Interim Results

ABERFORTH GEARED CAPITAL & INCOME TRUST plc INTERIM RESULTS For the six months to 30 June 2006 FEATURES Total Assets Total Return +5.7% Net Asset Value of Capital Shares 1 +9.5% First Interim Dividend 3.50p [+8.4%] 1 The asset performance of the Capital Shares assumes that Income Shares have a capital entitlement of 100p each. CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT TO SHAREHOLDERS RESULTS REVIEW For the six months to 30 June 2006 the total return on the total assets of Aberforth Geared Capital & Income Trust plc (AGCiT) was 5.7%. This return was achieved against a volatile background for UK equities. The FTSE All-Share Index showed a total return of 6.1%, while the Hoare Govett Smaller Companies Index (Excluding Investment Companies) (HGSC (XIC)), representative of AGCiT's opportunity base, generated a total return of 6.8%. The Net Asset Value of a Capital Share has risen by 9.5% from 467.90p on 31 December 2005 to 512.51p on 30 June 2006. Following the adoption of the new accounting standards in the annual accounts for 2005 the Board believes that the most appropriate performance measurements to use for the capital performance of AGCiT are the total return on total assets and the change in Net Asset Value of a Capital Share with the Income share value being deducted at the full prior charge of 100p. In future, I will confine comments in statements to these measures. I encourage readers to refer to the Capital Structure section of the Interim Report where an explanation of the calculation methodology has been provided. However, I repeat the comments made in my 2005 Chairman's statement that these new accounting standards do nothing to simplify AGCiT's financial statements, their presentation or interpretation. These performance numbers mask a period of contrasting stockmarket conditions. In the first four months of the year, stockmarkets produced strong positive returns: the FTSE All-Share Index +9.2%, HGSC (XIC) +11.6% and AGCiT's total asset total return +10.7%. In the subsequent two months investor sentiment changed substantially and the respective returns were -2.9%, -4.3%, and -4.5%. Shareholders will appreciate that the gearing employed by AGCiT is of a structural nature and it is not possible significantly to alter the amount of borrowing employed by the trust without distorting the returns to both Income and Capital Shareholders. Consequently, the benefits of the structure are enjoyed in periods in which the total return on total assets is positive (normally, but not exclusively, when equity markets generate positive returns) and vice versa in periods of negative returns on total assets. The underlying growth in dividends from AGCiT's portfolio of investments has continued to be robust and it is appropriate to reflect the growth in income enjoyed by AGCiT in the dividend paid to Income Shareholders. Consequently, a first interim dividend of 3.50p per Income Share has been declared. This represents an 8.4% increase over the 3.23p paid in respect of the comparative period in 2005. This rate of increase broadly reflects the underlying growth in dividends from AGCiT's portfolio. The dividend will be paid on 24 August 2006 to Income Shareholders who are on the Register on 28 July 2006. Consistent with the new accounting standards mentioned above, the interim dividend has not been reflected in these financial statements but rather will be accounted for on its payment date of 24 August 2006. The robust income growth from the portfolio reflects the strength of dividend growth in the UK stockmarket. This has been a constant feature of the first half of 2006 against what has been a volatile stockmarket background. Should this favourable dividend backdrop be sustained it would represent an attractive background for both Income and Capital shareholders in the medium term. Alastair C Dempster Chairman 19 July 2006 MANAGERS' REPORT INVESTMENT BACKGROUND What a difference a few weeks can make! The stockmarket exuberance that characterised 2005 held sway for much of the first half of 2006. Indeed, by close on 9 May 2006, the HGSC (XIC) had risen by 14% from its level at the start of the year, implying a remarkable annualised return of 45%, somewhat higher than the 5-7% real rates of return that your Managers have indicated as likely over the longer term. Subsequently, however, the index fell back sharply to produce a more modest 6.8% total return over the first half as a whole. This pattern was not confined to small UK quoted companies. Displaying higher correlation than might usually be expected, the world's major