Annual Financial Report

RNS Number : 0420J
Aviva PLC
27 March 2018
 

27 March 2018

 

AVIVA PLC

 

2017 ANNUAL REPORT AND ACCOUNTS AND 2017 STRATEGIC REPORT

 

Following the release by Aviva plc (the "Company") on 8 March 2018 of the Company's 2017 Preliminary Results Announcement for the year ended 31 December 2017, the Company announces that it has today issued the 2017 annual report and accounts and 2017 strategic report.  

 

The documents are available to view on the Company's website at www.aviva.com/reports and copies have been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism and will shortly be available for inspection at www.hemscott.com/nsm.do 

 

The Company's Notice of 2018 Annual General Meeting and ancillary documents, together with hard copies of the 2017 annual report and accounts and 2017 strategic report, will be made available to shareholders later today.

 

Printed copies of the 2017 annual report and accounts and 2017 strategic report can be requested free of charge by shareholders from 27 March 2018 by contacting the Company's Registrar, Computershare Investor Services PLC, on 0371 495 0105 or at AvivaSHARES@computershare.co.uk, or by writing to the Group Company Secretary, Aviva plc, St Helen's, 1 Undershaft, London EC3P 3DQ.

 

 

Enquiries:

 

Kirsty Cooper, Group General Counsel and Company Secretary

Telephone - 020 7662 6646

 

Roy Tooley, Head of Secretariat - Corporate

Telephone - 020 7662 6019

 

 

 

 


Information required under Disclosure & Transparency Rule 6.3

This announcement should be read in conjunction with the Company's preliminary results announcement issued on 8 March 2018. Together these constitute the material required by DTR 6.3 to be communicated to the media in full unedited text through a Regulatory Information Service. This material is not a substitute for reading the Company's 2017 Annual report and accounts. Page references in the text below refer to page numbers in the 2017 Annual report and accounts.  

Directors' responsibilities

 

The directors are responsible for preparing the Annual report and accounts, the directors' remuneration report and the financial statements in accordance with applicable law and regulations.

 

Company law requires the directors to prepare financial statements for each financial year. Under that law the directors have prepared the Group and parent company financial statements in accordance with IFRS as adopted by the EU. In preparing these financial statements, the directors have also elected to comply with IFRSs, issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB). Under company law the directors must not approve the financial statements unless they are satisfied that they give a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the Group and Company and of the profit or loss for that period. In preparing these financial statements, the directors are required to:

·      select suitable accounting policies and apply them consistently

·      make reasonable and prudent judgements and accounting estimates

·      state whether applicable IFRSs as adopted by the EU and IFRSs issued by IASB have been followed, subject to any material departures disclosed and explained in the financial statements

·      prepare the financial statements on the going concern basis unless it is inappropriate to presume that the Company and Group will continue in business.

 

The directors are responsible for keeping adequate accounting records that are sufficient to show and explain the Company's transactions and disclose with reasonable accuracy at any time the financial position of the Company and Group and enable them to ensure that the financial statements and the directors' remuneration report comply with the Companies Act 2006 and, as regards the Group financial statements, Article 4 of the IAS Regulation. They are also responsible for safeguarding the assets of the Company and Group and hence for taking reasonable steps for the prevention and detection of fraud and other irregularities.

 

The directors are responsible for making, and continuing to make, the Company's Annual report and accounts available on the Company's website. Legislation in the United Kingdom governing the preparation and dissemination of financial statements may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions.

 

The directors consider that the Annual report and accounts, taken as a whole, is fair, balanced and understandable and provides the information necessary for shareholders to assess the Group's and the Company's position and performance, business model and strategy.

 

Each of the current directors, whose names and functions are detailed in the 'Our Board of Directors' section in the directors' and corporate governance report confirm that, to the best of their knowledge: the Group financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with IFRSs as adopted by the EU, give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit of the Group; and the Strategic report and the directors' and corporate governance report in this annual report include a fair review of the development and performance of the business and the position of the Group, together with a description of the principal risks and uncertainties that it faces.

 

By order of the Board on

 

7 March 2018.

 

 

Principal risks and uncertainties

In accordance with the requirements of the FCA Handbook (DTR 4.1.8) we provide a description of the principal risks and uncertainties facing the Group in note 56 to the IFRS Financial statements. More detail on the risks and uncertainties facing the Group can be found in the Risk and risk management section of the annual report.

 


Risk and risk management

Risk management is key to Aviva's success. We accept the risks inherent to our core business lines of life, accident and health, and general insurance and asset management. We diversify these risks through our scale, geographic spread, the variety of the products and services we offer and the channels through which we sell them.

We receive premiums which we invest in order to maximise risk-adjusted returns, so that we can fulfil our promises to customers while providing a return to our shareholders. In doing so we have a preference for retaining those risks we believe we are capable of managing to generate a return.

Looking forward, these risks may be magnified or dampened by current and emerging external trends which may impact upon our current and longer term profitability and viability, in particular our ability to write profitable new business.

This includes the risk of failing to adapt our business model to take advantage of these trends. The 'Principal risk trends and causal factors' table in this section describe what these trends are, their impact, future outlook and how we manage these risks.

How we manage risk

Rigorous and consistent risk management is embedded across the Group through our Risk Management Framework, comprising our systems of governance, risk management processes and risk appetite framework.

Our governance

This includes risk policies and business standards, risk oversight committees and roles and responsibilities. Line management in the business is accountable for risk management which, together with the risk function and internal audit, form our 'three lines of defence' of risk management. The roles and responsibilities of the Board Governance, Audit and Risk Committees and Management Disclosure, Asset Liability and Operational Risk Committees in the oversight of risk management and internal control is set out in the 'Directors' and corporate governance report' in the Annual report and accounts.

Our process

This comprises the processes we use to identify, measure, manage, monitor and report risks, including the use of our risk models and stress and scenario testing. Having identified and measured the risks of our business, depending on our risk appetite, we either accept these risks or take action to reduce, transfer or mitigate them.

Our risk appetite framework

This refers to the risks that we select in pursuit of return, the risks we accept but seek to minimise and the risks we seek to avoid or transfer, including quantitative expressions of the level of risk we can support (e.g. the amount of capital we are prepared to put at risk).

Types of risk inherent to our business model

Risks customers transfer to us

· Life insurance risk includes longevity risk (annuitants living longer than we expect), mortality risk (customers with life protection), critical illness risk, expense risk (the amount it costs us to administer policies) and persistency risk (customers lapsing or surrendering their policies)

· General insurance risk is the risk arising from loss events (fire, flooding, windstorms, accidents etc)

· Accident and Health insurance risk covers healthcare costs and loss of earnings arising from customers falling ill

Risks arising from our investments

· Credit risks (actual defaults and market expectation of defaults) create uncertainty in our ability to offer a minimum investment return on our investments

· Liquidity risk is the risk of not being able to make payments as they become due because there are insufficient assets in cash form

· Market risks result from fluctuations in asset values, including equity prices, property prices, foreign exchange, inflation and interest rates

Risks from our operations and other business risks

· Operational risk is the risk of direct or indirect loss, arising from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or external events including changes in the regulatory environment

· Asset management risk is the risk of customers redeeming funds, not investing with us, or switching funds, resulting in reduced fee income


Principal risk types

The types of risk to which the Group is exposed, described in the table below, have not changed significantly over the year. All of the risks below, and in particular operational risks, may have an adverse impact on our brand and reputation.

Risk type

Risk preference

Mitigation

Credit risk

· Credit spread1

· Credit default

We like credit risk as we believe we have the expertise to manage it and the structural investment advantages conferred to insurers with long-dated, relatively illiquid liabilities enable us to earn superior investment returns.

· Risk appetites set to limit overall level of credit risk

· Credit limit framework imposes limits on credit concentration by issuer, sector and type of instrument

· Investment restrictions on sovereign and corporate exposure to certain Eurozone countries

· Credit risk hedging programme

· Specific asset de-risking

Market risk

· Equity price1

· Property

· Interest rate

· Foreign exchange

· Inflation

We actively seek some market risks as part of our investment and product strategy. We have a limited appetite for interest rate, foreign exchange and inflation risks as we do not believe that these are adequately rewarded.

