Annual Financial Report

Annual Financial Report Announcement Aurora Investment Trust plc CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT The Year's Returns: NAV: - 44.9% to 111.9p; Benchmark: - 36.0% I am afraid the results for the last year make pretty grim reading, with our net asset value having collapsed in the second half of our year. At the half way stage - to 31st August 2008 - things didn't look all that bad, our net asset value having declined 3.3%, a little better than that of the market's fall of 4.8% (the FTSE All-share Index). But it proved to be the eve of the storm because within weeks of our half year end Lehman Brothers had gone bust and stock markets around the world were in freefall. We were, I am afraid, poorly positioned for the events that followed - overloaded with holdings in the mining and in the financial sectors. As a consequence our net asset value declined by 43.0% in the second half of our year, a lot worse than the market which fell by 32.7%. Our portfolio was not without one or two successes but with one exception, our holding in BTG Group, they made little difference; the declines in some of our holdings in mining and financial stocks were rather large - to put it mildly. The top five contributors and the top five detractors to the returns of the portfolio were as follows: +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | | Increase in value | Contribution to NAV | | Top 5 Contributors | | | |-----------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 1. BTG | + £706,000 | +5.5p | |-----------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 2. Orca Interactive | + £169,000 | + 1.3p | |-----------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 3. Drax Group | + £142,000 | + 1.1p | |-----------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 4. Vendanta Resources | + £28,000 | + 0.2p | |-----------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 5. Emblaze Systems | + £23,000 | + 0.2p | |-----------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | TOP 5 CONTRIBUTORS | + £1,068,000 | + 8.2p | +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ . +------------------------------------------------------------------+ | | Decrease in value | Detraction from NAV | | Top 5 Detractors | | | |------------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 1. Xstrata | - £1,856,000 | - 11.3p | |------------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 2. Rio Tinto Zinc | - £1,418,000 | - 10.8p | |------------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 3. Antofagasta | - £1,056,000 | - 10.3p | |------------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 4. Charlemagne Capital | - £ 847,000 | - 8.8p | |------------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | 5. GCM Resources | - £ 793,000 | - 6.8p | |------------------------+-------------------+---------------------| | TOP 5 DETRACTORS | - £6,527,000 | - 46.1p | +------------------------------------------------------------------+ We went through much of the year with little or no borrowings, having just £675,000 at the end of the year but what we had will have made matters a little bit worse; however we bought back 650,000 shares which we estimate will have added about 1p to the net asset value. Long Term NAV Returns: 5 Years: - 40.7%; Benchmark: - 14.0% Since launch: + 14.4%; Benchmark: - 10.5% Each year I emphasise that our stated objective for shareholders is to achieve capital growth over the long-term. We regard five years as the appropriate time over which to judge the long-term returns of the Company. A year like the last one is likely scupper any long term record and indeed, as the number above show, it has done so to our five year returns. That the stock market also lost money is of little comfort - particularly as we did a lot worse. The first half of our life as an investment trust company produced quite excellent returns as the themes that we backed - based on a high growth, low inflationary global economy - produced a number of portfolio winners for us, notably in companies involved in house building, mining and in Ireland. However we were slow to recognise that things were changing and, as a consequence, we overstayed our welcome; so we ended up giving away much of the gains we had made. We have also, as I have mentioned in previous statements, lost rather a lot in smaller concept stocks. As a consequence of all of this and of the financial crisis that we find ourselves embroiled in, we have given a lot of thought about future investment themes - about which I comment below. For the record the net asset value return since launch is 14.4%, not a great return over 12 years but rather better than the stock market itself, which declined by 10.5%. Shareholders' Total Returns: Over one year: - 92.5p or - 50.9% Over five years: - 70.4p or - 40.8% Since launch: +20.6p or + 20.6% The share price suffered particularly badly last year because the discount widened on the back of the decline in the net asset value. We are conscious that it is the share price which determines the value of shareholders' investment and are concerned when the discount gets too large. At 24.9%, which is where it ended the year, it was far too large. As I mentioned above, we have bought back some shares but we are limited in the amount that we can buy back and for the moment we are not buying any more, although the position is kept under close review. In any event all shares bought back reduce the liquidity of our shares in the market place, something we give consideration to in determining whether or not to buy back shares. The best way to reduce the discount is to perform well - thereby encouraging investors to buy shares and become