stockmarkets, emerging market equities and commodities experienced pronounced declines at roughly the same time. The finger of blame was pointed at worse than anticipated inflation news in the US, with the release in May showing headline CPI up by 4.2% year on year. However, the curious behaviour of gold, which is traditionally considered an inflation hedge but which shared in the pervading gloom, suggested that other concerns were at play. Indeed, underlying inflationary pressures, not least from commodities, have been evident for some time and have presumably been an influence on US monetary policy, which saw interest rates rise further, to 5.25%, in the first half. The Federal Reserve was joined in tightening by other central banks, most notably in Japan, where the strategy of "quantitative easing" was brought to an end and the possibility of interest rate rises was actually mooted. However, interest rates in much of the world remain at low levels, especially in real terms. Accordingly, notwithstanding the imbalances that still characterise the global economy, economic activity has thus far continued buoyant and businesses have found trading conditions generally favourable. Further interest rate rises, or perhaps merely anticipation of them, should eventually bring about a slowdown in the rate of growth. In the shorter term, however, the impact of tighter monetary conditions may have been simply to calm the increasing ebullience displayed by many financial markets over the last year. The threat of less freely available money would naturally complicate those investment strategies that have relied upon cheap debt financing. Thus, it is possible to interpret the recent stockmarket declines as essentially a financial market phenomenon, born of over-confidence and weaned on leverage. INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE These gyrations set the scene for the swings in AGCiT's fortunes as described by the Chairman. As was the case in the second half of 2005, your Managers' value investment style fared less well in the upbeat stockmarket conditions of the first four months of 2006. This was again a period in which growth, and particularly momentum oriented investment styles, ruled supreme. Conversely, those businesses with less demanding valuations tended to fare rather better as the appetite for risk waned from the beginning of May. While the impact of stock selection on AGCiT's relative performance was positive, it was out-weighed by the negative contribution from sector selection. Four sectors - Oil & Gas Producers, Mining, Real Estate and General Financials - accounted for 45% of the HGSC (XIC)'s rise in the first half. The performance of these sectors in 2005 had already taken their constituent companies to valuations that your Managers found difficult to rationalise. AGCiT therefore entered the current year 16.0 percentage points underweight in the four sectors, a position that proved unhelpful given their sustained momentum in the first half of 2006. Corporate activity continued. Interest rates, though rising, remained low in the longer term context and, with lower equity valuations, continued to fuel the de-equitisation trend. Of the HGSC (XIC)'s 583 constituents, 22 were acquired in the six months, with deals taking place even after the turmoil in financial markets commenced. On the other hand, IPOs did suffer: several were abandoned towards the end of the period, though seven were completed, to one of which AGCiT subscribed. The 87 stock portfolio saw five bids completed, with one other outstanding at 30 June, and thus enjoyed a hit-rate superior to the HGSC (XIC)'s. It would not, however, be surprising if some of the fervour for corporate activity was to diminish in response to still higher interest rates and a general erosion in confidence. To remedy some of the confusion frequently engendered by the financial markets, it might be helpful to focus on the performance of the underlying businesses in AGCiT's portfolio and, in particular, on the dividend experience. Of the 87 holdings, it was the policy of one not to pay a dividend. Another seven had been listed for less than two years, preventing dividend growth calculations. Of the remaining 79, two cut their dividends, 13 left them unchanged and 64 reported increases. The median company of the 64 raised its dividend by 8.9%. Although this median does not necessarily reflect AGCiT's actual receipts, since the portfolio is actively managed and a specific rate of dividend growth is not targeted, it does suggest that underlying trading conditions remained generally supportive. INVESTMENT