Monthly Report

Deutsche Latin American Cos Tst PLC 24 May 2004 Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust REPORT FOR THE MONTH OF APRIL 2004 SUMMARY Latin American equities posted a dramatic negative return in April, underperforming the US equity markets and the IFCI Asia, however outperforming the IFCI EMEA. The index was off 7.7% in sterling terms, despite all major Latin currencies strengthening against the pound. Fears surrounding interest rates in the US, coupled with higher oil prices and a China slowdown hit emerging markets hard, with particular emphasis on commodity producers like Brazil. Prices for most of the major commodities, such as aluminum, copper, silver, gold, lead and zinc all posted their worst results in months, along with the expectations for global steel prices due to the fear of declining Chinese imports. Within Latin America, Colombia was the big winner for the month, up 14.5% in sterling terms, while Brazil was the key detractor, down 12.2%. The Mexican and Chilean MSCI indices, whilst outperforming the general Latin index, both fell by 3.9% and 0.4% respectively. Our NAV was down 9.8% for the month, hurt primarily by an overweight position in Brazil (since reduced to below index weight), the absence of stocks in Colombia, and the use of leverage. Our overweight position in Mexico contributed positively however this was not enough to offset the negative effect of Brazil. Unlike previous months, stock selection was also negative, hurt by a combination of overweight positions in the natural resource sector, including steel, and a lower than market weight in Telmex, which outperformed. From the macroeconomic and political standpoints, the market was focused in Brazil on the 25 basis point rate cut, and the proposal of an 8.3% nominal increase in the minimum wage, which was better than expected. The Central Banks of Chile and Colombia left their interest rates unchanged while Mexican officials increased the level of the corto daily restrictive mechanism in an unexpected move. In Argentina, the market continued to be focused on the energy crisis, while in Venezuela attention was paid to the validation of signatures which would allow a recall referendum on President Chavez. The government of Peru successfully placed a $US 500MM 12-year sovereign bond, effectively finishing its financing needs for the year. First quarter results were largely reported, with generally better than expected results, particularly for Mexican corporates. The MSCI Brazil fell 12.2% in sterling terms, lagging the region, on rising global risk premia and falling commodity prices. Despite a widening of sovereign spreads for the month, the Brazilian real closed up 2.5% for the month against the pound. Trade data remained strong for the month, with a March trade surplus of $US 2.6 billion, higher than expected, and inflation decelerated for the month, a welcome relief. Industrial production figures for February were released which showed a strengthening trend year over year, however were down from January figures. Unemployment remains stubbornly high at 12.8%. The key detractors to performance for the month were the our overweight position in natural resource stocks such as Aracruz, Petrobras, CVRD, CSN, and Usiminas, the banks Itau, Bradesco and Unibanco and the aircraft manufacturer Embraer. Disappointing results by CBD, the retailer, and Telesp Celular also contributed to the decline in our NAV for the month. In Mexico, our stock selection was hampered by overweight positions in America Movil, which suffered from its Brazil exposure, the commodity producer Grupo Mexico and Alfa, which fell in sympathy with the commodities rout, Consorcio Ara, the homebuilder, and Femsa, whose results fell short of analysts' estimates. We also suffered from overweight positions in several Chilean names which underperformed the Chilean index, including Banco Santander, CTC (for the second month) and Soquimich. In previous monthly corrections of this magnitude, Latin American markets have proven to be attractive investments over the long term. We are concerned, however, with Brazil's particular vulnerability to higher risk premia (geopolitical, interest rate, commodity prices) and the pre-existing investor overweights in the country. We have thus trimmed our Brazilian exposure, adding selectively to Chile and Mexico, and are reducing our leverage to zero until we have a view on a more normalised global situation. Subsequent to the month end we have significantly reduced gearing due to our concern on rising oil prices and the deteriorating geo-political situation. NET ASSET VALUE Fully diluted 30/04/04 31/03/04 30/04/04 31/03/04 76.8p 85.1p 81.7p 88.2p MID-MARKET SHARE PRICE 30/04/04 31/03/04 Ordinary Shares 72.50p 71.25p Warrants 15.00p 17.25p Discount/(Premium) % 5.6 16.3 NAV based on total assets less current liabilities of £36.7 million (£40.7 million). Market exposure 30/04/04 31/03/04 % % EQUITIES Argentina 0.4 0.4 Brazil 43.2 49.1 Chile 9.6 8.5 Mexico 42.0 38.6 Peru 1.4 1.6 TOTAL PORTFOLIO 96.6 98.2 Net Current Assets 3.4 1.8 -------- -------- TOTAL 100.0 100.0 -------- -------- Based on total assets of £40.7 million (£44.5 million). GEARING Gearing at 30/04/04 31/03/04 10.9% 9.5% ===== ===== LARGEST HOLDINGS (market value £33.8 million equal to 86.0% of total portfolio) Country £000's % of portfolio Petrobras Brazil 4,848 12.3 America Movil Mexico 3,555 9.0 Vale do Rio Doce Brazil 3,497 8.9 Wal-Mart de Mexico Mexico 2,723 6.9 Telefonos de Mexico Mexico 2,657 6.8 Cemex Mexico 2,125 5.4 Grupo Televisa Mexico 1,888 4.8 Femsa Mexico 1,384 3.5 Bco Santander Chile 986 2.5 Tele Norte Leste Brazil 977 2.5 Cemig Cia Energy Brazil 928 2.4 Emp Nac Electric Chile 859 2.2 Banco Itau Brazil 838 2.1 Sider Nacional Brazil 718 1.8 Alfa Mexico 648 1.6 Enersis Chile 614 1.6 Votorantim Celulose Brazil 575 1.5 Antofagasta Chile 564 1.4 Minas Buenaventura Peru 549 1.4 Grupo Mexico Mexico 500 1.3 Unibanco-Uniao Brazil 497 1.3 Usiminas Brazil 483 1.2 Brazil Telecom Brazil 468 1.2 Consorcio Mexico 462 1.2 G.F. Banorte Mexico 459 1.2 For further information, contact Mark Pope at Deutsche Investment Trust Managers Limited on 020-7545-0520. For additional copies, changes of address or details of our Private Investors' Plan, low cost ISA and Dividend Reinvestment Plan (a plan through which shareholders, who hold their shares on the Company's main register, can use their dividends to purchase further shares) contact Mark Pope on 020-7545-0520, e-mail address: mark.pope@db.com. Further details of Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust including the latest annual, interim and monthly reports can be found on the Deutsche Investment Trust Managers website located at www.deutsche-its.co.uk. Issued and approved by Deutsche Investment Trust Managers Limited, One Appold Street, London EC2A 2UU, authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and manager of Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC. Investors should note that the price of shares and the income from them can go down as well as up and are not guaranteed and investors may not get back the amount they invested. Fluctuations in exchange rates may also affect the value of your investment. Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC may invest in shares traded in emerging markets which may at times be illiquid and/or volatile. The use of gearing is likely to lead to volatility in the Net Asset Value (NAV), meaning that a relatively small movement either down or up in the value of the Trust's total assets will result in a magnified movement in the same direction of that NAV. In extreme circumstances, investors may get nothing back at all if the fall in value is sufficiently large. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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