Half-yearly report

ABERFORTH GEARED CAPITAL & INCOME TRUST plc INTERIM RESULTS For the six months to 30 June 2007 FEATURES Total Assets Total Return +7.6% Net Asset Value of Capital Shares (Note 1) +10.3% First Interim Dividend 3.8p [+8.6%] Note 1: The asset performance of the Capital Shares assumes that Income Shares have a capital entitlement of 100p each. CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT TO SHAREHOLDERS RESULTS REVIEW For the six months to 30 June 2007, Aberforth Geared Capital & Income Trust plc (AGCiT) achieved a total return on total assets of 7.6%. The FTSE All-Share Index showed a total return of 7.6% while the Hoare Govett Smaller Companies Index (Excluding Investment Companies) (HGSC (XIC)), representative of AGCiT's smaller company opportunity base, generated a total return of 4.6%. The Net Asset Value of a Capital Share has risen by 10.3% to 799.1p, assuming the 100p prior charge of the Income Shares is deducted. The positive returns from the UK equity market have thus allowed AGCiT's geared structure to work to the benefit of all Shareholders. However,it is worthy of note that the six months under review have been the first half year period since the second half of 2004 in which the HGSC (XIC) has recorded a poorer performance than the FTSE All-Share Index, representative of larger companies. Your Board is pleased to announce a first interim dividend of 3.80p per Income Share which represents an increase of 8.6% over the 3.50p paid in respect of the equivalent period in 2006. This rate of increase broadly reflects the underlying growth in dividends from AGCiT's portfolio. The dividend will be paid on 23 August 2007 to Income Shareholders on the register on 27 July 2007. In 2004, the Association of Investment Companies (AIC), together with JPMorgan Claverhouse Investment Trust plc (Claverhouse), brought a case against HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) to challenge the current imposition of VAT on management fees paid by investment trust companies. The case was referred to the European Court of Justice and its judgment was delivered on 28 June 2007 supporting the Claverhouse and AIC position. Whilst we await HMRC's response to this judgment, your Managers have submitted the necessary protective claims such that, dependent on the final outcome, AGCiT will receive a refund of all VAT paid on Investment Management fees since the inception of the Company including all VAT previously offset by your Managers. We will endeavour to keep Shareholders updated with any developments in this matter. Over the last few years the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) has attracted a large number of companies and has enabled many to raise funds. Although AGCiT has not actually purchased investments in AIM quoted companies it has continued to hold shares in investee companies that have chosen to move from the "Full List" to AIM so as to avoid being a forced seller of otherwise sound investments. The trend of companies moving to AIM shows some signs of reversing with a number of companies now seeing merit in moving to the "Full List" from AIM. Your Board believes AGCiT should be able to invest in such companies before they actually become fully listed, but after they have committed to the move, and has so authorised your Managers. It is unlikely such investments will form a material part of AGCiT's portfolio but they may nevertheless prove rewarding. The six months under review have seen a volatile performance from the UK equity market which recovered from a sharp setback in February only to be challenged by a sudden and significant rise in bond yields on a global basis during May and June. There has subsequently been a noticeable change in stockmarket leadership in the UK with the more highly rated FTSE 250 "Mid Cap" Index underperforming the FTSE 100 Index. It remains to be seen how the effects of rising funding costs permeate equity markets. The immediate effect has been to create a greater level of uncertainty. However, I am reassured that in the past your Managers' value discipline has served Shareholders well in more uncertain stockmarket environments and recent relative performance would confirm that this continues to be the case. Alastair C Dempster Chairman 18 July 2007 MANAGERS' REPORT INVESTMENT BACKGROUND The strong returns enjoyed by the HGSC (XIC) in the first half were shared by many stockmarkets around the world. Indeed, several indices, including the FTSE All-Share, S&P500 and DAX, recorded new all-time highs. These were achieved despite a general environment of tightening monetary conditions in many major economies and two specific bouts of nervousness reminiscent of the risk aversion in the middle of 2006. The first wobble came in late February, when many asset classes - including commodities, low grade corporate debt and equities - endured sharp falls. While the Chinese stockmarket's 8% one day drop made the headlines, the climate of greater risk aversion appeared to stem from fears of contagion from the US sub-prime mortgage fiasco and from a 5% rise in the yen against the dollar, which was perceived to jeopardise the