

14

83

31

3,081

21,767

FY12 Total %

85.2%

0.1%

0.4%

0.1%

14.2%

100.0%

 

The value of the Group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 31 December 2013 stood at £23.9 billion (FY12: £27.9 billion), a decrease of £4.0 billion, with £3.4 billion of this reduction driven by the disposal of our US business in 2013.

      The total shareholder exposure to loans decreased to £17.9 billion (FY12: £21.8 billion), principally as a result of our US business disposal in 2013 and represented 75% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 25% split between participating funds (£5.5 billion) and policyholder assets (£0.5 billion).

      Of the Group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 75% (FY12: 79%) is invested in mortgage loans.

Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets

 

2013

United Kingdom & Ireland

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Non-securitised mortgage loans




- Residential (Equity release)

3,106

-

3,106

- Commercial

7,748

-

7,748

- Healthcare

4,102

-

4,102


14,956

-

14,956

Securitised mortgage loans

2,169

-

2,169

Total

17,125

-

17,125

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

17,125

-

17,125

FY12 Total

18,211

2,859

21,070

The Group's mortgage loan portfolio is mainly focused in the UK, across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva's shareholder exposure to mortgage loans accounts for 96% of total shareholder asset loans. This section focuses on explaining the shareholder risk within these exposures.

United Kingdom & Ireland

(Non-securitised mortgage loans)

Residential

The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £3.1billion (FY12: £3.2 billion). The movement from the prior year is due to £0.5 billion of new loans and accrued interest, £0.5 billion of fair value losses and £0.1 billion of redemptions. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners mortgage their property to release cash equity. Due to the low relative levels of equity released in each property, they predominantly have a Loan to Value ("LTV") of below 70%, and the average LTV across the portfolio is approximately 29.3% (FY12: 29.6%).

Healthcare

Primary Healthcare & PFI businesses loans included within shareholder assets are £4.1billion (FY12: £4.1 billion) and are secured against General Practitioner premises, other primary health related premises or other emergency services related premises. For all such loans, government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.

      On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 89%, although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk indicator. Income support from the Government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be lower risk.

 

 

 

 

Page 111

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

Commercial

Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.

Shareholder assets

 

2013

>120%

£m

115-120%

£m

110-115%

£m

105-110%

£m

100-105%

£m

95-100%

£m

90-95%

£m

80-90%

£m

70-80%

£m

<70%

£m

Total

£m

Not in arrears

19

57

65

154

142

887

871

1,342

1,224

1,404

6,165

0 - 3 months

-

-

-

-

510

122

-

-

-

-

632

3 - 6 months

-

-

-

-

-

96

625

-

-

-

721

6 - 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

68

-

-

-

-

68

> 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

162

-

-

-

-

162

Total

19

57

65

154

652

1,335

1,496

1,342

1,224

1,404

7,748

 

Of the total £7.7 billion of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loan in the shareholder fund, £7.5 billion are held by our UK Life business, of which £7.2 billion back annuity liabilities, and are stated on a fair value basis. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ("CRAV") methods.

      Aviva UK General Insurance hold the remaining £0.2 billion of loans which are stated on an amortised cost basis and are subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics.

      For the commercial mortgages held by the UK Life and UK General Insurance business, loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, improved slightly to 1.20x (FY12: 1.18x). Loan Interest Cover ("LIC"), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, was flat at 1.40x  (FY12: 1.40x). Mortgage LTVs decreased during the year from 95% to 83% (CRAV basis) largely due to an increase in gilt spot rates (on average 74bps) causing the value of the mortgage assets to decrease, combined with a slight increase in property values  c1.5% during the year.

      All loans in arrears have been assessed for impairment. Of the £1,583 million (FY12: £446 million) value of loans in arrears included within our shareholder assets, the interest and capital amount in arrears is only £15.7 million.

During 2013 there has been a rise in the impairments, restructuring of loans and requests for forbearance. These relate to loans made prior to the current financial downturn, with particular exposure to the retail sector in the north England. As a result, at HY13 we increased allowances on commercial mortgages (including Healthcare and PFI mortgages) by £0.5 billion. This included a net increase of £0.3 billion and explicit recognition of the £0.2 billion margin previously held implicitly within the reinvestment margins. In the second half of 2013, commercial mortgages have performed in line with expectations, with the impact of the defaults offset by the release of the default allowances.  At FY13 the total allowances for commercial mortgage defaults was £1.3 billion (FY12: £1.2 billion including an implicit reinvestment margin of £0.2 billion) against the risk of default on our riskier mortgages. For the UKL (CPF and Healthcare) mortgages with an LTV of greater 100% there was negative equity at FY13 of £0.9 billion compared with the value of the underlying properties. The provision of £1.3 billion therefore would be available to contribute to this amount.

The valuation allowance (including supplementary allowances) of £1.3 billion made in the UK Life business for commercial mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages, held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited and carried at fair value equates to 124bps at 31 December 2013 (FY12: 89bps). The total valuation allowance held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited in respect of corporate bonds and mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages is £2.0 billion (FY12: £2.0 billion - including the implicit margin of £0.2 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and mortgage portfolio. In addition, we hold £148 million (FY12: £118 million) of impairment provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, which is carried at amortised cost.

      The UK portfolio remains well diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over assets within the borrower companies.

      If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefiting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the high recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) results in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above.

Securitised mortgage loans

Funding for the securitised residential mortgage assets (£2.2 billion) was obtained by issuing loan note securities. Of these loan notes approximately £180 million are held by group companies. The remainder is held by third parties external to Aviva. As any cash shortfall arising once all mortgages have redeemed is borne by the loan note holders, the majority of the credit risk of these mortgages is borne by third parties. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.

 

 

 

 

Page 112

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments

 





2013




Restated 2012

Financial Investments - Total

Cost/ amortised

cost

£m

Unrealised

gains

£m

Impairment

and

unrealised

losses

£m

Fair value

£m

Cost/ amortised

cost

£m

Unrealised

gains

£m

Impairment

and

unrealised

losses

£m

Fair value

£m

Debt securities

120,316

8,164

(1,675)

126,805

148,540

15,316

(2,079)

161,777

Equity securities

31,164

7,775

(1,559)

37,380

31,833

4,753

(2,273)

34,313

Other investments

29,454

2,706

(709)

31,451

27,417

1,976

(325)

29,068

Total

180,934

18,645

(3,943)

195,636

207,790

22,045

(4,677)

225,158

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

2,705

92

(122)

2,675

32,834

3,762

(181)

36,415

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

178,229

18,553

(3,821)

192,961

174,956

18,283

(4,496)

188,743

 

Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders.

The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.

      The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds and policyholder funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices.