investors. That is what we are giving particular attention to. +-------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Analysis of | One year | Five years | Since Launch | | shareholders' | | | | | return | | | | |----------------+----------------+---------------+-----------------| | Change in NAV | - | -44.9% | - | - | + | + 14.4% | | p sh. | 91.1p | | 76.6p | 40.7% | 14.1p | | |----------------+-------+--------+-------+-------+-------+---------| | Change in | - | | - | | - | | | discount | 6.4p | | 11.9p | | 30.1p | | |----------------+-------+--------+-------+-------+-------+---------| | | | | | | | | |----------------+-------+--------+-------+-------+-------+---------| | Change in | - | -53.7% | - | - | - | -16.0% | | share price | 97.5p | | 88.5p | 51.3% | 16.0p | | |----------------+-------+--------+-------+-------+-------+---------| | Dividends | + | | + | | + | | | | 5.0p | | 18.1p | | 36.6p | | |----------------+-------+--------+-------+-------+-------+---------| | | | | | | | | |----------------+-------+--------+-------+-------+-------+---------| | Total | - | -50.9% | - | - | + | + 20.6% | | Shareholders' | 92.5p | | 70.4p | 40.8% | 20.6p | | | Return* | | | | | | | +-------------------------------------------------------------------+ *NB dividends not reinvested Annual General Meeting: at 12 pm on 15th July, 2009 at 145-157 St John St., London, EC1 The Dividend: In an otherwise dismal year, the one piece of cheer has been the income account where there has been a quite dramatic improvement in the net income we have earned. There were a number of contributory factors to the increase in the net income (the "Revenue" columns in the Consolidated Income Statement), which rose from £62,000 to £879,000 - including profitable trading in our trading subsidiary, lower costs and the one-off rebate of VAT, which was paid in the past but which has now been recovered from HMRC. As a consequence of this we are recommending the payment of a total of 5.0p per share, an increase of 58.7% over last year's payment of 3.15p per share. We like, if we can, to keep the dividend growing (in line with inflation if possible), but the 2007/8 net income was abnormally high so that a dividend of 5.0p per share will not be earned or paid for 2008/9. The Board of Directors: Last September Michael Heathcoat Amory retired from the Board and David Hunter will not be standing for re-election at the forth coming annual general meeting. Both of them were founder directors of the Company in 1997. Being a director of any public company has become more and more of a chore over these last 12 years, as the focus of governance has changed from directing management in the interest of shareholders to observing best practice process (business equivalent of political correctness) and complying with the tsunami of rules, regulations and standards that have been heaped upon us. They have both made a huge contribution to the workings of the board in difficult times and their experience and wisdom has been invaluable. On behalf of all of us shareholders I would like to thank them. Michael and David - thank you very much indeed. As a consequence of losing them as directors, the Board is engaged in looking for a new director; we would expect to make an appointment during the course of the current year. The Annual General Meeting: I do urge as many shareholders as possible to join us for the Annual General Meeting. It will be held at 12pm at Cavendish Administration's offices, 145-157 St John Street, London (Farringdon tube station). It is the occasion when shareholders can meet all of the directors and ask questions or make comments or suggestions which we would welcome and which we feel that all shareholders should have the benefit of hearing. Please come and join us. Current Outlook and Prospects: We have had five bad years; furthermore we are now in the middle of a financial crisis much more serious than almost anyone involved in the financial business today has ever experienced. Our future as an investment trust has therefore been a matter of considerable concern to you board of directors. In September 2008, we had a special away day board meeting devoted entirely to the investment environment in which we find ourselves. The purpose of the meeting was to consider our investment strategy in the light of the conditions that we found ourselves in. So much has been said and written about the financial crisis and its consequences that I don't propose to agonise over the issues here. Suffice it to say that we are of the view that the virtual collapse of the banking system will have brought about a new order in the global economy, one that is quite different to that of the past quarter of a century. The global economy had grown at a rather spectacular rate: ever increasing consumer and government spending was financed by ever increasing quantities of debt but the inflation, which such debt financed demand would normally induce, never emerged because of the supply of cheap goods manufactured in countries with emerging economies (notably China) at very low cost. However the structure of global trade was unbalanced and depended on the producers keeping their currencies competitive by, in turn, keeping their export earnings invested in dollars, pounds, euros. Not only did consumers and governments become over borrowed but so did the banks which made the loans. This state of affairs has broken down and we are now faced with a number of years of, if we are lucky, sub par global economic growth. Restabilising the global economy is going to take some time; some areas will recover much more quickly than others (almost certainly those emerging market economies). In May 2009 the Board of Directors met to consider