· Risk appetites set to limit exposures to key market risks

· Active asset management and hedging in business units

· Scalable Group-level equity and foreign exchange hedging programme

· Pension fund de-risking

· Asset and liability duration matching limits impact of interest rate changes and actions taken to manage guarantee risk, through product design

Life insurance risk

· Longevity1

· Persistency

· Mortality

· Expenses

 

We take measured amounts of life insurance risk provided we have the appropriate core skills in underwriting and pricing. We like longevity risk as it diversifies well (i.e.
has little/no correlation) against other risks we retain.

· Risk selection and underwriting on acceptance of new business

· Aviva's staff pension scheme longevity swap covering approximately £5 billion of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities

· Product design that ensures products and propositions meet customer needs

· Use of reinsurance to mitigate mortality/morbidity risks

General insurance risk

· GI catastrophe

· GI reserving (latent and non-latent)

· GI underwriting

· Expenses

We take general insurance risk in measured amounts for explicit reward, in line with our core skills in underwriting and pricing. We have a preference for those risks that we understand well, that are intrinsically well managed and where there is a spread of risks in the same category. GI risk diversifies well with our Life Insurance and other risks.

· Use of reinsurance to reduce the financial impact of a catastrophe and manage earnings volatility

· Application of robust and consistent reserving framework to derive best estimate with results subject to internal and external review, including independent reviews and audit reviews

· Extensive use of data, financial models and analysis to improve pricing and risk selection

· Underwriting and claims management disciplines

· Underwriting appetite framework linked to delegations of authority that govern underwriting decisions

· Product development and management framework that ensures products and propositions meet customer needs

· Formal and documented claims management philosophies and procedures

Liquidity risk2

 

The relatively illiquid nature of insurance liabilities is a potential source of additional investment return by allowing us to invest in higher yielding, but less liquid, assets such as commercial mortgages.

· Maintaining committed borrowing facilities (£1.65 billion) from banks

· Asset liability matching methodology develops optimal asset portfolio maturity structures in our businesses to ensure cash flows are sufficient to meet liabilities

· Commercial paper issuance

· Use of the limit framework covering minimum liquidity cover ratio and minimum central liquidity

· Contingency Funding Plan in place to address liquidity funding requirements in a significant stress scenario

Asset management risk

· Fund performance, liquidity and margin, Product, and Persistency risks

Risks specific to asset management should generally be reduced to as low a level as is commercially sensible, on the basis that taking-on these risks will rarely provide us with an upside.

· Product development and review process

· Investment performance and risk management oversight and review process

· Propositions based on customer needs

· Client relationship teams managing client retention risk

Operational risk

· Conduct

· Legal & regulatory

· People

· Process

· Data security

· Technology

Operational risk should generally be reduced to as low a level as is commercially sensible, on the basis that taking operational risk will rarely provide us with an upside.

· Application of enhanced business standards covering key processes

· Our Operational Risk & Control Management Framework which includes the tools, processes and standardised reporting necessary to identify, measure, manage, monitor and report on the operational risks and the controls in place to mitigate those risks within centrally set tolerances

· Enhanced scenario based approach to determine appropriate level of capital for operational risks

· On-going investment in simplifying our technology estate to improve the resilience and reliability of our systems

1    Top three risks ranked by diversified Solvency II Solvency Capital Requirement

2    Not quantifiable in terms of economic capital

 

Principal risk trends and causal factors

This table describes the external trends and causal factors impacting our inherent risks, their impact, future outlook and how we take action to manage these risks:

Key trends and movement

Risk management

Outlook

Uncertain interest rate environment - if current low interest rates continue for a prolonged period it will adversely affect the return we earn on our investments, as well as the attractiveness of the returns we can offer to new customers.

Trend: Reducing

Risks impacted: Credit risk, Market risks, Liquidity risk

Over the last few years we have taken significant steps to reduce the sensitivity of our balance sheet to interest rates. Our exposure to interest rates movements is mitigated by investing in fixed interest securities which closely match the interest rate sensitivity of our liabilities. Actions taken include close asset liability matching, reducing sales of products with guarantees (in particular in Italy and France), and shifting our sales towards protection and unit-linked products.

While interest rates are still well below pre-financial crisis levels, during 2017, the US Fed raised interest rates on three occasions, the Bank of England reversed its 2016 rate reduction and the ECB has begun to reduce its asset purchases. Although rates may remain below pre-2008 financial crisis levels in the EU and UK for some time to come, there is a risk that a rapid increase in rates could result in a collapse in bond prices, widening spreads and reducing asset prices.

UK-EU relations (Brexit uncertainty) - 18 months since the referendum result there remains considerable uncertainty over the UK's future relationship with the EU, economic growth and productivity, as well as the status of EU employees working in the UK and longer term implications for financial services regulation, including Solvency II.

Trend: Volatile

Risks impacted: Credit risk,
Market risks, Operational risk

Brexit does not have a significant operational impact on Aviva. We are actively engaged to ensure the interests of our customers, the company and the industry are appropriately taken into account. Our plans to address the loss of the ability for UK firms to passport business into the EU are currently in progress. Given our corporate structure, this is not a major risk. We are also reviewing our data arrangements to ensure that adequate measures are in place to allow continued uninterrupted flow of personal data. Our Financial Event Response Plan ensures that we will be able to respond swiftly and effectively to any severe adverse financial event.

In December 2017, the UK and EU agreed separation terms, reducing the risk of a sudden departure in March 2019. In 2018, negotiations will begin on transitional arrangements and a future trade agreement. Uncertainty over the ultimate outcome is heightened by the UK Government's lack of parliamentary majority.

Medical advances and healthier life styles - these contribute to an increase in life expectancy of our annuitants and thus future payments over their lifetime may be in excess of the amounts we currently expect.

Trend: Stable

Risks impacted:
Life insurance risk (longevity)

We monitor our own experience carefully and analyse external population data to identify emerging trends. Detailed analysis of the factors that influence mortality informs our pricing and reserving policies. We add qualitative medical expert inputs to our statistical analysis and analyse factors influencing mortality and trends in mortality by cause of death. Aviva's Staff Pension Scheme hedges its longevity risk covering £5 billion of pensioner in payment liabilities. Since 2016 we have used longevity reinsurance for bulk purchase annuities and Aviva guaranteed annuity options. We continue to evaluate emerging reinsurance market solutions.

There is considerable uncertainty over the extent that improvements in life expectancy experienced over the last 40 years will continue into the future e.g. despite continued medical advances emerging, lifestyle changes and strains on public health services may begin to slow or even reverse this trend.

Climate change - potentially resulting in higher than expected weather-related claims (including business continuity claims) and inaccurate pricing of general insurance risk, as well as adversely impacting economic growth and investment markets.

Trend: Increasing

Risks impacted: General insurance risk, Credit risk, Market risk

We are actively engaged in public policy debate on the risks and impacts of climate change to our business and customers. We use reinsurance to reduce the financial impact of catastrophic weather events. Our flood mapping analytics helps us identify properties most at risk and improve our risk selection. Our responsible investment strategy ensures climate change, as well as other environmental and social issues are integrated into our investment decisions. Read more in respect of the physical, transition and liability risks we face as an asset owner, insurer and asset manager in our 'Climate-related financial disclosure'.

Global average temperatures over the last four years have been the hottest on record. Despite the UNFCCC Paris agreement, the current trend of increasing CO2 emissions is expected to continue with global temperatures likely to exceed pre-industrial levels by at least 2oC and weather events (floods, droughts, windstorms) increasing in frequency (with a possibility of more cluster events) and severity. Disclosure of impacts against various climate scenarios and time horizons will become increasingly common for all companies.

 

Key trends and movement

Risk management

Outlook

Impact of new technologies - failure to understand and react to the impact of new technology and its effect on customer behaviour and how we distribute products could potentially result in our business model becoming obsolete. While failure to keep pace with the use of data to price more accurately and to detect insurance fraud could lead to loss of competitive advantage and underwriting losses.

Trend: Increasing

Risks impacted: Operational risk (developing the right strategy)

Aviva's strategy is focussed on transformation into a digital leader by taking a bold and enterprise-wide approach to digital and automation. Four years ago Aviva announced its strategic framework and embarked on a digital strategy using predictive analytics, automation and digital sales channels. We are currently integrating data analytics into our operations, enabling new means of underwriting, personalised customer propositions and operational efficiency now and in the futuresuch as our Ask it Never initiatives. Refer to 'Our strategy' for further information on our digital strategy.

There is expected to be a five-fold growth in digital data between now and 2020. Big data is becoming a critical driver of competitive advantage for insurers.

Artificial intelligence and robotic automation are likely to increasingly transform the efficiency of insurance operations such as underwriting and claims and will transform the customer experience and build deeper customer relationships.