D3.3.1 - Debt securities

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Total

2013

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

UK Government

15,710

1,710

10

17,430

Non-UK Government

32,002

10,358

1,534

43,894

Europe

30,149

6,652

1,534

38,335

North America

230

2,570

-

2,800

Asia Pacific & Other

1,623

1,136

-

2,759

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

4,186

3,752

75

8,013

Corporate convertible bonds

179

1

209

389

Other corporate bonds

22,506

20,209

6,360

49,075

Other

2,459

4,854

691

8,004

Total

77,042

40,884

8,879

126,805

Total %

60.8%

32.2%

7.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

2,138

282

-

2,420

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

74,904

40,602

8,879

124,385

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

60.2%

32.7%

7.1%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

108,107

43,588

10,082

161,777

FY12 % Restated

66.9%

26.9%

6.2%

100.0%

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Policyholders assets

2013

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

UK Government

3,272

19

-

3,291

Non-UK Government

1,215

783

-

1,998

Europe

1,046

495

-

1,541

North America

8

111

-

119

Asia Pacific & Other

161

177

-

338

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

69

173

3

245

Corporate convertible bonds

-

1

-

1

Other corporate bonds

1,182

3,959

342

5,483

Other

904

907

6

1,817

Total

6,642

5,842

351

12,835

Total %

51.8%

45.5%

2.7%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

13

3

-

16

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

6,629

5,839

351

12,819

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

51.7%

45.6%

2.7%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

14,062

2,267

165

16,494

FY12 % Restated

85.3%

13.7%

1.0%

100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Page 113

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Participating fund assets

2013

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

UK Government

8,470

1,062

-

9,532

Non-UK Government

26,255

4,072

1,367

31,694

Europe

24,613

3,438

1,367

29,418

North America

192

11

-

203

Asia Pacific & Other

1,450

623

-

2,073

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

3,534

637

54

4,225

Corporate convertible bonds

179

-

129

308

Other corporate bonds

17,865

6,682

5,741

30,288

Other

1,344

2,593

626

4,563

Total

57,647

15,046

7,917

80,610

Total %

71.5%

18.7%

9.8%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

1,890

253

-

2,143

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

55,757

14,793

7,917

78,467

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

71.0%

18.9%

10.1%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

68,999

5,087

9,490

83,576

FY12 % Restated

82.5%

6.1%

11.4%

100.0%

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Shareholder assets

2013

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

UK Government

3,968

629

10

4,607

Non-UK Government

4,532

5,503

167

10,202

Europe

4,490

2,719

167

7,376

North America

30

2,448

-

2,478

Asia Pacific & Other

12

336

-

348

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

583

2,942

18

3,543

Corporate convertible bonds

-

-

80

80

Other corporate bonds

3,459

9,568

277

13,304

Other

211

1,354

59

1,624

Total

12,753

19,996

611

33,360

Total %

38.2%

59.9%

1.9%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

235

26

-

261

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

12,518

19,970

611

33,099

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

37.8%

60.3%

1.9%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

25,046

36,234

427

61,707

FY12 % Restated

40.6%

58.7%

0.7%

100.0%

 

1.9% (FY12: 0.7%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as Fair Value Level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.

      38.2% (FY12: 40.6%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as Fair Value Level 1. This has decreased due to the reclassification of certain debt securities to Level 2 as a result of the enhanced understanding of pricing vendor methodologies for the fair value classification, partially offset by the sale of our US business where the majority of our Level 2 investments were held. Excluding assets held for sale, 37.8% of shareholder debt securities are classified as Level 1.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 114

 

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued

 


External ratings



Debt securities - Total

2013

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Government








UK Government

-

17,175

46

-

-

76

17,297

UK local authorities

-

-

-

-

-

133

133

Non-UK Government

10,968

16,083

3,173

13,104

399

167

43,894


10,968

33,258

3,219

13,104

399

376

61,324

Corporate








Public utilities

6

108

4,001

3,381

83

434

8,013

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

303

-

86

389

Other corporate bonds

4,037

7,225

16,784

13,353

1,834

5,842

49,075


4,043

7,333

20,785

17,037

1,917

6,362

57,477

Certificates of deposits

3

511

412

6

-

2

934

Structured








RMBS1 non-agency ALT A

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS1 non-agency prime

111

22

-

9

-

10

152

RMBS1 agency

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


111

22

-

9

-

10

152

CMBS2

186

86

15

48

-

1

336

ABS3

50

329

172

32

89

10

682

CDO (including CLO)4

444

-

-

-

-

-

444

ABCP5

29

-

-

-

-

5

34


709

415

187

80

89

16

1,496

Wrapped credit

-

18

293

83

34

46

474

Other

598

371

1,481

1,276

1,169

53

4,948

Total

16,432

41,928

26,377

31,595

3,608

6,865

126,805

Total %

13.0%

33.1%

20.8%

24.9%

2.8%

5.4%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

7

10

140

2,212

35

16

2,420

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

16,425

41,918

26,237

29,383

3,573

6,849

124,385

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

13.2%

33.7%

21.1%

23.6%

2.9%

5.5%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

39,467

27,401

38,594

41,147

6,745

8,423

161,777

FY12 % Restated

24.4%

16.9%

23.9%

25.4%

4.2%

5.2%

100.0%

1    RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security.

2    CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security.

3    ABS - Asset Backed Security.

4    CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation.

5    ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 115

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued

 


External ratings



Debt securities - Policyholders assets

2013

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Government








UK Government

-

3,290

1

-

-

-

3,291

UK local authorities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Non-UK Government

426

183

797

528

30

34

1,998


426

3,473

798

528

30

34

5,289

Corporate








Public utilities

-

13

124

85

4

19

245

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

-

-

1

1

Other corporate bonds

83

516

2,256

1,329

424

875

5,483


83

529

2,380

1,414

428

895

5,729

Certificates of deposits

-

409

281

4

-

2

696

Structured








RMBS1 non-agency ALT A

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS1 non-agency prime

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS1 agency

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

-

-

-

CMBS2

3

-

-

2

-

-

5

ABS3

-

6

9

-

-

-

15

CDO (including CLO)4

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

ABCP5

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


3

6

9

2

-

-

20

Wrapped credit

-

-

8

3

-

-

11

Other

133

82

326

281

257

11

1,090

Total

645

4,499

3,802

2,232

715

942

12,835

Total %

5.0%

35.0%

29.6%

17.4%

5.6%

7.4%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

6

-

3

7

-

-

16

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

639

4,499

3,799

2,225

715

942

12,819

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

5.0%

35.1%

29.6%

17.4%

5.6%

7.3%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

5,205

1,389

4,710

3,704

999

487

16,494

FY12 % Restated

31.5%

8.4%

28.6%

22.4%

6.1%

3.0%

100.0%

 

 

 

 

Page 116

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued

 


External ratings



Debt securities - Participating fund assets

2013

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Government








UK Government

-

9,523

-

-

-

9

9,532

UK local authorities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Non-UK Government

6,255

12,459

1,505

10,993

351

131

31,694


6,255

21,982

1,505

10,993

351

140

41,226

Corporate








Public utilities

-

59

1,567

2,320

79

200

4,225

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

300

-

8

308

Other corporate bonds

2,972

5,374

9,399

8,676

1,119

2,748

30,288


2,972

5,433

10,966

11,296

1,198

2,956

34,821

Certificates of deposits

-

37

75

2

-

-

114

Structured








RMBS1 non-agency ALT A

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS1 non-agency prime

39

-

-

9

-

-

48

RMBS1 agency

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


39

-

-

9

-

-

48

CMBS2

70

35

9

31

-

1

146

ABS3

18

29

66

17

28

-

158

CDO (including CLO)4

444

-

-

-

-

-

444

ABCP5

7

-

-

-

-

-

7


539

64

75

48

28

1

755

Wrapped credit

-

13

42

20

-

-

75

Other

431

267

1,070

921

844

38

3,571

Total

10,236

27,796

13,733

23,289

2,421

3,135

80,610

Total %

12.7%

34.5%

17.0%

28.9%

3.0%

3.9%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

10

131

1,958

30

14

2,143

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

10,236

27,786

13,602

21,331

2,391

3,121

78,467

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

13.1%

35.4%

17.3%

27.2%

3.0%

4.0%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

21,974

17,135

16,104

22,019

3,822

2,522

83,576

FY12 % Restated

26.3%

20.5%

19.3%

26.3%

4.6%

3.0%

100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Page 117

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued

 


