Final Results: Part 4 of 5

RNS Number : 6194R
Aviva PLC
10 March 2016
 

Part 4 of 5

Page 93

Capital & Assets

In this section

Page

Capital and liquidity


C1

Capital performance

94

C2

Regulatory capital

97

C3

IFRS sensitivity analysis

100

 

 

 

 

Page 94

 

C1 - Capital performance

(a) Capital required to write life new business, internal rate of return and payback period

The Group generates a significant amount of capital each year which supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to set-up costs and capital requirements.

The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.

The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.

The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free, consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.

The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below:




2015



2014


Internal
rate of

return1

%

New business impact on free

surplus2

£m

Payback period

years1

Internal
rate of

return1

%

New
 business impact
on free

surplus2

£m

Payback period

years 1

United Kingdom3

31%

(37)

3

44%

(20)

3

Ireland

6%

19

11

5%

35

13

United Kingdom & Ireland

28%

(18)

4

33%

15

6

France

10%

143

8

12%

144

8

Poland

21%

30

4

23%

30

4

Italy

14%

65

6

13%

52

6

Spain

16%

17

4

16%

30

4

Other Europe

36%

16

3

44%

16

2

Europe

15%

271

7

16%

272

6

Asia4 & Other5

15%

99

14

20%

63

9

Total6

17.8%

352

7

19.9%

350

6

1    Gross of non-controlling interests.

2    Net of non-controlling interests.

3    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

4    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

5    Other includes Aviva Investors and the UK Retail Fund Management business which was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

6    IRRs, impact of new business on free surplus, and payback periods are calculated on a Solvency I basis (including allowances for Economic Capital), but not Solvency II.

 

 

 

 

Page 95

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(b) Analysis of return of equity - IFRS basis


Operating return1



2015

Before
tax
 £m

After
tax
 £m

Weighted average shareholders' funds including non-controlling

interests1

£m

Return on

equity1

 %

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

1,432

1,259

9,561

14.2%

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health2

412

332

4,217

7.9%

Europe

880

590

4,645

12.7%

Canada

214

157

928

16.9%

Asia

238

224

1,249

22.0%

Fund management

106

97

326

30.1%

Corporate and Other Business3

(254)

(303)

2,493

n/a

Return on total capital employed

3,028

2,356

23,419

10.7%

Subordinated debt

(335)

(267)

(6,240)

4.4%

Senior debt

(28)

(22)

(623)

3.5%

Return on total equity

2,665

2,067

16,556

13.3%

Less: Non-controlling interests


(152)

(1,248)

12.2%

Direct capital instrument and tier 1 notes


(57)

(952)

6.6%

Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


1,841

14,156

14.0%

1    Return on equity is based on an annualised net operating return. The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles and AVIF, other items and investment variances. Following the acquisition of Friends Life, management has changed the calculation of return on equity which is now calculated as net operating return on an IFRS basis expressed as a percentage of weighted average ordinary shareholders' equity (rather than opening ordinary shareholders' equity), with an annualisation factor of 1.33 used to gross up the Friends Life operating return.

2    The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £18 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £18 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation.

3    The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £254 million comprises corporate costs of £180 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £92 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £76 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £94 million.

 


Operating return1



2014

Restated2

 Before tax
£m

Restated2

After tax
£m

Weighted average shareholders' funds including non-controlling

interests1

£m

Restated1,2

 Return
on equity
%

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

1,049

925

5,763

16.1%

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health3

468

371

4,124

9.0%

Europe

995

682

5,263

13.0%

Canada

189

139

976

14.2%

Asia

85

71

752

9.4%

Fund management

86

58

250

23.2%

Corporate and Other Business4

(349)

(353)

(503)

n/a

Return on total capital employed

2,523

1,893

16,625

11.4%

Subordinated debt

(289)

(227)

(4,277)

5.3%

Senior debt

(21)

(16)

(748)

2.1%

Return on total equity

2,213

1,650

11,600

14.2%

Less: Non-controlling interests


(143)

(1,366)

10.5%

Direct capital instrument and tier 1 notes


(69)

(1,260)

5.5%

Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


1,421

8,774

16.2%

1    The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, other items and investment variances. Following the acquisition of Friends Life, management has changed the calculation of return on equity which is now calculated as net operating return on an IFRS basis expressed as a percentage of weighted average ordinary shareholders' equity (rather than opening ordinary shareholders' equity). Comparatives have been restated accordingly.

2    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement. The combined impact of the operating profit restatement and the change to the calculation of return on equity has decreased the FY14 return on equity shareholders funds from 17.4% to 16.2%.

3    The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £31 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £31 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation.

4    The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £349 million comprises corporate costs of £132 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £186 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £64 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £33 million.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 96

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(c) Group capital structure

The table below shows how our capital, on both an IFRS and MCEV basis, is deployed by market and how that capital is funded.




2015



2014


Capital employed

Capital employed


IFRS
basis
£m

Internally generated AVIF
£m

MCEV1

basis
£m

IFRS basis
£m

Internally generated AVIF
£m

MCEV1

basis
£m

Life business







United Kingdom & Ireland

11,088

2,076

13,164

5,668

2,681

8,349

France

2,151

1,622

3,773

2,234

1,393

3,627

Poland

305

936

1,241

318

1,059

1,377

Italy

849

388

1,237

929

351

1,280

Spain

506

209

715

557

210

767

Other Europe

72

72

144

82

77

159

Europe

3,883

3,227

7,110

4,120

3,090

7,210

Asia

1,355

338

1,693

791

358

1,149


16,326

5,641

21,967

10,579

6,129

16,708

General insurance & health







United Kingdom & Ireland

4,089

(118)

3,971

4,145

(115)

4,030

France

506

-

506

556

-

556

Italy

231

-

231

276

-

276

Other Europe

63

-

63

32

-

32

Europe

800

-

800

864

-

864

Canada

957

-

957

969

-

969

Asia

24

-

24

29

-

29


5,870

(118)

5,752

6,007

(115)

5,892

Fund Management

411

(37)

374

298

(31)

267

Corporate & Other Business2

2,537

168

2,705

702

137

839

Total capital employed

25,144

5,654

30,798

17,586

6,120

23,706

Financed by







Equity shareholders' funds

15,764

5,083

20,847

10,018

5,529

15,547

Non-controlling interests

1,145

571

1,716

1,166

591

1,757

Direct capital instrument & tier 1 notes3

1,123

-

1,123

892

-

892

Preference shares

200

-

200

200

-

200

Subordinated debt4

6,427

-

6,427

4,594

-

4,594

Senior debt

485

-

485

716

-

716

Total capital employed5

25,144

5,654

30,798

17,586

6,120

23,706

1    In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles. No allowance for the impact of Solvency II has been made as permitted by the additional guidance issued in October 2015 by the European Insurance CFO Forum.

2    'Corporate' and 'Other Business' includes centrally held tangible net assets, the main UK staff pension scheme surplus and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation, include the formal loan arrangement between Aviva Group Holdings Limited and Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). Internal capital management in place allocated a majority of the total capital of AIL to the UK general insurance operations with the remaining capital deemed to be supporting residual (non-operational) Pillar II ICA risks.

3    On 1 October 2015 Friends Life Holdings plc was replaced by Aviva plc as the issuer of the 2003 Step-up Tier one Insurance Capital Securities ('STICS') of £231 million.  Following this, these have been included within direct capital instrument & tier 1 notes.

4    Subordinated debt excludes amounts held by Group companies of £42 million.

5    Goodwill, AVIF and other intangibles are maintained within the capital base. Goodwill includes goodwill in subsidiaries of £1,955 million (FY14: £1,302 million), goodwill in joint ventures of £19 million (FY14: £25 million) and goodwill in associates of £26 million (FY14: Nil). As at FY15, AVIF and other intangibles comprise £5,731 million (FY14: £1,028 million) of intangibles in subsidiaries and £71 million (FY14: £62 million) of intangibles in joint ventures, net of deferred tax liabilities of £(814) million (FY14: £(180) million) and the non controlling interest share of intangibles of £(196) million (FY14: £(198) million).

Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt and other borrowings. At FY15 we had £25.1 billion (FY14: £17.6 billion) of total capital employed in our businesses measured on an IFRS basis and £30.8 billion (FY14: £23.7 billion) of total capital employed on an MCEV basis. The increase in capital employed is driven mainly by the acquisition of Friends Life (see Note B4).

      In June 2015 Aviva plc issued €900 million and £400 million of Lower Tier 2 subordinated debt callable in 2025 and 2030 respectively. The proceeds were used in part to repay the following instruments: £268 million STICS at first call date in July 2015; €500 million undated subordinated debt at first call date in September 2015; and £200 million debenture loans in September 2015, ahead of the June 2016 maturity.

At FY15 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interests, of £250 million), and direct capital instrument and tier 1 notes was £9,094 million (FY14: £7,511 million).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 97

C1 - Capital performance continued

(d) Equity sensitivity analysis

The sensitivity of the Group's total equity, on an IFRS basis and MCEV basis at 31 December 2015 to a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows:

31 December 2014
£bn

IFRS basis

31 December 2015
£bn

Equities
down 10%
£bn

Interest
 rates
 up 1%
£bn

0.5% increased credit
spread
£bn

10.6

Long-term savings

16.3

-

(0.2)

(0.2)

7.0

General insurance and other

8.8

-

(0.3)

0.5

(5.3)

Borrowings

(6.9)

-

-

-

12.3

Total equity

18.2

-

(0.5)

0.3

 

31 December 2014
£bn

MCEV basis

31 December 2015
 £bn

Equities down 10% £bn

Interest
 rates
 up 1%
£bn

0.5% increased credit
spread
 £bn

16.7

Long-term savings

22.0

(0.6)

(0.2)

(1.4)

7.0

General insurance and other

8.8

-

(0.3)

0.5

(5.3)

Borrowings

(6.9)

-

-

-

18.4

Total equity

23.9

(0.6)

(0.5)

(0.9)

These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability in the main UK pension scheme by £1.7 billion (before any associated tax impact).

The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for IFRS and MCEV do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The IFRS and MCEV sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.

C2 - Regulatory capital

Under the Solvency I regime effective until 31 December 2015, individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate Group level, where Aviva has a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times.

This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profits life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency I Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our business in Canada a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.

Based on individual guidance from the PRA we recognise surpluses of the non-profits funds of our UK life and pensions businesses which are available for transfer to shareholders. These have increased to £0.1 billion as at 31 December 2015 (FY14: £nil).