OUTLOOK The threat of further interest rates rises would appear to have affected equity markets in two ways. First, it might be reasonable to anticipate lower than previously expected demand for the goods and services supplied by companies. Second, with the logic of leveraged investment in the shares of these companies appearing less sound, certain speculative positions may have been unwound rather quickly. It feels plausible that this latter effect might explain the particular severity of recent stockmarket declines. This is not, however, to underplay the potential impact on actual economic activity. In both the UK and US, long bond yields are the same as or lower than short term yields. This inversion of the yield curve is conventionally interpreted as heralding economic slowdown or even recession. Moreover, the risk that monetary authorities may over-react in their rediscovered enthusiasm to stifle inflation is heightened by the high levels of debt that permeate the consumer sectors on both sides of the Atlantic. This has led some to talk not just of a deceleration in economic growth but of possible recession or stagflation. From your Managers' point of view, these risks have been apparent for some time but were increasingly overlooked by a bullish stockmarket as it moved higher until the start of May. The subsequent retrenchment has not been too dispiriting: small company returns of 6.8%, though less spectacular than looked likely in April, are nevertheless excellent for a six month period in the longer term context of the UK stockmarket. Moreover, the increased volatility has served to throw up additional investment opportunities as fundamentally good businesses have found themselves caught up in the atmosphere of worry. 30 June 2006 30 June 2005 Characteristics AGCiT HGSC (XIC) AGCiT HGSC (XIC) Number of Companies 87 560 86 627 Weighted Average Market £397m £539m £343m £409m Capitalisation Price Earnings Ratio 15.7x 16.9x 14.0x 16.4x (Historic) Net Dividend Yield 3.1% 2.2% 3.1% 2.3% (Historic) Dividend Cover (Historic) 2.1x 2.7x 2.3x 2.6x As the table demonstrates, the tremendous returns afforded by small UK quoted companies over the last 12 months have resulted in higher valuations. As was the case at the start of the year, the HGSC (XIC) is more highly rated than larger companies, which at the end of June had a PE of 13.6x and a yield of 3.2%. Your Managers have offset some of the revaluation of the asset class by progressively taking money out of those areas of the market that they perceive to be over-valued. Therefore, although the portfolio is more highly rated than 12 months ago, it might be hoped that AGCiT will fare relatively well should the recent pessimism persist. Aberforth Partners LLP Managers 19 July 2006 The Income Statement, Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders Funds, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement are set out below: - INCOME STATEMENT For the six months ended 30 June 2006 (unaudited) 6 months to 6 months to 30 June 2006 30 June 2005 (restated) Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Realised net gains - 9,957 9,957 - 5,327 5,327 on sales Unrealised - (5,094)(5,094) - 3,824 3,824 (losses)/gains ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Net gains on - 4,863 4,863 - 9,151 9,151 investments Dividend income 1,988 251 2,239 1,909 515 2,424 Interest income 3 - 3 1 - 1 Investment (146) (340) (486) (122) (285) (407) management fee Transaction costs - (286) (286) - (173) (173) Other expenses (98) - (98) (94) - (94) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Net return before 1,747 4,488 6,235 1,694 9,208 10,902 finance costs and Finance costs: Interest (327) (762)(1,089) (339) (791)(1,130) Change in fair - 957 957 - (656) (656) valuation of interest rate swap ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- 1,420 4,683 6,103 1,355 7,761 9,116 Finance costs: Dividends on (1,321) - (1,321) (1,287) - (1,287) Income Shares classified as financial liabilities ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Return on ordinary 99 4,683 4,782 68 7,761 7,829 activities before tax Tax on ordinary - - - - - - activities ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Return attributable 99 4,683 4,782 68 7,761 7,829 to shareholders ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Returns per Share: Income Share 5.79p - 5.79p 5.53p - 5.53p Capital Share - 44.61p 44.61p - 73.92p 73.92p The Board declared, on 19 July 2006 a first interim dividend for the year to 31 December 2006 of 3.50p per Income Share (2005 - 3.23p) and the total cost of the first interim