External ratings



Debt securities - Shareholder assets

2013

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Government








UK Government

-

4,362

45

-

-

67

4,474

UK local authorities

-

-

-

-

-

133

133

Non-UK Government

4,287

3,441

871

1,583

18

2

10,202


4,287

7,803

916

1,583

18

202

14,809

Corporate








Public utilities

6

36

2,310

976

-

215

3,543

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

3

-

77

80

Other corporate bonds

982

1,335

5,129

3,348

291

2,219

13,304


988

1,371

7,439

4,327

291

2,511

16,927

Certificates of deposits

3

65

56

-

-

-

124

Structured








RMBS1 non-agency ALT A

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS1 non-agency prime

72

22

-

-

-

10

104

RMBS1 agency

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


72

22

-

-

-

10

104

CMBS2

113

51

6

15

-

-

185

ABS3

32

294

97

15

61

10

509

CDO (including CLO)4

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

ABCP5

22

-

-

-

-

5

27


167

345

103

30

61

15

721

Wrapped credit

-

5

243

60

34

46

388

Other

34

22

85

74

68

4

287

Total

5,551

9,633

8,842

6,074

472

2,788

33,360

Total %

16.6%

28.9%

26.5%

18.2%

1.4%

8.4%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

1

-

6

247

5

2

261

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

5,550

9,633

8,836

5,827

467

2,786

33,099

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

16.8%

29.1%

26.7%

17.6%

1.4%

8.4%

100.0%

FY12 Restated

12,288

8,877

17,780

15,424

1,924

5,414

61,707

FY12 % Restated

19.9%

14.4%

28.8%

25.0%

3.1%

8.8%

100.0%

 

The overall quality of the book remains strong, despite the continuing downgrade activity by the major rating agencies during the period. 44% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (FY12: 25%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 51% (FY12: 66%) of total shareholder debt securities.

      The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the UK.

      At 31 December 2013, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade remained stable at 90.2%

(FY12: 88.1%). The remaining 9.8% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:

n 1.4% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade;

n 8.4% are not rated by the major rating agencies.

 

Of the securities not rated by an external agency most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.4 billion of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.

      The Group has extremely limited exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.

      Asset backed securities (ABS) are held primarily by our UK Life business (£496 million). 86.1% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade. ABS that either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represent approximately 0.2% of shareholder exposure to debt securities.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 118

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.2 - Equity securities

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Total assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

3,716

-

-

3,716

3,696

-

-

3,696

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

7,536

88

383

8,007

7,150

72

415

7,637

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

25,186

14

60

25,260

22,327

158

58

22,543

Non-redeemable preferred shares

397

-

-

397

437

-

-

437

Total

36,835

102

443

37,380

33,610

230

473

34,313

Total %

98.5%

0.3%

1.2%

100.0%

98.0%

0.7%

1.3%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

52

-

2

54

1,068

180

-

1,248

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

36,783

102

441

37,326

32,542

50

473

33,065

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

98.5%

0.3%

1.2%

100.0%

98.4%

0.2%

1.4%

100.0%

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Policyholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

2,727

-

-

2,727

2,575

-

-

2,575

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

4,982

57

1

5,040

3,991

-

2

3,993

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

17,967

-

2

17,969

15,852

137

1

15,990

Non-redeemable preferred shares

100

-

-

100

90

-

-

90

Total

25,776

57

3

25,836

22,508

137

3

22,648

Total %

99.8%

0.2%

0.0%

100.0%

99.4%

0.6%

0.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

2

-

-

2

1,057

119

-

1,176

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

25,774

57

3

25,834

21,451

18

3

21,472

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

99.8%

0.2%

0.0%

100.0%

99.9%

0.1%

0.0%

100.0%

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Participating fund assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

985

-

-

985

1,103

-

-

1,103

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

2,392

30

88

2,510

2,515

-

86

2,601

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

6,977

14

44

7,035

6,363

21

45

6,429

Non-redeemable preferred shares

14

-

-

14

24

-

-

24

Total

10,368

44

132

10,544

10,005

21

131

10,157

Total %

98.3%

0.4%

1.3%

100.0%

98.5%

0.2%

1.3%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

49

-

-

49

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

10,319

44

132

10,495

10,005

21

131

10,157

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

98.3%

0.4%

1.3%

100.0%

98.5%

0.2%

1.3%

100.0%

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

4

-

-

4

18

-

-

18

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

162

1

294

457

644

72

327

1,043

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

242

-

14

256

112

-

12

124

Non-redeemable preferred shares

283

-

-

283

323

-

-

323

Total

691

1

308

1,000

1,097

72

339

1,508

Total %

69.1%

0.1%

30.8%

100.0%

72.7%

4.8%

22.5%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

1

-

2

3

11

61

-

72

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

690

1

306

997

1,086

11

339

1,436

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

69.2%

0.1%

30.7%

100.0%

75.6%

0.8%

23.6%

100.0%

 

69.1% of our shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as Level 1 (FY12: 72.7%). The decrease in Level 1 shareholder equity securities reflects the sale of our holding in Delta Lloyd during the year. Excluding assets of operations classified as held for sale, 69.2% of shareholder exposure is to equities that are Level 1 (FY12: 75.6%).

      Shareholder investments include a strategic holding in Italian banks of £258 million (£132 million, net of any non-controlling interest share in the Group companies that own the investments).

 

 

 

 

 

Page 119

 

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.3 - Other investments

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Total

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

22,939

3,288

2,379

28,606

19,170

3,709

2,703

25,582

Derivative financial instruments

222

729

107

1,058

340

1,203

47

1,590

Deposits with credit institutions

590

11

-

601

702

11

26

739

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

255

541

796

-

727

-

727

Other

381

-

9

390

321

-

109

430

Total

24,132

4,283

3,036

31,451

20,533

5,650

2,885

29,068

Total %

76.7%

13.6%

9.7%

100.0%

70.6%

19.4%

10.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

55

-

146

201

445

709

396

1,550

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

24,077

4,283

2,890

31,250

20,088

4,941

2,489

27,518

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

77.0%

13.7%

9.3%

100.0%

73.0%

18.0%

9.0%

100.0%

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Policyholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

22,713

3,108

3

25,824

18,909

3,423

56

22,388

Derivative financial instruments

20

5

-

25

34

7

-

41

Deposits with credit institutions

401

-

-

401

515

-

-

515

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

-

-

-

-

6

-

6

Other

313

-

-

313

311

-

-

311

Total

23,447

3,113

3

26,563

19,769

3,436

56

23,261

Total %

88.3%

11.7%

0.0%

100.0%

85.0%

14.8%

0.2%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

12

-

-

12

206

51

-

257

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

23,435

3,113

3

26,551

19,563

3,385

56

23,004

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

88.3%

11.7%

0.0%

100.0%

85.0%

14.8%

0.2%

100.0%

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Participating fund assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