From 1 January 2016 EU-based insurance groups are no longer required to disclose their solvency position under the European Insurance Groups Directive, as the regulatory framework has been replaced by the new Solvency II regime. As such, after 31 December 2015 Aviva Group will no longer disclose its capital solvency surplus under the IGD rules.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 98

C2 - Regulatory capital continued

(a) Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)


UK life
funds
£bn

Other business
£bn

31 December 2015
£bn

31 December 2014
£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

11.8

10.8

22.6

14.4

Less: capital resources requirement

(11.8)

(4.8)

(16.6)

(11.2)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

6.0

6.0

3.2

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)



2.2 times

1.6 times

The IGD regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £2.8 billion since FY14 to £6.0 billion. The key drivers of the increase are the acquisition of Friends Life (£1.6 billion), operating profits (£1.6 billion) and the net issue of hybrid debt (£0.4 billion), offset by dividend payments and pension scheme funding (£0.5 billion).

      The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:


£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2014

3.2

Acquisition of Friends Life

1.6

Operating profits net of integration and restructuring costs

1.6

Net hybrid debt issue1

0.4

Dividends and appropriations

(0.3)

Pension scheme funding

(0.2)

Outward reinsurance of latent reserves2

0.2

Increase in capital resources requirement

(0.1)

Other regulatory adjustments

(0.4)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2015

6.0

1    Net hybrid debt issue includes £1 billion benefit of two new Tier 2 subordinated debt instruments issued on 4 June 2015; offset by £(0.6) billion derecognition of two instruments redeemed in the second half of 2015.

2    Outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL).

(b) Reconciliation of Group IGD capital resources to FRS 27 capital

The reconciliation below provides analysis of differences between our capital resources and the amounts included in the capital statement made in accordance with FRS 27 and disclosed within our consolidated accounts. The Group Capital Adequacy report is prepared in accordance with the PRA valuation rules and brings in capital in respect of UK life funds valued in accordance with PRA regulatory rules excluding surpluses in with-profits funds. The FRS 27 disclosure brings in the realistic value of UK life capital resources. As the two bases can differ greatly, the reconciliation below is presented by removing the restricted regulatory assets and then replacing them with the unrestricted realistic assets.


2015
£bn

Total capital and reserves (IFRS basis)

18.2

Plus: Other qualifying capital

6.2

Plus: UK unallocated divisible surplus

2.6

Less: Goodwill, acquired AVIF and intangible assets1

(7.8)

Less: Adjustments onto a regulatory basis

3.4

Group Capital Resources on regulatory basis

22.6

The Group Capital Resources can be analysed as follows:


Core Tier 1 Capital

16.0

Innovative Tier 1 Capital

1.1

Total Tier 1 Capital

17.1

Upper Tier 2 Capital

1.6

Lower Tier 2 Capital

5.1

Group Capital Resources Deductions

(1.2)

Group Capital Resources on regulatory basis (Tier 1 & Tier 2 Capital)

22.6

Less: UK life restricted regulatory assets

(12.7)

Add: UK life unrestricted realistic assets

8.1

Add: Overseas UDS2 and Shareholders' share of accrued bonus

6.2

Total FRS 27 capital

24.2

1    Includes goodwill and other intangibles of £116 million in joint ventures and associates.

2    Unallocated divisible surplus for overseas life operations is included gross of minority interest.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 99

 

C2 - Regulatory capital continued

(c) Regulatory capital - UK life with-profits funds

The available capital of the with-profits funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profits funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profits policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profits policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the four main UK with-profits funds: New With-Profits Sub-Fund (NWPSF), Old With-Profits Sub-Fund (OWPSF), With-Profits Sub-Fund (WPSF) and Friends Provident With-Profits Fund (FP WPF). Realistic balance sheet information for the five Friends Life with-profits funds that are closed to new business have been disclosed as 'Other Friends Life WPFs' including: FPLAL With-Profits Fund (FPLAL WPF), FLC New With-Profits Fund (FLC New WPF), Old With-Profits Fund (FLC Old WPF), FLAS With-Profits Fund (FLAS WPF) and WL With-Profits Fund (WL WPF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the Group's IFRS balance sheet at 31 December 2015 and 31 December 2014, with comparatives at 31 December 2014 including NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF only.







31 December 2015

31 December 2014


Estimated realistic assets
£bn

Estimated realistic

liabilities1

£bn

Estimated realistic inherited

estate2

£bn

Capital support

arrangement3

£bn

Estimated risk capital margin
£bn

Estimated excess available capital
 £bn

Estimated excess available capital
£bn

NWPSF

14.0

(14.0)

-

2.1

(0.2)

1.9

1.9

OWPSF

2.6

(2.4)

0.2

-

-

0.2

0.2

WPSF4

16.7

(15.2)

1.5

-

(0.3)

1.2

1.3

FP WPF5

7.2

(7.0)

0.2

-

(0.2)

-

-

Other Friends Life WPFs6

10.7

(10.7)

-

-

-

-

-

Aggregate

51.2

(49.3)

1.9

2.1

(0.7)

3.3

3.4

1    Realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses of £0.8 billion (FY14: £(0.2) billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses are £48.5 billion (FY14: £33.0 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.4 billion, £0.3 billion, £3.2 billion, and £0.8 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF, WPSF and FP WPF respectively (FY14: £1.4 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.0 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively).

2    Estimated realistic inherited estate at 31 December 2014 was £nil, £0.3 billion and £1.6 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.

3    The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate (RIEESA) of £2.1 billion at 31 December 2015 (FY14: £2.1 billion).

4    The WPSF fund includes the Ireland With-Profits Sub-Fund (IWPSF) and the Provident Mutual (PM) Fund which have realistic assets and liabilities of £2.4 billion in total, and therefore do not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.

5    For FP WPF the realistic inherited estate is restricted to the estimated risk capital margin with excess available capital used to enhance asset shares.

6    Includes FPLAL WPF, FLC New WPF, FLC Old WPF, FLAS WPF and WL WPF. For these funds it is assumed that the entire estimated realistic inherited estate is distributed to policyholders.

(d) Investment mix

The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the four main with-profits funds at 31 December 2015 and three main with-profits funds at 31 December 2014 was:


31 December 2015 %

31 December 2014 %

Equity

30%

24%

Property

10%

10%

Fixed interest

54%

59%

Other

6%

7%

The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profits asset shares are 75% in NWPSF and OWPSF, 72% in WPSF and 45% in FP WPF.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 100

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis

The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, Solvency II and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.

For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators and Solvency II surplus to changes in both economic and non-economic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in section F (note F10) of this report. In addition, Solvency II surplus sensitivities can be found in note 8.vi.

(a) Life insurance and investment contracts

The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under the MCEV methodology.

(b) General insurance and health business

General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.

These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years. In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.

(c) Sensitivity test results

Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health and fund management business and other operations are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.

Sensitivity factor

Description of sensitivity factor applied

Interest rate and investment return

The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities.

Credit Spreads

The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations.

Equity/property market values

The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%.

Expenses

The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%.

Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%.

Annuitant mortality (life insurance only)

The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%.

Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%.

(d) Long-term businesses

31 December 2015
Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
 rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

30

(65)

(30)

(135)

130

(25)

(10)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(75)

80

(495)

25

(25)

(155)

(115)

(725)

Investment participating

5

(5)

-

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

35

(35)

(20)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(140)

85

(65)

40

(40)

-

-

-

Total

(200)

115

(595)

(35)

30

(205)

(125)

(775)

 

31 December 2015
Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
 +1%

Interest
 rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

30

(65)

(30)

(135)

130

(25)

(10)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(75)

80

(495)

25

(25)

(155)

(115)

(725)

Investment participating

5

(5)

-

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

(5)

35

(35)

(20)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(175)

120

(70)

40

(40)

-

-

-

Total

(235)

150

(600)

(35)

30

(205)

(125)

(775)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 101

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(d) Long-term businesses continued

31 December 2014
Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
 rates
 +1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Credit
spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
 -5%

Insurance Participating

(10)

(60)

(20)

(175)

70

(25)

(5)

(45)

Insurance non-participating

(155)

130

(425)

40

(40)

(80)

(50)

(590)

Investment participating

(15)

-

(10)

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(40)

30

(10)

55

(60)

(35)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(75)

45

(60)

20

(20)

-

-

-

Total

(295)

145

(525)

(60)

(50)

(145)

(55)

(635)

 

31 December 2014
Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
 +1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Credit
spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance Participating

(10)

(60)

(20)

(175)

70

(25)

(5)

(45)

Insurance non-participating

(155)

130

(425)

40

(40)

(80)

(50)

(590)

Investment participating

(15)

-

(10)

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(40)

30

(10)

55

(60)

(35)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(115)

80

(65)

20

(20)

-

-

-

Total

(335)

180

(530)

(60)

(50)

(145)

(55)

(635)

Changes in sensitivities between 2015 and 2014 reflect inclusion of Friends Life at FY15 for the first time and movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and the relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic movements relate mainly to business in the UK. In general, a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business, due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities and relative durations of assets and liabilities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. Mortality and expense sensitivities also relate primarily to the UK.

 (e) General insurance and health businesses

31 December 2015
Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
rates
 +1%

Interest
 rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
 +5%

Gross of reinsurance

(225)

210

(130)

65

(65)

(100)

(270)

Net of reinsurance

(305)

300

(130)

65

(65)

(100)

(260)

 

31 December 2015
Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
 rates
 +1%

Interest
 rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
 +5%

Gross of reinsurance

(225)

210

(130)

70

(70)

(20)

(270)

Net of reinsurance

(305)

300

(130)

70

(70)

(20)

(260)

 

31 December 2014
Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
 rates
 +1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Credit
spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(260)

250

(130)

55

(55)

(105)

(280)

Net of reinsurance

(305)

295

(130)

55

(55)

(105)

(270)

 

31 December 2014
Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
 +1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Credit
spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(260)

250

(130)

60

(60)

(20)

(280)

Net of reinsurance

(305)

295

(130)

60

(60)

(20)

(270)

For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses, in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 102

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(f) Fund management and other operations businesses

31 December 2015
Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
 rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total

-

-

10

(30)

45

 

31 December 2015
Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
 rates
+1%

Interest
rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Total

-

-

10

(30)

45

 

31 December 2014
Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
 rates
+1%

Interest
 rates
 -1%

Credit
 spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Total

-

-

5

(15)

25

 

31 December 2014
Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
 +1%

Interest
 rates
-1%

Credit
spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total

-

-

5

(15)

25

(g) Limitations of sensitivity analysis

The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally, the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.

As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.

A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholders' equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.

Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 103

 

Analysis of assets

In this section

Page

Analysis of assets


D1

Total assets

104

D2

Total assets - Valuation bases/
fair value hierarchy

104

D3

Analysis of asset quality

107

D4

Pension fund assets

123

D5

Available funds

124

D6

Guarantees

124

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 104

 

D1 - Total assets

As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which Aviva manages its investments. In addition, to support this, Aviva also uses a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away any residual mismatch risk that is outside of the Group's risk appetite.

