Monthly Report

Deutsche Latin American Cos Tst PLC 16 October 2003 Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust REPORT FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER 2003 SUMMARY The Latin American benchmark was down 1.8% in September, after five months of positive performance as investors took a breather and profit taking ensued. Argentina was the big winner for the month, up 7.0% in sterling, however its representation in the index is insignificant, at 3.0%. Chile was also up strongly, by 4.8%, and as it represents 11.3% of the index, is far more important. Of the big markets, both Brazil and Mexico were down 3.1% which hurt performance of the Trust as we are overweight in both of these markets. There was no significant negative news in the big markets, however nearly all Latin currencies declined against the pound sterling for the month. The Mexican peso was off 4.5%, the Brazilian Real down 2.6% and the Argentine peso off 3.8%. The Chilean peso was flat for the month. The Trust underperformed the index for the month, with the NAV down 2.9%. Country allocation was the biggest detractor, and stock selection was fairly neutral (positive stock selection in Mexico, negative in Brazil). For the year to date, the NAV for the Trust is up 28.9% versus the index of 32.3%. BRAZIL The Brazilian MSCI declined over 3% for the month with the currency weakening by 2.6% against sterling. The market was positively impacted by a further 2% interest rate cut and by the lower house's passage of the tax reform bill. Separately, the social security reform bill was approved at the committee level in the Senate and is expected to go to vote in October. In addition, the Lula administration circulated a draft proposal for a new regulatory framework, which proposed diminishing the role of the agencies in charge of regulating electricity, oil/gas and telecoms. The 12-month inflation rate declined to 15.1%, the lowest level since January. Industrial production figures continue to show little improvement, with declines in durable, consumer and capital goods production, indicating continued weakness in the internal economy. On a positive note, strong export demand has propped up the external accounts and the country should post its first current account surplus since the advent of the Real Plan in 1994. Profit taking among investors after the market's 8 month rise led to declines in several bell weather stocks such as Ambev, Brasil Telecom, Petrobras, Bradesco, Itau, and Aracruz, all owned in the portfolio. MEXICO The Mexican market declined again for the month, falling 3.1%. Political noise was high, but overall positive, with a well received State of the Union speech by Fox and cabinet reshuffle. Fiscal and energy reform remain uncertain. Economic data continues to be sluggish, and with unemployment rising, lower oil prices (Mexico's chief export) and weaker USD, sentiment remains bearish. The Peso recovered somewhat from oversold levels earlier in the month, but closed down 4.5% against the pound. Our performance was hampered by the overweight position in Mexico, however stock selection was mildly positive. Until the US shows signs of economic recovery, Mexico will be hindered by its tie to US industrial production. Our Mexican holdings have been pared down slightly, in favour of increasing our holdings in Brazil and potential opportunities in Chile. On the corporate side, news was again light with the exception of America Movil's news of further acquisitions in Central America, this after their much larger acquisition in Brazil of BCP the end of August. CHILE The Chilean MSCI again outperformed the regional index for the month, up 4.8% in sterling terms. In addition, the peso was the sole Latin currency to hold its own against the pound. We continue to be underweight the index, at 4.6% versus 11.3%, however the manager has begun to add to positions and increase the holdings in the past few weeks. The Chilean economy is being bolstered by continued good outlook for its main export, copper, and signs of a pick up in domestic demand. Moreover, historic low interest rates and continued support for the currency create a more positive environment for equities. ARGENTINA The Argentine MSCI rose for the month, after Argentina reached a three year agreement with the IMF. In its first proposal to the debt holders after having defaulted on its debt, Argentina proposed a 75% haircut on its principle and said that there will not be any interest accrual allowed since it went into default in December 2001. Predictably, the proposal was rejected outright by the investment community. Despite some signs of a stabilisation in the market, the prospects for companies, given the yet to be restructured debt, gives us reason to avoid Argentine equities. PERU / VENEZUELA The Peruvian market had another good month, up 1.0% in sterling however the New Sol weakened over 5% against the pound. Our sole holding, Buenaventura, contributed positively to performance as the Trust has an overweight position and it was up for the month. The Peruvian economy is posting decent growth figures this year on the back of strong mining activity. Venezuela was also up strongly for the month, up 5.2%, however its representation in the index is negligible. Economic activity declined over 9% in the second quarter, continuing to reflect the impact of the general strike the beginning of the year. For the first half of the year, the Venezuelan economy contracted by over 18%. We continue to be uninvested in Venezuela given the macroeconomic scenario and lack of quality companies. NET ASSET VALUE Fully diluted 30/09/03 31/08/03 30/09/03 31/08/03 73.1p 75.3p 78.8p 80.5p MID-MARKET SHARE PRICE 30/09/03 31/08/03 Ordinary Shares 64.00p 62.30p Warrants 12.30p 10.75p Discount/(Premium) % 12.4 17.3 NAV based on total assets less current liabilities of £35.0 million (£36.0 million). Market exposure 30/09/03 31/08/03 % % EQUITIES Brazil 50.3 51.3 Chile 4.6 3.2 Mexico 41.8 43.7 Peru 2.2 2.1 TOTAL PORTFOLIO 98.9 100.3 Net Current Assets 1.1 (0.3) -------- -------- TOTAL 100.0 100.0) -------- -------- Based on total assets of £38.0 million (£39.1 million). GEARING Gearing at 30/09/03 31/08/03 8.6% 8.8% ==== ==== LARGEST HOLDINGS (market value £36.0 million equal to 95.7% of total portfolio) Country £000's % of portfolio Petrobras Brazil 4,313 11.5 Vale do Rio Doce Brazil 3,235 8.6 America Movil Mexico 3,046 8.1 Wal-Mart de Mexico Mexico 2,860 7.6 Telmex Mexico 2,170 5.8 Ambev Brazil 1,995 5.3 Cemex Mexico 1,921 5.1 Banco Itau Brazil 1,810 4.8 G.F BBVA-Bancomer Mexico 1,775 4.7 Grupo Televisa Mexico 1,746 4.7 Tele Norte Leste Brazil 1,731 4.6 Brasil Telecom Brazil 1,079 2.9 Femsa Mexico 1,060 2.8 Sider Nacional Brazil 855 2.3 Minas Buenaventura Peru 834 2.2 Bco Bradesco Brazil 759 2.0 Gerdau Brazil 737 2.0 Coca-Cola Femsa Mexico 629 1.7 Pao de Acucar Brazil 527 1.4 Telecom de Chile Chile 521 1.4 Grupo Modelo Mexico 498 1.3 Enersis Chile 487 1.3 Bco Santander Chile 485 1.3 Cemig Cia Brazil 464 1.2 Aracruz Celulose Brazil 422 1.1 Financial Calendar Half-year results announced 22 October 2003 For further information, contact Mark Pope at Deutsche Investment Trust Managers Limited on 020-7545-0520. For additional copies, changes of address or details of our Private Investors' Plan, low cost ISA and Dividend Reinvestment Plan (a plan through which shareholders, who hold their shares on the Company's main register, can use their dividends to purchase further shares) contact Mark Pope on 020-7545-0520, e-mail address: mark.pope@db.com. Further details of Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust including the latest annual, interim and monthly reports can be found on the Deutsche Investment Trust Managers website located at www.deutsche-its.co.uk. Issued by Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC and approved by Deutsche Investment Trust Managers Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and manager of Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC. Investors should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future returns, the price of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount they invested. Fluctuations in exchange rates may also affect the value of your investment. Investment in Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC presents those risks associated with emerging markets which may at times be illiquid and/or volatile. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
UK 100

Latest directors dealings