Changes in public policy - any change in public policy (government or regulatory) could influence the demand for, and profitability of, our products. In some markets there are (or could be in the future) restrictions and controls on premium rates, rating factors and charges.

Trend: Volatile

Risks impacted: Operational risk (developing the right strategy, regulatory compliance)

We actively engage with governments and regulators in the development of public policy and regulation. We do this to understand how public policy may change and to help ensure better outcomes for our customers and the company. The Group's multi-channel distribution and product strategy and geographic diversification underpin the Group's adaptability to public policy risk, and often provides a hedge to the risk. For example, since the end of compulsory annuitisation in 2015 in the UK we have compensated for falling sales of individual annuities by increasing sales of other life and pension products including bulk purchase annuities.

The UK Government's lack of parliamentary majority increases the possibility of a general election and change of government resulting in a shift in public policy with consequences for the products we sell and our investment strategy. In other markets in which we operate: a general election will be held in Italy in March 2018; in Poland we face heightened uncertainty on public policy on pension reform; and in Ontario, Canada, further regulatory reform focussed on providing affordable motor insurance is required.

Cyber crime - criminals may attempt to access our IT systems to steal or utilise company and customer data, or plant malware viruses, in order to access customer or company funds, and/or damage our reputation and brand.

Trend: Increasing

Risks impacted: Operational risk (fraud, business interruption)

We are not complacent. We continue to invest significantly in IT Security, introducing additional automated controls to protect our data, detect and prevent cyber-attacks. In addition to implementing secure development practices we employ our own 'white hat' hackers to regularly test our IT security defences. We undertake regular activities with our people to promote awareness of cyber and data security, including: employee phishing exercises, computer based training and more regular communications about specific threats as they are identified.

In 2017 there were a number of high profile cyber security incidents for corporates in the UK and elsewhere (most notably the global Wannacry attack), and we expect this to increase in 2018 as cyber criminals and rogue states become ever more sophisticated and given the growing importance of digital automation in business strategy.

Changes in customer behaviour

- will impact how customers wish to interact with us and the product offering they expect from us, including the exercise of options embedded in contracts already sold by us.

Trend: Stable

Risks impacted: Operational risk (developing the right strategy, regulatory compliance)

Not only do we listen to our customers to ensure we meet their needs, we also seek to transform the customer experience through our digital strategy, creating an effortless customer experience. For information on how we are mitigating this risk through the execution of Digital First and True Customer Composite strategies refer to 'Our strategy', with further examples provided in the 'Market review' section.

We expect customers will be much more in control, expecting to self-service and self-solve. They will want to access data and insight and use it to guide their own decisions.

Outsourcing - we rely on a number of outsourcing providers for business processes, customer servicing, investment operations and IT support. The failure of a critical outsourcing provider could significantly disrupt our operations.

Trend: Stable

Risks impacted: Operational Risk

Our businesses are required to identify business critical outsourced functions (internal and external) and for each to have exit and termination plans and business continuity and disaster recovery plans in the event of supplier failure, which are reviewed annually. Business continuity and disaster recovery plans are subject to annual testing. We also carry out supplier financial stability reviews at least annually.

The recent insolvency of Carillion, which was not a direct supplier of services to Aviva, has brought added focus to this risk and we expect regulatory scrutiny of outsourcing arrangements to increase.

 

56 - Risk management

This note sets out the major risks our businesses and our shareholders face and describes the Group's approach to managing these. It also gives sensitivity analyses around the major economic and non-economic assumptions that can cause volatility in the Group's earnings and capital position.

(a) Risk management framework

The risk management framework in Aviva forms an integral part of the management and Board processes and decision-making framework across the Group. The key elements of our risk management framework comprise risk appetite; risk governance, including risk policies and business standards, risk oversight committees and roles and responsibilities; and the processes we use to identify, measure, manage, monitor and report risks, including the use of our risk models and stress and scenario testing.

For the purposes of risk identification and measurement, and aligned to Aviva's risk policies, risks are usually grouped by risk type: credit, market, liquidity, life insurance (including long-term health), general insurance (including short-term health), asset management and operational risk. Risks falling within these types may affect a number of metrics including those relating to balance sheet strength, liquidity and profit. They may also affect the performance of the products we deliver to our customers and the service to our customers and distributors, which can be categorised as risks to our brand and reputation or as conduct risk.

To promote a consistent and rigorous approach to risk management across all businesses we have a set of risk policies and business standards which set out the risk strategy, appetite, framework and minimum requirements for the Group's worldwide operations. The business chief executive officers make an annual declaration supported by an opinion from the business chief risk officers that the system of governance and internal controls was effective and fit for purpose for their business throughout the year.

A regular top-down key risk identification and assessment process is carried out by the risk function. This includes the consideration of emerging risks and is supported by deeper thematic reviews. This process is replicated at the business unit level. The risk assessment processes are used to generate risk reports which are shared with the relevant risk committees.

Risk models are an important tool in our measurement of risks and are used to support the monitoring and reporting of the risk profile and in the consideration of the risk management actions available. We carry out a range of stress (where one risk factor, such as equity returns, is assumed to vary) and scenario (where combinations of risk factors are assumed to vary) tests to evaluate their impact on the business and the management actions available to respond to the conditions envisaged. For those risk types managed through the holding of capital, being our principal risk types except for liquidity risk, we measure and monitor our risk profile on the basis of the Solvency II solvency capital requirement.

Roles and responsibilities for risk management in Aviva are based around the 'three lines of defence model' where ownership for risk is taken at all levels in the Group. Line management in the business is accountable for risk management, including the implementation of the risk management framework and embedding of the risk culture. The risk function is accountable for quantitative and qualitative oversight and challenge of the risk identification, measurement, monitoring, management and reporting processes and for developing the risk management framework. Internal Audit provides an independent assessment of the risk framework and internal control processes.

Board oversight of risk and risk management across the Group is maintained on a regular basis through its Risk Committee and Governance Committee. The Board has overall responsibility for determining risk appetite, which is an expression of the risk the business is willing to take. Risk appetites are set relative to capital and liquidity at Group and in the business units.

Risk appetites, requiring management action if breached, are also set for interest rate and foreign exchange risk (calculated on the basis of the Solvency II solvency capital requirement), and liquidity risk (based on stressing forecast central liquid assets and cash inflows and outflows over a specified time horizon). For other risk types the Group sets Solvency II capital tolerances. The Group's position against risk appetite and capital tolerances is monitored and reported to the Board on a regular basis. Long-term sustainability depends upon the protection of franchise value and good customer relationships. As such, Aviva has a risk preference that we will not accept risks that materially impair the reputation of the Group and requires that customers are always treated with integrity. The oversight of risk and risk management at the Group level is supported by the Asset Liability Committee, which focuses on business and financial risks, and the Operational Risk Committee which focuses on operational and reputational risks. Similar committee structures with equivalent terms of reference exist in the business units.

The risk management framework of a small number of our joint ventures and strategic equity holdings differs from the Aviva framework outlined in this note. We work with these entities to understand how their risks are managed and to align them, where possible, with Aviva's framework.

Further information on the types and management of specific risk types is given in sections (b) to (j) below.

 

(b) Credit risk

Credit risk is the risk of financial loss as a result of the default or failure of third parties to meet their payment obligations to Aviva, or variations in market values as a result of changes in expectations related to these risks. Credit risk is taken so that we can provide the returns required to satisfy policyholder liabilities and to generate returns for our shareholders. In general we prefer to take credit risk over equity and property risks, due to the better expected risk adjusted return, our credit risk analysis capability and the structural investment advantages conferred to insurers with long-dated, relatively illiquid liabilities.

Our approach to managing credit risk recognises that there is a risk of adverse financial impact resulting from fluctuations in credit quality of third parties including default, rating transition and credit spread movements. Our credit risks arise principally through exposures to debt security investments, structured asset investments, bank deposits, derivative counterparties, mortgage lending and reinsurance counterparties.

The Group manages its credit risk at business unit and Group level. All business units are required to implement credit risk management processes (including limits frameworks), operate specific risk management committees, and ensure detailed reporting and monitoring of their exposures against pre-established risk criteria. At Group level, we manage and monitor all exposures across our business units on a consolidated basis, and operate a Group limit framework that must be adhered to by all.

A detailed breakdown of the Group's current credit exposure by credit quality is shown below.