2015

Policyholder
 assets
£m

Participating
 fund assets
£m

Shareholder
 assets
£m

Balance
 sheet total
£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

7,686

7,686

Interests in joint ventures and associates

141

1,295

483

1,919

Property and equipment

-

214

235

449

Investment property

6,647

4,116

538

11,301

Loans

83

3,386

18,964

22,433

Financial investments





Debt securities

24,022

91,006

47,936

162,964

Equity securities

47,394

15,627

537

63,558

Other investments

39,795

5,739

2,161

47,695

Reinsurance assets

14,002

1,628

5,288

20,918

Deferred tax assets

-

-

131

131

Current tax assets

-

-

114

114

Receivables

475

1,512

4,888

6,875

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

69

639

4,353

5,061

Prepayments and accrued income

259

1,275

1,560

3,094

Cash and cash equivalents

8,705

15,319

9,652

33,676

Total

141,592

141,756

104,526

387,874

Total %

36.5%

36.6%

26.9%

100.0%

FY14

78,081

124,574

83,064

285,719

FY14 %

27.3%

43.6%

29.1%

100.0%

As at 31 December 2015, 26.9% of Aviva's total asset base was shareholder assets, 36.6% participating fund assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 36.5% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets, investment property, loans and financial investments comprise £308.0 billion, compared to £236.8 billion at 31 December 2014.

Of the total assets, £106.1 billion relates to the inclusion of assets from Friends Life Group. Of this, £61.1 billion is attributable to policyholders.

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy

Total assets - 2015

Fair value £m

Amortised cost
£m

Equity
accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total
£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

7,686

-

7,686

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

1,919

1,919

Property and equipment

389

60

-

449

Investment property

11,301

-

-

11,301

Loans

19,079

3,354

-

22,433

Financial Investments





Debt securities

162,964

-

-

162,964

Equity securities

63,558

-

-

63,558

Other investments

47,695

-

-

47,695

Reinsurance assets

13,967

6,951

-

20,918

Deferred tax assets

-

-

131

131

Current tax assets

-

-

114

114

Receivables and other financial assets

-

6,875

-

6,875

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

5,061

-

5,061

Prepayments and accrued income

-

3,094

-

3,094

Cash and cash equivalents

33,676

-

-

33,676

Total

352,629

33,081

2,164

387,874

Total %

90.9%

8.5%

0.6%

100.0%

FY14

258,421

25,651

1,647

285,719

FY14 %

90.4%

9.0%

0.6%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 105

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Total assets - Policyholder assets 2015

Fair value £m

Amortised cost
 £m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total
£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

141

141

Property and equipment

-

-

-

-

Investment property

6,647

-

-

6,647

Loans

-

83

-

83

Financial Investments





Debt securities

24,022

-

-

24,022

Equity securities

47,394

-

-

47,394

Other investments

39,795

-

-

39,795

Reinsurance assets

13,962

40

-

14,002

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

475

-

475

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

69

-

69

Prepayments and accrued income

-

259

-

259

Cash and cash equivalents

8,705

-

-

8,705

Total

140,525

926

141

141,592

Total %

99.2%

0.7%

0.1%

100.0%

FY14

77,196

785

100

78,081

FY14 %

98.9%

1.0%

0.1%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

Total assets - Participating fund assets 2015

Fair value £m

Amortised cost
 £m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total
£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

1,295

1,295

Property and equipment

205

9

-

214

Investment property

4,116

-

-

4,116

Loans

307

3,079

-

3,386

Financial Investments





Debt securities

91,006

-

-

91,006

Equity securities

15,627

-

-

15,627

Other investments

5,739

-

-

5,739

Reinsurance assets

-

1,628

-

1,628

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

1,512

-

1,512

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

639

-

639

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,275

-

1,275

Cash and cash equivalents

15,319

-

-

15,319

Total

132,319

8,142

1,295

141,756

Total %

93.4%

5.7%

0.9%

100.0%

FY14

115,320

8,234

1,020

124,574

FY14 %

92.6%

6.6%

0.8%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 106

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Total assets - Shareholders assets 2015

Fair value £m

Amortised cost
£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total
£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

7,686

-

7,686

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

483

483

Property and equipment

184

51

-

235

Investment property

538

-

-

538

Loans

18,772

192

-

18,964

Financial Investments





Debt securities

47,936

-

-

47,936

Equity securities

537

-

-

537

Other investments

2,161

-

-

2,161

Reinsurance assets

5

5,283

-

5,288

Deferred tax assets

-

-

131

131

Current tax assets

-

-

114

114

Receivables and other financial assets

-

4,888

-

4,888

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

4,353

-

4,353

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,560

-

1,560

Cash and cash equivalents

9,652

-

-

9,652

Total

79,785

24,013

728

104,526

Total %

76.3%

23.0%

0.7%

100.0%

FY14

65,905

16,632

527

83,064

FY14 %

79.4%

20.0%

0.6%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

Fair value hierarchy

To provide further information on the valuation techniques we use to measure assets carried at fair value, we have categorised the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' described as follows, based on the lowest level input that is significant to the valuation as a whole:

· Inputs to Level 1 fair values are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets.

· Inputs to Level 2 fair values are inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for the asset, either directly or indirectly. If the asset has a specified (contractual) term, a Level 2 input must be observable for substantially the full term of the asset.

· Inputs to Level 3 fair values are unobservable inputs for the asset. Unobservable inputs may have been used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available, thereby allowing for situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for the asset at the measurement date (or market information for the inputs to any valuation models). As such unobservable inputs reflect the assumption the business unit considers that market participants would use in pricing the asset. Examples are investment property, certain private equity investment and private placements.


Fair value hierarchy




Investment property and financial assets - Total 2015

Level 1
£m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Sub-total fair value
£m

Amortised cost
 £m

Balance sheet
total
£m

Investment property

-

-

11,301

11,301

-

11,301

Loans

-

950

18,129

19,079

3,354

22,433

Debt securities

89,158

59,203

14,603

162,964

-

162,964

Equity securities

62,622

-

936

63,558

-

63,558

Other investments (including derivatives)

39,485

4,057

4,153

47,695

-

47,695

Total

191,265

64,210

49,122

304,597

3,354

307,951

Total %

62.1%

20.8%

16.0%

98.9%

1.1%

100.0%

FY14

135,677

56,322

40,459

232,458

4,365

236,823

FY14 %

57.3%

23.8%

17.1%

98.2%

1.8%

100.0%

At 31 December 2015, the proportion of total financial assets classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy increased to 62.1% (FY14: 57.3%). The proportion of Level 2 loans and financial assets has decreased to 20.8% (FY14: 23.8%) and investment properties, loans and financial assets classified as Level 3 were 16.0% (FY14: 17.1%). Movements in the proportion of assets held in each fair value hierarchy level are mainly as a result of the acquisition of the Friends Life business, which had a higher overall proportion of Level 1 assets, at 67% relative to their total loans and financial assets.

 

 

 

 

Page 107

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality

The analysis of assets that follows provides a breakdown of information about the assets held by the Group.

D3.1 - Investment property





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Total

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
 £m

Total
 £m

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
 £m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

11,149

11,149

-

-

8,828

8,828

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

152

152

-

-

97

97

Total

-

-

11,301

11,301

-

-

8,925

8,925

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Policyholder assets

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
 £m

Total
 £m

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

6,574

6,574

-

-

3,984

3,984

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

73

73

-

-

35

35

Total

-

-

6,647

6,647

-

-

4,019

4,019

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy



Investment property - Participating fund assets

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
 £m

Total
 £m

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

4,048

4,048

-

-

4,548

4,548

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

68

68

-

-

62

62

Total

-

-

4,116

4,116

-

-

4,610

4,610

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Shareholder assets

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
 £m

Total
 £m

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

-

527

527

-

-

296

296

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

-

11

11

-

-

-

-

Total

-

-

538

538

-

-

296

296

Total %

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

-

-

100.0%

100.0%

95.2% (FY14: 96.7%) of total investment properties by value are held in policyholder or participating fund assets. Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in UK and French commercial property.

Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external independent valuers. The investment properties are valued on an income basis that is based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, lease expiry, or break option taking in to consideration lease incentives and assuming no further growth in the estimated rental value of the property. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar property. These inputs are deemed unobservable.

98.7% (FY14: 98.9%) of total investment properties by value are leased to third parties under operating leases, with the remainder either being vacant or held for capital appreciation.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 108

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans 

The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:

· Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;

· Loans and advances to banks, which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;

· Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets;

· Healthcare, Infrastructure & Private Finance Initiative ('PFI') other loans; and

· Other loans, which include loans to brokers and intermediaries.

 

Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.

For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. The mortgage loans are not traded in active markets. These investments are classified as level 3 as the assumptions used to derive the credit risk, liquidity premium and property risk are not deemed to be market observable.

Loans - Total 2015

United Kingdom & Ireland
£m

Europe
£m

Canada
 £m

Asia
 £m

Total
 £m

Policy loans

17

731

-

31

779

Loans and advances to banks

2,703

20

-

-

2,723

Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI other loans

1,246

-

-

-

1,246

Mortgage loans

17,259

1

-

-

17,260

Other loans

282

8

135

-

425

Total

21,507

760

135

31

22,433

Total %

95.9%

3.4%

0.6%

0.1%

100.0%

FY14

24,262

846

122

30

25,260

FY14 %

96.0%

3.4%

0.5%

0.1%

100.0%

 

Loans - Policyholders assets 2015

United Kingdom & Ireland
£m

Europe
£m

Canada
 £m

Asia
 £m

Total
 £m

Policy loans

-

-

-

7

7

Loans and advances to banks

76

-

-

-

76

Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI other loans

-

-

-

-

-

Mortgage loans

-

-

-

-

-

Other loans

-

-

-

-

-

Total

76

-

-

7

83

Total %

91.6%

-

-

8.4%

100.0%

FY14

295

-

-

7

302

FY14 %

97.7%

-

-

2.3%

100.0%

 

Loans - Participating fund assets 2015

United Kingdom & Ireland
£m

Europe
£m

Canada
 £m

Asia
 £m

Total
 £m

Policy loans

13

726

-

21

760

Loans and advances to banks

2,044

-

-

-

2,044

Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI other loans

-

-

-

-

-

Mortgage loans

305

1

-

-

306

Other loans

276

-

-

-

276

Total

2,638

727

-

21

3,386

Total %

77.9%

21.5%

-

0.6%

100.0%

FY14

3,486

781

-

21

4,288

FY14 %

81.3%

18.2%

-

0.5%

100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 109

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

Loans - Shareholder assets 2015

United Kingdom & Ireland
£m

Europe
£m

Canada
 £m

Asia
 £m

Total
 £m

Policy loans

4

5

-

3

12

Loans and advances to banks

583

20

-

-

603

Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI other loans

1,246

-

-

-

1,246

Mortgage loans

16,954

-

-

-

16,954

Other loans

6

8

135

-

149

Total

18,793

33

135

3

18,964

Total %

99.1%

0.2%

0.7%

0.0%

100.0%

FY14

20,481

65

122

2

20,670

FY14 %

99.1%

0.3%

0.6%

0.0%

100.0%

The value of the Group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 31 December 2015 stood at £22.4 billion (FY14: £25.3 billion), a decrease of £2.9 billion.