viability of leveraged investment strategies known as "carry trades". However, with the dollar actually rising by 3.5% over the first half as a whole, the yen's strength proved short-lived and the immediate effects of the sub-prime meltdown appeared to have been contained. Duly emboldened, markets regained lost ground and advanced further before encountering a second challenge in June, when large rises in US government bond yields prompted similar reactions in other bond markets including that of the UK. In contrast to events a year earlier, the cause did not appear to be nervousness about uncontrolled inflation: CPI data in the US proved unexciting and the gap between conventional and index linked yields did not expand significantly. Rather, the issue seemed to be a perception that real economic growth was more resilient than previously thought and that interest rate reductions later this year were therefore less likely. Apparently confirming the lower probability of a recession, the increases in longer bond yields removed the inversion in the US yield curve, so that long term bond yields now sit above short term yields. In the UK, monetary conditions also tightened over the first half as the Bank of England increased interest rates and gilt yields moved up sharply. However, in contrast to the US, the yield curve has remained inverted, in response to the continued appetite of pension funds for longer dated gilts and to the likelihood of further interest rate rises this year. Expectation of such rises reflects concerns about inflationary pressures, which in April necessitated an explanatory letter from Mervyn King to Gordon Brown. These concerns are fuelled by double digit broad money supply growth and a confident consumer sector that, unlike that of the US, continues to revel in annual house price appreciation of more than 10%. INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE As described by the Chairman, despite some weakness in June, small companies enjoyed another period of good absolute returns, with the HGSC (XIC) rising by 4.6% in total return terms. AGCiT succeeded in out-performing with a 7.6% return at the total assets level. In this, it was aided by a reversal of fortune with regard to sector selection. Last year, this made a substantial negative contribution to relative performance since AGCiT was heavily under-weight in four sectors - Oil & Gas Producers, Mining, Real Estate and General Financials - that performed strongly. In contrast, thus far in 2007, conviction in these under-weight positions has been vindicated, particularly in Real Estate, which may be feeling the effects of the tightening monetary conditions explained above: having reduced AGCiT's relative performance by 195 basis points over the whole of 2006, sector selection for Real Estate added 189 basis points in the first half of 2007. Eating into the beneficial effects of sector selection was a negative contribution from stock selection. The incidence of profit warnings, which are inevitable in an 86 stock portfolio over a six month period, was not uncommonly high. This in part reflects the continuation of benign trading conditions. More relevant is the effect of your Managers' consistent adherence to a value investment style, which was not in step with the bull market conditions that prevailed in much of the first half. A reluctance to expose the portfolio to companies whose growth prospects are more than discounted in exaggerated valuations proved particularly painful in two sectors. Within the HGSC (XIC), Media and Software & Computer Services performed strongly, rising by 11.3% and 13.5% respectively. In each case, however, these returns were driven by a small number of companies, typically also members of the FTSE 250, that over the first half were taken from what your Managers already considered to be high ratings to even higher valuations. They therefore eschewed these stocks, preferring to invest further down the size spectrum in businesses on more modest valuations but still with good, albeit less spectacular, growth prospects. These two-speed sectors together accounted for more than all the drag from stock selection experienced by the portfolio in the first half. De-equitisation, a term that describes the tendency over recent years to replace equity financing with debt financing, continued. AGCiT benefited, with three holdings taken over and another two in talks with potential acquirers at the end of June. However, in contrast to previous years, when takeover activity was concentrated within medium sized companies, much of the action has taken place out of AGCiT's reach within the large cap world. Underlying this shift is the strong performance of the FTSE 250 over recent years, which has taken many of its constituents to valuation levels above those of their larger peers and that are now often too high to be refinanced substantially with debt. Private equity firms have therefore been scrutinising larger businesses and completed several substantial deals in the first half, notably TXU for $45bn in the US and Alliance Boots for £11bn in the UK. This pick-up in takeover activity among larger