(i) Financial exposures by credit ratings

Financial assets are graded according to current external credit ratings issued. AAA is the highest possible rating. Investment grade financial assets are classified within the range of AAA to BBB ratings. Financial assets which fall outside this range are classified as sub-investment grade. The following table provides information regarding the aggregated credit risk exposure of the Group for financial assets with external credit ratings. 'Not rated' assets capture assets not rated by external ratings agencies.

As at 31 December 2017

AAA

AA

A

BBB

Below BBB

Not rated

Carrying value including held for sale
£m

Less: Amounts classified as held for sale £m

Carrying  value £m

Debt securities

10.6%

32.5%

20.0%

23.3%

7.8%

5.8%

175,948

(1,140)

174,808

Reinsurance assets

-

87.3%

8.2%

1.9%

-

2.6%

13,615

(123)

13,492

Other investments

-

0.2%

0.3%

0.1%

-

99.4%

53,277

(6,971)

46,306

Loans

-

7.1%

-

-

-

92.9%

27,863

(6)

27,857

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

270,703

(8,240)

262,463

 

As at 31 December 20161

AAA

AA

A

BBB

Below BBB

Not rated

Carrying value including held for sale
 £m

Less: Amounts classified as held for sale
 £m

Carrying value £m

Debt securities

11.8%

33.4%

19.0%

23.9%

6.0%

5.9%

186,708

(7,738)

178,970

Reinsurance assets

-

92.0%

6.3%

0.1%

-

1.6%

26,754

(411)

26,343

Other investments

-

0.2%

0.6%

-

-

99.2%

51,127

(2,304)

48,823

Loans

-

8.0%

-

0.1%

-

91.9%

24,859

(75)

24,784

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

289,448

(10,528)

278,920

1    Following a review of the Group's investment classifications, comparative amounts in respect of unit trusts and other investment vehicles and equity and debt securities have been amended from those previously reported. Refer to note 26 for further details of this adjustment and the financial statement impact arising.

The majority of non-rated debt securities within shareholder assets are held by our businesses in the UK. Of these securities most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.0 billion (2016: £2.3 billion) of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.

The Group continues to hold a series of macro credit hedges to reduce the overall credit risk exposure. The Group's maximum exposure to credit risk of financial assets, without taking collateral or these hedges into account, is represented by the carrying value of the financial instruments in the statement of financial position. These comprise debt securities, reinsurance assets, derivative assets, loans and receivables. The carrying values of these assets are disclosed in the relevant notes: financial investments (note 26), reinsurance assets (note 43), loans (note 23) and receivables (note 27). The collateral in place for these credit exposures is disclosed in note 58; Financial assets and liabilities subject to offsetting, enforceable master netting arrangements and similar agreements.

To the extent that collateral held is greater than the amount receivable that it is securing, the table above shows only an amount equal to the latter. In the event of default, any over-collateralised security would be returned to the relevant counterparty.

(ii) Financial exposures to peripheral European countries and worldwide banks

Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries and worldwide banks. We continued in 2017 to limit our direct shareholder and participating assets exposure to the governments (including local authorities and agencies) and banks of Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain. Information on our exposures to peripheral European sovereigns and banks is provided in notes 26(e) and 26(f). We continue to review whether the restrictions on investment in place since late 2009 can be relaxed, given the improved economic situation in these economies.

(iii) Other investments

Other investments (including assets of operations classified as held for sale) include unit trusts and other investment vehicles; derivative financial instruments, representing positions to mitigate the impact of adverse market movements; and other assets includes deposits with credit institutions and minority holdings in property management undertakings.

The credit quality of the underlying debt securities within investment vehicles is managed by the safeguards built into the investment mandates for these funds which determine the funds' risk profiles. At the Group level, we also monitor the asset quality of unit trusts and other investment vehicles against Group set limits.

A proportion of the assets underlying these investments are represented by equities and so credit ratings are not generally applicable. Equity exposures are managed against agreed benchmarks that are set with reference to overall appetite for market risk.

(iv) Loans

The Group loan portfolio principally comprises:

· Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;

· Loans and advances to banks which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;

· Healthcare, infrastructure and PFI loans secured against healthcare, education, social housing and emergency services related premises; and

· Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets.

We use loan to value; interest and debt service cover; and diversity and quality of the tenant base metrics to internally monitor our exposures to mortgage loans. We use credit quality, based on dynamic market measures, and collateralisation rules to manage our stock lending activities. Policy loans are loans and advances made to policyholders, and are collateralised by the underlying policies.

(v) Credit concentration risk

The long-term and general insurance businesses are generally not individually exposed to significant concentrations of credit risk due to the regulations applicable in most markets and the Group credit policy and limits framework, which limit investments in individual assets and asset classes. Credit concentrations are monitored as part of the regular credit monitoring process and are reported to Group ALCO. With the exception of government bonds the largest aggregated counterparty exposure within shareholder assets (i.e. excluding potential exposures arising from reinsurance of unit-linked funds) is to the Swiss Reinsurance Company Limited (including subsidiaries), representing approximately 2.3% of the total shareholder assets.

(vi) Reinsurance credit exposures

The Group is exposed to concentrations of risk with individual reinsurers due to the nature of the reinsurance market and the restricted range of reinsurers that have acceptable credit ratings. The Group operates a policy to manage its reinsurance counterparty exposures, by limiting the reinsurers that may be used and applying strict limits to each reinsurer. Reinsurance exposures are aggregated with other exposures to ensure that the overall risk is within appetite. The Group Capital and Group Risk teams have an active monitoring role with escalation to the Chief Financial Officer (CFO), Chief Risk Officer (CRO), Group ALCO and the Board Risk Committee as appropriate.

The Group's largest reinsurance counterparty is BlackRock Life Ltd (including subsidiaries) as a result of the BlackRock funds offered to UK Life customers via unit-linked contracts. At 31 December 2017, the reinsurance asset recoverable, including debtor balances, from BlackRock Life Ltd was £5,307 million (2016: £17,087 million), a significant reduction in exposure as a result of action taken to restructure the agreements with BlackRock Life Ltd, and will be further significantly reduced during 2018.

(vii) Securities finance

The Group has significant securities financing operations within the UK and smaller operations in some other businesses. The risks within this activity are mitigated by collateralisation and minimum counterparty credit quality requirements.

(viii) Derivative credit exposures

The Group is exposed to counterparty credit risk through derivative trades. This risk is generally mitigated through holding collateral for most trades. Residual exposures are captured within the Group's credit management framework.

(ix) Unit-linked business

In unit-linked business the policyholder bears the direct market risk and credit risk on investment assets in the unit funds and the shareholders' exposure to credit risk is limited to the extent of the income arising from asset management charges based on the value of assets in the fund.

(x) Impairment of financial assets

In assessing whether financial assets carried at amortised cost or classified as available for sale are impaired, due consideration is given to the factors outlined in accounting policies (T) and (V). The following table provides information regarding the carrying value of financial assets subject to impairment testing that have been impaired and the ageing of those assets that are past due but not impaired. The table excludes assets carried at fair value through profit or loss and held for sale.

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets that are past due but not impaired

 


At 31 December 2017

Neither past due nor impaired
 £m

0-3 months £m

3-6 months £m

6 months-
1 year
 £m

Greater than
 1 year
£m

Financial assets that have been impaired
 £m

Carrying
 value
£m

Debt securities

1,726

-

-

-

-

-

1,726

Reinsurance assets

7,521

-

-

-

-

-

7,521

Other investments

1

-

-

-

-

-

1

Loans

3,465

-

-

-

-

-

3,465

Receivables and other financial assets

8,185

78

12

5

5

-

8,285

 

 

 

Financial assets that are past due but not impaired

 

 

At 31 December 2016

Neither past due nor impaired
£m

0-3 months
£m

3-6 months
 £m

6 months-
1 year
£m

Greater than
1 year
£m

Financial
 assets that have been impaired
 £m

Carrying
 value
£m

Debt securities

1,092

-

-

-

-

-

1,092

Reinsurance assets

8,388

-

-

-

-

-

8,388

Other investments

1

-

-

-

-

-

1

Loans

3,501

-

-

-

-

-

3,501

Receivables and other financial assets

7,717

61

7

8

1

-

7,794

Excluded from the tables above are financial and reinsurance assets carried at fair value through profit or loss that are not subject to impairment testing, as follows: £174.2 billion of debt securities (2016: £185.6 billion), £53.3 billion of other investments (2016: £51.1 billion), £24.4 billion of loans (2016: £21.3 billion) and £6.1 billion of reinsurance assets (2016: £18.4 billion).