The total shareholder exposure to loans decreased to £19.0 billion (FY14: £20.7 billion) and represented 85% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 15% primarily held in participating funds (£3.4 billion)

Of the Group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 77% (FY14 Restated1: 76%) is invested in mortgage loans.

Primary Healthcare, Infrastructure and PFI other loans included within shareholder assets are £1.2 billion (FY14 Restated1: £1.1 billion) and are secured against the income from healthcare and educational premises.

Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets

2015

Total
 £m

Non-securitised mortgage loans


- Residential (Equity release)

4,807

- Commercial

6,434

- Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI mortgage loans

3,261


14,502

Securitised mortgage loans

2,452

Total

16,954

FY141 (Restated)

18,811

1    Following a review of the classification of loans, £1.1 billion in 2014 has been reclassified from mortgage loans to Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI other loans. The net impact on Loans is £nil.

The Group's mortgage loan portfolio is focused in the UK, across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva's shareholder exposure to mortgage loans accounts for 89% of total shareholder asset loans. This section focuses on explaining the shareholder risk within these exposures.

United Kingdom & Ireland

(Non-securitised mortgage loans)

Residential

The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £4.8 billion (FY14: £4.1 billion). The movement from the prior year is due to £0.7 billion of net new loans and accrued interest (net of redemptions). These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners mortgage their property to release cash equity. Due to the structure of equity release mortgages, whereby interest amounts due are not paid in cash but instead rolled into the amount outstanding, they predominantly have a current Loan to Value ('LTV') of below 70%. The average LTV across the portfolio is 26.8% (FY14: 27.2%).

 

 

 

 

 

Page 110

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

Commercial

Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.

Shareholder assets

2015

>120%
£m

115-120% £m

110-115% £m

105-110% £m

100-105% £m

95-100% £m

90-95% £m

80-90% £m

70-80%
£m

<70%
 £m

Total
£m

Not in arrears

-

-

-

-

-

368

263

410

1,012

4,372

6,425

0 - 3 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

3 - 6 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

6 - 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

9

-

-

-

-

9

> 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

-

-

-

-

-

377

263

410

1,012

4,372

6,434

Of the £6.4 billion (FY14: £8.8 billion) of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loans in the shareholder fund held by our UK Life business, £6.3 billion are used to back annuity liabilities and are stated on a fair value basis. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ('CRAV') methods.

For commercial mortgages loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, improved to 1.78x (FY14: 1.31x). Loan Interest Cover ('LIC'), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, also improved to 2.05x (FY14: 1.47x). Average mortgage LTV decreased by 24% compared to FY14 from 85% to 61% (CRAV) primarily driven by UK Life's commercial mortgage loans restructure and recovery programme which completed with the sale of £2.2 billion of commercial mortgage loans to Lone Star. Of the £9 million (FY14: £1,492 million) value of loans in arrears included within our shareholder assets, the interest and capital amount in arrears is £7 million. The decrease in loans in arrears of £1,483 million is primarily driven by the £2.2 billion mortgage restructuring and recovery programme.

Commercial mortgages and Healthcare, Infrastructure & PFI loans are held at fair value on the asset side of the statement of financial position. Insurance liabilities are valued using a discount rate derived from gross yield on assets, with adjustments to allow for risk. £10.6 billion of shareholder loan assets are backing annuity liabilities and comprise of commercial mortgage loans (£6.3 billion), Healthcare, Infrastructure and PFI mortgage loans (£3.2 billion) and Primary Healthcare, Infrastructure and PFI other loans (£1.1 billion). The Group carries a valuation allowance within the liabilities against the risk of default of commercial mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages, of £0.6 billion which equates to 59bps at 31 December 2015 (FY14: 87bps). The total valuation allowance held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited in respect of corporate bonds and mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages is £1.5 billion (FY14: £1.9 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and mortgage portfolio.

The UK portfolio remains well diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over assets within the borrower companies.

If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefiting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the high recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) results in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above. We will continue to actively manage this position.

Healthcare

Primary Healthcare, Infrastructure and PFI mortgage loans included within shareholder assets of £3.3 billion (FY14 Restated1: £3.5 billion) are secured against primary health care premises (including General Practitioner surgeries), education, social housing and emergency services related premises. For all such loans, government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.

On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 75% (FY14 Restated1: 90%), although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk indicator. Income support from the Government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be lower risk relative to other mortgage loans.

Securitised mortgage loans

Funding for the securitised residential mortgage assets of £2.5 billion (FY14: £2.4 billion) was obtained by issuing loan note securities. Of these loan notes approximately £256 million (FY14 Restated2: £167 million) are held by Group companies. The remainder is held by third parties external to Aviva. As any cash shortfall arising once all mortgages have redeemed is borne by the loan note holders, the majority of the credit risk of these mortgages is borne by third parties. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.

On 1 January 2016 a UK subsidiary, Aviva Annuity UK Limited, securitised £4,179 million of equity release mortgages by transferring them to a wholly owned subsidiary, Aviva ERFA 15 UK Limited. In return, Aviva Annuity UK Limited received £4,154 million of loan notes issued by Aviva ERFA 15 UK Limited.

1    Following a review of mortgage loans reclassification, £1.1 billion in 2014 has been reclassified from mortgage loans to Healthcare, infrastructure and PFI loans.  The net impact on loans is £nil.

2    Loans held by Group companies has been restated to exclude an intra-group transaction in UK Life which eliminates on Group consolidation.

 

 

 

 

Page 111

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments





2015




2014

Financial Investments - Total

Cost/ amortised cost
 £m

Unrealised gains
 £m

Impairment and unrealised losses
£m

Fair value £m

Cost/ amortised
cost
£m

Unrealised gains
 £m

Impairment and unrealised losses
 £m

Fair value
£m

Debt securities

155,247

10,864

(3,147)

162,964

118,245

14,130

(714)

131,661

Equity securities

60,124

7,663

(4,229)

63,558

29,701

7,114

(1,196)

35,619

Other investments

44,263

5,005

(1,573)

47,695

29,845

5,954

(441)

35,358

Total

259,634

23,532

(8,949)

274,217

177,791

27,198

(2,351)

202,638

Aviva holds large quantities of debt securities in the form of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders. The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.

The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds and policyholder funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices and therefore classified as Level 1. Refer to D3.3.2 for further analysis of equities.

Other investments include investments such as unit trusts, derivative financial instruments and deposits with credit institutions. For further analysis, see D3.3.3.

During the year, total financial investments increased by £71.6 billion to £274.2 billion (FY14: £202.6 billion) mainly due to the acquisition of Friends Life business, partially offset by negative investment market movements.

D3.3.1 - Debt securities


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Total 2015

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

UK Government

31,336

1,829

132

33,297

Non-UK Government

27,793

12,865

2,006

42,664

Europe

26,160

8,011

2,000

36,171

North America

233

2,743

-

2,976

Asia Pacific & Other

1,400

2,111

6

3,517

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

3,560

6,681

412

10,653

Corporate convertible bonds

158

-

-

158

Other Corporate bonds

21,802

31,068

10,329

63,199

Other

4,509

6,760

1,724

12,993

Total

89,158

59,203

14,603

162,964

Total %

54.7%

36.3%

9.0%

100.0%

FY14

75,078

45,274

11,309

131,661

FY14 %

57.0%

34.4%

8.6%

100.0%

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Policyholders assets 2015

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

UK Government

10,371

13

1

10,385

Non-UK Government

1,200

1,427

6

2,633

Europe

943

654

-

1,597

North America

29

343

-

372

Asia Pacific & Other

228

430

6

664

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

36

594

1

631

Corporate convertible bonds

-

-

-

-

Other Corporate bonds

2,236

4,741

613

7,590

Other

1,088

1,685

10

2,783

Total

14,931

8,460

631

24,022

Total %

62.2%

35.2%

2.6%

100.0%

FY14

6,674

6,536

418

13,628

FY14 %

49.0%

47.9%

3.1%

100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Page 112

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Participating fund assets 2015

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

UK Government

12,715

1,008

-

13,723

Non-UK Government

23,679

5,249

1,537

30,465

Europe

22,340

3,796

1,537

27,673

North America

181

97

-

278

Asia Pacific & Other

1,158

1,356

-

2,514

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

3,341

1,276

1

4,618

Corporate convertible bonds

158

-

-

158

Other Corporate bonds

18,327

10,239

6,045

34,611

Other

3,137

3,012

1,282

7,431

Total

61,357

20,784

8,865

91,006

Total %

67.4%

22.8%

9.8%

100.0%

FY14

58,314

15,873

8,043

82,230

FY14 %

70.9%

19.3%

9.8%

100.0%

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Shareholder assets 2015

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
 £m

UK Government

8,250

808

131

9,189

Non-UK Government

2,914

6,189

463

9,566

Europe

2,877

3,561

463

6,901

North America

23

2,303

-

2,326

Asia Pacific & Other

14

325

-

339

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

183

4,811

410

5,404

Corporate convertible bonds

-

-

-

-

Other Corporate bonds

1,239

16,088

3,671

20,998

Other

284

2,063

432

2,779

Total

12,870

29,959

5,107

47,936

Total %

26.8%

62.5%

10.7%

100.0%

FY14

10,090

22,865

2,848

35,803

FY14 %

28.2%

63.8%

8.0%

100.0%

26.8% (FY14: 28.2%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as fair value level 1.

62.5% (FY14: 63.8%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities included within level 2 is based on inputs other than quoted prices and are observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly.

10.7% (FY14: 8.0%) of total shareholder exposure to debt securities is fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as fair value level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.

