Monthly Report

Deutsche Latin American Cos Tst PLC 22 September 2003 Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC REPORT FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2003 Summary The Latin American benchmark was up by 5.8% in August, the fifth consecutive month of positive performance, however underperforming the GEMs index. Brazil again led the pack, with MSCI Brazil index up 11.8% in sterling. Chile and Peru were also up notably, with a positive 6.3% and 6.9% respectively. Mexico was the main detractor for the month, down 0.1% while Argentina was off 0.5%. August's performance was led by the utility and materials sectors, with consumer discretionary and staples lagging. We outperformed the index for the month, with the NAV up by 6.5%. Overall stock selection and country allocation were positive, although the overweight in Mexican consumer names hurt performance slightly. For the year to date, the NAV is up 32.8% versus the index return of 34.7%. Brazil The Brazilian MSCI rose nearly 12% for the month with the currency strengthening 1.8% against sterling. The market was positively surprised by a 250 basis point interest rate cut and by significant progress on the social security reform front. In addition, the strong performance by the global basic materials stocks helped drive natural resource stocks in Brail higher, in particular the steel companies, pulp producers and CVRD. Economic activity data continues to be weak, with no growth on the horizon, and second quarter figures from several key constituencies (Ambev, Petrobras, Electrobras) came in weaker than expected. In addition to the Trust's overweight holdings in the resource sector, a strong showing by the two principle fixed line telephony companies and Brazilian electric utility Cemig contributed to the outperformance. In September, we are looking for continued momentum stemming from further interest rate cuts, given the more benign inflationary environment, tax reform progress and an upturn in domestic economic activity. Industrial production figures have been declining, given the weak state of the economy; while exports remain fairly robust, imports have fallen dramatically (down 19% year over year) contributing to a positive trade surplus. Mexico The Mexican market declined slightly for the month, and combined with the weaker peso (down 2% against sterling) detracted from the Trust's performance. Only 6 of the 25 stocks in the index were in positive territory, with notable declines in the bellwether stocks such Telmex, Televisa, Walmex, Femsa, and Bancomer. Domestic interest rates inched higher on the currency weakness, as domestic economic data (employment in particular) remained stagnant. Unlike previous upturns, Mexico has yet to benefit from stronger economic data coming out of the U.S. There were, however, some positive signs for potential fiscal reform, while the banking system's bad loan saga (Fobaproa) continued to make noise. We do not believe there is great risk of a reopening of the Fobaproa audit. Industrial production figures remain weak with June data supporting evidence of a continued sluggish economy. Finally, unemployment reached its highest level in the last 5 years which makes for a continued gloomy atmosphere. On the corporate side, news was light with the exception of America Movil's news of continued expansion into Brazil with the acquisition of Sao Paulo cellular operator BCP for an attractive price. While we continue to like the long term outlook for our Mexican consumer plays, and cannot argue against their inexpensive valuations, we have trimmed our exposure to some of the Mexican holdings in favour of increasing our stakes in the Brazilian resource and consumer stocks. Our weighting in Mexico for the first time is below that of Brazil. Chile The Chilean MSCI again outperformed the regional index for the month, up 6.3% in sterling. The market was bolstered by the 3.6% gain against the pound. We continue to be underweight the index, at 3.2% versus 10.6%, namely due to the lack of quality names with any degree of liquidity. Most of the large gainers for the month were locally listed stocks which are largely unowned by foreigners. Our stock selection was negative in August, as both CTC and Banco Santander were negative for the month. The market performance was driven by the ongoing domestic economic recovery and by stronger commodity prices (as in Brazil), much of which we now believe is priced in the market. In addition, the market surged on the Central Bank's decision against an interest rate hike for now as inflation now appears under control. We continue to watch economic recovery trends and the sustainability of commodity prices (particularly