Where assets have been classed as 'past due and impaired', an analysis is made of the risk of default and a decision is made whether to seek to mitigate the risk. There were no material financial assets that would have been past due or impaired had the terms not been renegotiated.

(c) Market risk

Market risk is the risk of adverse financial impact resulting, directly or indirectly from fluctuations in interest rates, inflation, foreign currency exchange rates, equity and property prices. Market risk arises in business units due to fluctuations in both the value of liabilities and the value of investments held. At Group level, it also arises in relation to the overall portfolio of international businesses and in the value of investment assets owned directly by the shareholders. We actively seek some market risks as part of our investment and product strategy. However, we have limited appetite for interest rate risk as we do not believe it is adequately rewarded.

The management of market risk is undertaken at business unit and at Group level. Businesses manage market risks locally using the Group market risk framework and within local regulatory constraints. Group Capital is responsible for monitoring and managing market risk at Group level and has established criteria for matching assets and liabilities to limit the impact of mismatches due to market movements.

In addition, where the Group's long-term savings businesses have written insurance and investment products where the majority of investment risks are borne by its policyholders, these risks are managed in line with local regulations and marketing literature, in order to satisfy the policyholders' risk and reward objectives. The Group writes unit-linked business in a number of its operations. The shareholders' exposure to market risk on this business is limited to the extent that income arising from asset management charges is based on the value of assets in the fund.

The most material types of market risk that the Group is exposed to are described below.

(i) Equity price risk

The Group is subject to direct equity price risk arising from changes in the market values of its equity securities portfolio. Our most material indirect equity price risk exposures are to policyholder unit-linked funds, which are exposed to a fall in the value of the fund thereby reducing the fees we earn on those funds, and participating contracts, which are exposed to a fall in the value of the funds thereby increasing our costs for policyholder guarantees. We also have some equity exposure in shareholder funds through equities held to match inflation-linked liabilities.

We continue to limit our direct equity exposure in line with our risk preferences. At a business unit level, investment limits and local investment regulations require that business units hold diversified portfolios of assets thereby reducing exposure to individual equities. The Group does not have material holdings of unquoted equity securities.

Equity risk is also managed using a variety of derivative instruments, including futures and options. Businesses actively model the performance of equities through the use of risk models, in particular to understand the impact of equity performance on guarantees, options and bonus rates. An equity hedging strategy remains in place to help control the Group's overall direct and indirect exposure to equities. At 31 December 2017 the Group continues to hold a series of macro equity hedges to reduce the overall shareholder equity risk exposure.

Sensitivity to changes in equity prices is given in section '(j) risk and capital management' below.

(ii) Property price risk

The Group is subject to property price risk directly due to holdings of investment properties in a variety of locations worldwide and indirectly through investments in mortgages and mortgage backed securities. Investment in property is managed at business unit level, and is subject to local regulations on investments, liquidity requirements and the expectations of policyholders.

As at 31 December 2017, no material derivative contracts had been entered into to mitigate the effects of changes in property prices.

Sensitivity to changes in property prices is given in section '(j) risk and capital management' below.

 

 (iii) Interest rate risk

Interest rate risk arises primarily from the Group's investments in long-term debt and fixed income securities and their movement relative to the value placed on the insurance liabilities. A number of policyholder product features have an influence on the Group's interest rate risk. The major features include guaranteed surrender values, guaranteed annuity options, and minimum surrender and maturity values. Details of material guarantees and options are given in note 42.

Exposure to interest rate risk is monitored through several measures that include duration, capital modelling, sensitivity testing and stress and scenario testing. The impact of exposure to sustained low interest rates is considered within our scenario testing.

The Group typically manages interest rate risk by investing in fixed interest securities which closely match the interest rate sensitivity of the liabilities where such investments are available. In particular, a key objective is to at least match the duration of our annuity liabilities with assets of the same duration, and in some cases where appropriate cash flow matching has been used. These assets include corporate bonds, residential mortgages and commercial mortgages. Should they default before maturity, it is assumed that the Group can reinvest in assets of a similar risk and return profile, which is subject to market conditions. Interest rate risk is also managed in some business units using a variety of derivative instruments, including futures, options, swaps, caps and floors.

Some of the Group's products, principally participating contracts, expose us to the risk that changes in interest rates will impact on profits through a change in the interest spread (the difference between the amounts that we are required to pay under the contracts and the investment income we are able to earn on the investments supporting our obligations under those contracts). The primary markets where Aviva is exposed to this risk are the UK, France and Italy.

Despite a pick up in market interest rates from the historical lows experienced in 2016, the continued low interest rate environment in a number of markets around the world has resulted in our current reinvestment yields being lower than the overall current portfolio yield, primarily for our investments in fixed income securities and commercial mortgage loans. As long as market yields remain below the current portfolio level, the portfolio yield, and as a result net investment income, will continue to decline. While we anticipate interest rates may remain below historical averages before the 2008 financial crisis for some time to come, it is also possible that further future increases in interest rates or market anticipation of such increases, if larger and more rapid than expected, could adversely impact market values of our portfolio of fixed income securities and increase the risk of credit defaults and downgrades.

Other product lines of the Group, such as protection, are not significantly sensitive to interest rate or market movements. For unit-linked business, the shareholder margins emerging are typically a mixture of annual management fees and risk/expense charges. Risk and expense margins will be largely unaffected by low interest rates. Annual management fees may increase in the short term as the move towards low interest rates increases the value of unit funds. However, in the medium term, unit funds will grow at a lower rate which will reduce fund charges. For the UK annuities business interest rate exposure is mitigated by closely matching the duration of liabilities with assets of the same duration.

The UK participating business includes contracts with features such as guaranteed surrender values, guaranteed annuity options, and minimum surrender and maturity values. These liabilities are managed through duration matching of assets and liabilities and the use of derivatives, including swaptions. As a result, the Group's exposure to sustained low interest rates on this portfolio is not material. The Group's key exposure to low interest rates arises through its other participating contracts, principally in Italy and France. Some of these contracts also include features such as guaranteed minimum bonuses, guaranteed investment returns and guaranteed surrender values. In a low interest rate environment there is a risk that the yield on assets might not be sufficient to cover these obligations. For certain of its participating contracts the Group is able to amend guaranteed crediting rates. Our ability to lower crediting rates may be limited by competition, bonus mechanisms and contractual arrangements.

Details of material guarantees and options are given in note 42. In addition, the following table summarises the weighted average minimum guaranteed crediting rates and weighted average book value yields on assets as at 31 December 2017 for our Italian and French participating contracts, where the Group's key exposure to sustained low interest rates arises.


Weighted average minimum guaranteed crediting rate

Weighted average book value yield on assets

Participating contract liabilities
 £m

France

0.64%

3.02%

67,689

Italy

0.69%

3.56%

15,237

Other1

N/A

N/A

54,656

Total

N/A

N/A

137,582

1    'Other' includes UK participating business

Profit before tax on General Insurance and Health Insurance business is generally a mixture of insurance, expense and investment returns. The asset portfolio is invested primarily in fixed income securities and the reduction in interest rates in recent years has reduced the investment component of profit. The portfolio investment yield and average total invested assets in our general insurance and health business are set out in the table below.


Portfolio investment

yield1

Average
assets
£m

2015

2.58%

15,268

2016

2.47%

14,369

2017

2.07%

14,770

1    Before realised and unrealised gains and losses and investment expenses



 

56 - Risk management continued

The nature of the business means that prices in certain circumstances can be increased to maintain overall profitability. This is subject to the competitive environment in each market. To the extent that there are further falls in interest rates the investment yield would be expected to decrease further in future periods.

Sensitivity to changes in interest rates is given in section '(j) risk and capital management' below.

(iv) Inflation risk

Inflation risk arises primarily from the Group's exposure to general insurance claims inflation, to inflation linked benefits within the defined benefit staff pension schemes and within the UK annuity portfolio and to expense inflation. Increases in long-term inflation expectations are closely linked to long-term interest rates and so are frequently considered with interest rate risk. Exposure to inflation risk is monitored through capital modelling, sensitivity testing and stress and scenario testing. The Group typically manages inflation risk through its investment strategy and, in particular, by investing in inflation linked securities and through a variety of derivative instruments, including inflation linked swaps.