the appropriateness of our investment policy. We considered a number of propositions, including whether, in the current circumstances, we could expect to make money for shareholders over the next five years. While inevitably there were different views around the boardroom table in relation to the seriousness of the situation, we concluded that - providing we understood the nature of this new economic order - there would be good opportunities to make profitable investments. Our view is that for the time being there will be a drawn out recession during which there will be little or no inflation; it will be a difficult time for corporate profits. However the quite extraordinary monetary and fiscal stimulus being imposed will revive economies (some more than others) but at the cost of inflation - possibly quite considerable inflation. Governments will find themselves torn between containing inflation and dealing with high unemployment. Inflation devalues the debts that governments will have incurred and is the easy politically option. It is therefore the likely course of events - even if later rather than sooner. In these circumstances some thoughts sprang to mind: * It is possible that the pound will decline further (maybe - the US is in just as big an economic pickle); exposure to overseas, particularly to emerging market economies, should prove profitable from an investment and from a currency point of view. * The demographics of the UK (and of Europe) are such that there is a fast growing aging population, which typically needs, amongst other things, income from savings, from pensions, insurance policies and investments. And yet interest rates have been cut to almost nothing, dividends are being cut and, for some, taxes have risen; there will be, indeed there is already is, a shortage of income investing opportunities. Identifying reliable sources of income, particularly growing income, should produce good capital profits. * Given that, for the time being, the indebtedness of low savings economies - most particularly the UK - will continue to rise, stock markets are likely to remain very volatile with some periods of relief rallies and with other periods of pessimistic declines. Such volatility creates investment opportunities, even if they tend to be of short duration. This is particularly attractive to us with our goal of progressively raising our dividend. * There will remain certain themes that will continue to make progress; they include the infrastructure, the environment, renewable energy, healthcare, electronics technology etc. It will be important to identify those that prove profitable because a feature of higher levels of inflation is profitless prosperity. Inflation does not create real wealth, only the illusion of it. So while we are not particularly enthusiastic about the prospects for our economy and while we are a lot less enthusiastic about our government (which has proven to be self-serving, dishonest and thoroughly incompetent), we do believe that there will be good opportunities to make money, particularly so given the huge decline in stock markets that has already taken place. We do need to be vigilant but not naïve about what lies ahead of us. I am, however, pleased that the portfolio has performed strongly in the current year to date. Alex Hammond-Chambers Chairman 5 June 2009 MANAGER'S REVIEW AND OUTLOOK If the Prime Minister does not have the courage or manners to apologise to the electorate for his mistakes of having mismanaged the economy, for his hollow and failed promises to abolish the boom-and-bust cycles, and for having stripped the Bank of England of its powers to regulate banks, then it makes me all the more resolute. I wish to put up my hand to say sorry to our shareholders for my many and varied mistakes during the last year. Sadly, I possessed neither the vision and foresight of Prof Nouriel Roubini nor the brainpower and reactions of Miss Gael Trimble (the outstanding points winner of University Challenge). I am not alone, but rather unfortunate to have had a year end which coincided with what appears to date to have been the bottom of the market. The last year was an exceptional one, (I hope a once in a lifetime experience) notable both for fear and greed. Fear of plunging stock and commodity prices, and greed, as manifested through excessive bonuses, pension pots, Ponzi schemes, and in one extraordinary case (Anglo Irish Bank) for massive directors' loans. The acquisition by Lloyds Bank of HBOS, following a mere brief discussion at a cocktail party, is also a notable example. How apposite is Warren Buffet's remark about seeing the naked swimmers when the tide goes out. The period witnessed previously unimaginable events such as not only the collapse of two Scottish banks and one building society, but also Lehman Brothers and even AIG, the world's largest insurer, while many other financial institutions are teetering on the brink of full public ownership. In addition, the price of many hard commodities collapsed below the marginal cost of production, oil fell by more than $100 per barrel, and the Baltic dry cargo index collapsed from 11,793 to 663 in the space of five months. Furthermore, UK interest rates have been rapidly reduced and currently stand at the lowest level since the foundation of the Bank of England in 1694. It was indeed the year when 'Christmas week' became 'Christmas month' and the more frequent use of the abbreviation R and D related to recession and /or depression rather than research and development. Unemployment continues to soar. It was certainly not a successful year for the Governor of the Bank of England, whose stated ambition is to make economic events appear boring! In the UK stock-market there