Preliminary Results

Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc 17 October 2005 17 October 2005 EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST PLC PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR TO 31 AUGUST 2005 Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through investment in the Far East (excluding Japan and Australasia). The Company's benchmark is the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan) Index. • A 45.0% rise in the share price, accompanying a sharp narrowing in the discount from 16.8% to 6.9%. • A 29.6% increase in the Company's net asset value was ahead of the company's benchmark, which rose 28.7% • The Company's net asset value of 109.07p is its highest year end NAV value for 12 years For further information please contact:- Jeremy Whitley, Investment Manager 0065 6395 2700 Ian Massie, Director - Investment Trusts 0131 313 1000 Edinburgh Dragon Trust Plc Chairman's Statement 31 August 2005 Background I am happy to report that, in a difficult period for markets characterised by persistently high oil prices and rising interest rates, during the year to 31 August 2005 your Company's net asset value on a total return basis rose to 109.07p, a very satisfactory 29.6%, ahead of the Company's benchmark, the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan) Index, which ended the year 28.7% higher in sterling terms on a total return basis. The share price rose 45.0%, reflecting a substantial narrowing of the discount from 16.8% to 6.9%. The outperformance of the net asset value was the result both of asset allocation, stock selection and gearing, partly mitigated by the exercise of warrants. Being overweight in India and underweight in Taiwan were the two key asset allocation decisions, whilst stock selection was good in China, including Hong Kong. Overview Asian markets performed extremely well during the review period. The main drivers were better than expected economic growth and continued improvement in the quality of company earnings. Strong inflows from foreign institutional investors also supported markets, in keeping with the region's improved growth prospects and rising standards of corporate governance. The best performing market was India, with the lead BSE Sensex Index achieving an all-time high of more than 8,000 points at the time of writing, a rise of 54.1% over the year. Much of the market optimism can be traced to stronger economic growth, but liquidity driven inflows have also played an important role in steering prices higher. South Korean markets also performed well, up 43.5%, where domestic demand showed signs of stabilising - aided, we believe, by the government's lowering of interest rates. In South East Asia, Indonesia was the market of choice for investors for most of the period, underpinned by hopes that the new leader and ex security minister, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, would remain committed to economic reform. Some of the gloss, however, has been removed in recent weeks by concerns that the rising oil price will further strain the country's finances, which have been exacerbated by governmental subsidies on energy. There have been some laggards. Thailand, for one, has underperformed its peers due to a range of domestic problems, such as rising violence in the Muslim south and weak consumer confidence, although the biggest dampener has been the continued firm oil price and its knock-on impact on inflation. The runaway oil price also prompted central banks in the region to begin raising interest rates - although the tightening cycle had already commenced in 2003, led by the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. Countries that have raised interest rates in the past 12 months included Thailand, Indonesia, Hong Kong and Taiwan. However, this trend was not universal, with South Korea cutting interest rates in the face of sluggish domestic demand. Movements in the currency markets also came under close scrutiny in the period. China moved to end its currency link with the US dollar and onto a managed float which measures its currency against a basket of international currencies including the US dollar, the Yen and the Euro as well as a range of Asian currencies. Effectively, this has revalued the renminbi by around 3% and is a welcome move by the authorities. Malaysia quickly followed in a move which was also unsurprising. The peg which had fixed the ringgit to the US dollar at the rate of Rgt 3.80 per US dollar since 1998 was abandoned and Bank Negara has stated that it will allow market fundamentals to determine the rate. On the economic front, China's boom showed little sign of slowing down, despite widespread predictions to the contrary. Full-year GDP growth for 2004 stood at 9.5%, driven by higher-than-expected growth in exports and fixed asset investment. However, in our view, indiscriminate fixed asset investment may threaten the pace of expansion given that, over time, excessive capacity may restrict pricing power and with it corporate profitability. Other regional economies have also enjoyed a rebound in growth, albeit the outlook has moderated over the past few months. Gearing Net gearing at the end of the period was 9.8% compared to 4.5% in the previous year. The graph on page 8 details the level of gearing throughout the year. The Board regularly reviews the borrowing facilities of the Company, and its strategy, whereby the manager has discretion to operate the portfolio with effective gearing up to 20% of shareholder funds, has been maintained. Revenue account The revenue return per share continued to improve and showed a positive return of 1.50p per share, compared to a return of 0.04p in the previous year. There was a significant increase in investment income from £6.2m to £9.5m, reflecting the greater dividend paying capabilities of Asian companies, given the higher level of cash generation. Capital appreciation remains the principal objective of the Company. Despite the increased revenue returns in recent years, there remains a deficit on the revenue reserves and accordingly no dividend is payable for the year to 31 August 2005. Warrants The final exercise date for the warrants was 31 January 2005. As a result of the final warrant conversion exercise, 10.5 million new ordinary shares were issued and listed, and rank pari passu with the existing ordinary shares. Outlook Looking ahead, Asia is unlikely to repeat its economic success of the past year. A sustained rise in oil prices, higher interest rates and inflationary pressures at the macro-economic level could all blunt growth. On the corporate front, domestic demand is likely to be the dynamo for earnings expansion, with personal spending on an improving