(v) Currency risk

The Group has minimal exposure to currency risk from financial instruments held by business units in currencies other than their functional currencies, as nearly all such holdings are backing either unit-linked or with-profits contract liabilities or hedging. As a result the foreign exchange and losses on investments (see note 5) are largely offset by changes in unit-linked and with-profits liabilities and fair value changes in derivatives attributable to changes in foreign exchange rates recognised in the income statement.

The Group operates internationally and as a result is exposed to foreign currency exchange risk arising from fluctuations in exchange rates of various currencies. Approximately 59% of the Group's premium income arises in currencies other than sterling and the Group's net assets are denominated in a variety of currencies, of which the largest are sterling, euro and Canadian dollars. The Group does not hedge foreign currency revenues as these are substantially retained locally to support the growth of the Group's business and meet local regulatory and market requirements. However, the Group does use foreign currency forward contracts to hedge planned dividends from its subsidiaries.

Businesses aim to maintain sufficient assets in local currency to meet local currency liabilities, however movements may impact the value of the Group's consolidated shareholders' equity which is expressed in sterling. This aspect of foreign exchange risk is monitored and managed centrally, against pre-determined limits. These exposures are managed by aligning the deployment of regulatory capital by currency with the Group's regulatory capital requirements by currency. Currency borrowings and derivatives are used to manage exposures within the limits that have been set. Except where the Group has applied net investment hedge accounting (see note 57(a)(i)), foreign exchange gains and losses on foreign currency borrowings (see note 6) are recognised in the income statement, whereas foreign exchange gains and losses arising on consolidation from the translation of assets and liabilities of foreign subsidiaries are recognised in other comprehensive income. At 31 December 2017 and 2016, the Group's total equity deployment by currency including assets 'held for sale' was:


Sterling
£m

Euro
£m

CAD$
 £m

Other
 £m

Total
 £m

Capital 31 December 2017

16,776

444

309

1,606

19,135

Capital 31 December 2016

15,813

923

627

2,188

19,551

 

A 10% change in sterling to euro/Canada$ (CAD$) period-end foreign exchange rates would have had the following impact on total equity.


10% increase
 in sterling /
 euro rate
 £m

10% decrease in sterling / euro rate
 £m

10% increase
 in sterling / CAD$ rate
 £m

10% decrease in sterling / CAD$ rate
 £m

Net assets at 31 December 2017

(44)

44

(31)

31

Net assets at 31 December 2016

(92)

92

(63)

20

A 10% change in sterling to euro/Canada$ (CAD$) average foreign exchange rates applied to translate foreign currency profits would have had the following impact on profit before tax, including resulting gains and losses on foreign exchange hedges.


10% increase
 in sterling/ euro rate
£m

10% decrease in sterling/
 euro rate
£m

10% increase
 in sterling/ CAD$ rate
£m

10% decrease in sterling/ CAD$ rate
£m

Impact on profit before tax 31 December 2017

(78)

95

6

(7)

Impact on profit before tax 31 December 2016

(55)

67

(15)

(9)

The balance sheet changes arise from retranslation of business unit statements of financial position from their functional currencies into sterling, with above movements being taken through the currency translation reserve. These balance sheet movements in exchange rates therefore have no impact on profit. Net asset and profit before tax figures are stated after taking account of the effect of currency hedging activities.

(vi) Derivatives risk

Derivatives are used by a number of the businesses. Derivatives are primarily used for efficient investment management, risk hedging purposes, or to structure specific retail savings products. Activity is overseen by the Group Capital and Group Risk teams, which monitor exposure levels and approve large or complex transactions.

The Group applies strict requirements to the administration and valuation processes it uses, and has a control framework that is consistent with market and industry practice for the activity that is undertaken.

 (vii) Correlation risk

The Group recognises that lapse behaviour and potential increases in consumer expectations are sensitive to and interdependent with market movements and interest rates. These interdependencies are taken into consideration in the internal capital model and in scenario analysis.

(d) Liquidity risk

Liquidity risk is the risk of not being able to make payments as they become due because there are insufficient assets in cash form. The relatively illiquid nature of insurance liabilities is a potential source of additional investment return by allowing us to invest in higher yielding, but less liquid assets such as commercial mortgages. The Group seeks to ensure that it maintains sufficient financial resources to meet its obligations as they fall due through the application of a Group liquidity risk policy and business standard and through the development of its liquidity risk management plan. At Group and business unit level, there is a liquidity risk appetite which requires that sufficient liquid resources be maintained to cover net outflows in a stress scenario. In addition to the existing liquid resources and expected inflows, the Group maintains significant undrawn committed borrowing facilities (£1,650 million) from a range of leading international banks to further mitigate this risk.

Maturity analyses

The following tables show the maturities of our insurance and investment contract liabilities, and of the financial and reinsurance assets held to meet them. A maturity analysis of the contractual amounts payable for borrowings and derivatives is given in notes 49 and 57, respectively. Contractual obligations under operating leases and capital commitments are given in note 53.

(i) Analysis of maturity of insurance and investment contract liabilities

For non-linked insurance business, the following table shows the gross liability at 31 December 2017 and 2016 analysed by remaining duration. The total liability is split by remaining duration in proportion to the cash-flows expected to arise during that period, as permitted under IFRS 4, Insurance Contracts.

Almost all linked business and non-linked investment contracts may be surrendered or transferred on demand. For such contracts, the earliest contractual maturity date is therefore the current statement of financial position date, for a surrender amount approximately equal to the current statement of financial position liability. However, we expect surrenders, transfers and maturities to occur over many years, and therefore the tables below reflect the expected cash flows for these contracts, rather than their contractual maturity date. This table includes assets held for sale.

At 31 December 2017

Total
 £m

On demand or within 1 year £m

1-5 years
 £m

5-15 years
£m

Over
15 years
£m

Long-term business






109,900

10,105

27,278

41,720

30,797

71,948

5,370

17,088

26,300

23,190

163,571

17,609

27,632

55,519

62,811

General insurance and health

16,794

6,877

6,838

2,462

617

Total contract liabilities

362,213

39,961

78,836

126,001

117,415

 

At 31 December 20161

Total
£m

On demand or within 1 year £m

1-5 years
£m

5-15 years
£m

Over
 15 years
£m

Long-term business






Insurance contracts - non-linked

116,400

9,757

31,423

44,791

30,429

Investment contracts - non-linked

73,112

5,358

17,050

27,568

23,136

Linked business

153,901

17,374

27,234

51,454

57,839

General insurance and health

16,488

6,761

6,594

2,448

685

Total contract liabilities

359,901

39,250

82,301

126,261

112,089

1    Following a review of the Group's analysis of maturity of insurance and investment contract liabilities, comparative amounts have been amended from those previously reported. This has resulted in a reclassification of £2,363 million from liabilities held in connection with linked business to investment contracts - linked business and an increase in the proportion of linked business contract liabilities with a  maturity date which in excess of 15 years. This reclassification has no impact on total contract liabilities reported at 31 December 2016.

 

 



 

 (ii) Analysis of maturity of financial assets

The following table provides an analysis, by maturity date of the principal, of the carrying value of financial assets which are available to fund the repayment of liabilities as they crystallise. This table excludes assets held for sale.

At 31 December 2017

Total
£m

On demand or within 1 year £m

1-5 years
£m

Over 5 years £m

No fixed term (perpetual)
£m

Debt securities

174,808

28,037

47,289

99,078

404

Equity securities

89,968

-

-

-

89,968

Other investments

46,306

40,500

364

4,680

762

Loans

27,857

1,651

5,053

21,149

4

Cash and cash equivalents

43,347

43,347

-

-

-

 

382,286

113,535

52,706

124,907

91,138

 

At 31 December 20161  

Total
£m

On demand or within 1 year £m

1-5 years
£m

Over 5 years
 £m

No fixed term (perpetual)
£m

Debt securities

178,970

24,293

49,061

105,448

168

Equity securities

72,042

-

-

-

72,042

Other investments

48,823

45,889

1,112

275

1,547

Loans

24,784

1,352

5,609

17,819

4

Cash and cash equivalents

38,708

38,708

-

-

-

 

363,327

110,242

55,782

123,542

73,761

1    Following a review of the Group's investment classifications, comparative amounts in respect of unit trusts and other investment vehicles and equity and debt securities have been amended from those previously reported. Refer to note 26 for further details of this adjustment and the financial statement impact arising.