Fair value level 3 has increased due to the inclusion of £1.7 billion debt securities from the Friends Life acquisition, and transfers from Level 2 due to the unavailability of significant observable market data or sufficiently significant differences between the valuation provided by the counterparty and broker quotes, and the validation models. Other changes in the proportion of Level 1 and Level 2 assets are principally driven by the additions relating to the acquisition of the Friends Life business and market movements.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 113

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued


External ratings



Debt securities - Total 2015

AAA
 £m

AA
£m

A
 £m

BBB
£m

Less than BBB
 £m

Non-rated £m

Total
£m

Government








UK Government

-

33,038

51

-

-

190

33,279

UK local authorities

-

1

-

-

-

17

18

Non-UK Government

11,330

17,337

3,812

9,624

472

89

42,664


11,330

50,376

3,863

9,624

472

296

75,961

Corporate








Public utilities

-

268

4,860

4,968

229

328

10,653

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

150

-

8

158

Other corporate bonds

7,320

8,136

20,173

16,821

4,182

6,567

63,199


7,320

8,404

25,033

21,939

4,411

6,903

74,010

Certificates of deposits

-

981

1,026

62

149

10

2,228

Structured








RMBS1 non-agency ALT A

1

25

-

3

-

-

29

RMBS1 non-agency prime

210

129

90

25

45

-

499

RMBS1 agency

1

-

-

-

-

-

1


212

154

90

28

45

-

529

CMBS2

368

168

110

87

-

2

735

ABS3

124

687

673

218

67

9

1,778

CDO (including CLO)4

432

9

-

-

-

-

441

ABCP5

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


924

864

783

305

67

11

2,954

Wrapped credit

-

24

544

97

67

45

777

Other

412

113

858

2,595

1,298

1,229

6,505

Total

20,198

60,916

32,197

34,650

6,509

8,494

162,964

Total %

12.4%

37.4%

19.8%

21.2%

4.0%

5.2%

100.0%

FY14

17,866

46,831

28,118

28,848

2,749

7,249

131,661

FY14 %

13.6%

35.6%

21.3%

21.9%

2.1%

5.5%

100.0%

1    RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security

2    CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security

3    ABS - Asset Backed Security

4    CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation

5    ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper

 

 

 

 

 

Page 114

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued


External ratings



Debt securities - Policyholders assets 2015

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
 £m

Less than BBB
£m

Non-rated £m

Total
 £m

Government








UK Government

-

10,384

1

-

-

-

10,385

UK local authorities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Non-UK Government

666

244

893

718

81

31

2,633


666

10,628

894

718

81

31

13,018

Corporate








Public utilities

-

13

251

333

32

2

631

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other corporate bonds

216

543

1,996

1,883

1,457

1,495

7,590


216

556

2,247

2,216

1,489

1,497

8,221

Certificates of deposits

-

615

684

42

81

-

1,422

Structured








RMBS1 non-agency ALT A

-

1

-

-

-

-

1

RMBS1 non-agency prime

6

1

2

-

12

-

21

RMBS1 agency

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


6

2

2

-

12

-

22

CMBS2

10

1

3

-

-

-

14

ABS3

-

27

36

23

3

-

89

CDO (including CLO)4

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

ABCP5

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


10

28

39

23

3

-

103

Wrapped credit

-

2

29

2

-

-

33

Other

77

21

150

484

241

230

1,203

Total

975

11,852

4,045

3,485

1,907

1,758

24,022

Total %

4.1%

49.3%

16.8%

14.5%

8.0%

7.3%

100.0%

FY14

675

5,006

3,786

2,456

422

1,283

13,628

FY14 %

5.0%

36.7%

27.8%

18.0%

3.1%

9.4%

100.0%

1    RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security

2    CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security

3    ABS - Asset Backed Security

4    CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation

5    ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper

 

 

 

 

 

Page 115

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued


External ratings



Debt securities - Participating fund assets 2015

AAA
 £m

AA
 £m

A
£m

BBB
 £m

Less than BBB
£m

Non-rated £m

Total
£m

Government








UK Government

-

13,714

-

-

-

8

13,722

UK local authorities

-

1

-

-

-

-

1

Non-UK Government

6,526

13,604

2,069

7,821

389

56

30,465


6,526

27,319

2,069

7,821

389

64

44,188

Corporate








Public utilities

-

85

1,503

2,743

193

94

4,618

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

-

150

-

8

158

Other corporate bonds

4,877

4,634

10,068

9,843

2,244

2,945

34,611


4,877

4,719

11,571

12,736

2,437

3,047

39,387

Certificates of deposits

-

357

326

12

35

10

740

Structured








RMBS1 non-agency ALT A

1

5

-

2

-

-

8

RMBS1 non-agency prime

115

79

38

-

15

-

247

RMBS1 agency

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


116

84

38

2

15

-

255

CMBS2

113

47

56

64

-

1

281

ABS3

85

171

228

141

24

-

649

CDO (including CLO)4

418

-

-

-

-

-

418

ABCP5

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


616

218

284

205

24

1

1,348

Wrapped credit

-

9

99

46

16

-

170

Other

318

87

620

1,996

995

902

4,918

Total

12,453

32,793

15,007

22,818

3,911

4,024

91,006

Total %

13.7%

36.0%

16.5%

25.1%

4.3%

4.4%

100.0%

FY14

11,160

30,484

14,540

20,855

2,036

3,155

82,230

FY14 %

13.6%

37.1%

17.7%

25.3%

2.5%

3.8%

100.0%

1    RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security

2    CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security

3    ABS - Asset Backed Security

4    CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation

5    ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper

 

 

 

 

 

Page 116

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued


External ratings



Debt securities - Shareholder assets 2015

AAA
 £m

AA
 £m

A
£m

BBB
 £m

Less than BBB
 £m

Non-rated £m

Total
 £m








-

8,940

50

-

-

182

9,172

-

-

-

-

-

17

17

Non-UK Government

4,138

3,489

850

1,085

2

2

9,566


4,138

12,429

900

1,085

2

201

18,755








-

170

3,106

1,892

4

232

5,404

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other corporate bonds

2,227

2,959

8,109

5,095

481

2,127

20,998


2,227

3,129

11,215

6,987

485

2,359

26,402

Certificates of deposits

-

9

16

8

33

-

66








-

19

-

1

-

-

20

89

49

50

25

18

-

231

RMBS1 agency

1

-

-

-

-

-

1


90

68

50

26

18

-

252

245

120

51

23

-

1

440

39

489

409

54

40

9

1,040

14

9

-

-

-

-

23

ABCP5

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


298

618

460

77

40

10

1,503

-

13

416

49

51

45

574

Other

17

5

88

115

62

97

384

Total

6,770

16,271

13,145

8,347

691

2,712

47,936

Total %

14.1%

34.0%

27.4%

17.4%

1.4%

5.7%

100.0%

FY14

6,031

11,341

9,792

5,537

291

2,811

35,803

FY14 %

16.8%

31.7%

27.3%

15.5%

0.8%

7.9%

100.0%

1    RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security

2    CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security

3    ABS - Asset Backed Security

4    CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation

5    ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper

The overall quality of the book remains strong. 39% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (FY14: 46%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 55% of total shareholder debt securities (FY14: 49%). At 31 December 2015, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade increased to 92.9% (FY14: 91.3%). The remaining 7.1% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:

· 1.4% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade;

· 5.7% are not rated by the major rating agencies.

The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the UK. Of the securities not rated by an external agency most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.5 billion (FY14: £2.5 billion) of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.

The Group has limited shareholder exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.

Out of the total asset backed securities (ABS), £1,023 million (FY14: £611 million) are held by the UK Life business. 95.3% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade (FY14: 89.6%). ABS that either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represent approximately 0.1% of shareholder exposure to debt securities (FY14: 0.2%).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 117

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.2 - Equity securities





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Total assets

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Public utilities

3,364

-

3

3,367

2,929

-

-

2,929

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

13,893

-

133

14,026

7,142

-

133

7,275

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

45,164

-

800

45,964

25,104

-

25

25,129

Non-redeemable preferred shares

201

-

-

201

285

-

1

286

Total

62,622

-

936

63,558

35,460

-

159

35,619

Total %

98.5%

-

1.5%

100.0%

99.6%

-

0.4%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Policyholder assets

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Public utilities

2,674

-

-

2,674

2,324

-

-

2,324

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

10,603

-

-

10,603

4,821

-

-

4,821

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

34,062

-

25

34,087

19,099

-

2

19,101

Non-redeemable preferred shares

30

-

-

30

77

-

1

78

Total

47,369

-

25

47,394

26,321

-

3

26,324

Total %

99.9%

-

0.1%

100.0%

100.0%

-

0.0%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Participating fund assets

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Public utilities

685

-

3

688

602

-

-

602

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

3,173

-

97

3,270

2,226

-

95

2,321

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

10,899

-

763

11,662

5,870

-

11

5,881

Non-redeemable preferred shares

7

-

-

7

9

-

-

9

Total

14,764

-

863

15,627

8,707

-

106

8,813

Total %

94.5%

-

5.5%

100.0%

98.8%

-

1.2%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Shareholder assets

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Public utilities

5

-

-

5

3

-

-

3

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

117

-

36

153

95

-

38

133

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

203

-

12

215

135

-

12

147

Non-redeemable preferred shares

164

-

-

164

199

-

-

199

Total

489

-

48

537

432

-

50

482

Total %

91.1%

-

8.9%

100.0%

89.6%

-

10.4%

100.0%

Of the £27.9 billion increase in equity securities since 2014, £27.0 billion is attributable to the acquisition of the Friends Life business.

91.1% of our total shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as level 1 (FY14: 89.6%).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 118

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.3 - Other investments





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Total

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

38,411

1,292

2,938

42,641

24,079

3,079

2,482

29,640

Derivative financial instruments

308

2,745

275

3,328

199

3,748

141

4,088

Deposits with credit institutions

460

-

-

460

536

3

-

539

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

20

940

960

1

323

430

754

Other

306

-

-

306

324

-

13

337

Total

39,485

4,057

4,153

47,695

25,139

7,153

3,066

35,358

Total %

82.8%

8.5%

8.7%

100.0%

71.1%

20.2%

8.7%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Policyholder assets

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

36,037

1,205

1,760

39,002

23,464

2,966

13

26,443

Derivative financial instruments

28

24

-

52

17

29

-

46

Deposits with credit institutions

327

-

-

327

373

-

-

373

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

-

114

114

-

-

-

-

Other

300

-

-

300

319

-

-

319

Total

36,692

1,229

1,874

39,795

24,173

2,995

13

27,181

Total %

92.2%

3.1%

4.7%

100.0%

88.9%

11.0%

0.1%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Participating fund assets

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

1,633

80

1,139

2,852

321

109

2,268

2,698

Derivative financial instruments

189

1,857

216

2,262

180

2,486

103

2,769

Deposits with credit institutions

28

-

-

28

56

-

-

56

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

-

597

597

-

294

315

609

Other

-

-

-

-

-

-

13

13

Total

1,850

1,937

1,952

5,739

557

2,889

2,699

6,145

Total %

32.2%

33.8%

34.0%

100.0%

9.1%

47.0%

43.9%

100.0%

 





2015




2014


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Shareholders assets

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Level 1
 £m

Level 2
 £m

Level 3
 £m

Total
£m

Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

741

7

39

787

294

4

201

499

Derivative financial instruments

91

864

59

1,014

2

1,233

38

1,273

Deposits with credit institutions

105

-

-

105

107

3

-

110

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

20

229

249

1

29

115

145

Other

6

-

-

6

5

-

-

5

Total

943

891

327

2,161

409

1,269

354

2,032

Total %

43.7%

41.2%

15.1%

100.0%

20.1%

62.5%

17.4%

100.0%

The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets, which can include cash equivalents, debt, equity and property securities. Total shareholder other investments classified as level 2 have decreased during 2015 to 41.2% (FY14: 62.5%), primarily due to reductions in derivative financial instruments.