has been an unprecedented level of volatility and overall a massive flight to size and quality companies of a defensive nature away from their smaller brethren; all thoughts of future growth prospects were discarded. In summary, it was almost impossible to make money, other than for very short term periods, by owning equities (even including the dullest of utilities) or corporate bonds; only gold and government bonds proved profitable holdings. Meanwhile, the return on cash has almost reached zero. Twelve months ago, on account of its huge relevance to the portfolio, my colleague Stephen and I paid a three day visit to Dublin, to gain first hand experience of the state and prospects for the Irish economy. Since then, the banking sector has imploded, partly as a result of external events, but also on account of internal mismanagement or worse. The 'final straw' for Anglo Irish Bank was the disclosure of the huge loans to several of the directors and the massaging of the level of deposits at the company's year end. Fortunately, we reduced our exposure to zero before the full horrors unfolded. It will be, in my opinion, several years before the Celtic tiger roars once more. A year ago the portfolio also had a very overweight position in the mining sector. I was a firm believer in the theory of the commodity 'super- cycle' and the prospect that decoupling would take place between the rate of growth in the western economies and those prevalent amongst the emerging nations who would remain unscathed by the credit crunch due to their high savings ratios. In the event, what appeared to be a slow-down in western economies, in response to the credit crunch, became a much more dramatic recession. More-over it occurred at the same time as the Chinese government was cooling the domestic economy by means of higher interest rates after a major housing boom. The consequence was that companies everywhere 'drew in their horns' and precipitated a synchronised global contraction in demand for commodities at a hitherto unprecedented rate. Although still left with large exposure, on the grounds that the Chinese and Indian economies will continue to expand, despite the current turmoil, some reductions to the holdings were made in the autumn. The holding in Rio Tinto was completely disposed of before the take-over attempt by BHP Billiton was terminated. I remain, however, strongly of the opinion that the commodity super-cycle is temporarily being interrupted; it has not been terminated. The Chinese, in particular, are known to be increasing their stockpiles of commodities in huge quantities for future use on their proposed massive infrastructure projects in the certain knowledge that prices will rise rapidly when the global economy recovers. Furthermore they now regard it as a more sensible store of value than to purchase yet more US Treasury bonds. At a time of recession it seems sensible to reduce exposure to 'cyclicals' and replace them with holdings in sectors which are not economically sensitive, such as tobacco and pharmaceuticals. Unfortunately, however, tobacco companies have never before been so highly rated as they are currently. Also, the only two major UK listed pharmaceutical companies are desperately short of exciting new products to promote at a time when many old ones are losing their patent protection. BTG, however, currently the largest holding in the portfolio, is a company which fills me with excitement about its future prospects, particularly following its successful takeover of Protherics and entry into the FTSE 250 index. It now not only has a huge and growing cash pile, a US $ based revenue stream from an excellent portfolio of existing products, but no less than four, possibly even more, potential 'blockbusters' in 'phase three' development in exciting areas such as leukaemia, multiple sclerosis, diabetes, poison serums, prostate cancer and, hopefully also, a revolutionary treatment for varicose veins later this year. Since the year end Genzyme has announced that it has agreed to pay up to US $1bn to Bayer for the right to market Campath, a treatment for multiple sclerosis on which BTG will earn huge annual royalties. Thus BTG certainly would not appear to be lacking growth potential at a time of likely prolonged recessionary conditions and thus is well positioned for a possible major re-rating. The portfolio's second largest holding at the year end was Scottish and Southern Electricity, another long- standing favourite, which has proved more reliable during the period than other Scottish exposure! Its defensive characteristics and high dividend yield have, alongside a new purchase of United Utilities, stood the portfolio in good stead in these turbulent times. On a similar theme, a holding was re-established in Rolls-Royce and a new position taken in British Aerospace - both beneficiaries of a stronger US $, together with the excellent visibility of defence related earnings. Another new theme this year has been to gain exposure to the insurance sector where rates have hardened (at a time when pricing power is a scarce feature) following the demise of AIG - hence the purchase of Aviva and Prudential, both of which produce good dividends at a time when dividends from the banking sector are almost as rare as the elusive salmon which I try to catch on holiday. Placing that remark in context I feel sure that shareholders will be pleased to learn that not only is the revenue account extremely well placed both for last year - hence the third special dividend - as well as for the current one but I also caught (and released) my largest salmon (c.25lbs) to date in July. Venture Production is a scarcely known mid cap oil company which specialises in buying good prospective