dividend will be £858,000 (2005 - £791,000). The Board also declared, on 20 January 2006, a second interim dividend in respect of the year ended 31 December 2005 of 5.39p per Income Share (2005 - 5.255p) and the total cost of the second interim dividend amounted to £1,321,000 (2005 - £1,287,000). RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS (unaudited) For the six months ended 30 June 2006 Capital Capital Capital Share Redemption Special Reserve Reserve Revenue Capital Reserve Reserve Realised Unrealised Reserve TOTAL £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Equity 105 50 9,674 10,450 28,852 1,954 51,085 shareholders' funds as at 31 December 2005 Return - - - 8,820 (4,137) 99 4,782 attributable to equity shareholders ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Equity shareholders' funds as at 30 June 2006 105 50 9,674 19,270 24,715 2,053 55,867 ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== For the six months ended 30 June 2005 Capital Capital Capital Share Redemption Special Reserve Reserve Revenue Capital Reserve Reserve Realised Unrealised Reserve TOTAL £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Equity 105 50 9,674 4,545 16,707 1,806 32,887 shareholders' funds as at 31 December 2004 Return - - - 2,858 4,903 68 7,829 attributable to equity shareholders ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Equity shareholders' funds as at 30 June 2005 105 50 9,674 7,403 21,610 1,874 40,716 ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== BALANCE SHEET As at 30 June 2006 (unaudited) 30 June 31 December 30 June 2006 2005 2005 (restated) £'000 £'000 £'000 Fixed Assets: Investments 112,351 111,640 100,097 at fair value through ------- ------- ------- profit or loss Debtors 701 328 668 Cash at bank - - - Bank overdraft - (633) - Other creditors (638) (75) (47) ------- ------- ------- Net current assets / 63 (380) 621 (liabilities) ------- ------- ------- TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT 112,414 111,260 100,718 LIABILITIES Creditors (amounts falling (56,547) (60,175) (60,002) due after more than one year) (Note 6) ------- ------- ------- TOTAL NET ASSETS 55,867 51,085 40,716 ======= ======= ======= CAPITAL AND RESERVES: EQUITY INTERESTS Called up share capital: Capital shares 105 105 105 Reserves: Capital redemption 50 50 50 reserve Special reserve 9,674 9,674 9,674 Capital reserve - 19,270 10,450 7,403 realised Capital reserve - 24,715 28,852 21,610 unrealised Revenue reserve 2,053 1,954 1,874 ------- ------- ------- TOTAL EQUITY 55,867 51,085 40,716 ======= ======= ======= Net Asset Values: per Capital Share (Note 4) 512.51p 467.90p 369.93p NOTE Income shares are classified as financial liabilities and are accounted for within Creditors in the Balance Sheet. CASH FLOW STATEMENT For the six months ended 30 June 2006 (unaudited) 6 months to 6 months to 30 June 30 June 2006 2005 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Net cash inflow from 1,412 1,576 operating activities Returns on investments and servicing of finance Interest and other finance (1,097) (1,137) costs paid Dividends paid (1,321) (1,287) ------ ------ Net cash outflow from returns on investments and servicing of finance (2,418) (2,424) Capital expenditure and financial investment Payments to acquire (21,239) (12,519) investments Receipts from sales of 25,553 15,523 investments ------ ------ Net cash inflow from capital expenditure and financial 4,314 3,004 investment ----- ----- Net cash inflow before 3,308 2,156 financing activities Financing Flexible loans repaid (2,675) (471) ----- ----- Net cash outflow from (2,675) (471) financing ----- ----- Change in cash during the 633 1,685 period ===== ===== Reconciliation of net return before finance costs and taxation to net cash inflow from operating activities Net return before finance 6,235 10,902 costs and taxation Gains on investments (4,863) (9,151) Transaction costs 286 173 Increase in debtors (225) (338) Decrease in creditors (21) (10) ------ ------ Net cash inflow from 1,412 1,576 operating activities ====== ====== NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 1. ACCOUNTING STANDARDS The financial statements have been prepared under historical cost convention, as modified to include the revaluation of investments and in accordance with applicable accounting standards and the AITC's Statement of Recommended Practice "Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies" issued in 2005. As a consequence we now present an Income Statement and whilst it still shows supplementary information on the capital and revenue returns, it is the