copper) and are looking for selective new investments which meet our valuation and liquidity criteria. Argentina The Argentine MSCI fell slightly for the month, down 0.5% with the currency weakening. The market was driven lower by increased political noise ahead of the IMF negotiations. In addition, tension between President Kirchner and his vice-president over treatment of the former military officials and tariff hikes, and the close race for Mayor of Buenos Aires raised concern. While there is some optimism on prospects for an IMF deal (albeit without new money) and unemployment figures continue to decline (although at 15.6% they are still quite high). We continue to avoid the market as we cannot justify the risk to equity holders before most of the restructuring of corporate balance sheets has taken place. Peru / Venezuela The Peruvian market had another good month, up 6.9% in sterling terms with the New Sol strengthening 1.8% against sterling. Our sole holding, Buenaventura, contributed positively to performance as the Trust has an overweight position and it was up nearly 12% for the month. The index was driven higher by stronger gold prices and the positive sentiment in basic commodities, of which Peru is a producer (gold, copper). President Toledo's popularity showed some signs of recovery and economic data appears brighter. We would maintain our overweight position in the gold company, however find few other options to invest. Venezuela was also up for the month, as concrete political progress toward a referendum was made. As in the past, we cannot find any companies worth the political risk until the Chavez situation is resolved. Given its small weighting in the index (1.2%), we do not feel the Trust is at a material disadvantage by not investing in Venezuela. NET ASSET VALUE Fully diluted 31/08/03 31/07/03 31/08/03 31/07/03 75.3p 70.7p 80.5p 76.9p MID-MARKET SHARE PRICE 31/08/03 31/07/03 Ordinary Shares 62.30p 58.50p Warrants 10.75p 10.00p NAV based on total assets less current liabilities of £36.0 million (£33.8 million). Market exposure 31/08/03 31/07/03 % % EQUITIES Brazil 51.3 47.4 Chile 3.2 3.5 Mexico 43.7 47.7 Peru 2.1 2.0 TOTAL PORTFOLIO 100.3 100.6 Net Current Assets (0.3) (0.6) -------- -------- TOTAL 100.0 100.0 -------- -------- Based on total assets of £39.1 million (£36.9 million). GEARING Gearing at 31/08/03 31/07/03 8.8% 9.2% ==== ==== LARGEST HOLDINGS (market value £38.9 million equal to 99.0% of total portfolio) Country £000's % of portfolio Petrobras Brazil 4,716 12.0 Vale do Rio Doce Brazil 3,086 7.8 Wal-Mart de Mexico Mexico 3,022 7.7 Telmex Mexico 2,836 7.2 America Movil Mexico 2,530 6.4 Ambev Brazil 2,416 6.1 Cemex Mexico 2,022 5.1 Banco Itau Brazil 2,013 5.1 Tele Norte Leste Brazil 1,944 5.0 G.F BBVA-Bancomer Mexico 1,919 4.9 Grupo Televisa Mexico 1,880 4.8 Brasil Telecom Brazil 1,457 3.7 Femsa Mexico 1,080 2.7 Bco Bradesco Brazil 994 2.5 Minas Buenaventura Peru 845 2.2 Gerdau Brazil 831 2.1 Telecom de Chile Chile 790 2.0 Coca-Cola Femsa Mexico 766 2.0 Sider Nacional Brazil 741 1.9 Grupo Modelo Mexico 734 1.9 Aracruz Celulose Brazil 617 1.6 Pao de Acucar Brazil 577 1.5 Bco Santander Chile 464 1.2 Telesp Celular Brazil 307 0.8 Kimberly-Clark de Mexico Mexico 300 0.8 Financial Calendar Half-year 31 August 2003 For further information, contact Mark Pope at Deutsche Investment Trust Managers Limited on 020-7545-0520. For additional copies, changes of address or details of our Private Investors' Plan, low cost ISA and Dividend Reinvestment Plan (a plan through which shareholders, who hold their shares on the Company's main register, can use their dividends to purchase further shares) contact Mark Pope on 020-7545-0520, e-mail address: mark.pope@db.com. Further details of Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust including the latest annual, interim and monthly reports can be found on the Deutsche Investment Trust Managers website located at www.deutsche-its.co.uk. Issued by Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC and approved by Deutsche Investment Trust Managers Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and manager of Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC. Investors should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future returns, the price of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount they invested. Fluctuations in exchange rates may also affect the value of your investment. Investment in Deutsche Latin American Companies Trust PLC presents those risks associated with emerging markets which may at times be illiquid and/or volatile. This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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