acreages in the North Sea which are too small for the oil majors to develop themselves - in other words it feeds off the crumbs which fall from the rich man's table. The company is well financed and has been notably successful with the drill-bit in extracting both oil and more so gas. To date the company has not yet achieved the rating it deserves, possibly on account of past delays in meeting its targets. It has, however, an unstable shareholder base, which may result in an unwanted take-over attempt in the near future by possibly either Centrica, which since the year end has declared a large holding, or another utility. Several companies have not only expressed an interest in increasing their exposure to natural gas but also recently raised new money for possibly this purpose. Two oil majors, namely BP and BG, continue to feature in the portfolio's top ten holdings for good reasons. In the case of the former, it is on account of a high and, in Sterling terms, growing dividend stream, which management have recently indicated will be maintained, even if not covered by operational cash flow. BG continues to demonstrate its ability to grow its profits and reserves both organically and by acquisition. The portion of the portfolio in small future growth companies, with the exception of BTG and Emblaze, has performed badly. As stated earlier, investors have lost all their appetite for risk and, accordingly, are currently ignoring future growth prospects. Valuations are derisory and yet may possibly be seen before too long to offer the opportunity of a lifetime. The change in the recent Budget which increased the top rate of income tax to 50% whilst leaving unchanged the 18% rate of capital gains tax is likely to stimulate investors to pay greater attention to growth than previously. Two recent new small additions to the portfolio, both with attractive safe yields, are Anglo Pacific and Asian Citrus. Whereas the former earns a royalty from its extensive mining interests, mainly in Australia and Canada, the latter is the operator of three large orange groves in China. Its already attractive yield should be boosted further by an exciting combination of - increased production as the trees mature, and higher prices from a growing proportion of sales to supermarkets rather than local wholesalers. More-over it is also a pure 'play' on the Chinese currency, which has appreciated by no less than 30 % against sterling during the past year, with the high probability of further gains, particularly if Gordon Brown continues to work his magic. In addition should the current swine fever epidemic reach China then the demand for vitamin c would likely surge. Prospects What started as a financial problem in the US housing market (on account of President Clinton's reforms which forbade discrimination against the underprivileged sections of society) rapidly developed into a full blown economic crisis on a global scale. The IMF is currently forecasting the first global contraction since the Second World War. Manufacturing output is spiralling downwards, while unemployment continues to soar at an unprecedented rate. Reported macro economic data is set to deteriorate for some time to come. Meanwhile, interest rates around the world have been slashed and many of the major nations have produced economic packages to support key sectors. Quantitative easing is a phrase of which we will all soon have to learn the meaning! Whereas recent moves, both in the UK and USA, to separate and insure toxic loans will assist stabilisation and recovery in the banking system, the damage to the real economy continues apace and is expected to do so for at least another six to nine months. Fortunately, however, stock-markets are prone to anticipating recovery by two/three quarters. It would therefore be extraordinary not to see some upward momentum developing towards the end of the calendar year, particularly as money market funds currently represent a huge proportion of the capitalisation of Wall Street. The Chinese and Indian economies are expected to continue to grow, albeit not quite at the rapid pace of last year; recent evidence of this has been manifested through the rapid growth in bank lending, the surge above 50 in the purchasing manager's index but also the rapid rise in certain commodity prices as well as the strong recovery in the Baltic Dry cargo index. The USA, where the crisis started, is probably, if history is to be repeated, the first Western economy which will witness the first green shoots of recovery, on account of the nation's resilient nature. It is worth noting that the US economy is benefiting from the fall in the oil price to an extent many times greater this year than from President Obama's not inconsiderable reflation package. It may well be followed in turn by the UK, where the government has been relatively pro-active in recent months. Meanwhile, Germany, whose government officials have, by contrast, been slow to recognise the problem, will remain, like neighbouring Austria and some Eastern European countries, mired in recession for some time to come. In passing, how ironic it seems to me that the USA and Germany, which suffered from deflation and hyper-inflation respectively during the inter-war years, should now, directly as a result of their deep seated fear of a repetition of the past, be soon set to enjoy rapid inflation and deflation respectively. At a time of recession there will always be major opportunities in the stock-market. Whereas many companies in any sector will wither and die their stronger brethren will survive and prosper by gaining market share. More-over spending patterns will change- premium brands may suffer as 'trading down' occurs. Government edicts