1

167

2,243

2,411

-

264

2,231

2,495

Derivative financial instruments

182

407

97

686

132

300

-

432

Deposits with credit institutions

40

-

-

40

44

-

-

44

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

241

438

679

-

605

-

605

Other

58

-

6

64

-

-

62

62

Total

281

815

2,784

3,880

176

1,169

2,293

3,638

Total %

7.2%

21.0%

71.8%

100.0%

4.9%

32.1%

63.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

6

-

124

130

70

-

-

70

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

275

815

2,660

3,750

106

1,169

2,293

3,568

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

7.3%

21.7%

71.0%

100.0%

3.0%

32.8%

64.2%

100.0%

 





2013




Restated 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Shareholders assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

225

13

133

371

261

22

416

699

Derivative financial instruments

20

317

10

347

174

896

47

1,117

Deposits with credit institutions

149

11

-

160

143

11

26

180

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

14

103

117

-

116

-

116

Other

10

-

3

13

10

-

47

57

Total

404

355

249

1,008

588

1,045

536

2,169

Total %

40.1%

35.2%

24.7%

100.0%

27.1%

48.2%

24.7%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

37

-

22

59

169

658

396

1,223

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

367

355

227

949

419

387

140

946

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

38.7%

37.4%

23.9%

100.0%

44.3%

40.9%

14.8%

100.0%

 

In total 75.3% (FY12: 75.3%) of shareholder other investments are classified as Level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy. The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets, which can include cash equivalents, debt, equity and property securities.

 

 

 

 

Page 120

 

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses

The total impairment expense for 2013 for AFS debt securities was £12 million (FY12: £12 million). The total AFS impairment expense relates to corporate bonds that are not yet in default but showed continued deterioration in market value from the previous impairment value.

      Total unrealised losses on AFS debt securities, equity securities and other investments at 31 December 2013 were £8 million (FY12: £74 million), £nil (FY12: £nil) and £nil (FY12: £5 million) respectively

  

  We have not recognised an impairment charge in respect of these unrealised losses as we believe the decline in fair value of

 

these securities, relative to their amortised cost, to be temporary.


0 - 6 months

 7 - 12 months

more than 12

 

months

Total

2013

Fair value1

 

 

£m

Gross

 

unrealised

 

£m

Fair value1

 

 

£m

Gross

 

unrealised

 

£m

Fair value1

 

 

£m

Gross

 

unrealised

 

£m

Fair value1

 

 

£m

Gross

 

unrealised

 

£m

Less than 20% loss position:









Debt securities

25

-

9

-

279

(6)

313

(6)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

3

-

3

-


25

-

9

-

282

(6)

316

(6)

20%-50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

3

(2)

3

(2)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

3

(2)

3

(2)

Greater than 50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total









Debt securities

25

-

9

-

282

(8)

316

(8)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

3

-

3

-


25

-

9

-

285

(8)

319

(8)

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

25

-

9

-

285

(8)

319

(8)

1    Only includes AFS securities that are in unrealised loss positions.

 


0 - 6 months

 7 - 12 months

more than 12 months

Total

2012

Fair value1

£m

Gross

unrealised

£m

Fair value1

£m

Gross

unrealised

£m

Fair value1

£m

Gross

unrealised

£m

Fair value1

£m

Gross

unrealised

£m

Less than 20% loss position:









Debt securities

2,006

(14)

53

(3)

534

(11)

2,593

(28)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

2

-

2

-

Other investments

8

-

8

-

20

(3)

36

(3)


 2,014

 (14)

 61

 (3)

 556

 (14)

 2,631

 (31)

20%-50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

70

(34)

70

(34)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

2

(1)

2

(1)

4

(2)


-

-

 2

 (1)

 72

 (35)

 74

 (36)

Greater than 50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

7

(12)

7

(12)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

 7

 (12)

 7

 (12)

Total









Debt securities

2,006

(14)

53

(3)

611

(57)

2,670

(74)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

2

-

2

-

Other investments

8

-

10

(1)

22

(4)

40

(5)


 2,014

 (14)

 63

 (4)

 635

 (61)

 2,712

 (79)

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

2,014

(14)

63

(4)

231

(58)

2,308

(76)

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

-

-

-

404

(3)

404

(3)

1    Only includes AFS securities that are in unrealised loss positions.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 121

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries

Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are valued on a mark to market basis under IAS 39, and therefore our statement of financial position and income statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

      Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder and participating fund asset exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £4.9 billion (FY12: £4.9 billion). Gross of non-controlling interests, 96% of our shareholder asset exposure to Italy arises from the investment exposure of our Italian business.

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Participating

Shareholder

Total


2013

£bn

2012

£bn

2013

£bn

2012

£bn

2013

£bn

2012

£bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.4

0.4

-

-

0.4

0.4

Portugal

0.2

0.3

-

-

0.2

0.3

Italy

4.5

4.5

0.4

0.4

4.9

4.9

Spain

0.9

0.9

0.5

0.5

1.4

1.4

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

6.0

6.1

0.9

0.9

6.9

7.0

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Participating

Shareholder

Total


2013

£bn

2012

£bn

2013

£bn

2012

£bn

2013

£bn

2012

£bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.4

0.4

-

-

0.4

0.4

Portugal

0.2

0.3

-

-

0.2

0.3

Italy

8.5

8.5

0.6

0.6

9.1

9.1

Spain

1.4

1.3

0.9

0.9

2.3

2.2

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

10.5

10.5

1.5

1.5

12.0

12.0

 

 

 

 

 

Page 122

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.6 - Non UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests)

 


Policyholder

Participating

Shareholder

Total

Non UK Government Debt Securities

2013

£m

Restated 2012

£m

2013

£m

Restated 2012

£m

2013

£m

2012

£m

2013

£m

Restated 2012

£m

9

14

636

634

133

123

778

771

Belgium

29

45

1,475

1,342

154

172

1,658

1,559

France

108

189

9,714

9,073

1,909

1,944

11,731

11,206

Germany

146

217

1,922

2,390

763

957

2,831

3,564

Greece

-

-

1

-

-

-

1

-

Ireland

21

35

364

363

28

26

413

424

Italy

255

263

8,458

8,518

628

617

9,341

9,398

Netherlands

43

65

1,222

1,194

399

228

1,664

1,487

Poland

649

673

885

1,015

490

445

2,024

2,133

Portugal

-

-

187

257

-

-

187

257

Spain

101

36

1,355

1,317

930

854

2,386

2,207

European Supranational debt

89

136

2,612

2,928

1,583

1,470

4,284

4,534

Other European countries

91

238

587

646

359

421

1,037

1,305

Europe

1,541

1,911

29,418

29,677

7,376

7,257

38,335

38,845










Canada

7

18

171

195

2,198

2,517

2,376

2,730

United States

112

131

32

40

280

1,665

424

1,836

North America

119

149

203

235

2,478

4,182

2,800

4,566










Singapore

8

7

450

453

288

276

746

736

Sri Lanka

1

1

7

3

-

-

8

4

Other

329

625

1,616

1,291

60

393

2,005

2,309

Asia Pacific and other

338

633

2,073

1,747

348

669

2,759

3,049

Total

1,998

2,693

31,694

31,659

10,202

12,108

43,894

46,460

Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale

13

197

1,649

556

201

2,274

1,863

3,027

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

1,985

2,496

30,045

31,103

10,001

9,834

42,031

43,433

 

At 31 December 2013, the Group's total non-UK government debt securities stood at £43.9 billion (FY12: £46.5 billion), a decrease of £2.6 billion. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

      Our direct shareholder asset exposure to non-UK government debt securities amounts to £10.2 billion (FY12: £12.1 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total shareholder non-UK government debt exposure, are to Canadian (22%), French (19%), Spanish (9%), German (7%) and Italian (6%) government debt securities.