total column which is the profit and loss account of the Company. All revenue and capital items in the Income Statement are derived from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued in the period. The same accounting policies used for the year ended 31 December 2005 have been applied. However, the financial statements for the six months ended 30 June 2005 have been restated as a result of restating the Company's position as at 31 December 2004. The financial statements for the six months ended 30 June 2005 also reflect the revised treatment of transaction costs and the interest rate swap valuation and the reclassification of Income Shares as "financial liabilities". The effect of the restatements are set out in note 5. 2. FINANCE COSTS: DIVIDENDS ON INCOME SHARES CLASSIFIED AS FINANCIAL LIABILITIES Six Six months months ended 30 ended 30 June 2006 June 2005 £'000 £'000 Amounts recognised as distributions to Income Shareholders in the period: Second Interim Dividend for the 1,321 1,287 year to 31 December 2005 of 5.39p paid on 23 February 2006 (2005 - 5.255p paid on 24 February 2005) A first Interim Dividend for the year to 31 December 2006 of 3.50p (2005 - 3.23p)will be paid on 24 August 2006 to shareholders on the register on 28 July 2006. 3. RETURNS PER SHARE The calculations of the revenue return per Income Share are based on net revenue of £1,420,000 (30 June 2005 - £1,355,000) and on 24.5 million Income Shares. The calculations of the capital return per Capital Share are based on net capital gains of £4,683,000 (30 June 2005 - £7,761,000) and on 10.5 million Capital Shares 4. NET ASSET VALUE Total net assets have been calculated in accordance with the provisions of Financial Reporting Standard 4. Income shares are classified as financial liabilities and are carried on the balance sheet at their fair value of 100p each and which results in a total fair valuation of the Income shares of £24,500,000. This valuation does not reflect the rights of the Income shares under the Articles of Association on a return of assets. Set out below is a reconciliation of the Capital share net asset value on the basis of Income shares at 100p each and a reconciliation of Capital and Income share net asset values in accordance with the Articles. Net Asset Value of Capital Shares (based on Income Shares at 100p) As at As at As at 30 June 31 December 30 June 2006 2005 2005 £'000 £'000 £'000 Total net assets 55,867 51,085 40,716 Revenue reserve (2,053) (1,954) (1,874) ------ ------ ------ Net Asset Value 53,814 49,131 38,842 of Capital Shares ====== ====== ====== Number of Capital Shares: 10.5m 10.5m 10.5m NAV per Capital Share (Income 512.51p 467.90p 369.93p Shares at 100p) Net Asset Value of Capital Shares and Income Shares (Articles Basis) Capital Income Shares Shares Total £'000 £'000 £'000 Total net assets 55,867 - 55,867 as at 30 June 2006 Revenue reserve (2,053) 2,053 - Capital entitlement of Income - 24,500 24,500 Shares at 31 March 2011 (valuation of Income Shares disclosed within Creditors) Adjustment to relect capital 6,270 (6,270) - entitlement not yet transferred to Income Shareholders in accordance with Articles ------ ------ ------ Net assets per Articles as at 60,084 20,283 80,367 30 June 2006 ====== ====== ====== Number of 10.5m 24.5m shares NAV per share (Articles) 572.22p 82.79p 5. EXPLANATION OF PRIOR YEAR ADJUSTMENTS Reconciliation of the Income Statement for the six months ended 30 June 2005 As previously Effect of As reported change in restated Total policy Total INCOME STATEMENT £'000 £'000 £'000 Net gains on investments 8,101 1,050 9,151 Dividend income 2,424 - 2,424 Interest income 1 - 1 Investment management fee (407) - (407) Other expenses (94) (173) (267) ------ ----- ------ Net return before finance 10,025 877 10,902 costs and tax Finance costs: interest (1,130) - (1,130) Finance costs: change in - (656) (656) fair valuation of interest rate swap ------ ----- ------ 8,895 221 9,116 Finance costs: dividends on - (1,287) (1,287) Income Shares ------ ----- ------ Net return on ordinary 8,895 (1,066) 7,829 activities before tax Tax on ordinary activities - - - ------ ----- ------ Return attributable to 8,895 (1,066) 7,829 equity shareholders ====== ===== ====== Returns per Income Share 5.53p - 5.53p Returns per Capital Share 71.81p 2.11p 73.92p Reconciliation of the Balance Sheet as at 30 June 2005 As previously Effect of As reported change in restated Total policy Total £'000 £'000 £'000 Fixed assets: Investments at 100,097 - 100,097 fair value through profit or loss ------- ------- ------- Debtors 668 - 668 Cash at bank - - - Bank