The assets above are analysed in accordance with the earliest possible redemption date of the instrument at the initiation of the Group. Where an instrument is transferable back to the issuer on demand, such as most unit trusts or similar types of investment vehicle, it is included in the 'On demand or within 1 year' column. Debt securities with no fixed contractual maturity date are generally callable at the option of the issuer at the date the coupon rate is reset under the contractual terms of the instrument. The terms for resetting the coupon are such that we expect the securities to be redeemed at this date, as it would be uneconomic for the issuer not to do so, and for liquidity management purposes we manage these securities on this basis. The first repricing and call date is normally ten years or more after the date of issuance. Most of the Group's investments in equity securities and fixed maturity securities are market traded and therefore, if required, can be liquidated for cash at short notice.

(e) Life and health insurance risk

Life insurance risk in the Group arises through its exposure to mortality risk and exposure to worse than anticipated operating experience on factors such as persistency levels, exercising of policy holder options and management and administration expenses. The Group's health insurance business (including private health insurance, critical illness cover, income protection and personal accident insurance, as well as a range of corporate healthcare products) exposes the Group to morbidity risk (the proportion of our customers falling sick) and medical expense inflation. The Group chooses to take measured amounts of life and health insurance risk provided that the relevant business has the appropriate core skills to assess and price the risk and adequate returns are available. The Group's underwriting strategy and appetite is communicated via specific policy statements, related business standards and guidelines. Life insurance risk is managed primarily at business unit level with oversight at the Group level.

The underlying risk profile of our life and health insurance risks, primarily persistency, longevity, mortality and expense risk, has remained stable during 2017, although the current continued relatively low levels of interest rates have increased our sensitivity to longevity shocks compared to historical norms. We are also exposed to longevity risk through the Aviva Staff Pension Scheme, to which our economic exposure has been reduced since 2014 by entering into a longevity swap covering approximately £5 billion of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities. Longevity risk remains the Group's most significant life insurance risk, while persistency risk remains significant and continues to have a volatile outlook with underlying performance linked to some degree to economic conditions. However, businesses across the Group have continued to make progress with a range of customer retention activities. The Group has continued to write considerable volumes of life protection business, and to utilise reinsurance to reduce exposure to potential losses. More generally, life insurance risks are believed to provide a significant diversification against other risks in the portfolio. Life insurance risks are modelled within the internal capital model and subject to sensitivity and stress and scenario testing. The assumption and management of life and health insurance risks is governed by the Group-wide business standards covering underwriting, pricing, product design and management, in-force management, claims handling, and reinsurance. The individual life and health insurance risks are managed as follows:

· Mortality and morbidity risks are mitigated by use of reinsurance. The Group allows businesses to select reinsurers, from those approved by the Group, based on local factors, but retains oversight of the overall exposures and monitors that the aggregation of risk ceded is within credit risk appetite.

· Longevity risk and internal experience analysis are monitored against the latest external industry data and emerging trends. Whilst individual businesses are responsible for reserving and pricing for annuity business, the Group monitors the exposure to this risk and any associated capital implications. The Group has used reinsurance solutions to reduce the risks from longevity and continually monitors and evaluates emerging market solutions to mitigate this risk further.

· Persistency risk is managed at a business unit level through frequent monitoring of company experience, and benchmarked against local market information. Generally, persistency risk arises from customers lapsing their policies earlier than has been assumed. Where possible the financial impact of lapses is reduced through appropriate product design. Businesses also implement specific initiatives to improve the retention of policies which may otherwise lapse. The Group has developed guidelines on persistency management.

· Expense risk is primarily managed by the business units through the assessment of business unit profitability and frequent monitoring of expense levels.

 

Embedded derivatives

The Group is exposed to the risk of changes in policyholder behaviour due to the exercise of options, guarantees and other product features embedded in its long-term savings products. These product features offer policyholders varying degrees of guaranteed benefits at maturity or on early surrender, along with options to convert their benefits into different products on pre-agreed terms. The extent of the impact of these embedded derivatives differs considerably between business units and exposes Aviva to changes in policyholder behaviour in the exercise of options as well as market risk.

Examples of each type of embedded derivative affecting the Group are:

· Options: call, put, surrender and maturity options, guaranteed annuity options, options to cease premium payment, options for withdrawals free of market value adjustment, annuity options, and guaranteed insurability options.

· Guarantees: embedded floor (guaranteed return), maturity guarantee, guaranteed death benefit, and guaranteed minimum rate of annuity payment.

· Other: indexed interest or principal payments, maturity value, loyalty bonus.

The impact of these is reflected in the capital model and managed as part of the asset liability framework. Further disclosure on financial guarantees and options embedded in contracts and their inclusion in insurance and investment contract liabilities is provided in note 42.

(f) General insurance risk

Types of risk

General insurance risk in the Group arises from:

· Fluctuations in the timing, frequency and severity of claims and claim settlements relative to expectations;

· Unexpected claims arising from a single source or cause;

· Inaccurate pricing of risks or inappropriate underwriting of risks when underwritten; and

· Inadequate reinsurance protection or other risk transfer techniques.

Aviva has a preference for general insurance risk in measured amounts for explicit reward, in line with our core skills in underwriting and pricing. The majority of the general insurance business underwritten by the Group continues to be short tail in nature such as motor, household and commercial property insurances. The Group's underwriting strategy and appetite is communicated via specific policy statements, related business standards and guidelines. General insurance risk is managed primarily at business unit level with oversight at the Group level. Claims reserving is undertaken by local actuaries in the various general insurance businesses and is also subject to periodic external reviews. Reserving processes are further detailed in note 40 'insurance liabilities'.

The vast majority of the Group's general insurance business is managed and priced in the same country as the domicile of the customer.

Management of general insurance risks

Significant insurance risks will be reported under the risk management framework. Additionally, the capital model is used to assess the risks that each general insurance business unit, and the Group as a whole, is exposed to, quantifying their impact and calculating appropriate capital requirements.

Business units have developed mechanisms that identify, quantify and manage accumulated exposures to contain them within the limits of the appetite of the Group. The business units are assisted by the General Insurance Council which provides technical input for major decisions which fall outside individual delegated limits or escalations outside group risk preferences, group risk accumulation, concentration and profitability limits.

Reinsurance strategy

Significant reinsurance purchases are reviewed annually at both business unit and Group level to verify that the levels of protection being bought reflect any developments in exposure and the risk appetite of the Group. The basis of these purchases is underpinned by analysis of  capital, earnings and capital volatility, cash flow and liquidity and the Group's franchise value.

Detailed actuarial analysis is used to calculate the Group's extreme risk profile and then design cost and capital efficient reinsurance programmes to mitigate these risks to within agreed appetites. For businesses writing general insurance we analyse the natural catastrophe exposure using our own internal probabilistic catastrophe model which is benchmarked against external catastrophe models widely used by the rest of the (re)insurance industry.

The Group cedes much of its worldwide catastrophe risk to third-party reinsurers through excess of loss and aggregate excess of loss structures. The Group purchases a group-wide catastrophe reinsurance programme to protect against catastrophe losses exceeding a 1 in 200 year return period. The total Group potential retained loss from its most concentrated catastrophe exposure peril (Northern Europe Windstorm) is approximately £150 million on a per occurrence basis and £175 million on an annual aggregate basis. Any losses above these levels are covered by the group-wide catastrophe reinsurance programme to a level in excess of a 1 in 200 year return period. In addition the Group purchases a number of GI business line specific reinsurance programmes with various retention levels to protect both capital and earnings, and has reinsured 100% of its latent exposures to its historic UK employers' liability and public liability business written prior to 31 December 2000.

(g) Asset management risk

Aviva is directly exposed to the risks associated with operating an asset management business through its ownership of Aviva Investors. The underlying risk profile of our asset management risk is derived from investment performance, specialist investment professionals and leadership, product development capabilities, fund liquidity, margin, client retention, regulatory developments, fiduciary and contractual responsibilities. Funds invested in illiquid assets such as commercial property are particularly exposed to liquidity risk. The risk profile is regularly monitored.

56 - Risk management continued

A client relationship team is in place to manage client retention risk, while all new asset management products undergo a review and approval process at each stage of the product development process, including approvals from legal, compliance and risk functions. Investment performance against client objectives relative to agreed benchmarks is monitored as part of our investment performance and risk management process, and subject to further independent oversight and challenge by a specialist risk team, reporting directly to the Aviva Investors' Chief Risk Officer.

(h) Operational risk

Operational risk is the risk of direct or indirect loss, arising from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or external events including changes in the regulatory environment. We have limited appetite for operational risk and aim to reduce these risks as far as is commercially sensible.

