Interim Results

Atlantis Japan Growth Fund Ld 18 December 2007 ATLANTIS JAPAN GROWTH FUND LIMITED INTERIM RESULTS ANNOUNCEMENT The financial information set out in this announcement does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the period ended 31 October 2007. The accounts for the period ended 31 October 2007 have been finalised on the basis of the financial information presented by the Directors in this results announcement. All references to 'dollars' or '$' throughout this report are to the United States currency INVESTMENT MANAGER'S REPORT PERFORMANCE For the six-month period ended 31st October, 2007 the Published Company's Net Asset Value fell 10.9%, to $20.35 per share. By comparison, the large-cap dominated Topix index declined 1.15% and the Tokyo Second Market was down 6.7%. The weak performance is explained in part by the Company's significant exposure to medium-sized and smaller stocks. The Company also had little exposure to commodity-related stocks, which generally outperformed the market, and heavy exposure to the retail sector, which underperformed the major indices. At the end of the period under review, the Company had a total Net Asset Value of $415.9 million, with borrowings of Y7.5 billion (about $65 million) and cash of Y404 million, (about $3.5 million). Based on the above, the Company is about 15% leveraged on a net basis. The Company has no foreign exchange hedges, meaning a strong Yen has a positive impact on NAV in US dollar terms and vice versa. Since inception on 10th May, 1996 the NAV per share in US dollar terms is up 105%. This is still well ahead of the Topix, which is down 13% over the same time frame, and the Tokyo Second Market Index, which has risen 46.9%. MARKET OUTLOOK After moving higher from May through mid-July, the Japanese stock market turned lower as the subprime loan crisis surfaced in the US. After falling through most of August, the Japanese market stabilised in early September and subsequently mounted a partial recovery through to the end of October. Underneath the major indexes such as the TOPIX or Nikkei 225, we saw small and medium-sized stocks generally rising by less during the spring/early-summer rally but also falling by less during the mid-summer correction. Money flow statistics show overseas investors weighing on the market as net sellers during the three-month period from August to October, though turning around in the final weeks and becoming net buyers for most of October. Among domestic investors, individuals, trust funds, and financial institutions were all net sellers during the six-month period under review. In contrast, domestic corporations were consistent net buyers, buying back their own shares and also increasing cross-shareholdings in other corporations. Overseas investors were net buyers during the May-June period and net sellers during the July-October period. A look at the fundamentals shows the Japanese economy continuing to expand during the July-September quarter after contracting during the April-June quarter. External demand (i.e., exports) and private sector capital spending were still the main growth drivers, however, only modest growth was registered by private consumption spending, which accounts for more than 50% of the economy. Private sector residential investment was a major drag during the quarter, but it is important to note that the drop here reflects not so much a lack of interest but rather unforeseen delays in construction permitting following the introduction of new construction safety codes in June. The impact of government spending on the economy was basically neutral. Looking ahead, we anticipate real GDP growth in the range of 1.75-2.0% for the full fiscal year through March 2008 and, with this, growth in corporate earnings of over 10% this fiscal year followed by positive growth again next fiscal year. At this time, we see both positive and negative factors impacting the Japanese stock market. The new Prime Minister, Yasuo Fukuda, who took office in late September, has shown interest in continuing the economic reforms begun under Junichiro Koizumi. Also on the plus side, domestic interest rates are still low and the monetary environment appears likely to remain accommodative even though interest rates may rise slowly over the year ahead. Growth in wages and personal income has been weak, and this, along with inclement weather has generally inhibited growth in consumption spending by households. Assuming the economy continues to expand, we would expect consumer spending to slowly pick up steam going forward. Property prices in larger cities are rising, and this too should help to bolster investor confidence. We think the greatest risks to the Japanese economy and stock market are external, with major risks including the possibility of a further sharp rise in