may also compel companies to incur expenditure, whether on the environment, health and safety or compliance. In this latter respect, one of my long time favourite companies, Gresham Computing, should certainly be a beneficiary of the recently announced requirement by the FSA for the banking sector to invest £1bn on software, to enable it to know its true positions on a real time basis. Furthermore it has recently announced that it has signed a massive software contract to enhance the systems at one of the world's largest international banks. Moreover the contract is on a revenue sharing (of the savings) basis. In the light of the prevailing challenging circumstances, my preferred strategy is to remain invested in the companies with the best prospects for growth - stronger companies with superior management skills and sound balance sheets. History has proved many times over that these will prosper at the expense of others. I will also be adding to the fixed interest element, in view of the low cost of borrowing (currently 1.5% p.a.) and the current mouth-watering high yields, as a method of boosting the income generated, without having to sacrifice the huge long-term growth potential of the smaller companies in the portfolio. At a time when the global economy is set at best to grow very slowly, those companies, which manage to grow their profits and dividends at a superior pace will, on account of their rarity, be re-rated. I will not have been the only investment manager in recent months to have learned for oneself that the saying 'the darkest hour is just before dawn' is true. I do now feel confident that 'dawn' is fast approaching for several companies in the portfolio. For example, amongst others, Emblaze is set for the global launch of its 'best of breed' telephone, which is claimed by the company to be far superior to the Apple Iphone. The Emoze method of providing emails for free, to those one billion handset users currently unwilling to pay BlackBerry service charges, may also prove a winner for that company, having trounced BlackBerry in two recent competitions. BTG is likely, in the near future, to be making several additional important announcements on a variety of its new products. Gresham Computing will benefit hugely from the requirement by the FSA for the banking sector to know its true positions in 'real time'. Furthermore, the consent to mine its massive coal reserves will most probably be awarded to Global Coal in the very near future, following the landslide victory by the Bangladeshi opposition party in the recent elections. Accordingly, unless there are further unscheduled delays, which have dogged these companies and tried the patience of myself, your directors and loyal shareholders for too long already, I feel confident that the outlook for this growth oriented trust appears set to improve - it is certainly pregnant with potential! I also wish to make one final if fairly simple but important observation. Shareholders will know that, to date, I have long since been an advocate of falling inflation rates; these are only too apparent today. I must confess, however, that I now have a very different vision of the future. Resulting from all the excessive government expenditure, at previously inconceivable levels, I share the Sage of Omaha's fear that within a few years, but I cannot predict exactly when, the rate of inflation is set to soar, once wages have stopped falling and the spare industrial capacity is being utilised once more . Accordingly, I will be anticipating that new trend through the purchase of inflation hedges, such as gold and asset based companies particularly mining stocks, on account of their high exposure to the Chinese economy. Meanwhile, the Chinese have recently celebrated the start of the 'Year of the Ox'; an event which surely provides superstitious investors with a conundrum. Will it prove a female of the species, renowned for its characteristics of strength and thick skin (features vital for investors in recessionary conditions) or is it a male, and therefore the year of the bull? M. J. Barstow 5 June 2009 STATEMENT OF DIRECTORS' RESPONSIBILITIES FOR THE ANNUAL REPORT The directors are responsible for preparing the Annual Report and the financial statements in accordance with applicable law and regulations. Company law in the United Kingdom requires the directors to prepare financial statements for each financial year which give a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the Company and of the profit or loss of the Company for that period. The directors are required to prepare financial statements for the Group in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as adopted by the European Union (IFRS) and have also elected to prepare financial statements for the Company on the same basis. The financial statements are prepared in accordance with the Companies Act 1985, IFRS and, in the case of the Group, Article 4 of the EU's IAS Regulation. In preparing these financial statements, the directors are required to: * select suitable accounting policies and then apply them consistently; * make judgements and estimates which are reasonable and prudent; * follow applicable International accounting standards as adopted by the European Union; and * prepare the financial statements on the going concern basis, unless it is inappropriate to assume the Company will continue. The directors are responsible for ensuring that proper accounting records are kept which disclose with reasonable accuracy at any time the financial position of the Company and enable them to ensure that the financial statements comply with the Companies Act 1985. They are also responsible for safeguarding the assets of the Company and hence for