trend. Although valuations are no longer as cheap as they were, given the rise in share prices, corporate balance sheets within Asia are much stronger and corporate governance has improved. However, we are wary of increased costs, not just of raw materials but also of labour and associated cost rises, which may add margin pressure and contain profitability over the next twelve months. Nonetheless, looking further out, we believe that Asian markets will continue to offer good value in comparison with their more developed counterparts and that the longer term prospects for the region remain encouraging. Annual General Meeting The Company's annual general meeting will take place at Donaldson House, Edinburgh on 14 December 2005. On behalf of the Board, I encourage shareholders to attend. Tony Cassidy Chairman STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN for the year ended 31 August 2005 (audited) Revenue Capital Total £000 £000 £000 Realised gains on investments - 20,995 20,995 Unrealised gains on investments - 37,987 37,987 Currency gain on repayment of currency loan - - - Repayment penalty on currency loan - - - Currency gains/(losses) - (897) (897) Investment income 9,482 - 9,482 Interest receivable 414 - 414 Other income 163 - 163 Investment management fee (2,298) - (2,298) Administrative expenses (733) - (733) ________ ________ ________ Net return before finance costs and taxation 7,028 58,085 65,113 Interest payable and similar charges (3,130) - (3,130) ________ ________ ________ Return on ordinary activities before taxation 3,898 58,085 61,983 Taxation on ordinary activities (407) - (407) ________ ________ ________ Return attributable to equity shareholders after taxation 3,491 58,085 61,576 ________ ________ ________ Return per ordinary share 1.50p 24.97p 26.47p ________ ________ ________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ for the year ended 31 August 2004 (audited) Revenue Capital Total £000 £000 £000 Realised losses on investments - 14,402 14,402 Unrealised losses on investments - (17,267) (17,267) Currency gain on repayment of currency loan - 1,237 1,237 Repayment penalty on currency loan - (1,105) (1,105) Currency gains/(losses) - 33 33 Investment income 6,198 - 6,198 Interest receivable 266 - 266 Other income 166 - 166 Investment management fee (1,970) - (1,970) Administrative expenses (674) - (674) ________ ________ ________ Net return before finance costs and taxation 3,986 (2,700) 1,286 Interest payable and similar charges (3,493) - (3,493) ________ ________ ________ Return on ordinary activities before taxation 493 (2,700) (2,207) Taxation on ordinary activities (415) (40) (455) ________ ________ ________ Return attributable to equity shareholders after taxation 78 (2,740) (2,662) ________ ________ ________ Return per ordinary share 0.04p (1.21p) (1.17p) ________ ________ ________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ BALANCE SHEET (audited) At 31 August 2005 At 31 August 2004 £000 £000 £000 £000 Fixed assets Investments 284,256 199,463 Current assets Debtors 812 610 US Treasury Bills - 31,028 Cash - foreign currency 19,770 5,850 ________ ________ 20,582 37,488 Creditors: amounts falling due within one year 1,556 1,591 ________ ________ Net current assets 19,026 35,897 ________ ________ Total assets less current liabilities 303,282 235,360 Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year 44,388 44,347 ________ ________ 258,894 191,013 ________ ________ Capital and reserves Share capital 47,455 45,354 Share premium 4,285 81 Capital redemption reserve 8,752 8,752 Special reserve 85,520 85,520 Warrant reserve 1,047 1,047 Capital reserve - unrealised 71,285 33,933 Capital reserve - realised 43,598 22,865 Revenue reserve (3,048) (6,539) ________ ________ Total equity shareholders' funds 258,894 191,013 ________ ________ Adjusted net asset value per share 109.07p 84.18p ________ ________ Adjusted diluted net asset value per share n/a 83.11p ________ ________ CASHFLOW STATEMENT (audited) For the year ended For the year ended 31 August 2005 31 August 2004 £000 £000 £000 £000 Net cash inflow from operating activities 6,979 4,386 Servicing of finance (3,099) (3,761) Interest paid _______ _______ Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (3,099) (3,761) Taxation Overseas tax paid (467) (475) _______ _______ Net tax paid (467) (475) Financial Investment Purchase of investments (145,430) (59,713) Sale of investments 119,491 76,255 _______ _______ Net cash (outflow)/inflow from financial investment (25,939) 16,542 _______ _______ Net cash (outflow)/inflow before financing (22,526) 16,692 Net cash inflow/(outflow) from financing 6,305 (9,016) Management of liquid resources 30,425 (2,368) _______ _______ Increase in cash and cash equivalents 14,204 5,308 _______ _______ Reconciliation of net cashflow to movement in net debt Increase in cash 14,204 5,308 Net change in liquid resources (30,425) 2,368 _______ _______ Change in net debt resulting from cashflows (16,221) 7,676 Amortised Loan Note expenses (31) (31) Loan Repayment - 7,995 Foreign exchange differences on loan repayments - 1,237 Other foreign exchange differences (897) 33 _______ _______ Movement in net debt in year (17,149) 16,910 Opening net debt (7,469) (24,379) _______ _______ Closing net debt (24,618) (7,469) _______ _______ NOTES: 1. The accounts have been prepared in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'. The accounts are prepared under the same accounting policies used for the year to 31 August 2004. 2. The directors propose that no final dividend be paid in respect of the year ended 31 August 2005. 3. The statement of total return, balance sheet and cashflow statement set out above do not represent full statutory accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended 31 August 2004 has been extracted from the Annual Report and Accounts of the company which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The auditors' report on those accounts was unqualified. The statutory accounts for 2005 contain an unqualified auditors' report and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting which will be held at Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh on 14 December 2005 at 11.00am. 4. The Annual Report will be posted to shareholders in early November 2005 and copies will be available from the registered office. Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the amount they originally invested. Where investment is made in emerging markets, their potential volatility may increase the risk to the value of the investment. For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary END This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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