In total 84.9% (FY14: 82.6%) of total shareholder other investments are classified as level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 119

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses

The impairment expense during 2015 relating to AFS debt securities and other investments was £nil (FY14: £nil) and £nil (FY14: £2 million) respectively.

Total unrealised losses on AFS debt securities, equity securities and other investments at 31 December 2015 was £1 million (FY14: £3 million), £nil (FY14: £nil) and £nil (FY14: £nil) respectively.


0 - 6 months

 7 - 12 months

more than 12 months

Total

2015

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised £m

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised £m

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised £m

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised £m

Less than 20% loss position:









Debt securities

5

-

8

-

34

(1)

47

(1)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


5

-

8

-

34

(1)

47

(1)

20%-50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Greater than 50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total









Debt securities

5

-

8

-

34

(1)

47

(1)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


5

-

8

-

34

(1)

47

(1)

1    Only includes AFS securities that are in unrealised loss positions.


0 - 6 months

 7 - 12 months

more than 12 months

Total

2014

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised
 £m

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised
 £m

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised
£m

Fair value1

£m

Gross unrealised
£m

Less than 20% loss position:









Debt securities

9

-

11

-

17

(1)

37

(1)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

3

-

3

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

1

-

1

-


9

-

11

-

21

(1)

41

(1)

20%-50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

3

(2)

3

(2)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

3

(2)

3

(2)

Greater than 50% loss position:









Debt securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total









Debt securities

9

-

11

-

20

(3)

40

(3)

Equity securities

-

-

-

-

3

-

3

-

Other investments

-

-

-

-

1

-

1

-


9

-

11

-

24

(3)

44

(3)

1    Only includes AFS securities that are in unrealised loss positions.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 120

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries

Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are valued on a mark-to-market basis under IAS 39, and therefore our statement of financial position and income statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder and participating fund asset exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £4.7 billion (FY14: £4.9 billion).

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)


Participating

Shareholder

Total


2015
£bn

2014
£bn

2015
£bn

2014
 £bn

2015
£bn

2014
£bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.6

0.6

0.1

0.2

0.7

0.8

Portugal

0.1

0.2

-

-

0.1

0.2

Italy

4.4

4.8

0.3

0.1

4.7

4.9

Spain

0.8

0.9

0.4

0.4

1.2

1.3

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

5.9

6.5

0.8

0.7

6.7

7.2

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)


Participating

Shareholder

Total


2015
 £bn

2014
 £bn

2015
 £bn

2014
 £bn

2015
 £bn

2014
 £bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.6

0.6

0.1

0.2

0.7

0.8

Portugal

0.1

0.2

-

-

0.1

0.2

Italy

6.1

6.7

0.5

0.5

6.6

7.2

Spain

1.1

1.2

0.6

0.6

1.7

1.8

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

7.9

8.7

1.2

1.3

9.1

10.0

D3.3.6 - Non-UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests)


Policyholder

Participating

Shareholder

Total

Non-UK Government Debt Securities

2015
£m

2014
 £m

2015
 £m

2014
£m

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

2015
£m

2014
£m

Austria

14

11

697

705

140

107

851

823

Belgium

34

28

1,195

1,368

166

165

1,395

1,561

France

139

103

10,673

11,182

1,846

1,950

12,658

13,235

Germany

145

142

1,470

1,590

590

591

2,205

2,323

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

12

5

595

613

100

155

707

773

Italy

319

330

6,090

6,666

442

485

6,851

7,481

Netherlands

31

43

1,156

1,336

302

414

1,489

1,793

Poland

559

571

689

823

399

443

1,647

1,837

Portugal

7

6

110

173

-

-

117

179

Spain

98

104

1,093

1,263

636

694

1,827

2,061

European Supranational debt

72

61

2,798

2,952

1,760

1,826

4,630

4,839

Other European countries

167

133

1,107

1,040

520

473

1,794

1,646

Europe

1,597

1,537

27,673

29,711

6,901

7,303

36,171

38,551

Canada

49

16

178

164

1,917

2,376

2,144

2,556

United States

323

94

100

48

409

347

832

489

North America

372

110

278

212

2,326

2,723

2,976

3,045

Singapore

16

11

762

598

264

277

1,042

886

Other

648

493

1,752

1,917

75

63

2,475

2,473

Asia Pacific and other

664

504

2,514

2,515

339

340

3,517

3,359

Total

2,633

2,151

30,465

32,438

9,566

10,366

42,664

44,955

At 31 December 2015, the Group's total government (non-UK) debt securities stood at £42.7 billion (FY14: £45.0 billion), a decrease of £2.3 billion. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

Our direct shareholder asset exposure to government (non-UK) debt securities amounts to £9.6 billion (FY14: £10.4 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total shareholder (non-UK) government debt exposure, are to Canadian (20%), French (19%), Spanish (7%), German (6%) and Italian (5%) government debt securities.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 121

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.6 - Non-UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests) continued

The participating funds exposure to (non-UK) government debt amounts to £30.5 billion (FY14: £32.4 billion), a decrease of £1.9 billion. The primary exposures, relative to total (non-UK) government debt exposures included within our participating funds, are to the (non-UK) government debt securities of France (35%), Italy (20%), Germany (5%), Belgium (4%), Netherlands (4%) and Spain (4%).

D3.3.7 - Exposure to worldwide bank debt securities

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

2015

Total
senior
debt
 £bn

Total subordinated debt
 £bn

Total
 debt
 £bn

Total
senior
 debt
 £bn

Total subordinated debt
 £bn

Total
debt
£bn

Australia

0.2

-

0.2

0.9

0.2

1.1

Denmark

-

-

-

1.1

-

1.1

France

0.5

-

0.5

2.8

0.6

3.4

Germany

0.1

-

0.1

0.4

0.2

0.6

Ireland

-

-

-

-

-

-

Italy

0.1

-

0.1

0.2

-

0.2

Netherlands

0.3

0.2

0.5

1.2

0.3

1.5

Spain

0.7

-

0.7

0.7

0.1

0.8

Switzerland

-

-

-

1.2

-

1.2

United Kingdom

1.3

0.5

1.8

1.2

1.0

2.2

United States

1.0

0.2

1.2

1.7

0.1

1.8

Other

0.7

0.1

0.8

1.5

0.3

1.8

Total

4.9

1.0

5.9

12.9

2.8

15.7

FY14

2.9

0.8

3.7

10.4

2.9

13.3

Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £5.9 billion (FY14: £3.7 billion). The majority of our holding (83%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (31%), US (20%) and Spanish (12%) banks.

Net of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £15.7 billion (FY14: £13.3 billion). The majority of the exposure (82%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are most exposed to French (22%), UK (14%) and US (11%) banks.

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

2015

Total
senior
debt
 £bn

Total subordinated debt
 £bn

Total
debt
£bn

Total
 senior
debt
£bn

Total subordinated debt
 £bn

Total
debt
£bn

Australia

0.2

-

0.2

0.9

0.3

1.2

Denmark

-

-

-

1.1

-

1.1

France

0.5

-

0.5

3.3

0.6

3.9

Germany

0.1

-

0.1

0.5

0.2

0.7

Ireland

-

-

-

-

-

-

Italy

0.1

-

0.1

0.3

-

0.3

Netherlands

0.3

0.2

0.5

1.2

0.3

1.5

Spain

0.8

-

0.8

0.8

0.1

0.9

Switzerland

-

-

-

1.3

-

1.3

United Kingdom

1.3

0.5

1.8

1.3

1.0

2.3

United States

1.0

0.2

1.2

1.9

0.1

2.0

Other

0.7

0.1

0.8

1.6

0.3

1.9

Total

5.0

1.0

6.0

14.2

2.9

17.1

FY14

3.1

0.8

3.9

11.8

3.1

14.9

Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £6.0 billion (FY14: £3.9 billion). The majority of our holding (83%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (30%), US (20%) and Spanish (13%) banks.

Gross of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £17.1 billion (FY14: £14.9 billion). The majority of the exposure (83%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are most exposed to French (23%), UK (13%) and US (12%) banks.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 122

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.4 - Reinsurance assets

The Group assumes and cedes reinsurance in the normal course of business, with retention limits varying by line of business. Reinsurance assets primarily include balances due from both insurance and reinsurance companies for ceded insurance liabilities. Amounts recoverable from reinsurers are estimated in a manner consistent with the outstanding claims provisions or settled claims associated with the reinsured policies and in accordance with the relevant reinsurance contract.

If a reinsurance asset is impaired, the Group reduces the carrying amount accordingly and recognises that impairment loss in the income statement. A reinsurance asset is impaired if there is objective evidence, as a result of an event that occurred after initial recognition of the reinsurance asset, that the Group may not receive all amounts due to it under the terms of the contract, and the event has a reliably measurable impact on the amounts that the Group will receive from the reinsurer.

For the table below, reinsurance asset credit ratings are stated in accordance with information from leading rating agencies.


Ratings



Ratings 2015

AAA
 £m

AA
£m

A
 £m

BBB
 £m

Less than BBB
 £m

Not rated £m

Total
£m

Policyholders assets

-

12,822

491

-

-

689

14,002

Participating fund assets

-

1,107

510

-

-

11

1,628

Shareholder assets

28

4,503

674

-

-

83

5,288

Total

28

18,432

1,675

-

-

783

20,918

Total %

0.1%

88.2%

8.0%

-

-

3.7%

100.0%

FY14

27

5,673

1,742

8

-

508

7,958

FY14 %

0.3%

71.3%

21.9%

0.1%

-

6.4%

100.0%

D3.5 - Receivables and other financial assets

The credit quality of receivables and other financial assets is managed at the local business unit level. Where assets classed as 'past due and impaired' exceed local credit limits, and are also deemed to be at sufficiently high risk of default, an analysis of the asset is performed and a decision is made whether to seek sufficient collateral from the counterparty or to write down the value of the asset as impaired. At FY15, 99% (FY14: 99%) of the receivables and other financial assets were neither past due nor impaired.

Credit terms vary from subsidiary to subsidiary, and from country to country, and are set locally within overall credit limits prescribed by the Group credit limit framework, and in line with the Group Credit Policy. The carrying value of receivables is reviewed at each reporting period. If the carrying value of a receivable or other financial asset is greater than the recoverable amount, the carrying value is reduced through a charge to the income statement in the period of impairment.

