Syndicate Results

Amlin PLC 23 August 2002 PRESS RELEASE Amlin plc: Syndicate Forecasts For immediate release 23 August 2002 • Trading outlook remains strong • Good underlying performance offsets 11 September movements Amlin Underwriting Limited, the leading managing agency owned by Amlin plc, has updated its forecasts in respect of the 2000 and 2001 years of account. Current trading Trading conditions in the year to date have remained strong in all classes of Amlin's business and the outlook for underwriting for the remainder of 2002 and for 2003 remains favourable. Gross written premium income for Syndicate 2001 (net of brokerage) in the first six months of 2002 was £510 million, an increase of 54% over the gross written premium at the same stage in 2001, of £330 million. In addition to the strong underwriting conditions and the increased premium income, the first six months of 2002 have experienced a low level of losses with Syndicate 2001 recording, on its 2002 year of account, an overall gross incurred loss ratio of 6.4%. This compares to a gross incurred loss ratio for the 2001 year of account, at the same stage in 2001, of 13.0%. 2001 year of account forecast Syndicate 2001 continued to experience improvement in its underlying performance for the 2001 year of account, although was adversely affected by losses from the 11 September terrorist events as previously announced. The impact of these events, at Syndicate 2001 level, on the 2001 year of account, is currently estimated to be $129.7 million, or 14.8% of capacity (at quarter end rates). The latest forecasts for the 2001 year of account results, both including and excluding the effects of 11 September losses, are set out below. They are expressed as a percentage of capacity and after standard Name's expenses including agent's fees and commission. Capacity % owned by Amlin Forecast including Forecast excluding 11 £m 11 September losses September losses % % to % to % 574.5 69.6% (6.0) % to (1.0)% 8.8% to 13.8% The forecast excluding 11 September losses has improved since the forecast announced on 24 May 2002 by 2.5% of capacity. This has more than offset an increase in the estimate of 11 September losses, equivalent to approximately 1.5% of capacity. 2000 year of account forecasts Amlin's principal syndicate trading in 2000 was Syndicate 2001. Syndicates 902 and 1141 ceased to trade in 2000. The 2000 year of account has also been affected by the 11 September terrorist attacks. Excluding losses from 11 September, Syndicate 2001 is forecast to deliver a profit, at the mid-point of the range, of 1.5% of capacity. Syndicates 1141 and 2001 both witnessed greater than normal loss development on their medical malpractice and other US Casualty accounts during the second quarter and the forecasts for the 2000 year of account have been adjusted to reflect a cautious view on ultimate claims from this development. In addition the estimated 11 September loss for Syndicate 1141 increased by £900,000 (1.2% of capacity) for the quarter. Syndicate Capacity % owned by Amlin Latest forecasts Previous Forecast No £m % to % % to % 902 37.6 56.7% (32.5) to (27.5) (32.5) to (27.5) 1141 76.3 69.7% (35.0) to (30.0) (31.0) to (26.0) 2001 423.4 55.8% (5.0) to 0.0 (4.0) to 1.0 Total 537.2 Charles Philipps, Chief Executive of Amlin, says: 'The first six months' trading has been very encouraging and we are increasingly confident that this hard market will continue into 2003 and possibly beyond'. Enquiries: Charles Philipps, Chief Executive, Amlin plc 020 7746 1050 Richard Hextall, Finance Director, Amlin plc 020 7746 1054 David Haggie, Haggie Financial 020 7417 8989 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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