commodity prices, severe slowdown in the US including further subprime loan problems, and slowing world economic growth, particularly in China or Southeast Asia. The Japanese economy itself is not overheated, nor are Japanese corporations highly geared. Indeed, Japanese companies are in exceedingly good shape financially and earnings appear likely to continue rising in most cases, as mentioned above. The Japanese stock market is also very reasonably priced, in our view. The Tokyo First Market as of 20th November is trading at about 17x estimated earnings for this fiscal year and 1.6x book value, while the Tokyo Second Market is trading at about 15x estimated earnings and slightly under 1x book value. The expected dividend yields for both the First and Second markets are also slightly higher than the yield on the benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond. At current levels, we believe the Tokyo market offers good value for long-term investors, although in the near term it will probably remain subject to the impact of external factors as well as the possibility of renewed selling pressure from overseas investors and domestic individual investors, the two big players in the Tokyo market. OUR STRATEGY AND PORTFOLIO Our investment strategy remains focused on value and growth. This means we invest in companies that we believe have above-average earnings growth potential over the longer term and whose stocks are also reasonably priced or, preferably, undervalued. The manager does not seek to play short-term market themes or fads, but rather aims to buy and hold companies that offer attractive investment potential over the medium to longer term, which can mean years in some cases. If a stock in the portfolio does extremely well in the short term and becomes overvalued, we may take profits by selling part or all of our position. Conversely, if a company in the portfolio fails to meet our earnings expectations or we lose confidence in management, we may exit our position even if it means taking a loss. At this time, we are finding many attractive stocks that meet our criteria. Specifically, in terms of growth, we want to see top-line and bottom-line growth combined with rising profit margins, positive free cash flow, and an improving balance sheet. In terms of valuations, we want to see low PERs on future earnings and, if possible, low price to book ratios as well. We insist on good management and also like to see the dividends rising over time. In our daily search for investment candidates, we look at a wide variety of companies, ranging from big to small across nearly every industry. However, we are still finding most of the best growth and value combinations among the medium-sized and smaller companies, as is reflected in the composition of the portfolio. While we are buying many small and medium-sized companies, we are careful not to own too much of any one company since things can and do go wrong from time to time. If we like the fundamentals of a given sector, we will buy several companies with similar businesses to spread the risk. For instance, at this time we find local drug store chains attractive; however, rather than buying just one, we have several different holdings in this area. This has been a rewarding strategy. With regard to sector allocation, we would note that we do not make our stock selection based on any specific sector weighting targets or guidelines. However, because we look at many companies in many different industries, we nevertheless have exposure to a wide range of sectors. At the end of the six-month period under review, the portfolio is relatively overweight in consumer-related stocks, service companies, auto parts makers, electronic component manufacturers, machine tool makers, and real estate-related companies (including REITs). In contrast, the portfolio has almost no exposure to utilities, fisheries/ agriculture, shipping, iron/steel, airlines, glass/ceramics, and non-ferrous metals. We hold some cyclical growth stocks but have very limited exposure to commodity-related stocks, which for the most part are extremely cyclical and have very poor earnings visibility. Since we are positive on the outlook for the Japanese economy we have increased the Company's borrowings by Y1.5 billion, to Y7.5 billion (about $65 million). This means the Company is about 15% geared on a net basis. As indicated above, we are bottom-up investors, with our main focus on individual stock selection. However, we also closely monitor 'big picture' trends based on our belief that macro-level fundamentals significantly influence stock market trends over the longer term. Thus, in addition to our intensive research of individual companies, we also keep a close watch on the economy, corporate earnings, inflation, interest rates, fiscal and monetary policy, foreign