Our business units are primarily responsible for identifying and managing operational risks within their businesses, within the group-wide operational risk framework including the risk and control self-assessment process. Businesses must be satisfied that all material risks falling outside our risk tolerances are being mitigated, monitored and reported to an appropriate level. Any risks with a high potential impact are monitored centrally on a regular basis. Businesses use key indicator data to help monitor the status of the risk and control environment. They also identify and capture loss events, taking appropriate action to address actual control breakdowns and promote internal learning.

(i) Brand and reputation risk

We are exposed to the risk that litigation, employee misconduct, operational failures, the outcome of regulatory investigations, media speculation and negative publicity, disclosure of confidential client information, inadequate services, whether or not founded, could impact our brands or reputation. Any of our brands or our reputation could also be affected if products or services recommended by us (or any of our intermediaries) do not perform as expected (whether or not the expectations are founded) or customers' expectations for the product change. We seek to reduce this risk to as low a level as commercially sensible.

The FCA regularly considers whether we are meeting the requirement to treat our customers fairly and we make use of various metrics to assess our own performance, including customer advocacy, retention and complaints. Failure to meet these requirements could also impact our brands or reputation.

If we do not manage the perception of our brands and reputation successfully, it could cause existing customers or agents to withdraw from our business and potential customers or agents to choose not to do business with us.

(j) Risk and capital management

(i) Sensitivity test analysis

The Group uses a number of sensitivity tests to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on the Group's key financial performance metrics to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks to which each of its business units, and the Group as a whole, are exposed.

(ii) Life insurance and investment contracts

The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements.

(iii) General insurance and health business

General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques. These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years. In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.

(iv) Sensitivity test results

Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health business and the fund management and non-insurance business are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.

Sensitivity factor

Description of sensitivity factor applied

Interest rate and investment return

The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities.

Credit spreads

The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations.

Equity/property market values

The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%.

Expenses

The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%.

Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%.

Annuitant mortality (long-term insurance only)

The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%.

Gross loss ratios (non-long-term insurance only)

The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%.

 

Long-term business

Sensitivities as at 31 December 2017

31 December 2017 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
 +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
 -5%

Insurance participating

(45)

25

(15)

(20)

(40)

(25)

(5)

(10)

Insurance non-participating

(475)

485

(790)

(135)

115

(215)

(105)

(905)

Investment participating

-

10

(5)

(5)

-

(15)

-

-

Investment non-participating

-

(10)

(5)

10

(10)

(30)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(90)

115

(25)

20

(20)

-

-

-

Total

(610)

625

(840)

(130)

45

(285)

(110)

(915)

 

31 December 2017 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Expenses +10%

Assurance mortality
 +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(45)

25

(15)

(20)

(40)

(25)

(5)

(10)

Insurance non-participating

(475)

485

(790)

(135)

115

(215)

(105)

(905)

Investment participating

-

10

(5)

(5)

-

(15)

-

-

Investment non-participating

-

(10)

(5)

10

(10)

(30)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(150)

175

(35)

20

(20)

-

-

-

Total

(670)

685

(850)

(130)

45

(285)

(110)

(915)

 

Sensitivities as at 31 December 2016

31 December 2016 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
 +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Expenses
+10%

Assurance mortality
 +5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance Participating

(50)

30

(10)

(130)

65

(30)

(5)

(15)

Insurance non-participating

(190)

20

(775)

(35)

10

(190)

(90)

(920)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

10

(15)

-

50

(70)

(65)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(115)

190

10

(85)

85

-

-

-

Total

(355)

230

(780)

(200)

90

(290)

(95)

(935)

 

31 December 2016 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
 -5%

Insurance Participating

(50)

30

(10)

(130)

65

(30)

(5)

(15)

Insurance non-participating

(190)

20

(775)

(35)

10

(190)

(90)

(920)

Investment participating

(10)

5

(5)

-

-

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

10

(15)

-

50

(70)

(65)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(155)

230

5

(85)

85

-

-

-

Total

(395)

270

(785)

(200)

90

(290)

(95)

(935)

Changes in sensitivities between 2017 and 2016 reflect underlying movements in the value of assets and liabilities, the relative duration of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic and demographic movements relate mainly to business in the UK.

General insurance and health business sensitivities as at 31 December 2017

31 December 2017 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
 +5%

Gross of reinsurance

(285)

300

(130)

165

(165)

(120)

(335)

Net of reinsurance

(345)

355

(130)

165

(165)

(120)

(325)

 

31 December 2017 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
 +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses +10%

Gross loss ratios
 +5%

Gross of reinsurance

(285)

300

(130)

165

(165)

(25)

(335)

Net of reinsurance

(345)

355

(130)

165

(165)

(25)

(325)

Sensitivities as at 31 December 2016

31 December 2016 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
 +10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(315)

320

(145)

85

(85)

(115)

(340)

Net of reinsurance

(385)

375

(145)

85

(85)

(115)

(320)

 

31 December 2016 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Gross loss ratios
 +5%

Gross of reinsurance

(315)

320

(145)

85

(85)

(25)

(340)

Net of reinsurance

(385)

375

(145)

85

(85)

(25)

(320)

 

For general insurance and health, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses, in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.

Fund management and non-insurance business sensitivities as at 31 December 2017

31 December 2017 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
 +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Total

(30)

30

80

(10)

20

 

31 December 2017 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads +0.5%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Total

(25)

25

80

(10)

15

Sensitivities as at 31 December 2016

31 December 2016 Impact on profit before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
-1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%1

Equity/ property
 +10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total

-

-

30

(10)

15

1    Revised from £10 million to £30 million to include Aviva International Insurance.

31 December 2016 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m

Interest rates +1%

Interest rates
 -1%

Credit spreads

+0.5%1

Equity/ property
 +10%

Equity/ property
 -10%

Total

-

-

30

(10)

15

1    Revised from £10 million to £30 million to include Aviva International Insurance.

Limitations of sensitivity analysis

The above tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally, the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.

As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.

A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholder equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.

Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.

59 - Related party transactions

This note gives details of the transactions between Group companies and related parties which comprise our joint ventures, associates and staff pension schemes.

The Group undertakes transactions with related parties in the normal course of business. Loans to related parties are made on normal arm's-length commercial terms.

Services provided to, and by related parties





2017
 £m




2016
£m


Income earned in the year
 £m

Expenses incurred in
 the year
£m

Payable at year end
 £m

Receivable at year end
 £m

Income earned in the year
£m

Expenses incurred in
 the year
£m

Payable at
year end
 £m

Receivable at year end
 £m

Associates

4

(4)

-

-

4

(3)

-

-

Joint ventures

49

-

-

2

46

-

-

2

Employee pension schemes

12

-

-

14

16

-

-

5


65

(4)

-

16

66

(3)

-

7

Transactions with joint ventures in the UK relate to the property management undertakings, the most material of which are listed in note 18(a)(iii). The Group has equity interests in these joint ventures, together with the provision of administration services and financial management to many of them. Our fund management companies also charge fees to these joint ventures for administration services and for arranging external finance.

Key management personnel of the Company may from time to time purchase insurance, savings, asset management or annuity products marketed by group companies on equivalent terms to those available to all employees of the Group. In 2017, other transactions with key management personnel were not deemed to be significant either by size or in the context of their individual financial positions.

Our UK fund management companies manage most of the assets held by the Group's main UK staff pension scheme, for which they charge fees based on the level of funds under management. The main UK scheme holds investments in Group-managed funds and insurance policies with other group companies, as explained in note 48(b)(ii). As at 31 December 2017, the Friends Provident Pension Scheme ('FPPS'), acquired in 2015 as part of the acquisition of the Friends Life business, held an insurance policy of £630 million (2016: £633 million) issued by a group company, which eliminates on consolidation.

The related parties' receivables are not secured and no guarantees were received in respect thereof. The receivables will be settled in accordance with normal credit terms.

Key management compensation

The total compensation to those employees classified as key management, being those having authority and responsibility for planning, directing and controlling the activities of the Group, including the executive and non-executive directors is as follows:


2017
£m

2016
£m

Salary and other short-term benefits

12.5

14.6

Other long-term benefits

5.4

5.3

Post-employment benefits

1.5

1.5

Equity compensation plans

16.4

9.3

Termination benefits

0.4

-

Total

36.2

30.7

Information concerning individual directors' emoluments, interests and transactions is given in the Directors' Remuneration Report.

 


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