companies helps explain the relative strength of the FTSE 100 against the FTSE 250 so far this year, only the second half-year of large cap out-performance since the end of 2002. While larger companies may now be making the headlines in terms of takeovers, de-equitisation in its less glamorous forms remains relevant to small companies. Dividend growth continues to exceed inflation by a substantial margin and indeed the long term average achieved by equities. This is demonstrated by the following analysis of AGCiT's portfolio of 86 companies at the end of June, a useful cross-section of the small cap universe. Of those companies, it was the current policy of 4 not to pay a dividend, while a further 3 had been listed for less than two years, preventing growth calculations. Of the remaining 79, 4 cut their dividends, 8 left them unchanged and 67 reported increases. Of the 79, the median rate of dividend growth was 10%, though this median does not necessarily reflect AGCiT's actual receipts, since it is diluted by the other 7 holdings and since the portfolio is actively managed, with a specific rate of dividend growth not targeted. INVESTMENT OUTLOOK Two years ago, Alan Greenspan described as a "conundrum" the reluctance of long bond yields to respond to rising interest rates. It would, however, seem that the recent rapid rise in bond yields has gone some way to resolving that conundrum. An environment of higher government bond yields and, by extension, tighter monetary conditions may have profound implications for the valuation of other asset classes, including equities. First, higher borrowing costs ought eventually to have a dampening effect on economic activity and eventually corporate profitability. Second, costlier debt undermines the viability of highly leveraged investment activity that has driven the fantastic returns of recent years. Third, as the risk free rate, government bond yields are the basis for valuation of other asset classes - higher yields should, other things being equal, imply lower equity prices. In the face of these influences, the initially insouciant reaction of stockmarkets to the sell-off in bonds was surprising. It is, though, perhaps a reaction to the brighter outlook for the real economy, and by extension for corporate profitability, implied by a normalised US yield curve and to hints that the sovereign wealth funds of East Asian and oil- rich economies were looking to reduce bond exposures. However, as the half year drew to a close, there were signs of tighter credit conditions permeating the asset markets and greater risk aversion developing. The failure of two hedge funds that had bet heavily on bonds backed by sub-prime mortgages affected confidence, seeming to serve as a reminder that the US housing market remains troubled and will be an important influence on both real economic activity and the financial markets as the year goes on. Moreover, the market for leveraged loans is showing shown signs of strain, with several scheduled corporate bond issues either re-priced or delayed. Your Managers therefore retain a cautious stance and have oriented AGCIT's portfolio accordingly. They remain reluctant to expose AGCiT to parts of the market that trade on high valuations and that they perceive to have benefited from inflow of speculative capital. Accordingly, the portfolio retains a relatively low exposure to more highly valued mid cap stocks and maintains significant under-weight positions in Real Estate and Oil & Gas Producers. Moreover, the portfolio has been biased towards companies with comparatively robust balance sheets, which ought to afford a degree of defensiveness should trading conditions deteriorate and can also offer scope for value enhancement through de- equitisation. 30 June 2007 30 June 2006 Characteristics AGCiT HGSC AGCiT HGSC (XIC) (XIC) Number of Companies 86 487 87 560 Weighted Average £467m £627m £397m £539m Market Capitalisation Price Earnings 16.5x 15.8x 15.7x 16.9x Ratio (Historic) Net Dividend Yield 2.5% 2.0% 3.1% 2.2% (Historic) Dividend Cover 2.4x 3.2x 2.1x 2.7x (Historic) With the return from cash, notwithstanding recent interest rate rises, comparatively low, a corollary of the portfolio's skew to companies with net cash on their balance sheets is an exaggerated PE, which, as the table above demonstrates, was 4% higher than that of the HGSC (XIC) at the end of June. It is possible to look through this effect by examining ratios of enterprise value to operating profits, which are unaffected by how a company is funded. On this basis, AGCiT's portfolio sat on a discount of over 10% to the HGSC (XIC), rather than the premium implied by PEs. Your Managers take comfort from this valuation advantage, which they believe forms a sound foundation for AGCiT's prospects. Aberforth Partners LLP Managers 18 July 2007 The Income Statement, Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders Funds, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement are set out below: - INCOME STATEMENT For the six months ended 30 June 2007 (unaudited) 6 months to 6 months to 30 June 2007 30 June 2006 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Realised