exchange rates, and trade and current account balances. The Fund manager is not trying to beat the major indices every quarter or even every year. Indeed, because our investment strategy is focused on value as well as growth, we must often buy stocks when they are not popular in order to obtain the valuation levels we seek. Ultimately, though, we believe our approach will continue to deliver superior performance for long-term oriented investors. Atlantis Fund Management (Guernsey) Limited 21st November 2007 DIRECTOR' INTERIM REPORT The Directors are pleased to present their Interim Report of the Company for the six month period ended 31st October 2007. CAPITAL VALUES At 31st October 2007 the value of net assets available to shareholders was $413,215,179 (30th April 2007 - $464,980,738) and the Net Asset Value per share was $20.22 (30th April - $22.75). COMPANY'S OBJECTIVES, POLICIES AND STRATEGIES IN RESPECT OF FINANCIAL ASSETS As an investment trust, the Company invests in securities for the long term. The financial investments held as assets by the Company comprise of equity shares. As such, the holding of securities, investing activities and financing associated with the implementation of the investment policy involves certain inherent risks. Events may occur that could result in either a reduction in the Company's net assets or a reduction of revenue profits available for distribution. Set out below are the principal risks inherent in the Company's activities along with the actions taken to manage them. The Board reviews and agrees policies for managing these risks and these policies have remained substantially unchanged since 30th April 2007. Market Risk Market risk arises mainly from uncertainty about future prices of financial instruments used in the Company's business. It represents the potential loss the Company might suffer through holding market positions in the face of price movements. The market risk is monitored by the Board on a quarterly basis and on a daily basis by the Investment Manager. Currency Risk The Company's results for the period and net assets could be significantly affected by currency movements as most of the Company's assets are denominated in yen. In order to reduce this risk the Company may hedge its exposure to the Japanese currency. The Company did not have any hedging arrangements at the end of the period. Interest Rate Risk The Company finances its operations mainly through its share capital and retained profits, including realised and unrealised capital profits. Additional bank borrowings may be used with a view to enhancing capital returns. However, the Company's Articles of Association provide that borrowing levels should not exceed 20% of Net Asset Value at the time any borrowing is effected. The level of borrowing as at 31st October 2007 was 15.8%, while at 30th April 2007 it was 11.7%. Liquidity Risk and Cashflow Risk The majority of the Company's assets comprise readily realisable securities, which can be sold to meet funding commitments as necessary. INVESTMENT MANAGER In the opinion of the Directors, in order to achieve the investment objectives and policies of the Company, and having taken into consideration the performance of the Company, the continuing appointment of the Investment Manager is in the interests of the shareholders as a whole. A more detailed commentary of important events that have occurred during the period and their impact on these Financial Statements and a description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the financial year is contained in the Investment Manager's Report. CHANGE OF CUSTODIAN, ADMINISTRATOR, SECRETARY AND PRINCIPAL REGISTRAR HSBC Securities Services (Guernsey) Limited ceased as secretary, administrator and principal registrar and HSBC Custody Services (Guernsey) Limited ceased as custodian of the Company with effect from 31 October 2007. Northern Trust International Fund Administration Services (Guernsey) Limited has been appointed as secretary, administrator and principal registrar, and Northern Trust (Guernsey) Limited as custodian with effect from 1 November 2007. DIRECTORS' RESPONSIBILITY STATEMENT We confirm that to the best of our knowledge: •the condensed set of financial statements contained within the half yearly financial report has been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting' ; •as required by DTR 4.2.7R of the FSA's Disclosure and Transparency Rules, the interim management report includes a fair review of important events that have occurred during the first six months of the financial year and their impact on the condensed set of financial statements, and a description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of financial year; and •the interim management report includes a fair review of the information concerning related party