D3.6 - Cash and cash equivalents

Cash and cash equivalents consist of cash at banks and in hand, deposits held at call with banks, treasury bills and other short-term highly liquid investments that are readily convertible to known amounts of cash and which are subject to an insignificant risk of change in value. Such investments are normally those with less than three months maturity from the date of acquisition, and include certificates of deposit with maturities of less than three months at date of issue.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 123

 

D4 - Pension fund assets

In addition to the assets recognised directly on the Group's statement of financial position outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the scheme assets that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension surplus. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the Group's consolidated statement of financial position. Refer to Note B15 for details on the movements in the main schemes' surpluses and deficits.

Scheme assets are stated at their fair values. Total scheme assets are comprised in the UK, Ireland and Canada as follows:





2015




2014


UK
£m

Ireland
£m

Canada
£m

Total
 £m

UK
 £m

Ireland
£m

Canada
£m

Total
 £m

Bonds









Fixed interest

5,542

216

133

5,891

5,519

213

130

5,862

Index-linked

5,758

114

-

5,872

5,568

122

-

5,690

Equities

70

-

-

70

98

-

-

98

Property

377

7

-

384

328

9

-

337

Pooled investment vehicles

2,904

143

96

3,143

2,010

137

110

2,257

Derivatives

96

-

-

96

584

1

-

585

Cash and other1

1,244

4

3

1,251

626

1

18

645

Total fair value of scheme assets

15,991

484

232

16,707

14,733

483

258

15,474

Less: consolidation elimination for non-transferable Group insurance policy2

(546)

-

-

(546)

-

-

-

-

Total IAS 19 fair value of scheme assets

15,445

484

232

16,161

14,733

483

258

15,474

1   Cash and other assets comprise cash at bank, insurance policies, receivables and payables.

2   The Friends Provident Pension Scheme (FPPS) assets are included in the UK balances. As at 31 December 2015, the FPPS's cash and other balances includes an insurance policy of £546 million issued by a Group company that is not transferable under IAS 19 and is consequently eliminated from the Group's IAS 19 scheme assets.

Total scheme assets are analysed by those that have a quoted price in an active market and those that do not as follows:




2015



2014


Total
Quoted
£m

Total Unquoted
 £m

Total
£m

Total
Quoted
£m

Total Unquoted
£m

Total
 £m

Bonds







Fixed interest

2,796

3,095

5,891

2,907

2,955

5,862

Index-linked

5,436

436

5,872

5,240

450

5,690

Equities

70

-

70

74

24

98

Property

-

384

384

-

337

337

Pooled investment vehicles

291

2,852

3,143

130

2,127

2,257

Derivatives

6

90

96

(22)

607

585

Cash and other1

532

719

1,251

432

213

645

Total fair value of scheme assets

9,131

7,576

16,707

8,761

6,713

15,474

Less: consolidation elimination for non-transferable Group insurance policy2

-

(546)

(546)

-

-

-

Total IAS 19 fair value of scheme assets

9,131

7,030

16,161

8,761

6,713

15,474

1   Cash and other assets comprise cash at bank, insurance policies, receivables and payables.

2   The Friends Provident Pension Scheme (FPPS) assets are included in the UK balances. As at 31 December 2015, the FPPS's cash and other balances includes an insurance policy of £546 million issued by a Group company that is not transferable under IAS 19 and is consequently eliminated from the Group's IAS 19 scheme assets.

Risk management and asset allocation strategy

The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long-term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, the schemes' assets are invested in a portfolio consisting primarily (approximately 75%) of debt securities. The investment strategy will continue to evolve over time and is expected to match the liability profile increasingly closely with swap overlays to improve interest rate and inflation matching. The schemes are generally matched to interest rate risk relative to the funding basis.

Main UK Scheme

The Company works closely with the trustee, who is required to consult it on the investment strategy.

Interest rate and inflation risk are managed using a combination of liability-matching assets and swaps. Exposure to equity risk has been reducing over time and credit risk is managed within appetite. Currency risk is relatively small and is largely hedged. The other principal risk is longevity risk. In 2014, the Aviva Staff Pension Scheme entered into a longevity swap covering approximately £5 billion of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities.

Other schemes

The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme. During the year, the RAC pension scheme entered into a longevity swap covering approximately £600 million of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 124

 

D5 - Available funds

To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains £1.7 billion of undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks. These facilities are used to support Aviva plc's commercial paper programmes. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:


2015
£m

2014
£m

Expiring within one year

575

350

Expiring beyond one year

1,075

1,200

Total

1,650

1,550

D6 - Guarantees

As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.

For the UK Life with-profits business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.

In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 125

 

VNB & Sales analysis

In this section

Page

E1

Trend analysis of VNB - cumulative

126

E2

Trend analysis of VNB - discrete

126

E3

Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative

127

E4

Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete

127

E5

Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - cumulative

128

E6

Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - discrete

128

E7

Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums

129

E8

Trend analysis of Investment sales - cumulative

129

E9

Trend analysis of Investment sales - discrete

129

E10

Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

130

E11

Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

130

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 126

 

E1 - Trend analysis of VNB - cumulative










Growth1 on 4Q14

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

4Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency
%

United Kingdom2

89

177

297

473

103

253

404

609

29%

29%

Ireland

3

6

6

9

3

7

11

16

77%

97%

United Kingdom & Ireland

92

183

303

482

106

260

415

625

30%

30%

France

54

110

156

205

56

98

144

198

(4)%

7%

Poland3

21

34

46

64

15

30

46

65

2%

13%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

15

26

41

63

19

39

57

79

26%

40%

Spain - excluding CxG

6

14

19

30

6

13

20

31

5%

17%

Turkey4

6

14

23

30

6

12

17

27

(10)%

4%

Europe

102

198

285

392

102

192

284

400

2%

14%

Asia5 - excluding South Korea

29

61

92

122

36

76

115

151

23%

22%

Aviva Investors6

-

2

5

9

3

6

9

16

79%

79%

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

223

444

685

1,005

247

534

823

1,192

19%

24%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

1

-

1

4

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total value of new business

224

444

686

1,009

247

534

823

1,192

18%

23%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

3    Poland includes Lithuania.

4    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

5    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

6    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

E2 - Trend analysis of VNB - discrete










Growth1 on 4Q14

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

4Q15 Discrete £m

Sterling
 %

Constant currency
 %

United Kingdom2

89

88

120

176

103

150

151

205

16%

16%

Ireland

3

3

-

3

3

4

4

5

56%

71%

United Kingdom & Ireland

92

91

120

179

106

154

155

210

17%

17%

France

54

56

46

49

56

42

46

54

11%

21%

Poland3

21

13

12

18

15

15

16

19

6%

16%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

15

11

15

22

19

20

18

22

(1)%

9%

Spain - excluding CxG

6

8

5

11

6

7

7

11

8%

18%

Turkey4

6

8

9

7

6

6

5

10

40%

63%

Europe

102

96

87

107

102

90

92

116

9%

20%

Asia5 - excluding South Korea

29

32

31

30

36

40

39

36

21%

24%

Aviva Investors6

-

2

3

4

3

3

3

7

90%

90%

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

223

221

241

320

247

287

289

369

16%

19%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

1

(1)

1

3

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total value of new business

224

220

242

323

247

287

289

369

15%

19%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

3    Poland includes Lithuania.

4    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

5    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

6    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 127

 

E3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative










Growth2 on 4Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

4Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency
 %

United Kingdom3,4

2,931

6,052

9,098

12,009

2,445

7,071

11,696

16,236

35%

35%

Ireland

105

196

291

435

132

270

406

561

29%

44%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

6,248

9,389

12,444

2,577

7,341

12,102

16,797

35%

35%

France

1,310

2,427

3,538

4,633

1,319

2,553

3,639

4,821

4%

16%

Poland5

234

332

429

573

110

218

319

448

(22)%

(13)%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

698

1,440

2,060

2,473

603

1,116

1,518

2,147

(13)%

(3)%

Spain - excluding CxG

270

536

743

1,054

224

363

455

622

(41)%

(34)%

Turkey6

110

231

348

495

134

251

347

460

(7)%

7%

Europe

2,622

4,966

7,118

9,228

2,390

4,501

6,278

8,498

(8)%

3%

Asia7 - excluding South Korea

421

867

1,357

1,854

623

1,449

2,218

2,823

52%

51%

Aviva Investors8

5

257

562

881

366

761

1,165

1,647

87%

87%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

12,338

18,426

24,407

5,956

14,052

21,763

29,765

22%

27%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

292

307

321

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

12,630

18,733

24,728

5,956

14,052

21,763

29,765

20%

25%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

4    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

5    Poland includes Lithuania.

6    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

7    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

8    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

E4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete










Growth2 on 4Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

4Q15 Discrete
 £m

Sterling
 %

Constant currency
 %

United Kingdom3,4

2,931

3,121

3,046

2,911

2,445

4,626

4,625

4,540

56%

56%

Ireland

105

91

95

144

132

138

136

155

8%

18%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

3,212

3,141

3,055

2,577

4,764

4,761

4,695

54%

54%

France

1,310

1,117

1,111

1,095

1,319

1,234

1,086

1,182

8%

17%

Poland5

234

98

97

144

110

108

101

129

(10)%

(2)%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

698

742

620

413

603

513

402

629

52%

63%

Spain - excluding CxG

270

266

207

311

224

139

92

167

(46)%

(41)%

Turkey6

110

121

117

147

134

117

96

113

(22)%

(10)%

Europe

2,622

2,344

2,152

2,110

2,390

2,111

1,777

2,220

5%

15%

Asia7 - excluding South Korea

421

446

490

497

623

826

769

605

21%

23%

Aviva Investors8

5

252

305

319

366

395

404

482

51%

51%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

6,254

6,088

5,981

5,956

8,096

7,711

8,002

34%

38%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

156

15

14

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

6,410

6,103

5,995

5,956

8,096

7,711

8,002

33%

38%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

4    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

5    Poland includes Lithuania.

6    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

7    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

8    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 128

E5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - cumulative










Growth2 on 4Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

4Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
 %

Constant currency
%

Pensions

1,328

2,794

4,081

5,803

1,319

3,897

6,085

8,950

54%

54%

Annuities3

500

935

1,656

1,948

136

777

2,205

2,945

51%

51%

Bonds

45

87

135

174

39

80

109

139

(20)%

(20)%

Protection

297

568

862

1,103

268

712

1,152

1,586

44%

44%

Equity release

117

257

462

696

206

458

584

699

-

-

Other4

644

1,411

1,902

2,285

477

1,147

1,561

1,917

(16)%

(16)%

United Kingdom5

2,931

6,052

9,098

12,009

2,445

7,071

11,696

16,236

35%

35%

Ireland

105

196

291

435

132

270

406

561

29%

44%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

6,248

9,389

12,444

2,577

7,341

12,102

16,797

35%

35%

Savings

1,232

2,278

3,347

4,368

1,224

2,389

3,423

4,535

4%

16%

Protection

78

149

191

265

95

164

216

286

8%

20%

France

1,310

2,427

3,538

4,633

1,319

2,553

3,639

4,821

4%

16%

Pensions

302

465

631

904

192

356

493

700

(23)%

(12)%

Savings

890

1,819

2,583

3,182

754

1,330

1,767

2,443

(23)%

(15)%

Annuities

2

2

3

5

-

1

1

1

(66)%

(62)%

Protection

118

253

363

504

125

261

378

533

6%

18%

Poland6 , Italy6 , Spain6 and Turkey7

1,312

2,539

3,580

4,595

1,071

1,948

2,639

3,677

(20)%

(11)%

Europe

2,622

4,966

7,118

9,228

2,390

4,501

6,278

8,498

(8)%

3%

Asia6

421

867

1,357

1,854

623

1,449

2,218

2,823

52%

51%

Aviva Investors8

5

257

562

881

366

761

1,165

1,647

87%

87%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

12,338

18,426

24,407

5,956

14,052

21,763

29,765

22%

27%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

292

307

321

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

12,630

18,733

24,728

5,956

14,052

21,763

29,765

20%

25%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

4    Other UK business includes UK Retail Fund Management and UK long-term health business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

5    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

6    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG. Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015 and excludes South Korea.