taking reasonable steps for the prevention and detection of fraud and other irregularities. Under applicable law and regulations, the directors are also responsible for preparing a Directors' Report, Directors' remuneration Report and Corporate Governance Statement that comply with that law and those regulations. The directors are responsible for the maintenance and integrity of the corporate and financial information included on the website used by the Company. Legislation in the United Kingdom governing the preparation and dissemination of financial statements may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions. Statement under the Disclosure & Transparency Rules 4.1.12 The Directors each confirm to the best of their knowledge that: a) the accounts, prepared in accordance with applicable accounting standards, give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit or loss of the Company; and b) this Annual Report includes a fair review of the development and performance of the business and the position of the Company, together with a description of the principal risks and uncertainties that it faces. For and on behalf of the Board Alex Hammond-Chambers Chairman 5 June 2009 RISK ANALYSIS The Board considers that the principal risks faced by the shareholders of the Company fall into two categories: External Risks Poor performance in the UK and/or world economies; poor corporate profits and dividends. Poor stock market performance caused by market-specific factors, such as rising interest rates, the unwinding of "bubbles" or disinvestment by institutions, superimposed on general economic factors, or caused by shocks, wars, disease etc. The Board does not consider, however, that short-term volatility represents a risk for the long-term shareholder that the Company seeks to avoid, since it regards long-term performance to be of primary importance. Internal Risks Poor asset management, which may include poor stock selection, excessive concentration of the portfolio, mistakes regarding currency movements, speculation in shares of companies without sound or established businesses and speculation in derivatives. Poor control of borrowing, including borrowing at excessive rates of interest relative to likely returns and borrowing excessive amounts leading to the breach of covenants and possible enforced sales of assets at disadvantageous prices. Poor governance, compliance or administration, including particularly the risk of loss of S842 status. All these and other risks can result in shareholders not making acceptable returns from their investment in the Company. CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 28 FEBRUARY 2009 Year ended 29 February 2008 Year ended 28 February 2009 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Gains on - (12,643) (12,643) - (5,860) (5,860) investments designated at fair value through profit or loss Exchange - (8) (8) - (177) (177) differences on overdraft Realised 129 - 129 (353) - (353) gains/(losses) of trading subsidiary at fair value through profit or loss Investment 876 - 876 1,111 - 1,111 income Interest on VAT 49 - 49 - - - recovered Total income 1,054 (12,651) (11,596) 758 (6,037) (5,279) Investment (80) (80) (160) (169) (169) (338) management fees Recovery of VAT 124 243 367 - - - on management fees Other expenses (217) - (217) (282) - (282) Loss before 881 (12,488) (11,607) 307 (6,206) (5,899) finance costs and tax Finance costs (14) (14) (28) (236) (236) (472) Loss before tax 867 (12,502) (11,635) 71 (6,442) (6,371) Tax 12 - 12 (9) - (9) Loss for the 879 (12,502) (11,623) 62 (6,442) (6,380) year Earnings per 6.76 (96.20p) (89.44p) 0.42 (43.83p) (43.41p) share - basic and diluted The total column of this statement represents the Group's Income Statement, prepared under IFRS. The revenue and capital columns, including the revenue and capital earnings per share data, are supplementary information prepared under guidance published by the AIC. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued during the period. All revenue is attributable to the equity holders of the parent company. There are no minority interests. The Board recommends a final dividend of 3.25p per share and a special dividend of 1.75p per share CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET AT 28 FEBRUARY 2009 2009 2008 £'000 £'000 NON-CURRENT ASSETS Investments designated at fair value through 14,242 28,527 profit or loss CURRENT ASSETS Sales for future settlement 91 294 Other receivables 95 101 Taxation recoverable - 14 Cash and cash equivalents 908 322 1,094 731 TOTAL ASSETS 15,336 29,258 CURRENT LIABILITIES: Purchases for future settlement 123 447 Other payables 50 126 Bank overdraft 675 1,067 848 1,640 TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT LIABILITIES 14,488 27,618 EQUITY Called up share capital 3,598 3,777 Capital redemption reserve 179 - Share premium account 10,997 10,997 Realised capital reserve 11,382 15,067 Unrealised capital reserve (11,839) (1,923) Revenue reserve 171 (300) TOTAL EQUITY 14,488 27,618 Net assets per ordinary share 111.86p 203.04p CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY FOR THE YEAR ENDED 28 FEBRUARY 2009 2009 Share Capital Share Realised Unrealised Revenue Total capital redemption premium capital capital reserve reserve account reserve reserve £,000 £'000 £,000 £,000 £,000 £,000 £,000 Opening 3,777 - 10,997 15,067 (1,923) (300) 27,618 equity Profit/(loss) - - - (2,586) (9,916) 879 (11,623) for the year Dividends - - - - - (408) (408) paid Purchase of (179) 179 - (1,099) - - (1,099) own shares Closing 3,598 179 10,997 11,382 (11,839) 171 14,488 equity 2008 Share Share Realised Unrealised Revenue Total capital premium capital capital reserve account reserve