transactions required by DTR 4.2.8R. Approved by the Board 12th December 2007 The Interim Results Announcement was approved by the Board of Directors on 6th December 2007. Unaudited Income Statement For the six months ended 31st October 2007 01-May-2007 to 31-Oct-2007 01-May 2006 to 31-Oct 2006 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 Income Losses on investments - (47,767) (47,767) - (118,388) (118,388) held at fair value Exchange (loss)/gain (63) (2,181) (2,244) (35) 1,219 1,184 Investment income 3,281 - 3,281 2,716 - 2,716 3,218 (49,948) (46,730) 2,681 (117,169) (114,488) Expenses Investment management 3,333 - 3,333 3,960 - 3,960 fee Custodian fees 111 - 111 139 - 139 Administration fees 133 - 133 143 - 143 Registrar and transfer 14 - 14 10 - 10 agent fees Directors' fees and 106 - 106 113 - 113 expenses Interest expense and 492 - 492 394 - 394 bank charges Transaction costs - 473 473 - 475 475 Insurance fees 31 - 31 37 - 37 Audit fee 17 - 17 11 - 11 Printing and 25 - 25 21 - 21 advertising fees Legal and professional 28 - 28 18 - 18 fees Listing fees 25 - 25 23 - 23 Miscellaneous expenses 18 - 18 3 - 3 4,333 473 4,806 4,872 475 5,347 Loss before tax (1,115) (50,421) (51,536) (2,191) (117,644) (119,835) Taxation (230) - (230) (190) - (190) Loss for the period (1,345) (50,421) (51,766) (2,381) (117,644) (120,025) Deficit per ordinary $(2.533) $(5.874) share The deficit per ordinary share figure is based on the net deficit for the period of $51,765,588 ( 2006 - $120,025,318) and on 20,435,627 ordinary shares for each period, being the weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue during the period. Unaudited Statement of Changes in Equity For the six months ended 31st October 2007 For the six month period ended 31st October 2007 Ordinary Share Share Revenue Capital Capital Premium Reserve Reserve Total $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 Balance at 1st May 204 192,650 (20,788) 292,915 464,981 2007 Loss for the period - - (51,766) - (51,766) Transfer from capital - - 50,421 (50,421) - reserve Balance at 31st 204 192,650 (22,133) 242,494 413,215 October 2007 For the six month period ended 31st October 2006 Ordinary Share Share Revenue Capital Capital Premium Reserve Reserve Total $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 $'000 Balance at 1st May 204 192,650 (18,178) 431,959 606,635 2006 Loss for the period - - (120,025) - (120,025) Transfer from capital - - 117,644 (117,644) - reserve Balance at 31st 204 192,650 (20,559) 314,315 486,610 October 2006 Unaudited Balance Sheet As at 31st October 2007 (Unaudited) (Audited) 31-Oct-07 30-Apr-07 $'000 $'000 Non Current Assets Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss 473,427 515,814 Current Assets Due from brokers 239 798 Dividends and interest receivable 2,266 3,340 Other receivables 35 29 Cash and cash equivalents 5,996 2,813 8,536 6,980 Current Liabilities Due to brokers (2,723) (2,634) Payables and accrued expenses (924) (820) Loans payable (13,020) - (16,667) (3,454) Net Current (Liabilities)/Assets (8,131) 3,526 Non Current Liabilities Loans payable (52,081) (54,359) Net Assets 413,215 464,981 Equity Ordinary share capital 204 204 Share premium 192,650 192,650 Revenue reserve (22,133) (20,788) Capital reserve 242,494 292,915 Net Assets Attributable to Equity Shareholders 413,215 464,981 Net Asset Value per Ordinary Share* $20.22 $22.75 *Based on the Net Asset Value at the period end divided by the number of shares in issue: 20,435,627 (30th April 2007 - 20,435,627) Unaudited Cash Flow Statement For the six months ended 31st October 2007 2007 2006 $'000 $'000 Cash outflow from operating activities (152) (1,247) Investing Activities Purchase of investments (106,673) (103,174) Sale of investments 101,941 104,112 Net cash (outflow)/inflow from investing activities (4,732) 938 Net cash outflow before financing (4,884) (309) Cash flows from financing activities Interest paid (431) (349) Net loans drawn-down 13,089 - Net cash inflow/(outflow) from financing 12,658 (349) activities Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash 7,774 (658) equivalents Exchange movements (4,591) (207) Movement in cash and cash equivalents in the 3,183 (865) period Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of 2,813 2,550 period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 5,996 1,685 Reconciliation of loss for period to net cash outflow from operating activities Net loss before taxation (51,536) (119,835) Loss on investments held at fair value 47,767 118,388 Exchange loss/(gain) 2,244 (1,184) Interest expense 492 394 Decrease in debtors and accrued income 1,068 1,219 Increase/(decrease) in creditors 43 (39) Taxation (230) (190) (152) (1,247) This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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