overdrafts - - - Other creditors (47) - (47) ------- ------- ------- Net current assets 621 - 621 ------- ------- ------- Total assets 100,718 - 100,718 Creditors (amounts falling (35,502) (24,500) (60,002) due after more than one year) ------- ------- ------- TOTAL NET ASSETS 65,216 (24,500) 40,716 ======= ======= ======= CAPITAL AND RESERVES; EQUITY INTERESTS Called up share capital Capital shares 350 (245) 105 Reserves: Capital redemption reserve 50 - 50 Special reserve 33,929 (24,255) 9,674 Capital reserve - realised 9,630 (2,227) 7,403 Capital reserve - unrealised 21,117 493 21,610 Interest rate swap reserve (1,734) 1,734 - Revenue reserve 1,874 - 1,874 ------- ------- ------- TOTAL EQUITY 65,216 (24,500) 40,716 ======= ======= ======= Net Asset Values: Per Income Share 76.68p - 76.68p Per Capital Share 369.93p - 369.93p Gains on Investments The adoption of FRS 26 resulted in a change to the basis if valuation of investments. Under FRS 26, the Company's investments have been categorised as "financial assets at fair value through profit or loss". Therefore quoted investments are now valued at bid prices. Previously quoted investments were valued at middle market prices. The change in accounting policy has increased the return attributable to Shareholders for the six months ended 30 June 2005 by £813,000 and is included within the £1,050,000 increase in net gains on investments. The difference between the two figures reflects the impact of transaction costs on gains on investments. Expenses incurred in acquiring or disposing of investments As a further consequence of investments being categorised as "financial assets at fair value through profit or loss", transaction costs incidental to the acquisition or disposal of investments amounting to £173,000 for the six months ended 30 June 2005 are now treated as a capital expense and included within expenses under the capital column of the Income Statement. This change in accounting policy has no overall effect on the return attributable to Shareholders and appears on the Income Statement as offsetting increases of £173,000 in transaction costs and within gains on investments. Previously such transaction costs were included within book cost of investments and proceeds from sales. Classification of Income Shares The adoption of FRS 25 resulted in the classification of Income Shares as "financial liabilities" and as a consequence the fair value at time of issue of £24.5 million has been accounted for within creditors. Dividends paid to Income Shareholders are now treated as finance costs and appear within this category on the Income Statement. This change in accounting policy for the classification of Income Shares has had no effect on the net assets attributable to shareholders. Derivatives FRS 26 requires derivatives to be measured at fair value and depending on whether the derivative is part of a qualifying hedge relationship, changes in fair value must be recognised either in the Income Statement or in equity reserves. The Company's interest rate swap is not designated as a cash flow hedge and therefore changes in its fair value are recognised in the Income Statement. In the interim accounts as at 30 June 2005 the fair value of derivates was included in the Balance Sheet but not the Income Statement. The change in accounting policy for derivatives has had no effect on Shareholders' funds as at 30 June 2005. 6. CREDITORS: AMOUNTS FALLING DUE AFTER MORE THAN ONE YEAR 31 30 June 30 June December 2005 2006 2005 (restated) £'000 £'000 £'000 Loan facility 1,625 4,300 3,828 LIBOR loan facility 30,000 30,000 30,000 Less: unamortised issue (51) (56) (60) costs Income shares 24,500 24,500 24,500 Interest rate swap 473 1,431 1,734 ------ ------ ------ 56,547 60,175 60,002 ====== ====== ====== 7. FURTHER INFORMATION The foregoing do not comprise statutory accounts (as defined in section 240(5) of the Companies Act 1985) of the Company. The statutory accounts for the period to 31 December 2005, which contained an unqualified Report of the Auditors, have been lodged with the Registrar of Companies and did not contain a statement required under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The Interim Report is expected to be posted to shareholders on 24 July 2006. Members of the public may obtain copies from Aberforth Partners LLP, 14 Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS or from its website at www.aberforth.co.uk. CONTACT: David Ross - Aberforth Partners LLP - 0131 220 0733 Aberforth Partners LLP, Secretaries - 19 July 2006 ANNOUNCEMENT ENDS
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