      The participating funds exposure to non-UK government debt amounts to £31.7 billion (FY12: £31.7 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total non-UK government debt exposures included within our participating funds, are to the government debt securities of France (31%), Italy (27%), Germany (6%), Belgium (5%), Spain (4%) and Netherlands (4%).

 

 

 

 

 

Page 123

 

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.7 - Exposure to worldwide bank debt securities

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

 

2013

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Austria

-

-

-

0.2

-

0.2

France

0.2

-

0.2

3.4

0.9

4.3

Germany

-

-

-

0.5

0.5

1.0

Italy

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.1

0.4

Netherlands

0.2

0.2

0.4

1.8

0.1

1.9

Spain

0.8

0.1

0.9

0.9

0.1

1.0

United Kingdom

0.6

0.3

0.9

0.7

0.9

1.6

United States

0.5

0.1

0.6

1.0

0.1

1.1

Other

0.4

0.3

0.7

1.7

0.5

2.2

Total

2.8

1.1

3.9

10.5

3.2

13.7

Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

2.8

1.1

3.9

10.5

3.2

13.7

FY12 Total

4.2

2.3

6.5

11.7

3.9

15.6

 

Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £3.9 billion. The reduction from 2012 is principally driven by the disposal of our US business during 2013. The majority of our holding (72%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to Spanish (23%), UK (23%) and US (15%) banks.

      Net of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £13.7 billion. The majority of the exposure (77%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (31%), Dutch (14%) and UK (12%) banks.

 

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

 

2013

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Austria

-

-

-

0.2

-

0.2

France

0.2

-

0.2

3.8

0.9

4.7

Germany

0.1

-

0.1

0.6

0.5

1.1

Italy

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.7

0.1

0.8

Netherlands

0.2

0.2

0.4

1.8

0.2

2.0

Spain

1.1

0.1

1.2

1.2

0.1

1.3

United Kingdom

0.6

0.3

0.9

0.8

1.0

1.8

United States

0.5

0.2

0.7

1.0

0.1

1.1

Other

0.5

0.3

0.8

2.0

0.6

2.6

Total

3.3

1.2

4.5

12.1

3.5

15.6

Less: assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

3.3

1.2

4.5

12.1

3.5

15.6

FY12 Total

4.9

2.4

7.3

13.3

4.4

17.7

 

Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £4.5 billion. The majority of our holding (73%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to Spanish (27%), UK (20%) and US (16%) banks.

      Gross of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £15.6 billion. The majority of the exposure (78%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (30%), Dutch (13%) and UK (12%) banks.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 124

 

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.4 - Reinsurance assets

The Group assumes and cedes reinsurance in the normal course of business, with retention limits varying by line of business. Reinsurance assets primarily include balances due from both insurance and reinsurance companies for ceded insurance liabilities. Amounts recoverable from reinsurers are estimated in a manner consistent with the outstanding claims provisions or settled claims associated with the reinsured policies and in accordance with the relevant reinsurance contract.

      If a reinsurance asset is impaired, the Group reduces the carrying amount accordingly and recognises that impairment loss in the income statement. A reinsurance asset is impaired if there is objective evidence, as a result of an event that occurred after initial recognition of the reinsurance asset, that the Group may not receive all amounts due to it under the terms of the contract, and the event has a reliably measurable impact on the amounts that the Group will receive from the reinsurer.

      For the table below, reinsurance asset credit ratings are stated in accordance with information from leading rating agencies.

 


Financial assets that are past due but not impaired



Arrears

2013

Neither past

due nor

impaired

£m

0-3 months

£m

3-6 months

£m

6 months - 1

year

£m

Greater than

1 year

£m

Financial

assets that

have been

impaired

£m

Total

£m

Policyholders assets

2,043

-

-

-

-

-

2,043

Participating fund assets

628

-

-

-

-

-

628

Shareholder assets

4,586

-

-

-

-

-

4,586

Total

7,257

-

-

-

-

-

7,257

Total %

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

37

-

-

-

-

-

37

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

7,220

-

-

-

-

-

7,220

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

100.0%

FY 2012

7,567

-

-

-

-

-

7,567

FY 2012 %

100.0%

-

-

-

-

-

100.0%

 


Ratings



Ratings

2013

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than

BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Policyholders assets

-

10

1,608

43

-

382

2,043

Participating fund assets

-

194

433

-

-

1

628

Shareholder assets

25

3,684

650

35

6

186

4,586

Total

25

3,888

2,691

78

6

569

7,257

Total %

0.3%

53.6%

37.1%

1.1%

0.1%

7.8%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

17

-

9

-

11

37

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

25

3,871

2,691

69

6

558

7,220

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

0.3%

53.6%

37.3%

1.0%

0.1%

7.7%

100.0%

FY 2012

28

4,795

2,281

56

5

402

7,567

FY 2012 %

0.4%

63.4%

30.1%

0.7%

0.1%

5.3%

100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 125

 

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.5 - Receivables and other financial assets

 


Financial assets that are past due but not impaired



Arrears

2013

Neither past due nor impaired

£m

0-3 months

£m

3-6 months

£m

6 months - 1 year

£m

Greater than 1 year

£m

Financial assets that have
 been impaired

£m

Total

£m

Policyholders assets

227

29

-

1

1

-

258

Participating fund assets

2,031

1

-

1

-

-

2,033

Shareholder assets

4,753

26

26

16

21

4

4,846

Total

7,011

56

26

18

22

4

7,137

Total %

98.2%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.3%

0.1%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

77

-

-

-

-

-

77

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

6,934

56

26

18

22

4

7,060

Total % (excluding held for sale)

98.2%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.3%

0.1%

100.0%

FY 2012 Restated

7,790

46

13

14

26

-

7,889

FY 2012 % Restated

98.7%

0.6%

0.2%

0.2%

0.3%

0.0%

100.0%

 

Credit terms vary from subsidiary to subsidiary, and from country to country, and are set locally within overall credit limits prescribed by the Group credit limit framework, and in line with the Group Credit Policy.

      The credit quality of receivables and other financial assets is managed at the local business unit level. Where assets classed as 'past due and impaired' exceed local credit limits, and are also deemed at sufficiently high risk of default, an analysis of the asset is performed and a decision is made whether to seek sufficient collateral from the counterparty or to write down the value of the asset as impaired.

      The Group reviews the carrying value of its receivables at each reporting period. If the carrying value of a receivable or other financial asset is greater than the recoverable amount, the carrying value is reduced through a charge to the income statement in the period of impairment.