net gains - 12,766 12,766 - 9,957 9,957 on sales Movement in - (4,409) (4,409) - (5,094) (5,094) unrealised appreciation ----- ------ ------ ----- ------ ------ Net gains on - 8,357 8,357 - 4,863 4,863 investments Dividend income 2,039 176 2,215 1,988 251 2,239 Interest income 1 - 1 3 - 3 Investment (183) (426) (609) (146) (340) (486) management fee Transaction costs - (433) (433) - (286) (286) Other expenses (108) - (108) (98) - (98) ----- ------ ------ ----- ------ ------ Net return before 1,749 7,674 9,423 1,747 4,488 6,235 finance costs and taxation Finance costs: Interest (343) (803) (1,146) (327) (762) (1,089) Change in fair - 958 958 - 957 957 valuation of interest rate swap ----- ------ ------ ----- ------ ------ 1,406 7,829 9,235 1,420 4,683 6,103 Finance costs: Dividends on (1,446) - (1,446)(1,321) - (1,321) Income Shares classified as financial liabilities ----- ------ ------ ----- ------ ------ Return on ordinary (40) 7,829 7,789 99 4,683 4,782 activities before tax Tax on ordinary - - - - - - activities ----- ------ ------ ----- ------ ------ Return (40) 7,829 7,789 99 4,683 4,782 attributable to ===== ====== ====== ===== ====== ====== equity shareholders Returns per Share: Income Share 5.73p - 5.73p 5.79p - 5.79p Capital Share - 74.57p 74.57p - 44.61p 44.61p The Board declared, on 18 July 2007, a first interim dividend for the year to 31 December 2007 of 3.80p per Income Share (2006 - 3.50p) and the total cost of the first interim dividend will be £931,000 (2006 - £858,000). The Board also declared, on 24 January 2007, a second interim dividend in respect of the year ended 31 December 2006 of 5.90p per Income Share (2006 - 5.39p) and the total cost of the second interim dividend amounted to £1,446,000 (2006 - £1,321,000). RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS (unaudited) For the six months ended 30 June 2007 Capital Capital Capital Share Redemp Special Reserve Reserve Revenue Capital Res. Reserve Real. Unreal. Reserve Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Equity 105 50 9,674 24,587 41,660 2,362 78,438 shareholders' funds as at 31 December 2006 Return - - - 11,280 (3,451) (40) 7,789 attributable to equity shareholders --- --- ----- ------ ------ ----- ------ Equity 105 50 9,674 35,867 38,209 2,322 86,227 shareholders'=== === ===== ====== ====== ===== ====== funds as at 30 June 2007 For the six months ended 30 June 2006 Capital Capital Capital Share Redemp Special Reserve Reserve Revenue Capital Res. Reserve Real. Unreal. Reserve Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Equity 105 50 9,674 10,450 28,852 1,954 51,085 shareholders' funds as at 31 December 2005 Return - - - 8,820 (4,137) 99 4,782 attributable to equity shareholders --- --- ----- ------ ------ ----- ------ Equity 105 50 9,674 19,270 24,715 2,053 55,867 shareholders'=== === ===== ====== ====== ===== ====== funds as at 30 June 2006 BALANCE SHEET As at 30 June 2007 (unaudited) 30 31 30 June December June 2007 2006 2006 £'000 £'000 £'000 Fixed Assets: Investments 145,421 133,087 112,351 at fair value through ------- ------- ------- profit or loss Current assets Amounts due from brokers 39 - 206 Other debtors 1,351 286 495 Cash at bank - 1 - ------- ------- ------- 1,390 287 701 ------- ------- ------- Creditors (amounts falling due within one year) Bank overdraft (1,019) - - Amounts due to brokers (745) - (598) Other creditors (62) (56) (40) ------- ------- ------- (1,826) (56) (638) ------- ------- ------- Net current (liabilities) / (436) 231 63 assets ------- ------- ------- TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT 144,985 133,318 112,414 LIABILITIES Creditors (amounts falling (58,758) (54,880) (56,547) due after more than one year) (Note 5) ------- ------- ------- TOTAL NET ASSETS 86,227 78,438 55,867 ======= ======= ======= CAPITAL AND RESERVES: EQUITY INTERESTS Called up share capital: Capital shares 105 105 105 Reserves: Capital redemption 50 50 50 reserve Special reserve 9,674 9,674 9,674 Capital reserve - 35,867 24,587 19,270 realised Capital reserve - 38,209 41,660 24,715 unrealised Revenue reserve 2,322 2,362 2,053 ------- ------- ------- TOTAL EQUITY 86,227 78,438 55,867 ======= ======= ======= Net Asset Values: per Capital Share (Note 4) 846.25p 777.91p 572.22p per Income Share (Note 4) 89.27p 86.77p 82.79p NOTE: Income shares are classified as financial liabilities and are accounted for within Creditors in the Balance Sheet. CASH FLOW STATEMENT For the six months ended 30 June 2007 (unaudited) 6 months to 6 months to 30 June 30 June 2007 2006 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Net cash inflow from 1,257 1,412 operating activities Returns on investments and servicing of finance Interest and other finance (1,130) (1,097) costs paid Dividends paid (1,446) (1,321) ----- ----- Net cash outflow from returns on investments and servicing of finance (2,576) (2,418) Capital expenditure and financial investment Payments to acquire (33,284) (21,239) investments Receipts from sales of 29,581 25,553 investments ------ ------ Net cash (outflow) / inflow from capital expenditure and financial (3,703) 4,314 investment ----- ----- Net cash (outflow) / inflow (5,022) 3,308 before financing activities Financing Flexible loans drawndown / 4,002 (2,675) (repaid) ----- ----- Net cash inflow / (outflow) 4,002 (2,675) from financing ----- ----- Change in cash during the (1,020) 633 period ===== ===== Reconciliation of net return before finance costs and taxation to net cash inflow from operating activities Net return before finance 9,423 6,235 costs and taxation Net gains on investments (8,357) (4,863) Transaction costs 433 286 Increase in debtors (236) (225) Decrease in creditors (6) (21) ----- ----- Net cash inflow from 1,257 1,412 operating activities ===== ===== NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 1. ACCOUNTING STANDARDS The financial statements have been prepared under the historical cost convention, as modified to include the revaluation of investments and in accordance with applicable accounting standards and the AIC's Statement of Recommended Practice "Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies" issued in 2005. The total column of the Income Statement is the profit and loss account of the Company. All revenue and capital items in the Income Statement are derived from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued in the period. The same accounting policies used for the year ended 31 December 2006 have been applied. 2. FINANCE COSTS: DIVIDENDS ON INCOME SHARES CLASSIFIED AS FINANCIAL LIABILITIES Six Six months months ended 30 ended 30 June 2007 June 2006 £'000 £'000 Amounts recognised as distributions to Income Shareholders in the period: Second Interim Dividend for the 1,446 1,321 year to 31 December 2006 of 5.90p paid on 22 February 2007 (2006 - 5.39p paid on 23 February 2006) A first Interim Dividend for the year to 31 December 2007 of 3.80p (2006 - 3.50p) will be paid on 23 August 2007 to Income Shareholders on the register on 27 July 2007. 3. RETURNS PER SHARE The calculations of the revenue return per Income Share are based on net revenue of £1,406,000 (30 June 2006 - £1,420,000) and on 24.5 million Income Shares. The calculations of the capital return per Capital Share are based on net capital gains of £7,829,000 (30 June 2006 - £4,683,000) and on 10.5 million Capital Shares 4. NET ASSET VALUE Total net assets have been calculated in accordance with the provisions of Financial Reporting Standard 4. Income Shares are classified as financial liabilities and are carried on the balance sheet at their fair value of 100p each which results in a total fair valuation of the Income Shares of £24,500,000. This valuation does not reflect the rights of the Income Shares under the Articles of Association on a return of assets. Set out below is a reconciliation of the Capital Share net asset value on the basis of Income Shares at 100p each and a reconciliation of Capital and Income share net asset values in accordance with the Articles. Net Asset Value of Capital Shares (based on Income Shares at 100p) As at As at As at 30 June 31 Dec 30 June 2007 2006 2006 £'000 £'000 £'000 Total net assets 86,227 78,438 55,867 Revenue reserve (2,322) (2,362) (2,053) ------ ------ ------ Net Asset Value 83,905 76,076 53,814 of Capital ====== ====== ====== Shares Number of 10,500,000 10,500,000 10,500,000 Capital shares NAV per Capital 799.10p 724.53p 512.51p Share (Income Shares at 100p) Net Asset Value of Capital Shares and Income Shares (Articles Basis) Capital Income Total Shares Shares £'000 £'000 £'000 Total net 86,227 - 86,227 assets as at 30 June 2007 Revenue reserve (2,322) 2,322 - Capital - 24,500 24,500 entitlement of Income Shares at 31 March 2011 (valuation of Income Shares disclosed within Creditors) Adjustment to 4,951 (4,951) - reflect capital entitlement not yet transferred to Income Shareholders in accordance with Articles ------ ------ ------- Net assets per 88,856 21,871 110,727 Articles as at ====== ====== ======= 30 June 2007 Number of 10,500,000 24,500,000 shares NAV per share 846.25p 89.27p (Articles) 5. CREDITORS: AMOUNTS FALLING DUE AFTER MORE THAN ONE YEAR 30 June 31 Dec 30 June 2007 2006 2006 £'000 £'000 £'000 Loan facility 4,300 297 1,625 LIBOR loan 30,000 30,000 30,000 facility Less: (42) (46) (51) unamortised issue costs Income shares 24,500 24,500 24,500 Interest rate - 129 473 swap ------ ------ ------ 58,758 54,880 56,547 ====== ====== ====== 6. FURTHER INFORMATION The foregoing do not comprise statutory accounts (as defined in section 240(5) of the Companies Act 1985) of the Company. The statutory accounts for the period to 31 December 2006, which contained an unqualified Report of the Auditors, have been lodged with the Registrar of Companies and did not contain a statement required under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The Interim Report is expected to be posted to shareholders in the week commencing 23 July 2007. Members of the public may obtain copies from Aberforth Partners LLP, 14 Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS or from its website at www.aberforth.co.uk. CONTACT: David Ross Aberforth Partners LLP 0131 220 0733 Aberforth Partners LLP, Secretaries - 18 July 2007 ANNOUNCEMENT ENDS
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