reserve £,000 £,000 £,000 £,000 £,000 £,000 Opening equity 3,777 10,997 14,886 7,539 98 37,297 Profit/(loss) for - - 3,020 (9,462) 62 (6,380) the year Dividends paid - - - - (460) (460) Purchase of own - - (2,839) - - (2,839) shares Closing equity 3,777 10,997 15,067 (1,923) (300) 27,618 CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 28 FEBRUARY 2009 2009 2008 £'000 £'000 NET CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES Cash inflow from investment income and interest 927 1,053 Cash inflow/(outflow) from held for trading 41 (353) current asset investments Cash outflow from management expenses (403) (621) Cash inflow from reclaim of VAT expense 367 - Payments to acquire non-current asset investments (13,813) (6,027) Receipts on disposal of non-current asset 15,422 16,536 investments Tax recovered 26 18 NET CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 2,567 10,606 CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES Purchase of own shares (1,099) (2,839) Dividends paid (408) (460) Decrease in bank borrowings (392) (6,673) Interest paid (74) (472) NET CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES (1,973) (10,444) INCREASE IN CASH 594 162 Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year 322 337 Increase in cash 594 162 Currency translation difference (8) (177) Cash and cash equivalents at end of year 908 322 NOTES 1. BASIS OF ACCOUNTING The financial statements of the Company and the Group have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), which comprise standards and interpretations approved by the IASB and International Accounting Standards and Standing Interpretations Committee interpretations approved by the IASC that remain in effect, and to the extent that they have been adopted by the European Union. Under IFRS, the Statement of Recommended Practice (SORP) issued by the Association of Investment Companies has no formal status, but the Group has taken the guidance of the SORP into account to the extent that is appropriate and compatible with IFRS. The accounting policies are unchanged from those used in the last annual financial statements except where otherwise stated. 2. INCOME 2009 2008 Income from investments: £'000 £'000 Franked dividends from listed or quoted investments 742 959 Unfranked income from overseas dividends 47 93 Income from listed fixed interest securities 60 34 849 1,086 Other income: Bank interest receivable 27 25 876 1,111 Interest on VAT reclaim 49 - 925 1,111 3. INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT FEES AND OTHER 2009 2008 EXPENSES Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Investment management fees 80 80 160 169 169 338 - monthly - - - - - - - performance 80 80 160 169 169 338 Administration fees 31 - 31 60 - 60 Custodian's fees 14 - 14 14 - 14 Registrar's fees 7 - 7 11 - 11 Directors' fees 96 - 96 76 - 76 Consultancy payment to broker 19 - 19 59 - 59 Auditors' fees - audit of the 24 - 24 18 - 18 Company and of the consolidated financial statements Tax advice (8) - (8) 5 - 5 Miscellaneous expenses 34 - 34 39 - 39 Total other expenses 217 - 217 282 - 282 4. ORDINARY DIVIDENDS 2009 2008 £'000 £'000 Dividends reflected in the financial statements: Final dividend paid for the year 2008 at 3.15p (2007: 3.10p) 408 460 Dividends not reflected in the financial statements: Proposed final dividend for the year 2009 at 3.25p (2008: 3.15p) and special dividend at 1.75p (2008: Nil) 648 408 If approved by the Annual General meeting, the final and special dividends will be paid on 23 July 2009 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 19 June 2009. 5. EARNINGS PER SHARE Earnings per share are based on the loss of £11,622,457 (2008: £6,380,123) attributable to the weighted average of 12,995,045 (2008: 14,697,174) ordinary shares of 25p in issue during the year, excluding shares held in Treasury. Supplementary information is provided as follows: revenue earnings per share are based on the revenue profit of £879,243 (2008: £61,808); capital earnings per share are based on the net capital losses of £12,501,700 (2008: £6,441,931), attributable to 12,995,045 (2008: 14,697,174) ordinary shares of 25p. 6. RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS Mr Barstow is a director both of the Company and of the Manager. Fees payable to the Manager are detailed in note 3 above. Other payables include accruals of a monthly management fee of £8,978 (2008: £17,688) and an administration fee of £1,721 (2008: £3,464). No performance fee was accrued (2008: £Nil). All figures include VAT. 7. FINANCIAL INFORMATION The financial information for 2009 is derived from the statutory accounts for 2009, which will be delivered to the registrar of companies following the company's Annual General Meeting. The statutory accounts for 2008 have been delivered to the registrar of companies. The auditors have reported on the 2008 and 2009 accounts; their reports were unqualified and did not include a statement under Section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The Annual Report for the year ended 28 February 2009 was approved on 5 June 2009. It will be posted to shareholders and will be made available on the Manager's website. This announcement contains regulated information under the Disclosure Rules and Transparency Rules of the FSA. The Annual General Meeting will be held on 15 July 2009 at 12.00 noon at 145-157 St. John Street, London, EC1V 4RU. 5 June 2009 Secretary and registered office: Cavendish Administration Limited 145-157 St John Street London EC1V 4RU Tel: 020 7490 4355 ---END OF MESSAGE--- This announcement was originally distributed by Hugin. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.
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