D3.6 - Cash and cash equivalents

Cash and cash equivalents consist of cash at banks and in hand, deposits held at call with banks, treasury bills and other short-term highly liquid investments that are readily convertible to known amounts of cash and which are subject to an insignificant risk of change in value. Such investments are normally those with less than three months maturity from the date of acquisition, and include certificates of deposit with maturities of less than three months at date of issue.

D4 - Pension fund assets

In addition to the assets recognised directly on the Group's statement of financial position outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the "Scheme assets" that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension surplus. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the Group's consolidated statement of financial position.

 

Total scheme assets are comprised in the UK, Ireland and Canada as follows:

 


2013

2012


UK
£m

Ireland
£m

Canada
£m

Total
£m

UK
£m

Ireland
£m

Canada
£m

Total
£m









Fixed interest government

1,500

139

69

1,708

1,601

130

76

1,807

Fixed interest corporate

2,776

10

60

2,846

2,595

14

45

2,654

Index-linked

4,502

112

-

4,614

4,492

116

-

4,608

Equities

900

99

81

1,080

909

87

92

1,088

Property

1,074

13

-

1,087

914

12

-

926

Cash

518

1

21

540

514

44

13

571

 Derivatives

225

55

-

280

386

1

-

387

Other1

239

2

2

243

236

2

2

240

Total fair value of assets

11,734

431

233

12,398

11,647

406

228

12,281

1    £179 million of transferrable insurance policies with other Group companies in the UK, previously disclosed within bonds, has been to reclassified to other assets for 2012.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 126

 

 

D4 - Pension fund assets continued

Total scheme assets are analysed by those that have a quoted price in an active market and those that do not as follows:

 


2013

2012


Total
Quoted
£m

Total
Unquoted
£m

Total
£m

Total
Quoted
£m

Total
Unquoted
£m

Total
£m

Bonds1







Fixed interest government

808

900

1,708

1,566

241

1,807

Fixed interest corporate

10

2,836

2,846

7

2,647

2,654

Index-linked

3,864

750

4,614

2,698

1,910

4,608

Equities

409

671

1,080

484

604

1,088

   Property

-

1,087

1,087

-

926

926

   Cash

540

-

540

571

-

571

   Derivatives

88

192

280

15

372

387

   Other 1

-

243

243

-

240

240

Total fair value of assets

5,719

6,679

12,398

5,341

6,940

12,281

1    £179 million of transferrable insurance policies with other Group companies in the UK, previously disclosed within bonds, has been  reclassified to other assets for 2012.

Risk management and asset allocation strategy

The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a portfolio, consisting primarily (nearly 75%) of debt securities. The investment strategy will continue to evolve over time and is expected to match to the liability profile increasingly closely.

Main UK Scheme

The Company works closely with the trustee, who is required to consult it on the investment strategy.

      Interest rate and inflation risks are managed using a combination of liability-matching assets and swaps. Exposure to equity risk has been reducing over time and credit risk is managed within risk appetite. Currency risk is relatively small and is largely hedged. The other principal risk is longevity risk. On 5 March 2014, ASPS entered into a longevity swap covering approximately £5 billion of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities. The swap transfers longevity risk to three external reinsurers.

Other schemes

The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.

      Refer to Note B16 for details on the movements in the main schemes' surpluses and deficits.

D5 - Available funds

To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains £1.5 billion of undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks, £0.75 billion of which is allocated to support the credit ratings of Aviva plc's commercial paper programmes. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:

 

2013

2013

£m

2012

£m

Expiring within one year

400

420

Expiring beyond one year

1,100

1,725

Total

1,500

2,145

D6 - Guarantees

As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.

      For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.

      In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).

 

 

 

 

 

Page 127

 

 

VNB & Sales analysis

 

 

In this section

Page

E1    Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) - cumulative

128

E2    Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) - discrete

128

E3    Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) - cumulative

129

E4    Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) - discrete

129

E5    Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) - cumulative

130

E6    Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) - discrete

130

E7    Trend analysis of investment sales (continuing operations) - cumulative

131

E8    Trend analysis of investment sales (continuing operations) - discrete

131

E9    Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - life and pension sales

131

E10  Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

131

E11  Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

132

E12  Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

132

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 128

 

 

 

E1 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 











Growth on

4Q12 YTD

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

1Q12 YTD £m

2Q12 YTD £m

3Q12 YTD £m

4Q12 YTD £m

1Q13 YTD £m

2Q13 YTD £m

3Q13 YTD £m

4Q13 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

United Kingdom

81

182

288

420

108

211

302

435

4%

4%

Ireland

(2)

(6)

(11)

(8)

(1)

1

2

6

175%

167%

United Kingdom & Ireland

79

176

277

412

107

212

304

441

7%

7%

France

35

62

84

119

39

86

112

166

39%

34%

Poland

10

18

23

35

10

21

34

51

46%

42%

Italy

9

14

19

29

4

6

7

15

(48)%

(50)%

Spain

14

21

32

56

5

13

19

33

(41)%

(43)%

Turkey

6

13

20

30

10

20

28

37

23%

28%

Other Europe

-

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

(50)%

(50)%

Europe

74

130

180

271

69

147

201

303

12%

9%

Asia - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

14

29

46

55

19

41

66

91

65%

65%

Value of new business - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

167

335

503

738

195

400

571

835

13%

12%

Malaysia & Sri Lanka

2

8

8

8

1

1

1

1

(88)%

(89)%

Total value of new business

169

343

511

746

196

401

572

836

12%

11%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

E2 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - discrete

 











Growth on

4Q12

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

1Q12 Discrete
£m

2Q12 Discrete
£m

3Q12 Discrete
£m

4Q12 Discrete
£m

1Q13 Discrete
£m

2Q13 Discrete
£m

3Q13 Discrete
£m

4Q13 Discrete
£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

United Kingdom

81

101

106

132

108

103

91

133

1%

1%

Ireland

(2)

(4)

(5)

3

(1)

2

1

4

33%

29%

United Kingdom & Ireland

79

97

101

135

107

105

92

137

1%

1%

France

35

27

22

35

39

47

26

54

54%

48%

Poland

10

8

5

12

10

11

13

17

42%

36%

Italy

9

5

5

10

4

2

1

8

(20)%

(23)%

Spain

14

7

11

24

5

8

6

14

(42)%

(44)%

Turkey

6

7

7

10

10

10

8

9

(10)%

(6)%

Other Europe

-

2

-

-

1

-

-

-

-

-

Europe

74

56

50

91

69

78

54

102

12%

9%

Asia - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

14

15

17

9

19

22

25

25

178%

172%

Value of new business - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

167

168

168

235

195

205

171

264

12%

11%

Malaysia & Sri Lanka

2

6

-

-

1

-

-

-

-

-

Total value of new business

169

174

168

235

196

205

171

264

12%

11%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

 

 

 

 

Page 129

 

 