7    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

8    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

E6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - discrete










Growth2 on 4Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

4Q15 Discrete
£m

Sterling
 %

Constant currency
 %

Pensions

1,328

1,466

1,287

1,722

1,319

2,578

2,188

2,865

66%

66%

Annuities3

500

435

721

292

136

641

1,428

740

154%

154%

Bonds

45

42

48

39

39

41

29

30

(23)%

(23)%

Protection

297

271

294

241

268

444

440

434

81%

81%

Equity release

117

140

205

234

206

252

126

115

(51)%

(51)%

Other4

644

767

491

383

477

670

414

356

(28)%

(28)%

United Kingdom5

2,931

3,121

3,046

2,911

2,445

4,626

4,625

4,540

56%

56%

Ireland

105

91

95

144

132

138

136

155

8%

18%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

3,212

3,141

3,055

2,577

4,764

4,761

4,695

54%

54%

Savings

1,232

1,046

1,069

1,021

1,224

1,165

1,034

1,112

9%

18%

Protection

78

71

42

74

95

69

52

70

(6)%

2%

France

1,310

1,117

1,111

1,095

1,319

1,234

1,086

1,182

8%

17%

Pensions

302

163

166

273

192

164

137

207

(24)%

(14)%

Savings

890

929

764

599

754

576

437

676

13%

21%

Annuities

2

-

1

2

-

1

-

-

(98)%

(98)%

Protection

118

135

110

141

125

136

117

155

12%

22%

Poland6 , Italy6 , Spain6 and Turkey7

1,312

1,227

1,041

1,015

1,071

877

691

1,038

3%

12%

Europe

2,622

2,344

2,152

2,110

2,390

2,111

1,777

2,220

5%

15%

Asia6

421

446

490

497

623

826

769

605

21%

23%

Aviva Investors8

5

252

305

319

366

395

404

482

51%

51%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

6,254

6,088

5,981

5,956

8,096

7,711

8,002

34%

38%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

156

15

14

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

6,410

6,103

5,995

5,956

8,096

7,711

8,002

33%

38%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

4    Other UK business includes UK Retail Fund Management and UK long-term health business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

5    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

6    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG. Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015 and excludes South Korea.

7    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

8    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 129

E7 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums


Regular premiums

Single premiums


 2015
£m

Constant currency
growth1

WACF

Present value
£m

2014
£m

WACF

Present
 value
 £m

2015
£m

 2014
£m

Constant currency
growth1

United Kingdom2,3

1,450

73%

5.8

8,480

946

5.4

5,108

7,756

6,901

12%

Ireland

24

2%

6.3

152

26

5.7

149

409

286

59%

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,474

71%

5.9

8,632

972

5.4

5,257

8,165

7,187

14%

France

86

9%

8.5

729

87

8.1

709

4,092

3,924

16%

Poland4

41

(8)%

8.0

328

50

8.7

435

120

138

(3)%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

12

(65)%

7.8

93

38

5.7

215

2,054

2,258

1%

Spain - excluding CxG

32

(5)%

6.0

192

37

6.0

221

430

833

(43)%

Turkey5

97

1%

3.8

365

111

3.8

421

95

74

48%

Europe

268

(7)%

6.4

1,707

323

6.2

2,001

6,791

7,227

5%

Asia6 - excluding South Korea

300

33%

6.9

2,060

221

6.7

1,487

763

367

107%

Aviva Investors7

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1,647

881

87%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

2,042

49%

6.1

12,399

1,516

5.8

8,745

17,366

15,662

17%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

-

-

-

-

33

4.2

138

-

183

-

Total

2,042

45%

6.1

12,399

1,549

5.7

8,883

17,366

15,845

15%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

3    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

4    Poland includes Lithuania.

5    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

6    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

7    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

E8 - Trend analysis of Investment sales - cumulative










Growth2 on 4Q14

Investment sales1

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

4Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
 %

Constant currency
%

United Kingdom & Ireland3

486

1,043

1,405

1,742

271

710

1,041

1,315

(25)%

(25)%

Aviva Investors4

730

1,616

2,195

3,089

1,073

2,102

3,475

4,993

62%

72%

Asia5

36

75

110

146

41

78

103

129

(12)%

(12)%

Total investment sales

1,252

2,734

3,710

4,977

1,385

2,890

4,619

6,437

29%

35%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 4Q15 YTD investment sales of £1,315 million are equivalent to £1,352 million on a PVNBP basis.

4    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. YTD investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £549 million for 3Q14, £864 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15, £755 million for 2Q15, £1,156 million for 3Q15 and £1,635 million for 4Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.

5    Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.

E9 - Trend analysis of Investment sales - discrete










Growth2 on 4Q14

Investment sales1

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

4Q15 Discrete £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency
%

United Kingdom & Ireland3

486

557

362

337

271

439

331

274

(19)%

(19)%

Aviva Investors4

730

886

579

894

1,073

1,029

1,373

1,518

70%

79%

Asia5

36

39

35

36

41

37

25

26

(29)%

(28)%

Total investment sales

1,252

1,482

976

1,267

1,385

1,505

1,729

1,818

43%

49%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 1Q15 investment sales of £271 million, 2Q15 investment sales of £439 million, 3Q15 investment sales of £331 million and 4Q15 investment sales of £274 million are equivalent to £295 million, £479 million, £336 million and £242 million respectively on a PVNBP basis.

4    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. Discrete investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £299 million for 3Q14, £315 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15 £393 million for 2Q15, £401 million for 3Q15 and £479 million for 4Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.

5    Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 130

 

E10 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative










Growth1 on 4Q14


1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

4Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency
%

General insurance











United Kingdom2

845

1,836

2,742

3,663

855

1,851

2,750

3,685

1%

1%

Ireland

65

136

205

272

63

134

210

282

4%

15%

United Kingdom & Ireland

910

1,972

2,947

3,935

918

1,985

2,960

3,967

1%

2%

Europe

440

747

999

1,313

399

674

910

1,200

(8)%

2%

Canada

426

1,026

1,584

2,104

409

1,013

1,519

1,992

(5)%

1%

Asia & Other

7

12

15

20

3

6

8

12

(42)%

(42)%


1,783

3,757

5,545

7,372

1,729

3,678

5,397

7,171

(3)%

1%

Health insurance











United Kingdom3

144

302

394

518

158

315

423

529

2%

2%

Ireland

33

47

65

93

28

42

58

85

(10)%

-

United Kingdom & Ireland

177

349

459

611

186

357

481

614

-

2%

Europe

94

138

182

243

89

128

157

210

(13)%

(4)%

Asia4

29

45

61

74

33

55

75

95

28%

29%


300

532

702

928

308

540

713

919

(1)%

3%

Total

2,083

4,289

6,247

8,300

2,037

4,218

6,110

8,090

(3)%

2%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

3    These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 1Q14 NWP of £144 million, 2Q14 YTD NWP of £302 million, 3Q14 YTD NWP of £394 million, 4Q14 YTD NWP of £518 million, 1Q15 NWP of £158 million, 2Q15 YTD NWP of £315 million, 3Q15 YTD NWP of £423 million and 4Q15 YTD NWP of £529 million are equivalent to £158 million, £368 million, £497 million, £542 million, £182 million, £373 million, £451 million and £565 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.

4    Singapore long-term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. For Singapore long-term health business, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million, 2Q14 YTD NWP of £9 million, 3Q14 YTD NWP of £15 million, 4Q14 YTD NWP of £22 million, 1Q15 NWP of £10 million and 2Q15 YTD NWP of £23 million, 3Q15 YTD NWP of £36 million and 4Q15 YTD NWP of £51 million are equivalent to £37 million, £87 million, £130 million, £183 million, £48 million, £120 million, £184 million and £214 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.

 

 

E11 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete










Growth1 on 4Q14


1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

4Q15 Discrete £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency
 %

General insurance











United Kingdom2

845

991

906

921

855

996

899

935

2%

2%

Ireland

65

71

69

67

63

71

76

72

6%

15%

United Kingdom & Ireland

910

1,062

975

988

918

1,067

975

1,007

2%

2%

Europe

440

307

252

314

399

275

236

290

Canada

426

600

558

520

409

604

506

473

Asia & Other

7

5

3

5

3

3

2

4

(27)%

(27)%


1,783

1,974

1,788

1,827

1,729

1,949

1,719

1,774

(3)%

1%

Health insurance











United Kingdom3

144

158

92

124

158

157

108

106

(14)%

(14)%

Ireland

33

14

18

28

28

14

16

27

(8)%

1%

United Kingdom & Ireland

177

172

110

152

186

171

124

133

(13)%

(12)%

Europe

94

44

44

61

89

39

29

53

Asia4

29

16

16

13

33

22

20

20

50%

53%


300

232

170

226

308

232

173

206

(9)%

(6)%

Total

2,083

2,206

1,958

2,053

2,037

2,181

1,892

1,980

(4)%

-

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

3    These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 1Q14 NWP of £144 million, 2Q14 NWP of £158 million, 3Q14 NWP of £92 million, 4Q14 NWP of £124 million, 1Q15 NWP of £158 million, 2Q15 NWP of £157 million, 3Q15 NWP of £108 million and 4Q15 NWP of £106 million are equivalent to £158 million, £210 million, £129 million, £45 million, £182 million, £191 million, £78 million and £114 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.

4    Singapore long-term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. For Singapore long-term health business, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million, 2Q14 NWP of £4 million, 3Q14 NWP of £6 million, 4Q14 NWP of £7 million, 1Q15 NWP of £10 million and 2Q15 NWP of £13 million, 3Q15 NWP of £13 million and 4Q15 NWP of £15 million are equivalent to £37 million, £50 million, £43 million, £53 million, £48 million, £72 million, £64 million and £30 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

End part 4 of 4

 


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