E3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 











Growth on 4Q12 YTD

Present value of new business premiums2

1Q12 YTD £m

2Q12 YTD £m

3Q12 YTD £m

4Q12 YTD £m

1Q13 YTD £m

2Q13 YTD £m

3Q13 YTD £m

4Q13 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

Life and pensions business











United Kingdom

2,430

5,387

8,002

10,410

2,336

4,441

6,657

9,379

(10)%

(10)%

Ireland

199

342

469

632

117

225

338

469

(26)%

(29)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

5,729

8,471

11,042

2,453

4,666

6,995

9,848

(11)%

(11)%

France

1,092

1,944

2,671

3,638

1,245

2,373

3,382

4,509

24%

19%

Poland

107

201

274

373

123

227

358

486

30%

25%

Italy

673

1,259

1,603

1,971

614

1,305

1,751

2,235

13%

9%

Spain

402

705

934

1,295

375

641

813

1,224

(5)%

(9)%

Turkey

68

141

212

312

135

253

341

524

68%

76%

Other Europe

56

108

132

158

20

20

20

20

(87)%

(87)%

Europe

2,398

4,358

5,826

7,747

2,512

4,819

6,665

8,998

16%

12%

Asia - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

418

854

1,287

1,673

472

845

1,243

1,628

(3)%

(4)%

Other business3

13

30

79

92

4

7

28

58

(37)%

(37)%

Total life and pensions sales - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

5,458

10,971

15,663

20,554

5,441

10,337

14,931

20,532

-

(2)%

Malaysia & Sri Lanka

24

59

80

92

16

16

16

16

(83)%

(82)%

Total life and pensions sales

5,482

11,030

15,743

20,646

5,457

10,353

14,947

20,548

-

(2)%

Investment sales4

949

1,934

3,400

4,586

1,134

2,498

3,718

4,875

6%

4%

Total long-term savings sales

6,431

12,964

19,143

25,232

6,591

12,851

18,665

25,423

1%

(1)%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.

4    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

E4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - discrete

 











Growth on 4Q12

Present value of new business premiums2

1Q12 Discrete
£m

2Q12 Discrete
£m

3Q12 Discrete
£m

4Q12 Discrete
£m

1Q13 Discrete
£m

2Q13 Discrete
£m

3Q13 Discrete
£m

4Q13 Discrete
 £m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

Life and pensions business











United Kingdom

2,430

2,957

2,615

2,408

2,336

2,105

2,216

2,722

13%

13%

Ireland

199

143

127

163

117

108

113

131

(20)%

(23)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

3,100

2,742

2,571

2,453

2,213

2,329

2,853

11%

11%

France

1,092

852

727

967

1,245

1,128

1,009

1,127

17%

12%

Poland

107

94

73

99

123

104

131

128

29%

24%

Italy

673

586

344

368

614

691

446

484

32%

26%

Spain

402

303

229

361

375

266

172

411

14%

9%

Turkey

68

73

71

100

135

118

88

183

83%

91%

Other Europe

56

52

24

26

20

-

-

-

(100)%

(100)%

Europe

2,398

1,960

1,468

1,921

2,512

2,307

1,846

2,333

21%

17%

Asia - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

418

436

433

386

472

373

398

385

-

(2)%

Other business3

13

17

49

13

4

3

21

30

131%

131%

Total life and pensions sales - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

5,458

5,513

4,692

4,891

5,441

4,896

4,594

5,601

15%

13%

Malaysia & Sri Lanka

24

35

21

12

16

-

-

-

(100)%

(100)%

Total life and pensions sales

5,482

5,548

4,713

4,903

5,457

4,896

4,594

5,601

14%

12%

Investment sales4

949

985

1,466

1,186

1,134

1,364

1,220

1,157

(2)%

(4)%

Total long-term savings sales

6,431

6,533

6,179

6,089

6,591

6,260

5,814

6,758

11%

9%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.

4    Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

 

 

 

Page 130

 

E5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 











Growth on

4Q12 YTD

Present value of new business premiums2

1Q12 YTD £m

2Q12 YTD

£m

3Q12 YTD

£m

4Q12 YTD

£m

1Q13  YTD

£m

2Q13 YTD

£m

3Q13 YTD

£m

4Q13 YTD

£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

Life and pensions business











Pensions

1,251

2,762

3,963

5,158

1,322

2,479

3,818

5,476

6%

6%

Annuities

662

1,555

2,459

3,211

630

1,217

1,664

2,327

(28)%

(28)%

Bonds

128

253

322

379

33

59

97

183

(52)%

(52)%

Protection

300

608

920

1,228

253

504

781

992

(19)%

(19)%

Equity release

89

209

338

434

98

182

297

401

(8)%

(8)%

United Kingdom

2,430

5,387

8,002

10,410

2,336

4,441

6,657

9,379

(10)%

(10)%

Ireland

199

342

469

632

117

225

338

469

(26)%

(29)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

5,729

8,471

11,042

2,453

4,666

6,995

9,848

(11)%

(11)%

Savings

1,038

1,842

2,541

3,462

1,169

2,235

3,206

4,284

24%

19%

Protection

54

102

130

176

76

138

176

225

28%

23%

France

1,092

1,944

2,671

3,638

1,245

2,373

3,382

4,509

24%

19%

Pensions

180

311

430

672

246

409

577

907

35%

34%

Savings

994

1,836

2,337

2,888

882

1,770

2,353

3,124

8%

4%

Annuities

11

18

25

39

11

17

20

29

(26)%

(29)%

Protection

121

249

363

510

128

250

333

429

(16)%

(18)%

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other

1,306

2,414

3,155

4,109

1,267

2,446

3,283

4,489

9%

6%

Europe

2,398

4,358

5,826

7,747

2,512

4,819

6,665

8,998

16%

12%

Asia - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

418

854

1,287

1,673

472

845

1,243

1,628

(3)%

(4)%

Other business3

13

30

79

92

4

7

28

58

(37)%

(37)%

Total life and pensions sales - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

5,458

10,971

15,663

20,554

5,441

10,337

14,931

20,532

-

(2)%

Malaysia & Sri Lanka

24

59

80

92

16

16

16

16

(83)%

(82)%

Total life and pensions sales

5,482

11,030

15,743

20,646

5,457

10,353

14,947

20,548

-

(2)%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.

E6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - discrete

 











Growth on

4Q12

Present value of new business premiums2

1Q12 Discrete
£m

2Q12 Discrete
£m

3Q12 Discrete
£m

4Q12 Discrete
£m

1Q13  Discrete
£m

2Q13 Discrete
£m

3Q13 Discrete
£m

4Q13 Discrete
£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

Life and pensions business











Pensions

1,251

1,511

1,201

1,195

1,322

1,157

1,339

1,658

39%

39%

Annuities

662

893

904

752

630

587

447

663

(12)%

(12)%

Bonds

128

125

69

57

33

26

38

86

51%

51%

Protection

300

308

312

308

253

251

277

211

(31)%

(31)%

Equity release

89

120

129

96

98

84

115

104

8%

8%

United Kingdom

2,430

2,957

2,615

2,408

2,336

2,105

2,216

2,722

13%

13%

Ireland

199

143

127

163

117

108

113

131

(20)%

(23)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

3,100

2,742

2,571

2,453

2,213

2,329

2,853

11%

11%

Savings

1,038

804

699

921

1,169

1,066

971

1,078

17%

12%

Protection

54

48

28

46

76

62

38

49

7%

2%

France

1,092

852

727

967

1,245

1,128

1,009

1,127

17%

12%

Pensions

180

131

119

242

246

163

168

330

36%

35%

Savings

994

842

501

551

882

888

583

771

40%

34%

Annuities

11

7

7

14

11

6

3

9

(36)%

(38)%

Protection

121

128

114

147

128

122

83

96

(35)%

(36)%

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other

1,306

1,108

741

954

1,267

1,179

837

1,206

26%

23%

Europe

2,398

1,960

1,468

1,921

2,512

2,307

1,846

2,333

21%

17%

Asia - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

418

436

433

386

472

373

398

385

-

(2)%

Other business3

13

17

49

13

4

3

21

30

131%

131%

Total life and pensions sales - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

5,458

5,513

4,692

4,891

5,441

4,896

4,594

5,601

15%

13%

Malaysia & Sri Lanka

24

35

21

12

16

-

-

-

(100)%

(100)%

Total life and pensions sales

5,482

5,548

4,713

4,903

5,457

4,896

4,594

5,601

14%

12%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 131

 

 

E7 - Trend analysis of investment sales - cumulative

 











Growth on

4Q12 YTD

Investment sales1

1Q12 YTD £m

2Q12 YTD

£m

3Q12 YTD

£m

4Q12 YTD

£m

1Q13  YTD

£m

2Q13 YTD

£m

3Q13 YTD

£m

4Q13 YTD

£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

United Kingdom & Ireland

432

823

1,269

1,730

305

841

1,494

2,040

18%

18%

Aviva Investors

479

1,043

2,038

2,727

787

1,563

2,100

2,683

(2)%

(5)%

Asia

38

68

93

129

42

94

124

152

18%

17%

Total investment sales

949

1,934

3,400

4,586

1,134

2,498

3,718

4,875

6%

4%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

E8 - Trend analysis of investment sales - discrete

 











Growth on

4Q12

Investment sales1

1Q12 Discrete
£m

2Q12 Discrete
£m

3Q12 Discrete
£m

4Q12 Discrete
£m

1Q13  Discrete
£m

2Q13 Discrete
£m

3Q13 Discrete
£m

4Q13 Discrete
£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

United Kingdom & Ireland

432

391

446

461

305

536

653

546

18%

18%

Aviva Investors

479

564

995

689

787

776

537

583

(15)%

(18)%

Asia

38

30

25

36

42

52

30

28

(22)%

(23)%

Total investment sales

949

985

1,466

1,186

1,134

1,364

1,220

1,157

(2)%

(4)%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

E9 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - life and pensions sales

 








Regular premiums



Single premiums


   2013 
£m

Local currency growth

WACF

Present value
 £m

2012 
£m

WACF

Present value £m

2013 
£m

2012 
£m

Local currency growth

United Kingdom

783

2%

5.0

3,921

771

4.9

3,793

5,458

6,617

(18)%

Ireland

26

(24)%

4.4

114

33

3.8

127

355

505

(33)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

809

-

5.0

4,035

804

4.9

3,920

5,813

7,122

(19)%

France

89

16%

8.1

723

74

7.9

584

3,786

3,054

19%

Poland

38

3%

9.0

341

36

7.3

261

145

112

25%

Italy

51

(9)%

5.5

280

54

5.9

317

1,955

1,654

13%

Spain

52

(26)%

5.6

290

67

5.6

375

934

920

(3)%

Turkey

99

68%

4.7

467

62

3.9

242

57

70

(15)%

Other Europe

4

(83)%

1.5

6

24

4.6

110

14

48

(70)%

Europe

333

3%

6.3

2,107

317

6.0

1,889

6,891

5,858

13%

Asia - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

284

6%

5.4

1,528

262

5.4

1,415

100

258

(62)%

Other

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

58

92

(37)%

Total life and pensions sales - excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka

1,426

2%

5.4

7,670

1,383

5.2

7,224

12,862

13,330

(5)%

Malaysia & Sri Lanka

2

(90)%

4.0

8

20

3.4

67

8

25

(68)%

Total life and pensions sales

1,428

1%

5.4

7,678

1,403

5.2

7,291

12,870

13,355

(6)%

E10 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 




Regular



Single

PVNBP

Investment sales1

2013                £m

2012                £m

Local

currency

growth

2013                £m

2012                £m

Local

currency

growth

Local

currency

growth

United Kingdom & Ireland

18

9

100%

2,022

1,721

17%

18%

Aviva Investors

5

5

-

2,678

2,722

(5)%

(5)%

Asia

-

-

-

152

129

17%

17%

Total investment sales

23

14

64%

4,852

4,572

4%

4%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 132

 

E11 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

 











Growth on 4Q12 YTD


1Q12 YTD £m

2Q12 YTD

£m

3Q12 YTD

£m

4Q12 YTD

£m

1Q13  YTD

£m

2Q13 YTD

£m

3Q13 YTD

£m

4Q13 YTD

£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

General insurance











United Kingdom

974

2,087

3,091

4,062

923

1,963

2,904

3,823

(6)%

(6)%

Ireland

82

174

252

326

71

146

215

278

(15)%

(18)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,056

2,261

3,343

4,388

994

2,109

3,119

4,101

(7)%

(7)%

Europe

410

726

982

1,295

435

764

1,033

1,360

5%

1%

Canada

454

1,081

1,635

2,176

470

1,126

1,718

2,250

3%

5%

Asia

6

11

17

22

3

7

11

14

(36)%

(37)%

Other

40

51

53

67

20

20

21

33

(51)%

(51)%


1,966

4,130

6,030

7,948

1,922

4,026

5,902

7,758

(2)%

(3)%

Health insurance











United Kingdom

120

255

389

528

138

289

383

536

2%

2%

Ireland

40

57

76

102

36

52

71

99

(3)%

(7)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

160

312

465

630

174

341

454

635

1%

-

Europe

83

123

161

218

89

135

179

241

11%

6%

Asia

27

50

79

98

35

47

69

86

(12)%

(11)%


270

485

705

946

298

523

702

962

2%

-

Total

2,236

4,615

6,735

8,894

2,220

4,549

6,604

8,720

(2)%

(2)%

E12 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

 











Growth on 4Q12


1Q12 Discrete
£m

2Q12 Discrete
 £m

3Q12 Discrete
£m

4Q12 Discrete
£m

1Q13  Discrete
£m

2Q13 Discrete
£m

3Q13 Discrete
£m

4Q13 Discrete
£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

General insurance











United Kingdom

974

1,113

1,004

971

923

1,040

941

919

(5)%

(5)%

Ireland

82

92

78

74

71

75

69

63

(15)%

(18)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,056

1,205

1,082

1,045

994

1,115

1,010

982

(6)%

(6)%

Europe

410

316

256

313

435

329

269

327

4%

1%

Canada

454

627

554

541

470

656

592

532

(2)%

-

Asia

6

5

6

5

3

4

4

3

(40)%

(40)%

Other

40

11

2

14

20

-

1

12

(14)%

(14)%


1,966

2,164

1,900

1,918

1,922

2,104

1,876

1,856

(3)%

(3)%

Health insurance











United Kingdom

120

135

134

139

138

151

94

153

10%

10%

Ireland

40

17

19

26

36

16

19

28

8%

3%

United Kingdom & Ireland

160

152

153

165

174

167

113

181

10%

9%

Europe

83

40

38

57

89

46

44

62

9%

4%

Asia

27

23

29

19

35

12

22

17

(11)%

(10)%


270

215

220

241

298

225

179

260

8%

6%

Total

2,236

2,379

2,120

2,159

2,220

2,329

2,055

2,116

(2)%

(2)%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

End of Part 4 of 5


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